Budget Review
Budget Review
Budget Review
2023
Budget Review
The Budget Review describes three frameworks. The fiscal framework sets out government’s revenue and spending projections
– taking into account the economic outlook – and forecasts the budget balance for the next three years. If spending exceeds
revenue, government has a budget deficit, which must be financed by borrowing. When government borrows money it issues
a bond, which entitles the holder to interest payments, referred to in the Budget Review as debt-service costs. The division of
revenue shows how taxes and other resources raised by national government will be shared between national, provincial and
local government. The medium-term expenditure framework provides details of government’s three-year spending plans.
The Constitution states that all money received by national government must be paid into the National Revenue Fund. This
includes tax revenue and money government borrows when it incurs a budget deficit. Government’s finances are presented
in two ways that highlight different aspects of the budget – the main budget and the consolidated budget.
The main budget shows all expenditure financed from the National Revenue Fund. It covers most spending by national
departments and their agencies, and transfers made to provincial and local government. These transfers are either in the form
of an equitable share – which can be used as the province or municipality chooses – or a conditional grant, which can only
be used for a particular purpose set by Parliament. In general, money can only be withdrawn from the National Revenue Fund
with parliamentary approval. Parliament votes on proposed appropriations for each government department. Exceptions
to this rule are called direct charges withdrawn from the National Revenue Fund in terms of the Constitution or legislation.
Examples include the provincial equitable share allocation and interest payments on government debt.
CONSOLIDATED BUDGET
National Revenue Fund
PUBLIC ENTITIES
(e.g. DBSA,
SANRAL)
SOCIAL SECURITY
FUNDS
(e.g. UIF, RAF)
STATE-OWNED COMPANIES
(e.g. Eskom, Transnet)
The consolidated budget provides a broader view of the public finances. It includes the main budget and spending financed by
sources that are not part of the National Revenue Fund, such as taxes raised by provinces for their own use. The consolidated
budget includes the spending of social security funds, such as the Unemployment Insurance Fund, which are largely funded
through statutory levies or contributions. It also includes more than 180 public entities, such as the Development Bank of
Southern Africa. Most public entities are funded from the main budget, but some raise their own revenue through user
charges. The consolidated budget excludes state-owned companies, such as Eskom and Transnet, which are defined as
companies in which the state is the major or sole shareholder. Their revenue comes from the sale of goods and services on
the market. About one-third of local government revenue is transferred from the National Revenue Fund. The remaining two-
thirds come from property rates and utility bills, and these are also excluded from the consolidated budget.
Budget Review
2023
National Treasury
22 February 2023
ISBN: 978‐0‐621‐50833‐8
RP: RP03/2023
The Budget Review is compiled using the latest available information from departmental
and other sources. Some of this information is unaudited or subject to revision.
Communications Directorate
National Treasury
Private Bag X115
Pretoria
0001
South Africa
Tel: +27 12 315 5944
Fax: +27 12 407 9055
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
• Real GDP is projected to grow by 2.5 per cent in 2022 and growth is expected to slow over the medium term, averaging 1.4 per cent, as a result of
persistent power cuts, deteriorating rail and port infrastructure, and a weaker global outlook.
• The economic outlook faces a range of risks, including weaker-than-expected global growth, further disruptions to global supply chains and renewed
inflationary pressures from the war in Ukraine, continued power cuts and a deterioration in port and rail infrastructure, widespread criminal activity, and
any deterioration of the fiscal outlook.
• Higher economic growth and a durable recovery in the economic activity require a stable macroeconomic framework, complemented by rapid
implementation of economic reforms and improved state capability.
• Government is taking urgent measures to reduce load-shedding in the short term and transform the sector through market reforms to achieve long-term
energy security. Several reforms are under way in tandem to improve the performance of the transport sector, specifically freight rail and to improve the
capability of the state.
BUDGET FRAMEWORK
• Government will achieve a main budget primary surplus in 2022/23. Main budget non-interest expenditure will grow, on average, slightly above
consumer price index inflation in the outer two years of the medium-term expenditure framework period.
• The consolidated budget deficit will decline from 4.6 per cent of GDP in 2021/22 to 4.2 per cent of GDP in 2022/23, reaching 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2025/26.
• The Eskom debt relief, amounting to R254 billion, will require a step change in public debt which will result in government debt stabilising at 73.6 per
cent of GDP in 2025/26, later and at a higher level than in the 2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statements.
• Servicing debt requires an increasing share government’s available resources. Debt-service costs as a per cent of main budget revenue will increase from
18 per cent in 2022/23 to 19.8 per cent in 2025/26 and is expected to average R366.8 billion a year over the medium term.
SPENDING PROGRAMMES
• Total consolidated government spending will amount to R7.08 trillion over the next three years, of which 51 per cent or R3.6 trillion is allocated for the
social wage.
• The 2023 Budget allocates additional funding totalling R227 billion over the next three years. The additional funds are mainly to extend the COVID-19
social relief of distress grant until 31 March 2024, improve investment in local and provincial government infrastructure, and support safety and security,
education and health services.
• The learning and culture function is allocated R1.43 trillion over the next three years – the largest proportion (24 per cent) of total allocated spending.
• Community development is the fastest growing function, averaging 8 per cent annually over the medium term, mainly due to the allocation of additional
funds for the local government equitable share and for infrastructure.
TAX PROPOSALS
• Government proposes tax relief totalling R13 billion in 2023/24 to support the clean energy transition, increase the electricity supply and limit the impact
of consistently high fuel prices.
• R4 billion in relief is provided for individuals that install solar panels, and R5 billion to companies through an expansion of the renewable energy tax incentive.
• Inflation-related adjustments to the personal income tax tables, the retirement tax tables, and transfer duties are provided.
• Excise duties on alcohol and tobacco will increase in line with expected inflation of 4.9 per cent. The rate for sparkling wine is pegged at 3.2 times that of
natural unfortified wine.
• As in the 2022 Budget, government again proposes no changes to the general fuel levy or the Road Accident Fund levy.
• To limit the impact of the energy crisis on food prices, the diesel fuel levy refund will be extended to manufacturers of foodstuffs for a period of 2 years,
from 1 April 2023 until 31 March 2025.
MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND PROJECTIONS
RSABUDGET2023 Percentage change
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Actual Estimate Forecast
BUDGET Exports
Imports
-3.4
0.4
-11.9
-17.4
10.0
9.5
8.8
14.0
1.0
1.1
2.2
2.3
2.9
2.9
STATISTICS Real GDP growth
CPI inflation
0.3
4.1
-6.3
3.3
4.9
4.5
2.5
6.9
0.9
5.3
1.5
4.9
1.8
4.7
Current account balance (% of GDP) -2.6 2.0 3.7 -0.4 -1.8 -2.0 -2.1
A
full set of 2023 Budget data can be
found in the statistical tables at the
CONSOLIDATED FISCAL FRAMEWORK
back of the Budget Review. The data
on this page may differ from the statistical R billion/percentage 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
annexure due to classification, definition of GDP Outcome Estimate Medium-term estimates
and rounding. Revenue 1 519.6 1 409.2 1 750.6 1 892.7 1 958.9 2 077.8 2 225.3
26.7% 25.1% 27.8% 28.5% 28.0% 27.9% 28.0%
BUDGET REVENUE, 2023/24 Expenditure 1 807.1 1 964.4 2 042.9 2 168.8 2 242.6 2 359.7 2 477.4
R billion 31.7% 35.0% 32.5% 32.6% 32.0% 31.7% 31.2%
TAX REVENUE 1 787.5 Budget balance -287.5 -555.1 -292.3 -276.1 -283.7 -282.0 -252.1
of which: -5.0% -9.9% -4.6% -4.2% -4.0% -3.8% -3.2%
Personal income tax 640.3 Gross domestic product 5 699.2 5 606.7 6 287.6 6 651.3 7 005.7 7 452.4 7 938.5
Corporate income tax 336.1
Value-added tax 471.5 DIVISION OF NATIONALLY RAISED REVENUE
Taxes on international trade 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
76.6 R billion
and transactions Outcome Estimate Medium-term estimates
Non-tax revenue 51.6 DIVISION OF AVAILABLE FUNDS
National departments 749.8 790.5 823.0 854.4 828.6 835.7 877.9
Less: SACU payments -79.8
Provinces 613.4 628.8 660.8 694.6 695.1 720.5 754.7
Main budget revenue 1 759.2 Local government 123.0 137.1 135.6 147.8 164.0 174.4 183.3
Provinces, social security funds Provisional allocation not
199.7 - - - - 1.5 3.9 4.0
and public entities assigned to votes
Consolidated budget revenue 1 958.9 Non-interest allocation 1 486.2 1 556.4 1 619.4 1 696.8 1 689.1 1 734.4 1 819.9
PERCENTAGE SHARES
As percentage of GDP
National departments 50.4% 50.8% 50.8% 50.4% 49.1% 48.3% 48.3%
Tax revenue 25.5% Provinces 41.3% 40.4% 40.8% 40.9% 41.2% 41.6% 41.6%
Main budget revenue 25.1% Local government 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 8.7% 9.7% 10.1% 10.1%
CONSOLIDATED
GOVERNMENT
EXPENDITURE
R2.24 TRILLION R1.35 TRILLION
SOCIAL
SERVICES
Industrialisation and exports R40.5 bn National Student Financial Aid Scheme R50.1 bn
Public administration and fiscal affairs R48.4 bn Municipal equitable share R96.5 bn
Ismail Momoniat
Acting Director‐General
CONTENTS
-
Contingent liabilities................................................................................................................. 89
Conclusion ................................................................................................................................ 92
CHAPTER 8 FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS
Overview .................................................................................................................................. 93
State owned companies ........................................................................................................... 93
-
Development finance institutions ............................................................................................ 98
Social security funds ................................................................................................................. 100
Government Employees Pension Fund .................................................................................... 101
Conclusion………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...... 102
In brief
• South Africa is prioritising stable and clear policies that promote economic growth and
fiscal health in the midst of an uncertain outlook.
• The economy is estimated to have grown by an upwardly revised 2.5 per cent in 2022.
However, the growth rate for 2023 is revised downward to 0.9 per cent.
• The 2023 Budget proposes a major debt-relief arrangement for Eskom to address its
persistently weak financial position and enable it to conduct the necessary investment
and maintenance.
• Fiscal consolidation measures have positioned the public finances to absorb a portion
of Eskom debt, maintain support for the economy and the most vulnerable, and make
budget additions to fight crime and corruption.
• The fiscal strategy ensures that the social wage is protected and fiscal balance is
restored without resorting to unsustainable borrowing and damaging tax increases. A
primary surplus is achieved in 2022/23 and the consolidated deficit is projected to
narrow at a faster rate than previously estimated, to 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2025/26.
OVERVIEW
Government is navigating difficult domestic and global economic conditions with stable,
balanced and clear policies that support faster growth and address emerging fiscal risks.
The fiscal consolidation strategy proposed in the 2020 Medium Term Budget Policy
Statement (MTBPS) has enabled government to stabilise the public finances in the context
of several shocks and a highly uncertain economic outlook. While maintaining this prudent
stance, government will continue to protect the social wage, invest in infrastructure and
strengthen the criminal justice system, without resorting to tax rate increases that could
harm economic growth.
Prolonged and debilitating power failures, a weaker performance among the world’s
largest economies and persistently higher inflation are expected to reduce South Africa’s
GDP growth from 2.5 per cent in 2022 to 0.9 per cent in 2023. Meanwhile, the fiscal
position has improved. A primary surplus will be achieved in 2022/23 and is projected to
reach 1.7 per cent of GDP in 2025/26, while the consolidated deficit is set to narrow from
4.2 per cent of GDP to 3.2 per cent in 2025/26.
A central proposal of the 2023 Budget, which will carry through over the medium-term
expenditure framework (MTEF) period, is to provide substantial debt relief to Eskom. This
arrangement, subject to strict conditions, will relieve extreme pressure on the utility’s
balance sheet. The debt relief will support a broader industry restructuring. Establishing a
competitive electricity market will enable South Africa to ensure a stable, uninterrupted
power supply as it transitions to a clean energy future. The arrangement, which will enable
Eskom to pay down its debt and interest obligations over the next three years, will increase
government’s borrowing requirement.
1.5 1.8
0 0.9
0.3
-2
-4
CPI inflation
-6
-6.3 Real GDP growth
-8
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
The 2023 Budget reduces the consolidated budget deficit to 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2025/26
– its lowest level since 2017/18 – and maintains fiscal buffers through a contingency
reserve, an unallocated reserve and a rising primary budget surplus. In this way, policy
settings prevent the build-up of systemic risks to the financial system and broader
economy, protecting the value of savings and building confidence for investors.
As outlined in Chapter 2, the economic reform agenda is making progress. Over the last
year, additional steps have been taken to liberalise the electricity sector and encourage
private investment. Power generation regulations have been relaxed, with businesses and
municipalities given greater freedom to generate power and implement greener solutions.
Eskom debt relief will reduce financial pressure on the utility, enabling it to conduct
necessary maintenance. Government is pursuing greater competition in transport and
logistics through third-party access to the freight rail sector.
Over the next three years, additions to expenditure are designed to ease conditions for
economic activity and cushion poor households from the effects of weak economic
growth. Apart from the one-year extension of the COVID-19 social relief of distress grant,
additional allocations prioritise education, health, safety and security, and infrastructure-
related spending. The budget will boost public investment, with budgets for buildings and
fixed structures growing, on average, by 18.9 per cent annually over the MTEF period.
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
Source: National Treasury
The budget supports economic growth through higher public infrastructure investment.
Government spending on buildings and fixed structures will increase from R62 billion in
2022/23 to R104.2 billion in 2025/26. To improve municipal water infrastructure, the
Budget Facility for Infrastructure has approved projects to the value of R3.7 billion, and
these are ready for implementation once the 2023 Appropriations Bill is enacted.
Over the medium term, R711 billion will be made available for the peace and security
function, including measures to fight corruption and financial crimes, with significant
additions compared to the previous budget. The police budget is increased by R7.8 billion,
while additions of R1.3 billion and R100 million are made to the budget of the National
Prosecuting Authority and the Special Investigating Unit, respectively.
Higher-than-anticipated revenues are split between new spending and reducing debt. The
2023 Budget tax proposals do not increase the overall tax burden, but continue to focus
on broadening the base and confronting illicit activities. The South African Revenue Service
is allocated additional funding to strengthen tax administration and collection, and combat
the illicit economy.
• Low or no economic growth, leading to lower tax revenues and simultaneous requests
for fiscal support.
• Rising borrowing costs due to inflation and higher interest rates.
• Unaffordable public-service wage bill settlements.
• A replacement of the current COVID-19 social relief of distress grant with an
unaffordable alternative.
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
*Stacked bars indicate the contributions of each component to real GDP growth, while residual term has been
omitted
Source: National Treasury
Fiscal policy
The consolidated budget deficit is projected to continue declining over the MTEF period
ahead, narrowing to 3.2 per cent in 2025/26. Gross loan debt, incorporating the Eskom
debt-relief arrangement, will stabilise at 73.6 per cent of GDP in 2025/26. Debt-service
costs will rise from R307.2 billion in 2022/23 to R397.1 billion in 2025/26. The continuing
rise in the cost of servicing debt underscores the importance of ensuring that the gap
between government spending and revenues does not expand.
10
0
-10 -5.1 -4.5 -3.9 -3.6 -3.3
-6.1
-9.8
-20
-30
-40
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
Source: National Treasury
South Africa’s broad-based tax system keeps tax rates at a level consistent with promoting
economic growth. Although no new tax rate increases are proposed in the 2023 Budget,
new spending policies, such as a possible extension of or significant increase in the cost of
expanded social protection programmes, may prompt a reconsideration.
2 100
2 000 2 043.5
2023 Budget 2022 Budget
1 900
1 907.7
1 800
R billion
1 787.5 1 807.6
1 700
1 692.2 1 694.3
1 600
1 547.1 1 598.4
1 563.8
1 500
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
Source: National Treasury
Additions to baselines since the 2022 Budget amounting to R227 billion are proposed over
the medium term. These increases support infrastructure, crime fighting, health and
education. Debt-service costs account for an average of 17.1 per cent of main budget
expenditure over the medium term.
Division of revenue
Given the weight of the social wage in public expenditure, most budget resources are
distributed to provincial and local government. Over the next three years, after budgeting
for debt-service costs, the contingency and unallocated reserves and provisional
allocations, 41.5 per cent of nationally raised revenue is distributed to provinces and
10 per cent is made available to local government. There is a notable increase in local
government’s share of nationally raised revenue, notwithstanding municipalities’
considerable revenue-raising powers.
Debt-service costs will also rise, due to rising market lending rates and Eskom debt relief.
BUDGET DOCUMENTATION
The 2023 Budget Review is accompanied by several other documents and submissions to
Parliament. These include:
In brief
• South Africa is expected to register better-than-expected GDP growth of 2.5 per cent in
2022, largely due to strong agriculture and services sector growth in the third quarter.
• GDP growth is expected to decline over the medium term, averaging 1.4 per cent, as a
result of persistent power cuts, deteriorating rail and port infrastructure, and a weaker
global outlook.
• Higher economic growth and a durable recovery in economic activity require a stable
macroeconomic framework, complemented by rapid implementation of economic
reforms and improved state capability.
• Government is taking urgent measures to reduce load-shedding in the short term and
transform the sector through market reforms to achieve long-term energy security.
Other reforms are under way to improve performance in the transport sector, in
particular freight rail.
OVERVIEW
South Africa’s economy grew by an estimated 2.5 per cent in 2022 – an upward revision
from 1.9 per cent in the 2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS). However,
the medium-term growth outlook has deteriorated. Real GDP growth is now projected to
average 1.4 per cent from 2023 to 2025, compared with 1.6 per cent in the 2022 MTBPS.
Inadequate electricity supply remains the most immediate and significant constraint to
production, investment and employment. This is compounded by disruptions to and
underinvestment in freight and logistics networks, which erode competitiveness. Rising
inflation has constrained household spending and raised the cost of living.
Global growth is expected to slow in 2023. Central banks are countering the effects of high
inflation through increased interest rates and, while headline inflation seems to have
peaked in many countries, it remains high. A number of global risks remain, implying the
need for stronger domestic demand to support economic growth.
South Africa needs much higher growth to address unemployment and poverty. This
requires continued commitment to a macroeconomic framework that encourages
investment, accelerated progress on reforms under way, and improved state capability.
Government is taking urgent measures to reduce load-shedding in the short term and
transform the sector through market reforms to achieve long-term energy security. In the
short term, NECOM aims to improve the availability of electricity and facilitate investment
in generation capacity. If planned investments are implemented rapidly, 6 484 MW could
be added to the grid over the next 24 months (Figure 2.1). Specific actions include:
Figure 2.1 Additional projected capacity from renewable energy investment (2023–2025)
10 000
Embedded generation
REIPPPP (BW 5, 6, storage)
7 500 Rooftop photovoltaic
Capacity (MW)
RMIPPPP
5 000 Eskom BES programme
Eskom land lease programme
2 500
0
2023
2024
2025
*REIPPPP: Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, RMIPPPP: Risk
Mitigation Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, BES: battery energy storage
Source: Selected NECOM interventions, National Treasury calculations
Figure 2.2 Transnet freight rail volumes Figure 2.3 Average daily coal trucks: Port of
and train km Durban and Richards Bay
230 55 600
To Port of Durban
220 50 500
To Port of Richards Bay
210 45 400
Million tonnes
Million train km
Daily trucks
200 40 300
190 35
200
180 30
100
TFR volumes TFR traffic (RHS)
170 25
0
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022*
2019
2020
2021
Source: Railway Safety Regulator; Jaap van der *2022 includes data up until October
Merwe Source: South African Freight Demand Model
Several reforms are under way to support recovery in the transport sector. The Economic
Regulation of Transport Bill, which will establish the transport regulator, has been tabled
in Parliament. Transnet is taking steps to improve operations in key corridors. Software
upgrades, for example, will increase efficiency through better signalling. Additional
interventions required include steps to prevent theft and vandalism; resolving legal
challenges in relation to locomotive procurement; and granting third-party access to the
rail network, which is now in the pilot phase. The operations and infrastructure
management functions of Transnet Freight Rail are due to be separated by October 2023.
This is intended to facilitate competition and improve pricing.
GLOBAL OUTLOOK
Global growth is expected to slow in 2023 to 2.9 per cent, with significant risks to the
outlook tilted largely to the downside. Growth in some of the world’s largest economies is
set to slow in 2023, with Europe and the United States showing signs of weakening activity.
Despite declining economic growth, labour markets in advanced economies remain fairly
resilient. Manufacturing purchasing managers’ indices in major advanced economies and
some emerging market economies contracted in the second half of 2022. In particular,
China’s manufacturing activity was adversely affected by its zero-COVID policy and
troubled real estate sector. The removal of China’s zero-COVID policy in December 2022
will support a gradual rebound in economic activity this year.
Heightened geopolitical uncertainty from the war in Ukraine has resulted in persistent
price increases. Indications are that headline inflation in both advanced and emerging
market economies has peaked, although it is still elevated because food and energy prices
remain high by historical standards. The International Monetary Fund projects that global
consumer price inflation will fall from 8.8 per cent in 2022 to 6.6 per cent in 2023 before
easing to 4.3 per cent in 2024. Global inflation averaged 3.6 per cent in the decade
preceding the pandemic.
South Africa has benefited from a strong rebound in global economic activity and elevated
commodity prices. However, the external support is expected to dissipate in 2023 with the
slowdown in global demand and a broad-based easing of commodity prices (Figure 2.6).
Coal prices have eased significantly but remain well above pre-pandemic levels. Near-term
demand for coal and iron ore is expected to decline, while easing supply constraints in the
automotive industry will support medium-term demand for platinum group metals.
Meanwhile, the gold price reflects its “safe-haven” status as global uncertainties persist.
Figure 2.4 Global manufacturing PMIs* Figure 2.5 Selected inflation and
monetary policy rates
2019 2020 2021 2022 United States European Union Brazil South Africa
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 14
Global
Inflation
Advanced economies 12
Germany Monetary policy rate
10
Japan
South Korea 8
United Kingdom
Per cent
United States 6
Emerging market economies 4
Brazil
China 2
India
0
Russia
South Africa -2
2020
2021
2022
2020
2021
2022
2020
2021
2022
2020
2021
2022
Contractionary Neutral Expansionary
Figure 2.6 Selected global commodity prices Figure 2.7 Selected 10-year bond yields
5 14
South Africa's major commodity exports (excluding coal)** Advanced economies Emerging market
900
4 economies (RHS) 12
Coal price index
750
3 10
Index (2019Q4 = 100)
Per cent
Crude oil price index
Per cent
450 1 6
0 4
300
-1 2
2019
2020
2021
2022
2019
2020
2021
150 2022
2019Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2020Q4
2020Q1
2020Q2
2020Q3
2021Q4
2021Q1
2021Q2
2021Q3
2022Q4
The US dollar strengthened against major currencies for most of 2022. As the pace of
monetary policy tightening in the United States moderates, this trend is expected to
reverse, with a weaker dollar in 2023.
Higher interest rates and slowing global growth weighed on global equity markets and
bond yields for most of 2022 before a late recovery in the fourth quarter, given signals of
a slower pace of monetary policy tightening. Domestically, the South African 10-year bond
yield has declined since the 2022 MTBPS in line with global trends and an improved fiscal
position, despite persistent domestic structural constraints.
DOMESTIC OUTLOOK
The National Treasury forecasts real economic growth of 2.5 per cent in 2022 compared
with 1.9 per cent projected in the 2022 MTBPS.
Real GDP outperformed expectations in the third quarter of 2022. However, weaker global
support, frequent and prolonged power cuts, elevated inflation and higher borrowing
costs will constrain growth in 2023.
GDP growth is projected to be 0.9 per cent in 2023 and to average 1.4 per cent through
2025. Disruptive power cuts are expected to continue for most of 2023 and energy
constraints are likely to remain a drag on productive capacity for at least the next two
years. The urgent implementation of energy reforms outlined in this chapter could
materially improve growth over the medium term.
Although output has recovered, the persistent scarring impact of the pandemic on
employment and investment decisions continues to weigh on the recovery (Figure 2.8).
Figure 2.8 Post-pandemic recovery in economic activity
115
Fixed investment Employment* GDP Global demand**
110
105
Index (2019Q4 = 100)
100
95
90
85
80
75
2019
2020
2021
2022
2019
2020
2021
2022
2019
2020
2021
2022
2019
2020
2021
2022
Employment
After losing 2.3 million jobs to the pandemic, the economy has regained 1.6 million jobs.
There were 655 000 fewer people employed in the third quarter of 2022 than in the fourth
quarter of 2019. After peaking at 34.9 per cent in the third quarter of 2021, the official
unemployment rate declined marginally to 32.9 per cent in the third quarter of 2022.
Among the 7.7 million people unemployed in the third quarter of 2022, about a quarter
were individuals who lost their jobs and slightly less than half were new entrants into the
labour force who could not find work. Nearly 60 per cent of the 7.7 million individuals were
youth aged between 15 and 34.
The employment recovery remains subdued in the finance and business services,
construction, transport and communications, and trade, catering and accommodation
sectors. Although employment growth in the first three quarters of 2022 expanded by
4.6 per cent compared with the same period in 2021, the number of people employed is
on par with the levels recorded in the first half of 2016. The pace of job creation is expected
to moderate in 2023, before rising gradually over the medium term.
Inflation
Headline inflation peaked in the third quarter and averaged 6.9 per cent during 2022.
Inflation is projected is estimated to ease to 5.3 per cent in 2023. Global crude oil and
domestic food prices remain sources of inflationary pressure. Electricity prices have been
revised up by 4.6 per cent over the medium term compared to the 2022 MTBPS and are
projected to average 14 per cent from 2023 to 2025, following the regulator’s approval of
an 18.7 per cent tariff for Eskom in 2023/24. The gradual broadening of price pressures in
the economy is evident in core inflation, which is expected to average 5.2 per cent in 2023
compared with 4.3 per cent in 2022. Headline inflation is expected to ease to 4.9 per cent
in 2024 and 4.7 per cent in 2025 as core inflation moderates over the medium term.
Figure 2.9 Annual headline inflation and contributions to quarterly headline inflation
Annual headline inflation* Electricity
Food and NAB** Petrol
Core Quarterly headline inflation
8
Percentage points
6 6.9
4 4.7 4.5
4.1
3.3
2
0
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2022Q1
2022Q2
2022Q3
2022Q4
Household consumption
Household consumption is estimated to have grown by 2.8 per cent in 2022, following an
expansion of 5.6 per cent in 2021. After buoyant growth in the first half of the year,
household consumption contracted in the third quarter of 2022, reflecting the impact of
inflationary erosion of consumers’ purchasing power. Credit extended to households has
supported the recovery in consumer spending, but rising borrowing costs are likely to slow
credit extension in the near term. Individuals without access to employment and income
have received some support through the COVID‐19 social relief of distress grant, which will
continue until the end of 2023/24.
Household consumption is expected to average 1.4 per cent from 2023 to 2025. By the
end of 2025, the moderation in inflation will improve the purchasing power of households,
alongside the gradual recovery in employment.
Investment
Gross fixed-capital formation grew in the third quarter of 2022, led by the public sector.
Total investment remains R59.9 billion below pre-pandemic levels – with private
investment accounting for R50.7 billion of the shortfall.
Firms remain under strain given challenging domestic business conditions. Following an
expansion of a mere 0.2 per cent in 2021, gross fixed-capital formation is estimated to
have grown 4.2 per cent in 2022, mainly driven by private investment in machinery and
equipment. Gross fixed-capital formation is estimated to slow to 1.3 per cent in 2023 as
weaker global demand and tighter global financial conditions constrain foreign
investment. The electricity crisis will weigh on investment decisions and reduce
profitability through lost production and increased operating costs. Delays in the rollout
of infrastructure through the independent power producer programmes will support
investment later than anticipated at the time of 2022 MTBPS. However, as new energy
comes online over the medium term, the energy constraint will ease, improving overall
business sentiment and stimulating fixed investment.
Balance of payments
The current account surplus of 3.7 per cent of GDP recorded in 2021 is expected to reverse
to a small deficit of 0.4 per cent of GDP in 2022, driven by slowing net trade gains. The
trade surplus in the first three quarters of 2022 narrowed by more than half compared
with the same period in 2021, as the value of imports outpaced that of exports. In the near
term, weaker external demand, the easing of export commodity prices, and electricity and
logistical constraints will limit export volume growth. A slowdown in domestic activity will
constrain import volume growth in 2023, while demand for imports will gradually improve
over the medium term. The current account deficit is expected to average 2 per cent of
GDP from 2023 to 2025. In the near term, the financial account will be vulnerable to capital
outflows from global monetary policy tightening and market volatility.
Macroeconomic assumptions
The forecast incorporates the assumptions outlined in Table 2.3. Global demand is
expected to expand by 3.2 per cent in 2023. The export commodity price index is
anticipated to decline further in 2023. After averaging 4.1 per cent in 2022, the sovereign
risk premium is expected to ease to 3.8 per cent in 2023 and 3.6 per cent in 2024. This
decline reflects a slower-than-anticipated pace of tightening in global monetary policy,
South Africa’s fiscal consolidation and progress in alleviating domestic structural
constraints. Compared with the 2022 MTBPS forecast, food prices are revised higher in the
near term.
Economic scenarios
The National Treasury has modelled three scenarios against the baseline economic forecast.
The upside Scenario A assumes the full implementation of NECOM interventions to resolve the
electricity crisis. These result in the elimination of load-shedding by the end of 2023 and support
an additional R173 billion in medium-term investment. A stable electricity supply boosts
business operations, supports export-intensive industries, stimulates consumer spending and
raises the rate at which the economy can grow. In the upside energy scenario, growth averages
1.8 per cent from 2023 to 2025.
In the downside Scenario B, power cuts intensify in 2023 and 2024, with further delays in
procuring new generation capacity. This deterioration erodes the economy’s potential growth
rate, especially in the short run. Real GDP growth slows to 0.2 per cent in 2023, only recovering
to 1.3 per cent in 2025.
The downside Scenario C considers the impact of a sharper global slowdown in 2023 and a more
tepid recovery in 2024, assuming several global risks discussed below materialise. Tighter
financial conditions in emerging market and developing economies and heightened global risk
aversion reduce demand for South African financial assets, while inflation remains elevated.
Weaker global demand among South Africa’s main trading partners lowers exports. GDP growth
is estimated to slow to 0.6 per cent in 2023 before reaching 1.7 per cent by 2025. Growth is
projected to average 1.1 per cent from 2023 to 2025.
0
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Source: National Treasury
Mining
Despite elevated commodity prices, mining sector gross value added contracted by
6.9 per cent in the first three quarters of 2022 compared with the same period in 2021.
While sales values benefited from the favourable prices, production volumes of gold,
platinum group metals and iron ore declined. Output was affected by operational
challenges – including safety stoppages and logistics disruptions – along with power cuts,
persistent freight rail constraints, and labour action. Growth will remain under pressure as
a result of high input costs, persistent structural challenges and increased crime.
Manufacturing
Gross value added in the manufacturing sector was 0.2 per cent higher in the nine months
to September 2022 compared with the same period in 2021. Manufacturing continues to
operate below pre-pandemic levels. Weak global demand and supply chain constraints
remain a challenge. Logistics disruptions, coupled with high cost pressures and intense
load-shedding, are expected to weigh on the sector, particularly in the iron and steel, non-
ferrous metals, chemicals, electrical equipment, wood and paper subsectors.
Construction
Gross value added fell by 4.7 per cent in the first three quarters of 2022 compared with
the same period in 2021. Despite signs of recovery in the third quarter, the real value of
the sector is still similar to that of 2007 and well below pre-pandemic levels. Weak
investment, low confidence, unsustainable undercutting on tender prices and an increase
in organised crime underpin the prolonged poor performance. The outlook for 2023 looks
slightly more optimistic as public and private investment in capital infrastructure begins to
materialise.
Utilities
Gross value added was 2.3 per cent lower in the first nine months of 2022 compared with
the same period in 2021, reflecting continued deterioration in energy availability as power
cuts reached record levels. Other constraining factors include rising tariffs, which are
necessary for Eskom’s financial sustainability but risk lowering demand, illegal
connections, non-payment for services and ageing infrastructure.
CONCLUSION
Economic growth is expected to slow in 2023. Higher and sustained growth depends on
rapid progress in implementing reforms and a capable state to provide public goods and
services. In the near term, government is focused on addressing growth-limiting electricity
and transport challenges.
In brief
• Government remains focused on stabilising public debt and ensuring sustainable
public finances.
• Government debt is projected to stabilise at 73.6 per cent of GDP in 2025/26. Debt-
service costs as a share of revenue are expected to peak in the same year.
• The economic outlook has weakened compared with projections in the
2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS). Revenue performance and
projections, however, exceed 2022 Budget estimates. These funds will be used to
strengthen the social wage and infrastructure investment, narrow the budget deficit,
and address fiscal and economic risks.
• Government will achieve a main budget primary surplus in 2022/23. Main budget
non-interest expenditure will grow slightly above consumer price index (CPI) inflation
in the outer two years of the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) period.
The consolidated budget deficit is expected to narrow from 4 per cent of GDP in
2023/24 to 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2025/26.
• Eskom debt relief amounting to R254 billion will enable the entity to focus on
necessary investment and maintenance as part of broader energy sector reforms,
but this requires a step change in public debt.
OVERVIEW
In the context of a weak domestic growth outlook, high inflation and an uneven global
economic recovery, fiscal policy remains focused on stabilising public debt and ensuring
sustainable public finances.
South Africa’s public debt remains high. Debt-service costs will mount over the medium
term, peaking as a proportion of revenue in 2025/26. In this context, a prudent fiscal policy
stance works to reduce the proportion of public resources absorbed by debt-service costs
and reallocate these resources to more productive activities over time. This is intended to
promote economic growth, reduce risks of fiscal distress and ensure the sustainable
provision of essential services in line with policy priorities.
Spending allocations will be targeted towards specific policy priorities rather than broad
baseline adjustments. The 2023 Budget proposals direct resources to infrastructure and
supporting the social wage – combined public spending on health, education, housing,
social protection, transport, employment and local amenities. Government is also
reducing fiscal and economic risks through targeted conditional in-year support to key
public entities and by providing debt relief to Eskom to promote security of energy supply.
The consolidated budget deficit is projected to narrow from 4 per cent of GDP in 2023/24
to 3.2 per cent of GDP in 2025/26.
The Eskom debt-relief arrangement implies a step change in the stock of government debt.
Gross government debt is now projected to stabilise three years later and at a higher level
(73.6 per cent of GDP) than projected in the 2022 MTBPS. The revised projection is also
the result of marginally lower nominal GDP, higher interest costs and a weaker exchange
rate.
Nevertheless, South Africa’s fiscal position has improved since 2021/22, largely due to
consolidation measures, economic recovery and accelerated GDP inflation. A main budget
primary surplus – meaning revenue exceeds non-interest expenditure – is expected from
the current year onwards. Revenue projections in the current year and total projections
over the medium term have been revised up since the 2022 MTBPS. Alongside projected
underspending, this improves the primary balance in 2022/23. Over the medium term,
higher main budget primary surpluses, relative to the 2022 MTBPS estimates, reflect
higher projected revenue and reduced non-interest spending.
Figure 3.1 Nominal GDP growth and CPI Figure 3.2 Real growth in non-interest
inflation estimates expenditure
2022 MTBPS nominal GDP 2022 MTBPS CPI inflation 12
2023 Budget nominal GDP 2023 Budget CPI inflation Including payments for financial assets
8 10
Excluding payments for financial assets
8
7.1
7 6
6.8 6.6 6.5
4
6.2
6.4
Per cent
6.4
Per cent
6 2
5.8 5.3 0
5 4.9 -2
4.8 4.7
4.7 -4
4.6 4.6
4 -6
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
Figure 3.3 Main budget primary balance Figure 3.4 Gross debt-to-GDP outlook
2 75
2022 MTBPS 2023 Budget 72.2 72.8 73.6 72.8
1.7 71.4 71.7
1 1.5 70.2 70.2
1.2
1.0 70
0.1 0.7 0.9 71.1 70.8 70.4 70.0 68.3
0 69.2 68.3 65.9
-0.9 -0.2 68.0 66.9
-0.9 65
-1
Per cent of GDP
65.1
63.0
-2 -2.5 60
57.2
-3
55
-4 51.5
50
-5
-5.7 48.5 2022 MTBPS 2023 Budget
-6 45
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2026/27
2027/28
2028/29
2029/30
2030/31
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
The medium-term fiscal strategy prioritises reducing the budget deficit and stabilising debt
as a share of GDP, supporting economic growth, and reducing fiscal and economic risks.
Risks to the fiscal framework include weaker-than-expected global and domestic economic
growth, the introduction of unfunded spending programmes, and higher borrowing costs
and public-service wage costs.
faster than GDP and consolidated revenue, mainly driven by the public-service wage bill,
rising debt-service costs and transfers to households (Figure 3.5). Spending growth was
not matched by efficiency gains. The composition of spending also deteriorated, with
infrastructure investment declining as a proportion of total expenditure (Figure 3.6). This
in turn meant that spending was increasingly oriented to current consumption rather than
investment that would support long-term economic growth.
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8
Per cent
*Includes payments for capital assets and capital transfers
Source: National Treasury
Rising expenditure unmatched by revenue growth has led to primary deficits. Fiscal
consolidation efforts succeeded in narrowing the primary deficit to 0.9 per cent of GDP in
2018/19 (Figure 3.7), but this trend reversed during the pandemic. As a percentage of GDP,
gross loan debt increased by 44 percentage points between 2009/10 and 2021/22
(Figure 3.8). In other words, government debt increased much faster than the growth of
the economy and newly issued debt has become more expensive to service. Interest
payments on debt now consume 18 cents of every rand of revenue that government
collects.
Figure 3.7 Main budget deficit Figure 3.8 Change in gross loan debt-to-GDP
ratio
10 14 80
Change in gross loan debt
12 13.0
Interest payments Primary deficit 5.7 70
8 Gross loan debt (RHS)
10 60
8
50
Per cent of GDP
Per cent of GDP
6
6
2.5 5.7 40
3.7 0.9 4 4.7
4 2.1
2.1 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 3.4 3.3 3.0
30
0.9 2 2.6 2.6 2.7
2.1 2.3
1.3 20
2 4.1 4.3 0
3.4 3.6
2.7 2.9 3.0 3.2 -2.2
2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 -2 10
0 -4 0
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
Over the past several years, government’s efforts to narrow the deficit and stabilise debt
have been interrupted by several shocks that required urgent fiscal intervention, including
the COVID-19 pandemic and state-owned company failures. These pressures were
managed by reallocating funding within the budget and establishing firm spending ceilings.
Nevertheless, fiscal policy has made some headway in consolidating the public finances.
Attaining a primary budget surplus in the current financial year marks a significant
achievement. Over time, stabilising debt and reducing debt-service costs will enable
government to shift expenditure to policy priorities. It will also reduce the economy-wide
cost of borrowing, supporting investment and growth more broadly. However, the size of
the debt and elevated borrowing costs in a low-growth, high-inflation environment
requires a rising primary surplus over the medium term.
• Achieve fiscal sustainability by narrowing the budget deficit and stabilising debt.
• Reduce fiscal and economic risks, including through building fiscal buffers for future
shocks, providing targeted conditional in-year support to key public entities and
providing debt relief to Eskom with strict conditions.
The fiscal strategy also avoids tax rate increases that would overburden households and
firms during a slow and uneven economic recovery and makes targeted injections to
spending. In this regard, vulnerable households continue to receive support —
60.2 per cent of consolidated non-interest spending goes to the social wage over the
2023 MTEF period. Key baselines for the delivery of services are gradually being restored,
without making unaffordable permanent commitments.
Main budget non-interest expenditure will grow on average by 0.3 per cent in real terms
in the outer two years of the MTEF period. The future of the COVID-19 social relief of
distress grant, which is currently funded until 31 March 2024, remains under discussion.
Government will make a decision in line with its commitment to sustainable public
finances. Any permanent increase in expenditure, such as a new social grant, will need to
be matched by permanent revenue increases or spending reductions elsewhere.
Over the MTEF period, government will increase infrastructure budgets and improve the
composition of spending. Several reforms are under way to strengthen public investment
management, including improving operations of the Infrastructure Fund, enhancing
infrastructure monitoring and reporting, improving the public-private partnership
regulatory framework, and building a strong project pipeline. Additional information
appears in Annexure D.
Funding is provided for the carry-through costs of the 2022/23 wage increase. In addition,
the Budget provides for pay progression and other benefits. Future wage negotiations will
aim to strike a balance between remuneration increases and the need for additional staff
in services such as education, health and police. The Department of Public Service and
Administration, working with the National Treasury and other national departments, is
conducting a review across government to propose a single remuneration framework
aligned with the principles of fair, equitable and sustainable remuneration in the public
sector, excluding state-owned companies.
15.2
14.3
12 12.9
13.6
11.9 12.0
11.0 11.4
9.7 9.8 10.3
8 8.8
0
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
The rising primary budget surplus and the contingency reserve serve as fiscal buffers over
the medium term, as does the unallocated reserve in the outer two years of the MTEF
period (see Table 3.8).
Since the 2022 MTBPS, medium-term non-tax revenue estimates have been revised up by
R4.5 billion, driven by higher departmental receipts partially offset by lower mineral and
petroleum royalties. Projections of National Revenue Fund receipts have been revised up
by R3.1 billion over the MTEF period due to higher expected revaluation profits on foreign-
currency transactions.
Payments to the Southern African Customs Union have been revised up by R1.6 billion per
year in 2024/25 and 2025/26 compared with the 2022 MTBPS estimates, mainly due to
better performance in customs duties. Compared with 2022 Budget estimates, main
budget revenue is projected to improve by R192.9 billion between 2023/24 and 2024/25.
This significant increase in revenue collections and projections mainly reflects resilient
personal incomes and corporate profitability, as well as revisions to major tax bases.
The fiscal position is affected by various pressures over the MTEF period. Government debt
will continue to increase, largely due to the Eskom debt-relief arrangement. Against this
backdrop, it is prudent to allow a portion of higher-than-expected revenue to be used to
reduce the fiscal deficit rather than for new spending. Compared with the 2022 Budget,
over the next two years 57 per cent of higher-than-expected revenue will be used to
reduce the fiscal deficit. As the deficit is reduced, the borrowing requirement of
government will be under less pressure due to the higher debt redemptions and Eskom
debt relief. This will help to prevent a dramatic increase in debt and debt-service costs or
the need for harmful spending cuts, should the revenue projections not materialise.
Expenditure
The projected additional revenue enables government to respond to some immediate
spending pressures while continuing to stabilise the public finances. Table 3.3 presents
changes to in-year main budget non-interest expenditure since the 2022 Budget. In-year
non-interest expenditure increases by a net R23.4 billion as upward adjustments are
partially offset by declared unspent funds, projected underspending, shifting of funds
between votes and drawdowns of contingency reserve and provisional allocations not
assigned to votes. Details appear in the Estimates of National Expenditure.
Conditional in-year allocations to Denel, the South African National Roads Agency Limited
and Transnet will reduce contingent liabilities and enable these entities to continue
supporting economic growth. Further proposed in-year allocations of R1 billion to South
African Airways to assist the business rescue process and R2.4 billion to the South African
Post Office to implement its turnaround plan will reduce contingent liabilities. The Land
Bank remains in financial distress and the process to finalise a solution is ongoing. The
R5 billion that was retained in the 2022/23 contingency reserve in the 2022 MTBPS will be
allocated to the Land Bank with conditions attached to its use.
Table 3.4 outlines proposed revisions to main budget non-interest spending over the MTEF
period compared with the 2022 Budget. Additional funding amounting to R227 billion will
be provided to address a range of spending pressures. These spending additions are
partially funded by existing budget resources of R98.6 billion – mainly the reduction in
provisional allocations and drawdown of the 2023/24 unallocated reserve. The remaining
R128.4 billion is funded by the projected revenue improvement since the 2022 Budget.
Table 3.4 Changes to main budget non-interest expenditure over MTEF period
R million 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 MTEF
total
Non-interest expenditure (2022 Budget) 1 657 028 1 733 044 1 820 169 5 210 242
Spending pressures funded in the 2023 Budget 91 022 61 337 74 660 227 019
Carry-through of 2022/23 public-service 14 973 15 198 15 426 45 597
wage increase
Infrastructure-related spending 11 046 13 830 17 880 42 757
Service delivery1 16 095 17 568 20 238 53 902
Security cluster 4 396 4 503 5 474 14 373
COVID-19 social relief of distress grant 36 081 – – 36 081
Social grants increase with CPI inflation 5 890 9 114 14 572 29 575
Other allocations2 2 539 1 124 1 069 4 732
Changes in provisional allocations not assigned -29 678 -25 686 -32 046 -87 410
3
to votes
Change in reserves and other adjustments
4 -24 252 6 410 6 648 -11 194
Revised non-interest expenditure (2023 Budget) 1 694 120 1 775 105 1 869 432 5 338 656
Change in non-interest expenditure from 2022 Budget 37 092 42 060 49 263 128 415
1. Health, education and local government free basic services
2. Details are in Table 5.2
3. Includes Infrastructure Fund and SARS provisional allocations, rescheduling of infrastructure projects and other
adjustments and removal of Eskom funding provision from expenditure to financing
4. Includes changes in contingency and unallocated reserves, skills development levy and NRF payments adjustments
Source: National Treasury
Over the medium term, the composition of consolidated spending improves, continuing
the shift towards capital rather than current spending.
Social security funds ran cash deficits of R46.7 billion in 2020/21 due to the higher
spending by the Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF) in response to COVID-19. Social
security funds are projected to run cash deficits until 2024/25 mainly driven by the UIF and
Road Accident Fund. The social security funds are expected to return to a surplus position
by 2025/26.
Over the medium term, however, the borrowing requirement is revised higher due to
borrowing for the Eskom debt-relief arrangement. The borrowing requirement projections
for 2023/24 and 2024/25 are now estimated to average R380.6 billion, relative to an
average of R356.5 billion in the 2022 Budget.
• Worsening global financial conditions, increased volatility in capital flows and further
exchange rate depreciation, which would affect government’s ability to borrow
additional funds and narrow the budget deficit.
