2016 CFA Level 3 Mock Exam Morning - Ans
2016 CFA Level 3 Mock Exam Morning - Ans
2016 CFA Level 3 Mock Exam Morning - Ans
Please be advised this mock exam contains 10 item sets for the morning session
and 10 items sets for the afternoon session.
The live exam morning session will consist of a variable number of essay
questions for the morning session and the afternoon session will consist of 10
item sets.
The 10 additional item sets provided in the morning session of the mock exam
are for supplementary preparation purposes only and does not represent the
format candidates will experience on exam day.
Please note, you can view the last three years constructed response questions
and guideline answers here;
http://www.cfainstitute.org/programs/cfaprogram/exams/Pages/level_III_exam_
prep.aspx
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
copying, posting to any website, emailing, distributing and/or reprinting the mock exam for any purpose.
The 2016 Level III Chartered Financial Analyst® Mock Examination has 60 questions. To best simulate
the exam day experience, candidates are advised to allocate an average of 18 minutes per item set
(vignette and 6 multiple choice questions) for a total of 180 minutes (3 hours) for this session of the
exam.
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
copying, posting to any website, emailing, distributing and/or reprinting the mock exam for any purpose.
Ethics - Jacaranda
Most financial services regulatory bodies in East Africa are moving toward risk-based supervision
models. Miriam Bukenya, CFA, is the head of compliance at Jacaranda Asset Management, a manager of
both retail and institutional portfolios. She is currently revising the company's compliance policies to
address risk in all areas of Jacaranda's business and is checking different aspects of the firm to ensure
that it will be able to meet new risk-based supervision regulations when they become effective in six
months. The firm recently adopted the CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional
Conduct as its own code and standards.
While reviewing Jacaranda's compliance manual, Bukenya realizes it needs a few changes to comply
with the new risk-based regulations. To ensure that she follows best practice, she consults with Luc
Remmy, CFA, the head of compliance at her former employer, Mercury Advisory Services. Remmy, who
now runs an independent consulting firm, e-mails Bukenya the compliance manual he uses for his own
firm. While reviewing the compliance manual, Bukenya notices that many sections look familiar. She
finds a statement in the document indicating it is for the "sole use of Mercury Advisory Services." When
questioned, Remmy states that he only used the table of contents of Mercury's document but none of
the other content in the document to develop his compliance manual.
Bukenya looks at the marketing materials Jacaranda uses to communicate with existing and prospective
clients to ensure that everything mentioned in the material is factual and complies with the CFA
Standards of Professional Conduct. The following marketing statements are examined:
Statement 1: Jacaranda looks for investments offering intrinsic value through a top-down approach,
including a review of forecasts of economic and industry performance. We evaluate historical and
projected company financials, perform extensive financial ratio analysis, conduct management
interviews, and determine target prices using a variety of valuation models.
Statement 2: Jacaranda may, at times, hire outside advisers to manage real estate holdings on behalf of
clients. These advisers have the necessary expertise to manage property assets.
Statement 3: Jacaranda has four CFA charterholders among its senior management. Their participation
in the CFA Program has enhanced their investment management skills. All of these managers passed the
three exams in the shortest time possible.
The new risk-based regulations also require accurate and complete performance presentations, with all
discretionary accounts included in at least one composite. Bukenya believes Jacaranda's performance
presentation policy meets these new requirements as well as the CFA Institute Standards of Professional
Conduct because Jacaranda's single composite includes all current and terminated client accounts and
presentations include the following statement: "Detailed information regarding the performance
presentation is available on request." Although Jacaranda does not currently comply with GIPS
standards, Bukenya encourages the firm to do so within the next few years.
Bukenya then reviews Jacaranda's record-keeping policy. Currently, the policy requires retention of hard
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currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
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action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
copying, posting to any website, emailing, distributing and/or reprinting the mock exam for any purpose.
copies of all supporting documentation for investment recommendations and decisions made during the
last five years. This policy meets the new risk-based regulations. Client meeting minutes and
communication logs are kept electronically and backed up on a remote server. Fund managers and
research analysts are responsible for maintaining their own personal notes and research models. This
policy also applies to Jacaranda's independent research contractor, Mathew Ochieng, who (for security
reasons) does not have access to the company's server. Ochieng, who only undertakes research for
Jacaranda, sends his research reports to the head of research, who then archives these electronic
copies.
While reviewing Jacaranda's counterparty risk policy, Bukenya discovers that trader Jackson Gatera
recently convinced the back office to override controls designed to prevent overexposure to specific
stockbrokers. This request was in violation of company rules. The rules state that if the trading allocation
to a specific broker is breached, trading through that broker must be suspended until the exposure
drops to within the exposure limits. The Counterparty Risk Committee predetermines these limits.
The new risk-based regulations also require companies to gather client information as part of know-
your-client and anti-money-laundering processes. Bukenya creates a confidentiality policy restricting
access to existing and prospective client information. The information is only available to personnel who
are authorized by the existing or prospective client. The one exception is if the client or prospective
client is thought to be conducting illegal activities. In this circumstance, the information can be released
without authorization if the information is demanded through a court order or other legal requirement.
1. Which of the following CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct did Remmy least likely
violate?
A. Misrepresentation
B. Responsibilities of Supervisors
C. Loyalty
Answer = B
There is no indication that Remmy violated his responsibility as a supervisor under Standard
IV(C): Responsibilities of Supervisors. He did, however, violate Standard I(C): Misrepresentation
and Standard IV(A): Loyalty by plagiarizing his former employer's compliance manual. Work
performed for an employer remains the asset of the employer and cannot be taken to another
firm without permission.
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
copying, posting to any website, emailing, distributing and/or reprinting the mock exam for any purpose.
2. Which marketing statement should Bukenya most likely revise to conform to the CFA Institute
Standards of Professional Conduct?
A. Statement 3
B. Statement 2
C. Statement 1
Answer = B
Standard V(B): Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients requires the firm to inform
the clients about the specialization or diversification expertise provided by external adviser(s)
when outside advisers are used to manage various portions of the clients' assets under
management. This information allows clients to understand the strategies being applied that
affect their investment objectives. Stating "These advisers have the necessary expertise to
manage property assets" is not likely to provide enough information for the clients to
understand the investment methodologies or strategies implemented by the outside advisers.
3. Does Jacaranda's performance presentation policy most likely meet recommended procedures
for complying with CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct?
A. Yes
B. No, because of the structure of the composite
C. No, because it is not in compliance with GIPS standards
Answer = B
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
copying, posting to any website, emailing, distributing and/or reprinting the mock exam for any purpose.
4. Jacaranda's record-keeping policy is most likely in violation of Standard V(C): Record Retention
with regard to the:
Answer = A
Standard V(C): Record Retention requires the retention and maintenance of records to support
the investment analyses, recommendations, actions, and other investment-related
communications with clients and prospective clients. Because the independent research
contractor provides research only for Jacaranda, he would not necessarily be considered a third-
party research provider. Thus, he would be required to send his research reports to the firm
along with his underlying supporting analysis and financial models. Therefore, Jacaranda does
not meet the record retention requirements. The standard allows firms to keep hard copies
and/or electronic copies of documents. In addition, although it recommends files be retained for
a minimum of seven years, Jacaranda is still in compliance with the standard in that it meets
local regulatory requirements.
5. In response to Gatera's actions, Bukenya should least likely recommend which of the following
actions to prevent violations of the CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct?
Answer = C
As Gatera is not a covered person, it is not required for Bukenya to report him to CFA Institute.
