Roberts 2014
Roberts 2014
Roberts 2014
To cite this article: George Roberts (2014) The Uganda–Tanzania War, the fall of Idi Amin, and the
failure of African diplomacy, 1978–1979, Journal of Eastern African Studies, 8:4, 692-709, DOI:
10.1080/17531055.2014.946236
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Journal of Eastern African Studies, 2014
Vol. 8, No. 4, 692–709, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17531055.2014.946236
The Uganda–Tanzania War, the fall of Idi Amin, and the failure of
African diplomacy, 1978–1979
George Roberts*
The Uganda–Tanzania War of 1978–1979 has received little attention from historians.
This article uses British diplomatic sources to explore the causes and course of the
conflict. In particular, it examines how Tanzanian President Julius Nyerere sought to
hide from and later justify to the rest of the world an invasion of Uganda and the
overthrowing of Idi Amin, actions that contravened the Charter of the Organisation of
African Unity (OAU). Distinct among contemporaneous African conflicts for its
noticeable lack of a Cold War context, the war demonstrated the shortcomings of the
OAU in resolving African conflicts. Despite some dissenting voices, Nyerere’s own
disregard for state sovereignty was largely overlooked, as the fall of Amin’s regime
was quietly welcomed by the majority of Africa’s leaders.
Keywords: Uganda; Tanzania; war; Idi Amin; Julius Nyerere; OAU
*Email: [email protected]
evidence’ are observed, just as historians of pre-colonial Africa have worked convin-
cingly with the accounts of European missionaries and travellers.3 If the despatches of
FCO diplomats reflect a narrow perspective on international affairs, the same privileged
position permits the historian access to a range of actors through reports of encounters
with Tanzanian, Ugandan, and other African officials and politicians. Provided due
attention is paid to its provenance, material can be clipped from the documentation and
triangulated with more journalistic accounts of the war to substantiate, supplement, and
occasionally counter existing narratives.
After an explanation of its causes, this article traces the war’s development, in
particular its diplomatic dimension and the failure of negotiations to broker a peace. It
then addresses the issues underlying this diplomatic crisis, Nyerere’s attempts to justify
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his actions and the reasons for the acceptance of the Tanzanian counter-invasion by other
African leaders.
at the OAU and regarded as neither a dissenter nor ‘a subtle apologist for Amin’.18 Both
men described how the unexpected and resented arrival of fresh Sudanese recruits in
Mbarara catalysed simmering unrest among the Simba Battalion into a barracks revolt.
The new arrivals were shot. Loyalist troops were sent to put down the mutineers, who
then fled over the border on 30 October. The pursuit turned into a full-scale invasion,
though neither Etiang nor Thate could explain how this was achieved. Nonetheless, these
insights offer greater substance to the rumours that mutiny had spilled over into border
war, further calling into question the arguments found in Africa Confidential and peddled
by Ugandan propaganda.
On 1 November 1978, Amin announced that he had annexed the Kagera Salient, a
1800 km2 triangle of land straddling the area between the border and the Kagera River, in
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the corridor between Rwanda and Lake Victoria. The Salient was an anomaly of Anglo-
German colonial boundary-drawing that split ethnic groups between Tanzania and
Uganda. Contrary to the FCO’s understanding, the border had been subject to long-
standing claims by Amin, especially as it had been used as a base for incursions by
Ugandan dissident fighters from Tanzania.19 Ugandan troops proceeded to murder and
rape the local population, burn property, and steal cattle. Some 40,000 civilians fled their
homes and took refuge in the bush.20 Despite reports that the Tanzanians had been
massing troops on the border in order to provoke Amin, Dar es Salaam was caught
completely off guard.
