AIC 2021 GDHEC 34 - DeOcampo - Understanding+behavior Based+city+congestion - 122221
AIC 2021 GDHEC 34 - DeOcampo - Understanding+behavior Based+city+congestion - 122221
AIC 2021 GDHEC 34 - DeOcampo - Understanding+behavior Based+city+congestion - 122221
Manuel Tanpoco
Department of Decision Sciences and Innovation, De La Salle University, Manila
0922, Philippines, Email: [email protected]
Catherine Llave
Academic Programs Office, Polytechnic University of the Philippines, Parañaque City
1700, Email: [email protected]
*Corresponding author Email: [email protected], [email protected]
Metro Manila is one of the top congested cities not just in Asia but in the world before
and during the pandemic. This descriptive study of the city’s drivers employed the Driver
Behavior Questionnaire based on Guého et al.’s adaptation of the Manchester DBQ where
respondents were to self-assess for behaviors related to lapses, errors and violations and
positive behaviors. A purposive sampling was conducted across drivers of vehicles four
wheels and above across the city. The findings revealed that majority of Filipino drivers did
not go through formal driving training. The rating on positive behaviors needs to be improved
across all ages and educational levels which were also cross-validated with government-
provided empirical data. Recommendation for the mitigation of driver behavior-based
congestion is through the education of city drivers particularly leveraging on the Filipino
value of “Pakikipagkapwa” or concern for others. This may be achieved through an
information campaign on inter-driver cooperation, consistent traffic rules implementation
and provision of informative and conspicuous traffic signs in order to prevent the top traffic
violations in the city namely, obstruction and disregard of traffic signs. In-depth study and
implementation of such recommendations are covered in Levels 3 to 5 of the Industry 4.0
framework in the Integrated Smart Traffic Management Solution.
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Keywords:
1 Introduction
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executed properly due to the inaccurate estimation of the speeds of all vehicles
that would be affected including his or her own. On the other hand, a lapse would
be to say, getting into the fourth gear when it is already there. As for violations,
there is a deliberate infraction of traffic laws or a safety norm which could pose
harm to the driver and to others. For example, a driver who is always in a hurry
may drive too close to the next vehicle or deliberately ignore the speed limit in the
highway.
Several researchers conducted studies for drivers to evaluate their driving
practices and adapted the Manchester DBQ based on their intended emphases on
accident prevention. Rimmö and Åberg (1999) modified the DBQ to study young
Swedish drivers’ aberrant driving behavior due to the sensation-seeking tendency.
Bener et al. (2008) sought to find the differences in driver behavior among Arab
Gulf countries while Sucha et al. (2014) wanted to evaluate the Czech drivers’
general behavior. Martinussen et al. (2013) delved into coming up with a shorter
instrument as the original Manchester DBQ may be tiresome to fill out and thus,
might affect the usability of questionnaire. There are still other DBQ-based studies
but Rimmö and Åberg (1999) noted that there are just slight variations in their
adapted instruments and these could be due to the differences in the attributes of
each country’s population.
This research aims to analyze the driving behaviors of Metro Manila drivers
by looking into their demographic profiles and their self-assessed behaviors based
on the Guého et al. (2014) DBQ modified accordingly as applicable to the Philippine
context. The study also aims to discover areas in the cross-checking of results with
literature and actual traffic statistics that may provide some valuable inputs in
helping ease driver behavior-related traffic congestion and its associated stresses.
2 Theoretical Perspectives
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et al., 2016; Nardo et al., 2020; Nguyen, 2020). In a parallel study, the researcher,
in her current involvement in an Integrated Smart Traffic Management Solution for
a Metro Manila city government developed the Industry 4.0 traffic management
framework (De Ocampo et al., 2021) which was adapted from a manufacturing
control system perspective (Nardo et al., 2020) as seen in Figure 1.
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3 Methodology
3.1 Instrument
For the questionnaire used in this study, the instrument was adapted from
the DBQ of Guého et al. (2014) which has the tripartite factor framework of
aberrant behaviors of lapses, errors and violations and also an added factor of
positive behaviors to complete a 6-factor structure namely, “dangerous errors”,
“inattention errors”, “inexperience errors”, “ordinary violations”, “aggressive
violations” and, “positive behaviors.”
1 Bayanihan or “collective effort” is a Filipino “system of mutual help and concern which
has become the backbone of family and village life through the Philippines.” It is a tradition
where the people in a community physically carry together a house made of light materials
to move it from one location to another (Eadie & Su, 2018).