However, because Bukenya is a supervisor, she does have the responsibility under Standard
IV(C) Responsibility of Supervisors to conduct a thorough investigation of the activities to
determine the scope of the wrongdoing. In addition, the supervisor should respond promptly
and increase (not maintain) supervision.
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
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6. Does Bukenya's confidentiality policy most likely violate Standard III(E): Preservation of
Confidentiality?
Answer = A
Standard III(E): Preservation of Confidentiality requires information about former clients, as well
as existing and prospective clients, to be kept confidential unless the law requires the disclosure
or permission has been given to disclose the information. Jacaranda's policies cover only existing
and prospective clients.
By accessing this mock exam, you agree to the following terms of use: This mock exam is provided to
currently-registered CFA candidates. Candidates may view and print the exam for personal exam
preparation only. The following activities are strictly prohibited and may result in disciplinary and/or legal
action: accessing or permitting access by anyone other than currently-registered CFA candidates;
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The United States-based CME Foundation serves a wide variety of human interest causes in rural areas
of the country. The fund’s investment policy statement sets forth allocation ranges for major asset
classes, including U.S. large, mid-, and small-cap stocks, international equities, and domestic and
international bonds.
When revising its outlook for the capital markets, CME typically applies data from GloboStats Research
on the global investable market (GIM) and major asset classes to produce long-term estimates for risk
premiums, expected return, and risk measurements. Although they have worked with GloboStats for
many years, CME is evaluating the services of RiteVal, a competing research firm, via a trial offer. Unlike
the equilibrium modeling approach applied to GloboStats’s data, RiteVal prefers to use a multifactor
modeling approach. Both research firms also provide short- and long-term economic analysis.
CME has asked Pauline Cortez, chief investment officer, to analyze the benefit of adding U.S. real estate
equities as a permanent asset class. To determine the appropriate risk premium and expected return for
this new asset class, Cortez needs to determine the appropriate risk factor to apply to the international
capital asset pricing model (ICAPM). Selected data from GloboStats is shown in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Selected Data from GloboStats
Additional Information
Risk-free rate: 3.1% Expected return for the GIM: 7.2%
Cortez’s colleague Jason Grey notes that U.S. real estate is a partially segmented market. For this reason,
Grey recommends using the Singer-Terhaar approach to the ICAPM and assumes a correlation of 0.39
between U.S. real estate and the GIM.
Cortez reviews RiteVal data (Exhibit 2) and preferred two-factor model with global equity and global
bonds as the two common drivers of return for all other asset classes.
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Exhibit 2
Selected Data from RiteVal
Factor Sensitivities
Asset Class Global Equity Global Bonds Residual Risk (%)
U.S. real estate equities 0.60 0.15 4.4
Global timber equities 0.45 0.20 3.9
Additional Information
Variances 0.025 0.0014
Correlation between global equities and global bonds: 0.33
Grey makes the following observations about the two different approaches the research firms use to
create their respective covariance matrices:
RiteVal uses a target covariance matrix by relating asset class returns to a particular set of return
drivers.
Cortez states: I disagree. We will use the results of both firms by calculating a weighted average for each
covariance estimate.
Grey finds that RiteVal’s economic commentary reveals a non-consensus view on inflation. Specifically,
they believe that a near-term period of deflation will surprise many investors but that the current
central bank policy will eventually result in a return to an equilibrium expected level of inflation.
Grey states: If RiteVal is correct, in the near-term our income producing assets, such as Treasury bonds
and real estate, should do well because of the unexpected improvement in purchasing power. When
inflation returns to the expected level, our equities are likely to perform well.
Cortez points out that RiteVal uses an econometrics approach to economic analysis, whereas GloboStats
prefers a leading indicator-based approach. Cortez and Grey discuss these approaches at length.
Cortez comments: The big disadvantage to the leading indicator approach is that it has not historically
worked because relationships between inputs are not static. One major advantage to the econometric
approach is quantitative estimates of the effects on the economy of changes in exogenous variables.”
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7. Using the data provided in Exhibit 1 and assuming perfect markets, the calculated beta for U.S.
real estate is closest to:
A. 1.08.
B. 0.58.
C. 0.38.
Answer = B
βi = Cov (Ri,RM)/Var(RM)
Find Var(RM) by using the Sharpe ratio = RPM/σM and solve for σM
σM = 0.041/0.36 = 0.1139
Var(RM) = (0.1139)2 = 0.0130
βi = 0.0075/0.0130 = 0.58
8. Using the data provided in Exhibit 1 and Grey's recommended approach and assumed
correlation, the expected return for U.S. real estate is closest to:
A. 6.3%.
B. 6.9%.
C. 4.3%.
Answer = A
Grey recommends the Singer–Terhaar approach and a correlation of 0.39 between real estate
and the market. Use these steps to solve for the expected return:
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9. Using the multifactor model preferred by RiteVal and Exhibit 2, the standard deviation of U.S.
real estate is closest to:
A. 23.1%.
B. 21.0%.
C. 24.5%.
Answer = A
Real estate factor sensitivities are bre,1 0.6 for sensitivity to global equity and bre,2 0.15 for global
bonds. Residual risk variance (given) is Var (εre) = 0.044.
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10. Cortez’s statement to use the work of both firms to determine a covariance estimate is most
likely an example of:
A. nonstationarity.
B. a prudence trap.
C. a shrinkage estimate.
Answer = C
Cortez’s statement to calculate a weighted average for the covariance estimate is an example of
shrinkage estimation. Shrinkage estimation involves taking a weighted average of a historical
estimate of a parameter and some other parameter estimate, in which the weights reflect the
analyst’s relative belief in the estimates. A shrinkage estimator of the covariance matrix is a
weighted average of the historical covariance matrix and an alternative estimator of the
covariance matrix.
11. Grey’s statement regarding the impact of RiteVal’s inflation scenario is most likely:
A. correct.
B. incorrect because of his comment about real estate.
C. incorrect because of his comment about equities.
Answer = B
In deflation, real estate experiences downward pricing pressure (negative) and bonds benefit
from improving purchasing power (positive). Therefore, Grey’s comment about real estate is
incorrect. In equilibrium, inflation at or below expectations is a positive for equities. The
comment about equities is correct.
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12. Cortez’s comment with regard to the two different approaches to economic analysis is most
likely:
Answer = C
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McMorris Asset Management (MCAM) is an investment adviser based in Atlanta, Georgia. Tom Morris
manages the active equity portfolios. Dan McKeen manages the semiactive equity portfolios and the
semiactive derivatives portfolios. They are preparing to meet with Maggie Smith, the chief investment
officer of Philaburgh Capital, who is considering hiring MCAM to replace one of its current managers.
At the meeting, Morris and McKeen discuss MCAM’s investment approaches with Smith and present her
with the risk and return characteristics detailed in Exhibit 1.
Smith asks if MCAM’s active equity strategy is long only. McKeen responds that MCAM uses market-
neutral long–short strategies for several reasons. He indicates that long–short strategies:
Smith considers each approach listed in Exhibit 1 but is uncertain about what would be an optimal
investment strategy. She makes the following comments about market efficiency:
Comment 1: A firm’s stock price does not reflect all publicly available
company information, and good research can uncover
sound investment opportunities.
