ESM1-1. Basic Introduction

Master Course of Energy Finance and
System Analysis
Energy System Models
CHAPTER1
Introduction
ZHANG Qi, PhD, Professor

Academy of Chinese Energy Strategy
China University of Petroleum at Beijing
E-Mail: [email protected]
1
Syllabus
 Chapter 1: Introduction of Energy System (4 hours)
 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (4 hours)
 Chapter 3: Energy System Model Programming (2 hours)
 Chapter 4: Energy System Analysis Models (6 hours)

 Energy Demand Estimation, Energy Supply Expansion Planning
 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM
 Project Presentation and Discussion (4 hours)
 Chapter 5: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy-Environment-Economics: Oil, Gas, electricity,
 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas, Input-Output Model

2
In this chapter, you will learn
 Information and Regulations
 Review of Energy Types and

Technologies
 Review of Energy Outlook
3
Time and Classroom
 Time:
Wednesday
18:30-21:10
Weeks (5-15)
 Classroom:
B1318, Main Building
4
Lecturer
 Lecturer:
 Zhang Qi （张奇）
Email: [email protected]
[email protected]
 Assistant:
 Ms. Tang Yanyan
Email：
5
Course Description
 This Course will Cover

(1). Basic concepts in energy systems,
(2). Review of energy system models and
(3). Fundamental methodologies and tools in analysis and design of the models
 You are expected to:

(1). Understand basic concepts of energy system
(2). Understand the principles and techniques of energy system models
(3). Design energy system models to analyze new energy systems
6
Regulation and Expectation
 More than 10 hours outside of class in one week
 Attending class
(Requests for excused absences should be made in advance)
 Coming before start-of-class bell
 No eat, No phone, No smoking in class
 Brave, positive and honest
7
Textbook and Materials
 S. Jebaraj,et. al, A review of energy models，Elsevier, 2006
 L. Suganthi, et. al, Energy models for demand forecasting—A review,

Elsevier, 2012
 R. Baños, et. al, Optimization methods applied to renewable and

sustainable energy: A review, Elsevier, 2011
 D. Connolly, et. al, A review of computer tools for analysing the

integration of renewable energy into various energy systems,
Elsevier, 2010
 ScienceDirect Database
8
References
 http://energyseminar.stanford.edu/
 http://web.mit.edu/ceepr/www/
 http://www.ceg-ltd.com/
 http://www.oxfordenergy.org/
 http://energypolicy.columbia.edu/
9
References
 http://www.gams.com/
 http://www.iea-etsap.org/web/Markal.asp
 http://www.energycommunity.org/default.asp?action=
45
 http://energy.plan.aau.dk/
 http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/index.html
 http://webarchive.iiasa.ac.at/Research/ENE/model/m
essage.html
 http://www.balmorel.com/
 http://www-iam.nies.go.jp/aim/index.htm
 http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/reeds/
 http://www.homerenergy.com/
10
Pre-requisites
 Energy-Environment-Economy background
 Algorithms
 Interest
11
Grading Policy
 A final score will be calculated based on:
Class behavior: 30%

(Attendance, Participation and Quiz)
Presentation: 20%
Final Examination: 50%
Total Score: 100
12
Syllabus
 Chapter 1: Introduction of Energy System (4 hours)
 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (2

hours)
 Chapter 3: Energy System Analysis Models (8 hours)

 Energy Demand Estimation, Energy Supply Expansion Planning
 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM
 Chapter 4: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy-Environment-Economics: Oil, Gas, electricity,
 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas,
14
Review of Main Energy Source and Technologies
 Energy Systems
 coal, gas and oil
 Thermal power, Nuclear power ,Hydro power
 Renewable power: solar, wind, biomass
 Energy storage
15
Energy Systems
16
Energy Flow
17
World Population and Energy Consumption
18
Primary Energy Consumption per Capita
19
Per Capita GDP and Primary Energy
Consumption
20
The World’s Primary Energy Consumption
21
Primary energy consumption per capita 2014
Tonnes oil equivalent
22
Primary Energy Consumption in Major
Countries
23
Electricity Consumption in Major
Countries
Source: IEA “ENERGY BALANCES OF OECD COUNTRIES (2013 Edition)” / “ENERGY BALANCES OF NON-OECD COUNTRIES (2013
Edition)” 24
Electricity Consumption per Capita in Major
Countries
25
Dependence on Imported Energy Sources in
Major Countries
26
Proven Reserves of Energy Resources
27

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Master Course of Energy Finance and

Energy System Models

ZHANG Qi, PhD, Professor

 Chapter 1: Introduction of Energy System (4 hours)

 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (4 hours)

 Chapter 3: Energy System Model Programming (2 hours)

 Chapter 4: Energy System Analysis Models (6 hours)

 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM

 Project Presentation and Discussion (4 hours)

 Chapter 5: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas, Input-Output Model

 Project Presentation and Discussion (4 hours)

 Information and Regulations

 Review of Energy Types and

 Review of Energy Outlook

 This Course will Cover

 You are expected to:

 More than 10 hours outside of class in one week

 Coming before start-of-class bell

 No eat, No phone, No smoking in class

 Brave, positive and honest

 S. Jebaraj,et. al, A review of energy models，Elsevier, 2006

 L. Suganthi, et. al, Energy models for demand forecasting—A review,

 R. Baños, et. al, Optimization methods applied to renewable and

 D. Connolly, et. al, A review of computer tools for analysing the

 A final score will be calculated based on:

Class behavior: 30%

Final Examination: 50%

Total Score: 100

 Chapter 2: Energy System Modeling and Analytical Approach (2

 Chapter 3: Energy System Analysis Models (8 hours)

 Supply-Demand Balance: TIMS, GCAM

 Project Presentation and Discussion (5 hours)

 Chapter 4: Energy Economics Models(8 hours)

 Energy Finance: Renewable, Oil, Gas,

 Project Presentation and Discussion (5 hours)

Tonnes oil equivalent

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