Caging The Dragon - The Containment of Underground Nuclear Explosions
Caging The Dragon - The Containment of Underground Nuclear Explosions
Caging The Dragon - The Containment of Underground Nuclear Explosions
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Caging the Dragon Funded by DOE/DP and
The Containment of Underground Explosions DNA
PE - 6 2 7 1 5 H
6.AUTHOR(S) PR - R J
TA - R A
James Carothers.et al. WU -TR83582000
7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory REPORT NUMBER
Attn: L-451
Livermore, CA 94550
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U.S. Dept of Energy Defense Nuclear Agency AGENCY REPORT NUMBER
Nevada Operations Office 6801 Telegraph Road
P.O. Box 98518 Alexandna. VA 22310-3398 DOE/NV-388
Las Vegas, NV 89193 FCTT/Ristvet DNA-TR-95-74
TOD/Navarro
11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
This work was partially sponsored by the Defense Nuclear Agency under RDT&E RMC Code T4662D RJ
RA 83582 5530A 25904D.
The science of the containment of U.S. underground tests is documented through a series of interviews
of leading containment scientists and engineers.
Containment
16 PRICE CODE
Underground Nuclear Testing
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This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States
Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their
employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsi-
bility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or
process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Refer-
ence herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark,
manufacturer, or otherwise does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recom-
mendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof. The views
and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the
United States Government or any agency thereof.
DAS POFFEM-eooUER.
IV
CONTENTS
Preface vii
Introduction 1
1 THE ORIGINS OF CONTAINMENT 5
2 THE RAINIER EVENT 31
3 THEMORATORIUM AND THE RETURN TO TESTING 59
4 THE BEGINNINGS OF CONTAINMENT PROGRAMS 87
5 THE NEVADA TEST SITE 1 1 3
6 EARTH MATERIALS AND THEIR PROPERTIES 1 47
7 LOGGING AND LOGGING TOOLS 179
8 ENERGY COUPLING AND PARTITION 207
9 CAVITIES AND HOW THEY GROW 229
10 CAVITY COLLAPSE, CHIMNEYS AND CRATERS 265
11 THE RESIDUAL STRESS CAGE 291
12 HYDROFRACTURES 325
13 BLOCK MOTION 347
14 DEPTHS OF BURIAL, DRILLING 365
15 EMPLACEMENT HOLES, STEMMING, PLUGS, GAS
BLOCKS 391
16 TUNNELS AND LINE-OF-SIGHT PIPES 419
17 PIPE CLOSURE HARDWARE 453
18 PIPE FLOW 465
19 CODES AND CALCULATIONS 495
20 CURRENT PRACTICE 523
21 SOMETIMES THE DRAGON WINS 549
22 ABOUT THE CONTAINMENT EVALUATION PANEL 571
23 THOUGHTS, OPINIONS, CONCERNS 587
Appendix: The People of the Book 613
Index 711
Preface VII
Preface
Introduction
1
The Origins of Containment
Article I
1. Each of the Parties to this Treaty undertakes to
prohibit, to prevent, and not to carry out any nuclear
weapon test explosion, or any other nuclear explosion, at
any place under its jurisdiction or control:
(a) in the atmosphere; beyond its limits, including outer
space; or underwater, including territorial waters or
high seas; or
(b) in any other environment if such explosion causes
radioactive debris to be present outside the territorial
limits of the State under whose jurisdiction or control
such explosion is conducted.
This seems clear enough, but there are some things that, on
careful examination of subparagraph (b), are open to interpretation.
The first, and most important of these, are the words " . . . causes
6 CAGING THE DRAGON
Note that the word "debris" does not appear. For there to be
successful containment, it is "radioactivity" that is not to be de-
tected off site, and this term certainly includes the noble gases. The
boundaries of the Test Site are much closer to the event than the
borders of the United States, hence "successful containment" is a
much more rigorous standard than that given by using either inter-
pretation of "debris" in the Treaty. Further, there should be "no
unanticipated release of radioactivity on site within a 24 hour period
following execution." The implication is that an unanticipated
release of any amount of radioactivity within the 24 hour period is
a failure to achieve successful containment. The monitoring equip-
ment which might be used to detect such an unanticipated release is
not specified, unlike the case of detection off site where "normal
monitoring equipment," whatever that is, is to be used.
What occurred between 1945 and 1963 that led to the Treaty,
generally known as the Partial Test Ban Treaty?
It's almost always true of any organization that there are
outside influences that make that organization change. It
seldom comes from within. V. Leimbach
Trinity, the first nuclear detonation, was carried out on July 16,
1945, atop a 100 foot tower. For the next many years that was one
of the basic methods for doing experiments with nuclear devices.
There were variations, of course; the air drop and the underwater
detonations in Crossroads are examples. Sometimes the tower was
short, or non-existent, and the device was detonated on the surface.
Sometimes a plane dropped the device to detonate in the air. Or
sometimes a balloon, or rocket, lifted the device to a desired
altitude, there to be detonated.
For the scientists seeking information about the performance
of some aspect of the device, there were trade-offs. The turnaround
between experiments could be markedly decreased by using planes
or balloons, but it was not possible to do experiments that depended
on accurately viewing some particular area of the the device where
phenomena of interest were taking place. Towers allowed that, but
it took a long time to build the towers, and install the carefully
collimated and aligned pipes through which instruments viewed a
particular area, and recorded the data from there.
There were other differences among the ways in which the
experiments were done, and these related to what happened to the
radioactive material that was produced by the detonation. It was
these considerations which gradually shaped the way in which
experiments could be carried out, and eventually led to the firing of
all devices underground in such a way that no radioactivity entered
the atmosphere.
Initially, the approach to the radioactive products of the deto-
nation was to disperse and dilute them, hopefully to a degree that
made them of little biological consequence to people who might
encounter them. It was an application of a belief once commonly
held, not only by those detonating nuclear devices but by those
running factories and other industrial sites which produced unpleas-
ant and possibly dangerous by-products of the materials they pro-
duced:
The solution to pollution is dilution.
With this approach, if you were dumping waste chemicals into
a river, and the river became badly fouled, what you needed was a
bigger river, so there would be more dilution. The concept of
controlling by-products of an activity at the source came slowly,
and only as a result of public concerns.
Origins 9
Then it was the Army's turn with Sandstone, but by that time
the Lab had an interest in it too, because they had some new designs
to try. So, it was more or less a joint venture. In fact, it was a little
more than a joint venture. The Army really acted as support to the
Lab on Sandstone. •
The Laboratory group who did those operations was formed
the same way as it had been in the past. You take somebody from
this division, somebody from that division, and somebody from over
here, put together a campaign, and go do it. Everybody comes back
and then goes back to their regular jobs. At the end of Sandstone,
Darol Froman, who had been the senior Lab person there, realized
that wasn't going to cut it. It was going to go on and on, and so in
' 4 9 , the year after Sandstone, they formed J Division, a permanent
testing division, in the Laboratory.
Froman saw the need of it, and I've seen a fair amount of his
correspondence on it. He wrote some rather persuasive papers on
why it would be better if they faced up to it and said, "Here it is;
we're going to be doing this for the rest of our lives." And I think
the AEC was right in listening to him, and going along with a
permanent plant at Enewetak atoll.
Operations in the Pacific, at what was called the Pacific
Proving Ground (the PPG), were expensive, time consuming, and
required considerable military resources to support the operation,
the civilian construction workers who built the camps, the bunkers,
and the towers, and the scientific teams who came to install the
devices and the diagnostics. The construction started a year to a
year and a half before the actual tests began.
dreamed up all sorts of reasons for being there. That meant if you
were trying to manage the operations, you had several thousand
people to tfy to keep track of. If anything went wrong, any
confusion, you had a hell of a time getting them out of there, and
getting it straightened out so you could do your work.
After Sandstone there were no more shots in the Pacific for
almost three years, until the first event of Greenhouse on April 7,
1951. In the meantime there was an exploration for a possible
location in the United States where low yield detonations could be
carried out, without the cost and time required for the Pacific tests.
The Korean War led to the declaration of a national emergency
by President Truman on December 16, 1950. Two days after that
declaration the President authorized the AEC to establish a proving
ground for nuclear tests on the Las Vegas-Tonopah Test Range.
Various locations had been looked at during the 1948-1949 period.
Ultimately a choice had to be made.
Brownlee: The Nevada Test Site location was selected by AI
Graves. He got on an airplane with somebody, they flew around,
and he found this nice area . You could put some boundaries around
it, there was a road to it on the south side, and it looked like it would
be easy to build roads.
So, the criteria used for the selection of the Test Site had
nothing to do with whether there would be atmospheric or under-
ground shots. It was just a place we could get our hands on. And
it was a place that had a road to it, and a place where you could land
airplanes; it was an accessible place.
And there is another thing. When AI was selecting the Site, he
was selecting a place where Los Alamos could go to do interim kinds
of things, and a place where we could have our failures. We could
have a failure there, because if it didn't work we could come back
here, and in a few days have another thing ready to try. Once we
got the various problems worked out, then we would go to the
Pacific to do the real experiment. That was the concept.
So, the Nevada Test Site was selected by Los Alamos as a place
where you could do certain experiments before you went to the
Pacific to the permanent test site - - the Pacific Proving Ground.
12 CAGING THE DRAGON
the light got so dim that you were opening your eyes wide and
straining, and then you remembered, oh, I've got these goggles on.
When you took the goggles off it was still very bright. The goggles
were a darn sight darker than welding goggles. It was very
impressive.
We started to get into the fallout, and the commanding officer
of the Curtis got out from under the fallout. But, the Navy didn't
like their ships all going in different directions, each commanding
officer deciding which way to go, so they were all told to regroup
around the Estes, where the task force commander was, which was
right under the cloud, so they all went back into the fallout. We just
had a little bit of fallout and got out from under it, and they washed
the decks down. We were back out on the deck again when they got
ordered to regroup. We went back in, and here it comes down
again. Then we were locked in, and they were hosing down.
My stateroom was right near where the swabbies were going
out on the deck and cleaning up, and they had a monitoring station
there. These guys would go out in their raincoats and boots, and
they would hose and sweep. When they came in they would strip
and pile the stuff on the floor, step over two feet, and a guy would
go over them with a counter. It was into the showers if you showed
more than 2 mR above background. All this time the pile of clothing
background is growing. At one point they were looking for the
difference between 100 and 102 mR per hour. They were doing
the monitoring in a 100 mR per hour field.
I don't remember how long we had to stay inside, but it was
many, many hours. This thing went off at five o'clock in the
morning, and we didn't get fallout coming down on us until after we
had eaten, as I remember. We got a little bit, got out from under
it, cleaned up, and were out on the deck around nine or ten, and
then it was back in again. I don't remember when we got out. Herb
Weidner and some of the other guys who were over on the aircraft
carrier Bairoko, they were in a high field for days. The hanger deck
was running, if I remember, a number of hundred mR per hour for
hours, and then they were down around 5 mR per hour for days
afterwards. They got a lot of exposure. In fact, the Bairoko never
did get cleaned up.
Origins 15
I didn't see the fallout, but I was told by the guys who were
sweeping it up and hosing it off that it was like a white dust. It was
calcined coral. An awful lot of stuff went up, and it falls out, it
definitely does. If you read the story of the Lucky Dragon, they got
caught in the same kind of mess.
After Bravo, and the Lucky Dragon, fallout was no longer just
a local concern, or a U.S. concern. Prime Minister Nehru, of India,
on April 2, 1954 called for a testing moratorium. Concerns in the
United States led to the Atomic Energy Commission finally to
release some information about fallout. Before this there had only
been releases saying, in essence, that whatever exposure people had
received from the fallout from detonations at the Test Site were not
large enough to cause any problems. No mention was made of the
levels of possible exposures, of what radioactive isotopes were
involved, or what areas were in the overall fallout pattern. It was on
February 12, 1955 that the Commision released a report titled "A
Report by the United Stastes Atomic Energy Commission on the
Effects of High Yield Nuclear Explsions". This report did talk
about both the Bravo test and the fallout from Nevada tests, but did
little, if anything to reduce the concerns of the public; in fact, it may
have exacerbated them. Commissioner William Libby did make a
public statement about the problems of radiation exposure, and
released scientific data about fallout in a talk he gave in June of
1955 to the alumni of the University of Chicago, wherein he made
the statement that fallout did not "constitute any real hazard to the
immediate health" of members of the public.
People working at the Test Site were having their own prob-
lems with both local and off-site deposition of radioactive material.
Campbell: After the St. George business, and after Bravo, it
became obvious that we couldn't continue to have that kind of off
site fallout. If we wanted to get our job done, we were going to have
to find different ways of doing things. I don't think it was the people
in Washington. It was really an internal recognition that we had to
do something. And on site it was our people who were getting
exposed making the recoveries. Believe me, radiation readings in
the fallout patterns were much higher in Area 3 than they were in
Utah, and we had to go in to get the data. The rule then was that
you could work people forever in 10 mr per hour fields. In Nevada
16 CAGING THE DRAGON
I don't believe I ever went into a field that was over 50 R. Fifty R
per hour is a lot, but you could get people who had not had much
exposure, and you could say, "The operation is almost over, you're
going home, and this is just for one time."
Operationally a number of things were tried, with the idea
being to protect our own people. In so doing there was, of course,
a benefit off site. They tried making large blacktop pads around
tower bases, asphalt pads, to keep from entraining so much dirt.
You could keep down quite a bit of the dirt that came flying up
otherwise. And then there were areas where boron was put down,
to reduce the soil activation. That was in about '55, or even before.
Towers we bought by the foot; we'd buy pieces for several
thousand feet of towers. Then you take bits and pieces, like an
erector set, and put up a two hundred foot, or three hundred foot
tower. We had towers that were triangular in cross section, and
towers that were square in cross section. The triangular things
twisted too easily in torsion, and wouldn't bear enough load either.
There was always the business of Herman Hoerlin wanting more
lead, or Ernie Krause wanting more of something else in the cab. We
tried aluminum towers to get away from the steel, but they didn't
work worth a damn Do you want a little steel, or do you want a lot
of aluminum? It ended up that the aluminum just did not have the
strength and rigidity. It wasn't too popular, so we were always
trying to find ways to use the aluminum towers we had in stock.
By 1956 people in the testing community were beginning to
consider seriously the possibilities of conducting tests underground.
This was a major shift in the thinking about the problem of fallout.
Previous efforts had been directed basically to dispersal and dilu-
tion; firing underground would be an attempt to control at the
source, to keep the radioactive material in one place, and not to let
it disperse.
Edward Teller and Dave Griggs in 1956 wrote a brief paper
(UCRL-1659) titled "Deep Underground Test Shots". In it they
concluded:
" 1 . The cost of drilling a hole sufficiently large and deep to
emplace and contain kiloton shots is comparable to the cost
of erecting a tower for such shots.
16a
i k M U a . ..*
*3
16b
In an effort to reduce fallout, balloons were used in both the Plumbbob test series, 1957,
and the Hardtack II test series, 1958, to lift test devices to approximately 1,000 feet for
atmospheric detonation. Above is a typical example from the Plumbbob series.
Origins 17
off the reef, which will then slide down the edge of the atoll and start
a big wave of some kind? What's the chance of doing that?" As
people talked it over, they decided that could actually happen, and
so we moved some shots. But those kinds of unanswerable questions
were frequently asked by Al first, at least to my knowledge.
One experience with testing in Nevada which must have
influenced him mightily was that in '55 there was a civil defense test
where they sat out over two weeks before the weather was right.
They were very carefully watching where the fallout would go, and
if it was predicted to go over places where there were people who
couldn't be warned, and evacuated if need be, the shot was
cancelled for that day. That shot was scheduled every day, and then
cancelled, for nineteen days, and AI was the one making those
decisions. Now, there were a lot of civil defense people, and press
people, and others, whose hotel reservations were running out and
so on, and they were very impatient with all this. And AI was taking
that pressure.
He said to me, in 1956, "There isn't any doubt about it. If
testing is to proceed, we're going to have to go underground. It's
got to be done, whether we want to or not. Would you start working
on what it might be like to have a fireball underground?"
I was tied up for the '56 tests in the Pacific, but once they were
over AI said again, "Please go to work on underground things. It's
inevitable. We're going to have to do that, and the question is, 'Can
you contain anything at all? If you put the device underground,
does it just all blow out, or what?'" It was a very interesting
question, and I began doing some machine calculations. We were
doing work on the IBM 704's, which were quite new then.
Carothers: You were using, by today's standards, a rather
small machine. You were using a computer that had less capability
than the one you probably have at home now.
Brownlee: Oh, you can now carry around, in your shirt pocket,
something with more memory than the 704's had. We coded
everything in machine language in order to save memory. And we
had bits in the words which we used as flags, because you never did
any multiplication or division until the end, because that was so
slow. The programs were incredibly sophisticated in adapting
anything in the world to a little bit of memory, and to the machine's
characteristics. You spent all of your time doing that rather than
Origins 19
working on the problem. I had this big deck of cards that I would
feed into the machine, and if there was a card upside down it was
rejected. It was a very slow, laborious process, but that's what we
had in '57.
The earliest work I did was try to calculate the creation of a
cavity. I had the equations of state of four materials; aluminum,
uranium, air, and water. I said, "That's the old Greek concept of
earth, air, fire, and water. Earth was aluminum, fire was uranium,
and there was air, and water. With those four equations of state I
started trying to calculate what might happen underground. Now,
very quickly we began to get more refined equations of state, but
from those four I tried to make an equation of state for some fake
material. I tried to guess in what direction earth might be different
from aluminum, and started to change the various parameters. I
finally evolved what I called the equation of state of NTS dirt.
I look back on it all now in amazement. How could anybody
pay me to do such absolutely worthless calculations? And yet, the
fact is, they weren't all that bad. I created, in my initial calculations,
an elliptical cavity; I didn't really get a round cavity. That was
because of the inadequacies of my equations of state. Of course,
I didn't know enough to know what the answer should be, so, just
like every other theoretician, I fudged the numbers to make them
kind of match what I saw. By modern day standards it was an
abomination, but for the time it wasn't all that bad, and we were
educating ourselves.
Incidently, I feel very strongly about that. Machine calcula-
tions you should use to teach you how to think. You don't pay any
attention to the numbers, but they teach you how to think, and how
to see what is more important than something else. And that's
exactly what 1 was doing. I was getting a very good education. I
wasn't contributing anything profound to the system, but I sure was
getting a education about how to think about things. That's the real
value of that kind of work.
So, I did my first primitive calculations in '56. And I actually
calculated one test, Bernalillo, which we did in '58. That's how I
got into the underground business, and that was strictly due to Al
Graves, who recognized the necessity to go underground. There are
20 CAGING THE DRAGON
a lot of people who don't realize that we were doing the initial work
for underground tests as early as 1956. Now, remember, we didn't
do that until '63, totally.
One theme that was present in the early underground experi-
ments was that there was a definite self-interest for the Laboratories'
test organizations in reducing the fallout from the shots. There was
a need and a desire to reduce the fallout off site, and to respond to
the mounting public concerns, but also there was the need to reduce
the local fallout in the vicinity of the shot itself for operational
reasons.
Campbell: The first thing we at LASL did in a hole was called
Pascal-A. It was 500 feet deep, in a cased hole. We put the bomb
in the bottom of it, and we didn't stem it. So, we fired it. Biggest
damn Roman candle I ever saw! It was beautiful. Big blue glow in
the sky. I was up in the CP office, and that was fired from a little
handset, out at the B-] Y.
Carothers: You mean somebody sat out there, and as I've seen
in Tom Mix movies, pushed the plunger to blow up the dynamite
and foil the Bad Guys?
Campbell: Well, pretty close to that, but not quite. He had
a little hand firing set. The shot was in Area 3, down by 3-300. The
firing point was the nearest timing station of any size to Area 3, and
so the shot was between the people out there and the CP.
Bill Ogle was out there, in that timing station. When he saw
that come out of the ground he knew he couldn't come south the
way he came north, because he was going to get into trouble. Bill
was more excited that evening than I ever heard him before or since.
He was really excited about how they were going to get back. They
went way out east on roads that didn't exist, came back around into
Yucca Lake, and came in that way. You've heard people say, "His
eyes bulged out like a stomped-on toad"? That's what Ogle looked
like when he came into the ] Division office that night. He was really
excited, and talked a mile a minute. They were damn lucky they
didn't go right through that cloud.
Carothers: Why didn't you stem it?
Origins 21
Johnson: I've never heard that, but you're right. That's a good
way to put it. One of the big questions we had was how to seal the
tunnel, but out of a lot of stewing around the Rainier experiment was
finally designed, and we fired it in September of ' 5 7 . And it did
contain.
The Rainier event was fired in B-tunnel on September 19,
1957. Even by today's definitions, Rainier was successfully con-
tained. The dragon was caged, and his foul breath no longer
polluted the air. Considering the lack of knowledge at that time
about the phenomenology of an underground detonation, that fact is
somewhat remarkable. After Rainier, perhaps containment even
seemed easy.
hubris: n. Excessive pride, arrogance. From the Greek.
fe
. ~'-j*-**JPit.jl£fi" ;-*-*\'*5i
debris to a collector on the surface, the expense and time delay of the
post-shot drilling for samples of the device debris could be avoided.
