Antisocial Personality Disorder: The Nice Guideline On Treatment, Management and Prevention
Antisocial Personality Disorder: The Nice Guideline On Treatment, Management and Prevention
Antisocial Personality Disorder: The Nice Guideline On Treatment, Management and Prevention
Personality
Disorder
THE NICE GUIDELINE ON TREATMENT,
MANAGEMENT AND PREVENTION
ANTISOCIAL
PERSONALITY
DISORDER:
TREATMENT,
MANAGEMENT AND
PREVENTION
published by
The British Psychological Society and The Royal College of
Psychiatrists
© The British Psychological Society
& The Royal College of Psychiatrists, 2010
The views presented in this book do not necessarily reflect those of the British
Psychological Society, and the publishers are not responsible for any error of
omission or fact. The British Psychological Society is a registered charity
(no. 229642).
CONTENTS
3
Contents
4
Contents
5
Guideline development group members
Dr Gwen Adshead
Consultant Forensic Psychotherapist, Broadmoor Hospital, West London Mental
Health NHS Trust
Ms Amy Brown
Research Assistant (2007), The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Mr Neil Connelly
Representing the interests of service users and carers
Mr Colin Dearden
Deputy Chief Probation Officer, Lancashire Probation Service
Mr Alan Duncan
Systematic Reviewer, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Mr Matthew Dyer
Health Economist, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Dr Brian Ferguson
Consultant Psychiatrist and Clinical Director of Specialist Services, Lincolnshire
Partnership NHS Foundation Trust
Ms Esther Flanagan
Project Manager (2008–2009), The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
6
Guideline development group members
Dr Savas Hadjipavlou
Programme Director, The Dangerous People with Severe Personality Disorder
(DSPD) Programme, Ministry of Justice
Mr Ryan Li
Project Manager (2008), The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Dr Ifigeneia Mavranezouli
Senior Health Economist, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Dr Nicholas Meader
Systematic Reviewer, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Dr Catherine Pettinari
Centre Manager, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Ms Peny Retsa
Health Economist (2007–2008), The National Collaborating Centre for Mental
Health
Ms Maria Rizzo
Research Assistant (2007–2008), The National Collaborating Centre for Mental
Health
Ms Carol Rooney
Deputy Director of Nursing, St Andrew’s Healthcare
Ms Sarah Stockton
Information Scientist, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
7
Guideline development group members
Dr Clare Taylor
Editor, The National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Dr Nat Wright
Clinical Director for Substance Misuse, HM Prison Service Leeds
8
Preface
1. PREFACE
This guideline has been developed to advise on the treatment and management of
antisocial personality disorder (ASPD). The guideline recommendations have been
developed by a multidisciplinary team of healthcare professionals, a representative
for service users and guideline methodologists after careful consideration of the best
available evidence. It is intended that the guideline will be useful to clinicians and
service commissioners in providing and planning high-quality care for people with
antisocial personality disorder while also emphasising the importance of their expe-
rience of care and that of their carers (see Appendix 1 for more details on the scope
of the guideline).
Although the evidence base is expanding, there are a number of major gaps, and
future revisions of this guideline will incorporate new scientific evidence as it develops.
The guideline makes a number of research recommendations specifically to address
gaps in the evidence base. In the meantime, it is hoped that the guideline will assist
clinicians, people with antisocial personality disorder and their carers by identifying
the merits of particular treatment approaches where the evidence from research and
clinical experience exists.
9
Preface
Guidelines are not a substitute for professional knowledge and clinical judgement.
They can be limited in their usefulness and applicability by a number of different
factors: the availability of high-quality research evidence, the quality of the method-
ology used in the development of the guideline, the generalisability of research
findings and the uniqueness of individuals with antisocial personality disorder.
Although the quality of research in this field is variable, the methodology used
here reflects current international understanding on the appropriate practice for guide-
line development (AGREE: Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation
Instrument; www.agreetrust.org; AGREE Collaboration [2003]), ensuring the collec-
tion and selection of the best research evidence available and the systematic genera-
tion of treatment recommendations applicable to the majority of people with these
disorders and situations. However, there will always be some service users for whom
clinical guideline recommendations are not appropriate and situations in which the
recommendations are not readily applicable. This guideline does not, therefore,
override the individual responsibility of healthcare professionals to make appropriate
decisions regarding the circumstances of the individual diagnosed with antisocial
personality disorder, in consultation with the person or their carer.
In addition to the clinical evidence, cost-effectiveness information, where avail-
able, is taken into account in the generation of statements and recommendations of
the clinical guidelines. While national guidelines are concerned with clinical and cost
effectiveness, issues of affordability and implementation costs are to be determined
by the National Health Service (NHS).
In using guidelines, it is important to remember that the absence of empirical
evidence for the effectiveness of a particular intervention is not the same as evidence
for ineffectiveness. In addition, of particular relevance in mental health, evidence-based
treatments are often delivered as part of an overall treatment programme including a
range of activities, the purpose of which may be to help engage the person and to
provide an appropriate context for providing specific interventions. It is important to
maintain and enhance the service context in which these interventions are delivered;
otherwise the specific benefits of effective interventions will be lost. Indeed, the
importance of organising care in order to support and encourage a good therapeutic
relationship is at times as important as the specific treatments offered.
The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) was established as a
Special Health Authority for England and Wales in 1999, with a remit to provide a single
source of authoritative and reliable guidance for patients, professionals and the public.
NICE guidance aims to improve standards of care, to diminish unacceptable variations
in the provision and quality of care across the NHS and to ensure that the health service
is patient centred. All guidance is developed in a transparent and collaborative manner
using the best available evidence and involving all relevant stakeholders.
10
Preface
This guideline has been commissioned by NICE and developed within the National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health (NCCMH). The NCCMH is a collaboration
of the professional organisations involved in the field of mental health, national
patient and carer organisations, and a number of academic institutions and NICE. The
NCCMH is funded by NICE and is led by a partnership between the Royal College
of Psychiatrists’ research unit and the British Psychological Society’s equivalent unit
(Centre for Outcomes Research and Effectiveness).
Once a national guideline has been published and disseminated, local healthcare
groups will be expected to produce a plan and identify resources for implementation,
along with appropriate timetables. Subsequently, a multidisciplinary group involving
commissioners of healthcare, primary care and specialist mental health professionals,
patients and carers should undertake the translation of the implementation plan into
local protocols taking into account both the recommendations set out in this guideline
and the priorities set in the National Service Framework (NSF) for Mental Health
and related documentation. The nature and pace of the local plan will reflect local
healthcare needs and the nature of existing services; full implementation may take a
considerable time, especially where substantial training needs are identified.
This guideline identifies key areas of clinical practice and service delivery for local
and national audit. Although the generation of audit standards is an important and
necessary step in the implementation of this guidance, a more broadly based imple-
mentation strategy will be developed. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the Care
11
Preface
Quality Commission will monitor the extent to which Primary Care Trusts, trusts
responsible for mental health and social care, and Health Authorities have imple-
mented these guidelines.
The GDG was convened by the NCCMH and supported by funding from NICE. The
GDG included a representative for service users, and professionals from psychiatry,
forensic psychiatry, clinical psychology, forensic psychology, developmental
psychopathology, social work, nursing, general practice, general practice in prison,
Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS) and the Criminal Justice
System (the Ministry of Justice and the Probation Service).
Staff from the NCCMH provided leadership and support throughout the process
of guideline development, undertaking systematic searches, information retrieval,
appraisal and systematic review of the evidence. Members of the GDG received train-
ing in the process of guideline development from NCCMH staff, and the service users
received training and support from the NICE Patient and Public Involvement
Programme. The NICE Guidelines Technical Advisers provided advice and assistance
regarding aspects of the guideline development process.
All GDG members made formal declarations of interest at the outset, which were
updated at every GDG meeting. The GDG met 13 times throughout the process of
guideline development. It met as a whole and in topic groups; key topics were led by
a national expert in the relevant areas. The GDG was supported by the NCCMH tech-
nical team, with additional expert advice from special advisers where needed. The
group oversaw the production and synthesis of research evidence before presentation.
All statements and recommendations in this guideline have been generated and
agreed by the whole GDG.
This guideline is relevant for people with antisocial personality disorder. It covers the
care provided by primary, community, secondary, tertiary, forensic and other health-
care professionals who have direct contact with, and make decisions concerning, the
care of people with antisocial personality disorder.
The guideline will also be relevant to the work, but will not cover the practice, of
those in:
● occupational health services
● social services
● the independent sector.
12
Preface
The experience of antisocial personality disorder can affect the whole family and
often the community. The guideline recognises the role of both in the treatment and
support of people with antisocial personality disorder.
The guideline makes recommendations for the treatment and management of antisocial
personality disorder. It aims to:
● evaluate methods of risk assessment and risk management in antisocial personality
disorder
● evaluate the role of specific psychosocial interventions in the treatment of antisocial
personality disorder
● evaluate the role of pharmacological interventions in the treatment of antisocial
personality disorder
● evaluate the role of interventions to address symptoms and behaviours (including
offending) associated with antisocial personality disorder
● evaluate the role of interventions to manage comorbid disorders
● evaluate interventions to prevent antisocial personality disorder
● promote the implementation of best clinical practice through the development of
recommendations tailored to the requirements of the NHS in England and Wales.
The guideline is divided into chapters, each covering a set of related topics. The first
three chapters provide a general introduction to guidelines, an introduction to antisocial
personality disorder and the methods used to develop this guideline. Chapters 4 to 7
provide the evidence that underpins the recommendations.
Each evidence chapter begins with a general introduction to the topic that sets the
recommendations in context. Depending on the nature of the evidence, narrative
reviews or meta-analyses were conducted, and the structure of the chapters varies
accordingly. Where appropriate, details about current practice, the evidence base
and any research limitations are provided. Where meta-analyses were conducted,
information is given about both the interventions included and the studies considered
for review. Clinical summaries are then given for the evidence presented, and the
rationale behind how the evidence is translated into recommendations is described.
Finally, recommendations related to each topic are presented at the end of each chapter.
On the CD-ROM, full details about the included studies can be found in Appendix 15
and 17. Where meta-analyses were conducted, the data are presented using GRADE
tables in the evidence chapters and forest plots in Appendix 16.
13
Antisocial personality disorder
2.1 INTRODUCTION
This guideline is concerned with the treatment and management of people with
antisocial personality disorder in primary, secondary and tertiary care. Various terms
have been used to describe those who consistently exploit others and infringe society’s
rules for personal gain as a consequence of their personality traits, including antisocial
personality disorder, sociopathy and psychopathy. Both the current editions of the
major classificatory systems—the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revi-
sion (ICD-10; World Health Organization [WHO], 1992) and the Diagnostic and
Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition (DSM-IV; American Psychiatric
Association [APA], 1994)—include antisocial personality disorder as a diagnosis,
although ICD-10 describes it as dissocial personality disorder (WHO, 1992).
Modern concepts of antisocial personality disorder can be traced back to the early
19th century, and, arguably, have always been tightly linked with contemporary
societal attitudes towards criminal justice and civil liberties (Ferguson & Tyrer, 2000).
In the early 1800s clinicians attempted to understand criminals whose offences were
so abhorrent that they were thought to be insane, yet their clinical presentations were
not consistent with recognised mental syndromes. In describing such individuals,
Prichard (1835) coined the term ‘moral insanity’, which was a form of ‘mental
derangement’ in which the intellectual faculties are unimpaired, but the moral princi-
ples of the mind are ‘depraved or perverted’, and the individual is incapable of
‘conducting himself with decency and propriety in the business of life.’
While the strength of the association between antisocial personality disorder and
offending has never been in doubt, there has long been debate about its implications.
In 1874 Maudsley argued that moral insanity was ‘a form of mental alienation which
has so much the look of vice or crime that many people regard it as an unfounded
medical invention’. The crux of the problem was that it was not possible to draw a
meaningful line between two forms of deviance from the norm: criminality on the one
hand and antisocial personality on the other.
Throughout much of the 19th century, the diagnosis of ‘moral insanity’ gained
acceptance across European and American courts of law (which were largely sympa-
thetic to such a defence), until it was replaced by ‘psychopathic inferiority’, described
in a series of influential works by Koch (1891). He believed these abnormal behaviour
states to be the result of ‘a congenital or acquired inferiority of brain constitution’. After
Kraepelin (1905), who created the classification ‘personality disorder’, Schneider
(1923) developed the characterisation of psychopathy as a fundamental disorder of
personality, and he regarded individuals with ‘psychopathic personalities’ as those who
‘suffer through their abnormalities, or through whom society suffers’. This may be seen
as a precursor for modern diagnostic concepts in psychiatry, which place emphasis on
the distress or impairment resulting from disorders (for example, in DSM and ICD).
14
Antisocial personality disorder
It was Henderson (1939), however, who laid firm foundations for the modern
delineations of antisocial personality disorder, in defining individuals with ‘psychopathic
states’ as those ‘who conform to a certain intellectual standard but who throughout
their lives exhibit disorders of conduct of an antisocial or a social nature’. In the US,
Cleckley (1941) and McCord and McCord (1956) further pushed the notion of the
psychopathic personality as a distinct clinical entity, and established its core criteria
around antisocial behaviours (in particular, aggressive acts). These views have been
extremely influential in shaping later classifications of sociopathy (DSM-I [APA,
1952]), antisocial personality disorder (DSM-II [APA, 1968] onwards), dissocial
personality disorder (ICD) and psychopathy (Hare, 1980).
In 1959, the term psychopathic disorder was incorporated into the Mental Health
Act in the UK, which made it possible for patients to be admitted to hospital compul-
sorily. Psychopathic disorder was defined as ‘a persistent disorder of mind (whether
or not accompanied by subnormal levels of intelligence) which resulted in abnormally
aggressive or seriously irresponsible conduct on the part of the patients, and require
or are susceptible to medical treatment’. This legal definition has been criticised as
poorly defined (for example, it is unclear what constitutes ‘abnormally aggressive’ or
‘seriously irresponsible’ conduct), removed as it is from validated psychiatric classi-
fications of psychopathy (Lee, 1999).
The latter clause of the definition has also been seen as problematic (or at best
optimistic) as it implied that treatment was beneficial or desirable, for which neither
had an evidence base at the time (Ferguson & Tyrer, 2000). While this ‘treatability
criterion’ was introduced to protect the personality disordered individual against
wrongful detention, the definition of ‘treatability’ became so expanded in practice
over the years as to render the term meaningless (Baker & Crichton, 1995). Hence, in
the revised Mental Health Act (HMSO, 2007) a generic term ‘mental disorder’
replaces the various subtypes previously used (that is, mental illness, psychopathic
disorder, mental impairment and severe mental impairment) and, as a consequence,
the treatability test has been replaced with the practitioner needing to be satisfied that
‘appropriate medical treatment is available’ to justify detention for any mental disorder.
Alongside the ambiguity contained in the UK legislation, there is considerable
ambivalence among mental health professionals towards those with personality disorder
in general but particularly towards those with antisocial personality disorder. Some
see this label as sanctioning self-indulgent and destructive behaviour, encouraging
individuals to assume an ‘invalid role’ thereby further reducing whatever inclination
they might have to take responsibility for their behaviour. Others believe that those
with the disorder are better and more appropriately managed by the criminal justice
system. The alternative view is that individuals with antisocial personality disorder
are not only likely to infringe societal norms but also to have complex health needs
that ought to be identified and addressed, either within or alongside the criminal
justice system.
These tensions are evident across all aspects of the disorder, but especially regarding
diagnosis. The criteria for antisocial personality disorder as specified in DSM-IV
have been criticised because of the focus on antisocial behaviour rather than on the
underlying personality structure (Widiger & Corbitt, 1993). This has led to the belief
15
Antisocial personality disorder
that antisocial personality disorder and its variants may be over-diagnosed in certain
settings, such as prison, and under-diagnosed in the community (Lilienfeld, 1998;
Ogloff, 2006). Moreover, a unique feature of antisocial personality disorder in DSM-IV
is that it requires the individual to meet diagnostic criteria, not only as an adult, but
also as a child or adolescent. This has led to concern that some children might be
labelled as having a personality disorder before their personality has properly developed.
The DSM-IV definition has other major limitations including problems of overlap
between the differing personality disorder diagnoses, heterogeneity among individu-
als with the same diagnosis, inadequate capture of personality psychopathology and
growing evidence in favour of a dimensional rather than a categorical system of clas-
sification (Westen & Arkowitz-Westen, 1998; Clark et al., 1997; Clark, 2007; Tyrer
et al., 2007; Livesley, 2007). Perhaps, most importantly, the individual personality
disorder diagnoses in DSM-IV do not help practitioners to make treatment decisions;
as a result practitioners have to focus on the specific components of personality disorder
(such as impulsivity or affective instability) rather than on the global diagnosis when
deciding on which intervention to use (Livesley, 2007).
Despite these difficulties, there is growing evidence from prospective longitudinal
follow-up studies that identify a number of children whose conduct disorder with
aggressive behaviour persists into adulthood, thereby justifying the approach of DSM
to antisocial personality disorder (Robins et al., 1991; Moffit et al., 2001; Loeber
et al., 2002; Simonoff et al., 2004; De Brito & Hodgins, in press). While the conver-
sion rate from childhood conduct disorder to adult antisocial personality disorder
varies from 40 to 70% depending on the study, the explicit continuity from conduct
disorder in childhood/early adolescence and antisocial behaviour in adulthood has
potential therapeutic implications regarding prevention that are discussed in Chapter 5.
(However, it should be noted that some of this continuity is potentially artefactual,
that is, it is a product of the fact that individuals need a diagnosis of conduct disorder
before they can have one of antisocial personality disorder.) Nevertheless, this
suggests that early intervention in children and adolescents may be effective in
preventing the later development of antisocial personality disorder in adulthood.
A criticism of mental health work in general has been the neglect of examining
personality when assessing Axis I disorders or major mental illnesses (APA, 1980);
hence DSM-III and its successors adopted a bi-axial approach to the diagnosis of
mental disorders, thereby separating mental illnesses on Axis I from personality
disorders on Axis II so that ‘consideration is given to the possible presence of disorders
that are frequently overlooked when attention is directed to the usually more florid
Axis I disorder’ (APA, 1980). One consequence of this approach has been the recog-
nition that Axis I and Axis II conditions often co-occur and that this co-occurrence
usually has a negative effect on the treatment of the Axis I condition (Reich & Vasile,
1993; Cohen et al., 2005; Skodol et al., 2005; Newton-Howes et al., 2006). As
described below, antisocial personality disorder is frequently found to be comorbid
with a number of other mental disorders. Hence, an important aspect of this guideline
is recognising how antisocial personality disorder might negatively moderate the
response to conventional interventions offered for frequently co-occurring conditions
such as substance misuse, depression and other Axis I conditions (Woody et al., 1985;
16
Antisocial personality disorder
Mather, 1987). It does not, however, offer guidance on the separate management of
these co-occurring conditions.
The diagnostic system DSM-IV, the preferred diagnostic system for this guideline
(see Section 2.2.2), characterises antisocial personality disorder as a pervasive pattern
of disregard for and violation of the rights of others that has been occurring in the
person since the age of 15 years, as indicated by three (or more) of seven criteria,
namely: a failure to conform to social norms; irresponsibility; deceitfulness; indiffer-
ence to the welfare of others; recklessness; a failure to plan ahead; and irritability and
aggressiveness (APA, 1994).
Because those with antisocial personality disorder exhibit traits of impulsivity,
high negative emotionality and low conscientiousness, the condition is associated
with a wide range of interpersonal and social disturbance. While many of these traits
may well be inherited, people with antisocial personality disorder also frequently
grow up in fractured families where parental conflict is the norm and where parenting
is often harsh and inconsistent. As a result of parental inadequacies and/or the child’s
own difficult behaviour (or both), the care of the child is often interrupted and
transferred to agencies outside the family. This in turn often leads to school truancy,
delinquent associates and substance misuse. Antisocial personality disorder is often
associated with low educational attainment. These disadvantages frequently result in
increased rates of unemployment, poor and unstable housing and inconsistency in
relationships in adulthood. Many are imprisoned or die prematurely as a result of
reckless behaviour (Swanson et al., 1994). This catalogue of continuing and multiple
disabilities over time is not so much a description of ‘symptoms’, rather a description
of a broad range of diverse problem areas that are likely to lead to an adverse long-
term outcome.
Consequently, while criminal behaviour is central to the definition of antisocial
personality disorder, this is often the culmination of previous and long-standing
difficulties. Clearly, therefore, there is more to antisocial personality disorder than
criminal behaviour, otherwise all of those convicted of a criminal offence would meet
criteria for antisocial personality disorder and a diagnosis of antisocial personality
disorder would be rare in those without a criminal history. However, this is not the
case. The prevalence of antisocial personality disorder among prisoners is slightly
less than 50% (Fazel & Danesh, 2002; Hart & Hare, 1989; Singleton et al., 1998).
Similarly, epidemiological studies in the community estimate that only 47% of people
meeting criteria for antisocial personality disorder had significant arrest records; a
history of aggression, unemployment and promiscuity were more common than serious
crimes among people with antisocial personality disorder (Robins, 1987; Robins
et al., 1991). These data therefore show that the relationship between antisocial
personality disorder and offending is not straightforward.
17
Antisocial personality disorder
This position is further strengthened when data on people with personality disorder
(including those in the community) are examined by factor analysis. This approach
consistently produces three or four higher order factors, the most prominent of which
is an ‘antisocial factor’ (Mulder & Joyce, 1997; Blackburn & Coid, 1999; Livesley,
2007; Howard et al., 2008). However, this higher order antisocial factor is more
broadly described than in DSM and includes narcissistic, paranoid and histrionic
traits as well as the more traditionally described antisocial personality disorder items
such as conduct disorder and criminality.
For many clinicians, this broader description of antisocial personality disorder carries
greater conviction than the more behaviourally-based criteria in DSM. Rather than focus-
ing on criminality, mental health professionals are more interested in such features as
unstable interpersonal relationships, disregard for the consequences of one’s behaviour,
a failure to learn from experience, egocentricity, disregard for the feelings of others and
persistent rule breaking (Livesley et al., 1987; Tennant et al., 1990; Livesley, 2007).
Despite disagreements and confusion regarding the diagnosis of antisocial person-
ality disorder, there is a commonly held view that the strict personality component is
characterised by a set of common traits including irresponsible and exploitative behav-
iour, recklessness, impulsivity and deceitfulness (Livesley, 2007). Benjamin (1996)
has expanded on these features and delineates a characterisation that seeks to provide
a description of the internal mental mechanisms at play in the disorder. She describes
the core features of those with antisocial personality disorder as consisting of:
At the present time, DSM is undergoing major revision (as DSM-V), and it is hoped
that there will be a reduced emphasis on criminal behaviour and an increased empha-
sis on the interpersonal deficits to characterise antisocial personality disorder.
2.2.2 Diagnosis
DSM-IV
Taking account of criticisms of DSM-III (APA, 1980) and DSM-III-R (APA, 1987)
that the criteria were too behaviourally focused, some effort was made in the DSM-
IV revision to produce a more trait-based description. Specifically, there was a field
trial comparing Robins’ emphasis on the continuity of conduct disorder in childhood
with adult antisocial personality disorder with the more trait-based personality crite-
ria of the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R; Robins, 1987). Despite this work
18
Antisocial personality disorder
and its implications, the changes introduced for DSM-IV were modest (Millon &
Davis, 1996; Hare et al., 1991). Hence, as described above, the principal criteria for
antisocial personality disorder in DSM-IV are:
‘a pervasive pattern of disregard for and violation of the rights of others occur-
ring since 15 years, as indicated by three (or more) of the seven criteria that
include four in the interpersonal realm (including a failure to conform to social
norms, irresponsibility, deceitfulness and indifference to the welfare of others);
one in the behavioural realm (recklessness); one in both the behavioural and
cognitive domain (a failure to plan ahead), and finally, one in the mood domain
(irritability and aggressiveness)’. (Millon & Davis, 1996)
One of the concerns of many authors (for example, Kernberg, 1992) is the degree to
which antisocial personality disorder, with its interpersonal exploitativeness, can be
usefully distinguished from narcissistic personality disorder; indeed, they are often
found to co-occur. Millon and Davis (1996) offer useful guidance:
‘the antisocial is driven, first, to benefit himself and, second, to take vigorous
action to see that these benefits do accrue to himself. This pattern is similar to, yet
different, than seen in narcissists, where an unjustified self-confidence assumes
that all that is desired will come to them with minimal effort on their part. The
antisocial assumes the contrary. Recognising by virtue of past experience that
little will be achieved without considerable effort, cunning and deception, the
antisocial knows that desired ends must be achieved from one’s own actions.
Moreover, these actions serve to fend off the malice that one anticipates from
others, and undo the power possessed by those who wish to exploit the antisocial.’
Not only does this usefully separate antisocial personality disorder from narcissistic
personality disorder, but it also describes a core component of antisocial personality
disorder, namely that one needs to actively look after oneself because it is believed
that no one else will do so.
ICD-10
In ICD-10 (WHO, 1992), the term used is dissocial personality disorder, rather than
antisocial personality disorder. In summary, its criteria focus more than DSM-IV on
interpersonal deficits (for example, incapacity to experience guilt, a very low toler-
ance of frustration, proneness to blame others, and so on) and less on antisocial
behaviour per se. It does not require symptoms of conduct disorder in childhood. This
definition of dissocial personality disorder has been criticised for including features
of aggressive/sadistic personality disorder that cannot be accommodated elsewhere in
ICD-10 (Millon & Davis, 1996).
Psychopathy
Cleckley (1941), in his influential book The Mask of Sanity, attempted to identify the
underlying traits of those who behaved in an exploitative manner and thereby
19
Antisocial personality disorder
Gender affects both the prevalence of antisocial personality disorder (see Section
2.2.4) and its course: it is more common in men who are also more likely to persist
with their antisocial behaviour when compared with women. For instance, Guze
(1976) found that most incarcerated male felons were still antisocial by interview at
follow-up (87% at 3 years, 72% at 9 years) while Martin and colleagues (1982) found
20
Antisocial personality disorder
that among women, only 33% were engaging in criminal behaviour at 3 years and
only 18% at 6 years. Nonetheless, follow-up studies also demonstrate a reduction in
the rates of re-offending in men over time (Grilo et al., 1998; Weissman, 1993).
However, Black and colleagues (1995), in one of the few long-term follow-up stud-
ies of men with antisocial personality disorder showed that while the men had
reduced their impulsive behaviour (and hence their criminality) with the passage of
time, they continued to have significant interpersonal problems throughout their lives
(Paris, 2003).
Antisocial personality disorder is associated with an increase in mortality.
Martin and colleagues’ (1985) follow-up of 500 psychiatric outpatients in St Louis
in the US found that those with antisocial personality disorder had a greatly
increased standardised mortality rate (SMR) compared with other psychiatric
conditions (SMR ⫽ 8.57, p ⫽ 0.01). An even more striking finding was provided
by Black and colleagues (1996) in their follow-up of men with antisocial personal-
ity disorder. They found that young men with antisocial personality disorder had a
high rate of premature death, with those under the age of 40 having an SMR of 33
with the SMR diminishing with increasing age. This increased mortality was due to
not only an increased rate of suicide, but to reckless behaviour such as drug misuse
and aggression.
One of the most striking findings from the literature is that a relatively small
number of offenders commit the majority of crimes. For instance, it is known that
5 to 6% of offenders are responsible for 50% of recorded crimes (Farrington et al.,
1986). Furthermore, those who commit the majority of crimes, continue to do so
throughout most of their life. This is in contrast to the large number of offenders who
desist from criminal activity after adolescence. This observation has led to the
concept of ‘life-course-persistent offenders’ as opposed to ‘adolescence-limited
offenders’ (Moffitt, 1993). From the longitudinal Dunedin study, Moffitt was able to
characterise life-course-persistent offenders as having inherited or constitutional
neuropsychological difficulties that later interact with a criminological environment
to produce a phenotype of persistent offending (Moffitt, 1993).
21
Antisocial personality disorder
2.3 AETIOLOGY
22
Antisocial personality disorder
that by subtyping the antisocial behaviour in 7-year-old twins into those children with
and without callous and unemotional traits (that is, AB/CU⫹ and AB/CU⫺ respec-
tively), that there was a much stronger heritability in the former (of 0.81 versus 0.30
respectively). Moreover, there is evidence that children who offend early and do so
with greater aggression have an increased heritability for this behaviour (see a review
by Viding et al., 2008). Hence, there is some evidence that this aggressive antisocial
behaviour is ‘hardwired’ in the brain from an early age.
Second, despite evidence for this deterministic ‘hardwired’ process, current
thinking recognises that differing gene/environmental mechanisms are at play in such
children. Hence, children who are genetically vulnerable to behaving in an antisocial
manner are likely to also suffer from harsh and inconsistent parenting that, in turn,
they may exacerbate by provoking negative responses with their behaviour. Adoption
studies show an interactive effect of genetic vulnerability with an adverse environ-
ment so that there is more pathology than one would expect from either acting alone
or in combination (Cadoret et al., 1995).
This interactive effect of genes and environment suggests that the genetic risk
might be moderated by intervening to reduce negative responses from the parent (for
example, parent-training programmes, multisystemic therapy, and so on). Knowledge
of the genetic vulnerability may inform programme content and delivery and so
increase its effectiveness. For instance, children with callous and unemotional traits
respond badly to being punished but positively to rewards and therefore require
programmes tailored to their specific needs (see Chapter 5).
Cross-sectional studies comparing those with and without aggressive behaviour have
demonstrated robust differences in physiological responses and in brain structure and
function in these groups (see a review by Patrick, 2008). For instance, individuals
prone to aggression have enhanced autonomic reactivity to stress, enhanced EEG
slow wave activity, reduced levels of brain serotonin (Coccaro et al., 1996a; Dolan
et al., 2001) and dysfunction in the frontocortical and limbic regions that mediate
emotional processing (Intrator et al., 1997; Raine et al., 2000, Blair et al., 2006).
While this increase in understanding in the biology of antisocial behaviour is to be
welcomed, it is subject to the following limitations. Most of the studies carried out focus
on those with aggressive behaviour and psychopathy rather than on antisocial personal-
ity disorder. For instance, children and adolescents who are aggressive have lower levels
of autonomic arousal but an enhanced autonomic reactivity to stress (Lorber, 2004);
whereas adults who score high on the Psychopathy Checklist have reduced autonomic
activity in relation to stress. The studies suffer, furthermore, from failing to control for
confounding factors, such as comorbidity and substance misuse and from a concentra-
tion on simple neuropsychological processes such as motor impulsivity or recognition
of basic emotions, rather than on more complex behaviour and moral decision making.
Finally, they appear to be disconnected from routine clinical work and hence are
unlikely to influence current clinical decision making (Duggan, 2008).
23
Antisocial personality disorder
24
Antisocial personality disorder
the service provider but also for the patients because their outcome is often worse
than if they had never been treated (McMurran & Theodosi, 2007). This suggests that
especial care needs to be taken in the management of those with antisocial personality
disorder to identify indicators of drop out and actively address them.
25
Antisocial personality disorder
£59,000 to £83,000. No other evidence on health and social care costs directly asso-
ciated with antisocial personality disorder was identified in the existing literature.
However, more extensive research has been undertaken on the costs associated with
conduct disorder. Romeo and colleagues (2006) estimated such costs in a sample of
young children (aged from 3 to 8 years) with conduct disorder in the UK, adopting a
broad societal perspective that included health services, education, social care and
costs borne to the family. The mean annual cost per child reached £6,000 (2002/03
prices); the greatest component of this cost (about 78%) reflected non-service costs
to the family, comprising mainly extra time spent on household tasks. Costs to educa-
tion services and to the NHS approximated £1,300 and £550 per year, respectively.
Another study conducted in the UK compared the total costs incurred by children
with conduct disorder, children with some conduct disorder traits and children with-
out conduct disorder, from the age of 10 and up to the age of 28 years (Scott et al.,
2001a). A wide perspective was adopted in this study, which considered special
educational, health, foster and residential care services, crime costs, state benefits
received in adulthood and breakdown of relationships reflected in domestic violence
and divorce. The total cost per person diagnosed with conduct disorder as a child
reached £70,000 (1998 prices); the respective cost per person with conduct problems
in childhood exceeded £24,000. In contrast, the cost per child in the control group
was only £7,400 over 18 years (that is, from 10 to 28 years of age). The most signif-
icant cost element in the group that had been diagnosed with conduct disorder in
childhood was the cost associated with criminal behaviour—this amounted to 64% of
the total cost. Special education services incurred 18% of the total cost, foster and
residential services 11%, state benefits 4%, while NHS costs constituted only 3% of
the total cost incurred by this population. Similar findings were reported in a US
study that compared the costs of children with conduct disorder, oppositional defiant
disorder and elevated levels of problem behaviour, with a group of children without
any of these disorders (Foster et al., 2005): the 4-year health and criminal justice costs
of children with conduct disorder were twice as much as the respective costs incurred
by children with oppositional defiant disorder, 1.7 times higher than costs of children
with problem behaviour, and more than 3 times the costs recorded for the control
group. Comorbid conduct disorder has been shown to significantly increase costs in
adults who were diagnosed with depression in childhood: Knapp and colleagues
(2002) demonstrated that adults who had depression and comorbid conduct disorder
as children incurred more than double the costs compared with those who were diag-
nosed with depression (but no conduct disorder) in childhood. Conversely, it has been
suggested that comorbid depression increases costs incurred by young offenders in
custody or in contact with youth offending teams (Barrett et al., 2006). Besides
depressed mood, younger age was also shown to result in an increase in total costs.
For those who engage in criminal behaviour there are the obvious costs of such
behaviour, including emotional and physical damage to victims, damage to property,
police time, involvement with the criminal justice system and prison services. Brand
and Price (2000) estimated that the total cost of crime in England and Wales reached
£60 billion in 1999/2000. This estimate included costs incurred in anticipation of
crime, such as security expenditure and insurance administration, costs directly
26
Antisocial personality disorder
resulting from crime, such as stolen or damaged property, lost output, emotional and
physical impact on victims, health and victim services, as well as costs to the criminal
justice system, including police services. Nevertheless, other important consequences
of crime, such as the fear of crime and its impact on quality of life were not taken into
account in the estimation of the above figure. Fear of crime and other intangible costs
to crime victims, such as pain, grief and suffering, have been the subject of research
of a growing literature aiming at estimating the wider cost implications of crime to
the society (Dolan et al., 2005; Dolan & Moore, 2007; Dolan & Peasgood, 2007;
Dolan et al., 2007; Loomes, 2007; Semmens, 2007; Shapland & Hall, 2007). Mental
healthcare needs of victims of crime should not be ignored because these have been
shown to substantially contribute to the costs associated with crime: a US study esti-
mated that crime victims represented about 20 to 25% of people visiting mental
healthcare professionals, incurring a cost to mental healthcare services of between
$5.8 and $6.8 billion in the US in 1991 (Cohen & Miller, 1998).
Equally important to the above costs are the costs associated with lost employment
opportunities, family disruption, relationship breakdown, gambling and problems
related to alcohol and substance misuse (Myers et al., 1998; National Research
Council, 1999; Home Office & Department of Health, 2002). Therefore, the financial
and psychological implications of antisocial personality disorder, offending behaviour
and conduct disorder are likely to be wider than those indicated by the figures
reported in the published literature. Efficient use of available healthcare resources is
required to maximise the benefits for people with these conditions, their family and
carers, and society in general.
While the ‘therapeutic gloom’ surrounding the condition identified by Aubrey Lewis in
1974 has been lightened with many more initiatives available to enable staff to intervene
in this group (Department of Health, 2003), nonetheless it remains the case that high-
quality evidence of efficacy for these initiatives is lacking. For instance, 19 years after
Lewis’s pessimistic assessment, Dolan and Coid (1993) in their review of the treatment
of psychopathic and antisocial personality disorder concluded that the evidence base for
such treatments was poor. They could identify only a small number of studies and these
were limited by poor methodology and lack of long-term follow-up.
Ten years after the Dolan and Coid (1993) review, further work failed to uncover a
more credible evidence base (Warren et al., 2003). In 2007, the situation was similar: two
systematic reviews of psychological and pharmacological treatments could locate only
five trials in the treatment of antisocial personality disorder that met Cochrane criteria for
an acceptable randomised controlled trial (RCT) (Duggan et al., 2007a, Duggan et al.,
2007b). More significantly, all of these five trials examined the effect of the intervention
to reduce substance misuse in those with antisocial personality disorder, rather than the
characteristics of antisocial personality disorder per se. A failure to achieve a consensus
on defining the trial population and on the outcomes that were relevant was identified as
the main reasons for this lack of progress (Duggan et al., 2007a, Duggan et al., 2007b).
