Check Your Progress 2: Nominal and Real
Check Your Progress 2: Nominal and Real
defined by, inter alia, the elasticity of demand, not much of private
benefits are obtained by a price-setting firm in terms of higher profits by
changing the price. If menu costs are higher than these private benefits,
the firms do not change the price. The price rigidity that this entails leads
to unemployment. If only the price had been chmged the social benefit
obtained by way of reduction in unemployment would perhaps be higher
than the menu costs.
Check Your Progress 4
1) Real rigidities occur in goods market because, in an imperfectly
competitive set-up, firms do not change prices - they accept instead a
change in the mark-up that they charge to fix the price. In credit markets,
rigidities occur ultimately because of the existence of imperfections in the
form of information asymmetries - borrowers being more informed of
their investment projects than lenders. Rigidities exist in the labour market
in as much as real wages paid are higher than the market-clearing wage.
This could happen because of efficiency wage considerations.
UNIT 16 NEW KEYNESIAN THEORIES OF
UNEMPLOYMENT
Structure
Objectives
Introduction
Keynesian and New-Keynesian Theories of Unemployment and the
Behaviour of Real Wages
Efficiency-Wage Theories of Unemployment
Efficiency-Wage Model: An Example
16.4.1 Specification of the Model
16.4.2 Solution of the Model
16.4.3 Implications of the Model Solution
16.4.4 Possible Extensions of the Model
Coqtracting and Insider-Outsider Models of Unemployment
Let Us Sum Up
Key Words
Some Useful Books
Answers1 Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
16.0 OBJECTIVES - - -
16.1 INTRODUCTION
In this unit we consider in detail some New Keynesian theories of
unemployment. These theories are essentially non-Walrasian theories of
unemployment. This means that the observed phenomenon of unemployment is
not brushed aside as the working out of unimportant frictions as workers move
between jobs; or even as involuntary unemployment of workers who are ready
to work only at a higher wage than that which is available on the market. You
have already looked at the difference between Walrasian and non-Walrasian
theories of unemployment in Section 14.2 of Unit 14 where we considered an
unemployed worker, who claimed to be identical to a firm's current workers,
and who offered to work for the firm at a marginally lower wage than the one
the firm is currently paying its workers. At this stage, you are advised to revise
the four possible responses of the firm that were considered in Section 14.2. The
labour market can be considered to be Walrasian in the first response, whereby New Keynesian Theories
the firm accepts the worker's offer - any unemployment leads to a decrease in or Unemplovment
the real wage. The observed unemployment in this case is purely frictional or
involuntary. The remaining sections of Unit 14 dealt with search and matching
models of unemployment, which explained persistent unemployment as the
equilibrium response of a heterogeneous labour market wherein specialised
vacancies in a firm were matched with unemployed workers with specific skills
through an elaborate search process. We considered there the second response
of the firm whereby the firm did not accept that the unemployed are
homogenous vis-h-vis the employed.
In this unit we deal with the third and the fourth responses of the firm (see
sectionl4.2 of Unit 14). The third response was that the firm was not in a
position to cut wages and employ additional workers, however much it would
have liked to do this, because it was bound by implicit and explicit agreements
with its workers, arrived at through collective bargaining, regarding the wages
that have to be paid. This leads us to institutionally determined wages in models
known as contracting models. The fourth response, on the other hand, was that
the firm did not want to reduce real wages - it believed that the benefits
accruing to it from higher wages were more than the costs of maintaining wages
at a higher level. The higher wages paid are referred to as efficiency wages and
the theories rationalising such wages are called efficiency-wage theories.
Section 16.3 deals with efficiency wage theories, whereas Section 16.4 deals
with contracting models. We will evaluate these theories on the basis of the
extent to which the theories help to explain empirical realities. In particular we
would like our theories to explain the following two observed empirical facts
about the labour markets in developed capitalist economies:
i) Existence of persistent unemployment
ii) The moderately pro-cyclical behaviour of real wages
The very purpose of the theories is to explain persistent unemployment. The
theories should, however, also explain the observed behaviour of real wages.
We deal with this latter point below in Sectionl6.2.
Some of the above ideas have been developed into more formal models in the
literature. In the next Section you will go through one such model that analyses i
the determination s f efficiency wages.
40 I
I
New ~ e ~ n e s ' i Theories
an
16.4 EFFICIENCY WAGE MODEL: AN EXAMPLE of Unemployment
w is the real wage paid by the firm and, as you have seen above, Y is the total
output of the firm. L is of course the number of units of physical labour hired by
the firm.
After substituting for Y in the above profit function, the problem reduces to the
following two-variable maximisation problem in calculus, viz., determine L and
w so as to maximise z = F(e(w).L) - w.L. Following the usual calculus
techniques to solve a maximisation problem, this problem is solved by taking
the partial derivatives of z respectively with respect to w and L and equating
each of these to zero. This gives us two equations in two unknowns, w and L,
which can be solved simultaneously to obtain the equilibrium, profit
maximising, values of w and L.