Dick Heckman was part of the group that was to field and collect the
samples which might be obtained.
Heckman: We started off with a few of the safety shots. The
one incident that I remember in particular was the Neptune event,
in Hardtack Phase II. There was about a one-inch diameter pipe
which ran down into the roof of the room. The hole was drilled
vertically, preshot, and this one-inch pipe was inserted and grouted
into place. We had a plywood box built on top with a two foot by
two foot aircraft-type filter material with the appropriate screen,
and with just a discharge on up. With the yield that was anticipated,
everything should really be kind of nice after the shot.
We then backed off down to the Area 12 CP. I requisitioned
a pair of binoculars, and braced myself on my vehicle so I could spot
in on the location. With binoculars I could see the little sampling
box, and since our success hadn't been all that good on safety shots,
I thought if something were to happen, maybe I could follow the
trajectory of the box so I'd know where to go and find it. The event
went off, and the yield was quite a bit higher than they expected.
As a matter of fact, that was one of the first cratering shots that the
Plowshare program takes credit for. The binoculars did no good,
because the ground shock hit the surface, raised a dust cloud, and
I couldn't see a thing.
I got a bunch of radiochemists, and we went up and we saw the
the filter box was there, in the crater. 1 argued like a Dutch uncle,
and got permission, which in retrospect was a dumb thing to do, but
I got permission to get a rope tied around myself, and to be let down
into the crater. We were pretty motivated in those days.
So I crawled down, and indeed found the filter box. 1 tore the
filter paper out, but the pipe had shut off and so we had no sample.
Now, when I was given permission to go down into this crater, it
was, "Under no circumstances will you go into a field which is
greater than 1 R per hour," because they expected this big fallout.
Well, going down there with my survey meter, I found out that
the activity was incredibly low - - a few tens of mR per hour. In
hindsight, as a result of attempting to do that recovery, we got some
very important information that really excited some of the Plow-
share people. When I came back and reported this, Vay Shelton and
Origins 27
They said, "How long do you want it?" We looked at our blank
piece of paper, and said, "A hundred and fifty feet." "How big
around?" "Oh, about this big," making a cirle with our arms. And
that was the process we went through to specify it. So, we had a 150
foot vacuum pipe, maximum diameter of two feet, made byNRL in
Washington. It was flown out, installed, and evacuated. And it held
a vacuum ! In five weeks !
Lockheed made a very fancy, very strong steel sample holder
to put at the 150 foot station. Then people had second thoughts
about that station, and said, "That is not going to survive. Or maybe
it's not going to survive." They didn't know. "Maybe we better go
out farther." So, we extended the pipe by adding two pipes, 6
inches in diameter, to the back end of the big one, to go out another
75 feet. And that's all that survived; the 225 foot stuff. We never
saw any of that 150 foot station after the shot. That was where the
container of very special steel, made by Lockheed, had been. It was
a huge thing, about the size of a really good-sized safe, just
essentially solid steel. And it was a very special steel alloy that was
supposed to survive. Well, it didn't. There was very little from that
station.
We had a quite elaborate closure on the front end. There was
a very fine theoretical physicist, Harold Hall, working for Montgom-
ery Johnson in early '58. They were worrying about this containment
problem, and Harold came up with the idea of a Box A type closure,
as they call it now. This was a brand new idea. Harold Hall did some
calculations, and so did Montgomery Johnson, and they said, "Ah,
yes!" So a Box A type closure was used for the first time on Logan,
and it worked very well. I think the front end was a foot in diameter,
which is pretty big. Maybe it was ten inches.
When they were digging back after the shot they also drilled
back at different areas around the zero room, and found that the
really highly radioactive area, I guess you would call it the cavity
today, was pear shaped. It wasn't circular. Some activity had come
down the tunnel, but not very far except for a few cracks that went
out as much as 1 50 feet. So, it did contain completely.
However, it knocked in the side of the drift where Blanca was
supposed to be, and there wasn't time to clean out that drift, so
instead of being shot underneath the mesa where'it was supposed to
be, Blanca was shot beneath the very steep face of the mesa, out
28a
• .* t '
w
:**M&'
V/&WS
&*t''JJl'
where the overburden was maybe half of what it would have been.
I watched it, and I thought the side of the mountain was going to
come right towards me and hit me. I was only two miles away.
The days of unrestricted atmoshperic testing at the Nevada
Test Site came to an end on October 31, 1958, at midnight. As
midnight came and went ^ Livermore device, ready to be fired, hung
suspended from a balloon, and there it remained until the balloon
was brought down and the device removed.
Duane Sewell, who later became the Deputy Director of the
Livermore Laboratory, was the Scientific Adviser to the Operations
Manager for Hardtack Phase II, and made the recommendation not
to fire.
Sewell: We left one device unfired, and I remember that night
very well. I had about fifteen hundred people who really were upset
with me because I didn't tell the AEC to go ahead and fire that
device. I told them not to fire it, because it was obvious we were
going to have trouble, but not from fallout. The wind pattern was
in a direction that was not going to give us trouble, and that last shot
was a balloon shot, so there was not going to be a great deal of dirt
picked up, and local fallout from that. But the wind pattern was such
that there was a potential for a pressure impulse into Las Vegas that
was strong enough to possibly break plate glass windows. We
obviously didn't want to hurt anybody, and didn't want to break
windows either.
We were testing with shots of a half ton of high explosive
mounted on one of the hills a short distance from the CP. We'd fired
a number of those during the evening, and it was a double bounce.
The shock wave bounced down around Indian Springs, then the next
bounce was into Las Vegas, and it was rather sharply focused. We
had trouble getting enough high explosive; I was blowing up all the
high explosives on the site to make those measurements every half
hour to forty-five minutes. The scheduled deadline was midnight on
October 31 st, Halloween night. I remember a lot of masks around
the place.
Dodd Starbird was the Director of Military Applications at the
time that operation was going on. I got on the phone with him, and
I said, "That's midnight Washington time, not Greenwich time when
30 CAGING THE DRAGON
2
The Rainier Event
have to assure the Commission that tne shot itself will not cause an
earthquake. Number two, that it will not trigger an earthquake, and
number three, if a natural earthquake occurs at the same time, you
have to prove you didn't do it."
So we put together a committee. We got Perry Byeriy,
somebody out of Cal Tech, I guess Dave Griggs was on it, a fellow
named Roland Beers whom none of us knew, and somebody from
back east. They met. And we told them what we were going to do,
and the whole thing, and Byerly's first remark was, "You shouldn't
be so presumptuous. One point seven kilotons? That will do
nothing seismically." 1 said, "I'm not arguing with you."
I called up Strauss an appropriate time later and I said, "We've
gone through this thing. This board of experts got together, now
we want to come in and talk to you." Strauss said, "Who's on that
committee?" I told him, and he said, "I don't want any West Coast
people on it." This was a setback, because the West Coast seismic
mafia was most of it. It turned out that the only guy who was
acceptable to them to be at this presentation was this guy Roland
Beers, whom we didn't know.
Beers came to the meeting. He was a soft-spoken guy, and
didn't seem to know what was going on. I thought, "We've lost the
shot." I muttered to my partners, "I don't think we're going to win
this one. I don't know this guy; he didn'tsay anything when we were
meeting, and I don't know who he is."
So we go assemble with the Commission and have the meeting.
I go through my pitch, describing the experiment and so on, what
we were doing, and what the conclusion of this panel was. Strauss
then looked at Beers and said, "Beers, what do you think is the
largest explosion that you could safely fire in Nevada, under-
ground?" I thought, "Oh God, what's he going to say?" And he
said, so quietly Strauss could barely hear him across this enormous
table, "About a megaton." Strauss said, "What !" Beers said,
"About a megaton, sir." That was all he said, and Strauss said, "You
fellows get out of here. The Commission and I are going into an
executive session." Which they did, and they decided favorably.
"Okay, but be careful."
So off we go, and by then the furor had gotten to the state of
Nevada. The day before the test somebody from the Governor's
office came to the Test Site to serve an injunction on the AEC to
34 CAGING THE DRAGON
stop the shot. The Governor said, "We'll hold the AEC directly
responsible for any damage to public works in the state of Nevada."
He wasn't going to take any responsibility. Well, bless Jim Reeves,
who was the AEC Area Manager for the Site. The day the guy came
out to serve the summons, Jim had to make extensive surveys of the
upper end of the Test Site. He was unreachable.
Carothers: Well, he was just doing his job. He has to go see
what's going on, once in a while.
Johnson: Sure, he's the Manager. And we were going to fire
the next day.
We had a technical advisory board, with respect to the
containment. These were vulcanologists, geophysicists, I don't
know who all, but distinguished people. The night before the shot
we had a final review. Shall we go ahead, or is there something else
we should do? And the conclusion was everything is fine, go ahead.
We arrived at the CP early in the morning; I forget what time
we were to fire, but it was during daylight so we'd get good
photography. I was there, and one of the members of the advisory
group came up. We were about an hour away from firing. This was
a fellow named Fran Porzel, who was an expert in ground shock, and
shock measurements, and so on. He was from Battelle, in Chicago.
He came up and said, "Gerry, I'm nervous about that tunnel, about
the containment. There are only thirteen feet of sandbags in there."
I said, "Oh yes, we all know that."- He said, "I'm not sure that's
going to hold."
And then he began to pace back and forth. And he kept talking
and walking beside me. He said, "Can't you just hold the shot for
a few days? We'll go back in and put some more sandbags in." 1
said, "How many sandbags would you put in? What would you do?"
and so on. Well, he wasn't sure. I said, "Well, Fran, I'll tell you.
We've worked on this thing for a year. We've had the best advice
we could get, including last night. If we open that tunnel up to do
anything, we have to start over, repeat all our dry runs, and check
everything out again. We'd have to do everything. I don't know
how long it would take us to get it straightened out so we could get
back to a shot day. And this is the end of the operation. We're
holding the operation to get this shot off, and it's an experiment.
We could easily lose the whole thing, administratively, and I don't
want to do that."
The Rainier Event 35
He said, "You know if that blows out, everybody here will say
they knew it was going to happen, and it will be your neck that will
be out." I said, "Well, that's my job. But there's just no way that
I can see to postpone. We're committed now. We have to go
ahead." I said, "I appreciate your bringing it up. There really isn't
a choice. If we cancel it now we might not get another crack at it."
But he really put the heat on me.
And of course, as it turned out, it worked perfectly, but that's
just a bit of history, and he could have turned out to be right. But
we had done everything we knew to do. And God knows what would
have happened if we had shut down. I think if we hadn't fired at that
time we probably would not have gone to underground testing. I
think it's unlikely. The next year we entered into the nuclear test
moratorium. We wouldn't have had time to do a test, set it up, and
do enough to learn any more about it.
But we did fire it, and it was well established by the end of the
next year, as a technique. We were lucky in hindsight, as it turns
out. The seal was just a simple spiral. We only had those thirteen
feet of sandbags, and a steel door to stop gases, but the stemming
worked perfectly. We got overconfident later and had some
problems, but Rainier did work very well.
And as it turned out, we recovered the radiochemical samples.
The rock had frozen right away because the cavity collapsed, so we
never did find molten rock. But we were concerned about tapping
into molten rock. The question was, "How can we test that out?"
Naturally we went to the vulcanologists, and they told us that no one
ever drilled into a molten zone. The way they got their samples was
to wait for the molten rock to come to the surface so they could
scoop it out in a bucket.
About that time there was an eruption on Kilauea Iki in which
a pool of lava some three hundred feet deep was formed, and later
a thin crust about a twenty feet or so thick formed. So we sent some
guys from the Lab to drill through the crust and collect samples,
which they did. They only had to drill through twenty feet of stuff,
but to get to a suitable location they had to walk out on this crusty
lava flow for several hundred feet. Don Rawson headed the group
out there. They had a contract driller and crew, but they were with
them. That experience convinced me that at Livermore you could
get somebody to volunteer for anything.
36 CAGING THE DRAGON
Higgins: Right. You got it. But the business of the earthquake,
and the elastic world was a real concern. They still compute the
elastic equivalence of earthquake yields as the the absolute magni-
tude. If you take the elastically coupled value for a magnitude six
earthquake, it's way less than one kiloton. And so there was real
concern that one kiloton, if elastically coupled, would be like a
magnitude seven earthquake. A magnitude seven earthquake, it
causes some damage. But the real world is not elastic, which is of
some annoyance to those who like to calculate things, because it
would be much simpler if it were.
By the time Rainier was fired there was a group of consultants
who were assembled, ad hoc at first, and then that group was was
formalized more or less, to advise the AEC, or the Manager of the
Nevada Operations Office, about such matters as safety. Dave
Griggs was on that committee. He got in by being in the seismic
community, and being an A i r Force consultant. He brought George
Kennedy along because George had been a student of George
Morey's, and knew about the melting of rocks and so on.
Carothers: People certainly knew some things about the
response of the earth, because for years and years lots and lots of
people had set off thousands and thousands of explosive charges.
A l l kinds of sizes, and in all kinds of places, and they knew the earth
didn't respond that elastically. So what were these people in such
an uproar about?
Higgins: Well, precisely the same thing that they were in such
an uproar about on things like Three Mile Island. It was the
unknown feature. And the people involved in the Test Program at
that time really weren't in the same community as the people who
had all of this experience with high explosives. There were a few
individuals who carried that experience over. One was a guy named
Roy Goranson, in the very early days at the Laboratory, who had
spent a lot of his life with high pressure steam, and steam explosions,
and equations of state of water and rocks.
Gerry ]ohnson had the experience of working with artillery in
the Navy, and he knew from his experience what the detonation of
a thousand pounds of TNT would do, and how it would scale. He
had HE experiments done prior to Rainier. They tried to produce
containment, and discovered one of the differences between TNT
and nuclear, which is the residual gas.
40 CAGING THE DRAGON
You can't contain high explosives unless you can also contain
lots of residual gas. For every pound of high explosive, you produce
a pound or so of residual gas. In a nuclear explosion the rock
vaporizes and does all of its mechanical work, then as soon as it cools
off it goes back to be some kind of rock again, and the gas pressure
is gone. So, the containment of the nuclear debris is a much simpler,
although more sophisticated, problem than the containment of a
high explosive charge.
It's really extremely difficult to contain high explosives. People
in oil fields and in mining are painfully aware of that problem. For
that reason they have criteria for safety and for detonations that are
very different from those for the safety and containment of nuclear
explosions. The difference is understood by a few people, but most
people who grow up in one community don't comprehend the
problems that people in the other community face.
People who have grown up thinking nuclear containment
cannot understand why the oil field people want explosives with the
highest possible specific energy with the lowest possible residual
gases - - they're extremely fond of nitroglycerine, for example,
which is terribly hazardous to handle. So you say, "Why don't you
use something like ammonium nitrate? It's a lot safer." And they
say, "Yeah, but we can't get enough in there to shatter the rock."
" But why do you want to shatter the rock? That just makes little tiny
particles, and they'll plug up. What you want are fractures." They
say, "Yeah, but if we do that, it blows out the top of the hole."
"Well, then why don't you stem it?" "Oh, you can't stem it."
They don't shoot stemmed shots. They put the explosive
down, detonate it, and let it blow out. They don't try, because they
have never been successful in containing the gases. Therefore, they
don't use some of the most valuable products of the explosion. The
high pressure gas would do them more benefit than the Shockwave,
but they don't use it.
But, back to the rocks. It was difficult to select which expert
to believe, except I could reject there would be no bubble. All of
them shared one thing; there would be molten rock, and I believed
that. The first conclusion I came to was that it was reasonable from
all points of view to expect the debris to be in fused rock. And if
the molten rock cooled, there would be glass. If it stayed molten,
then the question would be how would you sample it., The obvious
The Rainier Event 41
answer was, you would need to drill into it. But, without measuring
we had no idea how complete or how good the samples would be,
or how efficient or effective the sampling would be.
We had some fused rock from the ground surface of a number
of near-surface bursts, including Trinity, so we could do the
chemistry on fused rock. We had done all of those things with
samples picked up from the surface. But we had no idea what
concentration of debris to expect in the samples we hoped to get.
We didn't know whether we were going to need a gram or a
kilogram. And that, of course, depended on how much rock got
melted per kiloton. We did do some sensible estimates, again using
Gene Pelsor's calculations primarily.
I believe Gene was asked to attempt to fully contain the
explosion. Not maybe for the reasons that we want it contained
now, but that was his objective. The stemming procedure on Rainier
had been designed as a rather elaborate spiral buttonhook. The
philosophy, expressed in different ways by different people, was
that the radioactive debris would be charging around the tunnel at
velocity V, and by the time it went around the spiral, the seismic
Shockwave would have come across and closed off the tunnel,
trapping the radioactive debris. The placement of the sandbag plug,
I believe, was to stop jets. The idea that the buttonhook would
achieve containment neglected a lot of things. It worked for all the
wrong reasons, but it worked, that one time at least, very well, and
it established that containment could happen. I believe that a lot
of Gene's work was not recognized as being as good as it was,
considering how little anybody really knew.
Carothers: Somebody wanted to try to contain the shot, and
that was probably Gerry Johnson.
Higgins: Yes. I think it was Gerry, although Al Graves had
made the statement, before this was done, that we weren't going to
be able to continue to carry out atmospheric nuclear tests forever,
and we really ought to find an alternative method. He didn't say it
should be underground, or in deep space, or how. There were
actually four ideas that were kicked around in '56 and '57.
Underground was one, deep space was two, deep ocean was three.
Under the ice cap, either in the Antarctic or under the Greenland
ice cap, was the fourth possible way of carrying out tests without
42 CAGING THE DRAGON
0 (0 20
Fset
WEST
Carothers: Well, Gary, the drillers felt they were going to drill
into a volcano, filled with radioactive steam and molten rock.
Would you want to drill into something like that, which would spew
all over you and kill you and all of the members of your drill crew?
Higgins: Of course not. So, they would turn the drill, but
they'd never push. We had a huge cavern worn out of the side of
the alcove into the tuff, but it went in only a few feet. I think there
was a lot more gossip and misinformation than we in the Laboratory
ever heard. I do know that there were drillers who would make all
kinds of excuses for not going on that particular drilling crew.
Flangas: Well, there was always some concern over the
unknown, but for those of us who came out of the mining business,
we were used to some risk. Now, there is certainly a difference
between intelligent risk and recklessness, and some of us know the
difference. Gary Higgins became an integral part of that crew, and
I personally had a great deal of confidence in his judgment and his
experience. He didn't try to butt into the actual mechanics of what
we were doing, but he was there to advise us on the things we didn't
know about. It was a very, very close relationship. We trusted him,
and his judgment was good.
Carothers: His story is that it took a long time to drill back into
the cavity, because the drillers weren't very anxious to get there.
Flangas: There may have been some of that - - some of the
miners were that way. Occasionally you would run into somebody
who would be a little bit spooked, but once it was explained to me,
and I had a fairly decent grasp of what to expect, and as long as the
leadership was confident in what they were doing, our people just
followed.
Higgins: Well, finally, after a couple of months of drilling, and
I think it was close to a year after Rainier was fired, because we
didn't start immediately, the drillers penetrated, unexpectedly, a
radioactive zone. That got radioactive debris into the tunnel, and
we had to shut down because the rad-safe people said, "You've
contaminated everything here." It was great news to me, but sad
news to the drillers.
I went down and tried to find some of the debris, along with
some of the people from the NTS-LLL contingent. We finally sorted
out a bunch of sand and stuff, and when we took it all apart a grain
The Rainier Event 45
at a time we could find some little black pieces of glass that seemed
to be more radioactive then the rest. It was radioactive enough to
be an annoyance, but not a big enough sample to do any kind of
measurements on. Maybe we could have, but we didn't try. But the
key thing that had happened was that we had penetrated into a
radioactive zone, and there was no high pressure steam in it. Now,
it was hot - - it was hot enough so if they shut off the circulation
water it would almost boil. The water that was coming out was too
hot to hold your hand in. But the drillers then had great confidence
it wasn't going to erupt, and so, within the next two weeks they
finally hit a mass of lava. It was black frothy rock, and they got cores
of it.
We found a piece of core that was gray and gunky, but it had
a radioactive peak in it. And I said, "I wonder why that is?" So,
I put a rubber glove on and squished it. I found little glass beads that
were pendant shaped. From the shape, and the fact that it was now
solid glass, we could infer that it had been hanging from something
at some time. We said, "If it was hanging from something, it must
have been in a void space. It was liquid, and it has the shape of a
liquid drop, so there couldn't have been anything against it."
And so we began to reconstruct that after the cavity had grown
underground it had stood there for a little while - - at least long
enough for these glass beads to solidify. By a process of reconstruc-
tion we worked out about how long that had to have been. We
confirmed that by measuring the ratio of some of the gas-precursed
radioisotopes that were included in those glass pendants to what
they were in unfractionated radioactive debris. It worked out that
it was something between one and a half and four minutes that this
glass had been pseudostable. The whole thing stood there before
the roof caved in.
We also looked at the amount of water that was dissolved in the
glass. Roy Goranson had produced a table, and published it back
in the thirties, of the solubility of steam in silica glass. If you
quenched a glass in water at ten bars of pressure, what percent of
that glass would be water, and how much water would remain as
vapor? He had the whole table of solubility of water in silica glass,
and we got the pressure of the Rainier cavity as being about 45 bars.