Neither state was in any condition to fight a war. Uganda’s economy was in ruins and
its army gripped by mutiny. Amin did have a significant advantage in terms of aircraft
and tanks, but this was largely cancelled out by a lack of pilots, the general
disorganisation of the army, and the American boycott, which reduced Uganda’s oil
supplies by 40%. ‘There must be an element of madness in his act’, reflected an FCO
official.21 The situation on the Tanzanian side was little better. The Tanzanian People’s
Defence Force (TPDF) was relatively small and concentrated on the southern border with
Mozambique; it took several weeks for columns of troops to traverse the entire country
before a counter-attack was possible. Moreover, the Tanzanian economy was suffering
from the negative consequences of Nyerere’s socialist policies, particularly the short-
comings of his forced villagisation campaign. To fight the war, equipment and vehicles
had to be requisitioned from the civilian population.22 On 15 November, Finance
Minister Edwin Mtei announced that the war had compelled the government to raise taxes
on consumer goods.23
Clear information about the development of the war was difficult to obtain and often
confused. British officials observed that Tanzanian officials often appeared themselves
uncertain about the situation; on at least two occasions, Nyerere’s personal assistant, Joan
Wicken (the main intermediary between the FCO and the Tanzanian Government),
directly asked British diplomats for fresh information.24 For outside observers, the
confusion was exacerbated by both countries’ propaganda and news blackouts. The FCO
lent Ugandan radio no credibility. The Tanzanian Government maintained lengthy periods
of silence about the war. The government-controlled press and radio mostly carried anti-
Ugandan propaganda. Nyerere established an ‘Information Committee’, chaired by
Minister of Information George Mhina, and including newspaper editors, the head of
Radio Tanzania, the president’s press secretary, and representatives of the armed forces
and security services.25 The movement of foreign journalists was restricted: the British
High Commission was told that no foreign reporters would be allowed to travel beyond
Dar es Salaam.26 The Reuters telex at the Kilimanjaro Hotel – an oasis of independent
information – was apparently disconnected by the Information Committee.27 ‘There was a
696 G. Roberts
war going on’, wrote Avirgan and Honey, ‘but from Dar as far as information went, it was
as though it was being fought on another continent’.28
British diplomatic reports throughout the war were therefore cautious. In the absence
of reliable information and lacking diplomatic representation in Kampala, the FCO pieced
together its picture of the conflict from a range of sources: other foreign missions
(especially the West German embassy in Uganda),29 aid workers, businessmen, journal-
ists, and a critical sifting of the Dar es Salaam and Nairobi press.
war effort. Although sensationalist reports that Britain directly aided Amin’s seizure of
power are unfounded, it had certainly not opposed the end of Obote’s regime, which
diplomats felt was veering dangerously to the left.30 By 1978, the FCO had long been
seeking to distance itself from Amin’s regime, its treatment of the Ugandan Asians and its
appalling human rights record. The disappearance of a British-Israeli civilian during the
Entebbe hostage crisis of 1976 had provided an excuse to sever all diplomatic ties with
Uganda. Contrary to accusations that Britain continued to actively support Amin’s regime
until its fall,31 the government explored every means of isolating it, but found barriers at
every point. The idea of imposing a US-style trade boycott floundered on Britain’s legal
obligations under European Economic Community agreements; attempts to hold Amin to
account before the UN Commission on Human Rights met solid opposition from the non-
aligned bloc.32
Although concerned about the consequences of the war for the 400-strong British
expatriate community in the country, the FCO concluded that given ‘the likely
assumption that Amin’s successor would mark an improvement, on balance a change
of régime in Uganda would be to our advantage’. The FCO, therefore, worked to ‘exploit
whatever openings may occur to contribute towards Amin’s downfall’. Support for
Tanzania had to be discreet, however. Britain did not want to leave itself ‘open to the
charge of foreign involvement in an African dispute; this would embarrass our friends in
Africa and could facilitate Amin’s efforts to gain support’.33 Although efforts to
accelerate the delivery of military hardware to Tanzania fell through on logistical
grounds,34 Britain provided low-key diplomatic support for Tanzania throughout the war.
