IOT HA - Paper
IOT HA - Paper
The five big phases are: Fig. 3. Connected to autonomous car evolution
i. Research and development era (Source: Morgan Stanley Research)
This was the longest era, lasting nearly 30 years,
in which outstanding ideas were suggested but 1. Market Trends of Automated Cars
never executed due to a lack of technology. As discussed in earlier sections of this paper, the
ii. Embedded era market for self-driving vehicles has enormous
This is the era of embedded modules in cars, such potential, with immediate implications in a variety
as mobile phones, which are used to wirelessly of industries. As seen in the graph below, BI
communicate information to a telematics service Intelligence estimates that 10 million self-driving
provider. cars will be on the road by 2020.
iii. Infotainment era Market research businesses examine market and
technical trends for self-driving vehicles from
various angles and views, and their predictions 2. Advantages and Disadvantages of Automated
and projections can be summarized as follows Cars:
(Bertoncello & Wee, 2015): The benefits of automatic cars (Greenough,
Self-driving vehicles could deliver up to S507 2016) exceed the drawbacks, as follows:
billion in annual productivity gains. i. Improvements of safety on the roads: There will
be fewer car collisions if there is no driver error.
. i. Advanced Driver Assistance Systems market There were 1713 deaths in UK roads in 2013
will increase to $23.6 billion by 2022, compared where 80% of accidents were due to human error.
to approximately S15.0 billion at present According to KPMG, self-driving cars would save
ii. More than 250 million vehicles will be 2,500 lives in the UK between 2014 and 2030.
connected globally by 2020, which will be an ii. Better mobility for young, elderly, and disabled:
increase of 67% Provide independent mobility for non-drivers.
iii. By the same period, 2020, it is estimated that Reduces the need for chauffeurs and other
consumer spending on in-vehicle connectivity will expensive modes of transportation for non-drivers.
double iii. Improvement of road congestions: Congestion
could be reduced, and traffic flow could be
improved. The average British motorist spends 30
hours a year stuck in traffic, with 82 hours in
London. Drivers may be doing something more
productive with their time. Every day, traffic jams
clog 7500 kilometers of European highways.
iv. Improvement of fuel efficiency and parking
spaces:
Less congestion means less fuel consumption and
less pollution. Less urban parking will be needed.
Studies in the UK show that urban space released
Fig. 4. Global installed base of cars with self- from the parking will increase for 15- 20%, where
driving features (Source: BI Intelligence) in London alone, 16% of urban space is allocated
to parking.
Next-generation drivers are expected to want their These benefits would be beneficial to emerging
automobiles to function like smartphones on and poorer countries, especially in terms of
wheels, i.e. to have their cars connected while on reducing accidents, which are a bigger problem in
the go and they are ready to spend quite a bit of developing and poorer countries than in developed
money countries, but lack of road infrastructure in these
countries will delay any early implementation.
On the disadvantages side, main disadvantages
are:
i. Potential impacts on businesses and economies
based on public transit, automobile insurance and
Se services: Insurance Companies Association in
US has warned that autonomous cars could disrupt
their business model
ii. Cost reduction of driving may result in traffic
Fig. 5. Wireless technologies suitable for congestion increase
Autonomous Vehicles (Source: NXP)
iii. Increase of car costs for users: Enhancements
and maintenance cost and road infrastructure
3. Self-Driven Vehicles iii. Insurance issues increase in complexity due to
the need to share the responsibility between driver
I. Lack of good software and manufacturer.
ii. Fail-proof software is needed to make sure no iv. Need to know who should be liable: the owner
problems will happen of the car, the car manufacturer, the maker of the
specific piece of equipment that failed or the
ii. Tesla accident in May 2016 where Tesla’s car software company
failed to distinguish a white tractor-trailer crossing
the motorway against a bright sky. v. The liability issue is even a bigger problem in
developing countries due to the lack of proper
iv. Potential software problems as we have in legal infrastructure in place and also due to the
today’s systems could be fatal for car users corruption in countries in transition
vii. This helps the self-driving cars to find the way viii. Some of these regulations and policies are
and only look at dynamic obstacles, such as cars more flexible and it is easier to adapt them in
and pedestrians developing and poorer countries than it is in
developed countries due to the lack of these
viii. So far, only a fraction of roads in USA are policies and regulations in poorer countries.
covered by these enhanced maps.
ix. Need for application of different taxes to share
ix. When it comes to developing countries, this is the advantages between the stakeholders.
even a bigger issue since it will take some time, Subsidies or taxes may be necessary to share the
probably years to have enhanced maps in those public and private costs and benefits
poorer countries
5. What Radio Technologies are used in
x. Lack of good sensors. Autonomous Vehicles