Module5 IMPACTS AirQualityManagement
Module5 IMPACTS AirQualityManagement
Module5 IMPACTS AirQualityManagement
Impacts
Edited by
Gary Haq and Dieter Schwela
5
Editors
Dr Gary Haq, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York
Dr Dieter Schwela, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York
Module Contributors
Professor Bingheng Chen, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai
Dr Dilip Biwas, Former Chairman, Central Pollution Control Board, New Delhi
Dr David L. Calkins, Sierra Nevada Air Quality Group, LLC, San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Dr Axel Friedrich, Department of Transport and Noise at the Federal Environment Agency (UBA), Berlin
Mr Karsten Fuglsang, FORCE Technology, Copenhagen
Dr Gary Haq, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, York
Professor Lidia Morawska, School of Physical and Chemical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane
Professor Frank Murray, School of Environmental Science, Murdoch University, Perth
Dr Kim Oanh Nguyen Thi, Environmental Technology and Management, Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok
Dr Dieter Schwela, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, York
Mr Bjarne Sivertsen, Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Olso
Dr Vanisa Surapipith, Pollution Control Department, Bangkok
Dr Patcharawadee Suwanathada, Pollution Control Department, Bangkok
Mr Harry Vallack, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York
Production Team
Howard Cambridge, Web Manager, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, York
Richard Clay, Design/layout, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, York
Erik Willis, Publications Manager, Stockholm Environment Institute, University of York, York
Funding
The modules were produced by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and the University of York (UoY) as
part of the Clean Air for Asia Training Programme. The programme was led by the SEI and UoY in collaboration
with the Pollution Control Department (Thailand), Vietnam Environment Protection Agency (VEPA), and Clean
Air Initiative for Asian Cities (CAI-Asia). The Clean Air for Asia Training Programme was funded under the
European Union’s Asia Urbs programme (TH/Asia Urbs/01 (91000)). Additional funding was received from the
Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (NORAD), International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA),
World Health Organization, Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), and Force Technology.
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Foundation Course on Air Quality Management in Asia
The Foundation Course on Air Quality Clean air is recognised as a key component of a
Management in Asia is for adult learners studying sustainable urban environment in international
the issue without the support of a class room agreements and increasingly in regional
teacher. It is aimed at students with some basic environmental declarations in Asia. National
knowledge of environment and air pollution and local governments have begun to develop
issues, acquired in a variety of ways ranging from air quality management strategies to address the
conventional study, working in an environmental deterioration in urban air quality. However, the
related field or informal experience of air scope and effectiveness of such strategies vary
pollution issues. widely between countries and cities.
The course provides you with an opportunity The aim of air quality management is to maintain
to develop your understanding of the key the quality of the air that protects human health
components required to develop a programme and welfare but also to provide protection for
to manage urban air pollution and to achieve animals, plants (crops, forests and vegetation),
better air quality. By working through the six ecosystems and material aesthetics, such as
modules you will gradually achieve a higher natural levels of visibility. In order to achieve
level of understanding of urban air pollution and this goal, appropriate policies, and strategies
the measures taken to monitor air quality and to to prevent and control air pollution need to be
prevent and control urban air pollution. developed and implemented.
Introduction 1
Summary 33
Information Sources 34
Learning objectives
In Module 5 Air Pollution Impacts you will examine the impacts of common air pollutants on human
health and environment. In particular, you will learn about the methods used to study and assess
the impact of air pollution on the health of a given population and the associated economic costs. At
the end of the module you will have a better understanding of:
• the effect of key air pollutants on health
• different approaches used to undertake health studies
• information required to undertake health studies
• approaches used to assess the economic impacts associated with air pollution and health
• approaches used to manage indoor air pollution
• environmental impacts of air pollution.
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
ABC Atmospheric brown cloud ETS Environmental tobacco smoke PESA Proton elastic scattering analysis
ACFA Asian Clean Fuels Association EU European Union PID Photo ionisation detector
ACS American Cancer Society FID Flame ionisation detector PIGE Particle induced gamma ray
ADAC Automatic data acquisition system FOE Friends of the Earth emission
ADB Asian Development Bank FST Foundation for Science and PILs Public interest litigation
ADORC Acid Deposition and Oxidant Technology PIXE Particle induced X-ray emission
Research Center GBD Global burden of disease PM Particulate matter
AirQUIS Air quality information system GDP Gross domestic product PM10 Particulate matter less than 10
ALAD Aminolaevulinic acid dehydrase GHG Greenhouse gas microns in diameter
AMIS Air quality management GIS Geographic information system PM2.5 Particulate matter less than 2.5
information system GTF Global Technology Forum microns in diameter
APHEA Air Pollution and Health, A HAP Hazardous air pollutant PMF Positive matrix factorisation
European Approach HC Hydrocarbon POP Persistent organic pollutant
API Air pollution index HCA Human capital approach PPM Parts per million
APINA Air Pollution Information Network HCMC Ho Chi Minh City PRC People’s Republic of China
APMA Air pollution in the megacities of HEI Health Effects Institute PSAT Particulate matter source
Asia project HEPA Ho Chi Minh City Environmental apportionment technology
APNEE Air Pollution Network for Early Protection Agency PSI Pollutant standard index
warning and on-line information Hg Mercury PSU/NCAR Pennsylvania State University /
Exchange in Europe HIV/AIDS Human immunodeficiency virus/ National Center for Atmospheric
AQG Air quality guideline Acquired Immunodeficiency Research
AQM Air quality management Syndrome PVC Polyvinyl chloride
AQMS Air quality management system I&M Inspection and maintenance QA/QC Quality assurance/quality control
AQO Air quality objective IBA Ion beam analysis QEPA Queensland Environmental
AQSM Air quality simulation model ICCA International Council of Chemical Protection Agency
As Arsenic Associations ROS Reactive oxygen species
ASEAN Association of South East Asian IFFN International Forest Fire News RBS Rutherford backscattering
Nations IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on spectrometry
ASG Atmospheric Studies Group Climate Change SA Source apportionment
ATD Arizona test dust IQ Intelligent quotient SACTRA Standing Advisory Committee on
AWGESC ASEAN Working Group on IR Infrared Trunk Road Assessment
Environmentally Sustainable ISO Organization for Standardization SAR Special Administrative Region
Cities IT Interim target SMC San Miguel Corporation
AWS Automatic weather station IUGR Intrauterine low growth restriction SMS Short message service
BaP Benzo[a]pyrene IUPAC International Union of Pure and SO2 Sulphur dioxide
BBC British Broadcasting Corporation Applied Chemistry SOx Sulphur oxides
BMR Bangkok Metropolitan Area IVL Swedish Environmental Research SPCB State Pollution Control Board
BRT Bus rapid transit Institute TAPM The Air Pollution Model
BS Black smoke km kilometre TEA Triethanolamine
BTEX Benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene LBW Low birth weight TEAM Total Exposure Assessment
and xylenes LCD Less developed country Methodology
CAI-Asia Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities LPG Liquid petroleum gas TEOM Tapered element oscillating
CAIP Clean air implementation plan LPM Lagrangian particle module microbalance
CARB Californian Air Resources Board MAPs Major air pollutants TSP Total suspended particulate
CAS Chemical Abstract Service MCIP Meteorology-Chemistry Interface UAM Urban airshed model
CBA Cost benefit analysis Processor UCB University of California at
Cd Cadmium MMS Multimedia messaging service Berkeley
CD Compact disc MOEF Ministry of Environment and UF Ultra fine
CDM Clean development mechanism Forests UK United Kingdom
CEA Cost-effectiveness analysis MOPE Ministry of Population and UNDESA United Nations Department of
CER Certified emissions reduction Environment Economic and Social Affairs
CMAS Institute for the Environment, MT Meteo-Technology UNDP United Nations Development
Chapel Hill MW Molecular weight Programme
CMB Chemical mass balance NAA Neutron activation analysis UNECE United Nations Economic
CNG Compressed natural gas NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Commission for Europe
CO Carbon monoxide Standards UNEP United Nations Environment
CO2 Carbon dioxide NASA National Aeronautics and Space Programme
COHb Carboxyhaemoglobin Administration UNFCCC United Nations framework on
COI Cost of illness NDIR Non-dispersive Infrared climate change
COPD Chronic obstructive pulmonary NILU Norwegian Institute for Air UN-Habitat United Nations Habitat
disease Research US United States
CORINAIR CORe INventory of AIR emissions NKBI Neutral buffered potassium iodide USEPA United States Environmental
CPCB Central Pollution Control Board NMMAPS National Morbidity and Mortality Protection Agency
CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Air Pollution Study UV Ultra violet
Industrial Research Organisation NO Nitric oxide UVF Ultra violet fluorescence
CVM Contingent valuation method NO2 Nitrogen dioxide VOC Volatile organic compound
DALY Disability-adjusted life years NOx Nitrogen oxides VOSL Value of statistical life
DAS Data acquisition system NYU New York University VSI Visibility Standard Index
DDT Dichloro-Diphenyl-Trichloroethane O2 Oxygen WAP Wireless Application Service WHO
DETR Department for Transport and the O3 Ozone World Health Organization
Regions OECD Organization for Economic WMO World Meteorological
DQO Data quality system Cooperation and Development Organization
DQO Data quality objective PAH Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons WRAC Wide ranging aerosol collector
DWM Diagnostic wind model PAN Peroxyacetyl nitrate WTP Willingness to pay
EB Executive board Pb Lead XRF X-ray fluorescence
EC European Commission PbB Level of blood lead YLD Years of life with disability
EEA European Environment Agency PCB Polychlorinated biphenyl YLL Years of life lost
EGM Eulerian Grid Module PCD Pollution Control Department
EIA Environmental impact assessment PDR People’s Democractic Republic
List of Tables, Figures and Boxes
Table 5.1 A Summary of Major Impacts (scale and sources) for Key Pollutants
1
5
Section 1 Air Pollution and Health
2
Young and elderly, patients with cardio-vascular The most common air pollutants in our daily life
and pulmonary disease and workers in certain are particulate matter (PM), SO2, NOx, CO, CO2
industries may be at higher risk due to their and O3. Figure 5.1 shows the pathway of how
increased biological sensitivity and different source emissions leading to exposure can affect
exposure pattern. human health.
