Aefman Module 1 5
Aefman Module 1 5
Aefman Module 1 5
What is Finance?
It’s hard to define finance- the term has many facets, which make it difficult to provid
concise definition.
Finance, as we know it today, grew out of economics and accounting. Economist developed the n
an asset's value is based on the future cash flows the asset will provide, and accountants
information regarding the likely size of those cash flows. People who work in finance need kno
both economics and accounting. In the modern corporation, the accounting department falls
control of the chief financial officer.
Most business and not-for-profit organizations have an organization chart similar to the one shows
1.1. The board of directors is the top governing body, and the chairperson of the board is gen
highest-ranking individual. The CEO comes next, but note that the chairperson of the board often al
as the CEO. Below the CEO comes the chief operating officer (COO), who is often also designat
firm's president. The COO directs the firm's operations, which include marketing, manufacturing,
other operating departments. The CFO, who is generally a senior vice president and the third-ranki
is in charge of accounting, financing and credit policy, decisions regarding asset acquisitions and
relations, which involve communications with stockholders and the press.
If the firm is publicly owned, the CEO and the CFO must both certify to the Securities and Exchange
(SEC) that reports released to stockholders, and especially the annual report, are accurate. If inac
emerge, the CEO and the CFO could be fined or even jailed. This requirement was instituted in 2
the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. The Act was passed in the wake of a series of corporate scandals involvin
companies such as Enron and WorldCom, where investors, workers and supplies lost billions of
false information released by those companies.
Financial management, also called corporate finance, focuses on decisions relating to how much
types of assets to acquire, how to raise the capital needed to purchase assets, and how to run th
as to maximize its value. The same principles apply to both for-profit and not-for-profit organizatio
Capital markets relate to markets where interest rates, along with stock and bond prices, are de
Included here are financial institutions that supply capital to businesses. Banks, investmen
stockbrokers, mutual funds, insurance companies, and the like bring together "savers" who have
invest and businesses, individuals, and other entities that need capital for various purposes.
Investments relate to decisions concerning stocks and bonds and include a number of activities:
1. Security analysis deals with finding the proper values of individual securities (i.e. stocks an
2. Portfolio theory deals with the best way to structure portfolios, or "baskets", of stocks and bo
1-2 JOBS IN FINANCE
Finance prepares students for jobs in banking, investments, insurance, corporations, and gov
Accounting students need to know finance, marketing, management and human resource; they a
to understand finance, for it affects decisions in all those areas.
It is also worth noting that finance is important to individuals regardless of their jobs. Some years
businesses provided pensions to their employees, so managing one’s personal investments was no
important. That’s no longer true. Most firms today provide what’s called “defined contribution
plans, where each year the company puts a specific amount of money into an account that belon
employee. The employee must decide how those funds are to be invested-how much should b
among stocks, bonds, or money funds and how much risk they’re willing to take with their stock
investment.
FORMS OF BUSINESS ORGANIZATION
The basics of financial management are the same for all businesses, large or small, regardless of
are organized. Still, a firm’s legal structure affects its operations and thus should be recognized.
four main forms of business organization:
1. Proprietorship
A proprietorship is an unincorporated business owned by one individual. Going into business
proprietor is easy-a person begins business operations with advantages below:
They are easily and inexpensively formed.
They are subject to few government regulations.
They are subject to lower income taxes than corporations.
1. Partnership
A partnership is a legal arrangement between two or more people who decide to do business
Partnerships are similar to proprietorships in that they can be established relatively easily and inexp
Moreover, the firm’s income is allocated on a pro rata basis to the partners and is taxed on an
basis. This allows the firm to avoid the corporate income tax.
However, all partners are generally subject to unlimited personal liability, which means if a p
goes bankrupt and any partner is unable to meet his or her pro rata share of the firm’s liabilities, the
partners will be responsible for making good on the unsatisfied claims. Unlimited liability makes it
partnerships to raise large amounts of capital.