Instead of obtaining the solution explicitly, we can characterise it by examining
the first of the above two equations obtained by equating the partial derivative
-r' - ... :cL ,
,,,
- + +- I ,* .In,.,,
, T h P P"l,lt;n,-, , . P ~ l I C . P E t(,
1 Unemployment
e'(w) is the deridative of the effort function with respect to w, giving the
increase in effort per unit increase in the red wage, for infinitely small increases
in the wage rate. You will be able to recognise the L.H.S. expression of the
above equation as the elasticity of the effort function e0v) with respect to the
real wage rate w. What the equation states is that, at the optimum, the elasticity
of effort with respect to wage is unity, i.e., the real wage rate is so determined
that, at the optimum, a one per cent increase in the wage rate leads to one
percent increase in effort. This means that, at the optimum, the ratio w/e(w)
remains constant, for infinitely small changes in w. This suggests that the ratio
w/e(w) is at its minimum at the optimum.
What do you think is the economic interpretation of this ratio being a minimum
at the optimum real wage? When a firm buys one physical unit of labour at the
cost given by w, it is effectively buying e units of labour, since one physical unit
of labour expends e units of effort. That is why we said above that L physical
units of labour effectively provide e.L eficiency units of labour. The ratio'
w/e(w) hence gives the per unit cost of effective units of labour. The firm sets
the real wage so as to minimise this per unit cost of effective units of labour that
it obtains by buying physical labour on the market. This means that the firm sets
the real wage rate so as to maximise the effective labour obtained for a given
outlay, assuming that the effort expended by labour is an increasing function of
the real wage. It is presumed here that, as the real wage increases, the effort
increases, first at an increasing rate and subsequently at a decreasing rate. The
real wage is set such that the rate of increase of effort with respect to the wage
is just equal to the wage. For wage rates below the optimum wage, increasing
the wage leads to a larger increase in effort; whereas for wage rates above the
optimum, increasing the wage any further leads to a lower increase in effort. At
the optimum, the marginal product of effective labour equals its cost.
16.4.3 Implications of the Model Solution
Let w* and L* be the optimum levels of the real wage and physical units of
labour hired obtained as a solution to the model for the representative firm.
Since there are M such firms, the total demand for labour is given by M L *. We
bring out some of the implications of this solution.
i) The solution clearly implies that workers could remain unemployed in the
model when the wage rate is set at w*. We have assumed above in the
specification of the model that the total number of workers in the model is
M. Unemployment can exist if M > At L*, where M.L* is the total demand
for labour when the real wage rate is the efficiency wage w*. On the other
hand, if M.L* turns out to be larger than M,then the wage is bid up above
the eficiency wage up to the point that demand M for and supply of labour
are in balance and there is no unemployment
ii) The model implies that the increase in aggregate demand does not lead to an
increase in real wage. This is because the efficiency wage is determined
entirely by the properties of the effort function e = e(w) and there is no
reason for w* to change when aggregate demand increases. The model
hence comes close to rationalizing the empirically observed fact that in
cyclical upswings, it is employment, and not real wage, that increases - the
real wage is only moderately pro-cyclical.
iii) Rigidity of prices is also implied in the model. The fact that real wage and,
hence, effort do not change during cyclical upswings means that the labour
costs of firms do not change and hence price-setting firms do not have
incentives to adjust prices. You must connect this up with the conclusions
about price rigidity that were reached in the new Keynesian models of Unit New Keynesian Theories
15. of Unemployment
We thus see that the efficiency wage model not only explains the possibility of
the existence of persistent unemployment, but also suggests why the burden of
adjustment falls on employment rather than on the real wage during cyclical
changes in business activity.
16.4.4 Possible Extensions of the Model
The efficiency wage model that we considered above, however, has an
important drawback: it is unable to distinguish between short-run cyclical
effects and long run secular effects. In the real world, though the short run effect
is in terms'of increased employment and hence decreased unemployment, the
long run is characterised, not by a trend decrease in unemployment, but by a
trend increase in the real wage. The model is not able to make this transition
from the short to the long run.
The efficiency wage rnodel can however be extended to deal with the above
problem. We enly indicate the directions in which such an extension can take
place and do not develop the extended model in details. The extension is
basically given effect to through modifications in the effort function. The effort
function in the earlier model was e = e(w). It is now extended as:
The real wage paid in the representative firm is w, whereas e is the effort. The
real wage available to the workers in alternative firms is denoted by w' and the
unemployment rate in the economy is u. The inclusion of w ' and u in addition to
w as arguments in the effort function can be rationalised by examining some of
the reasons we set out at the beginning of Section 16.3 for the payment of
higher (i.e., efficiency) wages. If higher wages are paid to induce workers not to
shirk and to exert greater effort in situations where the effort cannot be
continuously monitored, then the higher wages will lead to the desired effect of
workers not shirking only if the wage rate obtained in other firms is lower and
the unemployment rate is high. If the wage rate obtained in other firms is as
high and if the unemployment rate in the economy is low then the worker will
not mind getting caught shirking because he can, with a high probability, obtain
an alternative job which is as paying as his current one. A higher (i.e.,
efficiency) wage will not, in such a situation, induce him to exert greater effort.