What is a health risk due to air pollution? Which environments do we have to consider in
• The health risk is the probability that health the assessment of risks due to air pollution?
impact will occur (quantitative notion). • home environment
• workplace environment
Which information do we need to assess health
risks presented by hazards? • community environment
• hazards as they occur in a particular
• larger-scale environment.
environment;
3
5
1.1 Measuring Exposure to Air b) individual exposure based upon diaries and
micro-environment concentration estimates.
Pollution
T he assessment of human exposure to air Integrated models may use measurement data
pollutants is a part of total risk assessment, and statistical interpolation procedures to produce
and a necessary part of air quality management concentrations in each square kilometre (km2).
(AQM) where it contributes to information on These concentrations can then be used together
prioritising abatement measures. Exposure with the population distribution to estimate an
assessment is currently a bottleneck in risk approximate exposure of the population for each
assessment since it involves not only the estimation km2. When added for all grid squares the method
of concentrations but also the determination of becomes a fairly robust method for obtaining a
exposure factors such as duration of exposure, complete picture of the population exposure to air
time use pattern of human populations, personal pollutants. This method has been applied in Oslo
vulnerability and lifestyle. Exposure assessment (Norway) where the number of people living within
has been a research topic in its own right (USEPA, areas of concentrations exceeding given levels was
1997), inside and outside of epidemiological presented on maps.
studies. The general idea is to look at: Personal exposure to NO2 and PM10 was estimated
• outdoor air conditions in ambient air where by a combination of exposure calculations in
people move; and observation points along major roads and for each
grid square. The total number of persons exposed
• indoor air conditions where people
to PM10 was 320,000 persons in 1995, and reduced
normally spend most of their time through
to 220,000 persons in 2001 (Bøhler et al., 2003).
measurements of personal exposure.
Each of these refinements often adds a layer of The individual exposure approach assumes that
complexity to exposure assessment. Some major each person is exposed to a contaminant represented
questions include: by the measured or estimated concentration in the
• Which of the complicating factors are most micro-environment that he/she is in at the moment.
important? For example, the exposure is dependent on whether
that geographical area is in the proximity of heavy
• How do we quantify them and arrive at a
traffic or whether the individual is indoors or
suitable population exposure model?
outdoors, travelling or shopping.
This is a particular challenge if only monitoring
data are to be used in the exposure assessment. A micro-environment can be a location outside
Normally these tasks are undertaken in a (e.g a street) or inside (e.g. office). Without doubt
combination of measurement data for air quality the best method of measuring exposure is by
and air pollution modelling. The WHO (WHO, the use of personal monitors, especially when
2000a) discussed exposure assessment in general people move from place to place. However, this
terms, and concluded that it is probably best is impractical when several compounds are being
carried out with a combination of measurements studied simultaneously. In addition, it is uncertain
and models. how much people change their routines when they
have to carry some of the larger portable units. It
In general, two different methods are being applied
can therefore be more practical to use computer
to estimate human exposure to air pollutants. The
models based upon data from diaries to estimate
two main models have been used to estimate:
each individual’s exposure to each pollutant for
each prescribed time span. This model has used as
a) integrated number of people living within little as one hour as the unit of time. With this time
areas of given concentration levels; and resolution, it is possible to reflect major changes in
4
micro-environments without requiring a diary that • classification of individual exposure (high
is impossible for people to complete. versus low);
5
5
USEPA, have provided an important foundation less than 0.1 µm). PM10 include inhalable particles
for models of human exposure to CO, VOCs, which can penetrate to the thoracic region. PM2.5
pesticides and PM10. The results from these field has high probability of deposition in the airways
studies have produced greater understanding of and alveoli. Particles with different aerodynamic
the variation in the indoor, and outdoor pollutant diameters differ in their overall contributions to
concentrations, and concentrations obtained from airborne particle mass and in their origin, physical
personal monitoring. However, the measurements characteristics, chemical composition, and health
can usually be generalized and technically effects. Total suspended particulate matter (TSP)
interpreted in terms of human exposure using and black smoke (BS) were used as indicators
exposure models. of airborne particles in the past, and TSP is still
used as an indicator of particulate matter in some
The exposure models provide an analytic structure
countries.
for combing data of different types collected from
disparate studies in a manner that may make Coarse particles contain earth crustal materials, dust
more complete use of the existing information on from roads, industries and construction activities,
a particular pollutant than is possible from direct and biological material, such as pollen grains and
study methods. The uncertainty about various bacterial fragments. PM2.5 contains combustion
components of environmental health assessment particles, the secondarily formed aerosols (gas to
can be incorporated into such models to estimate particle conversion), and recondensed organic and
uncertainty about the prediction endpoint (e.g. metal vapours. Diesel trucks emit particles primarily
exposure, dose or health outcome), to identify the in the range of 0.1-0.2 µm. The composition of
components that influence prediction accuracy particles varies substantially across cities around
and precision by comparing predicted values to the world depending upon local geographical,
those measured in the field. Validated models can meteorological conditions and specific sources.
then be used to investigate the effectiveness of Figure 5.2 illustrates the sizes of various particles
various strategies to manage the public health risks in comparison with human hair.
associated with exposure to key air pollutants.
Health effects.
1.2 Health Impacts of Key Air
Pollutants Bacteria: 10 µm
Particulate matter
Road dust: 5 µm
Airborne PM is a complex mixture of particles with
components having diverse chemical and physical
Coal dust: 2 µm
characteristics. Particles are generally classified
by their aerodynamic diameters since size is a Human hair: 100 µm
critical determinant of site of deposition within
the respiratory tract. PM10 are particles less than
10 microns in aerodynamic diameter1. They can Viruses: 0.4 µm
6
There has long been evidence showing that high cancer mortality, respectively.