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Smith states, “In order to ensure investment discipline, Philaburgh uses two methods to evaluate an
investment manager’s style.” She then reviews the current characteristics of MCAM’s active equity
approach using the first method, as presented in Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2: Method 1—Portfolio Characteristics for MCAM Active Equity Strategy Based on Current-
Period Data
Active Equity Benchmark
Number of stocks 50 1,000
Market value $180 billion $4,400 billion
Weighted average market capitalization $4.0 billion $4.1 billion
Dividend yield 3.00% 2.00%
Price/Earnings 8× 12×
Smith then selects three benchmarks—value, blend, and growth—in addition to the normal benchmark
to assess the manager’s style using the second method, as presented in Exhibit 3.
Smith indicates that Philaburgh’s performance measurement is compliant with the Global Investment
Performance Standards. In considering investment performance, Morris identifies three risks that may
prevent MCAM’s active equity approach from generating incremental returns:
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Smith concludes by telling Morris that she is impressed by MCAM’s track record in adding alpha in the
US stock market. However, she believes that the European equity markets are likely to outperform the
US equity markets over the next five years. She asks whether MCAM can structure a portfolio to capture
both opportunities. Morris offers to combine his long–short active equity strategy with a EURO STOXX
50 Index strategy.
13. Based on Exhibit 1, the approach that is least likely efficient with respect to delivering active
returns for a given level of tracking risk is:
A. semiactive derivatives.
B. active equity.
C. semiactive equity.
Answer = B
The active equity strategy has the lowest information ratio and is thus least efficient in
delivering active returns. Information ratio = Active return (Portfolio – Benchmark)/Tracking risk.
The information ratio is 0.5%, which is the lowest of the three.
14. McKeen's response to Smith's question about MCAM's active equity style is least likely correct
with respect to:
A. Reason 3.
B. Reason 2.
C. Reason 1.
Answer = C
A market-neutral strategy is constructed to have an overall zero beta and thus show a pattern of
returns expected to be uncorrelated with equity market returns.
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15. Smith's Comment 1 and Comment 2, respectively, are most likely consistent with an investment
style that is:
Answer = B
16. Based on Exhibits 2 and 3, what can Smith most likely determine about MCAM's investment
style over time? MCAM's style has:
A. not drifted.
B. drifted from value to growth.
C. drifted from growth to value.
Answer = C
The active equity strategy was not value oriented because the returns-based style analysis
indicates a growth orientation given a 0.65 coefficient of determination with respect to growth
returns. The current holdings, however, depict a value orientation when compared with the
manager's normal benchmark given the differences in dividend yield and P/E. MCAM's style has
drifted over time from growth to value.
17. Which of the risks Morris identifies with respect to MCAM's active equity strategy is least likely
applicable to a growth-oriented investor?
A. Risk 2
B. Risk 3
C. Risk 1
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Answer = B
The main risk for a value-oriented investor rather than a growth-oriented investor is
misinterpreting a stock's cheapness within the investor's time horizon.
18. The type of portfolio that Morris recommends to Smith to take advantage of both US and
European equity market opportunities is most likely a(n):
A. core satellite.
B. completeness fund.
C. alpha and beta separation.
Answer = C
Alpha and beta separation involve combining an index strategy with a market-neutral active
strategy in order to earn a desired beta + alpha outcome. Smith's objective is to realize returns
from the European market (beta) + MCAM's active return (alpha). In this case, by using the
EURO STOXX 50 index strategy, MCAM is able to offer both strategies combined into an alpha
and beta separation strategy for Smith.
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Virginia Norfolk, CFA, is head of the client strategy committee at Chesapeake Partners, LLC, an
investment consulting firm. Chesapeake advises a diverse client base on a variety of investment matters
including asset allocation and manager selection. Each month the committee meets to discuss client
inquiries and assignments the consultants are working on. Norfolk convenes the committee to discuss
pressing issues for several clients.
Norfolk asks William Burg, a field consultant, to present on a new client, a small college that Chesapeake
advises with regard to their pension fund and endowment. Burg needs to recommend to the client an
appropriate benchmark for each fund. Burg tells the committee, "I recommend that the pension fund
benchmark be changed from the pension's liabilities as the benchmark to a bond market index. The
pension is closed to new participants and thus the amount and timing of future cash flows are known.
The endowment is invested across many asset classes and generate an adequate return to meet its
obligations, which consists of a 5% annual contribution to the college's operating fund. The
endowment's benchmark for fixed-income managers should continue to be a bond market index, such
as Barclays Aggregate Bond Index."
Alex Manassas, a committee member, asks Burg, "What factors do you consider in selecting a
benchmark bond index?" Burg responds, "I look at three key factors when selecting a benchmark.
Market value risk should be similar for the portfolio and the benchmark. The longer the duration, the
greater the total return potential because rates are low now and the yield curve is so steep. Income risk
is important for comparable assured income streams, which can be more stable and dependable in a
portfolio with long maturities. The average credit risk in the benchmark should be measured against the
investor's overall portfolio and satisfy credit quality constraints in the policy statement."
Boris Markov, CFA, is the firm's actuary and expert on asset liability management. His client is a life
insurance company that sells guaranteed investment contracts (GICs). The company hired Chesapeake
because it has not met the target yield of 4% on the GICs it sold. Markov proposes a new approach to
satisfy the obligation: "First, the new single-period immunization strategy should require as a minimum
condition that the duration of the bond portfolio equal the investment horizon. In addition, if the bond
portfolio has a yield to maturity equal to the target yield and a maturity equal to the investment
horizon, then the target value will be achieved".
Markov then discusses another client that will require a rebalancing of its portfolio after a shift in
interest rates over the last year to maintain the initial dollar duration. He uses the data in the table
below to explain to the committee his rebalancing methodology.
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Exhibit 1
Data for Initial Portfolio and after Interest Rate Shift
Initial Portfolio Portfolio after Rate Shift over One Year
Price Market Value Duration Price Market Value Duration
Bond #1 $104.35 $10,435,000 5.5 $99.75 $9,975,000 4.7
Bond #2 89.55 8,955,000 2.2 95.00 9,500,000 1.3
Bond #3 107.15 10,715,000 5.4 102.40 10,240,000 4.6
Juan Ramirez, CFA, Chesapeake's chief investment officer, brings forward to the committee two
investment issues that he would like to discuss. Ramirez tells the committee, "Some of our client's
portfolios are for the purpose of funding liabilities, and I am concerned that these liabilities will not be
met, given certain risks. In particular, I have noticed that client portfolios have a substantial position in
mortgaged-backed securities. We should reallocate these securities to invest in corporate bonds so the
portfolio's convexity matches that of the liabilities."
Ramirez then presents the committee with the second investment issue. He is focused on a presentation
that Alpha Managers, an investment firm that hopes to make it onto Chesapeake's "buy list," made
recently. He tells the committee, "I am perplexed by the bottom-up capability that Alpha claims to have
in adding value to portfolios. They claim to have a bias to yield maximization across securities without
regard to rating differentials."
19. Is Burg correct with regard to his recommendations to the committee regarding benchmarks
for the pension and endowment respectively?
Answer = B
The investor with liabilities will measure success by whether the portfolio generates the funds
necessary to pay out the cash outflows associated with the liabilities-in this case, a defined
benefit pension plan. Meeting the liability is the investment objective; as such, it also becomes
the benchmark for the portfolio. The endowment is focused on measuring the success of its
fixed-income managers and does not have a specific liability to meet, therefore a bond market
index is an appropriate benchmark.
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Section 2
20. Burg's statement regarding the factors he uses in selecting a benchmark bond index is most
likely:
Answer = C
Burg is incorrect regarding market risk. Although market risk should be comparable for the
portfolio and benchmark index, given a normal upward-sloping yield curve, a bond portfolio's
yield to maturity increases as the maturity of the portfolio increases. Because a long duration
portfolio is more sensitive to changes in interest rates, a long portfolio will likely fall more in
price than a short one. Burg's statement on income risk is correct.
