Rimap Cwa 15740
Rimap Cwa 15740
Rimap Cwa 15740
CEN
CWA 15740
WORKSHOP April 2008
AGREEMENT
ICS 03.100.01
ICS 03.100.01
English version
This CEN Workshop Agreement has been drafted and approved by a Workshop of representatives of interested parties, the constitution of
which is indicated in the foreword of this Workshop Agreement.
The formal process followed by the Workshop in the development of this Workshop Agreement has been endorsed by the National
Members of CEN but neither the National Members of CEN nor the CEN Management Centre can be held accountable for the technical
content of this CEN Workshop Agreement or possible conflicts with standards or legislation.
This CEN Workshop Agreement can in no way be held as being an official standard developed by CEN and its Members.
This CEN Workshop Agreement is publicly available as a reference document from the CEN Members National Standard Bodies.
CEN members are the national standards bodies of Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom.
Contents
List of Figures........................................................4
List of Tables.........................................................5
Foreword 6
Introduction ...........................................
..........................................................
...............7
7
Acknowledg
Acknowledgement
ementss ......
.............
..............
..............
..............
..............
..............8
.......8
1 Scope ..........................................
....................................................9
..........9
2 Normative References
References............................
............................ 10
4 RIMAP
RIMAP Framew
Framework
ork .......
..............
..............
.............
............
......13
13
4.1 RIMAP vs RBIM...................................... ..... 13
RBIM...........................................
4.2 RIMAP Principles......................................... 13
4.3 RIMAP Requirements............................. ...... 13
Requirements...................................
4.3.1 General requirements ..................... 13
4.3.2 Personnel requirements................... 14
4.3.3 Requirements for performing PoF
analysis......................................... 14
4.3.4 Requirements for performing CoF
4.3.5 analysis.........................................
assessment Requirement.......... 16
Risk assessment 17
4.4 RIMAP within the overall management
management system17system 17
4.5 Limitations................................................. 17
4.6 Compatibil
Compatibility approachess ... 18
ity with other known approache
5 RIMAP Procedure...................
Procedure...................................
................ 19
5.1 Initial analysis and plan ning ......................... 21
planning
5.1.1 GeneGeneral
ral descri
description
ption and
and scope ..... .... 21
.........
5.1.2 RequRequireme
irementsnts ..........
...............
..........
.................. 24
...........
5.1.3 Inputs
Inputs...................................... ..... 24
...........................................
5.1.4 Procedure...................................... 24
5.1.5 Output ..........................................
.......................................... 24
5.1.6 Warnings and applicability limits....... 24
applicability limits.......
5.2 collection and validation....................... 26
Data collection
5.2.1 GeneGeneral
ral descri
description
ption and
and scope ..... .... 26
.........
5.2.2 RequRequireme
irementsnts ..........
...............
..........
.................. 26
...........
5.2.3 Input .................................
............................................
........... 26
5.2.4 Procedure...................................... 28
5.2.5 Output ..........................................
.......................................... 28
5.2.6 Warnings and applicability limits....... 29
applicability limits.......
page 2
page 3
List of Figures
Figure 1 - Framework of RIMAP procedure within the overall
managementt system ....................................... 20
managemen
Figure 5 - Screening
Screening risk ma
matrix ....................................... 35
trix .......................................
Figure 10 - Example
Example of decision
decision logic for CoFEnvironment in
RIMAP............................................................ 47
RIMAP............................................................
Figure 14 - Detailed
Detailed plann
planning...........................................
ing........................................... 53
Figure 15 - Example
Example of validation RIMAP [19] 58
validation feature list in RIMAP
page 4
List of Tables
mechanisms . 39
Table 2 - Types of damage and their specifics mechanisms
maintenance..................... 51
Table 8 - Principal categories of maintenance.....................
Table 9 - Activities
Activities in executi
execution
on & reporting....................... 51
reporting .......................51
page 5
Foreword
The production of this CWA (CEN Workshop Agreement) specifying the essential
elements of risk based assessment of industrial assets according to the RIMAP approach
was formally accepted at the Workshop's kick-off meeting on 2005-06-30.
This CWA consists of the following main parts, under the general title “Risk-Based
Inspection and Maintenance Procedures for European Industry”:
This document is a “CEN Workshop Agreement” document. CEN defines the Workshop
Agreement as:
Comments or suggestions from the users of the CEN Workshop Agreement are welcome
and should be addressed to the CEN Management Centre.
page 6
Introduction
This particular CWA provides the essential elements
elements of risk based assessment of industrial
assets according to the RIMAP approach which has been developed and demonstrated
d emonstrated in
and by the European R&D project RIMAP (GIRD-CT-2001-03008 and the corresponding
RIMAP Network: “Risk-Based
“Risk-Based Inspection and Mai
Maintenance
ntenance Procedures
Procedures for European
Industry”). One of the main goals of the project,
pr oject, as well as of this CWA, has been to
contribute to the harmonization of the EU national regulatory requirements related to the
inspection and maintenance programs in the industrial plants and make them more cost-
efficient while, at the same time, safety, health, and environmental performance is
maintained
maintaine d or improved.