Box 5.2
levels of PM and other pollutants affect health. The coarse particle fraction Some Typical PM10
Air pollution episodes in the last century provide (PM10-2.5) and TSP were not Concentrations
evidence of their adverse consequences. Recent consistently associated with Me an PM 10 concent r a t ions in
epidemiological studies showed an independent mortality. Thresholds were northern Europe and North America
are approximately 15 to 30 µg/m3.
role of PM in causing adverse health effects, and not apparent in these studies.
However, higher concentrations
toxicological studies demonstrated the mechanisms However, PM2.5 annual mean (45 to 98 µg/m3) have been found
of PM toxicity thus supporting the findings from level of 10 µg/m is found to be
3 in certain areas of some European
cities. In urban areas of developing
epidemiological studies. the lowest level at which all- countries, the PM 10 levels may
cause, cardiopulmonary and b e subs t a n t i a l l y h igh e r. For
Many time-series studies have explored the example, measurements from four
lung cancer mortality have been Chinese cities indicated annual
acute health effects associated with exposure to
shown to increase with more mean PM10 concentrations ranged
airborne particulates. PM10 is used as an indicator from 115-275 µg/m 3 . In Bangkok,
than 95 per cent confidence in mean 24-hr PM10 concentrations of
for air borne particulates as there are extensive
response to PM2.5. Although 80-100 µg/m3 have been reported.
measurement data of PM10 throughout the world. Developing country cities in Asia
adverse health effects cannot tend to have high PM concentrations
Substantial evidence shows that PM exposure is
be entirely ruled out even at (HEI, 2004).
linked to a variety of adverse effects on mortality
such low level, these levels are
(non-accidental all-cause mortality, cardiovascular
expected to effectively reduce health risks (Dockery
and respiratory mortality) and morbidity (hospital
et al., 1993; Pope III et al., 2002).
admissions, out-patient and emergency visits,
asthma attacks and acute respiratory infection). The A wide range of morbidity indicators has been
association between PM and adverse health effects investigated in epidemiological studies. These
is consistent in various cities, both in developed include hospital admissions, emergency room or
and developing countries. The risk for adverse clinic visits, symptoms in persons with underlying
health outcomes has been shown to increase with chronic heart or lung diseases, pulmonary function,
exposure and there is no evidence to suggest a and various biomarkers. The risk for acute events,
threshold below which no adverse health effects including myocardial infarction (heart attack) and
would be anticipated. stroke, has also been assessed.
Several meta-analyses have been conducted to In addition to PM10 and PM2.5, there is considerable
examine the relative risk of short-term mortality toxicological evidence of potential adverse effects
associated with a 10 µg/m3 increase of PM10. Meta- of UF particles on human health, but the available
analyses on European studies, US studies and Asian epidemiological evidence is insufficient to derive an
studies showed that for each increase of 10 µg/ exposure-response relationship to UF particles.
m3 PM10 the estimates for short-term all-cause
mortality were 0.62 per cent, 0.46 per cent and 0.5 Mechanisms of toxicity
per cent, respectively (HEI, 2004) . The epidemiological evidence of the adverse health
Evidence also showed chronic adverse health effects effects of PM is supported by toxicological research.
associated with long-term exposure to air pollution. Toxicological studies on PM toxicity involved the
Two long-term exposure studies, i.e. the US respiratory and cardiovascular systems, as well as
American Cancer Society (ACS) study and Harvard immunological and inflammatory responses, which
Six-Cities cohort study, reported associations provide abundant mechanisms by which PM may
between long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality. adversely affect health. Inflammation by Reactive
A 10 µg/m3 increase of PM2.5 was associated with Oxygen Species (ROS) is emerging as a central and
approximately a 4 per cent, 6 per cent and 8 per cent underlying potential mechanism for a variety of
increase risk of all-cause, cardiopulmonary, and lung adverse effects.
7
5
Toxicological studies have nose and upper respiratory tract. During exercise,
Box 5.3
WHO PM Guideline shown that ambient PM may SO2 tends to reach the lower airways because the
Values (WHO, 2000b) have direct effects on the increased flow rates and mouth breathing reduce
The available information for short- respiratory tract. These effects the percentage of inspired SO2 absorbed in the nose
term and long-term exposures to mainly involve production of and upper airways.
PM 10 and PM 2.5 does not allow
an inflammatory resp onse,
the setting of a threshold for the In controlled chamber studies, short-term exposure
onset of adverse effects. For this exacerbation of existing airway
reason no guideline values were to high level SO 2 has been found to induce
diseases, or impairment
recommended, but inst ead risk adverse health effects, including reduced lung
estimates and exposure-response of pulmonary defence
relationships were provided. function and increased respiratory symptoms on
mechanisms. Inhaled PM may
both healthy and asthmatic volunteers. Response
increase production of antigen-
WHO PM Guideline to inhaled SO2 is rapid, usually within a few
Values (WHO, 2005) specific immunoglobulins,
minutes. Lung function returns to normal after
alter airway reactivity to
PM10 50 µg/m3 for 24-hour mean several minutes to several hours, varying with the
antigen challenge or enhance
20 µg/m3 for annual mean individual and severity of the response. However,
susceptibility of the lungs to
PM2.5 25 µg/m3 for 24-hour mean continued exposure does not seem to increase the
microbial infection. There are
10 µg/m3 for annual mean response, and there seems to be a tendency for it
also extrapulmonary effects of
to decline gradually. Asthmatics are particularly
PM. One potential pathway is
sensitive to SO2. During exercise, the percentage
via systemic transport of cytokines produced in
of SO2 penetration to the lower respiratory tract
the lungs by an inflammatory response. Another
increases.
potential pathway is through adverse effects on
coagulation properties that lead to increased risk of Approximately 60 per cent of time-series studies
stroke or myocardial infarction (heart attack). There that have been conducted to explore the association
is also the possibility that PM may have a direct between PM and daily mortality and morbidity
effect on the heart, resulting in changes in blood also examined the impacts of SO2. Associations
pressure, heart rate, and heart rate variability. between SO 2 exposure and daily mortality
(including all-cause, cardiovascular and pulmonary
Sulphur dioxide (SO2) mortalities) were found in most of these studies,
SO 2 is emitted from combustion of sulphur- but the consistency of SO2’s association with
containing fossil fuels from power plants, various daily mortality appeared to be less than that for
industries, and motor vehicles. It has been one PM. Some researchers argued that SO2 serves as
of the major air pollutants worldwide. In recent a “surrogate” for urban air pollution from fossil
years, as a result of stringent controls on emissions fuel combustion. In an intervention study in Hong
and changes in fuel use, concentrations of SO2 in Kong, where the sulphur content of fuels was
developed countries have significantly declined. reduced to 0.5 per cent over a weekend in July
Annual mean concentrations in such areas are 1990, the ambient SO2 concentration decreased
now in the range of 12-45 µg/m3, with daily means from 44 to 21 µg /m3. The reduced SO2 level led
seldom exceeding 70 µg/m3. However, in some to reductions in adverse health effects such as
developing countries, the use of high-sulphur throat irritation, hospital admission and excess
containing coal is still increasing, thus ambient mortality for respiratory-cardiovascular diseases.
SO2 concentrations there remain high. This suggests a causal relationship between SO2
exposure and adverse health outcomes (Hedley
Health Effects et al., 2002).
