Managing & Measuring Translation Exposure
Managing & Measuring Translation Exposure
Managing & Measuring Translation Exposure
9.0 Objectives
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Translation Exposure Defined
9.2.1 Distinction between Transaction and Translation Exposure
9.3 Currency Translation Methods
9.4 ~inancialAccounting Standards No. 8 and 52
9.5 Designing a Hedging Strategy
9.5.1 Funds Flow Adjustment
9.5.2 Forward Contracts
9.5.3 Exposure Netting
9.6 Centralisation vs. Decentralisation of Exchange Risk Management
9.7 Economic Exposure Defined
9.7.1 Measuring Economic Exposure
9.8 Managing Economic Exposure
9.8.1 Marketing Initiatives
9.8.2 Production lnitiatives
9.8.3 Financial Initiatives
9.9 Let Us Sum Up
9.10 Key Words
9.1 1 Terminal Questions/Exercises
9.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit you should be able to :
9.1 INTRODUCTION
In unit 8 you learnt about the concept, measurement and techniques of managing
transaction exposure. In this unit you will learn about two other forms of exposure
facing international business firms, namely translation (or accounting) and economic
exposure. You will also learn about their concepts and various hedging techniques and
the impact of these exposures on corporates.
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Measuring and Managing
9.2.1 Distinction between Transaction and Translation Exposure Translation and Economic
Exppsures
The addition of the word 'risk' after 'transaction' or 'translation' tends to convey that
transaction risk and translation risk are two different risks, i.e., different external threats.
Indeed, they may be more appropriately viewed as different ways of looking at and
managing the same (or at least largely overlapping) external threats. An accounting
model of receipts and payments is implicit when reference is made to translation risk,
and a cash flow model of receipts and payments is implicit when reference is made to
transaction risk.
Translation (position) risk can be measured either aggressively for gain or defensively to
avoid loss. Some companies prefer the objective of leaving the impact of currency
movements unchanged between successive reporting periods. They prefer to smooth
rather than sptimise or minimise the effect of currency movements. Defensive
management approach involves adjustment of each position to zero. Aggressive
management of freely floating currencies is for those who either have reason to know
they can beat market expectations of fiture exchange rates, or have special tax position
which load the dice in their favour after tax. Aggressive management is more likely to
be successfbl with controlled or managed currencies or over very short periods.
Aggressive position risk management is difficult, but not wrong in principle, as long as
it is a calculated and adequately controlled and the relevant policy disclosed to and
understood by investors.
CurrentINon-Current Method
MonetaryINon-monetary Method
Temporal Method
The current rate method is the simplest. Under this method, all balance-sheet and
income items are translated at the current rate. Thus, if a firm's foreign currency
denominated assets exceed its foreign currency denominated liabilities, a devaluation
must result in a loss and a revaluation in a gain. One variation of this method is to
translate all assets and liabilities except net fixed assets at the current rate.
Measuring ancl Managing
9.4 FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING STANDARDS Translat'on and Economic
Exposures
NO. 8 AND 52
From our discussion above of various methods of translation available, you may easily
expect wide variation in the results reported under different methods of translation. This
precisely led the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) of the US to issue
accounting standard number 8 to establish uniform standard of translating foreign
currency denominated financial statements. FASB 8, which was based on the temporal
method, became effective on January 1, 1976. Its principal virtue was its consistency
with generally accepted accounting practice that requires balance sheet items to be
valued (translated) according to their underlying measurement basis (that is, current or
historical). Almost immediately upon its adoption, controversy ensued over FASB 8. A
major source of corporate dissatisfaction with FASB 8 was the ruling that all reserves
for foreign currency losses be disallowed. Before FASB 8, many companies established
a reserve and were able to defer unrealised gains and losses by adding them to, or
chzrging them against the reserve. In that way, corporations generally were able to
cushion the impact of sharp changes in currency values on reported earnings. With
F A S B ' ~ ,however, fluctuating values of foreign currencies often had more impact on
profit and loss statements than did the sales and profit margins of multinational
manufacturers' product lines.