27
Antisocial personality disorder
Unfortunately, the evidence base for psychological treatments for antisocial person-
ality disorder is as limited as that for pharmacological treatments (Duggan et al.,
2007). Much more emphasis has been placed on the psychological treatment of other
personality disorders, primarily borderline personality disorder (for example,
Kernberg, 1984; Linehan & Dimeff, 1997). The earlier approaches to treating antiso-
cial personality disorder and psychopathy took place largely in high secure hospitals
(where 25% met criteria for legally defined psychopathic disorder). As with the treat-
ment of personality disorder more generally, psychoanalytic approaches to treatment
were most prevalent (Cordess & Cox, 1998).
Partially informed by developments in the ‘what works’ criminological literature,
cognitive behavioural approaches have gained in prominence. For instance, in the
Dangerous and Severe Personality Disorder (DSPD) service (see Section 2.7) that
provides interventions for highly psychopathic men, a range of interventions are
available including dialectical behaviour therapy, schema-focused therapy, cognitive
analytic therapy, violence reduction programmes, and so on (Home Office, 2005a).
These interventions await evaluation.
28
Antisocial personality disorder
A recent and important national initiative is the Dangerous and Severe Personality
Disorder (DSPD) Programme (Home Office & Department of Health, 2002). DSPD
is an umbrella term, grouping together people with a severe personality disorder
where there is a significant risk of serious harm to others. It is likely that many people
with DSPD also fulfil criteria for antisocial personality disorder. For the purpose of
DSPD assessments, the criteria for ‘severe personality disorder’ are defined as follows
(Home Office, 2005a):
● a PCL-R score of 30 or above (or the Psychopathy Checklist-Screening Version
[PCL-SV] equivalent); or
● a PCL-R score of 25-29 (or the PCL-SV equivalent) plus at least one DSM-IV
personality disorder diagnosis other than antisocial personality disorder; or
● two or more DSM-IV personality disorder diagnoses.
The DSPD programme in England and Wales provides treatment for approxi-
mately 300 men in high security with about half in prisons and half in high secure
hospitals. Treatment consists mainly of cognitive behavioural programmes delivered
in group and individual settings and aimed at risk reduction. Anticipated length of
stay is between 3 and 5 years. It is therefore too early for a definitive evaluation
particularly because many individuals will be transferred to other secure facilities at
the end of treatment rather than being discharged to the community. The programme
29
Antisocial personality disorder
30
Antisocial personality disorder
2.9 ASSESSMENT
Much of the focus on the assessment of people with antisocial personality disorder
has focused on the assessment of risk, in particular risk to others. (This is the specific
focus of Chapter 6 and will not be discussed in detail here.) However, people with
antisocial personality disorder often have complex needs, which in turn require
complex assessment often from a multi-agency and multi-professional perspective
and would include not only risk but mental state (because of the high level of comor-
bid mental disorders in people with antisocial personality disorder presenting to
services), drug and alcohol misuse (the latter has a strong association with the risk
of violent or offending behaviour), physical health needs, social and housing needs
and also the needs of family members, in particular children. The Department of
Health document, Personality Disorder: No Longer a Diagnosis of Exclusion
(2003), is clear that personality disorder should no longer be a reason for being
denied treatment; however without effective assessment an effective treatment plan
is not likely to be put in place.
The issue of assessment raises questions about the structure and purpose of
assessment of antisocial personality disorder at different levels of the healthcare
system. In many mental disorders there is an increasing emphasis on a stepped
care approach to treatment (NCCMH, 2005a) and although the evidence base is
limited it is possible that this will be considered an appropriate way forward for
antisocial personality disorder (this is discussed further in Chapter 4). However
whichever model is chosen it is likely that the focus on assessment and interven-
tion, at least in healthcare, will vary across the healthcare system. One approach
that may be helpful is to consider people with antisocial personality disorder
presenting to primary care as having ‘problems’; those presenting to secondary
care as having ‘symptoms’; and those presenting to tertiary care to having either
‘complex problems’ or requiring a forensic assessment. For this approach to be
effective within the stepped care model, practitioners at different levels would
require guidance on: (a) recognition of the disorder and its implications regarding
the presenting problem; (b) how to respond to this in an appropriate manner; and (c)
under which circumstances a referral to another tier is indicated. (See Chapter 4 for
further discussion.)
31
Antisocial personality disorder
2.10.1 Introduction
So far this chapter has focused on the professional or societal approach to person-
ality disorder, but antisocial personality disorder also raises key ethical issues. In
relation to antisocial personality disorder and psychopathy, a key conceptual ques-
tion is whether they are disorders at all. The debate is complicated by the fact that
philosophers have used the concept of the psychopath as a medical entity to explore
issues of moral reasoning and responsibility (Murphy, 1972; Duff, 1977; Malatesti,
2006); while, at the same time, a debate has continued in psychology and psychia-
try whether psychopaths (and indeed, people with antisocial personality disorder)
are properly the subject of medical discourse at all, precisely because of the impli-
cations for criminal responsibility. Much of the current research has been used to
address this debate: therefore, if there is a biological basis for antisocial personality
disorder and psychopathy, then, it is argued, it is a disorder, which needs treatment,
or at least intervention.
This debate is too large to review in any depth here, but there are three related
aspects that may be useful to consider. First, debaters in this area need to beware of
conceptual slippage: ‘antisocial behaviour’ is not the same as criminality or violence
or antisocial personality disorder or psychopathy. Much more is known about the
brains of those who behave in cruel and unusual ways than was known 10 years ago
and those findings cannot explain why people in general choose to behave antiso-
cially. Second, neural/genetic findings can only contribute to an understanding of the
causes of any behaviour. All human behaviours are complex, and involve higher level
thinking about motives, beliefs, attributions, both in the actor and those affected by
him/her. It seems very probable that genetic vulnerability interacts with environment
to produce a neural matrix that contributes causally to socially significant rule break-
ing: but it is only a contribution, and not a total explanation. Third, researchers and
healthcare policy makers need to understand that because the problems posed by
people with antisocial personality disorder and psychopathy are social ones, there will
have to be a social/political dimension to the work that is undertaken. This often
seems alien to many healthcare professionals and scientists who see biosciences as
politically and morally neutral. But people who behave antisocially, for whatever
reason, generate negative attitudes in the rest of their social group, and those attitudes
will not fade away quickly. Even if it could be demonstrated that all social behaviour
is caused by failure of inhibition to the amygdala, this is unlikely to change public
attitudes to the perpetrators. Another problem is that most social groups accept some
degree of antisocial rule breaking as normal and tolerable. Therefore researchers will
only ever be able to work with highly selected samples of social rule breakers: ones
identified by the fact that they have crossed a certain social threshold and invited what
Strawson calls ‘participant reactive attitudes’ (Strawson, 1968). Therefore care needs
to be taken about what extrapolations are made from the research, and the social atti-
tudes that may be challenged by research findings.
32
Antisocial personality disorder
These issues have influenced the position taken in this guideline: that not all crimi-
nal rule breaking is evidence of mental disorder, but that some of the most egregious
types of criminality, such as extremes of violence towards the vulnerable, do reflect fail-
ures in the capacity to relate to others that amount to a disorder. A useful concept here is
that of the eighth amendment to the US constitution: a state of mind that results in ‘cruel
and unusual’ behaviour is, on the balance of probabilities, a disordered mind.
2.10.2 Treatability
The notion of ‘treatment’ for antisocial personality disorder and psychopathy also
raises a number of ethical issues, principally the assumption that it is a disorder that
is amenable to intervention. As Adshead (2002) has pointed out, the ‘treatability’ of
any disorder relies on a number of factors, not all of which are to do with the individ-
ual patient. A key issue in the treatment of antisocial personality disorder and
psychopathy is the test of therapeutic outcome: how will the practitioner know if
treatment has been successful? In the past, treatments have focused on either people
feeling better or behaving better, and practitioners have sometimes assumed that one
implies the other. Treatments also have within them an implied theoretical model
about what is ‘wrong’ with the individual concerned: but if the model is wrong, then
the treatment may be ineffective, even if it is well thought out and well delivered.
The conceptual problem referred to above dominates debates about treatment and
treatment outcomes. However, many researchers and clinicians would argue that
people with antisocial personality disorder are in states of mind in which other people
are seen as either predator or prey, and that they are therefore justified in acting
cruelly towards them. Interventions could then be geared to enabling individuals to
examine their own states of mind more, understand the minds of others, and have an
investment in behaving more pro-socially. Interventions could include psychological
treatment, social and vocational rehabilitation, education and medication. They may
also include long-term social support (not least because social isolation is a potent
risk factor for violence in high-risk individuals).
There is evidence that some of these interventions can change behaviour, at least for
some people, through developing a more pro-social state of mind. The ethical issues then
turn on resource allocation. Most ethical arguments about healthcare resources are utili-
tarian in nature: what will bring about the most good for the greatest number? For exam-
ple, in relation to the DSPD programme, the argument has been that the provision of
services will prevent severe harm. Whether this is true is the subject of current research
enquiry, ideally including a comparison with a treatment/intervention-as-usual group,
although the ethical problems here may be insuperable (Farrington & Welsh, 2006).
It is a general principle of bioethics that respect for the autonomy of patients is para-
mount, and a general principle of law that everyone has control over his/her own body
33
Antisocial personality disorder
and any treatment interventions that are offered. Under the new Mental Capacity Act
(HMSO, 2005), any person with capacity can refuse treatment, even if this is to
his/her own detriment.
The only people with capacity who cannot refuse treatment, and can have treat-
ment forced upon them, are those with mental disorders who pose a risk to themselves
or others. The ‘or’ is crucial here; most libertarian philosophical arguments (Saks,
2003) would contend that forced medical treatment is only justified to improve a
person’s own health and safety, and that the insult to dignity is outweighed by the
prevention of serious harm.
It has long been a matter of debate about the extent to which societies should
coerce people into treatment that is not of benefit to them directly, especially where
the ‘treatment’ is aimed at reducing risk to others, regardless of what the individual
wants. This is at least partly because when this is done, the person is treated merely
as a means to an end, not as an end in themselves, and this type of insult to human
dignity is morally unacceptable.
Mental health professionals often argue that they are not doing this in two ways.
First, they will argue that the patients are benefiting, even if indirectly; at least they
are benefiting from not being allowed to harm others. A problem with this argument
is that is could be seen as discriminatory—generally competent citizens are allowed
to choose whether they do harm or not, and take the consequences. It should be
remembered that the current Mental Health Act (HMSO, 2007), even with its amend-
ments, allows for the detention and forced treatment of people with full capacity.
Second, it is argued that people who are a risk to others have lost some of their
claims to full exercise of autonomy. Given that they are likely to be deprived of their
liberty if they harm others, there may be little insult to dignity in offering treatment
while they are detained. This argument of course applies only to prisoners, and those
who have harmed others already; it cannot apply to those who are detained on the
chance that they may offend.
This presents significant challenges for mental health professionals. There may
need to be a distinction made between legal coercion and therapeutic persuasion. It is
very unlikely that all antisocial patients can be coerced into pro-social thinking or
behaviour. This raises important issues of balance between the rights of individuals to
have liberty restrained or treatment imposed against the rights of a community to be
protected from potential harm.
Central to the issue of coerced treatment is the problem of identifying those who pres-
ent a risk (this is discussed more fully in Chapter 6). The main concerns about justice
arise from issues of consent and accuracy. To detain a person because they are a risk
to others may be entirely justified if it is true. Those assessing risk therefore need to
be certain that their methods of risk assessment are accurate and also fairly used. For
example, risk assessment needs to look at both resilience and protective factors that
might reduce risk, not just those factors that make risk more likely. It will not be just
34
Antisocial personality disorder
to detain someone (especially if it is indefinite) if all positive factors have not been
considered. It will be especially unjust if the main reason for detention is professional
anxiety alone. Currently there is considerable controversy about the best methods of
undertaking individual risk assessment with some arguing that actuarially-based
methods such as the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) or PCL-R have reason-
able properties to enable prediction of violence at the individual level (for example,
Campbell et al., 2007); while others argue that is it is not appropriate to use such
measures to routinely inform clinical decisions (for example, Cooke et al., 2007; Hart
et al., 2007).
There is also the problem that the most at-risk people are those who are not
identified for risk assessment; that is, that in relation to mental illness at least, the
thing that makes people risky is their unpredictability. As several authors have noted,
one would have to detain a large number of individuals who had done nothing, to
prevent one homicide (for example, Dolan & Doyle, 2000).What this means is that
society accepts that some degree of violence will occur, but possibly not if it is
committed by those with mental disorders.
There is another aspect to risk assessment that has not received much attention. If
risk assessment is a healthcare intervention, and part of the overall medical manage-
ment of forensic patients, then it could be argued that it needs the patient’s consent.
This is particularly so given that it is a medical intervention (like a lumbar puncture)
that could have serious side effects for the patient. Under the Mental Capacity Act
(HMSO, 2005), it may be possible for capacitous patients to refuse risk assessment,
and it might then be argued that it would be unlawful to carry out a risk assessment
without consent.
Healthcare professionals often resist the use of violence risk assessment on the
grounds that it is stigmatising to the individual or conflicts with good clinical care.
Yet assessment of risk also implies assessment of safety; for every individual identi-
fied as presenting a high risk, the same process will indicate that others present a low
risk and should be managed accordingly. For every patient identified as having a high
score on instruments such as the PCL-R, many others will be shown to have a low
score. There is sometimes a genuine conflict of values between patient autonomy and
the safety of others. The conflict should not be ignored but managed by the use of
evidence-based diagnostic and risk assessments that are transparent and open to
challenge. Traditional methods of assessment often meet neither standard.
A real ethical debate exists abut the extent to which a range of healthcare professionals
should be involved in public protection. On the one hand, there are those who take the
view that their knowledge and expertise in assessing risk imposes a duty on them to
act on that knowledge to assist in public protection from a small number of risky
individuals with mental disorders (especially antisocial personality disorder and
psychopathy). On the other hand, there are those who take the view that their primary
ethical duty is to ‘make the care of the patient their first concern’ (General Medical
35
Antisocial personality disorder
Council, 2006), and who argue that acting in ways that reduce risk but cause patients
distress or anxiety violates their ethical duty and identity as doctors.
This debate has taken on an extra significance with the passing of the Criminal
Justice Act (HMSO, 2003), which requires psychiatric expert testimony before
passing sentences for public protection (that is, sentences that are longer than usual,
or may lead to indefinite detention). In these circumstances, psychiatrists are provid-
ing testimony that, it might be argued, causes harm to the defendant, at least, from the
defendant’s viewpoint. In the UK, the psychiatrist treating the patient may also be the
one who is invited to give an expert opinion about the patient’s risk on the grounds
that they know the patient best. If the treating psychiatrist takes the view that they
have a duty to public safety, which overrides the duty to the patient’s interests, then
the patient may find that the doctor in whom they have confided is using those
confidences against them in the wider interest of the public good.
The key ethical tension here is arguably about deceit, not a clash of duties. The
anxiety is that in the pursuit of public protection, mental health professionals will
mislead patients into thinking that the patient’s interests are their first concern. If
mental health professionals inform forensic patients that their first duty is to public
safety, and that therefore they will disclose private medical information when neces-
sary even if the patient refuses to give consent, then this is a transparent procedure,
and the patient can decide how then to conduct themselves. In a medico-legal context,
where the assessing doctor has no prior therapeutic relationship with the patient, then
arguably the relationship between them is not a traditional medical one, and the
transaction is straightforward and there is no clash of ethical duties (Appelbaum,
1997). The ethical concern is about honesty: that a healthcare professional will allow
the patient or defendant to think that they will protect their interests against those of
third parties, when they have no intention of doing so.
A possible ethical and legal solution to the tension is for the mental health
professional to gain informed consent for both risk assessments and medico-legal
interviews, in which they clearly advise patients/defendants of the purpose of the
interview, the use to which the material will be put and who will be informed of
the outcome. Given the potentially negative outcomes of these assessments for the
patient/defendant, it could be argued that existing law on informed consent and
refusal of treatment requires that patients/defendants be informed that they need not
answer the doctor’s questions. There remains an anxiety that even with this type of
warning against self-incrimination, patients/defendants may not understand that the
assessor is not in a traditional beneficent role. From a therapeutic point of view,
complete transparency about the potential conflict of duties is likely to promote trust
and a collaborative attitude in the patient/defendant.
The Royal College of Psychiatrists’ Scoping Group on Expert Testimony has
submitted a report (Royal College of Psychiatrists, 2008a) advising experts of the
distinction between testimony given for therapeutic purposes and testimony given for
public protection purposes. The American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law
(2005) has issued ethical guidelines to its members, which state that no psychiatrist
should give expert testimony on a patient they are treating. In the UK, there are
particularly difficult conflicts around Mental Health Tribunal evidence, where the
36
Antisocial personality disorder
responsible medical officer (RMO) gives professional evidence as to the clinical care
of the patient, and expert forensic evidence about the nature of the risk they pose to
others. This tension arises because the Mental Health Act (HMSO, 2007) assumes
that patients with mental disorders lack capacity to make good quality decisions, and
that psychiatrists are therefore justified in doing what they think best, including in
relation to public safety. However, since most patients (especially those with antiso-
cial personality disorder) have full legal capacity, and can exercise autonomy, the
RMO’s position may no longer be justified, and their role in public protection
becomes primary. It is for this reason that some detained patients see their lawyers as
being the only people who represent their interests in a trustworthy way (Sarkar &
Adshead, 2005).
37
Antisocial personality disorder
there is any chance of maltreatment; and (b) investing funds to provide the secure
base for the child’s development. These measures could reduce the amount of conduct
disorder (and therefore possibly antisocial personality disorder), but may be costly in
terms of justice and resources. Again, resource allocation is a matter of values: there
is no good reason not to do everything that can be done to prevent the maltreatment
of children except that society may decide to spend the money in another way. The
key ethical issue here is the resource allocation of funds for research and interventions
with at-risk children. Identifying individuals at risk may be less useful in the long
term than trying to reduce maltreatment of the child overall.
38
Methods used to develop this guideline
3.1 OVERVIEW
The development of this guideline drew upon methods outlined by NICE (2006a). A
team of healthcare professionals, lay representatives and technical experts known as
the Guideline Development Group (GDG), with support from the NCCMH staff,
undertook the development of a patient-centred, evidence-based guideline. There are
six basic steps in the process of developing a guideline:
● Define the scope, which sets the parameters of the guideline and provides a focus
and steer for the development work.
● Define clinical questions considered important for practitioners and service users.
● Develop criteria for evidence searching and search for evidence.
● Design validated protocols for systematic review and apply to evidence recovered
by search.
● Synthesise and (meta-) analyse data retrieved, guided by the clinical questions,
and produce evidence profiles and summaries.
● Answer clinical questions with evidence-based recommendations for clinical
practice.
The clinical practice recommendations made by the GDG are therefore derived
from the most up-to-date and robust evidence base for the clinical and cost effec-
tiveness of the treatments and services used in the treatment, management and
prevention of antisocial personality disorder. In addition, to ensure a service user
and carer focus, the concerns of service users and carers regarding health and social
care have been highlighted and addressed by recommendations agreed by the whole
GDG.
Guideline topics are selected by the Department of Health and the Welsh Assembly
Government, which identify the main areas to be covered by the guideline in a
specific remit (see NICE, 2006a). The NCCMH developed a scope for the guideline
based on the remit.
The purpose of the scope is to:
● provide an overview of what the guideline will include and exclude
● identify the key aspects of care that must be included
● set the boundaries of the development work and provide a clear framework to
enable work to stay within the priorities agreed by NICE and the National
39
Methods used to develop this guideline
The GDG consisted of a representative for service users, and professionals from
psychiatry, forensic psychiatry, clinical psychology, forensic psychology, social
work, general practice, nursing, general practice in prison, Child and Adolescent
Mental Health Services (CAMHS), the Ministry of Justice and the Probation
Service. The carer perspective was provided by a carer special adviser. The guide-
line development process was supported by staff from the NCCMH, who under-
took the clinical and health economics literature searches, reviewed and presented
the evidence to the GDG, managed the process, and contributed to drafting the
guideline.
Fifteen GDG meetings were held between March 2007 and October 2008. During
each day-long GDG meeting, in a plenary session, clinical questions and clinical and
economic evidence were reviewed and assessed, and recommendations formulated.
At each meeting, all GDG members declared any potential conflicts of interest, and
any concerns voiced by the representative for service users were routinely discussed
as part of a standing agenda.
The GDG divided its workload along clinically relevant lines to simplify the guide-
line development process, and GDG members formed smaller topic groups to
undertake guideline work in that area of clinical practice. Topic group 1 covered
questions relating to the organisation and experience of care; topic group 2 covered
risk assessment and management; topic group 3 covered early intervention for
children; and topic group 4 covered interventions for offending behaviour. These
40
Methods used to develop this guideline
groups were designed to efficiently manage the large volume of evidence appraisal
before presenting it to the GDG as a whole. Each topic group was chaired by a
GDG member with expert knowledge of the topic area (one of the healthcare
professionals). Topic groups refined the clinical questions, refined the clinical
definitions of treatment interventions, reviewed and prepared the evidence with
the systematic reviewer before presenting it to the GDG as a whole and helped the
GDG to identify further expertise in the topic. Topic group leaders reported the
status of the group’s work as part of the standing agenda. They also introduced
and led the GDG discussion of the evidence review for that topic and assisted the
GDG Chair in drafting the section of the guideline relevant to the work of each
topic group.
Special advisers, who had specific expertise in one or more aspects of treatment and
management relevant to the guideline, assisted the GDG, commenting on specific
aspects of the developing guideline and making presentations to the GDG. Appendix
3 lists those who agreed to act as special advisers.
National and international experts in the area under review were identified through
the literature search and through the experience of the GDG members. These
experts were contacted to recommend unpublished or soon-to-be published studies
in order to ensure up-to-date evidence was included in the development of the
guideline. They informed the group about completed trials at the pre-publication
stage, systematic reviews in the process of being published, studies relating to the
cost effectiveness of treatment and trial data if the GDG could be provided with full
access to the complete trial report. Appendix 6 lists researchers who were
contacted.
41
Methods used to develop this guideline
Clinical questions were used to guide the identification and interrogation of the
evidence base relevant to the topic of the guideline. Before the first GDG meeting, an
analytic framework (see Appendix 7) was prepared by NCCMH staff based on the
scope and an overview of existing guidelines, and discussed with the guideline Chair.
The framework was used to provide a structure from which the clinical questions
were drafted. Both the analytic framework and the draft clinical questions were then
discussed by the GDG at the first few meetings and amended as necessary. Where
appropriate, the framework and questions were refined once the evidence had been
searched and, where necessary, sub-questions were generated. Questions submitted
by stakeholders were also discussed by the GDG and the rationale for not including
questions was recorded in the minutes. The final list of clinical questions can be found
in Appendix 7.
For questions about interventions, the PICO (patient, intervention, comparison and
outcome) framework was used. This structured approach divides each question into
four components: the patients (the population under study), the interventions (what is
being done), the comparisons (other main treatment options) and the outcomes (the
measures of how effective the interventions have been) (see Text Box 1).
Questions relating to assessment do not involve an intervention designed to treat
a particular condition, therefore the PICO framework was not used. Rather, the ques-
tions were designed to pick up key issues specifically relevant to assessment instru-
ments, for example their accuracy, reliability, and how they relate to clinical practice.
42
Methods used to develop this guideline
The aim of the clinical literature review was to identify and synthesise systematically
the relevant evidence from the literature in order to answer the specific clinical ques-
tions developed by the GDG. Thus, clinical practice recommendations are evidence-
based, where possible, and, if evidence is not available, informal consensus methods
are used (see Section 3.5.7) and the need for future research is specified.
43
Methods used to develop this guideline
3.5.1 Methodology
After the scope was finalised, a more extensive search for systematic reviews and
published guidelines was undertaken. Existing NICE guidelines were updated where
necessary. Other relevant guidelines were assessed for quality using the AGREE
instrument (AGREE Collaboration, 2003). The evidence base underlying high-quality
existing guidelines was utilised and updated as appropriate (further information about
this process can be found in The Guidelines Manual (NICE, 2006a).
At this point, the review team, in conjunction with the GDG, developed an
evidence map that detailed all comparisons necessary to answer the clinical questions.
The initial approach taken to locating primary-level studies depended on the type of
clinical question and availability of evidence. For example, questions on experience
of care are best addressed by qualitative studies whereas questions regarding inter-
ventions are best addressed by RCTs (see below for further details on search strate-
gies for different topics).
The GDG decided which questions were best addressed by good practice based on
expert opinion, which questions were likely to have a good evidence base and which
questions were likely to have little or no directly relevant evidence. Recommendations
based on good practice were developed by informal consensus within the GDG. For
questions with a good evidence base, the review process depended on the type of key
question (see below). For questions that were unlikely to have a good evidence base, a
brief descriptive review was initially undertaken by a member of the GDG.
Searches for evidence were updated between 6 and 8 weeks before the guideline
consultation. After this point, studies were included only if they were judged by the GDG
to be exceptional (for example, the evidence was likely to change a recommendation).
44
Methods used to develop this guideline
The search process for questions concerning the organisation and experiences of care
For questions related to the organisation and experiences of care, the search process
was the same as described above, except that the evidence base was formed from
qualitative studies. In situations where it was not possible to identify a substantial
body of appropriately designed studies that directly addressed each clinical question,
a consensus process was adopted (see Section 3.5.7).
1Unpublished full trial reports were also accepted where sufficient information was available to judge eligi-
bility and quality (see section on unpublished evidence).
45
Methods used to develop this guideline
appropriate and reliable design to answer the particular question. That is, for ques-
tions about assessment, the initial search was for cross-sectional studies. In situations
where it was not possible to identify a substantial body of appropriately designed
studies that directly addressed each clinical question, a consensus process was
adopted (see Section 3.5.7).
Search strategies
Search strategies developed by the review team consisted of a combination of subject
heading and free-text phrases. Specific strategies were developed for the guideline
topic and, where necessary, for each clinical question. In addition, the review team
used filters developed for systematic reviews, RCTs and other appropriate research
designs (Appendix 8).
Study selection
All primary-level studies included after the first scan of citations were acquired in full
and re-evaluated for eligibility at the time they were being entered into the study
information database. Appendix 8 lists the standard inclusion and exclusion criteria.
More specific eligibility criteria were developed for each clinical question and are
described in the relevant clinical evidence chapters. Eligible systematic reviews and
primary-level studies were critically appraised for methodological quality (see
Appendix 9 and Appendix 10). The eligibility of each study was confirmed by at least
one member of the appropriate topic group.
For some clinical questions, it was necessary to prioritise the evidence with
respect to the UK context (that is, external validity). To make this process explicit, the
topic groups took into account the following factors when assessing the evidence:
● participant factors (for example, gender, age and ethnicity)
● provider factors (for example, model fidelity, the conditions under which the inter-
vention was performed and the availability of experienced staff to undertake the
procedure)
● cultural factors (for example, differences in standard care and differences in the
welfare system).
It was the responsibility of each topic group to decide which prioritisation factors
were relevant to each clinical question in light of the UK context and then decide how
they should modify their recommendations.
Unpublished evidence
The GDG used a number of criteria when deciding whether or not to accept unpub-
lished data. First, the evidence must have been accompanied by a trial report contain-
ing sufficient detail to properly assess the quality of the data. Second, the evidence
must have been submitted with the understanding that data from the study and a
summary of the study’s characteristics would be published in the full guideline.
Therefore, the GDG did not accept evidence submitted as commercial in confidence.
However, the GDG recognised that unpublished evidence submitted by investigators
might later be retracted by those investigators if the inclusion of such data would
jeopardise publication of their research.
46
Methods used to develop this guideline
Study characteristics and outcome data were extracted from all eligible studies, which
met the minimum quality criteria, using a bespoke database and Review Manager
4.2.10 (Nordic Cochrane Centre, 2006) (see Appendix 9).
In most circumstances, for a given outcome (continuous and dichotomous), where
more than 50% of the number randomised to any group were lost to follow up, the
data were excluded from the analysis (except for the outcome ‘leaving the study early
for any reason’, in which case, the denominator was the number randomised). Where
possible, dichotomous efficacy outcomes were calculated on an intention-to-treat
basis (that is, a ‘once-randomised-always-analyse’ basis). Where there was good
evidence that those participants who ceased to engage in the study were likely to have
an unfavourable outcome, early withdrawals were included in both the numerator and
denominator. Adverse effects were entered into Review Manager as reported by the
study authors because it was usually not possible to determine whether early with-
drawals had an unfavourable outcome. Where there was limited data for a particular
review, the 50% rule was not applied. In these circumstances the evidence was down-
graded due to the risk of bias.
Where some of the studies failed to report standard deviations (for a continuous
outcome), and where an estimate of the variance could not be computed from other
reported data or obtained from the study author, the following approach was taken2:
1. When the number of studies with missing standard deviations was small and
when the total number of studies was large, the average standard deviation was
imputed (calculated from the included studies that used the same outcome). In
this case, the appropriateness of the imputation was made by comparing the stan-
dardised mean differences (SMDs) of those trials that had reported standard devi-
ations against the hypothetical SMDs of the same trials based on the imputed
standard deviations. If they converged, the meta-analytical results were consid-
ered to be reliable.
2. When the number of studies with missing standard deviations was large or when
the total number of studies was small, standard deviations were taken from a
previous systematic review (where available), because the small sample size may
allow unexpected deviation due to chance. In this case, the results were consid-
ered to be less reliable.
The meta-analysis of survival data, such as time to any mood episode, was based
on log hazard ratios and standard errors. Since individual patient data were not avail-
able in included studies, hazard ratios and standard errors calculated from a Cox
proportional hazard model were extracted. Where necessary, standard errors were
calculated from confidence intervals or p-value according to standard formulae (for
example, Cochrane Reviewers’ Handbook 4.2.2.). Data were summarised using the
generic inverse variance method using Review Manager 4.2.10 (Nordic Cochrane
Centre, 2006).
47
Methods used to develop this guideline
Consultation with another reviewer or members of the GDG was used to overcome
difficulties with coding. Data from studies included in existing systematic reviews
were extracted independently by one reviewer and cross-checked with the existing data
set. Where possible, two independent reviewers extracted data from new studies.
Where double data extraction was not possible, data extracted by one reviewer was
checked by the second reviewer. Disagreements were resolved with discussion. Where
consensus could not be reached, a third reviewer or GDG members resolved the
disagreement. Masked assessment (that is, blind to the journal from which the article
comes, the authors, the institution and the magnitude of the effect) was not used since
it is unclear that doing so reduces bias (Jadad et al., 1996; Berlin, 2001).
Where possible, meta-analysis was used to synthesise the evidence using Review
Manager 4.2.10 (Nordic Cochrane Centre, 2006). If necessary, reanalyses of the data
or sub-analyses were used to answer clinical questions not addressed in the original
studies or reviews.
Dichotomous outcomes were analysed as relative risks (RR) with the associated
95% CI (for an example, see Figure 1). A relative risk (also called a risk ratio) is the
ratio of the treatment event rate to the control event rate. An RR of 1 indicates no
difference between treatment and control. In Figure 1, the overall RR of 0.73 indi-
cates that the event rate (that is, non-remission rate) associated with intervention A is
about three quarters of that with the control intervention or, in other words, the rela-
tive risk reduction is 27%.
The CI shows with 95% certainty the range within which the true treatment effect
should lie and can be used to determine statistical significance. If the CI does not
cross the ‘line of no effect’, the effect is statistically significant.
Continuous outcomes were analysed as weighted mean differences (WMD), or as
an SMD when different measures were used in different studies to estimate the same
underlying effect (for an example, see Figure 2). If provided, intention-to-treat data,
using a method such as ‘last observation carried forward’, were preferred over data
from completers.
48
Methods used to develop this guideline
Figure 2: Example of a forest plot displaying continuous data
Review: NCCMH clinical guideline review (Example)
Comparison: 01 Intervention A compared to a control group
Outcome: 03 Mean frequency (endpoint)
Study Intervention A Control SMD (fixed) Weight SMD (fixed)
or sub-category N Mean (SD) N Mean (SD) 95% CI % 95% CI
01 Intervention A vs. control
Freeman1988 32 1.30(3.40) 20 3.70(3.60) 25.91 -0.68 [-1.25, -0.10]
Griffiths1994 20 1.25(1.45) 22 4.14(2.21) 17.83 -1.50 [-2.20, -0.81]
Lee1986 14 3.70(4.00) 14 10.10(17.50) 15.08 -0.49 [-1.24, 0.26]
Treasure1994 28 44.23(27.04) 24 61.40(24.97) 27.28 -0.65 [-1.21, -0.09]
Wolf1992 15 5.30(5.10) 11 7.10(4.60) 13.90 -0.36 [-1.14, 0.43]
Subtotal (95% CI) 109 91 100.00 -0.74 [-1.04, -0.45]
2 2
Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 6.13, df = 4 (P = 0.19), I = 34.8%
Test for overall effect: Z = 4.98 (P < 0.00001)
–4 –2 0 2 4
Favours intervention Favours control
To check for consistency between studies, both the I2 test of heterogeneity and a
visual inspection of the forest plots were used. The I2 statistic describes the propor-
tion of total variation in study estimates that is due to heterogeneity (Higgins &
Thompson, 2002). The I2 statistic was interpreted in the follow way:
● ⬎50%: notable heterogeneity (an attempt was made to explain the variation, for
example outliers were removed from the analysis or sub-analyses were conducted
to examine the possibility of moderators. If studies with heterogeneous results
were found to be comparable, a random-effects model was used to summarise the
results [DerSimonian & Laird, 1986]. In the random-effects analysis, heterogene-
ity is accounted for both in the width of CIs and in the estimate of the treatment
effect. With decreasing heterogeneity the random-effects approach moves asymp-
totically towards a fixed-effects model).
● 30 to 50%: moderate heterogeneity (both the chi-squared test of heterogeneity and
a visual inspection of the forest plot were used to decide between a fixed and
random-effects model).
● ⬍30%: mild heterogeneity (a fixed-effects model was used to synthesise the results).
To explore the possibility that the results entered into each meta-analysis suffered
from publication bias, data from included studies were entered, where there was suffi-
cient data, into a funnel plot. Asymmetry of the plot was taken to indicate possible
publication bias and investigated further.
An estimate of the proportion of eligible data that were missing (because some
studies did not include all relevant outcomes) was calculated for each analysis.
The Number Needed to Treat for Benefit (NNTB) or the Number Needed to Treat
for Harm (NNTH) was reported for each outcome where the baseline risk (that is,
control group event rate) was similar across studies. In addition, NNTs calculated at
follow-up were only reported where the length of follow-up was similar across stud-
ies. When the length of follow-up or baseline risk varies (especially with low risk),
the NNT is a poor summary of the treatment effect (Deeks, 2002).
Included/excluded studies tables, generated automatically from the study data-
base, were used to summarise general information about each study (see Appendix 9).
Where meta-analysis was not appropriate and/or possible, the reported results from
each primary-level study were also presented in the included studies table (and
included, where appropriate, in a narrative review).
49
Methods used to develop this guideline
Study characteristics tables and, where appropriate, forest plots generated with
Review Manager (Nordic Cochrane Centre, 2006) were presented to the GDG in
order to prepare a GRADE evidence profile table for each review and to develop
recommendations.
Forest plots
Each forest plot displayed the effect size and CI for each study as well as the overall
summary statistic. The graphs were organised so that the display of data in the area
to the left of the ‘line of no effect’ indicated a ‘favourable’ outcome for the treatment
in question.
50
Table 1: Example of GRADE evidence profile
No. of Design Limitations Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other Intervention Control Relative Absolute Quality
studies consider- (95% CI)
ations
Outcome 1
6 randomised no serious no serious no serious serious1 none 8/191 7/150 RR 0.94 0 fewer per 100 丣丣丣
trial limitations inconsistency indirectness (0.39 to 2.23) (from 3 fewer to MODERATE
6 more)
Outcome 2
6 randomised no serious no serious no serious serious2 none 55/236 63/196 RR 0.44 18 fewer per 100 丣丣丣
trial limitations inconsistency indirectness (0.21 to 0.94)3 (from 2 fewer to MODERATE
25 fewer)
Outcome 3
Outcome 4
Outcome 5
4 randomised no serious no serious no serious serious4 none 109 114 – SMD −0.13 丣丣丣
trial limitations inconsistency indirectness (−0.6 to 0.34) MODERATE
1Theupper confidence limit includes an effect that, if it were real, would represent a benefit that, given the downsides, would still be worth it.