CONCLUSION
Government’s fiscal consolidation measures have registered some progress in narrowing
the budget deficit. Debt relief for Eskom will increase the debt-to-GDP ratio, but the effect
on the fiscal outlook is cushioned by the use of existing allocations to offset the borrowing
requirement. Maintaining a prudent fiscal stance and achieving debt stabilisation will, over
time, allow government to shift resources from servicing debt to meeting national
development objectives.
In brief
• A strong revenue performance in 2022/23 was driven by elevated commodity prices,
and a continued recovery from the pandemic among manufacturing and financial firms.
• Over the next three years, revenue is expected to grow by R351 billion, reaching
R2.04 trillion in 2025/26.
• The tax-to-GDP ratio increases from 25.4 per cent to 25.7 per cent over this period.
• The 2023 Budget provides tax relief amounting to R13 billion in 2023/24. Of this
amount, R9 billion is provided to encourage households and businesses to invest in
renewable energy, supporting the clean energy transition and addressing the electricity
crisis.
OVERVIEW
Over the past year, revenue collection has remained strong despite an uneven economic
recovery. Tax revenue for 2022/23 is expected to reach R1.69 trillion, an upward revision
of R10.3 billion from the 2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) estimate.
The tax-to-GDP ratio continues to recover from COVID-19-induced lows and is projected
to reach 25.4 per cent in 2022/23.
Income and profits have proven more resilient than anticipated a year ago. Corporate
income tax collections from mining remain large in historical terms due to elevated –
although declining – commodity prices. Higher profitability in the services sector has
supported corporate and dividends tax collections. Personal income tax collection has
been buoyed by a recovery in earnings and improving employment levels. Growth in
import prices supported noteworthy collections in import value-added tax (VAT) and
customs duties. VAT refund payments exceeded 2022 Budget expectations due to
increased zero-rated exports from manufacturers. Enhanced tax administration has also
contributed to additional revenue collection during the recovery period.
25
Per cent of GDP
24
2022 Budget
2022 MTBPS
23 2023 Budget
Actual
22
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
The medium-term revenue outlook has improved slightly due to higher tax receipts in
2022/23. However, the scope of power cuts and weak global growth pose significant risks
to the outlook.
Taxes on income and profits 910 107 912 870 2 764 894 300 989 877 95 577 8.4%
Personal income tax 553 529 553 951 422 587 907 601 649 13 742 8.6%
Corporate income tax 318 380 320 447 2 067 269 931 344 944 75 013 7.6%
Dividends tax 32 182 33 429 1 247 30 450 38 515 8 065 15.2%
Other taxes on income and 6 015 5 042 -972 6 011 4 768 -1 243 -5.4%
profits4
Skills development levy 18 933 19 336 403 20 619 21 238 619 9.8%
Taxes on property 19 693 22 033 2 339 20 291 22 656 2 364 2.8%
Domestic taxes on goods 541 296 549 806 8 510 600 732 581 871 -18 861 5.8%
and services
Value-added tax 383 724 390 895 7 171 439 681 426 283 -13 398 9.1%
Specific excise duties 48 212 49 705 1 493 51 864 55 228 3 364 11.1%
Health promotion levy 2 211 2 182 -28 2 355 2 320 -35 6.3%
Ad valorem excise duties 4 276 4 725 449 4 406 4 461 55 -5.6%
Fuel levy 89 884 88 889 -995 89 113 79 131 -9 982 -11.0%
Other domestic taxes 12 990 13 410 420 13 313 14 448 1 135 7.7%
on goods and services5
Taxes on international 57 042 59 719 2 678 62 505 76 535 14 030 28.2%
trade and transactions
Customs duties 55 821 57 994 2 173 61 095 74 176 13 081 27.9%
Health promotion levy 78 78 -1 86 114 28 46.4%
on imports
Diamond export levy 92 170 78 89 151 62 -11.1%
Export tax 302 407 105 473 819 347 101.0%
Miscellaneous customs 748 1 071 322 763 1 276 513 19.2%
and excise receipts
Gross tax revenue 1 547 071 1 563 754 16 684 1 598 447 1 692 177 93 729 8.2%
Non-tax revenue6 47 964 46 602 -1 362 33 280 55 078 21 798 18.2%
of which:
Mineral and petroleum 27 979 28 456 478 18 554 25 483 6 928 -10.5%
royalties
Less: SACU7 payments -45 966 -45 966 – -43 683 -43 683 – -5.0%
Main budget revenue 1 549 068 1 564 390 15 322 1 588 044 1 703 571 115 527 8.9%
Provinces, social security 172 235 186 215 13 980 182 601 189 176 6 575 1.6%
funds and selected
public entities
Consolidated budget revenue 1 721 303 1 750 605 29 302 1 770 645 1 892 747 122 102 8.1%
1. A more disaggregated view is presented in Tables 2 and 3 of the statistical annexure
2. 2022 Budget Review estimates
3. Percentage change between outcome in 2021/22 and revised estimate in 2022/23
4. Includes interest on overdue income tax and interest withholding tax
5. Includes turnover tax for micro businesses, air departure tax, plastic bag levy, electricity levy, CO₂ tax on motor
vehicle emissions, incandescent light bulb levy, Universal Service Fund, tyre levy, carbon tax and International Oil
Pollution Compensation Fund
6. Includes mineral and petroleum royalties, mining leases, departmental revenue and sales of capital assets
7. Southern African Customs Union. Amounts made up of payments and other adjustments
Source: National Treasury
Elevated commodity prices have boosted mining tax revenue. Tax revenue collections for
2022/23 are expected to exceed the 2022 Budget estimate by R93.7 billion and the
2022 MTBPS estimate by R10.3 billion.
Previous forecasts assumed that corporate income tax collections from mining would
decline rapidly in line with commodity price expectations. Although the extended period
of elevated prices has led to revenue surpluses over the last two years, these are expected
to be temporary and the current tax revenue outlook assumes that these prices will
gradually decline. A continuation of high prices would likely result in future revenue
overruns.
The mining sector accounts for nearly 30 per cent of provisional corporate tax collections
in 2022/23 – significantly higher than its average share before 2020/21. Relative to
2021/22, the contribution declined mainly because of a sustained fall in production and
declining terms of trade. Collections from the finance and manufacturing sectors remained
strong, in part because economic growth exceeded expectations, supporting the better-
than-expected corporate tax performance.
Figure 4.2 Provisional corporate income tax collections by sector, 1 April–31 January
100
Financial intermediation, insurance, real estate and business services
Manufacturing
80
Mining and quarrying
60
R billion
40
20
0
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
Net VAT collections for 2022/23 have been revised down compared with 2022 Budget
expectations. Larger-than-expected VAT refund payments associated with zero-rated
manufactured exports offset robust growth in import VAT. Domestic VAT is projected to
outpace previous estimates but persistent inflationary pressures and rising borrowing
costs may erode consumer spending power, curtailing domestic demand. Stronger growth
in specific excise duties has been limited as collections in cigarettes and cigarette tobacco
remain below pre-pandemic levels. Fuel levy collections are also projected to fall short of
2022 Budget expectations due to fuel levy relief of about R10.5 billion provided during the
first half of 2022/23.
Over the past three years, during the pandemic and its immediate aftermath, government
applied conservative assumptions in revenue forecasting. Over this period, several risks
have materialised, including accelerated power cuts, weaker global economic conditions
and lower domestic growth expectations. However, these were more than offset by
sustained collection from all major tax bases, buoyed predominantly by the favourable
commodity cycle, the broad return to work and a resumption of international trade in key
supply chains. A portion of the revenue improvement is also due to improved tax
compliance and tax administration. Although international trade and employment gains
are likely to be sustained, they will be partially offset by an expected decline in commodity
prices and moderating compliance improvements.
1
Table 4.2 Budget revenue
R million 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
Outcome Revised Medium-term estimates
Taxes on income and 772 685 718 180 912 870 989 877 1 021 213 1 089 123 1 172 033
profits2
of which:
Personal income tax 527 633 487 011 553 951 601 649 640 300 696 624 752 627
Corporate income tax 211 522 202 123 320 447 344 944 336 119 345 434 369 477
Skills development levy 18 486 12 250 19 336 21 238 23 027 24 816 26 846
Taxes on property 15 980 15 947 22 033 22 656 23 863 25 384 27 040
Domestic taxes on goods 492 283 455 867 549 806 581 871 642 765 687 208 731 032
and services
of which:
VAT 346 761 331 197 390 895 426 283 471 477 505 409 537 868
Taxes on international 56 322 47 455 59 719 76 535 76 588 81 195 86 506
trade and transactions
Gross tax revenue 1 355 766 1 249 711 1 563 754 1 692 177 1 787 456 1 907 727 2 043 456
Non-tax revenue3 40 384 52 053 46 602 55 078 51 583 46 859 44 310
of which:
Mineral and petroleum 11 830 14 228 28 456 25 483 22 469 22 701 24 072
royalties
Less: SACU4 payments -50 280 -63 395 -45 966 -43 683 -79 811 -86 505 -80 059
Main budget revenue 1 345 870 1 238 369 1 564 390 1 703 571 1 759 229 1 868 080 2 007 707
Provinces, social security 173 756 170 866 186 215 189 176 199 678 209 707 217 619
funds and selected public
entities
Consolidated budget 1 519 626 1 409 235 1 750 605 1 892 747 1 958 907 2 077 788 2 225 326
revenue
As percentage of GDP
Tax revenue
23.8% 22.3% 24.9% 25.4% 25.5% 25.6% 25.7%
Main budget revenue 23.6% 22.1% 24.9% 25.6% 25.1% 25.1% 25.3%
GDP (R billion) 5 699.2 5 606.7 6 287.6 6 651.3 7 005.7 7 452.4 7 938.5
Tax buoyancy 1.00 4.82 2.07 1.42 1.06 1.06 1.09
1. A more disaggregated view is presented in Tables 2 and 3 of the statistical annexure
2. Includes secondary tax on companies/dividends tax, interest withholding tax and interest on overdue income tax
3. Includes mineral and petroleum royalties, mining leases, departmental revenue and sales of capital assets
4. Southern African Customs Union. Amounts made up of payments and other adjustments
Source: National Treasury and SARS
• After revenue overruns of R198.6 billion and R93.7 billion in the past two budgets,
the buoyancy of tax revenue for a given level of economic growth is expected to be
slightly higher over the medium term.
• The projected revenue surplus for 2022/23, from strong collections in personal
income taxes in particular, translates into marginally better revenue estimates for the
outer years.
• The nominal GDP forecast results in moderate reductions to key variables used in the
forecast, such as the wage bill, compared with the 2022 MTBPS projections.
Notwithstanding a weaker medium-term growth outlook and further tax relief proposed
in this budget, the tax-to-GDP ratio is expected to reach 25.7 per cent by 2025/26. Higher
revenue collection requires sustained investment and economic growth. Gross tax
revenue collections are expected to increase by 5.6 per cent, 6.7 per cent and 7.1 per cent
over the next three years as economic growth gradually improves. This translates into
gross tax revenue increasing from an anticipated R1.69 trillion in 2022/23 to R2.04 trillion
in 2025/26.
TAX POLICY
Since 1994, South Africa has constructed a broad-based tax system where rates were low
to promote economic growth. The objective was to avoid short-term revenue increases
from households and businesses, and instead focus on sustainable revenue mobilisation
over the long term to boost national development.
Between 2015 and 2020, substantial revenue shortfalls and lower economic growth, which
had not fully recovered since the global financial crisis, necessitated increases in tax rates
to create a sustainable fiscal position. However, growth and revenue collections continued
to disappoint. Since the 2020 Budget, government has avoided further increases in tax
rates.
Tax increases are often put forward as the natural response to cover expected revenue
shortfalls, but in a highly unpredictable or low-growth economic environment, such
increases carry significant risks. Research in South Africa – including two United Nations
University World Institute for Development Economics Research papers – has indicated
that tax increases can impede economic activity and the negative impact is more
pronounced when growth is weak. For this reason, government intends to avoid tax
increases while the economy is recovering from recent shocks.
Over the past three years, government has focused on measures to protect the tax base
and reforms aimed at improving equity, efficiency, certainty and simplicity. The review of
tax incentives, following the advice of the Davis Tax Committee, has led to a number of
incentives being discontinued because there was little evidence of any additional benefit.
But each incentive needs to be assessed on its own merits, and the refinement and
expansion of some incentives in the 2023 Budget demonstrates that the tax system can
help to address particular market failures, such as a lack of research and development or
inadequate electricity generation capacity.
An efficient, effective tax administration that builds trust to increase voluntary compliance
is a cornerstone of South Africa’s progressive tax system.
SARS renewal
The South African Revenue Service (SARS) celebrated its 25th anniversary in October 2022.
SARS continues to enhance its service offering as it rebuilds from the period of state
capture. Over the past three years it has strengthened revenue collection and worked to
ensure that its systems, officials and leadership are capacitated to improve the taxpayer’s
experience, increase compliance and generate additional tax revenue. In November 2022,
SARS finalised the reparation process for current and former employees as recommended
by the Nugent Commission of Inquiry. It continues to build a tax administration that
collects tax receipts in an efficient and fair manner.
TAX PROPOSALS
The 2023 Budget provides tax relief totalling R13 billion to support the clean energy
transition, increase electricity supply and limit the impact of consistently high fuel prices.
In addition, the budget provides inflation-related adjustments to the personal income tax
tables, the retirement tax tables, transfer duties and excise duties for alcohol and tobacco.
As shown in Table 4.3, R4 billion in relief is provided for households that install solar
panels, R5 billion is provided to companies through an expansion of the renewable energy
incentive and there is no increase in the fuel levies, resulting in R4 billion in tax foregone.
Under the expanded incentive, businesses will be able to claim a 125 per cent deduction
in the first year for all renewable energy projects with no thresholds on generation
capacity. The adjusted incentive will only be available for investments brought into use for
the first time between 1 March 2023 and 28 February 2025. For a business with positive
taxable income, the deduction will reduce its tax liability. For example, a renewable energy
investment of R1 million would qualify for a deduction of R1.25 million. Using the current
corporate tax rate, this deduction could reduce the corporate income tax liability of a
company by R337 500 in the first year of operation.
The rebate is only available for solar PV panels, and not inverters or batteries, to focus on
the promotion of additional generation. It can be used to offset the individual’s personal
income tax liability for the 2023/24 tax year up to a maximum of R15 000 per individual.
For example, an individual who purchases 10 solar panels at a cost of R40 000 can reduce
their personal income tax liability for the 2023/24 tax year by R10 000.
Fuel levies
South Africa’s fuel prices are driven by international crude oil prices, supply-demand
balances and the rand-dollar exchange rate. Largely as a result of steep increases in world
market prices, South Africa has experienced relatively high fuel prices in the past year, with
inland unleaded petrol remaining above R20 per litre for most of 2022.
24
21
Rand per litre
21.68
18 17.08
15
12 12.22
10.31
9
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
To reduce pressure on households and businesses, no changes were made to the general
fuel levy or the Road Accident Fund (RAF) levy in the 2022 Budget. Additional temporary
relief was provided for four months at a cost of R10.5 billion. In 2023/24, government will
again keep these levies unchanged, leading to revenue foregone of R4 billion.
As a result, the annual tax-free threshold for a person under the age of 65 will increase to
R95 750. If the brackets were not adjusted, revenue would have increased by about
R15.7 billion. Relief mainly benefits middle-income households. Medical tax credits will
increase from R347 to R364 per month for the first two members, and from R234 to
R246 per month for additional members.
Table 4.8 Personal income tax rates: Retirement fund lump sum benefits
2022/23 2023/24
Taxable income (R) Rates of tax Taxable income (R) Rates of tax
R0 - R500 000 0% of taxable income R0 - R550 000 0% of taxable income
R500 001 - R700 000 18% of taxable income R550 001 - R770 000 18% of taxable income
above R500 000 above R550 000
R700 001 - R1 050 000 R56 700 + 27% of taxable income R770 001 - R1 155 000 R39 600 + 27% of taxable income
above R700 000 above R770 000
R1 050 001 and above R141 750 + 36% of taxable income R1 155 001 and above R143 550 + 36% of taxable income
above R1 050 000 above R1 155 000
Source: National Treasury
Table 4.9 Personal income tax rates: Retirement fund lump sum withdrawal benefits
2022/23 2023/24
Taxable income (R) Rates of tax Taxable income (R) Rates of tax
R0 - R25 000 0% of taxable income R0 - R27 500 0% of taxable income
R25 001 - R660 000 18% of taxable income R27 501 - R726 000 18% of taxable income
above R25 000 above R27 500
R660 001 - R990 000 R114 300 + 27% of taxable income R726 001 - R1 089 000 R125 730 + 27% of taxable income
above R660 000 above R726 000
R990 001 and above R203 400 + 36% of taxable income R1 089 001 and above R223 740 + 36% of taxable income
above R990 000 above R1 089 000
Source: National Treasury
Pillar One focuses on the digital economy and is expected to establish a coherent and
integrated approach to the tax treatment of multinationals, with the allocation of taxing
rights among jurisdictions based on their market share. Currently, no final agreement has
been reached on Pillar One and OECD guidelines for this pillar have not been finalised.
Pillar Two focuses on the remaining base erosion and profit shifting matters. It proposes
an approach to ensure that all internationally operating businesses with global annual
revenue of more than €750 million pay an effective tax rate of at least 15 per cent,
regardless of where they are headquartered or which jurisdictions they operate in. A
minimum effective tax rate for large multinationals is expected to apply in a number of
countries from December 2023. During the 2023 legislative cycle, government will publish
a draft position on the implementation of Pillar Two for public comment and draft
legislation will be prepared for inclusion in the 2024 Taxation Laws Amendment Bill.
Four areas required additional work: a proposal for seed capital, legislative mechanisms to
include defined benefit funds in an equitable manner, legacy retirement annuity funds and
withdrawals from the retirement portion if one is retrenched and has no alternative source
of income. The first three matters will be clarified in forthcoming draft legislation. The final
matter will be reviewed as a second phase of implementation.
• Extend the incentive for 10 years from 1 January 2024. There will be a six-month grace
period for projects to commence before the application is submitted, to allow new
and smaller applicants to gather information and potentially benefit from the
incentive.
• Refine the definition of R&D to make it simpler to understand and administer,
resulting in an easier application process for the incentive. The incentive should apply
Adjusting the minimum royalty rate for oil and gas companies
In 2021, a review of the tax regime for oil and gas companies was published for public
comment. Following consultation, government proposes to retain the flexibility of the
royalty rate, which is determined by profitability, rather than opt for a flat rate for these
companies. This decision recognises that companies face varying costs and profit levels
depending on whether they are, for example, operating in deep or shallow waters.
However, to ensure that the country is adequately compensated for the loss of its finite
resources, the minimum royalty rate will be increased from 0.5 per cent to 2 per cent, with
the maximum remaining at 5 per cent.
for 2023/24. Further, the rate for sparkling wine is realigned to the policy decision taken
in 2016 to peg it at 3.2 times that of natural unfortified wine.
The guideline excise tax burden as a percentage of the retail selling price of the most
popular brand within each tobacco product category is currently 40 per cent. Government
proposes to increase the excise duties in line with expected inflation of 4.9 per cent for
2023/24. The alcohol review paper will be published soon after the budget, and the
tobacco review paper will be published later in the year. Consultations on the excise policy
for these products will take place after the release of the discussion papers.
carbon tax cost recovery quantum for the liquid fuels refinery sector increased from
0.63c/l to 0.66c/l, effective from 1 January 2023.
SARS administration
Over the period ahead, SARS intends to review the VAT administrative framework to
simplify and modernise the current system, in consultation with all affected parties. In line
with SARS’ strategic objective of providing clarity and certainty through instruments such
as advance rulings, government also proposes to introduce a legislative framework to
empower SARS to conclude bilateral advance pricing agreements.
Adjustments for feed-in tariffs. The start of feed-in tariffs in some municipalities may
require adjustments in the Income Tax Act (1962) to cater for additional revenue from
electricity sales. The National Treasury and SARS will investigate the potential changes
required.
CONCLUSION
Revenue collection remained strong in the past year and the medium-term outlook has
improved slightly. The 2023 Budget includes several tax proposals designed to support
businesses and individuals with the higher cost of living and promote private investments
in renewable energy. Government remains focused on ensuring that the tax system is fair,
efficient and equitable.
In brief
• Main budget non-interest spending increases by a net R128.4 billion over the medium-
term expenditure framework (MTEF) period compared with the 2022 Budget.
• Additional funding is allocated mainly for the carry-through costs of the 2022/23 public-
service wage increase, to improve investment in infrastructure and to support safety and
security, education and health services.
• Consolidated government spending will increase from R2.17 trillion in 2022/23 to
R2.48 trillion in 2025/26, growing at an average annual rate of 4.5 per cent.
• The social wage, which includes allocations for community development, employment
programmes, health, education and social protection, will constitute an average of
60.2 per cent of total non-interest spending over the next three years.
OVERVIEW
Over the MTEF period, consolidated government expenditure will total R7.08 trillion, of
which 51 per cent or R3.60 trillion is allocated for the social wage. The 2023 Budget
allocates additional funding totalling R227 billion over the next three years. The additional
funds are mainly to extend the COVID-19 social relief of distress grant until 31 March 2024,
improve investment in local and provincial government infrastructure, and support safety
and security, education and health services. As a result, main budget non-interest
spending increases by a net total of R128.4 billion over the MTEF period compared to the
projections included in the 2022 Budget.
Debt-service costs are the fastest-growing spending item over the MTEF period, averaging
8.9 per cent annual growth. These costs continue to crowd out spending on the social
wage – for example, spending on social protection, health and community development is
lower than on servicing government debt.
Compensation spending will increase from R690.4 billion in 2022/23 to R760.6 billion in
2025/26, growing at an average annual rate of 3.3 per cent, mainly due to the carry-
through costs of the public-service wage increase implemented in 2022/23. Some
departments and entities, such as in the peace and security function, have also been
allocated additional funding to strengthen their capacity to improve service delivery.
No budget reductions are implemented over the MTEF period. Departments, with support
from the National Treasury, need to continue to review spending to improve their
efficiency. These reviews are particularly important in areas of the budget where there is
persistent underspending and for non-performing and large programmes within
departments. Departments will also continue to implement the findings from the reviews
conducted in consultation with the National Treasury.
Table 5.2 summarises additional funding allocated for spending pressures over the MTEF
period. The single largest allocation in the first year is R36.1 billion to extend the COVID-
19 social relief of distress grant by another year until 31 March 2024.
An amount of R45.6 billion is allocated for compensation of employees over the next three
years to provide for the carry-through costs of the 2022/23 public-service wage increase.
A total of R42.8 billion is allocated over the next three years to improve infrastructure.
PROVISIONAL ALLOCATIONS
Provisional allocations included in the 2023 Budget amount to R1.5 billion in 2023/24,
R3.9 billion in 2024/25 and R4 billion in 2025/26. Table 5.3 provides details of these
allocations over the MTEF period.
will make up an average of 60.2 per cent of non-interest spending over this period,
reflecting government’s commitment to strengthening service delivery in areas such as
community development, employment programmes, health, education and social
protection.
Debt-service costs will total R1.10 trillion over the MTEF period. These costs grow faster
than spending in any function, at 8.9 per cent per year. Excluding debt-service costs, the
community development function is the fastest-growing function, averaging 8 per cent
annually, mainly due to the allocation of additional funds for the local government
equitable share and for infrastructure.
In terms of economic classification, Table 5.5 shows that current payments constitute the
largest share (61.2 per cent) of the budget, mainly driven by compensation of employees,
which constitutes 31.4 per cent of total spending. Transfers and subsidies will increase
from R731.2 billion in 2022/23 to R783 billion in 2025/26, growing at an annual average
rate of 2.3 per cent. Payments for capital assets are the fastest-growing item by economic
classification, growing at 14.4 per cent annually, due to the additional funds allocated to
improve investment in infrastructure.
1
Table 5.5 Consolidated government expenditure by economic classification
R million 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Percentage Average
Revised Medium-term estimates of total annual
estimate MTEF MTEF
allocation growth
Economic classification
Current payments 1 299 359 1 355 806 1 418 715 1 503 379 61.2% 5.0%
Compensation of employees 690 374 701 165 728 747 760 608 31.4% 3.3%
Goods and services 292 955 305 185 317 591 335 793 13.7% 4.7%
Interest and rent on land 316 030 349 456 372 377 406 979 16.2% 8.8%
of which:
Debt-service costs 307 157 340 460 362 840 397 074 15.8% 8.9%
Transfers and subsidies 731 230 767 062 771 535 782 975 33.2% 2.3%
Municipalities 162 604 177 626 188 811 198 204 8.1% 6.8%
Departmental agencies and 27 260 27 859 26 227 26 413 1.2% -1.0%
accounts
Higher education institutions 53 866 51 871 58 450 59 189 2.4% 3.2%
Foreign governments and 3 356 3 147 3 457 3 607 0.1% 2.4%
international organisations
Public corporations and 42 068 40 555 43 237 45 863 1.9% 2.9%
private enterprises
Non-profit institutions 41 825 42 149 40 807 42 540 1.8% 0.6%
Households 400 251 423 853 410 545 407 157 17.8% 0.6%
Payments for capital assets 91 897 110 671 125 228 137 616 5.3% 14.4%
Buildings and other fixed 61 956 77 433 94 243 104 235 4.0% 18.9%
structures
Machinery and equipment 24 930 28 871 27 385 30 005 1.2% 6.4%
Other capital assets 5 011 4 367 3 600 3 376 0.2% -12.3%
Payments for financial assets 46 313 4 052 3 577 3 895
Total 2 168 799 2 237 589 2 319 055 2 427 865 100.0% 3.8%
Contingency reserve – 5 000 5 000 5 000
Unallocated reserve – – 35 693 44 533
Consolidated expenditure 2 168 799 2 242 589 2 359 749 2 477 398 4.5%
1. The main budget and spending by provinces, public entities and social security funds financed from own revenue
Source: National Treasury
Figure 5.1 Percentage of total MTEF allocation Figure 5.2 Total consolidated government
by function, 2023/24 – 2025/26 expenditure, 2023/24 – 2025/26
Additional funding of R20 billion is allocated through the provincial equitable share, mainly
to cover shortfalls in basic education compensation budgets. Funding for the national
school nutrition programme grant is increased by R1.5 billion over the MTEF period to
ensure that the meals provided to learners meet nutritional requirements.
The early childhood development grant receives an additional R1.6 billion over the
medium term to increase the number of children receiving the early childhood
development subsidy, provide pre-registration support to early childhood development
centres, and pilot a nutrition support programme and a results-based delivery model
where the service provider is only paid for the outputs delivered. Additional funding of
R198 million is allocated in 2023/24 to enable provision of early childhood development
resource packages, which include daily activity plans linked to the National Curriculum
Framework. Over the MTEF period, R30 million is allocated to improve the Department of
Basic Education’s oversight and capacity for managing the programme.
Departments are building their capacity to improve the planning, management and
implementation of infrastructure projects and aligning budgets with their ability to spend.
In 2023/24, R283.3 million is added to the education infrastructure grant to repair
infrastructure damage to schools in the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal resulting from
floods in April 2022, while a further R1.5 billion is allocated over the MTEF period for the
Gauteng schools project, which aims to improve infrastructure in schools.
The Department of Higher Education and Training has reprioritised R1.1 billion over the
medium term to enable the community education and training (CET) sector to build its
own infrastructure for learning and teaching, reducing its current reliance on basic
education school infrastructure. Expenditure for the post-school education and training
sector increases at an average annual rate of 5 per cent over the medium term, supporting
universities, technical and vocational education and training (TVET) colleges, CET colleges
and sector education and training authorities in delivering quality post-school education
and training.
The arts, culture, sport and recreation sector is allocated R35.7 billion over the medium
term to support sports in schools and preserve, develop and promote cultural, heritage
and linguistic diversity, and build social cohesion.
Social development
This function is allocated R1.10 trillion over the MTEF period for social grants and welfare
services, and to strengthen advocacy for the empowerment of women, youth and people
living with disabilities. Social grants remain the largest spending area, constituting
88 per cent of spending in this function over the MTEF period.
Expenditure on social grants will increase from R233 billion in 2022/23 to R248.4 billion in
2025/26 due to increases in the number of recipients and the value of the grants. Excluding
the COVID-19 social relief of distress grant, social grant coverage is expected to increase
from about 18.6 million beneficiaries in March 2023 to 19.6 million beneficiaries by
March 2026. The child support grant and old age grant together account for about
70 per cent of total grant expenditure over the MTEF period. These two grants will be
provided to a total of 17.5 million beneficiaries in 2023/24. Social grants will increase in
line with inflation over the medium term.
The COVID-19 social relief of distress grant will be extended for a year until 31 March 2024
to mitigate the impact of the slow economic recovery and increased poverty due to the
COVID-19 pandemic. In 2023/24, R35.7 billion is allocated to the Department of Social
Development to fund the grant, while R400 million is allocated to the South African Social
Security Agency to administer it. Government is still considering alternative options to
provide appropriate social protection for the working-age population that can replace or
complement the current grant. Funds spent on the grant are lower than projected in
2022/23 due to improved means testing.
Over the MTEF period, the allocation for provincial departments of social development will
increase at an average annual rate of 3.3 per cent, from R21.3 billion in 2022/23 to
R23.5 billion in 2025/26.
Work to support the social and economic inclusion of women, youth and people living with
disabilities will continue over the medium term. The Department of Women, Youth and
Persons with Disabilities is allocated R2.7 billion over the next three years.
Health
The health function is allocated R809.4 billion over the MTEF period to support the
provision of and equitable access to healthcare services. The sector will focus on
addressing the accumulated backlog in core health services such as surgery, oncology,
antiretroviral treatment and tuberculosis screening and treatment that resulted from
disruptions to routine healthcare services due to the pandemic. COVID-19 services
including vaccinations have now been integrated into general health services. As vaccine
stock levels remain high, no separate allocation is made for vaccines in the 2023 Budget.
The 2023 Budget includes additional funding to the health function of R7.5 billion in
2023/24, R7.8 billion in 2024/25 and R8.1 billion in 2025/26. These amounts will be
channelled through the provincial equitable share to help address service backlogs and
alleviate critical funding pressures in healthcare personnel (potentially also to retain some
of the additional staff recruited during the pandemic), medicine, laboratory services,
medical supplies and other key goods and services. These arise partly from budget
reductions following the pandemic-related economic downturn.
Additional funding is also allocated for the 2022/23 public-service wage increase and its
carry-through costs over the MTEF period. Despite these additions, provincial health
budgets remain under pressure and government will have to make difficult trade-offs to
ensure that the sector is adequately resourced. Moreover, greater efficiency is needed to
manage services within these budgets.
Funds totalling R349.7 million in 2023/24, R432.3 million in 2024/25 and R568.6 million in
2025/26 are allocated to the national health insurance indirect grant to enable
construction of the Limpopo Central Hospital in Polokwane. With effect from 1 April 2023,
the responsibility to provide port health services will be shifted from the Department of
Health to the Border Management Authority. Accordingly, R512 million is shifted over the
MTEF period from the Department of Health to the Department of Home Affairs, which
will facilitate the transfer of the funds to the authority.
Community development
Spending in this function will amount to R825.8 billion over the next three years mainly to
support the provision of basic services, affordable housing and public transport, as well as
promote spatial transformation and urban development. Because municipalities,
provinces and public entities are responsible for providing the abovementioned services,
transfers and subsidies are the largest spending item in the function, constituting
77.3 per cent of total expenditure.
The local government equitable share is expected to increase at an average annual rate of
9.3 per cent, from R83.7 billion in 2022/23 to R109.4 billion in 2025/26, mainly to provide
for above-inflation escalation costs in bulk electricity and water supply. The equitable
share includes allocations for the operational and maintenance costs associated with the
provision of free basic services.
Additional allocations are made over the medium term for bulk infrastructure that will
improve access to services through conditional grants in human settlements and water
and sanitation. These include an additional R2.2 billion for the urban settlements
development grant for construction of the Lufhereng housing project in the City of
Johannesburg metro and the Avoca Node development in the eThekwini metro.
The regional bulk infrastructure grant in the Department of Water and Sanitation receives
an additional R4.2 billion over the medium term for the implementation of a water security
programme in the Nelson Mandela Bay metro and other water and sanitation supply
Economic development
This function allocates funding to departments and entities focused on promoting
sustained and inclusive economic growth to address unemployment, poverty and
inequality. Its expenditure will increase from R221.8 billion in 2022/23 to R277.1 billion in
2025/26 at an average annual rate of 7.7 per cent. The bulk of the funds are allocated for
goods and services and capital expenditure.
Over the medium term, the Department of Small Business Development is allocated
R2.8 billion as part of the Township and Rural Entrepreneurship Fund to support
120 000 township and rural enterprises. In addition, the department aims to improve local
and international market access for small, medium and micro enterprises.
The Land Restitution Programme is allocated R12.5 billion over the MTEF period. Over the
next three years, government will focus on finalising outstanding restitution claims and
supporting resettled farmers to sustain productivity, create jobs and reduce poverty. To
continue managing bio-security, increase agricultural production and manage natural
resources, the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development is
allocated R7.8 billion over the medium term.
Over the next three years, R18.9 billion is allocated to the Department of Trade, Industry
and Competition for incentive programmes to stimulate business investment in machinery
and equipment. Within the automotive investment scheme, R728.8 million is allocated for
support to new energy vehicle initiatives. Collectively, these incentives are expected to
unlock R83 billion in private-sector investment.
The Department of Science and Innovation is allocated R8.7 billion over the medium term
for the development of human capital initiatives through postgraduate bursaries and
scholarships, internships and support for emerging and established researchers. Over the
same period, the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment is allocated
R1.4 billion for the Waste Bureau to implement the national waste management strategy.
The Department of Tourism is also allocated R180 million to support the pilot of the
Tourism Equity Fund introduced in 2021.
Roads account for the largest share of the function’s budget at 30.1 per cent of
expenditure over the medium term. The additional allocations of R7.1 billion and
R5.3 billion for the rehabilitation of provincial roads, and to reduce the road rehabilitation
and strengthening backlog on national roads, will result in spending on roads increasing
from R61.8 billion in 2022/23 to R85.5 billion in 2025/26. The South African National Roads
Agency Limited will increase the length of the network in active maintenance from
1 200 kilometres in 2022/23 to 2 400 kilometres in 2025/26, and the length of the network
in active strengthening to 600 kilometres by 2025/26.
Government will spend R121.3 billion over the medium term on water infrastructure. This
includes an additional R4.3 billion for the uMkhomazi water project, which augments
water supply to various municipalities in KwaZulu-Natal. An additional R3 billion is
allocated for the Department of Communications and Digital Technologies to implement
the SA Connect broadband project, which aims to connect 5.8 million sites to high-speed
internet by 2025/26.
To strengthen frontline capacity mainly in police stations, the South African Police Service
is allocated an additional R7.8 billion over the next three years to appoint 5 000 police
trainees per year and absorb them once they successfully complete their training. The
Department of Justice and Constitutional Development has reprioritised R27.5 million
over the MTEF period to enhance support for victims of gender-based violence by
appointing employees in the Thuthuzela care centres including coordinators, victim
assistant officers and state advocates.
The National Prosecuting Authority is allocated R1.3 billion over the medium term to
support implementation of the recommendation of the State Capture Commission and the
outcomes of the Financial Action Task Force evaluation of South Africa’s framework for
combating money laundering and terrorism financing. The funding will be used to, among
other things, appoint 120 new employees in the National Prosecutions Service and the
Investigating Directorate, procure specialist prosecution services for complex matters
(especially financial crimes), commission contracted forensic auditors and accountants to
deal with high-priority asset forfeiture matters, establish a digital forensic data centre,
provide close protection services and integrated security systems, and finance increased
witness protection operational costs.
The Financial Intelligence Centre is allocated an additional R265.3 million over the MTEF
period to implement the recommendations of the State Capture Commission and the
Financial Action Task Force. The allocation will enable the entity to appoint 107 additional
permanent personnel such as forensic accountants, inspectors, strategic analysts and
enforcement officers to strengthen its capacity. The Special Investigating Unit is allocated
R100 million over the next three years to initiate civil litigation in the special tribunal
flowing from proclamations linked to the recommendations of the State Capture
Commission.
To enhance security on South Africa’s borders and surrounding areas, the Department of
Defence is allocated an additional R3.1 billion over the medium term. This allocation will
provide for the procurement of equipment and technology to support operations, and
repair and maintain defence navy systems. In addition, R850 million is allocated in 2023/24
to support the deployment of the South African National Defence Force in Mozambique
as part of the Southern African Development Community Mission in Mozambique.
Over the MTEF period, R9 million will be shifted from the Department of Public Works and
Infrastructure to the Project Management Office in the Presidency. The office supports
other government departments to develop programmes that equip young people with
skills and access to opportunities. The South African Revenue Service is allocated
additional funding for capital projects to improve its information and communications
technology and revenue collection capabilities.
The Department of Public Works and Infrastructure is allocated R200 million per year over
the medium term to assist implementing agencies with high-priority project preparation.
The project pipeline, which is managed by Infrastructure South Africa, includes over
150 public-sector projects across economic and social sectors. The funding will be used to
develop the documents required by funding institutions, and facilitate employment-
generating investments in infrastructure.
Over the medium term, R60 million has been reprioritised within the function to establish
a permanent baseline for campaigns related to gender-based violence and femicide, anti-
corruption and the economic recovery plan.
CONCLUSION
Over the next three years, consolidated spending will total R7.08 trillion, the majority of
which is allocated for the social wage. Additional allocations are focused on funding short-
term policy priorities and improving growth-enhancing investment. Government
continues to reprioritise and review spending to meet policy priorities and improve
efficiency.
In brief
• Provinces and municipalities provide a range of critical social and economic services. Over
the next three years, they will focus on improving service delivery.
• Over the medium‐term expenditure framework (MTEF) period, after providing for debt‐
service costs, the contingency reserve and provisional allocations, 48.6 per cent of
nationally raised funds are allocated to national government, 41.5 per cent to provincial
government and 10 per cent to local government.
• Direct transfers to provinces and municipalities over the medium term have been
increased by R92.7 billion and R14.3 billion respectively. These funds help address
various spending pressures.
• Government is strengthening the regulatory environment and support to subnational
government to help address challenges in those spheres.
OVERVIEW
National government transfers more than half of nationally raised revenues to the nine
provinces and 257 municipalities so they can perform their mandated functions. The
2023 Budget strikes a balance between building institutional capacity and ensuring real
growth in transfers to provinces and municipalities to meet the needs of growing
populations. The provinces are responsible for basic education, health, roads, human
settlements, social development and agriculture. Municipalities provide basic services
such as water, sanitation, electricity reticulation, roads and community services.
The 2023 Budget increases allocations for all three spheres of government to assist with
urgent spending pressures. Over the medium term, direct provincial allocations will
increase by R92.7 billion to R2.17 trillion. This increase consists of R76.9 billion added to
the provincial equitable share and R15.8 billion added to direct conditional grants. Local
government allocations will increase by a total of R14.3 billion, made up of R8.1 billion in
the local government equitable share and R6.2 billion in direct conditional grants. This
takes the total direct allocation to R521.7 billion over the same period. These allocations
alleviate some of the financial pressures, particularly in health, education and basic
services, where the costs of providing services are rising.
DIVISION OF REVENUE
Transfers to provinces and local government are made through respective equitable
shares and conditional grants. The equitable shares are determined by formulas that take
into account demographic and developmental factors. Conditional grants are designed to
achieve specific objectives, and provinces and municipalities must meet certain criteria to
receive grants and fulfil conditions when spending them.
Table 6.1 sets out the division of revenue over the MTEF period. Over the next three years,
of the funds available after providing for debt-service costs and the contingency reserve,
48.6 per cent is allocated to national government, 41.5 per cent to provincial government
and 10 per cent to local government. National transfers to the provinces will increase from
R695.1 billion in 2023/24 to R754.7 billion in 2025/26. Over the MTEF period, provincial
transfers will grow at an average annual rate of 2.8 per cent. In 2023/24, a total of
R567.5 billion is allocated to the provincial equitable share and R127.5 billion to
conditional grants.
Allocations to local government increase by R14.3 billion over the medium term. Direct
allocations to municipalities grow just above inflation, at an average annual rate of
5.9 per cent, while indirect allocations grow at an annual average rate of 4.3 per cent.
The division of revenue redistributes substantial resources from urban areas to fund rural
services, which are often provided at high cost. It also subsidises services to millions of
poor households in towns and cities through allocations to urban municipalities and
provinces. Metropolitan municipalities account for 70.1 per cent of personal income tax
revenue but receive only 32.6 per cent of local government transfers. In contrast, the
61 mostly rural local municipalities account for only 5.7 per cent of personal income tax
revenues but receive 27.3 per cent of transfers to local government.
Changes to conditional grants in the 2023 Budget include the discontinuation of the
conditional emergency housing grants for provinces and municipalities. The baselines of
these two grants are shifted to the Department of Human Settlements. This will allow the
department to respond quickly in the event of an emergency housing need. Over the
2023 MTEF period, R1.6 billion has been allocated to the programme. This includes
R523.3 million allocated in 2023/24, R546.8 million allocated in 2024/25 and
R571.3 million allocated in 2025/26.
The Explanatory Memorandum to the Division of Revenue sets out the provincial and
municipal allocations, details the equitable share formula and explains how the division
takes into account the recommendations of the Financial and Fiscal Commission. The
memorandum is available as Annexure W1 of the Budget Review on the National Treasury
website.
The National Treasury has developed a comprehensive set of public financial management
leadership development initiatives for provincial members of the executive council, heads
of departments and senior officials in provinces. In collaboration with the National School
of Government, the National Treasury is sponsoring public financial management
leadership training for provincial executives. To date, 120 of 150 executives have received
training and development through the school. National government is coordinating with
subnational governments to ensure that each province has a fully functional public
financial management and budgetary executive ready to deliver effective services within
a changing public finance landscape and a fiscally constrained environment.
In 2022 the National Treasury piloted training on change leadership and transversal
management under the Cities Support Programme. Going forward, the National School of
Government will offer these courses to local governments and public service
organisations. Through this partnership, the school also strengthens its relationships with
existing institutions such as the Municipal Institute of Learning in eThekwini and the
Tshwane Leadership and Management Academy.
curriculum is being developed for qualifications at a higher certificate level aligned with
the Higher Education Qualification Framework.
Over the MTEF period, R31.1 billion is added for employee compensation in the provincial
equitable share for the carry-through costs of the 2022/23 public-service wage increase.
Of this amount, R10.2 billion is added in 2023/24, R10.4 billion in 2024/25 and
R10.5 billion in 2025/26. An additional R20 billion goes to the education sector over the
medium term.
In the health sector, R23.5 billion is added over the medium term. This funding will be used
for antiretroviral therapy and to address backlogs in tuberculosis and other healthcare
services, mitigate wage pressures, and fund laboratory services, medicine and other goods
and medical supplies. In 2023/24, R7.5 billion is allocated, followed by R7.8 billion in
2024/25 and R8.1 billion in 2025/26.
The provincial equitable share formula is made up of six components: education, health,
basic, institutional, poverty and economic activity. A review of the formula led to changes
to the health component in the 2022 MTEF period. One-third of the changes were
implemented in 2022/23, another third will be implemented in 2023/24 and all changes
will be implemented in 2024/25. The education component is currently being reviewed.
In 2023/24, R164 billion is allocated as direct transfers to local government, while a further
R8.5 billion is allocated to be spent by national departments on behalf of municipalities.
Of the direct transfers, 68.3 per cent will be transferred as unconditional funds for
municipalities to use according to the priorities determined by their councils through their
budget processes. The remaining 31.7 per cent will be transferred through conditional
grants. In 2023/24, government is funding free basic services to 11.2 million households
at a cost of R70.9 billion.
163
120
128 125
90
94 95 97
85 87
60
66
30
0
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
Source: National Treasury
Municipalities in turn owed water boards and water trading entities more than R15 billion
– and owed Eskom approximately R39.8 billion as at 30 June 2022. Municipal arrears for
bulk electricity are increasing rapidly.
Figure 6.2 Municipal debtors, 2021/22 Figure 6.3 Municipal creditors, 2021/22
Trade creditors 24
Commercial 51
Water boards 15
Government 17
Other** 10
Other* 5
Loan repayments 1
Many municipalities fail to adopt funded budgets, which means they will not be financially
sustainable and implies that they lack credible financial management, although Figure 6.4
shows a marginal improvement in the last three years. In 2021/22, 112 municipal councils
voted to adopt budgets that they knew were not funded, making some form of financial
distress inevitable. Elected councils are responsible for determining and budgeting for
municipal priorities. Neither national nor provincial government can compel local
governments to adopt different budgets, although they may advise that their proposed
budgets are unfunded. National and provincial engagements with municipalities are used
to identify areas for improvement in these budgets, and advisors from the National
Treasury-funded Municipal Finance Improvement Programme provide in-person
assistance.
250
200
150
100
50
0
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
Source: National Treasury
The Municipal Finance Management Act (2003) mandates provincial intervention when a
municipality, as a result of its own financial crisis, is unable to meet its obligations to
provide basic services or fulfil financial commitments. If the provincial government cannot
or does not adequately intervene, then national government is obligated to do so.
A series of inductions is under way to educate new council members about national and
provincial financial interventions and how they benefit the municipality. Thirty-one of the
43 municipal councils have been inducted and the National Treasury is developing
14 financial recovery plans. In addition, these municipalities are receiving technical
support to improve their revenue collection and management. The National Treasury has
trained these and other municipalities on how to develop and apply tariffs, budget funding
plans and property rate reconciliation tools. The National Treasury is also working with
provincial treasuries to identify municipalities nearing financial crisis to provide targeted
support. Members of the Municipal Finance Improvement Programme have been assigned
to six provincial treasuries to enhance their support capacity.
CONCLUSION
The 2023 MTEF period provides for targeted allocations to provinces and municipalities,
with an emphasis on key basic services. Despite significant financial support provided to
subnational governments over the years, they are mostly still not able to optimise resource
use and improve service delivery. National government is improving the tools available to
provinces and municipalities to assist in improving efficiency, building strong capable
institutions and spending more effectively to fulfil their mandates. To be effective, these
reforms will require political will, good governance and better financial controls.
In brief
• The gross borrowing requirement has declined from R484.5 billion at the time of the
2022 Budget to R387.9 billion, largely as a result of higher-than-anticipated revenue
collection.