21. Is Markov correct regarding the necessary conditions to immunize the GIC portfolio for his
client?
Answer = C
To immunize a portfolio's target value or target yield against a change in the market yield, a
manager must invest in a bond or a bond portfolio whose (1) duration is equal to the investment
horizon and (2) initial present value of all cash flows equals the present value of the future
liability. Thus, investing in a bond portfolio with a yield to maturity equal to the target yield and
a maturity equal to the investment horizon does not assure that the target value will be
achieved because of reinvestment risk.
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22. Using dollar duration and the data in Exhibit 1, how much cash does Markov's client need to
rebalance the portfolio, assuming new investments are in equal proportions of one-third of
each bond?
A. $7,993,335.
B. $28,618,000.
C. $8,098,245.
Answer = A
First calculate the dollar duration initially and after the shift in interest rates, as shown in the
table below:
Market Value Duration Dollar Duration Market Value Duration Dollar Duration
$10,435,000 5.5 $573,925 $9,975,000 4.7 $468,825
8,955,000 2.2 197,010 9,500,000 1.3 123,500
10,715,000 5.4 578,610 10,240,000 4.6 471,040
Sum 1,349,500 1,063,365
23. The risk that Ramirez notes is prevalent in client portfolios is most likely:
Answer = B
When such assets as mortgage-backed securities have a contingent claim provision, explicit or
implicit, there is an associated risk. As rates fall, the security might have coupons halted and
principal repaid. This results in reinvestment risk and also limits any potential upside as would
be seen with a noncallable security. Mortgaged-backed securities exhibit negative convexity. But
corporate bonds, if noncallable, are positively convex.
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24. Ramirez most likely criticizes the relative-value methodology that Alpha uses to add value
because:
Answer = C
Yield measures have limitations as an indicator of potential performance. The total return
framework is a superior framework for assessing potential performance for a trade.
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Austin notes that the current low level of interest rates is limiting the potential absolute return the fund
generates. He asks Houston to evaluate the use of leverage to enhance returns. He can borrow 25% of
the fund’s value at an annual interest rate of 1.50% and earn a rate of return of 5% per year on the
invested funds.
Houston suggests that another way to use leverage in the portfolio is through the use of repurchase
agreements (repos). She makes three statements to Austin regarding the use of repos:
Statement 1: Repos often have maturity dates as short as overnight but can provide more
permanent leverage by “rolling over” the position.
Statement 2: There are a variety of mechanisms for transferring the securities to the buyer. For
example, a custodial bank can take possession of the securities and ensure that both parties’
interests are served. This transaction tends to have a lower cost than other transfer
arrangements.
Statement 3: The repo rate will be lower the higher the quality of the collateral, the shorter the
maturity, and the higher the availability of the security being lent.
Austin tells Houston that he is concerned about the potential for rates to rise and wants to explore how
the fund’s duration can be changed using the futures market. The fund currently has a duration of 5, and
he would like to eliminate all interest rate risk. Houston uses the data in Exhibit 1 for her analysis.
Exhibit 1
Futures Market Data
Futures contract price $100,000
Conversion factor 1.17
Duration of cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) bond 4.9
Market price of cheapest-to-deliver bond $96,500
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Austin is intrigued by the incremental yield he could earn by buying an Italian sovereign bond. A dealer
provides a quote at a spread of 350 bps over US Treasuries for a 5% coupon, 10-year maturity Italian
Buoni del Tesoro Poliennale (BTP) bond with a duration of 6.75. He asks Houston to assess how much
this bond spread could widen over the six-month period he intends to hold the bond before the yield
advantage relative to Treasuries would be eliminated.
Austin also asks Houston whether the euro-denominated bonds they buy should be hedged back to the
US dollar, the fund’s domestic currency. Houston responds that they should hedge back to the US dollar
because short-term interest rates are 2.50% in the eurozone and 0.25% in the United States, and her
forecast shows that she expects the euro to depreciate by 1.75% relative to the US dollar.
There are US-denominated and euro-denominated bonds in the fund; therefore, Austin wonders
whether the fund’s duration is still simply an average of the durations of each bond. Houston comments,
“International interest rates are not perfectly correlated. Currently, the fund has 80% of the portfolio in
US issuers with an average duration of 5.5 and the remainder in German issuers with an average
duration of 3.5. Historically, the country beta of Germany (i.e., for German rates relative to US rates) is
estimated to be 0.62.”
25. If Austin uses leverage as he proposes, the rate of return on the portfolio’s equity will be
closest to:
A. 6.25%.
B. 4.70%.
C. 5.88%.
Answer = C
The profit on the borrowed funds accrues to the equity; therefore, the rate of return increases
from 5% in the all-equity case to 5.88% when leverage is used:
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26. Which of Houston’s statements regarding repurchase agreements is least likely correct:
A. Statement 3
B. Statement 2
C. Statement 1
Answer = A
Statement 3 is incorrect. The more difficult it is to obtain the securities, the lower the repo rate.
Some securities may be in short supply and difficult to obtain. To acquire these securities, the
buyer of the securities (i.e., the lender of funds) may be willing to accept a lower rate.
27. Based on Exhibit 1, the number of futures contracts Austin needs to sell to eliminate all interest
rate risk in the portfolio is closest to:
A. 9,038.
B. 12,372.
C. 10,574.
Answer = B
To hedge against rising rates and eliminate all interest rate risk, the fund Austin manages needs
to target a duration of 0 by selling the following number of Treasury futures contracts:
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28. Given Austin’s time horizon, the amount by which spreads for BTP bonds could widen before
their yield advantage relative to Treasuries would be eliminated is closest to:
A. 37 bps.
B. 52 bps.
C. 26 bps.
Answer = C
The yield advantage is 350 bps annually, or 175 bps over Austin’s six-month horizon. The BTP
bond has a duration of 6.75; therefore, 1.75% = 6.75 × W. This can be reduced to 175/6.75 = 26,
so W = 26 bps.
29. Based on Houston’s forecast for the euro relative to the US dollar, and assuming interest rate
parity holds, should Austin most likely hedge the portfolio’s euro exposure using forward
contracts?
A. No, because the euro is expected to depreciate by more than implied by the forward
contracts
B. No, because the euro is expected to depreciate by less than implied by the forward
contracts
C. Yes
Answer = B
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Using interest rate parity, the euro is expected to depreciate by 0.25% – 2.50% = –2.25%.
Houston believes that the euro will depreciate by only 1.75%. Based on expected returns alone,
Austin should not hedge the currency risk using a forward contract because he would lock in a
2.25% loss in the euro.
30. Based on Houston’s comment regarding international interest rates, the contribution to the
portfolio’s overall duration from German bonds is closest to:
A. 0.68.
B. 2.17.
C. 0.43.
Answer = C
The duration of the German bonds is 3.5, and the country beta is estimated to be 0.62 relative
to the United States. The duration contribution to a US domestic portfolio is 3.50 × 0.62 = 2.17.
Because a portfolio’s duration is a weighted average of the duration of the bonds in the
portfolio, the contribution to the portfolio’s duration is equal to the adjusted German bond
duration of 2.17 multiplied by its weight in the portfolio: 2.17 × 0.20 = 0.43.
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Kamiko Watanabe, CFA, is a portfolio adviser at Wakasa Bay Securities. She specializes in the use of
derivatives to alter and manage the exposures of Japanese equity and fixed-income portfolios. She has
meetings today with two clients, Isao Sato and Reiko Kondo.