2Thelower confidence limit crosses a threshold below which, given the downsides of the intervention, one would not recommend the intervention.
51
Methods used to develop this guideline
3Random-effects model.
495% CI crosses the minimal importance difference threshold.
Methods used to develop this guideline
Once the GRADE profile tables relating to a particular clinical question were
completed, summary tables incorporating important information from the GRADE
profiles were developed (these tables are presented in the evidence chapters). Finally,
the systematic reviewer in conjunction with the topic group lead produced a clinical
evidence summary.
Once the GRADE profiles and clinical summaries were finalised and agreed
by the GDG, the associated recommendations were drafted, taking into account
the trade-off between the benefits and downsides of treatment as well as other
important factors. These included economic considerations, values of the devel-
opment group and society and the GDG’s awareness of practical issues (Eccles,
et al., 1998).
In addition, when recommendations were completed, the GDG identified areas
that would benefit from future research and developed research recommendations.
These were based on areas identified by the systematic literature search indicating a
lack of evidence. Further criteria included: the potential importance of the data gained
to inform updates of the guideline, what is known about planned research or research
currently in progress, feasibility of the study within the timescale of the update, and
the likely sources of available funding.
Informal consensus
The starting point for the process of informal consensus was that a member of the
topic group identified, with help from the systematic reviewer, a narrative review that
most directly addressed the clinical question. Where this was not possible, a brief
review of the recent literature was initiated.
This existing narrative review or new review was used as a basis for beginning an
iterative process to identify lower levels of evidence relevant to the clinical question
and to lead to written statements for the guideline. The process involved a number of
steps:
1. A description of what is known about the issues concerning the clinical question
was written by one of the topic group members.
2. Evidence from the existing review or new review was then presented in narrative
form to the GDG and further comments were sought about the evidence and its
perceived relevance to the clinical question.
52
Methods used to develop this guideline
3. Based on the feedback from the GDG, additional information was sought and
added to the information collected. This may include studies that did not directly
address the clinical question but were thought to contain relevant data.
4. If, during the course of preparing the report, a significant body of primary-level
studies (of appropriate design to answer the question) were identified, a full
systematic review was done.
5. At this time, subject possibly to further reviews of the evidence, a series of state-
ments that directly addressed the clinical question were developed.
6. Following this, on occasions and as deemed appropriate by the development
group, the report was then sent to appointed experts outside the GDG for peer
review and comment. The information from this process was then fed back to the
GDG for further discussion of the statements.
7. Recommendations were then developed and could also be sent for further exter-
nal peer review.
8. After this final stage of comment, the statements and recommendations were
again reviewed and agreed upon by the GDG.
For the systematic review of economic evidence the standard mental health related
bibliographic databases (EMBASE, MEDLINE, CINAHL and PsycINFO) were
searched. For these databases, a health economics search filter adapted from the
Centre for Reviews and Dissemination at the University of York was used in combi-
nation with a general search strategy for antisocial personality disorder, offending
behaviour and the antisocial personality disorder construct (see Chapter 7 for expla-
nation of this term). Additional searches were performed in specific health econom-
ics databases (NHS EED, OHE HEED), as well as in the HTA database. For the HTA
and NHS EED databases, general search strategies for the population groups of inter-
est were used. OHE HEED was searched using a shorter, database-specific strategy.
53
Methods used to develop this guideline
Initial searches were performed in January 2007. The searches were updated regu-
larly, with the final search conducted 6 weeks before the consultation period. Details
on the search strategies adopted for the systematic review of economic evidence are
provided in Appendix 11.
In parallel with searches of electronic databases, reference lists of eligible studies
and relevant reviews were searched by hand. Studies included in the clinical evidence
review were also screened for economic evidence.
In addition to searches for economic evidence, literature on health-related quality
of life (HRQoL) of people with antisocial personality disorder and related symptoms
and behaviours was systematically searched to identify studies reporting appropriate
utility weights that could be utilised in a cost-utility analysis.
The systematic search for economic evidence resulted in more than 20,000 refer-
ences in total. Publications that were clearly not relevant to the topic (that is, did not
provide any information on the economics of antisocial personality disorder and
related symptoms and behaviours) were excluded first. The abstracts of all poten-
tially relevant publications (108 papers) were then assessed against a set of inclusion
criteria by the health economist. Full texts of all potentially eligible studies (includ-
ing those for which relevance/eligibility was not clear from the abstract) were
obtained. Studies that did not meet the inclusion criteria, were duplicates, were
secondary publications of one study, or had been updated in more recent publica-
tions were subsequently excluded. Finally, 32 studies that provided information on
the economics of antisocial personality disorder and related symptoms and behav-
iour were selected. Of these, 15 were cost-of-illness studies or studies that reported
data on healthcare resource use and intangible costs associated with the populations
covered in the guideline, and 17 studies were economic evaluations of interventions
for the management or prevention of antisocial personality disorder, offending
behaviour and related conditions. All economic evaluations eligible for inclusion in
the systematic review of economic literature were critically appraised according to
the checklists used by the British Medical Journal to assist referees in appraising full
and partial economic analyses (Drummond & Jefferson, 1996) (see Appendix 12).
The following inclusion criteria were applied to select studies identified by the
economic searches for further analysis:
● No restriction was placed on language or publication status of the papers.
● Studies published from 1996 onwards were included. This date restriction was
imposed in order to obtain data relevant to current healthcare settings and costs.
● Only studies from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
countries were included, as the aim of the review was to identify economic infor-
mation transferable to the UK context.
● Selection criteria regarding types of clinical conditions and population groups as
well as minimum required periods of follow-up were identical to that determined
for the clinical literature review.
54
Methods used to develop this guideline
● Studies were included provided that sufficient details regarding methods and
results were available to enable the methodological quality of the study to be
assessed, and provided that the study’s data and results were extractable. Poster
presentations of abstracts were excluded.
● Full economic evaluations that compared two or more relevant options and
considered both costs and consequences (that is, cost–consequence analyses, cost-
effectiveness analyses, cost–utility analyses or cost–benefit analyses) as well as
partial economic evaluations (that is, costing analyses) were included in the
systematic review; non-comparative studies were not considered for review.
Data were extracted by the health economists using a standard economic data extrac-
tion form (see Appendix 13).
55
Methods used to develop this guideline
56
Organisation and experience of care
4.1 INTRODUCTION
57
Organisation and experience of care
58
Organisation and experience of care
the case even in services with a specific focus on personality disorder (Crawford
et al., 2007). The last 20 years have also seen a significant expansion in the provision
of forensic psychiatric services, which, it might reasonably be expected, would have
played a significant role in the treatment of people with antisocial personality disorder.
However, there are few specialist services that focus specifically on antisocial person-
ality disorder (one dedicated service is Arnold Lodge in the East Midlands).
Although the initial interest in the development of the concept of psychopathy
came from the study of individuals who had committed very serious offences, there
has been little development in specialist treatment units for these people. A number
of the high security hospitals have developed specialist personality disorder units, but
it has proved difficult to manage these services successfully and they have, on occasion,
been the subject of considerable public concern (for example, Fallon et al., 1999). A
recent development in the UK has been the development of specialist services for
people with dangerous and severe personality disorder (DSPD) (Home Office,
2005a). The programme aims to support ‘public protection through the development
of pilot treatment services for dangerous offenders whose offending is linked to
severe personality disorder’, but also to improve their mental health outcomes and to
understand more fully the treatments that work for this group (Home Office, 2005a).
Where community services exist specifically for the treatment of antisocial
personality disorder, these are most well developed within the criminal justice
system, in which people with antisocial personality disorder have historically
formed a significant proportion of those attending probation services. In recent
years there has been a move away from a case work model in probation services
(based on the social work model) to one that focuses more explicitly on reducing
re-offending (Vanstone, 2000). This has led to the development of a number of
community treatments that draw heavily on cognitive behavioural techniques (for
example, Hollin, 1999).
The current provision of care for people with antisocial personality disorder is the
responsibility of a number of organisations, principally those in the criminal justice
system, but with significant input for specific populations from specialist forensic
mental health services. All mental health services, in particular drug and alcohol serv-
ices, and to a lesser extent general mental health services, provide support and care
for people with antisocial personality disorder, but this is usually not for the treatment
of the disorder itself but for comorbid conditions. The needs of people with antisocial
personality disorder who present in primary care are even less well recognised.
Primary care
As with all forms of mental disorder, the majority of people with personality disorder
who require treatment are cared for within primary care services (Department of
Health, 2003). Approximately a quarter of attendees to GP practices fulfil diagnosis
for personality disorder, often presenting with comorbid common mental health
59
Organisation and experience of care
problems (Moran et al., 2000). Of these, 5.2% will have an ICD-10/DSM-IV diagnosis
of dissocial or antisocial personality disorder (Moran et al., 2000). It is only those
who experience the most significant distress who are referred to specialist mental
health services, with there being a much greater likelihood of contact with the
criminal justice system (Eastern Specialised Mental Health Commissioning Group
[ESMHCG], 2005). Given the recognition of the potential treatability of comorbid
mental disorders and the role that drug and alcohol misuse may play in exacerbating
antisocial behaviour, greater awareness needs to be developed to ensure that early
support and interventions are in place to identify and treat people who have a diagnosis
of personality disorder in primary care.
Secondary care
Many people with personality disorder, including those with antisocial personality
disorder, are treated in general secondary mental health services, although the majority
of these are in receipt of interventions for comorbid Axis I disorders and not
treatments for antisocial personality disorder (Goodwin & Hamilton, 2003). Similarly
drug and alcohol services will also treat significant numbers of people with antisocial
personality disorder (Bowden-Jones et al., 2004). Acute inpatient units involved in
the treatment of patients with personality disorder (predominantly borderline person-
ality disorder) have a specific but limited role in managing crisis, including escalation
of risk to self or others (Department of Health, 2003). The ways in which people with
personality disorder, including those with antisocial personality disorder, have been
managed by mental health services are complicated, and service users have often
been treated at the margins through A&E departments, inpatient wards and on the
caseloads of the community psychiatric staff who may not have the required special-
ist skills and time (ESMHCG, 2005).
In 2002 only 17% of trusts in England provided dedicated personality disorder
services; 40% provided some level of service; 28% provided no identified service;
and 32% returned no data (Department of Health, 2003). The report also found a
disparity of therapeutic approaches and mode of service delivery (Department of
Health, 2003). The most common therapies included psychodynamic psychotherapy,
CBT, dialectical behaviour therapy or cognitive analytic therapy, delivered on both an
outpatient and day patient basis (Department of Health, 2003).
There is also very limited specialist residential treatment within the NHS, with
four units in the UK that are run as therapeutic communities: the Therapeutic
Community Service (previously known as Webb House, Crewe), Main House, Cassel
Hospital and the Francis Dixon Lodge (Department of Health, 2003). These predom-
inantly provide services for people with borderline personality disorder.
Crawford and Rutter (2007) reviewed 11 dedicated community-based personality
disorder pilot services funded by the Department of Health in England. The evalua-
tion found that most services were designed primarily for people with personality
disorder who had some motivation to change (Crawford & Rutter, 2007). Several had
formal exclusion criteria, most commonly the presence of a psychotic illness, use of
medication or uncontrolled substance misuse, significant learning difficulties and
history of significant violence or aggressive behaviour. Staff at most of the pilot sites
60
Organisation and experience of care
reported that they worked predominantly with people with cluster B and C personality
disorders, the most common diagnosis being borderline personality disorder. In
contrast, most services reported that they did not work with people whose foremost
diagnosis was antisocial personality disorder (Crawford et al., 2007). While several
services had links with the criminal justice system and were able to offer advice and
support to those working with people with antisocial personality disorder, concerns
about risk to others meant that most services excluded people with the diagnosis
(Crawford & Rutter, 2007). Service providers were concerned that people with
antisocial personality disorder might be unresponsive to psychological treatment;
however providers were prepared to work with people with other forms of personality
disorder where there was limited evidence for effective treatment (Crawford & Rutter,
2007). Referrers of patients to these specialist pilot services were frustrated that
people with antisocial personality disorder could not be referred to their local person-
ality disorder services.
Nevertheless despite the rather negative findings about antisocial personality
disorder, Crawford & Rutter (2007) found there was a broad agreement about the
basic parameters for providing services to people with personality disorder. They
stated that services should:
● be delivered over a relatively long period
● work flexibly with service users while ensuring the service they provide is consis-
tent and reliable
● have the capacity to deliver more than one intervention of varying intensity to suit
those with different levels of motivation
● deliver social as well as psychological interventions
● have the ability to ensure that service users are given time to prepare for leaving
the service
● combine direct service provision with support for colleagues working in other
settings aimed at increasing their capacity to work with people with personality
disorder and decrease social exclusion
● ensure that staff work closely together and receive regular supervision.
Tertiary care
Forensic mental health services care for mentally ill people who need a degree of
security and have shown challenging or risky behaviour that is beyond the capacity of
general psychiatric services to effectively manage. Forensic services fall into three
categories: low security services, which tend to be based near general psychiatric
wards in NHS hospitals; medium security services, which often operate regionally
and usually consist of locked wards with a greater number and a wider range of staff;
and high security services, which are provided by the three special hospitals
(Ashworth, Broadmoor and Rampton), which have much greater levels of security
and care for people who pose an immediate and serious risk to others. In addition,
new services are developing to meet the needs of high-risk offenders in the community
with mental disorders, for example Resettle, formally known as Community Risk
Assessment and Case Management Service (CRACMS), in northwest England
(Ministry of Justice, 2007).
61
Organisation and experience of care
62
Organisation and experience of care
clinically not to meet the person’s needs, where the hostel-supported housing project
is able to do so (Home Office, 2005b).
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Organisation and experience of care
prison (ESMHCG, 2005), although this would include perhaps 50% of the prison
population (Singleton et al., 1998). In many prisons the most likely intervention
will be a cognitive and behavioural skills programme such as Reasoning and
Rehabilitation, but this is focused on the offending behaviour and not the antisocial
personality disorder (see Chapter 7). It should also be remembered that the high
psychiatric comorbidity of this population may also require specific mental health
interventions. While recognising the constraints and the significant work that has
taken place to establish effective mental health services in prison, the ESMHCG
recommended that the service specification for prison mental health services should
recognise the needs of people with personality disorder (including antisocial
personality disorder) in prisons, that a realistic plan is developed to improve serv-
ice provision in prison, and that discharge arrangements are effective, including
ensuring that, where appropriate, prisoners who are discharged have follow-up
arrangements with mental health services in addition to suitable accommodation
and registration with a GP.
Multi-agency working
The focus of this guideline is on healthcare services, but effective care of people with
antisocial personality disorder is not possible without close working links with other
services, in particular the criminal justice system. Indeed for the majority of people
in the community with antisocial personality disorder who are in contact with serv-
ices, the primary care will come from the probation service through individual care
work and offender management programmes. It is therefore vital that strong links
exist across these organisations to ensure effective care is provided. In addition to
health and the criminal justice system, housing, adult education and the voluntary
sector services will be required.
There have been significant advances in the organisation, development and delivery
of care for people with antisocial personality disorder. However, it is questionable
whether many of the more substantial investments, particularly offender-based inter-
ventions in prisons and the community (such as Reasoning and Rehabilitation) have
impacted on the care for people with antisocial personality disorder in healthcare
settings in a significant way.
Yet the vast majority of people with antisocial personality disorder remain in the
community and have significant psychiatric morbidity and associated social and inter-
personal difficulties. While these individuals are often not treatment seeking, effec-
tive interventions for comorbid problems are nevertheless available (see Chapter 7).
Comorbid alcohol and drug misuse could have a significant impact not just on the
individual’s health and well being but also on that of their families and the wider
community. It is important, therefore, that services have clear pathways that allow for
the effective engagement of people with antisocial personality disorder in general
mental health and substance misuse services and that specialist services meet their
64
Organisation and experience of care
comorbid needs. While the majority of people with antisocial personality disorder are
engaged with primary care, and to a lesser extent with secondary services, and only a
small number move through to specialist services, the latter nevertheless have a
significant role in providing ongoing support and training to those working in primary
and secondary care services. The provision of effective care pathways and the relevant
roles of individuals in supporting these should be clear.
Services should therefore consider the establishment of personality disorder
networks. These networks should have a significant role in training, including the
training of specialist and general mental health professionals and staff working in
the criminal justice system. These networks should also provide support and may
provide a resource for specialist support and supervision. They may also have some
role in coordinating pathways within various health services.
4.2.4 Recommendations
Assessment
4.2.4.1 When assessing a person with possible antisocial personality disorder,
healthcare professionals in secondary and forensic mental health services
should conduct a full assessment of:
● antisocial behaviours
● personality functioning, coping strategies, strengths and vulnerabilities
● comorbid mental disorders (including depression and anxiety, drug or
alcohol misuse, post-traumatic stress disorder and other personality
disorders)
● the need for psychological treatment, social care and support, and
occupational rehabilitation or development
● domestic violence and abuse.
4.2.4.2 Staff involved in the assessment of antisocial personality disorder in
secondary and specialist services should use structured assessment meth-
ods whenever possible to increase the validity of the assessment. For foren-
sic services, the use of measures such as PCL-R or PCL-SV to assess the
severity of antisocial personality disorder should be part of the routine
assessment process.
4.2.4.3 Staff working in primary and secondary care services (for example, drug
and alcohol services) and community services (for example, the probation
service) that include a high proportion of people with antisocial person-
ality disorder should be alert to the possibility of antisocial personality
disorder in service users. Where antisocial personality disorder is
suspected and the person is seeking help, consider offering a referral to an
appropriate forensic mental health service depending on the nature of the
presenting complaint. For example, for depression and anxiety this may
be to general mental health services; for problems directly relating to the
personality disorder it may be to a specialist personality disorder or foren-
sic service.
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Organisation and experience of care
Access to services
4.2.4.4 People with antisocial personality disorder should not be excluded from
any health or social care service because of their diagnosis or history of
antisocial or offending behaviour.
4.2.4.5 Seek to minimise any disruption to therapeutic interventions for people
with antisocial personality disorder by:
● ensuring that in the initial planning and delivery of treatment, transfers
from institutional to community settings take into account the need to
continue treatment
● avoiding unnecessary transfer of care between institutions whenever
possible during an intervention, to prevent disruption to the agreed
treatment plan. This should be considered at initial planning of
treatment.
4.2.4.6 Ensure that people with antisocial personality disorder from black and
minority ethnic groups have equal access to culturally appropriate services
based on clinical need.
4.2.4.7 When language or literacy is a barrier to accessing or engaging with serv-
ices for people with antisocial personality disorder, provide:
● information in their preferred language and in an accessible format
● psychological or other interventions in their preferred language
● independent interpreters.
4.2.4.8 When a diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder is made, discuss the
implications of it with the person, the family or carers where appropriate,
and relevant staff, and:
● acknowledge the issues around stigma and exclusion that have charac-
terised care for people with antisocial personality disorder
● emphasise that the diagnosis does not limit access to a range of appro-
priate treatments for comorbid mental health disorders
● provide information on and clarify the respective roles of the health-
care, social care and criminal justice services.
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Organisation and experience of care
This section is concerned with the training, supervision and support required to
deliver effective care for people with antisocial personality disorder. It begins with a
review of relevant research of staff experience in the field of personality disorder
before considering more specific reviews and policy documents in relation to training
and supervision.
A systematic review of the literature was conducted. Information about the databases
searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for this section of the guideline can
be found in Table 2.
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Organisation and experience of care
The identified papers were discussed by the NCCMH team and GDG members
including service user representatives. A number of themes were identified from the liter-
ature and these themes were used to structure the review, namely: attitudes to personal-
ity disorder; self-awareness; clinical support; safety concerns and staff dynamics.
68
Organisation and experience of care
DSPD unit, was that staff attitudes to personality disorder were amenable to positive
change, probably as a result of social processes operating through interactions with the
service users. Staff considered getting to know inmates as individuals as positive expe-
riences (Bowers et al., 2005). Indeed through these processes, staff felt better able to
understand what underlay inmates’ particular behaviours, and more readily recognised
that different prisoners have different needs (Bowers et al., 2005).
Self-awareness
A consistent theme emerging from the literature was the importance of staff’s self-
awareness in their interactions with people with personality disorders. Wright and
colleagues (2007) argued that self-reflection could give rise to more meaningful
engagement with service users, not only because problems with interpersonal
processes are fundamental to personality disorders, but also staff can begin to make
sense of challenges in the therapeutic relationship as not just being attributable to the
service user (or their personality disorder), but also to staff themselves. Indeed,
unhelpful responses from staff could often be responsible for compounding service
users’ problems (Stalker et al., 2005).
Group-based supervision might provide opportunities for staff to self-reflect and
to air their emotions in relationship with others. For example, staff at Grendon
Underwood prison, where the majority of inmates are diagnosed with personality
disorder, have developed staff sensitivity groups as a coping strategy for dealing with
the difficult emotions arising from their work (Shine, 1997).
In an exploratory study, Kurtz and Turner (2007) interviewed staff working in a
medium security unit for offenders with personality disorder. Staff felt that working
with service users’ interpersonal problems sometimes meant staff themselves had to
confront their personal difficulties in order to detach from the service users’ problems.
Kurtz (2005) highlighted the importance of regular individual supervision to promote
a reflective approach to practice, but also suggested that is important to distinguish it
from a more managerial or evaluative type of supervision.
Clinical support
Clinical supervision specific to personality disorder is considered particularly important
and beneficial for staff who may not have come from a health or social care back-
ground (for example prison officers), who nevertheless deal with individuals with
personality disorder on a regular basis. Indeed the exploratory study in Grendon
Underwood (Shine, 1997) highlighted the lack of specific training among the majority
of the prison staff to deal with some of the particularly challenging incidents they
faced (such as inmates’ confrontations and hostile interactions), which were less
frequent in other prisons.
In a similar vein, the majority of staff from different agencies interviewed by
Huband and Duggan (2007) reported having had basic training to deal with specific
behavioural problems such as aggression, but this did little to further their understand-
ing of personality disorder. Staff felt they would value scenario-based training to
complement conventional approaches (Huband & Duggan, 2007). Likewise in the study
of 11 community-based personality disorder pilot services (Crawford & Rutter, 2007),
69
Organisation and experience of care
Safety concerns
Findings from Carr-Walker and colleagues (2004) suggest that nurses working in high
security psychiatric hospitals would benefit from more comprehensive training on
security and safety issues, which are already available to prison officers.
Staff dynamics
Kurtz and Turner’s (2007) exploratory study showed that while staff in a medium
security unit readily recognised the value of organisational structure and purpose, and
a sense of belonging within that structure (through positive collaboration with
colleagues), they also felt isolated from other colleagues who did not understand the
nature of personality disorder or the work involved, and sometimes even within their
own team. Staff sometimes found it harder to manage difficulties with colleagues than
with service users, because of the absence of a safe and open forum for discussion
(Kurtz & Turner, 2007).
Arising from these observations, Kurtz (2005; Kurtz & Turner, 2007) suggested
that organisations should have in place regular group supervision provided by an
external consultant, who can provide an impartial view. This is particularly important
in light of the experiences of Moore and Freestone (2006) in setting up community
meetings in a DSPD unit, where they encountered staff reluctance to bring up issues
for fear of exacerbating them, especially in the context of meetings that also included
service users. Supervision groups with staff alone should therefore provide a ‘bound-
aried space’ to reflect on relationships with colleagues, and anxieties arising at the
organisational level (Kurtz, 2005; Kurtz & Turner, 2007). Supervision also should
focus on a coherent understanding of the organisational tasks and ideally include
senior staff who interface with external organisations and can bring a broader context
to the work of the frontline staff.
The identified papers for this section were discussed by the NCCMH team and GDG
members (including service user representatives). A number of themes were identified
from the literature and these were used to structure the review, namely: the content of
current training; the need for practice development and supervision; quality assurance;
and external monitoring.
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Organisation and experience of care
to work with people with personality disorders because they felt they lacked the
skills, training or resources to provide an adequate service. This was no doubt
related to the lack of adequate training in the area (Department of Health, 2003).
Furthermore, in a preliminary study for the document, staff were poorly prepared
across all disciplines by their core professional training to work within these services
(Duggan, 2002). The report identified a significant lack of training for staff working
within general adult mental health services, in primary care, social services, social
housing or the voluntary sector (Duggan, 2002). It appears that training was based on
meeting the immediate needs and interests of staff, and not strategically planned nor
based on the required competencies or any underlying theoretical models (Duggan,
2002). There was also a lack of training to address the special needs of women and
people from black and minority ethnic groups (Duggan, 2002).
There is university-based training offering awards in specific therapeutic tech-
niques including cognitive behavioural or analytical therapy, dialectical behaviour
therapy, therapeutic environments and forensic aspects (Duggan, 2002). The prelimi-
nary report found that this training is largely targeted towards staff with an existing
professional qualification who have an interest in personality disorder and/or work-
ing in tertiary services providing highly specialised treatment and support regimes
(Duggan, 2002). Although of real value, these courses failed to meet the needs of
many staff without existing qualifications and/or who did not work in specialist units.
This suggests that any framework for training in personality disorder services
should provide for not only mental health staff but for staff working in primary care and
other agencies. Such training should be: (a) team focused with training in team building
and team working; (b) supported and valued by the organisation including having iden-
tified resources and cover provided where necessary to free up staff to attend training;
(c) appropriately targeted, ensuring that training meets the different needs within the
organisation; and (d) responsive to local need and services (ESMHCG, 2005).
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Organisation and experience of care
Training for staff in specialist services is most likely to be accredited and quality
assured through contact with credible university providers (Duggan, 2002). The
preliminary report found that no such assurances can be given in relation to any other
type of training and suggests that a future training strategy must reflect the evidence
base and incorporate processes for assuring and maintaining quality (Duggan, 2002).
The comprehensive quality assurance programme developed by the prison service for
their offender management programmes (Gill Attril, presentation to the GDG, 2007)
is a potential model because it contains a combination of routine direct observation
of the delivery of the intervention with explicit audit criteria and both external and
internal monitoring.
All arrangements and services for people with personality disorder should be subject
to regular review, evaluation and audit as recommended by the ESMHCG (2005). In
the planning and delivery guide for high security services for people with DSPD,
external evaluation and validation of all aspects of service delivery and of the
outcomes achieved are reported to form the key components of the programme that
will be commissioned centrally (Home Office, 2005a). Beyond the process of external
evaluation, DSPD units are expected to evaluate and validate their own facilities,
treatments and interventions (Home Office, 2005b).
The overall impression from reviewing the studies of both staff experience and
training suggests that staff too often feel excluded and misunderstood and
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Organisation and experience of care
4.3.6 Recommendations
Staff competence
4.3.6.1 All staff working with people with antisocial personality disorder should
be familiar with the ‘Ten essential shared capabilities: a framework for the
whole of the mental health practice’3 and have a knowledge and awareness
of antisocial personality disorder that facilitates effective working with
service users, families or carers, and colleagues.
4.3.6.2 All staff working with people with antisocial personality disorder should
have skills appropriate to the nature and level of contact with service users.
These skills include:
● for all frontline staff, knowledge about antisocial personality disorder
and understanding behaviours in context, including awareness of the
potential for therapeutic boundary violations (for example, inappropri-
ate relations with service users)
● for staff with regular and sustained contact with people with antisocial
personality disorder, the ability to respond effectively to the needs of
service users
● for staff with direct therapeutic or management roles, competence in
the specific treatment interventions and management strategies used in
the service.
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Organisation and experience of care
4.3.6.3 Services should ensure that all staff providing psychosocial or pharmaco-
logical interventions for the treatment or prevention of antisocial personality
disorder are competent and properly qualified and supervised, and that
they adhere closely to the structure and duration of the interventions as set
out in the relevant treatment manuals. This should be achieved through:
● use of competence frameworks based on relevant treatment manuals
● routine use of sessional outcome measures
● routine direct monitoring and evaluation of staff adherence, for exam-
ple through the use of video and audio tapes and external audit and
scrutiny where appropriate.
4.4.1 Introduction
There are few studies exploring the views and experiences of people with personality
disorder, and even fewer that represent the experience of those with antisocial person-
ality disorder. In part this is due to the difficulties posed by interviewing people in
high security environments (Faulkner & Morris, 2002). In the review of the literature
that follows some of the studies were of a mixed sample of people with different types
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Organisation and experience of care
of personality disorder; where the studies were specific about people with antisocial
personality disorder this has been noted.
A systematic review of the literature was conducted, which identified 15 studies
which were included in the review. Information about the databases searched and the
inclusion/exclusion criteria used for this section of the guideline can be found in
Table 3.
The identified papers were discussed by the NCCMH team and GDG members
(including service user and carer representatives). A number of themes were identi-
fied from the literature and these were used to structure the review. The themes were
grouped under two headings: experience of healthcare and related settings (including
diagnosis, stigma, and contact with healthcare professionals; experience of personal-
ity disorder; coping strategies; experience of services; and treatment preferences) and
experience of secure hospitals and the criminal justice system (including prison and
special hospitals; transfer from prison to hospital; and the DSPD programme).
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Organisation and experience of care
shame and exclusion: ‘After I was discharged I opened a letter from my psychiatrist
to the GP. It said it there. I was a bit stumped—shocked. I’d heard about people that
had been diagnosed with personality disorder being the black sheep of the commu-
nity. It made me feel I didn’t belong anywhere’ (Castillo, 2000). When asked what
they thought the diagnosis meant, 22 said that it had led to them not being treated with
respect by healthcare professionals: ‘Staff didn’t want to know’; ‘Told I was attention
seeking’ (Castillo, 2000). The categorisation of personality disorder as an Axis II
disorder was also felt to have some bearing on how they were perceived: ‘Treated less
sympathetically. . .not mental illness—something you have brought on yourself’;
‘People don’t believe there’s anything wrong with you if you’ve got personality
disorder’ (Castillo, 2000). Ten people described having a mixture of good and bad
treatment: ‘In one area they may give you help. In another area you don’t get help.
It’s very patchy’ (Castillo, 2000). Only two people were wholly positive about how
they had been treated.
The participants of a focus group convened by Haigh (2002) thought that the term
‘personality disorder’ was associated with stigma and that healthcare professionals
viewed people with the condition as untreatable. They felt that because of the
diagnosis they were excluded from some services. The term ‘antisocial personality
disorder’ was thought to be even more of a burden and it was felt that mental health
services were not well-equipped to meet the needs of people with the disorder. The
participants felt anxious about the term ‘dangerous and severe personality disorder’,
particularly that it would be applied to them and they would be detained (Haigh,
2002). It was strongly stated by the participants that they required high-quality
printed information about personality disorders, and that they should not be actively
discouraged from seeking information by professionals. It was suggested that service
users should help train healthcare professionals in managing people with personality
disorder, particularly in terms of developing empathy and understanding (Haigh, 2002).
In a study by Stalker and colleagues (2005), which elicited the views of ten people
with a diagnosis of personality disorder, half felt that the term ‘personality disorder’
was disparaging. However one male participant thought that it accurately described
his problems: ‘It doesn’t particularly disturb me. I don’t see any problem because that
is exactly what I suffer from—a disorder of the personality’ (Stalker et al., 2005). In
contrast with Castillo (2000), the majority of the participants were positive about their
contact with healthcare professionals. It should be noted that the sample size in
Stalker and colleagues (2005) was much smaller, containing eight women and only
two men, and probably consisted predominantly of people with borderline personality
disorder (the type of personality disorder was not stated).
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Organisation and experience of care
Coping strategies
In Stalker and colleagues (2005), the participants in the survey recognised a number
of strategies they employed to help them cope. The most common approaches
included: visiting a mental health resource centre; talking to a professional or a partner;
keeping active; exercise; going to bed; medication; ‘keeping yourself to yourself’;
‘fighting the illness’; use of drugs and alcohol; overdosing; and cutting. The partici-
pants acknowledged that some of these activities were harmful, but felt they had no
alternatives: ‘When I am feeling really bad, [drinking is] the only thing that really
blots out the memories’ (Stalker et al., 2005).
Experience of services
Accessing mental health services can be problematic for many people with personal-
ity disorder. Strike and colleagues (2006) suggested in a Canadian qualitative study
that this was a particular problem for men with severe personality disorder (some of
whom had antisocial personality disorder) who were suicidal and had a history of
substance misuse. They found that negative experiences with mental health services
resulted in men with severe personality disorder not wishing to access services until
there was a crisis. Consequently they received the majority of their treatment and care
through emergency departments; often they were taken to hospital involuntarily
because of disturbing and/or dangerous behaviour. The care they received in the
emergency departments did little to improve the men’s views of mental health serv-
ices and did not result in them accessing mental health services in the future. In a
further qualitative study of the same sample of people (Links et al., 2007), partici-
pants (17 out of 24 had antisocial personality disorder) spoke of the reasons why they
avoided emergency departments, including long waiting times, seeing lots of differ-
ent healthcare professionals, the possibility of being confined, anxiety about losing
control, feeling ashamed and being discharged before their crisis had been dealt with
properly. One participant explained: ‘the hospital is always my last resort, because
usually when I come to hospital I end up feeling worse because of the whole proce-
dure and process, and the waiting and. . .it’s more nerve-wracking for me’ (Links
et al., 2007). Sometimes the staff were ‘rude’ and ‘dismissive’, and participants
suggested that training and attention to interpersonal interactions were required. It was
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Organisation and experience of care
also suggested that one way of improving access to emergency psychiatric treatment
would be having separate psychiatric emergency services or triage points.
In the Castillo survey (2000), 34% said that they wanted improved services. The
themes that emerged included: being listened to; being treated with respect; health-
care professionals having a greater understanding of the condition; being given more
information; being offered less medication and more ‘talking therapies’. Other people
said that out-of-hours or helpline services would be useful. When asked what had
helped them, 34% mentioned their therapists, 26% said medication, 24% noted
psychiatrists, hospital or hospital key worker, and 22% singled out their community
mental health team for praise.
A lack of services tailored to their needs has also been highlighted by people with
personality disorder (Haigh, 2002). The majority of the participants in the focus
group convened by Haigh (2002) had had negative experiences in general mental
health services, although those referred for specialist treatment were more positive.
Participants also highlighted that it would be helpful if there was a 24-hour phone
support service that could be used during a crisis, and that GPs received education
about personality disorders and how to manage them. Because engagement with
services can often be problematic, it was suggested that a mentoring/befriending
service with ‘adult fostering’ might be beneficial. Participants said that in an ideal
world they would like a local centre providing holistic approaches to the myriad
difficulties experienced by people with personality disorder (Haigh, 2002). For
larger areas, there should ideally be some form of therapeutic community with
outreach services; these would be day services, on the whole, which would enable
the service user to forge stronger links with their local community.
Treatment preferences
The participants in the Haigh (2002) study felt that being offered options for treatment
was helpful, and that there was an over-reliance on drug treatment. They emphasised
that they had important views on treatment (that is, what helped them and did not help
them) and that staff should listen to them when deciding on interventions (Haigh,
2002). They also stressed the importance of early intervention in adolescence to
prevent the deterioration of symptoms in adulthood.
In Castillo and colleagues’ survey (2001) of 50 people with personality disor-
der, cognitive analytic therapy was the most highly rated of the therapies, although
it was not made clear whether those rating it were people with antisocial personality
disorder.
In a survey of 12 male patients of a highly specialist personality disorder hospital
treatment unit (McMurran & Wilmington, 2007), nine of whom had antisocial
personality disorder, both psychoeducation and social problem-solving therapies were
thought to be ‘useful’ by this group. The majority found psychoeducation ‘informa-
tive, interesting and helpful’, social problem-solving therapy was thought to be
‘generally helpful’ and the group work was viewed as ‘enriching the problem-solving
process’. However, the patients also suggested ways of improving the interventions.
For psychoeducation this included reducing the waiting time between being assessed
and being given feedback and receiving support afterwards for any distress caused by
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Organisation and experience of care
learning more about their condition. For social problem-solving therapy, suggested
improvements involved more frequent reviews of how well the therapy was working,
more consistency in how the treatment was delivered, helping patients to draw out
problems, supporting them during group therapy, and developing an advanced form
of the intervention. For both interventions the patients thought that providing further
written information would be helpful.