Effort e depends positively on w, given w' and u. Effort e, however, depends
negatively on w' and positively on u. We can similarly work out the rationale
behind the extended effort function if reasons for paying a higher (i.e.,
efficiency) wage have to do with tapping higher unobserved abilities or with
engendering loyalty or avoiding sabotage by disgruntled workers.
Such an extension of the effort function again leads to a similar solution for the
efficiency wage as in the above model with a simpler effort function. Here too
the elasticity of effort with respect to the real wage is unity at the optimum real
wage. The wage paid by any of the firms has however to be necessarily equal to
that paid by the representative firm, i.e., w = w' in the solution. Unemployment
can also emerge in this model if, at this common efficiency wage, the total
demand for physical units of labour by the firms falls short of the total supply of
physical units of labour.
Such an extended model can account for both, a larger effect of increased
aggregate demand on employment as compared to real wage in the short run
and an absence in trend unemployment in the long run. This is shown with the
help of an example in Romer (2001). Interested learners are advised to follow
the original.
Unemployment Check Your Progress 2
1) Why do firms pay higher than market-clearing wages? List out some of
the reasons.
2) How would you interpret the first-order condition for optimum, viz., that
the elasticity of effort with respect to the wage is unity, in the efficiency-
wage model that you studied above?
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3) Show how unemployment can emerge in an efficiency-wage model.
5) Bring out an important drawback of the efficiency wage model that uses a
simple effort hnction.
the wage differs from the Walrasian wage because of long-term relations
between workers and firms. We consider here, very briefly, two kinds of models
- contracting models and insider-outsider models.
The rationale underlying the contracting .models is that firms do not hire
workers afresh each period. Workers continue to work for a firm for a large
number of years because many jobs involve firm-specific skills that are not
valued as much outside the firm and also because firms would find it costly to
trbin new workers in these skills afresh each period. Workers are content to stay
in their current jobs so long as their expected earnings over a much longer
period than just, say, the current year are more than the opportunities that the
workers would have outside the firm, even if in the current year their earnings
are low. A worker in the United States, for example, lasts in a job, on an
average, for ten years. In such a situation wages do not have to adjust every
period to clear the labour market and the labour market clearly becomes non-
Walrasian.
The relationships between workers and firms are determined in such cases by
long-term contracts, arrived at through collective bargaining between worker
unions and firms. We can consider two kinds of contracts. The first kind is a
fixed-wage contract under which the wage is pre-determined and the film is free
to choose the level of employment that it provides depending on the itate of the
economy that emerges in each period. Workers agree to supply all the labour
demanded by the firm. Wage rigidity and unemployment emerge immediately
in such a model. A fall in labour demand does not affect the real wage because
of the contract. The labour supply too cannot fall. The only thing that can
happen when labour demand falls is that firms reduce employment at the fixed
real wage.
The problem with this type of fixed-wage, variable employment contract is,
however, that it is not an efficient contract because, under it, the marginal
product of labour is generally not equal to the marginal disutility of work, and
so it is possible to make both parties to the contract better OK You should
recollect from your microeconomics units that contracts are said to be efficient
if it is not possible to make one of the parties better off without making the
other one worse off (pare to efficiency). This takes us to the idea of implicit
contracts, which are efficient contracts unlike the simple fixed-wage contracts.
Implicit contracts are contracts between the firm and workers wherein the firm
specifies the real wage and the employment that it will provide for each possible
state of the economy. The contracts are so called because actual contracts in the
real world do not explicitly specify employment and wage as a h c t i o n of the
state of the economy. Not only are these contracts efficient, but also imply real
wage rigidity and the consequences of real wage rigidity that we have examined
in other contexts.
The insider-outsider models are a development on the contracting models,
wherein three categories of agents are recognised, viz., the firms, the workers
that are employed (insiders), and the unemployed workers (outsiders). It is in
the interest of the unemployed workers that the firms and the insider workers
sign contracts providing for lower real wages and higher employment. But the
unemployed, being outsiders, are not on the bargaining table. The real wage
rigidity, that is implied, provides a non-Walrasian characteristic to the labour
market and explains the existence of unemployment. Rich models have been
built up in the literature analysing the interactions between the three categories
of agents to explain some of the empirically observed characteristics of the
labnur market.
Check Your Progress 3
1) Why are fixed-wage contracts inefficient?
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2) What is the difference between wage contracts and implicit contracts?
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3) How do insider-outsider models explain the existence of unemployment?
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