The FCO encouraged Shell and British Petroleum to keep oil supplies to Uganda at low
levels in order to bleed dry Amin’s war effort. Pressure was also put on Total and Agip
via the French and Italian governments to prevent them making up the shortfalls in supply
left by the withdrawal of American companies under the terms of Washington’s trade
boycott, though this approach was less successful.35 Mahmood Mamdani’s assertion that
the war was shaped by the interests of Western imperialism, however, is baseless: the role
of Britain and the USA never extended beyond limited assistance to Tanzania.36
In contrast to the Ogaden War of 1977–1978 between Ethiopia and Somalia, the
Uganda–Tanzania War was devoid of Cold War dynamics, despite Western concerns
about Soviet penetration in Uganda. Between 1971 and 1975, Uganda was the largest
recipient of Soviet military aid in sub-Saharan Africa.37 The West then feared that the
country would be a base for subversion in the wider East Africa region,38 but it soon
became apparent that the circumstances of the Uganda–Tanzania War had undermined the
Soviet position. As David Owen, the Foreign and Commonwealth secretary, wrote in a
brief to senior diplomats, ‘The Russians are in an awkward predicament. They have
armed and trained Ugandan forces and will have to answer for this in African eyes, and
Journal of Eastern African Studies 697
especially to Tanzania, who they also supply with arms. They are likely to keep a low
profile’.39
There was no public reaction from Moscow until 12 November, when Pravda
claimed that ‘imperialist forces were trying to make use of the conflict for their own
provocative ends so as to distract and disorganise forces actively participating in the
struggle for the liberation of Zimbabwe’. As a British official pointed out, this accusation
smacked of a desperate attempt to mask Moscow’s embarrassment.40 The American press
reacted with glee: ‘To supply Idi Amin with the tools of modern war is like handing a
loaded pistol to a wilful child’, admonished the New York Times.41 The Washington Post
blamed Moscow – ‘prowling for pawns to move on the African chessboard’ – for
pumping Amin with arms.42 Besides rejecting Amin’s appeals for help as the war turned
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against him in early 1979, the extent of the Soviet reaction to the conflict was a decision
to withdraw its military advisors from Uganda and a pair of private messages from
Brezhnev to Amin and Nyerere calling for peace.43
Further, Nyerere’s own commitment to non-alignment stripped the conflict of its Cold
War potential. Since independence in 1961, he had rejected superpower interference and
to fall back overtly on British or American or Soviet support would have been
hypocritical. From the first week of the war, British High Commissioner in Dar es
Salaam, Peter Moon, gained the impression – ‘for reasons that one can well imagine’ –
that Nyerere was determined ‘to fight his own war’.44 Two days later, Moon added that
‘the last thing Nyerere would want is for the situation to take on any kind of East/West
colouring’.45 Nyerere’s non-aligned stance thus lifted the conflict out of the Cold War
context that had fuelled the proxy struggles in the Horn of Africa and Angola, bucking
the contemporary trend that enmeshed local wars in the superpower rivalry.