• Due to elevated redemptions and Eskom debt relief, the borrowing requirement will
reach R555 billion in 2025/26. Gross loan debt will grow to R5.84 trillion in the outer
year of the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) period.
• Government’s R350 billion guarantee framework agreement issued to Eskom expires
on 31 March 2023.
• Gross loan debt is projected to stabilise at 73.6 per cent of GDP in 2025/26, and to
decline thereafter.
OVERVIEW
Government’s budget deficit narrowed over the past year. As a result, the gross borrowing
requirement declined from a projected R484.5 billion to R387.9 billion, or 5.8 per cent of
GDP. Over the MTEF period ahead, the provision of large-scale debt relief to Eskom will
result in a significant increase in gross borrowing, but prudent fiscal policy and debt
management will ensure that this arrangement does not put the fiscal framework at risk.
Over the next three years, government will service R184.4 billion of Eskom’s debt (capital
repayments and interest payments) and, in 2025/26, will take over up to R70 billion of
Eskom’s debt. As a result, the gross borrowing requirement will increase from
R515.6 billion in 2023/24 to R555 billion in 2025/26. Any guaranteed debt that is settled
as part of the debt-relief arrangement will reduce the state’s guarantee exposure to
Eskom. By the outer year, this exposure is expected to decline by R118.9 billion.
Gross debt stock is projected to increase from R4.73 trillion in 2022/23 to R5.84 trillion in
2025/26. Debt is expected to stabilise at 73.6 per cent of GDP in 2025/26, compared with
the 2022 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) projection of stabilisation at
71.4 per cent of GDP in 2022/23. Debt as a share of GDP will decline thereafter. Contingent
liabilities are set to decline from R1.07 trillion in 2022/23 to R904.1 billion in 2025/26.
Over the past year, rising inflation, interest rates and risk aversion have led to more
difficult global and domestic financing conditions. Nevertheless, South Africa’s deep
capital markets, and its improved fiscal and debt position, have helped to cushion rising
risks associated with tightening monetary policy and a slowing global economy. Moreover,
South Africa’s foreign debt remains a relatively small share of its overall borrowings. In
2022, all three credit rating agencies (Fitch, Moody’s and S&P) indicated an improved
outlook for South Africa’s sovereign credit ratings for these reasons, although they remain
concerned about power cuts, the high debt burden and significant fiscal risks.
FINANCING STRATEGY
Government aims to finance its borrowing requirement at the lowest possible cost within
a set of strategic risk benchmarks (Table 7.1). The financing strategy enables government
to determine the best mix of debt instruments and maturities to finance the borrowing
requirement, while minimising refinancing risk, currency risk and overall borrowing costs.
In 2023/24, the gross borrowing requirement will be financed through a combination of
domestic short- and long-term loans, foreign-currency loans and cash balances.
Government continues to work with the private sector to develop South Africa’s capital
markets and ensure a diversified portfolio of instruments. The 2023/24 funding strategy
will include additional issuances into existing and new floating rate notes and a domestic
rand-denominated sukuk (Islamic bond). In addition, government will continue to explore
innovative ways to raise funds through climate financing and related initiatives.
• Higher interest rates in developed economies coupled with low domestic economic
growth could reduce demand for domestic bonds.
• Further depreciation in the rand exchange rate would raise the cost of outstanding
foreign-currency debt.
• The materialisation of contingent liabilities at state-owned companies could increase
funding needs and associated costs.
consisting of capital repayments and interest payments, and in 2025/26, government will
take over a maximum of R70 billion of Eskom’s debt by switching selected debt
instruments into government debt. This will be financed by issuing both short- and long-
term loans in the domestic markets. As a result, the gross borrowing requirement will
increase from R515.6 billion in 2023/24 to R555 billion in 2025/26.
Domestic and foreign redemptions will average R172.3 billion over the three years relative
to R67.9 billion in the previous three years. To mitigate the refinancing risk as a result of
high redemptions, government will use a number of strategies to reduce the gross
borrowing requirement over the medium term.
Over the next three years, net Treasury bill issuance will average R45.3 billion, or
10.8 per cent of total domestic borrowing.
Domestic long-term borrowing will increase to R329.9 billion in 2023/24, and average
R349.5 billion over the medium term.
8
7
01 Jan 2022 01 Apr 2022 31 Jan 2023
6
5
R2023 (2023)
R2030 (2030)
R2032 (2032)
R2035 (2035)
R2037 (2037)
R2040 (2040)
R2044 (2044)
R2048 (2048)
R186 (2026)
R213 (2031)
R209 (2036)
R214 (2041)
The yield curve – the relationship between bonds of different maturities – has shifted
higher, reflecting reduced confidence in the bond market. This is shown in the difference
between the January 2022 and January 2023 curves, averaging 68 basis points. Higher
yields indicate higher borrowing costs across maturities, especially for long-term bonds
(Figure 7.1). This reflects the lingering effects of COVID-19, the ongoing Ukraine war,
monetary policy tightening to combat inflation and the impact of prolonged power cuts.
Other financial sector and monetary institutions increased their holdings marginally over
the year. Holdings by pension funds and insurers decreased from 23.5 and 6.6 per cent to
23.1 and 6.2 per cent respectively.
Figure 7.2 Ownership of domestic bonds Figure 7.3 Domestic bonds held by foreign
investors
Foreign investors Pension funds Monetary institutions 900
Other financial sector Insurers Other
100 843 846
7.2 6.7 6.4 6.1 7.0 750 808 800
90 9.4 8.6 8.2 8.3 6.6 6.2
5.8 8.2 8.7 10.3 10.3 9.9 13.6 14.7 17.6 705 713
80 20.1 21.4
17.0 14.6 14.7 15.0 600
70 17.6 17.8 16.1 16.7
558
Per cent
60 450
26.6 449 451
50 29.8 29.2 31.7 28.3 24.8 24.9
30.6
40 22.4 23.5 23.1 300
30
20 35.9 36.4 36.1 32.4 36.0 41.4 37.7 37.1 150
29.9 28.2 25.6
10
0 0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Source: National Treasury
International borrowing
Government borrows in foreign currency – mainly US dollars and euros – to meet its
foreign-currency commitments. In 2022/23, South Africa raised US$3 billion in
international capital markets, €454.4 million from the World Bank and €600 million
from Germany and France through the Just Energy Transition Investment Plan to support
policy and institutional reforms related to climate change.
Government will continue its efforts to access concessional financing from international
financial institutions, including through climate finance. In 2023/24, government plans to
raise the equivalent of US$2.6 billion, and about US$9.1 billion over the medium term.
Cash balances
Government’s cash holdings consist of deposits held at commercial banks and the Reserve
Bank. The latter are sterilisation deposits – deposits that neutralise excess cash created in
the money market – and foreign-currency accumulation deposits relating to proceeds
from foreign loans.
At the end of 2022/23, total cash balances are estimated to be at R235.3 billion. Domestic
cash balances will amount to R122.1 billion, of which a portion will be used to finance the
Government debt levels are affected by changes in inflation and exchange rates. For
example, rand appreciation decreases the value of outstanding foreign debt. Foreign-
currency debt will average R555.9 billion or 10.2 per cent of gross debt over the medium
term. Government’s foreign currency exposure is partly offset by foreign-currency
deposits, which amount to US$7.1 billion in 2022/23.
In 2022/23, the stock of debt increased by R450 billion. The main budget deficit accounted
for 66.8 per cent of this increase, while interest-, inflation- and exchange-rate changes
were responsible for most of the rest. The medium-term increase in gross loan debt will
be driven by the budget deficit and the financing of the Eskom debt-relief arrangement.
Figure 7.4 illustrates the sensitivity of debt and debt-service costs to changes in
macroeconomic variables such as interest, inflation and exchange rates. A 1 percentage
point increase in inflation and interest rates, together with a R1 depreciation of the rand
against the dollar, results in a R54.9 billion increase in gross loan debt and a R6.2 billion
increase in debt-service costs.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
R billion
Source: National Treasury
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
Contingent liabilities are state obligations that will result in expenditure only if a specific
event occurs. Government closely monitors the status of these liabilities – which include
guarantees to state-owned companies, independent power producers and public-private
partnerships, and provisions for multilateral institutions – and other fiscal obligations.
Government guarantees
Government’s guarantee exposure consists of the sum of the outstanding value of a loan,
accrued interest and adjustments to inflation-linked bonds. The guarantee amount,
however, reflects only the capital value of the loan. As a result, exposure may exceed the
approved guarantee amount.
State‐owned companies
The total amount of approved guarantees to public institutions is expected to decrease by
R81.4 billion to R478.5 billion by 31 March 2023, while the exposure amount will increase
by about R800 million to R396.1 billion. Eskom accounts for 85.3 per cent of total
exposure.
The current R350 billion Eskom guarantee framework agreement expires on 31 March
2023. Consequently, the utility will not be able to draw down any new guarantees from
1 April 2023. A condition of the debt-relief arrangement is that, with the settlement or
takeover of guaranteed Eskom debt, the contingent liability exposure will decline by the
associated amount. The Eskom guarantee is projected to decline by R118.9 billion by the
end of 2025/26. In this regard, the debt-relief arrangement will reduce government’s
contingent liability exposure.
• The Land Bank guarantee amount declined due to net debt repayments of
R1.5 billion.
• Eskom exposure increased as the utility drew down on its guarantees.
• Denel exposure declined by R3.2 billion due to the repayment of guaranteed debt.
• South African National Roads Agency Limited exposure amounts declined by
R13.4 billion to R28.6 billion due to redemptions.
• In April 2022, the Minister of Finance approved the reduction of the government loan
guarantee scheme to R20 billion due to lower-than-expected take-up. The remaining
R20 billion is shown as the updated guarantee to the Reserve Bank in 2022/23 in
Table 7.10. Of this amount, R8 billion will be used for the new bounce-back scheme.
In line with its intent to reduce contingent liability exposure, government continues to
insist on entities meeting minimum criteria for the issuance of guarantees. As a result, no
additional guarantees were issued in 2022/23. Additionally, where government has
appropriated funds for the servicing of guaranteed debt of state‐owned companies, the
guarantees will be reduced by the associated amounts.
Other guarantees
Contingent liability risks from independent power producers represent a low risk to the
public finances. After signing additional projects in 2022, government has committed to
procuring up to R208.5 billion in electricity from the Renewable Energy Independent
Power Producer Procurement Programme. The value of signed projects, which represents
government’s exposure, is expected to amount to R187.1 billion by 31 March 2023.
Exposure is expected to decrease to R170.1 billion in 2023/24, R152.4 billion in 2024/25
and R134 billion in 2025/26.
Contingent liability exposure from public-private partnerships arises mainly from early
termination of contracts. During 2022/23, contingent liabilities from these partnerships
decreased by about R800 million to R7.1 billion as a number of projects reached maturity.
Total exposure is expected to decline to R6.2 billion in 2023/24, R4.3 billion in 2024/25
and R2.9 billion in 2025/26.
1
Table 7.10 Government guarantee exposure
R billion 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23
Guarantee Exposure2 Guarantee Exposure2 Guarantee Exposure2
Public institutions 581.6 384.7 559.9 395.3 478.5 396.1
of which:
Eskom 350.0 298.3 350.0 313.0 350.0 337.8
SANRAL 37.9 37.4 37.9 42.0 37.9 28.6
Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority 43.0 13.2 25.0 9.6 25.0 8.7
South African Airways 19.1 6.7 19.1 2.8 19.1 0.3
Land and Agricultural Bank of 9.6 2.4 9.6 1.9 8.1 0.4
South Africa
Development Bank of Southern 10.0 4.9 9.9 5.2 9.9 5.5
Africa
Transnet 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.8
Denel 6.9 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4 0.3
South African Express 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Industrial Development 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1
Corporation
South African Reserve Bank 3 100.0 13.7 100.0 12.8 20.0 10.0
Independent power producers 200.2 176.7 200.2 165.7 208.5 187.1
Public-private partnerships4 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.1 7.1
1. A full list of guarantees is given in Table 11 of the statistical annexure in the Budget Review
2. Total amount of borrowing, adjustments to inflation-linked bonds as a result of inflation rate changes and accrued
interest
3. In April 2022, the Minister approved the reduction of the loan guarantee scheme to R20 billion
4. These amounts only include national and provincial PPP agreements
Source: National Treasury
CONCLUSION
Over the medium term, government’s borrowing requirement and gross debt will increase
due to the Eskom debt-relief arrangement. This will be done in line with government’s
prudent and sustainable debt management approach. Gross debt is now expected to
stabilise in 2025/26.
In brief
• Government has been developing a new framework for managing bailouts to state-
owned companies to reduce fiscal risks and promote long-overdue reforms. The
preliminary framework will be published in March 2023 for consultation and will
thereafter be submitted to Cabinet.
• A major debt-relief arrangement for Eskom will relieve pressure on the utility’s balance
sheet and maintenance programme.
• Over the medium term, the net overall position of the social security funds is expected
to improve in line with stronger outcomes in each fund.
• The Development Bank of Southern Africa and the Industrial Development Corporation
showed resilience during the economic recovery from COVID-19. The Land Bank’s
financial position has improved, but it remains in default.
OVERVIEW
This chapter reports on the financial position of state-owned companies, development
finance institutions, social security funds and the Government Employees Pension Fund
(GEPF). The performance of these institutions remains inconsistent but is broadly negative.
State-owned companies continue to rely on government bailouts and dominate the
guarantee portfolio. Development finance institutions and the GEPF remain solvent.
Between 2012/13 and 2021/22, state-owned companies received about R266.6 billion in
bailouts from government. The 2022 Budget Review outlined the need for a new
framework for managing bailouts to state-owned companies to reduce fiscal risks and
promote long-overdue reforms. The preliminary framework will be published in March
2023 for consultation and will thereafter be submitted for Cabinet approval. It aims to link
bailouts of these entities to a range of reforms needed to make them sustainable and
efficient.
In the meantime, government has taken certain steps to reduce fiscal risks from public
entities and state-owned companies. Higher-than-anticipated revenues have been used to
provide conditional short-term support, while a major debt-relief arrangement for Eskom
will relieve extreme pressure on the utility’s balance sheet, enabling it to undertake the
necessary maintenance and investment.
STATE-OWNED COMPANIES
Major public entities as listed under Schedule 2 of the Public Finance Management
Act (1999) are required to operate as sustainable profit-generating businesses that borrow
on the strength of their balance sheets. State-owned companies report to shareholder
departments, such as the Department of Public Enterprises for Eskom, Transnet and Denel.
In addition, they are subject to oversight from departments setting relevant policies and
the National Treasury. However, over the years the financial and operational performance
of major state-owned companies has steadily deteriorated due in large part to weak
corporate governance, archaic business models and burdensome cost structures. Table 8.1
summarises the financial position of state-owned entities at the end of 2021/22.
The State Capture Commission highlighted how various state-owned companies were key
sites of corruption and fraud. This included abuses of procurement processes, bribery and
50
80.2 71.6 56.3 49.2
32.0
R billion
0
-47.8 -37.1 -40.6
-58.0
-50 -79.1
-47.8
-48.9 -51.7 -49.5
-100 -44.5
-47.2 -61.7
-61.3 -93.5
-150 -68.8
-200
2017/18 2018/19 2019/20** 2020/21** 2021/22***
*State-owned companies listed in the PFMA schedule, excluding development finance institutions
**Please note that numbers may differ from earlier publications due to restatement or error
***Due to reporting delays, unaudited financial results or quarter 4 reports for 2021/22 were used
Source: National Treasury
Capital expenditure remains below target due to continued inefficiencies in execution and
the effect of COVID-19-related restrictions during the reporting year. Many state-owned
companies remain unable to adequately fund their operations and debt obligations, and
are even less able to optimally invest in infrastructure. Underspending on capital projects
may in turn undermine broader economic performance. Capital expenditure increased by
9.5 per cent from R37.1 billion during 2020/21 to R40.6 billion during 2021/22 as a result
of an increase in repair and maintenance capital spending.
Debt obligations
Total debt maturing over the medium term is expected to amount to R74.7 billion, of
which 17 per cent or R12.5 billion is guaranteed by government.
Figure 8.2 Debt maturity profile of major state-owned companies*
Domestic capital repayments Foreign capital repayments
Government-guaranteed portion
32
28
24
R billion
20
16
12
8
4
0
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2026/27
2027/28
2028/29
2029/30
2030/31
2031/32
2032/33
2033/34
2034/35
2035/36
2036/37
2037/38
2038/39
2039/40
2040/41
2041/42
2042/43
2043/44
*Airports Company South Africa, Denel, SANRAL, SAA, Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority and Transnet. Eskom is
excluded because it did not submit a maturity profile
Source: National Treasury
Maturing debt will average R24.9 billion per year and annual guarantees will average
R4.2 billion. Figure 8.2 shows the debt maturity profile of selected state-owned
companies, excluding Eskom.
Table 8.2 shows the borrowing requirement of selected state-owned companies. In
2021/22, these companies managed to raise R38.9 billion or 77 per cent of their budgeted
borrowings, with Transnet accounting for 40 per cent of the funding raised. Over the
medium term, these companies are expected to rely significantly on domestic debt
funding. Under the conditions of its debt-relief arrangement, Eskom’s borrowing powers
will be significantly curtailed. See Annexure W3 (online) for more detail.
Table 8.2 Borrowing requirement of state-owned companies1
R billion 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/262
Budget Outcome Budget Outcome Revised Medium-term estimates3
Domestic loans (gross) 34.0 23.6 25.8 34.9 60.0 39.7 33.8 34.0
Short-term 7.3 11.5 6.0 8.6 – – – –
Long-term 26.7 12.1 19.8 26.3 60.0 39.7 33.8 34.0
Foreign loans (gross) 22.1 14.4 24.6 4.0 34.5 4.0 8.3 3.9
Long-term 22.1 14.4 24.6 4.0 34.5 4.0 8.3 3.9
Total 56.1 38.0 50.4 38.9 94.5 43.7 42.1 37.9
Percentage of total:
Domestic loans 60.6% 62.1% 51.2% 89.6% 63.5% 90.8% 80.4% 89.7%
Foreign loans 39.4% 37.9% 48.8% 10.4% 36.5% 9.2% 19.6% 10.3%
1. ACSA, Eskom (did not submit outcomes for 2021/22), South African National Roads Agency Limited, Trans-Caledon
Tunnel Authority, SAA, Transnet and Denel
2. Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority did not provide forecast for 2025/26
3. ACSA, Eskom, SANRAL, TCTA (except 2025/26), SAA, Transnet and Denel
Source: National Treasury
Denel
Denel remains financially distressed and unable to fulfil its financial obligations. It has not
submitted annual financial statements for the year. Funds amounting to R3.4 billion were
allocated to the entity through the Special Appropriation Act (2022) with set conditions
relating to the implementation of its turnaround plan and clarity on a sustainable business
model. These funds can only be disbursed if Denel substantially meets the conditions
before the end of March 2023. Government is closely monitoring this situation.
Eskom
Eskom remains reliant on continued state support to operate and meet its financial
commitments. In 2021/22, revenues increased to R246.5 billion as a result of higher tariffs
and a partial recovery in sales. Although savings of R20 billion were achieved during the
year, these were offset by increases in primary energy and personnel costs. Eskom reduced
its net loss position to R12.3 billion in 2021/22 from a loss of R25 billion in the prior year.
Despite higher revenues, continued power cuts and operational inefficiencies have
reduced sales volumes over the years, with customers increasingly choosing other energy
generation options where they are available.
The 2023 Budget proposes to provide Eskom with debt relief amounting to R254 billion
over the next three years. This arrangement, which is subject to strict conditions, will
relieve extreme pressure on the utility’s balance sheet, enabling it to undertake the
necessary maintenance and investment. The operating conditions associated with Eskom
debt relief support the broader restructuring of South Africa’s electricity industry. Details
are set out in Chapter 3 and online Annexure W3.
Transnet
Transnet’s core mandate is to provide ports, rail, and pipeline infrastructure and
operations in a cost-effective and efficient manner. The company reported a profit of
R5 billion in 2021/22, reversing a loss of R8.7 billion in 2020/21. This improvement was
largely the result of higher revenue as the economy recovered, and a reduction in
recognised third-party claims related to litigation or customer claims. Capital investment
declined by 16.8 per cent to R13.2 billion in 2021/22 due to lack of funding.
If South Africa is to have a reliable, cost-effective and safe freight system, port and rail
infrastructure requires large-scale investment. Following historical underinvestment,
Transnet now plans to increase capital investment spending over the next five years to
address a maintenance backlog and increase the capacity of existing infrastructure.
Some progress has been made to enable private-sector participation and access to the rail
network. This is part of a broader shift away from a divisional, modal service offering to a
more strategic collaborative approach. It will enable Transnet to participate in integrated
commodity value chains, and work with the private sector to grow the investment
portfolio in a financially sustainable manner, while unlocking new revenue streams. In
January 2023, it issued a request for quotations for private-sector participation on its
container corridor between Johannesburg and Durban.
The Special Appropriation Act (2022) provided Transnet with R2.9 billion to accelerate
locomotive repair and maintenance. However, concerns remain regarding the entity’s
ability to service the current demand for cargo transportation on the freight system and
keep pace with tonnage growth. The Adjustments Appropriation Act (2022) provided an
additional R2.9 billion to Transnet to restore infrastructure damage caused during the
April 2022 floods in KwaZulu-Natal, and this work is under way.
During 2023/24, the National Treasury will assess Transnet’s freight corridors and
associated port operations to identify interventions that should be implemented to
improve operations and ensure that freight infrastructure is used optimally.
Table 8.4 summarises the key performance indicators of the major development finance
institutions. The net asset value of development finance institutions grew by 8 per cent to
R161.5 billion in 2021/22, mostly due to the rebound in financial investments and
disbursements as expected.
broader economic recovery. Asset valuations improved, mainly for listed investments.
Total group assets increased to R174. 1 billion in 2021/22 (2020/21: R143.7 billion).
Compensation Fund
The Compensation Fund, including the Mines and Works Compensation Fund, provides
compensation to employees for disablement or death caused by occupational injuries or
diseases. In 2021/22, the fund ran a cash deficit of R0.1 billion after paying out R9 billion
in benefits. The Compensation Fund expects to reach a cash surplus of R0.7 billion in
2025/26, with projected receipts of R12.3 billion and expenditure of R11.6 billion. Net
asset value is expected to improve from R43 billion in 2021/22 to R56.3 billion in 2025/26
as accumulated surpluses increase.
The Public Investment Corporation invests the excess funds accumulated by the GEPF and
the social security funds. At the end of 2021/22, it had R2.55 trillion assets under
management compared to R2.34 trillion in the previous year.
CONCLUSION
Government continues to monitor the financial health of public entities and manage
associated risks. A new framework for managing bailouts to state-owned companies will
support continued reform efforts. Over the medium term, a debt-relief arrangement for
Eskom will enable the utility to improve performance and transition to renewables.
ANNEXURES
INTRODUCTION
Section 7(4) of the Money Bills and Related Matters Act (2009) requires that the Minister of Finance
submit a report to Parliament at the time of the budget explaining how the Division of Revenue Bill
and the national budget give effect to recommendations made by Parliament or why it does not do
so. The recommendations to which this annexure responds are those made in:
• Must provide an assessment of the department’s service delivery performance given available
resources.
• Must provide an assessment of the effectiveness and efficiency of the department’s use and
forward allocation of available resources.
• May include recommendations on the future use of resources.
This annexure provides responses to the portfolio committees’ recommendations and
recommendations from finance committees where they relate to the National Treasury.
A number of committees recommended making additional budget allocations available for certain
programmes, sub-programmes or other budget items. Due to the constrained fiscal outlook, there
is limited scope to do so. Departments, public entities and other institutions are required to
reprioritise existing funds for emerging priorities. In addition, measures to reduce inefficiency and
waste must be implemented by all accounting officers to improve value-for-money.
The department has been advised to resolve the corporate form of the SEE by engaging with the
Public Entities Governance Unit in the National Treasury. This may require a new business case
because the previous one done in 2012 is outdated. The department will provide monthly reports
on these engagements. A preferential procurement framework for government entities is being
explored as part of the new Public Procurement Bill, which will aid the SEE factories.
The Commission for Conciliation, Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA) should be sufficiently resourced
in order for it to respond effectively to its mandate of dispute resolution.
The CCMA has been allocated an additional R120 million over the 2022 medium-term expenditure
framework (MTEF) period to cover the costs related to the increased dispute resolution caseload.
The CCMA, like all government departments and entities, is expected to cover spending pressures
within its baseline through cost containment and reprioritisation. For example, the CCMA should
review its performance bonus policy and consider aligning its salary structure and scales with that
of the public service.
Enrolments in the TVET and CET sectors have been below the set targets over the past three years
even after the targets were reduced. The low enrolments are related to concerns about the quality
and relevance of the programme offerings. Over the 2023 MTEF period, R13.3 billion is allocated for
TVET subsidies, growing at an average annual rate of 2.5 per cent. An amount of R667.3 million is
allocated to subsidies for CET colleges over the same period, growing at an average annual rate of
2.4 per cent. Cabinet is engaging with the input from the Ministerial Task Team on Student Funding
to find a sustainable solution to the increasing demand to provide funding for fee-free higher
education to the missing middle and postgraduate students.
The department’s cost pressures and unfunded priorities amount to R12.6 billion over the MTEF
period. Notwithstanding the current fiscal constraints, the committee recommends that
consideration be made to allocate additional funding to the department to meet its objectives.
Spending on priorities of the Post-School Education and Training (PSET) policy is an investment in
human capital and is critical for sustainable development.
Most departments in government have regularly indicated pressure arising from unfunded
priorities. This highlights the need for departments to work with the National Treasury to assess
their existing baselines and improve efficiency. It also highlights the need to avoid making unfunded
commitments. Given the current constrained fiscal context, no additional funds are available to
increase the baseline. The department is advised to reprioritise funds to fund emerging priorities.
The department should review the subsidy allocated to the Council on Higher Education (CHE) since
it is unable to fulfil its objectives. The entity relies on the utilisation of its roll-over funds to meet some
key performance indicators, and this is not sustainable. The entity is also unable to fund its revised
organisational structure due to limited funding.
This recommendation has been referred to the Department of Higher Education and Training.
Additional funding should be considered for the Quality Council for Trades and Occupations (QCTO)
to fulfil its mandate in line with its revised organisational structure and additional mandate of taking
over the quality assurance role of the Sector Education and Training Authorities (SETAs). Thus, the
approval of its business case and the review of the SETA grant regulations to address the QCTO
funding requirements should be expedited.
Departments and public entities are advised to reprioritise funds within their existing baselines to
fund emerging priorities. At the same time, departments need to consider more efficient
alternatives and innovative solutions to delivering their mandate within the constrained budget. The
QCTO realised a cash surplus of R70.4 million in 2021/22, which it can use to cover any shortfalls in
delivering its mandate.
The Minister continues his efforts with National Treasury, the private sector and international
partners to secure additional funding for the science and innovation portfolio.
Over the 2023 MTEF period, the National Treasury, through the Budget Facility for Infrastructure,
has allocated an additional R1.2 billion to the South African National Space Agency for the Space
Infrastructure Hub project and an additional R1.3 billion to the South African Radio Astronomy
Observatory to expand the Square Kilometre Array project. Policy priorities in the science and
innovation sector will need to be met through reallocations and reprioritisation. An
interdepartmental task team has been established to improve planning and budget coordination of
science, technology and innovation.
As noted, there is little scope to provide additional funding at this time. The Department of Sport,
Arts and Culture is advised to reprioritise funds in order to implement the white paper in a phased
manner.
Condonation requests are addressed in line with the irregular expenditure framework. The
requirements of the framework will be applied when a request is submitted by the department and
the CGE.
The committee requests the National Treasury to consider the requests for roll-over of funds for the
Department of Women, Youth and Persons with Disabilities and the CGE.
Requests for rollovers are considered by a Treasury committee, guided by Treasury Regulation 6.4.
Rollovers that meet the requirements and are approved by the Minister of Finance will be included
in the Adjustments Appropriation Bill. Requests that do not meet the criteria stipulated in this or
other regulations are not recommended.
In 2021/22 and 2022/23, the National Treasury granted approval for the Deeds Registration Trading
Entity to retain its accumulated surplus of R93.3 million and R98.8 million, respectively, mainly for
implementing the e-DRS. In addition, the National Treasury approved the entity’s request to revise
the schedule of fees it charges in terms of Regulation 84 of the Deeds Registries Act (1937) by 6.9
per cent. This revision took effect from 1 April 2022.
Since 2019/20, government has provided R5.8 billion to recapitalise Denel. The 2022 MTBPS noted
that Denel would be allocated R204.7 million to reduce its contingent liabilities arising from its weak
financial position and R3.4 billion to complete its turnaround plan, provided it met the attached
conditions. Although it has received the first amount of R204.7 million, it has not yet met the
conditions for the R3.4 billion. Other key strategic and operational matters fall within the mandate
of the Department of Public Enterprises.
The committee further recommends that the Minister of Finance should consider creating an
enabling environment to encourage public-public partnerships, where government departments and
state-owned companies can collaborate to leverage on the capacity of the state. Secondly,
government departments should be encouraged to use the services of state agencies and state
owned companies. It is our view that Denel would be self-sustainable if its industrial and advanced
manufacturing capabilities were used to produce vehicles and advanced technologies to enhance the
work of the police and other departments.
The National Treasury continues to engage departments on funding-related issues during the annual
budget process. To support the tourism sector’s recovery, the Department of Tourism has
reprioritised R540 million over the 2022 MTEF period to establish the Tourism Equity Fund.
The committee recommends that the National Treasury appropriates budget that will allow sector
recovery and assists in surpassing the 2019 performance levels before the advent of the COVID-19
pandemic.
The committee made a similar recommendation in the 2022 Budget. The National Treasury will
continue to engage the Department of Tourism on funding‐related issues during the annual budget
process and support efforts to enable the recovery of the tourism sector. As noted, the Department
of Tourism has reprioritised R540 million over the 2022 MTEF period to establish the Tourism Equity
Fund and support the tourism sector’s recovery. In addition, the department is allocated R180
million over the next three years to support the piloting of the Tourism Equity Fund introduced in
2021.
The National Treasury agrees with this recommendation. The Department of Defence is allocated
additional funding of R500 million in 2024/25 and R200 million in 2025/26 to procure equipment
and technology to aid the safeguarding of borders. These earmarked funds may not be used for any
other purposes. Any changes to these amounts will require the National Treasury’s approval.
As in the Portfolio Committee on Defence and Military Veterans’ BRRR [budgetary review and
recommendation report] recommendations to the National Treasury in 2019, 2020 and 2021, the
committee again recommends a ring-fenced allocation for the midlife upgrades of the SA Navy
frigates and submarines. The committee is suggesting a staggered approach in this regard to limit
the fiscal impact, but one that would ensure the midlife upgrades of all frigates and submarines over,
for example, the next 7 to 10 years, starting in 2023/24. This will allow the SA Navy to appropriately
plan vessel availability, adjust its sea-hour targets accordingly and report more accurately to
Parliament. It would also add significant capacity in terms of maritime security which is currently
characterised by very limited naval patrols.
funds may not be used for any other purposes. Any changes to these amounts will require the
National Treasury’s approval.
The committee is concerned about the ability of the South African Air Force to effectively provide
logistical and reinforcement support to the South African National Defence Force members deployed
outside South Africa due to limited strategic airlift capacity. The Committee therefore recommends
an urgent ring-fenced allocation to address the strategic airlift shortcomings in the South African Air
Force.
The committee is concerned about the stagnation and lack of investment in the SANDF [South African
National Defence Force] landward defence capability, notably the SA Army’s Infantry capability. This
factor has been worsened by the non-finalisation of Project Hoefyster. The committee therefore
recommends engagement between the National Treasury, the Department of Defence and Armscor
to consider further funding for Phase 2 of Project Hoefyster or, should this not be feasible, the
upgrading of the current Ratel fleet to extend its serviceability. The National Treasury, the
Department of Defence and Armscor should jointly report back to this committee on the envisaged
plan to address the infantry capability constraints. These plans should be included in the
department’s and Armscor’s Annual Performance Plans for 2023/24 and National Treasury should
consider a statement to this effect in the 2023/24 Estimates of National Expenditure.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s concerns. To date, government has invested
R7.4 billion in Project Hoefyster. This project was supposed to acquire 264 infantry fighting vehicles
to partially replace the old Ratel fleet, but these vehicles have yet to be delivered. The National
Treasury is open to engagement with the Department of Defence and Armscor on the feasibility of
the project.
The committee wishes to note to National Treasury that the SANDF’s Mobility Packages being
utilised for border safeguarding have been in use since 2017 and may soon reach the end of their
lifespan. Given the ongoing role of the SANDF in border safeguarding, the committee highlights the
need for the Department of Defence and the National Treasury to jointly plan for upcoming expenses
in this regard towards the end of the 2023 MTEF and beyond. The committee also wishes to reiterate
that the current Mobility Packages were considered an interim solution and any future joint planning
by the department and the National Treasury should consider a more permanent long-term solution
that can effectively aid in ensuring improved border safeguarding.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s recommendation. Over the 2023 MTEF period, the
National Treasury has allocated R700 million to procure helicopters, vehicles and technology for
border safeguarding. The Department of Defence is responsible for the procurement of vehicles or
mobility packages that will improve border safeguarding over the long term.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s concern. Since the 2022 Budget, no reductions have
been made to the baselines of the department, its entities and related Chapter 9 institutions.
Instead, the department has received additional allocations totalling R3.7 billion, the majority of
which was allocated to the National Prosecuting Authority to strengthen capacity and advance the
recommendations of the State Capture Commission. In addition, funds are provided to Legal Aid
South Africa to appoint legal practitioners to service specialised commercial crimes courts, the
Information Regulator to grow its establishment and effectively discharge its legislative mandate,
the Public Protector and the South African Human Rights Commission to increase capacity and
finance once-off information and communications technology, and the Special Investigating Unit to
initiate civil litigation in the special tribunal flowing from proclamations that tie into the
recommendations of the State Capture Commission for investigation.
The National Treasury does not have a provision in place that disallows SAPS from recruiting
additional personnel. SAPS needs to fill its vacant funded posts or appoint additional personnel in
line with its human resource budget plan and cannot exceed its allocated budget for compensation
of employees. SAPS was allocated R5.8 billion over the 2022 MTEF period to appoint 12 000 police
trainees, who will be hired as constables on completion of their training. In addition, SAPS will
receive R7.8 billion over the 2023 MTEF period to appoint 15 000 police trainees. More than
7 000 trainees were recruited in 2022/23 and 10 000 trainees will be appointed in 2023/24.
The committee recommends that the National Treasury should increase the budget of the SAPS to
employ additional personnel, especially qualified and skilled detectives. The National Treasury should
consider ring-fencing this funding to ensure that it is spent as intended.
The National Treasury notes this recommendation. SAPS has indicated that 3 000 of the
15 000 police trainees to be appointed over the 2023 MTEF period will be appointed in detective
services. In the 2020 Budget, the Directorate for Priority Crime Investigation in SAPS was allocated
additional funding of R985 million to appoint investigators to strengthen its capacity and help
address the case backlog.
The committee further recommends that ring fenced funds should be made available to adjust the
service allowances of detectives to retain skilled personnel and attract new detectives.
As part of the 2023 MTEF budget discussions, the National Treasury raised concerns with
departments and entities in the peace and security function about their challenges with staff moving
across institutions for better remuneration. It was recommended that the conditions of service be
standardised across the function to help retain skilled personnel.
The committee recommends that the National Treasury should consider an increase to the IPID’s
[Independent Police Investigative Directorate’s] budget allocation for the 2022/23 financial year and
that this should be taken into account during the budget adjustment period. Funds should be
specifically made available for the appointment of IPID investigators to improve the ratio between
police officers and IPID investigators.
Due to the constrained fiscal outlook, there is limited scope to provide additional funding. The IPID
has not demonstrated that it has the capacity to fully spend its allocated budget. Generally, the
department underspends its budget for compensation of employees due to vacant funded posts.
Accordingly, the IPID will need to demonstrate improved capacity to fill its vacant funded posts and
reduce its underspending on compensation of employees before additional funding is considered.
The committee made a similar recommendation in the 2022 Budget. Accounting officers and
executive authorities are responsible for managing their supply chains. In addition, the National
Treasury provides support through toolkits. Departments and entities can leverage the courses and
training programmes offered to familiarise themselves with the relevant subject matter and
generally accepted definitions and terminologies. The Office of the Chief Procurement Officer has
dedicated officials that deal with queries from stakeholders and will continue to widely publish
invitations for training that it offers. The process of getting B-BBEE certification lies outside the
control of the National Treasury.
The Minister of Finance should assist the Department of Transport in finalising a new feasibility study
linked to the future of Moloto Rail Corridor and other high-speed rail corridors.
The option of building a new railway line along the Moloto Corridor was explored in a feasibility
study undertaken by the Department of Transport in 2015. The National Treasury’s evaluation of
the feasibility study concluded that a railway link through the Moloto Corridor route would be
unaffordable and unsustainable for both commuters and the fiscus. However, the feasibility study
did provide grounds for improvements to the road infrastructure and transport services along the
route, which has led to accelerated work on the Moloto development corridor. A more detailed
response has also been provided to the Select Committee on Appropriation in its recommendation
on the 2019 Division of Revenue Amendment Bill.
half its ideal capacity, since it is significantly affecting service delivery, the correct statement of audit
figures, as well as national security.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s recommendation. Over the medium term, the
Department of Home Affairs will receive additional funding of R900 million for the Border
Management Authority. In addition, R839.9 million is allocated in 2023/24 for the digitisation
programme, of which R559.5 million is for compensation of employees and the remainder will be
used to procure information and communications technology equipment and goods and services.
The committee recommends that the current provision of services to clients on Saturdays and after
4pm should be revived and expanded by the Department of Home Affairs in negotiation with the
National Treasury for funding and trade unions for staff interests prior to the end of the 2019/20
financial year. Consideration, in this regard should be given to the lost productive time for learners,
businesses and employees as well as the essential nature of the services.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Department of Home Affairs.
Funding requests from departments for specific projects are dealt with through the annual budget
process and presented in Parliament for consideration.
The DPSA, in collaboration with the NSG, is consulting the National Treasury on developing a
directive on compulsory training programmes for the public service. The National Treasury has
commented on the draft directive and advised the DPSA and the NSG on the feasible funding
mechanisms for the proposed training programmes. Furthermore, the National Treasury has
highlighted the importance of formulating the provisions of the directive in a manner that is
consistent with the requirements of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) on the powers and
responsibilities of accounting officers and the requirements of the supply chain or procurement
management system. The National Treasury has also highlighted the legislative processes or
arrangements that need to be followed for the NSG to be accorded a sole training provider status.
Through the annual budget process, the National Treasury will continue to work with the DPSA and
the NSG as they develop training policy mechanisms and funding mechanisms for the NSG.
and no credible measures to deal with the rising unemployment, poverty and inequality. The
Committee recommends that the National Treasury should report to the Committee the extent to
which the previously adopted countercyclical fiscal policy and fiscal consolidation have been effective
in stabilising the fiscal framework.
The National Treasury notes the concerns raised by stakeholders. The 2022 MTBPS outlined
additional resources for health, education, free basic services, infrastructure, and safety and
security. The social wage was protected and no spending reductions were proposed. The
2022 MTBPS estimated that gross loan debt would stabilise and a primary budget surplus would be
achieved in 2022/23, showing that fiscal policy is achieving its objectives. Nevertheless, risks to the
fiscal outlook are substantial, including due to a rise in debt and likely effects of the takeover of
Eskom debt as announced in the 2022 MTBPS. Chapter 3 discusses fiscal policy in more detail.
While NT is adamant that the 2022 MTBPS, and the Budget in general, is pro-poor, more and more
people are unemployed and are trapped in poverty and inequality. The Committee remains extremely
concerned about this, especially in the light of an economic growth rate that is too low to address
poverty, inequality and unemployment challenges. The Committee recommends that the Budget
should consider far more the impact of the high cost of living on the economy, particularly on the
poor households.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s recommendation. It is important to note that fiscal
policy alone cannot solve the challenges of poverty and unemployment. The economic outlook is
determined by a variety of factors that are mostly not in the control of fiscal policies. Nevertheless,
the 2023 Budget continues to allocate the majority of spending to the social wage, which supports
poorer households. In addition, the combined impact of structural reforms, support for small
business and new infrastructure investment will enable higher rates of growth and job creation over
the long term.
The Committee notes the submissions made by the stakeholders regarding increasing the social
grants and is sympathetic to them. The Committee also welcomes the extension of the SRD [social
relief of distress] grant by another year. Given the consequences of Covid-19, the July 2021 social
unrest, the KZN floods and the increased poverty, inequality and job losses, the unemployed and poor
need to be cushioned more. The Committee reiterates its previous position that the National Treasury
and government should seriously consider a Basic Income Grant (BIG).
The National Treasury, together with partner departments, is reviewing options to provide
appropriate social protection measures for the working-age population that can replace or
complement the current COVID-19 social relief of distress grant. Any permanent increase in
expenditure, such as a new social grant, will need to be matched by permanent revenue increases
or spending reductions elsewhere.
While the National Treasury expects gross loan debt to stabilise at 71.4 per cent of GDP in 2022/23,
which is two years earlier and at a lower level than projected in the 2022 Budget Review, the
Committee remains concerned about the high levels of the debt. The Committee reiterates its
recommendation that the National Treasury reports quarterly to it on the effectiveness of its debt
management strategies that would ensure that the level of debt stabilises over the medium term as
expected and that extra-budgetary costs and contingent liabilities do not increase the debt levels
further.
The National Treasury shares the Committee’s concerns about the levels of debt. The National
Treasury publishes an annual debt management report and information on outstanding debt on the
investor relations website: http://investor.treasury.gov.za/pages/default.aspx. In addition, in line
with section 32 of the Public Finance Management Act, the National Treasury provides monthly
statements on revenue, expenditure and borrowing compared to the budget on its website. The
Budget Review and MTBPS provide insight on the medium-term fiscal strategy, as discussed in
Chapter 3.
The Committee notes, with great concern, the significant risks to the fiscal framework and the fact
that the National Treasury confirmed that the risks previously identified in the 2022 Budget have
already materialised. The continued bailout of SOEs [state-owned enterprises] undermines
government’s fiscal stabilisation efforts. The Committee recommends that the bailing out of SOEs,
which is one of the biggest risks to the fiscus, should be subject to stringent conditions and
accountability measures. In this regard, the Committee notes the proposed conditional allocations
to public entities such as Denel, SANRAL and Transnet in order to reduce contingent liabilities and
enable these entities to continue supporting economic growth. The Committee recommends a similar
approach as far as possible be taken on all SOE bail-outs.
The National Treasury agrees with these recommendations. Chapter 8 discusses the new framework
for state-owned companies, which will support the implementation of these recommendations.
The Committee further recommends that the National Treasury should consider South African
Institute of Chartered Accountants [SAICA] and Financial and Fiscal Commission [FFC]
recommendations on SOEs, which include a focus on operational deficiencies and proper
management of procurement, contracts and payments, a risk-based approach to government
guarantees and that a differentiation be made between repair and maintenance spending versus
funding for new infrastructure.
The National Treasury notes this recommendation. SAICA and FFC recommendations on operational
deficiencies will be considered as part of the operational conditions for providing financial support
to state-owned companies.
Since November 2021, the South African Reserve Bank has hiked the repurchase (repo) rate by
275 basis points with the intention of maintaining price stability amid raging inflation. While
inflation targeting falls within the ambit of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB), the Committee is
concerned about the impact of the continued tightening of monetary policy and the impact of this
on the cost of living, particularly for the poor and unemployed. The Committee however understands
that there are global pressures as other central banks are tightening their monetary policy in
response to inflation in their jurisdictions. The Committee believes that there is however a need for
far more effective coordination between the fiscal and monetary policies and recommends that the
National Treasury considers the FFC’s view that “if fiscal policy is credible and sustainable, that would
remove pressure from the monetary policy or on the SARB to hike interest rates”. The Committee will
also engage with SARB in order to understand if there are no other favourable policy alternatives
that could be implemented, within the constitutional and legislative mandate of SARB, which would
not involve the aggressive hiking of the repo rate.
Stable fiscal policy is a necessary condition for reducing pressure on monetary policy, particularly in
a small open economy such as South Africa. At the same time, it is not a sufficient condition for
eliminating it altogether. The National Treasury, in consultation with the Reserve Bank, sets the
inflation target, which acts as a benchmark against which price stability is measured. The Reserve
Bank then independently sets monetary policy to achieve this target. Fiscal policy and monetary
policy both contribute to a stable macroeconomic framework to support investment, economic
growth and job creation. The Reserve Bank considers many factors in its decision-making process.
Fiscal policy remains focused on stabilising public debt and ensuring sustainable public finances in
support of macroeconomic stability. At the same time, government enables economic and social
development by maintaining a prudent fiscal stance, directing resources towards infrastructure,
contributing to energy reforms and supporting the social wage.
In the 2022 Budget Speech in February, the Minister of Finance stated that he had agreed with the
Minister of Minerals and Energy to review all aspects of the fuel price. The Committee further notes
and welcomes the fuel levy relief announced by the two Ministers in March and May 2022, with the
aim of alleviating pressure of the rising fuel costs on households. The Committee requires that the
Minister of Finance reports back to it on progress made in reviewing all aspects of the fuel price
regime.
The Minister of Finance has committed to reviewing the Road Accident Fund levy. The
recommendation has been referred to the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, which is
responsible for reviewing the fuel price.
The Committee notes that the 2022 MTBPS does not appear to have explicitly budgeted for fighting
corruption and Gender Based Violence (GBV) while the levels of crime in the country are increasing.
The Committee also notes concerns from stakeholders in this regard and urges the National Treasury
to explicitly consider these issues in the budget and the budget process.
The 2022 MTBPS included proposals for resources to fight corruption and crime over the medium-
term. Over the next three years, SAPS will use funding allocated to the visible policing programme
to strengthen its capacity to respond to gender-based violence. Over the same period, the
Department of Justice and Constitutional Development is strengthening its focus on gender by
establishing 109 sexual offences courts at designated courts and improving the management of the
national register for sex offenders to ensure that all people working with vulnerable people are
vetted. The department has allocated R27.5 million over the MTEF period to increase capacity in
Thuthuzela care centres.