‘That is the worst part of being a special hospital patient. You are sentenced to
natural life imprisonment in a mental institution and from there . . . it is down to
a lottery whether you ever get out: whether your doctor is competent, whether
the RSU [regional secure unit] doctor likes you and is competent, whether the
RSU wants you considering the pressures on RSU beds’. (Patient H).
Patient B felt that the unit itself was a problem in that it segregated the people with
personality disorder from other patients, and could lead to the creation of a ‘better
psychopath’, by enabling them to become more manipulative and clever.
Experiences of treatment were mixed. Patient B was positive about the hospital
and said he recognised he had problems that needed to be treated, and entered into
treatment willingly. He did, however, have some doubts about the value of group
work and he saw nurses as ‘more security guards than therapists’. Both Patient A and
Patient C felt that the treatment options were very limited. For Patient A treatment
consisted of therapy with a primary nurse and a few meetings with a psychologist.
Patient C had a number of hours of ‘psychology work’, although he had declined an
offer of a place on a group for sex offenders. He thought of his being detained in
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Organisation and experience of care
Ashworth as not therapeutic but preventive. Patient E had attended several different
groups, including anger management and a sex offenders’ group. The sex offenders’
group had forced him to face what he had done as he had previously not thought of
himself as a sex offender, and it had also addressed the causes behind his offences.
However, he was critical of the lack of ‘imaginative’ treatments that enable patients
to move forward.
Patient F was critical of the treatment in Ashworth, comparing it negatively with
the treatment he had first received in Broadmoor which had enabled him to make
positive personal developments and he had appreciated having support after therapy
sessions had ended. Patient G remarked on the fact that a specialist hospital could not
provide the treatments that had been recommended for him (a neuropsychological
assessment, cognitive skills work and further psychological interventions); he was
told that he had to wait 2 years for these interventions. Patient D, who had refused
treatment, said that what was most beneficial to him was discussing matters with
other patients.
In a study by Ryan and colleagues (2002), which aimed to capture the voice of
people with personality disorders detained in Broadmoor about treatment and serv-
ices, 61 people were interviewed. The aim was to feedback these views to the govern-
ment’s advisers developing the DSPD programme. Six men and two women had a
diagnosis of dissocial personality disorder, and 31 men had a ‘mixed’ diagnosis. The
main themes that emerged from the study were: preferences about the nature of
detention; experience of prison; the qualities of the staff; their perceptions of being
vulnerable; what helped them; and what would be the traits of an ‘ideal’ service.
Regarding preferences about the nature of detention, almost 50% said that they
preferred the ‘status quo’; 13 said they would like to go back to prison and 19 said
they wanted to be ‘somewhere else’. Asked to give three reasons for their choices, 29
closely matched this response: ‘Because of the security here there is very little to feel
threatened by, so it is easier to talk about things, you can’t soften up in prison as there
are too many bullies, too many people wanting to take advantage of you’. Twenty-
nine people gave a response similar to the following: ‘In prison you are in a cell and
haven’t got rehabilitation services, at Broadmoor you are able to look at the crime
and your mental illness, you have caring staff and open spaces, in hospital the illness
is your crime, in prison you receive punishment.’ Thirteen said they would prefer to
be back in hospital because they ‘didn’t like people’ and wanted their ‘own space’.
When compared with Broadmoor, people felt that the positive aspects about
prison were having an earliest date of release, ‘realisation of situation’, education,
and ‘other factors’ including exercise. Thirteen of those who responded and had been
imprisoned (56 in total) had more than one negative comment to make about prison,
the main factor being the lack of treatment in prison.
When questioned about qualities of staff, the most important quality by some
margin was being caring and understanding. Almost 50% felt that staff should be
experienced in working with people with personality disorder.
Fifty-six out of the 61 people interviewed said that they felt vulnerable. There
were three main reasons for this: other people, therapy, and their own mental illness.
Men were more likely than women to feel vulnerability when ‘facing their situation’.
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The most popular way of coping with these feelings was talking it over with staff,
although seven people said that they self-harmed or used drugs or alcohol.
The most favoured treatment by 66% was individual therapy, however this was
influenced by gender and by type of disorder. A greater proportion of the men
favoured this treatment, as did people with a mental illness in addition to personality
disorder. The vast majority could name one treatment that had been helpful. Only one
person said that no treatment had been beneficial. Just over 50% said they wanted
improved access to treatment, and ‘more in-depth groups, which don’t skirt around
the issues’ because ‘personality disordered people need to be confronted’. The inter-
mixing of people with different diagnoses on the wards was also an issue; a third of
people were concerned about sharing a ward with a person with a mental illness.
However, a quarter of patients, said they would not have ‘personality disorder only’
wards because ‘they are all out to get each other, fighting and influence each other
into self-harming’.
According to another study (IMPALOX Group, 2007), use of medication may also
be a cause of concern for patients/prisoners. One prisoner interviewed thought that his
violent actions towards staff were due to being over-medicated with antipsychotics:
‘It was making me agitated, making things worse. I was sedated but at the same time
I was very paranoid. I could not think properly to figure out what was happening . . . I
felt threatened: if I didn’t get them, they would get me. I carried out 36 assaults in one
week in Ashworth: I was drugged out of my mind’.
In Grendon Underwood Therapeutic Prison, where the emphasis is on evidence-
based behavioural and cognitive techniques, one prisoner describes a therapeutic
community programme for dangerous, long-term offenders who are open to the idea
of exploring their behaviour and what may have caused it:
‘I have been given the time and space to work through and dismantle all the justi-
fications and cognitive distortions I used to excuse not only the behaviour of
those who abused me but also my own offending behaviour . . . I have learned to
see others as people with feelings and rights of their own, and not just as bodies
in which to take out frustration, anger or selfish gratification’ (Anonymous, 2001
quoted in Castillo, 2003).
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Organisation and experience of care
His experience once in the hospital unit was more positive: ‘I was made to feel
welcome. People were nice to me. I’d stereotyped it—seclusion, sedatives, injections
every day—but when I got there it was relaxed. Everybody was alright’ (Morris et al.,
2007). He said he would have preferred not to have had treatment as it was not right
for him at that time, but he found the hospital environment, such as having structure
to the day, talking with other people, and his relationship with his psychiatrist, thera-
peutic (Morris et al., 2007).
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Organisation and experience of care
it came as a shock’; ‘I thought I would finish my licence off in prison and get out a
free man, but it didn’t work like that.’ One man said that he was concerned about the
impact that his transfer would have on his family. The security levels in the unit were
also a cause of shock: ‘I got past the gate and it just reminded me of prison . . . going
through security . . . I was thinking, “Well this can’t be a hospital”’. Patients were also
shaken by staff attitudes and behaviour, and the use of ‘strong arm tactics’. One
patient described staff being ‘manipulative . . . pressing my buttons to see how I
reacted’. However, other patients were positive about staff (Maltman et al., 2008).
Being offered hope was also a recurrent theme in the interviews. Similar to the
IMPALOX study (2007) patients said that they ‘wanted to come to hospital to get
treatment’. Many of the patients reported that the assessment and therapeutic interac-
tions had been beneficial: ‘I actually get the feeling that people want us to move on
and . . . that gives me a reason . . . to do the best I can to get out.’ Meetings to plan care
were also viewed positively, and community meetings were thought to be of especial
benefit. However some participants felt that they were given ‘false hope’, especially
about potential length of stay, suggesting that people should be given realistic assess-
ment of their circumstances (Maltman et al., 2008).
As reviewed above, it is evident that the experience of many people with antisocial
personality disorder is of being excluded from services or from being involved in
decision-making concerning their care. This is also the experience of many people
with disabilities of various kinds. These include learning disabilities (for example,
Kunz et al., 2004), physical disabilities and acquired cognitive impairments (for
example, Darke et al., 2008), which are both more prevalent and associated with poor
outcomes in antisocial personality disorder. Given these facts, it is important that both
the antisocial personality disorder and the disability are recognised and effective
treatment offered. For many people little or no adjustment of the intervention
programmes will be required but where uncertainty about this exists specialist advice
should be sought.
The review of service user experience suggests that a diagnosis of antisocial person-
ality readily brought disadvantages (for example, exclusion from services) and access
to the right kind of treatment is often difficult to achieve. The review also confirms
the position identified in Chapter 2, that people with antisocial personality disorder
have considerable mental health problems including drug and alcohol misuse, anxiety
and depression. Indeed some of the ‘coping strategies’, such as excessive alcohol
consumption, could be seen in part as a result of the lack of more effective and appro-
priate means to deal with some of the comorbid problems.
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Organisation and experience of care
4.4.6 Recommendations
4.4.6.1 Staff, in particular key workers, working with people with antisocial
personality disorder should establish regular one-to-one meetings to
review progress, even when the primary mode of treatment is group based.
4.4.6.2 When working with women with antisocial personality disorder take into
account the higher incidences of common comorbid mental health prob-
lems and other personality disorders in such women, and:
● adapt interventions in light of this (for example, extend their duration)
● ensure that in inpatient and residential settings the increased vulnera-
bility of these women is taken into account.
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Organisation and experience of care
Inpatient services
4.4.6.8 Healthcare professionals should normally only consider admitting people
with antisocial personality disorder to inpatient services for crisis manage-
ment or for the treatment of comorbid disorders. Admission should be
brief, where possible set out in a previously agreed crisis plan and have a
defined purpose and end point.
4.4.6.9 Admission to inpatient services solely for the treatment of antisocial
personality disorder or its associated risks is likely to be a lengthy process
and should:
● be under the care of forensic/specialist personality disorder services
● not usually be under a hospital order under a section of the Mental
Health Act (in the rare instance that this is done, seek advice from a
forensic/specialist personality service).
4.5.1 Introduction
The Care Services Improvement Partnership summarised the findings of the ‘Carers
and Families of People with a Diagnosis of Personality Disorder Conference’ held in
October 2005 (CSIP, 2006). The aim of the conference was to engage with carers to
find out what the impact of caring for people with personality disorder meant for
them, to identify areas for improvement and to identify good practice. The report of
that conference is summarised below.
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Organisation and experience of care
Carers stated that obtaining information about the diagnosis from healthcare profes-
sionals was difficult. They felt that psychiatrists did not want to use the term ‘person-
ality disorder’ and that they often lacked the skills and knowledge to help service
users with a personality disorder. Carers thought that people were diagnosed with
personality disorder once they had not responded to traditional treatment, rather than
receiving a diagnosis based on symptoms. Some carers felt that being given the
diagnosis had been helpful; however, they felt that because of the stigma associated
with the disorder, professionals were reluctant to give a diagnosis of personality
disorder for fear that their clients would be treated differently. Carers also reported
that the diagnosis ‘attracted less sympathy’ than a diagnosis of severe mental illness.
With regard to stigma, carers felt that overall they could talk to their friends and
neighbours about the difficulties associated with personality disorder, but that the
stigma came from the professionals not wanting to work with service users with the
diagnosis. There was a strong suggestion that training for staff (and carers) should
be developed to address this issue. Carers were confident that they had much to offer
to professionals and that education of staff should include specific content on the
needs of carers, with carers being involved in the training. There was a recognition
that personality disorder did not ‘sit comfortably’ within the healthcare system, and
that such training could help to address this problem.
Carers felt that professionals often did not see beyond the service user and that staff
were not always sympathetic to their needs. Carers reported considerable anger at
having to care for family members to the point of hospitalisation, and then not to be
given any information about the person’s condition in hospital. GPs were felt by
carers to be an important entry point to gain information. People felt that even having
a poster in their GP’s surgery would be useful as this would either make them think
about talking to the GP regarding their responsibility of caring for someone with
personality disorder, or would encourage them to ask the GP about support services.
Where agencies were involved, carers felt that poor inter-agency communications
were the norm. Their experience was that professionals had limited knowledge of
other services. The carer often felt that they knew more about the bigger picture
than any single agency or professional but that their expertise and knowledge were
disregarded.
4.5.4 Support
Carers felt that time and direct support for them was important to help them cope.
They typically reported feeling very isolated, and though they acknowledged various
carer support groups, many felt that they had not been given any support to understand
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Organisation and experience of care
the diagnosis of personality disorder. Carers expressed that they wanted access to
carers’ networks or self-help and support groups so that they could learn from other
people with similar experiences and also share good practice. Parents of people with
personality disorder were often left feeling to blame for their child’s problems. One
carer expressed that: ‘I need reassurance. I feel that somehow I have let my child
down, what could I have done differently, what can I do with these feelings?’ Carers
also felt that more work needed to be done around early intervention and that the issue
of parents with a personality disorder required further attention
Carers of people with antisocial personality disorder often bear the major burden of
care. The nature of the antisocial and offending behaviour often associated with the
disorder may mean that carers are treated unsympathetically, although they them-
selves may have considerable needs as a result of the behaviour of their family
member. Carers are keen to be involved to gain more information and to build collab-
orative relationships with health and social care professionals. Families have the same
rights to support and containment as other families caring for a person with a signif-
icant mental health problem.
4.5.6 Recommendations
This chapter covered the organisation of services and the experiences of staff who
provided them and the services users and carers who are in receipt of the services.
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Organisation and experience of care
A number of common themes can be identified across all three areas, which include:
clarity about the purpose of the services provided; the need to challenge prejudice and
therapeutic pessimism; the need to involve staff, service users and carers in the
planning and delivering of care; and a significant increase in the range and quality of
training and the requirement to back this up with continuing support and supervision.
It also clear that this effort should not only be multi-disciplinary—if it is to be
successful it should also involve more than one agency.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
5.1 INTRODUCTION
The diagnostic criteria for antisocial personality disorder stipulate that there must be
evidence of conduct disorder in childhood (see DSM-IV; APA, 1994). This is consis-
tent with epidemiological and other evidence, which demonstrates an early develop-
mental trajectory for antisocial problems and other related difficulties (see Chapter 2).
These factors, taken together with the considerable pessimism that has existed regard-
ing treatment of antisocial personality disorder in adults, and the limited evidence that
has been collected demonstrating the effectiveness of such treatment, have led to an
increasing focus on interventions for children and their families to prevent the devel-
opment of conduct disorder and subsequent antisocial personality disorder.
As was highlighted in Chapter 2, the development of conduct or related problems in
childhood and adolescence does not mean that a person will inevitably develop antiso-
cial personality disorder. Estimates of the probability that children who develop conduct
disorder or related problems will go on to develop antisocial personality disorder gener-
ally range from 40% (Steiner & Dunne, 1997) to 70% (Gelhorn et al., 2007). Despite this
variation, it seems clear that preventive interventions targeting conduct disorders in chil-
dren have the potential to substantially reduce antisocial personality disorder occurrence
and/or severity. The reduction of the degree of distress and damage caused to children
and their families as a result of a child’s chronic conduct problems is itself, of course, a
worthwhile venture. The focus in this particular chapter, however, is on the longer-term
implications of treating and preventing conduct disorder in children and adolescents.
This chapter will first consider risk factors associated with the development of anti-
social personality disorder (see Section 5.2). This will be followed by assessing the
evidence regarding the effectiveness of early interventions for antisocial and other
behavioural problems and interventions targeting children at risk of developing
conduct disorder and antisocial personality disorder in later childhood or adulthood.
These interventions are primarily focused on risk factors related to the parent(s), rather
than the child, and they require at-risk children to be identified before the emergence
of symptoms, which may be in early childhood, infancy, or even during pregnancy (see
Section 5.3). The chapter will then consider separately the evidence regarding partic-
ular preventive interventions (see Section 5.4), including interventions that directly
target the child (for example, Kazdin, 1995), interventions addressing the parents (for
example Webster-Stratton, 1990), interventions directed at families (for example
Szapocznik et al., 1989) and interventions that simultaneously target families and the
wider social environment (for example Henggeler et al., 1992).
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Interventions in children and adolescents
5.2.1 Introduction
Early interventions for the prevention of antisocial personality disorders are reviewed
in Section 5.3. An important debate regarding public health interventions concerns
whether to focus these interventions on the population as a whole (universal preven-
tion) or on individuals more likely to develop the disorder in the future (selected and
indicated prevention). Universal prevention interventions seek to shift the population
distribution of the disorder as a whole with the aim that those at the extremes of the
distribution will benefit from this reduction in overall incidence of the disorder in the
population. In addition, as the population is the focus of the interventions those indi-
viduals with a greater risk of developing the disorder are not stigmatised (see
Farrington & Coid, 2003).
In contrast, selected and indicated preventative interventions require identifying
people at risk of developing the disorder and targeting them for intervention. The
advantage of this approach is that those at greatest risk receive intensive intervention
and therefore such an approach is more likely to be cost effective. However, there are
problems associated with the impact of labelling children (as has been discussed in
more detail in Chapter 2). A further difficulty is that currently there is no specific tool
or measure that can identify the relatively small number of people who go on to
develop antisocial personality disorder with particularly high precision (Moran &
Hagell, 2001). Advances in the knowledge of risk factors may enable identification of
those at greatest risk who might particularly require intervention (Hill, 2003).
Few studies have directly sought to identify risk factors for the development of
antisocial personality disorder (see Farrington & Coid, 2003). However, there are a
number of studies that have examined predictors of antisocial behaviour and/or
offending in adulthood that are likely to be informative in evaluating the developmen-
tal pathway to antisocial personality disorder.
The aim of this review is to assess risk factors for the development of antisocial
personality disorder. Risk factors reviewed in this section fall into three main cate-
gories: individual (relating to the child), family (relating to the family of the child)
and social (relating to the social environment of the child).
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 4. Only studies with outcome data
on offending and/or the proportion of participants meeting diagnostic criteria for anti-
social personality disorder or conduct disorder were included. Only cohort studies with
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Interventions in children and adolescents
The review team conducted a new systematic search for cohort studies that assessed
the risk factors for developing antisocial personality disorder. Twenty-nine trials
examining clinical outcomes met the eligibility criteria set by the GDG. All were
published in peer-reviewed journals between 1989 and 2008. In addition, 22 studies
were excluded from the analysis. The most common reason for exclusion was that the
data were not extractable.
Evidence from the important outcomes and overall quality of evidence are presented
in Table 5 (further information about included studies can be found in Appendix 17).
Studies used a variety of outcomes, therefore only very broad risk factors could be
combined in the meta-analysis. As expected, child behaviour problems were associated
with greater risk of antisocial personality disorder outcomes at preschool (odds ratio
[OR] ⫽ 1.91; 1.66, 2.19), middle school (OR ⫽ 2.56; 2.10, 3.12) and adolescence
4 Here and elsewhere in the guideline, each study considered for review is referred to by a study ID in capital
letters (primary author and date of study publication, except where a study is in press or only submitted for
publication, then a date is not used). The references for studies in this section can be found in Appendix 17.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
Table 5: Study information and summary evidence table on risk factors for
developing antisocial personality disorder
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Interventions in children and adolescents
(OR ⫽ 3.05; 2.56, 3.63). Although the presence of attention deficit hyperactivity disor-
der (ADHD) appeared to be a slightly stronger predictor (OR ⫽6.22; 4.06, 9.54).
There were a variety of family risk factors reported including parenting styles,
parents’ antisocial behaviour and parental disharmony/separation. These effects were
all of a similar magnitude, for example, in the combined family measure in ado-
lescence the OR was 2.50 (1.82, 3.41).
There was slightly less data on social risk factors but in a combined analysis of
factors associated with social deprivation the OR was 2.39 (1.89, 3.04).
There have been a number of studies assessing risk factors for developing offending
behaviour and adult behaviour problems, and much less on receiving a diagnosis of
antisocial personality disorder. Despite the relatively large number of studies with
long follow-up periods it is only possible to draw very general conclusions regarding
risk factors in this field.
There appears to be a number of factors associated with antisocial personality
disorder including individual child factors (for example, exhibiting behaviour prob-
lems as a child, having a diagnosis or showing symptoms of ADHD), family factors
(for example, parental antisocial behaviour and harsh parenting style) and social
factors (for example, low socioeconomic status). However it should also be reiterated
that although these factors may be associated with a greater risk of developing anti-
social personality disorder, the majority of children with such risk factors will not in
fact develop the disorder in adulthood.
5.3.1 Introduction
The primary aim of early interventions for antisocial and other behavioural problems
and interventions targeting children at risk of developing conduct disorder and antiso-
cial personality disorder in later childhood or adulthood is preventative, and as such,
for the interventions to have any value, mechanisms must be in place to identify those
children, and their families, who might derive benefit from them. The current ‘lingua
franca’ of prevention is based on the work of Gordon (1983), popularised by the
Institute of Medicine report. It differentiates between three strategies of prevention,
each defined by the group they target: (1) universal, (2) selected and (3) indicated.
Universal strategies of prevention are directed at the general population. Where
applicable, the term is to be preferred over the more traditional designation of
‘primary prevention’, because it specifies that the population to which the interven-
tion is applied is not pre-selected. Universal preventive strategies may, and most often
do, identify high-risk populations, but unlike selected intervention programmes, they
do not seek to identify or target individuals within a population based on individual
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Interventions in children and adolescents
Current practice
Practitioners in children’s services in the UK have become increasingly interested in
focusing on prevention to address emotional and behavioural problems, including
conduct disorder and related problems, in children and adolescents. A major initia-
tive, the Sure Start Local Programmes, began in 1998 to address the needs of at-risk
children by targeting those children and their families. The current prevailing view is
that this programme has had only limited success, and this is generally attributed to
the fact that the programme was insufficiently targeted on the families with most need
(Belsky et al., 2006). However, as a response to these limitations, changes were made
to the programmes, including specifying services more clearly, placing greater
emphasis on the child’s well-being, focusing on reaching the most vulnerable and
adjusting provision to take into account family disadvantage (Melhuish et al., 2007;
Belsky et al., 2006).
The most recent evaluation suggests these modifications may have had an impact
on outcomes (Melhuish et al., 2008). There were improvements (small-to-medium
effect sizes) in the home learning environment, families accessing services and
reduced parenting risk. However, benefits of the programme for child development
were of a small magnitude. There were no statistically significant effects on the
naming vocabulary sub-scale of the British Ability Scale or on child negative social
behaviour and small statistically significant effects on child positive social behaviour
and independence (Melhuish et al., 2008). There was some evidence that improve-
ments to parenting and family outcomes may in turn lead to improved child outcomes
but this has yet to be conclusively shown.
More recently, there has been an interest in developing and implementing
programmes using the model of those developed by David Olds (see above). Such
programmes, targeting vulnerable parents and children, are currently being carried out
and the feasibility of their use in the UK has been tested (Barnes et al., 2008; see below).
The aim of this review is to assess early interventions for antisocial and other behav-
ioural problems and interventions targeting children at risk of developing conduct disor-
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Interventions in children and adolescents
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 6. This narrative review is restricted
to studies with follow-up data on participants at a minimum of 15 years of age and a
minimum follow-up period of at least 8 years. Only studies with outcome data on
offending and/or the proportion of participants meeting diagnostic criteria for antiso-
cial personality disorder were included.
The review team conducted a new systematic search for RCTs and quasi-experimen-
tal studies that assessed the benefits and disadvantages of early interventions for
preventing antisocial personality disorder.
Seven trials examining clinical outcomes met the eligibility criteria set by the
GDG (McGauhey et al., 1991; Olds et al., 1997; Schweinhardt et al., 1997; Lally
et al., 1988; Campbell & Ramey, 1994; Reynolds, 1991; Hawkins et al., 1991). All
were published in peer-reviewed journals and books between 1988 and 2007. Fifty-
four studies were excluded from the analysis. The most common reason for exclusion
was an inadequate follow-up period.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
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Interventions in children and adolescents
first of these studies, conducted in Elmira, New York, with a sample of 400 low
income, primarily white families, collected follow-up data on families up to the point
the child turned 15 (Olds et al., 1997, 1998). The other two studies, one in Memphis
with a sample of 1,138 low income, primarily African American families (Kitzman
et al., 1997, 2000), and one in Denver with a sample of 735 families, including a large
portion of Hispanics (Olds et al., 2002, 2004), yielded data that provided, though not
unequivocally, additional support for the approach, although neither study reported
follow-up data beyond 6 years. High rates of adherence to the evaluation protocol
were achieved in the studies, with between 81 and 86% of mothers randomised being
successfully followed-up for assessment at 4 to 15 years.
Data from the 15-year follow-up of the Elmira sample (Olds et al., 1997) showed
differences in rates of state-verified reports of child abuse and neglect between treat-
ment and control groups, with families visited by nurses during pregnancy and
infancy being 48% less likely to be identified as perpetrators of child abuse and
neglect; for families with unmarried mothers and for low socioeconomic status fami-
lies, the effect of the programme on maltreatment was increased, but if there was
domestic violence in the household, the effect of the programme on maltreatment was
reduced. There were also fewer arrests, convictions and days of incarceration among
mothers visited by nurses. Importantly for this guideline, young people whose moth-
ers were visited by nurses had 59% fewer arrests and 90% fewer adjudications as
persons in need of supervision for incorrigible bad behaviour. They had fewer
(although not quite significant statistically) convictions and violations of probation
and fewer sexual partners. These and other beneficial effects of the programme were
more notable in the families with the most economically deprived unmarried moth-
ers. The impact of the programme was insufficient to cause changes in teachers’
reports of behaviour problems, school suspensions and parents’ or children’s reports
of major or minor acts of delinquency (Olds et al., 1998).
The Memphis study replicated many of the initial results from the early follow-ups
of the New York project (Kitzman et al., 1997, 2000). In the Memphis study, follow-up
in middle childhood revealed that children in the experimental group had higher intel-
lectual functioning and receptive vocabulary, fewer behavioural problems in the border-
line or clinical range and expressed less aggression and incoherence in response to story
stems compared with children in the control group (Olds et al., 2004). Nurses in the
Denver trial produced effects consistent with the previous two trials (Olds et al., 2002,
2004), and testing at 4-year follow-up showed more advanced language, superior exec-
utive functioning and better behavioural adaptation in those children from the nurse-
visited group whose mothers had low psychological resources than in similar children
from the control group. Notably, paraprofessionals, who were also employed to deliver
the programme, produced about half the effects that nurses were able to deliver.
Based on these three trials, the Washington State Institute for Public Policy esti-
mated that for every family served by nurses, society experiences a $17,000 return on
the investment (Aos et al., 2004). Thus, according to US evaluations, the NFP quali-
fies as an evidence-based community health programme, one that can help transform
the lives of vulnerable mothers pregnant with their first children. A key element of
implementation is enrolling first-time, low-income mothers early in pregnancy.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
NFP is currently being implemented in ten pilot sites in England (Barnes et al.,
2008). Families have been recruited through NHS systems, with age as the single inclu-
sion criteria for expectant first-time mothers under 20 years (income data not often avail-
able) and a slightly more elaborate set of inclusion criteria applied to expectant first-time
mothers between the ages of 20 and 23 years (not in employment, education or training
and never employed/had no qualifications or no stable relationship with the baby’s
father). In the first year, in all pilot sites, a total of 1,217 young mothers (average age 17.9
years, range 13 to 24 years), or 87% of those eligible for the programme, were success-
fully given treatment. Out of 7,500 nurse visits, a father was present for 1,820.
The first-year report of the evaluating team (Barnes et al., 2008) suggest that
delivery of NFP programmes meeting standards for good treatment fidelity is possi-
ble in the UK. This conclusion was based on the following observations:
1. Appropriate clients have been recruited.
2. NFP was delivered effectively in all sites.
3. NFP was acceptable to UK clients.
4. NFP was acceptable also to fathers and other family members.
5. NFP was acceptable to health visitor practitioners delivering the programme.
6. Organisational infrastructure and support were seen as favourably impacting on
successful delivery.
Initial indicators of effectiveness are promising, with many clients reporting plans
to return to education, closer involvement of fathers with infants, greater confidence
as parents, and engaging in activities with children likely to enhance cognitive and
social development. The data so far collected on the health-related changes that
have already been observed in mothers as a result of treatment participation (for
example, reduced smoking) may reasonably be expected to enhance child health and
reduce negative child outcomes (for example, asthma).
In England, as in the US, NFP appears to function as an important bridge to other
services for the most ‘hard-to reach’. However, the history of prevention efforts make
it clear that the true impact of NFP in the UK cannot be determined until a
randomised UK trial has been conducted.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
teachers were highly skilled, supervised and had a special brief to establish good
home-school integration.
In the study under review, this high-scope intervention was contrasted with two
controls: a behavioural programmed learning approach and a child-centred nursery
programme. The last follow-up occurred when the child reached the age of 40 years.
Up to adolescence, the high-scope group fared best and the programmed learning
group fared worst (Schweinhart et al., 1985). At age 19, only 15% of children in the
high-scope intervention group had been classified as ‘mentally retarded’ whereas
35% of the control group had been so labelled. While over half of the children in the
control groups had been arrested, only 31% of the high-scope group had ever been
detained (RR ⫽ 0.6, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.95). In the follow-up to age 27, lifetime arrest
rates in the high-scope group were half those of the control groups. While minor
offences and drug-related arrests accounted for much of this difference, recidivist
crime was also reduced in the intervention group. Overall, 33% of the control groups
but less than 7% of the high-scope group had been arrested more than five times
(RR ⫽ 0.21, 95% CI: 0.07, 0.58). Similar improvements were observed in teenage
pregnancy rates, high school graduation, home ownership and social benefits. Cost-
benefit analysis revealed that the programme saved the US taxpayer $7 for each dollar
spent. This return was accrued from savings in welfare, social services, legal and
incarceration expenditures (Schweinhart et al., 1993; Schweinhart & Weikart, 1993).
The last follow-up reported progress to age 40, and 112 out of 123 of the adults
who had participated in the study as children were interviewed (Schweinhart, 2007).
Fifty-five per cent of the comparison but only 36% of the programme group had been
arrested at one time (RR ⫽ 0.65, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.98). Forty-eight per cent of the no-
programme group but only 32% of the programme group were arrested for one or
more drug-related crimes (RR ⫽ 0.41, 95% CI: 0.19, 0.85). Significant group differ-
ences in arrests and crimes cited at arrests appeared consistently throughout the study
participants’ lifetime, but significant group differences in conviction and sentences
appeared only at ages 28 to 40. Compared with the no-programme group, the
programme group had significantly fewer members sentenced to prison for felonies
from ages 28 to 40 (RR ⫽ 0.28, 95% CI: 0.09, 0.79).
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Interventions in children and adolescents
The sample was of a medium size (n ⫽ 108). There was no randomisation, and
families receiving the intervention were compared with a matched comparison group,
but this group was recruited only when the project children were already 3 years of
age. The mean age of the mothers was 18 years, and more than 85% were single. All
had low incomes and the majority were African-Americans.
The intervention continued until the infant reached the age of 5 years. A quarter
(24%) of the children in the programme did not complete all 5 years of the interven-
tion, and only 50 to 60% completed the follow-up at age 15. At follow-up, girls who
had participated in the programme were found to be doing better in school than
control girls based on grades, attendance, and teacher-rated self-esteem and impulse
control. Boys in the two groups did not differ on measures of school performance, but
for both boys and girls self-regard was more positive in the intervention group than in
the control group, based on self-report measures. The rate of delinquency in the inter-
vention group, calculated from police data, was 6%, whereas in the control group it
was 22% (RR ⫽ 0.27, 95% CI: 0.09, 0.81).
There were also differences in terms of the seriousness of offences and the cost of
crimes committed between the two groups. Lifetime average probation costs were
calculated for the two groups, and were estimated at $186 per child in the interven-
tion group and $1,985 per child in the control group (Lally et al., 1988).
An acknowledgement of the effect of attrition on outcome data would suggest that
these results should be treated with caution. It is reasonable to speculate that delin-
quency rates in families who could not be located for follow-up were quite high,
since, of those families who were located, those with a child involved in juvenile
delinquency proved the most difficult to find.
101
Interventions in children and adolescents
102
Interventions in children and adolescents
for the 22- to 24-year outcome assessments and more or less the entire sample was
available to obtain crime and employment data. By age 24 years the rate of
incarceration for the comparison group was 25.6% compared with 20.6% in the
preschool programme group (RR ⫽ 0.80, 95% CI: 0.65, 0.98). School-age interven-
tion did not significantly affect incarceration rate (RR ⫽ 1.10, 95% CI: 0.90, 1.34).
Neither preschool (RR ⫽ 0.89, 95% CI: 0.77, 1.03) nor school-age (RR ⫽ 1.10, 95%
CI: 0.90, 1.34) intervention significantly affected overall rates of arrests but preschool
intervention reduced both felony arrests (RR ⫽ 0.78, 95% CI: 0.62, 0.98) and felony
convictions (RR ⫽ 0.79, 95% CI: 0.62, 1.00). Violent crime convictions were also
marginally reduced by preschool intervention (RR ⫽ 0.71, 95% CI: 0.46, 1.10).
Participation in the extended programme was associated with a 32% reduction in rates
of arrests (17.9% versus 13.9%; RR ⫽ 0.77, 95% CI: 0.59, 1.00) and convictions
(RR ⫽ 0.68, 95% CI: 0.45, 1.04) for violence. Also quite pertinent in the present
context, the findings indicated a dramatic reduction in out-of-home placements from
8.4 to 4.5% associated with the preschool intervention (RR ⫽ 0.53, 95% CI: 0.35,
0.81), probably indicative of a reduction in maltreatment.
Regression analyses indicated that the outcomes could be explained by a combi-
nation of increased cognitive skills, positive family support, positive post-programme
school experiences and increased school commitment.
It should also be noted that there is considerable correlational evidence suggest-
ing that early and prolonged low-quality day care represents a risk factor for negative
developmental outcomes (Belsky, 2001; NICHD, 2003; Belsky et al., 2007).
However, there is also evidence from the Canadian longitudinal study (Cote et al.,
2007) that never having non-maternal care is a risk factor for physical aggression for
children of mothers with low educational levels. In this sample (the largest parenting
study yet conducted) early non-maternal care (before 9 months) was associated with
a very slight increase in aggression in mothers of high education level relative to chil-
dren who never had non-maternal care. But this was a small effect when compared
with the increase of risk associated with the absence of non-maternal care in children
of mothers of low education level. The GDG acknowledges that these are complex
issues that are hard to argue from correlational data. However, the GDG wishes to
assert that this does not indicate that good quality non-maternal care for young chil-
dren is necessarily harmful in high risk samples (for example, low educational level)
as this flies in the face of extant data. In terms of creating opportunities for children
of mothers with limited resources, making adequate non-maternal care available is
something that statutory providers should consider delivering.
School-based projects
This section reviews studies of school-age children with a mean age of 7 years.
Typically these interventions consist of a combination of teacher training, parent
training and skills-based interventions for children.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
the child’s bonds with their family and school, thus engendering a high level of adher-
ence to the standards set by both. Bonds were conceptualised as positive emotional
feelings towards others (attachment), an investment in a social unit (commitment) and
the adoption of the values of that unit (belief). The interventions included teacher train-
ing, parent training and social and emotional skills development for the child. The
interventions included proactive classroom management, cooperative learning strate-
gies and interactive teaching. There was a component for parents encouraging engage-
ment in the child’s education and workshops in social learning principles of child
behaviour management. There was a problem-solving curriculum as well as drug
refusal skills training. The experimental design involved comparing experimental and
control schools with both random and non-random assignment in a complex design.
Beginning in 1981, the intervention was randomly assigned among grade 1 pupils (7
years of age) in classrooms in eight public schools in high crime areas. These children
were followed prospectively until 1985 when the study was extended to include grade 5
pupils (11 years of age) in ten additional schools. There were ultimately four groups: a
full intervention group (n ⫽ 156; 114 available for follow-up) with an average dose of
4.13 years of intervention exposure; a late intervention group (n ⫽ 267; 256 available for
follow-up) with an average exposure of 1.65 years; a parent training only group
(n ⫽ 141; most recent study did not analyse this group; Hawkins et al., 2005); and a
control group (n ⫽ 220; 205 available for follow-up) who received no intervention.
First results were encouraging (Hawkins et al., 1991; O’Donnell et al., 1995).
Boys in the high-risk sub-sample who participated in the programme had fewer anti-
social peers and appeared to be less likely to be involved in delinquency. In girls the
major benefit was in a reduced likelihood of substance use. At age 18 the intervention
group reported less lifetime violence, less heavy alcohol use, less school misbehav-
iour and improved school achievement compared with controls (Hawkins et al.,
1999). The findings indicated that the postulated mediating variables were indeed
influenced by the programme, even if the impact on delinquency was relatively low.
There was substantial impact on sexual behaviour by age 21 including unplanned
pregnancies and condom use (Lonczak et al., 2002).
