Project Cost Management
Project Cost Management
Project Cost Management
1. Cost concept
2. Project Cost Management
3. Project Cost Management Processes
4. Key terms
5. Tailoring Consideration
6. Consideration for Adaptive Environment
Cost Concepts
you could quite confidently say that the new project will cost approximately
four million dollars.
3.Determine Budget:
• Knowledge management
• Estimating and budgeting
• Earned value management
• Use of agile approach
Considerations for Adaptive
Environments
Agilepractice uses lightweight estimation methods to generate high-level
forecast for project costs.
Detailedestimates are reserved for short-term planning horizons in a just-in-
time fashion.
Ina strict-budget projects, the scope and schedule are more often adjusted
to stay within the cost constraints.
Step of Project Cost Management:
Sometimes project managers are too focused on the numbers, and not the
people. Good project management process—estimation techniques included—
are built on solid relationships. Solid working relationships tend to make the
project estimation process easier, because the more you know about.
A good project manager knows his or her own role well and has the following
responsibilities down pat:
Plan cost management is the process of defining how the project costs will
be estimated, budgeted, managed, and controlled.
The key benefit: it provides guidance and direction on ho the project costs
will be managed throughout the project.
2.Plan Cost Management Data Flow
3.Plan Cost Management Input
Project charter
Project management plan
• Schedule management plan
• Risk management plan
Enterprise environmental factors
Organizational process assets
Explanation of Plan Cost Management Input
2. Project Charter
• provides the summary budget from which the detailed project costs are
developed.
3. Enterprise Environmental Factors
• organizational culture and structure can all influence cost management;
market condi ions;
t currency exchange rates;published commercial
information;
PMIS.
4. Organizational Process Assets
• financial controls procedures; historical information and lessons learned
knowledge bases; financial databases; and existing formal and informal
cost estimating and budgeting‐‐‐relatedpolicies, procedures, and guidelines
4.Plan Cost Management Tools &
Techniques
Expert judgment
Data analysis
Alternative analysis
Meetings
Explanation of Plan Cost Management
Tools and Techniques
1. Expert Judgment
• guided by historical information, provides valuable insight about the
environment and information from prior similar
projects.
2. Analytical Techniques
• involve choosing strategic options to fund the project such as: self‐‐‐
funding, funding with equity, or funding with debt. The cost management
plan may also detail ways to finance project resources such as making,
purchasing, renting, or leasing.
• techniques may include: payback period, return on investment, internal
rate of return, discounted cash flow, and net present
value.
3. Meetings
• attendees at these meetings may include the project manager, the
project sponsor, selected project team members, selected stakeholders,
anyone with responsibility for project costs, and others as needed.
5.Plan Cost Management Output
Level of precision: the degree to which activity cost estimates will be rounded up or down (e.g.,
US$100.49 to US$100, or US$995.59 to US
$1,000)
Level of accuracy: the acceptable range (e.g., ±10%)
Organizational procedures links: the WBS provides the framework for the cost management plan,
allowing for consistency with the estimates, budgets, and control of costs.
Control thresholds.
Rules of performance measurement: EVM rules of performance
Reporting formats
Process descriptions
Additional details
Estimate Costs
• rewards/recognition, which
provides project rstaffing are necessary
attributes, componenfor
spersonnel rates, and related
developing the p oject cost estimate . ts
3. Scope Baseline
with contractual and legal implications, such as health, safety,
security, performance, environmental,insurance, inte lectual
• additional information that may be found in the scope baseline
l
be considered
property rights, when develop
licenses, ng the c All
and permits. st of this information should
estimates. i o
4. Project Schedule
• the type and quantity of resources and the amount of time which those
resources are applied to complete the work of the project are major
factors in determining the project cost. Schedule activity resources and
their respective durations are used as key inputs to this pro c
ess.
5. Risk Register
as a general rule, when the project experiences a negative ris event, the
• k
near‐‐‐termcost
be of the
a delay in the project
project will usually
schedule. increase,
n a similar way,and
the there
projectwill
team sometimes
should be sensitive to potential opportunities
I that can benefit the
business
schedule either by directly reducing activity costs or by accelerating the
6. Enterprise .Environmental Factors
• market conditions, published commercial information.
7. Organizational Process Assets
• cost estimating
and essons policies, cost estimating templates, historical information,
learned.
l
Estimate Costs Tools & Techniques
Expert judgment
One-point estimating
Analogous estimating
Parametric estimating
Bottom-up estimating
Three-point estimating
• Triangular distribution
• Beta distribution
Data analysis
Alternative analysis
Reserve analysis
Cost of quality
Project management information system
Decision making
• Voting
Explanation of Estimate Cost Tools and
Techniques
1. Expert Judgment
• guided by historical information, provides valuable insight about
the environment and information from prio rsimilar p r
ojects.
2. Analogous Estimating
• uses the values such as scope, cost, budget, and duration or
measures of scale such as size, weight, and complexity from
a previous, similar project as the basis for estimating the
same parameter or measurement for a current project.