2. Corporation
A corporation is a legal entity created by the state, and is separate and distinct from its ow
managers. It is this separation that limits stockholders’ losses to the amount they invested in th
corporation can lose all of its money, but its owners can lose only the funds that they invest
company. Corporations also have unlimited lives, and it is easier to transfer shares of stock in a co
than one’s interest in an unincorporated business. These factors make it much easier for corp
raise the capital necessary to operate large businesses.
A major drawback to corporations is taxes. Most corporations’ earnings are subject to double
the corporation’s earnings are taxed; and then when its after-tax earnings are paid out as dividen
earnings are taxed again as personal income to the stockholders.
When deciding on its form of organization, a firm must trade off the advantages of incorporation
possibly higher tax burden. However, for the following reasons, the value of any business oth
relatively small one will probably me maximized if it is organized as a corporation:
Limited liability reduces the risks borne by investors; and other things held constant, the
firm’s risk, the higher its value.
A firm’s value is dependent on its growth opportunities, which are dependent on its ability
capital. Because corporations can attract capital more easily than other types of busines
are better able to take advantage of growth opportunities.
The value of an asset also depends on its liability, which means the time and effort it takes
asset for cash at a fair market value. Because the stock of a corporation is easier to tra
potential buyer than is an interest in a proprietorship or partnership, and because more inve
willing to invest in stocks than in partnerships (with their potential unlimited liability), a
investment is relatively liquid. This too enhances the value of a corporation.
The primary goal of a corporation should be to maximize its owners’ value, but a proprie
might be quite different. Throughout this book, we focus primarily on publicly owned companies;
operate on the assumption that management’s primary goal is shareholder wealth maximization. A
time, the managers’ know that this does not mean maximize shareholder value “at all costs.” Mana
an obligation to behave ethically, and they must follow the laws and other society-imposed constra
Indeed, most managers recognize that being socially responsible is not consistent with
shareholder value.
Firms have a number of different departments, including marketing, accounting, productio
resources, and finance. The finance department’s principal task is to evaluate proposed decisions a
how they will affect the stock price and thus shareholder’s wealth. For example, suppose the p
manager wants to replace some old equipment with new automated machinery that will reduce lab
The finance staff will evaluate that proposal and determine whether the savings seem to be worth
Most significant decisions are evaluated in terms of their financial consequences.
BUSINESS ETHICS
As a result of financial scandals occurring during the past decade, there has been a stron
improve business ethics. This is occurring on several fronts due to company’s improper acts; US
passed the Sarbanes-Oxley bill to impose sanctions on executives who sign financial statements la
to be false. Dodd-Frank Act to implement an aggressive overhaul aimed at preventing reckless ac
would cause another financial crisis; and business schools trying to inform students about prop
improper business actions.
Over the past few years, ethical lapses have led to a number of bankruptcies. The collapse
and WorldCom as well as the accounting firm Arthur Andersen dramatically illustrate how unethica
can lead to a firm’s rapid decline. Some of these executives are now in jail, and Enron’s CEO h
heart attack while waiting the sentence after being found guilty of conspiracy and fraud. Moreov
Lynch and Citigroup, which were accused of facilitating these frauds, were fined hundreds of m
dollars.
1. The balance sheet, which shows what assets the company owns and who has claims on th
of a given date-for example, December 31, 2012.
2. The income statement, which shows the firm’s sales and costs (and thus profits) during so
example, 2012.
3. The statement of cash flows, which shows how much cash the firm began the year with, ho
it ended up with, and what it did to increase or decrease its cash.
4. The statement of stockholders’ equity, which shows the amount of equity the stockholde
start of the year, the items that increased or decreased equity, and the equity at the end of
These statements are related to one another; and taken together, they provide an accounting
firm’s operations and financial position.
The quantitative and verbal materials are equally important. The firm’s financial statements re
actually happened to its assets, earnings and dividends over the past few years, whereas manage
statements attempt to explain why things turned out the way they did and what might happen in th
Assets are divided into two major categories: current assets and fixed, or long-term ass
assets consist of assets that should be converted to cash within one year; and they include ca
equivalents, accounts receivable, and inventory. Long-term assets are assets expected to be u
than one year; they include plant and equipment in addition to intellectual property such as
copyrights. Plant and equipment are generally reported net of accumulated depreciation sometim
net fixed assets.