The Committee reiterates its concerns about NT’s very late introduction of the (anti-money
laundering and counter-terrorism financing) bills to Parliament and notes that despite the potential
greylisting of South Africa by FATF [Financial Action Task Force] and the dire impact on the economy
that this outcome could have, particularly on foreign direct investment, the exchange rate, access to
corresponding banking and cross-border trade, the 2022 MTBPS neither mentions this as a risk to
the fiscus in its risk statement nor analyse its potential impact over the medium-term. The Committee
urges NT to consider the impact that greylisting may have on the 2022 proposed fiscal framework.
A multi-disciplinary effort under the leadership of the National Treasury is heavily focused on
avoiding grey listing. As noted in the 2022 MTBPS, maintaining the integrity of South Africa’s
financial system is critical to long-term growth. Government is addressing deficiencies in the anti-
money laundering framework identified by the Financial Action Task Force. These changes are
intended to reduce the risk and incidence of financial crime and corruption, and to avoid grey listing.
Over the 2023 MTEF period, functions critical to the anti-money laundering regime, particularly in
the law enforcement agencies and the Financial Intelligence Centre, will receive additional resources
to carry out this work.
The Committee is concerned that there appears to be lack of understanding of the future of the
Gauteng e-tolls. While the public seems to believe that the e-tolls have been scrapped, clarification
was provided that a new funding model was being proposed to fund the e-tolls. The Committee
requires the Minister of Finance to provide a written response on this after adoption of this report.
As announced in the 2022 MTBPS speech, government is taking over the costs associated with
upgrading and maintaining phase 1 of the Gauteng Freeway Improvement Programme from users.
The new funding model for this system is the financing arrangements between national government
and the Gauteng provincial government. This is not national government’s preferred option, and
the policy position is that direct road user charges remain the most efficient, effective and equitable
financing mechanism. The provincial government will contribute to the costs associated with this
infrastructure investment.
The Committee recommends, as it has in its previous reports, that the Public Procurement Bill be
tabled in Parliament for processing. The Committee believes that delays in tabling and processing
this Bill compromises transformation and localisation (procurement of locally produced goods.) In
compliance with section 217 of the Constitution, the Committee believes that black economic
empowerment, youth, women, and people living with disabilities should be given preference when
procuring.
It is envisaged that the bill will be tabled in Parliament in March 2023 once all other legislative
processes are finalised. Currently, the bill is undergoing legal vetting by the Office of the Chief State
Law Adviser and a socioeconomic impact assessment by the Presidency.
The Presidency has developed reporting requirements for this programme and requires monthly
reporting. Moreover, funding was provided for projects that were ready for implementation, based
on the strength of the application submitted.
The Minister of Finance, working with all affected stakeholders, ensures that National Treasury
speedily releases disaster relief funding in order to minimise the social and economic impact of
affected communities.
The National Treasury has noted with concern the slow pace of disaster response and the slow pace
of the release of funds by the national departments to the provinces and municipalities. In this
regard, it is important to highlight that funds are released based on the payment schedule submitted
by the responsible transferring officer and approved by the National Treasury. The accounting
officers of departments that have disaster relief funding on their budgets are responsible for
releasing funding in line with the legal requirements. Where disaster relief funding is disbursed in
terms of a conditional grant, the relevant accounting officer and the relevant receiving officer
(province or municipality) are obligated to comply with grant conditions in terms of the Division of
Revenue Act. In the meantime, the National Treasury will continue working with counterparts to
address the efficiency of disaster responses.
That the Minister of Finance, working with all stakeholders, ensures that National Treasury provides
for a transparent process regarding fiscal support to SOCs [state-owned companies], reports should
be made public, including the establishment of SOC governance framework with public reporting
criteria that clearly defines detailed and precise profitability and non-financial objectives for
transparency.
The National Treasury provides quarterly updates to Parliament (Standard Chart of Accounts) on the
broad-based financial performance of schedule 2 public entities.
Small businesses are very important for economic development, recovery and employment creation.
The Committee urges the Minister of Finance to substantially increase the budget of this Department
of Small Business Development during the 2023 national budget. This will ensure that Department
of Small Business Development plays its critical role in the economy.
The Department of Small Business Development is allocated R8.1 billion over the next three years.
Over the medium term, R2.7 billion has been allocated to the department’s Small Enterprise
Development Agency to support small businesses. Additional support of R280 million over the MTEF
period will be provided to small businesses through incentives provided by the department. The
National Treasury will continue to review the budget of the department, including to identify
opportunities for better prioritisation and improved efficiency.
The Committee urges the Minister of Finance to finalise the Public Procurement Bill with explicit
localisation and economic empowerment imperatives.
The National Treasury notes the recommendation. It is envisaged that the bill will be tabled in
Parliament in March 2023 once all other legislative processes are finalised. Currently, the bill is
undergoing legal vetting by the Office of the Chief State Law Adviser and a socioeconomic impact
assessment by the Presidency. The National Treasury included a chapter on preferential
procurement with enabling provisions covering locally manufactured goods and preferences in the
allocation of contracts to support historically disadvantaged people.
The Committee welcomes the extension of the SRD grant with one more year. However, to create
certainty for the Department of Social Development and South African Social Security Agency, the
Committee recommends the extension of SRD grant for the next three years while a permanent
security programme is being finalised.
The National Treasury notes the recommendation. Government is reviewing options for social
protection alternatives to the grant. Further extensions of the grant need to be funded through
spending reprioritisation, increased revenue or a combination of the two.
The South African Post Office (SAPO) plays a crucial role in the economy of South Africa, especially
among the poorest of the poor. There is a need for recapitalisation of SAPO and the Minister of
Finance, in consultation with the Minister of Communication and Digital Technologies, should finalise
the recapitalisation strategy and present this in the 2023 national budget.
The South African Post Office was allocated a cumulative amount of over R7.3 billion between
2016/17 and 2018/19. Despite these equity injections, SAPO has not emerged from its present
financial weakness. In this regard, the National Treasury has engaged with the Department of
Communications and Digital Technologies to finalise a credible turnaround plan for the entity. In the
meantime, a R2.4 billion allocation for the South African Post Office is included in the second
adjustments appropriation bill tabled.
That the Minister of Finance ensures that National Treasury strictly implement all conditions on the
proposed allocation to Sanral SOC Limited, Denel SOC Limited and Transnet SOC Limited.
Furthermore, the Minister of Finance must ensure that National Treasury produces regular quarterly
reports to Parliament on the implementation [of] these conditions and the disbursement of the
proposed allocations as envisaged on the Bill.
The National Treasury notes the recommendation and will provide presentations and quarterly
reports where required.
The changes were gazetted as part of Government Gazette No. 47987 of 3 February 2023.
The Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs ensures that disaster Management
Centre closely monitor funding allocated for disaster relief and ensures that these relief packages
are clearly communicated to affected communities.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Cooperative Governance
and Traditional Affairs.
The Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs must ensure that the eThekwini
Metropolitan Municipality effectively and speedily spend the proposed R92 million towards the
procurement of identified land for the relocation of floods victims who were previously residing in
informal settlements that were washed away by the April 2022 floods.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Cooperative Governance
and Traditional Affairs.
The Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs and the Minister of Public Works and
Infrastructure ensures that both the Department of Public Works and Infrastructure and the
Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs assess available government land
that can be used for the relocation of the April 2022 floods and report to Parliament.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Cooperative Governance
and Traditional Affairs and the Minister of Public Works and Infrastructure.
The Minister of Finance, working with all affected stakeholders, ensures that National Treasury
speedily releases disaster relief funding in order to minimise the social and economic impact of
affected communities.
The funds are released based on the payment schedule submitted by the responsible transferring
officer and approved by the National Treasury. The National Treasury notes that the slow release of
funds is due to poor internal processes within departments and ineffective intergovernmental
cooperation. In this regard, disaster funds already allocated to departments need to be efficiently
but judiciously released.
The Minister of Finance ensures that National Treasury periodically audit how disaster relief funds
are spent, and or whether these funds are efficiently utilised for the benefit of affected communities.
Given the number of recent disasters and the funds allocated towards disaster relief, the Committee
is concerned and doesn’t want to again be informed of any level of corruption like what was found
during the COVID-19 related funding. Where there is a suspicion of corruption elements, National
Treasury should quickly intervene and immediately report such to the law enforcement agencies.
The National Treasury periodically monitors all funds transferred to subnational government.
However, sector departments are responsible for both financial and non-financial monitoring of
these funds and should intervene timeously if there is non-compliance. The authority to audit
programmes lies with the Auditor-General of South Africa, who has already undertaken a series of
special audits related to disaster relief.
The Minister of Basic Education ensures that the Department of Basic Education closely monitor the
reconstruction and rehabilitation of public schools that were affected by the December 2021 and
April 2022 in the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal Provinces. The Minister must ensure that the
Department provides quarterly expenditure and progress report on the reconstruction and
rehabilitation of these affected schools.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Basic Education.
The Minister of Transport ensures that the Department of Transport closely monitor the proposed
R1 billion allocations for the provincial roads maintenance grant for the repairs of provincial roads
that were affected by the April 2022 floods and quarterly report to the Committee on progress made
with regard to the repairs of the affected roads in Eastern Cape, North West and KwaZulu-Natal
Provinces.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Transport.
The conditions have been shared with the Speaker of the National Assembly and the Chairperson of
the Select Committee on Appropriations.
The Minister of Finance, together with the Minister of Public Enterprises and the Minister of
Transport, should ensure that the pre- and post-conditions prescribed for the bail-outs are fully
complied with, and that clear consequences are explicitly outlined as part of such conditions; so that
appropriate action will be taken against the transgressor in the case of non-compliance.
Furthermore, the Committee is of the view that, in order to encourage transparency in public
finances, any bail-out must have conditions that are publicly available for continuous accountability
and oversight.
The National Treasury agrees with the recommendation and has set up oversight teams to monitor
progress on the implementation of the bailout conditions. Spending that is inconsistent with the
purpose of or the conditions associated with the allocations may be deemed irregular expenditure.
In terms of sections 38 and 51 of the Public Finance Management Act, irregular expenditure may be
deemed financial misconduct. The associated sanction in terms of the Public Finance Management
Act and the Public Audit Act (2004) will apply in these circumstances.
The Minister of Finance, together with the Minister of Public Enterprises and the Minister of
Transport, should ensure that all additional funds earmarked for their respective departments are
spent according to the approved plans and within the ambit of the Special Appropriation Bill [B24 –
2022], and ensure that clear internal controls and financial management systems are put in place to
prevent poor, wasteful and fruitless expenditure, and that consequence management is enforced.
Parliament will continue to monitor the implementation and expenditure of such allocations through
regular in-year monitoring by sector committees and the section 32 reports required by the Public
Finance Management Act No.1 of 1999.
The National Treasury has set up oversight teams to monitor progress on the implementation of the
bailout conditions. For Denel and Transnet, no funds can be disbursed without evidence that the
conditions have been met.
Whilst recognising the need for government to intervene where there is market failure, the
Committee believes that the provision of continuous financial support to state-owned entities (SOEs)
directly from the fiscus will continue to compromise social programmes for the poor and other
developmental obligations. As part of the overall SOE turnaround strategy, the Committee is calling
for concrete steps to be taken by the Department of Public Enterprises, the National Treasury, the
Department of Transport and other departments with ailing public entities to strengthen oversight,
leadership capacity/boards of directors and financial management capacity, and to ensure the
appointment of suitably qualified and experienced officials to turn around the balance sheets of
these entities within a reasonable period of time after the adoption of this Report by the House.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Public Enterprises and
Minister of Transport, who are responsible for appointing board members and executive
management in the state-owned enterprises within their departments. While the National Treasury
has oversight responsibilities over the state-owned enterprises, the boards and executive
management of the entities have the fiduciary responsibilities. Furthermore, the shareholder
departments play a leading role in turning around the entities.
The Committee does not encourage the tabling of special appropriation bills in Parliament, unless
they are absolutely necessary and dictated by exceptional circumstances as it may signal budgeting
challenges related to fiscal uncertainty. When these bills are introduced, it needs to be done
timeously so that Parliament has sufficient time to engage with the public and process them
accordingly.
• Provincial Roads Maintenance Grant, to allow for spending on rural bridges under the
Welisizwe Rural Bridges Programme.
• Education Infrastructure Grant framework.
• Municipal Disaster Recovery Grant framework.
The National Treasury gazetted the proposed amendments to conditional grants to cater for the
December 2021 and April 2022 floods and disasters on 3 February 2023.
The KwaZulu-Natal Province should put proper mechanisms in place to ensure that the additional
R48.5 million allocated reaches the intended beneficiaries who are mostly the victims of the April
2022 floods; to provide formula and disposable nappies for babies; meals for people in shelters;
payment for shelter-based social workers and supervisors; and the payment for the Shelters’
Tracking System.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional
Affairs, should ensure prompt response when disasters happen, including transfer of the much-
needed funds earmarked for disaster relief; and ensure the effective spending of the additional R3.3
billion to the Municipal Disaster Recovery Grant for the reconstruction and rehabilitation of
municipal infrastructure damaged by floods in the Western Cape, the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-
Natal.
The National Treasury shares concerns regarding the slow release of funds, and has referred this
recommendation to the Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs. Funds are only
released after the affected provinces or municipalities have submitted applications as per the
Disaster Management Act (2002). The grant conditions set out the planning and reporting
requirements to assist in monitoring and reviewing the performance of the disaster recovery
programme.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Human Settlements and the eThekwini
Metropolitan Municipality, should expedite the process of relocating the victims of the April 2022
floods and disasters, which were residing in informal settlements in eThekwini. The Committee
believes that the amendment of the framework of the Informal Settlements Upgrading Partnership
Grant: Municipalities to ring-fence funds for the purchase of land identified for the relocation will
assist to fast-track the process.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Human Settlements. The
provincial department of human settlements and the municipality are responsible for implementing
emergency housing programmes, as set out in the Housing Code.
Given the impact of the recent floods, the Committee recommends that government should consider
providing municipalities with performance-based conditional grants, rewarding or incentivising
programmes that are environmentally efficient and responsive to the adaptation and mitigation of
the challenges of climate change.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Cooperative Governance
and Traditional Affairs. The Disaster Management Act requires all organs of state to prevent and
mitigate disasters, and this is also considered when funding is made available to respond to a
disaster.
The National Treasury should correct the allocations and effect the required changes to the
Municipal Disaster Recovery Grant (MDRG) framework to ensure that MDRG allocations are
correctly allocated to the municipalities assigned for the function.
The correctly assigned allocations were gazetted in Government Gazette No. 47987 of 3 February
2023.
The Committee believes that a proper review with respect to local government transfers is necessary,
especially from a vertical perspective of the division of revenue; taking into account the increasing
number of dysfunctional and financially distressed municipalities, the factors of geography and
rurality and the nature of local development; to ensure proper equitable sharing of nationally raised
revenue amongst the three spheres of government. Furthermore, this should include a proper re-
examination of the assumptions in the Local Government White Paper, testing their applicability and
relevancy, given the current situation.
The National Treasury notes this recommendation. The Technical Budget Forum, made up of the
National Treasury, the Department of Cooperative Governance, the South African Local Government
Association and the Financial and Fiscal Commission, is assessing the assumptions in the Local
Government White Paper. The vertical division of revenue is considered and approved by Cabinet.
The Department of Health, together with its provincial counterparts, should ensure that the
estimated 28 000 vacancies are filled, where funding is available, to address staff shortages in areas
where sufficient health workers are required to be at an appropriate level of care. Furthermore, the
departments should address the issues of increasing compensation of employees and medico-legal
claims, given its negative impact on the consistent availability of medicines and other health
essentials.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Health.
While the National Treasury, together with the Department of Health, continue to find ways to
improve grant expenditure trends, the Committee urges both Departments to make more funds
available in the 2023 budget for the Health Facility Revitalisation Grant to repair the health facilities
destroyed in KwaZulu Natal and the Eastern Cape during the April 2022 floods. A progress report
should be provided in this regard in the next budget cycle.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Health. Provinces
applied for funding to reconstruct and rehabilitate schools and provincial roads, but not health
facilities, following the April 2022 floods.
The Department of Communications and Digital Technologies should ensure that a clear plan is
developed and implemented to address the issue of 6 000 Post Office workers who are about to lose
their jobs; and that the issue of statutory payments, such as to the Unemployment Insurance Fund
(UIF), medical aid schemes and pension funds, is also addressed. The Committee is of the view that
failure to transfer statutory payments is unacceptable and consequence management must be
implemented immediately. A progress report should be provided in this regard in the next budget
cycle.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Communications and
Digital Technologies.
The South African Local Government Association (Salga), together with the Department of Water
Affairs, the Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs, the University of Pretoria
and the Development Bank of Southern Africa, should continue to intensify capacity building efforts
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Water and Sanitation,
the Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs and SALGA.
With regards to the R30 billion bail-out to Sanral, Denel and Transnet, the Department of Public
Enterprises, the Department of Transport and the National Treasury should be conscious of the fact
that state-owned entities (SOEs) cannot rely on government financial support forever, even if it is
financed through higher than anticipated revenues. The Committee is of the view that provision of
continuous financial support to SOEs directly from the fiscus will continue to compromise social
programmes for the poor and other developmental obligations. As part of the SOE turnaround
strategy, the Committee is calling for concrete steps to be taken by the Department of Public
Enterprise and the Department of Transport to strengthen oversight, leadership capacity/boards of
directors and financial management capacity, and to ensure the appointment of suitably qualified
and experienced officials to turn around the balance sheets of these entities within a reasonable
period after the adoption of this Report by the House.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Public Enterprises and
the Minister of Transport.
National Treasury, together with the Department of Women, Youth and Persons with Disabilities,
should find a way to develop appropriate mechanisms to design and implement more gender-
responsive budgeting, to address the scourge of gender-based violence in South Africa. This should
include strengthening and capacitating gender-based violence desks at police stations, to ensure
that such cases are resolved expeditiously.
The National Treasury is working with stakeholders including the Department of Women, Youth and
Persons with Disabilities and the Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation to develop a
roadmap and tools to facilitate the implementation of gender-responsive budgeting across
government. The National Treasury is leading an interdepartmental steering committee for gender-
responsive budgeting with representatives from these three departments. Guidelines have been
developed outlining the implementation of gender-responsive budgeting and these will be
discussed with departments in 2023/24.
Whilst the Committee welcomes the extension of the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) Grant with a clear
understanding that this was introduced as a temporary measure during the COVID-19 pandemic; the
Committee implores the Department of Social Development to ensure that proper internal control
systems are put in place to effectively manage and distribute the Grant; that criteria to ensure the
Grant reaches all intended beneficiaries are continuously improved, given the uncertainty in the job
market; and that any allegations of corruption are investigated and law enforcement agencies
allowed to deal with such matters expeditiously.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Minister of Social Development.
The National Treasury welcomes this recommendation. Virements and shifting of funds are always
carried out in line with the relevant legislation and regulations, including those cited by the
committee.
The National Treasury should approve and gazette in the Adjustments Appropriation Bill [B23 -2022]
an adjusted amount of R12.9 billion, of which R6.4 billion (49 percent) goes to the Department of
Cooperative Governance and the Department of Transport to address the April 2022 floods in
KwaZulu-Natal and the Eastern Cape. The Committee implores both Departments to strengthen
expenditure control and financial management systems to realise value for money.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s recommendation. In the 2022 Adjustment Budget, the
Department of Cooperative Governance and the Department of Transport received R3.6 billion and
R1.8 billion, respectively. This was for the reconstruction and rehabilitation of municipal
infrastructure as well as the maintenance of roads damaged by floods in KwaZulu-Natal and the
Eastern Cape. The 2022 Adjustments Appropriation Bill has been enacted and gazetted accordingly.
The National Treasury will continue to engage these departments to ensure that expenditure control
and financial management systems are strengthened.
The National Treasury and the Department of Home Affairs should ensure that proper financial
management controls and clear plans and milestones are developed and put in place for the
spending of the proposed adjustment amount of R500 million for the digitisation project, to avoid
wasteful and fruitless expenditure.
The National Treasury notes the committee’s recommendation and will engage the Department of
Home Affairs on aspects of the recommendation that are relevant to the department.
The National Treasury should approve and gazette the roll-over amount of R990.5 million,
emanating from the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development and the
Department of Communications and Digital Technologies. The Committee implores both
Departments to develop clear and time-bound remedial actions, with specific targets, to address
under-spending and improve service delivery performance, while ensuring project are completed on
time.
The National Treasury notes the recommendation. Requests for rollovers are always considered
within the parameters set by Treasury Regulation 6.4. In the 2022 Adjustment Budget, a rollover of
R231 million was approved for the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development
to provide inputs to smallholder farmers under the presidential employment initiative. In addition,
a rollover of R200 million was approved in the 2022 Adjustment Budget for the Department of
Communications and Digital Technologies for phase 2 of the presidential employment initiative.
The Department of Cooperative Governance and the National Disaster Management Centre (NDMC),
together with National Treasury, should undertake a review of the disaster management and
administrative processes in order to ensure rapid response and transfer of much-needed relief funds
for victims; and to ensure quality standards when repairing and rebuilding damaged infrastructure,
while ensuring that projects are completed on time. Parliament will continue to follow up on this.
The National Disaster Management Centre is reviewing the disaster management risk framework
and expects to complete this by 31 March 2023.
The Committee implores the Department of Higher Education and Training and National Treasury to
ensure that the issues of maladministration and corruption raised by the Auditor-General of South
Africa (AGSA), which are negatively affecting the capacity of sector education and training
authorities (SETAs) to deliver, are urgently addressed and consequence management implemented,
where necessary. Parliament will continue to monitor progress.
The Minister of Higher Education, Science and Innovation is the executive authority to whom each
of the SETA boards is accountable. The minister, through the Department of Higher Education and
Training, must ensure that SETA boards, as the accounting authority, address all issues raised by the
Auditor-General. The National Treasury will support the department in this regard when requested
or where necessary.
The National Treasury and Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation (DPME) should
ensure that better alignment between performance targets and budget allocations is realised at a
planning and budgeting phase, to ensure correlation between expenditure and performance targets
achieved at the end of the year. Notwithstanding the fact that there is a need to improve planning,
the Committee also believes that government should evaluate its programmes, and discard those
that are continuously not bearing any results; instead of relying on incrementalism.
The National Treasury welcomes this recommendation. The National Treasury, together with the
DPME, evaluates departmental annual performance plans and strategic plans to ensure the
performance targets align with the budget allocated during the budget process. In 2021/22, the
National Treasury, in consultation with departments, conducted several spending reviews to
evaluate programmes and to encourage departments and other institutions to reprioritise funds
within existing programmes to fund emerging priorities.
With regards to the Vaal River Pollution Remediation Project, the Department of Water Affairs and
Sanitation, together with the National Treasury, should ensure that project planning for the Regional
Bulk Infrastructure Grant projects is properly done timeously to avoid funds being rolled over to the
next financial year or returned to the fiscus. The Committee believes that the failure to spend on
infrastructure budgets continues to undermine government’s commitment to implement an
infrastructure-led economic recovery.
The National Treasury has referred this recommendation to the Department of Water Affairs and
Sanitation.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of the Police, should ensure that adequate
resources are allocated for detective services, and that planning is continuously improved for the
Integrated Criminal Justice Strategy (ICJS), to avoid non-expenditure, such as the R30 million, by the
Department.
The National Treasury notes this recommendation. The detective services programme is allocated
R66.3 billion over the MTEF period, of which R7 billion is allocated to the Directorate for Priority
Crime Investigation. The National Treasury will continue working with the department to improve
planning for the ICJS to avoid non-expenditure in 2023/24.
The National Treasury agrees with this recommendation. Over the 2023 MTEF period, the National
Treasury has allocated the full amounts requested by the National Prosecuting Authority
(R1.3 billion) and the Special Investigating Unit (R100 million) to implement the recommendations
of the State Capture Commission. SAPS is allocated R7.8 billion over the period to improve capacity
in police stations.
The National Treasury, together with its provincial counterparts, should ensure that mechanisms to
continuously improve provincial conditional grant expenditure are implemented, as articulated in
the conditional grant frameworks, to achieve value for money, particularly for the proposed
additional grant funding earmarked through the Budget Facility for Infrastructure (BFI). These
include funding for the Comprehensive Agricultural Support Programme (CASP) for KwaZulu-Natal,
the Education Infrastructure Grant for Gauteng, the Provincial Roads Maintenance Grant for rural
bridges, the National Health Insurance Indirect Grant for the Limpopo Central Hospital, as well as
the Coega Development Corporation for water services in the Eastern Cape.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Cooperative Governance, provincial
departments of cooperative governance and the South African Local Government Association
(Salga), should expedite the review of the capacity-building system for local government as well as
the development of a multi-year programme to improve basic service delivery outcomes and cost
effectiveness. The National Treasury should also fast-track the design of a revised programme and
agree on an integrated approach to local government capability development for the 2023 MTEF.
The National Treasury supports the recommendation. The review was completed and
recommendations reported on in the 2022 Budget. Government has developed a multi-year
programme, which will be completed by March 2024, to improve the outcomes and cost-
effectiveness of its capacity-building system. Several institutions are piloting the programme.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Cooperative Governance, provincial
treasuries and provincial cooperative governance departments and the South African Local
Government Association (Salga), should ensure that proper plans are continuously implemented to
improve the quality of spending and performance in local government to achieve value for money;
in light of the proposed allocation amounting to R523 billion, including R161.8 billion in conditional
grants.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Cooperative Governance and its provincial
counterparts, should put proper mechanisms in place to ensure that the much-needed relief funding
earmarked for disaster recovery promptly reaches the deserving beneficiaries/victims; and improve
the expenditure for the proposed additional allocation of R2.8 billion to the Municipal Disaster
Recovery Grant to fund the repair and reconstruction of municipal infrastructure damaged by the
April 2022 floods.
The National Treasury, together with the Department of Cooperative Governance and its provincial
counterparts should ensure that proper planning and monitoring is conducted to avoid wasteful and
fruitless expenditure as well as corruption for the proposed R6.5 billion earmarked for the eThekwini
Metropolitan Municipality; the City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality; the Drakenstein
Local Municipality; the Sol Plaatjie Local Municipality and the Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan
Municipality, to fund municipal infrastructure projects approved through the sixth window of the
Budget Facility for Infrastructure (BFI) over the MTEF.
The National Treasury and Cabinet should ensure that a concerted effort is exerted to address the
financial challenges experienced by municipalities in financial distress. Furthermore, a portion of the
higher than anticipated revenue generated should be utilised to alleviate financial pressures for
these municipalities; with such an intervention being accompanied by stringent conditions to enforce
accountability, and improved oversight.
The National Treasury has been working closely with the Department of Cooperative Governance to
respond robustly to instance of dysfunction in municipal governance. The National Treasury
considers that internal management and political dysfunction are the key causes of the financial
challenges in municipalities. In this regard, working with provincial treasuries and the Department
of Cooperative Governance, the National Treasury continues to build financial capacity in
municipalities and support municipalities in financial distress. Over the next three years, the local
government equitable share is allocated an additional R5.3 billion. This will assist in alleviating some
financial pressures on municipalities. Cabinet approves the budget and decides how the higher-
than-anticipated revenue is used.
INTRODUCTION
The primary aim of the tax system is to raise sufficient revenue for government spending. It can also
promote socioeconomic objectives through targeted tax exemptions, deductions or credits. Tax
expenditures are estimates of the total revenue foregone as a result of this preferential tax
treatment. This annexure presents government’s latest estimates of the fiscal cost of tax
expenditures, as well as the methodology used to produce these estimates.
Tax expenditure documents promote transparency and accountability. They help government and
the public assess the costs, benefits and overall effectiveness of this expenditure. The National
Treasury has enhanced its tax expenditure reporting and evaluation in recent years by adding
several new expenditure estimates based on tax administrative data. Since the 2022 Budget,
selected corporate tax expenditures are presented on a sectoral basis.
In 2020/21 – the latest year for which data is available – tax expenditures were estimated at
R252 billion or 4.5 per cent of GDP. For that year, 35 tax expenditures were calculated, as in 2017/18,
and the five largest expenditures accounted for nearly 60 per cent of the total. These relate to
deductions for pension contributions, value‐added tax (VAT) relief for basic items, medical tax
credits on contributions to medical schemes, and vehicle manufacturer incentives.
The revenue foregone approach assumes that taxpayers do not change their behaviour in response
to a tax expenditure being withdrawn. In reality, behaviour is likely to change if an incentive is
withdrawn, so the additional revenue collected may be less than estimated.
Most of the personal income tax and corporate income tax estimates are calculated using
administrative data from the South African Revenue Service (SARS), which allows expenditure
estimates to be accounted for on an accrual basis.
cent annually over 20 years for residential and commercial buildings, respectively. This constitutes
the most likely baseline against which to measure the UDZ allowance and has been factored into
the tax expenditure calculation for the 2023 Budget. As a result, the UDZ tax expenditure estimates
decrease over the reporting period.
More accurate data and estimation methodologies have prompted revisions to the historical tax
expenditure estimates in tables B.1 and B.2.
2020/21 57 23 14 6
2017/18 53 25 14 8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Per cent
Research and development (R&D) tax incentive (section 11D of the Income Tax Act)
The R&D tax incentive aims to encourage more private-sector companies to invest in R&D by
providing a 150 per cent deduction for expenditure on eligible scientific or technological R&D carried
out in South Africa. This incentive was recently reviewed and Chapter 4 contains proposals in this
regard.
Table B.1 shows the five sectors that benefited the most from this tax incentive, which remain
unchanged from the outcome reported in the 2022 Budget Review. Almost half of the tax
expenditure has supported the manufacturing sector. The agricultural sector has also benefited,
highlighting that this incentive encourages R&D within sectors that are important for job creation.
Participation exemption in terms of foreign dividends and share sales (section 10B(2) of the Income
Tax Act)
To qualify for the participation exemption, a resident company (or group of companies) must hold
10 per cent or more of the total equity shares and voting rights of a company declaring a foreign
dividend. The exemption aims to encourage resident companies to repatriate dividends and prevent
economic double taxation (if dividend withholding tax is due in the foreign country, for example).
Qualifying companies are also exempt from capital gains tax on the sale of shares.
Annexure B of the 2020 Budget Review explains how the tax expenditure for the exemption is
calculated. Table B.1 highlights the five sectors that benefited the most between 2017/18 and
2020/21. The reported numbers relate solely to the exempt foreign dividend element, as there is
insufficient information to publish the tax expenditure associated with the capital gains tax element.
On average, 1 460 taxpayers benefit from the participation exemption (limited to dividends)
annually. The financial intermediation, insurance, real estate and business services sector benefits
the most – both in respect of the number of taxpayers and the monetary element.
This annexure should be read with Chapter 4 of the Budget Review. It elaborates on some of the
proposals contained in the chapter, clarifies certain matters and presents additional technical
proposals arising from the annual tax policy process.
Table C.2 Annual income tax payable and average tax rates, 2023/24 (taxpayers aged 65 to 74)
Taxable income (R) 2022/23 rates (R) Proposed Tax change (R) % change Average tax rates
2023/24 rates Old rates New rates
(R)
120 000 – – – – – –
150 000 1 575 321 -1 254 -79.6% 1.1% 0.2%
200 000 10 575 9 321 -1 254 -11.9% 5.3% 4.7%
250 000 21 495 19 353 -2 142 -10.0% 8.6% 7.7%
300 000 34 495 32 353 -2 142 -6.2% 11.5% 10.8%
400 000 62 840 59 828 -3 012 -4.8% 15.7% 15.0%
500 000 94 405 90 828 -3 577 -3.8% 18.9% 18.2%
750 000 187 663 182 498 -5 165 -2.8% 25.0% 24.3%
1 000 000 288 811 282 840 -5 971 -2.1% 28.9% 28.3%
1 500 000 493 811 487 840 -5 971 -1.2% 32.9% 32.5%
2 000 000 709 547 700 160 -9 387 -1.3% 35.5% 35.0%
Source: National Treasury
Table C.3 Annual income tax payable and average tax rates, 2023/24 (taxpayers aged 75 and over)
Taxable income (R) 2022/23 rates (R) Proposed Tax change (R) % change Average tax rates
2023/24 rates Old rates New rates
(R)
150 000 – – – – – –
200 000 7 578 6 176 -1 402 -18.5% 3.8% 3.1%
250 000 18 498 16 208 -2 290 -12.4% 7.4% 6.5%
300 000 31 498 29 208 -2 290 -7.3% 10.5% 9.7%
400 000 59 843 56 683 -3 160 -5.3% 15.0% 14.2%
500 000 91 408 87 683 -3 725 -4.1% 18.3% 17.5%
750 000 184 666 179 353 -5 313 -2.9% 24.6% 23.9%
1 000 000 285 814 279 695 -6 119 -2.1% 28.6% 28.0%
1 500 000 490 814 484 695 -6 119 -1.2% 32.7% 32.3%
2 000 000 706 550 697 015 -9 535 -1.3% 35.3% 34.9%
Source: National Treasury
104.01.05 1901.90.13 Preparations for making alcoholic beverages (excluding those of 34,7c/kg 34,7c/kg
subheading 1901.90.20) as defined in Additional Note 2 to Chapter 19
104.01.10 1901.90.20 Traditional African beer powder as defined in Additional Note 1 34,7c/kg 34,7c/kg
to Chapter 19
104.05 21.06 Food preparations not elsewhere specified or included:
104.05.10 2106.90.13 Preparations for making alcoholic beverages as defined in Additional 34,7c/kg 34,7c/kg
Note 1 to Chapter 21
104.10 22.03 Beer made from malt:
104.10.10 2203.00.05 Traditional African beer as defined in Additional Note 1 to 7,82c/li 7,82c/li
Chapter 22
104.10.20 2203.00.90 Other R121.41/li aa R127.40/li aa
104.15 22.04 Wine of fresh grapes, including fortified wines; grape must
(excluding that of heading 20.09):
104.15.01 2204.10 Sparkling wine R16.52/li R16.64/li
104.15 2204.21 In containers holding 2 li or less:
104.15 2204.21.4 Unfortified wine:
104.15.03 2204.21.41 With an alcoholic strength of at least 4.5 per cent by volume but R4.96/li R5.20/li
not exceeding 16.5 per cent by vol.
104.15.04 2204.21.42 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.15 2204.21.5 Fortified wine:
104.15.05 2204.21.51 With an alcoholic strength of at least 15 per cent by volume but R8.36/li R8.77/li
not exceeding 22 per cent by vol.
104.15.06 2204.21.52 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.15 2204.22 In containers holding more than 2 li but not more than 10 li:
104.15 2204.22.4 Unfortified wine:
104.15.13 2204.22.41 With an alcoholic strength of at least 4.5 per cent by volume but R4.96/li R5.20/li
not exceeding 16.5 per cent by vol.
104.15.15 2204.22.42 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.15 2204.22.5 Fortified wine:
104.15.17 2204.22.51 With an alcoholic strength of at least 15 per cent by volume but R8.36/li R8.77/li
not exceeding 22 per cent by vol.
104.15.19 2204.22.52 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.15 2204.29 Other:
104.15 2204.29.4 Unfortified wine:
104.15.21 2204.29.41 With an alcoholic strength of at least 4.5 per cent by volume but R4.96/li R5.20/li
not exceeding 16.5 per cent by vol.
104.15.23 2204.29.42 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.15 2204.29.5 Fortified wine:
104.15.25 2204.29.51 With an alcoholic strength of at least 15 per cent by volume but R8.36/li R8.77/li
not exceeding 22 per cent by vol.
104.15.27 2204.29.52 Other R245.15/li aa R257.23/li aa
104.16 22.05 Vermouth and other wine of fresh grapes flavoured with plants
or aromatic substances:
104.16 2205.10 In containers holding 2 li or less:
104.16.01 2205.10.10 Sparkling R16.52/li R16.64/li
In 2022, the Income Tax Act (1962) was amended to provide that, when an individual ceases to be
a South African tax resident, the annual interest exemption applicable to individuals in terms of
section 10(1)(i) is apportioned and the capital gains tax annual exclusion applicable to individuals in
terms of paragraph 5(1) of the Eighth Schedule to the act is limited. To ensure there is alignment
with the act’s other provisions for individuals ceasing to be tax residents, it is proposed that further
changes be made to section 12T(4)(a) to apportion the tax-free investment contribution limitation
and section 11F(2)(a) to apportion the annual limit on the deduction of the retirement funds
contributions.
The Income Tax Act contains anti-avoidance rules aimed at curbing the tax-free transfer of wealth
to trusts using low-interest or interest-free loans, advances or credit. These rules deem any interest
foregone in respect of low-interest or interest-free loans, advances or credit to a trust to be a
donation subject to a donations tax. The deemed donation is calculated as the amount by which the
official rate of interest exceeds any amount of interest incurred in this regard. These anti-avoidance
rules have certain exclusions. For example, the rules do not apply if the low-interest or interest-free
loan, advance or credit is used to purchase a primary residence for the person advancing that low-
interest or interest-free loan, advance or credit to the trust, company or spouse of such person. The
above-mentioned exclusion does not fully encompass what constitutes a primary residence in terms
of the Eighth Schedule of the act. It has also come to government’s attention that, in instances where
the low-interest or interest-free loan, advance or credit is denominated in foreign currency, the rules
do not provide clarity on how and when this amount should be converted to South African rands.
This affects the calculation of the deemed donation. It is proposed that amendments be made to
the legislation to provide clarity in this regard.
Retirement provisions
Clarifying the amount of employer contribution to a retirement fund to be deductible
Section 11F(4) of the act deems an employer contribution to a retirement fund as a contribution
made by the employee, and it is calculated as the amount equal to the cash equivalent of the value
of the taxable benefit. However, there is no requirement that the calculated cash equivalent be
included in the employee’s income, as is the case in sections 6A and 6B of the act. This is against the
policy rationale of the act’s provisions. To address this, it is proposed that the act be amended to
require that the cash equivalent of the taxable benefit for employer retirement fund contributions
be included in an employee’s income before a tax deduction is allowed.
In 2022, changes were made to the act to allow for tax-neutral transfers between retirement funds
by members who are 55 years or older in instances where transfers of retirement interests in
relation to a member who has reached normal retirement age has not yet opted to retire. It has
come to government’s attention that there are some instances where active contributing pension
and provident fund members who have reached retirement age and been subjected to involuntary
transfers to another pension or provident fund may still be subject to tax. To address this, it is
proposed that members of pension or provident funds who have reached the normal retirement
age as stipulated in the rules of that fund but have not yet opted to retire must, as part of the
involuntary transfer, be able to have their retirement interest transferred from a less restrictive to
a more restrictive retirement fund without incurring a tax liability. The value of the retirement
interest, including any growth thereon, will remain ring-fenced and preserved in the receiving
pension or provident fund until the member elects to retire from that fund. This means that these
members will not be entitled to the payment of a withdrawal benefit in respect of the amount
transferred.
Business (general)
Reviewing Practice Note 31 of 1994 and Practice Note 37 of 1995
In 1994 and 1995, the South African Revenue Service (SARS) issued Practice Note 31 of 1994, entitled
Interest paid on moneys borrowed, and Practice Note 37 of 1995, entitled Deduction of fees paid to
accountants, bookkeepers and tax consultants for the completion of income tax returns. On 16
November 2022, SARS issued a notice informing the public of the intention to withdraw both
practice notes, with effect from years of assessment starting on or after 1 March 2023, due to the
increasing abuse of the tax deduction concession provided for in Practice Note 31 and the fact that
Practice Note 37 does not incorporate the requirements of the term “registered tax practitioner”
contained in the Tax Administration Act (2011). After reviewing the public comments received on
the withdrawal of the practice notes, government will consider the impact of the proposed
withdrawal and whether changes could be made in the tax legislation to accommodate legitimate
transactions affected by such withdrawal. In light of this proposal, SARS also intends to delay and
align the withdrawal of the practice notes with the effective date of any legislation arising from the
proposed considerations.
The act contains anti-avoidance rules targeting debt-like equity instruments – for example, third-
party backed shares – and deeming any dividend or foreign dividend received by or accrued to any
person in respect of a third-party backed share as income. The anti-avoidance rules do not apply if
the funds derived from the issue of the shares in question are used to directly or indirectly acquire
equity shares of an operating company. At issue is the fact that these rules do not deem any dividend
or foreign dividend received by or accrued to any person in respect of a third-party backed share as
income when the shares in that operating company are no longer held by the person who initially
acquired them. Government proposes that the legislation be clarified in this regard.
Government has identified a structure where a foreign holding company that holds shares in a
valuable South African operating company through a foreign intermediary could avoid dividends tax
by changing the tax residency of the foreign intermediary to South Africa. When this takes place,
the contributed tax capital is recognised as an amount equal to the market value of its shares. The
South African operating company then distributes dividends to the new South African tax resident
company, and such dividends are exempt from tax because dividends between South African
companies are not subject to tax. When the new South African company makes distributions to the
foreign holding company, the distributions are shielded by contributed tax capital and regarded as
capital distributions, and are not subject to dividends tax in the hands of the foreign holding
company. These capital distributions are also not subject to capital gains tax in the hands of the
foreign holding company if the underlying investment in South Africa is not in immovable property.
To address this abuse, government proposes that amendments be made to the tax legislation.
After a company changes its tax residence to South Africa, it is possible for that company’s functional
currency and share capital to be denominated in a currency other than the rand. Although the act
contains specific rules dealing with the conversion of amounts denominated in foreign currency to
rands, these rules do not specifically cater for the conversion of contributed tax capital to rands.
Government proposes that the legislation be clarified in this regard.
In 2017, changes were made to the debt relief rules in section 19 and paragraph 12A of the Eighth
Schedule to the Income Tax Act. Section 19 deals with income tax implications for debt that was
previously used to fund tax-deductible expenditure, such as operating expenses, and where
deductions may be claimed for assets such as trading stock and allowance assets. Paragraph 12A of
the Eighth Schedule deals with capital gains tax implications for debt that was used to acquire capital
or allowance assets. Both these rules contain a dormant company exemption, which applies when
a debt is owed between companies that form part of the same group of companies. A debtor
company is regarded as being dormant if it has not conducted trading activities in the year of
assessment in which the debt benefit arose nor in the year of assessment preceding that year.
However, this exemption does not apply if the debt was used to fund an asset that was subsequently
disposed of in terms of the corporate reorganisation transactions provided in Part III of Chapter II of
the act. At issue is whether the disposal in terms of the corporate reorganisation transactions is
envisaged to take place subsequent to the asset’s acquisition, but prior to the debt reduction, or
whether the disposal is meant to take place subsequent to the acquisition and the debt reduction.
When changes were made to the debt relief rules in 2017, the policy rationale was that the exclusion
from applying the dormant company rule should not restrict the timing of the disposal under the
corporate reorganisation rules. Government proposes clarifying the legislation to reflect this policy
rationale.
Clarifying the interaction of provisions on the acquisition of assets in exchange for shares
The act contains provisions dealing with the acquisition of assets in exchange for shares. These
provisions prescribe a base cost for assets acquired by companies in exchange for the issue of that
company’s shares to the seller equal to the sum of the market value of the shares and, where
applicable, the amount of the capital gain triggered by the application of the anti-value shifting rules.
In 2021, further changes were made in the tax legislation to make provision for the deemed base
cost to apply to corporate reorganisation transactions. At issue is whether allowances in respect of
an asset acquired in exchange for shares issued to the seller may be determined according to the
deemed base cost. Government proposes that the legislation be clarified in this regard.
In 2020, changes were made to unbundling transaction rules to curb tax avoidance where
unbundling transactions are used to distribute shares of unbundled companies to tax-exempt
persons or non-resident investors. As such, tax is not deferred on an unbundling transaction in
respect of any equity share that is distributed by an unbundling company to any shareholder that is
a disqualified person and holds at least 5 per cent of the equity shares in the unbundling company
immediately before the transaction.
These changes result in the pro-rata operation of the anti-avoidance rule and ensure a more
equitable outcome in unbundling transactions, because only shares distributed to persons who are
not disqualified persons will benefit from rollover relief. In 2021, further changes were made to the
rules to allow shareholders in an unbundling company that only partially qualifies for tax deferral to
benefit from an increase in the base cost of the shares in the unbundled company to the extent that
the unbundling company did not qualify for tax deferral in accordance with its respective
shareholding. Government proposes that further consideration should be given to whether it is
appropriate to apportion tax paid by the unbundling company between the unbundling company
shares and the unbundled company shares, and to situations where the unbundling company is not
in a taxable position due to having capital losses or assessed losses.
The definition of “adjusted taxable income” in section 23M(1) of the act means taxable income
calculated before applying the interest limitation rules, including the addition of any assessed loss
or balance of assessed loss allowed to be set off against income in terms of section 20. There is
uncertainty stemming from the inclusion of the terms “assessed loss” and “balance of assessed
loss”. Government proposes that the legislation be amended to align with the policy intent that only
the balance of assessed losses from the prior year be added in the adjusted taxable income
calculation.
Currently, section 23M(1) of the act defines “debt” and “debtor”, but it does not define the term
“creditor”. Government proposes that this definition be added to section 23M of the act.
Section 23M(7) of the act provides that any exchange difference deducted from the income of a
person as contemplated in sections 24I(3) or (10A) of the act is deemed to have been incurred by
that person. While section 23M(7) deems exchange losses to be incurred, a corresponding deemed
accrual does not apply to exchange gains. This could result in exchange gains not being taken into
account as interest received or accrued for purposes of section 23M of the act. Government
proposes that exchange gains be classified as interest received or accrued for the purposes of
section 23M of the act.
The proviso to section 23M(2) contains a formula that reduces the amount of interest disallowed
for deduction based on the extent to which withholding tax on interest must be withheld under Part
IVB of the chapter. However, it does not adequately specify that this adjustment should only apply
in the case of interest flowing to non-residents. Government proposes that the legislation be
clarified in this regard.
Extending the provisions of section 23M(6) of the act to apply to South African lending institutions
Section 23M(6) generally makes provision for the exemption from the application of interest
limitation rules where the creditor provides a loan to a taxpayer with funds granted by a lending
institution – in this instance, a foreign bank. Government proposes that section 23M(6) of the act
be amended to extend this exemption to apply to South African lending institutions.
Reviewing the outcome of the interaction between the “controlling relationship” definition in section
23M(1) and the rule in section 23M(2)(c) of the act
In 2021, changes were made to the definition of “controlling relationship” in section 23M(1) by
adding a connected person test. In addition, further changes were made to section 23M(2)(c) by
inserting a group companies test in instances where the creditor is not in a controlling relationship
with the debtor. Government will review how the definition of “controlling relationship” in section
23M(1) and the provisions of 23M(2) interact in light of the intended policy outcome.