In India, Institute of Chartered Accountant of India has issued AS-1 1, which is based
on IAS-21 prescribed by International Accounting Association in this regard.
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Foreign Exchange Risk
Management 9.5 DESIGNING A HEDGING STRATEGY
14s you can see, translation exposures are serious enough to merit specially designed
hedging strategies. Firms have three available methods for managing their translation
exposure: (1) adjusting fund flows; (2) entering into forward contracts; and (3)
exposure netting. The general rule followed is as follows:
Hard Currencies
(likely to appreciate) Increase Decrease
Weak Currencies
(likely to depreciate)
The strategy shown above essentially involves increasing hard currency (likely to
appreciate) and decreasing weak currency (likely to depreciate) assets, while
simultaneously decreasing hard currency liabilities and increasing weak currency
liabilities. For example, if a devaluation appears likely, the basic hedging strategy
would be executed as follows: reduce the level of cash, tighten credit terms to decrease .
accounts receivables, increase local currency borrowing, delay accounts payable, and sell
the weak currency forward. Despite their prevalence among firms, however, these
hedging activities are not automatically valuable. If the market already recognises the
likelihood of currency appreciation or depreciation, this recognition will be reflected in
the costs of the various hedging techniques. Only if the firm's anticipation differs from
the market' and is also superior to the market, can hedging lead to reduced costs.
Otherwise, the principal value of hedging would be to protect a fum from unforeseen
currency fluctuations.
Selecting convenient (less risky) currencies for invoicing exports and imports and
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Foreign Exchange Risk
Management 9.6 CENTRALISATION VS. DECENTRALISATION OF
EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT
Centralisation or decentralisation is a particularly important issue in exchange risk
management. The choice depends not only on the company's management style, but
also on the nature of its business. In any case, the logistics of management influence
the handling of currency risk in a variety of ways. In the area of foreign exchange risk
management, there are good arguments both for and against centralisation. Favouring
centralisation is the reasonable assumption that local treasurers want to optimise their
own financial and exposure positions regardless of the overall corporate situation. Many
companies take the view that their group's commercial success requires strong local
control. Local here refers to any profit centre, be it geographical, product or a market
segment. It is hard for such a structure to be effective if there are any unnecessary
restrictions on the local manager's power to take decisions which influence profit
centre's commercial success. Many currency risk decisions are highly germane to
'
commercial success. Secondly, the local currency manager is closer to the transactions
of the local unit, and also to the local banking system and foreign exchange market.
This is espkcially important if the local currency market is insulated by controls from
the world banking market in which the parent deals.
There is much diversity in the extent to which companies centralise currency dealing,
currency invoicing decisions, and risk management and hedging decisions. Practice in
multinational groups can vary from total centralisation, where all dealing is done by the
parent, to a high degree of freedom for every world-wide profit centre to manage its
own currency risks by its own criteria. The variety of practice is likely to owe much
to differences between the products, market positions and international spread of each
group of companies. Few companies stand at the extreme ends of the spectrum. Most
international companies, as a minimum:
Many give guidance and advice, but few directly interfere in the affairs of overseas
subsidiaries. Domestic subsidiaries are another matter, for the prevailing practice is to
have only one currency dealing centre per country.
the integral nature of the group's standing in its financial markets; and
the threshhold of tolerable risk.
The process of delegation needs so much care because currency exposures have a way
of being correlated and of being cumulative, both in time and across the spectrum of a
group's sub-units. However, few groups' inflows and outflows are so naturally
balanced that a policy of laissez-faire is safe. Small individual exposures, instead of
cancelling out, have a way of accumulating to major gains or losses for the group. The
most effective place for the head office to manage this is in the parent company,
leaving the profit centres to watch their own solvency criteria. An effective
decentralised structure should be impeded as little as possible. Currency risk
management should achieve its central objectives as unobtrusively as possible.