The document is intended for the managers and engineers establishing the RBIM (Risk-
based Inspection and Maintenance) policies in the companies in power, process, steel and
other relevant industries. It is supposed to be used in conjunction with the relevant
internationally
internationally accepted practices, national regulations and/or company policies. The
document is supposed to provide a common reference for formulating the above policies
and developing the corresponding inspection and maintenance programs within different
industrial sectors, such as oil refineries, chemical and petrochemical plants, steel production
and power plants. Each part of this Agreement can be used as a stand-alone document.
The positive impact and transfer of industry practices resulting from the use of this
document and from the approach promoted by/in it are expected to be of benefit for the
European industry and strengthening of its competitiveness through better inspection and
maintenance
maintenan ce practices.
page 7
Acknowledgements
This document has been developed through the collaboration of following main
contributors (companies/person
(companies/persons).
s).
Chairman & main editor A. Jovanovic, Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies,
Germany
Vice Chairman & Co-editor M. Renner, Bayer Technology Services GmbH,
Germany
CEN Workshop Manager G. Le Gall, CEN - European Committee for
Standardization, Belgium
Secretariat J. Szabo, Hungarian Standards Institution, Hungary
CEN WA members / P. Auerkari, VTT Finland
F inland
contributors
(in alphabetical order)
J. M. Bareiß, EnBW Kraftwerke AG, Germany
G. M. Crespi, Alstom Power, Italy
J. Heerings, Llyod’s register, The Netherlands
page 8
1 Scope
The objective of this CEN Workshop Agreement document is to present a set of transparent
and accurate framework for applying / implementing risk-based inspection and maintenance
(RBIM) and risk-based life management (RBLM)1 in industrial organizations
The document formulates the procedure for risk based approach, thereby supporting
optimization of operations and maintenance (O&M) as well as asset management.
The purpose of RBIM is to ensure that clearly defined and accepted levels of risk related to:
• safety,
• health,
• environment and
• business/production/operation
are achieved using resource-efficien
resource-efficientt methods of inspection and maintenance. The
methodology for RBIM described here is based on that developed in the European project
RIMAP (Risk-based Inspection and Maintenance Procedures for European Industry) [11].
Within the RIMAP project, the RBIM methodology has been developed and validated for
chemical, petrochemical,
petrochemical, power and steel industries in Application Workbooks [20], [21],
but the methodology as such is intended to be industry independent. The methodology
methodology
addresses the following aspects:
1
Hence forth, the term RBIM will be used in this doument in place of similar terminologies like
RBLM, RBMI, etc.
page 9
2 Normative References
The following referenced documents are indispensable for the for the application of this
document. For dated references, only cited applies. For undated references, the latest
edition of the referenced document ( including amendments) applies
[1] “Best practice for Risk Based Inspection
Inspection as a part of Plant
Plant Integrity Management”
Management” by
J.B. Wintle, B.W. Kenzie, G.J. Amphlett and others, ISBN 0717620905, Health and
Safety Executive (HSE Books), ((CRR
CRR 363/2001); www.hsebooks.com/Books/
[2] EN 473 – “Non destructive testing - Qualification
Qualification and certification of NDT personnel -
General principles”, European Committee for Standaradization (CEN)
[3] CEN/TR 14748 Non-destructive testing – Methodology for qualification of non-
destructive tests, European Committee for Standaradization (CEN),
[4] IEC 812 – “Analysis techniques
techniques for system reliability – Procedure for failure mode and
effects analysis (FMEA)”, International Electrotechnical
Electrotechnical Commission (IEC),
[5] EN ISO 14224 –” Petroleum, petrochemical
petrochemical and natural gas industries - Collection and
exchange of reliability and maintenance data for equipment (ISO 14224:2006)”,
European Committee for Standaradization (CEN),
[6] NACE TM0248 – “Evaluation of pipeline and pressure vessel steels for resistance to
hydrogen induced cracking”, NACE Int. (USA)
[7] SAE JA 1011 – “Evaluation Criteria for Guide to the Reliability Centered Maintenance
(RCM) Processes” (1998) – SAE International G-11 Supportability Committee;
www.sae.org/technical/standards/JA1011
www.sae.org/technical/standards/JA1011 199908
[8] SAE JA 1012A – “Guide to the Reliability - Centered Maintenance
Maintenance (RCM) Sta
Standard”
ndard”
(2002), SAE International G-11 Supportability Committee;
www.sae.org/technical/standards/JA1012
www.sae.org/technical/ standards/JA1012 200201
[9] EN ISO/IEC 17020 (ISO/IEC 17020) – “General“General criteria for the operation
operation of va
various
rious
types of bodies performing inspection”, European Committee for Standaradization
(CEN)
[10] EN ISO/IEC 17025 (ISO/IEC 17025) – “General requirements
requirements for the competence
competence of
testing and calibration laboratories”, European Committee for Standaradization (CEN)
NOTE: Other cited references in the text of this document are presented as reference
documents in the Bibliography.
page 10
3.1 Defintions
Risk is the combination of the probability of an event and its consequences (ISO/IEC Guide
73:2002 definition 3.1.1 “Risk management – Vocabulary – Guidelines for use in
standards”)
3.2 Symbols
The symbols used in this CEN Workshop Agreement and corresponding designations are
explained below.
