Hyperloop Feasibility Study
Hyperloop Feasibility Study
Hyperloop Feasibility Study
FEASIBILITY STUDY
TABLE OF CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY....................................................................................1
1.0 OVERVIEW...................................................................................................2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The purpose of this study was to determine if a Chicago-Columbus-Pittsburgh corridor is feasible for hyperloop technology at
optimal average speeds of 500 miles per hour. This included considerations for route alignments that needed to have limited
curves since the technology needs straight alignments to achieve the desired speeds.
AECOM was the consultant that led the technical work of this study. The first task was to analyze the existing rail corridor
between the three anchor cities to determine if a hyperloop route could be constructed within existing rail corridors. Hyperloop
technology experts worked with the study team to determine that, while some portions of the route could be built within existing
rail corridors, the route would also need new right-of-way in order to achieve optimal speeds.
Once technical feasibility was confirmed, the study team completed preliminary screenings of the best route and station locations.
For route screening, the study looked at environmental constraints, engineering complexity, and right-of-way ownership. For
station location screening, the study focused on local preference from community officials, population centers, and adjacent land
uses. Potential stations in Ohio were identified in Lima, Marysville, Dublin and Columbus. This does not mean other stations
are not feasible – rather, that for this initial study, station locations were limited to those communities which have been working
and funding projects under MORPC’s Rapid Speed Transportation Initiative.
The study also focused on demonstrating the freight benefits and economic impacts of a hyperloop corridor between Chicago,
Columbus and Pittsburgh. These were the findings:
• There is currently no passenger rail service connecting the Fort Wayne-Lima-Columbus-Pittsburgh market. Columbus is
currently the second largest metro area in the United States with no passenger rail service.
• Strong ridership market: The study analyzed current (year 2015) and forecasted (year 2040) population and employment
for the cities of Chicago, Fort Wayne, Lima, Columbus and Pittsburgh only. Fort Wayne and Pittsburgh are expected to grow
in population by at least 10 percent between 2015 and 2040, with Chicago and Columbus seeing the highest increase of
over 20 percent population growth. All five cities are expected to grow in employment, with at least 12 percent employment
growth in Lima and Pittsburgh, and over 15 percent employment growth in Chicago, Fort Wayne and Columbus.
• The study found that, over 30 years, a hyperloop route would result in the following:
– 1.9 billion autos shifted to hyperloop passengers
– 2.4 million tons of reduced CO2 emissions (over $126 million in emissions savings)
– 450 million commercial truck vehicle hours traveled will be eliminated
– $300 billion in overall economic benefits (nearly $19 billion of that in direct transportation benefits)
Lastly, the study identified next steps of: collaborating with stakeholders to advance a certification corridor segment for Virgin
Hyperloop One technology in Central Ohio; creating a travel and economic demand advisory panel to improve and further
refine the high-level analyses developed under the feasibility study; and working with state and federal transportation officials to
advance a regulatory framework for hyperloop technology.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
1.0 OVERVIEW:
RAPID SPEED TRANSPORTATION INITIATIVE (RSTI)
In 2018, the Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission (MORPC) launched the Rapid Speed Transportation Initiative (RSTI).
This initiative seeks to find better, faster connections between Columbus and the cities of Chicago and Pittsburgh. The RSTI
considers two modes-passenger rail and hyperloop-for potential intercity services.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
The Midwest Connect Hyperloop Feasibility Study identifies and evaluates potential hyperloop routes for goods movement and
passenger transport between Chicago, Columbus and Pittsburgh. This study included collaboration with hyperloop technology
experts and includes the use of proprietary hyperloop technology information that has influenced route alignments and right-of-
way requirements based on the technology needs.
The first task in this feasibility study was to understand the technology needs for the right-of-way so the consultant team,
AECOM, could determine if the existing rail corridor was feasible for an optimal speed hyperloop route of 500 miles-per-hour
or more. If the rail corridor was found to be unsuitable, the consultant team was tasked with finding a feasible hyperloop route
that can sustain the desired optimal hyperloop speeds. The feasibility study also includes travel demand and economic analysis
of the feasible route. Finally, this study reviews conditions under which an intercity hyperloop service could be implemented.
Figure 1 shows the largest cities with proposed hyperloop stations (portals). When Chicago O’Hare and downtown Pittsburgh
are included, the corridor extends roughly 525 miles across five states.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
All right-of-way design will require safety and technical considerations, which
will involve input from technical experts for any alignment that shares a right-
of-way with another mode (such as highways or railroads).