OAU. Only after that can people talk to me about restraint’.50 ‘How’, he asked on another
occasion, ‘do you mediate between somebody who breaks into your house and the victim
of the assault?’51 Even before negotiations began, the OAU Secretary General, the
Togolese Edem Kodjo, privately confessed to a British official that Nyerere had resolved
to fight and mediation efforts were futile.52
Yet returning from Dar es Salaam via Kampala, the OAU delegation claimed a sudden
breakthrough. On 14 November, Amin announced an unconditional withdrawal and
invited OAU observers to witness it. Tanzania immediately described the withdrawal as a
‘complete lie’; reports reaching the FCO, including from the West German Embassy in
Kampala, presented mixed verdicts.53 At a meeting of European representatives in Dar es
Salaam on 20 November, views on whether there were still Ugandan troops on Tanzanian
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soil remained divided – a telling illustration of the lack of information about the war
available to diplomats there.54 The OAU naturally claimed its mediation efforts had been
successful.55
But a West German report on the negotiations, duplicated in the FCO files, reveals the
OAU’s ‘success’ was a mirage. Compiled from interviews with Ugandan officials and
Obang himself, the document suggests that Amin only accepted an unconditional
withdrawal when he realised that there was little sympathy for Uganda in Africa. An
unfounded fear that the Soviet Union would begin to supply Tanzania with fresh
deliveries of arms also apparently hastened Amin’s decision.56 These developments were
unconnected to the OAU’s intervention. Rather than being resolved, the conflict was
frozen. The matter of reparations for the damage caused by Ugandan troops in the Kagera
Salient became an issue. ‘Is Africa asking Tanzania to pay for those massacres and
destruction of property?’ Nyerere reportedly asked a Nigerian mediation team. ‘Is Africa
saying to us, once you regain your land, then that is the end?’57
Amin made claims of a Tanzanian counter-offensive on 27 November and appealed to
the UN for help. Dar es Salaam refuted the allegations, but did acknowledge that fighting
was continuing as Tanzania attempted to push Ugandan troops back over the border.58 On
29 November, Obang announced that Uganda had fully removed its troops from
Tanzanian territory; Nyerere pointed out that this was a forced retreat rather than a
voluntary withdrawal.59 The warring parties remained face-to-face on either side of the
frontier. For the following two months, there was no progress.
The OAU’s failure to broker a peace between the warring parties reflected its widely
acknowledged impotence in resolving disputes between African states. The organisation
lacked any real political teeth. Its policy-making institutions were strictly intergovern-
mental and given the regular frictions between member states that militated against
consensus, disposed to drafting vague resolutions rather than taking action. Member
states had few concrete obligations to the organisation and its General Secretariat had no
executive power.60
This view is substantiated by FCO files, which contain first-hand evidence drawn
from meetings with the mediators and both belligerents. The Sudanese Minister for
Foreign Affairs confided in the British Ambassador in Khartoum that while Nimeiry ‘was
sure enough that Uganda was in the wrong’, as a mediator ‘he had felt obliged to
maintain a position of neutrality’, to Nyerere’s frustration.61 Benjamin Mkapa, the
Tanzanian Foreign Minister, told Moon that the OAU had ‘no military capacity to enforce
any agreement and very little moral authority.’62 Etiang told the British Ambassador to
Ethiopia that when he had warned Amin that the invasion of the Kagera Salient broke the
Charter, Amin had laughed: the OAU was ‘a woman’ and could do nothing.63 Crucially,
the OAU itself declined to condemn the Ugandan invasion.
Journal of Eastern African Studies 699
The OAU’s neutrality matched the public stance taken by the majority of African
states. Certainly, several states sided with Nyerere and condemned the Ugandan invasion:
Angola, Botswana, Ethiopia, Madagascar, Mozambique, and Zambia.64 But these were
Tanzania’s allies as fellow left-leaning governments or Front Line states. Others,
including Guinea, Mali, and Senegal, merely called for the end to hostilities and
underlined their commitment to the Charter.65
When African leaders did condemn Uganda, they blamed external forces for the
outbreak of war, invoking a non-existent deus ex machina of imperialist or superpower
intervention. Addressing Tanzanian troops on 13 November, Colonel Mengistu of
Ethiopia declared such ‘acts of aggression against Tanzania and other Front Line states
deliberate attempts by imperialists to stifle the liberation struggle in southern Africa.’66
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Similar allegations were made by the Mozambican President, Samora Machel.67 These
concerns may have represented a genuine paranoia about neoimperialism in the context of
the superpowers’ interventions in the Horn and Angola and the fight against white
minority rule in Rhodesia and South Africa. But they surely also indicate a closing of
ranks to mask the embarrassment induced by a war that was caused and fought by
Africans alone, and which Africans seemed incapable of ending.
