Lloyds Banking Group-2021-Fy-Results-Strategy-Presentation
Lloyds Banking Group-2021-Fy-Results-Strategy-Presentation
Lloyds Banking Group-2021-Fy-Results-Strategy-Presentation
2021 Results
Presentation
Lloyds Banking Group
Classification: Public
Agenda
2
Classification: Public
Introduction
3
Classification: Public
2021 strategic
and financial
progress
4
Classification: Public
1 – The pro forma CET1 ratio as at 31/12/2021 reflects both the insurance dividend paid in Q1 2022 and the impact of the announced ordinary share buyback programme. Does not include the impact 5
of capital headwinds on 01/01/2022. 2 – Market capitalisation as at close of business on 31/12/2021.
Classification: Public
>93k >£16bn
Start-ups and small businesses Lent to first-time homebuyers Group’s focus areas for 2021
supported vs target 75k2 vs target £10bn
• Recovery and growth of businesses
• Financial health of households
8.8% 37.7%
Senior roles held by Black, Senior roles held by female
Asian and minority ethnic colleagues; 2025 target 50%
colleagues; 2025 target 13%
1 – See the 2021 ESG Report for a full list of 2021 commitments and performance. 2 – Provided to customers through online support, business advice and business banking accounts; not-for-profit enterprises 6
comprise approximately 10% of this figure. 3 – c.£5bn includes Clean Growth Finance Initiative and Commercial Real Estate Green Lending since 2016; expansion of funding available took place in 2021.
Classification: Public
1 – Retail Business Banking included within Commercial for reporting purposes. 2 – Illustrative interest rate sensitivity; based on the assumptions shown in the appendix on slide 57. 8
Classification: Public
Mortgage book
(Book size £bn, Gross margin %1)
83 87
− Average completion margin c.160bps
91 +10%
(2020: c.170bps), c.115bps in Q43
21 17 16 (25)%
• 2022-24 Group NIM impacted by maturities
Back book
51 47 42
(16)%
of high-yielding 2020-21 business
25 24 22
• Mortgage lending remains attractive from
H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021
a returns and economic value perspective
Fixed acquisition Fixed retention
Front book other Back book SVR
Back book base rate tracker
1 – Gross margin is gross customer receivables, less short-term funding costs; references SONIA. Chart uses rounded inputs. 2 – Includes retention of existing customers on new deals. 9
3 – Total completion margins include new business and product transfers and is the difference between the customer rate and the relevant funding rate.
Classification: Public
UK consumer finance1
(Book size £bn, Gross margin %2)
• UK consumer finance £0.8bn lower in year
but stabilising in H2
H2 2021 14 8 6 8 36 6.59%
1 – Excluding overdrafts. 2 – Gross margin is gross customer receivables, less short-term funding costs; references SONIA. Chart uses rounded inputs. 3 – Includes Fleet, Stocking and Lex Finance. 10
4 – Includes Retail Business Banking.
Classification: Public
165 +7% •
161
154 brands, up c.£65bn since 2019
1 – Retail Business Banking shown in Commercial. 2 – Gross margin is gross customer payables, less short-term funding costs; references SONIA and includes structural hedge income. Chart uses 11
rounded inputs.