The extreme form of centralisation is where the group centre does all dealing and takes
all decisions. However, a complete absence of central guidelines and authority limits is
rare. The first reason for it is that a group of companies cannot decentralise its credit
rating and investment status in its financial markets. If the parent IS listed, it will have
its stock market quotation on a stock exchange. The stock market treats such a group
as a single financial entity with an integral investment and credit status. Similarly,
banks tend to regard subsidiaries as extensions of the parent, even if the parent will not
formally guarantee them. The parent alone, therefore, has the critical interface with the
fmancial markets. Partly owned subsidiaries may be an exception to this rule. It
follows that only the corporate centre is sensitive to the effect of currency exposures on
the group's financial standing and cost of capital. Managers outside the corporate
centre may take decisions which are either imperfectly targeted or convey unhelpful
signals to the financial markets.
Secondly, because only the centre has the key interface with the financial markets,
wholly owned subsidiaries tend to need less experts for dealing with those markets than
the parent. They may, therefore, lack some of the technical sophistication and
experience needed to handle currency risk in volatile markets. Currency risk is not easy
to handle; few groups can afford expertise in all their subsidiaries or other sub-units.
Where the skills are concentrated at the centre, there is a strong case for letting the
central experts take the critical decisions.
Thirdly, it is often contended that there are economies, particularly in dealing costs, if
transactions are minimised, netted and then centrally handled. On the whole, centralised
exchange risk management seems better option.
53
Foreign E:change Risk Check Your Progress A
Management
One, the threat is to the competitiveness of costs; it affects the ability of the business to
compete, to obtain sales at a remunerative margin of profit over cost.
Two, the threat is from movements of the real, not the nominal exchange rate. A rise in
the real rate of exchange erodes either margins or sales volume or a mixture of both.
Rise and fall in the real exchange rate of selling currencies tend to affect all
competitors, and are part of the wider phenomenon of macroeconomic uncertainty which
every business must manage. It is thus not primarily a currency risk. This is a trading
risk. All businesses have to watch the forces which affect demand and supply of what
they are offering. This is a wider macroeconomic risk and not just a currency risk.
Currencies are an important part, but not the whole of the relevant economic
environment. Consequently, if there are only two competing suppliers, one with French
avd one with Geman costs, and if the bulk of sales are in the USA or in US dollars, a
fall in the real exchange rate of the dollar would not cause economic or competitiveness
risk. What could cause it is a change in the real FFrIDM exchange rate.
competitiveness risk. In these cases, management task is concerned with nominal, 'not
real exchange rates. Competitiveness risk, thus, excludes all potential sales for which
the business has quoted prices, as well as actual sales, regardless of whether they have
reached the balance sheet as receivables or payables.
In sum, economic (competitiveness) risk is concerned with threats from changes in real
exchange rates to the competitiveness of costs.The seriousness of the risk depends on
how hard it is t o shift costs between currencies. For example, the value added by the
contractor for a petrochemical process plant is largely design and management, the
hardware is all procured from manufacturers. The largest item, the compressor, can be
ordered from manufacturers in a number of countries, and if a high real exchange rate
makes the British compressor maker uncompetitive, then the contractor has little
difficulty in switching this major cost item to a supplier with costs in a more
competitive currency. Procurement costs are seldom locked into a particular currency,
- 4
+
c.
Competitiveness risk is a long term problem. Trends in real exchange rates can
sometimes be assessed for a few years ahead. Companies can profit from this either by
switching costs to currencies likely to become more competitive or by competitive
strategies which modify sensitivity to cost differentials. The essence of this risk is its
effect on the competitive position, and responses should concentrate on commercial
rather than financial action.