Sato is the manager of the Tsushima Manufacturing pension fund, which has a target asset allocation of
60% equity and 40% bonds. The fund has separate equity and fixed-income portfolios, whose
characteristics are provided in Exhibits 1 and 2. Sato expects equity values to increase in the coming two
years and, in order to avoid substantial transaction costs now and in two years, would like to use
derivatives to temporarily rebalance the portfolio. He wants to maintain the current beta of the equity
portfolio and the current duration of the bond portfolio.
In order to rebalance the pension fund to its target allocations to equity and bonds, Watanabe
recommends using Nikkei 225 Index futures contracts, which have a beta of 1.05 and a current contract
price of ¥1,525,000, and Nikko Bond Performance Index futures, which have a duration of 6.90 and a
current contract price of ¥4,830,000. She assumes the cash position has a duration of 0.25.
Sato wants to know if other derivatives could be used to rebalance the portfolio. In response, Watanabe
describes the characteristics of a pair of swaps that, together, would accomplish the same rebalancing
as the proposed futures contracts strategy.
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Kondo manages a fixed-income portfolio for the Akito Trust. The portfolio’s market value is ¥640 million,
and its duration is 6.40. Kondo believes interest rates will rise and asks Watanabe to explain how to use
a swap to decrease the portfolio’s duration to 3.50. Watanabe proposes a strategy that uses a pay-fixed
position in a three-year interest rate swap with semi-annual payments. Kondo decides he wants to use a
four-year swap to manage the portfolio’s duration. After some calculations, Watanabe tells him a pay-
fixed position in a four-year interest rate swap with a duration of –2.875 would require a notional
principal of ¥683 million (rounded to the nearest million yen) to achieve his goals.
Kondo asks Watanabe whether it would be possible to cancel the swap prior to its maturity. Watanabe
responds with three statements:
Statement 1: If you purchase a swaption from the same counterparty as the original swap, it is
common to require the payments of the two swaps be netted or cash settled if the swaption is
exercised.
Statement 2: You could purchase a payer swaption with the same terms as the original swap.
This approach would protect you from falling fixed swap rates but at the cost of the premium
you would pay to the swaption counterparty.
Statement 3: During the life of the swap, you could enter into a new pay-floating swap with the
same terms as the original swap, except it would have a maturity equal to the remaining
maturity of the original swap. However, the fixed rate you receive might be lower than the fixed
rate you are paying on the original swap.
31. The number of Nikko Bond Performance Index futures Sato must sell to rebalance the Tsushima
pension fund to its target allocation is closest to:
A. 149.
B. 1,594.
C. 743.
Answer = C
The total value of the portfolio is ¥55.0 billion, and the 40% target allocation to bonds would be
¥22.0 billion, but the current allocation is ¥27.5, or ¥5.5 billion more. In order to correct this
discrepancy, the equivalent of ¥5.5 billion in bonds with a duration of 4.75 must be sold using
bond futures and then converted to equity exposure with a 1.15 beta using stock futures. The
number of bond futures contracts to be sold (shorted) is
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where MDURT is the target modified duration (0.25 for cash), MDURB is the current bond
portfolio duration (4.75), MDURf is the modified duration of the futures contract (6.90), B is the
value of the bonds being converted to cash (¥5.5 billion), and fB is the price of one bond futures
contract (¥4,830,000). Therefore, the number of contacts is;
32. The number of Nikkei 225 Index futures Sato must buy to rebalance the Tsushima pension fund
to its target allocation is closest to:
A. 3,950.
B. 3,293.
C. 4,148.
Answer = A
The total value of the portfolio is ¥55.0 billion and the 60% target allocation to equity would be
¥33.0 billion, but the current allocation is ¥27.5 or ¥5.5 billion less. In order to correct this
discrepancy, the equivalent of ¥5.5 billion in bonds with a duration of 4.75 must be sold using
bond futures (converted to synthetic cash) and then converted to equity exposure with a 1.15
beta using stock futures. The number of equity futures contracts to be bought is;
where βT is the target beta (1.15), βS is the beta of the synthetic cash position (0), βf is the beta
of the futures contract (1.05), S is the value of the stock being created from the synthetic cash
position (¥5.5 billion), and fS is the price of one equity futures contract (¥1,525,000). Therefore,
the number of contracts is;
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33. Which of these is most likely to be a characteristic of one of the two swaps Watanabe describes
to Sato?
Answer = B
One of the swaps would be pay Nikko Bond Performance Index return and receive Libor.
34. The duration of the swap in Watanabe's first proposal to Kondo is closest to:
A. –2.00.
B. –2.75.
C. –1.75.
Answer = A
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35. Is the notional principal of the swap Watanabe recommends to Kondo most likely correct?
A. Yes
B. No, it is too low
C. No, it is too high
Answer = C
where B is the value of the fixed-income portfolio, and MDUR is the duration of T = target, B =
current portfolio, and S = swap. Therefore, the correct notional principal is;
or ¥646 million rounded to the nearest million yen. Watanabe recommends a notional principal
of ¥683, which is too high.
A. Statement 1
B. Statement 3
C. Statement 2
Answer = C
The original swap is pay-fixed, implying that the offsetting swap would be pay-floating. A
receiver swaption provides its owner with the right to enter a pay-floating (receive-fixed) in a
swap at the exercise fixed rate, whereas a payer swaption provides the right to enter the swap
in a pay-fixed position.
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Cooper Reyder was asked by her employer, Astounding Wealth Advisors, to attend a symposium on
managing assets for high-net-worth individuals. Sessions were available covering a wide range of topics,
including managing individual investor portfolios, lifetime financial advice, setting asset allocation
policies, and applying risk tolerance concepts to asset allocation. The Jones Family Case Study, shown in
Exhibit 1, provided a helpful framework to present and discuss many of the concepts. The moderator,
Vince Dunne, conducted the sessions using panel discussions and lectures, each followed by question
and answer (Q&A) periods.
The initial session on lifetime financial advice evolved into a discussion of the concept of human capital.
The speaker briefly described how the present value of an individual's lifetime of income can be
considered as an asset class that should be viewed in relation to financial assets. During the lengthy
Q&A period, Reyder made the following additional notes:
Term life insurance is superior to lifetime payout annuities when attempting to hedge against
the risks of the loss of human capital.
Risk tolerance of the combined portfolio of financial assets and human capital increases
proportionally with greater human capital regardless of wage earnings risk.
The magnitude of loss of human capital at younger ages is less important than the higher
probability of death at older ages.
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Exhibit 1
The Jones Family
Family Member married to Gladys for married to Peter for son and sole heir of
Age 56 55 30
To benefit from a $1
Retire within ten million irrevocable trust
Stated Client Goals years. Sell company Not to outlive our assets that Dad has promised to
for at least $2 million establish for me when he
sells the company
Investment Portfolio Jointly owned portfolio valued at $600,000 $120,000 stock portfolio
During the next session about the influence of the psychological risk profile types on various decisions to
be ultimately made by the Jones family, Reyder made the following comments:
"Like his mother, Mark is likely to base his decisions on feelings rather than logical thinking. Among the
three of them, Gladys is likely to be the most self-assured and independent when choosing a course of
action. Peter's type indicates he is more likely to seek a greater allocation to equities in retirement than
his wife."
Beyond the material in Exhibit 1, a panel discussion on retirement planning began with an initial set of
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Both retire in the year Peter turns 65, and each has a life expectancy of 85 years.
Asset allocation for the investment portfolio, as determined by a real return mean-variance
model, will be 50% equities and 50% bonds.