We observed that 45 bars was not all that different from the
overburden pressure, at that depth of burst. If one hypothesizes
that the steam expands until it's in equilibrium with the external
46 CAGING THE DRAGON
pressure, then all of the pieces balance. So, that became an adopted
hypothesis for containment; that the cavity size is such that the
pressure would equal the overburden pressure. It turns out that's
probably not right, exactly, but it was a good working hypothesis.
We now say stress instead of pressure, and it is probably even
correct.
The Rainier cavity was about fifty-five or fifty-six feet in radius.
That was the size it would have been if the material in the first meter
or so, around the explosion, were transformed into steam and other
gases, and they expanded until the pressure was somewhere near the
overburden pressure. That was the concept of a balloon, or bubble,
blowing up inside a pile of blocks, with no rock strength involved,
and that was pretty much what the model was that was used for a
lot of the early evaluations of containment. It's wrong, and it's
wrong in a lot of different ways, but it was extremely useful.
About a year or so after Rainier the Hardtack II series started,
and we sampled several other underground shots - - Logan, Blanca,
Evans, Neptune. We did not explore, in any detail, any of those
shots. We simply drilled enough to get rad-chem samples. We were
still going into the tunnel and drilling horizontally.
Carothers: When you were drilling horizontally, were you then
getting your samples from the bottom of the cavity, or from the
sides?
Higgins: They came from the bottom of the cavity. From what
we discovered on Rainier we designed the scaling law that says the
radius of the cavity is 55 times W to the 1/3 feet, with.W, the yield,
in kilotons. That was where we found the puddle that gave us a
good, big sample. So, the target we drilled for was based on design
yield and 55 times W to the 1/3 feet. We usually aimed a little
above that, with the idea that if we missed it on the high side, as the
drill progressed across the cavity it would go through the puddle on
the far side. And we would carefully log, and almost always saw two
blips on the radioactivity versus depth of penetration plot. And we
then said, "That's the cavity boundary." And on the far side we'd
say, "Well, the drill probably carried some radioactivity along with
it, so the far side is probably a little too far." So you subtract a little
from that, and do things like that.
The Rainier Event 47
we map these days; it was empty. What we did was back up from
this big open fault and mine the buttonhook, and they put the muck
from the ground zero room down into the fault. And it just
disappeared down there. We didn't have to haul it out to the portal
of the tunnel. That was a big fault.
The reason 1 bring the fault up is that in the post-shot
exploration that we did in such detail, we found that the center of
all of the energy, both the radioactive radius from ground zero, and
the thermal regime, was displaced by a couple of meters toward the
fault. It was clear that the presence of that fault influenced the
growth of the cavity, and there wasn't real symmetry. One would
like to say everything was symmetric about the detonation point,
but it really wasn't.
We also found that if you looked in detail, this cavity that we
were fond of drawing with a compass as a nice sphere really had
bumps and wiggles, and had cracks that went out. Some of those
cracks were filled with various and sundry bits of what had been
molten rock. We also found evidence of enough hot vapor having
gone out into some of the fractures to change the color of the rock
on each side of the fracture. It had boiled water out of the rock, but
there was no melt there. So, we knew that the simple picture of a
glass lined sphere, like a Japanese fishing float, the kind you see
hung in the seafood restaurants, really wasn't what the inside of the
cavity looked like. It was really pretty bumpy and wiggly, and
probably very leaky.
When we had the first core holes we saw the blip on each side
of where the cavity was, but when we mined that out we found a
jumble of slabs. They were mostly planar slabs of melt-covered
rocks, folded over each other. When the geologist identified where
these slabs had come from, it turned out they had come from a
hundred or so meters above the detonation point. Then we began
to have a picture that there was the growth of the cavity, then a
pseudo-stable period when it sat there and nothing happened except
some leaking of the high pressure gases pushing out, and then slabs
and bits and pieces falling in, jumbling in helter-skelter, and the
steam being quenched by pieces that were fairly large. It was not
a hail of small pieces of sand, but pretty big pieces that were falling
in, and the steam probably migrated some distance upward. In fact
we found evidence for some gas radioactivities in the rubble three
or four cavity radii above the detonation point.
The Rainier Event 49
And so they asked themselves, "How far can this loss of personnel
go before we lose the capability to resume, should we decide to
resume?"
There were a number of answers to the question, but among
the answers that emerged was the fact that there were other skills
than physics and mathematics and chemistry that we would be
losing, and one of those was our mining capability and our drilling
capability. Both of those skills had evolved well beyond, and
different from, the common industrial practice. In other words, any
miner wasn't adequate. Or any driller. Witness the fact that we'd
sat there and turned to the right with no forward progress on that
first Rainier hole for two months or so. It was a question of having
other kind of skills that were as important as the scientific skills.
So, during the moratorium, we spent a lot of effort trying to
understand what had happened in the Rainier cavity. The business
of what goes on in a cavity went through a history like that in a lot
of technical fields. There was the first evaluation, and a simple
model was generated, or invented, or selected from among a lot of
proposals. That model fit a lot of observations, so we said, "Okay,
we understand this part of the explosion phenomenology. We won't
devote much time to doing a lot more investigations, because they
are very difficult to do."
And they are difficult because the stress levels within the area
where the cavity is formed run not just to kilobars, but to megabars
and above. So, the measurement techniques must be very sophis-
ticated. The region that's involved is small, and things are diverging
very rapidly in space, so any measurement instrument has to be kind
of tiny. And everything goes on in extremely short periods of time,
so getting signals that are meaningful out from that region is
extremely difficult. Getting a fast signal out means a big co-ax, and
a big co-ax means a big void or something like that in the very small
region. That is kind of contradictory to the idea of measuring what
is happening in that region without disturbing it. There are a lot of
contradictory requirements, or conflicting requirements, when you
try to make such measurements.
Carothers: In your work on Rainier there were probably
several things you wanted to do. Certainly you wanted to do
radiochemical analyses to get the yield. What effort was devoted to
The Rainier Event 51
We took the glass, broke it into little chips, and examined them
under the microscope to find which had closed bubbles. We put
those in a vacuum system, heated them, and when the glass melted
the bubbles burst, and then we analyzed what the bubbles con-
tained. It turned out that what was in them was mostly water vapor,
which, I would say, was not surprising.
Carothers: You refer to the material you recover from the
cavity as "glass." Why do you call it that? It doesn't look like glass.
Higgins: No, it doesn't look like what we think of as glass, but
in fact it is glass. We had established that early through some work
with consultants at the Laboratory, in several ways. One was to take
some of the initial material we had recovered from Rainier, and do
physical measurements on it; measure its density, its index of
refraction, and so on.
When you look at it through a low power microscope, it is just
like window glass. The reason, when we look at it in a gross sense,
that it is all black is that it has a whole range of size of tiny bubbules
in it that absorb all the wave lengths of light. Plus there are some
inclusions of metals, and other things. If you look at it in a thin
section it doesn't look black any more. First, it looks sort of dark
green. As you get it thinner it begins to look yellow, and then when
you get it down very thin it's perfectly transparent. You can see
through it, with the individual bubbles in it visible. Those bubbles
are remnants of the steam that was in excess of that required for
saturation.
Professor George Morey of the United States Geological
Survey, who was then in his late seventies or early eighties, was
intrigued with the whole of the phenomenology of the creation of
lava. He had worked for many years as a geochemist, first in the
Geologic Survey, and then after his retirement, at the Carnegie
Institute. Then, when they forced him to retire, he went back as
Emeritus Scientist for the USGS.
He was very intrigued with the geochemical processes that go
on in ground water, and how hot water around volcanos and
fumaroles really transports earth from place to place at a very large
rate - - a lot larger than we mortals, who are here for an instant in
geologic time, realize. If that water is flowing from there to here,
it's also bringing along huge quantities of rock. And pretty soon,
as the water evaporates and goes away, the rock will grow here, and
54 CAGING THE DRAGON
today, are like two, three, four, up to tens of millions of years old.
Even so, there are still remnant glasses from the original volcanic
outpouring. Not a lot, but there are some.
A nuclear explosion converts the rock close around it to glass,
with minor, minor exceptions. And so the generic term is that the
"glass" is the initially molten material, from the shot, that cooled
very quickly. The amount of glass produced is like a kiloton per
kiloton of yield, and that's not too surprising. The energy in the
nuclear explosion is just about right so one kiloton of energy will
make one kiloton of molten rock. And that's what we find out.
Going back to what goes on the cavity, the other thing we
found in those little bubbles in the glass was hydrogen, and oxygen,
and a little bit of carbon monoxide, and a little bit of carbon dioxide.
There really isn't much carbon in the tuff; there wasn't in the Rainier
ground zero area. But, the timbers that held up the tunnel were
wood, and all the electronics had rubber and plastic insulation, and
plastic foam as a dielectric. If you added it all up, there was enough
carbon in the environment to explain the carbon dioxide in the
bubbles.
Now, how did the carbon get from plastic to carbon dioxide?
Well, if you have this big sea of electrons and atoms, the atom
doesn't know whether it came from plastic or rock. A lot of what's
around is water, which is hydrogen and oxygen. So, the carbon has
a high probability of combining with either oxygen, or even more
probably with hydrogen, because there are two hydrogens for every
oxygen, so hydrogen is the major material around. So, when you
put hydrogen with carbon, you get methane. The carbons have
some affinity for each other, so a lot of them go around as two's.
And when two's go together, then you get ethane. Sometimes
there's an oxygen, so that makes methyl alcohol, or methyl
formaldahyde. A whole suite of hydrocarbons gets formed, not
because they were there as hydrocarbons to begin with, but because
it's probable that they're going to become that in this sea of mostly
oxygen and hydrogen with the occasional carbon.
More frequently than carbon there's a silicon, or an aluminum
here and there, but not many. For every four oxygens there's one
aluminum, or iron, or silicon. So they go back together, and then
as they cool they continue to react with each other. One of the
things that Russ Duff has noted, and I think he is onto a very
56 CAGING THE DRAGON
if you average all the stuff together, is almost half water. Normal
tuff, they say, is fifteen percent water, twenty percent water. That's
by weight. The molecular weight of water is eighteen. The
molecular weight of rock is like sixty or seventy. So, if you take
twenty percent of something with a molecular weight of eighteen,
and mix it with eighty percent of something with a molecular weight
of seventy, the result is that there are more molecules of water than
molecules of rock. And so, if something is going to react, the odds
are just about even that it is going to react with something from
water, and something from rock. So, anything that's going to
happen is dominated by the water.
One thing we found on Rainier was some fragments of glass that
were formed by having been blown down a fracture, which then
squished off. We found such a fracture, and again we didn't
recognize its importance. We had this model of a smooth, round
cavity with a glass lining; we ignored the fact that at two and a half
cavity radii was a fracture containing some glass.
We found this fracture, and said, "Isn't that interesting? 1
wonder how that glass got down there. Well, it must have been a
fracture." A n d , everybody said, "Yes, it must have been a
fracture." But in all of the literature you don't find mention of the
glass-lined cavity having spikes radiating out from it, containing
products from the center. In the model we mentally smoothed the
ball off, and forgot that there were fractures from it.
The point was that in those fractures were glass fragments that
were frozen out while probably it was still in contact with the cavity,
and they had elemental iron, elemental copper, elemental uranium
in them. These metals are extremely reactive. With this sea of
oxygen atoms we should have said, "They shouldn't be there." But
they were there. Again, we ignored that. It was the exception that
should have said our general model was too gross. Chemically, a sea
of electrons is about the most reducing thing there can be. In fact,
you couldn't get the average chemist to comprehend what a mole
of electrons, just electrons, would do.
So, the clues were there. When the cavity forms dynamically,
this high stress Shockwave goes out, running way ahead of the
material. And we know, for example, that shock velocity is greater
than particle velocity, almost no matter how high the stress level of
58 CAGING THE DRAGON
the Shockwave is. So, as the shock goes out from the explosion
center, it runs ahead of the material, but the material that is behind
it is moving at still a pretty high velocity. The Shockwave is
irreversible; it leaves a portion of its energy behind as heat, which
causes this ionization-disassociation that's going on. There are more
electrons around than anything else, so everything wants to be
reduced to the elemental state, and then start combining. Mos(t of
the atoms that are present are oxygen, so most things end up as
oxides. It may sound contradictory to say that oxides are reduced,
but carbon monoxide is the reduced form, relative to carbon
dioxide, and elemental carbon, or graphite, or diamond, is even
more reduced.
So, the state of the cavity is highly reducing, and so, for
example, if there is copper around the copper will stay pretty much
as elemental copper. You don't see big globs of it because it's all
vapor, and when it condenses, it condenses a few atoms at a time,
dispersed throughout the glass. The black color of the glass is not
due to radiation, and it's not due to carbon; it's mostly due to
elemental lead and iron in the form of single, or a few, atoms.
What we should have learned, and should have known from the
Rainier fractures is that there was a period of time when the cavity
was growing, the boundaries were open, fractures were going out,
and the volume being interacted with was considerably larger than
that which we found when we calculated the steam pressure, and
calculated 50, or 55, W to the 1 /3rd as the cavity radius.
59
3
The Moratorium and the Return to Testing
Newman would talk to me, and they didn't talk to many others at
all. I was not allowed to know very many details. The part of it that
I knew was that we were doing things that required stemming and
containment, and we didn't dare make a mistake. It had to be
contained, and we had therefore to be super-conservative. It wasn't
like the Test Site. If something floats around here in Los Alamos,
everybody in town knows it. There's no way you can escape it. The
argument was that we didn't dare go to the Test Site. I thought that
was a bit odd, but that was my understanding. We had to do it here
because the Russians would know we were doing something if we
went somewhere else.
So, at Los Alamos we were learning a little something about
underground containment. We talked a lot about scaling laws. We
debated whether we needed a depth of burial where there wouldn't
be a crater, or what it was we did need. My recollection is we kept
debating what it meant, but with people like Campbell in the works
those kinds of subtleties were ofttimes scorned. Obviously what we
meant was that nothing comes out. So, at those very early times we
had already, in a way, defined containment as not one atom out.
There was nobody who told us to do it that way.
The scaling laws you could find in the literature were, of
course, for chemical explosions, which is actually what we were
dealing with, in a practical sense. So they were relevant, in a way.
As a result of all that we came to '61 with the conviction that 400
feet times the 1 /3rd power of the yield in kilotons was conservative,
and worked.
In summary, I would say that more happened during that
moratorium that's relevant to containment than you might think.
Even though it was hidden, and there weren't very many people
involved, there was a continuation of thought. I think we were more
ready to test underground than people remember.
There were other activities, at the Test Site, which contributed
to the ability to resume testing, should the need arise. Interestingly
enough, this effort, on the part of both Laboratories, went into the
preparation of underground sites, although the Nuclear Test Ban
Treaty was still several years in the future.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 61
Division were a bit more motivated and a bit more ambitious than
that, ambitious in the technical sense. They wanted to go out and
do things. They were young men, and they wanted to do things.
They didn't like being cooped up in an office.
The first year there were a number of things to clean up. There
was data from Hardtack II, and also Hardtack 1, to get into some kind
of shape. Only about half of that work actually got done, because
there was no interest from the design divisions, none whatever.
1 think it was in 1959 that 1 went over to England to look into
a number of things connected with the Joint Working Group we had
with them, and also go to one of the photomultiplier plants of EMI
to see what they had to offer. The people at AWRE were very nice,
and they took me through their test program building and their
laboratories. And let me tell you, you think we were in trouble.
Any of the offices that had anybody in them - - and there weren't
many, there were a lot of empty offices - - had a zombie. There was
just no motivation. There was one guy who was excited, because he
was working on image converter replacements for cameras, and he
was able to use it on HE shots. All the others, they were just sitting
there, waiting for the worm to turn, or whatever. It was dreadful.
In retrospect, what it tells you is that it is not unique to us when
something like that happens. It seems to be a universal kind of
syndrome. They don't want to spend money on us because they
don't see the point. I, at that time, with a vengeance, came to the
conclusion that if you don't have anything worthwhile for people to
do, close the program down, put them on something else with a long
string, and if the need arises, pull them back. They'll be happier and
more useful to you than if you let them sit and rot in their offices.
John Foster was the Director of the Livermore Laboratory in
1963, when the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty was signed. One of the
things that was considered to be important when the Treaty was
signed was that there should be a readiness program - - a formal
program to maintain a capability to resume atmospheric testing
should such testing, for whatever reason, become necessary. The
following words by Johnny Foster relate to that readiness, not to
containment.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 65
material on the Test Site, on the Mercury highway. That's okay, but
you can't move ammonium nitrate, because people have thought
about it. And that's the current kind of stuff we're stuck with.
Anyway, we transported all the HE for Scooter, a million
pounds, down from Hawthorne in twenty ton loads on commercial
trucks. It came in blocks - - it had all been melted and cast.
Hawthorne had so much of that stuff that it was unbelievable. We
also had a whole bunch of spheres made up, and Sandia has used
them for containment tests ever since - - two thousand pounds down
to eight pounds.
Well, we put in all of our instrumentation. We had a trailer
nearby that had a revetement around it to keep the air blast from
hurting it, and the rocks from falling on it. In addition to our
instrumentation we provided the electronics and the place to record
and handle the firing system performance, and people's checkouts
of all that. I was not responsible for the firing, but in a sense I was
involved because I helped hook up the firing set. Bernie Shoemaker
did it, and I helped him with that. Scooter was to be fired with a
pentalite booster block in the center of the charge. That block was
put in when the sphere was halfway installed. The detonators were
sent up from Albuquerque, and they were supposedly war reserve
detonators to be used with a regular firing set, and the people who
did this were the people who would ordinarily do a regular test, a
regular operation. There were extra dets for backups, and so on.
The trouble was somebody sent out sugar loads. They were
dummy dets that didn't have any booster in them. There was no
active final little blue booster to set off the pentalite; they just had
the little wires across the back. These were what was put in.
Everything was fine, except there was no explosive in the dets. We
found out, after they were in, and the HE was on top of them, what
had happened.
So, they sent out some more dets, of the same type. We took
them down to our trailer and said, "Let's fire these things and see
what happens." Bob Burton was in charge of doing this. The
thought was, could we put enough energy in there, to that little
wire, that we would get the pentalite to go. That was the idea, and
we tried. And so we proceeded on. On shot day Neal Thompston,
then head of AWRE was there, and whoever was head of the Atomic
Energy Commission at the time was there. Everybody was there.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 67
cables for three months. We were in the danger area, burning out
our cable the whole damn time. And they dried out finally. All but
the pressure measurements.
So, what did we end up with? We ended up with a lot of radial
accelerometer data that was outstanding. We ended up with some
good horizontal velocity gauge data. We were using the old SRI-
Sandia DX velocity gauge, which was capable of outstanding mea-
surements. It's not used anymore, because it's far too hard to use.
There were some surface measurements too. We made some
surface velocity measurements, and there were all kinds of photog-
raphy done. Scooter was really a very good experiment.
Carothers: There were a number of HE shots during the
moratorium.
Bass: Yes, and Sandia was doing all of those. There was the
Buckboard series in hard rock, for instance, during that period. And
there were a lot at Fort Peck. There is a lot of stuff in the literature
on those, but there is very, very little instrumentation data. Mostly
there are photographs of before and after, and throwout measure-
ments - - sticky-paper trays, and things like that. Vortman put out
beads all over everywhere, and they counted beads in various
samples they took after the shot. There were a lot of people,
including ones at Livermore, who got very excited about how the
crater lips were formed, and that sort of thing. Cratering was a big
thrust. Vortman was digging canals, out on the Yucca dry lake. I
stayed as far away from that program as I could; I wasn't too
interested in that.
The moratorium on testing ended in September of 1961. Fol-
lowing the atmospheric detonation of a Soviet device with a yield of
over 50 megatons as the first of a series of Soviet atmospheric tests,
President Kennedy ordered the resumption of testing at the Test
Site. There was the proviso that the tests should be carried out
underground, unless a specific exception was approved. The first
event at the NTS following the moratorium was the Livermore 2.6
kiloton Antler test, fired on September 15, 1961 in a tunnel. It was
followed by Shrew, a Los Alamos safety test in a drill hole, fired on
September 16, 1961. Both events released measurable amounts of
activity; the activity released from Antler was detected off site, that
from Shrew was not.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 69
tell you before we shoot again." And they did. They told us the
day before. I think they did what was perfectly legal in the eyes of
the State Department. We had the same option.
They certainly didn't try to conceal it. But Kennedy was irate,
and he called here and said, "How soon can you get a bomb off?"
We must have gotten that call the first week in September, and I
believe our answer was, "We can do an underground shot in one of
our vertical holes in a week." The problem was, that was in no way
a quid pro quo. To do a few kilotons in an underground shot in
Nevada was certainly not equivalent to fifty megatons or so. But,
that's what we were ready to do, that's what we said we could do,
and Shrew, our first shot, was not very long after that.
The point is, we were ready to do that very quickly because we
did indeed have vertical holes ready. And, we knew, or guessed,
how big a yield we could fire in them.