Nm flammability
flammability index
page 11
3.3 Abbreviations
Abbreviations referred in the document are given below.
Acronym Definition
HT High Temperature
NDT Non-destructive
Non-destructive testing/inspection
testing/inspection
QA Quality Assurance
RBI Risk Based Inspection: methods to plan, implement and evaluate inspections
using risk based approach
RBIM Risk Based Inspection and Maintenance: methods to plan, implement and
evaluate inspections
inspections and maintenance using a risk based approach
RCM Reliability
Reliability Centered Maintenance: methods to plan, implement
implement and evaluate
maintenance using reliability
reliability to rank the importance of targets and measures
page 12
4 RIMAP Framework
The RIMAP documentation provides also the guidance for quality assurance and follow-
up of activities, tasks and work processes within an organisation that is used for risk-
based asset management. The need for quality of all the elements in the work process
elements and the need for continuous improvement shall be emphasised. Also, it is
important to ensure that the link between the engineering planning and the actual
execution of RBIM is maintained. RBIM should not be considered as a 'quick fix'
methodology for reducing costs but as a comprehensive philosophy for managing asset
integrity. The procedure therefore needs to be endorsed and supported by management
and its use encouraged accordingly.
a) The objectives and risk criteria should be clearly defined for the assessment.
page 13
b) The assessment and the applied detailed procedure should comply with the locally
applicable legal and regulatory framework
c) The required level of input information should be available for the assessment.
e) The assessment and the applied procedure should be able to provide results,
which are
• safe
• conservative
• representable in risk matrix, auditable and consistent with both the objectives
and applied risk criteria
• supporting RBIM planning and decision making on the target system or
component.
f) RBIM should be based on a team approach
g) RBIM should reflect the prevailing conditions in the plant, i.e. RBIM needs to
reach the “evergreen” status.
page 14
4.3.3.3 Auditability of
of results
The results should be auditable to similar experts (peer view); therefore the
methodology, the input data, the decision criteria and the results may be documented
(the results may be recorded in an approved document).
4.3.3.4 Qualification
The RBIM team may include with written evidence the following areas of expertise:
inspection, maintenance,
maintenance, materials technology, process technology, operations and
facilitation. For each area of expertise a certain requirement should be defined related to
education and experience. The facilitator should have expertise on the methodology and
lead the analysis process. Some of the expertise may be combined in one person. An
expert should back up the RBIM team on process fluid characteristics and the possible
modes for loss of containment.
4.3.3.7 No averaging
The PoF rating should be such that the highest rating for one of the individual aspects of
different damage mechanisms and trigger events should control the final rating score in
order to prevent averaging of the ratings for various aspects. Alternatively, probability
tree diagrams can be used to model the causes leading to single PoF’s. In such a case,
the probability of each branch in the reliability diagram can be combined (parallel/serial –
OR/AND) in order to define
d efine the final PoF. The same applies to single PoF’s: they can be
combined in the same way to avoid averaging and producing
pr oducing consequent unrealistic
unrealistic
values of PoF.
• determine PoF with respect to the planned interval for the next inspection
• determine PoF with respect to risk acceptance criteria
page 15
The methods can be based on at least one or more of the following aspects (depending
on the type of equipment and fluid):
• released mass flow rate of fluid
• type of release (instantaneous discharge of total contained quantity or by
leakage at a specified rate)
• flammability
• toxicity
• energy release (pressure or heat)
• kinetic energy of projectiles
4.3.4.3 Requirements on CoF health
health
2. The methods can be based on at least one or more of the following aspects
(depending on the type of equipment and fluid):
• properties of the fluid that effect health
• released mass of fluid
• effect on people in the long term
2. Environmental impact shall include effects on soil, air, surface water and
ground water.
3. The methods can be based on at least one or more of the following aspects
(depending on the type of equipment and fluid:
• properties of the fluid that effect the environment
• released mass of fluid
• direct and indirect effect on flora and fauna
• remediation effort
page 16
1. Development of a scenario for each failure mode is a critical step. Even though
various techniques are available such as fault tree analysis, event tree cause-effect
methods, etc., bow-tie modelling is recommended due to the simplicity of charting
different scenarios and the ease with which the result can be understood. When the
bow tie model is constructed (the fault and event tree established) different
scenarios for the failure modes can be developed by following different paths from
root cause/damage mechanism to potential final consequence.
2. It is not allowed to combine PoF’s and CoF’s related to different scenarios (e.g.
different failure modes) even if they refer to the same equipment.