The portfolio will have a constant real rate of return of 3.5%.
Systematic withdrawals will occur that increase with inflation.
At retirement, purchase a $300,000 20-year term life insurance policy on Peter.
Moderator Dunne asked, "Are there any problems with the way the family's risks are being addressed in
retirement?"
In the Q&A session, Reyder asked, "When is it appropriate to use a validated questionnaire to assess
risk? I've heard the following conflicting views from different financial advisers: Some say it is
appropriate
in order to help an adviser better understand behavioral drivers that lead to individual's risk-
taking decisions.
only in the case when one can assume that investors facing choices with equivalent returns will
choose the investment with the lowest risk.
when clarifying the source of wealth, measure of wealth, and stage of life contribute to
identifying risk tolerance."
During a discussion of ways Gladys could achieve her stated goal, the following statements were made:
A jointly owned fixed annuity lifetime payout would achieve her goal as well as providing
purchasing power protection.
A jointly owned variable payout lifetime annuity product would also meet her goal but would
provide less certainty in terms of cash flow.
Although annuity products would help, it is more important to change the asset allocation of the
joint portfolio toward less risk.
Mark's stated goal prompted a review of the use of trusts to implement investment and estate planning
strategies. Reyder was unfamiliar with trusts. After listening to Dunne's lecture on the topic, Reyder
summed up the possibilities to see if she had heard him correctly.
"In establishing an irrevocable trust, Peter would be the grantor and Mark would be the
beneficiary. A motivation for using this structure could be for Peter to make resources available to
Mark without yielding control of those resources to him. A discretionary irrevocable trust could
enable the trustee to determine how much to distribute to Mark from time to time based on
Mark's general welfare, but the assets cannot be protected from claims made by Mark's creditors."
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37. Which of Reyder's additional notes from the discussion on human capital is most accurate? Her
note about:
Answer = C
The statement regarding term life insurance is most accurate. Life insurance is a perfect hedge
against the loss of human capital in the event of death, whereas annuities address longevity risk.
Although overall risk tolerance increases with human capital, overall risk tolerance decreases
with greater wage risk. The magnitude of loss of human capital at younger ages is much more
important than the higher probability of death at older ages.
38. Regarding the session about the influence of psychological risk profiles on decisions, Reyder's
comments about which of the Jones family members is most accurate?
A. Gladys
B. Peter
C. Mark
Answer = B
The comment about Peter is most accurate. As an individualist, he is less risk averse than Gladys,
who is a methodical investor. Peter is thus more likely to want to increase equity exposure than
Gladys. Mark (spontaneous) bases his decisions on feelings, whereas Gladys (methodical)
decides based on logical thought. Gladys is not the most self-assured-that is a characteristic of
the individualist.
CFA Level III"Managing Individual Investor Portfolios," James W. Bronson, Matthew H. Scanlan,
and Jan R. Squires
Section 3.2.3
39. The best answer to Dunne's question about the family's risk exposure in retirement is:
A. the proposed life insurance purchase adequately protects against Peter's mortality risk.
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B. that the family's risks are appropriately addressed because the mean–variance model
accounts for both financial market and longevity risks.
C. financial market risk remains, given the rate of return and withdrawal assumptions.
Answer = C
The family is still exposed to financial market risk because the constant real return assumption
with systematic withdrawals may underestimate the effect of short-term market fluctuations
early in retirement and cause the family to eventually run out of money.
40. The best answer to Reyder's question about validated questionnaires relates to the investor's:
Answer = A
A questionnaire is used to assess risk based on behavioral factors. A predictive link must exist
from the questionnaire responses to the resulting personality typing that is derived, as well as to
the subsequent investment behavior that occurs.
41. Which of the statements made about meeting Gladys' stated goal is most accurate? The
statement regarding:
Answer = C
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A jointly owned variable payout lifetime annuity product would provide cash flows until the end
of the surviving spouse's lifetime. Therefore, the Jones family will not outlive the assets. It is true
there is less certainty regarding the cash flows because they are linked to the performance of
the underlying investments.
42. In Reyder's summary on the use of trusts to meet Mark's stated goal, the statement that is
least accurate is the one dealing with:
A. claims by creditors.
B. yielding control of resources.
C. trust distributions.
Answer = A
The statement about the claims by creditors is inaccurate because the trust assets cannot be
reached by the beneficiary's creditors. The other statements are accurate.
"Managing Individual Investor Portfolios," James W. Bronson, Matthew H. Scanlan, and Jan R.
Squires
Section 4.2.4
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Philanthropy Source Asset Management (PSA) is a US-based investment consultant for non-profit
organizations, including foundations and endowments. In addition to advising on investment policy and
asset allocation, PSA offers asset management services for smaller foundations and endowments.
Edward Chen, CFA, a senior client adviser with PSA, is preparing for meetings with individuals
representing two new US-based clients, the Magyar Foundation (MF) and the Cheyenne Endowment
(CYE). Both institutions have hired PSA as their new adviser after experiencing sub-par investment
returns over the past three years.
MF provides grants to local charitable organizations to support their operating and capital improvement
needs. MF seeks to maintain its grant spending at no more than 5% of the 12-month average asset
value, the minimum level required to maintain its US tax-exempt status, because it anticipates no
further additions or contributions to its available funds. MF has recently added two independent
trustees to its decision-making board: Richard Larson, who has been a director at three area banks, and
Christine Kuzmych, an experienced life insurance industry investment professional. Chen meets with
them to discuss potential concerns with MF's investment policy.
Larson tells Chen: "I would like MF's investment policy to reflect my belief that MF should have a more
substantial community impact. This change could be accomplished by funding large capital improvement
projects for two local charities over the next five years. The timing of the charities' cash requirements is
expected to be quite irregular, so we may need to reduce portfolio risk. In my professional experience
there are similarities between a bank's management of its liabilities and a foundation's management of
its spending requirements. We should consider adopting an asset/liability management model similar to
that used by banks. Both foundation and bank portfolios have intermediate-term time horizons.
However, foundations have lower liquidity requirements than banks, and because of the need to
provide stable funding for required charitable grants, foundations have lower risk tolerances."
Kuzmych believes comparing needs of an insurance company and MF might be helpful in preparing MF's
investment policy statement. She comments: "MF's grants are similar to a property and casualty
insurance company's liabilities in that outlays are relatively certain in value but uncertain in timing. In
addition, MF's liquidity requirements are similar to those of a property and casualty insurer. These
insurers keep an asset valuation reserve to deal with their liquidity requirements. However, in contrast
to a property and casualty insurance company, MF can avoid income and capital gains tax
considerations."
Kuzmych continues, "Mr. Larson and I serve on the board of directors for CYE. CYE funds 75% of
Cheyenne College's annual administrative budget and actively solicits donations through annual
fundraisers. Donations, equal to approximately 3% of the portfolio's current value, offset potential
shortfalls between average returns and the spending rate. In preparation for our discussion regarding a
new investment policy statement for CYE, I have examined MF's investment policy. After noting
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similarities and differences between CYE's and MF's portfolios, I have reached the following conclusions:
Conclusion I: The spending policies of both portfolios must balance the needs of current and
future beneficiaries.
Conclusion II: The magnitude of importance that CYE's portfolio distributions have in Cheyenne
College's administrative budget reduces CYE's risk tolerance.
Conclusion III: The portfolios of MF and CYE each have long time horizons."
Larson adds: "Ms. Kuzmych and I have limited experience with alternative investment funds, but it
appears to us that they function as another type of institutional investor. Would you please explain how
their investment policies compare with those of foundations and endowments?"