So, through '61 and '62 we did some shots, and we were
gathering information. Before we had the underground treaty in
'63 we had satisfied ourselves that we could get the necessary data
we wanted by testing underground. We had gotten enough infor-
mation to know how to do that. And that was due to AI Graves, and
Campbell, and Newman, in my view. 1 would name those three
people as having done the necessary thinking and preliminary work
to allow us to go that way fairly easily, and in a straightforward
manner.
One of the projects that was significant for containment was
the attempt by people at Livermore to develop a way to collect so-
called prompt rad chem samples. The concept was that there would
be an open pipe running from the device to some collecting station
on the surface outside the tunnel, or by the top of the emplacement
hole. There a sample of the device debris would be collected,
essentially at the time of the detonation, and returned to the Labo-
ratory for analysis. The work following the moratorium was basi-
cally a continuation of the work Gary Higgins had started during
Hardtack II.
There is little question that this effort led to at least two major
ventings. Dick Heckman, a chemical engineer, was in charge of the
field effort to design the pipes and other hardware that were to
collect these samples.
72 CAGING THE DRAGON
Eel event - the black cloud behind the white plume is the mud and cables ejected from the hydrodynamic *
yield hole.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 75
In the pictures there are three distinct venting paths that can be
seen, The first is from the rad chem sampling hole that led to the
mesa top. As was mentioned above, material was released there
within the first millisecond. The second release occured through a
hole that ran from the the face of the mesa down to the tunnel, and
can be seen as a plume that appears before the venting from the
portal develops. The purpose of this hole was basically to protect
the diagnostic film in the trailers near the portal. The thought was
that if there was venting into the tunnel, the pressure would be
relieved by having an open hole from the tunnel to the mesa face.
Hopefully, such pressure relief would allow the door near the portal
to remain intact, and so prevent radioactive material from blacken-
ing the diagnostic films in the trailers near the portal. The third, and
major release, was from the portal after the gas-seal door had been
forceably ejected.
Des Moines; Fired in Tunnel U12j on June 13, J 962. The plume from the initial venting
through the vertical radiochemistry sampling hole, which occurred within millisconds,
can be seen at the top of the mesa.
78 CAGING THE DRAGON
± 'Mi
77ie second release path was through the pressure relief hole, and occurred within
seconds. Material is beginning to vent from the portal, lower left.
•f ' • V» -Vfi
• •a
'»rj
*P*#M^M&
/is f/ie venting was established out the portal, the first two vent paths became less
important.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 79
A
!r» i -
K^'
MMKaP^-itt>, »
. • ' »7 '
' - J
. .1
.^'-
t;-'-i
TTiere WOJ essentially no cloud rise. The sandbag stemming and the material scoured
from the tunnel itself stayed close to the ground.
80 CAGING THE DRAGON
There were between one and two hundred people in the area at shot time. At about ten
minutes it seemed prudent to leave the scene.
but containment was not a major part of the discussions. After the
Limited Test Ban Treaty was ratified in October in October, 1963,
the Eagle event vented. Considered as a probable violation of the
treaty, the event triggered additional discussions on containment at
various levels in the Laboratories, and in the AEC. From these, the
Test Evaluation Panel was formally established in December.
The Panel consisted of consultants, and persons furnished by
LASL, LRL, Sandia, DOD, the Public Health Service, and the AEC.
The USGS furnished the geologic information. The purpose of the
Panel was to "review all data pertinent to the containment aspects
of each planned nuclear test; then, based on these data, to assign the
test to one of the risk categories defined below."
The TEP had three categories, much as the CEP does, but there
the similarity ends. The TEP Category A, in 1966, was "Under-
ground nuclear tests which, on the basis of experience, should not
release a significant amount of radioactive material. It must be
understood that, even in this category, unforeseen conditions may
develop which result in the release of detectable levels of radioac-
tivity at the border." The NVO Planning Directive for 1964 said,
"The emplacement and firing of devices will be designed to result
in containment in all cases where this requirement is not inconsis-
tent with the technical objectives."
Cliff Olsen, long time Livermore containment scientist, made
these comments about the TEP:
Olsen: The people who tended to be at the TEP meetings were
the Test Group Directors, and they presented the shots. The
presentations were very rudimentary. There was a data sheet, and
maybe a Iine-of-sight pipe layout, or a stemming drawing. Often
there was no stemming drawing, because we had generic stemming
plans. There was LASL 5, or LASL 2 at that time. We would have
our stemming plan, which was pea gravel with fifty feet of sand
halfway up, and fifty feet of sand at the surface, and that was our
stemming plan. So, there was no need for a drawing, because they
were all the same. The TEP got into reviewing the designs of
particular features a lot more than the CEP does. In a sense, they
would suggest changes, and they would actually review mechanical
designs - - why don't you do this, why don't you do that. And design
changes to the hardware were made as a result of the TEP.
84 CAGING THE DRAGON
One of the things with the TEP, which 1 guess was sort of
indicative of the climate at the time, was there were three catego-
ries, A, B, C, and C was, "Underground nuclear tests which are
expected to release a significant amount of radioactive material."
There was no particular onus to getting a C. It simply meant that
you made different notifications before you shot it. It had nothing
to do with whether you were going to execute the event. It wasn't
that somebody in Washington or Germantown was going to have a
hemorrhage when he saw it. It was just the design of the event.
One venting in particular, from the Pike event, fired March 13,
1964, has had a major and continuing impact on the Test Program.
The fallout projections for following events have been based on the
"Pike Model," which means that the possible fallout from the
proposed shot is scaled to the readings that were obtained in the Pike
fallout pattern according to the yield ratio of the two events. The
basic assumption is that the proposed shot will release the same
fraction of the activity that Pike did.
Brownlee: Pike has cost all of us enormous amounts of time,
and effort, and money, and I think needlessly. That is a thing I have
never been able to communicate to N VO in modern times. You see,
one of the things everybody forgets is that we had a Iine-of-sight
pipe on Pike. It didn't come to the surface, so people forget that
it was there. And, since it didn't come to the surface, although it
went a substantial distance, it had no closures or anything. That
pipe was one of the key factors. Another was that Pike was expected
to have a maximum credible yield of a certain value - - not very
large, but definitely not a safety shot. Well, it went over one and
half times the max cred. And then, it was in a very shallow hole;
400 feet or so.
What I knew about it was that it had this predicted max cred,
and the pipe was so long and so big. I said, "A lot of energy is going
to come to the top of that pipe." I did not realize that there was
any chance that the yield could go higher than what I was told, or
I would have hollered. I knew that it was in a shallow hole, so that
bothered me as it was. Another thing I did not know was that when
they drilled that hole they had run into what I called hourglass sand.
And guess where that layer of sand was - - which I found out after
the shot. It was right at the top of that pipe.
The Moritorium and the Return to Testing 85
4
The Beginnings of Containment Programs
because part of the path was already plugged. When the experi-
menters got to be a little less grabby about wanting everything it
sometimes made things easier. But a lot of it was trial and error.
The Baneberry event, detonated December 18, 1970. IOKt, hole U8d.
92b
The Beginnings of Containment Programs 93
containment group was formed. I don't think people realized it, but
we didn't see much more of the Hupmobile type releases on our
Iine-of-sight shots after we formed the containment group.
The Baneberry event, detonated on December 18, 1970 with a
yield of 10 kilotons, was the watershed in the history of containment.
It was fired in an emplacement hole in Area 8, and had a vertical,
non-divergent line-of-sight pipe. It vented spectacularly through a
fissure, a little over three minutes after the device was fired. The
cloud of dust and debris rose some 12,000 feet, and was reported to
have been seen by people at the N VO offices in Las Vegas. The total
release is today given as 6,900,000 curies (H+12 hours). Interest-
ingly, almost all of the activity was the volatile and gaseous ele-
ments, so there was little fallout deposition from Baneberry. The
integrated total activity in the fallout pattern, on the ground, was a
small fraction of that in the Pike pattern.
The wind patterns before the shot indicated the transport of any
effluent to the northeast, and so the Area 12 camp, to the west of the
shot site, had not been cleared of the people staying there. However,
surface winds carried some of the activity to the west. During the
time it took to alert the people in the camp, and to clear the area, a
number of people received radiation exposures, and some of those
filed lawsuits in the following years, alleging damage to their health
and longevity.
The AEC allowed no more detonations for some six months
while a committee, called the Vinceguerra Committee, after the
Chairman, examined the causes of the venting, and the method of
operations at the Test Site. In the report of the committee several
recommendations were made for changes in the way future test
operations should be carried out, and how improvements could be
made in the way the containment aspects of an event were evaluated.
One of the recommendations was that the Test Evaluation Panel
should be reconstituted, and a new Charter developed for the new
Panel. The Containment Evaluation Panel, as the new Panel was
called, consisted of a Chairman, one member and an alternate
nominated by each of LASL, LRL, Sandia, DNA, USGS, and the
Desert Research Institute. In addition, provision was made for the
Manager, NVO, to appoint one or more consultants. Members
94 CAGING THE DRAGON
just knew that there were some things about the site that were
unusual, and that was our cause for worry. But we didn't have any
theory as to why we were worried. We were just worried because
it was new and different. Without having a really logical, well
thought out reason for delaying things, it was hard to give credence
to our fears.
Carothers: You might contrast that with today, almost twenty-
five years later. Today if the containment group said, "We have
fears and we don't know the answers," you would be listened to
more, I believe.
Hudson: I think there's no doubt about it. The attitude today
is that we have to demonstrate why somebody's fears aren't really
a problem. In those days somebody had to demonstrate why a fear
was a problem. Today we're almost in the position of having to
prove negatives. ]ust the opposite was true in the past. Then we
had to prove that there was a problem. Today we have to
demonstrate that there's not a problem - - as well as we can.
Recognizing the changes that were taking place, and the strong
requirements that were being developed for complete containment,
Los Alamos organized a formal containment group in 1970. Bob
Brownlee had been working on the containment of underground
events since 1956. In 1966 he was joined by Carl Keller, and they
did a number of calculations and experiments related to line-of-
sight shots, but it was not until after Baneberry that a containment
group, per se, was formed.
The people who were in J-9 were Brownlee, Bob Sharp, Carl
Keller, and a few other folks, probably less than ten, that Brownlee
had assembled from other groups in the Laboratory. So we had this
little cadre of dedicated personnel who were to do "containment,"
whatever that was. I didn't know anything about containment
except probably how to spell it.
At that time, in early 1971, we were in the six months test
moratorium mandated by the Atomic Energy Commission post-
Baneberry. Now we were supposed to have information, geological
information, about the shot sites. All the emplacement holes that
Los Alamos had in inventory were cased. How can we do site
characterization and examine the material properties in a cased
hole? So, we initiated a drilling program for exploratory holes, in
close proximity to the emplacement holes, that could be sampled
and logged.
We initiated our program of exploratory drilling, and sampling,
and so forth. Because we didn't have the necessary expertise to do
the geologic analysis, the data went to the USGS at Denver, where
Evan Jenkins and Paul Orkild and their people did the analysis. The
USGS would then put together a site characterization package - - the
cross sections and the whole nine yards. Livermore at that time was
able to do those kinds of things in-house, because they had the
necessary personnel. Billy Hudson and Cliff Olsen had been doing
containment work for a few years, and they were our distant
colleagues in this new, for me, world.
It was a real circus in those early days of 1971 while we were
still learning the containment business. We didn't have any
designated presenter for the events that came before the new
Containment Evaluation Panel, as Livermore did. As I recall, Billy
Hudson was the designated presenter. And we had no containment
scientists as we know today, or event managers, as some people call
them when they're trying to figure out what a containment scientist
is. Well, how do we do this thing, which we had never done?
The very First event that was presented by Los Alamos to the
CEP was a shot in Area 3. Bob Brownlee sat at the CEP table and
read the prospectus to the Panel. 1 was sitting in the audience along
with essentially all the rest of J-9, there being only a few of us, and
that's how the presentation was made. The USGS sat in the
The Beginnings of Containment Programs 99
and Don Kerr, a former ] Division staffer from years before, took
over as Director. One of the very first things he did was to dissolve
J Division, the field test organization. He spread out the groups that
were in ] Division to other divisions, such as WX, weapons engineer-
ing. Then they looked at the containment group and said, "What
shall we do with these guys?" Well, Brownlee was then the
geosciences division leader, and that seemed like the right place to
be. We do geoscience stuff, and Brownlee is known in our
Laboratory as the father of containment at Los Alamos, and so let's
put these guys, the J-9 guys, over there in G Division, and call them
G something or other.
I've forgotten why they chose to dissolve J Division. It was
much to the dismay of the people in ] Division. We all ended up
working for other existing divisions in the Laboratory. The diagnos-
tic guys were all put in the Physics Division, and they were called the
weapons physics guys. The field engineering and rack design guys
were put in WX, under a management they had not previously been
associated with.
Kunkle: I was hired by J-9, but when the paperwork was done
the group called itself G-6. By the time I showed up in 1980 it was
calling itself G-5. According to rumor that was because Don Kerr,
the then Director, decided to get rid of] Division, the field testing
division, in the fall of 1979 because'he was concerned that a
comprehensive test ban would soon be enacted, and a field testing
division would be something easily clipped out of the budget. So he
decided to - - I wouldn't say hide - - submerge those activities in
other divisions. One of the divisions created, an artificial division,
was G, the Geology Division, and Bob Brownlee became the division
leader of that.
House: Actually, J-9, the containment group, came out best,
because we were reassociated with our former boss, and that worked
out reasonably well for us, and for the containment organization.
There were three supporting groups, discipline oriented. There
was geology and geochemistry, geophysics, and something called
geoanalysis, which we just called computer jocks. So we were in
some common organization which has metamorphosed through
being called Geosciences, then Earth and Space Sciences, to now
being called Earth and Environmental Sciences.
161 CAGING THE DRAGON
up and you present the standard set of viewgraphs, and you make
the standard apple pie and Chevrolet arguments. But the fact
remains that you are having your containment plan reviewed by, not
a peer group, but a group of experts in the field of underground
testing. While it may seem like the same old stuff, every time we
go to a Containment Evaluation Panel presentation, granted it is
repetitive, you will find that each containment scientist is extremely
sensitized and concerned about the design they have put together.
And not just to get it approved.
Carothers: When a person does a presentation, in front of
friends and peers from his or her own Laboratory, and people from
a couple of other, may I say possibly competing organizations, and
from various other places, there are going to be questions about
various aspects of the plan. Basically that person doesn't want to
look stupid. I wouldn't want to stand up there and make a fool of
myself.
House: 1 know what you mean. I've been there, ]im. But
consider this. Both Laboratory containment staffs have what we call
pre-CEP meetings. Or you could refer to them as dry runs for the
presentation. The way we like to view it is that it's a heck of a lot
easier to take flak here at home, from your peer group, and be
prepared, and be able to answer the majority of questions that
presumably might be posed to you, versus doing it in front of the
Panel. I likened the CEP presentation, to Brownlee, and mind you
this was back when I was doing them all, in many cases one a month,
especially during the high yield test series in '76, to be like
defending your doctoral thesis once a month.
It's a pretty stressful situation, and sure you don't want to look
bad, and sure you'd like to get your event properly categorized and
approved. But by golly, when push comes to shove and the Panel,
as a whole, or as a individual Panel member, finds something that
is unsuitable, whether it isn't understood, or what have you, we
better to step back and take another look rather than try to move
forward with something that might cause a problem at shot time.
And, you don't want to present something that might not make
it through the detonation authority process. I can remember one
time when the Chairman's recommendation to the Manager, and
The Beginnings of Containment Programs 107
the four in a row in '66. I don't think it was so much a big concern
about the fact that we were releasing a little radiation to the
atmosphere. It was the loss of the experiments, and our credibility.
I think that has always been a factor, and still is.
About that time we formed what we called the Stemming And
Containment Panel Junior, or SACPAN Junior, which was a working
group. It was a real mixture. There was Court McFarland from
headquarters DNA, who was an aeronautical engineer, but very
interested in materials behavior. There was Ben Grody, who had a
doctor's degree in geology, and Bob Bjork, who was, and is, an
excellent physicist, myself, and jerry Kent. That group, in my
opinion, really turned our containment program around. I think
that group was the real foundation of the DNA containment
program.
When Baneberry happened we were working on Misty North.
We were also getting ready to field Diagonal Line. We had to go and
present a risk-benefit analysis for the Diagonal Line shot to get
permission to Fire it, because some guy named Jim Carothers, on the
Panel, said it was going to leak. Actually that turned out to be good,
because it did leak, and we had gone through it, and they had okayed
it with that possibility in mind. So, they weren't surprised. We also
had to do that for Misty North, because there wasn't a whole lot of
confidence. Fortunately, that one contained.
We also had the presentations we had to make to the CEP, and
there were problems with some of the early shots when we presented
our material, in getting our ideas across about what we were trying
to do. I was talking to Carl Keller one day, and we were kicking ideas
about this problem back and forth. He said something about vessels,
and I said, "You know, it might be worth thinking about that." So,
it was when he and I were talking that the seed was planted, I think.
I decided there had to be a logical way to present this material, so
you could say, "That will be coming in this section here." So, I sat
down and I said, "Okay, we've got three vessels, nested together,
and each one backing up the ones inside it." So, I started writing
up the presentation based on the three vessel concept. I made out
the outlines, and then went back and started writing how you would
do it. They're still using some of the same words today.
110 CAGING THE DRAGON
After the recess it was, "We'll provide you with any of the
information you want." It was pretty clear where the concept that
the mechanical closures were not containment features came from,
because for many years thereafter )oe LaComb still insisted that the
MAC's were not containment features. I never agreed with him on
that point, and so we always described them fully in the CEP
documents.
One of the concerns was that it handicapped the Test Director
to have all these non-containment features included in the
containment presentation. But it was decided by the Panel that
those features were important to containment. And the Panel was
right. You can say with confidence that after Mighty Oak those
features were thought to be very important. So, that's an old
concept that's been abandoned, but I don't think DNA totally
abandoned it until a couple of years ago.
When I came to DNA their containment program was really
being managed by S-Cubed. There was no Containment Scientist,
and had not been one for over a year. DNA was doing as well as they
could with the few military people they had, some of whom were
quite new to the business. I wouldn't say they were desperate, but
they were really being controlled by the contractors. DNA had very
little in the way of technical capability in-house, so they really relied
almost completely on their contractors, and S-Cubed was happy to
step in and supply all the advice the DNA needed.
For me it was a totally new environment, dealing with contrac-
tors, because when I was at Los Alamos contractors were considered
second-class citizens; rude, mercenary, science-for-hire kind of
people. They are still mentioned with a sneer. It was at DNA that
I discovered that contractors did offer far more than you'd ever
believe from the way they were considered at Los Alamos. I found
they really were responsive, partly because you controlled the purse
strings, but also because they were very capable. My whole staff was
essentially contractors, and over the next ten years I gained a great
deal of respect for them.
The whole concept of contracting for support does isolate you
a bit from your staff, but you do define what the deliverable is to
be, and what the price will be, and what the schedule will be. I found
that I got results from the contractors much more predictably than,
say, a program manager at Los Alamos would get from his staff.
112 CAGING THE DRAGON
That's because his staff might be scattered all over the Laboratory,
and he was always competing with other programs in the Laboratory
for the attention of those people he needed.
I found 1 very much enjoyed the contracting process as a way
of doing a program. It really worked, and we got a lot of good
results, though I was always worried when the contractors agreed
with me. Was it because 1 had control of the money, or was it
because they thought I was correct? And 1 was never sure.
113
there and, for example, we would never have had room for the
British. All kinds of things would have been different. It's really
true, I think, that the selection of the Test Site actually was a
branching point in history. We took that new road without ever
knowing why or what we were doing, but I feel it was a very
fundamental action.
As an aside, we are in the process of losing the Test Site for
underground testing, and no one seems to know or care. The
majority of the NVO budget is now devoted to things other than
underground testing. And their interests are in Waste Management
and various other kinds of things. They don't mind bringing in all
kinds of people, and building new things, and doing new experi-
ments. They would sell off any part of the Test Site to keep NVO
green, and they have so cluttered up the Test Site with other kinds
of activities, which are now sacred, that it's increasingly difficult to
get a shot off.
And you haven't seen anything yet. I actually challenged one
of the Assistant Managers at NVO a few months ago, and said, "I
believe the biggest threat that we have to the Test Site is NVO. It's
not the people on the borders. It's not Las Vegas. It's not the anti's.
It's ourselves. We're our biggest enemies." I didn't know whether
I could get away with saying that, but he pondered it a while and
said, "I see what you mean, and I believe you're right. We really
have plans for doing all kinds of things." They're preparing for a
moratorium, and so they're going to do all kinds of things.
They imported a lot of activities during the last moratorium.
And when we go into another test moratorium, which I figure will
come one of these days, I don't believe we'll ever go back to being
able to use the Test Site again. I've said what I think are the
characteristics of the Site that are to our advantage, and I believe
that there is hardly anybody in NVO who understands them. They
do not appreciate what they have. They do not appreciate what it
means to have such a place.
I believe that as long as there's a nuclear stockpile we have to
have the ability to address questions which may arise. That might
be continued testing, or it might not. It might mean a nuclear test,
or it might not. I'm talking about questions which may arise, and
we have to have a place where we can go to answer them.