Economic or competitiveness risk is not restricted to businesses which trade with other
countries. If, for example, the business is a single hotel, and the home currency
becomes uncompetitive, less tourists will come and the hotel will lose business. Some
authors like Adler and Dumas (1984) and Wihlborg (1987) treat currency risk as one
element of the wider concept of macroeconomic threats to real (inflation-adjusted) cash
flows. One diffictilty with this is that it ignores the difference between threats caused
by nominal, as op#osed to real exchange rate movements. At a more fundamental
level, however, exchange rates are themselves correlated with, and caused by
macroeconomic phenomena which affect business profitability directly, as well as
indirectly via currency movements. It is thus suggested that a sharp distinction should
be made between external influences on (a) costs; and (b) selling prices. Real
exchange rates tend to have a much more dramatic impact on the competitive costs of a
given competitor than on the market price of what he is offering. This is because only
in conditions of absolute or near monopoly, will the individual competitor set market
A company faces an exchange risk to the extent that variations in the dollar value of
the unit's cash flows are correlated with variations in the nominal exchange rate. This
correlation is precisely what a regression analysis seeks to establish. Specifically, this
involves running the following regression equation:
CFt = the dollar value of total affiliate (parent) cash flows in period t
EXCHt = the average exchange rate during ptriod t
u = a random error term with mean 0
The output from such a regression analysis includes three key parameters: (1) the
fofeign exchange beta 'b' coefficient, which measures the change in cash flow
corresponding to one unit change in exchange rate; (2) the 't' statistic which measures
55
Foreign Exchange Risk the statistical significance of the beta coefficient, and (3) the R square [R~] which
Management
measures the fraction of cash flow variability explained by variation in the exchange
rate. The higher the beta coefficient, the greater the impact of a given exchange rate
change on the home currency value of cash flows. Conversely, the lower the beta
coefficient, the less exposed the firm is to exchange rate changes. A larger 't' statistic
means a higher level of confidence in the value of the beta coefficient. However, even,
if a firm has a large and statistically significant beta coefficient and, thus, faces real
exchange risk, this situation does not necessarily mean that currency fluctuations are an
important determinant of the overall firm risk. What really matters is the percentage of
total corporate cash flow variability that is due to these currency fluctuations. Thus, the
most important parameter in terms of its impact on the firm's exposure management
policy is the regression's R2. For example, if exchange rate changes explain only 1%
of total cash flow variability, the firm should not devote much in the way of resources
to foreign exchange risk management, even if the beta coefficient is large and
statistically significant. The validity of this method is clearly dependent on the
sensitivity of future cash flows to exchange rate changes being similar to their historical
sensitivity. In the absence of additional information, this assumption seems to be
reasonable. But the firm may have reason to modify the implementation of this
method. For example, the nominal foreign currency tax shield provided by a foreign
affiliate's depreciation is fully exposed to the effects of currency fluctuations. If the
amount of depreciation in the future is expected to differ significantly from its historical
values, then the depreciation tax shield should be removed from the cash flows used in
the regression analysis and treated separately. Similarly, if the firm has recently entered
into a large purchase or sales contract fixed in terms of the foreign currency, it might .
decide to consider the resulting transaction exposure apart from its economic exposure.
The first can be used aggressively, the second is defensive in the context of the real
exchange rate. It can, of course, be used as an aggressive competitive strategy.
However, neither of these remedies is always promptly available. Competitiveness risk
has to be managed opportunistically. Where there are opportunities, they must be
seized. Where they do not exist, they can sometimes be created. In any case, it is
difficult to believe in effective countermeasures outside the commercial markets.
-Financial hedges can at best be a temporary palliative, at worst a millstone around the
company's own neck.
A cost portfolio may also be considered. The more balanced the production is a h m g
different currencies of cost, the less the risk of the total portfolio. Two-pronged
benefits result from this approach. The portfolio may by itself bring reduction of risk;
and a portfolio of underutilised capacity could be exploited to switch production from
less to more competitive currencies when real exchange rates move. However, this
concept can be contemplated only by multinationals. The deliberate creation of spare
capacity may not be economic. Labour relations might be difficult if work is shifted as
an explicit act of policy rather than as a last resort after a site has become manifestly
uneconomic. Besides, a commercial response to a rise in the real exchange rate
requires strong evidence of the rise in the real exchange rate. Any minor change in the
real exchange rate is unlikely to justify action.
The focus on the real (economic) effects of currency changes and how to cope with the
associated risks suggests that a sensible strategy for exchange risk management is one
that is designed to protect the home currency earning power of the company as a
whole. But whereas firms can easily hedge exposures based on projected foreign
currency cash flows, competitive exposures - those arising from competition with firms
based in other currencies - are longer-term, harder to quantify, and cannot be dealt with
solely through financ,ial hedging techniques. Rather, they require making longer-term
operating adjustments such as the following:
Major strategic considerations for an exporter are the markets in which to sell - that is,
-
market selection and the relative marketing support to devote to each market. It is
also necessary to consider the issue of market segmentation within individual countries.