Chen informs Larson and Kuzmych: "PSA's client portfolios use our proprietary alternative investment
mutual funds, such as the Alpha Commodity Pool Mutual Fund and the Omega Market Neutral Mutual
Fund. Alpha and Omega can be thought of as investment intermediaries. All institutional investors are
generally either financial or investment intermediaries and exhibit some of the following characteristics:
Characteristic II: The amounts of money invested are usually larger relative to private investors.
Characteristic III: Investment objectives and constraints cannot be expected to generally apply
to all members of a given group.
A. operating foundation.
B. independent foundation.
C. community foundation.
Answer = B
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44. When suggesting that MF adopt an asset/liability management model, Larson is most likely
accurate about:
A. liquidity requirements.
B. time horizon.
C. risk tolerance.
Answer = A
Foundations have lower liquidity requirements than banks because they mostly consist of
anticipated grant needs. Foundations also have higher return objectives and tolerance for risk
than banks, as well as much longer time horizons.
45. In comparing MF's investment policy with a property and casualty insurance company's
investment policy, Kuzmych is most likely correct about:
A. liquidity requirements.
B. tax considerations.
C. the timing of outlays.
Answer = B
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46. Regarding the comparison of the CYE and MF portfolios, which of Kuzmych conclusions is most
likely?:
A. Conclusion II
B. Conclusion I
C. Conclusion III
Answer = C
The only correct conclusion is that both the foundation and endowment portfolios have long
time horizons. The foundation has no obligation to balance the needs of current and future
beneficiaries. CYE has a high tolerance for risk with its long time horizon and ability to replenish
itself through donations.
47. Alpha and Omega are least likely consistent with which of the institutional investor
characteristics described by Chen?
A. Characteristic II
B. Characteristic I
C. Characteristic III
Answer = B
Mutual funds have no other corporate purpose besides investing. Mutual funds (investment
companies) and hedge funds are investment intermediaries, whereas foundations,
endowments, insurance companies, and banks are financial intermediaries. Compared with
individual investors, they all usually have larger amounts of money to invest.
48. When comparing investment objectives and constraints, Alpha and Omega most likely have
similar:
A. return objectives.
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B. risk tolerances.
C. legal and regulatory constraints.
Answer = C
Both Alpha and Omega are mutual funds, a type of investment company. They would share
similar legal and regulatory constraints, such as a need to describe their objectives, constraints,
and costs in legally prescribed formats (e.g., a prospectus). However, they would have different
risk and return objectives that would match different needs in investor portfolios.
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Laura Davidson is a financial advisory partner with Emerald Private Bank (Emerald). Emerald is based in
Dublin, Ireland, and manages money on behalf of high-net-worth individual investors, foundations, and
endowments. Davidson works in Emerald's private wealth group (PWG). This group is tasked with
meeting clients, developing financial plans, and implementing recommendations from Emerald's
investment committee. The PWG meets weekly to review new client relationships and to discuss the
most appropriate approach for working with each client. Emerald believes there are significant benefits
to incorporating behavioral finance as part of their client assessment process and has recently made
changes to this effect. During preparation for the weekly PWG meeting, Davidson reviews the financial
holdings of three new clients along with their risk assessment questionnaires. Her observations are
summarized in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
Client Assessment Highlights
· Donnelly recently sold a large publishing firm that he founded 20 years ago.
Although he has substantial assets, he spends at a rate that does not appear to be
Michael Donnelly sustainable. He has a very high risk tolerance and enjoys chasing high risk investments
recommended by friends. He is strong willed and questions the benefits of portfolio
diversification.
During the meeting, fellow adviser Liam Roche makes the following observation based on the
information in Exhibit 1: "Mr. Donnelly should respond favorably to education focused on how the
investment program affects financial security, retirement planning, and future generations. However,
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Ms. Connor and Mr. O'Driscoll will respond better to education on portfolio metrics, such as the Sharpe
Ratio."
Amanda Kelly is an investment strategist and a member of Emerald's investment committee. Kelly sits in
on the PWG meeting to provide an update on the firm's investment themes and positioning. Emerald
has developed a multi-factor macro model to forecast such variables as GDP growth and interest rate
movements. At the meeting, Kelly provides detailed information about the macro model, including
many statistics on how the factors have performed using both in-sample and out-of-sample backtesting.
The model appears to have had a good track record of predicting changes in the macro environment
over time.
As part of her investment update, Kelly notes that the macro model predicts that interest rates in
Europe are going to revert to their historical averages over the next three years and that this move will
start within the next six to nine months. Davidson asks Kelly if recent unprecedented monetary policy
actions by the Bank of England and European Central Bank have affected the reliability of the model.
Kelly responds that because the macro model incorporates more than 100 different variables, central
bank policies are accurately accounted for.
Later that day, Kelly attends Emerald's weekly investment committee meeting. Kelly brings up
Davidson's concerns regarding how central bank activity may affect the accuracy of their macro model.
Emerald's chief investment officer (CIO), who chairs the meeting, dismisses Davidson's concerns as
uninformed. The rest of the committee members agree. The CIO then suggests updating their stock
selection model to incorporate a price momentum factor. Kelly states that she is concerned that
momentum will not be effective across all sectors. The CIO counters that because a number of
behavioral biases support the persistence of price momentum, they would be foolish not to incorporate
this factor. After a brief discussion, the other committee members agree with the CIO and momentum is
added to the stock selection model.
Following the meeting, Kelly is frustrated and writes an email to the CIO with suggestions she believes
will improve the dynamics of the investment committee in the future. Her recommendations include the
following:
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49. Benefits of the recent changes to Emerald's client assessment process least likely include:
Answer = B
Incorporating behavioral finance does not have a direct impact on portfolio risk. In some cases,
this approach will help encourage a reduction in portfolio risk, but it may also help other clients
to take on more risk as appropriate. Investing as the client expects and improvements to client
retention metrics are both benefits of incorporating behavioral finance.
50. Roche's observation regarding client education is least likely accurate for which client?
A. Kyra Conner
B. Alan O'Driscoll
C. Michael Donnelly
Answer = A
Both Conner and Donnelly are exhibiting emotional biases. When advising emotionally biased
investors, advisers should focus on explaining how the investment program being created
affects such issues as financial security, retirement, or future generations rather than focusing
on quantitative details. The recommendation for Conner would be more suited for a cognitively
biased investor. O'Driscoll is a cognitively biased investor (friendly follower). As such, focusing
on such metrics as the Sharpe Ratio would be appropriate for this client.
51. Which behavioral investor type most likely describes Michael Donnelly?
A. Independent individualist
B. Active accumulator
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C. Friendly follower
Answer = B
Donnelly is entrepreneurial and created his own wealth. He lacks spending controls, does not
believe in the benefits of portfolio diversification, has a high risk tolerance, and prefers high-risk
investments recommended by friends. These are all attributes of an active accumulator.
Answer = A
The illusion of control bias can be encouraged by complex models. The illusion of control can
lead to analysts being overly confident when forecasting complex patterns, such as future
interest rate movements.
53. Which of the following biases least likely provides behavioral support for the factor being
added to the stock selection model?
A. Framing
B. Availability
C. Hindsight
Answer = A
Framing bias is a type of cognitive error in which a person answers a question differently based
on the way in which it is asked. This behavior is unlikely to explain the persistence of
momentum. Regret is a type of hindsight bias that can result in investors purchasing securities
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after a significant run-up in price because of a fear of not participating. This bias could explain
momentum. With availability bias, also referred to as the recency effect, the tendency to recall
recent events more vividly can result in investors extrapolating recent price gains into the
future. This bias could also explain momentum.
