Financial Analysis - Sony and Apple - PT2
Financial Analysis - Sony and Apple - PT2
Financial Analysis - Sony and Apple - PT2
And
Sony Corporation
Financial Analysis
PT II
By Charles Martin
Table of Contents
Required Rate of Return
Capital asset pricing model…………..……………………….…………..…2
Growth Model………….……………………………………..…………..…5
Weighted Average Cost of Capital…………….……………………………7
WACC growth and return..……………...……………………………8
Recommendation
Comparison ………………….………………….…………….…….10
Conclusion………………...………………………….……..………11
Works Cited………………..………………………………………………..…….12
Appendix………………….………………………………………………………13
1
Required Return, Expected Returns and Cost of Capital
The Capital Asset Pricing Model is a financial model that calculates the systematic risk
and expect returns for an asset, particularly stocks. The CAPM equation stated below is
compromised of the Risk-Free rate, Beta of the investment, and the market risk premium. All of
these sections of the equation can be calculated separately based on a company’s financial
CAPM = Rf + βi (Erm−Rf)
Where:
Rf = Risk-free rate
βi = Beta of the investment
( Erm – Rf ) = Market risk premium
The Risk-free rate is the rate that an investor would expect from a risk free investment
over a specific time and is calculated from the 90-day treasury bills, the treasury bills are used
because it is considered the least amount of risk for an investment possible and is backed fully by
the U.S government. Investors expect to be compensated based on their exposure to risk, and
time value of money. To calculate the risk-free rate, the average of the 3-month T-bill rates since
2
Market risk premium
expected return on a market portfolio and the risk-free rate. The expected return on the market is
based off of the average monthly returns on the S&P500 since 1950. Once the average monthly
returns are calculated, the risk-free rate (4.10%) is then subtracted from the annualized average
market returns (8.96%); this results in a market risk premium of: 8.96- 4.10 = 4.86%
The beta of an individual stock is a coefficient that measured the systematic risk of that
stock compared to the unsystematic risk of an entire market. For this analysis, a regression was
made on both stocks in order to determine the coefficient. This regression and can be found in
the appendix.
Apple (AAPL) – Apple’s stock record dates back to the 80s, so a regression was made
from December of 1980, to now. The beta consisted of the S&P returns as well as the monthly
returns from the 1980s. This beta was found to be not close to analysts, as it came to around 8.4,
so the beta from the regression in the last 10 years was used and this was far closer to the beta
shown by analysts on yahoo finance. The beta for Apple’s stock found was 1.36.
3
Sony (SNE) – Sony’s stock dates back to 1973. For this regression we used the data from
1980 to 2019, along with the S&P data. The beta was somewhat consistent, although we are
4
Growth Model
The Gordon Growth model is a financial model used to determine the intrinsic value of a
stock, or the expected return. This is similar to the CAPM model, although this model is based
on dividends per share. The formula for the expected return Growth Model is as follows:
E(r) = D0 (1+ G) / P0 + G
where:
G = Growth Rate
E(r) = Expected rate of return
D0 =Value of dividends
P0 =Price of stock
The current stock price is found using financial tools, specifically yahoo finance. The
constant growth rate for both Sony and Apple are extensive, and date back to the 1980s. The
Growth rate is found by using the 5-year growth rate, and the value of dividend growth rate is
5
Apple (AAPL) Calculation:
6
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WACC
calculation of a firms cost of capital. All of the capital components are included such as
stockholder’s equity, bonds, and other long-term debt. A lower WACC for a company is better
for the investor and company because this shows the required return the company would need to
pay off its investors. A higher WACC will increase as the beta and rate of return increase
WACC Formula:
𝑬 𝑫
WACC = 𝑽 ∗ 𝑹𝒆 + 𝑽 ∗ 𝑹𝒅 (𝟏 − 𝑻𝒄)
where:
Re = Cost of equity
Rd = Cost of debt
E = Market value of the firm’s equity
D = Market value of the firm’s debt
V = E + D = Total market value of the firm’s financing
E/V = Percentage of financing that is equity
D/V = Percentage of financing that is debt
Tc = Corporate tax rate
7
Apple:
For Apple, the value of equity, or market cap, is around 1185 billion. The market value of
the company’s debt is calculated based off of their outstanding bonds, and capital lease
obligation. The total book value of debt is around 111 billion. The cost of equity was calculated
before, as 10.71%. The Cost of debt was also calculated before as the growth model and is
10.71%. The rest of the information is given, and the calculation of WACC for apple is below.