Masaka and Mbarara, but they numbered only 1000, and the assault on the two cities was
essentially the work of the TPDF, as the West Germans reported from Kampala.76
However, Nyerere apparently ordered Obote to draft a statement on behalf of the local
Ugandan Suicide Battalion, which declared that they had risen up against Amin and had
‘liberated’ Masaka themselves – a myth then circulated by the Tanzanian press.77 This
image of a Ugandan liberation front, aided by the information drought about
developments in the warzone, provided a useful (if almost transparent) public
smokescreen for Nyerere. Although few observers were fooled by it, the myth permitted
Dar es Salaam to deflect awkward questions about Tanzania’s military presence in
Uganda.
The OAU’s reaction to the resumption of hostilities was to convene an ad hoc
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Martin, who was close to the President, told a British official in Dar es Salaam that
Nyerere had originally planned to halt the Tanzanian advance at Masaka, to allow the
exile forces to push on towards Kampala.86 But this proved impossible: the exiles were
too weak, especially given the arrival of Libyan troops.
The TPDF eventually entered Kampala to little resistance on 10 April. Amin had fled
the city days beforehand. Tanzania then hurried to establish the new Ugandan
Government. At the Moshi Conference in March, exiles had formed the Uganda National
Liberation Front (UNLF), a diverse mixture of dissidents representing a spectrum of
political viewpoints and vested interests that would soon splinter once the goal of
removing Amin had been accomplished. Yusuf Lule was elected as chairman of the
UNLF’s Executive Council, essentially an interim cabinet.87 On 13 April, Lule arrived in
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Kampala and was sworn in as president. The fighting, however, continued: Amin’s forces
were scattered through Uganda, and it was not until 3 June that the TPDF reached the
Sudanese border and the mopping-up task was complete.
teach him a lesson so that he would realise that war was a serious game’ – a claim that
‘no-one present believed’ and ‘which was purely for the record’, according to
Hinchcliffe.95
Instead, evidence in the FCO files suggests that Nyerere sought to topple Amin from
the moment hostilities broke out. Speaking to Moon on 30 October, Nyerere ‘referred
several times of the need to get rid of Amin’.96 Wicken confirmed within the first week of
the war that Tanzania wanted ‘to inflict a humiliating defeat on Amin which could lead to
his fall’.97 A combination of Nyerere’s personal vendetta against Amin and a realisation
that the shared border would not be secure until he was removed from power appears to
have resolved the Tanzanian Government on its course of action, despite the war’s
crippling economic impact. In February, Wicken frankly told Hinchcliffe that although
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Tanzania could not afford the war, it ‘would not mind if mediation attempts came to
nothing’ as ‘any mediation which ended the fighting and which left Amin intact would
not be in Tanzania’s interest’.98 Aside from being a principled stance, Nyerere’s
insistence that the OAU condemn Uganda provided a stalling tactic that allowed military
operations to continue while OAU leaders pursued a political solution to which Tanzania
had no intention of committing.
It has been alleged that Nyerere’s decision to bring down the Amin regime had a more
subversive motive: Obote’s return to power. The evidence here is ambiguous. Nyerere
sought Obote’s support in forming an anti-Amin exile force after recalling him from a
holiday in Lusaka in November 1978. Obote’s public statements in January were also
conceived as a means of provoking disorder inside Uganda. Yet Nyerere advised Obote
not to attend the Moshi Conference, fearing his presence might disrupt attempts by the
assembled dissident factions to form a united front.99 He was also conscious of
international opposition to Obote. In particular, Kenya remained suspicious of Nyerere’s
relationship with Obote, despite Tanzanian assurances that were communicated through
British diplomatic channels (and which British diplomats generally believed).100 Kenyan
President Daniel arap Moi relayed to Sir Stanley Fingland, the British High Commis-
sioner in Nairobi, his concern at the potential emergence of a Tanzanian-sponsored
government in Kampala which could lead to Kenya being surrounded by left-leaning
regimes.101 Regardless of his personal relationship with Obote, Nyerere realised that both
the legitimacy of the invasion and the stability of a new government in Kampala were
dependent on maintaining a safe distance from Obote until the dust had settled.
provocation.102 Both Nimeiry and Obasanjo had been frustrated by Nyerere’s mulish
rebuttal of their personal negotiation attempts.