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
The route planning goals above informed discussions as the study team and hyperloop technology experts assessed possible
corridor alignments. Section 3 below details how these goals were incorporated into the corridor alternatives analysis.
Other right-of-way opportunities explored for the alignment alternatives include highway corridors,
abandoned railroad alignments, utility rights-of-way, and greenfield alignments. Straight-line
alignments through urbanized areas were assumed to require tunneling.
The study team found that the rail corridor in its entirety is not feasible for optimal hyperloop speeds. However, portions of the
rail corridor, in combination with road rights-of-way, tunneling and some greenfield alignment, would allow for optimal speeds of
500 MPH or more.
Having concluded that a hyperloop corridor within the existing rail right-of-way was not feasible for the technology to achieve
optimal speeds, the study team determined which portions of the rail corridor were suitable for hyperloop and analyzed other
potential alignments as described in the next section.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
Figure 3 shows the preferred hyperloop alignment and highlights the hyperloop corridor portions that are rail rights-of-way.
Figure 4 is a corridor-wide representation of the preferred alignment, and presents one of the key findings in the study: The
hyperloop route is not feasible to be built entirely on existing rail corridors for optimal hyperloop speeds of 500+ MPH. The
mainline alignment proposed in this study is a combination of existing rail and road/highway corridors, as well as some tunneling
and greenfield portions for which right-of-way will need to be acquired.
Based on hyperloop technology alignment modeling, the recommended alignment is expected to have the following performance
characteristics:
• Point-to-point, on-demand service between portals, with no intermediate stops;
• Chicago O’Hare to Pittsburgh mainline express travel time of roughly one hour;
• Average mainline cruising speeds throughout the corridor slightly higher than 500 MPH;
• Downtown Columbus to the John Glenn Columbus International Airport vicinity in roughly two minutes;
• Travel times between Columbus portals and other metro area destinations:
– Chicago (downtown or O’Hare) in less than 45 minutes
– Pittsburgh in less than 30 minutes
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
As with all surface transportation projects, this study analyzed ridership volumes and travel behavior as the basis of this
economic analysis. Travel choice changes in user behavior are largely related to mode shift to hyperloop from traditional modes
of transportation (auto, commercial truck, air, passenger rail). These in turn generate traditional user benefits that are monetarily
quantified using formulas as determined by DOT, including:
• Travel time savings
• Operating cost reductions
• Accident/injuries/fatalities reduction
• Emissions reduction
• Residual value of the infrastructure
An overview of the ridership estimates for the Midwest Connect corridor by mode of travel is shown in Figure 5. Data tables for
this figure can be found in Appendix A.
Ridership by Mode
2,500,000
2,000,000
Total Ridership
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
2015 2040 (without Hyperloop) 2040 (with Hyperloop)
Ridership volumes for the 2040 base and build scenarios were used to quantify how much auto traffic would be diverted to
hyperloop. This helped the study team determine safety, operations, state of good repair (i.e. costs savings associated with less
vehicles on existing road systems), and emissions reductions. These variables were quantified using DOT standard formulas to
translate these benefits into an economic (dollar) unit.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
* Air mode includes security and gate clearance time. Hyperloop mode only includes main trunk line time travel. Security time
and pod boarding/offloading time is not included in this comparison.
Columbus- 20 151
Pittsburgh
The blue line in Figure 7 shows the gross tonnage of the time sensitive
freight moved by road along the proposed alignment in a scenario with no
hyperloop corridor to provide a “no build” comparison. To estimate the total
weight of time-sensitive freight that could be moved throughout the corridor
in a scenario in which hyperloop is built, the study team incorporated the
rate at which these goods would be diverted to hyperloop from commercial
truck, and estimated the number of truck trips that would be diverted each
year from road freight to the Midwest Connect Hyperloop system, including
additional time-sensitive freight movements that may be induced as a result
of more construction of a hyperloop freight service. The orange line in Figure
7 represents the road freight that would be diverted to hyperloop, including
induced demand, which accounts for a drastic increase in freight being
moved across the corridor.