3. Parametric Estimating
• uses a statistical relationship between relevant historical data and
other variables (e.g., square footage in construction) to calculate a
cost estimate for project work. This technique can produce higher
levels of accuracy depending upon the sophistication and
underlying data built into the model.
4. BoVom‐‐‐UpEstimating
• is a method of estimating a component of work. The cost of individual
work packages or activities is estimated to the greatest level of specified
detail. The detailed cost is then summarized or “rolled up” to higher
levels for subsequent reporting and tracking purposes.
5. Three‐‐‐PointEstimating
• Cost Most likely (cM). The cost of the activity, based on realistic effort
assessment for the required work and any predicted expenses.
• Cost Optimistic (cO). The activity cost based on analysis of the bcea‐
s‐‐ste scenario for the activity.
• Cost Pessimistic (cP). The activity cost based on analysis of the worst‐‐‐
case scenario for the activity.
• Two commonly used formulas are triangular and beta distributions:
Triangular Distribution. cE = (cO + cM +cP) / 3
Beta Distribution (from a traditional PERT analysis). cE = (cO + 4cM + cP) / 6
6. Reserve Analysis
• Cost estimates may include contingency reserves (sometimes called
contingency allowances) to account for cost uncertainty.
7. Cost of Quality (COQ) (details in next slide)
8. Project Management So^ware
9. Vendor Bid Analysis
• include analysis of what the project should cost, based on the responsive
bids from qualified vendors. When projects are awarded to a
vendor under competitive processes, additional cost estimating work
may be required of the project team to examine the price of
individual deliverables and to derive a cost that supports the final total
project cost.
10. Group Decision‐‐‐MakingTechniques
• team‐‐‐basedapproaches, such as brainstorming, the Delphi or nominal
group techniques, are useful for engaging team members to improve
estimate accuracy and commitment to the emerging estimates
Estimate Costs Output
Project documents
• Cost estimates
• Basis of estimates
Project documents updates
• Assumption log
• Lessons learned register
• Risk register
Explanation of Estimate Cost output
q Project document
§ 1. Cost Estimates
§ Direct Cost: costs that are directly attribute to work on the project. eg.
training cost, travel cost, wages, cost of material used in the project, etc
§ Indirect Cost: overhead items or costs incurred for the benefit of more than
one project. eg. taxes, fringe benefits, etc
§ Variable Cost: change with the amount of production/work. e.g. material, supplies,
wages
§ 2. Basis of Estimates
§ Documentation of the basis of the estimate (i.e., how it was developed),
§ Documentation of all assumptions made,
§ Documentation of any known constraints,
§ Indication of the range of possible estimates (e.g., €10,000 (±10%) to indicate
that the item is expected to cost between a range of values), and
§ Indication of the confidence level of the final estimate
Determine Budget
6. Resource Calendars
7. Risk Register
• The risk register should be reviewed to consider how to aggregate
the risk response costs.
8. Agreements
Applicable agreement information and costs relating to products,
• services, or results that have been or will be purchased are included
when determining the budget.
9. Organizational Process Assets
• Existing formal and informal cost budgeting‐‐‐related policies,
procedures, and guidelines; cost budgeting tools; and reporting
methods.
4.Determine Budget Tools & Techniques
Expert judgment
Cost aggregation
Data analysis
• Reserve analysis
Historical information review
Funding limit reconciliation • Financing
Explanation of Determine Budget Tools and
Techniques
1. Cost Aggregation
• Cost estimates are aggregated by work packages in accordance with the WBS. The
work package cost estimates are then aggregated for the higher component levels of
the WBS (such as control accounts) and ultimately for the entire
project.
2. Reserve Analysis
• Budget reserve
management res analysis
rves for hecanp establish both the contingency reserves and
oject. Judgment e t r
the 3. Expert
• guided by ect,
similar pro experience in ermining
aids in de an application
the area, knowledge area, discipline, industry, or
j
budget Relationships t .
4. Historical
•
involve
Any the userelationships
historical of project characteristics
that result in parameters)
parametric to developormathemat
estimates analogousal estimates
models
to predict total project
( ic
costs.
5. Funding Limit Reconciliation
The expenditure of funds should be reconciled with any funding limits on the
commitment of funds for the projec . tA variance between the funding limits and the
• planned expenditures will sometimes necessitate the rescheduling of work to level out
the rate of expenditures
5.Determine Budget Output
• Control cost is the process of monitoring the status of the project to update
the project costs and managing changes to the cost baseline.
• Key benefit: the cost baseline is maintained throughout the project.
2.Control Cost Data Flow
3.Control Cost Input
Expert judgment
Data analysis
• Earned value analysis
• Variance analysis
• Trend analysis
• Reserve analysis
To-complete performance index
Project management information system
Explanation of Control Cost Tools and
Techniques
• Earned Value Management (EVM): is the most common tool which help project
managers measure project performance and determine where the project stands in
relation to the budget and the schedule at a point in time.
• Work performance information: BAC, PV, EV,AC.
• Work performance measurement: CPI, CV, SPI, SV.
Ø Indexes
• • 䍠䐰䏀 = 䎀䒐 䍀䍠 CPI: cost performance index
•