Nowadays, I visualize that being underground. Even chemical
The Nevada Test Site 117
you need to answer in space are not those questions, and they could
be answered easily in Nevada. So, 1 think we ought to preserve the
Test Site for space research, strangely enough.
Carothers: That does seem strange.
Brownlee: But let me use this analogy; I said we originally
thought of using the Test Site on the way to the Pacific. I think we
ought to use the Test Site on the way to space. And so I'm not really
talking about space experiments, I'm talking about some stepping
stones on the way there. And for reasons that are lost to me, there's
almost nobody who understands that yet, although I think they will
in time.
DNA is leading us there. I think they're leading us in that
direction, and eventually these things will occur to people. Now,
when they do, will the Test Site be available? I'm afraid it won't be,
and so that gives me grave concern.
What I'm doing here is taking an exceedingly broad view, and
I know that. Let me summarize all this up by saying, "I think we need
to look at the Test Site with much broader, much wider-angled
glasses than we have the habit of doing." I feel very strongly about
that, but unfortunately I can't convert anybody.
From the first detonations at the Test Site in 1951 until 1957,
when the first underground shots were fired, the geologic structure
of the Test Site was of little importance. There were a number of air
drops, devices were placed on towers, suspended from balloons,
fired on the surface, and two that were emplaced at the modest
depths of 12 and 67 feet. The only information about the geology
that was required was enough to allow the design of the footings for
the towers.
In the Plumbbob operation in 1957 the first underground
events were fired. It began to matter what lay beneath the surface,
for the tunnels that were being dug and the emplacement holes that
were being drilled.
Twenhofel: In the early days there were two aspects of Survey
work here. One was ground water contamination. What was the
water table like, and where was it. So there was some drilling done,
and ground water testing. The contamination of water was the
impetus for that. The other thing was mapping. There were some
early explorers who came through the country, and there were
120 CAGING THE DRAGON
In the Flats there are about nine hundred holes that have given
information we can use. Up on the Mesa, perhaps a hundred.
Nowhere else in the world do you have a buried volcanic caldera
with that much exploration. It's just unreal. Nobody else can afford
it.
Carothers: Probably not. Well, the Department of Energy
hasn't done that just for you geologists, out of the goodness of its
heart. Do you get a good amount of information out of those holes?
]enkins: Oh yes. And as time goes on, more information is
gotten out of them. When I first got here we were getting caliper
logs and drill-hole bit cuttings; occasionally some core. That was
about it. Now we know something about the magnetic properties
of the rock. We have good information on the density of the units,
in situ, and of course the electrical resistivity logging has developed
as time has gone on, but we don't really use all that we could of that.
We can get the in-situ water contents now. There's the thorium-
potassium ratio from the logs, and in our work that helps in
determining which units have clay. The technology has developed
by leaps and bounds since I got here. It's a real opportunity.
Carothers: From the point of view of the person selecting a site
for an event, it appears that you could consider the Test Site as made
up of three general areas. There's the Yucca Flat area, which is deep
alluvium over tuffs, there's Rainier Mesa, which has extensive layers
of tuffs, and then there is Pahute Mesa, which has various lava flows
throughout.
Orkild: That's correct.
Carothers: How would you describe Rainier Mesa?
Orkild: It's a mesa of layered volcanic rocks. They were laid
down essentially horizontally; some by water and some by air, and
compacted into a very cohesive mass of rock.
Off to the west there were a couple of volcanos, and they were
spewing ash and debris out. Some of that was flowing with the wind
and settling out as dust. Other material that was blown up further
came down as big clots, and some came down as hot glowing ash.
These volcanos were to the west of the Test Site proper, over in what
we call the Timber Mountain area, but the actual source for those
rocks we don't know. There were never actual lava flows on Rainier,
because it's too far away from the sources.
124 CAGING THE DRAGON
The later rocks, like the Rainier Mesa tuff, came from the
Timber Mountain Caldera. The Grouse Canyon tuffs came from the
Silent Canyon Caldera. Those calderas are very close — only ten,
twenty miles away. On Pahute Mesa you're very close to the
sources of all of the lavas, so you do have flows and pillows — one
going out to the west, one going to the east, some going to the
south, some going over the top of others, and so on.
What you're looking at in Rainier are the outflow sheets from
those volcanic features. Some of the material rolled and surged
down the mountainside, and came to rest in the place where Rainier
Mesa is today. Time went on, and some thirteen, fourteen million
years ago, maybe ten, Yucca Flat started to subside, and left Rainier
Mesa as a high monolith, essentially as you see it. Its formation was
accelerated by erosion, and the cliffs formed, and the rocks from the
face fell into the flats. In Yucca, the faults that go down through the
valley occasionally move over time, and form scarps, and the valley
spreads a little more and settles some more. It is still moving today.
Carothers: On Rainier Mesa there is a layer of hard rocks - - the
cap rock. Is that why Rainier Mesa is there?
Orkild: That's right. It has preserved Rainier Mesa itself, being
a hard rock. Essentially what the Rainier Mesa cap rock is doing is
protecting the very vitric, soft Paintbrush Tuff beneath it. Now,
that cap rock, the Rainier Mesa member, has a lot of vertical
fractures in it, due to the way it was formed. As it cooled, it shrunk
and formed into square blocks and polygonal blocks, and that's very
typical of that type of rock unit deposit. You see the same thing on
Pahute Mesa. You would see the same thing beneath Yucca Flat, if
you could see through the alluvium. It is what happened to any of
the units that are welded, or have some form of welding. They start
as a very hot layered mass, which sticks together and compacts, and
then as it cools it cracks.
Carothers: There have been a number of tunnels that have
been mined into Rainier. Are they all being put into the same block
of material?
Orkild: Essentially. They're all in the Tunnel Beds. There are
very different units in the Tunnel Beds, but essentially they are all
the same rock types. Except P tunnel, which is much higher in the
stratigraphic section. It's up in what we call the Paintbrush, which
The Nevada Test Site 125
is above the Tunnel Beds. But I don't think those tuffs are very
different. The physical properties are very, very similar. The
porosity might be higher in some of them, especially as you get into
the upper units that are not as welded, not as altered. This is also
true of any event down in Yucca Flat, or in Pahute.
Carothers: What are Paleozoic rocks?
Orkild: They are the older rocks that form the basement of the
Yucca Flat, and the whole Test Site, essentially. They are the
limestones, or the dolomites, or the shales. They were there before
the volcanos — many, many millions of years before the volcanos.
Carothers: There might have been a time when I could have
walked around on them. What would they have looked like?
Orkild: Just like the Rocky Mountains. And then there were
the eruptions which filled the various valleys and troughs.
Carothers: In Yucca Flat, are the tuffs below the alluvium the
same rocks that are in Rainier Mesa?
Orkild: Essentially. The tuffs have exactly the same strati-
graphic sequence on Rainier Mesa as'you have on Yucca Flat. Once
upon a time they were connected. The Grouse Canyon was a layer
that was deposited probably all over Yucca Flat and Rainier Mesa.
Now you find it on the top of Oak Spring Butte, and also many
thousands of feet below in Yucca Flat.
Carothers: So, most of the things that you say about the tuff
units on Rainier Mesa should also be true of the tuff units in Yucca.
Orkild: That's correct. The alteration is very much the same.
The physical properties are very, very similar. And very likely there
are blocks just like those in Rainier Mesa.
Jenkins: Right under the alluvium in Yucca Flat is the Rainier
Mesa member, which is the same ashflow tuff that you find on
Rainier Mesa and on Pahute.
Carroll: With one exception, which is the alteration phenom-
enon. That stuff has been there for twelve, fourteen million years.
Having been there that length of time, there's another imprint that
goes upon the rock. That's the effect of moisture, and of heat.
There is water coming down and creating accessory minerals — the
clays, and the zeolites. And although one argues in certain places
126 CAGING THE DRAGON
that this is Tunnel Bed A, and that is Tunnel Bed A, in Area 3 it may
not be altered as opposed to the bed in Area 9. Stratigraphy to me
has always been a problem, because 1 don't like people to tell me the
name of a rock. Like "metasediment," which is a popular term, I
think, in the Soviet Union now. That name means nothing to me
as a geophysicist. What is it? Tell me the density, tell me the
porosity, tell me something more than a name you've made up.
Rambo: In terms of material properties, those rocks beneath
the alluvium in Yucca may have had a whole different experience
than the ones in Rainier. It's the same ashfall, but from the materials
properties view I think there are some differences. If you do shear
strength measurements on the tuffs in the tunnels, they will look
quite a bit different from the measurements we do out in the Flat.
And take the Grouse Canyon layer. Out in the Flat that means
something highly porous, and usually to us means something very
weak. In the tunnels it is a very strong, highly welded member, and
1 wouldn't say it had anywhere near the same gas-filled porosity as
in the Flats. But it's the same low density unit.
Miller: I never did consider the tuff directly beneath the
alluvium in Yucca to be the same as Rainier Mesa tuff. It drills
differently. The Rainier Mesa tuff you run into in Area 12, and
Areas 19 and 20, is one hard rock. Whatever is underneath the
alluvium in Yucca Flat is not a hard rock. It's not that much more
difficult to drill than the alluvium. The fact is, often times the
penetration rate was not that much different than the alluvium. In
Yucca, where you usually hit the hard drilling is when you hit the
Paleozoic; when you hit the limestone or dolomite. The tuff
underneath the alluvium in Yucca Flat is a different rock than you
find in Area 20.
Carothers: In Yucca, how thick is this layer of Rainier Mesa
tuff?
Jenkins: It's quite variable. On the east side of the valley it's
quite thin — maybe a hundred feet. In the thickest part of the Flat,
where the unit is thickest, probably close to five hundred feet. And
on Pahute Mesa it's very much a thousand feet thick all over. The
Rainier is the surface unit there.
The Nevada Test Site 127
Carothers: At the Test Site there are many faults, cracks that
show that movement has taken place.
The Nevada Test Site 131
have contained if the fault hadn't been there I can't say for sure, but
it certainly was the easiest path. The shaft was clean above that
point.
Carothers: There are people who say, "The geology at the Test
Site really doesn't matter as far as containment goes, except in
exceptional circumstances. We have fired so many shots that we've
probably encountered just about every kind of material and situa-
tion that you can imagine. If it mattered it would have got us by
now." I emphasize they mean that statement only with respect to
the Test Site, not the world in general.
Orkild: I agree that if you bury shots deep enough you don't
have any problems.
Carothers: Well, that's true, I think. If you have all the money
you want, and all the time you want, you can certainly do that. But
coaxial cable is expensive. Casing is expensive. Drill holes are
expensive. And when you get down below the water table it begins
to get very expensive. So, that's the kind of statement that is true,
but it's not very helpful in the real world. But certainly we have
encountered many different kinds of geologic situations, wouldn't
you say, on those many shots that haven't leaked?
Orkild: Yes, but there are certain combinations of geologic
conditions that can get you. Baneberry is an example.
Rimer: Take Barnwell. There was a case where the containment
lore about geology doesn't matter came close to being disproved.
John Rambo was the containment scientist. It scared him enough
that he had people go there and take cores, and measure strength.
I'm sure he got a lot of flak. He did a number of calculations, and
we did hydrofracture calculations, and everything said that the thing
was going to be contained. We came to the CEP with that
information, and I forget who, but somebody said, "We've never
had a problem with a shot of this size at that depth of burial.
Therefore, we don't need to listen to these calculations."
The bottom line was, the thing was going to be contained, but
it was going to be contained with the potential for a hydrofracture
going much higher in the section that we had ever hypothesized
before from a tamped event. I emphasize tamped event, rather than
a cavity event.
The Nevada Test Site 135
same thing with the gravity. We show what the configuration of the
Paleozoic surface will be, and send it on to the Labs. That eventually
gets incorporated into the prospectus and the presentation.
Sometimes we reach a point where we do not agree. Or we
might point out certain problems, like a lava mass being close to the
site. We went through one of those in Area 2 0 , where the two
exploratory holes drilled did confirm there was a blob out there. It
turned out that it wasn't really any problem, because it turned out
to be far enough away.
Of course, as the hole is drilled you develop more data. It's
an ongoing process. Now, I think, they've gone overboard, and
collect data that nobody seems to understand. Especially water
content. We here still think something's fishy between the results
of the two water content logs - - the epithermal neutron logs that
Livermore is showing these days, and the one they used to show.
Carothers: Why?
Orkild: It has to do with the bound water. It's hard to tell
which standard to use, because the Lab seems to pick the one that
fits best. Which is Okay, I guess, but that really doesn't solve the
problem of understanding why you have this bound water and
additional water. The water contents on Pahute are up what — ten
percent more? — than we ever used in the projections. On some
of the recent shots where they're using the new logs, the water
contents are up in the twenty's — twenty-five percent, twenty-four
percent. Which might be real, but we really don't know. This is one
of the outgrowths of all the data gathering that's been going on.
Carothers: These new numbers are coming from the neutron
log aren't they?
Orkild: Yes, and I think it's a positive step. But 1 think it's
going to take a lot more work before they really understand it, and
everybody agrees with it. Of course, getting everybody to agree will
probably never happen, but you could certainly get to where a
majority agreed.
138 CAGING THE DRAGON
Hydrology
Fenske: Hazelton Nuclear Science Corporation got a contract
to do hydrologic studies on the Test Site in 1962. Hazelton had two
labs for work with radioisotopes; a pretty high level lab, and a low
level one. They they were doing all kinds of things for the Atomic
Energy Commission, and the National Institute of Health, and
people like that who were interested in radioactivity. They were
hiring people, and in about 1 965 I went to work for them. The
program was to find out whether underground testing was going to
contaminate ground water in such a way that it would cause a serious
problem. I don't recall what a "serious problem" would have been
at that time, but I think it came out that it would be if any
radioactivity would leave the Test Site.
Where was the water going to go? Nobody really knew very
much about the transport of radioactivity in ground water, and not
too much was known about hydrology, in that sense. At that time
hydrology was centered around how much water could be produced
from a well. So, hydrology was drilling a hole into an aquifer, and
producing water so you could water the livestock, or irrigate the
field, or something like that. That was the hydrology the USGS was
steeped in at that time. It was always drilling holes and finding out
how much water could be produced.
To do that, in the final analysis what you really do is pump on
the well. In a nice isotropic, homogeneous medium the production
is an exponentially decreasing curve. You plot it on semi-log paper,
and it's a straight line. When the line comes out so many years in
the future going to zero production, you know that's it - - that's the
end of that well, probably. Of course that assumes things are
isotropic and homogeneous and all those nice things. Which they
never are, but that's about as good as you can do. The longer you
run the pumping test the more confidence you have in the results,
but, as on some of the wells at the Test Site that the USGS tested,
you can find that the slope of the curve changes. It goes along
nicely, and all of a sudden it starts diving. It has what they call a
boundary effect.
So, hydrology was a developing field, from the point of view
of transport of water for a long distance. It started out with the idea
that there is an aquifer, there's a gradient in the aquifer, and
therefore the water is moving down the gradient at a certain rate.
The Nevada Test Site 139
Carothers: One of the things I have heard about the Test Site,
which is said to be unusual, is that the water table is very deep, that
there are very few places where you will have to go down 1600 feet
before you get to the water. Is that true?
Fenske: Well, if you're talking about Yucca Valley, yes. If
you're talking about Pahute Mesa, no. On Pahute the water is pretty
far down, but very often in regions at higher elevations you will find
deeper water. In lower regions, like Yucca Valley, you find
shallower water. In fact, a lot of valleys in Nevada have swampy
areas in them. Ruby Marshes is a good example. Or they have
springs; Hot Creek Valley has springs. That would be the normal
situation. But in Yucca Valley it's different.
I had one of the fellows at DRI, a number of years ago, draw
a map of the elevation of the water in all of the valley bottoms in
Nevada. The reason for this was because I felt if I had the elevation
of the water in all the valley bottoms I would have an idea of what
the regional flow structure looked like in Nevada. Well, you find
everything is very regular, and it all moves down towards Death
Valley — until it hits the Test Site, where Yucca Valley is. Then,
there are very steep gradients going into Yucca Valley. There's
something else going on; Yucca Valley is underlain in many areas by
the carbonate rocks, which are fractured, and transmissive of water.
Another thing you have in Yucca is that the alluvium has a
higher water saturation, higher in the section, than you would
expect in a dry valley. All the way to the surface you have some
water saturations that are higher than you normally would expect.
In some places you find 20, 30, 40 percent water saturations; much
higher than you would expect to see if the water was always down
at the level where it is now. The impression you get is that at one
time the water was up near the surface, but now it isn't any more.
What I think has happened is that the carbonates which
underlie the valley have acted as a huge drain. So, the water is
basically moving down to the carbonate, and out to the springs in
Amargossa. The water in all the rest of the Nevada area is moving
in sort of a normal fashion; in Yucca it's being drained, and has been
drained, so It's not up near the surface anymore. It's down closer
to the level of the water in the Amargossa.
The Nevada Test Site 141
would still be some pores in there. Now, if you shift the sand grains
a little bit, they can go together and reduce the porosity. Then,
because you have reduced the porosity, there isn't the space for the
water that there was before, but there's still the pressure of the
overlying rocks. By reducing the porosity you have increased the
pore pressure, or the water pressure in the rocks.
The same thing happens, incidently, in a landslide. You have
a water saturated material. A little shift of the grains, for one reason
or another, will start increasing the pore pressure, and decreasing
the grain pressure. When you do that you decrease the resistance
to flow; the material becomes liquefied, and downhill it goes.
Spontaneous liquefaction is basically that kind of a mechanism.
You've been to the beach and patted the sands?
Carothers: Sure. And water comes up to the top.
Fenske: Yes. You're compacting the sand, and the water comes
up. When you compact it, that material becomes liquified; it
becomes mushy.
If you start calculating the amount of water that would have to
be in a water mound, given a reasonable porosity, and how much
you had to move in a fairly short period of time, that's a lot of water.
And then you have to ask, "Where did it come from?"
We have run into situations where perched water was a
consideration, and it has caused all kinds of problems. They were
not necessarily containment problems; they were problems with
emplacing the device, just getting the thing down in the hole. For
example, there have been cases where the Labs have put down a
liner, and the water has come over the top of the liner. That has to
do with hydrology, and you ought to understand more about it.
Sometimes that's a perched water problem.
Carothers: No it's not. It's a stupidity problem. They say,
"And the water level was tagged at 636 meters. So, we've put in
a liner whose top is at 636.5 meters." They seem to think that all
they need is a liner that is an inch, or a foot higher than their tag,
and everything will be swell. And then they say, "Oh my gosh, the
water is running over the top. How distressing." What I think is,
"How expensive to fix. Fire them."
The Nevada Test Site 145
Fenske: Well, there are other cases where water has run over
the top for other reasons. There is the possibility that there really
is perched water. When you go through a zone where there is water,
and it's not all necessarily held in by capillarity, it can run out. And
there are cases where there is excess pressure in the water, as in the
ground water mound. There was one shot where the water pressure
was high enough to collapse the casing, due to ground water
mounding, or the pressure in the water, as I think of it.
Carothers: So, suppose I am drilling down through the allu-
vium, and the tuffs, and it's dry. I am careful to stay above the
standing water level, but I notice water running into the hole. As
I understand it, that could happen because there's perched water,
or as you would say it, there's a high pressure zone. If I case that
hole, the casing has to be able to withstand a pressure that is at least
equal to whatever the pore pressure of that water is. If it can't do
that, it could collapse, even though that casing is above the standing
water level.
Fenske: Yes. There's another way you could have perched
water, and at the Test Site it would be water running into the valley.
If you happen to have a tongue of something like clay, that's lower
permeability, which extends into the Valley, water may run along
the top of it rather than run down to the water table. It may run
along the top, and then drip over the edge. Up to that point you
may have perched water. Around the valley sides, more than
around the center, you could possibly have perched water. You
have a source that keeps on running, because it's recharge water
from, let's say, Pahute Mesa that's coming through the system. It's
just taking a little different path. A good example of that is some
of the springs that you see. They're basically perched water. Water
enters the system, flows down some impermeable layer, and comes
out in the form of a spring where the layer intersects the surface.
Carothers: Do you think we've made any difference to the flow
of the water, or the drainage of the water? Have we upset the
hydrology of the valley?
Fenske: I don't think so, except locally, around the cavity, and
for some small distance out from that. I looked at one thing though,
at one time, which was the number of uncased bore holes that went
146 CAGING THE DRAGON
6
Earth Materials and Their Properties
So, the question I would ask was, "Where is the water table?"
And Rae Blossom would fume and say, "You don't have to know
that. There's no reason why we should spend a dollar to find out
where the water table is. Just knock it off. What difference does
it make to you anyway? We tagged the water table at such and such
a depth over there, so that is what it is. How could it be any different
here?" And so, my questions always ended in big arguments about
non-relevant things like budgets, and time, and money, and "You're
bothering the engineers. Get the hell out of here."
I'd go have these terrible arguments with Rae, and shout and
wave my arms, and we were enemies forever, and then Rae would
go out and get the answer to my question because he would
recognize I really was serious. You see, if you didn't persevere, you
weren't serious. But if you persevered, he'd go get the information
you wanted. So, I have to admit that on a number of occasions Rae
did make an attempt to get answers to some of my questions. He
was in a position where he could order the rest of them to do it, but
it was always like pulling teeth to get that done.