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The first 30 observations were used to do a reliability test using Cronbach’s alpha
which resulted in the factor of “aggressive violations” to have a scale of 0.559 and
thus was not reliable and was, therefore, removed. Unlike other factors, there was
no possibility of dropping any item from this set of “aggressive violations”
statements to check if the scale would increase to 0.7 or higher. Thus, the whole
factor was dropped.
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FACTORS Cronbach’s
Inattention errors 0.711
Ordinary violations 0.745
Positive behaviors 0.938
Aggressive violations 0.559
Dangerous errors 0.712
Inexperience errors 0.795
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Results
Majority of the respondents are male at about 96%. Both the mean and
median age of drivers are at 42 years old which shows that the composition of the
respondents is more matured with driving experience averaging 17 years and a
median of 15 years. Approximately 60% of the drivers drive daily, 20% drive 3 to
4 times a week and 20% less than twice a week.
Dividing the respondents into the established generation ranges (Kinnaman,
2018), about 50% are from Gen X, 32% are Millennials and about 15% are Baby
Boomers. There were about 3% from Gen Z and less than 1% from the
Traditionalist, Elders or Silent Generation.
Results show that only 15% of the respondents were formally trained in driving
schools while about 45% learned driving only through training from an acquaintance.
A significant finding in this study is that 40% of the respondents claim to have not
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been trained at all and were self-taught. This finding of the majority of Metro Manila
drivers as not having proper training is corroborated by a study on the understanding
of traffic signs. Fernandez et al. (2020) discovered that only 26% has formal training
in accredited driving schools, 54% were trained by either friends or relatives while
19% were self-taught. As for the License classification, about 74% possess
Professional Driver’s License and 24% have Non-professional licenses.
4.3 Education
Majority of the respondents are of high school level at 50.5%. The total of
those who have not done any College-level coursework is 72.8%.
The Likert Scale for this DBQ has a rating of 1 or ‘Never’ to 5 or ‘Almost always
true.’ Using the concept of the boundary of a number in evaluating the mean responses,
the rating interpretations varied from ‘rarely’ to ‘never’ for errors and violations. The
summary of the means and standard deviations of each criterion is presented in Table 6.
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Note that generally, the ratings for both public and private drivers for all
factors except for positive behaviors are on the ideal side indicating that they rarely
do not commit driving violations and errors nor exhibit dangerous behaviors.
Moreover, the public transport drivers rated themselves significantly higher than
the private vehicle drivers for avoiding inattention errors, ordinary violations,
dangerous errors and inexperience errors which implies better driving skills over
private transport drivers. On the other hand, the mean of positive behaviors was
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slightly higher for private vehicle drivers than their public counterpart. However,
the aggregate means for both public and private drivers indicate that the self-
assessed ratings were very near the boundary of ‘sometimes’ and ‘frequently’ which
indicates a general inconsistency of positive behaviors
An analysis of variance (ANOVA) was conducted to determine whether there
were significant differences in driver behavior when respondents are grouped
according to education, driving training, and vehicle use.
Prior to running the ANOVA for each of the five scales, the tests of assumptions
were performed. The assumption of normality was established using the Q-Q plot and
further ascertained by invoking the Central Limit Theorem, with the sample size being
more than 200 and sufficiently large for the analysis. For homoscedasticity, residuals
were plotted against the predicted values and checked if the points appear randomly
distributed with a mean of zero and no apparent curvature. For the homogeneity of
variance, Levene’s test was utilized, and for the outliers, the studentized residuals
were used for detection. After having met these assumptions (some with modifications
like removal of outliers), the analyses of variance were performed.
The analysis of variance was examined based on an alpha value of 0.05. The results
of the ANOVA were significant, F(8, 371) = 2.81, p = .005, indicating there were significant
differences in Inattention Errors among the levels of Education, Driving Training, and Vehicle
Use. The main effect, Education was significant, F(4, 371) = 2.72, p = .029, ηp2 = 0.03,
indicating there were significant differences in Inattention Errors by Education levels. The
main effect, Driving Training was not significant, F(2, 371) = 0.06, p = .940, indicating there
were no significant differences of Inattention Errors by Driving Training. The main effect,
Vehicle Use was significant, F(2, 371) = 3.20, p = .042, ηp2 = 0.02, indicating there were
significant differences in Inattention Errors by Vehicle Use. (See Table 8.)