The complaints made about Tanzania’s violation of the OAU Charter were not simply
based on matters of principle. Many African leaders feared that an acceptance of the
Tanzanian invasion would set a dangerous precedent. Acknowledging that acquiescence
to Tanzania’s intervention among African governments rested largely on the embarrass-
ment caused by Amin’s behaviour, Moi pointed out to Fingland that Uganda was no
exception in this respect. The records of Jean-Bédel Bokassa in the Central African
Empire or Macias Nguema in Equatorial Guinea were little better. Were they to be
attacked as well?103 Even leaders without blood on their hands might now feel at threat.
‘Security may be endangered by this act’, warned Obasanjo in Monrovia, ‘for the weaker
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and smaller nations of Africa will have to look over their shoulders at their powerful
neighbours whenever they have to act’.104
There was therefore a series of staunch defences of the Charter’s integrity. The
Liberian President William Tolbert stressed the need for aggrieved parties to seek
mediation through OAU channels and reaffirmed that the ‘violation of the sovereignty
and territorial integrity of a member state, for whatever reason, violates the Charter of the
OAU’.105 The Kenyan Sunday Nation rejected the verdict that the OAU was a ‘useless
organization’ and argued that its faults lay less in the Charter than in the member states’
lack of political will to uphold its provisions.106
Others retorted that the war had demonstrated the inflexibility of the Charter and
called for its reform. According to the editor of the New African, too many member states
had simply brandished their ‘OAU handbooks to invoke the clause on non-interference in
the affairs of a neighbouring state with the careless ease with which tourists would be
expected to show off well-known information gleaned from guidebooks’. ‘How cosy it
must be’, he remarked, ‘to be able to quote international law when your own people have
not been bombed’.107 Nyerere himself described the OAU as being a ‘trade union’ for
African leaders, ring-fencing them from criticism.108 He had previously pointed out that
Amin had killed more Africans than Smith’s regime in Rhodesia or Vorster’s in South
Africa. ‘Had Amin been white’, he said in his Independence Day speech of 9 December
1978, ‘free Africa would have passed many resolutions condemning him. Being black is
now becoming a certificate to kill fellow Africans’.109 In turning the same accusations
levelled against racist white African leaders against the organisation that was supposedly
the embodiment of African unity, Nyerere – the defiant pan-Africanist – implicitly called
into question the credibility of the OAU’s authority to mediate between the belligerents.
The war was particularly embarrassing for the OAU and its members because it
threatened to display on a global stage disunity among African states and the
organisation’s impotence in resolving conflict.110 Reporting on the February 1979
Council of Ministers meeting in Nairobi, a British diplomat observed that ‘there was
obvious embarrassment at the OAU’s manifest inability to effect [sic] the course of
events’.111 One of the reasons offered by Fingland for the reluctance of African states to
condemn Uganda at the Nairobi conference was an unwillingness to publicly rebuke
another member state.112 At Monrovia, Binaisa praised Tanzanian’s intervention, made a
damning attack on Amin, and condemned the regimes of Nguema and Bokassa. In turn,
Obasanjo questioned his credentials to act as president of Uganda – an implicit reference
to the reported Tanzanian involvement in Lule’s fall from power. Both Binaisa’s and
Obasanjo’s comments were ordered to be erased from the official record: antagonistic
exchanges among African states were not to be preserved for wider circulation.113
704 G. Roberts
The failure of Amin’s attempts to bring the conflict before the UN Security Council
highlighted this unease. Following the Ugandan request for a Security Council meeting
on 15 February 1979, the British Ambassador to the UN was told by the President of the
Security Council that African states were ‘most concerned’ at the prospect.114 When
Uganda repeated its calls for a meeting in late March, it faced blanket opposition among
the so-called ‘African Group’. At informal consultations among Security Council
members on 30 March, the Gabonese representative argued that it was not the correct
moment to bring the issue before a formal meeting, since African mediation was still
ongoing, despite the OAU’s negotiations having completely stalled after the failure of the
Nairobi meeting in late February. He added that the African Group ‘did not want to wash