So, I'm afraid that in those very earliest times we knew next to
nothing about the medium or its properties after the hole was
drilled. The guys who drilled would record that the drilling rate
changed, but you didn't know why. I only found out about some
of these things when we were actually doing the tests. Livermore
did a better job than we, because when they were doing the tunnels
they were asking the right kinds of questions. I did get permission
to go out and see what was there, and I was educated more by
Livermore guys than by people here, in the very earliest times.
Carothers: Pre-Baneberry there was, apparently, no real
requirement at Los Alamos to take logs and samples.
Scolman: I don't recall that there was. My feeling is that to
the extent that there was logging done, or we studied the lithology
of the hole, it had to do mostly with drilling. How do you best drill
it? Anything that came out in terms of geologic information was
almost incidental to that procedure. We did run some logs. We ran
caliper logs, for example.
Carothers: Because you wanted to put the casing down the
hole, and you wanted to know how much cement you would need.
150 CAGING THE DRAGON
a good attitude. It just differed a little bit from mine. I think it's
time to reopen the whole question of what's needed, and to look at
it again.
Carothers: Which properties do you think do matter to
containment?
Twenhofel: You ought to know the carbonate content. You
don't have to know it precisely, but you ought to know if it gets over
six or seven percent. I think you ought to know if there are some
big acoustic interfaces. The Paleozoic location is only of concern
because it's an acoustic interface. I don't see any reason to give
water content, I really don't, unless you want to know it for
coupling, and placement of instruments.
One more thing about physical properties, or material proper-
ties. I think the histograms that are presented are probably
unnecessary. We now have such a wealth of experience, since
Baneberry, with all those grain densities, water content, gas-filled
porosity, and all that, that what we say is, "Well, they're within
experience. They're within successful experience, every property."
Well, of course they are. We've covered a span now from 5% water
to 27% water, so any value we get is going to fall within our
successful experience. We're deluding ourselves with the magic of
these numbers and the histograms, in thinking that they are relevant
to anything. Again, I'm making an extreme statement to make a
point.
Carothers: Or,I could put it as, "We've shot in just about every
kind of geologic medium there is at the Test Site, and so the material
properties of a new site are almost sure to fall in the range you've
observed before."
Twenhofel: And many of them don't matter.
As contrasted to the measurement of the material properties
preshot, either in-situ or in the laboratory, measurements can be
attempted of the response of the material to the shock pressures and
motions produced by the detonation.
Bass: There was a program at Sandia that was beginning to get
started during the moratorium. Luke Vortman, Lou Perret, and AI
Chabai had a very nice program set up . They asked me if I would
be willing to go to work with AI Chabai on this, as his assistant. I
Earth Materials and Their Properties 155
between the flyer plate and the target, trying to cut down on the air
shock that would build up and screw up our instrumentation. So we
would fire the things in a vacuum. We would have to glue the plates
to the explosive to keep them from bowing away when we pumped
them down. It wasn't a very good vacuum, but you certainly could
bow an eight inch plate; eighty mils was a typical thickness for the
flyer plates. We followed McQueen's work on this directly. I'd say
we were getting up to a megabar. The other high pressure work that
was being done was being done by Bill Isbell, at General Motors at
the time.
the stresses come from nuclear or not nuclear things, that stress
region is important. So, it wasn't totally a mistake, but it was a
mistake from the standpoint that we would today understand more
about what goes on in the explosion than we do.
Bass: 1 did not go to that meeting in Santa Monica. 1 was in
Rio that week, and if 1 had a choice, 1 would be in Rio de Janiero.
1 would say that where Gary now feels we are lacking is not
necessarily in the megabar region, but in the hundred kilobar, two
hundred kilobar regime. That's because the phase changes that are
going on in all of our native materials have been terribly handled
theoretically. The various contractors who have worked with that
have really botched that job badly.
When you get into a porous geologic material, apparently the
phase change can move down in pressure, down into the seventy or
eighty kilobar region, because of the temperature that's involved.
Alluvium does funny things. Alluvium starts expanding when you
get above a hundred kilobars when you hit it. On a Hugoniot plot
of pressure versus volume, it starts expanding when you get up
there, because you're moving back in the temperature curve. It's
a mess, and 1 don't pretend to really understand what's happening
there.
It would be nice to have data in the megabar region, but I'd
rather have them in the hundred kilobar regime. Shell Schuster,
who used to be at Livermore said, "Don't measure me another
Hugoniot, for God's sake. I can draw them." And 1 think he's right.
You can draw the Hugoniot, but you can't write the equation of
state.
I think we've got a better handle on some of these things than
a lot of people realize. There have been two decent sources of data
in recent years. The containment program has provided a wealth of
data. Frankly, I think most of it recently has come from DNA, and
Sandia. I think that's because of where they test. The DNA tunnel
events give you the opportunity to make a decent measurement,
because you can get there. You know exactly where your gauge is,
you know exactly where it's pointing, you can orient it with a transit.
You don't have to dangle it down a hole, or put it in a satellite hole.
The other great source of data has been the hydrodynamic
yield program, and this a tremendously overlooked source of data.
We got seventy-five pressure measurements in tuffs and alluviums
158 CAGING THE DRAGON
with strain. You can do that up to a point, but you can't get the
really large, twenty percent type shear strains that occur in an
underground test. And, you can't replicate the strain rates either.
So, we're not really replicating what is going on in the ground with
laboratory tests.
However, with laboratory tests we can get some feeling whether
a material is going to damage easily or not. DNA has gone to a lot
of effort to try to simulate damage in the lab, but with a lab sample,
once you get a through-going shear failure, you've lost your
experiment. They can't achieve twenty percent strains, although
the people at Waterways and Terra Tek are trying. They're coming
up with new schemes, and who knows? They might be successful;
it would be very valuable to the calculational community if they
were.
Carothers: Suppose you get a sample from a tunnel location,
and you send it to Terra Tek. They say its compressive strength is
such and so. There are folks who would say, "That's the value for
a small, competent piece of material. The region the device energy
is interacting with is much larger, and that much larger volume will
have things in it like fractures, changes in porosity, and so on.
Therefore the lab measurements are not really representative of the
world the device energy is going to interact with."
App: That's right. But, for certain types of rocks apparently
that measurement is fairly representative. The Tunnel Beds tuff in
the tunnels is perhaps one of those rock types. The DNA modelers
feel that the in-situ fractures don't modify the overall properties
much from what one obtains from the small samples. The reason
they believe this is that they can put the Terra Tek test results into
their models, and replicate the outgoing shock wave fairly well.
Now, I said outgoing shock wave; late time residual stress is a
different story.
Other rock types such as alluvium and welded tuff also are a
different story. For these materials, what you're saying is absolutely
right. You cannot go from the laboratory measurements to a
calculation that agrees with the field data. This is a big problem for
us, and the approach we have taken is to start a systematic study of
events that have had a lot of free field measurements associated with
them, and infer the response properties of the rock mass from them.
Merlin alluvium is an example. The Merlin event was heavily
160 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: Carl you have said, when talking about the equation
of state work, that measurements in the field are not necessarily at
all like those made in the laboratory on samples. Couldn't the same
criticism be made of the data from the cores?
Smith: It's a question of economics. With a fixed pot of dollars
you could spend it all on investigating one little area, and know more
and more about less and less until you know everything about
nothing. Or you could take that fixed pot of dollars and explore a
larger area with selected measurements. This question has always
been a bugaboo for DNA; you've got all these variations on the core
measurements, but everyone wants to treat the material as uniform,
because you do all your calculations with one material.
Actually, for years DNA has been very successful in treating all
this shot area, this material they excite, as roughly uniform material
with some faults and fractures through it. But now, as you go to
smaller and smaller shots, and maybe go into a new tunnel, and
maybe get into places that are not zeolitized, now maybe these
variable things come back to haunt you, and you can't treat them
as a single element. The scale is no longer the high yields where you
overwhelm the geology. If the scale is that for only half a kiloton,
maybe that fault is going to eat you alive.
Carothers: Instead of taking all these cores, which means you
have to drill a hole, why don't you run logging tools? That's
cheaper.
Smith: Logs give you one type of information, the cores give
you different types of information. Cores give you information up
to four kilobars, and the calculators like very much to have that.
Calculations of many kinds are done. One of the important
questions for containment is how the gases in the cavity, originally
at very high temperatures and pressures, flow out into the surround-
ing medium. Central to that is the permeability of the materials in
the earth itself, and in the column of stemming materials. One of the
first efforts to measure, and to calculate that was made by Carl
Keller, then at Los Alamos, in the early seventies.
Keller: The flow paths of concern were the stemming column,
the chimney, the hypothetical hydrofracture, and that was about it.
The characterization of the medium required for hydrofrac calcula-
tions was never done. The permeabilities were not measured. The
164 CAGING THE DRAGON
The seventies were the days when we started developing the so-
called ytterbium gauge. Ytterbium is an odd-ball element that sits
off the periodic chart, and has a very strange electronic structure.
As discovered by Bridgeman and others, it has a very wild stress-
piezoresistive effect. In other words, as you squeeze, it changes it's
resistance.
On a field event you don't have the ability to build an in-
material gauge, as you do on a gas-gun shot. You have to drill holes,
insert the gauges, and put in grouting material. The concern then
is, does the grout material match the host in some way. In
particular, you want a measurement that is representative of the
free-field stress in the rock, in a material that is not the rock itself.
That's the so-called inclusion problem that people have worked on
for numerous years.
Carothers: You say you want the grout to match the rock in
some way; which characteristics are most important?
Smith: Compressibility. In other words, does the grout
deform in the same way as the host rock.
Carothers: When you get into the ten kilobar range, you're in
the region where the tuffs are plastic. That means you're near the
edge of the cavity, where it's still growing. How do you make things
survive?
Smith: They don't. Principally it's the cables and electrical
leads that are destroyed. Sometimes we can go in on a mine-back
and find these gauges. When we find them, the first thing we do is
see if the gauge is still intact. Almost invariably it is, but the leads
that have been severed, or torn off the package, or somewhere
something like a fault has moved differentially and sheared the
cables.
What we're getting out of the gauges now is the arrival time,
a rise to peak, and then a little bit of unloading, enough stress wave
unloading so we can say that we have indeed captured the peak,
rather than having it go up and stop before it reaches the top. One
of the efforts nowadays is to enhance those recordings, and to
incease the recording times by building armored cables, and so on.
To build stonger cables we're now using a technique that uses
wire-rope. The first time we did that we took a wire rope, took off
the outside strands, replaced the center core with the electrical
168 CAGING THE DRAGON
cable, and then wrapped the outside wires back on the rope. Now
we've gotten sophisticated, and we're going to a wire-rope manu-
facturer to have the cables built that way. At the end of a
production run on something of about the right size, we stick our
spool of cable at the back of the machine, and have the wire-rope
made with our electrical cable as the center.
to use in the plots of the results, so you could overlay them. Sandia
would put down the measurement from One Ton, and S-Cubed
would put down their stress history, and then Pac Tech would put
down their stress history, right on top. The correlation between the
predictions and the measurements was really quite good. It wasn't
equally good at all ranges. The calculations were better close-in
than they were far-out.
We discovered, out of that series, that the way Terra Tek was
measuring the pressure versus volume curve was not good. They
just put the sample in the holder and squeezed it. From that they
would get a pressure versus volume curve. However, if they put the
sample in the holder, squeezed it up to the overburden stress, where
the samples had been obtained, and let it sit there for a while, it
would creep to a lower volume. Doing that sort of replaced the
sample in the mountain, and now when they ran their pressure
versus volume curve they got much lower compaction. It turned out
that you needed lower compaction in order to match the results.
That was a really instructive series, where we compared our
predictions and our procedures to reality. Sandia was very helpful
on that.
Patch: The most important things that go into the models are
the mechanical test data that are done in the laboratory, on cores.
And those tests have some serious limitations that everybody
understands. The people doing the tests certainly do, and the users
do as well. One of the most serious limitations is that they are
limited in the total amount of strain, because they can only squash
the rock so much. Nuclear bombs, near where the bomb is, have
a way of scrunching the rock a whole lot. That strain path is just not
accessible in the laboratory.
Carothers: My impression is that they can go up to about four
kilobars.
Patch: Yes, they can go to about four kilobars. We have gotten
up to six kilobars at Terra Tek, and I think eight kilobars is doable
in a Terra Tek type test. They can go up to twenty-five kilobars, but
the problem is, you don't get out the data you need. What you're
really looking for is the response of the rock in terms of its deviatoric
response, and so on. Just pushing on a rock and measuring how
170 CAGING THE DRAGON
much it squeezes gives you some data, but there are many other
things you want to know. So, it doesn't help just to go to some high
stress level.
The other factor is that you can load the core to four kilobars
by loading it axially, but you can only deform it so much before you
reach the limits of the machine. The problem is that in the ground,
rock that's squeezed to four kilobars subsequently moves out a long
ways, and undergoes a lot of strain. It laterally stretches and it
compresses axially, and that occurs at much less than four kilobars.
A great deal of that motion might be at only a quarter or half, or
maybe three-quarters of a kilobar. A lot of that deformation goes
on at low levels, and one could track that in the laboratory, except
that there are mechanical limitations on the machinery.
The other problem we have with mechanical test data, and in
some ways it's almost more serious, is that in the ground, when the
material is deformed there is a funny kind of lateral constraint. To
first order the material is forced to move out spherically symmetri-
cally. Maybe block motion happens later on, and other funny
things, but by and large, if you go in and look at any given piece of
material, you can pretty much convince yourself that it's been
homogeneously moved out and stretched. To the zeroth order it's
an isovolumetric strain path. If you try to do that on a sample in
the laboratory, you can do the compression part of it. Once you
try to mimic the part of the strain path that amounts to stretching
it laterally, and taking up that so it is kind of isovolumetric, the rock
wants to fracture along a shear plane. It wants to form these shear
planes, and now suddenly it's not a continuum material anymore.
You're doing a friction test in a way, and you get data out of the test
that looks reasonable. The only problem is, it doesn't have any
relationship to the way the material is behaving either in the field
or in any kind of continuum sense. That's one of the serious
problems, and we have to finesse our way around that.
shear modulus, and from that maybe get an idea of the strength.
Not the full story, but a feeling. Now, John Rambo, at Livermore,
looks at drilling rates as a measure of strength. He's come up with
some interesting correlations.
Carothers: But the drilling rate depends on a lot of things you
don't know. How sharp is the bit, how much weight is on it, are the
drillers pushing today, or taking it easy.
Rimer: I understand. But it's something that's worth looking
at.
Another thing we spent a great deal of time on was Pile Driver.
I must have done thirty or more one-dimensional calculations, and
a number of 2-D calculations, to develop a model for the in-situ
strength of the Pile Driver granite. The intact rock was very strong,
but the pulse width measurements that Perret and Bass, at Sandia,
did, and SRI did showed wider pulse widths, which shows weaker
material. By pulse width I mean velocity versus time.
Carothers: There are folks who might say, "The rock is very
strong. We've taken good, intact cores to the lab, checked them
out, and it's strong rock all right. No doubt about i t . " And there
are other folks who might say, "That's all very well, but that's a
mountain there, which is not intact. It's full of cracks and fractures
which weakens the rock."
Rimer: A one-foot joint spacing.
Carothers: For example. And so, you have all these numbers
from these unfractured cores, but you've got deal with all this
fractured rubble, to exaggerate a little.
Rimer: I spent a considerable period of my life dealing with
that. Ted Cherry's idea, and he first thought of it back at Livermore,
was that there was water in the fractures. At this point I think it's
more likely there's clay there. Either way it results in a weaker,
lubricated joint system. Ted modeled that with an effective stress
model. We tried a number of things, and that's what I spent a lot
of time on. What could we do that was reasonable, where we used
the laboratory strength of the granite, which was superstrong, and
then brought in some physical process to reduce the strength? We
used the effective stress model, and ran 2-D calculations which we
calibrated to pieces of data; Perret's underground particle velocity
176 CAGING THE DRAGON
7
Logging and Logging Tools
logs, where you had oil. What you can do, because you also run the
resistivity log, and oil is essentially a nonconductor compared to
water, you can by a combination of those logs make a pretty good
guess as to whether you have oil, if you have a combination of high
porosity and high resistivity.
The gamma ray log, which we also used, will show you that you
are not in a shale, because shale has higher radioactivity than a
limestone, for example. And, the neutron log will show you that
you have a rock that has a lot of holes in it — high porosity. The
resistivity log will show that there is something in those holes other
than just water. Basically, the induction log was better for that than
a resistivity log. When you had the induction log you could do
pretty well in wells that you knew something about. If you were in
an area, and you knew something about the area because you had
taken cores, and had measured the porosity, you could do pretty
well.
Joe Hearst has been a central figure in the development of
logging tools and methods at the Livermore Laboratory. The initial
impetus, at the Test Site, for ways of determining the various in-situ
properties of different materials encountered in drill holes came
from the Plowshare program. In particular, the use of nuclear
explosives to form craters of different sizes was envisaged as a
means for creating harbors and canals. To predict the yield of the
explosive required at what depth in a particular formation to pro-
duce the desired result required both the development of computer
codes, and a means of obtaining the the properties of the rocks
involved as input data for those codes. The oil companies had
developed various tools to measure properties associated with the
presence of oil when an exploratory hole seeking an oil-bearing
formation was drilled, and it was from this base of experience that
the development of instruments that could be used in the nuclear
programs came.
Hearst: When I was working on the Plowshare program I had
to calculate an event; 1 think it was Danny Boy, a cratering shot.
One of the things you had to put in the code as one of the rock
properties was the sound speed. Well, I discovered when I was given
the sound speed from laboratory measurements, the calculated
signal arrived at the surface in about half the time it did in real life.
Logging and Logging Tools 181
Hearst: I don't think the test program people did much of that.
We didn't get involved with the test program until Baneberry.
Plowshare was vanishing, and the Lab also had the first big reduc-
tion-in-force. Just about that time, very providentially, along came
Baneberry, and that put us back in business, logging for the test
program. I was still doing calculations at that time.
Carothers: What logs could you do at that time?
Hearst: We could do almost anything that we can do now.
There were very sophisticated acoustic things, which weren't useful
at the Test Site, but as soon as we started working on verification,
then we could use the conventional stuff for things like Salmon and
Sterling, and so on. I recall doing lots of seismic surveys on Pahute
Mesa events, and I think it was pre-Baneberry.
Now, the quality wasn't as good. The measurements weren't
as sophisticated as they are today, but the techniques were available
in the sixties. There's very little new that has come alongsince then.
The only thing, really, is borehole gravity, which was conceived in
the fifties, but not used in the field until later. And it's still not very
commercial. You could, in the sixties, do acoustic, density,
electrical logs.
The epithermal neutron log was a commercial tool; we just
used it. We did invent one density logging tool, which was for
Plowshare, and we subsequently stopped using it. It was a rugosity
insensitive density logging tool. When we got into bigger holes we
stopped using it, and started using commercial tools, and calibrating
them, and living with the rugosity effects.
So, it was all commercial tools, and we had to make them work.
That was the switch from Plowshare to verification and test. We
started making commercial tools work. The only tool we developed
that is still in use is the dry-hole acoustic log. The other tools could
be made to work; basically, they had to be calibrated for dry holes.
The thing that I did with the epithermal neutron tool was, after
many years of effort, and learning to run Monte Carlo codes, and
things like that, was to convince management to build me a
calibrator for dry holes. It was boxes of carefully mixed materials,
and those boxes are expensive.
Carothers: Boxes with dirt in them?
186 CAGING THE DRAGON
we think we understand most of it, and yes, the data bank does have
just the free water, and we can now compare free water measure-
ments if we wish.
Carothers: But you do that by cheating a little bit.
Hearst: Yes. Incidently, the epithermal neutron log was a
Birdweil tool. It was abandoned by the industry, because it didn't
get enough signal, until very recently. Now epithermal neutron logs
are coming back into fashion in industry, and they are using them
in creative ways. Maybe it's just more recognition of neutron
poisons, which is the reason we used epithermal neutrons — the fact
that there are things out there that absorb thermal neutrons. And
maybe it's that industry is getting into more materials where they
care about it. But also they've found constructive ways of using the
tool.
The problem, with the neutron log in particular, and the
density log, is that our calibration at zero gap, and even at a small
gap, is excellent. But the correction for gap, when we measure some
gap, is still very poor, because we're doing that badly, somehow. I
don't know why. I think it's poor because I'm measuring the gap
at some place other than the spot where I'm making the neutron
measurement. The hole is rough, and we're making the measure-
ment a foot away from the source, because the gap measuring device
is somewhere else on the tool. That isn't right, but we don't know
how to do it otherwise. We're probably getting the water content
wrong; we're probably overestimating it in many cases.
Carothers: There are members of the Panel who have said that
they really don't care about all those numbers, and the geology,
unless there is something unusual about it. For instance, they, and
I, feel that the histograms of material properties that are presented
are meaningless, because there have been so many measurements
taken that what is at the Test Site has been bracketed, and what you
measure always falls within those limits.
