Exp 4 Practice
Exp 4 Practice
Exp 4 Practice
1 1,000 3
2 2,000 3.3010299957
3 4,000 3.6020599913
4 8,000 3.903089987
5 16,000 4.2041199827
6 32,000 4.5051499783
7 64,000 4.806179974
8 128,000 5.1072099696
9 256,000 5.4082399653
10 512,000 5.709269961
normal graph lo
600000
1000000
500000
100000
400000
10000
300000
1000
200000
100
100000
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
1 2 3 4
Year Population
Yea
log graph 600,000
000 500,000
000 400,000
000
300,000
000
200,000
100
100,000
10
1 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
0
5 6 7 8 9 10
opulation Log
Year Sales Forecast By following formula of regression
1 3868
2 4880
3 2234
4 2116
5 4095
6 1520
7 2595 y=mx+c
8 4458 y DV Sales
9 3381 x IDV Year
10 3209
11 3020.86666666667 3020.867 (y=mx+c….se bhi same ans ayega)
12 2981.82424242424 2981.824
13 2942.78181818182 2942.782
14 2903.73939393939 2903.739
15 2864.69696969697 2864.697
we don't have sales of 11 to 15 year so we have to forcast the sales for these years
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.107073
R Square 0.011465
Adjusted R -0.112102
Standard Er 1164.22
Observatio 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 125755.6 125755.6 0.092781 0.768445
Residual 8 10843263 1355408
Total 9 10969018
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
c Intercept 3450.333 795.3136 4.338331 0.002484 1616.337 5284.33 1616.337 5284.33
m Year -39.04242 128.1764 -0.304599 0.768445 -334.6177 256.5329 -334.6177 256.5329
real by using regression
6000 6000
5000 5000
4000 4000
Sales
Axis Title
Forecast
3000 3000
2000 2000
1000 1000
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Upper 95.0%
by using regression
Sales
Forecast
6 7 8 9 10
Year Sales 2 Year 4 Year 6 year
1 3868
2 4880 4374 4374 by using data analysis moving average
3 2234 3557 3557
4 2116 2175 2175 3274.5 3274.5
5 4095 3105.5 3105.5 3331.25 3331.25
6 1520 2807.5 2807.5 2491.25 2491.25 3118.833 3118.833
7 2595 2057.5 2057.5 2581.5 2581.5 2906.667 2906.667
8 4458 3526.5 3526.5 3167 3167 2836.333 2836.333
9 3381 3919.5 3919.5 2988.5 2988.5 3027.5 3027.5
10 3209 3295 3295 3410.75 3410.75 3209.667 3209.667
11 3607.25 3036.938 3019.8 forecasting part we use average of mov
12 3451.125 3150.797 2999.993
13 3529.188 3146.746 3018.659 average(jitne year ka lena hai utna hi da
14 3490.156 3186.308 3055.124
15 3509.672 3130.197 3060.648
data analysis moving average
5000
4500
4000
3500
tne year ka lena hai utna hi data select upr wala 2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
4 Year 6 year