The claims against assets are of two basic types-liabilities (or money the company owes t
stockholders’ equity. Current liabilities consist of claims that must be paid off within one year, includ
payable, accruals (total of accrued wages and accrued taxes), and notes payable to banks that a
one year. Long-term debt includes bonds that mature in more than a year.
Stockholders’ equity can be thought of in two ways. First, it is the amount that stockholde
company when they bought shares the company sold to raise capital, in addition to all of the
company has retained over the years:
2. Working Capital
Current assets are often called working capital because these assets “turn over”; that is, they
then replaced throughout the year. When the company buys inventory items on credit, its suppli
lend it the money used to finance the inventory item. The company could have borrowed from the
stock to obtain the money, but it received the funds from its suppliers. These loans are shown
payable, and they typically are “free” in the sense that they do not bear interest.
Net working capital = Current assets – current liabilities
Current liabilities include accounts payable, accruals, and notes payable to the bank. Finan
often make an important distinction between the “free” liabilities (Accruals and accounts payable)
bearing notes payable (which incur interest expense that is included as a financing cost on the
statement). With this distinction in mind, analysts often focus on net operating working capital (N
differs from net working capital because interest-bearing notes payable are subtracted from curren
Net operating working capital (NOWC) = Current assets - (current liabilities – notes payable)
4. Depreciation.
Most companies prepare two sets of financial statements-one is based on IRS (Internal Rev
rules and is used to calculate taxes; the other is based on GAAP and is used for reporting to inve
often use accelerated depreciation for tax purposes but straight line depreciation for stockholder re
6. Time dimension.
The balance sheet is a snapshot of the firm’s financial position at a point in time-for example,
31, 2020. The balance sheet changes every day as inventories rise and fall, as bank loans are
decreased, and so forth.
I. Operating activities – deals with items that occur and part of normal ongoing operations.
a. Net income – the first operating activity is the net income, which is the first source of ca
If all sales were for cash, if all costs required immediate cash payments, and if the firm were
in a static situation, net income would equal cash from operations.
c. Increase in accounts receivable – if a company choose to sell on credit when it makes
not immediately get the cash that it would have received had it not extended credit. It
the inventory that is sold on credit.
d. Increase in accounts payable – accounts payable represent a loan from suppliers if a com
goods in credit.
e. Increase in accrued wages and taxes – same logic applies to accruals as to accounts p
f. Net cash provided by operating activities- all of the previous items are part of the norm
they arise as a result of doing business. When we sum them, we obtain the net c
operations.
II. Long-Term Investing Activities – all activities involving long-term assets are covered in th
example, acquisition of some fixed assets.
a. Additions to property, plant and equipment – if a company spend on fixed assets durin
year, this is an outflow but if a company sold some of its fixed assets, this would have
inflow.
b. Net cash used in investing activities – sum of the investing activities.
IV. Summary -this section summarizes the change in cash and cash equivalents over the yea
a. Net decrease in cash (I,II,III) – net sum of the operating activities, investing activities
activities is shown here.
b. Cash and equivalent at the beginning of the year.
c. Cash and equivalent at the end of the year.
4. Financial statements do not contain all the significant facts about the business.
Investors do not rely only on quantitative factors presented in the financial statement. They
heavily on other pieces of information about the company such as the stockholders, composition o
directors, projects undertaken, and the overall performance of the company relative to the ind
others.
MODULE 3
ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT
Financial Statement Analysis
Financial statement analysis is an evaluation of the past and current performance of th
forecast in the future. It allows comparison of one company with another. Since financial statem
looks at relationships inside and outside of the firm, a firm of one size can be directly compare
firms or with industry averages or norms to determine how the company is faring vis-à-vis its com
Financial statement analysis involves calculations. Firms compute by combining accounts
an income statement to the balance sheet or vice-versa or by simply relating an account within th
These calculations help the management assess the deficiencies and take necessary action
performance.
a. Current Ratio – the primary liquidity ratio which is calculated by dividing current asse
liabilities.