Classification: Public
Hedged balances1
(£bn)
190 210 225 240
240
215 • Structural hedge approved capacity of
180 186
65
70 £240bn, up £30bn in 2021
60 62
Structural
hedge 90 94 120 140
• Prudent management of structural hedge
30 30 30 30
− c.£65bn deposit growth since year end
521 523 2019 vs £55bn increase in capacity
484 494
1 – The external sterling structural hedge notional is managed as a portfolio, split shown is indicative. 12
Classification: Public
7,630
• 2022 operating costs expected to be
c.£8.8bn on new basis (2021: c.£8.3bn)
− Stable before increased investment and
new Embark and Citra businesses
2021 Below to Non-lending 2021
current above the fraud charges revised
basis line switch and other basis 14
Classification: Public
Q4 YoY
Impairment (£m) 2021 2021 2020 change • £1.2bn net impairment credit for 2021,
Charges pre-updated MES1 557 146 1,610 (1,053)
£467m credit in Q4, both given improved
Retail 887 154 1,359 (472)
macroeconomic outlook
Commercial Banking (324) (6) 252 (576) • Sustained low levels of new to arrears and
Other (6) (2) (1) (5) underlying charges below pre-Covid levels
Coronavirus impacted
restructuring cases2
(65) (12) 403 (468) • Stock of ECL reduced to £4.5bn, c.£0.3bn
higher than year end 2019
Updated economic outlook (1,699) (601) 2,234 (3,933)
Retail (1,172) (482) 1,025 (2,197) • Covid management judgements c.£0.8bn,
Commercial Banking (527) (119) 809 (1,336)
including £0.4bn central adjustment3
Other – – 400 (400) • 2022 asset quality ratio expected to be
Total impairment (credit) / charge (1,207) (467) 4,247 (5,454) c.20bps
1 – Multiple economic scenarios. 2 – Further (credits) / charges on existing material cases in restructuring at the end of 2019 where coronavirus has directly hampered the recovery strategy. 15
3 – £400m central adjustment held for Covid-related risks to the Group’s base case assumptions.
Classification: Public
YoY
(£m) 2021 Q4 2020 change
• Restructuring costs £956m; £570m in Q4
Underlying profit 8,040 1,785 2,193
Restructuring costs (956) (570) (521) (83)% − c.£400m software write-off in Q4 given
Severance costs (109) (18) (156) 30%
new technology investment
£504m above the
Property transformation (123) (51) (146) 16% − M&A-related costs and volatility continue
line from Q1
Technology R&D (155) (51) (61) to be reported below the line from Q1
Regulatory programmes (60) (14) (42) (43)%
• Positive insurance and banking volatility,
Other (57) (18) (46) (24)%
more than offset by fair value unwind
M&A/Integration/Write-off (452) (418) (70)
Volatility and other items (182) (247) (361) 50%
• Tax expense £1,017m including c.£1.0bn
credit from change in tax rate in Q2
PPI – – (85)
Statutory profit before tax 6,902 968 1,226 • 2021 RoTE 13.8%, or 11.4% ex. tax benefit,
Tax (expense) / credit (1,017) (548) 161 benefitting from net impairment credit
Statutory profit after tax 5,885 420 1,387
• 2022 RoTE expected to be c.10%
16
Classification: Public
202.7
1.8 • Limited credit migration to date, supported
(0.4)
by high quality book and house prices
196.0
(8.1) • 1 January 2022 pro forma RWAs £212bn,
given net regulatory inflation of c.£16bn
17
Classification: Public
Strategy
update
19
Classification: Public
Key messages
20
Classification: Public
Leading UK customer franchise with trusted brands Maintained leading market shares;
19% since 2017
21
Classification: Public
High NII dependency in a low rate environment Grow and diversify revenue base
Customer behaviour and competition driving disintermediation Create more valuable relationships as integrated provider
Need to enhance and simplify technology infrastructure Modernise technology to drive efficiency
Heightened societal, environmental and colleague expectations Align purpose to value for all our stakeholders
22
Classification: Public
Customer focus
UK consumers and UK-linked businesses and corporates
Financial focus
Strong balance sheet efficiency and disciplined risk approach
23
Classification: Public
A clear strategic vision… …with a transformation plan… …creating higher and more sustainable value
24
Classification: Public
Strategic direction 50% female, 13% Black, Asian and minority ethnic with
3% Black heritage colleagues in senior roles by 2025
25
Classification: Public
c.£3bn incremental strategic investment by 2024… …will create higher, more sustainable, returns
26
Classification: Public
Our strategic
priorities
27
Classification: Public
50:50
NII/OOI split from strategic initiatives by 2026
Target our
Digitise and
Corporate and
3 diversify our 4
Institutional
SME business
offering >2pp RoTE
Contributes to 2024-2026 RoTE uplift
28
Classification: Public
Leading UK consumer franchise Opportunity to deepen relationships and innovate intermediary propositions
Note: Consumer business represents Retail (excluding Business Banking) and Insurance & Wealth divisions. 1 – Customer financial needs defined by average product holdings.