A firm that sells differentiated products to more affluent customers may not be harmed
as much by a foreign currency devaluation as will a mass marketer. On the other hand,
%llowing a depreciation of the home currency, a firm that sells primarily to upper
income groups may find it is now able to penetrate mass markets abroad. Market
selection and segmentation provide the basic parameters within which a company may
adjust its marketing mix over time. In the short term, however, neither of these two
basic strategic choices can be altered in reaction to actual or anticipated currency
changes. Instead, the firm must select certain tactical responses such as adjustments of
pricing, promotional and credit policies. In the long run, if the real exchange rate
change persists, the firm will have to revise its marketing strategy.
Pricing Strategy
Two key issues that must be addressed when developing a pricing strategy in the face
of cl1rrencv volatility are whether to emphasise market share or profit margin and how
Foreign Exchange Risk frequently to adjust prices. To begin the analysis, a firm selling overseas should follow
Management the standard economic proposition of setting the price that maximises profits in home
currency. In making this determination, however, profits should be translated using the
forward exchange rate that reflects the true expected home currency value of the
receipts upon collection. Following appreciation of the home currency, which is
equivalent to a foreign currency depreciation, a firm selling overseas should consider
opportunities to increase the foreign currency prices of its products. The problem, of
course, is that local producers will now have a competitive advantage, limiting an
exporter's ability to recoup home currency profits by raising foreign currency selling
prices. At best, therefore, an exporter will be able to raise its product prices by the
extent of the foreign currency devaluation. In the most likely case, foreign currency
prices can be raised somewhat, and the exporter will make up the difference through a
lower profit margin on its foreign sales.
Under conditions of home currency depreciation, it follows that exporters will gain a
competitive advantage on the world markets. An exporter now has the option of
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increasing unit profitability that is, by price skimming or expanding its market share
by penetration pricing . 'The decision is influenced by such factors as (1) whether this
change is likely to persist, (2) economies of scale, (3) the cost structure of expanding
output, (4) consumer price sensitivity, and (5) the likelihood of attracting competition if
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high unit profitability is obvious. The greater the price elasticity of demand the
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change in demand for a given change in price the greater the incentive to hold down
price and thereby expand sales and revenues. Similarly, if significant economies of
scale exist, it will generally be worthwhile to hold down price, expand demand, and
thereby, lower unit production costs. The reverse is true if economies of scale are
nonexistent or if price elasticity is low.
In .respect of domestic price after devaluation, a domestic firm facing strong import
competition may have much greater latitude in pricing. It then has the choice of
potentially raising prices consistent with import price increases or of holding prices
constant in order to improve market share. Again, the strategy depends on such
variables as economies of scale and consumer price sensitivity.
Promotional Strategy
Promotional strategy should similarly take into account anticipated exthange rate
changes. A key issue in any marketing programme is the size of the promotional
budget for advertising, personal selling and merchandising. Promotional decisions
should explicitly build-in exchange rates, especially in allocating budgets among
countries. A firm exporting its products after a domestic devaluation may well find that
the return per rupee expenditure on advertising or selling is increased because of the .
product's improved price positioning. Foreign currency devaluation, on the other hand,
is likely to reduce the return on marketing expenditures and may require a more
fundamental shift in the firm's product policy.
Product Strategy
Companies often respond to exchange risk by altering their product strategy which deals
with such areas as new product introduction, product line decisions and product
innovation. One way to cope with exchange rate fluctuations is to change the timing of
the introduction of new products. For example, the period after a home currency
depreciation, because of the competitive price advantage, may be the ideal time to
develop a brand franchise. Exchange rate fluctuations also affect product line decisions.
Following home currency devaluation, a firm will potentially be able to expand its Measuring and Managing
Translation and Economic
product line and cover a wider spectr~mof consumers.both at home and abroad. Exposures
Conversely, following appreciation of the home currency, a firm may have to reorient
its product line and target it to a higher-income, more quality conscious, less price
sensitive constituency. The equivalent strategy for firms selling to the industrial rather
than the consumer market and confronting a strong home currency is product innovation
financed by an expanded research and development budget.
