02.financial Analysis I
02.financial Analysis I
02.financial Analysis I
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
Financial statements are the primary means an outsider uses to evaluate a particular
company. Once completed, the results can be compared with other companies. There
are a variety of tools used to evaluate performance. In this chapter you are introduced
to some of these techniques. The learning objectives for the chapter are to:
CHAPTER REVIEW
Financial statement analysis is based on information taken from the annual report,
reports lodged with the ASIC, articles in the business press, and so on. The objective
of financial statement analysis is to provide information to creditors and investors to
help them 1) predict future returns and 2) assess the risk of those returns. Past
performance is often a good indicator of future performance. Three categories
of financial statement analysis are horizontal, vertical, and ratio analysis.
The base period for horizontal analysis is the year prior to the year being considered.
Suppose there are three years of data. The change from Year 1 to Year 2 is:
Trend percentages are a form of horizontal analysis. They indicate the direction of
business activities by comparing numbers over a span of several years. Trend
percentages are calculated by selecting a base year and expressing the amount of
each item for each of the following years as a percentage of the base year’s amount.
That sounds complicated - what it means is you are taking, say, sales in year four and
divide it by sales in year one and that shows sales in the fourth year as a percentage
of sales of the first year.
Vertical analysis of a financial statement reveals the percentage of the total that each
statement item represents. Percentages on the comparative income statement are
calculated by dividing all amounts by net sales. Percentages on the comparative
statement of financial position are shown as either 1) a percentage of total assets or
2) a percentage of total liabilities and shareholders’ equity.
There are many, many different ratios used in financial analysis. Sometimes a ratio is
used alone but more frequently a group of ratios is calculated and used to analyse a
particular issue. The ratios discussed in this section are grouped as follows:
Rather than trying to ‘rote’ learn the ratios, think of what the name tells you about the
ratio. The name of the ratio is usually a good guide to the formula of the ratio. Then
think why we are calculating the ratio, many are common sense. If I told you I earned
Rs.100,000 on my investments, before you gave me your money to invest you would
want to know how much money I had invested. If it was Rs.200,000 I am an excellent
investor but if it was Rs.30 million, I am a very poor investor. How do you know? You
have just calculated ‘rate of return on total assets’.
The current ratio is used to measure the availability of sufficient current assets to
maintain normal business operations.
The acid-test (or quick) ratio measures the ability of a business to pay all of its
current liabilities if they came due immediately.
Study Tip: Inventory and prepaid expenses are not used to calculate the acid-test ratio.
2. Ratios that measure the company’s ability to sell inventory and collect
receivables
Days’ sales in receivables measures in sales days the value of accounts receivable;
it tells how many days’ sales remain uncollected (in accounts receivable).
DAYS’ SALES IN
ACCOUNTS = AVERAGE NET ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE
RECEIVABLE ONE DAY’S SALES
To calculate the ratio for the beginning of the year, substitute beginning net Accounts
Receivable for average net Accounts Receivable. To calculate the ratio for the end of
the year, substitute ending net Accounts Receivable for average net Accounts
Receivable.
The debt ratio measures the relationship between total liabilities and total assets.
Remember that profits before income tax and interest expense is what profits would
be if we paid no interest expenses and no tax.
Rate of return on net sales measures the relationship between net profit and sales.
ASSETS 2
The rate of return on ordinary shareholders’ equity shows the relationship between
net profit and the ordinary shareholders’ investment in the company.
RATE OF RETURN ON
ORDINARY = NET PROFIT - PREFERENCE DIVIDENDS
SHAREHOLDERS’
EQUITY AVERAGE ORDINARY SHAREHOLDERS’
EQUITY
AVERAGE
ORDINARY
SHAREHOLDERS’ = BEGINNING + ENDING ORDINARY SHAREHOLDERS’
EQUITY
EQUITY 2
Earnings per share (EPS) is the amount of net profit per share of the company’s
ordinary share.
Study Tip: Remember, if the number of shares issued has changed during the year, the
denominator is changed to reflect the weighted average number of shares issued.
The price/earnings (P/E) ratio is the ratio of the market price of an ordinary share to
the company’s EPS.
Dividend yield is the ratio of dividends per share to the share’s market price per
share.
The formula for calculating book value per ordinary share is:
Ratios should be 1) evaluated over a period of years, and 2) compared with industry
standards. For example the inventory turnover of a florist would be very different to that
of a bookshop. Ratios also contain all the limitations of the accounting
information on which they are based. Assets, especially land and buildings, recorded
at historical cost can distort return on assets. Ratios are based on past information but
are used to predict the future.
Economic value added (EVA) is one measure many companies use to evaluate
whether the company has increased shareholder wealth from operations. The formula
for EVA is:
Capital charge is bills payable plus loans payable plus long-term debt and
shareholders’ equity all times the cost of capital. The cost of capital is the weighted
average of the returns demanded by the company’s shareholders and lenders. Newer
companies, because of the added risk, have a higher cost of capital compared with
older, more established companies.
Another way to analyse a company is to look for red flags that may signal financial
trouble:
Earnings problems
Decreased cash flow
Too much debt (high debt is not necessarily bad, but it does indicate
an increase in risk)
Inability to collect receivables
Build-up of inventory
Sales, inventory and receivables moving in different directions.
Annual reports contain a wealth of information beyond the financial statements and the
notes to the accounts, the chairperson’s and chief executive officer’s (CEO) reports
and the auditor’s report. The auditor’ report provides an independent opinion as to
the ‘truth and fairness’ of the financial statements.