Term SS df F p ηp2
EDUCATION 2.16 4 2.72 .029 0.03
DRIVING_TRAINING 0.02 2 0.06 .940 0.00
VEHICLE_USE 1.27 2 3.20 .042 0.02
Residuals 73.46 371
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The analysis of variance was examined based on an alpha value of 0.05. The
results of the ANOVA were significant, F(8, 371) = 2.56, p = .010, indicating there
were significant differences in Ordinary Violations among the levels of Education,
Driving Training, and Vehicle Use. The main effect, Education was significant, F(4,
371) = 3.42, p = .009, ηp2 = 0.04, indicating there were significant differences in
Ordinary Violations by Education levels. The main effect, Driving Training was not
significant, F(2, 371) = 0.07, p = .929, indicating there were no significant
differences of Ordinary Violations by Driving Training. The main effect, Vehicle Use
was not significant, F(2, 371) = 0.15, p = .861, indicating there were no significant
differences of Ordinary Violations by Vehicle Use types. (See Table 9.)
Term SS df F p ηp2
EDUCATION 3.10 4 3.42 .009 0.04
DRIVING_TRAINING 0.03 2 0.07 .929 0.00
VEHICLE_USE 0.07 2 0.15 .861 0.00
Residuals 84.01 371
Paired t-tests were calculated between each pair of measurements to further
examine the differences among the variables. Tukey pairwise comparisons were
conducted for all significant effects based on a an alpha of 0.05. For the main effect
of Education, the mean of Ordinary Violations for HS (M = 1.52, SD = 0.46) was
significantly smaller than for College (M = 1.74, SD = 0.56), p = .009. For the main
effect of Education, the mean of Ordinary Violations for College (M = 1.74, SD =
0.56) was significantly larger than for Vocational (M = 1.43, SD = 0.40), p = .006.
For the main effect of Education, the mean of Ordinary Violations for Vocational (M
= 1.43, SD = 0.40) was significantly smaller than for Postgraduate (M = 1.81, SD
= 0.47), p = .030.
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Table 10: Analysis of Variance Table for Positive Behaviors by Education, Driving
Training, and Vehicle Use
Term SS df F p ηp2
EDUCATION 23.74 4 7.90 < .001 0.08
DRIVING_TRAINING 5.82 2 3.87 .022 0.02
VEHICLE_USE 0.24 2 0.16 .854 0.00
Residuals 278.71 371
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Table 11: Analysis of Variance Table for Dangerous Errors by Education, Driving
Training, and Vehicle Use
Term SS df F p ηp2
EDUCATION 6.02 4 6.06 < .001 0.06
DRIVING_TRAINING 0.44 2 0.89 .411 0.00
VEHICLE_USE 0.27 2 0.54 .586 0.00
Residuals 92.18 371
Paired t-tests were calculated between each pair of measurements to further
examine the differences among the variables. Tukey pairwise comparisons were
conducted for all significant effects based on a an alpha of 0.05. For the main effect of
Education, the mean of Dangerous Errors for HS (M = 1.51, SD = 0.50) was significantly
larger than for Vocational (M = 1.22, SD = 0.39), p = .005. For the main effect of
Education, the mean of Dangerous Errors for College (M = 1.66, SD = 0.58) was
significantly larger than for Elementary (M = 1.39, SD = 0.44), p = .031. For the main
effect of Education, the mean of Dangerous Errors for College (M = 1.66, SD = 0.58)
was significantly larger than for Vocational (M = 1.22, SD = 0.39), p < .001. For the
main effect of Education, the mean of Dangerous Errors for Elementary (M = 1.39, SD
= 0.44) was significantly smaller than for Postgraduate (M = 1.80, SD = 0.48), p =
.022. For the main effect of Education, the mean of Dangerous Errors for Vocational (M
= 1.22, SD = 0.39) was significantly smaller than for Postgraduate (M = 1.80, SD =
0.48), p < .001. No other significant effects were found.
The analysis of variance was examined based on an alpha value of 0.05. The
results of the ANOVA were not significant, F(8, 366) = 1.12, p = .348, indicating the
differences in Inexperience Errors among the levels of Education, Driving Training, and
Vehicle Use were all similar. The main effect, Education was not significant, F(4, 366) =
1.95, p = .102, indicating there were no significant differences of Inexperience Errors
by Education levels. The main effect, Driving Training was not significant, F(2, 366) =
0.39, p = .678, indicating there were no significant differences of Inexperience Errors
by Driving Training types. The main effect, Vehicle Use was not significant, F(2, 366) =
1.10, p = .335, indicating there were no significant differences of Inexperience Errors
by Vehicle Use types. (See Table 12.)