In 2010, legislation dealing with Sharia-compliant financing arrangements was introduced in various
tax acts. Government proposes to extend the provisions dealing with Sharia-compliant
arrangements and ensure alignment across all the tax acts.
Refining the provisions dealing with the impact of International Financial Reporting Standard 17
insurance contracts on the taxation of insurers
In 2022, changes were made in the tax treatment of short- and long-term insurers in sections 28 and
29A of the act to accommodate the new accounting standard for insurers, International Financial
Reporting Standard (IFRS) 17, to be applied to all insurance contracts for accounting periods starting
on or after 1 January 2023. It has come to government’s attention that certain third-party cell
captive arrangements are treated as reinsurance arrangements for IFRS purposes. As a result, there
are reinsurance assets and liabilities recognised for IFRS purposes in relation to a portion of cell
profits due to or from the cell owner. For tax purposes, these are not true commercial reinsurance
arrangements, and these balances should be disregarded in determining a cell captive insurer’s
taxable income. In addition, cell captive arrangements effected in terms of preference share
arrangements may be accounted for under IFRS17 or IFRS9. Insurance contract liabilities (IFRS17)
and investment contract liabilities (IFRS9) are both included in the “adjusted IFRS value” definition
in section 29A of the act. Where a separate liability is recognised in respect of profits due to the cell
owner, it may be possible that such a liability may also be included in the “value of liabilities”
definition in section 29A of the act, resulting in the double-counting of the liability. To address this
issue, government proposes that reinsurance contracts relating to an owner as contemplated in the
definition of “cell structure” in section 1 of the Insurance Act (2017) be disregarded. In addition,
changes should be made to the definition of “value of liabilities” in section 29A of the Income Tax
Act to exclude any other liabilities relating to a cell owner.
Business (incentives)
Clarifying the meaning of “person” in the provisions dealing with public benefit organisations,
recreational clubs and associations
The act contains special tax dispensation for public benefit organisations, recreational clubs and
associations due to their non-profit status. Because these entities enjoy a special tax dispensation,
various rules exist that limit the manner in which these entities operate or require greater
accountability and stricter governance. These include requirements that the entity must have three
unconnected persons who accept fiduciary responsibility and that no single person may directly or
indirectly control the decision-making powers of the entity. At issue is whether the word “person”
in these requirements refers to a natural person or a juristic person. Government proposes
amending the legislation to clarify that “person” in this context refers to a natural person.
In 2021, changes were made to the act to allow for a discretionary extended compliance period of
up to two additional years for companies with approved industrial policy projects to comply with
the provisions of section 12I in cases where there were bona fide reasons for non‐compliance due
to business‐related disruptions caused by the COVID‐19 pandemic. At issue is the uncertainty over
the interaction between the skills development criteria and the extended compliance period.
Government will consider further legislative amendments to clarify the intention of providing
taxpayers with additional time to meet the section 12I requirements and the extent to which the
incentive criteria should be met over the extended compliance period.
International
Extending the anti-avoidance provision to cover foreign dividends from shares listed in South Africa
Section 10B of the act exempts foreign dividends received or accrued from shares listed on a South
African stock exchange from normal tax. This exemption was introduced because these foreign
dividends may be subject to dividends tax. It has come to government’s attention that schemes have
been devised to exploit this exemption. The scheme involves South Africans investing in the shares
of a non-resident company listed on a South African stock exchange and the non-resident company
directly or indirectly investing in interest-bearing financial instruments in South Africa. The result is
that a deduction for an interest expense is not matched with a taxable foreign dividend. It is
proposed that the round-tripping anti-avoidance provision for foreign dividends be amended to
include foreign dividends received or accrued from shares listed on a South African stock exchange
if the foreign dividends are directly or indirectly funded by amounts that were deductible in South
Africa.
Interaction between the anti-avoidance rule and exemption applying to foreign dividends
The act contains an anti-avoidance rule in terms of which the participation exemption does not apply
to a foreign dividend if any amount of the foreign dividend arises directly or indirectly from an
amount that is deductible from the income of any person under the Income Tax Act. The policy
rationale for this measure is that a deductible amount should not be received by a resident or a
controlled foreign company (CFC) as an exempt amount. A further exemption that applies to foreign
dividends limits the effective tax rate for foreign dividends accruing to residents to a rate of 20 per
cent. This exemption has the effect that amounts that are allowed to be deducted for income tax at
a rate of 27 per cent or marginal tax rates are taxed at a rate of only 20 per cent where the anti-
avoidance provision applies. It is proposed that the exemption to tax foreign dividends at
20 per cent should not apply where the anti-avoidance rule is applicable.
Clarifying the foreign business establishment exemption for controlled foreign companies
The act contains anti-avoidance rules in section 9D aimed at taxing South African residents on an
amount equal to the net income of a CFC. To strike a balance between protecting the tax base and
enabling South African multinationals to compete offshore, the CFC rules contain exemptions for
certain types of income. For example, amounts that are attributable to a foreign business
establishment of a CFC, as defined in section 9D, are excluded from the net income of the CFC. A
foreign business establishment consists of a fixed place of business located outside South Africa that
is used or will continue to be used for the business of the CFC for at least one year. To be so defined,
a foreign business establishment must also satisfy requirements relating to the nature of the
business. For example, the fixed place of business should be suitably staffed with onsite managerial
and operational employees of that CFC. The fixed place of business should be suitably equipped and
have suitable facilities for conducting the primary operations of the business. The definition of a
foreign business establishment allows for the structures, employees, equipment and facilities of
another company to be taken into account if these are all located in the same country as the CFC’s
fixed place of business, the other company is subject to tax in the same country where the CFC’s
fixed place of business is located and it forms part of the same group of companies as the CFC. It has
come to government’s attention that some taxpayers are retaining certain management functions
but outsourcing other important functions for which the CFC is also being compensated by its
clients. This is against the policy rationale of the definition of a foreign business establishment. It is
proposed that the tax legislation be clarified such that, to qualify as a foreign business
establishment, all important functions for which a CFC is compensated need to be performed by the
CFC or by the other company meeting the requirements listed above.
The gradual relaxation of exchange control regulations has led to an increase in applications to SARS
for confirmation of tax compliance status of a person for purposes of transferring funds offshore via
authorised dealers. Government is concerned about the difference between the rules covering the
normal tax treatment of income attributed to beneficiaries of trusts in section 25B of the act and
the rules covering the tax treatment of capital gains in relation to beneficiaries in paragraph 80 of
the Eighth Schedule to the act. Paragraph 80 makes provision for capital gains to be attributed only
to beneficiaries who are South African tax residents. The paragraph does not allow for capital gains
to flow through to non-resident beneficiaries. Those capital gains for non-resident beneficiaries are
taxed in the trusts and the trust is liable for the payment of the tax. Thereafter, distributions can be
made to non-resident beneficiaries. In contrast, section 25B does not distinguish between
beneficiaries who are and are not South African tax residents. The flow through of amounts from
South African tax resident trusts to non-resident beneficiaries makes it difficult for SARS to collect
income tax from those non-resident beneficiaries as it is more complicated to enforce recovery
actions against non-residents. To address this, it is proposed that changes be made to section 25B
to align it with the provisions of paragraph 80.
Refining the participation exemption for the sale of shares in foreign companies
Paragraph 64B of the Eighth Schedule of the act contains a participation exemption relating to the
sale of shares in foreign companies and section 10B contains a participation exemption relating to
foreign dividends from foreign companies. The main aim of these exemptions is to encourage the
repatriation to South Africa of foreign dividends and the proceeds on the sale of shares in foreign
companies to non-connected non-residents. Government has identified certain transactions that do
not achieve this aim but for which the participation exemption for the sale of shares in foreign
companies applies. These transactions include, for example, instances where restructuring of a
group of companies entails the sale of shares to recently formed non-resident companies although
there is no change in the ultimate shareholders. Government proposes changing the tax legislation
to not grant the participation exemption if the sale of shares is to a non-resident company that
formed part of the same group of companies as the company disposing of the shares, or the
shareholders are substantially the same as the shareholders of any company in the group of
companies disposing of the shares.
Refining the participation exemption for the foreign return of capital from a CFC
The participation exemption relating to the sale of shares in foreign companies is subject to certain
qualifying requirements. One of these requirements is that the South African tax resident selling the
shares in a foreign company should have held those shares for at least 18 months prior to the sale.
In 2012, changes were made to the act to extend the participation exemption to apply in respect of
the foreign return of capital from a CFC. However, the participation exemption for the foreign return
of capital from a CFC does not have a similar 18-month holding requirement. To close this loophole,
it is proposed that a similar holding requirement be introduced for the participation exemption in
respect of the foreign return of capital from a CFC.
Value-added tax
Reviewing the value-added tax (VAT) treatment of specific supplies in the short-term insurance
industry
In 2013, SARS first issued Binding General Ruling 14, which deals with the VAT treatment of specific
supplies in the short-term insurance industry. This was updated in 2018 and 2020. In 2019, changes
were made to section 72 of the VAT Act (1991), which related to the SARS Commissioner’s
discretionary powers over VAT decisions. These changes affected decisions made before
21 July 2019, including Binding General Ruling 14. Government proposes making changes to the VAT
Act to clarify the VAT treatment of specific supplies in the short-term insurance industry.
In the early years of the mobile telecommunications industry in South Africa, subscribers to mobile
telecommunication services could use prepaid vouchers only to purchase the services offered by
that mobile telecommunication company such as calls and short message services. The evolution of
the industry and technological advances have made it possible for prepaid vouchers to also be used
for other services provided by third parties where the mobile telecommunication company acts as
an agent of that third party – for example, data offerings and mobile money services. The VAT Act
does not provide clarity in instances where prepaid vouchers are used for services provided by a
third party, the mobile telecommunication company is acting as an agent and/or those third-party-
provided services are regarded as exempt supplies or non-taxable supply in the VAT Act. It is
proposed that changes be made to the act to provide clarity.
With effect from 1 April 2022, a new section 18D was introduced in the VAT Act to clarify the VAT
treatment of temporary letting of residential property. Consequential amendments were made to
other sections of the VAT Act including section 10, which deals with how to determine the value of
supply of goods and services. At issue is whether the term “adjusted cost” contemplated in section
10(29) of the VAT Act also includes the cost of the land. It is proposed that section 10(29) be clarified
in this regard.
Clarifying the rule dealing with recovery of the previous declared output tax
In general, section 18D(5) of the VAT Act makes provision for a vendor that previously made an
output tax adjustment under section 18D(2) of the act to reclaim that tax through a deduction under
section 16(3)(o) in the tax period after the vendor exits the temporarily applied period of 12 months.
However, section 18D(5) ( c) refers to a situation in which section 18(1) of the act applies. This
creates an anomaly as section 18D(5) ( c) can never apply in the given circumstances. To address
this anomaly, it is proposed that section 18D(5) ( c) of the VAT Act be deleted.
Clarifying VAT rules dealing with documentary requirements for gold exports
The main purpose of gold refineries is to refine and smelt gold or ore received from various
customers, namely depositors. In most instances, the refineries also act as agents and sell or export
gold on behalf of these depositors. Gold from more than one depositor is typically required to make
up the volume ordered for sale or export. When the depositor delivers their gold to the refinery, the
refinery issues a sale of gold certificate to the depositor and the value of the gold deposited is
determined using that day’s morning, afternoon or spot London Bullion Market Association gold
price. After the refining or smelting, it is difficult to determine which depositor’s gold is sold or
exported because the gold loses its original identity during refinery and smelting. As a result,
depositors find it difficult to obtain the documentary evidence to support the application of the zero
rate on a transaction-by-transaction basis in relation to their gold as contemplated in the regulations
issued in terms of section 74(1) of the VAT Act read with paragraph (d) of the definition of
“exported” in section 1(1). To address this, it is proposed that changes be made to the VAT Act.
Effective from 1 July 2022, government introduced regulations aimed at foreclosing schemes and
malpractices to claim undue VAT refunds from SARS by vendors operating in the value chain relating
to high-risk goods containing gold. These regulations allowed vendors a transitional period of one
month – from 1 July 2022 to 1 August 2022 – to comply with the requirements. This implied that
registered vendors must account for and pay VAT for transactions falling within the ambit of the
regulations in the August 2022 tax period. It has come to government’s attention that the
regulations require further clarification in the areas outlined below.
Currently, Regulation 1 defines “residue” to mean any debris, discard, tailings, slimes, screening,
slurry, waste rock, foundry sand, beneficiation plant waste or ash. At issue is whether this definition
relates only to residue as a result of mining operations and does not include residue as a general
concept. It is proposed that this be clarified.
Currently, Regulation 1 defines “valuable metal” to mean any goods containing gold in the form of
jewellery, bars, blank coins, ingots, buttons, wire, plate, granules, or in a solution or residue or
similar forms, including any ancillary goods or services. This definition excludes supplies of goods
produced from raw materials by any holder as defined in section 1 of the Mineral and Petroleum
Resources Development Act (2002) or by any person contracted to such holder to carry on mining
operations at the mine where the holder carries on mining operations. It also excludes a supply of
goods contemplated in section 11(1)(f), (k) or (m) of the VAT Act. At issue is the fact that some
vendors interpret the phrase “any goods containing gold in the form of jewellery, bars, blank coins,
ingots, buttons, wire, plate, granules” to mean that the gold component must be in the prescribed
forms, as opposed to goods containing gold supplied in the prescribed forms. It is therefore
proposed that the policy rationale for the definition be clarified.
The definition of “valuable metal” excludes supplies of goods produced from raw materials by any
holder or by any person contracted to such holder as explained in the preceding proposal. There is
uncertainty over the scope of the exclusion relating to holders or persons contracted to holders. It
is proposed that the definition be clarified to remove uncertainty and curb possible abuse.
The definition of “valuable metal” does not take into account the gold content and leads to
unintended consequences in instances where jewellery or other goods are gold plated with a thin
layer of gold. It is proposed that a de minimis rule be introduced in the definition to provide guidance
in relation to this type of jewellery or other goods that are gold plated with a thin layer of gold. A de
minimis rule refers to the Latin maxim, which means that law does not concern itself with trivialities,
for example matters too small or insufficiently meaningful to be taken into consideration.
Aligning the definition of “valuable metal” with the Precious Metals Act (2005)
It is proposed that the definition of “valuable metal” be amended to include gold in the form of a
sponge or powder, as these forms are included in the Precious Metals Act.
As noted above, the regulations contained transitional measures allowing vendors one month to
ensure that they comply with the requirements. It has come to government’s attention that some
vendors do not fully understand the application of the transitional measures. As a result,
government proposes amending the regulations to clarify that the transitional measures require
registered vendors to account for and pay VAT for transactions falling within the ambit of the
regulations in the tax period covering 1 August 2022.
In terms of Regulation 3(e), the recipient of valuable metal is required to issue a statement to the
supplier within 21 days of the end of the calendar month during which the tax has been accounted
and paid for detailing, among other things, the percentage of the gold content within the valuable
metal. At issue is the fact that the recipient may not always be in a position to determine this gold
content. It is proposed that the regulations be changed to transfer the responsibility for declaring
the percentage of the gold content from the recipient to the supplier. This will account for recipients
that do not in the ordinary course of business use specialised instruments to measure the gold
content in goods, such as computer equipment.
Carbon tax
Extending the utilisation period in the Carbon Offsets Regulations
The Carbon Offsets Regulations, which came into effect on 1 June 2019, make provision for a
utilisation period up to 31 December 2022 for carbon offsets from projects under taxable activities.
When this utilisation period was included in the regulations, it was aligned with the initial first phase
of the carbon tax. In the 2022 Budget, the first phase of the carbon tax was extended by three years
from 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2025. It is proposed that the utilisation period also be changed
in the Carbon Offsets Regulations to align it with the extension of the first phase of the carbon tax.
These amendments will take effect from 1 January 2023.
Aligning the fuel emission factors with methodological guidelines and regulations
In October 2022, the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment gazetted amended
methodological guidelines for quantifying greenhouse gas emissions. The amendments include
updated carbon dioxide emission factors for domestic (tier 2) emissions reporting for existing fuel
types and added fuel types. The updated emission factors will take effect for the department’s 2023
reporting period, covering emissions during 2022. To align the Carbon Tax Act (2019) with these
guidelines, it is proposed that a new table be inserted into schedule 1 of the act to provide the tier
2 emission factors. Further changes to the emission factors may be added to the Tax Laws
Amendments Act (2023) if the department publishes further updates. The amendments will take
effect from 1 January 2023.
Table C.5 : Emission factors to be added in schedule 1 for country-specific tier 2 carbon dioxide reporting
(stationary and non-stationary emission categories)
Type of Fuel Type CO2 EF Net NCV unit Net Density (kg/l)
change (kgCO2/TJ) Calorific Calorific
Value (NCV) Value
(TJ/Tonne)
New Tier 2 Aviation Gasoline 65,752 NU NU NU 0.714
Emission Diesel 74,638 35.5 MJ/l 0.0355 0.8255
Factors Heavy Fuel Oil 73,090 NU NU NU 0.994
Jet Kerosene 73,463 34.4 MJ/l 0.0344 0.794
LPG 64,852 46.29 MJ/kg 0.04629 NU
Paraffin 64,640 NU NU NU 0.765
Petrol 72,430 32.5 MJ/l 0.0325 0.7405
New fuel type Refuse Derived Fuel 83,000 23.8 MJ/kg 0.0238 -
Sawdust 110,000 14.6 MJ/kg 0.0146 -
Waste Tyres 85,000 33.7 MJ/kg 0.0337 -
*‘NU’ denotes that the value was not updated
Section 4(2) of the Carbon Tax Act provides the formulas to be used to calculate total greenhouse
gas emissions. In 2019, changes were made to the formula for fugitive emissions to provide for
converting the unit of the emission factors for the different greenhouse gases from volume to mass
Single window for advance passenger information and passenger number record data
SARS is implementing a modern online traveller management system, which has been piloted on a
voluntary basis at King Shaka International Airport since November 2022. The system is aimed at
strengthening SARS’s capability to facilitate legitimate traveller movements, providing travellers
with clarity and certainty regarding their obligations, easing compliance, detecting non-compliance
and improving enforcement of legislation by SARS and other agencies. It is proposed that the
Customs and Excise Act be amended to provide for the declaration of the required information
before arrival in or departure from South Africa.
There are currently no provisions in the act relating to the liquidation of provisional payments that
serve as security in certain circumstances and that are not claimed back by the trader. Government
proposes amending the act to enhance the current processes and procedure for such payments
below a specified amount or that remain unliquidated after a specified period and to introduce a
prescription period for unclaimed amounts.
Tax administration
Aligning tax registration requirements for non-resident employers
It has been noted that non-resident employers may not have representative employers in South
Africa for purposes of employees tax. They are, as a result, not liable to deduct or withhold tax from
the remuneration that is paid to their employees who render services in South Africa. Nevertheless,
given that they pay remuneration, they are required to register with SARS as employers. They are
liable for skills development levies and unemployment insurance contributions, which many pay. It
is proposed that the various provisions be aligned to ensure consistency.
The Fourth Schedule to the Income Tax Act allows employers to request a variation in employees’
tax withholding to take into account foreign taxes paid. However, such a variation does not apply to
remuneration arising from share options and similar schemes. This could result in cash flow
implications for the affected employees, as they will only be entitled to claim a foreign tax credit
when they complete their annual tax returns. It is proposed that SARS be empowered to vary the
basis for withholding under these circumstances.
Expanding the general disclosure provisions for section 18A approved organisations
In terms of the Tax Administration Act (2011), SARS may disclose a list of public benefit organisations
approved in terms of sections 18A and 30 of the Income Tax Act. As a broader range of entities than
public benefit organisations may be granted approval to issue receipts for tax-deductible donations
in terms of section 18A, it is proposed that SARS be explicitly empowered to disclose all entities with
a section 18A approval.
Extending the time period to submit a return where taxpayers disagree with an auto-assessment
SARS may make an assessment based on an estimate where a taxpayer does not submit a return.
The taxpayer may, within 40 days from the date of the assessment, request SARS to make a reduced
or additional assessment by submitting a true and full return. It is proposed that SARS be
empowered to extend the period within which the taxpayer is required to submit their request to
SARS by public notice. This will allow the deadline for the request to be aligned with the end of the
filing season for non-provisional taxpayers.
Aligning with anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism developments
Amendments are proposed to align with the National Strategy on Anti-Money Laundering, Counter
Financing of Terrorism and Counter Financing of Proliferation, achieve consistency with the General
Laws (Anti-Money Laundering and Combating Terrorism Financing) Amendment Act (2022) and take
account of other developments related to the Financial Action Task Force.
TECHNICAL CORRECTIONS
In addition to the amendments described above, the 2023 tax legislation will make various technical
corrections, which mainly cover inconsequential items – typing errors, grammar, punctuation,
numbering, incorrect cross-references, updating and removing obsolete provisions, removing
superfluous text, and incorporating regulations and commonly accepted interpretations into formal
law. Technical corrections also include changes to effective dates and the proper coordination of
transitional tax changes.
Other technical corrections relate to modifications following the implementation of the tax law.
Although tax amendments go through an intensive comment and review process, new issues arise
once the law is applied (including obvious omissions and ambiguities). These issues typically arise
when tax returns are prepared for the first time after the tax legislation is applied. These technical
corrections are limited to recent legislative amendments.
INTRODUCTION
This annexure reviews planned public infrastructure spending and associated reforms and provides
an update on the status of major capital projects.
The economic recovery plan announced in October 2020 links infrastructure investment and related
institutional reforms to support higher economic growth. Government is working on several reforms
to strengthen public investment management and the associated value chain. Many of these involve
pooling resources with the private sector in blended finance initiatives aimed at funding and
implementing infrastructure projects more effectively. The reforms include improving the
operations of the Infrastructure Fund, enhancing infrastructure monitoring and reporting (including
on contingent liabilities), improving the public-private partnership (PPP) regulatory framework, and
building a strong project pipeline. A comprehensive project pipeline appears at the end of the
annexure.
The difference between public-sector infrastructure, PPPs and blended finance projects
A PPP is defined as a contract between a public-sector institution and a private party, where the private
party performs a function that is usually provided by the public sector and/or uses state property by
agreement. Most of the project risk (technical, financial and operational) is transferred to the private
party. The public sector pays for a full set of services, including new infrastructure, maintenance and
facilities management, through monthly or annual payments. In instances where the public sector asset
has the potential to raise revenue – such as a toll road or a rail link – the private party would be
responsible for these services through a user-pays PPP. In a traditional government project, the public
sector pays for the capital and operating costs, and carries the risks of cost overruns and late delivery.
In this annexure, blending is defined as the strategic use of limited funds from the fiscus to mobilise
financing from multilateral institutions, development finance institutions and the private sector to
enhance the development impact of infrastructure.
Between 2011 and 2021, public-sector capital investment averaged 5.6 per cent of GDP, while
private capital investment averaged 11 per cent of GDP (Figure D.1). Total investment is well below
the National Development Plan target of 30 per cent – and has been declining since 2015. To reach
this target, public-sector investment in infrastructure would need to grow from 3.8 per cent of GDP
in 2021 to 10 per cent of GDP by 2030, while private-sector investment would need to grow from
9.3 per cent of GDP in 2021 to 20 per cent in 2030. Moreover, poor value for money has tended to
characterise many public investment projects, illustrating weaknesses in planning, procurement,
construction and operational management of projects.
Figure D.1 Public- and private-sector capital investment as a share of GDP, 1994–2021*
30
NDP target
Public investment to GDP
25
Private investment to GDP
Per cent of GDP
20
15
10
0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
*All GDP data in this annexure is recalculated in line with Statistics South Africa’s 2021 rebasing and benchmarking
exercise. It is therefore not directly comparable with GDP data from earlier budget documentation.
Public housing built through the human settlements development grant in provinces is expected to
total R45.9 billion. Although these assets are transferred to homeowners, this spending is a
substantial government contribution to the built environment. Spending on economic
infrastructure, mainly by state-owned companies, accounts for 78.3 per cent of the medium-term
estimate. These funds are used to expand power-generation capacity, upgrade and expand the
transport network, and improve sanitation and water services. Social services infrastructure
accounts for 17.6 per cent of the total, with the two largest sectors, health and education,
contributing 5 per cent and 7 per cent respectively.
To help close the gap between available public resources and the growing infrastructure need,
government’s economic recovery plan includes immediate measures to boost investor confidence
and longer-term reforms to promote sustained economic growth. Higher and more effective
infrastructure spending is central to this plan.
SECTOR UPDATES
Water and sanitation
In the water sector, government is prioritising 11 strategic projects with an estimated value of R115
billion. The projects are expected to create about 20 000 jobs during construction and 14 000 jobs
during operation.
The second phase of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project, which has an estimated capital
investment of R39.3 billion, is expected to be completed in 2028. The Trans‐Caledon Tunnel
Authority (TCTA) has raised about R15 billion from the Development Bank of Southern Africa, the
African Development Bank and the New Development Bank to continue construction on the project.
The two main construction tenders (the Polihali Dam and transfer tunnel from Polihali to Katse Dam)
were awarded in October 2022 and construction is under way.
The TCTA will continue implementing the Berg River-Voëlvlei Augmentation Scheme and phase 2 of
the Mokolo-Crocodile River water augmentation project. The Berg River-Voëlvlei Augmentation
Scheme has an estimated capital investment of R1.1 billion and is expected to be completed in 2026.
Its long-term funding is contingent on the conclusion of water supply agreements with water user
associations. The Mokolo-Crocodile River project has an estimated capital investment of
R12.3 billion and is expected to be completed in 2028.
Funding is being raised through development financing institutions and the open market.
Construction will take place after negotiations with the preferred funders.
The uMkhomazi water project has an estimated capital investment of R23.2 billion and is expected
to be completed in 2029. The environmental authorisations for the Smithfield Dam and bulk raw
water conveyance infrastructure are in place. The National Treasury approved a funding request
through the Budget Facility for Infrastructure (BFI) and negotiations over the institutional
arrangements and water supply agreements are in progress.
Energy
Three energy projects have been gazetted: the Risk Mitigation Power Purchase Procurement
Programme, the Small Independent Power Producer Programme and the Embedded Generation
Investment Programme. Private-sector investors will provide the investment capital. As outlined in
the 2022 Budget, the programmes aim to alleviate the current electricity supply constraints, support
economic recovery, reduce the use of diesel-based peaking electrical generators and support broad-
based black economic empowerment.
The Risk Mitigation Power Purchase Procurement Programme – sponsored through the Department
of Mineral Resources and Energy and implemented through the Independent Power Producers
Office – involves the development, installation and operation of up to 1 996 megawatts (MW) of
dispatchable new generation capacity and an investment of about R40 billion. The first three
projects reached commercial close in July 2022 and are expected to be operational in November
2024. The remaining eight projects are expected to reach financial close by July 2023 and to start
operating between March 2024 and March 2025.
The fifth bid window of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement
Programme for 1 600 MW of onshore wind and 1 000 MW of solar photovoltaic (PV) power was
launched in April 2021. Twenty-five preferred bidders were announced in October 2021, with
projects totalling 2 583 MW in generation capacity and an investment of about R50 billion. Three of
these projects have reached commercial close, while a further 16 projects are scheduled to close by
the end of March 2023, after which they will move to implementation.
The sixth bid window was launched in April 2022 for 2 400 MW, and was subsequently increased to
4 200 MW. It resulted in the procurement of 1 000 MW of solar PV from six preferred bidders. These
projects are scheduled for commercial close by the end of May 2023 and they are expected to be
operational by May 2025. The total investment associated with these projects is about R15 billion.
Grid constraints prevented the allocation of any wind projects. A request for proposals for the
seventh bid window will be issued in the first half of 2023/24, subject to grid availability.
The Embedded Generation Investment Programme involves the development, installation and
operation of solar PV and wind generation projects through subordinated loans and broad-based
black economic empowerment funding. The Development Bank of Southern Africa is considering
various project proposals. To date, 200 MW of solar PV projects located in the Western Cape and
KwaZulu-Natal have been approved under the programme. An additional nine projects are at the
due diligence stage and forecast to reach financial close in 2023/24.
The Small Harbours Programme seeks to revitalise 13 proclaimed fishing harbours in the Western
Cape. The repair and maintenance programme completed in March 2022 created 925 jobs and
supported local small, medium and micro enterprises to the value of R116 million. Development
studies for Port Nolloth, Port St Johns and Port Edward are being undertaken.
Project Ukuvuselela, the Gauteng–Eastern Cape high-capacity rail corridor for automotive volumes,
was gazetted in December 2022 and is in the feasibility stage. The project entails upgrading the rail
line from Pyramid Logistics Park in Gauteng to Gqeberha in the Eastern Cape.
Digital infrastructure
The digital infrastructure sector has four strategic integrated projects: the Space Infrastructure Hub,
the digitisation of government records, SA Connect Phase 1, and the MeerKAT and Square Kilometre
Array (SKA) project.
The national space infrastructure hub is a R4.4 billion project by the South African National Space
Agency. It aims to decrease South Africa’s reliance on international data on earth observation and
global positioning system services and increase the availability and use of earth observation data.
There has been significant progress in the MeerKAT expansion project, which increased the
MeerKAT radio telescope from a 64- to an 84-dish array and the virtual baseline diameter from
8 kilometres to 17 kilometres. This expansion will increase the telescope’s sensitivity and imaging
capabilities and survey speed. The SKA radio telescope has officially entered the construction phase.
This will result in job creation and a significant positive impact on the economy of the Northern
Cape. The first SKA array dishes are expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2025.
Government is digitising paper records to improve their storage and management. Digital records
will allow government to analyse data and gain new insight, ultimately improving the delivery of
public services. The Department of Home Affairs aims to digitise and index 350 million records
dating back to 1895, including records on birth, marriages, deaths and amendments, and related
supporting documents over three years. The programme is expected to create 10 000 jobs over
three phases.
In 2022, the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development received a R9.9 million
grant from the Middle-Income Country Technical Assistance Fund to prepare feasibility studies to
attract finance for development of the Springbokpan and Tshiame Agri-Parks. These pilot studies
will be used to champion the revitalisation of the Rural Infrastructure Agri-Parks Programme.
Human settlements
Human settlements projects include six integrated residential development programmes, nine
social housing projects and two high-impact privately led developments. These 17 projects, which
were gazetted as strategic integrated projects, have a total investment value of R143 billion and will
provide housing for over 150 000 people. They are projected to create more than 285 000 jobs
during development.
In December 2022, the National Social Housing Programme was added to the strategic integrated
projects. The programme includes six social housing projects as part of the Social Housing Regulatory
Authority project pipeline targeted at developing 3 349 housing opportunities at an estimated cost
of R1.3 billion.
To fund the large‐scale bulk infrastructure required for housing, government is exploring alternative
blended finance models. Pressure on the fiscus has also resulted in a shift towards leveraging
existing grant funding and optimising the private sector’s participation. The Infrastructure Fund and
the City of Johannesburg received R2 billion from the BFI, which will be provided in tranches of
R385 million in 2023/24, R654 million in 2024/25 and R963 million in 2025/26. Additional details are
provided under the Infrastructure Fund section.
Infrastructure South Africa developed the National Infrastructure Plan 2050. This plan supports the
implementation of government’s strategic integrated projects to improve economic growth and
service delivery. Phase 1 of this plan, which was approved by Cabinet in March 2022, focuses on
bulk infrastructure related to energy, water, freight transport and telecommunications. It also
strengthens institutional capabilities for delivery, infrastructure financing and the revitalisation of
the construction sector. Phase 2 focuses on distributed infrastructure, or interconnected networks,
in the major economic sectors of human settlements; municipal electricity, water, sanitation and
solid waste; transport; education; and health. There are three cross-cutting sections focusing on
digital infrastructure, crime and corruption, and governance of distributed infrastructure delivery.
Following public consultation, this phase will be presented for Cabinet approval in March 2023.
The facility considers the deployment of blended or hybrid financial solutions comprising a
combination of grants, debt and equity sources from public and private institutions, and
concessional loans from multilateral development banks. Blended finance projects that need fiscal
support are linked to the budget process through the BFI. The budget process ensures the selection
of projects that balance boosting economic development, job creation and private-sector
investment with the country’s debt‐constrained fiscal position.
The sixth window of the BFI has shown that public institutions have built capacity over time to
contribute to a strong pipeline of projects that are ready for funding. Through the BFI processes,
R2.5 billion was approved for project funding in the 2022 adjustment budget process, while R24
billion was approved in the 2023 MTEF period.
The approved projects and programmes include the Avoca Node development, Lufhereng Mixed
Use Development, Drakenstein Local Municipality Sanitation Infrastructure Project, uMkhomazi
Water Project – Raw Water Component, Sol Plaatje Local Municipality Integrated Bulk Supply
System Intervention, Gauteng Schools Programme, Space Infrastructure Hub, SKA Observatory and
SA Connect Phase 2. Some projects, such as Moretele North Klipvoor Bulk Water Supply and
Pilanesberg Bulk Water Supply Scheme: Phase 2, submitted through the Infrastructure Fund and
approved for funding, are blended finance projects which are crowding in private-sector capital.
Currently, infrastructure allocations in the MTEF period are only visible and assured for a three-year
period. From a risk allocation perspective, fiscal support to a blended finance project should ideally
be transparent and assured over the project life cycle. Through the BFI process, a multi-year
appropriation mechanism is being considered which can be added as a multi-year appropriation
schedule in the budget documents.
In addition, the local government component of the infrastructure reporting model is being
tested. By the end of 2024, the model is expected to be fully functional to reflect project information
for capital budgets for the three spheres of government and across sectors.
Infrastructure Fund
The Infrastructure Fund’s role is to maximise the cost-effective participation of private-sector
investors in government projects while facilitating early financial closure. The fund has been
operating for two years and is now fully capacitated to develop blended financing solutions with
government and the private sector. Since inception, the fund has helped to package and approve
13 blended finance projects and programmes to the value of R48.8 billion. These projects are
summarised in Table D.2 and discussed in more detail below. The BFI approved R21.7 billion, or
44.4 per cent of aggregated capital costs, for the 13 projects. In addition, the Infrastructure Fund
has developed bridging loan facilities for the social housing programme to address the lack of
available financing in the market and a concessional loan facility for the flagship uMkhomazi water
project to enhance its viability and sustainability.
Table D.2 shows the combined fiscal resources of R28.4 billion approved through the BFI and other
grants for these projects. To complement these resources, the Infrastructure Fund is working with
project sponsors to ensure that all projects can attract private financing from financiers such as
development finance institutions, commercial banks, institutional investors and multilateral
development banks.
Flowing from the PPP review discussed below, government is expediting the reforms required to
create a centre of excellence. This centre will, as part of its mandate, enable the Infrastructure Fund
to crowd in private-sector investment. The National Treasury is reviewing the institutional
arrangements for the Infrastructure Fund to ensure it can effectively deliver its mandate.
The human settlements projects listed in Table D.2 account for about R9.1 billion and are expected
to provide about 35 496 units. The Hospital Street and Goodwood Station social housing projects
and the Lufhereng mixed-use development programme are under construction. The social housing
projects target low-income households with incomes ranging from R1 850 to R22 000 per month.
The broader Lufhereng programme will lead to further investments in the area: government
supported R3.4 billion in bulk infrastructure development to complement R4.3 billion from the City
of Johannesburg. Together, this funding is expected to unlock up to R18.3 billion in human
settlement developments and ancillary social and commercial facilities.
The student accommodation projects will cost R3 billion and deliver an estimated 9 500 beds when
completed. They await ministerial approvals and the resolution of intergovernmental challenges
before they can begin.
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
Implementing recommendations from the PPP review
As outlined in the 2022 Budget, the National Treasury is implementing recommendations from a
comprehensive review of the PPP regulatory framework applicable to the three spheres of
government. The changes are expected to enhance application and practice, which in turn will
support higher confidence and investment in PPPs.
Implementation began in 2022 and will continue over the next year. The recommendations require
changes to National Treasury Regulation 16 and Municipal Regulation 309, which govern PPPs. To
guide the scope of work, an implementation plan has been formulated with workstreams covering
each of the reform areas. The workstreams have been prioritised by importance and urgency, with
implementation timeframes ranging from 0 to 6 months up to 12 months. In the coming year,
progressive implementation of the following workstreams will continue:
• Policy framework: An overarching policy that mainstreams PPPs in a fiscally prudent manner and
defines the PPP ecosystem, including a conducive environment, will be formulated. In tandem, a
policy on unsolicited proposals will be developed.
• PPP legal and regulatory framework: The procurement process of PPPs will be simplified and
expedited through legislative changes. The new Public Procurement Bill is expected to be tabled
in Parliament in March 2023 once all other legislative processes are finalised. Once enacted, it
will enable the repeal of National Treasury Regulation 16 and Municipal Regulation 309.
Simplifying the procurement processes, while retaining the National Treasury’s role of assessing
affordability and value for money will result in an improved pipeline of PPP projects.
• To manage the fiscal risk and contingent liabilities related to PPPs, the new PPP regulations will
enable the National Treasury to set up two frameworks for PPPs – one for high value projects
and a simplified version for low value (below R1 billion) projects. These will be accompanied by
the development of sectoral regulatory frameworks where needed, initially focusing on key
sectors such as energy, water and transport.
• Strengthening institutional arrangements: The concept documents on transforming the PPP unit
and the Infrastructure Fund at the Development Bank of Southern Africa into a centre of
excellence are being finalised, with implementation steps to follow. The centre of excellence will
assist institutions with capacity, skills and documentation, enabling them to access and learn
from standardised template documents based on knowledge acquired from previous feasibility
studies, procurement documentation and PPP agreements. This should reduce the time it takes
for a PPP project to reach financial closure.
• A dedicated regulatory unit for PPPs is being established in the National Treasury. This will enable
the National Treasury to fast-track the provision of legislated approvals for national and
provincial departments, and views and recommendations for municipalities.
• Improving the quantification of fiscal risks and contingent liabilities: A framework will be put in
place to assess fiscal risks, manage contingent liabilities and report on PPPs and blended projects.
• Financial support mechanisms: To bridge the affordability gap for PPP projects, financial support
mechanisms through the BFI will be considered with further assessments on fiscal affordability
through the budgeting process.
Once enacted, the Public Procurement Bill will trigger the review of regulations falling under the
abovementioned legislation to streamline and simplify consultation requirements.
Issuing directives
Pending changes to legislation, directives will be issued to guide interpretation of the application of
“external mechanism” in section 78 of the Municipal Systems Act in the event of priority use cases
and clarify the application and interpretation of other relevant legislative provisions and regulations
per priority use case. The priority use cases include build-operate-transfer contracts for water reuse,
wastewater treatment and desalination; embedded energy generation from rooftop solar, both
photovoltaics and water heating; and municipal power purchase agreements for the supply of
renewable energy.
The National Treasury will facilitate the establishment of a municipal PPP championing body to
proactively facilitate a municipal PPP project pipeline. It will also develop standard documents and
templates for the implementation of priority programmes.
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES
Government incurs contingent liabilities if the contingency is likely to occur and the amount of the
liability can be reasonably estimated. Most national and provincial PPPs are guaranteed by the
Minister of Finance and create a contingent liability. The materialisation of such liabilities – and their
costs – can have a significant impact on institutions’ budgets. It is important to disclose all contingent
liabilities as they can affect the public finances.
The National Treasury uses a four‐stage approval process to ensure that contingent liabilities arising
from contracts are acceptable and monitors these liabilities on an ongoing basis.
There are various categories of contingent liabilities, depending on whether the termination is the
result of private‐sector default, government default or force majeure – an event beyond the party’s
control. Compensation depends on the reason the contract ended, but termination due to
government default usually results in the greatest compensation. Table D.3 shows potential
termination amounts for national and provincial departments and public entities. Total contingent
liabilities amount to R15.8 billion for 2022/23.
Estimated contingent liabilities for PPPs that are likely to accrue to government if contracts are
terminated due to government default have decreased from R7.9 billion in 2021/22 to R7.5 billion
in 2022/23. This decline was expected as government continues to pay off debt and equity owed to
the private sector and as contract terms of PPP projects end. National departments account for the
greatest exposure, amounting to R3.9 billion in 2022/23. Head office accommodation projects and
the Gautrain Rapid Rail Link project are the biggest contributors to government’s exposure to
contingent liabilities. Government manages the risk emanating from PPP contingent liabilities by
closely monitoring each party’s performance against their contractual obligations and enforcing
regulatory requirements.
In 2023/24, the National Treasury will issue a guidance note and a standard reporting template for
fiscal commitments and contingent liabilities to help public institutions report on their PPPs. It will
roll out training on how to use these tools.
Since the FATF published its mutual evaluation report in 2021, South Africa has made considerable
progress in assessing vulnerabilities in the anti-money laundering system, the risks associated with
high levels of proceeds-generating crime and corruption, and the challenges of building more
effective enforcement.
Nevertheless, additional work across all these dimensions is needed over the medium term. A
national strategy approved by Cabinet in November 2022 prioritises efforts to build a financial
system that is less vulnerable to abuse, and where abuses are effectively prosecuted. In this regard,
government is strengthening supervision of financial institutions (which are generally well
supervised) and a range of non-financial businesses and professions that are sometimes used to
launder the proceeds of crime. These include estate agents, lawyers, providers of crypto assets and
services, and dealers in high-value goods. Changes in the relevant legislation have already been
made, and increased resources will be provided to supervisory bodies to strengthen oversight.
Government will identify and prosecute money launderers and their enablers in the financial
system.
Two laws have been enacted to address what the FATF characterises as “technical” deficiencies in
the legislative framework: the General Laws (Anti-Money Laundering and Combating Terrorism
Financing) Amendment Act (2022), and the Protection of Constitutional Democracy Against Terrorist
and Related Activities Amendment Act (2022). Draft regulations for the former have been published
for public comment and are expected to be finalised by April 2023.
Addressing several other concerns identified by the FATF is more complex – and here government
is still engaging with the FATF on its progress. Key deficiencies identified include:
• Weak implementation of new beneficial ownership legislative requirements for legal entities like
companies, trusts and non-profit organisations.
• Poor anti-money laundering controls in non-financial sectors such as the legal profession, estate
agents, crypto (virtual) asset service providers and trust services providers.
• A need to sustainably increase investigations, prosecutions and asset forfeitures related to
money laundering and terror financing.
At its February 2023 plenary, the FATF will pronounce on South Africa’s progress and the extent to
which it will face enhanced monitoring, including possible grey listing. Over the longer term,
government has asked the FATF to formally reassess South Africa’s compliance during its June 2023
plenary.
• Government will guarantee solar-related loans for small and medium enterprises.
• Commercial banks will be permitted to borrow directly from the scheme to facilitate the leasing
of solar energy equipment to small businesses.
• Small businesses installing solar will be able to borrow finance for working capital.
In addition:
• Schedule 1 of the Financial Intelligence Centre Act (2001) has been amended to make crypto
asset service providers accountable institutions. The Financial Intelligence Centre will supervise
crypto asset service providers and enforce their compliance with anti-money laundering,
combating of terrorist financing and combating of proliferation financing obligations.
• The Reserve Bank is working with the National Treasury to enhance the monitoring and reporting
of crypto asset transactions to comply with the exchange control regulations.
• In 2023, the Intergovernmental Fintech Working Group intends to publish a position paper to
address the risks posed by so-called stablecoins.
Auto enrolment
In 2023, the National Treasury will finalise policy proposals on how to expand the participation and
coverage of all formal and informal workers in a retirement fund without excessively burdening their
disposable income. These proposals build on the National Treasury’s December 2021 paper entitled
Encouraging South African Households to Save More for Retirement. Consideration will be given to
a voluntary and flexible savings scheme for informal workers.
Governance
Legislative amendments to improve governance of retirement funds – particularly commercial
umbrella funds – will be published in 2023 and tabled in Parliament thereafter.
Unclaimed assets
In September 2022, building on joint work with the National Treasury, the FSCA published a
discussion paper on the nearly R90 billion of unclaimed assets across the financial sector. One
recommendation it put forward is to establish a fund into which all unclaimed assets must be
transferred and managed. Alternatively, unclaimed assets could be transferred into the National
Revenue Fund for the same purpose. Further consultation on the FSCA recommendations will take
place in 2023. A final paper will be published in 2024.
OTHER REFORMS
Conduct of Financial Institutions Bill
The National Treasury has revised the Conduct of Financial Institutions Bill based on feedback from
stakeholders. The bill is expected to be tabled in Parliament in early 2023. It will introduce a new
legal framework for the regulation and supervision of the conduct of financial institutions, which
will shift away from the institutional form to an activity-based licensing approach. A number of
“new” licensing activities will be introduced to give effect to the FSCA’s expanded mandate under
the Financial Sector Regulation Act (2017). A financial institution will only be granted one licence
but can be licensed for more than one activity. It is envisaged that the levy due to the FSCA by a
licensed financial institution will be an aggregated amount based on the type and number of
activities that the licensee provides.
REVENUE
Estimate of revenue after tax proposals 1 588 044 1 703 571 1 759 229 1 868 080 2 007 707
Percentage change from previous year 3.3% 6.2% 7.5%
EXPENDITURE
Direct charges against the National Revenue Fund 902 658 919 377 950 638 995 606 1 059 557
Debt-service costs 301 806 307 157 340 460 362 840 397 074
Provincial equitable share 560 757 570 868 567 528 587 500 614 271
General fuel levy sharing with metropolitan municipalities 15 335 15 335 15 433 16 127 16 849
Skills levy and sector education and training authorities 20 619 21 238 23 027 24 816 26 846
1)
Other 4 141 4 779 4 189 4 324 4 517
Appropriated by vote 1 057 029 1 084 609 1 077 438 1 097 744 1 153 439
Current payments 260 680 263 006 262 937 276 178 287 580
Transfers and subsidies 755 267 739 040 794 183 802 416 845 880
Payments for capital assets 15 506 16 160 18 401 18 301 19 091
Payments for financial assets 25 577 66 403 1 917 850 888
Estimate of national expenditure 1 975 257 2 003 986 2 034 580 2 137 945 2 266 506
Percentage change from previous year 1.5% 5.1% 6.0%
2022 Budget estimate of expenditure 1 975 257 1 992 007 2 096 559
Increase / decrease (-) 28 730 42 573 41 385
Gross domestic product 6 441 288 6 651 266 7 005 734 7 452 382 7 938 960
1) Includes direct appropriations in respect of the salaries of the President, Deputy President, judges, magistrates, members of Parliament, National
Revenue Fund payments (previously classified as extraordinary payments), Auditor-General of South Africa, the International Oil Pollution Compensation
Fund and allocations made in the 2022/23 Second Adjustments Appropriation Bill.