SO2 is readily soluble in water. After inhalation,
Associations between emergency hospital
SO2 is absorbed in the mucous membranes of the
admissions for asthma and SO2 have been reported
8
in some studies, but not in others. Likewise, levels of NO2 vary according
Box 5.4
associations between hospital admissions for to time of the day, season of
WHO SO2 Guideline
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and the year, and meteorological Values (WHO 2000b)
SO2 were found to be significantly positive in some factors. The NO2 levels near • 500 µg/m3 for 10-minute mean
studies, but not in others. Association between SO2 main thoroughfares are
• 125 µg/m3 for 24-hour mean
and cardiac disease hospital admissions was found generally much higher than
• 50 µg/m3 for annual mean
both in London and Hong Kong despite their those monitored in stationary
differences in climate and ethnicity. A meta-analysis monitoring stations. WHO SO2 Guideline
Values (WHO, 2005)
examined the time series studies performed in Asia
3
• 500 µg/m for 10-minute mean
on SO2 and respiratory and cardiovascular hospital Health effects
admissions, in which positive associations were NO 2 is a strong oxidant, • 20 µg/m3 for 24-hour mean
also found. However, it could not be concluded relatively soluble in water. • no guideline value for the annual
mean
whether SO2 per se is positively correlated with Toxicological data show
hospital admissions or acts as a surrogate for a that NO 2 can induce toxic
mixture of urban air pollutants. respiratory effects, including reduced host
defence against infectious pulmonary disease and
Prospective cohort studies have been performed
enhanced airway responsiveness in exercising
to analyse the long-term effects of air pollution.
healthy subjects to bronchoconstrictive agents,
SO2 was found to be associated with mortality in
and in asthmatics to allergens and irritant stimuli.
the ACS cohort study in which the follow-up data
These effects were observed in controlled human
of approximately half a million subjects during
studies with NO2 concentrations much higher than
1982–1998 were linked to fine particles, sulphate,
the ambient levels. The result of a meta-analysis
and gaseous pollutants data.
has indicated adverse effects when the levels
exceed 200 µg/m3.
Nitrogen oxides (NOx)
Since NO 2 is strongly related to PM, as both
Although NOx include many chemical species,
come from the same combustion sources, and is
the sum of NO and NO2 is generally referred to as
converted to nitrates, it contributes to fine particle
NOx, and NO2 is the most important of them. Most
mass in ambient air. Therefore it is very difficult
atmospheric NOx is emitted as nitric oxide (NO),
to discriminate the effects of NO2 from those of
which is rapidly oxidized by O3 to NO2. NO2 is the
other pollutants in epidemiological studies. Many
main source of tropospheric ozone in the presence
epidemiological studies used NO2 as a marker or
of hydrocarbons and ultraviolet light, thus playing
a surrogate for air pollutant mixture from fuel
an important role in determining ambient O3
combustion.
concentrations. NO2 is also a key precursor of
nitrate particles which form an important fraction Respiratory symptoms in children and bronchitic
of the ambient air PM 2.5 mass. Emissions of symptoms in asthmatic children have been
NOx are from both natural and anthropogenic found to increase with outdoor annual NO 2
sources. The major anthropogenic source of NOx concentrations. Reduced lung function growth in
is combustion of fossil fuels both in stationary children has also been reported linked to increased
sources and in motor vehicles. NO2 concentrations.
Natural background annual mean concentrations Many time-series studies have been conducted
for NO2 range from 0.4 to 9.4 µg/m3. In urban areas to explore the association between NO2 exposure
annual mean NO2 concentrations are generally and daily mortality. NO2 daily concentrations
in the range of 20 to 90 µg/m3, with an hourly are found to be significantly associated with
maximum of 75 to 1015 µg/m3. Urban outdoor increased all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory
9
5
Box 5.5
mortality. A meta-analysis on Ozone (O3)
daily mortality and 24-hour
WHO NO2 Guideline O3 and other photochemical oxidants are secondary
Values (WHO, 2000b;2005) NO2 levels indicated that the
air pollutants formed by the action of short-
overall effect estimate from
• 200 µg/m3 for 1-hour mean wavelength radiation from the sun on NO2. O3 is
the single pollutant model for
• 40 µg/m3 for annual mean formed by reacting with NO, forming NO2 and
all-cause mortality was 2.8 per
oxygen (O2). Background ambient concentrations
cent per 45 µg/m3 NO2 which
of O 3 vary with time and location. O 3 tends
fell to 0.9 per cent in multi-
to travel with the prevailing wind. Generally,
pollutant models, including particles (Stieb et al.,
its concentration is higher in suburban areas.
2002). The European APHEA-1 (Air Pollution and
O3 concentration levels could reach 400 µg/m3
Health, a European Approach) study found a 1.3
in summer in large cities with heavy traffic in
per cent increase in daily deaths per 50 µg/ m3
developing countries. Indoor O3 are generally
NO2 (1-hour maximum) (Touloumi et al., 1997).
significantly lower than those measured outdoors
The effect remained statistically significant after
due to absorption by walls and floors.
adjusting for black smoke. The APHEA-2 study
(Katsouyanni et al., 2001) found that PM effects on
daily mortality were stronger in areas with high Health effects
NO2. The US National Morbidity and Mortality O3 is a potent oxidant and may induce either direct
Air Pollution Study (NMMAPS) showed that daily or indirect oxidative stress through inflammatory
mortality increased from 0.3 to about 0.4 per cent per reaction to the respiratory tract. Short-term acute
18.8 µg/m3 increase of NO2. effects include respiratory symptoms, pulmonary
function changes, increased airway responsiveness
The results of most of the time series studies on and airway inflammation. Exposure to ambient
NO2 and hospital admissions/emergency room levels of O3 induces a significant inflammatory
visits for respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, reaction including cellular influx and release
as well as doctor visits for asthma in children show of inflammatory mediators and cytokines. The
an independent NO2 effect. Controlling for other association between O3 exposure and pulmonary
pollutants lowers the effect estimates at times, and inflammation seems to be dose dependent.
at other times makes them statistically insignificant. Controlled chamber studies show changes in lung
In some studies, NO2, rather than PM, was found to function and lung inflammation among young
be associated with asthma hospital admissions. An healthy adults when exercising.
effect of NO2 has been noted in most panel studies
evaluating aggravation of asthma in children, O 3 affects pulmonary defence mechanisms
showing a clear effect of NO2 on the incidence of because of impairment of mucociliary clearance,
viral infections among asthmatics. decreased macrophage activity and effects on
circulating lymphocytes. O3 may disrupt normal
Health risks from NOx may result from NO2 per se function of the airways and pulmonary immune
or its products, including O3 and secondary fine system by suppressing or enhancing the host’s
particles. It is difficult to determine whether the immune responsiveness. Exposure to O 3 may
independent effects observed for NO2 and PM increase bronchial responsiveness to allergens in
are effects due to NO2, or regionally transported subjects with airway allergy. However, there is
particles and locally produced fine and ultrafine considerable individual variation in the response
particles. However, NO 2 levels are generally to O3. Pre-existing pulmonary diseases, asthma,
considered a reasonable marker of exposure to age and genetic factors may influence the host’s
traffic-related emissions. susceptibility to O3.
10
Combined evidence from time-series studies show Health effects
positive associations between daily mortality and After inhalation, CO diffuses Box 5.6
WHO O3 Guideline Values
O3 levels, independent of the effects of PM. An r a p i d l y a c r o s s a l ve o l a r
(WHO, 2000b)
increase of 10 µg/m3 in the 8-hour O3 concentration and capillary membranes.
• 120 µg/m3 for 8-hour mean
is associated with a 0.3 to 0.5 per cent increased daily Approximately 80 - 90 per
mortality. There is no clear evidence of a threshold cent of the absorbed CO WHO O3 Guideline Values
(WHO, 2005)
for O3. Time-series studies have shown effects at O3 binds with haemoglobin to
• 100 µg/m3 for 8-hour mean
concentrations below 120 µg/m3. form carboxyhaemoglobin
(COHb). The affinity of CO
Combined evidence shows that O 3 exposure to haemoglobin is 200-250 times higher than that
is significantly associated with an increase in of O2. Consequently, the formed COHb reduces
morbidity. The most common health end-points are the oxygen-carrying capacity of the blood and
school absenteeism, hospital or emergency room impairs the release of O2 from oxyhaemoglobin to
admissions for asthma, respiratory infections, and extravascular tissues, thus causing tissue hypoxia.
exacerbation of chronic airway diseases. Children, Tissue hypoxia is the main toxicity mechanism of
elderly people, asthmatics and those with chronic CO. Therefore, in organs and tissues with high
obstructive airway diseases are more sensitive to O2 consumption such as brain, heavy exercising
O3 exposure. Effects of O3 on respiratory hospital skeletal muscles and developing fetus, toxic effects
admissions seem stronger during the warmer of CO are more prominent.
season.
