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    Date Cases Forecast (Cases) Lower Confidence Bound (Cases) Upper Confidence Bound (Cases)

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    dong
    This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

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    Date Cases Forecast (Cases) Lower Confidence Bound (Cases) Upper Confidence Bound (Cases)

    Uploaded by

    dong
    11 views3 pages
    This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

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    Forecast

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    This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    11 views3 pages

    Date Cases Forecast (Cases) Lower Confidence Bound (Cases) Upper Confidence Bound (Cases)

    Uploaded by

    dong
    This document contains a forecast of COVID-19 cases in an unnamed location from March 15, 2020 to May 30, 2020 with predictions extending to the end of May. It includes a graph plotting the actual reported cases against the forecasted cases with confidence intervals. A linear regression formula is provided with an R2 value of 0.8033, indicating a strong correlation between actual and predicted cases. The forecast provides a predicted number of cases each date with upper and lower confidence bounds.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 3

    Forecast as of April 29, 2020

    - Felix C. Chavez Jr., Bio, Msci, PhD

    500

    400
    R² = 0.8033
    300

    200

    100

    -100

    Cases Forecast(Cases)
    Lower Confidence Bound(Cases) Upper Confidence Bound(Cases)
    Log. (Cases)

    Date Cases Forecast(Cases) Lower Confidence Bound(Cases) Upper Confidence Bound(Cases)


    15-Mar 1
    16-Mar 1
    17-Mar 1
    18-Mar 1
    19-Mar 1
    20-Mar 1
    21-Mar 1
    22-Mar 3
    23-Mar 3
    24-Mar 6
    25-Mar 6
    26-Mar 6
    27-Mar 6
    28-Mar 30
    29-Mar 48
    30-Mar 50
    31-Mar 59
    1-Apr 61
    2-Apr 69
    3-Apr 73
    4-Apr 77
    5-Apr 80
    6-Apr 80
    7-Apr 84
    8-Apr 86
    9-Apr 87
    10-Apr 87
    11-Apr 90
    12-Apr 90
    13-Apr 90
    14-Apr 92
    15-Apr 95
    16-Apr 96
    17-Apr 99
    18-Apr 99
    19-Apr 105
    20-Apr 108
    21-Apr 113
    22-Apr 114
    23-Apr 114
    24-Apr 115
    25-Apr 120
    26-Apr 124
    27-Apr 126
    28-Apr 129
    29-Apr 129 129 129.00 129.00
    30-Apr 131.0905259 122.18 140.00
    1-May 133.1755009 118.93 147.42
    2-May 135.2604759 115.74 154.78
    3-May 137.3454509 112.39 162.30
    4-May 139.4304258 108.79 170.07
    5-May 141.5154008 104.93 178.10
    6-May 143.6003758 100.80 186.40
    7-May 145.6853508 96.40 194.97
    8-May 147.7703257 91.74 203.80
    9-May 149.8553007 86.82 212.89
    10-May 151.9402757 81.65 222.23
    11-May 154.0252507 76.24 231.81
    12-May 156.1102257 70.60 241.62
    13-May 158.1952006 64.72 251.67
    14-May 160.2801756 58.62 261.94
    15-May 162.3651506 52.29 272.44
    16-May 164.4501256 45.76 283.14
    17-May 166.5351005 39.01 294.06
    18-May 168.6200755 32.06 305.18
    19-May 170.7050505 24.91 316.50
    20-May 172.7900255 17.56 328.02
    21-May 174.8750004 10.02 339.73
    22-May 176.9599754 2.29 351.63
    23-May 179.0449504 -5.63 363.72
    24-May 181.1299254 -13.73 375.99
    25-May 183.2149004 -22.01 388.44
    26-May 185.2998753 -30.46 401.06
    27-May 187.3848503 -39.09 413.86
    28-May 189.4698253 -47.88 426.82
    29-May 191.5548003 -56.85 439.96
    30-May 193.6397752 -65.98 453.26

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