their dirty linen in public’.115 Nigeria, chairing the Council, demonstrated the same
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feeling when it tried to delay the formal talks until 1 April, when it would pass the chair
on to Norway.116 The Nigerian representative told a British official that Amin was an
‘embarrassment to African aspirations’. Other African members of the Council felt that ‘a
debate could not but show up the disarray among the African Group.’ Uganda dropped its
request, to much relief.117
Several commentators have suggested that the Tanzania invasion of Uganda provides
an early case of a war justified by humanitarian intervention.118 Appealing though it may
be, this interpretation runs counter to the evidence. Among African leaders, Nyerere had a
strong track record of at least rhetorical support for human rights.119 But while he made
references during the war to atrocities committed by Amin’s regime, Nyerere never linked
them to the intervention: to do so would have been an admission of breaking the OAU
Charter, which he himself had invoked in his condemnation of Amin.120 When he
privately invoked humanitarian concerns to justify the invasion to the FCO, he did so
with reference to the need to protect the population of southern Uganda which had
greeted the Tanzanians as ‘liberators’, rather than in a more general manner to the
Ugandan population which had been terrorised by Amin over the previous eight years.
Nyerere feared that a Tanzanian withdrawal would lead to both violent reprisals and a
flood of refugees into Tanzania.121 But this seems an ex post facto justification for
Tanzania’s actions, designed especially to appeal to Western outrage about human rights
violations in Uganda. After all, it was the Tanzanian counter-invasion which had brought
about this situation.
Rather, respect for international law gave way to a sense among most African leaders
that the ends justified the means, illegal though they may have been. Despite divisions of
opinion at Monrovia, the overwhelming reaction was a tacit acceptance of the Tanzanian
invasion. Nyerere did not have to justify his counter-invasion in terms of the international
legal framework. The discomfort they felt at the violation of the Charter paled in
comparison with the embarrassment caused by Amin’s appalling disregard for human life.
In this light, Nyerere’s presentation of the war as a personal conflict with Amin paid
dividends. A pamphlet circulated by Tanzania at Monrovia concluded that:
Amin was an abominable murderer of the people of Uganda; a turbulent menace to the peace
and security of East Africa; a standing scandal and displace to the honour of Africa; a blatant
and bragging aggressor against Tanzania. We are not sorry to be rid of him.122
The prevailing African view was implicitly endorsed by Britain and the USA. Both states
had given low-key but significant support to Tanzania; both had condemned the Ugandan
invasion; both then remained silent over the Tanzanian counter-invasion, but quickly
recognised the Lule Government.123
Journal of Eastern African Studies 705
Conclusion
Amin and his henchmen fled into exile. The deposed president first went to Tripoli, but
after falling out with Gaddafi took up residence in Saudi Arabia, where he died in 2003.
Precise figures of the numbers of Ugandan war casualties are impossible to ascertain:
Avirgan and Honey estimate around 1000 Ugandans died, in addition to 600 Libyans.124
The situation in Uganda scarcely improved. Kampala collapsed into a state of near
anarchy and internecine squabbling brought down Lule’s Government after just 68 days
in office. His successor, Binaisa, was deposed in May 1980 by a military coup. Obote
returned as president in the elections held in December 1980. The use of force to
overthrow Amin did nothing to reinforce the rule of law and the spiral of violence
continued throughout Obote’s five-year second term.125
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Nyerere basked in the glory of victory, embarking on a public tour of Tanzania. The
official Tanzanian cost in human life was relatively small at just 373 soldiers killed, of
whom only 96 died as a result of enemy fire, the remainder being killed in accidents.126
However, the damage to a faltering economy was critical. The final bill for the
intervention and occupation of Uganda came to around £250 million, bleeding dry
Tanzania’s already depleted foreign exchange reserves. Together with the disastrous
consequences of Nyerere’s ujamaa policy, the long-term impact of the war was to render
Tanzania dependent on external aid to keep the economy afloat. By the late 1980s, the
country was surviving on a drip of World Bank and IMF support.