Criminal behaviour was assessed in interviews as well as official records (Hawkins
et al., 2005). The full intervention group was less likely to be involved in a high vari-
ety of crime (3% versus 9%, RR ⫽ 0.33, 95% CI: 0.11, 0.93), to have sold illegal drugs
(4% versus 13%, RR ⫽ 0.30, 95% CI: 0.12, 0.74), to have abused substances (74%
versus 82%, RR ⫽ 0.90, 95% CI: 0.80, 1.01) and to have a court record at the age of
21 (42% versus 53%, RR ⫽ 0.79, 95% CI: 0.62, 0.99). Although the effects reaching
statistical significance were limited and the tests were not corrected for the possibility
of Type I error, the full intervention group reported less crime or substance use across
all measures indicating a relatively robust effect from the early intervention.
Early childhood interventions in the first 5 years of a child’s life tend to show links to
a broad range of positive outcomes. These include higher cognitive skills, school
104
Interventions in children and adolescents
attainment, higher earning capacity, health and mental health benefits, reduced
maltreatment and, significantly for this guideline, lower rates of delinquency and
crime. Early childhood interventions are quite unique in this regard—there are no
other interventions, as far as the GDG was aware, that have generated such a broad
set of positive outcomes. That the impact of interventions should extend beyond
educational performance to criminal behaviour is hardly surprising given the well-
documented relationship between educational outcomes and adult mental health and
social behaviour (for example, Chevalier & Feinstein, 2006). There are also indica-
tions from a number of studies that early interventions are cost effective in providing
both savings and increased well-being that exceed the original investments in the
programmes (Karoly et al., 2005; Reynolds & Temple, 2006; Rolnick & Grunwald,
2003). The economic returns of early childhood interventions exceed cost by an aver-
age ratio of 6 to 1.
In contrast, the evidence for preschool interventions shows more moderate effects
on later offending, with some programmes found not to be effective. A similar picture
emerges with school-based interventions where, again, the evidence for effectiveness
is modest and weaker than earlier interventions. The economic evidence from the US
suggests that, in the long-term, early interventions may result in significant net
savings in terms of reduced welfare payments and crime costs and improved future
earnings (see below).
Three studies that evaluated the cost effectiveness of preschool programmes for
infants and toddlers were included in the systematic review of the economic evidence
(Nores et al., 2005; Masse & Barnett, 2002; Reynolds et al., 2002). Details on the
methods used for the systematic search of the economic literature are described in
Chapter 3. Evidence tables for all economic studies included in the guideline
economic literature review are provided in Appendix 14.
A long-term cost-benefit analysis of the High-Scope Perry Preschool Programme
followed up participants as they reached the age of 40 (Nores et al., 2005). The initial
costs of the programme were compared with any long-term benefits in terms of net
changes (versus no intervention) in educational attainment, lifetime earnings, crimi-
nal activity and welfare payments. From various perspectives (the individual partici-
pant, general public and a combination of both), the programme resulted in
significant long-term net benefits of between $49,000 and $230,000 per participant.
Another long-term cost-benefit analysis was conducted for the Abecedarian proj-
ect, which followed up participants at age 21 (Masse & Barnett, 2002). Again, initial
intervention costs were compared with long-term net benefits in terms of future earn-
ings, maternal earnings, education costs, health improvements and welfare use. The
project resulted in significant long-term net benefits of $100,000 per participant.
Finally, a long-term cost-benefit analysis of the Chicago Child-Parent centre
programme was undertaken for participants at age 20 (Reynolds et al., 2002). Initial
intervention costs were compared with long-term net benefits in terms of education
105
Interventions in children and adolescents
costs, child care costs, welfare payments, abuse/neglect costs and justice/crime costs.
Again, from various perspectives (individual participant, taxpayer, and both), the
programme resulted in significant net benefits of between $12,000 and $34,000 per
participant.
The GDG considered the evidence available on early interventions and noted that the
majority of the interventions were developed in non-UK settings and this raised some
questions about the generalisability of the findings. However, the GDG was
impressed by the consistent impact of these programmes often on quite disadvantaged
families and took the view that the most effective interventions were those targeting
families at risk. Existing evidence from the US indicates that early interventions may
result in great cost savings for the public sector and the children’s families. Early indi-
cations from pilot studies conducted in the UK suggest that it may be feasible to
deliver these programmes in the UK. The GDG also recognised that the focus on
effective identification of at-risk children and their families was central to the effec-
tiveness of these programmes. It was felt that without this focus the impact of the
programmes was likely to be significantly reduced and therefore not cost effective.
5.3.9 Recommendations
106
Interventions in children and adolescents
5.4.1 Introduction
Current practice
The treatment and management of conduct disorder and related problems in the UK
has significantly expanded in recent years. The NICE technology appraisal on parent-
training programmes (NICE, 2006b) has had a great impact and programmes based
on models developed by Webster-Stratton (Webster-Stratton et al., 1988) among
others, are now widely available in the UK.
In addition, a major pilot programme of multisystemic therapy was developed in
2008, which is currently being rolled out in ten sites across the UK. The outcomes
of this pilot programme, which is subject to a formal evaluation, may have a consid-
erable influence on the development of interventions for conduct disorder.
However, other approaches that may be of potential value, such as individually-
focused interventions including cognitive problem-solving skills, are underdeveloped
in the UK. Similarly other interventions, which are reviewed below, such as func-
tional family therapy, multidimensional treatment foster care, or brief strategic family
therapy, are not widely available in the UK. This is a particular concern because the
primary focus of parent-training programmes is with younger children in the age
range of 4 to 10 years. Evidence-based programmes for adolescents, where parent-
training programmes may be less effective, are not well developed. Beyond main-
stream provision in the NHS by CAMHS, there are also some specialist services (for
example, youth offending teams) where these programmes may serve as effective
preventive interventions for antisocial personality disorder.
In addition, a substantial proportion of young people with conduct problems will
be involved in the criminal justice system where they are likely to receive interven-
tions predominantly based on a cognitive and behavioural approach similar to that
provided for adults (see Chapter 7 for further details).
107
Interventions in children and adolescents
The review looked at a wide range of family and individual interventions focused on
children. These interventions were divided into four main categories: child-focused
(skills-based training for children), parent-focused (behaviour management training
for parents), family-focused (seeking to change problem interactions within the
family), and multi-component (targeting the family and the wider social environ-
ment). The intention at the beginning of the guideline development process was to
embed the recommendations in the technology appraisal on parent-training
programmes for children with conduct disorder (NICE, 2006b) in this guideline.
Parent-training programmes
The main goals of parent-training programmes are to teach the principles of child
behaviour management, to increase parental competence and confidence in raising
children and to improve the parent/carer-child relationship by using good communi-
cation and positive attention to aid the child’s development. These programmes are
structured and follow a set curriculum over several weeks; they are mainly conducted
in groups, but can be modified for individual treatments. Examples of well-developed
programmes are Triple P (Sanders et al., 2000a) and Webster-Stratton
(Webster–Stratton, 1988). The focus is primarily on the main caregiver of the child or
108
Interventions in children and adolescents
Multisystemic therapy
This is the use of strategies from family therapy and behaviour therapy to intervene
directly in systems and processes related to antisocial behaviour (for example,
parental discipline, family affective relations, peer associations, and school perform-
ances) for children or adolescents (Henggeler et al., 1992).
109
Interventions in children and adolescents
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 7.
The review team conducted a new systematic search for RCTs that assessed the bene-
fits and disadvantages of psychosocial interventions for children, and related health
economic evidence (see Appendices 8 and 11 respectively).
A total of 97 trials relating to clinical evidence met the eligibility criteria set by
the GDG, providing data on 6,665 participants. Of these, one trial was a report from
the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (Scott et al., 2006), one trial was a report of the
Washington Institute of Public Policy (Barnoski, 2004), and 95 were published in
peer-reviewed journals between 1973 and 2008. In addition, 117 studies were
excluded from the analysis. The most common reason for exclusion was lack of rele-
vant outcomes (further information about both included and excluded studies can be
found in Appendix 15).
The included trials involved the following comparisons:
● Parent training compared with control (36 trials)
● Parent training plus an additional intervention for children compared with parent
training (five trials)
5 Here and elsewhere in the guideline, each study considered for review is referred to by a study ID in capi-
tal letters (primary author and date of study publication, except where a study is in press or only submit-
ted for publication, then a date is not used). The references for the studies can be found in Appendix 15.
110
Interventions in children and adolescents
● Parent training plus an additional intervention for parents compared with parent
training (six trials)
● Cognitive problem-solving skills training compared with control (five trials)
● Social skills training compared with control (five trials)
● Anger control training compared with control (ten trials)
● Family interventions compared with control (11 trials)
● Multisystemic therapy compared with control (ten trials)
● Multidimensional treatment foster care compared with control (two trials)
● Other multi-component interventions compared with control (four trials)
● Cognitive and behavioural interventions compared with control (eight trials)
● Cognitive and behavioural plus other interventions compared with control
(two trials).
Evidence from the important outcomes and overall quality of evidence are presented
in Table 8 and Table 9. Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
For all of these cognitive skills-based interventions there were a variety of
outcomes reported. Wherever possible the primary outcome extracted in the meta-
analysis was from a total behaviour scale. Measures specifically related to the content
of the programme were judged to be less generalisable.
Anger control
There were ten trials on anger control. Trials that only included interventions for chil-
dren appeared to be more effective (SMD ⫺0.37; ⫺0.58 to ⫺0.16). Interventions that
included a parent intervention in addition to anger control training did not appear to
be effective (SMD ⫺0.06; ⫺0.25 to 0.13).
111
Interventions in children and adolescents
112
Interventions in children and adolescents
Cognitive problem-solving skills training compared with control for children and adolescents
with conduct problems
Patient or population: Children and adolescents with conduct problems
Settings: Schools, psychiatric outpatients
Intervention: Cognitive problem-solving skills training
Comparison: Control
Outcomes No. of participants Quality of the Effect size
(studies) evidence (GRADE) (95% CI)
1 I-squared ⬎50%
Anger control compared with control for children with conduct problems
Patient or population: Children and adolescents with conduct problems
Settings: Schools
Intervention: Anger control
Comparison: Control
Outcomes No. of participants Quality of the Effect size
(studies) evidence (GRADE) (95% CI)
Social skills training compared with control for children and adolescents with behaviour
problems
Patient or population: Children and adolescents with behaviour problems
Settings: Schools
Intervention: Social skills training
Comparison: No treatment
Outcomes No. of participants Quality of the Effect size
(studies) evidence (GRADE) (95% CI)
113
Interventions in children and adolescents
Interventions that met the criteria of the review were mainly based on cognitive behav-
ioural approaches. Most studies reported small-to-moderate reductions in behaviour
problems. However, there was uncertainty whether the promising results on social
skills and anger control interventions would translate to everyday clinical practice.
There is some evidence for cognitive problem-solving skills training, anger control
and social skills training as interventions targeted at children. The evidence for cogni-
tive problem-solving skills training was slightly stronger with good evidence of effi-
cacy at follow-up in children with relatively severe behavioural problems.
However, the evidence for anger control and social skills training was more
limited with greater variability in effectiveness and questions about the generalisabil-
ity of some outcome measures. The GDG judged that their main value may be in
treating children with residual problems after cognitive problem-solving skills train-
ing, or in treating children when it is not possible to engage the family in treatment.
They may also be effective in providing an alternative where children have not fully
benefited from family interventions.
5.4.9 Recommendations
114
Interventions in children and adolescents
Evidence from the important outcomes and overall quality of evidence are presented
in Table 10 and Table 11. Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
There were a large number of studies of parent training, with 36 trials compar-
ing parent training with control. Parent training in behavioural management is
mostly offered in groups but some of the studies were of parents offered this kind of
help individually. There was a small-to-medium effect favouring parent training
(SMD ⫺0.36; ⫺0.51 to ⫺0.22). Heterogeneity was high in the meta-analysis
(I2 ⫽ 63.3%), which is explained to some extent by age and level of risk. A
subgroup analysis of the data suggests that children up to the age of 11 years appear
to be more likely to respond than young people of 12 years or older (children: SMD
⫺0.58; ⫺0.78 to ⫺0.39; young people: SMD ⫺0.32; ⫺0.64 to 0.00) although there
is still overlap in confidence intervals. In addition, a subgroup analysis of the data
comparing studies of children with different levels of risk (participants rated on
factors such as the severity of behaviour problems and socioeconomic status)
showed a smaller effect for studies that included participants at greater risk (high
risk: SMD ⫽ ⫺0.20; ⫺0.33 to ⫺0.07; less risk: SMD ⫽ ⫺0.44; ⫺0.54 to ⫺0.33).
There appears to be good evidence that adding an intervention (usually cognitive
problem-solving skills training) focused on the child adds to the efficacy of parent
training compared with parent training alone (SMD⫽ ⫺0.30; ⫺0.51 to ⫺0.09).
There was less clear evidence for an additional benefit from adjunctive intervention
focused on psychological problems in the parents (for example, CBT for depression
in the mother; SMD ⫽ ⫺0.12; ⫺0.35, 0.11).
It is also important to note that moderators of the effectiveness of parent training have
been identified (Dadds et al., 1987a; Dadds et al., 1987b). More severe and more chronic
antisocial behaviour and comorbidity with other diagnoses predict reduced responsive-
ness to treatment, including dropouts and negative outcomes. However inattention,
115
Interventions in children and adolescents
Total no. of 36 RCTs (N ⫽ 2,509) 5 RCTs (N ⫽ 366) 6 RCTs (N ⫽ 346) 1 RCT (N ⫽ 39)
trials (total no.
of participants)
Continued
116
Interventions in children and adolescents
Offending history:
BANK1991
Treatment Mean: 140 days Mean: 81 days Mean: 150 days 126 days
length
Age Range: 1–18 years Range: 2–9 years Range: 6–14 years Range: 8–11 years
impulsivity and hyperactivity problems increase the size of the response. Extremely high
levels of parental negativity towards the child also reduce responsiveness to the
programme. Low socioeconomic status is associated with more limited outcomes, in
particular if it occurs in combination with social insularity in the family. Maternal
psychopathology, in particular depression and life events, has also been found to reduce
117
Interventions in children and adolescents
Parent training compared with control for children with behaviour problems
Patient or population: Children with behaviour problems
Intervention: Parent training
Comparison: Control
Outcomes No. of Quality of Effect size
participants the evidence (95% CI)
(studies) (GRADE)
118
Interventions in children and adolescents
the effectiveness of parent training. There are also findings indicating that single parent
status, only one parent attending, marital disharmony and maternal insecurity of attach-
ment may undermine progress but many of these associations are not found consistently
across studies. Families with children in the pre-adolescent age group are more likely to
drop out of treatment. The best current evidence-based programmes include modules for
targeting these moderating factors; however, their use is more often supported by corre-
lational rather then RCT data, although RCT data does provide some evidence for limited
interventions such as telephone reminders (Watt et al., 2007). While the present review
does not permit the GDG to make specific recommendations, in general it is desirable to
include additional treatment modules in parent-training programmes that are likely to
prevent the premature termination of treatment.
A number of individual parent training programmes have been evaluated and
found to be effective (Nixon et al., 2003). For younger children (typically between 3
and 6 years) one of the most prominent is parent-child interaction therapy (PCIT) (for
example, Schuhmann et al., 1998). For older children (typically between 5 and 12
years) the parent management training programmes developed in Oregon have also
been shown to be effective (for example, Patterson et al., 1982). However, it is diffi-
cult to make comparisons of effectiveness of group versus individual administration
as it is rarely a subject of tests. Overall effect sizes for individual parent-training
programmes are also confounded by lack of commensurability in terms of the clini-
cal characteristics of the sample.
There is a very large evidence base confirming the effectiveness of parent training in
a range of populations in a number of countries. There was significant heterogeneity
in the meta-analysis; subgroup analyses suggest that differences in the ages of the
children and in level of risk may explain, to some extent, some of the inconsistency.
Given the limited evidence for individual parent-training programmes and the lack of
comparators with the stronger evidence base for group-based training programmes
the GDG decided to focus the recommendations on group-based interventions.
There are also a growing number of studies assessing adjuncts to parent training.
The results of the meta-analysis suggest that a cognitive problem-solving intervention
targeted at the child may be effective. Adjuncts targeted specifically at the parent’s
mental health problems were slightly less effective.
The only study identified by the systematic search of economic evidence that met the
inclusion criteria for review was an economic analysis of parent training for children
with conduct disorders (Dretzke et al., 2005) undertaken for the NICE technology
appraisal (NICE, 2006b). According to the technology appraisal, parent training was
found to be cost effective and was recommended for implementation in health and
119
Interventions in children and adolescents
social care settings. Details on the methods used for the systematic search of the
economic literature are described in Chapter 3. Evidence tables for all economic stud-
ies included in the guideline economic literature review are provided in Appendix 14.
120
Interventions in children and adolescents
The initial economic analysis was based on hypothetical rates of response and
percentages of improvement in HRQoL following provision of parent-training/educa-
tion programmes, as well as on a number of assumptions. Therefore, the results
should be interpreted with caution, as acknowledged by its authors. On the other
hand, it should be noted that estimated figures were conservative, as they did not
include any potential cost savings resulting from reduction in antisocial behaviour in
treated children and associated costs of its management. Despite its limitations, the
analysis demonstrated that group-based parent-training/education programmes for
children with conduct disorders were, as expected, substantially more cost effective
than individually delivered programmes, because the two modes of delivery did not
differ in terms of clinical effectiveness, while the intervention costs of group-based
programmes were spread over a large number of treated families.
The additional economic analysis undertaken to support the NICE technology
appraisal evaluated the cost effectiveness of the three parent-training/education
programmes described above, plus an individually delivered clinic-based
programme, over a time horizon of 1 year. Costs included intervention costs as the
initial analysis, but they also incorporated cost savings to the NHS, education and
social services following provision of parent-training/education programmes to
children with conduct disorders. The analysis modelled three different health states,
that is, normal behaviour, conduct problems and conduct disorders. It was found
that the mean net cost of a parent-training/education programme in improving a
child’s behaviour from conduct disorder to an improved state (either conduct prob-
lems or normal behaviour) was £90 for a group community-based programme,
£1,380 for an individually delivered clinic-based programme, and £2,400 for an
individually delivered home-based programme; the group clinic-based programme
proved to be cost saving overall. These results further support the argument that
group-delivered parent-training/education programmes for children with conduct
disorders are most likely to be cost effective, especially when long-term benefits,
such as the sustained effects of therapy and a reduction in the rates of future offend-
ing behaviour, as well as future cost savings to healthcare, education and social
services, are considered.
The clinical and economic evidence clearly supports the implementation of parent-
training programmes for children with conduct problems. The results suggest that the
likely effect of parent-training programmes will be felt more for younger children.
This suggests that there may be a need to consider augmenting programmes for older
children who have not benefited with cognitive problem-solving skills interventions.
These additional interventions should be focused on the child as there is little
evidence that focusing interventions specifically on the parent is effective. For those
children who have not benefited and/or whose parents have refused treatment, a
second option would be to give consideration to specific individual cognitive prob-
lem-solving skills interventions.
121
Interventions in children and adolescents
5.4.14 Recommendations
122
Interventions in children and adolescents
Evidence from the important outcomes and overall quality of evidence are presented
in Table 12 and Table 13. Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
Eleven trials assessed the effectiveness of family interventions. It appears that
family interventions are more effective than control for reducing both behavioural
problems (SMD ⫽ ⫺0.75; ⫺1.19 to ⫺0.30) and offending (RR ⫽ 0.67; 0.42 to
1.07).
The heterogeneity observed in the risk of re-offending was explained by problems
with therapist competence in BARNOSKI2004. A subgroup analysis found a large
difference when including only competent (RR ⫽ 0.57; 0.42 to 0.78) or non-compe-
tent therapists (RR ⫽ 0.70; 0.36 to 1.38). Data from MCPHERSON1983 was not
included in the analysis as data were not extractable.
The heterogeneity observed in the behaviour scales outcome appeared to be due
to NICKEL2005 and NICKEL2006A. A subgroup analysis showed that substantially
larger effects were reported (SMD ⫽ ⫺1.48; ⫺1.97 to ⫺0.99) in these studies on
reduction in drug use, compared with the other studies’ effects on total behaviour
(SMD ⫽ ⫺0.42; ⫺0.68 to ⫺0.15).
10 Ibid.
123
Interventions in children and adolescents
Reported behaviour
problems in the clinical
range on a behaviour
problem scale:
SANTISTEBAN2003
History of bullying:
NICKEL2005
NICKEL2006
NICKEL2006A
Treatment length Mean: 106 days Mean: 92 days Mean: 180 days
Length of Longest: 1 year Longest: 1 year N/A
follow-up
Age Range: 6–18 years Range: 13–17 years Mean: 15 years
124
Interventions in children and adolescents
Table 13: GRADE evidence summary for family interventions (only important
outcomes reported)
Economic modelling
Objective
The guideline systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical evidence demonstrated
that provision of functional family therapy to families of adolescents with a history of
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Interventions in children and adolescents
Methods
Intervention examined Functional family therapy is a short-term intervention: on
average 8 to 12 sessions are needed for mild problems and up to 30 hours of direct
service (for example, clinical sessions, telephone calls and meetings involving
community resources) for more difficult cases. For most participants, sessions are
spread over a 3-month period. Functional family therapy programmes have been
successfully delivered in home-based, clinic-based and school-based settings. In
Washington where functional family therapy was evaluated, trained therapists had
caseloads of 10 to 12 families (Barnoski, 2004). The effectiveness of therapy in
reducing recidivism may be directly related to the competence of the therapist
(Barnoski, 2004). Implementation of functional family therapy, therefore, focuses
particularly on developing therapist competence rather than simply teaching skills.
Costs considered in the analysis A simple economic model was developed to esti-
mate the net total costs (or cost savings) associated with provision of functional
family therapy to families of adolescents at risk for offending behaviour. Adolescents
with conduct disorder and/or offending behaviour have been found to incur substan-
tial costs to the health, educational, social and criminal justice services. Scott and
colleagues (2001a) estimated the public costs incurred by children with conduct
disorder from 10 years of age through adulthood (by age 28) in the UK. The authors
reported a total cost of £70,000 per person diagnosed with conduct disorder in child-
hood, compared with £7,000 for a person without any conduct problems. Criminal
justice system services bore most of this cost (64%), whereas the cost to educational
services reached 18% of the total cost. Foster and residential care costs amounted to
11% of the total cost, and social benefits to another 4%. Finally, the cost to the health-
care services was only 3% of the total cost incurred by individuals with conduct disor-
der from childhood through adulthood.
NICE recommends that economic analyses of healthcare interventions adopt a
NHS and personal social services (PSS) perspective (NICE, 2006a). However, in the
case of adolescents with offending behaviour, the majority of incurred costs falls on
the criminal justice system, education services, social and other public services.
Only a small minority of costs is covered by the NHS and PSS perspective. For this
reason, the economic analysis adopted a broader perspective than that of the NHS
and PPS, including any costs to public services for which appropriate information
was available.
The study by Scott and colleagues (2001a) illustrated the variety and magnitude
of costs associated with conduct disorder and, more broadly, offending behaviour;
126
Interventions in children and adolescents
nevertheless, little evidence exists about the potential reduction (or increase) in
specific cost components resulting from provision of functional family therapy to
families of young offenders. Clinical evidence has demonstrated that functional
family therapy significantly reduces reconviction rates, and subsequently costs
relating to crime. It is likely that provision of functional family therapy, by reduc-
ing offending behaviour, also reduces other types of cost, such as health and social
care costs, as well as costs to the educational services. However, no appropriate
relevant data that could inform this economic analysis were identified in the
literature. For this reason, the analysis has considered only intervention costs (that
is, costs of providing functional family therapy) and costs related to crime/offend-
ing behaviour of adolescents. All other categories of costs to the public sector, such
as health and social care costs and costs to educational services, were conserva-
tively assumed to be the same for adolescents receiving functional family therapy
and for those not receiving the intervention, and were subsequently omitted from
the analysis. This is acknowledged as a limitation of the economic analysis.
However, costs relating to crime constitute the most substantial part of the costs
incurred by young offenders; therefore, the economic analysis has probably consid-
ered the majority of costs associated with providing functional family therapy to
families of young offenders.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
The baseline re-offending rate for adolescents with previous offending behaviour
was taken from a national report containing 12-month data on re-offending for
adolescents aged 10 to 17 years released from custody (either from prison, secure
training centres or secure children’s homes) or commencing a non-custodial court
disposal, or given an out-of-court disposal (either a reprimand or final warning) in
England and Wales in 2006 (Ministry of Justice, 2008b). According to this document,
the re-offending rate in this population was 38.7% over 12 months. This rate was
defined by the number of offenders in the cohort re-offending at least once during the
12-month follow-up period, where the offence resulted in a conviction at court or an
out-of-court disposal. The 12-month rate of adolescent re-offending following provi-
sion of functional family therapy in the economic analysis was calculated by multi-
plying the estimated RR of re-arrest of functional family therapy versus control by the
baseline re-offending rate.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
Time horizon of the analysis Of the three studies included in the relevant guideline
meta-analysis of functional family therapy clinical data, two studies had a time
129
Interventions in children and adolescents
130
Interventions in children and adolescents
Table 15: Input parameters utilised in the economic model assessing the net
costs (or savings) resulting from provision of functional family therapy to
families of adolescents at risk for offending behaviour
131
Interventions in children and adolescents
Results
Base-case analysis The reduction in re-offending rates achieved by provision of func-
tional family therapy to families of adolescents at risk for re-offending yielded cost-
savings equalling £2,908 per adolescent with offending behaviour over the 2 years of
the analysis. Providing functional family therapy incurs a cost of £121 per adolescent,
but this cost was offset by the substantial savings from reduction in offending behav-
iour. Overall, functional family therapy resulted in a net saving of £2,787 per adolescent
with offending behaviour over 2 years. Full results of the base-case analysis are reported
in Table 16.
Sensitivity analysis Results of the cost analysis were robust under the different
scenarios examined in sensitivity analysis. Under all scenarios, provision of func-
tional family therapy resulted in overall net savings even under a time horizon of 2
years, with the only exception being the use of the upper 95% CI of RR of re-arrest
of functional family therapy versus control taken from meta-analysis of data including
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Interventions in children and adolescents
non-competent therapists (this upper 95% CI had a value of 1.07 as results were non-
significant at the 0.05 level). Under the most optimistic scenario of a lasting effect of
5 years, and using the lower 95% CI of the RR of re-arrest of functional family ther-
apy versus control, functional family therapy resulted in net savings of £12,021 per
adolescent with offending behaviour. Full results of sensitivity analysis are presented
in Table 17.
Table 16: Results of economic analysis assessing the net costs (or savings)
resulting from provision of functional family therapy to families of adolescents
at risk for offending behaviour
133
Interventions in children and adolescents
134
Interventions in children and adolescents
economic analysis may be needed in more complex cases, and this would result in
higher intervention costs. On the other hand, it has been shown that adolescents with
a more severe history of offending behaviour are characterised by higher rates of re-
offending and higher numbers of offences per year (Ministry of Justice, 2008b).
Therefore, a reduction in offending behaviour in this group of adolescents would lead
to greater cost savings, compared with adolescents with mild offending behaviour.
Consequently, complex cases, which might require more intensive treatment, are
likely to produce greater cost savings, offsetting the higher intervention costs.
The time horizon of the analysis was 2 years, according to available evidence.
However, limited evidence indicates that the beneficial effect of functional family
therapy may last for longer time periods (over 5 years following provision of the ther-
apy). Consequently, net savings from functional family therapy estimated in base-
case analysis are rather conservative; greater cost savings may be realised if the effect
of functional family therapy lasts longer than 2 years.
Conclusion
Overall, and despite conservative estimates utilised in the economic model, provision
of functional family therapy to families of adolescents at risk for offending behaviour
is likely to be cost-saving. Given that functional family therapy is also an effective
intervention that improves adolescent offending behaviour, functional family therapy
is likely a cost-effective intervention.
The evidence suggests that a range of family interventions, including systemic and
strategic family therapy, may be effective for children with conduct problems and
conduct disorder. Interventions such as functional family therapy may be particularly
effective for older adolescents for whom the evidence for the efficacy of parent-train-
ing programmes is weak, and are also likely to be cost effective. The evidence
suggests that functional family therapy, and potentially brief strategic family therapy,
should become viable alternatives to parent training for older adolescents. This
requires individual clinicians to consider the relative benefits of the two, including
child and adult preferences.
5.4.19 Recommendations
5.4.19.1 If the parents are unable to or choose not to engage with parent-training
programmes, or the young person’s conduct problems are so severe that they
will be less likely to benefit from parent-training programmes, consider:
● brief strategic family therapy for those with predominantly drug-
related problems
● functional family therapy for those with predominantly a history of
offending.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
5.4.19.2 Brief strategic family therapy should consist of at least fortnightly meet-
ings over a period of 3 months and focus on:
● engaging and supporting the family
● engaging and using the support of the wider social and educational
system
● identifying maladaptive family interactions (including areas of power
distribution and conflict resolution)
● promoting new and more adaptive family interactions (including open
and effective communication).
5.4.19.3 Functional family therapy should be conducted over a period of 3 months
by health or social care professionals and focus on improving the interac-
tions within the family, including:
● engaging and motivating the family in treatment (enhancing perception
that change is possible, positive reframing and establishing a positive
alliance)
● problem-solving and behaviour change through parent-training and
communication training
● promoting generalisation of change in specific behaviours to broader
contexts, both within the family and the community (such as schools).
Evidence from the important outcomes and overall quality of evidence are presented
in Table 18 and Table 19. Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
Some researchers have combined two or more psychological and/or psychosocial
interventions, provided concurrently or consecutively, in an attempt to increase the
effectiveness of the intervention. For example, a course of family intervention may be
combined with a module of social skills training. The combinations are various and
thus these multi-modal interventions do not form a homogenous group of interven-
tions that can be analysed together.
Ten trials on multisystemic therapy that met the inclusion criteria for the review
were included. There was significant heterogeneity for most outcomes; however,
there was consistent evidence of a medium effect on reduction in offending outcomes
including number of arrests (SMD ⫺0.44; ⫺0.82 to ⫺0.06) and being arrested (RR
0.65; 0.42 to 1.00).
The main source of heterogeneity was LESCHIED2002, which found no differ-
ence between multisystemic therapy and treatment as usual on all primary outcomes.
A possible explanation is that the majority of trials of multisystemic therapy were
conducted in the US by the founders Henggeler and colleagues, whereas
LESCHIED2002 is a Canadian trial undertaken independently from the founders of
multisystemic therapy. However, a study by OGDEN2004 on a Norwegian sample,
which was also conducted independently, found positive effects for multisystemic
therapy for slightly different outcomes.
136
Interventions in children and adolescents
Reported behaviour
problems in the clinical
range on a behaviour
problem scale:
CAVELL2000
137
Interventions in children and adolescents
Multisystemic therapy compared with control for adolescents with conduct problems at risk of
offending
Patient or population: Adolescents with conduct problems at risk of offending
Intervention: Multisystemic therapy
Comparison: Control
Outcomes No. of participants Quality of the Effect size
(studies) evidence (95% CI)
(GRADE)
Multidimensional treatment foster care compared with control for adolescents with conduct
problems at risk of offending
Patient or population: Adolescents with conduct problems at risk of offending
Intervention: Multidimensional treatment foster care
Comparison: Control
Outcomes No. of participants Quality of the Effect size
(studies) evidence (95% CI)
(GRADE)
138
Interventions in children and adolescents
(SMD ⫽ 0.26; ⫺0.25, 0.77) and FRASER2004 (SMD ⫽ ⫺0.17; ⫺0.60, 0.25) found
no benefit for the intervention.
One study from the US was identified that considered the cost effectiveness of multi-
component interventions targeted at children (Foster et al., 2006). The study evalu-
ated the cost effectiveness of the Fast-Track intervention, a 10-year, multi-component
intervention designed to reduce violence among at-risk children with conduct prob-
lems. The extra costs of the intervention programme versus no treatment were evalu-
ated against three clinical outcomes: cases of conduct disorder averted; criminal
offences avoided; and acts of interpersonal violence averted. Overall, for all three
outcomes, the intervention was not cost effective at conventional willingness-to-pay
thresholds. Subgroup analyses showed that the intervention was more cost effective
for high-risk than low-risk children.
The evidence suggests that for children at risk of going into care, multidimensional
treatment foster care is an effective intervention. For conduct disordered adolescents
for whom parent training is not appropriate and who are at significant risk of offend-
ing, multisystemic therapy is an effective intervention. It is important for both of these
interventions that high fidelity to the model is preserved. The limited economic
evidence from a US setting suggests that multi-component interventions may only be
cost effective in high-risk children.
5.4.24 Recommendations
5.4.24.1 For young people aged between 12 and 17 years with severe conduct prob-
lems and a history of offending and who are at risk of being placed in care
or excluded from the family, consider multisystemic therapy.
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Interventions in children and adolescents
5.5.1 Recommendations
140
Interventions in children and adolescents
141
Interventions in children and adolescents
parents and children) reduce the risk of behavioural disorders, including conduct
problems and delinquency, in infants at high risk of developing these problems? An
RCT comparing parent-training programmes focused on sensitivity enhancement
with usual care should be undertaken. It should examine the long-term outcomes
over a period of at least 5 years, but with consideration given to the possibility of a
further 10-year follow-up. The study should also be designed to explore the moder-
ators and mediators of treatment effect that could help determine the factors associ-
ated with benefits or harms of the intervention.
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6.1 INTRODUCTION
At the population level there is a strong statistical association between the diagnosis
of antisocial personality disorder and offending (including violent offending). The
Office for National Statistics’ study found antisocial personality disorder in 63% of
male remand prisoners, 49% of male sentenced prisoners and 31% of female prison-
ers in England and Wales (Singleton et al., 1998). In the National Confidential
Inquiry’s study of the 249 homicide offenders who had recent contact with psychi-
atric services (Appleby et al., 2006), 30% had a primary or secondary diagnosis of
personality disorder, and the inquiry concluded that this figure was almost certainly
an underestimate. There are similar statistics from health and criminal justice settings
and from community samples.
With the growth of offending behaviour programmes in the criminal justice
system and the expansion of personality disorder services in the NHS, both criminal
justice and healthcare systems are devoting considerable resources to discovering the
extent to which mental health treatments can reduce the offending risk associated
with antisocial personality disorder. However as will be apparent throughout this
chapter, it should be cautioned that there is more research on risk assessment than on
risk management. Until such evidence emerges it is necessary to keep expectations of
health service interventions around risk within reasonable bounds.
6.2.1 Introduction
The diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder, like some other mental disorders, is
associated with an increased risk of offending behaviour, including violence.
However, antisocial personality disorder is a very broad diagnostic category (see
DSM-IV; APA, 1994), even when compared with other diagnoses in mental health. It
encompasses people who never commit offences as well as a minority who commit
the most serious crimes, with a great range in between. As a result the diagnosis alone
is of little value as an indicator of violence risk.
The clinical assessment of violence risk in antisocial personality disorder is more
problematic than in some other mental disorders, such as schizophrenia, because anti-
social personality disorder lacks unequivocal symptoms such as delusions and hallu-
cinations. The clinical interview and mental state examination are therefore less
reliable as a means of assessing the severity of the disorder. Some patients may be
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Risk assessment and management
both persuasive and deceptive, making a clinical interview a poor guide to the sever-
ity of the disorder and its associated risks. Therefore much effort has been expended
on the development and evaluation of tools that may assist in the assessment of
violence risk. Any measure that discriminates between degrees of severity of antisocial
personality disorder is likely to be of assistance in risk assessment; the Psychopathy
Checklist (Hare, 1980; Hart, 1998a, 1998b) is therefore one of the most useful instru-
ments in this field.
In this model the quality of the test or tool is judged by two main criteria:
Sensitivity is defined as the proportion of the violent outcome group scoring positive
for predicted violence on the risk assessment instrument, that is, sensitivity ⫽
TP/(TP ⫹ FN).
There is a trade-off between these measures. As the test or tool is made less strin-
gent by lowering the cut-off score it picks up more true positives (sensitivity rises) but
it also picks up more false positives (specificity falls). The ideal is to maximise sensi-
tivity while keeping specificity high.