Current Assets
Current ratio =
Current liabilities
$1,000
= = 3.2x
$ 310
If a company is having financial difficulty, it typically begins to pay its account payable more slowly a
more from its bank, both of which increase current liabilities. If current liabilities are rising faster tha
assets, the current ratio will fall; and this is the sign of possible trouble.
b. Quick, or Acid Test Ratio – the second liquidity is the quick, or acid test ratio, which
by deducting inventories from current assets and then dividing the remainder by curre
Current assets - Inventories
Quick or acid test ratio =
Current liabilities
$385
= = 1.2x
above (1.2x) ratio is relatively low. Still, if the accounts receivable can be collected, the compan
its current liabilities even if it has trouble disposing its inventories.
2. Asset management ratios, which give us an idea of how efficiently the firm is using its
asset management ratio, measures how effectively the firm is in managing its assets. This
this question: Does the amount of each type of asset seem reasonable, too high, or too l
current projected sales? These ratios are important because the company and other comp
assets, they must obtain capital from banks or other sources and capital is expensive.
Based on this example, inventory turnover of 4.9 is much lower than the industry average
suggests that it is holding too much inventory. Excess inventory is of course, unproductive and r
investment with a low or zero rate of return. Low inventory turnover ratio also makes us questi
ratio and with such, the firm may be holding obsolete goods that are not worth their stated value. If
is highly seasonal or if there has been a strong upward or downward sales trend during the year, i
useful to make an adjustment. To maintain comparability with the industry averages, other compa
end rather than average inventories.
$375 $375
= -------------------- = -------------- = 45.625 days = 46 days
$3,000/365 $8.2192
This ratio is somewhat below the industry average, indicating that it is not generating e
given its total assets.
3. Debt management ratios, which give us an idea of how the firm has financed its assets a
firm’s ability to repay its long-term debt.
Total debt
Debt ratio = -------------------
Total assets
$310 + 750 $1,060
= = = 53.0%
$2,000 $2,000
4. PROFITABILITY RATIO
Accounting statements reflect events that happened in the past, but they also provide
what’s really important-what’s likely to happen in the future. The liquidity, asset managem
ratios covered thus far tell us something about the firm’s policies and operations. The prof
which reflect the net result of all of the firm’s financing policies and operating decisions.
a. Operating Margin
The operating margin, calculated by dividing operating income (EBIT) by sales, gives
profit per dollar of sales:
EBIT
Operating margin = ------------
Sales
$278
= ---------- = 9.3%
Net income
Profit margin = ---------------
Sales
$146.30
= -------------- = 4.9%
$3,000
Industry Ave = 5.0%
Profit margin is below the industry average of 5.0%, and this subpar result occurred for tw
• Firm’s high operating costs
• Profit margin is negatively impacted by heavy use of debt
The result is not good since it is obviously better to have a higher than a lower return on
though, that a low ROA can result from a conscious decision to use a great deal of debt, in wh
interest expenses will cause net income to be relatively low.
EBIT
Basic earning power (BEP) =------------------
Total Assets
$278
=------------- = 13.9%
$2,000
Industry average = 18.0%
This ratio shows the raw earning power of the firm’s assets before the influence of taxes a
it is useful when comparing firms with different debt and tax situations. Because of its low turnov
poor profit margin on sales.
$1.95
If P/E ratio is below its industry average; this suggests that the company is regarded as be
risky, as having poor growth prospect, or both.
In this example, investors are willing to pay more for a dollar of the company’s book value than
average processing company which means that investors are willing to pay for more stocks than th
• The first term, the profit margin, tells us how much the firm earns on its sales. This r
primarily on costs and sales price-if a firm can command a premium price and hold dow
profit margin will be high, which will help its ROE.
• The second term is the total assets turnover. It is a multiplier that tells us how many tim
margin is earned each year.