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2059
Year
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Source: AECOM
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5.5 SAFETY
The safety benefit represents the monetization of the reduction of crashes, injuries, and fatalities along the assessment corridor
roadways as a result of the implementation of the Midwest Connect Hyperloop project and the reduction in VMT associated with
mode shift from automobiles and commercial trucks. The net present value of the safety benefits generated by the build scenario
is approximately $845M at a 3% discount rate.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
ESTIMATED SAVINGS
SOURCE OF SAVINGS
(MILLIONS)
Mode Shift Emissions Savings (Auto to HL)
$113.9M
Source: AECOM
Freight benefits assessed in this analysis total approximately $336 million over the 30-year assessment period. A summary of
these freight benefits is shown in Table 4.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
This section discusses key regulatory and approval decision-making processes that are likely
to be encountered as the project moves forward. As Midwest Connect Hyperloop advances
from planning, through more detailed development, on to procurement and eventually
into its implementation phase (final design, construction, commissioning and testing, and
operations), the advancement of the project through these phases is dependent on a number
of key elements.
The context of and jurisdiction over the project right-of-way would influence the lead agency and cooperating agencies involved.
Assumptions regarding intercity passenger or multi-state freight project oversight are summarized in Table 5.
APPLICABILITY May oversee NEPA process if Could serve in lead agency or Could serve in Lead Agency
TO STB concurs that the technology cooperating agency role, depending or Cooperating Agency role,
type/ function falls within their on project context. Likely would serve depending on project context. FRA
HYPERLOOP
purview (typically oversee new rail as lead agency if project is generally implements safety certification
construction/ expansion). Must located within roadway right-of-way. (Tiers I-III for transit).
prove financial viability.
It is important to note that in March 2019, U.S. Secretary of Transportation Elaine Chao announced the formation of the Non-
Traditional and Emerging Transportation Technology (NETT) Council, which aims to explore the regulation and permitting of
hyperloop technology, among other technologies, to bring this new form of mass transportation to the United States. This
includes assisting in defining the appropriate agency to take the lead on NEPA and other, similar federal approvals.
If a new intercity technology, such as hyperloop, were to fall under the purview of the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA),
consumer protection will be required in the form of a Rule of General Applicability (RGA) or a Rule of Particular Applicability
(RPA). FRA has typically led oversight of high-speed intercity rail initiatives that operate independently from the conventional
freight rail network, and this has included technologies such as maglev. An RPA would need to be petitioned to the FRA if
hyperloop was to fall under the purview of the FRA. An RPA is necessary to cover safety requirements not addressed by current
safety standards. If more hyperloop alignments are to be constructed in different locations, then the process would likely be
simpler. An RGA could then be developed for hyperloop in the future.
Ultimately, safety regulation procedures will need to be developed along with all other regulatory needs in the development of
this new transportation mode.
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HYPERLOOP FEASIBILITY STUDY
1. Collaboration with Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission: The Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission is undergoing a rapid
speed transportation feasibility study between Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and New York that includes hyperloop technology.
Findings of this feasibility study are being used for the transportation demand and economic impacts analysis. MORPC will
continue to collaborate with Pennsylvania to advance planning for these two hyperloop projects.
2. Hyperloop Certification Center Proposal: MORPC, in collaboration with JobsOhio, One Columbus, the Ohio Department
of Transportation (ODOT), and the Transportation Research Center, has submitted a proposal to a prominent hyperloop
technology company to acquire the world’s first hyperloop technology certification center. As of the conclusion of this study,
Ohio is competing with nine other states in its bid to bring this facility to the region.
3. Columbus International Airport-Downtown Columbus-Dublin Maglev Proposal: In response to the Request for
Proposals issued by the FRA in fall 2019, MORPC consulted with ODOT, the Ohio Rail Development Commission and Virgin
Hyperloop One to submit a proposal for a hyperloop maglev corridor between John Glenn Columbus International Airport,
downtown Columbus, and the City of Dublin. This proposal requests $5 million for planning work leading up to detailed
design and construction. In the proposal, MORPC recognized that this project could serve as a pilot to create corridor
approval frameworks for future system development and would be informed by the work to take place at the Hyperloop
Certification Center (HCC). As of the conclusion of this study, MORPC is awaiting response from FRA.
4. Federal Regulatory Framework: Project proponents will continue to monitor activities of the New Emerging Transportation
Technologies (NETT) Council to seek opportunities for collaboration with their work (ideally, NETT would use the HCC as a
“pilot” to refine regulatory frameworks for hyperloop technology as it pertains to safety, environmental considerations, etc).
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