A. Recommendation 1
B. Recommendation 2
C. Recommendation 3
Answer = B
It is recommended that investment committees be composed of people with differing skills and
experiences, not similar as Kelly has suggested. Decision makers are most likely to learn to
control harmful behavioral biases when they have repeated attempts at decision making and
there is good quality feedback on prior outcomes. The investment committee chair should
actively encourage alternative opinions so that all perspectives are covered. Asking for individual
views prior to discussion can help mitigate the impact of group thinking.
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Placid Lake, LP (Placid), located in upstate New York, is an equity management firm that manages
separate accounts and two mutual funds. Pat Brooks is the chief investment officer and Rob Craig is the
lead portfolio manager. Jack Ramsey was recently hired as the firm's head trader. Brooks and Craig are
meeting with Ramsey to discuss Placid's trading practices and the impact of trading costs on the
investment performance of their clients' portfolios.
Craig is analyzing a trade in which Placid had entered an order to buy shares of ABC stock at market.
Dealer price and volume information at the time of the trade order and trade execution are provided in
Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1
ABC Stock Price and Volume
Placid attempts to minimize implicit and explicit trading costs by splitting trades into market and limit
orders. Illustrating with an example, Brooks describes to Ramsey a purchase order for 300 shares of DEF
stock. A market order for 200 shares and a limit order for 100 shares were placed with the stock trading
at a bid price of $32.21 and an ask price of $32.25. One hundred shares of the market order were
executed at $32.25 and the balance of the market order was executed at $32.32. The limit order, with a
limit price of $32.20, was not filled because the stock closed at a price of $32.29. Implicit trading costs
related to the market order and the limit order did not equal Placid's targets for these trading cost
components. The remaining implicit and explicit costs did equal Placid's targets for these trading cost
components. Placid's target trading cost is 15 cents per share and consists of the target trading cost
components shown in Exhibit 2.
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Exhibit 2
Target Trading Cost Components
Ramsey suggests to Craig and Brooks that implicit trading costs should be measured with reference to a
price benchmark. Craig agreed by stating that Placid typically calculates price benchmark measures, such
as the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) and implementation shortfall. Brooks, comparing these
benchmark measures, makes the following comments regarding the weaknesses of these measures:
Comment A: "Reliability can be limited whenever traders game their trading decisions."
Ramsey, recalling his belief that implementation shortfall was not adequately monitored by his prior
firm, asks how Placid deals with market movement when monitoring trading cost components. Craig
acknowledges that market movement is a component of trading costs and, accordingly, is captured by
Placid in quantifying implementation shortfall. The trade blotter for a recent trade in GHI stock is
provided in Exhibit 3.
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Exhibit 3
Trade Blotter for GHI Stock Trades
Ramsey asks Brooks to share his expectation about how traders should be motivated to trade. Brooks
acknowledges that different types of traders may use different types of orders depending on the
motivation of the portfolio manager. He states, "At Placid, we wait for prices to move so that we can
accumulate and distribute large positions quietly over lengthy trading horizons. We often use limit
orders because we are predominantly focused on the price level of trade execution and less focused on
the time of trade execution."
Craig asks Ramsey to comment on trading tactics at his previous firm. Ramsey replies that trading tactics
were directly related to trade motivation, which enabled him to trade significant positions in stocks the
firm had considerable information about. Accordingly, these trades were often expensive in terms of
commissions and price concessions in order to achieve timely execution.
55. Based on Exhibit 1, the effective spread for the executed ABC stock trade is most likely:
Answer = C
Effective spread is a measure of execution costs that captures both the effects of price
improvements and market impact. The effective spread is two times the deviation of the actual
execution price from the midpoint of the market quote at the time an order is entered.
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Effective spread = 2× (Actual execution price - Mid-point of market quote at time of order entry)
= 2× ($20.03 - $20.02) = 2 cents.
The price improvement from the trade has resulted in an effective spread that is lower than the
quoted spread by 2 cents (0.02 effective spread - 0.04 quoted spread).
56. In executing the DEF stock trade, were Placid's execution costs most likely less than its target
per share cost based on the target trading cost components provided in Exhibit 2?
Answer = A
Placid did not execute the DEF stock transaction at its target execution cost because of the
market impact cost of 7 cents, which exceeded Placid's 5 cent target for market impact cost. The
limit order created a missed trade opportunity cost of 4 cents, which was below Placid's 5 cent
target for missed trade opportunity cost. The remaining explicit costs (commissions) and implicit
costs (bid–ask spread) were equal to the target.
Market impact = $32.32 (execution price on the second 100 shares) – $32.25 (execution price on
the initial 100 shares) = 7 cents.
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Missed trade opportunity cost = $32.29 (closing price) – $32.25 (ask price at order entry) = 4
cents.
57. Which of Brooks's comments about price benchmark measures can likely be characterized as a
disadvantage of volume-weighted average price?
A. Comment C
B. Comment B
C. Comment A
Answer = C
Gaming (trade delaying) is a disadvantage of VWAP. The VWAP is partly determined at different
points of time in the day. Having that knowledge, a trader can compare the current price with
an estimate of that day's VWAP and decide to trade that day or wait until the next day. Another
disadvantage of VWAP (trade size) is that it is less informative for trades that represent a large
fraction of volume. In extreme cases, if a single trading desk were responsible for all the buys in
a security during a day, that desk's average price would equal the VWAP and thus appear to be
good, regardless of how high the prices paid. Despite these disadvantages, an advantage of the
VWAP is that it is readily obtainable and is a useful measure of quality of execution for smaller
trades in non-trending markets.
58. Using the trade blotter provided in Exhibit 3, the implementation shortfall cost for the GHI
stock trade is closest to:
A. 86 bps.
B. 119 bps.
C. 91 bps.
Answer = C
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Return on paper portfolio = ($50.50 price when order canceled - $50.00 decision price) × 1,000
shares = $500.
Value of real portfolio = 700 shares × $50.50 Wednesday closing price = $35,350.
Cost of real portfolio = (700 shares × $50.40 limit price) + $25.00 trading costs = $35,305.
Dollar implementation shortfall = Return on paper portfolio - Return on real portfolio = $500 -
$45 = $455.
= 0.0091% = 91 bps.
Commissions = 5 bps.
Calculation:
This amount consists of the trading commissions and costs as a percentage of the paper
portfolio.
Calculation:
This amount reflects the difference between the execution price and the relevant decision price
and is based on the amount of the order filled.
Calculation:
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This amount reflects the price difference attributable to the delay in filling the order and is
based on the amount of the order filled.
Calculation:
This amount reflects the difference between the price at cancellation and the original
benchmark price (decision price) and is calculated on the amount of the order that was not
filled.
59. Based on Craig's statement about types of traders and preferred order types, Placid's
preference is most likely a trader that is:
A. information motivated.
B. value motivated.
C. liquidity motivated.
Answer = B
Value-motivated traders trade only when the price moves into their value range. Their
motivation is to take advantage of perceived valuation errors. With respect to trade execution,
their preference is price (versus time). They often use limit orders.
60. The trading tactics at Ramsey's previous firm most likely focused on:
Answer = A
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Liquidity at any cost is a trading tactic for immediate execution in institutional block size.
Liquidity at any cost tactics are typically used by information-motivated traders who require
timely execution. Weaknesses of liquidity at any cost include high costs, such as commissions
and price concessions, related to market impact.
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