Shorn largely as a function of Nyerere’s non-aligned stance of superpower
involvement, the conflict’s absence of a Cold War dimension left exposed the
shortcomings of African diplomatic practice. The OAU was incapable of ending a
dispute that was fuelled by Nyerere’s bitter animosity towards his bête noir, Amin. The
organisation’s adherence to the strict principles of neutrality towards the belligerents and
the inviolability of existing borders left it open to charges from Nyerere that it was
permitting Amin’s reckless disregard for Tanzania’s state sovereignty. African states
resisted Ugandan attempts to bring the issue before the UN: they did not wish to bring the
rest of the world's attention the failure of their diplomacy and the splits within their ranks.
Ultimately, the embarrassment caused by Amin’s behaviour led to pragmatism prevailing
over international law. Despite the discontent evident at Nairobi and Monrovia with
Nyerere’s refusal to negotiate, African leaders were content to see the fall of a tyrant.
Acknowledgement
This work was funded by an Arts and Humanities Research Council Doctoral Scholarship.
Notes
1. The best existing accounts of the war are Prunier, “Tanzania’s Ambiguous Ugandan Victory”;
Avirgan and Honey, War in Uganda; and Wheeler, Saving Strangers. Avirgan and Honey were
American journalists who accompanied the Tanzanian forces in the latter stages of the conflict
and who subsequently pieced together an account based on hundreds of interviews with mainly
Tanzanian soldiers and officials. In addition to their apparently personal relationship with
Nyerere himself, this approach gives their text a tendentious feel, and must be treated with
caution.
2. Branch, Kenya, 20.
3. Ellis, “Writing Histories,” 14.
4. Daily News, July 25, 1975, quoted in Africa Research Bulletin 12, no. 7 (1975): 3683.
5. Khadiagala, “Uganda’s Domestic and Regional Security,” 236–7.
6. Hansen, “Uganda in the 1970s,” 97–98; Jørgensen, Uganda, 285–303.
7. Jørgensen, Uganda, 279.
706 G. Roberts
53. Eldon to Longrigg, November 21, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/165; Moon to FCO, November
15, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2400/129.
54. Moon to FCO, November 20, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2400/150.
55. Munro to Mansfield, November 27, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/172.
56. Eldon to Longrigg, November 21, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/165.
57. Quoted in Moon to FCO, November 19, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2400/146.
58. Moon to FCO, November 28, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/171; Munro to Day, November 28,
1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/173; Moon to FCO, November 30, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/
186; Africa Contemporary Record, 1978–1979, B247.
59. Africa Contemporary Record, 1978–1979, B425.
60. van Walraven, Dreams of Power, 375–6.
61. Carden to FCO, November 21, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2400/162.
62. Moon to FCO, December 11, 1978, UKNA FCO 31/2401/195.
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100. Hinchcliffe to FCO, March 11, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/2682/107; Hinchcliffe to FCO, March
19, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/2683/126; Fingland to FCO, March 26, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/
2684/147; Hinchcliffe to FCO, March 29, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/2684/165.
101. Fingland to Robson, April 4, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/2685/219.
102. Africa Contemporary Record, 1979–1980, A61–2.
103. Fingland to FCO, April 3, 1979, UKNA FCO 31/2685/201.
104. Quoted in Africa Contemporary Record, 1979–1980, A62.
105. Quoted in ibid.
106. Quoted in ibid., A70.
107. Quoted in ibid., A60.
108. Quoted in ibid., B395.
109. Quoted in Ivan Smith, Ghosts of Kampala, 181.
110. van Walraven, Dreams of Power, 283.
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