Source: National Treasury
National budget revenue 1) 1 588 044 1 703 571 1 759 229 1 868 080 2 007 707
Revenue of provinces, social security funds and public entities 182 601 189 176 199 678 209 707 217 619
Consolidated budget revenue 2) 1 770 645 1 892 747 1 958 907 2 077 788 2 225 326
National budget expenditure 1) 1 975 257 2 003 986 2 034 580 2 137 945 2 266 506
Expenditure of provinces, social security funds and public entities 182 011 164 813 208 009 221 804 210 892
2)
Consolidated budget expenditure 2 157 267 2 168 799 2 242 589 2 359 749 2 477 398
Consolidated budget balance -386 622 -276 052 -283 682 -281 961 -252 072
Percentage of GDP -6.0% -4.2% -4.0% -3.8% -3.2%
Redemptions -97 252 -87 474 -162 232 -168 794 -185 969
Domestic long-term loans -81 292 -71 712 -117 865 -131 369 -129 558
Foreign loans -15 960 -15 762 -44 367 -37 426 -56 410
Gross borrowing requirement -483 874 -363 526 -523 914 -516 909 -548 264
Financing
Domestic loans 326 896 291 398 396 190 419 658 388 049
Eskom debt-relief arrangement - - - - 70 000
Foreign loans 50 645 64 484 43 981 34 633 79 102
Change in cash and other balances 106 334 7 644 83 744 62 618 11 112
Total financing 483 874 363 526 523 914 516 909 548 264
1) Transfers to provinces, social security funds and public entities presented as part of the national budget.
2) Flows between national and provincial government, social security funds and public entities are netted out.
Source: National Treasury
Accounting officer The public servant who is accountable to Parliament for financial
management of a government department, usually the director-general
at the national level or the head of the department at the provincial
level.
Accrual An accounting convention by which payments and receipts are recorded
as they occur, even if no cash flow takes place.
Acquisition debt Debt used to buy shares or assets.
Adjustments estimate Presentation to Parliament of the amendments to be made to the
appropriations voted in the main budget for the year.
Administered prices Prices set outside ordinary market processes through administrative
decisions by government, a public entity or a regulator.
Ad valorem duties Taxes levied on commodities as a certain percentage of their value.
Agro-processing Manufacturing activities that transform raw materials and intermediary
goods derived from agriculture into intermediate or final goods.
Allocated expenditure The part of the national budget that can be divided between the
national, provincial and local spheres of government, after interest and
the contingency reserve have been taken into account.
Amortisation The repayment of a loan by instalments over its duration.
Annuity A fixed amount of money paid over a period of time as a return on an
investment.
Anti-avoidance rule A provision aimed at preventing tax avoidance. See also principal
purpose test.
Appreciation (exchange rate) An increase in the external value of a currency.
Appropriation The approval by Parliament of spending from the National Revenue
Fund, or by a provincial legislature from a provincial revenue fund.
Asset price bubble A condition occurring when prices for a category of assets rise above the
level justified by economic fundamentals.
Balance of payments A summary statement of all the international transactions of the
residents of a country with the rest of the world over a particular period
of time.
Base erosion and profit Corporate tax-planning strategies that exploit the gaps and mismatches
shifting in tax laws between countries to shift taxable income to lower- or no-
tax jurisdictions. See also tax evasion and profit shifting.
Basel III Reforms developed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision to
strengthen the regulation, supervision and risk management of the
banking sector.
Baseline The initial allocations used during the budget process, derived from the
previous year’s forward estimates.
Basis point One hundredth of 1 per cent.
Beneficiation Manufacturing activities that transform raw minerals into higher-value
products.
Blended finance The combination of public, private, development and multilateral
sources of financing to leverage funding for projects.
Bond A certificate of debt issued by a government or corporation
guaranteeing payment of the original investment plus interest by a
specified future date.
Bond premium Amount by which the purchase price of a bond is greater than its par
value.
Bond spread The difference in yield between two bonds.
Bond-switch programme An auction that aims to ease pressure on targeted areas of the
redemption profile by exchanging shorter-dated debt for longer-term
debt. See also switch auction.
Bracket creep Increased real tax liability that arises when the personal income tax
tables are not fully adjusted for inflation.
Budget balance The difference between budgeted expenditure and budgeted revenue. If
expenditure exceeds revenue, the budget is in deficit. If the reverse is
true, it is in surplus.
Budget Facility for A reform to the budget process that establishes specialised structures,
Infrastructure procedures and criteria for committing fiscal resources to public
infrastructure spending.
Capital asset Property of any kind, including assets that are movable or immovable,
tangible or intangible, fixed or circulating, but excluding trading stock
held to realise a financial or economic return.
Capital expenditure Spending on assets such as buildings, land, infrastructure and
equipment.
Capital flow A flow of investments in or out of the country.
Capital formation A measure of the net increase in the country’s total stock of capital
goods, after allowing for depreciation.
Capital gains tax Tax levied on the income realised from the disposal of a capital asset by
a taxpayer. A capital gain is the excess of the selling price over the
purchase price of the capital asset.
Capital goods Durable goods used over a period of time to produce other goods. See
also intermediate goods.
Capitalised interest The cost of borrowing to construct a capital asset, which is then
included in the cost of the asset.
Capital market A financial market where individuals and institutions raise capital or
funding in the form of debt or equities.
Carbon budgeting The process of allocating a greenhouse gas emissions allowance to a
company for a specific period of time.
Category A, B and C Municipal categories established by the Constitution: Category A, or
municipalities metropolitan municipalities; Category B, or local municipalities; and
Category C, or district municipalities.
Collateral An asset placed as a guarantee for the repayment of debt, to be
recouped in the case of a default.
Commercial paper issuances Debt issued by companies through short-term promissory notes.
Commission of inquiry An expert panel established by the President to investigate a specific
issue.
Commutation When a member of a pension fund, pension preservation fund or
retirement annuity fund retires, they are allowed to take (commute) a
lump sum equal to a maximum of one-third of the retirement interest.
Concessionary funding Financing extended by major financial institutions, such as development
banks and multilateral funds, at substantially cheaper rates than market
loans.
Conditional grants Allocations of money from one sphere of government to another,
conditional on certain services being delivered or on compliance with
specified requirements.
Connected person debt/credit Debt or credit granted by a person/entity to a connected person/entity.
In the case of a holding company, for example, a subsidiary company
would be a connected person.
Consolidated general National, provincial and local government, as well as extra-budgetary
government government institutions and social security funds.
Consolidated government Total expenditure by national and provincial government, social security
expenditure funds and selected public entities, including transfers and subsidies to
municipalities, businesses and other entities.
Consumer price index The measure of inflation based on prices in a basket of goods and
services.
Consumption expenditure Expenditure on goods and services that are used within a short period of
time, usually a year.
Contingency reserve An amount set aside, but not allocated in advance, to accommodate
changes to the economic environment and to meet unforeseeable
spending pressures.
Contingent liability A government obligation, such as a guarantee, that will only result in
expenditure if a specific event occurs. See also government guarantee.
Controlled foreign company A foreign business in which South Africans hold a greater than 50 per
cent interest, usually of the share capital of a company.
Corporatisation The transformation of state-owned enterprises into commercial entities,
subject to commercial legal requirements and governance structures,
while the state retains ownership.
Cost-push inflation Inflation that is caused by an increase in production costs, such as wages
or oil prices.
Countercyclical fiscal policy Policy that has the opposite effect on economic activity to that caused
by the business cycle, such as slowing spending growth in a boom period
and accelerating spending in a recession.
Coupon (bond) The periodic interest payment made to bondholders during the life of
the bond. The interest is usually paid twice a year.
Covered person Stock brokers that do not trade as a treasury operation; the Reserve
Bank; banks and their controlling companies; and companies or trusts
that form part of a banking group, excluding short- and long-term
insurers, and these insurers’ subsidiaries and companies in which they
hold a controlling share.
Credit rating An indicator of the risk of default by a borrower or the riskiness of a
financial instrument.
Credit risk The probability of financial loss resulting from failure to repay a loan or
meet a contractual obligation.
Crowding in An increase in private investment through the income-raising effect of
government spending financed by deficits.
Crowding out A fall in private investment or consumption as a result of increased
government expenditure financed through borrowing, thereby
increasing competition for loanable funds and raising the interest rate,
which curtails private investment and consumption spending.
Cryptocurrency A digital medium of exchange that uses cryptography to secure its
transactions, control the creation of additional units and verify the
transfer of assets.
Currency risk The potential for a change in the price of a currency that would affect
investors with assets, liabilities or operations denominated in other
currencies.
Current account (of the The difference between total imports and total exports, taking into
balance of payments) account service payments and receipts, interest, dividends and
transfers. The current account can be in deficit or surplus. See also trade
balance.
Current balance The difference between revenue and current expenditure, which
consists of compensation of employees, goods and services, and
interest and rent on land.
Current expenditure Government expenditure on salaries and goods and services, such as
rent, maintenance and interest payments. See also consumption
expenditure.
Customs duties A tax levied on imported goods.
Debenture An unsecured debt instrument backed by the general creditworthiness
of the issuer rather than by specific assets.
Debt redemption profile The set of fixed repayment dates and amounts to which an issuer of
debt, such as a preferred stock or bond, has committed to meeting.
Debt-service costs The interest on government debt and other costs directly associated
with borrowing.
Debt-service coverage ratio The ratio of cash from operating activities available to service debt
payments.
Debt stock The total value of debt owed to all lenders.
Decommissioning The removal or dismantling of a facility from service.
Default regulations Retirement funds’ trustee boards must offer a default in-fund
preservation arrangement to members who leave the services of their
181 |2023 Budget Review
GLOSSARY
Fiscal leakage The outflow of revenue from an economy through tax evasion and
avoidance.
Fiscal marking The process of marking a product with a prescribed identification (or
chemical). Marking allows the South African Revenue Service to trace
products back to the manufacturers in order to collect excise duties.
Fiscal policy Policy on taxation, public spending and borrowing by government.
Fiscal space The ability of government’s budget to provide additional resources for a
desired programme without jeopardising fiscal or debt sustainability.
Fiscal year The 12 months on which government budgets are based, beginning 1
April and ending 31 March of the subsequent calendar year.
Fixed investment/capital Spending on buildings, machinery and equipment contributing to
formation production capacity in the economy. See also gross fixed-capital
formation.
Fixed-rate bond A bond that pays a specific interest rate over a specified period of time.
Floating rate notes A bond on which the interest rate is reset periodically in line with a
money market reference rate.
Foreign currency swaps The exchange of principal and/or interest payments in one currency for
those in another.
Foreign direct investment The acquisition of a controlling interest by governments, institutions or
individuals of a business in another country.
Forward book The total amount of contracts for the future exchange of foreign
currency entered into by the Reserve Bank at any given point in time.
Forward cover Transactions involving an agreed exchange rate at which foreign
currency will be bought or sold at a future date.
Free-trade area A geographical region in which countries have signed an agreement and
maintain few or no barriers to trade in the form of tariffs or quotas
between them.
Fringe benefit A benefit supplementing an employee’s wages or salary, such as medical
insurance, company cars, housing allowances and pension schemes.
Fuel levy An excise tax on liquid fuels.
Fugitive emissions Emissions that are unintentionally released into the atmosphere
through, for example, leaks from industrial plants and pipelines.
Function shift The movement of a function from one departmental vote or sphere of
government to another.
Funded pension arrangements A pension scheme in which expected future benefits are funded in
advance and as entitlement accrues.
Gearing ratio The ratio of company debt to equity capital.
Gold and foreign exchange Reserves held by the Reserve Bank to meet foreign-exchange
reserves obligations and to maintain liquidity in the presence of external shocks.
Government debt The total amount of money owed by government as a consequence of
its past borrowing.
Government guarantee An assurance made by government to a lender that a financial
obligation will be honoured, even if the borrowing government entity is
unable to repay the debt. See also contingent liability.
Government Technical An agency of the National Treasury that supports public finance
Advisory Centre management through professional advisory services, programme and
project management and transaction support.
Green paper A policy document intended for public discussion.
Gross borrowing requirement The sum of the main budget balance, extraordinary receipts and
payments (referred to as National Revenue Fund receipts and
payments), and maturing debt. The amount is funded through domestic
short- and long-term loans, foreign loans and changes in cash balances.
Gross domestic product A measure of the total national output, income and expenditure in the
economy. GDP per head is the simplest overall measure of welfare,
although it does not take account of the distribution of income, or
goods and services that are produced outside the market economy,
such as work within the household.
184 | 2023 Budget Review
GLOSSARY
Gross domestic product A measure of the total increase in prices in the whole economy. Unlike
inflation CPI inflation, GDP inflation includes price increases in goods that are
exported and intermediate goods such as machines, but excludes
imported goods.
Gross fixed-capital formation The addition to a country’s fixed-capital stock during a specific period,
before provision for depreciation.
Gross loan debt See government debt.
Gross value added The value of output less intermediate consumption. It is also a measure
of the contribution an industry or sector makes to the economy.
Group of Twenty (G20) An international forum made up of finance ministers and central bank
governors from 20 of the world’s largest economies.
Hedging An action taken by a buyer or seller to protect income against changes
in prices, interest rates or exchange rates.
Horizontal equity A principle in taxation that holds that similarly situated taxpayers should
face a similar tax treatment or tax burden. In other words, taxpayers
with the same amount of income or capital should be accorded equal
treatment.
Impaired advances Loans or advances that may not be collected in full.
Impairment A reduction in the recorded value of a long-lived asset arising from
circumstances that prevent the asset from generating the future
economic benefits previously expected and recorded.
Import parity pricing When a firm sells goods locally at the price customers would pay if they
were to import the same goods from another country.
Inclusion rate The portion of the net capital gain derived from the disposal of an asset
that will be taxed at the applicable rate.
Independent power producer A private-sector business that generates energy for the national grid.
Industrial development zone Export-oriented manufacturing sites linked to an international air or sea
port, supported by incentives to encourage investment and job creation.
Inflation An increase in the overall price level of goods and services in an
economy over a specific period of time.
Inflation targeting A monetary policy framework intended to achieve price stability over a
certain period of time.
Infrastructure Fund A fund that will provide government support for the co-financing of
programmes and projects that blend public and private resources.
Integrated Resource Plan The Department of Energy’s long-term plan for the country’s energy mix
and generation expansion in order to meet electricity demand.
Intergenerational equity A value based on ensuring that future generations do not have to repay
debts taken on today, unless they also share in the benefits of assets.
Intermediate goods Goods produced to be used as inputs in the production of final goods.
Intra-state debt Money that different organs of state owe to each other.
Inventories Stocks of goods held by firms. An increase in inventories reflects an
excess of output relative to spending over a period of time.
Investment grade A credit rating indicating minimal risk to investors.
Islamic bond A financial certificate that complies with Islamic religious law. It
represents partial ownership of an asset. The issuer buys back the bond
at a future date at par value.
Just energy transition A framework developed by the Presidential Climate Commission to
ensure that workers and communities tied to high-emitting energy
industries are supported in the shift towards a low-emissions economy.
Labour intensity The relative amount of labour used to produce a unit of output.
Levelised cost of electricity The estimated present value of the per-unit cost of electricity over the
lifetime of a generating asset.
Liquidity The ease with which assets can be bought and sold.
Liquidity requirements The amount of liquid or freely convertible assets that banks are required
to hold relative to their liabilities for prudential and regulatory
purposes.
Liquidity risk The risk that an asset might not easily and quickly be converted into
cash through sale, or the risk to a debtor that it cannot meet its current
debt obligations.
Load-shedding A means of managing electricity supply when the power system is
constrained by limiting the electricity supply to areas.
Loan covenant A commitment, in a loan agreement, to certain activities. If violated, the
covenant can trigger a default or penalties.
Loop structures Structures that arise when private individuals are permitted by the
Reserve Bank to acquire up to 40 per cent equity or voting rights in a
foreign company, which may in turn hold investments and/or make
loans in a Common Monetary Area country (South Africa, eSwatini,
Lesotho and Namibia).
Lump-sum benefit A one-time payment for the total or partial value of an asset, usually
received in place of recurring smaller payments.
M3 The broadest definition of money supply in South Africa, including notes
and coins, demand and fixed deposits, and credit.
Macroeconomics The branch of economics that deals with the whole economy – including
issues such as growth, inflation, unemployment and the balance of
payments.
Macroprudential regulation Rules that protect the stability of the financial sector and guard against
systemic risk.
Marginal income tax rate The rate of tax on an incremental unit of income.
Marginal lending rate A penalty rate of interest charged by the Reserve Bank for lending to
financial institutions in the money market in excess of the daily liquidity
provided to the money market at the repurchase rate. See also
repurchase agreements.
Marketable securities Tradable financial securities listed with a securities exchange.
Means test A method for determining whether someone qualifies for state
assistance.
Medico-legal claims A civil claim of alleged wrongful medical treatment against a health
provider.
Medium Term Expenditure The technical committee responsible for evaluating the medium-term
Committee expenditure framework budget submissions of national departments
and making recommendations to the Minister of Finance regarding
allocations to national departments.
Medium-term expenditure The three-year spending plans of national and provincial governments,
framework published at the time of the Budget.
Microeconomics The branch of economics that deals with the behaviour of individual
firms, consumers and sectors.
Ministers’ Committee on the The political committee that considers key policy and budgetary issues
Budget that pertain to the budget process before they are tabled in Cabinet.
Monetary policy Policy concerning total money supply, exchange rates and the general
level of interest rates.
Money supply The total stock of money in an economy.
National budget The projected revenue and expenditures that flow through the National
Revenue Fund. It does not include spending by provinces or local
government from their own revenues.
National Development Plan A planning framework prepared by the National Planning Commission
that aims to eliminate poverty and reduce inequality by 2030.
National Energy Regulator of The authority that regulates electricity, piped-gas and petroleum
South Africa pipelines industries in South Africa.
National Revenue Fund The consolidated account of the national government into which all
taxes, fees and charges collected by the South African Revenue Service
and departmental revenue must be paid.
Negotiable certificate of Short-term deposit instruments issued by banks, at a variable interest
deposit rate, for a fixed period.
Net borrowing requirement The main budget balance.
186 | 2023 Budget Review
GLOSSARY
Primary sector The agricultural, forestry, fishing, mining and quarrying sectors of the
economy.
Principal purpose test A test where the benefits of a tax treaty are denied if it is reasonable to
conclude that obtaining the benefit was one of the principal purposes
behind the arrangement or transaction.
Private-sector credit extension Credit provided to the private sector. This includes all loans, credit cards
and leases.
Privatisation The full or partial sale of state-owned enterprises to private individuals
or companies.
Producer price index A measure of inflation based on the prices of production inputs as
reported by producers across different sectors.
Productivity A measure of the amount of output generated from every unit of input.
Typically used to measure changes in labour efficiency.
Profit shifting The allocation of income and expenses between related corporations or
branches of the same legal entity to reduce overall tax liability.
Prudential Authority The authority responsible for the prudential regulation of banks,
insurers, cooperative financial institutions, financial conglomerates and
certain market infrastructure.
Public-benefit organisations Organisations that engage in social activities to meet the needs of the
general public. They are mainly funded by donations from the public
and other institutions.
Public entities Companies, agencies, funds and accounts that are fully or partly owned
by government or public authorities and are regulated by law.
Public Finance Management The act regulating financial management of national and provincial
Act government, including the efficiency and effectiveness of public
expenditure and the responsibilities of those engaging with government
financial management.
Public goods Goods and services that would not be fully provided in a pure free-
market system and are largely provided by government.
Public Investment Corporation A government-owned investment management company that invests
funds on behalf of public-sector entities. Its largest client is the
Government Employees Pension Fund.
Public-private partnerships A contractual arrangement in which a private party performs a
government function and assumes the associated risks. In return, the
private party receives a fee according to predefined performance
criteria. See also unitary payment.
Public sector National government, provincial government, local government, extra-
budgetary governmental institutions, social security funds and non-
financial public enterprises.
Public-sector borrowing The consolidated cash borrowing requirement of general government
requirement and non-financial public enterprises.
Purchasing managers’ index A composite index measuring the change in manufacturing activity. An
index value of 50 indicates no change in activity, a value above 50
indicates increased activity and a value below 50 indicates decreased
activity.
Quarterly Employment An establishment-based survey conducted by Statistics South Africa to
Statistics obtain information about the number of employees and gross salaries
paid.
Quarterly Labour Force Survey A household-based survey conducted by Statistics South Africa to
measure the dynamics of the labour market, producing indicators such
as employment, unemployment and inactivity.
Rating agency A company that evaluates the ability of countries or other borrowers to
honour their debt obligations. Credit ratings are used by international
investors as indications of sovereign risk. See also credit rating.
Real effective exchange rate A measure of the rate of exchange of the rand relative to a trade-
weighted average of South Africa’s trading partners’ currencies,
adjusted for price trends in South Africa and the countries included.
Service and transfer payments Services involve transactions of non-tangible commodities, while
transfers are unrequited transactions that do not generate a counter-
economic value (for example, gifts and grants).
Significant owner A person who directly or indirectly materially controls or influences the
business or strategy of a financial institution.
Skills development levy A payroll tax designed to finance training initiatives in terms of the skills
development strategy.
Social infrastructure Infrastructure that supports social services.
Social wage Social benefits available to all individuals, funded wholly or partly by the
state.
Source-based income tax A system in which income is taxed in the country where the income
system originates.
Southern African Customs An agreement between South Africa, Botswana, Namibia, Lesotho and
Union agreement eSwatini that allows for the unrestricted flow of goods and services, and
the sharing of customs and excise revenue.
Southern African A regional intergovernmental organisation that promotes collaboration,
Development Community economic integration and technical cooperation throughout southern
Africa.
Sovereign debt Debt issued by a government.
Sovereign debt rating An assessment of the likelihood that a government will default on its
debt obligations.
Spatial planning Planning to influence the geographic distribution of people and
economic activity.
Special appropriation The approval by Parliament of spending from the National Revenue
Fund to appropriate additional funds other than the main support
appropriation in the Budget Act.
Special economic zone A designated zone where business and trade laws incentivise trade,
investment and employment.
Specific excise duty A tax on each unit of output or sale of a good, unrelated to the value of
a good.
Standing appropriations Government’s expenditure obligations that do not require a vote or
statutory provision, including contractual guarantees and international
agreements.
Statutory appropriations Amounts appropriated to be spent in terms of statutes and not
requiring appropriation by vote.
Sterilisation Action taken by the Reserve Bank to neutralise excess cash created in
the money market when purchasing foreign currency.
Structural budget balance A representation of what government revenue and expenditure would
be if output were at its potential level, with cyclical variations stripped
out.
Structural constraints Imbalances in the structure of the economy that hinder growth and
development.
Structural reforms Measures put in place to substantially change the economy, or the
institutional and regulatory framework in which people and businesses
operate.
Sunset clause A clause in a public policy that allows for a law to cease being in effect
after a specified date.
Switch auction An auction to exchange bonds to manage refinancing risk or improve
tradability.
Syndicated loan A large loan in which a group of banks work together to provide funds,
which they solicit from their clients for the borrower.
Tax amnesty A period allowed by tax authorities during which taxpayers who are
outside the tax net, but should be registered for tax purposes, can
register for tax without incurring penalties.
Tax avoidance When individuals or businesses legitimately use provisions in the tax law
to reduce their tax liability.
Tax base The aggregate value of income, sales or transactions on which particular
taxes are levied.
Tax buoyancy The relationship between total tax revenue collections and economic
growth. This measure includes the effects of policy changes on revenue.
A value above 1 means that revenues are growing faster than the
economy; a value below 1 means they are growing below the rate of
GDP growth.
Tax evasion When individuals or businesses illegally reduce their tax liability.
Tax expenditure Government revenue forgone due to provisions that allow deductions,
exclusions or exemptions from taxable income. The revenue can also be
forgone through the deferral of tax liability or preferential tax rates.
Tax gap A measure of tax evasion that emerges from comparing the tax liability
or tax base declared to the tax authorities with the tax liability or tax
base calculated from other sources.
Tax incentives Specific provisions in the tax code that provide favourable tax treatment
to individuals and businesses to encourage specific behaviour or
activities.
Tax incidence The final distribution of the burden of tax. Statutory incidence defines
where the law requires a tax to be levied. Economic incidence refers to
those who experience a decrease in real income as a result of the
imposition of a tax.
Tax loopholes Unintended weaknesses in the legal provisions of the tax system used
by taxpayers to avoid paying tax liability.
Tax morality The willingness, or motivation, of citizens to pay tax. This is separate
from the statutory obligation to pay taxes, but may influence tax
compliance.
Tax-to-GDP ratio The total tax payments for a particular fiscal year as a fraction or
percentage of the GDP for that year.
Tax treaty An agreement between two countries to resolve issues involving double
taxation of income of their residents. See also double tax agreement.
Terms of trade An index measuring the ratio of a country’s export prices relative to its
import prices.
Term-to-maturity The time between issuance and expiry.
Tertiary sector The part of the economy concerned with the provision of services.
Total factor productivity An index used to measure the efficiency of all inputs that contribute to
the production process.
Trade balance The monetary record of a country’s net imports and exports of physical
merchandise and services. See also current account.
Trade regime The system of tariffs, quotas and quantitative restrictions applied to
protect domestic industries, together with subsidies and incentives used
to promote international trade.
Trade-weighted rand The value of the rand pegged to or expressed relative to a market
basket of selected foreign currencies.
Transfer pricing The setting of the price at which connected persons transfer goods or
services between themselves.
Treasury bills Short-term government debt instruments that yield no interest but are
issued at a discount. Maturities vary from one day to 12 months.
Treaty shopping When related companies in different countries establish a third entity in
another location to take advantage of a favourable tax arrangement.
Trend GDP growth The theoretical level of GDP growth, where growth above the trend rate
results in macroeconomic imbalances such as rising inflation or a
weakening of the current account.
Unallocated reserves Potential expenditure provision not allocated to a particular use.
Unemployment (broad All those of working age who are unemployed, including those actively
definition) seeking employment and discouraged work seekers.
Unemployment (official Those of working age who are unemployed and actively seeking work
definition) (excludes discouraged work seekers).
Unitary payment The payment made to a private party for meeting its obligations in a
public-private partnership.
Unit labour cost The cost of labour per unit of output, calculated by dividing average
wages by productivity (output per worker per hour).
Unqualified audit An assessment by a registered auditing firm or the Auditor-General of
South Africa asserting that the financial statements of a department,
entity or company are free of material misstatement.
Unsecured debt instruments Debt not backed or secured by collateral to reduce the risk of lending.
Unsecured lending A loan that is not backed or secured by any type of collateral to reduce
the lender’s risk.
VAT refund The amount of value-added tax (VAT) repayable by the South African
Revenue Service to a VAT vendor.
Venture capital company In terms of South African regulation, a company whose sole objective is
managing investments in qualifying companies (small businesses).
Investments in venture capital companies are tax deductible.
Vertical equity A principle in taxation that holds that differently situated taxpayers
should be treated differently in terms of income tax provisions. In other
words, taxpayers with more income and/or capital should pay more tax.
Vested right The right to ownership of an asset that cannot be arbitrarily taken away
by a third party.
Virement The transfer of resources from one programme to another within the
same department during a financial year.
Vote An appropriation voted by Parliament.
Water trading account A departmental account that ring-fences revenue from the sale of bulk
water and related services to secure funding to manage the
sustainability of water resources and infrastructure.
Weighted average cost of The average rate of return an organisation expects to pay to investors in
capital its securities, such as bonds, debt and shares. Each category of security
is accorded a proportionate weight in the calculation.
White paper A policy document used to present government policy preferences.
Withholding tax Tax on income deducted at source. Withholding taxes are widely used
for dividends, interest and royalties.
Yield A financial return or interest paid to buyers of government bonds. The
yield/rate of return on bonds includes the total annual interest
payments, the purchase price, the redemption value and the time
remaining until maturity.
Yield curve A graph showing the relationship between the yield on bonds of the
same credit quality but different years to maturity at a given point in
time.
Zero-rated tax items Consumable goods that are exempt from the 15 per cent VAT rate.
STATISTICAL ANNEXURE
STATISTICAL ANNEXURE
1 Main budget: revenue, expenditure, budget balance and financing, 2016/17 to 2025/26
2 Main budget: estimates of national revenue – summary of revenue, 2005/06 to 2025/26
3 Main budget: estimates of national revenue – detailed classification of revenue, 2019/20 to 2023/24
4 Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the National Revenue Fund by vote, 2019/20 to 2025/26
5 Consolidated national, provincial and social security funds expenditure: economic classification, 2019/20 to 2025/26
6 Consolidated national, provincial and social security funds expenditure: functional classification, 2019/20 to 2025/26
7 Consolidated government revenue and expenditure: economic classification, 2019/20 to 2025/26
8 Consolidated government expenditure: functional classification, 2019/20 to 2025/26
9 Consolidated government revenue, expenditure and financing, 2019/20 to 2025/26
10 Total debt of government, 1998/99 to 2025/26
11 Net loan debt, provisions and contingent liabilities, 2012/13 to 2025/26
EXPLANATORY NOTES
The statistical tables present details of the main budget; consolidated national, provincial and social
security funds expenditure; consolidated government revenue and expenditure; consolidated
government revenue, expenditure and financing; total debt of government; and net loan debt,
provisions and contingent liabilities.
The tables are categorised according to government levels, from the main budget to the
consolidated government account. The main budget consists of National Revenue Fund receipts,
expenditure either voted by Parliament or allocated by statutory appropriation, and the financing
of the deficit. This is the national budget, including transfers to other spheres of government.
Consolidated national, provincial and social security funds expenditure consists of the main
(national) budget, and the provincial and the social security funds’ budgets or expenditure. These
budgets are aggregated and transfers between the three spheres of government are netted out to
arrive at a total consolidated expenditure figure. The consolidated government revenue,
expenditure and financing budget includes national, provincial and social security funds, the
Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) Fund and national public entities. This is
referred to as the consolidated budget.
While government revenues are concentrated at national level, a large proportion of expenditure
has shifted to the provinces since 1994. Equitable share transfers to the nine provinces are included
as a government statutory commitment on the National Treasury vote, while the local government
equitable share is appropriated on the vote of the Department of Cooperative Governance. The
consolidated government account consists of all the activities of national and provincial
government, and includes most of the listed public entities. The consolidation also includes several
national government business enterprises.
Since more than 50 per cent of total national expenditure on the 2023/24 main budget consists of
transfer payments to other levels of general government, economic and functional classifications of
national budget expenditure are not comprehensive. For the purposes of analysis, it would be
preferable to present economic and functional classifications of general government expenditure,
but this would require information on expenditure at all levels of general government, its financing
through revenue, balances brought forward and transfer payments (mainly from the national
budget). This information is not readily available for local government. Historical data on general
government finances is, however, published by the Reserve Bank in its Quarterly Bulletin and by
Statistics South Africa.
A premium may also be accrued, or payable, in managing the debt portfolio or when entering into
new loans. Under the new format, premiums paid or received are included as National Revenue
Fund receipts and payments, and no longer categorised as extraordinary receipts and payments.
Sources of information
The information in Tables 1 to 11 on national and provincial government and public entity finances
is obtained from the following sources:
Repayments of loans and advances, which were previously shown as negative expenditure, have
been reclassified as revenue. The national budget deficit (negative budget balance) is due to a higher
increase in expenditure relative to the revenue collected over the same period.
Appropriations by vote are divided into current payments, transfers and subsidies, payments for
capital assets and payments for financial assets. Both current and capital transfers are included in
transfers and subsidies, in line with the economic reporting format’s requirements.
The deficit figures presented in this table differ from those presented in budgets before 1995/96
because a number of items that were previously regarded as “below-the-line” expenditure have
been included in total expenditure. In addition, revaluations of foreign loan obligations are excluded
from expenditure, in keeping with international practice.
Under the “financing” item, domestic short-term loans include net transactions in Treasury bills and
borrowing from the Corporation for Public Deposits. Long-term loans include all transactions in
domestic government bonds and foreign loans (new loan issues, repayments on maturity, buybacks,
switches and reverse purchase transactions).
In Table 3, a large amount of data cannot be reclassified to align with the economic reporting format
because departments capture these transactions in their ledgers as miscellaneous receipts.
Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the National Revenue Fund by vote
(Table 4)
Table 4 contains estimates of expenditure on national budget votes for the period 2019/20 to
2025/26. In 2022/23, amounts included in the budget estimate, the adjusted appropriation and the
revised estimate on each vote are shown. Historical data has been adjusted to account for function
shifts between departments. As a result, the figures presented for some departments may differ
from their financial statements. Total expenditure, however, is not influenced by these changes.
estimates are preliminary because their budgets are tabled after the national budget. As such, these
estimates are subject to change before being tabled in provincial legislatures.
The functional classification in this annexure is aligned with the classification of government
functions set out in the Government Finance Statistics Manual. The historical data published in these
tables has been reclassified accordingly. Chapter 5 of the Budget Review, which sets out the
medium-term expenditure framework, outlines the budget allocations across these function groups.
To support this approach, data at programme and entity level is aggregated into spending
categories, which provides for a higher level of aggregation than in the functional classification. For
example, functional classification tables include local development and social infrastructure as
distinct functions. The fiscal statistics are an outcome of the budget process and can only be used
as a guide to categorise expenditure for budgeting purposes.
Some of the most important differences between the key spending categories presented in Chapter
5 and the more detailed functional classification presented in the statistical tables are as follows:
• Learning and culture: Expenditure in this category includes spending related to school and
tertiary education, as well as arts, culture, sport and recreation. In the statistical tables, this
expenditure is included as part of either the education or recreation, culture and religion
functions.
• Peace and security: This includes expenditure by defence, police, justice and home affairs. In the
statistical tables, the bulk of this expenditure is included in the public order and safety function,
with home affairs split between general public services and public order and safety.
• General public services: In the key spending categories, transfers made to international
organisations are classified within the category of the paying department. In the statistical tables,
they are classified under general public services.
The government budget consolidation includes all entities controlled and mainly financed by
government revenue, where such revenue is defined as either taxes, levies and administrative or
service fees prescribed by government, or direct budgetary support in the form of transfer
payments. This consolidation also includes several government business enterprises, based on the
principle that they either sell most of their goods and services to government institutions or
departments at regulated prices, and are therefore not businesses in the true sense of the word, or
they are directly involved in infrastructure financing and development.
• Science councils that conduct research or fulfil a regulatory or advisory function, with
government-determined regulatory or administration fees.
To present consolidated accounts, all units use the same accounting standards and policies. The
format of the accounts, terminology used, classification, transaction coverage and accounting base
(cash or accrual) must be the same. In this respect, the consolidated government budget is prepared
on an adjusted cash basis of accounting. This is not strictly comparable to the financial information
published in the consolidated financial statements, which has two components – a consolidation of
departments using the modified cash basis of accounting and a separate consolidation of public
entities that apply the accrual basis of accounting.
All transactions that occur between units being consolidated are eliminated. A transaction of one
unit is matched with the same transaction recorded for the second unit and both transactions are
eliminated from the consolidation. For example, if a public entity sells a service to a government
department and data for the two units is being consolidated, neither the sale nor the purchase of
the service is reported. In this way, only transactions between government and non-government
entities are recorded, without inflating total government revenue as a result of internal transactions.
Not all intra-entity transactions are eliminated, however, because they are not always identifiable
in the accounting systems of government and many of its agencies. Only those that can be identified
have been eliminated. These broadly include:
• Transactions involving transfers from one government unit to another, including transfers made
by national departments to public entities and transfers between public entities (such as Water
Trading Entity transfers to water boards).
• Purchases of goods and services from other government units included in the consolidation (such
as transactions between the Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority, water boards and the Water
Trading Entity).
As data collection and recording procedures for transactions improve, additional intra-entity
transactions will be identified and removed from the consolidated government budget.
A total of 162 national and provincial departments and 186 entities are included in
the 2023 consolidated government budget. The National Treasury is committed to presenting a full
consolidation of the whole of general government over time. Considerable work has been done to
align the local government accounts with national and provincial accounts. A classification reporting
framework has been developed for municipalities as a first step towards the consolidation of the
financial information of all three spheres of government.
The balance on the operating account shows the outcome of government’s operating activities,
which is a measure of the cost of ongoing operations. It is calculated as the difference between
current revenue and current expenditure, and the resulting balance shows how much government
must borrow to run its operations. The current balance demonstrates the sustainability of
government operations.
Capital investment activities are presented in the capital account. Government’s capital financing
requirement is the outcome of this account, which is calculated as the difference between capital
revenue and capital expenditure. This account will mainly be in deficit due to continuous investment
in infrastructure and substantial capital outlays.
Table 1
Main budget: revenue, expenditure, budget balance and financing 1)
R million
Total revenue 1 137 904.4 1 196 362.3 1 275 270.6 1 345 869.9 1 238 368.7 1 564 389.8
Main budget expenditure
Direct charges against the National Revenue Fund 588 731.7 636 337.0 685 914.8 746 088.0 784 602.2 855 628.6
Debt-service costs 6) 146 496.7 162 644.6 181 849.1 204 769.4 232 595.7 268 071.6
Provincial equitable share 410 698.6 441 331.1 470 286.5 505 553.8 520 717.0 544 834.9
General fuel levy sharing with metropolitan municipalities 11 223.8 11 785.0 12 468.6 13 166.8 14 026.9 14 617.3
Skills levy and SETAs 15 233.0 16 293.6 17 479.9 18 283.8 12 413.0 19 011.6
Other 7) 5 079.5 4 282.7 3 830.7 4 314.2 4 849.7 9 093.2
Appropriated by vote 716 658.5 768 602.9 820 690.4 944 914.2 1 004 413.6 1 031 822.6
Current payments 8) 210 088.3 218 942.9 229 630.8 244 878.1 237 979.6 255 893.2
Transfers and subsidies 9) 486 109.1 516 024.6 562 337.2 623 356.6 665 858.8 692 979.6
Payments for capital assets 10) 15 598.5 15 232.9 14 357.9 12 107.9 12 001.6 14 253.4
Payments for financial assets 11) 4 862.5 18 402.5 14 364.4 64 571.6 88 573.6 68 696.4
Provisional allocations not assigned to votes – – – – – –
Infrastructure Fund not assigned to votes – – – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – –
Total 1 305 390.1 1 404 939.9 1 506 605.2 1 691 002.2 1 789 015.8 1 887 451.2
Contingency reserve – – – – – –
Total expenditure 1 305 390.1 1 404 939.9 1 506 605.2 1 691 002.2 1 789 015.8 1 887 451.2
Main budget balance -167 485.7 -208 577.7 -231 334.6 -345 132.2 -550 647.1 -323 061.4
Percentage of GDP -3.5% -4.1% -4.3% -6.1% -9.8% -5.1%
Redemptions -73 039.8 -28 375.0 -15 569.9 -70 656.6 -67 638.9 -65 292.2
Domestic long-term loans -57 349.8 -24 254.0 -13 528.7 -19 427.7 -53 222.6 -61 373.4
Foreign loans 12) -15 690.0 -4 121.0 -2 041.3 -51 229.0 -14 416.3 -3 918.8
Gross borrowing requirement -240 525.5 -236 952.7 -246 904.5 -415 788.8 -618 286.0 -388 353.6
Financing
Change in loan liabilities
Domestic short-term loans (net) 40 507.1 33 407.0 14 060.6 36 077.5 95 325.4 -7 954.8
Domestic long-term loans 174 034.1 198 692.0 183 003.1 305 449.2 523 417.9 290 294.8
Market loans 175 070.5 200 200.0 183 503.3 305 738.5 523 376.1 289 933.1
Loans issued for switches -1 036.4 -1 508.0 -500.3 -289.3 41.7 361.7
Change in cash and other balances (- increase) -26 086.4 -29 041.3 24 583.2 -1 789.9 -92 377.1 74 698.1
Total financing 240 525.5 236 952.7 246 904.5 415 788.8 618 286.0 388 353.6
GDP 4 831 201.0 5 135 258.0 5 413 621.0 5 699 236.0 5 606 651.0 6 287 621.0
National Revenue Fund transactions 13)
National Revenue Fund receipts 14 240.6 16 600.3 11 999.4 12 801.3 25 769.9 6 068.4
National Revenue Fund payments -1 778.0 -587.1 -161.6 -468.5 -588.3 -2 173.4
Net 12 462.6 16 013.2 11 837.8 12 332.9 25 181.6 3 895.0
1) This table summarises revenue, expenditure and the main budget balance since 2016/17. As available data is incomplete, the estimates are not fully consistent with other
sources, such as the Government Finance Statistics series of the Reserve Bank.
2) Mining leases and ownership have been reclassified as non-tax revenue (rent on land). Historical numbers have been adjusted for comparative purposes.
3) Payments in terms of Southern African Customs Union (SACU) agreements.
4) Excludes sales of capital assets, discount and revaluation of foreign loan repayments. Includes receipts for which a department serves as a conduit to deposit funds into the
National Revenue Fund.
5) Includes National Revenue Fund receipts (previously classified as extraordinary receipts).
6) Includes interest, cost of raising loans and management cost but excludes discount on the issue of new government debt instruments and the revaluation of foreign loan
repayments.
Source: National Treasury
Table 1
Main budget: revenue, expenditure, budget balance and financing 1)
1 588 043.7 1 703 571.1 115 527.4 1 759 228.8 1 868 080.4 2 007 707.1 Total revenue
Main budget expenditure
902 658.4 919 377.2 16 718.7 950 637.6 995 605.8 1 059 556.8 Direct charges against the National Revenue Fund
301 806.3 307 156.9 5 350.6 340 460.3 362 839.9 397 074.0 6) Debt-service costs
560 756.8 570 868.2 10 111.4 567 527.7 587 499.7 614 270.8 Provincial equitable share
15 334.8 15 334.8 – 15 433.5 16 126.6 16 849.1 General fuel levy sharing with metropolitan municipalities
20 619.3 21 238.1 618.8 23 027.0 24 815.6 26 845.7 Skills levy and SETAs
4 141.2 4 779.1 637.9 4 189.2 4 324.0 4 517.2 7) Other
1 057 028.6 1 084 609.1 27 580.5 1 077 437.8 1 097 744.5 1 153 439.2 Appropriated by vote
260 679.5 263 006.2 2 326.7 262 936.9 276 177.6 287 579.7 8) Current payments
755 266.9 739 040.0 -16 226.9 794 182.5 802 416.2 845 880.4 9) Transfers and subsidies
15 505.5 16 159.6 654.1 18 401.2 18 300.6 19 091.4 10) Payments for capital assets
25 576.7 66 403.3 40 826.6 1 917.1 850.1 887.7 11) Payments for financial assets
1 372.1 – -1 372.1 1 504.7 1 858.1 1 839.1 Provisional allocations not assigned to votes
4 197.4 – -4 197.4 – 2 042.7 2 138.1 Infrastructure Fund not assigned to votes
– – – – 35 693.3 44 532.7 Unallocated reserve
1 965 256.5 2 003 986.3 38 729.8 2 029 580.1 2 132 944.5 2 261 505.9 Total
10 000.0 – -10 000.0 5 000.0 5 000.0 5 000.0 Contingency reserve
1 975 256.5 2 003 986.3 28 729.8 2 034 580.1 2 137 944.5 2 266 505.9 Total expenditure
-387 212.8 -300 415.2 86 797.6 -275 351.2 -269 864.1 -258 798.8 Main budget balance
-6.0% -4.5% 1.5% -3.9% -3.6% -3.3% Percentage of GDP
-97 252.0 -87 474.0 9 778.0 -162 232.2 -168 794.4 -185 968.5 Redemptions
-81 292.0 -71 712.4 9 579.6 -117 864.8 -131 368.6 -129 558.3 Domestic long-term loans
-15 960.0 -15 761.6 198.4 -44 367.4 -37 425.8 -56 410.3 12) Foreign loans
-484 464.8 -387 889.1 96 575.7 -515 583.5 -504 812.5 -554 990.4 Gross borrowing requirement
Financing
Change in loan liabilities
– -25 493.0 -25 493.0 48 000.0 42 000.0 46 000.0 Domestic short-term loans (net)
47 880.0 310 900.0 263 020.0 329 900.0 377 700.0 411 000.0 Domestic long-term loans
47 880.0 310 987.0 263 107.0 329 900.0 377 700.0 341 000.0 Market loans
– -87.0 -87.0 – – – Loans issued for switches
330 400.0 64 465.6 -265 934.4 44 360.3 34 960.0 79 380.0 Foreign loans
330 400.0 64 465.6 -265 934.4 44 360.3 34 960.0 79 380.0 Market loans
– – – – – – Loans issued for switches
106 184.8 38 016.6 -68 168.2 93 323.2 50 152.5 18 610.4 Change in cash and other balances (- increase)
484 464.8 387 889.1 -96 575.7 515 583.5 504 812.5 554 990.4 Total financing
6 441 287.8 6 651 265.5 209 977.8 7 005 733.5 7 452 382.3 7 938 960.0 GDP
13) National Revenue Fund transactions
2 646.0 4 573.5 1 927.5 11 053.0 5 490.0 1 055.0 National Revenue Fund receipts
-56.1 -263.2 -207.1 -50.5 – – National Revenue Fund payments
2 589.9 4 310.3 1 720.4 11 002.5 5 490.0 1 055.0 Net
7) Includes direct appropriations in respect of the salaries of the President, Deputy President, judges, magistrates, members of Parliament, Auditor-General of South Africa,
National Revenue Fund payments (previously classified as extraordinary payments), the International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund and allocations made in the
2022/23 Second Adjustments Appropriation Bill.
8) Includes compensation of employees, payments for goods and services, interest and rent on land. Payment for medical benefits to former employees
has been moved to transfers.
9) Includes current and capital transfers and subsidies to business, households, foreign countries and other levels and funds of general government.
10) Includes acquisition and own account construction of new assets and the cost of upgrading, improving and extending existing capital assets.
11) Consists mainly of lending to public corporations or making equity investments in them for policy purposes. Previously included in transfers and subsidies.
12) Revaluation estimates are based on the National Treasury's projection of exchange rates.