29
Classification: Public
Business priorities: £600m incremental strategic investment over 3 years 2024 outcomes:
>10%
Personalise pricing and credit risk decisions
Deepen and build Increase in digitally active customers to >20m
valuable
Develop home ecosystem with integrated mortgages,
relationships
green retrofit and insurance products
£10bn
Green mortgage lending2
Enrich customer touchpoints with payments insights, digital
Drive stronger solutions and seamless self-service
customer
engagement Extend digital channels to include new direct to consumer
Grow
leasing and financing solutions for EV charge points Credit card spend market share
1 – Depth of relationship relates to product holdings across brands for franchise customers with active relationship. 2 – New mortgage lending on new and existing residential property that meets an
Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) rating of B or higher. Measure is cumulative to 2024. 30
Classification: Public
Business priorities: £400m incremental strategic investment over 3 years 2024 outcomes:
Top 3
Embrace embedded finance propositions Protection provider by 2025
Deliver new
platforms and
Create next-gen digital platform for investment and
propositions
retirement to better support IFAs £20bn-25bn
Invested in climate-aware strategies2 through
Scottish Widows by 2025
Enhance transport offering with more flexible finance
solutions, expanded manufacturer partnerships and services
Differentiate offering
to capture value £8bn
Scale Citra private rental housing business
Financing and leasing for Electric Vehicles
and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles3
1 – Includes long-term savings and excludes Embark day-1 contribution of c.£37bn, longstanding, unbundled investment only pensions, Cazenove, and legacy Private Banking Trusts. Note that future flows
into Embark are included. 2 – Climate-aware strategies are a set of pre-defined funds that have an in-built bias or tilt towards companies that are transitioning their business models to be less carbon-
31
intensive and/or developing climate solutions. 3 – Includes new lending advances for Black Horse and operating leases for Lex Autolease (gross); includes cars and vans. Measure is cumulative to 2024.
Classification: Public
Strong platform for growth Opportunity to expand in growing mass affluent market
LBG share3 4%
Deep
50k >2m CAGR
customer
insights
Introductions to Schroders 8%
Personal Wealth in 2021 3,700
2,300
Note: Segmentation reflects income or deposit balances (balance thresholds shown). 1 – Based on PCA and/or savings holdings with the Group. 2 – Internal estimate based on ABI, Investment Association,
Fundscape, HMRC, Compeer, Platforum, and Company Results. 3 - Includes c.£50bn AuA through intermediary channels (Embark and Scottish Widows) and c.£30bn through direct channels (predominantly
32
HSDL and SPW). Excludes Longstanding AuA.
Classification: Public
Business priorities: £300m incremental strategic investment over 3 years 2024 outcomes:
33
Classification: Public
Well positioned to succeed Opportunity to meet more client needs with a digital-first model
Business priorities: £500m incremental strategic investment over 3 years 2024 outcomes:
Diversify income
Broader support for trading sectors and working capital
needs, including merchant services, trade, cashflow
20% per annum
lending, and value-added services Growth in new merchant services clients
35
Classification: Public
Our differentiated position Opportunity to strengthen a core business with focus on UK-linked clients
CAGR
Growing need for
Differentiated
business
£0.5bn green transition c.20%
50
financing
model Relationship income generated <10
for wider Group
2020 2025 2030
1 – UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) recommendations for the UK’s Sixth Carbon Budget.