Multinational firms with worldwide production systems can allocate production among
their 'several plants in line with the changing costs of production; increasing production
in a country whose currency has devalued, and decreasing production in a country
whose currency has revalued. Multinational firms may well thus be subject to less
exchange risk than an exporter, given the MNC's greater ability to adjust its production
(and marketing) operations on a global basis, in line with changing relative production
costs. Of course, the theoretical ability to shift production is more limited in reality.
The limitations depend on many factors, not the least of which is the power of the local
labour unions involved. However, the innovative nature of the typical MNC means a
continued generation of new products. The sourcing of those new products from among
the firm's various plants can certainly be done with an eye to the costs involved. A
strategy of production shifting presupposes that the MNC has already created a portfolio
of plants worldwide. Multiple sources allow a company to offer the best economies of
production, given exchange rates at any moment. But multiple plants also create
manufacturing redundancies and impede cost cutting. The cost of multiple sourcing is
especially excessive where there are economies of scale that would ordinarily dictate the
establishment of only one or two plants to service the global market. But most firms
have found that in a world of uncertainty, significant benefits may be derived from
production diversification. Hence, despite the higher costs associated with smaller
plants, currency risk may provide one more reason for the use of multiple production
Plant Location
An exporter, without foreign production facilities, may find that sourcing components
abroad is not sufficient to maintain unit profitability in the fact; of currency devaluation
of its importer. Despite its previous hesitancy, the firm may now locate new plants
59
; Foreign Exchange Risk abroad. Third country plant locations are also a viable alternative in many cases,
Management
dependin,wspecially on the labour intensity of production or the projections for fbther
monetary realignments. Many Japanese firms, for example, have shifted production
offshore - to Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and other developing nations, as well as
to the United States - in order to cope with the high yen. Before making such a major
commitment of its resources, management should attempt to assess the length of time a
particular country will retain its cost advantage. Yet, shifting production abroad when
the home currency rises is not always the best approach. Production at home improves
coordination between design and manufacturing and avoids problems of quality control.
For firms that rely heavily on such coordination and closeness to suppliers, raising .
domestic productivity is preferable to producing abroad.
Raising/F'roductivity
/
Ma y companies assaulted by foreign competition make prodigious efforts to improve
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P("
t eir productivity closing inefficient plants, automating heavily, and negotiating wage
and benefit cut-backs and work-rule concessions with unions. Many also begin
programmes to heighten productivity and improve product quality through employee
motivation. Others, however, seek import restrictions from the government.
The marketing and production strategies advocated thus far assume knowledge of
exchange rate changes. Even if currency changes are unpredictable, however,
contingency plans can be made. This planning involves developing several plausible
currency scenarios, analysing the effects of each scenario on the firm's competitive
position, and deciding on strategies to deal with these possibilities. When a currency
change actually occurs, the firm is able to quickly adjust its marketing and production
strategies in line with the plan. Given the substantial costs of gathering and processing
information, a firm should focus on scenarios that have a high probability of occurrence
and that would also strongly impact it. The ability to plan for volatile exchange rates
has fundamental implications for exchange risk management because there is no such
thing as the 'natural' or 'equilibrium' rate. Rather, there is a sequence of equilibrium
rates, each of which has its own implications for corporate strategy. Success in such
an environment depends on a company's ability to react to change within a shorter time
horizon than ever before. To cope, companies must develop competitive options - such
as outsourcing, flexible manufacturing systems, a global network of production facilities
and shorter product cycles. In a volatile world, these investments in flexibility are
likely to yield h~!zll returns. For example, flexible manufacturing systems permit faster
production respurlse times to shifting market demand. Similarly, foreign facilities, even
if they are uneconomical at the moment, can pay off by enabling companies to shift
production in response to changing exchange rates or other relative cost shocks.
