02 - TVM
02 - TVM
1
If you were to invest $10,000 at 5-percent interest for one
year, your investment would grow to $10,500.
$10,500 = $10,000×(1.05)
The total amount due at the end of the investment is call the
Future Value (FV).
2
If you were to be promised $10,000 due in one year
when interest rates are 5-percent, your investment
would be worth $9,523.81 in today’s dollars.
$10,000
$9,523.81
1.05
The amount that a borrower would need to set aside
today to be able to meet the promised payment of
$10,000 in one year is called the Present Value (PV).
Note that $10,000 = $9,523.81×(1.05).
C1
PV
1 r
Where C1 is cash flow at date 1, and
r is the appropriate interest rate.
3
The Net Present Value (NPV) of an investment is the
present value of the expected cash flows, less the cost
of the investment.
Suppose an investment that promises to pay $10,000
in one year is offered for sale for $9,500. Your
interest rate is 5%. Should you buy?
$10,000
NPV $9,500
1.05
NPV $9,500 $9,523.81
NPV $23.81
4
In the one-period case, the formula for NPV can be
written as:
NPV = –Cost + PV
5
Suppose a stock currently pays a dividend of $1.10,
which is expected to grow at 40% per year for the
next five years.
What will the dividend be in five years?
FV = C0×(1 + r)T
$5.92 = $1.10×(1.40)5
10
11
6
$1.10 (1.40) 5
$1.10 (1.40) 4
$1.10 (1.40) 3
$1.10 (1.40) 2
$1.10 (1.40)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Copyright © 2016 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
12
0 1 2 3 4 5
$20,000
$9,943.53
(1.15)5
13
7
If we deposit $5,000 today in an account paying 10%, how
long does it take to grow to $10,000?
FV C0 (1 r )T $10,000 $5,000 (1.10)T
$10,000
(1.10)T 2
$5,000
ln( 1.10)T ln( 2)
ln( 2) 0.6931
T 7.27 years
ln( 1.10) 0.0953
14
$50,000
(1 r )12 10 (1 r ) 101 12
$5,000
15
8
Consider an investment that pays $200 one year from
now, with cash flows increasing by $200 per year
through year 4. If the interest rate is 12%, what is the
present value of this stream of cash flows?
If the issuer offers this investment for $1,500, should
you purchase it?
16
0 1 2 3 4
318.88
427.07
508.41
1,432.93
Present Value < Cost → Do Not Purchase
17
9
Compounding an investment m times a year for T years
provides for future value of wealth:
mT
r
FV C0 1
m
18
23
.12
FV $50 1 $50 (1.06) 6 $70.93
2
19
10
A reasonable question to ask in the above example is
“what is the effective annual rate of interest on that
investment?”
.12 23
FV $50 (1 ) $50 (1.06) 6 $70.93
2
The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of interest is the
annual rate that would give us the same end-of-
investment wealth after 3 years:
20
21
11
Find the Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of an 18%
APR loan that is compounded monthly.
What we have is a loan with a monthly interest rate
rate of 1½%.
This is equivalent to a loan with an annual interest
rate of 19.56%.
m 12
r .18
1 1 (1.015) 1.1956
12
m 12
22
23
12
Perpetuity
◦ A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever
Growing perpetuity
◦ A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate
forever
Annuity
◦ A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed
number of periods
Growing annuity
◦ A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a
fixed number of periods
24
C C C
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) 2 (1 r )3
C
PV
r
25
13
What is the value of a British consol that promises to
pay £15 every year for ever?
The interest rate is 10-percent.
£15
PV £150
.10
26
C
PV
rg
27
14
The expected dividend next year is $1.30, and
dividends are expected to grow at 5% forever.
If the discount rate is 10%, what is the value of this
promised dividend stream?
28
0 1 2 3 T
C C C C
PV
(1 r ) (1 r ) 2 (1 r ) 3 (1 r )T
C 1
PV 1
r (1 r )T
29
15
If you can afford a $400 monthly car payment, how
much car can you afford if interest rates are 7% on 36-
month loans?
0 1 2 3 36
$400 1
PV 1 $12,954.59
.07 / 12 (1 .07 12)36
30
0 1 2 3 4 5
$327 .97
PV $297 .22
0 1.09 4-31
31
16
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity
0 1 2 3 T
C C (1 g) C (1 g)T 1
PV L
(1 r) (1 r) 2 (1 r)T
C 1 g
T
PV 1
r g (1 r )
32
0 1 2 40
$20,000 1.03
40
PV 1 $265,121.57
.10 .03 1.10
33
17
You are evaluating an income generating property. Net rent is
received at the end of each year. The first year's rent is expected to
be $8,500, and rent is expected to increase 7% each year. What is the
present value of the estimated income stream over the first 5 years if
the discount rate is 12%?
$8,500 (1.07) 2 $8,500 (1.07) 4
$8,500 (1.07 ) $8,500 (1.07)3
$8,500 $9,095 $9,731.65 $10,412.87 $11,141.77
0 1 2 3 4 5
$34,706.26
34
35
18