COHb is a specific biomarker of exposure to CO
There is some evidence indicating that long-term in blood. In healthy, non-smoking populations
exposure to O3 may have chronic effects. Animal the COHb levels are about 0.5-1.5 per cent due
data, as well as some autopsy studies indicate that to endogenous CO production and exposures to
chronic exposure to O3 induces significant airway background environmental CO. During pregnancy,
changes at terminal and respiratory bronchioli. due to increased endogenous production, maternal
However, epidemiological evidence of its chronic COHb levels are elevated to 0.7-2.5 per cent.
effects is less conclusive. However, for car drivers, traffic policemen, garage
attendants, tunnel workers and firemen, their COHb
Carbon monoxide (CO) levels could be as high as 10 per cent.
CO is a colourless and odourless gas. The main source
Exposure to CO may contribute to cardiovascular
of environmental CO is anthropogenic, mainly
mortality and the early course of heart attack.
due to emissions from incomplete combustion of
Patients with coronary artery disease are considered
fossil fuels. Global background concentrations of
as most sensitive to CO exposure, with aggravation
CO range between 0.06 mg/m3 and 0.14 mg/m3
of angina occurring in patients at COHb levels
(0.05-0.12 ppm). In cities with heavy traffic the
of 2.9 - 5.9 per cent. In addition to shortening in
8-hour average CO concentrations are generally
the time to onset of angina, electrocardiographic
lower than 20 mg/m3 (17 ppm) with short-lasting
changes and impaired left ventricular function,
peak below 60 mg/m3 (53 ppm). Some indoor CO
ventricular arrhythmias may be increased at higher
concentrations could reach much higher levels, such
COHb levels. Exposures to CO do not seem to have
as in underground car parking areas, road tunnels,
atherogenic (causing a fatty deposit on or within
and in homes with gas stoves. CO concentrations
the inner lining of an artery) effect on humans. It is
inside motor vehicles are generally higher than those
unlikely that CO has direct adverse effects on lung
monitored in outdoor air. Indoor tobacco smoking
tissue except for extremely high concentrations
can also raise the CO concentration indoors.
associated with CO poisoning. However, the effects
11
5
of CO exposure on lung function and disposal. Lead water pipes, lead-containing
and respiratory symptoms are containers and leaded-gasoline also contribute to
Box 5.7
WHO CO Guideline still inconclusive. the environmental burden of lead. Humans are
Values (WHO, 2000b) exposed to lead through air, food, water and soil/
Severe hypoxia due to acute
Well-documented evidence has dust. Average lead levels in air are usually below
CO poisoning may cause
shown various adverse effects in 0.15 µg/m3 at non-urban sites. For infants and
connection with different COHb both reversible, short-lasting
young children, lead in dust and soil, as well as
levels. A COHb level of 2.5 per neurological deficits and delayed
cent is recommended to protect lead-containing paint are also important exposure
non-smoking, middle-aged and neurological damage. The
sources.
elderly population groups with neurobehavioural effects include
coronary heart disease from
acute ischaemic heart attacks, impaired coordination, driving
Health effects
and to protect the fetuses of ability, vigilance and cognitive
non-smoking pregnant women The level of blood lead (PbB) is the best available
performance when COHb levels
from hypoxic consequences.The indicator of current and recent past environmental
following guideline values for CO reach 5 - 8 per cent. Increased
in ambient air were recommended lead exposure, and may also be a reasonably good
COHb levels decrease the
by WHO in 2000 in such a way that indicator of lead body burden with stable lead
the COHb level of 2.5 per cent maximal exercise performance
would not be exceeded: exposure. PbB is used as an indicator to relate with
in a healthy population.
• 100,000 µg/m3 for 15 minutes
various adverse effects of lead exposure.
The fetus is extremely sensitive
• 60,000 µg/m3 for 30 minutes In experimental animal studies, lead has been
to CO exposure. The absorbed
• 30,000 µg/m3 for 1 hour shown to cause adverse effects on haematopoietic,
CO can diffuse through placental
• 10,000 µg/m3 for 8 hours nervous, renal, cardiovascular, reproductive,
membrane. During pregnancy,
immune and bone systems. Impaired learning/
endogenous production of CO
memory abilities, and visual and auditory
increased, and maternal COHb
impairments have been reported (WHO, 1995).
levels are usually about 20 per cent higher than the
non-pregnant values. At steady state, fetal COHb In humans, lead has been shown to have a wide
levels are up to 10-15 per cent higher than maternal range of biological effects. Adverse effects on haem
COHb levels. The elimination half-life of COHb in synthesis have been reported in both adults and
the fetus is much longer than that in the pregnant children. Anaemia has been observed in children
woman. There is a well-established and probably at PbB levels above 40 µg/dl. Increased levels of
causal relationship between maternal smoking serum erythrocyte protoporphyrin and increased
and low birth weight at fetal COHb levels of 2-10 urinary excretion of coproporphyrin and delta-
per cent. In addition, maternal smoking seems to aminolaevulinic acid are observed when PbB
be associated with a dose-dependent increase in concentrations are elevated. Inhibition of delta-
perinatal deaths and with behavioural effects in aminolaevulinic acid dehydrase (ALAD) and
infants and young children. dihydrobiopterin reductase has been observed at
lower levels.
CO causes a large number of accidental poisonings
and suicidal deaths in the general population Lead exposure impairs neurobehavioural and
(Fabre et al., 1999; Shepherd and Klein-Schwartz, psychological functions. Children are more
1998). vulnerable to adverse effects of lead due to
neurological, metabolic and behavioural reasons.
Lead (Pb) Evidence has shown that PbB levels are related to
Sources of lead in the environment include natural intelligence quotient (IQ). Combined evidence from
and anthropogenic origins. Anthropogenic sources cross-sectional and prospective epidemiological
include lead mining, smelting, use, recycling studies show that PbB levels even below 25 µg/dl
might be related to decrements in IQ (WHO, 2000a).
12
Long-term high level occupational lead exposure unit of measurement of the
Box 5.8
in workers has been shown to be associated with overall “burden of disease” WHO Pb Guideline
peripheral neuropathy, such as reduction in on the population. The GBD Values (WHO, 2000b)
peripheral nerve conduction velocity, impaired also presents a first estimate • 0.5 µg/m3 for annual mean
sensory motor function, and impaired autonomic of the proportion of mortality
nerves system function. and disability that can be
attributed to certain risk factors for the disease,
Recent studies using more sensitive indicators of
in this case air pollution. This approach can be
renal function suggest renal effects at lower levels
modified to reach a “country” or “city” burden of
of lead exposure. Some but not all epidemiological
disease, if needed (WHO, 2006).
studies show an association between lead exposure
and pre-term delivery and some indices of fetal To reflect various disease burdens it is critical
growth and maturation. The reproductive effects of to provide a single measure of disease burden
lead in the male are limited to sperm morphology to capture the impact of both premature death
and count. In the female, some adverse pregnancy and disability. The Disability-Adjusted Life Year
outcomes have been attributed to lead. (DALY) is adopted as a common measuring index
in this context. DALY is the sum of years of life lost
WHO Guidelines for lead in air have been based on
to premature death (YLL) and years lived with a
the concentration of lead in blood. Critical effects
disability of specified severity and duration (YLD).
to be considered in the adult organism include
Thus, one DALY is equal to the loss of one healthy
elevation of free erythrocyte protoporphyrin,
life year, that is, time lived with a disability and
whereas for children cognitive deficiency, hearing
time lost through premature death, i.e.:
impairment and disturbed vitamin D metabolism
are taken as the decisive effects. A critical level of DALY = YLL + YLD
lead in blood of 10 µg/dl was proposed based on
A “premature” death is defined as one that occurs
the earliest adverse effects of lead in young children
before the age to which the dying person could
beginning at 10-15 µg PbB/dl. It is assumed that
have expected to survive. However, disability is
approximately 1 µg Pb/m3 of air would contribute
difficult to define and quantify. All non-fatal health
to 5 µg PbB/dl in blood (WHO 1995).
outcomes of disease are different from each other
in their causes, nature, and especially severity. In
1.3 Global Burden of Disease and order to calculate the YLD for different category
Air Pollution of disability, it is crucial to set weights for each
W hen setting priority and intervention category of disability based on their nature and
targets on air pollution from the public severity.
health standpoint, it is important for decision
Combined evidence shows that almost all diseases
makers to know what the total impact of air
are caused by the interaction of genetic and
pollution related disease is and to compare the
environmental factors. The amount of disease,
impacts of different risk factors contributing to
disability and death in the world today can
such diseases. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD)
be attributed to a selected number of the most
approach of WHO provides policy-makers with a
important risks to human health. This burden
comprehensive picture of the world’s current and
could be lowered if the attributable risk factors
future health needs and a method to assess the
are reduced. Risk is defined as the probability of
situation (WHO, 2002). This method quantifies
an adverse outcome.
not only the number of deaths but also disability
in a population, and combines these into a single Estimating the contributions of selected major risk
factors to global, regional or country specific burden
13
5
of disease in a unified manner can help set priorities and industrial practices, have led to increased
for research and policy action in respective areas. atmospheric concentrations of a number of
greenhouse gases (GHGs).