The RBIM strategy should ensure that risk mitigating actions are identified and
implemented
implemente d before the health, safety or environmental (HSE) risks associated with an
equipment failure become unacceptable. If the HSE risks are ‘tolerable’/acceptable
‘tolerable’/acceptable,,
actions to reduce economic and other business risks may still be needed.
RIMAP framework shall be seen as a part of the overall “Working process” consisting of
• Definition of objectives, goals and requirements
• Establishin
Establishing
g of inspection and maintenance program
• Plan for tasks and activities in inspection and maintenance
• Execution of the work orders
• Reporting about failures and status
4.5 Limitations
The RIMAP framework is also applicable to industries other than those directly addressed
(petrochemical, chemical,
chemical, power, and steel), however it is limited to non-nuclear
applications. The RBIM framework only applies to systems and equipment in the in-
service phase of the operation. For the design or fabrication phase, the relevant
page 17
page 18
5 RIMAP Procedure
The RIMAP procedure provides guidance for developing and maintaining a risk-based
inspection and maintenance program, preferably embedded into a higher level quality or
risk management environment. The procedure is applicable to many industries and to
different types of equipment (for example static equipment, rotating equipment, safety
systems, and electrical/instrument
electrical/instrument equipment). The steps in the procedure are the same
for all cases, even if the models and tools for assessing probability or consequence of
failure may vary from one application to another.
page 19
Continuous
improvement and INITIAL ANALYSIS AND PLANNING
management change Objectives, system, criteria
•
Acceptance
•
Hazard identification
•
Redefinition of the
scope of analysis
Feedback
DATA COLLECTION AND VALIDATION
RISK SCREENING
• Selection of systems, equipments, and components
• Determination of possible failure modes and consequences
Integrity related,
Integrity related Safety system related or Functionality related
Functionality related?
Risk
•
Yes
Inspection planning
•
Monitoring
•
Maintenance planning
•
Evaluation reporting
•
Update periodically
•
Figure 1 - Framework of
o f RIMAP procedure within the overall management system
page 20
The final
fixed objectives and targets of the implementation
in writing. implementation project to be initiated shall be
Systems are generally defined based on the functions they perform. There are many
ways to divide a system into sub-systems, i.e. to create a system-component hierarchy.
The sub-systems should be easily manageable and meaningful to allow for assessment of
specific issues related to them, e.g. according to particular damage mechanisms, a
certain fluid, a process function or the same level of inventory. The level of detail on
systems, equipment and its components, and their hierarchy may differ on the chosen
methodology (RBI/ RCM).
Every system and sub-system should be clearly defined in terms of its boundaries, for
example when considering a pump, whether only the impeller and housing or also the
drive mechanism, the power source etc. are included. Establishment of boundaries is
page 21
As a general rule, one should remember that there is also a risk in defining the system
to be assessed too widely. The complete picture of safety and integrity can be clouded
by complexity or too much information, resulting in confusion and misinterpretation. On
the other hand, too narrow a definition may lose sight of the impact a failure or process
upset in one subsystem may have on another [35].
Before collecting the data, the RBIM team should estimate the quality and quantity of the
data that are needed to fulfil the requirements stated in the objectives of the
assessment. The data should be balanced for the needs of the application (system or
component), scope of the assessment, expected level of detail (or acceptable
uncertainty) in the results, and foreseen future service.
Managing risk based inspection and maintenance requires experienced personnel at all
levels, as well as appropriate
appro priate routines for implementation (See section 4.3.2 on
2
For the establishment of boundaries in petroleum and natural gas industries, ISO 14224 [5]
recommends rules for the definition of boundaries and also gives further guidance in the form of
examples. In the case of power plants the most common criteria are plant availability and safety
[22].
page 22
personnel requirements).
Where the needed expertise is not covered by in-house resources, appropriate external
experts shall be consulted. This can apply to expertise in reliability and risk analysis, but
particular cases may also require special competencies, e.g. in deterioration mechanisms
or, statistics.
In addition, local rules and legislation, and the type of industry may set detailed
requirements to competencies involved. Due consideration should be given to the depth
of background skills and expertise collected in the team. One or more of the skills may
be possessed by one person, but it is emphasised that RBIM is a team effort.
The user shall make sure that the software to be used is able to comply with the targets
given and that the basic calculation methodologie
methodologiess (if there are any) comply with local
legal requirements.
At this stage the assessment team and the management should also have a general idea
about the level of commitment and resources required for a successful implementation
implementation of
the procedure, and about the time available to produce the results.
The responsible team should take all necessary actions to ensure the acceptance of the
procedure and its objectives by the essential stakeholders, such as the owner,
management, and the authorities/notified
authorities/notified bodies.
The metric for risk based decisions should be defined via company standards and/or
national legislation.
legislation. For the process industry in general, three different risk criteria are
used:
• Plant worker safety
• 3rd party safety (people outside the plant border)
bord er)
• Environmental damage, long and short term
The risk acceptance criteria are used to derive the required maintenance activities within
the given time frame. For degradation mechanisms developing with time, the
degradation rate and acceptance limit provides an upper bound on the time to
preventive maintenance or time to inspection. Also the effectiveness of an inspection
method for detecting degradation and coverage shall be considered.