The calculation is done using the CAPM and also done using the growth model numbers as
Re = 10.71%
Rd = 6.92%
E = 1185
D = 111
V = E + D = 1296
Tc = 16.49%
WACC (CAPM) = ( 1185 / 1296 ) * 0.1071 + (111 / 1296 ) * 0.0692 * ( 1 – 0.1649)
= 10.29%
WACC (G) = ( 1185 / 1296 ) * 0.0762 + (111 / 1296 ) * 0.0692 * ( 1 – 0.1649)
= 7.46%
Sony (SNE):
For Sony, the company’s market cap is around 80.89 billion, and the company’s debt
based off of its bonds and capital lease obligation (not including preferred stock) is averaged at
12.45 billion. The Coast of Equity was calculated prior, as the CAPM model. The Cost of debt is
calculated with the outstanding bonds, and for Sony is around 0.90%. The Corporate tax rate is
averaged and can be found on financial websites such as CSI.com. The calculations are done for
you and shown below. The calculation is done using the CAPM and also done using the growth
model numbers as shown below, both are used as the ‘Cost of equity’(Re).
8
Re = 11.63%
Rd = 2.62%
E = 80.89
D = 12.45
V = E + D = 93.18
Tc = 8.92%
9
Recommendation
First, in order to make a proper recommendation you must compare each company to
each other, then compare each company to the industry average. Each company has a solid board
and are multinational. Although, financially the companies are very different. First, comparing
hard financial information ratios done in this project, the table was made to compare Apple to
Sony, and then Apple to the industry as well as Sony to the industry.
Quick Ratio + - + -
Debt to Asset Ratio + - - -
Debt to Equity Ratio + - - -
Interest Coverage Ratio - + + +
Inventory Turnover Ratio + - + +
Acc. Recieveable Days + - + +
Total Asset Turnover + - + -
Net Profit Margin + - + -
Return on Assets + - + -
Return on Equity + - + -
P/E ratio + - + +
Market to book ratio + - + -
Dupont analysis + - N/A N/A
Total 13 / 14 1 / 14 11 / 13 4 / 13
10
The ratios all came back similarly, Apple has a better liquidity ratio, quick ratio, debt to
equity ratio, inventory turnover ratio, accounts receivable days, total asset turnover, and many
more ratios that where completed in this analysis. Twelve out of fourteen analyses are favored
for apple, that leaves only two out of fourteen financial ratios are better for Sony. Apple beats
Sony in almost every aspect, they are considered to be one of the best tech firms in the market.
Their market capitalization is over a trillion, one of the first companies to achieve this. Sony
beats the industry averages four out of thirteen times for the ratios. While apple beats the
Apple has a significant advantage over Sony corp, and this shows greatly in the
Dupont analysis. Sony’s return on equity in 2018 was 16.54%. On the other hand, apple’s return
in 2018 was 55.56%; This is a significant number in any industry. Apple’s net profit margin was
22.41% in 2018, compared to Sony’s 5.74% net profit margin. This shows how much profit a
company keeps after deducting sales. Sony keeps around 5 percent while apple kept around 23
percent. Apple is almost five times more profitable than Sony. Although Sony may have more
assets, Apple is better at generating revenue that at the end of the day.
Although the companies WACC are very close, the WACC of growth for apple is around
5 percent more than Sony, therefore there is a lot more room for growth seen by investors for
apple. Although Apple’s CAPM is less than Sony’s, that does not mean much for the future of
the company, the growth model shows Apple’s expected rate of return as 7.60% compared to
Sony’s 1.56%.
Taking into account all of these strengths and weaknesses of each company, Apple is
11
“Apple WACC %.” Apple WACC % | AAPL - GuruFocus.com,
www.gurufocus.com/term/wacc/AAPL/WACC/Apple%2Binc.
markets, csi. “Company, Sector, Industry and Market Analysis.” CSIMarket, 2019,
csimarket.com/.
Finance, Yahoo. “Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Historical Prices & Data.” Yahoo! Finance, Yahoo!,
9 Oct. 2019,
finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history?period1=1451624400&period2=15148692
00&interval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo.
Finance, Yahoo. “Sony Corporation (SNE) Stock Historical Prices & Data.” Yahoo! Finance,
Yahoo!, 9 Oct. 2019,
finance.yahoo.com/quote/SNE/history?period1=1456808400&period2=153646560
0&interval=1mo&filter=history&frequency=1mo.
Appendix
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13
14
Stock Prices + Dividends
SNE APPL
15