13) National Revenue Fund payments include premiums paid on loan transactions and revaluation adjustments when utilising foreign exchange deposits.
National Revenue Fund receipts include proceeds from the sale of state assets, premiums received on loan transactions and revaluation adjustments when utilising
foreign exchange deposits.
Table 2
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Summary of revenue
R million
Taxes on income and profits 230 803.6 279 990.5 332 058.3 383 482.7 359 044.8 379 941.2 426 583.7
Personal income tax 125 645.3 140 578.3 168 774.4 195 145.7 205 145.0 226 925.0 250 399.6
Corporate income tax 86 160.8 118 998.6 140 119.8 165 539.0 134 883.4 132 901.7 151 626.7
Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax and
interest withholding tax 12 277.6 15 291.4 20 585.4 20 017.6 15 467.8 17 178.2 21 965.4
Tax on retirement funds 4 783.1 3 190.5 285.4 143.3 42.7 2.8 6.7
Other 1) 1 936.7 1 931.7 2 293.3 2 637.2 3 505.9 2 933.6 2 585.3
Taxes on payroll and workforce 4 872.0 5 597.4 6 330.9 7 327.5 7 804.8 8 652.3 10 173.1
Skills development levy 2) 4 872.0 5 597.4 6 330.9 7 327.5 7 804.8 8 652.3 10 173.1
Domestic taxes on goods and services 151 362.5 174 637.9 194 690.3 201 416.0 203 666.8 249 490.4 263 949.9
Value-added tax 4) 114 351.6 134 462.6 150 442.8 154 343.1 147 941.3 183 571.4 191 020.2
Specific excise duties 14 546.5 16 369.5 18 218.4 20 184.5 21 289.3 22 967.6 25 411.1
Health promotion levy – – – – –
Ad valorem excise duties 1 157.3 1 282.7 1 480.5 1 169.5 1 275.9 1 596.2 1 828.3
Fuel levies 20 506.7 21 844.6 23 740.5 24 883.8 28 832.5 34 417.6 36 602.3
Air departure tax 458.2 484.8 540.6 549.4 580.3 647.8 762.4
Electricity levy – – – – 3 341.7 4 996.4 6 429.7
Other 5) 342.2 193.7 267.5 285.7 405.7 1 293.3 1 895.8
Taxes on international trade and transactions 18 201.3 24 002.2 27 081.9 22 852.4 19 318.9 26 977.1 34 121.0
Customs duties 18 303.5 23 697.0 26 469.9 22 751.0 19 577.1 26 637.4 34 197.9
Health promotion levy on imports – – – – – – –
Import surcharges – – – – – – –
Other 6) -102.1 305.2 612.0 101.4 -258.3 339.7 -76.9
Stamp duties and fees 792.8 615.7 557.1 571.8 49.5 3.1 -2.9
State miscellaneous revenue 7) 164.2 339.2 212.2 -27.4 -5.7 16.7 7.4
TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross) 417 334.0 495 515.1 572 814.6 625 100.2 598 705.4 674 183.1 742 649.7
TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE 418 791.4 484 601.6 562 644.4 616 999.2 586 113.1 672 751.5 745 291.3
Current revenue 418 573.8 484 596.3 562 414.2 616 868.0 586 076.8 672 716.0 745 176.5
Direct taxes 236 329.7 286 382.4 339 107.8 391 691.9 367 669.0 389 440.5 437 854.7
Indirect taxes 180 701.8 208 827.1 233 494.6 233 435.6 231 042.1 284 726.0 304 787.6
State miscellaneous revenue 164.2 339.2 212.2 -27.4 -5.7 16.7 7.4
Non-tax revenue (excluding sales of capital assets) 11) 15 523.0 14 242.6 14 312.2 20 688.4 15 286.8 16 438.5 24 286.8
Less: SACU payments -14 144.9 -25 194.9 -24 712.6 -28 920.6 -27 915.4 -17 905.7 -21 760.0
Sales of capital assets 79.3 38.8 230.2 131.2 36.3 35.4 114.7
National Revenue Fund receipts 12) 6 905.2 3 438.1 1 849.8 8 203.4 6 428.6 3 013.9 5 209.2
1) Includes interest on overdue income tax and small business tax amnesty (in 2006/07, 2007/08 and 2008/09).
2) Levy on payroll dedicated to skills development.
3) The securities transfer tax replaced the uncertificated securities tax from 1 July 2008.
4) Value-added tax (VAT) replaced general sales tax in September 1991.
5) Includes plastic bag levy (from 2004/05), Universal Service Fund (from 1999/00), levies on financial services (up to 2004/05), CO 2 motor vehicle emissions (from 2010/11), incandescent light bulb levy
(from 2009/10), turnover tax for micro businesses (from 2009/10), tyre levy, International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund (from 2016/17) and carbon tax (from 2020/21). Mining leases and ownership
have been reclassified as non-tax revenue. The historical years from 2000/01 have been adjusted for comparative purposes.
Table 2
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Summary of revenue
Actual collections
R million
457 313.8 507 759.2 561 789.8 606 820.5 664 526.4 711 703.0 738 740.6 Taxes on income and profits
275 821.6 309 931.2 352 950.4 388 102.4 424 545.2 460 952.8 492 082.9 Personal income tax
159 259.2 177 459.6 184 925.4 191 151.6 204 431.8 217 412.0 212 046.1 Corporate income tax
19 738.7 17 308.8 21 247.3 24 152.8 31 575.7 28 559.6 30 523.1 Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax and
interest withholding tax
0.2 – – – – – – Tax on retirement funds
2 494.1 3 059.6 2 666.7 3 413.7 3 973.8 4 778.6 4 088.6 1) Other
11 378.5 12 475.6 14 032.1 15 220.2 15 314.8 16 012.4 17 439.0 Taxes on payroll and workforce
11 378.5 12 475.6 14 032.1 15 220.2 15 314.8 16 012.4 17 439.0 2) Skills development levy
296 921.5 324 548.2 356 554.4 385 955.9 402 463.9 422 248.3 460 544.6 Domestic taxes on goods and services
215 023.0 237 666.6 261 294.8 281 111.4 289 166.7 297 997.6 324 766.0 4) Value-added tax
28 377.7 29 039.5 32 333.6 35 076.7 35 773.8 37 355.9 40 829.7 Specific excise duties
– – – – – – 3 195.1 Health promotion levy
2 231.9 2 363.3 2 962.3 3 014.1 3 396.2 3 780.9 4 191.9 Ad valorem excise duties
40 410.4 43 684.7 48 466.5 55 607.3 62 778.8 70 948.6 75 372.2 Fuel levies
873.1 878.7 906.6 941.2 1 003.9 1 086.0 1 082.9 Air departure tax
7 983.9 8 818.9 8 648.2 8 471.8 8 457.7 8 501.0 8 404.0 Electricity levy
2 021.4 2 096.5 1 942.5 1 733.5 1 886.8 2 578.3 2 702.9 5) Other
39 549.1 44 732.2 41 462.9 46 942.3 46 102.5 49 939.4 55 722.9 Taxes on international trade and transactions
38 997.9 44 178.7 40 678.8 46 250.1 45 579.1 49 151.7 54 968.1 Customs duties
– – – – – – 53.1 Health promotion levy on imports
– – – – – – – Import surcharges
551.2 553.4 784.1 692.2 523.4 787.7 701.8 6) Other
0.5 31.7 -1.2 0.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 Stamp duties and fees
17.2 -19.1 -14.6 -0.8 12.2 -23.5 -8.7 7) State miscellaneous revenue
813 825.8 900 014.7 986 295.0 1 069 982.6 1 144 081.0 1 216 463.9 1 287 690.2 TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross)
800 142.2 887 366.2 965 456.9 1 076 236.4 1 137 904.4 1 196 362.3 1 275 270.6 TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE
800 047.9 887 329.2 965 379.5 1 076 115.3 1 137 755.2 1 196 164.8 1 275 158.7 Current revenue
469 787.4 521 449.0 577 477.5 624 157.7 681 741.0 730 739.5 758 853.4 Direct taxes
344 021.2 378 584.8 408 832.1 445 825.7 462 327.8 485 747.9 528 845.5 Indirect taxes
17.2 -19.1 -14.6 -0.8 12.2 -23.5 -8.7 State miscellaneous revenue
28 373.4 30 688.8 30 822.1 57 154.6 33 122.6 35 651.8 35 757.1 11) Non-tax revenue (excluding sales of capital assets)
-42 151.3 -43 374.4 -51 737.7 -51 021.9 -39 448.3 -55 950.9 -48 288.6 Less: SACU payments
94.3 37.0 77.4 121.1 149.2 197.5 111.9 Sales of capital assets
12 302.8 11 709.3 12 647.0 14 377.5 14 240.7 16 600.3 11 999.4 12) National Revenue Fund receipts
6) Includes miscellaneous customs and excise receipts, ordinary levy (up to 2004/05) and export duties (duty on scrap metal from 2021/22).
7) Includes revenue received by SARS that could not be allocated to a specific revenue type.
8) Includes sales of goods and services, fines, penalties and forfeits, interest, dividends and rent on land (including mineral and petroleum royalties and mining leases and ownership), sales of capital assets
as well as transactions in financial assets and liabilities.
9) Payments in terms of SACU agreements.
10) Payment to SACU partners in respect of a previous error in calculation of the 1969 agreement.
11) Excludes sales of capital assets.
12) Previously classified as extraordinary revenue, includes sales of strategic fuel stocks, proceeds from sales of state assets and certain other receipts are, by law, paid
into the National Revenue Fund.
Table 2
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Summary of revenue
Taxes on income and profits 772 684.8 718 180.5 912 870.0 989 876.7 8.4% 1 030 213.3 1 021 213.3
Personal income tax 527 632.5 487 011.1 553 951.5 601 649.4 8.6% 644 300.0 640 300.0
Corporate income tax 211 522.2 202 123.4 320 446.9 344 944.4 7.6% 341 118.9 336 118.9
Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax and
interest withholding tax 28 526.4 25 335.7 33 898.2 39 282.0 15.9% 40 612.4 40 612.4
Tax on retirement funds – – -0.2 – -100.0% – –
Other 1) 5 003.7 3 710.3 4 573.7 4 000.8 -12.5% 4 182.0 4 182.0
Taxes on payroll and workforce 18 486.3 12 250.2 19 335.9 21 238.1 9.8% 23 027.0 23 027.0
Skills development levy 2) 18 486.3 12 250.2 19 335.9 21 238.1 9.8% 23 027.0 23 027.0
Domestic taxes on goods and services 492 282.8 455 866.6 549 806.3 581 870.9 5.8% 646 765.3 642 765.3
Value-added tax 4) 346 760.8 331 196.8 390 895.1 426 283.1 9.1% 471 476.8 471 476.8
Specific excise duties 46 826.6 32 273.0 49 705.1 55 228.0 11.1% 58 955.8 58 955.8
Health promotion levy 2 446.2 2 046.2 2 182.3 2 319.7 6.3% 2 476.3 2 476.3
Ad valorem excise duties 4 124.2 3 385.5 4 725.1 4 461.1 -5.6% 4 698.9 4 698.9
Fuel levies 80 175.2 75 502.8 88 889.1 79 131.0 -11.0% 94 407.8 90 407.8
Air departure tax 1 068.3 138.5 285.1 748.3 162.5% 785.2 785.2
Electricity levy 8 290.7 7 739.3 7 890.6 7 644.1 -3.1% 7 719.5 7 719.5
Other 5) 2 590.9 3 584.4 5 233.9 6 055.5 15.7% 6 245.0 6 245.0
Taxes on international trade and transactions 56 322.4 47 455.4 59 719.3 76 535.4 28.2% 76 588.1 76 588.1
Customs duties 55 428.4 47 290.4 57 993.8 74 175.8 27.9% 74 221.0 74 221.0
Health promotion levy on imports 66.6 67.4 77.5 113.5 46.4% 113.6 113.6
Import surcharges – – – – – – –
Other 6) 827.4 97.6 1 648.0 2 246.1 36.3% 2 253.5 2 253.5
TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross) 1 355 766.3 1 249 711.2 1 563 754.2 1 692 176.7 8.2% 1 800 456.5 1 787 456.5
TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE 1 345 869.9 1 238 368.7 1 564 389.8 1 703 571.1 8.9% 1 772 228.8 1 759 228.8
Current revenue 1 345 749.2 1 238 244.6 1 564 253.5 1 703 443.9 8.9% 1 772 097.6 1 759 097.6
Direct taxes 793 791.2 733 349.0 935 982.2 1 015 605.9 8.5% 1 057 970.6 1 048 970.6
Indirect taxes 561 965.0 516 350.3 627 782.1 676 570.8 7.8% 742 485.9 738 485.9
State miscellaneous revenue 10.0 11.9 -10.1 – – – –
Non-tax revenue (excluding sales of capital assets) 11) 40 263.2 51 928.6 46 465.5 54 950.6 18.3% 51 452.1 51 452.1
Less: SACU payments -50 280.3 -63 395.2 -45 966.2 -43 683.4 -5.0% -79 811.0 -79 811.0
Sales of capital assets 120.7 124.1 136.3 127.2 -6.7% 131.3 131.3
National Revenue Fund receipts 12) 12 801.3 25 769.9 6 068.4 4 573.5 -24.6% 11 053.0 11 053.0
1) Includes interest on overdue income tax and small business tax amnesty (in 2006/07, 2007/08 and 2008/09).
2) Levy on payroll dedicated to skills development.
3) The securities transfer tax replaced the uncertificated securities tax from 1 July 2008.
4) Value-added tax (VAT) replaced general sales tax in September 1991.
5) Includes plastic bag levy (from 2004/05), Universal Service Fund (from 1999/00), levies on financial services (up to 2004/05), CO 2 motor vehicle emissions (from 2010/11), incandescent light bulb levy
(from 2009/10), turnover tax for micro businesses (from 2009/10), tyre levy, International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund (from 2016/17) and carbon tax (from 2020/21). Mining leases and ownership
have been reclassified as non-tax revenue. The historical years from 2000/01 have been adjusted for comparative purposes.
Table 2
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Summary of revenue
3.2% 58.0% 1 089 123.4 6.6% 1 172 033.0 7.6% Taxes on income and profits
6.4% 36.4% 696 624.1 8.8% 752 627.0 8.0% Personal income tax
-2.6% 19.1% 345 434.2 2.8% 369 476.7 7.0% Corporate income tax
3.4% 2.3% 42 625.6 5.0% 45 199.9 6.0% Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax and
interest withholding tax
– – – – Tax on retirement funds
4.5% 0.2% 4 439.5 6.2% 4 729.5 6.5% 1) Other
8.4% 1.3% 24 815.6 7.8% 26 845.7 8.2% Taxes on payroll and workforce
8.4% 1.3% 24 815.6 7.8% 26 845.7 8.2% 2) Skills development levy
10.5% 36.5% 687 208.2 6.9% 731 031.8 6.4% Domestic taxes on goods and services
10.6% 26.8% 505 408.6 7.2% 537 867.9 6.4% 4) Value-added tax
6.7% 3.4% 62 864.6 6.6% 67 049.6 6.7% Specific excise duties
6.7% 0.1% 2 640.4 6.6% 2 816.2 6.7% Health promotion levy
5.3% 0.3% 4 998.4 6.4% 5 324.5 6.5% Ad valorem excise duties
14.3% 5.1% 96 171.7 6.4% 102 445.4 6.5% Fuel levies
4.9% 0.0% 822.8 4.8% 861.2 4.7% Air departure tax
1.0% 0.4% 7 847.0 1.7% 7 992.8 1.9% Electricity levy
3.1% 0.4% 6 454.5 3.4% 6 674.2 3.4% 5) Other
0.1% 4.4% 81 195.0 6.0% 86 505.6 6.5% Taxes on international trade and transactions
0.1% 4.2% 78 748.8 6.1% 83 962.8 6.6% Customs duties
0.1% 0.0% 120.5 6.1% 128.5 6.6% Health promotion levy on imports
– – – – – – Import surcharges
0.3% 0.1% 2 325.7 3.2% 2 414.4 3.8% 6) Other
5.6% 101.6% 1 907 726.5 6.7% 2 043 456.3 7.1% TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross)
3.3% 100.0% 1 868 080.4 6.2% 2 007 707.1 7.5% TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE
3.3% 100.0% 1 867 946.5 6.2% 2 007 571.8 7.5% Current revenue
3.3% 59.6% 1 118 971.1 6.7% 1 204 238.9 7.6% Direct taxes
9.2% 42.0% 788 755.5 6.8% 839 217.4 6.4% Indirect taxes
– – – – – – State miscellaneous revenue
-6.4% 2.9% 46 724.8 -9.2% 44 174.8 -5.5% 11) Non-tax revenue (excluding sales of capital assets)
82.7% -4.5% -86 504.8 8.4% -80 059.4 -7.5% Less: SACU payments
3.2% 0.0% 133.9 2.0% 135.3 1.1% Sales of capital assets
141.7% 0.6% 5 490.0 -50.3% 1 055.0 -80.8% 12) National Revenue Fund receipts
6) Includes miscellaneous customs and excise receipts, ordinary levy (up to 2004/05) and export duties (duty on scrap metal from 2021/22).
7) Includes revenue received by SARS that could not be allocated to a specific revenue type.
8) Includes sales of goods and services, fines, penalties and forfeits, interest, dividends and rent on land (including mineral and petroleum royalties and mining leases and ownership), sales of capital assets
as well as transactions in financial assets and liabilities.
9) Payments in terms of SACU agreements.
10) Payment to SACU partners in respect of a previous error in calculation of the 1969 agreement.
11) Excludes sales of capital assets.
12) Previously classified as extraordinary revenue, includes sales of strategic fuel stocks, proceeds from sales of state assets and certain other receipts are, by law, paid
into the National Revenue Fund.
Table 3
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Detailed classification of revenue
Taxes on income and profits 772 684 806 718 180 499 764 177 629 761 977 629 910 106 674 912 870 032
Personal income tax 527 632 509 487 011 071 518 157 332 515 957 332 553 529 186 553 951 488
Tax on corporate income
Corporate income tax 211 522 203 202 123 447 213 114 219 213 114 219 318 380 351 320 446 871
Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax 27 929 888 24 845 362 26 172 131 26 172 131 32 182 238 33 429 472
Interest withholding tax 596 498 490 305 542 524 542 524 479 858 468 752
Other
Interest on overdue income tax 5 003 687 3 710 242 6 191 383 6 191 383 5 535 041 4 573 663
Small business tax amnesty 21 72 40 40 – –
Taxes on payroll and workforce 18 486 280 12 250 229 17 812 864 17 812 864 18 932 767 19 335 917
Skills development levy 18 486 280 12 250 229 17 812 864 17 812 864 18 932 767 19 335 917
Taxes on property 15 979 940 15 946 618 16 837 117 16 837 117 19 693 303 22 032 795
Estate, inheritance and gift taxes
Donations tax 572 261 602 003 645 722 645 722 626 277 635 423
Estate duty 2 047 843 2 316 293 2 559 252 2 559 252 2 929 427 3 140 787
Taxes on financial and capital transactions
Securities transfer tax 1) 6 240 209 5 422 275 6 095 252 6 095 252 6 629 230 7 680 453
Transfer duties 7 119 627 7 606 047 7 536 890 7 536 890 9 508 369 10 576 131
Domestic taxes on goods and services 492 282 788 455 866 615 512 729 587 514 529 587 541 296 114 549 806 294
Value-added tax
Domestic VAT 399 288 366 392 935 790 430 061 872 430 061 872 446 738 030 448 760 190
Import VAT 179 987 357 166 454 473 181 332 787 181 332 787 196 927 831 204 551 808
Refunds -232 514 956 -228 193 414 -241 217 288 -241 217 288 -259 941 983 -262 416 899
Specific excise duties
Beer 15 524 759 11 020 597 14 154 251 14 764 311 18 313 546 19 957 814
Sorghum beer and sorghum flour 4 366 3 496 4 241 4 241 5 176 4 808
Wine and other fermented beverages 4 574 469 3 442 572 4 573 424 4 718 649 5 946 246 6 112 700
Spirits 8 994 734 7 642 522 7 969 675 8 314 388 11 462 890 11 308 512
Cigarettes and cigarette tobacco 13 969 782 7 536 755 12 417 753 13 089 833 9 157 845 8 958 630
Pipe tobacco and cigars 495 694 438 049 424 077 451 997 498 513 413 154
Petroleum products 2) 825 673 685 488 861 035 861 035 951 797 745 552
Revenue from neighbouring countries 3) 2 437 098 1 503 551 1 529 450 1 529 450 1 875 943 2 203 959
Health promotion levy 2 446 184 2 046 177 2 149 910 2 149 910 2 210 621 2 182 323
Ad valorem excise duties 4 124 241 3 385 507 3 536 499 3 536 499 4 276 262 4 725 140
Fuel levy 80 175 160 75 502 814 83 147 932 83 147 932 89 883 837 88 889 070
Taxes on use of goods or permission to use goods
or to perform activities
Air departure tax 1 068 258 138 465 140 017 140 017 201 118 285 088
Plastic bag levy 317 897 581 434 559 907 559 907 611 353 658 216
Electricity levy 8 290 676 7 739 340 8 140 779 8 140 779 8 005 287 7 890 565
Incandescent light bulb levy 33 963 24 881 24 735 24 735 24 623 23 345
CO2 tax - motor vehicle emissions 1 327 417 1 469 582 1 443 726 1 443 726 1 798 386 2 173 481
Tyre levy 708 018 601 143 537 571 537 571 663 300 714 927
International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund 3 093 2 671 3 027 3 027 2 347 –
Carbon tax – 650 374 656 206 656 206 1 399 655 1 397 618
Turnover tax for micro businesses 8 450 8 513 2 387 2 387 6 811 8 793
Other
Universal Service Fund 192 088 245 837 275 616 275 616 276 679 257 500
Taxes on international trade and transactions 56 322 406 47 455 394 53 567 108 53 967 108 57 041 647 59 719 265
Import duties
Customs duties 55 428 360 47 290 375 53 142 376 53 142 376 55 821 013 57 993 758
Health promotion levy on imports 66 606 67 429 65 053 65 053 78 229 77 510
Other
Miscellaneous customs and excise receipts 732 759 46 582 299 984 299 984 748 234 1 070 568
Diamond export levy 94 681 51 009 59 694 59 694 92 105 169 992
Export tax – – – 400 000 302 066 407 437
Other taxes – – 3 3 1 –
Stamp duties and fees – – 3 3 1 –
TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross) 1 355 766 258 1 249 711 235 1 365 124 307 1 365 124 307 1 547 070 505 1 563 754 245
Less: SACU payments 5) -50 280 313 -63 395 241 -45 966 211 -45 966 211 -45 966 211 -45 966 211
Payments in terms of SACU agreements -50 280 313 -63 395 241 -45 966 211 -45 966 211 -45 966 211 -45 966 211
TOTAL TAX REVENUE (net of SACU payments) 1 305 485 945 1 186 315 994 1 319 158 095 1 319 158 095 1 501 104 294 1 517 788 033
1) The securities transfer tax replaced the uncertificated securities tax from 1 July 2008.
2) Specific excise duties on petrol, distillate fuel, residual fuel and base oil.
3) Excise duties that are collected by Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia and eSwatini.
Source: National Treasury
Table 3
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Detailed classification of revenue
2022/23 2023/24
896 499 557 894 299 557 989 876 665 8.4% 1 030 213 252 1 021 213 252 Taxes on income and profits
590 107 299 587 907 299 601 649 444 8.6% 644 299 958 640 299 958 Personal income tax
Tax on corporate income
269 931 285 269 931 285 344 944 415 7.6% 341 118 898 336 118 898 Corporate income tax
30 449 778 30 449 778 38 514 527 15.2% 39 818 928 39 818 928 Secondary tax on companies/dividends tax
454 026 454 026 767 451 63.7% 793 443 793 443 Interest withholding tax
Other
5 557 169 5 557 169 4 000 829 -12.5% 4 182 025 4 182 025 Interest on overdue income tax
– – – – – – Small business tax amnesty
20 619 315 20 619 315 21 238 137 9.8% 23 026 959 23 026 959 Taxes on payroll and workforce
20 619 315 20 619 315 21 238 137 9.8% 23 026 959 23 026 959 Skills development levy
20 291 186 20 291 186 22 655 536 2.8% 23 862 925 23 862 925 Taxes on property
Estate, inheritance and gift taxes
645 290 645 290 664 560 4.6% 699 977 699 977 Donations tax
3 018 363 3 018 363 3 826 501 21.8% 4 030 428 4 030 428 Estate duty
Taxes on financial and capital transactions
6 830 492 6 830 492 6 426 109 -16.3% 6 768 577 6 768 577 1) Securities transfer tax
9 797 041 9 797 041 11 738 366 11.0% 12 363 942 12 363 942 Transfer duties
603 732 266 600 732 266 581 870 917 5.8% 646 765 255 642 765 255 Domestic taxes on goods and services
Value-added tax
475 948 200 475 948 200 489 819 505 9.1% 522 881 471 522 881 471 Domestic VAT
215 534 094 215 534 094 251 031 602 22.7% 251 184 661 251 184 661 Import VAT
-251 801 648 -251 801 648 -314 568 056 19.9% -302 589 358 -302 589 358 Refunds
Specific excise duties
17 518 807 17 677 849 21 036 382 5.4% 22 456 301 22 456 301 Beer
5 281 5 281 4 494 -6.5% 4 798 4 798 Sorghum beer and sorghum flour
5 228 728 5 261 769 6 405 120 4.8% 6 837 455 6 837 455 Wine and other fermented beverages
10 151 137 10 359 055 13 455 854 19.0% 14 364 101 14 364 101 Spirits
14 188 760 14 280 554 10 915 105 21.8% 11 651 855 11 651 855 Cigarettes and cigarette tobacco
606 013 614 219 431 670 4.5% 460 807 460 807 Pipe tobacco and cigars
1 209 450 1 209 450 732 512 -1.7% 781 956 781 956 2) Petroleum products
2 456 140 2 456 140 2 246 911 1.9% 2 398 574 2 398 574 3) Revenue from neighbouring countries
2 355 163 2 355 163 2 319 698 6.3% 2 476 274 2 476 274 Health promotion levy
4 406 088 4 406 088 4 461 119 -5.6% 4 698 867 4 698 867 Ad valorem excise duties
92 612 682 89 112 682 79 131 044 -11.0% 94 407 780 90 407 780 Fuel levy
Taxes on use of goods or permission to use goods
or to perform activities
210 224 210 224 748 302 162.5% 785 219 785 219 Air departure tax
639 033 639 033 741 868 12.7% 778 468 778 468 Plastic bag levy
8 158 930 8 158 930 7 644 149 -3.1% 7 719 455 7 719 455 Electricity levy
25 096 25 096 25 979 11.3% 26 235 26 235 Incandescent light bulb levy
1 832 902 1 832 902 2 693 663 23.9% 2 720 199 2 720 199 CO2 tax - motor vehicle emissions
693 332 693 332 789 073 10.4% 828 002 828 002 Tyre levy
2 393 2 393 – – 2 500 2 500 International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund
1 463 027 1 463 027 1 689 042 20.9% 1 772 370 1 772 370 Carbon tax
6 445 6 445 10 226 16.3% 10 573 10 573 Turnover tax for micro businesses
Other
281 989 281 989 105 653 -59.0% 106 694 106 694 Universal Service Fund
62 505 172 62 505 172 76 535 408 28.2% 76 588 081 76 588 081 Taxes on international trade and transactions
Import duties
61 095 130 61 095 130 74 175 774 27.9% 74 221 001 74 221 001 Customs duties
85 620 85 620 113 502 46.4% 113 571 113 571 Health promotion levy on imports
Other
762 594 762 594 1 275 882 19.2% 1 288 451 1 288 451 Miscellaneous customs and excise receipts
89 221 89 221 151 110 -11.1% 150 302 150 302 Diamond export levy
472 607 472 607 819 139 101.0% 814 756 814 756 Export tax
1 1 – – – – Other taxes
1 1 – – – – Stamp duties and fees
1 603 647 497 1 598 447 497 1 692 176 663 8.2% 1 800 456 472 1 787 456 472 TOTAL TAX REVENUE (gross)
-43 683 418 -43 683 418 -43 683 418 -5.0% -79 810 981 -79 810 981 5) Less: SACU payments
-43 683 418 -43 683 418 -43 683 418 -5.0% -79 810 981 -79 810 981 Payments in terms of SACU agreements
1 559 964 079 1 554 764 079 1 648 493 245 8.6% 1 720 645 491 1 707 645 491 TOTAL TAX REVENUE (net of SACU payments)
3) Excise duties that are collected by Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia and eSwatini.
4) Revenue received by SARS in respect of taxation that could not be allocated to specific revenue types.
5) Payments in terms of SACU agreements (section 51(2) of the Customs and Excise Duties Act of 1964).
Table 3
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Detailed classification of revenue
Sales of goods and services other than capital assets 2 714 926 1 610 613 2 549 423 2 549 423 3 114 546 2 821 922
Sales of goods and services produced by departments
Sales by market establishments 6) 61 365 53 458 74 003 74 003 62 690 57 141
Administrative fees 1 263 977 660 745 1 552 495 1 552 495 839 930 1 033 462
Other sales 1 350 542 890 523 911 865 911 865 2 202 512 1 723 903
Sales of scrap, waste, arms and other used current goods 39 042 5 887 11 060 11 060 9 414 7 416
Transfers received 388 398 422 588 634 488 634 488 536 520 363 953
Fines, penalties and forfeits 367 146 563 497 462 306 462 306 301 210 428 113
Interest, dividends and rent on land 20 985 598 20 927 165 21 431 580 21 431 580 35 402 962 33 997 493
Interest
Cash and cash equivalents 8 276 106 6 502 135 5 095 042 5 095 042 7 144 373 5 524 230
Dividends
Airports Company South Africa 42 293 – – – – 916
South African Special Risks Insurance Association 171 305 187 901 198 048 198 048 198 048 –
Vodacom – – 32 32 32 –
Industrial Development Corporation 370 – 50 000 50 000 50 000 –
Reserve Bank (National Treasury) – – – – – –
Telkom 664 292 103 759 108 914 108 914 – –
Other – – 1 200 1 200 1 004 –
Rent on land
Mineral and petroleum royalties 7) 11 830 241 14 227 647 15 937 248 15 937 248 27 978 513 28 456 419
Mining leases and ownership 8) -25 187 -105 789 – – – –
Royalties, prospecting fees and surface rental 9) 21 160 9 412 27 466 27 466 27 466 13 035
Land rent 5 018 2 100 13 630 13 630 3 526 2 893
Sales of capital assets 120 742 124 134 132 422 132 422 131 660 136 303
Financial transactions in assets and liabilities 10) 15 807 178 28 404 741 7 303 810 7 303 810 8 477 013 8 854 020
TOTAL NON-TAX REVENUE 11) 40 383 988 52 052 738 32 514 029 32 514 029 47 963 911 46 601 804
TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE 1 345 869 934 1 238 368 732 1 351 672 124 1 351 672 124 1 549 068 205 1 564 389 838
National Revenue Fund receipts 12 801 333 25 769 918 4 856 000 4 856 000 5 339 507 6 068 425
Revaluation profits on foreign currency transactions 8 958 256 11 042 461 4 856 000 4 856 000 3 389 241 3 172 356
Premiums on loan transactions 3 462 654 14 327 910 – – 738 558 1 380 512
Premiums on debt portfolio restructuring (switches) 378 078 397 326 – – 1 208 353 1 313 261
Liquidation of South African Special Risks Insurance Association investment – – – – – –
Other 2 345 2 221 – – 3 355 202 296
Table 3
Main budget: estimates of national revenue
Detailed classification of revenue
2022/23 2023/24
1 654 820 1 654 820 3 874 536 37.3% 2 346 228 2 346 228 Sales of goods and services other than capital assets
Sales of goods and services produced by departments
73 099 73 099 72 258 26.5% 70 084 70 084 6) Sales by market establishments
662 913 662 913 1 073 586 3.9% 1 140 408 1 140 408 Administrative fees
908 673 908 673 2 718 113 57.7% 1 125 737 1 125 737 Other sales
10 135 10 135 10 579 42.7% 9 999 9 999 Sales of scrap, waste, arms and other used current goods
646 380 646 380 646 229 77.6% 660 393 660 393 Transfers received
349 565 349 565 476 607 11.3% 462 803 462 803 Fines, penalties and forfeits
25 343 758 25 343 758 34 055 279 0.2% 33 961 142 33 961 142 Interest, dividends and rent on land
Interest
6 394 289 6 394 289 8 342 837 51.0% 11 209 889 11 209 889 Cash and cash equivalents
Dividends
– – 234 -74.5% 51 424 51 424 Airports Company South Africa
198 048 198 048 198 048 – 198 048 198 048 South African Special Risks Insurance Association
32 32 – – – – Vodacom
50 000 50 000 – – – – Industrial Development Corporation
– – – – – – Reserve Bank (National Treasury)
114 360 114 360 – – – – Telkom
1 205 1 205 – – – – Other
Rent on land
18 554 237 18 554 237 25 482 573 -10.5% 22 468 607 22 468 607 7) Mineral and petroleum royalties
– – – – – – 8) Mining leases and ownership
27 878 27 878 27 878 113.9% 29 272 29 272 9) Royalties, prospecting fees and surface rental
3 709 3 709 3 709 28.2% 3 902 3 902 Land rent
131 084 131 084 127 217 -6.7% 131 285 131 285 Sales of capital assets
5 153 995 5 153 995 15 897 977 79.6% 14 021 505 14 021 505 10) Financial transactions in assets and liabilities
33 279 602 33 279 602 55 077 844 18.2% 51 583 356 51 583 356 11) TOTAL NON-TAX REVENUE
1 593 243 681 1 588 043 681 1 703 571 089 8.9% 1 772 228 847 1 759 228 847 TOTAL MAIN BUDGET REVENUE
2 646 000 2 646 000 4 573 527 -24.6% 11 053 000 11 053 000 National Revenue Fund receipts
2 646 000 2 646 000 4 128 433 30.1% 11 053 000 11 053 000 Revaluation profits on foreign currency transactions
– – 442 778 -67.9% – – Premiums on loan transactions
– – – -100.0% – – Premiums on debt portfolio restructuring (switches)
– – – – – – Liquidation of South African Special Risks Insurance Association investment
– – 2 316 -98.9% – – Other
Table 4
Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the
National Revenue Fund by vote
2019/20 2020/21
Table 4
Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the
National Revenue Fund by vote
– 19 011.6 – – 20 619.3 21 238.1 Skills levy and sector education and training authorities (Higher Education and Training)
– 2 174.5 – – 2 398.5 2 398.5 Magistrates' salaries (Justice and Constitutional Development)
– 1 063.3 – – 1 122.6 1 247.1 Judges' salaries (Office of the Chief Justice)
– 3.4 – – 12.0 12.0 International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund (Transport)
14 026.9 855 628.6 544 834.9 14 617.3 902 658.4 919 377.2 Total direct charges against the National Revenue Fund
– – – – 1 372.1 – Provisional allocations not assigned to votes
– – – – 4 197.4 – Infrastructure Fund not assigned to votes
– – – – – – Unallocated reserve
137 098.0 1 887 451.2 660 798.6 135 624.7 1 965 256.5 2 023 412.8 Total
– – – – 10 000.0 – Contingency reserve
– – – – – -15 826.5 National government projected underspending
– – – – – -3 600.0 Local government repayment to the National Revenue Fund
137 098.0 1 887 451.2 660 798.6 135 624.7 1 975 256.5 2 003 986.3 Main budget expenditure
Table 4
Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the
National Revenue Fund by vote
2022/23 2023/24
of which of which
transfers transfers transfers transfers
Revised to to local Budget to to local
R million estimate provinces 1) government 2) estimate provinces 1) government 2)
1 The Presidency 580.9 – – 617.2 – –
2 Parliament 2 367.3 – – 3 423.5 – –
3 Cooperative Governance 109 499.1 96.9 103 793.6 121 698.3 145.8 115 957.4
of which: local government equitable share – – 83 711.5 – – 96 546.3
4 Government Communication and Information System 729.7 – – 750.7 – –
5 Home Affairs 11 096.2 – – 10 863.3 – –
6 International Relations and Cooperation 6 682.3 – – 6 694.1 – –
7 National School of Government 231.1 – – 229.0 – –
8 National Treasury 37 701.2 – 2 379.6 34 889.4 – 2 580.0
9 Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation 452.4 – – 475.8 – –
10 Public Enterprises 33 934.7 – – 302.9 – –
11 Public Service and Administration 524.1 – – 553.5 – –
12 Public Service Commission 289.6 – – 292.1 – –
13 Public Works and Infrastructure 8 028.7 857.9 778.4 8 782.1 861.2 781.4
14 Statistics South Africa 2 999.4 – – 2 691.7 – –
15 Traditional Affairs 177.6 – – 193.1 – –
16 Basic Education 29 593.2 23 124.4 – 31 782.7 25 329.0 –
17 Higher Education and Training 109 537.6 – – 110 781.6 – –
18 Health 62 108.8 56 251.5 – 60 111.4 54 183.4 –
19 Social Development 241 703.2 – – 263 029.2 – –
20 Women, Youth and Persons with Disabilities 983.2 – – 1 036.4 – –
21 Civilian Secretariat for the Police Service 155.9 – – 154.2 – –
22 Correctional Services 26 062.7 – – 26 026.7 – –
23 Defence 51 601.6 – – 51 124.4 – –
24 Independent Police Investigative Directorate 363.5 – – 364.4 – –
25 Justice and Constitutional Development 20 482.0 – – 20 793.9 – –
26 Military Veterans 670.0 – – 894.7 – –
27 Office of the Chief Justice 1 344.9 – – 1 304.5 – –
28 Police 102 555.0 – – 102 137.7 – –
29 Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development 17 533.6 2 294.4 – 17 254.3 2 333.3 –
30 Communications and Digital Technologies 5 285.7 – – 3 512.2 – –
31 Employment and Labour 4 098.3 – – 4 092.2 – –
32 Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment 8 834.8 – – 9 873.6 – –
33 Human Settlements 33 415.5 19 172.5 11 680.3 34 942.4 19 246.4 12 514.1
34 Mineral Resources and Energy 10 201.6 – 2 342.9 10 701.2 – 2 436.1
35 Science and Innovation 9 145.3 – – 10 874.2 – –
36 Small Business Development 2 532.9 – – 2 574.8 – –
37 Sport, Arts and Culture 6 265.5 2 176.1 – 6 357.7 2 174.8 –
38 Tourism 2 437.4 – – 2 524.2 – –
39 Trade, Industry and Competition 10 839.7 – – 10 922.5 – –
40 Transport 94 880.9 19 755.9 6 127.9 79 552.4 23 270.0 6 909.5
41 Water and Sanitation 16 682.2 – 5 348.5 22 257.3 – 7 359.9
Total appropriation by vote 1 084 609.1 123 729.6 132 451.2 1 077 437.8 127 543.9 148 538.4
Plus:
Direct charges against the National Revenue Fund
President and deputy president salaries (The Presidency) 7.7 – – 7.9 – –
Members' remuneration (Parliament) 471.7 – – 471.7 – –
Debt-service costs (National Treasury) 307 156.9 – – 340 460.3 – –
Provincial equitable share (National Treasury) 4) 570 868.2 570 868.2 – 567 527.7 567 527.7 –
General fuel levy sharing with metropolitan municipalities (National Treasury) 15 334.8 – 15 334.8 15 433.5 – 15 433.5
National Revenue Fund payments (National Treasury) 263.2 – – 50.5 – –
Auditor-General of South Africa (National Treasury) 72.6 – – 123.1 – –
Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: Land and Agricultural 101.6 – – – – –
Development Bank of South Africa (National Treasury)
Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: South African Express – – – – – –
Airways (Public Enterprises)
Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: South African Airways – – – – – –
(Public Enterprises)
Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: Denel (Public Enterprises)
204.7 – – – – –
Skills levy and sector education and training authorities (Higher Education and Training) 21 238.1 – – 23 027.0 – –
Magistrates' salaries (Justice and Constitutional Development) 2 398.5 – – 2 398.7 – –
Judges' salaries (Office of the Chief Justice) 1 247.1 – – 1 124.7 – –
International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund (Transport) 12.0 – – 12.6 – –
Total direct charges against the National Revenue Fund 919 377.2 570 868.2 15 334.8 950 637.6 567 527.7 15 433.5
Provisional allocations not assigned to votes – – – 1 504.7 – –
Infrastructure Fund not assigned to votes – – – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – – – –
Total 2 003 986.3 694 597.9 147 786.0 2 029 580.1 695 071.6 163 971.9
Contingency reserve – – – 5 000.0 – –
National government projected underspending – – – – – –
Local government repayment to the National Revenue Fund – – – – – –
Main budget expenditure 2 003 986.3 694 597.9 147 786.0 2 034 580.1 695 071.6 163 971.9
Table 4
Main budget: expenditure defrayed from the
National Revenue Fund by vote
2024/25 2025/26
of which of which
transfers transfers transfers transfers
Budget to to local Budget to to local
estimate provinces 1) government 2) estimate provinces 1) government 2) R million
644.4 – – 672.8 – – 1 The Presidency
3 032.2 – – 3 146.1 – – 2 Parliament
129 717.9 152.4 123 719.6 136 475.9 159.2 130 209.3 3 Cooperative Governance
– – 103 772.0 – – 109 368.1 of which: local government equitable share
782.8 – – 816.4 – – 4 Government Communication and Information System
10 508.9 – – 11 010.9 – – 5 Home Affairs
6 992.2 – – 7 303.0 – – 6 International Relations and Cooperation
238.8 – – 249.4 – – 7 National School of Government
33 140.8 – 1 801.9 34 625.2 – 1 882.6 8 National Treasury
497.0 – – 519.0 – – 9 Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation
316.4 – – 330.4 – – 10 Public Enterprises
578.0 – – 603.6 – – 11 Public Service and Administration
305.0 – – 318.5 – – 12 Public Service Commission
9 167.6 899.9 816.5 9 569.0 940.2 853.1 13 Public Works and Infrastructure
2 823.0 – – 2 948.1 – – 14 Statistics South Africa
201.3 – – 209.7 – – 15 Traditional Affairs
33 026.4 26 485.0 – 34 928.7 28 093.3 – 16 Basic Education
121 657.1 – – 125 241.1 – – 17 Higher Education and Training
62 444.3 56 170.8 – 65 357.9 58 687.2 – 18 Health
242 104.5 – – 258 000.3 – – 19 Social Development
821.6 – – 858.3 – – 20 Women, Youth and Persons with Disabilities
161.0 – – 168.1 – – 21 Civilian Secretariat for the Police Service
27 182.6 – – 28 387.2 – – 22 Correctional Services
51 045.6 – – 53 004.6 – – 23 Defence
380.6 – – 397.4 – – 24 Independent Police Investigative Directorate
21 599.6 – – 22 541.1 – – 25 Justice and Constitutional Development
974.6 – – 1 060.0 – – 26 Military Veterans
1 361.0 – – 1 419.8 – – 27 Office of the Chief Justice
109 065.3 – – 114 920.5 – – 28 Police
18 106.2 2 515.7 – 18 884.7 2 596.3 – 29 Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development
4 383.6 – – 2 594.5 – – 30 Communications and Digital Technologies
3 902.4 – – 4 097.5 – – 31 Employment and Labour
9 570.3 – – 9 777.8 – – 32 Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment
36 292.7 19 614.4 13 353.9 38 074.7 20 493.1 14 108.5 33 Human Settlements
11 233.3 – 2 553.9 11 735.6 – 2 668.3 34 Mineral Resources and Energy
10 523.7 – – 10 105.0 – – 35 Science and Innovation
2 690.3 – – 2 810.6 – – 36 Small Business Development
6 160.1 2 272.4 – 6 435.8 2 374.2 – 37 Sport, Arts and Culture
2 637.2 – – 2 755.0 – – 38 Tourism
10 588.7 – – 11 062.0 – – 39 Trade, Industry and Competition
86 705.4 24 852.6 7 872.8 94 138.3 27 058.0 8 495.1 40 Transport
24 180.1 – 8 137.1 25 884.6 – 8 263.8 41 Water and Sanitation
1 097 744.5 132 963.1 158 255.6 1 153 439.2 140 401.6 166 480.6 Total appropriation by vote
Plus:
Direct charges against the National Revenue Fund
8.2 – – 8.6 – – President and deputy president salaries (The Presidency)
492.9 – – 515.0 – – Members' remuneration (Parliament)
362 839.9 – – 397 074.0 – – Debt-service costs (National Treasury)
587 499.7 587 499.7 – 614 270.8 614 270.8 – 4) Provincial equitable share (National Treasury)
16 126.6 – 16 126.6 16 849.1 – 16 849.1 General fuel levy sharing with metropolitan municipalities (National Treasury)
– – – – – – National Revenue Fund payments (National Treasury)
128.6 – – 134.3 – – Auditor-General of South Africa (National Treasury)
– – – – – – Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: Land and Agricultural
Development Bank of South Africa (National Treasury)
– – – – – – Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: South African Express
Airways (Public Enterprises)
– – – – – – Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: South African Airways
(Public Enterprises)
– – – – – – Section 70 of the Public Finance Management Act (1999) payment: Denel (Public Enterprises)
24 815.6 – – 26 845.7 – – Skills levy and sector education and training authorities (Higher Education and Training)
2 505.9 – – 2 617.7 – – Magistrates' salaries (Justice and Constitutional Development)
1 175.2 – – 1 227.9 – – Judges' salaries (Office of the Chief Justice)
13.1 – – 13.7 – – International Oil Pollution Compensation Fund (Transport)
995 605.8 587 499.7 16 126.6 1 059 556.8 614 270.8 16 849.1 Total direct charges against the National Revenue Fund
1 858.1 – – 1 839.1 – – Provisional allocations not assigned to votes
2 042.7 – – 2 138.1 – – Infrastructure Fund not assigned to votes
35 693.3 – – 44 532.7 – – Unallocated reserve
2 132 944.5 720 462.8 174 382.3 2 261 505.9 754 672.5 183 329.7 Total
5 000.0 – – 5 000.0 – – Contingency reserve
– – – – – – National government projected underspending
– – – – – – Local government repayment to the National Revenue Fund
2 137 944.5 720 462.8 174 382.3 2 266 505.9 754 672.5 183 329.7 Main budget expenditure
Table 5
Consolidated national, provincial and social security
funds expenditure: economic classification 1)
% of % of % of Revised
Outcome total Outcome total Outcome total estimate
R million
Current payments 976 962.2 55.2% 1 012 465.0 52.6% 1 094 813.8 54.9% 1 169 596.7
Compensation of employees 565 111.7 31.9% 575 042.1 29.9% 603 190.2 30.2% 623 086.9
Goods and services 206 584.4 11.7% 204 420.3 10.6% 222 973.3 11.2% 238 951.1
Interest and rent on land 205 266.1 11.6% 233 002.6 12.1% 268 650.3 13.5% 307 558.7
Transfers and subsidies 682 449.3 38.6% 776 737.0 40.4% 778 324.8 39.0% 825 494.6
Municipalities 131 725.3 7.4% 145 596.7 7.6% 144 532.5 7.2% 157 655.5
of which: local government share 2) 109 818.7 6.2% 123 071.1 6.4% 121 007.4 6.1% 132 451.2
Departmental agencies and accounts 145 595.4 8.2% 146 224.3 7.6% 160 295.9 8.0% 171 118.5
Higher education institutions 47 694.3 2.7% 48 838.6 2.5% 48 780.8 2.4% 52 131.7
Foreign governments and international organisations 2 467.5 0.1% 2 227.7 0.1% 2 953.4 0.1% 3 303.8
Public corporations and private enterprises 45 154.8 2.6% 35 791.6 1.9% 46 751.8 2.3% 49 781.2
Public corporations 34 441.8 1.9% 25 470.4 1.3% 36 519.8 1.8% 39 095.5
Subsidies on products and production 22 759.4 1.3% 13 755.2 0.7% 24 253.4 1.2% 26 818.8
Other transfers 11 682.4 0.7% 11 715.3 0.6% 12 266.4 0.6% 12 276.7
Private enterprises 10 713.0 0.6% 10 321.1 0.5% 10 232.0 0.5% 10 685.7
Subsidies on products and production 4 832.1 0.3% 8 007.5 0.4% 9 732.4 0.5% 4 724.4
Other transfers 5 880.8 0.3% 2 313.7 0.1% 499.6 0.0% 5 961.3
Non-profit institutions 31 580.0 1.8% 38 479.7 2.0% 39 108.3 2.0% 40 217.2
Households 278 232.0 15.7% 359 578.3 18.7% 335 902.2 16.8% 351 286.8
Social benefits 250 506.9 14.2% 337 287.8 17.5% 311 414.8 15.6% 322 132.1
Other transfers to households 27 725.1 1.6% 22 290.5 1.2% 24 487.3 1.2% 29 154.7
Payments for capital assets 44 911.2 2.5% 44 936.4 2.3% 48 435.4 2.4% 54 123.5
Buildings and other fixed structures 32 499.9 1.8% 30 992.6 1.6% 34 052.1 1.7% 37 616.6
Buildings 21 162.7 1.2% 19 726.7 1.0% 18 758.6 0.9% 23 095.2
Other fixed structures 11 337.2 0.6% 11 266.0 0.6% 15 293.6 0.8% 14 521.4
Machinery and equipment 11 236.1 0.6% 12 202.2 0.6% 11 692.1 0.6% 13 386.2
Transport equipment 4 215.4 0.2% 4 812.4 0.3% 4 446.8 0.2% 4 412.6
Other machinery and equipment 7 020.8 0.4% 7 389.8 0.4% 7 245.3 0.4% 8 973.6
Land and sub-soil assets 136.9 0.0% 744.2 0.0% 1 906.2 0.1% 1 919.3
Software and other intangible assets 967.2 0.1% 890.6 0.0% 734.4 0.0% 627.1
Other assets 3) 71.1 0.0% 106.8 0.0% 50.5 0.0% 574.4
Payments for financial assets 4) 65 128.3 3.7% 89 865.2 4.7% 74 072.0 3.7% 66 999.4
Subtotal: votes and direct charges 1 769 451.0 100.0% 1 924 003.5 100.0% 1 995 646.0 100.0% 2 116 214.2
Plus:
Contingency reserve – – – – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – – – – –
Total consolidated expenditure 1 769 451.0 100.0% 1 924 003.5 100.0% 1 995 646.0 100.0% 2 116 214.2
1) These figures were estimated by the National Treasury and may differ from data published by Statistics South Africa and the Reserve Bank. The numbers in this
table are not strictly comparable to those published in previous years due to the reclassification of expenditure items for previous years. Data for the previous years has been
adjusted accordingly.