Hearst: Yes. Of course. Norm Burkhard gave a paper at the
containment symposium before last about the rockpile concept —
you should just assume these numbers. I think that's quite reason-
able.
192 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: With a logging tool there are two things you can do,
and presumably you could do them both at once. One is, you might
not care what the absolute value is; you might only care about where
and how the value changes. The other is that you really want to
know what the absolute value is. How do you deal with that?
Hearst: Well, in the first place, you should actually design the
tool differently for the two different uses. For almost any tool, the
larger the source-detector spacing the further you're averaging
over, so the more accurate number you're going to get, but the less
definition you're going to get of a boundary. There is a basic
problem, before you start a logging program, of deciding what you
want, and why. There's always a balance between accuracy of the
value and accuracy of the depth, which compete, and cost.
For the Soviet test site a U.S. committee got together and
decided what logs they wanted to verify Soviet tests. There was this
list of logs that were wanted, and we made decisions about the
necessary logging tools to send over to Russia. This commitee would
say, "We want these logs." And maybe, "We want them to this
accuracy," but usually not. But not, "We want them because." The
cortex people wanted them for one thing, the Geological Survey
wanted them for another thing. The first time people went over
there they spent a great deal of money, and effort, and time getting
these data. And, nobody has ever used the data, as far as I can tell.
Carothers: Why do you think that is?
Hearst: I don't know. Probably they didn't think it through.
Dick Carlson is the guy who went to Russia to do it, and the last time
I talked to him nobody had ever made any use of his work. And he
does a very good job of getting good data.
It's very difficult to persuade people, including the CEP, to
think hard about what numbers they want, to what accuracy, and
why. You can say, "I want the density to two percent accuracy over
the range." Then I come back and say, "Why? What are you going
to do with those numbers? That's very expensive. If you really
mean you want that accuracy, I probably would want to run three
different tools. But, you probably don't really mean that, because
you're not going to use those numbers that accurately."
194 CAGING THE DRAGON
Each person, each organization will say, "I need this measure-
ment," and they will always specify some accuracy which is good as
they could possibly use, without ever thinking how difficult they
make it to get the data, and how much more costly it is, and how
it's competingwith someone else's desires. You really have to think
about what you're going to do with those numbers.
Let me say, the CEP doesn't need accurate numbers. They're
just talking about how their grandfather did it, and 10% accuracy
would be wonderful for them. We put big error bars on the data we
present, and nobody cares.
Carothers: Well, in defense of the CEP, I constituted a
subcommittee of the CEP a number of years ago, chaired by Bill
Twenhofel. It was called the Data Needs Subcommittee. That
subcommittee came back and said the CEP didn't need various kinds
of data. The Laboratories paid no attention at all, and continued to
get those data anyway. Why? Well, they've got guys like Joe
Hearst, and John Rambo, and Fred App who are calculating various
things, and they want numbers.
Hearst: That's right. Calculators need numbers. But I think
we are getting data that are too accurate. Or too precise — they
are probably not that accurate. I think we are wasting time with too
many decimal places which nobody uses.
Carothers: You now have a tool that measures the hydrogen
in the rock, and you assume all the hydrogen is there as water, so
let's say you measure the water in the rock. Why did you develop
a tool to do that?
Hearst: We didn't. We hired it. That's the tool that was
available. But also, one of the important parameters for containment
is the total water. That's one of the key parameters, and if you need
to know numbers at all, that's one of the numbers you need to know.
When we first started we looked at the available methods of
measuring water content, and decided this was the best. But we
didn't want to measure only free water. We'll continue to report
total water and these other parameters, the porosity and saturation,
which the whole world tries to measure, by the way. The objective
of the industry in running all these logging tools is to measure
Logging and Logging Tools 195
porosity and saturation. That's what the tools are built for; that's
what they were invented for. All those methods assume that the
formation is saturated with some conductive liquid.
We looked at density tools, and we just demonstrated that
these tools are worthless in the seventeen-inch holes for the
groundwater characterization program. We've shown that they're
not good. For 20ax we had problems with a density tool in a
seventeen-inch hole, and we had to build a new calibrator for it.
This was blocks of various metals like aluminum and magnesium.
That's the way you calibrate a density tool, and that's one reason
density tools are much easier to calibrate. We discovered that these
automatic, two-receiver compensated density tools get wrong an-
swers if they are tilted ever so slightly in a seventeen-inch hole.
They work all right in an eight-inch hole, which is what they were
designed for, but they have to be recalibrated for the bigger holes.
That's still being worked, but we have now demonstrated what we
surmised on 20ax; the logs are coming out wrong.
Carothers: The first log I see at the CEP is the density log. You
measure that with a gamma ray logging tool. What happened to the
dry-hole acoustic log?
Hearst: It is used, and in fact you see it, but you just don't pay
attention. It's the DHAL, and it's shown every time we show logs.
It's the acoustic velocity. First comes the caliper log, and then
comes the dry hole acoustic. That's something we invented
ourselves, because there were none in the world. We needed it for
Plowshare at the time, because we had no way of measuring acoustic
velocity except by seismic surveys.
We went to Don Rawson's back yard one day, with a couple of
acoustic transducers. Dick Carlson and I had thought of attaching
cones to transducers that we had bought. We put them on Rawson's
fireplace, and sure enough, we got a signal through the fireplace,
horizontally. Then we tried it on trees, as well. We got acoustic
signals, and we had invented a dry-hole acoustic log. The reason
nobody in the world uses it is because it's not continuous. A logging
tool to be useful in the industry, where drilling costs are immense,
must run continuously as you pull it up the hole. There are now a
couple of logs that do that, but there weren't at the time.
Carothers: Why isn't your acoustic log continuous?
196 CAGING THE DRAGON
Hearst: Because it has to dig into the wall of the hole. You have
to push it hard up against the wall, and push these points into the
wall. That's why nobody else ever invented it. It wasn't that we
were these brilliant geniuses; it was just that nobody else could use
it in their business.
Then we discovered a problem with it, which is why we call it
a relative measurement. In a small hole it agrees quite well with
seismic measurements of velocity. In a big hole it usually gives us
velocities that are too low. The reason for this, apparently, is that
the material near the wall of a big hole, or any hole, is broken up
by the drilling process. In the case of a big hole the depth to which
it is broken up is about the same as the depth to which the acoustic
signal goes, so we're just measuring the region which is broken up
by the drilling process.
The least time path is what you measure. So, the higher
velocity material gives you less time, but if you have to go through
a large amount of low velocity material to get to the high velocity
material, that doesn't work. The way we proved all this was to build
a tool with two receivers, which is the standard way done in the
industry. If we used the measurement between the last two
receivers, it was faster than between the source and one receiver.
That's because the passage through the broken up material is
cancelled out. Actually, in the industry now they may use up to
twenty receivers.
So, we get the acoustic velocity, and then the density, which
we get from the gamma log, and then we show the acoustic
impedance, which is the product. And that's probably why we still
show that log - - to show the impedance mismatches.
For the water content we use the epithermal neutron log, and
correct for gap between the neutron sonde and the wall of the hole.
Los Alamos does not.
Carothers: So you ought to get different answers, in the same
hole.
Hearst: Not only that, but if you look at the calibration curves,
they're different.
And, we also show the C02 content, which is still measured
from samples. And we show the clay content, which is done with
x-rays, occasionally.
Logging and Logging Tools 197
course, infinitely many structures that would give you the same
result, and all you can do is to use the measurements to choose
between proposed models.
It has apparently worked very well in the oil industry to find oil
some distance from a hole. Again, their density logs are much more
accurate than ours, because they satisfy all the assumptions — good
contact with the hole, no gap, and it's a small hole. They can use
very small density differences to infer useful things. We can't,
because our measurements aren't that good because of our big,
rough holes. But that's what we use it for.
There is also a thing called a gravity gradient measurement,
where you're measuring the change in gravity with depth. You can
build instruments which measure the gradient, but it turns out that
gravity measurements are sensitive to one over R squared of the
mass. The gradient measurement is sensitive to one over R cubed,
and the gradiometer is so sensitive to changes in the hole configu-
ration and things like that, that you don't buy anything by building
a gradiometer.
Carothers: What's the free air gradient that is always measured
when you're doing gravity measurements?
Hearst: If you calculate the density, using a gravity meter,
there is a constant term, an additive constant, that is in the formula
for the gravimetric density. It is the change in gravity with depth
which is caused by the fact that you're getting closer to the center
of the earth. It's called the free air gradient because originally it was
the change in gravity measured as you got closer to the surface of
the earth, in the air. When we started working with this, we decided
we ought to measure this free air gradient by making gravity
measurements on a tower. Well, a lot of people in the field said that
was a bad way of doing it, because that measurement is very
sensitive to things that are close to the surface. In fact, that
measurement is now used to look for tunnels and things like that
which are near the surface.
You get a much better measurement of the free air gradient by
measuring the gravity at the surface over a wide area, and doing a
transformation to calculate the free air gradient. Norm and I finally
got persuaded by a number of publications by other people that is
indeed the correct way to do it. We were not doing it right, and so
we now do it that way. We no longer measure it directly. If you're
Logging and Logging Tools 201
factor of two accuracy. But this tool I am very pleased with. It's
calibrating pretty well in grouts, and I'm looking forward to doing
it this summer in the tunnels. It's a lovely piece of apparatus.
Carothers: Maybe the strength varies by a factor of two over
short distances.
Hearst: Quite possibly. At any rate, we have actually built this
apparatus, which is on wheels at the moment. We have designed a
device to lower it. It's designed to work in a big hole, to clamp up
against the wall of a big hole and fire the projectile into the wall.
John Rambo uses the drilling rate as a measure, of some kind,
of the strength, but it also measures other properties. Among other
things it depends on how the drillers are working, and how much
weight is on the bit, and how sharp the bit is. But it is another
measure.
John also believes that the velocity is another measure of the
strength. Remember that I told you that the velocity depends on
how much the rock is broken up by the drilling? Well, if it's broken
up less, it's stronger, and so the velocity is higher. A lot of other
things will make the velocity higher also. We may have to use all of
these methods together to infer a strength. But since strength makes
a great deal of difference in a calculation, it's important to get it.
206 CAGING THE DRAGON
207
8
Energy Coupling and Partition
material gets very hot when it's compressed, but we don't measure
temperature from a distance, so we don't know how hot it gets. All
we know is how much of the compressive wave got transmitted, and
if you're crushing the material, you're not transmitting any wave.
So, air-filled voids are one thing that can change the ratio.
There are other kinds of things, such as phase transitions. Every-
body is familiar with the ice cube in the drink, and the fact that you
have a phase transition going on. It keeps the drink cold even
though there is almost no volume change. The same thing happens
in an even more pronounced way in some solids, like rocks. There
are phase transitions that go on where minerals hydrate, or dehy-
drate, or melt, or vaporize, or change from loose open structures to
dense compact structures. A common one is the transition of
carbon to diamond, where there is a big density change. Silica does
the same thing. It goes from an orthorhombic eightfold symmetry
to cubic symmetry at very high pressures, and the volume change
that accompanies that is like a factor of two. So the amount of
energy that can be stored, just by going from an open loose structure
to a high density structure is huge.
Carothers: You mean that just to generically call the Rainier
Mesa rocks 'tuff doesn't tell you what you need to know?
Higgins: Right, and it doesn't even tell you what you need to
know if you identify it as being Tunnel Bed Four, because it turns
out that the degree of zeolitization, the minerals of Tunnel Bed
Four, are quite different in different places.
Carothers: So, to say that you have Tunnel Bed Four here, and
in a different location you also have Tunnel Bed Four, as the
geologists do, is not adequate to determine what's going to happen
when the device goes off, at least close-in.
Higgins: That's a conclusion that appears to be true. I've got
an analogy, which isn't exact. The business of containment, the
interaction of a nuclear explosion with the earth, is somewhat like
atomic physics was at the turn of the century. People were
beginning to discover the difference between the orbital electrons
in the various atoms. Then they discovered there was a nucleus, and
there was the atomic structure. Then there is the nuclear structure,
and they discovered that makes a difference; all nuclei aren't just
the same nuclei. There are levels in those nuclei and there are
Energy Coupling and Partition 211
they were hoping it would give ten kt, or whatever. Newman would
have the hole for that. But that's not necessarily the yield 1 would
use to place the satellite holes.
Carothers: If you were trying to get the yields hydrodynami-
cally, that must have made the question of what the material around
the shot point was important to you.
Brownlee: Oh, yes. That's where I came up with the four
standards. There is a supersonic part of the arrival time curve, then
it becomes sonic. A n d so, the shot would tell me what the sonic
velocity of the material was. I had these curves, four altogether. I
would say, "Is the sonic velocity most like this one?" Then I would
use that one to derive the yield.
On one shot the curve would go sonic at this place, and then
I could say, "This is very wet." On another shot it would curve over
at another place, and I could say, "This is very dry." So, when I'd
gotten enough facts I could say, "There, that's what it does. The
shot itself is telling me the sonic velocity." So, I was able to
construct a particular curve. Now, after you've done that, you can
go back and restructure all the other curves and say, "Well, I can
have any kind of equation of state here, depending on how much
water is there." Then you do the trial and error fitting, and let that
try to tell you the yield. I abandoned the four standard curves in
time, but I needed data to show me that.
But you're exactly right. The reason I got interested in the
water content, and what the rocks were like, and the porosity, and
whether the porosity was filled with water or not, was in order to
determine the yield. Hindsight says we were doing a better job of
determining the yields than we had any right to expect. They were
really pretty good, but I didn't know that. We finally stopped
because the rad chem people said they were getting the yields well
enough. It costs money to drill those satellite holes, so we finally
stopped it. On the other hand, it's a good way to get the yield, and
you really can do a pretty good job in a medium that you
understand.
But remember, it's the shot itself, when you shoot it, that tells
you what the medium is like. We never measured, ahead of time,
the correct sonic velocity. We determined it from the shot, and it
was always different from the pre-shot measurement.
216 CAGING THE DRAGON
That was the point I was trying to make at one of the CEP to
these lads who were sitting there, who persist in believing that what
they measure is the truth. They insist upon that, but it's never been
true when you find out what the truth really is; it's never right. But
there's the, "That's what I went to school to learn. I did all the
things they told me to do, so this must be the number." So, you're
quite right. It was the hydrodynamic yield measurements for those
earliest shots, more than for containment, that forced me to
understand something about the material.
Bass: After the moratorium Los Alamos was drilling a lot of
holes in Nevada. They would drill a hole, and we would locate three
satellite holes for making hydrodynamic yield measurements. Bob
Brownlee had a formula to locate them, and we were working in the
sonic region, because we thought that was the only place we could
really understand. Also, in that region we were far enough away
that the range errors - - the errors in distance between where we
thought the device was and where our instruments were - - weren't
killing us. But, every now and then something would happen, and
they would end up putting a higher yield device down than they had
originally planned. So, we would be in the hydrodynamic region,
and we started getting some hydrodynamic data out of our first
satellite hole, which was supposed to have been at around ten
kilobars. Sometimes we were getting up to a hundred kilobars, or
even two or three hundred kilobars.
When Bill Ogle said, "Let's start this hydro yield program," he
gave Sandia carte blanc. Sandia and Los Alamos started their
program, and Sandia did all the experimental work on that. The
people in Livermore went off on their own, and started their own
program. At one time Johnny Foster came to Sandia and asked
Sandia to get involved in the Livermore program, but it never got
implemented. It was probably a good thing, because I think there
was too much work to be done as it was.
Carothers: It was expensive to drill those instrument holes, and
Livermore gave up such measurements as the chemists developed
their own methods for better yield measurements.
Bass: Los Alamos quit it too, because we got into a medium
that was badly layered and we weren't getting decent results. The
results were garbage, so we all quit the thing. But, before that we
did get some useful data. Our agreement was this - - we would
Energy Coupling and Partition 217
So we started using these slifers. Taking the slifer data, and the
Hugoniots of the earth materials, you can do the integrations, and
put them all together, and you will end up with a beautiful pressure-
distance curve. And it matches the pressure data. The whole thing
falls together. It really falls together when you do it for granite. You
can end up with a pressure curve from two megabars down to two
hundred kilobars, in granite, from the slifer cables, that match the
pressure data. It's a very good test, and the sanity check is solid.
Those all go together, the pressure data, the slifer data, and
everything else we've ever put together.
So, we were making these time-of-arrival measurements on Los
Alamos events, and compiling the data. That's one thing I've always
done through the years. I say, "All these individual data are poor,
but when you put them together, there's some sense to them." And
Brownlee's a real advocate of this; you better believe the data,
because they're telling you something. They're always telling you
something.
We started putting together the data we had taken on the LASL
shots where we were in the hydrodynamic region and we discovered,
Io and behold, it didn't make any difference what we were shooting
in. There was a straight line function in everything. If we were in
granite, if we were in alluvium, if we were in tuff, it made no
difference in the strong shock region. All these materials worked
the same way. What we had found is now called the Universal
Relation. Now, marble is an exception. There are exceptions
always to rules like that.
And this has been ignored, I think for one reason. The
Livermore jealousy concerning the Los Alamos hydro yield program
has been incredible. Livermore has been very negative on that
program from the very beginning, because they have been oriented
more toward seismic measurements for yield. So, they have not
been much in favor of the cortex measurement program and the
slifer program.
Incidently, I think cortex is the greatest sales job in the history
of the program. If the Lord above had told you how to do this, he
would have said, "Cortex first, and then slifer is the improvement
over cortex," because slifer is continuous, and cortex is discrete,
and not too solid. Now, the new cortex gets rid of this problem by
Energy Coupling and Partition 219
m, M m
220 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: After people told you what the yield was supposed
to be?
Rambo: I've been accused of that quite often, so that question
doesn't come as a surprise.
The results were quite sensitive to separation. A few feet made
a difference. At the low yields we were doing in those days, it was
very sensitive. In fact, I could easily be in the thirty to fifty percent
range sometimes, certainly thirty percent. When you made the
statement that if I knew the yield I could determine a good slifer
yield, sometimes I did that, but more or less to determine what went
wrong with the experiment. I was looking for systematic problems.
I'd look back at the yield, and I'd say, "In order to get this yield,
what would I have needed to change?" And so I would learn
something about the experimental procedure, hopefully, to im-
prove it. But I can't say I was completely oblivious to the fact that
I sometimes knew what the yield was before I published the yield
that I had gotten.
Carothers: If you were going to do that kind of measurement,
you needed to know something about the material properties of the
medium in which you were shooting - - whether it was tuff, or
alluvium, or below the water table, or whatever. How did you get
that kind of information? When you started the slifer measurements
they weren't logging the holes were they?
Rambo: We weren't getting anything. The geologists would go
down, look at the cuttings, and say things like, "There's rocks down
there," or, "This is highly porous stuff". They weren't very good
descriptions for what I needed.
We had four or five curves that we would compare our data to,
to get the yield. It's called similar explosion scaling. These curves
were labeled Wet, Damp, Dry, Very Dry. The tail of these curves
would fold over flatter if they were dry, and they would be steeper
at the end if they were wet. I would take these curves, and I would
compare the tails of these things after the fact, and with some
knowledge that we were in a wet hole or a dry hole area, I would ask
the geologists for what specific information they had. From that I
would try to figure out which curve was the one I was to use. It is
not the best way, and it is certainly not as good a way as we do
nowadays.
222 CAGING THE DRAGON
Rambo: No, 1 don't think so; not in those days. The curves
I was just mentioning came from Los Alamos, and they had come
from calculations they had done. We inherited those nomencla-
tures. We were at least self-consistent in terms, between the
Laboratories.
Carothers: Why did you use satellite holes, which are expen-
sive? Why not put the slifer cables down the emplacement hole?
Rambo: We did. We did them in both places, but what was
happening during those days was we were usually measuring fairly
low yields, and there were often large diagnostic line-of-sight pipes,
at that time. Close in to the device, where you needed to be with
the slifer cables, there was a lot of radiation and energy that was
going up to hit doghouses and things like that. Often what I'd see
on the slifer cables was doghouses exploding. I could see all this
detail going on, but it wasn't very conducive to doing a good yield
measurement. So, I kept pushing for satellite holes. That was an
additional expense, and I think toward the end of this early era they
were trying to save money, and the other methods of yield
determination were getting better, so slifers sort of ceased to exist
at Livermore, probably around 1964 to 1965.
Carothers: What's the difference between a slifer and a cortex
measurement?
Rambo: Really nothing, in terms of what the data looks like.
In a slifer, the cable is the inductive leg of a tuned oscillator. When
the shock crushes the cable, and shorts it, the inductance changes,
which changes the oscillator frequency. Los Alamos, at a later time,
decided to use a slightly different way to measure the cable length.
What they would do was send an electrical signal down the cable, let
it reflect off the crush point, and come back. So, they would
measure the transit time. This is what the cortex method is.
Essentially we measured the same thing, but by slightly different
methods.
Energy Coupling and Partition 223
point was on the satellite hole to try and iron out some of those
difficulties. A lot of that is now taking place more professionally
with current methods than I was able to do.
look very similar and you don't get the big velocity differences,
usually. If the interface is much farther out, then the distance in
which the shock wave has to change its attenuation is much less, and
so you don't see quite the effect. But around the twenty to forty
meters per kt to the one-third you can really see a pretty good effect
from that, on the ground motion. At least that's what the
calculations tend to show.
