Problem Set 4 Answers

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ECON 20031

Problem Set 4 - Answers

1. Assume that JMD$ 1.00 = GYD $ 2.00. In each scenario below you are asked
to find the new value of the Jamaican Dollar (JMD). You will always start a new
calculation using the original exchange rate given above. Further, you are required
to arrive at a possible explanation for each change and illustrate same on a diagram
of the market for Jamaican Dollars. Note that GYD stands for Guyana Dollars.

(a) The JMD depreciates by 1%.


JMD$ 1.00 = GYD $ 1.98
(b) The JMD depreciates by 3%.
JMD$ 1.00 = GYD $ 1.94
(c) The JMD appreciates by 2%.
JMD$ 1.00 = GYD $ 2.04
(d) The JMD appreciates by 4%.
JMD$ 1.00 = GYD $ 2.08

NB: For a depreciation the demand for JMD could fall, or the supply of
JMD will rise. For an appreciation the demand for JMD will increase,
or the supply of JMD will fall. In each case the story will focus on one
of these.
2. A Guyanese businessman is contemplating investing his money in a Jamaican fi-
nancial asset which gives a return of 6%. A similar asset in Guyana gives a return
of 4%. Note that to invest in Jamaica the Guyanese businessman will have to buy
JMDs. He will then resell the JMDs for GYDs at the time the asset matures. Based
on the expectations of the value of the exchange rate at the maturity of said asset
you are required to say whether or not the businessman will invest in the asset. In
each case your calculations will be based on the initial exchange rate of JMD $1.00
= GYD $2.00. For simplicity, it has been assumed that the businessman is unable
to purchase foreign exchange on the forward market. You may, if needed, use a
simple interest approach and assume that the period of investment is one.
(a) The value of the JMD is expected to be GYD $2.06.
Since the JMD appreciates and the interest rate is greater in Jamaica
then clearly the businessman will invest in Jamaica. Note that 6%
return and a 3% appreciation yields an approximate return of 9% in
terms of GYD. To see how this is so JMD $100 (GYD $200) yields
JMD $106. And JMD $106 gives GYD $218.36 at the new exchange
rate, so in GYDs the businessman, having started our with GYD
$200 has earned approximately 9%.
(b) The value of the JMD is expected to be GYD $1.98.
The JMD depreciates by 1% so the businessman gets approximately
5% return on his GYD. He will still invest in Jamaica.
(c) The value of the JMD is expected to be GYD $1.90. The JMD depreciates
by 5% so the businessman gets approximately 1% return on his GYD.
He is better off investing his money in Guyana where he will get a
4% return.
1
Department
c of Economics, The University of the West Indies (Mona).

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