2) Includes equitable share and conditional grants to local government.
Source: National Treasury
Table 5
Consolidated national, provincial and social security
funds expenditure: economic classification 1)
55.3% 1 210 939.3 56.2% 1 270 156.3 56.2% 1 346 587.6 56.9% Current payments
29.4% 628 995.6 29.2% 654 350.7 29.0% 682 808.2 28.8% Compensation of employees
11.3% 241 107.2 11.2% 252 566.8 11.2% 266 286.4 11.3% Goods and services
14.5% 340 836.5 15.8% 363 238.9 16.1% 397 493.0 16.8% Interest and rent on land
39.0% 876 725.2 40.7% 886 863.9 39.2% 906 946.4 38.3% Transfers and subsidies
7.4% 172 348.8 8.0% 183 142.7 8.1% 192 198.1 8.1% Municipalities
6.3% 148 538.4 6.9% 158 255.6 7.0% 166 480.6 7.0% 2) of which: local government share
8.1% 185 559.3 8.6% 194 054.2 8.6% 205 948.5 8.7% Departmental agencies and accounts
2.5% 50 192.3 2.3% 56 513.1 2.5% 57 159.1 2.4% Higher education institutions
0.2% 3 090.1 0.1% 3 404.5 0.2% 3 552.8 0.2% Foreign governments and international organisations
2.4% 53 025.6 2.5% 55 951.3 2.5% 57 529.0 2.4% Public corporations and private enterprises
1.8% 41 290.2 1.9% 43 964.4 1.9% 45 073.4 1.9% Public corporations
1.3% 27 687.4 1.3% 28 900.7 1.3% 30 250.5 1.3% Subsidies on products and production
0.6% 13 602.8 0.6% 15 063.7 0.7% 14 822.9 0.6% Other transfers
0.5% 11 735.4 0.5% 11 986.9 0.5% 12 455.6 0.5% Private enterprises
0.2% 4 754.8 0.2% 4 938.3 0.2% 5 099.0 0.2% Subsidies on products and production
0.3% 6 980.6 0.3% 7 048.5 0.3% 7 356.6 0.3% Other transfers
1.9% 40 281.9 1.9% 38 945.4 1.7% 41 429.4 1.8% Non-profit institutions
16.6% 372 227.2 17.3% 354 852.7 15.7% 349 129.4 14.8% Households
15.2% 341 465.1 15.9% 322 654.2 14.3% 315 141.3 13.3% Social benefits
1.4% 30 762.2 1.4% 32 198.4 1.4% 33 988.0 1.4% Other transfers to households
2.6% 59 183.2 2.7% 61 687.0 2.7% 62 869.9 2.7% Payments for capital assets
1.8% 43 886.3 2.0% 47 904.4 2.1% 48 691.7 2.1% Buildings and other fixed structures
1.1% 26 701.6 1.2% 28 622.8 1.3% 29 424.5 1.2% Buildings
0.7% 17 184.7 0.8% 19 281.6 0.9% 19 267.2 0.8% Other fixed structures
0.6% 12 891.8 0.6% 12 133.8 0.5% 12 659.3 0.5% Machinery and equipment
0.2% 4 657.9 0.2% 4 468.8 0.2% 4 626.5 0.2% Transport equipment
0.4% 8 233.9 0.4% 7 665.0 0.3% 8 032.8 0.3% Other machinery and equipment
0.1% 1 282.2 0.1% 1 007.4 0.0% 934.1 0.0% Land and sub-soil assets
0.0% 492.9 0.0% 475.4 0.0% 461.7 0.0% Software and other intangible assets
0.0% 630.0 0.0% 166.1 0.0% 123.2 0.0% 3) Other assets
3.2% 1 973.5 0.1% 856.2 0.0% 894.1 0.0% 4) Payments for financial assets
100.0% 2 148 821.1 99.8% 2 219 563.4 98.2% 2 317 298.0 97.91% Subtotal: votes and direct charges
Plus:
– 5 000.0 0.2% 5 000.0 0.2% 5 000.0 0.2% Contingency reserve
– – – 35 693.3 1.6% 44 532.7 1.9% Unallocated reserve
100.0% 2 153 821.1 100.0% 2 260 256.7 100.0% 2 366 830.7 100.0% Total consolidated expenditure
Table 6
Consolidated national, provincial and social security
funds expenditure: functional classification 1)
General public services 2) 298 990.1 16.9% 328 875.2 17.1% 399 489.7 20.0% 413 178.4
of which: debt-service costs 204 769.4 11.6% 232 595.7 12.1% 268 071.6 13.4% 307 156.9
Defence 50 000.7 2.8% 53 674.5 2.8% 48 468.0 2.4% 51 718.1
Public order and safety 152 480.8 8.6% 151 382.4 7.9% 155 443.1 7.8% 165 281.3
Police services 104 050.8 5.9% 103 562.2 5.4% 105 064.8 5.3% 112 720.7
Law courts 23 245.3 1.3% 22 793.1 1.2% 24 684.7 1.2% 26 497.9
Prisons 25 184.8 1.4% 25 027.1 1.3% 25 693.6 1.3% 26 062.7
Economic affairs 223 317.5 12.6% 224 284.8 11.7% 211 866.3 10.6% 240 433.3
General economic, commercial and labour affairs 28 862.2 1.6% 26 873.4 1.4% 33 923.6 1.7% 29 980.9
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 22 826.0 1.3% 21 145.6 1.1% 23 986.8 1.2% 25 360.0
Fuel and energy 56 347.9 3.2% 61 702.3 3.2% 39 151.2 2.0% 30 304.6
Mining, manufacturing and construction 1 643.6 0.1% 1 613.5 0.1% 1 510.3 0.1% 1 735.2
Transport 95 415.3 5.4% 99 725.5 5.2% 97 016.5 4.9% 132 911.4
Communication 6 033.5 0.3% 3 088.7 0.2% 3 036.7 0.2% 5 919.5
Other industries 3 576.0 0.2% 2 375.2 0.1% 3 671.3 0.2% 4 338.6
Economic affairs not elsewhere classified 8 613.0 0.5% 7 760.6 0.4% 9 569.8 0.5% 9 883.2
Environmental protection 9 703.7 0.5% 10 287.3 0.5% 8 642.0 0.4% 10 787.9
Housing and community amenities 144 370.6 8.2% 152 939.5 7.9% 150 877.5 7.6% 163 737.9
Housing development 35 764.3 2.0% 30 284.7 1.6% 34 313.1 1.7% 37 091.9
Community development 93 479.0 5.3% 108 233.1 5.6% 101 443.0 5.1% 110 072.2
Water supply 15 127.3 0.9% 14 421.7 0.7% 15 121.4 0.8% 16 573.7
Health 218 683.8 12.4% 239 709.4 12.5% 251 790.3 12.6% 254 107.7
Recreation and culture 12 654.1 0.7% 11 946.7 0.6% 13 544.0 0.7% 14 122.4
Education 373 989.5 21.1% 380 131.8 19.8% 407 402.2 20.4% 438 366.4
Social protection 285 260.2 16.1% 370 771.9 19.3% 348 122.9 17.4% 364 480.9
Subtotal: votes and direct charges 1 769 451.0 100.0% 1 924 003.5 100.0% 1 995 646.0 100.0% 2 116 214.2
Plus:
Contingency reserve – – – – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – –
Total 1 769 451.0 100.0% 1 924 003.5 100.0% 1 995 646.0 100.0% 2 116 214.2
1) These figures were estimated by the National Treasury and may differ from data published by Statistics South Africa. The numbers in this table are not strictly
comparable to those published in previous years due to the allocation of some of the unallocable expenditure for previous years. Data for the previous years has
been adjusted accordingly.
Source: National Treasury
Table 6
Consolidated national, provincial and social security
funds expenditure: functional classification 1)
19.5% 445 046.4 20.7% 467 828.1 21.1% 506 338.8 21.9% 2) General public services
14.5% 340 460.3 15.8% 362 839.9 16.3% 397 074.0 17.1% of which: debt-service costs
2.4% 51 722.9 2.4% 51 834.8 2.3% 53 874.3 2.3% Defence
7.8% 165 934.7 7.7% 175 257.9 7.9% 183 915.1 7.9% Public order and safety
5.3% 113 207.9 5.3% 120 568.4 5.4% 126 817.7 5.5% Police services
1.3% 26 700.2 1.2% 27 506.9 1.2% 28 710.2 1.2% Law courts
1.2% 26 026.7 1.2% 27 182.6 1.2% 28 387.2 1.2% Prisons
11.4% 189 154.9 8.8% 201 737.5 9.1% 210 148.2 9.1% Economic affairs
1.4% 29 245.7 1.4% 29 010.8 1.3% 30 001.1 1.3% General economic, commercial and labour affairs
1.2% 24 698.3 1.1% 25 735.1 1.2% 26 864.7 1.2% Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
1.4% 8 700.1 0.4% 9 089.9 0.4% 9 491.7 0.4% Fuel and energy
0.1% 2 219.2 0.1% 2 357.1 0.1% 2 457.4 0.1% Mining, manufacturing and construction
6.3% 104 109.5 4.8% 114 621.5 5.2% 122 392.0 5.3% Transport
0.3% 4 232.9 0.2% 5 133.9 0.2% 3 377.8 0.1% Communication
0.2% 4 301.2 0.2% 4 473.2 0.2% 4 639.1 0.2% Other industries
0.5% 11 648.0 0.5% 11 316.0 0.5% 10 924.6 0.5% Economic affairs not elsewhere classified
0.5% 12 041.7 0.6% 11 760.8 0.5% 12 048.2 0.5% Environmental protection
7.7% 185 843.9 8.6% 198 835.5 9.0% 209 417.0 9.0% Housing and community amenities
1.8% 40 062.1 1.9% 41 538.7 1.9% 43 451.0 1.9% Housing development
5.2% 123 631.0 5.8% 131 185.9 5.9% 138 059.8 6.0% Community development
0.8% 22 150.9 1.0% 26 110.9 1.2% 27 906.1 1.2% Water supply
12.0% 251 713.0 11.7% 261 933.6 11.8% 274 219.5 11.8% Health
0.7% 14 054.4 0.7% 14 023.6 0.6% 14 551.5 0.6% Recreation and culture
20.7% 449 379.7 20.9% 469 189.1 21.1% 489 718.8 21.1% Education
17.2% 383 929.4 17.9% 367 162.6 16.5% 363 066.6 15.7% Social protection
100.0% 2 148 821.1 99.8% 2 219 563.4 98.2% 2 317 298.0 97.9% Subtotal: votes and direct charges
Plus:
– 5 000.0 0.2% 5 000.0 0.2% 5 000.0 0.2% Contingency reserve
– 35 693.3 44 532.7 Unallocated reserve
100.0% 2 153 821.1 100.0% 2 260 256.7 100.0% 2 366 830.7 100.0% Total
2) Mainly general administration, cost of raising loans and unallocable capital expenditure, as well as National Revenue Fund payments previously accounted for separately.
Table 7
Consolidated government revenue and expenditure:
economic classification 1)
% of % of % of Revised
Outcome total Outcome total Outcome total estimate
R million
Revenue
Current revenue 1 519 316.7 100.0% 1 408 987.9 100.0% 1 750 293.7 100.0% 1 892 542.1
Tax revenue (net of SACU) 1 390 638.4 91.5% 1 267 724.5 90.0% 1 609 966.4 92.0% 1 745 983.0
Non-tax revenue 2) 128 678.3 8.5% 141 263.4 10.0% 140 327.3 8.0% 146 559.1
Sales of capital assets 308.9 0.0% 247.1 0.0% 310.9 0.0% 205.2
Total revenue 1 519 625.5 100.0% 1 409 235.0 100.0% 1 750 604.6 100.0% 1 892 747.3
Expenditure
Economic classification
Current payments 1 082 801.3 59.9% 1 119 090.3 57.0% 1 208 493.9 59.2% 1 299 359.3
Compensation of employees 624 182.2 34.5% 634 925.1 32.3% 666 358.2 32.6% 690 374.2
Goods and services 244 598.4 13.5% 243 266.2 12.4% 265 008.2 13.0% 292 955.4
Interest and rent on land 214 020.8 11.8% 240 899.0 12.3% 277 127.6 13.6% 316 029.7
Transfers and subsidies 594 969.8 32.9% 691 938.0 35.2% 685 173.1 33.5% 731 230.5
Municipalities 135 199.0 7.5% 148 869.1 7.6% 148 992.4 7.3% 162 603.7
Departmental agencies and accounts 26 874.2 1.5% 28 698.1 1.5% 27 000.0 1.3% 27 260.5
Higher education institutions 48 687.4 2.7% 49 535.3 2.5% 50 093.0 2.5% 53 866.3
Foreign governments and international organisations 2 530.8 0.1% 2 405.7 0.1% 3 141.3 0.2% 3 356.4
Public corporations and private enterprises 36 571.1 2.0% 29 884.5 1.5% 34 884.0 1.7% 42 067.6
Non-profit institutions 33 689.3 1.9% 40 127.7 2.0% 41 499.3 2.0% 41 825.2
Households 311 418.0 17.2% 392 417.5 20.0% 379 563.1 18.6% 400 250.8
Payments for capital assets 63 197.5 3.5% 62 279.9 3.2% 72 874.6 3.6% 91 896.7
Buildings and other fixed structures 45 363.2 2.5% 41 806.4 2.1% 48 285.2 2.4% 61 956.1
Machinery and equipment 15 348.6 0.8% 17 799.0 0.9% 20 731.7 1.0% 24 929.7
Land and sub-soil assets 601.5 0.0% 928.5 0.0% 2 231.9 0.1% 2 323.5
Software and other intangible assets 1 715.5 0.1% 1 582.5 0.1% 1 459.6 0.1% 1 972.6
Other assets 3) 168.7 0.0% 163.5 0.0% 166.3 0.0% 714.7
Payments for financial assets 4) 66 147.0 3.7% 91 043.2 4.6% 76 376.7 3.7% 46 312.9
Subtotal: economic classification 1 807 115.6 100% 1 964 351.3 100.0% 2 042 918.4 100.0% 2 168 799.4
Contingency reserve – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – –
Total consolidated expenditure 1 807 115.6 1 964 351.3 2 042 918.4 2 168 799.4
Budget balance -287 490.0 -555 116.3 -292 313.8 -276 052.1
Percentage of GDP -5.0% -9.9% -4.6% -4.2%
Redemptions -70 656.6 -67 638.9 -65 292.2 -87 474.0
Domestic long-term loans -19 427.7 -53 222.6 -61 373.4 -71 712.4
Foreign loans -51 229.0 -14 416.3 -3 918.8 -15 761.6
Eskom debt-relief arrangement – – – –
Gross borrowing requirement -358 146.7 -622 755.2 -357 606.0 -363 526.0
Financing
Change in loan liabilities 433 528.7 716 823.1 325 530.1 355 882.3
Domestic short- and long-term loans 357 443.7 624 821.8 294 125.2 291 398.3
Eskom debt-relief arrangement – – – –
Foreign loans 76 085.0 92 001.3 31 404.8 64 484.0
Change in cash and other balances (- increase) -75 382.0 -94 067.9 32 075.9 7 643.8
Total financing 358 146.7 622 755.2 357 606.0 363 526.0
1) Consisting of national and provincial government, social security funds and public entities. Refer to Annexure W2 for a detailed list of entities included.
In some cases figures were estimated by the National Treasury and may differ from data published by Statistics South Africa and the Reserve Bank.
2) Includes National Revenue Fund receipts previously accounted for separately.
Source: National Treasury
Table 7
Consolidated government revenue and expenditure:
economic classification 1)
Revenue
100.0% 1 958 600.3 100.0% 2 077 517.2 100.0% 2 225 048.1 100.0% Current revenue
92.2% 1 807 719.5 92.3% 1 924 000.5 92.6% 2 068 779.4 93.0% Tax revenue (net of SACU)
7.7% 150 880.8 7.7% 153 516.7 7.4% 156 268.7 7.0% 2) Non-tax revenue
0.0% 307.0 0.0% 270.4 0.0% 277.8 0.0% Sales of capital assets
100.0% 1 958 907.3 100.0% 2 077 787.6 100.0% 2 225 325.9 100.0% Total revenue
Expenditure
Economic classification
59.9% 1 355 805.6 60.6% 1 418 715.0 61.2% 1 503 379.5 61.9% Current payments
31.8% 701 164.8 31.3% 728 747.0 31.4% 760 607.5 31.3% Compensation of employees
13.5% 305 184.6 13.6% 317 590.6 13.7% 335 792.5 13.8% Goods and services
14.6% 349 456.1 15.6% 372 377.4 16.1% 406 979.4 16.8% Interest and rent on land
33.7% 767 061.6 34.3% 771 535.2 33.3% 782 974.8 32.2% Transfers and subsidies
7.5% 177 626.3 7.9% 188 811.1 8.1% 198 204.4 8.2% Municipalities
1.3% 27 858.7 1.2% 26 227.4 1.1% 26 413.2 1.1% Departmental agencies and accounts
2.5% 51 871.4 2.3% 58 450.5 2.5% 59 189.2 2.4% Higher education institutions
0.2% 3 147.4 0.1% 3 456.6 0.1% 3 607.5 0.1% Foreign governments and international organisations
1.9% 40 555.5 1.8% 43 237.0 1.9% 45 863.4 1.9% Public corporations and private enterprises
1.9% 42 148.7 1.9% 40 807.3 1.8% 42 540.4 1.8% Non-profit institutions
18.5% 423 853.5 18.9% 410 545.3 17.7% 407 156.7 16.8% Households
4.2% 110 670.6 4.9% 125 228.0 5.4% 137 615.7 5.7% Payments for capital assets
2.9% 77 433.0 3.5% 94 243.1 4.1% 104 235.0 4.3% Buildings and other fixed structures
1.1% 28 870.9 1.3% 27 385.2 1.2% 30 004.8 1.2% Machinery and equipment
0.1% 1 652.5 0.1% 1 329.9 0.1% 1 305.1 0.1% Land and sub-soil assets
0.1% 1 929.5 0.1% 1 865.3 0.1% 1 814.1 0.1% Software and other intangible assets
0.0% 784.7 0.0% 404.5 0.0% 256.7 0.0% 3) Other assets
2.1% 4 051.6 0.2% 3 577.0 0.2% 3 895.1 0.2% 4) Payments for financial assets
100.0% 2 237 589.3 100.0% 2 319 055.2 100.0% 2 427 865.1 100.0% Subtotal: economic classification
Financing
Table 8
Consolidated government expenditure: functional
classification 1)
% of % of % of Revised
Outcome total Outcome total Outcome total estimate
R million
General public services 2) 307 297.9 17.0% 332 820.1 16.9% 407 210.9 19.9% 423 631.6
of which: debt-service costs 204 769.4 11.3% 232 595.7 11.8% 268 071.6 13.1% 307 156.9
Defence 49 870.6 2.8% 53 683.3 2.7% 48 358.7 2.4% 52 042.5
Public order and safety 154 296.0 8.5% 153 019.3 7.8% 157 350.0 7.7% 167 810.9
Police services 106 053.2 5.9% 105 229.6 5.4% 106 890.6 5.2% 114 887.4
Law courts 23 058.1 1.3% 22 762.6 1.2% 24 765.8 1.2% 26 860.9
Prisons 25 184.8 1.4% 25 027.1 1.3% 25 693.6 1.3% 26 062.7
Economic affairs 228 493.2 12.6% 233 394.9 11.9% 220 778.9 10.8% 244 375.7
General economic, commercial and labour affairs 35 279.9 2.0% 32 657.5 1.7% 41 317.3 2.0% 38 886.9
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 22 574.3 1.2% 22 210.4 1.1% 23 823.6 1.2% 25 979.4
Fuel and energy 57 758.1 3.2% 62 929.5 3.2% 40 365.8 2.0% 31 948.7
Mining, manufacturing and construction 2 246.9 0.1% 2 599.9 0.1% 3 156.9 0.2% 2 824.7
Transport 89 485.3 5.0% 97 749.0 5.0% 94 687.1 4.6% 119 790.9
Communication 8 972.7 0.5% 5 282.6 0.3% 4 811.4 0.2% 10 710.0
Other industries 3 690.3 0.2% 2 857.0 0.1% 3 285.9 0.2% 4 464.9
Economic affairs not elsewhere classified 8 485.8 0.5% 7 109.0 0.4% 9 331.0 0.5% 9 770.3
Environmental protection 11 587.5 0.6% 12 062.9 0.6% 11 086.1 0.5% 13 502.7
Housing and community amenities 163 408.2 9.0% 176 795.1 9.0% 174 377.9 8.5% 189 800.6
Housing development 38 399.1 2.1% 31 142.7 1.6% 37 012.9 1.8% 40 283.6
Community development 94 590.0 5.2% 108 997.2 5.5% 102 116.8 5.0% 111 237.2
Water supply 30 419.2 1.7% 36 655.2 1.9% 35 248.1 1.7% 38 279.8
Health 218 800.6 12.1% 241 986.3 12.3% 252 590.8 12.4% 255 595.7
Recreation and culture 13 074.4 0.7% 11 749.3 0.6% 14 012.8 0.7% 14 371.6
Education 374 694.2 20.7% 377 018.3 19.2% 407 887.8 20.0% 440 709.2
Social protection 285 579.0 15.8% 371 810.5 18.9% 349 250.4 17.1% 366 946.0
Subtotal: functional classification 1 807 101.8 100% 1 964 339.9 100% 2 042 904.3 100% 2 168 786.4
Plus:
Contingency reserve – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – –
Total consolidated expenditure 1 807 101.8 1 964 339.9 2 042 904.3 2 168 786.4
1) Consisting of national and provincial government, social security funds and public entities. Refer to Annexure W2 for a detailed list of entities included.
In some cases figures were estimated by the National Treasury and may differ from data published by Statistics South Africa and the Reserve Bank.
Source: National Treasury
Table 8
Consolidated government expenditure: functional
classification 1)
19.5% 455 755.8 20.4% 478 677.6 20.6% 516 988.4 21.3% 2) General public services
14.2% 340 460.3 15.2% 362 839.9 15.6% 397 074.0 16.4% of which: debt-service costs
2.4% 52 320.5 2.3% 52 369.7 2.3% 54 370.3 2.2% Defence
7.7% 168 430.3 7.5% 177 935.4 7.7% 186 664.7 7.7% Public order and safety
5.3% 115 495.3 5.2% 122 916.2 5.3% 129 241.9 5.3% Police services
1.2% 26 908.2 1.2% 27 836.7 1.2% 29 035.5 1.2% Law courts
1.2% 26 026.7 1.2% 27 182.6 1.2% 28 387.2 1.2% Prisons
11.3% 222 152.6 9.9% 241 109.7 10.4% 251 992.6 10.4% Economic affairs
1.8% 37 579.3 1.7% 37 494.7 1.6% 37 976.2 1.6% General economic, commercial and labour affairs
1.2% 24 931.8 1.1% 25 784.3 1.1% 26 955.2 1.1% Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
1.5% 10 706.3 0.5% 11 320.6 0.5% 11 672.3 0.5% Fuel and energy
0.1% 3 267.6 0.1% 3 429.4 0.1% 3 555.1 0.1% Mining, manufacturing and construction
5.5% 123 470.3 5.5% 140 828.0 6.1% 151 416.8 6.2% Transport
0.5% 6 300.1 0.3% 6 671.7 0.3% 5 071.6 0.2% Communication
0.2% 4 431.3 0.2% 4 609.2 0.2% 4 786.1 0.2% Other industries
0.5% 11 465.8 0.5% 10 971.8 0.5% 10 559.3 0.4% Economic affairs not elsewhere classified
0.6% 15 198.1 0.7% 15 761.2 0.7% 16 335.6 0.7% Environmental protection
8.8% 217 601.4 9.7% 234 320.7 10.1% 253 610.0 10.4% Housing and community amenities
1.9% 43 183.6 1.9% 45 066.1 1.9% 47 235.3 1.9% Housing development
5.1% 124 847.6 5.6% 132 525.7 5.7% 139 527.4 5.7% Community development
1.8% 49 570.1 2.2% 56 728.9 2.4% 66 847.4 2.8% Water supply
11.8% 254 951.0 11.4% 264 851.9 11.4% 277 099.2 11.4% Health
0.7% 14 430.4 0.6% 14 115.6 0.6% 14 619.0 0.6% Recreation and culture
20.3% 451 178.9 20.2% 471 059.1 20.3% 491 575.8 20.2% Education
16.9% 385 558.3 17.2% 368 840.9 15.9% 364 595.5 15.0% Social protection
100% 2 237 577.2 100% 2 319 041.8 100% 2 427 851.0 100% Subtotal: functional classification
Plus:
5 000.0 5 000.0 5 000.0 Contingency reserve
– 35 693.3 44 532.7 Unallocated reserve
2 242 577.2 2 359 735.2 2 477 383.7 Total consolidated expenditure
2) Mainly general administration, cost of raising loans and unallocable capital expenditure, as well as National Revenue Fund payments previously accounted for separately.
Table 9
Consolidated government revenue, expenditure and financing
Revised
Outcome Outcome Outcome estimate
R million
Operating account
Current receipts 1 499 530.4 1 376 561.2 1 735 317.8 1 883 754.7
Tax receipts (net of SACU transfers) 1 390 638.4 1 267 724.5 1 609 966.4 1 745 983.0
Non-tax receipts (including departmental receipts) 104 409.2 103 934.0 120 817.2 131 724.0
Transfers received 4 482.8 4 902.8 4 534.3 6 047.8
Current payments 1 601 792.5 1 745 641.3 1 821 740.9 1 949 898.9
Compensation of employees 624 182.2 634 925.1 666 358.2 690 374.2
Goods and services 244 598.4 243 266.2 265 008.2 292 955.4
Interest and rent on land 214 020.8 240 899.0 277 127.6 316 029.7
Transfers and subsidies 518 991.2 626 551.0 613 247.0 650 539.5
Current balance -102 262.1 -369 080.1 -86 423.1 -66 144.1
Percentage of GDP -1.8% -6.6% -1.4% -1.0%
Capital account
Capital receipts 308.9 247.1 310.9 205.2
Transfers and subsidies 75 978.6 65 387.0 71 926.1 80 691.0
Payments for capital assets 63 197.5 62 279.9 72 874.6 91 896.7
Capital financing requirement -138 867.2 -127 419.7 -144 489.8 -172 382.4
Percentage of GDP -2.4% -2.3% -2.3% -2.6%
Transactions in financial assets and liabilities -46 360.7 -58 616.5 -61 400.8 -37 525.6
Contingency reserve – – – –
Unallocated reserve – – – –
Budget balance -287 490.0 -555 116.3 -292 313.8 -276 052.1
Percentage of GDP -5.0% -9.9% -4.6% -4.2%
Gross borrowing requirement -358 146.7 -622 755.2 -357 606.0 -363 526.0
Financing
Change in loan liabilities 433 528.7 716 823.1 325 530.1 355 882.3
Domestic short- and long-term loans 357 443.7 624 821.8 294 125.2 291 398.3
Eskom debt-relief arrangement – – – –
Foreign loans 76 085.0 92 001.3 31 404.8 64 484.0
Change in cash and other balances (- increase) -75 382.0 -94 067.9 32 075.9 7 643.8
Total financing 358 146.7 622 755.2 357 606.0 363 526.0
Table 9
Consolidated government revenue, expenditure and financing
Operating account
1 942 905.7 2 066 850.7 2 218 629.2 Current receipts
1 807 719.5 1 924 000.5 2 068 779.4 Tax receipts (net of SACU transfers)
129 975.7 137 996.5 145 169.2 Non-tax receipts (including departmental receipts)
5 210.6 4 853.7 4 680.6 Transfers received
Capital account
307.0 270.4 277.8 Capital receipts
82 099.7 92 448.8 95 031.7 Transfers and subsidies
110 670.6 125 228.0 137 615.7 Payments for capital assets
Financing
440 170.1 454 290.9 537 151.1 Change in loan liabilities
396 189.6 419 657.7 388 049.4 Domestic short- and long-term loans
– – 70 000.0 Eskom debt-relief arrangement
43 980.5 34 633.3 79 101.7 Foreign loans
Table 10 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Total debt of government 1) -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18
Domestic debt
Marketable 344 938 354 706 365 231 349 415 350 870 388 300 428 593
Government bonds 325 938 332 706 339 731 331 505 328 820 359 700 394 143
Treasury bills 19 000 22 000 25 500 17 910 22 050 28 600 34 450
Bridging bonds – – – – – – –
Non-marketable 3) 2 013 998 2 382 2 030 1 910 1 999 3 498
Gross loan debt 346 951 355 704 367 613 351 445 352 780 390 299 432 091
Cash balances 4) -5 166 -7 285 -2 650 -6 549 -9 730 -12 669 -30 870
Net loan debt 341 785 348 419 364 963 344 896 343 050 377 630 401 221
Foreign debt
Gross loan debt 5) 16 276 25 799 31 938 82 009 74 286 64 670 69 405
Cash balances 4) – – – – – – –
Net loan debt 16 276 25 799 31 938 82 009 74 286 64 670 69 405
Gross loan debt 363 227 381 503 399 551 433 454 427 066 454 969 501 496
Net loan debt 358 061 374 218 396 901 426 905 417 336 442 300 470 626
1) Debt of the national government, excluding extra-budgetary institutions and social security funds.
2) As projected at the end of January 2023.
3) Includes non-marketable Treasury bills, retail bonds, loan levies, former regional authorities and Namibian loans.
4) Bank balances of the National Revenue Fund (balances of government's accounts with the Reserve Bank and commercial banks).
Bank balances in foreign currencies are revaluated using forward estimates of exchange rates.
Source: National Treasury and Reserve Bank
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Table 10
-17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 Total debt of government 1)
Domestic debt
457 780 467 864 478 265 527 751 700 532 869 588 1 045 415 Marketable
417 380 422 064 426 415 462 751 585 992 733 438 890 256 Government bonds
40 400 45 800 51 850 65 000 114 540 136 150 155 159 Treasury bills
– – – – – – – Bridging bonds
3 699 3 238 2 555 1 956 4 943 23 133 25 524 3) Non-marketable
461 479 471 102 480 821 529 707 705 475 892 721 1 070 939 Gross loan debt
-58 187 -75 315 -93 809 -101 349 -106 550 -111 413 -130 450 4) Cash balances
403 292 395 787 387 012 428 358 598 925 781 308 940 489 Net loan debt
Foreign debt
66 846 82 581 96 218 97 268 99 454 97 851 116 851 5) Gross loan debt
– – – – -25 339 -58 750 -67 609 4) Cash balances
66 846 82 581 96 218 97 268 74 115 39 101 49 242 Net loan debt
528 325 553 683 577 039 626 975 804 929 990 572 1 187 790 Gross loan debt
470 138 478 368 483 230 525 626 673 040 820 409 989 731 Net loan debt
5) Valued at appropriate foreign exchange rates up to 31 March 2022 as at the end of each period. Forward estimates are based on exchange rates prevailing
at 31 January 2023, projected to depreciate in line with inflation differentials.
6) The balance on the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account on 31 March 2023 represents an estimated balance on the account.
No provision for any profits or losses on this account has been made for subsequent years. A negative balance indicates a profit and a positive balance a loss.
Table 10 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Total debt of government 1) -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4
Domestic debt
Marketable 1 210 834 1 409 718 1 601 499 1 782 042 1 981 627 2 242 894 2 467 758
Government bonds 1 038 849 1 217 512 1 399 282 1 572 574 1 731 657 1 949 573 2 160 398
Treasury bills 171 985 192 206 202 217 209 468 249 970 293 321 307 360
Bridging bonds – – – – – – –
Non-marketable 3) 30 300 31 381 30 586 37 322 38 508 29 013 29 228
Gross loan debt 1 241 134 1 441 099 1 632 085 1 819 364 2 020 135 2 271 907 2 496 986
Cash balances 4) -103 774 -120 807 -120 304 -112 250 -110 262 -123 241 -120 575
Net loan debt 1 137 360 1 320 292 1 511 781 1 707 114 1 909 873 2 148 666 2 376 411
Foreign debt
Gross loan debt 5) 124 555 143 659 166 830 199 607 212 754 217 811 291 314
Cash balances 4) -80 308 -84 497 -94 404 -102 083 -114 353 -106 110 -122 542
Net loan debt 44 247 59 162 72 426 97 524 98 401 111 701 168 772
Gross loan debt 1 365 689 1 584 758 1 798 915 2 018 971 2 232 889 2 489 718 2 788 300
Net loan debt 1 181 607 1 379 454 1 584 207 1 804 638 2 008 274 2 260 367 2 545 183
1) Debt of the national government, excluding extra-budgetary institutions and social security funds.
2) As projected at the end of January 2023.
3) Includes non-marketable Treasury bills, retail bonds, loan levies, former regional authorities and Namibian loans.
4) Bank balances of the National Revenue Fund (balances of government's accounts with the Reserve Bank and commercial banks).
Bank balances in foreign currencies are revaluated using forward estimates of exchange rates.
Source: National Treasury and Reserve Bank
29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Table 10
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Total debt of government 1)
2)
2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
R million
Domestic debt
2 834 638 3 526 897 3 846 429 4 163 457 4 493 326 4 851 610 5 243 400 Marketable
2 501 278 3 070 926 3 398 465 3 740 841 4 022 710 4 338 994 4 684 784 Government bonds
333 360 455 971 447 964 422 616 470 616 512 616 558 616 Treasury bills
– – – – – – – Bridging bonds
39 479 16 369 18 930 23 655 23 655 23 655 23 655 3) Non-marketable
2 874 117 3 543 266 3 865 359 4 187 112 4 516 981 4 875 265 5 267 055 Gross loan debt
-111 693 -239 711 -169 853 -122 081 -61 000 -50 000 -50 000 4) Cash balances
2 762 424 3 303 555 3 695 506 4 065 031 4 455 981 4 825 265 5 217 055 Net loan debt
Foreign debt
387 225 392 434 412 104 540 327 543 267 548 401 575 923 5) Gross loan debt
-151 879 -94 218 -96 507 -122 376 -86 490 -50 185 -35 986 4) Cash balances
235 346 298 216 315 597 417 951 456 777 498 216 539 937 Net loan debt
3 261 342 3 935 700 4 277 463 4 727 438 5 060 247 5 423 666 5 842 978 Gross loan debt
2 997 770 3 601 771 4 011 103 4 482 982 4 912 757 5 323 481 5 756 992 Net loan debt
5) Valued at appropriate foreign exchange rates up to 31 March 2022 as at the end of each period. Forward estimates are based on exchange rates prevailing
at 31 January 2023, projected to depreciate in line with inflation differentials.
6) The balance on the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account on 31 March 2023 represents an estimated balance on the account.
No provision for any profits or losses on this account has been made for subsequent years. A negative balance indicates a profit and a positive balance a loss.
Table 11
Net loan debt, provisions and contingent liabilities 1) -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4
Net loan debt 2) 1 181 607 1 379 454 1 584 207 1 804 638 2 008 274 2 260 367 2 545 183
Provisions 3) 116 231 134 045 160 383 217 960 210 974 211 480 260 682
African Development Bank 32 725 38 063 43 811 54 766 49 344 44 119 53 855
Development Bank of Southern Africa 4 800 4 800 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000
Government employee leave credits 12 316 12 924 13 030 13 454 14 137 13 606 13 474
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development 15 935 19 407 23 579 29 028 26 527 23 993 29 287
International Monetary Fund 50 321 58 697 59 786 91 658 79 535 76 358 85 908
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency 134 154 177 215 193 173 211
New Development Bank – – – 8 839 21 238 33 231 57 947
Contingent liabilities 433 047 490 503 575 317 601 380 664 197 723 400 828 703
Guarantees 4) 224 768 288 041 327 169 380 136 426 234 459 107 525 568
Agricultural cooperatives 93 93 93 93 93 93 93
Central Energy Fund – – – – – – –
Denel 1 850 1 850 1 850 1 850 1 850 2 430 3 430
Development Bank of Southern Africa 25 497 25 635 4 030 4 258 3 993 3 975 4 256
Eskom 5) 103 523 125 125 149 944 174 586 202 825 250 648 285 587
Former regional authorities 124 112 105 98 93 84 77
Guarantee scheme for housing loans to employees 46 26 13 10 8 6 6
Guarantee scheme for motor vehicles – senior officials 1 1 1 1 – – –
Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa 575 504 344 243 138 137 147
Independent power producers 34 356 68 345 96 159 113 971 125 766 122 188 146 892
Irrigation boards 46 44 44 39 38 37 36
Kalahari East Water Board 6 – – – – – –
Komati Basin Water Authority 1 190 1 148 986 889 785 619 518
Land Bank 800 1 004 2 005 5 211 3 712 3 813 965
Lesotho Highlands Development Authority 132 113 82 62 30 3 –
Nuclear Energy Corporation of South Africa 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa 133 92 48 2 – – –
Public-private partnerships 10 172 10 127 10 107 10 337 10 049 9 580 10 464
South African Airways 2 238 5 010 8 419 14 394 17 819 11 059 15 269
South African Broadcasting Corporation 167 – – – – – –
South African Express – 539 539 539 827 867 163
South African National Roads Agency Limited 19 482 23 866 27 445 27 204 29 458 30 368 39 462
South African Post Office – – 270 1 270 3 979 400 –
Reserve Bank – – – – – – –
Telkom South Africa 90 111 100 128 108 111 124
Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority 20 460 20 516 20 807 21 173 20 886 18 912 14 302
Transnet 3 757 3 757 3 757 3 757 3 757 3 757 3 757
Universities and technikons 10 3 1 1 – – –
Other contingent liabilities 6) 208 279 202 462 248 148 221 244 237 963 264 293 303 135
Claims against government departments 43 628 45 131 48 726 30 601 29 481 31 807 32 945
Export Credit Insurance Corporation of SA Limited 12 482 13 780 15 308 16 395 14 015 18 192 20 454
Government Employees Pension Fund – – – – – – –
Post-retirement medical assistance 65 348 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938
Road Accident Fund 82 838 69 435 109 298 99 152 119 830 139 204 173 559
Other 3 983 4 178 4 878 5 158 4 699 5 152 6 239
1) Medium-term forecasts of some figures are not available and are kept constant.
2) Debt of the national government, excluding extra-budgetary institutions and socal security funds.
3) Provisions are liabilities for which the payment date or amount is uncertain. The provisions for multilateral institutions are the unpaid portion of government's subscription
to these institutions, payable on request.
Source: National Treasury
Table 11
-3 -2 -1 1 2 3 Net loan debt, provisions and contingent liabilities 1)
2 997 770 3 601 771 4 011 103 4 482 982 4 912 757 5 323 481 5 756 992 2) Net loan debt
341 883 371 037 508 720 592 233 606 155 613 449 618 753 3) Provisions
66 509 55 009 122 745 141 778 145 314 147 166 148 513 African Development Bank
20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000 20 000 Development Bank of Southern Africa
14 137 16 092 13 974 13 974 13 974 13 974 13 974 Government employee leave credits
36 169 30 317 30 382 35 094 35 969 36 427 36 761 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
111 774 151 740 204 772 246 422 252 567 255 787 258 128 International Monetary Fund
261 216 212 245 251 255 257 Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
93 033 97 663 116 635 134 720 138 080 139 840 141 120 New Development Bank
1 056 174 1 067 418 1 058 249 1 073 655 1 020 690 978 587 904 109 Contingent liabilities
583 808 569 452 568 928 590 307 541 094 516 044 410 228 4) Guarantees
93 93 – – – – – Agricultural cooperatives
– – – – – – – Central Energy Fund
4 430 3 430 3 538 290 100 – – Denel
4 653 4 854 5 156 5 464 5 352 5 204 5 122 Development Bank of Southern Africa
326 868 298 289 313 020 337 787 313 384 302 872 218 888 5) Eskom
75 74 74 74 74 74 74 Former regional authorities
6 5 3 2 2 2 2 Guarantee scheme for housing loans to employees
– – – – – – – Guarantee scheme for motor vehicles – senior officials
170 145 130 138 144 142 135 Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa
161 427 176 684 165 695 187 064 170 081 152 384 133 985 Independent power producers
36 35 35 33 30 28 25 Irrigation boards
– – – – – – – Kalahari East Water Board
400 367 368 370 372 374 376 Komati Basin Water Authority
2 484 2 446 1 899 432 – – – Land Bank
– – – – – – – Lesotho Highlands Development Authority
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Nuclear Energy Corporation of South Africa
– – – – – – – Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa
8 654 8 001 7 900 7 105 6 153 4 319 2 905 Public-private partnerships
17 867 6 749 2 761 345 – – – South African Airways
– – – – – – – South African Broadcasting Corporation
163 20 20 20 – – – South African Express
38 998 37 378 42 023 28 590 24 424 22 843 18 745 South African National Roads Agency Limited
– – – – – – – South African Post Office
– 13 726 12 821 9 975 9 208 8 441 7 674 Reserve Bank
149 132 123 111 117 52 5 Telkom South Africa
13 558 13 247 9 585 8 683 7 829 15 485 18 468 Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority
3 757 3 757 3 757 3 804 3 804 3 804 3 804 Transnet
– – – – – – – Universities and technikons
472 366 497 966 489 321 483 348 479 596 462 543 493 881 6) Other contingent liabilities
41 374 44 764 45 576 45 576 45 576 45 576 45 576 Claims against government departments
20 451 16 337 10 623 6 169 4 602 603 – Export Credit Insurance Corporation of SA Limited
– – – – – – – Government Employees Pension Fund
69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 69 938 Post-retirement medical assistance
332 242 361 750 356 550 355 031 352 846 339 792 371 733 Road Accident Fund
8 361 5 177 6 634 6 634 6 634 6 634 6 634 Other
4) Amounts drawn against financial guarantees, inclusive of revaluation adjustments on inflation-linked bonds and accrued interest. Numbers prior to 2018/19 exclude revaluation
adjustment on inflation-linked bonds.
5) The estimates for Eskom take into account the Eskom debt relief arrangement.
6) Other contingent liabilities as disclosed in the consolidated financial statements of departments published annually by the National Treasury.
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