In case of business impact, no similar absolute limits are provided by the regulatory
framework or comparable practices. Instead, the business impact associated with the
assessed risk is to be compared with the competing alternatives in monetary terms. To
achieve reduction in the allocated resources e.g. through lower cost of inspection and
maintenance,
maintenan ce, may require lower volume but improved targeting of o f inspections and
component repair/replacement, rescheduling
rescheduling of such actions when possible, or changes
in the process or operational practices. If necessary, also other quantities such as
product quality may be used as additional risk criteria.
Combined criteria
For combined criteria, the HSE criteria should be used to define the limit of
unacceptability (between intolerable and ALARP regions), when the HSE criteria arise
unacceptability
from mandatory regulatory limits. This may leave other quantities such as economic
criteria to define the limit of acceptability towards negligible risk (i.e. ‘tolerable if ALARP’
to ‘broadly acceptable’). Also other quantities such as product quality may enter into the
combined criteria, often using quality cost as common monetary basis for the
page 23
combination.
5.1.2 Requirements
The responsible team should take all necessary actions to ensure the acceptance of the
RIMAP procedure and its objectives by the owner and/or management of the plant and
by the responsible authorities.
5.1.3 Inputs
Inputs
From an applicability point of view, it may be
b e more useful to perform a relatively
thorough analysis of a smaller but well defined sub-system than a very approximate
assessment of a much wider system. However, a rough screening level analysis can also
be useful to pinpoint the sub-systems for more detailed assessment. There is also a risk
in defining the system to be assessed too widely, as the complete picture could be
clouded by complexity or a very large amount of information. On the other hand, too
narrow a definition may lose sight of the impact that a failure or process upset in one
subsystem may have on another [1]. The functional boundaries of a system may depend
on the mode of plant operation.
5.1.4 Procedure
Lacking stakeholder support or even indifference to the objectives and procedure of the
assessment can seriously limit the applicability of the effort taken. Such support should
be seen as mandatory for meaningful assessment.
For defining credible failure scenarios, the team responsible for the implementation of
the procedure should agree what within the context of their industry is considered a
failure of an item of equipment. This activity should be a company issue. Moreover, the
function of a component may depend on the mode of operation of the plant. For
example, a feed water pump system comprising three units (pumps) is fully operational
at full power (all three pumps are needed). The same system at less than full power
contains one redundant unit (two pumps are needed; the third is a standby unit available
on demand).
Therefore, whenever a plant may have more than one mode of operation, it is necessary
to define failure criteria that take into account the specifics of each operational mode.
5.1.5 Output
The expected output from the preparatory work is the following:
• selection of the applied procedure, competent assessment team and
supporting tools
• defined system of interest, system/component hierarchy and boundaries for
the assessment
• objectives, scope and methods of the effort, as well as confirmation of
stakeholder support for these
• collected regulatory requirements to set boundaries to the assessment and
decisions affected by the results
• collected risk assessment
assessment criteria from foreseen health
health,, safety,
environmental,
environmenta l, business and other impacts.
Many static components are subject to mandatory regulations, e.g. pressure equipment
and storage vessels containing fluids with potential hazard of toxic release, fire or other
environmentall impact. In such a case the competent team should include or have
environmenta
otherwise available sufficient expertise on this regulations. These regulations will often
require consideration of HSE criteria in assessment. The underlying potential hazards will
frequently set the scenarios to be dealt with in the risk assessment.
page 24
Most active components are not subject to normative regulation, which therefore will not
set the criteria of assessment. However, active components such as turbines, pumps,
motors, compressors, generators, fans, valves and gears are often subjected to
significant loading in service, and form important parts of the critical systems or
subsystems to be considered from the risk point of view.
Active components in particular may have more than one mode of operation, and then it
is necessary to define failure criteria that take each mode into account.
page 25
Information for risk-based analysis may be available or obtainable from many sources.
However, the quality of the data can be very case-dependent. Where the data are sparse
or of poor quality, the uncertainty associate
associated
d with the risk assessment will be greater.
Before collecting data, the RBIM team should estimate the data that will actually be
needed. This is partly to match the data collection with the analysis, and partly to assess
the effort needed considering the data and information that are already available and
data that require additional work. The collected data are best stored in a well structured
database, which will not only facilitate the assessment process but also updating and
auditing the processes that are an essential part of the RIMAP procedure.
5.2.2 Requirements
Data should be collected from many different areas including:
The team should have access to plant personnel who can provide an understanding of
the actual and
inspection plantmaintenance
configurationprograms,
and operating conditions, the
the identification effectiveness
of problems of thetoplant
particular the
investigated plant. Involvement of plant personnel will contribute to their acceptance of
the outcome of the risk based analysis and its success.