The greatest boost to competitiveness comes from compressing the time it takes to bring
new and improved products to market. The edge a company gets from shorter product
cycles is dramatic. Not only can it charge a premium price for its exclusive products,
but it can also incorporate more up-to-date technology in its goods and respond faster to
emerging market niches and changes in taste.
Currency risk affects all facets of a company's operations; therefore, it should not be
the concern of financial managers alone. Operating managers, in practice, should
d~:velop marketing and production initiatives that help to ensure profitability over the
long run. They should also devise anticipatory or proactive, rather than reactive
slrategic alternatives in order to gain competitive leverage internationall- The key to
effective exposure management is to integrate currency considerations into the general
management process. One approach used by a number of MNCs is to develop the
r~ecessarycoordination among executives responsible for different aspects of exchange
risk management by constituting committee for managing foreign exchange exposures.
13esides financial executives, such committees should - and often do - include senior
officers of the company such as the vice president - international, top marketing and
.production executives, the director of corporate planning, and the chief executive officer.
This arrangement is desirable as top executives are exposed to the problems of
exchange risk management and they can then incorporate currency expectations into
their- own decisions. In this kind of integrated exchange risk management programme,
the role of the financial executive is fourfold: (1) to provide local operating
management with forecasts of inflation and exchange rates, (2) to identifL and highlight
the risks of competitive exposure, (3) to .structure evaluation criteria such that operating
managers are not rewarded or penalised for the' effects of unanticipated currency
changes, and (4) to estimate and hedge whatever operating exposure remains after the
appropriate marketing and production strategies have been put in place.
The parent needs to control the group's currency gains and losses over the short and
long periods for which it plans. This is important because group currency gains and
losses have a direct impact on the reported group results, net worth and gearing, which
are the focus of attention in financial markets. Even if the group does not wish to
hedge its accounting exposure, it may still wish to watch it. For this task, the parent
needs to know all non-parent currency positions. The parent can then restore zero risk
by taking a mirror-image position to the rest of the group's net total in each currency.
It can do this, for example, by the use of spot or forward hedges or currency swaps.
The biggest problem is often to get accurate up-to-date information on the net non-
parent positions. The most extreme form of centralistion is to make not only risk
management, but also dealing, the sole prerogative of the corporate centre; currency
management in that case simply bypasses the subsidiaries and other profit centres.
Economic Exposure: Economic exposure is based on the extent to which the value of
the company - as measured by the present value of its expected future cash flows - will
change when exchange rates change.
Current Method: This method is the simplest of all in the sense that all items of
income statement and balance sheet are translated at the current rate.
FASB 8: This was an accounting standard issued by the US FASB under which all
gains and losses arising as a result of foreign exchange rate fluctuations were required
62
to tle shown in the income statement. No reserve was allowed to be maintained in the Measuring and Managing
Translation and Economic
balance sheet. Expofiures
FASB 52: This accounting standard reversed the earlier FASB 8. A reserve capturing
foreign exchange gains and losses was, thereby, permitted to be maintained under this
i standard. This method also distinguished between functional and local currency.
Foreign subsidiaries must prepare their accounting statements in functional currency if
the local currency is one affected by high inflation.
Production It~itiatives: Multinational firms with worldwide production systems use this
method of exchange risk management effectively as they are able to allocate production
among their several plants, locating new plants overseas and improving productivity
through employee motivation, automation, etc.
Financial Initiatives: This involves managing cash flows in such a way that any
sl~ortfallin operating cash flows due to an exchange rate change is offset by a
reduction in debt servicing expenses. The approach, of course, concentrates exclusively
on risk' reduction rather than on cost reduction.
9 . 1 TERMINAL QUESTIONSIEXERCISES
1. Distinguish between translation and transaction exposure?
2. Discuss various translation methods in vogue?
3. What hedging strategies would you employ in order to manage translation and
economic exposures? How do these strategies differ from those usually
employed to manage transaction exposures?
4. What are the factors determining centralisationldecentralisation of exchange risk
management? Which policy would you advocate for Indian multinationals?
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Foreign Excbangc Risk
Manmcmcnt SOME USEFUL BOOKS 1
Dombusch, Adler, 'Currency Risk Management', Oxwell Publishing House, London,
1991 I