The ten leading causes of global disease burden
worldwide estimated by the WHO (2002) are GHGs include CO 2 , CH 4 (methane, natural
underweight, unsafe sex, high blood pressure, gas), N 2 O (nitrous oxide), O 3 , and CFCs
tobacco consumption, alcohol consumption, unsafe (Chlorofluorocarbons). CO2, the most important
water, sanitation and hygiene, iron deficiency, greenhouse gas, absorbs heat and acts like a blanket
indoor smoke from solid fuels, high cholesterol, to keep our planet warm, and thus increases the
and obesity. Together, these account for more than global temperature. The use of fossil fuels currently
one third of all deaths worldwide. accounts for 80 to 85 per cent of the CO2 being
added to the atmosphere. CH4 is the second most
WHO also estimated numbers of premature deaths
important GHG, produced by rice cultivation, cattle
and DALYs attributable to various environmental
and sheep ranching, and by decaying material in
risks: unsafe water, sanitation and hygiene may
landfills. CH4 is also emitted during coal mining
attribute to 1.7 million deaths and 54.2 million
and oil drilling, and by leaky gas pipelines.
DALYs; urban air pollution may attribute to 0.8
million deaths and 7.9 million DALYs; lead may N2O is produced by denitrification processes in
attribute to 234,000 deaths and 12.9 million DALYs. oceans, nitrification and denitrification pathways
Indoor air pollution was estimated to be 1.6 million in soils, and by various agricultural and industrial
excess deaths annually. Taking necessary actions to practices. Based on current data, tropospheric
control and prevent environmental risks could lead O3 is an important contributor to the enhanced
to up to 10 years more of life expectancy globally greenhouse effect. However, because of its relatively
(WHO, 2002). short atmospheric lifetime, the magnitude of this
contribution is uncertain. Sulphates and nitrates,
on the other hand, may limit climate change
1.4 Climate Change and Health
in some areas. Within this context, fossil fuel
C limate change has drawn the attention of
scientists, decision makers and the general
public in recent years. Climate is usually defined
combustion related air pollution is considered as
climate forcing.
as the statistical description of weather in terms
of the mean and variability of relevant quantities Health effects
(e.g. temperature, precipitation, and wind) over The consequences of climate change might be
a period of time (e.g. 30 years). Global average indirectly related to human health, (see Figure
temperatures are generally quite stable. The 5.3). The likely negative consequences of climate
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), change include extreme weather events, changing
a group established by the World Meteorological patterns of precipitation, droughts, floods, rising
Organization (WMO) and the United Nations sea levels, and spread of disease-transferring
Environment Programme (UNEP), has reported vectors (e.g. mosquitos). Changing regional climate
that the average surface temperature of the earth could alter forests, crop yields, water supplies,
has increased during the twentieth century by biodiversity, and ecosystems. Heat waves and
approximately 0.6 - 1.1 °C (IPCC, 2007). heavy precipitation events are likely to increase;
droughts are likely to increase in total area affected;
Both natural events and human activities tropical cyclones are likely to tend towards larger
contribute to climate change. Human activities, lifetimes and greater storm intensity; extreme
most importantly the burning of fossil fuels, as extra-tropical storms are likely to show a net
well as deforestation and various agricultural increase in frequency and intensity (IPCC, 2007).
14
Figure 5.3 Climate change and health
All these events could affect human and animal temperatures may make air and water pollution
health (see Figure 5.3). more pronounced, which in turn may harm human
health. Some scientists believe that algal blooms
Extreme temperature is a risk factor for mortality.
could occur more frequently as temperatures warm
Statistics on mortality and hospital admissions
up (WHO, 2003). Figure 5.4 details the indirect
show that death rates increase during extremely
health impacts of climate change.
hot days, particularly among the elderly and young
children (WHO, 2003). For example, extreme The reduction of air pollution from motor vehicles
heat waves caused more than 52,000 deaths in and power plants will significantly help reduce
Europe and more than 2,800 deaths in India in the amount of GHG emitted, especially CO 2.
2003 (EPI, 2003; 2006). People with cardiovascular Cleaner cars, stricter emission standards for
and respiratory diseases are more vulnerable. stationary sources and motor vehicles, modern
Climate change may also increase the risk of electricity generators and increasing the use of
certain infectious diseases, particularly those renewable energy sources will all contribute to
that appear only in warm areas. Diseases spread reducing GHG emissions. By doing so, not only the
by mosquitoes and other insects could become amount of CO2 will be significantly reduced, other
more prevalent. Such vector-borne diseases pollutants emitted from fossil fuel combustion
include malaria, dengue fever, yellow fever, and such as PM, NO2 and SO2 will also be reduced,
encephalitis. Disease-carrying mosquitoes are thus bringing about significant associated health
spreading as climate shifts allow them to survive and environmental co-benefits (see Module 6
in previously inhospitable areas. Moreover, warm Governance and Policies).
15
5
Emissions
Soil & surface Wet & dry of gases & Climate
water deposition particles
Ground
water Health
effects
Figure 5.4: Direct and indirect health impacts of air pollution and greenhouse gases
16
Section 2 Design of Health Studies
2.1 Information from Toxico- period may not be sufficiently long for the
logical Animal Studies study purpose.
17
5
Human data from volunteer studies or to exist, an analytical study can then be conducted
epidemiological studies are normally used a priori to evaluate the quantitative relationship between
for establishing environmental health criteria/ exposure and health effect by following a population
standards wherever possible. However, animal data over a period of time. If the study design incorporates
can contribute to establishing the causal relationship all the information contained in the person-time
and to further exploring the underlying mechanism experience of the study population, it is called a
for the development of diseases due to exposure to cohort study. If the study design attempts to obtain
a toxic chemical. the same findings by comparing cases of the disease
with people without the disease (selected as a
sample of the person-time experience of the source
2.2 Information from Epidemio
population that generated the cases), it is called a
logical Studies case-control study. Studies are termed “prospective”
18
Ecological studies
In ecological studies the investigator compares
aggregate measures of exposure (average exposure
or proportion of population exposed) with aggregate
measures of health outcome rates for the same
population. The investigator analyses associations
between environmental exposure and health
outcomes using groups of people instead of Figure 5.6: Cohort studies scheme
individuals as the unit of analysis. It is used in
performing exploratory analyses using existing though also a sample of the source population from
population data. which the cases are identified, do not develop the
health outcome (called “controls”). Case-control
Cohort studies studies are efficient for studying rare disease cases,
The study population in a cohort study consists especially those with a long induction period. For
of individuals who are at risk of developing instance, it has been used extensively to study the
a particular disease or health outcome. The impact of environmental determinants for various
individuals are divided into groups (“cohorts”) cancers (see Figure 5.7).
according to their exposure status. A cohort is
a group of individuals, identified by a common Time-series studies
characteristic, who are studied over a period of time In time-series studies repeated observations of
in an epidemiological investigation. Cohort studies exposure and health endpoints are made over time
are studies in which two groups of people with within the same study population. The analysis
different levels of exposure are followed up and the centres on comparing variations in exposure status
effects are recorded. Thus cohort studies are also over time with changes in health outcome status
known as follow-up studies. They are then followed over time. A time-series study based on aggregate
over time to ascertain the subsequent incidence of data is essentially a temporal comparison study that
the health outcome in each group (see Figure 5.6). examines an association between a variable exposure
It is called a prospective cohort study if the relevant and a concomitant variable health outcome. This
data are collected as the events unfold and a method has been used extensively in recent decades
retrospective or historical cohort study if past events in the study of atmospheric air pollution and its
are examined using existing health-related records. impact on health. Since observations are made
A non-exposed group is used for comparison with within the same population, the influence of many
the exposed groups and the exposed groups can confounding factors can thus be avoided.
further be divided into sub-groups based on their
degree of exposure. Cohort studies are used to
assess long-term health effects of acute exposures
to environmental hazards. Cohort studies are
also used to measure chronic effects of long-term
exposure to environmental toxic chemicals.