To illustrate this: from a population in which the point prevalence rate of depres-
sion is 10% (that is, 10% of the population has depression at any one time), 1000
women are given a test with 90% sensitivity and 85% specificity. It is known that 100
women in this population have depression, but the test detects only 90 (true positives),
leaving 10 undetected (false negatives). It is also known that 900 women do not have
depression, and the test correctly identifies 765 of these (true negatives), but classi-
fies 135 incorrectly as having depression (false positives). The positive predictive
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Risk assessment and management
value of the test (the number correctly identified as having depression as a proportion
of positive tests) is 40% (90/90 + 135), and the negative predictive value (the number
correctly identified as not having depression as a proportion of negative tests) is 98%
(765/765 + 10). Therefore, in this example, a positive test result is correct in only
40% of cases, while a negative result can be relied upon in 98% of cases.
The qualities of a particular tool are summarised in a receiver operator character-
istic (ROC) curve, which plots sensitivity (expressed as %) against (100% - specificity)
(see Figure 3).
A test with perfect discrimination would have a ROC curve that passed through
the top left hand corner; that is, it would have 100% specificity and pick up all true
positives with no false positives. In reality that is never achieved, but the area under
the curve (AUC) measures how close the tool achieves the ideal. A perfect test would
have an AUC of 1 and anything above 0.5 is better than chance.
The AUC is the preferred statistic for evaluating risk assessment tools and is the
most common metric used in such studies (Mossman, 1994). Its main advantage, in
comparison with the other statistics, is that such estimates appear not to be affected
by the base rate of the phenomenon under consideration, which in this case is
violence (see Mossman, 1994). For these reasons, the review below uses AUC to
compare tools used for violence risk assessment.
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Risk assessment and management
Statistics take no account of the values that are central to healthcare: The AUC
statistic is concerned with maximising the number of right decisions. As violence
is relatively unusual in mental health populations, Monahan (1981) pointed out that
the best way to be right most of the time is to predict that no patients will be violent.
That course of action is unacceptable because errors in medicine come with values
attached and their values are not equal. The consequences of failing to predict an
act of serious violence (a false negative) are very different from the consequences
of wrongly predicting violence (a false positive). Fulford and colleagues (2006)
have written extensively on the importance of values in mental health; for the
purposes of this discussion the crucial point is that the statistics cannot be considered
in isolation.
The apparent value of a risk prediction instrument will be determined to a large
extent by the population to which it is applied: Gordon (1977) observed that many
risk assessments are tested in prisoner populations where there are high baseline
levels of violence risk. The same is true of many of the studies summarised below.
In these circumstances it is perhaps remarkable that these instruments are able to
achieve a reasonable level of discrimination. Clinicians who work with a more aver-
age group of patients may therefore reasonably expect that a standardised assess-
ment may be even more effective in identifying patients who have a high violence
risk. This principle leads to a paradox. Standardised risk assessments are most
widely used in forensic populations where most patients will have an increased
violence risk, meaning that fine discrimination between degrees of risk is more diffi-
cult. In a general psychiatry population, where most patients have a lower level of
risk, standardised instruments ought to be of more value in identifying the small
number who present a high risk.
Even the best instruments have high rates of error when applied to individuals:
Sensitivity, specificity and the AUC are population or group measures, but there are
much greater uncertainties associated with individual prediction. In part this limita-
tion is intrinsic to the statistical method; just because an individual has most attrib-
utes of a group does not mean he or she has all of them, even though those attributes
generally go together.
Violence risk prediction is different because the reality is ambiguous and it is
also subject to change. All the evidence concerning a particular individual may indi-
cate an extremely high risk of violence but it counts for nothing if the potential
perpetrator meets with an accident or dies of natural causes on his or her way to
committing an act of violence. More realistically, a medical intervention or supervi-
sion on probation can turn a true positive into a false positive, by preventing an act
of violence.
Violence risk is multifaceted rather than unitary: A comprehensive assessment of
violence risk includes qualitative and descriptive elements. For example, it may spec-
ify the likely victim or class of victim (for example, women and children), the type of
violence (for example, sexual versus non-sexual, predatory versus impulsive), the
severity (for example, use of weapons, whether the violent act is life-threatening, and
so on) and the frequency and probability of violence. Statements of probability will
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Risk assessment and management
It is generally accepted that the best way of assessing violence risk in mental health
settings is through structured clinical judgement (Monahan et al., 2001). The alterna-
tive methods are unstructured clinical judgement and actuarial measures. Unstructured
clinical judgement relies on the skills of the individual clinician and has no rules
beyond the basic rules of clinical practice. The clinician is free to take into account
any information they see fit, and they can use their discretion to arrive at a judgement
of violence risk.
The unstructured clinical approach is widely used but it is becoming difficult to
defend. Although it can work reasonably well it depends on individual skill, experi-
ence and thoroughness. Practice varies between individuals and, because there is no
structure or standard, it is virtually impossible to give explicit training or to raise stan-
dards. Decisions lack transparency so it is difficult to guard against bias and to guar-
antee non-discriminatory practice. Communication is compromised because there is
no common language or agreed set of variables.
In a reaction against the clinical method, the actuarial approach specifies the infor-
mation to be collected and how it is to be analysed in order to arrive at a decision. The
exercise of clinical discretion is explicitly forbidden in order to exclude bias. This
approach is derived from the insurance industry and it is surprisingly effective in
predicting violence at the population level.
However, actuarial methods are less useful or appropriate in a clinical setting
because the focus is on the individual patient. When applied to individuals, actuarial
or standardised measures will often be inaccurate because they ignore idiosyncratic
features, including both protective and aggravating factors. For example, morbid jeal-
ousy may be associated with a very high risk of violence even in the absence of other
actuarial risk factors. Conversely, the onset of incapacitating physical illness may
lower violence risk even when all the actuarial indicators are present.
In principle there is also an objection to relying on actuarial measures in clinical
settings. They treat the individual as nothing more than a representative of a class of
people, all of whose characteristics are assumed to be identical. It could be argued that
such measures rely on the same logic as prejudice and are therefore incompatible with
the value placed by health services on individual formulation and needs assessment.
Despite these reservations, actuarial assessments such as the Violence Risk
Assessment Guide (VRAG; Quinsey et al., 1998), the Sex Offender Risk Assessment
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Risk assessment and management
Guide (Quinsey et al., 1998), and Static-99 (Hanson & Thornton, 1999) are widely
used by forensic mental health services. They should not be used as stand-alone
measures of risk but will often form part of a comprehensive assessment. When
used in that way they become incorporated into the exercise of structured clinical
judgement.
Structured clinical judgement combines the positive aspects of the actuarial and
clinical approaches. There is a mandatory requirement to collect standardised infor-
mation, but the clinician is free to interpret that information in the light of all that is
known about the individual case. There is some standardisation and transparency
while clinicians retain the freedom to take into account any and all available informa-
tion before reaching a decision.
The most widely used instrument in the field of structured clinical judgement is
the Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20 (HCR-20; Webster et al., 1997) which
involves the collection of 20 items (see Section 6.2.5). It then requires consideration
of any items that may be specific to the particular case, before requiring clinical teams
to construct risk management scenarios. Each scenario considers a possible violent
outcome, along with warning signs and factors that make it more or less likely, lead-
ing to a plan for managing those risk factors.
Despite the importance given to clinical discretion, this method is based on stan-
dardised measures of risk. It requires that clinical decisions are informed by such
measures rather than determined by them but it still raises questions about the accu-
racy of the tools used for violence risk prediction. The next section considers the
extent to which such measures are successful in predicting violence risk in popula-
tions of people with antisocial personality disorder.
Risk assessment tools are defined in the review as validated psychometric instruments
that are used to predict violence and/or offending. The review was limited to assess-
ment tools that in the view of the GDG were likely to be used in UK clinical practice.
They included the Psychopathy Checklist in its full (PCL-R; Hare et al., 1991) and
screening versions (PCL-SV; Hart et al., 1999), HCR-20 (Webster et al., 1997),
VRAG (Quinsey et al., 1998), Level of Supervision Inventory (LSI; Andrews &
Bonta, 1995), Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS; Copas & Marshall, 1998),
and Risk Assessment Management and Audit Systems (RAMAS; O’Rourke &
Hammond, 2000).
GRADE profiles could not be generated because the guidance and software on
grading reviews of such studies are at a preliminary stage. Therefore quality assess-
ments for each individual study were provided in the evidence summary tables. The
following review assesses predictive validity. It does not replicate the clinical use of
these tools nor does it imply they should be used for risk assessment in a clinical
setting. In some cases the tools were not designed or intended for risk prediction but
that should not be an obstacle to their statistical evaluation.
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Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 21.
The review team conducted a new systematic search for observational studies that
assessed the risk of antisocial behaviour, focusing on violence and/or offending (see
Appendix 8).
Broad inclusion criteria were adopted because there was initial interest in the
capacity of the scale to predict violence/offending behaviour not exclusive to antiso-
cial personality disorder. The interventions consisted of risk assessment tools seeking
to predict violent and/or offending behaviour at either the group or individual level
using outcomes such as sensitivity, specificity, the AUC, PPV and NPV. The primary
outcome measure examined was AUC with values of 0.6 to 0.8 indicating a moderate
level of prediction, 0.8 to 0.9 a high level of prediction and values greater than 0.9
indicating a very high level of prediction.
Trials consisting of 30% or more of participants with schizophrenia or psychoses
were excluded from the analysis.
Twenty studies met the inclusion criteria set by the GDG. Of these, 19 were
published in peer-reviewed journals between 1991 and 2007. One further study was
a publication from the Ministry of Justice (Coid et al., 2007). In addition, 38 studies
were excluded from the analysis. The most common reason for exclusion was not
providing relevant data that met the criteria of the review.
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Risk assessment and management
Of the 19 included studies, five assessed the HCR-20, 15 the Psychopathy PCL-R,
three the PCL-SV, eight the VRAG, three the LSI and one the OGRS. No studies on
RAMAS met the eligibility criteria of the review.
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Risk assessment and management
Robbery:
AUC = 0.565 (ns)
Violence:
AUCs = 0.638
(p < 0.001)
Dahle, 2006 N = 307 10 years Criminal Reimprisonment ++
convictions 5 years post-release:
Mean age at baseline: AUC = 0.70,
30 years (SD = 5.35) SD = 0.03
Moderately
Gender: all male predictive
Continued
151
Risk assessment and management
Learning disability
Crimes against
persons –
AUC = 0.46
(0.36, 0.56)
methodological challenges are considerable it seemed to the GDG that such a claim
could be tested empirically. No evidence is available at present.
Psychopathy Checklist
Psychopathy is more or less synonymous with the categories of antisocial personality
disorder in DSM-IV and with dissocial personality in ICD-10 (Maden, 2007). The
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Table 23: Study information and data on the PCL-R and PCL-SV
Cut-off 30 – Verbally
aggressive:
sensitivity = 0.38,
specificity = 0.88,
PPV = 0.69,
NPV = 0.67
Cut-off 30 – Non-
aggressive:
sensitivity = 0.35,
specificity = 0.83,
PPV = 0.46,
NPV = 0.76
Continued
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Risk assessment and management
Coid et al., N = 1396 (1353 prisoners 6 days – 2.91 Serious Any: AUC = 0.646 ++
2007 (PCL-R) released) years (M = 1.97 re-offending (p < 0.001)
years)
Gender: all male Drug: AUC = 0.596
(p < 0.001)
Setting: prisoner cohort,
UK Theft: AUC = 0.662
(p < 0.001)
Edens et al., N = 695 (441 not 50 weeks Violence At least one violent +
2006 (PCL- followed up) act:
SV)
(McArthur Age: 30 years 20-week follow-up:
study) AUC ⫽ 0.78
Gender: 59% male 50-week follow-up:
Setting: hospitals in US AUC = 0.76
Diagnosis: 100%
personality disorder
Harris et al., N = 176 (169 had the 10 years Violent Relative improvement
1991 (PCL-R) opportunity to recidivate) recidivism over chance +
(RIOC) = 62.4%
Gender: all male (p < .001)
Continued
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Risk assessment and management
Age: under 25
Learning disability
Continued
155
Risk assessment and management
Cut-off 13 – combined
recidivism: AUC =
0.64 (0.55–0.73)
Cut-off 18 – violent
recidivism: AUC =
0.56 (0.47–0.68)
Cut-off 18 – sexual
recidivism: AUC = 0.57
(0.42–0.71)
Setting: prison US
Diagnosis: 45.4%
personality disorders,
20.0% no disorder, 9.2%
substance use disorders,
7.0% schizophrenic disor-
ders, 5.9% other psychoses,
4.3% mood disorders,4.3%
sexual disorders, 2.7%
anxiety disorders, 1.1%
adjustment disorders
Institutional Any incident – AUC =
Walters & N = 136 2 years incidents 0.522 (0.42–0.62)
Mandell,
2007 Age: 20–65 years Major incident –
(PCL-SV) (M = 34.24, SD = 8.50) AUC = 0.60
(0.49–0.71)
Gender: all males
Continued
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Risk assessment and management
Table 23: (Continued)
AUC statistics. Pooled estimates of AUC values for the PCL-R (Dahle, 2006; Grann
et al., 1999; Warren et al., 2005) and PCL-SV (Urbaniok et al., 2002; Walters &
Mandell, 2007) were calculated from studies that provided extractable data. It appears
that the PCL-R (AUC ⫽ 0.69; 0.67, 0.70) predicted violence or offending slightly
better than PCL-SV (AUC ⫽ 0.58; 0.54, 0.63).
The non-significant findings may partly be explained by the populations in these
studies. As discussed above, Warren and colleagues (2005) comprised an exclusively
female population within a high secure prison in the US. Similarly, Morrissey and
colleagues (2007) differed from other studies in focusing on a sample of people with
intellectual disability. Finally, Walters and colleagues (2003) focused on disciplinary
violations whereas most other studies reported recidivism rates.
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Risk assessment and management
Coid et al., N = 1396 (1353 prisoners 6 days – 2.91 Serious Any: AUC = 0.719 +
2007 released) years (M = 1.97 re-offending (p < 0.001)
years)
Gender: all male Drug: AUC = 0.655
(p < 0.001)
Setting: prisoner cohort,
UK Theft: AUC = 0.713
(p < 0.001)
Edens et al., N = 695 (441 not 50 weeks Violence At least one violent +
2006 followed up) act:
(McArthur 20-week follow-up:
study) Age: 30 years Modified VRAG –
AUC = 0.73
Gender: 59% male Modified VRAG
without PCL-SV –
Setting: hospitals in US AUC = 0.64
Continued
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Risk assessment and management
AUC values once more ranged from 0.60-0.80 indicating a moderately accurate
prediction for the risk of violence and/or offending. A pooled estimate was obtained
from studies (Grann et al., 2000; Harris et al., 2003) providing extractable data
(AUC ⫽ 0.65; 0.55, 0.77).
159
Risk assessment and management
Robbery:
AUC = 0.69
p < .001
Violence:
AUC = 0.72
p < .001
The AUC ranged from 0.69 to 0.72 indicating a moderately accurate prediction.
However, the data were too sparse to be able to draw conclusions on the efficacy of
this assessment tool for the target population of this review.
There was considerable similarity in the AUC values obtained for most of the scales
reviewed. The PCL-R, LSI, OGRS and HCR-20 all had AUC values indicating a
moderate level of prediction. Therefore there are a number of measures available that
160
Risk assessment and management
Setting: German
prisons
Kroner et al., N = 206 – Post-release New convictions: +
2005 criminal AUC = 0.69
Age: 30 years convictions
Revocations Revocations:
Gender: all male (violations of AUC = 0.71
parole leading to
Setting: prison, reincarcer-ation)
Canada
Loza & Green, N = 91 5 years Violent and Violent recidivism: +
2003 general AUC = 0.67
Mean age: 30 recidivism
General recidivism:
Gender: all male AUC = 0.78
Setting: released
from prison, Canada
are adequately effective at predicting violence and/or offending at the group level,
with little data to differentiate them.
While these studies provide useful data on the prediction of recidivism and
violence at the group level, there are limits to applying this data in clinical practice.
Risk assessment instruments measure the extent to which an individual resembles a
group in which there is a particular, statistical risk of violence. The instrument may
tell professionals more about that individual than they would know if they did not
carry out the assessment, but it has limited accuracy as a predictor of the individual’s
behaviour.
All of the risk assessment tools included in the review appeared to predict risk moder-
ately well and there did not appear to be clear evidence to distinguish these measures
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Risk assessment and management
in their level of prediction. Therefore the GDG concluded that the use of a structured
instrument would be beneficial as a supplement to a structured clinical assessment. It
was also noted that these measures should be provided by staff with sufficient expert-
ise (for example, working in tertiary services) and already be familiar in UK clinical
practice (for example, the PCL-R, PCL-SV and HCR-20).
In addition, for secondary services, where there may not be the resources to
conduct assessments using such instruments, the GDG felt it would be important for
staff to record detailed histories of previous violence and other risk factors.
Finally, in the event that a violence risk assessment may be required in primary
care, the GDG concluded that a history of previous violence should be taken and
referral to specialist services should be considered.
6.2.8 Recommendations
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Risk assessment and management
6.2.8.4 The initial risk management should be directed at crisis resolution and
ameliorating any acute aggravating factors. The history of previous
violence should be an important guide in the development of any future
violence risk management plan.
6.2.8.5 Staff in secondary care mental health services should consider a referral to
forensic services where there is:
● current violence or threat that suggests immediate risk or disruption to
the operation of the service
● a history of serious violence, including predatory offending or target-
ing of children or other vulnerable people.
6.3.1 Introduction
The priority for mental health services is arguably not risk assessment as much as risk
management. The task is not only to define and measure risk but to intervene in order
to reduce it. It is extremely rare for medical treatment to carry any third-party risk, so
it is essential that services take systematic action to reduce violence risk.
The key to effective risk management is the assessment of risk as a multi-faceted
construct using a descriptive approach rather than an estimate of high, medium or low
risk. A description of the nature of the risk, including the factors likely to increase or
decrease it, should lead seamlessly to a management plan.
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Risk assessment and management
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 27.
The review team conducted a new systematic search for observational studies on risk
management interventions that aimed to reduce the risk of violence and/or offending.
No studies that met the criteria of the review were identified. The GDG therefore
developed good practice recommendations based on a consideration of the risk
assessment literature including the National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and
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Risk assessment and management
Homicide by People with Mental Illness (Appleby et al., 2006); professional consen-
sus; the recommendations of inquiries following homicides (Department of Health,
2007a); and recommendations produced by other bodies including the Risk
Management Authority Scotland (2006).
When considering the evidence for risk management, the GDG drew heavily on the
Department of Health (2007a) document, Best Practice in Managing Risk: Principles
and Evidence for Best Practice in the Assessment and Management of Risk to Self and
Others in Mental Health Services. This was developed by the Department of Health
as part of its National Mental Health Risk Management Programme. It includes 16
best practice points, which the GDG appraised as an effective synopsis of the current
best practice in risk management; these are summarised below (see Box 1).
Introduction
1. Best practice involves making decisions based on knowledge of the research
evidence, knowledge of the individual service user and their social context,
knowledge of the service user’s own experience, and clinical judgement.
Fundamentals
2. Positive risk management as part of a carefully constructed plan is a required
competence for all mental health practitioners.
3. Risk management should be conducted in a spirit of collaboration and based
on a relationship between the service user and their carers that is as trusting as
possible.
4. Risk management must be built on recognition of the service user’s strengths
and should emphasise recovery.
5. Risk management requires an organisational strategy as well as efforts by the
individual practitioner.
Basic ideas in risk management
6. Risk management involves developing flexible strategies aimed at preventing
any negative event from occurring or, if this is not possible, minimising the
harm caused.
7. Risk management should take into account that risk can be both general and
specific, and that good management can reduce and prevent harm.
8. Knowledge and understanding of mental health legislation is an important
component of risk management.
Continued
165
Risk assessment and management
Box 1: (Continued)
9. The risk management plan should include a summary of all risks identified,
formulations of the situations in which identified risks may occur, and actions to
be taken by practitioners and the service user in response to crisis.
10. Where suitable tools are available, risk management should be based on
assessment using the structured clinical judgement approach.
11. Risk assessment is integral to deciding on the most appropriate level of risk
management and the right kind of intervention for a service user.
Working with service users and carers
12. All staff involved in risk management must be capable of demonstrating
sensitivity and competence in relation to diversity in race, faith, age, gender,
disability and sexual orientation.
13. Risk management must always be based on awareness of the capacity for the
service user’s risk level to change over time, and a recognition that each service
user requires a consistent and individualised approach.
Individual practice and team working
14. Risk management plans should be developed by multidisciplinary and multi-
agency teams operating in an open, democratic and transparent culture that
embraces reflective practice.
15. All staff involved in risk management should receive relevant training, which
should be updated at least every three years.
16. A risk management plan is only as good as the time and effort put into
communicating its findings to others.
These best practice points are general rather than specific but endorse the use of
structured clinical risk assessment in formulating risk management plans (as identi-
fied in Section 6.2.6). Many of the points are concerned with attitudes and expecta-
tions and it is worth considering how some of these general expectations can be
applied to the specific question of managing violence risk in antisocial personality
disorder.
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Risk assessment and management
Multi-agency working
As risk depends in large part on what a person has already done, most high-risk
patients with antisocial personality disorder will already have been in contact with the
criminal justice system. Proper management of violence risk will rarely be a task for
mental health services alone. It is necessary to work with other disciplines and in
many cases health will not be the lead agency.
Admission to hospital
Admission to hospital is rarely an appropriate treatment for antisocial personality
disorder. The main exceptions are at times of crisis, when the admission should have
a clearly defined purpose and end point; for the treatment of comorbid conditions (for
example, severe depression with a serious associated risk of suicide); and in
specialised services for patients who present particularly high risks that cannot be
safely managed by other means.
The recommendations that follow draw on three sources of evidence: the review of
specialist assessment tools (an influential factor in the decision to identify specific
measures in addition to their psychometric properties was their current use in the UK
and their ability to inform a risk management plan; see Section 6.2.6); other guidance
on the treatment and management of antisocial personality disorder; and the expert
opinion of the GDG. The GDG used methods of informal consensus to arrive at the
recommendations.
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Risk assessment and management
6.3.8 Recommendations
6.3.8.1 Services should develop a comprehensive risk management plan for people
with antisocial personality disorder who are considered to be of high risk.
The plan should involve other agencies in health and social care services
and the criminal justice system. Probation services should take the lead
role when the person is on a community sentence or is on licence from
prison with mental health and social care services providing support and
liaison. Such cases should routinely be referred to the local Multi-Agency
Public Protection Panel.
168
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
7.1 INTRODUCTION
169
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Given the limited evidence for the treatment of antisocial personality disorder and
that guidance on disorders commonly comorbid with antisocial personality disorder
generally does not consider the impact of antisocial personality disorder on treatment
recommendations, the GDG decided to review the evidence for the treatment of
comorbid disorders. The evidence on the treatment of comorbid disorders was
restricted to populations with antisocial personality disorder, and evidence was not
extrapolated from studies of offenders or other populations. In the review of interven-
tions for offending behaviour, the GDG also decided to include studies of interven-
tions for drug and alcohol misuse and dependence in offender populations where such
studies met quality criteria.
7.2.1 Introduction
170
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Current practice
Healthcare services
Most people with antisocial personality disorder in the community remain undiag-
nosed and untreated (Department of Health, 2003). They do not come into contact
with mental health services and often do not perceive any need for treatment of their
personality problems. Some people with the disorder may seek treatment for comor-
bid mental health disorders, including anxiety and depression, but whether they have
a formal diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder or not, they may nevertheless be
excluded from services because of their personality disorder or the mistaken belief
171
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
that they will not be able to benefit from treatment. People with antisocial personal-
ity disorder may also make limited use of inpatient services in a crisis but are unlikely
to be offered or engage in long-term treatment.
In contrast to mental health services, a significant number of people with antiso-
cial personality disorder are treated by drug and alcohol services in both the statutory
and non-statutory sector. Here the focus on treatment will be on the drug or alcohol
misuse not the personality problem.
Health services treating people specifically for their antisocial personality disor-
der are largely limited to specialist healthcare services such as forensic services.
However, even within forensic services specific provision for antisocial personality
disorder is underdeveloped. At the very severe end of the spectrum the recent devel-
opment of the Dangerous and Severe Personality Disorder Service (Home Office,
1997) has seen the establishment of new units in two special hospitals (Rampton and
Broadmoor) and two high secure prisons (HMP Frankland and HMP Whitemoor).
172
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Outcomes
For the review of the effectiveness of interventions for adults with antisocial person-
ality disorder, the GDG chose re-offending as the primary outcome. There are a
number of measures of re-offending including conviction, arrest, breaches of condi-
tions attached to parole or probation, re-incarceration and recidivism. Conviction was
considered the most robust measure but where this was not reported other re-offend-
ing outcomes were extracted in the order of priority listed above.
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 28 (further information about the
search for health economic evidence can be found in Appendix 11.)
The review team conducted a series of systematic searches for RCTs that assessed
the efficacy and cost effectiveness of psychological interventions specifically for the
173
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
A total of 22 trials relating to clinical evidence met the eligibility criteria set by the
GDG, providing data on 3,237 participants. Of these, two trials were reported in books
(JOHNSON1995, PORPORINO1995), two were reports from the US Department of
Justice (AUSTIN1997, PULLEN1996), and 18 were published in peer-reviewed jour-
nals between 1973 and 2008 (ARMSTRONG2003, DAVIDSON2008, DEMBO2000,
DUGAN1998, ELROD1992, GREENWOOD1993, GUERRA1990, KINLOCK2003,
LEEMAN1993, LIAU2004, OSTROM1971, ROHDE2004, ROSS1988,
SCHLICHTER1981, SHIVRATTAN1988, SPENCE1981, VAN VOORHIS2004,
VANNOY2004). In addition, 97 studies were excluded from the analysis. The most
common reason for exclusion was lack of a comparison group (further information
about both included and excluded studies can be found in Appendix 15).
For the treatment of people with antisocial personality disorder, there was one trial
(DAVIDSON2008) that met the eligibility criteria of the review providing informa-
tion on 39 participants.
For the treatment of people with symptoms or behaviour associated with the anti-
social personality disorder construct, there was one trial that investigated the treat-
ment of anger by comparing anger management with control (VANNOY2004).
For the treatment of offending behaviour in adults with substance misuse prob-
lems, there were four trials investigating cognitive and behavioural interventions,
three of which were group-based interventions (AUSTIN1997; JOHNSON1995;
KINLOCK2003) and one which was individually based (DUGAN1998).
For the treatment of offending behaviour in adults, there were five trials comparing
group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions with control (ARMSTRONG2003;
LIAU2004; PORPORINO1995; ROSS1988; VANVOORHIS2004).
For the treatment of offending behaviour in young people, seven trials compared
group-based cognitive and behavioural skills interventions with control (GUERRA1990;
LEEMAN1993; OSTROM1971; PULLEN1996; ROHDE2004; SCHLICHTER1981;
SPENCE1981); one trial was on individual cognitive and behavioural interventions
(SHIVRATTAN1988) and three trials compared multi-component interventions with
control (ELROD1992; GREENWOOD1993; DEMBO2000).
11Here and elsewhere in the guideline, each study considered for review is referred to by a study ID in capi-
tal letters (primary author and date of study publication, except where a study is in press or only submit-
ted for publication, then a date is not used). The references for studies can be found in Appendix 15.
174
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
The search identified one study relating to the treatment of antisocial personality
disorder (DAVIDSON2008). The study compared CBT with treatment as usual for
people with antisocial personality disorder living in the community (see Table 29 and
Table 30). Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in Appendices 15
and 16 respectively.
DAVIDSON2008 did not find an effect for CBT on anger or verbal aggression
compared with treatment as usual for people with antisocial personality disorder
in the community. The trial did find a small, non-significant effect for social function-
ing and physical aggression compared with treatment as usual.
The evidence for the treatment of antisocial personality disorder in the community is
limited to one trial. The quality of the evidence is low to moderate where further
research is likely to have an impact on the effect estimate of CBT in the community
for people with antisocial personality disorder. The limited economic evidence from
this trial suggests that CBT may not be cost saving in the short term (see below).
175
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
CBT compared with treatment as usual for people with antisocial personal-
ity disorder in the community
Population: antisocial personality disorder
Settings: community
Intervention: CBT versus treatment as usual
Outcomes No. of Quality of Effect size
participants the evidence
(studies) (GRADE)
The study, which was conducted in the UK, was a simple cost analysis of CBT plus
treatment as usual versus treatment as usual alone conducted alongside an RCT
included in the guideline systematic review of clinical evidence (DAVIDSON2008).
The study examined healthcare costs (including psychiatric care, accident and emer-
gency visits and primary care), social work costs and costs borne by the criminal
justice system. The time horizon of the analysis was 12 months. Overall, the total cost
per person in the CBT group was higher than the respective cost in the treatment as
usual group (£38,004 versus £31,097, respectively). The healthcare cost was similar
in both groups (£1,295 in the CBT group and £1,133 in the TAU group). The cost of
providing CBT was £1,300 per participant. Details on the methods used in the
systematic review of the economic literature are described in Chapter 3. Evidence
176
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
tables for all economic studies included in the guideline economic literature review
are in Appendix 14.
One trial relating to clinical evidence for the treatment of the constructs of antisocial
personality disorder met the eligibility criteria set by the GDG, providing data on 31
participants (VANNOY2004). The included study was a trial of group-based anger
management versus waitlist in an offender population. This small study reported data
only on a continuous measure and was considered to be of low quality. The outcomes
of the trial were trait anger (STAXI; SMD ⫺0.64, ⫺1.36 to 0.09) and state anger
(STAXI; SMD ⫺0.96, ⫺1.70 to ⫺0.21).
The evidence for the treatment of the constructs of antisocial personality disorder is
extremely limited and does not support the development of any recommendations.
The review found four trials that investigated cognitive and behavioural interventions
for the treatment of offending in substance misuse offenders, three of which were
group based interventions (AUSTIN1997; JOHNSON1995; KINLOCK2003) and
one was individually based (DUGAN1998). This review provided data on 582 partic-
ipants (see Table 31 and Table 32). Full study characteristics and forest plots can be
found in Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
For the treatment of offending in substance misuse offenders, the five included
studies were identified as cognitive and behavioural interventions. The review found
this intervention to have a medium effect on offending and major infractions
combined (RR ⫽ 0.76; 0.60, 0.97) and a small non-significant effect on mean number
of offences (SMD 0.19; ⫺0.18 to 0.55).
177
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Table 31: Study information table for group-based cognitive and behavioural
intervention compared with non-treatment control for substance misuse offenders
Community (probation):
AUSTIN1997
JOHNSON1995
Average treatment length 114 days
Length of follow-up Longest follow-up: 1 year
There appears to be modest evidence for the effectiveness of cognitive and behav-
ioural interventions, primarily delivered in groups, in reducing offending for adults
with substance misuse problems. This effect has been found in a variety of settings
including institutional prison-based settings and outpatient and probation settings in
the community.
One study met the inclusion criteria for the systematic economic literature review
(Alemi et al., 2006). The study, which was conducted in the US, compared the costs
over 2.75 years of a combination of probation and substance misuse treatment versus
178
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
probation alone. Overall, a combination of probation and treatment was $6,300 more
expensive than traditional probation per participant annually, mainly because of
greater mental hospitalisation and additional treatment costs. The study characteris-
tics and results are presented in the form of evidence tables in Appendix 14. Details
on the systematic search of the economic literature are provided in Chapter 3.
There were five trials comparing the effects of group-based cognitive and behavioural
interventions with control on re-offending for adult offenders treated within the crim-
inal justice system (institutional settings or in the community on probation or parole)
(see Table 33 and Table 34). Conviction was considered the most robust measure of
re-offending but where this was not reported, other re-offending outcomes were
179
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Table 33: Study information table for group-based cognitive and behavioural
interventions for offenders
Community (probation):
ROSS1988
VANVOORHIS2004
20+ years:
LIAU2004
PORPORINO1995
ROSS1988
VANVOORHIS2004
extracted (for further details see Section 7.2.2). Full study characteristics and forest
plots can be found in Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
Group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions were found to provide a
modest effect on re-offending (RR 0.78; 0.55 to 1.08). The population included in this
analysis was predominantly adult male offenders. LIAU2004, which included a small
180
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
proportion of female offenders, was not included in the meta-analysis because it was
not possible to extract intention-to-treat (ITT) data.
181
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Economic modelling
Objective
The guideline systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical evidence demon-
strated that provision of Reasoning and Rehabilitation, a group-based cognitive
behavioural skills intervention (Cann et al., 2003), to adult offenders can potentially
reduce the rates of future offending behaviour. Offending behaviour leads to substan-
tial costs to the society, including the criminal justice system and victims of crime.
A cost analysis was undertaken to assess whether the costs to the NHS of providing
Reasoning and Rehabilitation to adults with offending behaviour are offset by future
cost savings resulting from reduction in re-offending behaviour in this population.
Methods
Intervention examined Reasoning and Rehabilitation programmes are offered to
people with offending behaviour in institutional and community correctional settings.
They typically consist of 38 curriculum-based sessions of 2 hours’ duration each over
approximately 8 to 12 weeks. Programmes are delivered to small groups of eight to
ten participants (T3 Associates, 2003).
Costs considered in the analysis A simple economic model was developed to estimate
the net total costs (or cost savings) associated with provision of Reasoning and
Rehabilitation to adult offenders. Published evidence on the costs incurred by adults
with offending behaviour is limited. One study conducted in the UK that assessed the
effectiveness of CBT in adults with antisocial personality disorder reported 12-month
service costs incurred by this population, including healthcare, social work and
criminal justice system costs (Davidson et al., 2008). The total costs per adult with
antisocial personality disorder receiving CBT over 12 months were £38,000. Of
these, only 7% were healthcare costs (including provision of CBT); the vast majority
of costs were associated with social work and use of criminal justice system services.
NICE recommends that economic analyses of healthcare interventions adopt a
NHS and PSS perspective (NICE, 2006a). However, the criminal justice system and
social and other public services are likely to bear the majority of costs incurred by
adults with offending behaviour and only a small proportion of costs fall on the NHS
and PSS. For this reason, the economic analysis adopted a broader perspective than
182
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
that of the NHS and PPS, including any costs to public services for which appropri-
ate information was available.
Existing clinical evidence suggests that provision of Reasoning and Rehabilitation
to adults with offending behaviour may reduce rates of re-offending, and therefore
costs relating to crime. It is unknown whether participation of adult offenders in such
programmes has an effect on other costs, such as costs to health and social care serv-
ices, although it is likely that reducing offending behaviour may result in a decrease
in other costs too. Because of lack of appropriate relevant data that could inform the
economic model, the analysis has considered only intervention costs (that is, costs of
providing Reasoning and Rehabilitation) and costs related to crime/adult offending
behaviour. All other categories of public sector costs, such as health and social care
costs, were conservatively assumed to be the same for adult offenders participating in
Reasoning and Rehabilitation programmes and for those not receiving the intervent-
ion, and were subsequently omitted from the analysis. This is acknowledged as a
limitation of the economic analysis. However, costs relating to crime are likely to
constitute the most substantial part of the costs incurred by adult offenders; therefore,
the economic analysis is likely to have considered the majority of costs associated
with providing Reasoning and Rehabilitation to adults with offending behaviour.
183
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
184
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
the literature, and the weighted average cost per offence committed by adult
re-offenders.
The average cost per offence committed by adult re-offenders was estimated at
£2,706. Since this population commits 3.742 offences over 12 months (Ministry of
Justice, 2008a), the 12-month cost associated with offending behaviour is £10,127 per
adult re-offender.
185
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Discounting
Costs incurred beyond 12 months were discounted at an annual rate of 3.5%, as recom-
mended by NICE (NICE, 2006a). Table 36 provides all input parameters utilised in the
base-case analysis of the economic model of Reasoning and Rehabilitation for adults
with offending behaviour.
Sensitivity analysis
One- and two-way sensitivity analyses were undertaken to explore the robustness of
the results under the uncertainty characterising some model input parameters. The
following scenarios were tested in sensitivity analysis:
● Use of the 95% CIs of the RR of re-offending of Reasoning and Rehabilitation
versus control.
● Exclusion of data from ROSS1988, which introduced heterogeneity in the meta-
analysis (resulting in a mean RR of re-offending of Reasoning and Rehabilitation
versus control: 0.88 with 95% CIs 0.75 to 1.03).