36
Classification: Public
Business priorities: £200m incremental strategic investment over 3 years 2024 outcomes:
1 – Includes Clean Growth Finance Initiative, Commercial Real Estate Green Lending, Renewable Energy Financing, Sustainability Linked Loans and Green, ESG and Social Bond facilitation. Measure reflects
cumulative new financing to 2024. 37
Classification: Public
Lower cost of
technology
Simplify our technology estate through decommissioning or
migration to more efficient infrastructure
>15%
Reduction in legacy applications
Lower cost to
Enhance self-service capabilities across distribution and
customer operations
>10%
serve Increase in customers served per
Deliver further end-to-end digitisation of customer journeys
distribution FTE
Central functions
Improve productivity through automation and simplification >30%
and offices Optimise office portfolio in line with hybrid ways of working Reduction in office footprint
38
Classification: Public
39
Classification: Public
Technology
Data
40
Classification: Public
41
Classification: Public
Higher, more
sustainable, returns
and capital generation
42
Classification: Public
1 2 3 4
Grow and diversify Strong focus on cost Higher, more Higher, more sustainable,
revenues discipline sustainable, returns capital generation
43
Classification: Public
Assumptions reflect ongoing Covid recovery Positive exposure to rate rises, although not primary
driver of returns1
Bank Rate
0.81% 1.00% 1.06%
(year average)
+25bps c.200 c.275 c.400
CPI inflation
5.9% 3.0% 1.6%
(year average)
1 – Illustrative interest rate sensitivity; based on the assumptions shown in the appendix on slide 57. 44
Classification: Public
1 Transparency: Adopting a new basis of reporting 2 Stable BAU costs: c.£600m savings by 2024 to
offset headwinds
Representation of 2021 operating costs, (£m)
£0.3bn savings
Digitisation Improved productivity through
digitisation and automation
2021 operating costs: Below to Non-lending 2021 BAU costs:
current basis above the fraud charges revised basis
line switch and other
Improving transparency
46
Classification: Public
47
Classification: Public
Key outcomes
Operating costs
(£bn)
Stable BAU costs
New Opex
Throughout the plan
Headwinds
Headwinds c.8.8 c.8.8
8.3 c.£8.8bn
New Savings
Savings Operating costs in 2024, flat on 2022;
Savings
reducing beyond 2024
<50%
2021 Stable Higher 2022 IFRS 17 Stable Higher Net new 2024
BAU investment / BAU depreciation opex / Cost:income ratio by 20261
new businesses savings
1 – Calculated as total costs (operating costs plus remediation) divided by net income. 48
Classification: Public
Key outcomes
Return on tangible equity
(%)
Savings
>12% >10% RoTE by 2024 and >12% by 2026 as
full investment benefits are realised
11.4 >10%
Capital dist.
Headwinds
Disciplined RWA growth beyond 2022 as
business growth and regulatory changes are
Pensions
surplus partly offset by optimisation and recycling
2021 Existing BAU costs Remediation Normalising Higher Strategic Equity 2024 Strategic 2026
excl. DTA franchise & other impairments investment initiatives initiatives
income
Note: IFRS 17 included within other; as previously disclosed, modestly positive RoTE impact expected. 49
Classification: Public
175-200bps
Capital return in 2021
2021 £3.4bn c.10% of market capitalisation
Robust capital generation
despite higher investment and
RWA growth
c.150bps
c.140bps Progressive and sustainable ordinary dividend
1 – Arrangement in place for next two years to contribute 30% of in-year shareholder payments to pension schemes. 50
Classification: Public
Guidance overview
AQR Net AQR of around 20bps Net AQR less than 30bps over plan period
Returns
c.10% >10% >12%
(statutory RoTE)
Capital
c.150bps capital generation (average) per annum 175 – 200bps capital generation per annum
generation
51
Classification: Public
Closing
remarks
52
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53
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Q&A
54
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Appendix
55
Classification: Public
Net interest margin 2.57% 2.55% 2.51% 2.49% 2.46% 2.42% 2.40% 2.79%
Average interest-earning assets £449bn £447bn £442bn £439bn £437bn £436bn £435bn £432bn
Cost:income 68.0% 48.3% 57.4% 52.3% 59.9% 56.9% 55.2% 49.7%
Asset quality ratio (0.41)% (0.07)% (0.30)% (0.29)% 0.11% 0.27% 2.16% 1.30%
Return on tangible equity 2.9% 14.5% 24.4% 13.9% 5.9% 6.0% (6.1)% 3.7%
TNAV per share 57.5p 56.6p 55.6p 52.4p 52.3p 52.2p 51.6p 57.4p
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Classification: Public
1 – Sensitivity based on modelled impact on banking book NII (including structural hedge). Annual impacts are presented for illustrative purposes only and are based on a number of assumptions which 57
are subject to change. Year 1 reflects the 12 months from 31/12/2021 balance sheet position.