• The third term, the equity multiplier, which is the adjustment factor
3. Trend Analysis
As a final comparison, it is important to analyze trends in ratios as well as their absolute levels, fo
clues as to whether a firm’s financial condition is likely to improve or deteriorate. It is an analys
financial ratios over time; use to estimate the likelihood of improvement or deterioration in its financ
MODULE 4
TIME VALUE OF MONEY
Time value analysis has many applications, including planning for retirement, valuing stock
setting up loan payment schedules, and making corporate decisions regarding investing in
equipment. In fact, all financial concepts, time value of money is the single most important concep
The first step in time value analysis is to set up a timeline, which will help you visualize what’s
particular problem. A timeline is an important tool used in time value analysis; it is a graphical re
used to show the timing of cash flows. As an illustration, consider the following diagram, where P
$100 that is on hand today and FV is the value that will be in the account on a future date:
The intervals from 0 to 1, 1 to 2, and 2 to 3 are time periods such as years or months. Time 0 is
is the beginning of Period 1; time 1 is one period from today, and it is both the end of period 1 and
of period 2 and so forth. Although the periods are often years, periods can also be quarters or mo
days. Note that each tick mark corresponds to both the end of one period and the beginning of
Thus, if the periods are years, the tick mark at Time 2 represents the end of Year 2 and the begin
3. Cash flows are shown directly below the tick marks, and the relevant interest rate is shown ju
timeline. Unknown cash flows, which you are trying to find, are indicated in question marks. Her
FUTURE VALUES
A dollar in hand today is worth more than a dollar to be received in the future because if you ha
could invest it, earn interest, and own more than a dollar in the future. The process of going to
(FVs) from the present values (PVs) is called compounding. It is the arithmetic process of determ
value of a cash flow or series of cash flows when compound interest is applied.
Step-by-step Approach
The time line used to find the FV of $100 compounded for 3 years at 5%, along with some ca
shown. Multiply the initial amount of each succeeding amount by (1+I) = (1.05):
Formula Approach
In this approach, we multiply the amount at the beginning of each period by (1+I) = (1.05). If N = 3
by (1+I) three different times, which is the same as multiplying the beginning amount by (1+I) 3 .
can be extended, and the result is this key equation:
FVN = PV(1+I)N
SPREADSHEETS
Students generally use calculators for homework and exam problems but in business, people g
spreadsheets.
Excel Approach:
Summary of Future Value Calculations
When calculating time value of money problems in Excel, interest rates are entered as p
decimals (e.g., .05 or 5%). However, when using the time value of money function on
calculators you generally enter the interest rate as a whole number (e.g., 5).
When calculating time value of money problems in excel, the abbreviation for the numbe
Nper, whereas for most financial calculators the abbreviation is simply N. Throughout th
use these terms interchangeably.
When calculating time value of money problems in Excel, you will often be prompted to ente
refers to whether the payments come at the end of the year (in which case Type = 0, o
omit), or at the beginning of the year (in which case Type = 1). Most financial calcu
BEGIN/END mode function that you toggle on or off to indicate whether the payments
beginning or at the end of the period.
PRESENT VALUES
Finding a present value is the reverse of finding a future value with the basic present value equat
FVN
Present Value = PV = --------
(1+I)N
Example:
A broker offers to sell you a Treasury bond that will pay $115.76 three years from now. Banks
offering a guaranteed 5% interest on 3-year certificates of deposit (CDs); and if you don’t buy the b
buy a CD. The 5% rate paid on the CDs is defined as your opportunity cost. This is the rate
could earn on an alternative investment of similar risk:
115.76
PV = -------------- = $100
(1.05)3
The $100 is defined as the present value, or PV, of $115.76 due in 3 years when the appropriate
is 5%. In general, the present value f a cash flow due N years in the future is the amount which
hand today, would grow to equal the given future amount. Because $100 would grow to $115.76
a 5% interest rate, $100 is the present value of $115.76 due in 3 years at 5% rate. Finding pres
called discounting; and as noted above, it is the reverse of compounding-if you know the PV, you c
to find the FV, while if you know the FV, you can discount to find the PV.
Solution using excel
Excel has financial solution function that solves for an unknown interest rate. RATE (nper, pm
return the fixed interest rate that equates an annuity of magnitude pmt that lasts for nper period
present value (pv) or its future value (fv).