5.2.3 Input
Input
It is recommended that the established RBIM team follows the data collection and
validation procedure outlined below. It should be noted that before this step the team
should have initially estimated the rough quality and quantity of data that is needed for
the analysis. The collected data should be verified and stored, when used for RBIM
analysis and documentation.
1. Collect and validate documented relevant data, which typically includes at least
some elements of the following:
page 26
a) Expert opinion on his/her general experience with the component or system
In this initial stage of the interview the expert is given the opportunity to
describe his/her own experience or feelings about the target component (or
multi-componentt system) and its history.
multi-componen
d) Expert opinion on the longest possible life (for a single component), or (for
multi-element
multi-element components) on a time when it is no more worth repairing
This question is for the long-term end of the opinion-based life assessment. In
case of multi-element component, an opinion on the number of failures per
yearalso
can (or other time .period) after which the component is not worth repairing
be helpful
e) Expert opinion on the reasons for the earliest and latest possible failure times.
This question aims to encourage reasoning and forgetting possible previously
page 27
memorised numbers and it is suggested that at least two reasons are given
for both ends of the timescale.
f) Expert opinion on reasonable time intervals between shortest and longest
failure times
Agreement on the intervals is important, because too coarse a scale will not
reveal uncertainty, and too fine a scale may require excessively detailed
thinking. Often 4-5 time increments are sufficient, and for many systems the
increments are expressed in whole years. This allows for the establishment
establishment of
a time scale from earliest to latest possible perceived failure time, with time
increments in between.
5.2.4 Procedure
The collected data should be validated and stored, when used for RBIM analysis and
documentation. Validation may not always be easy for one-off analyses or
measurements, but cross-comparisons, checks for compatibility with physical and
technical limits, compliance with calibration requirements or standards/guidelines can be
often used for this purpose. Comparison to externally available information may also
help, for example data on
o n technical details and cost from the equipment suppliers.
Data and results from other procedures (e.g. RCM, Quantitative Risk Analysis, Process
Hazard Analysis (PHA), and HAZOP, previous risk based assessments if available) can be
considered to as input to the RBIM analysis.
Documented background data are often available as e.g. diagrams and drawings of the
process and systems, components, controls and instruments, safety systems, and
maintenance and operating records and procedures. Useful operational and other plant
specific data can include severity, mode and causes of failures, and operator records to
identify operating periods, transients, starts, trips and other shut-downs, and load levels
during different phases of operation.
op eration.
5.2.5 Output
The output of the data collection and validation should be an assessment of all relevant
and representative data, which are needed for the risk calculation of the components of
interest. This data should be collated in an appropriate way, e.g. by storage in a
database.
The output of data collation and validation mainly consists of raw technical data and
information related (or processed) to failure probabilities and consequences. The defined
objectives and the system to be assessed can largely dictate the depth and extent of the
output of data collection serving these higher purposes.
Support of the management and involvement of the plant personnel are important and
will contribute to their acceptance of the outcome of the risk based analysis, and may
also positively influence the quality of the data.
page 28
One problem in the data collection is the quality of generic databases – and particularly
p articularly
their failure frequencies to include information related to inspections, maintena
maintenance
nce and
operating conditions of a component. Thus, these databases should be used with care,
and qualified for use in each case. Their applicability depends greatly on several
parameters
• Type of plant/component (size and fuel type)
• Manufacturer
• Process fluid (including chemical control, corrosion, erosion)
• Operation parameters (process pressure and temperature, vibration etc.)
• Operating environment (moisture, temperature, etc.)
• Operating constraints (load following vs. steady state)
• Inspection system/program/techniques
system/program/techniques
• Geographic area (environment and external influences)
This means that in order to obtain a reasonable probability (or likelihood) one has to
modify the generic data (i.e. to calculate equivalent data) by taking into account all
conditions prevailing to the specific problem of interest (for more information, refer
[15]).
Another potential problem is that the method of development of a generic database
often screens out specific component failures. For example, the NERC-GADS [29] system
is only concerned with derating and forced plant outages; component failures not
associated with derating or forced plant outages go unreported [22].
page 29
Multilevel risk analysis defines the risk assessment in terms of (i) complexity of the
analysis (e.g. from the simplified/screening analysis to the detailed one), and in terms
of and (ii) plant hierarchy level (depth). It can be seen in Figure 2, that complexity of
analysis or in other words, the number of components for analysis decreases steadily
from screening to detailed analysis in RIMAP approach, whereas it decreases step wise
in a conventional approach It can be seen in Figure 3, that depth of analysis increases
steadily from screening to detailed analysis in RIMAP approach, whereas it increases
step wise in conventional approach
Conventional approach
RIMAP approach
s
t
n
e
n
o
p
“gain”: reduced number of
m
o components analysed
c
f
o
r
e
b
m
u
N
Conventional approach
RIMAP approach
s
i
s
y
l
a
n
a
f
o “gain”: reduced effort
h
t for analysis
p
e
D
The inputs usually required for each step of screening and detailed phases of risk
assessment are given in Table 1. It can be seen from the table that some inputs are
common for both the phases, whereas the detailed phase calls for much more
elaborate data for analysis.
page 30
Topic Activities involved in Screening Risk Common for both Screening & Activities Assessment3
Specific for Detailed Risk Assessment
Assessment Detailed Risk Assessme
Assessment
nt involved in
Detailed Risk
Assessment
page 33
RISK SCREENING
Systems and Plant information
• PoF
components in scope Degradation mechanism
of work
• CoF
• Risk
Yes Risk No
acceptable?