Classification: Public
1 – Comparison to scenarios modelled at Q3 2021 and FY 2020; changes only shown for 2021 measures. 58
Classification: Public
Retail 366.3 0.1% 3.4% 19.6% 0.7% 1.1% 4,008 (1,000) (285) (1,285) 2,723 (1,172)
UK Mortgages 308.8 0.0% 2.3% 13.9% 0.4% 0.5% 1,605 (48) (273) (321) 1,284 (89)
Cards 14.5 1.2% 12.2% 58.2% 3.7% 6.4% 958 (378) (49) (427) 531 (448)
Loans & Overdrafts 9.6 1.7% 15.4% 67.5% 4.7% 7.6% 715 (479) 209 (270) 445 (485)
Motor 14.3 0.9% 4.0% 57.7% 2.1% 3.3% 501 (52) (151) (203) 298 (112)
Other 19.1 0.3% 3.3% 13.8% 0.9% 1.2% 229 (43) (21) (64) 165 (38)
Commercial 85.4 0.2% 4.0% 34.4% 1.6% 2.7% 2,402 (153) (916) (1,069) 1,333 (377)
Other 2 52.3 0.8% 5.9% 23.2% 0.8% 0.7% 450 (1) (6) (7) 443 1
Total 504.0 0.2% 3.5% 24.7% 0.9% 1.4% 6,860 (1,154) (1,207) (2,361) 4,499 (1,548)
1 – Underlying basis. Loans and advances to customers only; excludes £22m of ECL on other assets at 31/12/2021 (£28m at 31/12/2020). 2 – Includes reverse repos of £51.2bn (£58.6bn at 31/12/2020) 59
which dilutes reported Group coverage by 0.1pp (0.1pp at 31/12/2020).
Classification: Public
1 – 2020-21 LTVs use Markit's 2019 Halifax HPI; 2010 LTVs use Markit's pre-2019 Halifax HPI and include TSB. 60
Classification: Public
CET1 ratio Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio: Common Equity Tier 1 Capital over Risk Weighted Assets
CIR Cost-to-Income Ratio: Total costs as a percentage of net income calculated on an underlying basis
Completion margin Total completion margins include new business and product transfers and is the difference between the customer rate and the relevant funding rate
Depth of relationships Products included: PCA, Savings, Mortgage, Loan, Cards, Investments, Home Insurance, Motor Insurance, Protection
Green mortgage lending New mortgage lending on new and existing residential property that meets an Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) rating of B or higher
Gross margin Gross customer receivables, less relevant risk free funding costs; references SONIA. Deposit gross margin includes structural hedge income
Net Income Underlying net interest income and other income less operating lease depreciation
Banking Net Interest Margin: Banking net interest income on customer and product balances in the banking businesses as a percentage of average gross
NIM
interest-earning banking assets for the period
OLD Operating Lease Depreciation
RoTE Return on Tangible Equity: Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders, divided by average tangible net assets
Includes Clean Growth Finance Initiative, Commercial Real Estate Green Lending, Renewable Energy Financing, Sustainability linked Loans and Green, ESG and
Sustainable financing
Social Bond facilitation
Tangible Net Asset Value Per Share: Net assets excluding intangible assets such as goodwill and acquisition-related intangibles divided by the number of
TNAV
ordinary shares in issue
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Classification: Public