Bajaj Finance Limited Risk and Return Analysis

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Name – Ravi Kumar

Roll No. - 19173


Security Analysis and Portfolio Management

Assignment

1. About Company
Bajaj Finance Limited is one of the largest players in the burgeoning consumer finance
segment in India and a pioneer in introducing interest free EMI finance options in more than
50 spread across Consumer, SME & Commercial Lending as well as Wealth Management.

2. Formulae Used
 Annual Return = {(P1-P0) + D} / P0
 Variance = (Rs – Rms) ^2/ (N – 1)
 Standard Deviation = (Variance) ^.5
 Covariance (Rs, Ri) = {(Rs – Rms) (Ri – Rmi)}/ (N-1)
 Beta = Covariance (Rs, Ri) / Variance (Rs)

3. Calculation

i. Bajaj Finance Limited

F.Y Opening Value Closing Value Dividend Annual Return


(N) (P0) (P1) (D) (Rs)
2015-2016 410.00 692.92 36 77.79%
2016-2017 700.00 1174.10 7 68.73%
2017-2018 1279.00 1769.75 3.6 38.65%
2018-2019 1769.75 3024.85 4 71.15%
2019-2020 3027.50 2216.05 16 -26.27%

Total Return (Rts) 230.04%


Average Return (Rms) 46.01%
Variance 18.59%
Standard Deviation (Risk) 43.12%

Bajaj Finance Limited had given a good return of 46.01% with high risk of 43.12 % per year.
ii. BSE Sensex (Benchmark Index)

F.Y Opening Value Closing Value Annual Return


(N) (P0) (P1) (Rmi)
2015-2016 22455.23 27957.49 24.50%
2016-2017 25301.70 29620.50 17.07%
2017-2018 29737.73 32968.68 10.86%
2018-2019 33030.87 38672.91 17.08%
2019-2020 38858.88 29468.49 -24.17%

F.Y Annual Return Average Return Deviation Square of Deviation


(N) (Ri) (Rmi) (Ri - Rmi) (Ri - Rmi)^2
2015-2016 0.2450 0.09071 0.1543 0.0238
2016-2017 0.1707 0.09071 0.0800 0.0064
2017-2018 0.1086 0.09071 0.0179 0.0003
2018-2019 0.1708 0.09071 0.0801 0.0064
2019-2020 -0.2417 0.09071 -0.3324 0.1105

Total Return (Rti) 45.35%


Average Return (Rmi) 9.07%
Variance 3.69%
Standard Deviation (Risk) 19.20%

BSE Sensex had given a moderate return of 9.07% at a high risk of 19.20% per year.

iii. Comparison

Correlatio
Stock Benchmark Index Covariance BSE Variance Beta
n
Bajaj Finance
BSE Sensex 6.53% 3.69% 0.99 1.77
Limited

Bajaj Finance Manappuram Chola Investment &


Stocks Muthoot Finance
Limited Finance Finance
Gain
779.03% 603.72% 545.82% 81.13%
Percentage
4. Scatter Graph
Bajaj Finance Limited Vs BSE Sensex
30.00%

f(x) = 0.44 x − 0.11


20.00%
R² = 0.97
Bajaj Finance Limited

10.00%

0.00%
-0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

-10.00%

Bajaj Finance Limited Vs


-20.00% BSE Sensex
Linear (Bajaj Finance
Limited Vs BSE Sensex)
-30.00%
BSE Sensex

5. Interpretation
 Bajaj Finance Limited has Beta greater than 1. 
 It indicates that its price tends to be more volatile than the market.
 It also has higher exposure to systematic risk than the benchmark.
 It has higher return potential.
 It always moves in the same direction with market but with high magnitude.

6. Key Financials

Per Share Ratios (Rs) March 2020 March2019 March 2018 March2017 March 2016

Basic EPS 89.77 69.33 47.54 34.01 242.03

Diluted EPS 89.07 68.75 47.05 33.67 238.85

Book Value 538.84 341.46 287.68 175.56 1386.88

Dividend/Share 16.00 4.00 3.60 7.00 36.00

Face Value 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 10.00


i. Profitability
It controls its cost effectively and the PAT margin is around 25.47%.

ii. EPS growth


EPS has shown a growth of 40% over the 5 years.

iii. Return on Equity (ROE)

It has an average ROE track record with 19.13 % for the latest year.

iv. P/E Ratio


It has currently P/E ratio of 48.35 which tells that company will perform better than its
industry peers going forward. Shareholders should be clearly optimistic but the future is
always uncertain.

7. Conclusion 
Bajaj Finance is surely a multibagger stock for investors with strong
foundation and market leader in consumer finance. With a strong pedigree, brand equity
and reliable management, this stock is definitely a buy in sip mode for a long term
horizon.

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