Hola-Kola Computations

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Cash Flows of Hola-Kola

Year 1 Year 2
Price 5.00 5.00
Volume (600,000/month) 7,200,000 7,653,600
Sales 36,000,000.00 38,268,000.00
Less: Cost of Goods Sold
Variable costs (raw materials at 1.80/liter) 12,960,000.00 13,776,480.00
Labor costs 2,160,000.00 2,296,080.00
Overhead costs (1% of sales) 360,000.00 382,680.00
Gross profit 20,520,000.00 21,812,760.00
Less: Operating expenses
Energy costs 600,000.00 637,800.00
Administrative and selling 300,000.00 318,900.00
Building rental (opportunity costs) 60,000.00 60,000.00
Operating profit/EBITDA 19,560,000.00 20,796,060.00
Less: Depreciation and interest exp.
Depreciation expense 9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00
Interest expense on term loan 1,600,000.00 1,600,000.00
EBIT 8,760,000.00 9,996,060.00
Tax (30%) 2,628,000.00 2,998,818.00
Net profit after tax 6,132,000.00 6,997,242.00
Add: Depreciation expense 9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00
Less: After-tax erosion costs (opportunity costs) 800,000.00 800,000.00
Free cash flows 14,532,000.00 15,397,242.00

Assumptions:
6.3% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR)
Interest expense is P1,600,000 per year
Kola

Year 3 Year 4 Year 5


5.00 5.00 5.00
8,135,777 8,648,331 9,193,176
40,678,884.00 43,241,653.69 45,965,877.87

14,644,398.24 15,566,995.33 16,547,716.03


2,440,733.04 2,594,499.22 2,757,952.67
406,788.84 432,416.54 459,658.78
23,186,963.88 24,647,742.60 26,200,550.39

677,981.40 720,694.23 766,097.96


338,990.70 360,347.11 383,048.98
60,000.00 60,000.00 60,000.00
22,109,991.78 23,506,701.26 24,991,403.44

9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00


1,600,000.00 1,600,000.00 1,600,000.00
11,309,991.78 12,706,701.26 14,191,403.44
3,392,997.53 3,812,010.38 4,257,421.03
7,916,994.25 8,894,690.88 9,933,982.41
9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00 9,200,000.00
800,000.00 800,000.00 800,000.00
16,316,994.25 17,294,690.88 18,333,982.41
A. PAYBACK PERIOD

Original Investment
PAYBACK PERIOD =
Annual cash flow

After-tax cash flows


Year 1 14,532,000.00
Year 2 15,397,242.00
Year 3 16,316,994.25
Year 4 17,294,690.88
Year 5 18,333,982.41

Time needed for


Unrecovered investment Annual cash flow
Payback (years)

Year 1 50,000,000.00 14,532,000.00 1


Year 2 35,468,000.00 15,397,242.00 1
Year 3 20,070,758.00 16,316,994.25 1
Year 4 3,753,763.75 17,294,690.88 0.22 *
Year 5 - 18,333,982.41 0
3.22 years

* 3,753,763.75/17,294,690.88
= 0.22

B ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN

Accounting Rate of Average income


=
Return Initial investment

Add: Opportunity
After-tax net profit (based
costs (60,000 for
on the table)
rental)

Year 1 6,132,000.00 60,000.00 6,192,000.00


Year 2 6,997,242.00 60,000.00 7,057,242.00
Year 3 7,916,994.25 60,000.00 7,976,994.25
Year 4 8,894,690.88 60,000.00 8,954,690.88
Year 5 9,933,982.41 60,000.00 9,993,982.41
39,874,909.54 300,000.00 40,174,909.54
divided by: 5 years
Average net profit 8,034,981.91
Accounting Rate of 8,034,981.91
=
Return 50,000,000.00
= 16.07%

C. NET PRESENT VALUE

PV Factor at 18.2%
Year 1 0.8460 14,532,000.00 12,294,072.00
Year 2 0.7158 15,397,242.00 11,021,345.82
Year 3 0.6055 16,316,994.25 9,879,940.02
Year 4 0.5123 17,294,690.88 8,860,070.14
Year 5 0.4334 18,333,982.41 7,945,947.98
PV of cash inflows 50,001,375.96
Add: PV of 4 million resale
value of machines after five 1,733,600.00
years
Pv of cash outflows (50,000,000.00)
NPV 1,734,975.96

PV Factor at 16%
Year 1 0.8621 14,532,000.00 12,528,037.20
Year 2 0.7432 15,397,242.00 11,443,230.25
Year 3 0.6407 16,316,994.25 10,454,298.21
Year 4 0.5523 17,294,690.88 9,551,857.77
Year 5 0.4761 18,333,982.41 8,728,809.03
PV of cash inflows 52,706,232.47

Add: PV of 4 million resale


value of machines after five 1,904,400.00
years

Cost of investment (50,000,000.00)


NPV 4,610,632.47

C. INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN

***TRIAL AND ERROR***

PV Factor at 20% PV Factor at 19.5%


Year 1 0.8333 14,532,000.00 12,109,515.60 Year 1
Year 2 0.6944 15,397,242.00 10,691,844.84 Year 2
Year 3 0.5787 16,316,994.25 9,442,644.57 Year 3
Year 4 0.4823 17,294,690.88 8,341,229.41 Year 4
Year 5 0.4019 18,333,982.41 7,368,427.53 Year 5
PV of cash inflows 47,953,661.96

Add: PV of 4 million resale


value of machines after five 1,607,600.00
years

Pv of cash outflows (50,000,000.00)


NPV (438,738.04)

Note: IRR is somewhere between 19.5% and 20%

Payback period 3.22 years


ARR 16.07%
NPV 1,734,975.96
IRR 19.62670%

YES TO HOLA-KOLA!!!
V Factor at 19.5%
0.8368 14,532,000.00 12,160,377.60
0.7003 15,397,242.00 10,782,688.57
0.5860 16,316,994.25 9,561,758.63
0.4904 17,294,690.88 8,481,316.41
0.4104 18,333,982.41 7,524,266.38
PV of cash inflows 48,510,407.59

Add: PV of 4 million
resale value of
1,641,600.00
machines after five
years

Pv of cash outflows (50,000,000.00)


NPV 152,007.59

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