Where:
Nper = number of periods
Pmt = payments
PV = present value (-PV)
FV = future value
I = RATE (10,0,-100,150)
I = 4.14%
When money is borrowed, the amount borrowed is called the principal. The consideration paid f
money is called interest.
• The rate of interest can be thought of as a price per period for the use of money.
• From the perspective of the lender, interest is earned; from the perspective of the borr
is paid.
Simple Interest
Simple interest refers to the situation in which interest is calculated on the original principal
With simple interest, the base on which interest is calculated does not change, and the amo
earned each period also does not change.
Compound Interest
Compound interest refers to the situation in which interest is calculated on the original prin
accumulated interest.
With compound interest, interest is calculated on a base that increases each period, and t
interest earned also increases with each period.
Assume the same investment of $100 for 50 years, but at compound interest:
With compound interest, interest is earned on both the original principal and accumul
Interest is earned on interest.
In the preceding example, with simple interest, the accumulated amount after 50 years is on
compound interest, the accumulated amount is $1,147. As the term increases, the difference betw
amounts with compound interest versus simple interest becomes more and more dramatic.
Most time value of money problems involve the use of only one compound interest functio
but some require the use of two or more.
Understanding the compound interest functions, and how the factors derived from them are used
value of money problems, is the heart of this subject matter. Each compound interest formula, an
derived from it, involves three variables:
1. An interest rate,
Published tables of compound interest factors are used to solve time value of money problems.
refer to a table of factors than to calculate the desired factor from one of the formulas each time yo
ANNUITIES
Most of us have had the experience of making a series of fixed payments over a period of t
rent or car payments—or receiving a series of payments for a period of time, such as interest fr
certificate of deposit. These recurring or ongoing payments are technically referred to as "annuiti
confused with the financial product called an annuity, though the two are related).
Annuities, in this sense of the word, break down into two basic types: ordinary annuities and annu
• Ordinary annuities: An ordinary annuity makes (or requires) payments at the end of eac
example, bonds generally pay interest at the end of every six months.
• Annuities due: With an annuity due, by contrast, payments come at the beginning of each
which landlords typically require at the beginning of each month, is a common example.
Because of the time value of money — the concept that any given sum is worth more now than it
future because it can be invested in the meantime—the first $1,000 payment is worth more than
and so on. So, let's assume that you invest $1,000 every year for the next five years, at 5% inte
how much you would have at the end of the five-year period.
Using the example above, here's how it would work:
Note that the one-cent difference in these results, $5,525.64 vs. $5,525.63, is due to roundin
calculation.
In contrast to the future value calculation, a present value (PV) calculation tells you how m
would be required now to produce a series of payments in the future, again assuming a set intere
Using the same example of five $1,000 payments made over a period of five years, here is h
value calculation would look. It shows that $4,329.58, invested at 5% interest, would be sufficie
those five $1,000 payments.
If we plug the same numbers as above into the equation, here is the result:
To account for payments occurring at the beginning of each period, it requires a slight mod
formula used to calculate the future value of an ordinary annuity and results in higher values, as s
The reason the values are higher is that payments made at the beginning of the period have more
interest. For example, if the $1,000 was invested on January 1 rather than January 31 it would have
month to grow.
Again, please note that the one-cent difference in these results, $5,801.92 vs. $5,801.91, is due
the first calculation.
MODULE 5
FINANCIAL ASSETS (Interest Rates)
The cost of money is the opportunity cost of holding cash instead of investing it, depending on the
An interest rate is the rate at which a borrower pays interest for using money that they borrow f
Market interest rates are driven mainly by inflationary expectations, alternative investments, risk o
and liquidity preference. The term structure of interest rates describes how interest rates change o
The cost of money is the opportunity cost of holding money instead of investing it, depending
interest.
The four most fundamental factors affecting the cost of money are:
1. Production opportunities – the investment opportunities in productive (cash generating) assets
On the riskiness of the loan
On the expected future rate of inflation
Producers expected returns on their business investments set an upper limit to how much the
savings, while consumers’ time preferences for consumption establish how much consumption th
to defer and, hence, how much they will save at different interest rates. Higher risk and higher infla
to higher interest rates.
