Quantitative Questions .: 1 The Spot Rate of The New Zealand Dollar Is $.78. A Call Option On New Zealand Dollars With A

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Quantitative questions

1. The spot rate of the New Zealand dollar is $.78. A call option on New Zealand dollars with a
1-year expiration date has an exercise price of $.79 and a premium of $.04. A put option on New
Zealand dollars at the money with a 1-year expiration date has a premium of $.04. You expect
that the New Zealand dollar’s spot rate will decline over time and will be $.72 in 1 year.

a. Today, Dawn purchased call options on New Zealand dollars with a 1-year expiration date.
Estimate the profit or loss per unit at the end of 1 year. [Assume that the options would be
exercised on the expiration date or not at all.] (3%)

b. Today, Mark sold put options on New Zealand dollars at the money with a 1-year expiration
date. Estimate the profit or loss per unit for Mark at the end of 1 year. [Assume that the options
would be exercised on the expiration date or not at all.] (3%)

2. You go to a bank and are given these quotes:

You can buy a euro for 14 pesos.


The bank will pay you 15 pesos for a euro.

You can buy a U.S. dollar for .1 euros.


The bank will pay you .11 euros for a U.S. dollar.

You can buy a U.S. dollar for 11 pesos.


The bank will pay you 10 pesos for a U.S. dollar.

You have $5,000. Can you use triangular arbitrage to generate a profit? If so, explain the order of
the transactions that you would execute and the profit that you would earn. If you cannot earn a
profit from triangular arbitrage, explain why. (5%)

3. As treasurer of Tempe Corp., you are confronted with the following problem. Assume the 1-
year forward rate of the British pound is $1.59. You plan to receive 1 million pounds in 1 year. A
1-year put option is available. It has an exercise price of $1.61. The spot rate as of today is $1.62,
and the option premium is $.04 per unit. Your forecast of the percentage change in the spot rate
was determined from the following regression model:

Et= a0+a1DINFt-1+a2DINTt+µ
The regression model was applied to historical annual data, and the regression coefficients were
estimated as follows:
a0 = 0.0
a1 = 1.2
a2 = 0.7
Assume last year’s inflation rates were 2 percent for the United States and 8 percent for the
United Kingdom. Also assume that the interest rate differential (DINT t) is forecasted as follows
for this year:
Forecast of DINTt Probability
1.5% 30%
2% 40%
3% 30%

Using any of the available information, should the treasurer choose the forward hedge or the put
option hedge? Show your work (5%)

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