?
5.3.2.2 Requirements
The following requirements should be fulfilled for risk analysis:
1. The rating criteria should be defined and recorded in writing.
2. The PoF should be established for a given (predefined) time frame based on a
prediction of damage development for operation within a specified operating
window. The specified operating window should include factors, which can be
influenced by the operation of the process (e.g. temperature, pressure) as well as
factors which cannot be influenced by the operation (e.g. composition of the process
medium).
3. In order to assess the consequence, at least the aspects of health, safety and
environment should be included. In addition, the consequence rating should be such
that the highest rating for one of the individual aspects (health, safety, environment
and/or business consequences) can control the final score (so no averaging of
aspects).
4. The methodology should be verified / benchmarked.
5. This task should be performed by the RBIM team (see initial analysis and planning).
6. The results should be auditable by similar experts (peer review); therefore, the
methodology, the input data, the decision criteria
cr iteria and the results shall be
documented (the results shall be recorded in an authorized document).
page 34
5.3.2.3 Inputs
Table 1 presents the details required for performing the steps of risk assessment in
screening level.
5.3.2.4 Procedure
Screening level of analysis is often
o ften sufficient to highlight areas with highest
probability/frequency of failure in the plant (units/systems).
(units/systems). The work flow of risk
screening is given in Figure 4. The main purpose of the risk screening is to identify the
low risk items (see Figure 5) and remove them from further analysis. It is very
important that not too many components are placed in category Low risk, therefore it is
useful to compare the spectra of assessed PoF, CoF and risk categories with those
obtained in other similar assessments.
y h
c
g
n i Medium risk High risk
e H
e
q
r
f
/
y
t
i
l
i
b
a
b w
o
r o Low risk Medium risk
P L
Low High
Consequence
Figure 5 - Screening risk matrix
5.3.2.5 Output
page 35
C) Determine probabilities of failure (unmitigated and in later runs through the
cycle mitigated).
D) Determine consequence of failure (unmitigated and in later runs through the
cycle, the mitigated ones).
5.3.3.2 Requirements
Rating criteria shall be defined and recorded in writing.
The requirements for identifying and considering damage mechanisms are as follows:
• Identify all the damage mechanisms that can really appear in a given
system/component
• The analysis should be performed by qualified personnel and in collaboration
with people who know the plant well (e.g. personnel from the plant with good
goo d
knowledge of the state of the components)
• The plant breakdown, identification of damage mechanisms and the analysis
process should be duly documented
• The plant management should ensure that the knowledge about service and
maintenance,
maintenan ce, history and all known degradation mechanisms in the plant, is
considered in the analysis
• The responsible person(s) involved in the analysis should ensure that all
knowledge about the degradation mechanisms from the available literature is
considered in the analysis
• The responsible person(s) involved in the analysis should ensure that all
available knowledge about the degradation mechanisms and experience from
similar plants is considered in the analysis.
• All emerging damage mechanisms not accounted so far are considered (taken
into account) under the category “other” damage mechanisms.
The analysis of failure modes enhances the level of detail used to assess the
consequence of failure. If it is not undertaken, a conservative approach shall be
followed. A conservative approach may be e.g. the assumption that the complete content
of the containment may escape instantaneously.
The likelihood/probability shall be established for a given (predefined) time frame based
on a prediction of damage development for operation
op eration within a specified operating
window. The specified operating window should include both factors which can be
influenced by the operation of the process (e.g. temperature, pressure) as well as
factors which cannot be influenced by the operation (e.g. composition of the process
medium).
In order to assess the consequence, at least the aspects of health, safety and
environment shall be included. In addition, the consequence rating shall be such that the
highest rating for one of the individual aspects (health, safety, environment and/or
business consequences) shall control the final score (averaging of these aspects is not
page 36
done).
The task should be performed by the competent RBIM team (see Initial analysis and
planning).
The results should be auditable by similar experts (peer review); therefore, the
methodology, the input data, the decision criteria and the results shall be documented
(the results shall be recorded in an authorized document).
5.3.3.3 Inputs
Table 1 presents the details required for performing the steps of risk assessment in
detailed level.
5.3.3.4 Procedure
Detailed assessment is a relatively elaborate procedure involving multiple activities.
Numerous activities are envisaged for carrying out the individual steps of detailed risk
assessment.