Case-control studies
A case-control study is a study that examines
the association between exposure and the health
outcome by comparing individuals who develop
the health outcome (called “cases”) and those who, Figure 5.7: Case-control studies scheme
19
5
Summarizing Study Information The main disadvantage of the crude mortality rate
There is a considerable amount of information is that it takes no account of the fact that the chance
on air pollution and its impact on health (WHO, of dying varies with age, sex, socio-economic
2000b; 2005). With different objectives, study status, ethnic group and other factors. Therefore it
types and methodology of various researchers, it is not appropriate to compare the crude mortality
is conceivable that the findings are anything but rate of one group of people against that of another
uniform. In order to reach a workable summary group of people when their age structure and
interpretation of several individual studies on a other contributing factors differ. Comparisons of
related topic, a method has been developed and mortality rates between different groups of people
refined over years towards this goal. The method with diverse age structures should be based on
is called “meta-analysis”, a quantitative analysis of age-standardized mortality rates or morbidity
the combined results of several individual studies. rates which eliminate the influence of different age
The basic steps include: locate all relevant studies distribution of the populations compared.
pertaining to the specific research topic, resolve
issues of study quality and conflicting results, Morbidity
calculate summary weights and finally reach a Morbidity data are based on out-patient consultation
summary effect or summary risk estimate. Though records and hospital admission records. However,
a meta-analysis method has its limitations, it is a hospital admission rates may be influenced by
useful technique for summarizing environmental factors other than the disease itself. Factors such
epidemiological studies, and for helping people as accessibility to medical care, social-economic
to reach a consensus when the results of several status of the population, service radius of medical
studies conflict with one another. facilities and availability of hospital beds may
influence the accuracy of morbidity rates.
20
Section 3 Economic Assessment of Air Pollution and Health
21
5
valuation of positive or negative impacts has to be be presented based on the benefits and costs for
based on variations in the utility of the individuals which monetary values can be assigned, and a
concerned. Actually, HCA and COI are not entirely discussion of non-monetized or unquantifiable
related with the WTP concept. It has been shown benefits and costs should also be provided (Nas,
that HCA/COI provides a lower estimate of WTP 1996).
(Tarricone, 2005).
The net social benefit of each major alternative
Generally, the preferred approach is based on the can be estimated by subtracting the present value
individual’s WTP for risk reduction, while HCA/ of monetary social costs from the present value of
COI could also be used as an alternative approach monetary social benefits. The same baseline must
for certain morbidity endpoints due to absence of be used in both the benefit and cost analyses.
existing WTP literature on these endpoints. Plausible upper- and lower-bound estimates of
net benefits should be provided. The “best” or
3.1 Cost-Benefit and Cost- most-likely estimate should be identified and
sensitivity of the net benefits estimate to variations
Effectiveness Analysis in uncertain parameters should be examined.
22
Cost-effectiveness Analysis The CEA of a policy option in AQM is calculated by
When many benefits cannot easily be monetized, dividing the annualized cost of the option by non-
or when authorities set forth a specific policy monetary benefit measures. Such measures range
objective, cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) should from the amount of reduction in air pollution to
be conducted. This will also provide useful improvement in human health or the environment,
information to policy makers. as well as damages avoided. DALY is one of the
measures currently in popular use.
Box 5.9
Health-based Economic Assessment of Air Pollution in Metropolitan
Shanghai, China
To study the impact of air pollution on human health and its subsequent economic costs in
Metropolitan Shanghai, the attributable number of cases due to air pollution in urban areas of
Shanghai in 2001 was calculated and the corresponding economic costs of the health damage
were estimated based on unit values of the health outcomes (Kan and Chen, 2004). The effect of
air pollution on mortality was assessed by using the VOSL. The literature on VOSL, or on WTP to
avoid a statistical premature death, however, is mainly adopted from the United States data. The
researchers relied on a previous contingent valuation study conducted in Chongqing, China, in
estimating the VOSL of Shanghai residents. In the Chongqing study, an average WTP of US$ 34,750
for saving a statistical life was reported. The marginal effect of income on WTP value was also
reported. With an annual increase in income of $145.80, the marginal increase for saving a statistical
life was $14,550. Therefore, taking the annual income difference between Chongqing and Shanghai
residents into account, a conversion based on Chongqing’s coefficient between marginal WTP and
income was reached, and the VOSL in Shanghai was estimated at $108,500.
For different endpoints of morbidity, since there have been no WTP studies on these endpoints
in China, an alternative approach was used to infer the value from those used by USEPA after
conversion (USEPA, 1999). COI was also calculated for hospital admissions and outpatient visits,
using actual data from Shanghai.
Using the unit values and quantified health effects, the economic costs were computed. The total
economic cost of health impacts due to air pollution in Metropolitan Shanghai in 2001 was estimated
to be approximately 625.40 millions US dollars, which accounted for 1.03 per cent of gross domestic
product (GDP) of the city in that year.
23
5
Section 4 Managing Indoor Air Pollution
24
Health effects can include increased rates of lung a health promoting way by means of technical and
disease, allergy and asthma, and cancer as well behavioural interventions. WHO has summarized
as fatal conditions such as CO poisoning and technical and social-behavioural interventions in
legionnaires’ disease. The medical and social a publication on indoor air pollution from the use
costs associated with these illnesses, and the of biomass fuels (WHO, 1992; 2000). Both types of
related reduction in human productivity, result in interventions are depicted in Figures 5.8 and 5.9
significant economic losses.
Figure 5.8 provides an overview of the effectiveness
The management of indoor air pollution in of major technical interventions for reducing ill-
developing countries is a very important task for health from the use of household solid fuel.
the building’s occupants if adverse impacts from
Major technical options include:
open stove cooking and heating are to be avoided.
The decisions of the building’s occupants, however, • improved ventilation;
will often be driven by the household economy,
• improved stoves - chimneys;
convenience or habits rather than by minimal
health risk considerations with respect to activities, • improved stoves - combustion; and
facilities, and materials used indoors. Legislative
• fuel upgrade and use of renewable
and economic mechanisms should encourage
energies.
individuals to manage the indoor environment in
TECHNICAL INTERVENTION
Transmission Biofuel
of emissions upgrading
Ventilation Solar
energy
ASSESSMENT OF INTERVENTION
25
5
While technical interventions are, in principle, easily interventions in households relative to using a
accomplished, social-behavioural interventions traditional cookstove without flue gas venting
(see Figure 5.9) are much more difficult to (exposure = 100 per cent). Low-cost improved
implement because they require stakeholder cookstoves (ICs) reduce exposure already by 50 per
involvement and acceptance, compromises in the cent and high-cost ICs reduce it further to less than
community and change of behavioural patterns 30 per cent. Exposure is lowest for use of kerosine
and cultural traditions. Figure 5.10 shows the and liquid petroleum gas (WHO, 2000b).
percentage reduction of exposure due to different
26
Section 5 Environmental Impacts of Air Pollution
27
5
(%)
Figure 5.11: Average visual range versus relative humidity at
Los Angeles International Airport, California
Source: Robinson (1977)
cloud formation. Giant aerosols (particles of a • Abrasion by solid particles of sufficient size
dry radius larger than 1 µm) can also serve as and travelling at high velocities.
cloud condensation nuclei but not as effectively
• Deposition on a surface of solid and liquid
due to their short lifetime from dry fall out. An
particles which may spoil the material´s
aerosol becomes a cloud condensation nucleus
appearance. Frequent removal from a
when water vapour in the atmosphere condenses
surface of solid and liquid particles may
onto it. The condensation of water vapour onto
cause noticeable deterioration.
an aerosol can happen in a number of different
ways. The aerosols’ role in precipitation is much the • Direct chemical attack - direct and
same. The difference is that there must be enough irreversible reaction of air pollutants
water vapour in the cloud for aerosols to become with materials to cause deterioration (e.g.
precipitation size. tarnishing of silver with hydrogen sulphide
Liquid aerosols can absorb gases within the or the etching of a metallic surface by an
atmosphere that can then react to form a solution. acid mist).