Table 12: Analysis of Variance Table for Inexperience Errors by Education, Driving
Training, and Vehicle Use
Term SS df F p ηp2
EDUCATION 2.65 4 1.95 .102 0.02
DRIVING_TRAINING 0.26 2 0.39 .678 0.00
VEHICLE_USE 0.75 2 1.10 .335 0.01
Residuals 124.60 366
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Discussion
The results of the study established the profile of Metro Manila drivers
wherein the majority are highly-skilled in driving even without formal training.
Some of the results of the statistical analysis in this study show that (1) driving
training and driving frequency were not significant to driver behaviors; (2) those
who went to driving schools were even more prone to errors and violations; (3)
those who have reached college level and up tended to commit more inattention
errors, ordinary violations and dangerous errors and;
(4) ordinary violations and dangerous errors tended to increase with age.
An important finding in this study, though, shows that the higher the
education, the higher is also the tendency towards positive behaviors. Also, as the
age increases, the propensity towards exhibiting more consideration to other road
users also increases.
Data from the Metro Manila Development Authority (MMDA) recorded the
most frequent violations in 2018 along EDSA as can be seen in Table 13.
Disregarding traffic signs is the recorded top violation. 92% of the
respondents of this study claim that they almost always follow traffic signs
particularly avoiding to beat the red light. In another study, Felicio et al. (2015)
showed in their own survey that 99.5% claimed that they follow the traffic light
changes. This did not correspond to the actual behavior showing 7% higher than
expected instances of beating the red light and this was attributed to majority of
the drivers not having gone through formal driving training.
Obstruction is the second highest violation in the MMDA list. (Illegal parking
is listed separately but is also another form of obstruction.) From this study, about
43% of the respondents purported that they are sensitive to not being an
obstruction to other drivers particularly, staying out of intersections bounded by
yellow box road markings while 67% claim that they avoid counterflowing or driving
in the lane of the opposite direction. A recent Business World article, however,
reported that drivers obstructing intersections or those inside yellow box markings
as well as counterflowing are commonplace in Metro Manila and are actually daily
occurrences (Tort, 2019). Tort (2019) noted that while such violations are
dangerous as they might lead to collisions. The reason why these persist is that the
traffic authorities are lenient in enforcing the rules.
The driving skills aspect of the drivers of PUV’s may be supported by
available 2018 crash statistics from the LTO (2019) 2018 Annual Report where
about half of the total annual accidents were car-related while PUV’s except vans
account each in single-digit percentages. (See Table 14.)
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VIOLATION # of cases
Disregarding Traffic Sign 44,433
Obstruction 32,155
Loading/unloading in Prohibited Zone 13,854
Truck Ban 8,316
Stalled Vehicle 4,018
Reckless Driving 3,113
Illegal Parking 4,779
Source: Most common requested data from the MMDA foi webpage
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In the case of the severe situation of the Metro Manila traffic and some
discrepancies in the rating of the respondents, this may point to a lack of awareness
of the integration of the various factors affecting the overall traffic situation and in
order to have a better understanding, the individual driver would have to expand
his sphere of concern from just the self to fellow drivers. This underscores the
importance of an information campaign on not just a review or elucidation of traffic
rules and norms but also on driving ethics in order to increase positive behaviors
on the road which may lessen traffic-related stress and hopefully, avoid
unnecessary gridlocks on the road. Mahmassani et al. (2013), in their discussion
of Chicago gridlocks, spoke of “inter-vehicle cooperation” as one of the ways of
recovering from gridlocks. If there is a concern for fellow drivers on the road, these
positive behaviors could either avoid or mitigate the effect of traffic jams. On this,
campaigns on a larger scale regarding increasing awareness among drivers of rules
and their enforcement by the authorities have been widely used with success
(Özkan & Lajunen, 2011; Parker et al., 1995; Savage, 2018). This underscores the
importance of educating drivers not just on traffic rules and reading signs but also
on driving ethics.
The beneficiaries of this study are entities which need to do traffic
management, both public, (e.g., Land Transportation Office, Metro Manila
Development Authority, Department of Human Settlements and Urban
Development, City Local Governments), and privately-owned businesses involved
in building and managing urban developments (e.g., expressways collecting tolls,
commercial and residential development companies building financial and lifestyle
complexes like Bonifacio Global City).
Apart from planning and building efficient road infrastructure, making
appropriate traffic management policies would avoid congestions, increase
productivity, conserve energy and lessen the carbon footprint and these can be
translated into more profitability by reducing congestion costs on various levels.