Table 36: Input parameters utilised in the economic model assessing the net
costs (or savings) resulting from provision of Reasoning and Rehabilitation
to adults with offending behaviour
Input parameters Value Source of data - comments
RR (95% CIs) of Reasoning 0.78 Guideline meta-analysis
and Rehabilitation (0.55 to 1.03)
versus control
Baseline re-offending rate 39% Ministry of Justice, 2008a
of adult re-offenders
(12 months)
Intervention cost per adult £637 Based on 38 sessions lasting 2 hours
each, delivered to groups of 8 adults
Weighted average cost per £2,706 See Table 35
offence committed by adult
re-offenders
Number of offences per adult 3.742 Ministry of Justice, 2008a
re-offender (12 months)
Annual discount rate 0.035 NICE, 2006a
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
● Reduction in the baseline re-offending rate for adult offenders; an annual rate of
30% was tested.
● Extension of the time horizon of the analysis beyond 1 year; although currently
there is no evidence to suggest that Reasoning and Rehabilitation programmes
have a clinical effect lasting longer than 1 year, consecutive time horizons of 2 to
5 years were tested in sensitivity analysis to explore the magnitude of potential
cost savings achieved by provision of the intervention to adult offenders, if the
intervention has a longer lasting effect.
● Potential net savings accrued over 2 to 5 years were also estimated assuming that
the effect of the intervention was reduced over time; in this scenario the RR of
Reasoning and Rehabilitation versus control was multiplied by a factor of 1.15 for
every year after the first year following initiation of the intervention, to capture
this assumed decline in the clinical effect over time, until Reasoning and
Rehabilitation had no beneficial effect over control.
● Combination of alternative time horizons between 1 and 5 years with the rest of
the hypotheses described above.
In addition, threshold analyses identified the values of specific input parameters
where the results of the analysis were reversed. The parameters tested were the rela-
tive effect of Reasoning and Rehabilitation versus control (expressed in RR), the aver-
age cost of offence committed by adult re-offenders, and the baseline re-offending
rate of adults with offending behaviour over 12 months.
Results
Base-case analysis The reduction in the re-offending rates achieved by provision of
Reasoning and Rehabilitation to adult offenders yielded cost savings equalling £869
per adult with offending behaviour over 1 year. Because the provision of Reasoning
and Rehabilitation programmes costs £637 per adult offender, the intervention results
in an overall net saving of £232 per adult with offending behaviour over 1 year. Full
results of the base-case analysis are reported in Table 37.
Sensitivity analysis Results of the cost analysis were sensitive to the different
scenarios tested in sensitivity analysis. The results of meta-analysis (both including
and excluding ROSS1988) were not statistically significant at the 0.05 level and
Table 37: Results of economic analysis assessing the net costs (or savings)
resulting from provision of Reasoning and Rehabilitation to adults with
offending behaviour
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
therefore using the upper 95% CI of the RR of the intervention versus control did not
lead to any savings because offending behaviour was in these cases increased
following provision of Reasoning and Rehabilitation to adult offenders. In all other
scenarios Reasoning and Rehabilitation resulted in net savings within the first year.
Although no long-term studies could demonstrate whether the beneficial effect of the
programme in reducing offending behaviour lasts beyond 1 year, sensitivity analysis
showed that, if such a longer effect exists, then the intervention could save on average
£3,424 per adult offender over 5 years (or £1,578, when ROSS1988 was excluded
from analysis).
Threshold analysis showed that the intervention became cost neutral over 1 year
when the cost per offence committed by adult offenders fell at £1,980, when the base-
line rate of re-offending was reduced at 29% over 12 months, and when the RR of the
intervention versus control was a maximum of 0.84.
Full results of one- and two-way sensitivity analyses are presented in Table 38.
In addition, threshold analyses identified the values of specific input parameters
where the results of the analysis were reversed. The parameters tested were the rela-
tive effect of Reasoning and Rehabilitation versus control (expressed in RR), the aver-
age cost of offence committed by adult re-offenders, and the baseline re-offending
rate of adults with offending behaviour over 12 months.
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189
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Conclusion
Group-based cognitive behavioural interventions delivered as Reasoning and
Rehabilitation programmes are potentially cost effective in the UK setting. Besides
the clinical benefits to adults with offending behaviour, they may produce net cost
savings to society, resulting from reduction in offending behaviour.
There is relatively robust clinical evidence indicating that cognitive and behavioural
interventions are moderately effective for offenders. The economic analysis showed
that such interventions are potentially cost saving, as the intervention costs may be
offset by savings associated with a reduction in re-offending; however, the results of
economic analysis were characterised by great uncertainty. The finding of a reduction
in re-offending is supported by evidence from cognitive and behavioural interventions
for offenders with substance misuse problems, which also have a significant impact
on reducing offending in a population with a high incidence of antisocial personality
disorder.
The GDG judged that it would be reasonable to conclude that such interventions
were likely to be effective for people with antisocial personality disorder. As was
noted in the Section 7.2.1, these interventions were developed and provided almost
exclusively within the criminal justice system. However, in addressing offending
behaviour the interventions also attempt to focus on problems with impulsivity,
aggression and rule-breaking. Such problems are also experienced by people with
antisocial personality disorder without criminal records. In light of this the GDG felt
it reasonable to extrapolate from this dataset of offenders and support the use of
group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions for non-offending populations
with antisocial personality disorder in the community.
In addition, the GDG considered that it would be possible to extrapolate these
findings to people who meet criteria for DSPD and therefore concluded that cogni-
tive and behavioural interventions would likely be moderately effective in this
population. However, it was also felt that the intervention would need to be adapted
in order to be beneficial for people with DSPD. The GDG also noted the recom-
mendation in the borderline personality disorder guideline (NICE, 2009) support-
ing use of multi-modal treatments, for example the combination of individual and
group treatments. Given that a proportion of people who meet criteria for DSPD
may have comorbid personality disorders, including borderline personality disor-
der, the GDG considered this recommendation when formulating recommendations
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
for antisocial personality disorder. Such modifications would include extending the
nature and duration of the intervention and providing close monitoring and super-
vision of staff.
7.2.18.1 For people with antisocial personality disorder, including those with
substance misuse problems, in community and mental health services,
consider offering group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions, in
order to address problems such as impulsivity, interpersonal difficulties
and antisocial behaviour.
7.2.18.2 For people with antisocial personality disorder with a history of offending
behaviour who are in community and institutional care, consider offering
group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions (for example,
programmes such as ‘Reasoning and Rehabilitation’) focused on reducing
offending and other antisocial behaviour.
7.2.18.3 When providing cognitive and behavioural interventions:
● assess the level of risk and adjust the duration and intensity of the
programme accordingly (participants at all levels of risk may benefit
from these interventions)
● provide support and encouragement to help participants to attend and
complete programmes, including people who are legally mandated to
do so.
7.2.18.4 For people in community and institutional settings who meet criteria for
psychopathy or DSPD, consider cognitive and behavioural interventions
(for example, programmes such as ‘Reasoning and Rehabilitation’)
focused on reducing offending and other antisocial behaviour. These inter-
ventions should be adapted for this group by extending the nature (for
example, concurrent individual and group sessions) and duration of the
intervention, and by providing booster sessions, continued follow-up and
close monitoring.
In addition to looking at adult offenders, the review also included young offenders up
to the age of 17 years. Eleven trials on cognitive behavioural interventions met the
inclusion criteria of the review where all but two trials were of interventions deliv-
ered in prison; OSTROM1971 and PULLLEN1996 were interventions delivered in
a probation setting. Eight trials were of cognitive and behavioural interventions
(GUERRA1990, LEEMAN1993, OSTROM1971, PULLEN1996, ROHDE2004,
SCHLICHTER1981, SHIVRATTAN1988, SPENCE1981) and three were multi-
component interventions (DEMBO2000, ELROD1992, GREENWOOD1993).
191
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Summary study information and evidence from the included trials are shown in Table
39, Table 40 and Table 41. Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16 respectively.
192
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
193
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
There appears to be modest but statistically significant evidence for the effectiveness
of group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions delivered in institutional
settings in reducing offending for adolescents involved in the criminal justice
system.
Multi-component interventions were less effective than the more focused
group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions. This is consistent with the
evidence found for multisystemic therapy. There is evidence from studies of
implementation of multisystemic therapy, and other complex multimodal interven-
tions, that maintaining fidelity to the model is strongly associated with a positive
outcome. It could be that the diminished effectiveness of the multi-component
interventions for offending behaviour reflected a lack of overall fidelity to or inte-
gration of the intervention.
Four US-based studies were identified in the systematic evidence search that
presented economic evaluations of interventions for young offenders (Caldwell et al.,
2006; Robertson et al., 2001; Myers et al., 2000; Dembo et al., 2000a). Details on the
194
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
characteristics and results reported in the studies are provided in the form of evidence
tables in Appendix 14. Details on the methods used for the systematic review of
the economic evidence are provided in Chapter 3.
Caldwell and colleagues (2006) compared an intensive juvenile corrective service
treatment programme with usual juvenile corrective service treatment in a secured
juvenile facility. The initial costs of the intensive programme were offset by improved
treatment progress and lowered violent recidivism. The intensive treatment
programme dominated usual treatment, resulting in lower net costs per offender and
better outcomes in terms of a reduction in felony and violent offences.
Robertson and colleagues (2001) performed a cost-benefit analysis, examining
local justice system expenditures associated with intensive supervision and monitor-
ing or CBT in comparison with regular probation. They demonstrated that, relative to
those on probation, the CBT programme resulted in a net saving in expenditure of
$1,435 per offender during the 18-month investigation. No significant difference in
justice system expenditures were demonstrated by the intensive supervision and
monitoring group.
The study by Myers and colleagues (2000) was a simple cost comparison study of
a multi-component intervention programme for early-career juvenile offenders. The
initial costs of the programme, total costs and differences in crime rates were
compared with respective costs and outcomes of an untreated community control
group. Over 12 months, the programme resulted in net savings of $1,800 per young
person due to lower crime rates compared with the untreated group.
Dembo and colleagues (2000a) compared the criminal justice costs of a family
empowerment intervention programme versus an extended services intervention
programme for juvenile offenders and their families. Over 2 years, the family empow-
erment intervention programme resulted in significant net savings mainly as a result
of lower arrest rates.
There was consistent evidence that cognitive and behavioural interventions were
effective for the treatment of offending behaviour in young people. In addition, these
interventions may be cost effective, according to evidence derived from US settings.
The use of such interventions for young people with offending behaviour is
supported.
7.2.23 Recommendations
7.2.23.1 For young offenders aged 17 years or younger with a history of offending
behaviour who are in institutional care, offer group-based cognitive and
behavioural interventions aimed at young offenders and that are focused
on reducing offending and other antisocial behaviour.
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
7.3.1 Introduction
Current practice
The current treatment of comorbid mental health problems falls under three broad
categories: that provided by general mental health services in primary and secondary
care, that provided or funded by specialist mental health services in secondary and
tertiary care, and that provided within the criminal justice system.
The extent of treatment for comorbid disorders for common mental health prob-
lems such as anxiety and depression in primary and secondary mental health services
is not well known. It is likely, given what is known about the epidemiology of antiso-
cial personality disorder (for example, Robins et al., 1991; Swanson et al., 1994) that
a significant number of people do seek help but their comorbid problem may not be
recognised, or if they are offered treatment they may be more likely to drop out of it
or not adhere to it (ESMHCG, 2005). The position with regard to the treatment of
drug and alcohol problems is somewhat different, with a significant proportion of
people with drug or alcohol misuse disorders receiving treatment from specialist
substance misuse services provided by or funded by the NHS. This is important
because alcohol misuse is associated with increased violence in people with antiso-
cial personality disorder (Yang & Coid, 2007). An important issue is whether suffi-
cient adaptation of drug and alcohol treatment programmes is undertaken to engage
and retain people with antisocial personality disorder.
Within specialist mental health services, a small but growing number of units offer
treatment specifically for personality disorder (Crawford & Rutter, 2007). In princi-
ple these units have a remit to treat antisocial personality disorder (Department of
Health, 2003), but in practice few do (Crawford et al., 2007), with a much greater
focus on the treatment of borderline personality disorder.
Tertiary or forensic mental health services do treat people with antisocial person-
ality disorder and their associated comorbidities, but as noted in Chapter 4 the
percentage of people with antisocial personality disorder in the care of forensic serv-
ices is approximately 50% (Singleton et al., 1998).
Within the criminal justice system, there is considerable treatment of comorbid
mental disorders, primarily in prison settings, which comprises two aspects. First,
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
inmates’ general mental health is managed through prison-based mental health teams
(often linked to local mental health services). These services have seen significant
investment in recent years in recognition of the historically poor mental healthcare of
prisoners (ESMHCG, 2005), but it is likely that for many services the concentration
is on psychosis and other severe mental disorders. The second major area of activity
in addressing comorbid mental health problems in prison is the treatment of drug and
alcohol misuse, with many prisons now having specialist drug treatment services
(usually provided by the NHS or tertiary sector services).
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 42.
The review team conducted a new systematic search that assessed the efficacy of the
treatment of comorbid disorders for people with antisocial personality disorder.
Only one psychosocial trial reporting data relating to the treatment of comorbid
substance misuse in antisocial personality disorder met the eligibility criteria set by
the GDG, providing data on 108 participants with dependence on cocaine (Messina
et al., 2003). This trial compared contingency management, cognitive behavioural
therapy with one another and treatment as usual. In addition, there were four RCTs
that assessed in post hoc analyses the impact of antisocial personality disorder
197
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Messina and colleagues (2003) reported on a subgroup analysis of people with antisocial
personality disorder receiving either contingency management, CBT, a combination of
CBT and contingency management, or control. In addition, all participants were receiv-
ing methadone maintenance treatment. Contingency management was particularly effec-
tive for the treatment of drug misuse (RR 4.40; 1.20 to 16.17) in the antisocial personality
disorder population. These results were largely consistent with those found in a system-
atic review on psychosocial interventions for drug misuse (see NCCMH, 2007a).
Brooner and colleagues (1998) compared contingency management with control
in opioid dependent people with antisocial personality disorder. Contingency
management included contingent increases in methadone dose, scheduling of
methadone, therapy sessions that were more convenient for the participant, and so on.
There appeared to be a reduction in drug use for the treatment group compared with
control but this was not statistically significant. This study had a number of limita-
tions: first, urinalysis data were reported in a manner that could not rule out double
counting of individuals therefore it was difficult to interpret the results; second, this
study used a very different method of reinforcement (vouchers which could be
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
exchanged for goods and services) in comparison with Messina and colleagues
(2003), which may have contributed to the lack of positive effect.
Woody (1983) compared supportive-expressive psychotherapy with cognitive
behavioural psychotherapy for the treatment of opioid dependence. Woody reported
that participants with antisocial personality disorder had worse outcomes, whereas
participants with depression and no antisocial personality disorder generally showed
better outcomes. Participants with antisocial personality disorder and depression
generally fell in between the two groups on a broad range of drug misuse outcomes.
McKay and colleagues (2000) compared group therapy with individualised relapse
prevention for cocaine dependence and found no significant differences between
cocaine users with and without antisocial personality disorder for any substance
misuse outcome (including cocaine and alcohol).
Wölwer and colleagues (2001) compared CBT with coping skills training and
treatment as usual for alcohol dependence and found no significant differences
between subgroups of patients with or without antisocial personality disorder, as
measured by abstinence at 3 or 6 months after detoxification. In contrast, Hesselbrock
(1991) in a study of inpatient alcoholism treatment reported worse outcomes (as
measured by mean daily alcohol consumption and alcohol-related problems at 1 year)
for participants with antisocial personality disorder.
The evidence on psychological interventions for drug misuse indicates that people
with antisocial personality disorder can benefit from treatment. There was a particu-
larly large effect found when using contingency management to treat drug misuse in
people with antisocial personality disorder. Although there was some inconsistency,
in that another trial did not show such positive effects, this appears to be partly
explained by the method of contingency management used in the latter trial and is
consistent with a review of the drug misuse literature that suggests that contingency
management has the strongest evidence for effectiveness (see NCCMH, 2007a,
2007b). While the other studies reviewed above do not report such positive effects,
the picture of generally poor outcomes for people with antisocial personality disor-
der, which is commonly assumed to be the case, was not confirmed. People with anti-
social personality disorder may be able to benefit as much from these interventions as
people without antisocial personality disorder.
199
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
The limited evidence reviewed above suggests that people with antisocial personality
disorder can benefit from treatments for drug and alcohol misuse and that this bene-
fit could be of the same order as those without a personality disorder. The encourag-
ing results for contingency management are in line with the expectation that people
with antisocial personality disorder may respond well to positive reinforcement. It
was also the judgement of the GDG that such findings could generalise to people who
meet criteria for DSPD.
7.3.8 Recommendations
7.3.8.1 For people with antisocial personality disorder who misuse drugs, in
particular opioids or stimulants, offer psychological interventions (in
particular, contingency management programmes) in line with recommen-
dations in the relevant NICE clinical guideline [NICE, 2007].
7.3.8.2 For people with antisocial personality disorder who misuse or are depend-
ent on alcohol, offer psychological and pharmacological interventions in
line with existing national guidance for the treatment and management of
alcohol disorders.
7.3.8.3 For people who meet criteria for psychopathy or DSPD, offer treatment for
any comorbid disorders in line with existing NICE guidance. This should
happen regardless of whether the person is receiving treatment for
psychopathy or DSPD because effective treatment of comorbid disorders
may reduce the risk associated with psychopathy or DSPD.
There is considerable evidence that a personality disorder may have a negative impact
on the course of a common mental disorder (for example, Massion et al., 2002) and
that a common mental disorder may be associated with a poorer outcome in person-
ality disorder (for example, Yang & Coid, 2007). It is also the case that adults with
antisocial personality disorder often have multiple comorbidities. For example, those
with comorbid anxiety and antisocial personality disorder also had significantly
higher levels of comorbid depression, alcohol dependence and substance dependence
and higher rates of suicide attempts compared with adults with antisocial personality
disorder or anxiety disorders alone (Goodwin & Hamilton, 2003). This suggests that
effective treatment for common mental disorders in antisocial personality disorder
may be challenging but potentially important.
A systematic search identified no high-quality trials focused on the treatment of
depression or anxiety disorders comorbid with antisocial personality disorder.
Therefore the GDG and review team searched for high-quality systematic reviews that
200
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
addressed the question of the treatment of comorbid depression and anxiety disorders.
The GDG took the view that as the initial search for systematic reviews had failed to
identify a significant numbers of reviews focused solely on the issue of comorbidity
with antisocial personality disorder that they should consider (1) reviews of a broad
range of personality disorders and their impact on the treatment of depression and
anxiety and, (2) reviews of personality variables (such as trait anxiety, impulsivity and
aggression) that might have an impact on treatment outcomes. The GDG also agreed
to review the existing NICE guidelines for common mental disorders to determine if
any recommendations had been made about comorbid common mental health prob-
lems and antisocial personality disorder or indeed any other personality disorder.
A number of systematic reviews were identified and quality assessed. The follow-
ing reviews were considered (Dreessen & Arntz, 1998; Mulder et al., 2003; Newton-
Howes et al., 2006). In addition, the following NICE guidelines were also reviewed
(NCCMH, 2005a, 2005b, 2006, 2009a).
From these reviews a number of common themes emerged. First, there is no
consistent evidence that demonstrates people with antisocial personality disorder do
not benefit from evidence-based psychological interventions for common mental
health problems or that they may be harmed by such interventions (see for example
the reviews by Mulder and colleagues [2003] on personality disorder and depres-
sion). (It should be noted there is some evidence to suggest that brief interventions
may have little benefit for borderline personality disorder; NCCMH, 2009b.)
Second, there is evidence from post hoc analyses of individual trials that the pres-
ence of a personality disorder, or developmental or social factors that are commonly
associated with a personality disorder, may lead to a diminution of effectiveness.
This was commonly addressed in the treatment trials by extending the duration of
treatment (for example, Fournier et al., 2008). There was also some evidence that
more experienced therapists were better able to deal with Axis II comorbidity
(Hollon, personal communication, 2008). Nemeroff and colleagues (2003), in a post
hoc analysis of the Keller and colleagues’ (2000) trial of nefazodone and a cognitive
behavioural-analysis system of psychotherapy for chronic depression, found that
patients with a significant history of childhood trauma obtained better outcomes with
psychological treatment, while those with no history of abuse obtained better
outcomes with pharmacological treatments.
People with antisocial personality disorder have high levels of comorbid common
mental health problems, which are associated with poorer long-term outcomes.
Evidence from clinical trials relating directly to this issue is lacking, but post hoc
analysis of data drawn from individual trials and from systematic reviews across a
range of personality disorders suggest that effective treatment of common mental
health disorders is possible, but may require the extension of the duration of the treat-
ment and/or high levels of clinical skill and experience.
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
The evidence reviewed suggested that the treatment of common mental disorders in
antisocial personality disorder is possible, but that caution is required in developing
any recommendations because the evidence base is drawn from trials involving a
wider range of personality disorders than just antisocial personality disorder. There is
a clear indication in the evidence reviewed that consideration should be given to
extending the duration of treatment. In addition, staff should be mindful of the need
to take steps to address the increased likelihood that people with antisocial personal-
ity disorder will drop out of treatment.
7.3.13 Recommendations
7.3.13.1 People with antisocial personality disorder should be offered treatment for
any comorbid disorders in line with recommendations in the relevant
NICE clinical guideline, where available. This should happen regardless
of whether the person is receiving treatment for antisocial personality
disorder.
7.3.13.2 When providing psychological interventions for comorbid disorders to
people with antisocial personality disorder, consider lengthening their
duration or increasing their intensity.
7.4.1 Introduction
202
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
there has been a recent move away from therapeutic communities, in part influenced
by high costs in the absence of convincing evidence for efficacy (Lees et al., 2003).
Therapeutic communities differ from other treatment approaches in the use of the
residential ‘community’ as the key agent for change. Peer influence is used to help
individuals acquire social skills and learn social norms, and so take on an increased
level of personal and social responsibility within the unit (Smith et al., 2006). In addi-
tion to therapeutic communities based on social learning theory, there are rehabilita-
tion centres that emphasise more behavioural, hierarchical principles that positively
and negatively reinforce a range of behaviours. Residential therapeutic communities
involve therapeutic group work, one-to-one keyworking, the development of practical
skills and interests, education and training. The intensive nature of their approach
means that such programmes tend to be longer in duration (6 to 12 months)
(Greenwood et al., 2001). In the UK, the Community of Communities project
(Keenan & Paget, 2006) has developed standards of good practice for therapeutic
communities.
Current practice
Therapeutic communities are found within health, education and social care and
prison settings in the UK and often work with people with symptoms and behaviours
associated with the antisocial personality disorder construct.
There are a number of therapeutic communities specialising in the treatment of
substance misuse, with over half of residential services in the National Treatment
Agency for Substance Misuse online directory12 describing themselves as therapeu-
tic communities. In addition, of the 56 therapeutic communities surveyed by the
Community of Communities, 15 were in prison settings (Royal College of
Psychiatrists, 2008b).
The review assessed therapeutic communities for people with antisocial personality
disorder, people with symptoms and behaviours associated with this diagnostic
construct, and people with comorbid substance misuse.
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 43.
12See http://www.nta.nhs.uk/about_treatment/treatment_directories/residential/resdirectory_f.aspx
203
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
The review team conducted a new systematic search for RCTs that assessed the effi-
cacy of therapeutic communities for people with antisocial personality disorder or
symptoms and behaviours associated with antisocial personality disorder. A system-
atic search for non-RCTs that assessed the efficacy of therapeutic communities for
offenders was also conducted.
There were no trials of therapeutic communities for people with antisocial person-
ality disorder that met the eligibility criteria of the GDG. However, three trials that
assessed therapeutic communities for offenders who misused drugs (NIELSEN1996;
SACKS2004; WEXLER1999) met the eligibility criteria set by the GDG, providing
data on 1,682 participants. All were published in peer-reviewed journals.
As there was only one RCT for therapeutic communities for offenders without
substance misuse problems (Lamb & Goentzel, 1974), the review team conducted a
systematic search for non-RCTs that assessed the efficacy of therapeutic communi-
ties in this population; two non-RCTs (Marshall, 1997; Robertson & Gunn, 1987)
were identified.
In addition, seven studies were excluded from the analysis. The most common
reason for exclusion was the lack of relevant outcomes (further information about
both included and excluded studies can be found in Appendix 15).
13Here and elsewhere in the guideline, each study considered for review is referred to by a study ID in capi-
tal letters (primary author and date of study publication, except where a study is in press or only submit-
ted for publication, then a date is not used). The references for studies can be found in Appendix 15.
204
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Three RCTs have been conducted in institutional settings evaluating the evidence for
therapeutic communities in substance misuse offenders. In two trials the intervention
included treatment within prison followed by release to a residential community of 6
months’ duration (SACKS2004; WEXLER1999). The third trial (NIELSEN1996)
assessed a work-release therapeutic community programme.
Summary study information and evidence from the included trials are shown in
Table 44 and Table 45. Full evidence profiles and forest plots can be found in
Appendices 15 and 16.
Therapeutic community prison and aftercare programmes for offenders who
misused drugs (many of whom had antisocial personality disorder) were associated
with relatively large reductions in offending (RR ⫽ 0.62; 0.49 to 0.78). At 5-year
follow-up the difference was still statistically significant (RR ⫽ 0.93; 0.87 to 0.99).
Table 44: Study information table for trials of therapeutic communities for
offenders with substance misuse problems
205
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
206
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
rates experienced by the high-risk untreated group compared with the treated group,
while for the low-risk group analysis, re-incarceration rates were similar in the two
cohorts (treated and untreated).
Details on the study characteristics and results are provided in the form of
evidence tables in Appendix 14. The methods adopted for the systematic review of
economic literature are discussed in Chapter 3.
There were three trials that investigated the efficacy of therapeutic communities for
general offenders in institutional and community settings. Of these, one was an RCT
(Lamb & Goentzel, 1974) and two were non-RCTs (Marshall, 1997; Robertson & Gunn,
1987). The RCT investigated a community alternative to prison in the US and the two
non-RCTs investigated the effects of therapeutic communities for prisoners treated in
HMP Grendon in the UK. For general offenders a meta-analysis was not conducted as
these studies differed in study design; instead these studies were narratively reviewed.
Lamb & Goentzel (1974) randomised participants to regular prison services or to
a therapeutic community as an alternative to prison in a community setting. The ther-
apeutic community comprised three phrases. In phases one and two, the participants
were given more responsibility and privileges within each phase. Phase three contin-
ued while the participant was on probation. The participant returned to the therapeu-
tic community to visit their assigned probation officer and to participate in social
activities. The study found the therapeutic community to have a harmful effect on re-
offending at 1-year follow-up for 31 participants in the treatment group in compari-
son with 31 participants in the control group (RR 1.22; 0.59, 2.53).
Robertson & Gunn (1987) conducted a 10-year prospective cohort study of partic-
ipants released from HMP Grendon in comparison with a matched control; there were
some differences between the two groups, such as the treated group having more desire
for psychiatric help compared with the control group. The study found no significant
differences between participants treated in a therapeutic community compared with
regular prison services (93% and 85% respectively, x2 ⫽ 1.37, d.f. 1, NS).
Marshall (1997) conducted a retrospective cohort study of participants who stayed
in HMP Grendon (N ⫽ 702) from 1984 to 1989. These participants were compared
with participants who were selected for Grendon in the same period but who did not
actually go there (N ⫽ 142). The retrospective study found no effect on the therapeu-
tic community for participants who attended Grendon versus the comparison group
who did not (RR 0.92; 0.82 ⫺1.03).
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Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
The GDG concluded that therapeutic communities appeared to be effective for people
in prison or on probation who misuse drugs, many of whom were diagnosed with
antisocial personality disorder. Therefore their judgement was that therapeutic
communities targeted specifically at drug misuse are likely to be effective in people
with antisocial personality disorder who misuse drugs. However, the GDG concluded
there was insufficient evidence to apply these findings to therapeutic communities
targeting general offenders.
7.4.11 Recommendations
7.4.11.1 For people with antisocial personality disorder who are in institutional care
and who misuse or are dependent on drugs or alcohol, consider referral to
a specialist therapeutic community focused on the treatment of drug and
alcohol problems.
7.5.1 Introduction
208
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Current practice
The state of current practice in relation to the use of pharmacological interventions to
treat antisocial personality disorder is unclear, but it is likely that pharmacological inter-
ventions are used in this population to treat symptoms rather than as an intervention for
the disorder itself. The reported level of prescription in the prison population does not
suggest that pharmacological interventions are used at a generally high level in offender
populations (Christina Rowlands, presentation to the GDG, December 2007).
209
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Information about the databases searched and the inclusion/exclusion criteria used for
this section of the guideline can be found in Table 46.
Ten trials relating to clinical evidence met the eligibility criteria set by the GDG,
providing data on 749 participants (BARRATT1997, COCCARO1997A,
GOTTSCHALK1973, HOLLANDER2003, LEAL1994, MATTES2005, MATTES-
2008, NICKEL2005B, POWELL1995, SHEARD1976, STANFORD2005). Of these,
all were published in peer-reviewed journals between 1973 and 2008. In addition, 16
studies were excluded from the analysis. The most common reasons for exclusion
were non-random allocation of participants to treatment and control and populations
that would not meet the GDG’s inclusion criteria, for example, participants with
schizophrenia (further information about both included and excluded studies can be
found in Appendix 15).
There was one trial providing evidence for pharmacological interventions for anti-
social personality disorder (BARRATT 1997). The purpose of the study was to look
at the effects of anticonvulsants on aggression among offenders in prison, however all
participants at baseline met DSM-III-R criteria for antisocial personality disorder.
14Here and elsewhere in the guideline, each study considered for review is referred to by a study ID in
captial letters (primary author and date of study population, except where a study is in press or only submit-
ted for publication, then a date is not used). The references for studies can be found in Appendix 15.
210
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Two trials were found that investigated pharmacological interventions for a sub-
population of antisocial personality disorder with comorbid substance misuse.
(LEAL1994, POWELL1995) One trial compared amantadine and desipramine with
placebo for participants with cocaine dependence (LEAL1994) and one trial compared
nortriptyline and bromocroptine with placebo for participants with alcohol dependence
(POWELL1995).
For the review of pharmacological evidence for antisocial personality disorder and
associated symptoms or behaviour, eight trials were included (COCCARO1997A,
GOTTSCHALK1973, HOLLANDER2003, MATTES2005, MATTES2008,
NICKEL2005, SHEARD1976, STANFORD2005). Six trials compared anticonvul-
sants with placebo (GOTTSCHALK1973, HOLLANDER2003, MATTES2005,
MATTES2008, NICKEL2005, STANFORD2005), one compared antidepressants
with placebo (COCCARO1997A) and one compared lithium with placebo
(SHEARD1976). The population in all the trials had an elevated level of impulsive
aggression and/or anger while two trials looked specifically at offenders
(SHEARD1976, GOTTSHALK1993). The age range for the trials were 19 to 67 years.
There was one trial (see Table 47 and Table 48) that looked at the effects of anticon-
vulsants on aggression among prison inmates who all met DSM-III-R criteria for anti-
social personality disorder (BARRATT1997). Using the modification of the Overt
Aggression Scale (OAS), the study found the anticonvulsant phenytoin to have a
small but non-significant effect on aggression compared with placebo (SMD ⫺0.26;
⫺0.61, 0.09). Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in Appendices
15 and 16 respectively.
211
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Table 50 summarises the study information for trials concerned with pharmacologi-
cal interventions for aggression in people with antisocial personality disorder. The
GRADE evidence summaries can be found in Table 51.
212
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Full study characteristics and forest plots can be found in Appendices 15 and 16
respectively.
213
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Antisocial personality
disorder construct -
anger problems:
NICKEL2005B
Setting Institution (Prison): Outpatient Institution (prison)
GOTTSCHALK1973
Outpatient:
HOLLANDER2003
MATTES2005
MATTES2008
NICKEL2005B
STANFORD2005
Average treatment 83 days 84 days 90 days
length
Length of follow-up None None None
Age Range: 19–67 years Mean: 38 years Mean: 66 years
214
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
215
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
eligibility criteria. The trial showed a medium effect for treatment, which was,
however, non-significant and of low quality (SMD ⫺0.60; ⫺1.23, 0.03).
The evidence did not support the generation of recommendations for the routine use
of pharmacological interventions for the treatment of people with antisocial person-
ality disorder.
7.5.10.1 Pharmacological interventions should not be routinely used for the treat-
ment of antisocial personality disorder or associated behaviours of aggres-
sion, anger and impulsivity.
7.5.10.2 Pharmacological interventions for comorbid mental disorders, in particular
depression and anxiety, should be in line with recommendations in the
relevant NICE clinical guideline. When starting and reviewing medication
for comorbid mental disorders, pay particular attention to issues of adher-
ence and the risks of misuse or overdose.
216
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
Through identifying research limitations from the evidence based reviews, the guide-
line development group has formulated the following research recommendations.
217
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
218
Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder
and so on), an RCT should be conducted to find out whether these reported changes
of behaviour with an SSRI in normal people generalises to clinical populations in
different settings.
219
Summary of recommendations
8 SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
GUIDANCE
8.1.1.1 People with antisocial personality disorder should not be excluded from
any health or social care service because of their diagnosis or history of
antisocial or offending behaviour.
8.1.1.2 Seek to minimise any disruption to therapeutic interventions for people
with antisocial personality disorder by:
● ensuring that in the initial planning and delivery of treatment, transfers
from institutional to community settings take into account the need to
continue treatment
● avoiding unnecessary transfer of care between institutions whenever
possible during an intervention, to prevent disruption to the agreed
treatment plan. This should be considered at initial planning of
treatment.
8.1.1.3 Ensure that people with antisocial personality disorder from black and
minority ethnic groups have equal access to culturally appropriate services
based on clinical need.
8.1.1.4 When language or literacy is a barrier to accessing or engaging with services
for people with antisocial personality disorder, provide:
● information in their preferred language and in an accessible format
● psychological or other interventions in their preferred language
● independent interpreters.
8.1.1.5 When a diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder is made, discuss the
implications of it with the person, the family or carers where appropriate,
and relevant staff, and:
● acknowledge the issues around stigma and exclusion that have charac-
terised care for people with antisocial personality disorder
● emphasise that the diagnosis does not limit access to a range of appro-
priate treatments for comorbid mental health disorders
● provide information on and clarify the respective roles of the health-
care, social care and criminal justice services.
8.1.1.6 When working with women with antisocial personality disorder take into
account the higher incidences of common comorbid mental health problems
220
Summary of recommendations
8.1.4.1 Staff working with people with antisocial personality disorder should
recognise that a positive and rewarding approach is more likely to be success-
ful than a punitive approach in engaging and retaining people in treatment.
Staff should:
● explore treatment options in an atmosphere of hope and optimism,
explaining that recovery is possible and attainable
221
Summary of recommendations
8.1.6.1 Ask directly whether the person with antisocial personality disorder wants
their family or carers to be involved in their care, and, subject to the
person’s consent and rights to confidentiality:
● encourage families or carers to be involved
● ensure that the involvement of families or carers does not lead to a
withdrawal of, or lack of access to, services
● inform families or carers about local support groups for families or
carers.
8.1.6.2 Consider the needs of families and carers of people with antisocial person-
ality disorder and pay particular attention to the:
● impact of antisocial and offending behaviours on the family
● consequences of significant drug or alcohol misuse
● needs of and risks to any children in the family and the safeguarding
of their interests.
8.2.1.1 Child and adolescent mental health service (CAMHS) professionals work-
ing with young people should:
● balance the developing autonomy and capacity of the young person
with the responsibilities of parents and carers
● be familiar with the legal framework that applies to young people,
including the Mental Capacity Act, the Children Acts and the Mental
Health Act.
222
Summary of recommendations
223
Summary of recommendations
16Ibid.
17Ibid.
18Ibid.
224
Summary of recommendations
8.2.5.2 Programmes should include problem solving (both for the parent and in
helping to train their child to solve problems) and the promotion of positive
behaviour (for example, through support, use of praise and reward).
8.2.5.3 Programmes should demonstrate proven effectiveness. This should be
based on evidence from randomised controlled trials or other suitable
rigorous evaluation methods undertaken independently.19
19Ibid.
225
Summary of recommendations
8.2.8.1 For parents of young people aged between 12 and 17 years with conduct
problems, consider parent-training programmes (see Sections 8.2.4 and 8.2.5).
8.2.8.2 If the parents are unable to or choose not to engage with parent-training
programmes, or the young person’s conduct problems are so severe that they
will be less likely to benefit from parent-training programmes, consider:
● brief strategic family therapy for those with predominantly drug-
related problems
● functional family therapy for those with predominantly a history of
offending.