These gases can also adhere to the surface of solid • Indirect chemical attack - pollutants are
aerosols and cause other chemical reactions. absorbed by the material and undergo
chemical changes (e.g. SO2 is absorbed by
5.2 Effects on Economic Material marble and converted to sulphuric acid,
and Structures which deteriorates the stone structure).
28
of water films contaminated with air produces abrasion. Wind direction is important
pollutants. when sources of air pollutants are present near the
exposed material.
There are several important factors that influence
the attack rate of damaging pollutants. These
Corrosion
include moisture, temperature, sunlight and air
For determining background corrosion rates
movement.
and exposure-response relationships for testing
materials, their position in space is an important
Moisture variable. Corrosion test samples are often mounted
Without moisture little, if any, corrosion occurs. at 45o from the horizontal. In such situations the
For several metals, there seems to be a critical under surfaces are often more corroded than the
atmospheric humidity, which when exceeded, upper surfaces because corrosive agents are not
produces a sharp rise in corrosion. Depending on washed off by the rain. Devices for rotating metal
the metal, the critical value lies between 60 and test samples, mounted vertically on a carousel,
90 per cent relative humidity. With increasing have also been developed avoiding this problem.
humidity, the protective oxygen film on the metal
Deterioration of materials manifests itself and is
surface breaks down and corrosion begins. This
observed in many ways. Building and artwork
happens with or without air pollutants. In some
materials such as stone and mortar may be
countries, e.g. England, the controlling factor in
discoloured or leached away by pollutants.
atmospheric corrosion of metals is mainly air
Demonstrations of such deterioration can be made
pollutants. Moisture in the form of rain often
by comparing photographs of buildings before and
reduces corrosion rates, probably as a result of
after cleaning, or by comparing photographs of the
dilution and washing away of corrosive agents.
same artwork taken at different times.
29
5
where cars are observed to be covered with mostly To gain a better understanding of the vegetation
brown spots from iron particles that washing failed effects of air pollutants it is necessary to understand
to remove. the structure of a leaf (see box 5.10).
The cracking of rubber is caused by O 3 and Acute injury from air pollutants results in
ultraviolet (UV) radiation. It can be measured by plasmolysis (shrinking of the cell structure outside
determining the depth of cracks. Both, UV radiation the cell nucleus caused by loss of water) of the
and O3 attack the long HC chains of the rubber and cells and subsequent collapse of the tissue. The
by breaking these bonds, shorten the molecules injury may occur in the spongy parenchyma from
with resulting loss of elasticity and other problems. exposure to peroxyacetyl nitrate, in the palisade
Tyre manufacturers add two primary protective cells from exposure to O3, and in both cell types
substances to the rubber. To protect against UV, from exposure to fluorides or SO2. Tissue collapse
they add carbon black. The carbon black will turn and necrotic patterns may also be associated with
white/grey as it absorbs the UV and dissipates chronic injury.
the energy as heat. Thus rubber parts turn grey as
they age. To protect against O3, tyre manufacturers Chlorosis is the loss or reduction of the green
add a wax based protective substance. The O3 plant pigment, chlorophyll. The loss of chlorophyll
attacks the wax and depletes it. As the tyre rolls, usually results in a pale green or yellow pattern.
additional wax is forced to the surface of the tyre. Chlorosis generally indicates a deficiency of some
This is referred to as “blooming”. This blooming nutrient required by the plant. Tissue severely
refreshes the surface wax. A tyre that has not been injured by air pollutants often has a characteristic
flexed will have the wax depleted by the O3 and colour; bleaching is associated with SO 2 , a
thus begin to degrade and suffer “dry rot”. yellowing with ammonia, and a browning with
fluoride. Chlorosis may appear in association with
necrotic tissue after exposure to SO2 or oxidants.
5.3 Effects on Vegetation
30
The extent of recovery depends upon the severity Air pollution effects on plant populations and
of external stresses and the ability of the cells to communities may consist of:
initiate repair mechanisms.
• changes of plant populations by eliminating
Major air pollutants such as O3, oxidants and more sensitive plants; and
fluorides can affect plant reproductive structures • replacement of sensitive plants by resistant
and pollen germination and thus initiate genetic plants.
abnormalities and affect yield. Conditions under
which seeds are formed may influence the Only a few studies have been performed relating
susceptibility of the next generation to various to the effects of air pollutants on either plant
stresses. Certain air pollutants may thus affect populations or communities.
reproduction. Figure 5.12 shows various uptake Factors affecting the response of vegetation to air
and deposition processes leading to the effect of pollutants include:
O3 on crops.
Box 5.10
The Structure of a Leaf
The leaf consists of a network of denser structures, the veins, all interconnecting back to the base or stem of the leaf.
Specialized cells within these veins serve as transport systems of the leaf.
In the areas between the veins, there are normally three specialized layers: epidermis, palisade, and spongy parenchyma
cells.The epidermis is a single layer of thick-walled cells on the upper and lower surfaces of the leaf. Under the epidermis
of the upper surface of the leaf one or more rows of rather uniform, elongated cells stand on end and are closely packed
together (palisade layer). Between the lower edge of the palisade layer and the epidermis of the lower leaf surface, a
loosely packed area of cells exists that are somewhat irregularly shaped (spongy parenchyma). The epidermis is covered
with a layer of waxy material. In the epidermis, specialized guard cells (stomata) exist edging an opening. They are able
to change shape, thus regulating the opening or closing of the stomata. The stomata regulate the mechanism for gas
exchange between the plant tissues and the air (BBC, 2007).
31
5
• genetic variability with respect to
morphological, physiological, and
biochemical characteristics, and plant
sensitivity;
Table 5.1 A summary of major impacts (scale and sources) for key pollutants
32
Summary
• Cohort studies
Module 6 Governance and Policies is the final module
• Case-control studies in this series. In this module you will examine the
issues which need to be addressed in an overall
• Time-series studies.
policy framework to achieve better air quality.
In addition, this module has examined the economic The module will consider air quality guidelines
assessment of air pollution and health and the and standards, clean air implementation plans,
variety of methods available (e.g. willingness-to- roles of stakeholders and policy instruments
pay, contingent valuation and the human capital in reducing air pollution. The module will also
approach). Providing information to policy-makers examine the institutional arrangements for air
on the human and economic cost of air pollution quality governance.
is important in order to facilitate the adoption of
appropriate policies to combat the problem.
33
5
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36
The Foundation Course on Air Quality Management in Asia is for adult learners studying the issue
without the support of a class room teacher. It is aimed at students with some basic knowledge of
environment and air pollution issues, acquired in a variety of ways ranging from conventional study,
working in an environment related field or informal experience of air pollution issues. It provides
the opportunity to develop an understanding of the key components required to manage urban air
pollution and to achieve better air quality.
The course consists of six modules which address the key components of air quality management.
An international team of air pollution experts have contributed to the development of the course.
Each module is divided into a number of sections devoted to a different aspect of the issue together
with examples and key references.
www.sei.se/cleanair