The purpose of this task is to identify the relevant degradation mechanisms and failure
modes. A failure mode is any possible state where a defined function cannot meet the
desired performance standard. The listing of failure modes is made easier if the
functional breakdown is well described. All probable failure causes for the identified
failure modes should be listed for the function. That could be failures dealt with by
current maintenance program, historical failures and possible failures. The RBIM
methodology aims to foresee these and prevent them. The failure cause list should
include all events that are likely linked to the identified failure modes. This should include
equipment wear/deterioration,
wear/deterioration, human factor impact, asset design etc. The root cause
phase investigates the underlying causes connected to the failure modes. Establishin
Establishing
g
the root causes increases the possibility of finding the appropriate tasks for preventing
these failure modes. The hierarchical breakdown and the root cause phase in Root Cause
Failure Analysis (RCFA) can certainly provide insights into relevant damage mechanism.
4
Examples of established methods for CoFsafety are given as references [39], [40]
page 37
Failure cause
or Root cause
Material Disturbances,
damage related deviations, function
problems related problems
Furthermore, for each type of damage – component combination at least the following
“flags” (attributes) should/can be included
included
D – type of
o f damage – component combination that requires detailed analysis
per default
Table 2 presents various types of in-service damage and their specification. The
hierarchy of damage mechanisms in relation to the corresponding hierarchies of plant
components and problems is also shown in Figure 7, with an example case taken of a
fatigue problem.
The approach proposed in RIMAP lists the damage mechanism systematics proposed in
Table 3 with inspection methods aiming to, yielding reasonable combination of POD
(Probability of Detection), effectiveness and FCP (False Calls Probability). This is
presented in Table 3.
page 38
page 39
Figure 7 - Types of damage and their specifics in relation to hierarchical structure of the plant according to KKS
page 40
What type
type of damage How to
to look for it Measure of uncertainty/risk for selected/preferred method 5
I.B2 Hydrogen induced damage (incl. UT, MT, PT, MT, PT10 ,
blistering and HT hydrogen attack) UT na na na na
ET MT11
I.B3 Corrosion fatigue MT, PT, ET, 80÷96%12 50÷99%12,14 3±1 mm12,15
MT, PT, UT UT
VT 86÷98%13 95÷99%,14 0.8±0.4 mm,16
I.C Material I.C1 Thermal degradation (microscopy) ~100% POD for cracks > 1 mm, 90% POD
weakening and/or (spheroidization, graphitization,
gr aphitization, MeT MeT MeT crack ca. 0.05 mm; main "reliability related problems" linked
embrittlement etc. incl. incipient melting) to wrong sampling, wrong preparation and wrong
5
if not mentioned otherwise all based on re-assessment of data [37]
6
see Abbreviation
Abbreviationss in the main list of abbreviations
7
AE - acoustic emission; PT - penetrant testing; DiM - dimensional measurements; VbM - vibration monitoring; DsM – on-line displacement monitoring; StM - on-line strain monitoring; VT - visual
testing; ET – Eddy current testing; UT- ultrasonic testing; VTE - visual testing by endoscope; MeT - metallography, includi
including
ng RpT (replica technique); MST - material sample testing; na - not
8 applicable
the estimate can be affected significantly by local effects (e. g. small-scale pits can remain completely undetected)
9
ET for non-ferromagnetic materials,
materials, sample results in [37]
10
surface, also
11
subsurface
12
crack length
13
crack depth
14
for welds as low as 20%
15
usually more than 5 mm for welds or steels
16
can be more than 5 mm for welds
page 41
What type
type of damage How to
to look for it Measure of uncertainty/risk for selected/preferred method 5
17
typical range; in extreme cases 0.5÷12 mm or more; more uncertainties for welds – but cracks transverse to welds detected easier than the longitudinal ones
18
typical range; in extreme cases 1÷18 mm or more; applicable for ferromagnetic materials (steels)
page 42
The current probability of failure and the PoF development over time should be assessed
for all relevant damage mechanisms. The development
development of the PoF over time is an
important parameter to consider when the maintena
maintenance/inspection
nce/inspection strategies and
intervals are determined later in the analysis. The probability
pr obability of failure should also be
linked to the appropriate end event in the bow tie model [15] to ensure that each
consequence is assigned the correct probability
pr obability of failure. In addition the uncertainty in
the PoF assessment should be determined.
For introducing the PoF according to RIMAP procedure, three different types of source
can be used. One common reference source is taken from statistical analysis of historical
data (H/S) on failures in comparable components. A second common source is based on
forecasting or modelling (F/M) of the foreseen failure mode in the component
considered. The third source is expert judgment (E/J), whereby human expertise is
applied to extract the best estimate of PoF (see Figure
F igure 8). The individual sources for
overall PoF determination are combined as outlined in Figure 8. The elements from
different kinds of sources can be modified according to factors related to source
reliability and application.
E/J
PoF value based PoF’ Basic Expert’s correction PoF/LoF value
on Expert
PoF/LoF estimate of basic PoF value for risk analysis
Judgment
AND/OR
H/S F/M
Expert’s correction of PoF value from PoF value from Expert’s correction of