Sweet (2011) discussed on the 3 levels of economic impact of congestions, i.e., to
systems and users, to businesses and the overall economy and these are
translatable to monetary terms. On the health aspect and safety of drivers,
planning should also take these into consideration. In a Shell study, Arayata (2018)
reported the finding that Filipino drivers are in constant stress and they have the
highest stress when driving to work. In this regard, traffic management authorities
must include the psychology of Filipino drivers taking into consideration the
demographics and behaviors of drivers in the overall urban planning and design of
solutions including the education of Filipino drivers.
Recommendations
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which involves the perpendicular direction or how the driver relates to other drivers
on the road hence, the need for positive behaviors on the road.
From the results of the self-assessment tests, one notable finding is that
85% of the sample of Metro Manila drivers were informally trained. The passing of
the certification test to earn a driver’s license does not guarantee comprehension
of traffic rules and positive driving behaviors as observed in the study conducted
by Fernandez et al. (2020) such that Filipino drivers have a poor level of
understanding of traffic signs and a general lack of discipline. This corroborates this
study’s finding of the respondents not faring well on positive behaviors. Therefore,
there is a need for the education of Filipino drivers of all ages but especially those
of high school or the secondary level. This is an area of development which could
be accorded focus on by traffic management authorities together with the more
obvious solutions related to the improvement of road infrastructure and
implementation of effective traffic management policies. The latter includes rules
reinforcement or discipline implementation to alleviate congested conditions
brought about by human factors.
In the Business World article entitled “Yellow box and counterflow,” Tort
(2019) noted that driver behaviors contributing to congestion persist due to the
leniency of traffic enforcement. With the roll out of the “Contactless
Apprehension of Traffic Violators on a 24-Hour Basis and All-Vehicle Detection
System” or CATCH-ALL which was introduced in 2017 (Dost-Pcieerd, 2017), it
is expected that such incidences of traffic violations particularly in areas
equipped with cameras will decrease as the expensive traffic tickets could be a
deterrent to undisciplined behavior. This project, as of this writing, is continuing
to be being rolled out in different cities in Metro Manila and is being done in
phases due to the high cost of implementation of the solution. However, in
places where there would be no opportunity for such kind of installations,
authorities should formulate strategies which are repeatable, consistent and
decisive on the part of traffic enforcers.
Another finding in this study through the interview was the confusion of
drivers in following traffic signs which were difficult to read, e.g., signs too small,
or sometimes even placed inconspicuously such that it is hard to notice or
sometimes even covered by trees or other obstacles. As noted in the previous
MMDA statistics, disregarding traffic signs is one of the top causes of violations in
the city. This underscores the need to design and create effective traffic signs in
order to avoid any confusion. Moreover, traffic signs may also be used in the
education of Metro Manila drivers through succinct yet affective reminders of traffic
rules and driving ethics.
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Conclusion
In this day and age where swift developing technologies continually evolve,
still the human factor could play a part in easing traffic congestion. The
recommendations of having a more consistent traffic rules enforcement, producing
more informative and clear traffic signs and more importantly, driver education sits
in Levels 3-5 of the Industry 4.0 Traffic framework and thus requires a man-
machine interface in order to properly analyze, plan and implement effectively.
Specifically for the information campaign, encouraging Pakikipagkapwa, a value
innate in the Filipino psyche, together with the basic knowledge of traffic norms,
could naturally motivate inter-driver cooperation in the consciousness of Filipino
drivers and thus, would have a more enduring effect through generations to come.
So, what is a few minutes of waiting in order for a kapwa driver to pass and
not to be a cause of obstruction on the road causing the delay of many? Or would
it be a huge loss of time to allow a signaling vehicle to enter your lane in order for
that fellow driver not to miss his or her turn? Small acts of Pakikipagkapwa could
prevent driver behavior-based congestion but beyond that, it could also prevent
unnecessary stress on the road which could possibly lead to road accidents.
Author Contributions
B.D.O. designed the study, conducted the survey and wrote the paper. M.T.
provided guidance on methodology and did the statistical analysis with writeup.
C.L. assisted in gathering of related literature. All authors have read and agreed to
the published version of the manuscript.
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Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.
Request for data should be directed to the first author. Availability is subject
to the Data Privacy Act of 2012.
Conflicts of Interest
The opinions and assertions contained herein are those of the authors and
do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the respective universities
of the authors. The study was self-funded and there are no conflict of interests.
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