DRP = default risk premium. This premium reflects the possibility that the issuer will not pay
interest or principal at the stated time. DRP is zero for Treasury securities, but it rises as the ris
issuer increases.
• The risk that a borrower will default, which means a borrower will not ma
interest or principal payments, also affects the market interest rate on a bond
the bond's risk default, the higher the market rate. LP = liquidity (or
premium. This is the premium charged by lenders to reflect the fact that so
cannot be converted to cash on short notice at a reasonable price. LP is
Treasury securities and for securities issued by large, strong firms; but it is
on securities issued by small, privately held firms.
Because rRF = r* + IP, we can rewrite Equation as follows:
Nominal, or quoted, rate = r = rRF + DRP + LP + MRP
• A liquid asset can be converted to cash quickly at a "fair market value." Re
generally less liquid than financial assets, but different financial assets
liquidity. Because they assets that are more liquid, investors include a liqu
• In recent years, the maturity risk premium on a 2-year T-bonds has general
range of one to two percentage points.
EXAMPLE:
The real risk-free rate interest, r*, is 3%; and it is expected to remain constant over t
is expected to be 2% per year for the next 3 years and 4% per year for the next 5 years. The
premium is equal to 0.1 x (t – 1)%, where t = the bond's maturity. The default risk premium for a
bond is 1.3%.
a. What is the average expected inflation rate over the next 4 years?
Average Inflation = (2% + 2% + 2% + 4%) = 2.5%
c. What is the yield on a 4-year BBB rated corporate bond with a liquidity premium of 0
C4, BBB = r* + IP4 + MRP4 + DRP + LP
= 3% + 2.5% + 0.3% + 1.3% + 0.5%
= 7.6%
A major factor that influences the interest rate is its term to maturity or the period of borrowing.
remaining same, bonds with different maturity period earn different interest rates. The curve showin
between yield and term to maturity (other things remaining constant) is called the ‘yield curve’.
The term of the structure of interest rates has three primary shapes; upward-sloping, flat, and down
(downward sloping is often referred to as an inverted yield curve).
1. Upward sloping- it reflects that interest and on long-term bonds are higher than interest on sho
This is considered to be the “normal” slope of the yield curve and signals that the economy is in
mode.
2. Downward sloping – indicates short -term yields are higher than long-term yields. Known as
‘Inverted’ yield curve and signifies that the economy is in, or about to enter, a recessive period
3. Flat- very little variation between short and long-term yields. Signals that the market is uns
future direction of the economy.
Yield curves can also have more complicated shapes in which they first slope up and then down,
A good theory of term structure of interest rates must explain the following three important empiri
1. Interest rates on bonds of different maturities move together over time.
2. When short-term interest rates are low, yield curves are more likely to have an upward slope
term interest rates are high, yield curves are more likely to slope downward and be inverted.
3. Yield curves almost always slope upward.
after five years so that the average short-term interest rate over the coming 20 years is 11%, the
rate on the 20-year bonds would equal 11% and would be higher than the interest rate on five-yea
A simple numerical example might clarify what the expectations theory in equation is saying. If one
rate over the next five years is expected to be 5,6,7,8 and 9%. The interest rate on the two – yea
be:
II.
The expectations theory is an elegant theory that provides an explanation of why term
interest rates (as represented by yield curves) changes at different times.
The yield curve is the investors’ most common and closely examined investment pattern. These
can be created and plotted for all types of bonds, like corporate bonds, and bonds with different
One made investments in two government bonds – Bond A and Bond B. The below gra
effect of the maturity period or the duration of an asset held for several years. Instrument A is a
bond with a longer maturity period than instrument A, a government bond investment. Instrument A h
period of 20 years, while instrument B has 15 years only. In this case, Bond B has a coupon rate
of approximately 12%. In comparison, Bond A enjoys the additional 3%.
This additional benefit in your investment returns is known as the liquidity premium. T
representation above shows that one can provide this premium if the bond holds for a longer ma
This premium gets paid to the investor only on the maturity of the bond held.