8.2.8.3 For young people aged between 12 and 17 years with severe conduct prob-
lems and a history of offending and who are at risk of being placed in care
or excluded from the family, consider multisystemic therapy.
8.2.8.4 For young people aged between 12 and 17 years with conduct problems at
risk of being placed in long-term out-of-home care, consider multidimen-
sional treatment foster care.
8.2.9 How to deliver interventions for young people with conduct problems
aged between 12 and 17 years and their families
8.2.9.1 Brief strategic family therapy should consist of at least fortnightly meet-
ings over a period of 3 months and focus on:
● engaging and supporting the family
● engaging and using the support of the wider social and educational
system
● identifying maladaptive family interactions (including areas of power
distribution and conflict resolution)
● promoting new and more adaptive family interactions (including open
and effective communication).
8.2.9.2 Functional family therapy should be conducted over a period of 3 months
by health or social care professionals and focus on improving the inter-
actions within the family, including:
● engaging and motivating the family in treatment (enhancing perception
that change is possible, positive reframing and establishing a positive
alliance)
● problem-solving and behaviour change through parent-training and
communication training
226
Summary of recommendations
8.2.10.1 Health and social care services should consider referring vulnerable young
people with a history of conduct disorder or contact with youth offending
schemes, or those who have been receiving interventions for conduct and
related disorders, to appropriate adult services for continuing assessment
and/or treatment.
8.3.1 Assessment
227
Summary of recommendations
● the need for psychological treatment, social care and support, and
occupational rehabilitation or development
● domestic violence and abuse.
8.3.1.2 Staff involved in the assessment of antisocial personality disorder in
secondary and specialist services should use structured assessment meth-
ods whenever possible to increase the validity of the assessment. For foren-
sic services, the use of measures such as PCL-R or PCL-SV to assess the
severity of antisocial personality disorder should be part of the routine
assessment process.
8.3.1.3 Staff working in primary and secondary care services (for example, drug
and alcohol services) and community services (for example, the probation
service) that include a high proportion of people with antisocial personal-
ity disorder should be alert to the possibility of antisocial personality disor-
der in service users. Where antisocial personality disorder is suspected and
the person is seeking help, consider offering a referral to an appropriate
forensic mental health service depending on the nature of the presenting
complaint. For example, for depression and anxiety this may be to general
mental health services; for problems directly relating to the personality
disorder it may be to a specialist personality disorder or forensic service.
228
Summary of recommendations
8.3.3.1 Services should develop a comprehensive risk management plan for people
with antisocial personality disorder who are considered to be of high risk.
229
Summary of recommendations
The plan should involve other agencies in health and social care services
and the criminal justice system. Probation services should take the lead
role when the person is on a community sentence or is on licence from
prison with mental health and social care services providing support and
liaison. Such cases should routinely be referred to the local Multi-Agency
Public Protection Panel.
8.4.1.1 People with antisocial personality disorder should be offered treatment for
any comorbid disorders in line with recommendations in the relevant NICE
clinical guideline, where available. This should happen regardless of
whether the person is receiving treatment for antisocial personality disorder.
8.4.1.2 When providing psychological or pharmacological interventions for anti-
social personality disorder, offending behaviour or comorbid disorders to
people with antisocial personality disorder, be aware of the potential for
and possible impact of:
● poor concordance
● high attrition
● misuse of prescribed medication
● drug interactions (including with alcohol and illicit drugs).
8.4.1.3 When providing psychological interventions for comorbid disorders to
people with antisocial personality disorder, consider lengthening their
duration or increasing their intensity.
8.4.2.1 For people with antisocial personality disorder, including those with
substance misuse problems, in community and mental health services,
consider offering group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions, in
order to address problems such as impulsivity, interpersonal difficulties
and antisocial behaviour.
8.4.2.2 For people with antisocial personality disorder with a history of offending
behaviour who are in community and institutional care, consider offering
group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions (for example,
programmes such as ‘Reasoning and Rehabilitation’) focused on reducing
offending and other antisocial behaviour.
8.4.2.3 For young offenders aged 17 years or younger with a history of offending
behaviour who are in institutional care, offer group-based cognitive and
230
Summary of recommendations
8.5.1.1 For people in community and institutional settings who meet criteria for
psychopathy or DSPD, consider cognitive and behavioural interventions
(for example, programmes such as ‘Reasoning and Rehabilitation’) focused
231
Summary of recommendations
8.5.2.1 Staff providing interventions for people who meet criteria for psychopathy
or DSPD should receive high levels of support and close supervision, due
to increased risk of harm. This may be provided by staff outside the unit.
8.6.1.1 Provision of services for people with antisocial personality disorder often
involves significant inter-agency working. Therefore, services should ensure
that there are clear pathways for people with antisocial personality disor-
der so that the most effective multi-agency care is provided. These pathways
should:
● specify the various interventions that are available at each point
● enable effective communication among clinicians and organisations at
all points and provide the means to resolve differences and disagree-
ments.
Clearly agreed local criteria should also be established to facilitate the
transfer of people with antisocial personality disorder between services.
As far as is possible, shared objective criteria should be developed relat-
ing to comprehensive assessment of need and risk.
8.6.1.2 Services should consider establishing antisocial personality disorder
networks, where possible linked to other personality disorder networks.
(They may be organised at the level of primary care trusts, local authori-
ties, strategic health authorities or government offices.) These networks
should be multi-agency, should actively involve people with antisocial
personality disorder and should:
● take a significant role in training staff, including those in primary care,
general, secondary and forensic mental health services, and in the
criminal justice system
232
Summary of recommendations
Staff competencies
8.6.3.1 All staff working with people with antisocial personality disorder should
be familiar with the ‘Ten essential shared capabilities: a framework for the
whole of the mental health practice’20 and have a knowledge and aware-
ness of antisocial personality disorder that facilitates effective working
with service users, families or carers, and colleagues.
8.6.3.2 All staff working with people with antisocial personality disorder should
have skills appropriate to the nature and level of contact with service users.
These skills include:
● for all frontline staff, knowledge about antisocial personality disorder
and understanding behaviours in context, including awareness of the
potential for therapeutic boundary violations (for example, inappropri-
ate relations with service users)
● for staff with regular and sustained contact with people with antisocial
personality disorder, the ability to respond effectively to the needs of
service users
● for staff with direct therapeutic or management roles, competence in
the specific treatment interventions and management strategies used in
the service.
233
Summary of recommendations
8.6.3.3 Services should ensure that all staff providing psychosocial or pharmaco-
logical interventions for the treatment or prevention of antisocial personal-
ity disorder are competent and properly qualified and supervised, and that
they adhere closely to the structure and duration of the interventions as set
out in the relevant treatment manuals. This should be achieved through:
● use of competence frameworks based on relevant treatment manuals
● routine use of sessional outcome measures
● routine direct monitoring and evaluation of staff adherence, for exam-
ple through the use of video and audio tapes and external audit and
scrutiny where appropriate.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATIONS
Does the pre-treatment level of the severity of disorder/problem have an impact on the
outcome of group-based cognitive and behavioural interventions for offending behav-
iour? A meta-analysis of individual participant data should be conducted to determine
whether the level of severity assessed at the beginning of the intervention moderates
the effect of the intervention. The study (for which there are large data sets that
234
Summary of recommendations
include over 10,000 participants) could inform the design of a large-scale RCT
(including potential modifications of cognitive and behavioural interventions) to test
the impact of severity on the outcome of cognitive and behavioural interventions.
Is multisystemic therapy or functional family therapy more clinically and cost effec-
tive in the treatment of adolescents with conduct disorders? A large-scale RCT
comparing the clinical and cost effectiveness of multisystemic therapy and functional
family therapy for adolescents with conduct disorders should be conducted. It should
examine the medium-term outcomes (for example, offending behaviour, mental state,
educational and vocational outcomes and family functioning) over a period of at least
235
Summary of recommendations
18 months. The study should also be designed to explore the moderators and media-
tors of treatment effect, which could help to determine the factors associated with
benefits or harms of either multisystemic therapy or functional family therapy.
236
Summary of recommendations
Although there is evidence that selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), such
as paroxetine, increase cooperative behaviour in normal people and do so independ-
ently of the level of sub-syndromal depression, this has yet to be tested in other
settings. Given that people with antisocial personality disorder are likely to have
difficulties cooperating with one another (because of a host of personality traits that
include persistent rule-breaking for personal advantage, suspiciousness, grandiosity,
etc.), an RCT should be conducted to find out whether these reported changes of
behaviour with an SSRI in normal people generalises to clinical populations in
different settings.
237
Summary of recommendations
238
Appendices
9. APPENDICES
Appendix 10: Quality checklists for clinical studies and reviews 285
239
Appendix 1
APPENDIX 1:
SCOPE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
CLINICAL GUIDELINE
Final version
14 March 2007
GUIDELINE TITLE
Short title
BACKGROUND
The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (‘NICE’ or ‘the Institute’)
has commissioned the National Collaborating Centre for Mental Health to develop a
clinical guideline on antisocial personality disorder for use in the NHS in England and
Wales. This follows referral of the topic by the Department of Health (see Appendix
[to the Scope]). The guideline will provide recommendations for good practice that are
based on the best available evidence of clinical and cost effectiveness.
The Institute’s clinical guidelines will support the implementation of National
Service Frameworks (NSFs) in those aspects of care where a Framework has been
published. The statements in each NSF reflect the evidence that was used at the time
the Framework was prepared. The clinical guidelines and technology appraisals
published by the Institute after an NSF has been issued will have the effect of updat-
ing the Framework.
NICE clinical guidelines support the role of healthcare professionals in providing
care in partnership with patients, taking account of their individual needs and prefer-
ences, and ensuring that patients (and their carers and families, where appropriate)
can make informed decisions about their care and treatment.
21There were minor changes to the short title in the development period to ‘Antisocial personality
disorder’.
240
Appendix 1
241
Appendix 1
control. DSM-IV also notes that while the personality disorders have overlapping
features and must be distinguished from one another by their distinguishing features,
they can (and often do) co-occur.
Antisocial, aggressive or criminal behaviour that does not meet the full criteria for
antisocial personality disorder is described as adult antisocial behaviour in DSM-IV,
with the diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder only applying to those whose
antisocial personality traits are inflexible, maladaptive and persistent, and a cause of
significant impairment or distress. Antisocial personality disorder is distinguished
from criminal behaviour for gain where the characteristic features of antisocial
personality disorder are absent.
The aetiology of antisocial personality disorder is uncertain. Antisocial personal-
ity disorder may be the consequence of the accumulation and interaction of multiple
factors through development, including temperament, childhood and adolescent expe-
riences, and other environmental factors. The risk factor most predictive of adult anti-
social personality is the severity and extent of child and adolescent conduct symptoms
and a history of childhood or adolescent conduct disorder is common in people with
antisocial personality disorder (and is one of the diagnostic criteria in DSM-IV).
Other childhood and adolescent risk factors for adult antisocial personality disorder
include other psychopathology (particularly depression, oppositional disorder, and
substance misuse) and callous temperament.
Childhood and adolescent risk factors associated with the broader category of adult
antisocial behaviour include: individual characteristics such as an undercontrolled,
impulsive, aggressive or hyperactive temperament, low IQ and poor educational
achievement; family factors such as having an antisocial parent, poor supervision,
abuse and violence between parents; and wider societal factors such as an antisocial
peer group and high levels of delinquency in school. Risk factors for antisocial behav-
iour are often correlated with one another. A number of childhood factors are protec-
tive against the development of later antisocial behaviour, including temperamental
characteristics such as shyness and inhibition, intelligence, a close relationship with at
least one adult, good school or sporting achievement, and non-antisocial peers.
Neurobiological mechanisms for antisocial personality disorder and antisocial behav-
iour have also been proposed and there is evidence that there is a genetic component in
the development of antisocial behaviour. It has been proposed that a genetic predisposi-
tion may increase the likelihood that exposures to adverse environmental influences and
life events will lead to the development of antisocial personality disorder.
The personality disorders are associated with a significant burden to the individ-
ual, those around them and society as a whole, with the impact of the disorder gener-
ally being greatest in early adulthood and diminishing with age. Their families
commonly endure episodes of explosive anger and rage, a callous and unemotional
behavioural pattern, depression, self-harm, and suicide attempts. Antisocial personal-
ity disorder is also associated with significant drug and alcohol misuse, with further
attendant costs to the individual, their family and society.
The antisocial, violent and offending behaviour associated with antisocial person-
ality disorder has a negative impact across society and results in a range of costs to
society including those to victims of the behaviour (including physical harm and the
242
Appendix 1
impact of intimidation and fear), the costs of policing and other national and local
measures to curb antisocial behaviour, and general costs to the criminal justice system
including the costs of detention and other punitive measures.
People with personality disorders tend to make heavy but dysfunctional demands
on services, having frequent contact with mental health and social services, A&E,
GPs and the criminal justice system, and may be high-cost, persistent, and intensive
users of mental health services.
Some people with antisocial personality disorder will also be categorised as
having a dangerous and severe personality disorder (DSPD). DSPD is not a diagnos-
tic category; rather, it is a term used to describe a category of dangerous offenders
whose offending is linked to severe personality disorder and who present a very high
risk of serious violent and/or sexual offending. People in this category will have
committed a violent and/or sexual crime and may have been detained under the crim-
inal justice system or mental health legislation.
The prevalence of antisocial personality disorder in the general population of
Great Britain has been estimated at 0.6%, with the rate in men (1%) five times that in
women (0.2%). Surveys conducted in other countries report prevalence rates for anti-
social personality disorder ranging from 0.2 to 4.1%. Higher prevalence rates for
personality disorders appear to be found in urban populations and this may account
for some of the range in reported prevalence – the estimate of 0.6% for the prevalence
of antisocial personality disorder in Great Britain was based on data gathered from a
survey covering a range of locations.
Antisocial personality disorder is common among drug and alcohol misusers in
both treatment and custodial settings. The prevalence of personality disorders, and
antisocial personality disorder in particular, is particularly high in the prison popula-
tion. In England and Wales 78% of male remand prisoners, 64% of male sentenced
prisoners, and 50% of female prisoners have personality disorders, with the preva-
lence of antisocial personality disorder being 63% among male remand prisoners (just
over half of whom have antisocial personality disorder plus another personality disor-
der), 49% among sentenced male prisoners (two fifths of whom have antisocial
personality disorder plus another personality disorder) and 31% among female pris-
oners (two thirds of whom have antisocial personality disorder plus another person-
ality disorder).
Many clinicians are sceptical about the effectiveness of treatment interventions for
personality disorder, and hence often reluctant to accept people with a primary diagno-
sis of personality disorder for treatment. Established antisocial personality disorder is
difficult to treat and evidence on the effectiveness of therapeutic interventions is sparse.
The diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder requires evidence that the features
of the disorder onset in childhood or adolescence (ICD-10) or evidence of conduct
disorder with onset before age 15 years (DSM-IV) and this, combined with the diffi-
culty of treating adult antisocial personality disorder, has led to a focus on preventa-
tive interventions with children and young people at risk of later antisocial personality
disorder. Early prevention during childhood may be desirable, but many individuals
who go on to develop adult antisocial personality disorder are not identified before
adolescence.
243
Appendix 1
THE GUIDELINE
The guideline development process is described in detail in two publications which are
available from the NICE website22 (see ‘About NICE’ » ‘How we work’ » ‘Developing
NICE clinical guidelines’ » ‘Clinical guideline development methods’). An overview
for stakeholders, the public and the NHS (2006 edition) describes how organisations
can become involved in the development of a guideline. The guidelines manual (2006
edition) provides advice on the technical aspects of guideline development.
This document is the scope. It defines exactly what this guideline will (and will
not) examine, and what the guideline developers will consider. The scope is based on
the referral from the Department of Health (see Appendix [to the Scope]). The areas
that will be addressed by the guideline are described in the following sections.
POPULATION
22www.nice.org.uk
244
Appendix 1
HEALTHCARE SETTING
The guideline will cover the care provided by primary, community, secondary and
specialist healthcare services within the NHS. The guideline will include specifically:
● Care in general practice and NHS community care, hospital outpatient, day and
inpatient care (including secure hospitals and tertiary settings), and the interface
between these settings.
● Care in prisons and young offender institutions, and the transition from prison
health services to care in the NHS outside of prison.
This is an NHS guideline. This guideline will comment on the interface with a
range of other settings, services and agencies, such as social care services, educa-
tional services, the criminal justice system, the police, housing and residential care,
and the voluntary sector. The guideline may include recommendations relating to
these settings, services and agencies where the recommendations are relevant to the
prevention, treatment, care and management of antisocial personality disorder.
CLINICAL MANAGEMENT
245
Appendix 1
● The guideline will not cover treatments that are not normally available within the
NHS or prison health services.
STATUS
Scope
This is the first draft of the scope, which will be reviewed by the Guidelines Review
Panel and the Institute’s Guidance Executive.
246
Appendix 1
GUIDELINE
FURTHER INFORMATION
23Sincethe Scope was issued some of the guideline titles had changed during development; the titles have
been corrected here to reflect those changes.
247
Appendix 1
The Department of Health asked the Institute to consider preventative and treatment
interventions for antisocial personality disorder in education, in primary healthcare
and in specialist services including prisons for adults and children and adolescents
and to consider which treatment settings are most appropriate for which intervention.
248
Appendix 2
APPENDIX 2:
DECLARATIONS OF INTERESTS BY GDG MEMBERS
Categories of interest
● Paid employment
● Personal pecuniary interest: financial payments or other benefits from either the
manufacturer or the owner of the product or service under consideration in this
guideline, or the industry or sector from which the product or service comes. This
includes holding a directorship, or other paid position; carrying out consultancy
or fee paid work; having shareholdings or other beneficial interests; receiving
expenses and hospitality over and above what would be reasonably expected to
attend meetings and conferences.
● Personal family interest: financial payments or other benefits from the health-
care industry that were received by a member of your family.
● Non-personal pecuniary interest: financial payments or other benefits received
by the GDG member’s organisation or department, but where the GDG member
has not personally received payment, including fellowships and other support
provided by the healthcare industry. This includes a grant or fellowship or other
249
Appendix 2
Declarations of interest
Professor Conor Duggan - Chair, Guideline Development Group
Employment Professor of Forensic Mental Health, University
of Nottingham
Honorary Consultant Psychiatrist,
Nottinghamshire Healthcare Trust
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary Department of Health grant to Nottinghamshire
interest Healthcare NHS Trust to employ senior academ-
ics and research worker to further research into
personality disorder; £170,000 per annum
Research grants:
2007–2010 Duggan, Ferriter, Huband, Smailagic
& Dennis. Partnership bid between the Cochrane
Developmental, Psychosocial and Learning
Problems Group and Nottinghamshire
Healthcare NHS Trust. National Institute for
Health Research, £408,594.
2007 Duggan, Ferriter, Huband & Smailagic. A
review of reviews on sexual and domestic
violence. CSIP; £45,000
2004–2006 Systematic review into the treatment
of personality disorder. National Forensic R & D
Committee; £100,000
IMPALOX study with Peter Tyrer
Involved in translational research at
Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health
Research and Care funded by National Institute
for Health Research
Continued
250
Appendix 2
Continued
251
Appendix 2
Continued
253
Appendix 2
Continued
255
Appendix 2
256
Appendix 2
Continued
257
Appendix 2
Ms Esther Flanagan
Employment Project Manager (2008–2009), National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Mr Ryan Li
Employment Project Manager (2008), National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Dr Ifigeneia Mavranezouli
Employment Health Economist, National Collaborating
Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Dr Nick Meader
Employment Systematic Reviewer, National Collaborating
Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Continued
258
Appendix 2
Dr Catherine Pettinari
Employment Senior Project Centre Manager, National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Ms Peny Retsa
Employment Health Economist (2007–2008), National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Ms Maria Rizzo
Employment Research Assistant (2007–2008), National
Collaborating Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Ms Sarah Stockton
Employment Information Scientist, National Collaborating
Centre for Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
Continued
259
Appendix 2
Dr Clare Taylor
Employment Editor, National Collaborating Centre for
Mental Health
Personal pecuniary interest None
Personal family interest None
Non-personal pecuniary interest None
Personal non-pecuniary interest None
260
Appendix 3
APPENDIX 3:
SPECIAL ADVISERS TO THE GUIDELINE
DEVELOPMENT GROUP
Name Employed by
Dennis Lines Carer representative for people with personality disorders
John Livesley University of British Columbia, Canada
261
Appendix 4
APPENDIX 4:
STAKEHOLDERS WHO RESPONDED TO EARLY
REQUESTS FOR EVIDENCE
None
262
Appendix 5
APPENDIX 5:
STAKEHOLDERS AND EXPERTS WHO
SUBMITTED COMMENTS IN RESPONSE TO THE
CONSULTATION DRAFT OF THE GUIDELINE
STAKEHOLDERS
EXPERTS
263
Appendix 6
APPENDIX 6:
RESEARCHERS CONTACTED TO REQUEST
INFORMATION ABOUT UNPUBLISHED OR
SOON-TO-BE PUBLISHED STUDIES
Dr Geoffrey Baruch
Professor Charlie Brooker
Professor Avshalom Caspi
Dr Patricia Chamberlain
Professor John F. Clarkin
Professor Kate Davidson
Professor Tom Fahy
Professor John G. Gunderson, MD
Professor Scott Henggeler
Professor Jonathan Hill
Professor Sheilagh Hodgins
Professor Alan Kazdin
Dr Niklas Langstrom
Professor Terrie Moffitt
Professor Roger Mulder
Professor David Olds
Professor Paul Pilkonis
Professor Michael H. Stone
Professor Brian Thomas-Peter
Professor Peter Tyrer
Professor Richard Tremblay
Professor Christopher Webster
Professor John Weisz
Professor Stephen Wong
264
Appendix 7
APPENDIX 7:
ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK AND CLINICAL
QUESTIONS
Topic area Key question(s)
1 Assessment and referral 1a. What is the threshold for intervening to
treat problems associated with antisocial
personality disorder?
1b. What is the threshold for intervening to
treat symptoms associated with antisocial
personality disorder?
1c. What is the threshold for intervening to
treat antisocial personality disorder?
1d. What is the threshold at which other
treatment and care should be modified
because of antisocial personality disorder?
1e. What is the threshold for referral to
another service or setting?
1f. When is a formal diagnosis of antisocial
personality disorder needed/when does a diag-
nosis of antisocial personality disorder
improve outcomes?
1g. What are the harms of diagnosis?
1h. What is the threshold for risk assessment?
2 Interventions for adults 2. What interventions for people with
with antisocial antisocial personality disorder improve
personality disorder outcomes?
3 Treatment of comorbid 3. For people with antisocial personality
disorders disorder with comorbid disorders, does
treatment of comorbid disorders improve
outcomes?
4 Interventions for 4. For people with antisocial personality
offending behaviour disorder, do interventions for offending
behaviour improve outcomes?
Continued
265
Appendix 7
CLINICAL QUESTIONS
1.1.1 What is the threshold for intervening to treat problems associated with
antisocial personality disorder?
1.1.2 What is the threshold for intervening to treat symptoms associated with
antisocial personality disorder?
1.1.3 What is the threshold for intervening to treat antisocial personality disorder?
1.1.4 What is the threshold at which other treatment and care should be modified
because of antisocial personality disorder?
1.1.5 What is the threshold for referral to another service or setting?
1.1.6 When is a formal diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder needed/when
does a diagnosis of antisocial personality disorder improve outcomes?
1.1.7 What are the harms of diagnosis?
1.1.8 What is the threshold for risk assessment?
266
Appendix 7
267
Appendix 7
2.4.1 For people with antisocial personality disorder, what features of the envi-
ronment in which interventions are delivered cause harm?
3.1 Assessment for people with antisocial personality disorder and comorbid
disorders
3.1.1 Where people with antisocial personality disorder have multiple comor-
bidities, what disorders/problems should be treated first?
3.1.2 Should people with antisocial personality disorder who have been treated
for comorbid disorders be referred for assessment and treatment of anti-
social personality disorder or antisocial personality disorder symptoms?
3.2 Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder who have
comorbid alcohol problems or dependence
3.2.1 What identifies people with antisocial personality disorder who have the
potential to benefit from, and meet the threshold for, interventions for alco-
hol problems or dependence?
3.2.2 What interventions are effective at treating alcohol problems or depend-
ence in people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.2.2a Are interventions for alcohol problems or dependence less effective for
people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.2.2b How should interventions for alcohol problems or dependence be adapted
for people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.2.3 For people with antisocial personality disorder, what are the harms of treat-
ing alcohol problems or dependence?
3.3 Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder who have
comorbid drug misuse or dependence
3.3.1 What identifies people with antisocial personality disorder who have the
potential to benefit from, and meet the threshold for, interventions for drug
misuse or dependence?
3.3.2 What interventions are effective at treating drug misuse or dependence in
people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.3.2a Are interventions for drug misuse or dependence less effective for people
with antisocial personality disorder?
3.3.2b How should interventions for drug misuse or dependence be adapted for
people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.3.3 For people with antisocial personality disorder, what are the harms of treat-
ing drug misuse or dependence?
268
Appendix 7
3.4 Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder who have
comorbid depression or anxiety
3.4.1 What identifies people with antisocial personality disorder who have the
potential to benefit from, and meet the threshold for, interventions for
depression or anxiety?
3.4.2 What interventions are effective at treating depression or anxiety in people
with antisocial personality disorder?
3.4.3 For people with antisocial personality disorder, what are the harms of treat-
ing depression or anxiety?
3.5 Interventions for people with antisocial personality disorder who have
comorbid personality disorders
3.5.1 What identifies people with antisocial personality disorder who have the
potential to benefit from, and meet the threshold for, interventions for
comorbid personality disorders?
3.5.2 What interventions are effective at treating comorbid personality disorders
in people with antisocial personality disorder?
3.5.3 For people with antisocial personality disorder, what are the harms of treat-
ing comorbid personality disorders?
269
Appendix 7
4.1.6 What harms to people with antisocial personality disorder are associated
with interventions to reduce offending behaviour?
5.1.1 What identifies people with antisocial personality disorder who need long-
term care and support through and beyond treatment interventions?
5.1.2 What service structures for delivering interventions and providing ongoing
long-term care and support for people with antisocial personality disorder
improve outcomes?
5.1.3 What harms are associated with structures for providing care for people
with antisocial personality disorder?
5.1.4 What are the support needs of carers/people (including children) who live
with people with antisocial personality disorder?
5.1.5 How can services meet the support needs of carers/people (including chil-
dren) who live with people with antisocial personality disorder?
5.1.6 Does the delivery of care and interventions for the person with antisocial
personality disorder cause harms to carers/the people (including children)
who live with them?
5.1.7 Do the support needs of carers/people (including children) who live with
people with antisocial personality disorder conflict with the needs of the
person with antisocial personality disorder?
5.2.1 What are the potential harms to professionals and staff from working with
people with antisocial personality disorder?
5.2.1a Do harms to professionals and staff lead to harms to the people with antisocial
personality disorder they care for (for example by undermining treatment)?
5.2.2 How can services address the challenges of providing care for people with
antisocial personality disorder?
5.2.2a What support for staff including training, consultation/liaison, supervision,
peer support, team-based and collective working is associated with improved
outcomes?
5.2.2b What leadership and management interventions (including clarity of roles
and purpose, taking responsibility, case loads) are associated with improved
outcomes?
5.2.3 What are the harms of measures to address the challenges of providing care
for people with antisocial personality disorder?
270
Appendix 7
5.2.4 Is there a conflict between what delivers better outcomes for people with
antisocial personality disorder and what delivers better outcomes for
professionals and staff?
5.2.5 Is there evidence on what ethos adopted by a service is most likely to
deliver better outcomes?
7a. Are there early interventions for young at risk children that are
effective at preventing antisocial personality disorder?
271
Appendix 7
7.1.3a Where children have risk factors for antisocial personality disorder, what
is the likelihood that they will go on to develop antisocial personality
disorder?
7.1.4 What early interventions improve intermediate outcomes?
7.1.4a Following early intervention, what proportion of young children with risk
factors for antisocial personality disorder will go on to develop conduct
disorder and meet criteria for interventions for conduct disorder?
7.1.4b What early interventions prevent antisocial personality disorder?
7.1.5 What are the harms of early interventions (with particular consideration of
harm from stigma/labelling)?
7.1.6 For children with risk factors for antisocial personality disorder who
develop conduct disorder following early intervention, does early interven-
tion make them more susceptible to interventions for conduct disorder?
7.2 Interventions for children and young people with conduct disorder
7.2.1 What identifies young people who could benefit from interventions for
conduct disorder?
7.2.2 What are the harms of identification of conduct disorder (with particular
consideration of harm from stigma/labelling)?
7.2.3 What is the likelihood that a young person with conduct disorder will
convert to antisocial personality disorder?
7.2.3a What other factors are most predictive of conversion to antisocial person-
ality disorder?
7.2.4 What interventions for conduct disorder improve intermediate outcomes?
7.2.4a What interventions for conduct disorder prevent antisocial personality
disorder?
7.2.5 What are the harms of treatment for conduct disorder?
7.2.6 For young people in contact with services because of conduct disorder,
how should the transition to adult services be managed to maintain consis-
tency of care and interventions, promote beneficial treatment outcomes and
minimise harms?
272
Analytic framework 1: Settings, assessment and referral
People presenting People referred to Direct referral into People in other Offenders in the
in primary care due secondary tertiary services services with criminal justice
to problems, specialist mental from the criminal problem system
comorbid disorders health services for justice system behaviours
or physical treatment of following serious indicative of /
symptoms with comorbid disorders violent offending raising concern
behaviour and/or whose presentation about antisocial
problems indicative or behaviour gives personality disorder
of / raising concern rise to concern (aggression,
about antisocial about antisocial violence, offending
personality disorder personality disorder etc)
People presenting
in A&E (possibly
repeatedly) due to
injuries caused by
behaviour
indicative of
possible antisocial
personality disorder
(violence,
offending, risk
taking behaviour,
drug/alcohol use or
self-harm with
other indicators of
antisocial personality
disorder)
Presentation in primary care or A&E of partner or child indicative of abuse (or neglect in the case of a child) or allegation of abuse/neglect raising concern
about violent behaviour / antisocial personality disorder in family member/ cohabitee of the person presenting
273
Appendix 7
Analytic framework 2: Interventions for adults with antisocial personality disorder
274
Appendix 7
2.
2.4.1
Harms 2.4.2
Analytic framework 3: Interventions to treat comorbid disorders in people with antisocial personality disorder
3.
See detailed
analytic
Interventions to treat drug
framework on
assessement People with antisocial misuse or dependence Treatment outcomes Offending [any
and referral personality disorder who for drug misuse / accepted measure of
3.2.1 3.2.2
have comorbid drug dependence: offending including:
misuse or dependence 3.2.3
abstinence recall and antisocial
Clinical Harms personality disorder
population behaviours - violence,
Interventions to treat problem Treatment outcomes antisocial behaviour,
Adults drinking/alcohol dependence aggression, harm to
People with antisocial for alcohol problems /
with antisocial
personality disorder who dependence: alcohol others etc]
personality 3.3.1 3.3.2
disorder have comorbid alcohol consumption / Secondary outcomes
Assessment problems / dependence 3.3.3
abstinence, problem > Harm to self
Adults Assessment & Harms drinking > Mental state
with a referral (depression,
high score Interventions to treat anxiety)
on the PCL-R 3.1.1 People with antisocial depression and anxiety, PTSD Treatment outcomes > Substance use
personality disorder who for Axis I disorders: (drugs, alcohol)
3.4.1 3.4.2
have comorbid Axis I mental state,
disorders (depression, 3.4.3
depression, anxiety
anxiety, PTSD) Harms
[Offenders]
Interventions to treat other
personality disorders
People with antisocial Treatment outcomes
3.5.1 personality disorder who 3.5.2 for comorbid
have comorbid 3.5.3 personality disorders
personality disorders
Harms
3.1.2
275
Appendix 7
276
Appendix 7
4.
Clinical See detailed analytic framework
4a. Offending [any
population on assessement and referral accepted measure of
Adults with offending including:
antisocial Offenders with antisocial recall and antisocial
personality personality disorder personality disorder
4.1.4 4.1.5
disorder Assessment & diagnosis behaviours - violence,
Adults with referral Interventions for 4.1.6 antisocial behaviour,
a high PCL-R 4.1.3 offending behaviour aggression, harm to
score [Include coercive interventions] others etc]
General offender Harms
Secondary outcomes
[Offenders] population (no antisocial 4.1.1 > Harm to self
personality disorder
4.1.2 > Mental state
diagnosis but possible
(depression,
antisocial
anxiety)
personality disorder) Harms > Substance use
(drugs, alcohol)
Analytic framework 5: Structures for the management of care and the delivery of interventions for people with antisocial
personality disorder
5a.
Clinical population Structures for the care and
management of people with Primary outcomes for the person with
People receiving
antisocial personality disorder antisocial personality disorder
Adults with 5.1.1 care and treatment
antisocial from services who 5.1.2 > Offending (includes harm to others)
personality meet the threshold > Harm to self
Assessment & > Case management
disorder for antisocial Secondary staff / service outcomes
referral > Assertive outreach
personality disorder to Staff outcomes
Adults > Community outreach
be considered in their > Staff morale & anxiety
with a > Team based /
clincial management multidisciplinary working > Staff turnover & burnout
high PCL-R See separate > Staff competence
score > Other approaches
analytic
Efficiency of care
frameworks
> Risk assessment > Drop out rates / retention in services /
Family and carers and management loss of contact wiith services
of people with 5.1.4 > Service user engagement & satisfaction
antisocial personality > People with antisocial personality
disorder disorder not excluded
5.1.5 5.1.3
> More skilled / better trained staff
> More therapeutic approach
> Risk management outcomes
Harms
Communication and management
> Better communication / team working
> Greater staff clarity of roles and
understanding of purpose
5.1.6
> Appropriate relationships with service
users
Family / carer outcomes
Harms
5.1.7 > Abuse / harm to family / carers
> Family / carer stress
> For children: Develomental /
psychosocial risk factors for
antisocial personality disorder
277
Appendix 7
278
Analytic framework 6: Organisational structures and processes to support professionals and staff caring for and managing
Appendix 7
5b.
6.
6.1.2
3
Clinical
population Formal risk Formal risk
assessment + management using
Adults with structured risk structured risk Offending
antisocial assessment management plan
personality Potential risk of harm instruments / tools Risk assessment Harm to others
Assessment > If manged in the
disorder 6.1.1 to others or self 6.2.1
5 identifies risk 6.2.2
6
& referral community: harm
identified. meeting the
Adults threshold for risk to family members/
with a 6.1.3
4 6.2.3
7 carers, harm to
management.
high PCL-R members of the
score public
Harms of risk Harms of risk > In inpatient
assessment management settings: harm to
staff, harm to
other patients
Risk assessment
6.2.4 identifies high risk 6.2.5 Harm to self
and patient admitted
6.2.6
into secure setting
[or retained in
Harms
secure setting].
279
Appendix 7
Analytic framework 8: Early intervention in children and adolescents to prevent antisocial personality disorder
280
A
7a.
7.1.4 7.1.4a
Appendix 7
Intermediate
outcomes:
> Outcome measures 7.2.4a
Treatment of conduct for treatment of
Children with conduct disorder
conduct disorder disorder
[/other behavioural 7.2.6a
7.2.1 Assessment & [/other behavioural antecedents of
7.2.4
referral antecedents of antisocial personality
antisocial > Parental disorder]
personality disorder] interventions / > Measures of Young
parent training 7.2.5 juvenile offending,
7.2.2 people
> Interventions delinquency & with
with the child antisocial behaviour Referral to
conduct
Harms adult
disorder
Harms services
referred
to adult
7b.
services
Appendix 8
APPENDIX 8:
SEARCH STRATEGIES FOR THE IDENTIFICATION
OF CLINICAL STUDIES
281
Appendix 8
1 exp clinical trials/ or exp clinical trial/ or exp controlled clinical trials/
2 exp crossover procedure/ or exp cross over studies/ or exp crossover design/
3 exp double blind procedure/ or exp double blind method/ or exp double blind
studies/ or exp single blind procedure/ or exp single blind method/ or exp single
blind studies/
4 exp random allocation/ or exp randomization/ or exp random assignment/ or exp
random sample/ or exp random sampling/
282
Appendix 8
283
Appendix 9
APPENDIX 9:
CLINICAL STUDY DATA EXTRACTION FORM
284
Appendix 9
285