228 CAGING THE DRAGON
229
9
Cavities and How They Grow
Cavity Growth
overall, but most rocks tend to look pretty much the same in that
high pressure regime. You don't see any big differences; the slopes
of the curves in a granite look very much like the slopes of the ones
for a weak alluvium. So, there's a tendency to say, "Well, they're
all going to be the same." But there are elements, or there are
different things out there, that do look different.
Carothers: What's your view of what drives the cavity to its
final size?
Rambo: My view is, and I take most of it again from
calculations, is that this enormous Shockwave that's generated, with
a very high gas pressure that sits behind it, gives momentum to the
material as the shock is traveling outward. From what I've seen in
the best physics that we know, in terms of calculations, is that the
cavity pressure then starts to decrease rather rapidly.
Carothers: Well, the rock vapor condenses fairly early.
Rambo: It condenses, but that happens at a later time. Even
at very early times, when that rock vapor hasn't even had a chance
to condense yet, the cavity pressures are down below where they
can have a strong effect on pushing the material outward. What's
happening to the ground around the device is that you've imparted
a large momentum to it, and so it wants to go out. Then it begins
to decouple itself from the cavity pressure behind it, and about all
it seems to know is that it has this big momentum, and so it is moving
out. As it continues to move out, it's encountering resistive forces,
and the peak of the Shockwave that's imparting this momentum is
beginning to decay rather rapidly. Pretty soon this momentum is
fighting the restoring forces of the overburden, and the shear
strength of the material, as the cavity wall material trys to get itself
into a wider, thinner volume as it expands. Eventually, the material
reaches the point where, at maximum cavity radius, the restoring
forces which are wanting to push it back are as strong as the final
momentum forces that were pushing it out.
Carothers: Nort, the detonation releases an enormous amount
of energy into a quite small volume, the shock starts going out,
putting a lot of energy into the rock, which then coasts out to some
place determined by how strong the rock is. Is that what you think
happens?
232 CAGING THE DRAGON
high strain rates. That shows up in this data base which spans quite
a large range in strain rates, from 3/8ths of a gram charge of HE up
to really nuclear size. Over that range we have seen dramatic
differences in the scaled sizes of cavities.
I think those are reasonably well controlled observations,
because we know, reasonably accurately, what the equation of state
for high explosive is, from its initiation all the way out. And we
have, for the SRI case, control of the grout material. There is not
as much control for the material in Carl Smith's work, except to the
extent that it's a homogeneous body of tuff that's relevant to the
DNA nuclear sites because the properties are close to those of the
rocks they shoot in.
I tend to think of the microphotographs of samples that show
this incredible structure, and I tend to think of the movement of the
rock as being a very complicated process of grains trying to break
cementation, and trying to slide over each other, and doing all kinds
of strange things. So, 1 think of the strength of the rock from a more
mechanical point of view. Being a mechanical engineer, I guess I
think more that way.
The role, or influence, of the water in the rocks on the growth
and size of the cavities is another factor that is not that well
understood. Certainly it has an effect. There is general agreement
that it weakens the strength of the rock, in some indeterminate way,
but how much it affects the growth of the cavity is an open question.
Carothers: ]ohn, in calculating cavity sizes, do you think that
the principal influence is the strength of the rock itself? How
important is the amount of water in the rock?
Rambo: Perhaps we're limited in our calculations in terms of
driving pressures from the steam, but I see only a minor difference
in the amount of cavity pressure that's generated with say, ten
percent water as opposed to twenty-four percent water. The
strength of the material makes a big difference. I am much happier
with a large cavity, because then I make the assumption that it was
fired in fairly weak rock, and the Shockwave is attenuated. And
from all these biases that come from my calculational background,
I see a large cavity as more benign than I do something with a small
cavity.
23 8 CAGING THE DRAGON
I've seen that kind of thing. Given that, I think there is a trend
through all of this that does follow the strength idea. But the data
are noisy, very noisy.
Carothers: Nort, more containment lore. The cavity sizes at
the Test Site are all about the same, scaled of course, since all the
rocks at the Test Site have 1 5% to 2 0 % water, plus or minus a bit.
Would you agree with that?
Rimer: I don't believe that for a minute. I know a lot of people
believe that, but I don't believe that for a minute. Most of the cavity
measurements are from drillbacks into the lower half of the cavity.
They always take the radius measurement from some driilback point
to the old shot point. They don't account for cavity buoyancy, and
even elastic calculations will show the cavity moving up. An
inelastic calculation will show that the cavity may move up two,
three, four feet; maybe even several meters for a big shot, depend-
ing on how weak the rock is, just because of the presence of the free
surface. And for the bigger shots there's stronger material below,
so the upper hemisphere of the cavity is going to be quite a bit larger
than the smallest dimensions. Calculations have shown that. Of
course, nobody knows, because the cavities all collapse.
Carothers: There was one that didn't. That was Salmon. The
cavity was reentered, in the sense that they sent down TV cameras,
and there was a nice spherical cavity.
Rimer: You're right, but that was not at the Test Site. It was
at seven hundred eighty meters, in salt, but not salt all the way to
the free surface. A n d , they reentered nine months later. I spent
a lot of time calculating Salmon, and Gnome. It's clear to me that
in the nine months until they reentered Salmon that cavity wall
creeped in about five meters in radius. I matched all the particle
velocity records from that event, and the calculations that matched
them require about a 21 meter radius cavity. They measured 16
or 1 7 meters. I do believe that Salmon creeped in quite a bit. Now,
it was buried very deep; if it's less deep, there will be less creep.
Evidence from salt mines is that the open drifts want to creep back
at you.
Rimer: The models that work for Salmon work for Gnome.
That was a layered salt, and that may explain the shape.
Higgins: After Rainier, and after we had done other under-
ground shots we found that we always got cavities with a radius of
fifty or so W to the l/3rd feet. We thought, "Ah ha, all rocks are
behaving in the same way. It doesn't make any difference what's in
them."
And then came some information, first by very circuitous
routes, and then directly, that the French shots in granite in North
Africa didn't make cavities with a radius of fifty W to the 1 /3rd feet.
They only made three or four meter cavities, which means a ten or
twelve foot radius cavity for a kiloton. Well, that couldn't be, so
that informations must be wrong. That was the first reaction.
Then we had a symposium at Davis in 1964; I think it was
called the Second Plowshare Symposium. The French sent a very
large delegation of physicists who were quite willing to talk about
some of the physical effects, as long as they thought it was a one-
on-one quid pro quo. They would tell us the cavity radius from
some shot, and then they would expect us to reciprocate. Well, the
circumstances were such we couldn't do that, so they stopped. But
we did get some information before that, and one of the things that
was confirmed was that their cavities were grossly different from
what we had seen on the Hard Hat shot, which we had fired in
granite.
Carothers: How can that be? You had determined that the
rock doesn't really make any difference.
Higgins: That's what we thought. That was the first clue, and
we were not bright enough to tumble to it soon enough. It should
have told us that the conclusion we had come to about the rock
didn't make any difference was true because all of the rocks we were
looking at were mostly water. Even Gnome, which was shot in salt
in ' 6 1 , was four percent water by weight, so when you put the
sodium chloride and the other things into it, that gives a material
which is like twenty mole percent water. So, even the driest thing
we ever done a shot in was about one quarter water.
What was going on was that the French were firing in the
Hoggar massif, which is a block of granite that's like tombstone
granite. It doesn't have many cracks, it doesn't have any pores, so
Cavities and How They Grow 241
Cavity Shape
Presumably the shock wave that is generated by the detonation
starts out as a spherical wave, imparting the same amount of energy
per kilogram to all of the rock around the device. If the world were
homogeneous the rock should move out uniformly and radially,
leaving a spherical cavity. How good is that simple picture? Not
very, it turns out.
Carothers: DNA has done some tunnel reentries of one kind
and another. What can you say about the cavities themselves?
Ristvet: Well, we definitely know they're not spherical. We
find that they seem to be fairly symmetrical in the equatorial radius
when they're in virgin tuff, but they do snout down the grout filled
drifts. The cavities do grow preferentially in the directions of the
LOS drift and the bypass drift, which usually are where we have been
tagging the radius. Whether that's a function of the mismatch
between the strength in the grout and the strength on the tuff, or
the high water content of the grouts so they sort of popcorn back
in, we don't know. Those are the two leading candidates for an
explanation.
244 CAGING THE DRAGON
The shot point was close to the Paleozoics, so it didn't grow down
much, and it tended to grow up more. That kind of a model gave
a reasonable fit to his data, but a spherical cavity didn't.
Rambo: I would probably interpret it differently. You do
occasionally run into weaker rock, in the tuffs, that tends to move
a little bit faster, but not for terribly long. I would say it had to do
with the material properties, particularly strength, which can make
a big difference to the growth of the cavity. If there is strong rock
below, and weaker rocks above, it can grow more in the upward
direction.
I believe the material properties could make a big difference,
but I don't hold to the idea that the cavity is going to, by its
pressure, cause this change in how the growth is going to occur.
Some people think the cavity is being driven by cavity pressure at
late times, and I don't subscribe to that. I think it's really the
strength and material properties of the rocks that can cause a funny
shaped cavity. Those same properties can also affect the arrival
times of the shock. Some properties may cause early arrivals in the
Shockwaves, but yet may retard cavity growth. But I certainly can
believe a teardrop sort of cavity for a shot near the Paleozoics.
Cavity Pressure
Something which affects leakage through the stemming and
the cables, and the possibility of hydrofracturing through the native
material is the the cavity pressure, and its variation with time. One
body of work, where pressures were measured on high explosive
experiments in the tuffs of G tunnel was done by Carl Smith. For
nuclear events, Billy Hudson developed a method of measuring the
pressure in the fully formed cavity.
Smith: An important thing we could do on the high explosive
experiments, which is much more difficult and expensive to do on
a nuclear experiment, was to mine back to find out what went wrong
with some measurement. We dug back in, recovered all the gauges,
saw how good our grout jobs were, and we learned from all those
things. For instance, there was a shot where we were trying to
measure the cavity pressure. The pressure came down, and settled
at about seven thousand psi. We thought that was a wonderful
measurement, but when we mined back in we found that the pipe
Cavities and How They Grow 247
was plugged. So, we knew the cavity came down to seven thousand
psi, and leaked down from there, but the ground shock had jammed
the pipe closed, and so we didn't see that.
That was confirmed on subsequent shots of that size where we
measured significantly lower cavity pressures. A tamped eight
pound shot will generate about eight thousand psi of pressure. As
you go to larger and larger sizes of HE the pressures drop signifi-
cantly. A sixty-four pound shot will develop about forty-six
hundred psi. Thousand pound shots only developed about twenty-
five hundred psi. We believe that's a rate effect in how the material
responds, and how rapidly it responds.
Carothers: And when you go to kilotons?
Smith: You generate just over in-situ pressure.
Carothers: Billy, you have measured pressures in some of the
nuclear cavities, have you not?
Hudson: I would claim that our experiments were the first to
measure cavity pressure on nuclear shots through any significant
fraction of the entire history. In the fairly distant past people tried
to measure cavity pressure in conjunction with some other measure-
ment, or some other experiment. As a result it was sort of a catch-
as-catch-can measurement. In particular, they tried to measure gas
in tubes that were designed to withdraw samples from the cavity.
Usually those measurments involved flow from the cavity into the
tube they were trying to make the measurement in. Usually that
tube plugged. In fact, almost all you had to do was call the system
a gas sampling system to be sure nothing came out.
There's more than one problem with that approach. You have
a real problem if the tube plugs. Even if it doesn't, if you try to
measure the gas pressure at the end of a long tube you have a
problem because you're never in thermodynamic equilibrium. If
you have a hot gas, maybe with water vapor in it, flowing in one end
of a long tube, it condenses and cools, and by the time it gets to the
other end the pressure is quite different from what it was at the
opening.
We reasoned that the best way to make a pressure measure-
ment would be to always have a very small amount of flow toward
the cavity. If you measure the pressure at the source of flow, near
your instrumentation package, and the flow is quite small, you could
248 CAGING THE DRAGON
Cavity Temperature
The temperature of the cavity starts at a very high value, a
million degrees or so, but it drops very rapidly as the cavity
expands. The only real information on the temperature and its time
history is derived from examining the detonation products that are
separated at different times from the main body of the material in
the cavity.
Higgins: At the very high temperatures very near the explosion
the transport of energy is very rapid. In other words, after the shock
has gone by the particle velocities are high enough that there is rapid
communication of temperature and pressure between the center of
the expanding gas and its more outward regions. That goes on for
some fair part of the first part of the cavity growth. So, the
temperature in the cavity gas goes down to some temperature that
is considerably less than the electron volt, or the ten thousand
degrees, that many of the calculators are fond of putting on their
pressure versus time charts.
I feel that's a misleading kind of calculation. All of the
evidence from the cavity radiochemistry - - from the fractionation
of the various radiochemical species in recovered products - - points
to the fact that the temperature in the cavity, by the time the
rebound occurs, which is, let's say, in the time between milliseconds
Cavities and How They Grow 251
and seconds, has decreased to the point where it's not much above
the melting point of the rock. It's certainly below the point where
there's any rock vapor left.
That's important, because it fixes the maximum threat. The
dynamic phase is going on as the shock wave passes out and leaves
this hot stuff behind. The rebound comes back, and that happens
within a few hundred milliseconds. Because of the rapid exchange
of energy in the cavity up to that time, things have cooled until it's
pretty much in equilibrium; the energy is distributed throughout
everything that's within that cavity radius. My argument has been
that the initial temperature, for calculations, can't be much differ-
ent than the vaporization temperature of the rock. If it were higher
more rock would vaporize until it did reach the temperature of
vaporization.
Carothers: That seems to be a reasonable argument.
Higgins: But it's hard for people who do one-dimensional
calculations to accept, because the inside zone in their calculations
is always at ten electron volts, which is a hundred thousand degrees,
after the cavity expands. The reason it doesn't stay that way is that
anything that is at ten electron volts is very reactive. It's going to
go out and heat up the next thing that's nine electron volts, or one
electron volt, and that time is short compared to a few hundred
milliseconds.
The difficulty with this whole discussion, from a physics
standpoint, is that energy transport in this region of, say, two-tenths
of an electron volt, or three-tenths of an electron volt, is something
no one wants to deal with. The times, the opacities, the reactions
that are going on as things recombine, and you get ionized states,
and sometimes molecules that are two or three electrons deficient
are all things that are not easily calculable. In fact, they are pretty
much, as a general rule, unknown. So, nobody wants to calculate
it because nobody likes to work on a problem that doesn't have a
nice solution. Scientists don't like non-solutions.
I believe that all of the evidence points to the fact that by two
hundred milliseconds, or even one hundred more likely, the cavity
has cooled to about two thousand degrees Kelvin. As the cavity is
cooling down, the pressure is dropping, and so everything is cool
enough that the cavity gases don't have enough pressure to drive
fractures.
252 CAGING THE DRAGON
There is one more phase. The wall of the cavity has a huge
temperature gradient in it, and I believe that what happens is that
the water in the rockock volatilizes and pops pieces of the rockback
into the cavity, causing further cooling down. The pop-back is
where the water that is caught in the pores turns to steam and
expands. Water going from water at one cubic centimeter per gram
goes to twenty cubic centimeters per gram if it goes from three
hundred degrees Kelvin to four hundred degrees Kelvin. And that's
considerably below the two thousand degrees that might be only a
few centimeters away. So, I believe that there is a period of
exfoliation that's quite rapid, occurring after the first hundred or so
milliseconds, but before a second.
The pressure doesn't change much, because you're adding
more mass and more molecules. The temperature goes down
because you're taking energy out of the molecules in the cavity and
warming the incoming material until it's in equilibrium. The glass
has fallen to the bottom of the cavity, together with a lot of rubble,
and it's now at about the melting point of the rock, between about
eight hundred and a thousand degrees centigrade. And that is the
cavity we explore when we go back in and drill or mine.
Sometime a lot later, and it is an unstable thing, the roof of the
cavity just falls in. It might even start to fall in when that first pop-
off of the water vapor in the water pores occurs. If the rebound has
been strong enough so there is an arch formed, then it will stay there
for a while, whether an hour or a day, I don't know. If that arch is
not very strong, especially in alluvium, I think the blow-off of the
popcorn might very well start the chimney. If it's real close to the
surface, that's what happens. And that's why we see, in certain
other kinds of special circumstances, where you have reflecting
surfaces nearby, very early collapse, in a few minutes. Those are the
cases where the cavity collapse is initiated by the blow-off of the
water in the cavity walls, and those are really dangerous, because the
pressure is still fairly high.
volcanologists did the same thing we did. They dried out their lava
samples, and said, "This lava came out of the ground at fifteen
hundred centigrade." Then, when they went and looked at the
volcano, what was coming out of the ground was coming out at nine
hundred degrees centigrade. And they found some lavas, in western
Colorado, that indicated six hundred degrees centigrade. How in
the world did those volcanos produce that molten rock at six
hundred degrees when everybody knows volcanos start out at
Fifteen hundred?
So, there were elaborate theories about secondary melting
producing two or three times more lava than the primary vent
produced, and that meant you really had to reduce the measured
volcanic flows two, or three, or four-fold, because what you saw
really wasn't the amount that came out of the volcano itself. The
theory was that what was produced was really a lot less than what
you saw, but it was so hot that it melted a lot of other rock. There
were a lot of things like that floating around in the literature.
Now, the tuff at the Test Site came out of a volcano. And when
it came out, it came out as a solid, even though a pretty hot solid.
Some of it came out as a liquid, but not very much. But water
condensed into this hot solid almost immediately, and then it melts
at around eight hundred or nine hundred degrees centigrade. If you
take the water out of it, it melts at fifteen hundred or so. We were
extremely puzzled by that until we began to do some experiments
at modest pressures, keeping some of the water in it. And lo and
behold, the more water that was in it, the lower the melting point.
And, of course, the lower the melting point the less energy it takes
to heat it to melting.
The point is that the amount of melt is very much dependent
on the amount of water that is present - - the more water there is,
the more melt, and the less water, the less melt. So, when we said
there was the same amount of melt from granite and tuff, we were
looking at only that portion of the tuff melt that made puddle glass,
and comparing it with the total melt from granite, where all of the
melt was essentially puddle glass. They turned out to be very close
to the same amount, but that was a fortuitous accident. The total
melt from a a detonation in tuff, we now know, varies with water
content, and it goes from a low of about a thousand tons per kiloton
up to about three thousand. Somewhere in that factor of three, all
of the experiments that we've looked at fall.
'"I/''
!'•"- Cavities and How They Grow 261
the molecular weights, starting with ninety-two for uranium and one
for hydrogen, iron is about right. It's sort of the geometric mean
of everything that's around.
Carothers: We have talked about the amount of rock that is
melted per kiloton. When that is melted, how much carbon dioxide
is produced?
Higgins: Well, that is part, but just part, of the problem of non-
condensable gases produced by the explosion. Carbon dioxide is
sort of the generic name for the non-condensable gases produced.
It's clear there are quite a few of them, and the reason they are
important is that when we say that we can contain the explosion, we
really mean that we can contain the gases that carry all the various
radioactive materials.
First, there are the vaporized rock gases. They condenses
really rapidly because they go from vapor to liquid at three thousand
centigrade or so, and there's a lot of cold rock around, so those
vapors don't go very far. The next least condensable thing is water,
and steam can go a little bit further than the rock vapors. When,
on the rare occasion the steam gets out it's pretty catastrophic, and
it's very spectacular. Those events are very distressing to the
containment people. There are tons and tons and tons of steam
present in the cavity prior to its condensation to water. If it finds
a path out it can carry large numbers of curies, usually on the order
of a hundred thousand curies of radioactive material per kiloton, out
with it.
That is sort of the last violent level of non-condensable gases.
Below that, on a scale of colder and colder condensation, there are
carbon dioxide, and methane, and hydrogen, and other permanent
gases at room temperature, that are produced by the thermal
decomposition of things that surround the explosion. On some of
the early tests we observed that the test would be contained,
including the rock vapor and the steam, but that on surface collapse,
or on a time scale of a few tens of minutes, or hours, following
detonation there would be clouds of radioactive gas rolling around
the region of the shot. They were invisible, but they carried what
turned out to be a large numbers of curies of radioactive gases.
Cavities and How They Grow 263
10
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters
The thing I always liked about the crater dimensions was that
they were the best known features. They used to do very detailed
contour mappings of the craters, and so you could really tell exactly
what the volume was. And there was a pre-shot and post-shot
difference map. Today you don't know that as well because they
don't do that before and after comparison.
It turned out that the depth of the crater, not the volume, was
the most sensitive characteristic of the crater with regard to the
yield. The crater radius was the first order correction to that, and
still the volume wasn't. I'm not sure why that's true. Many people
tried to relate the crater volume to the yield. They got very poor
results, so they were just turned off by the whole concept, and were
rather outspoken about how you couldn't tell anything about the
event from the crater dimensions.
Carothers: Craters come in a lot of different shapes. There are
ones people call post holes, others they call dishes, and there are
various other shapes. How can it be that the depth of the crater,
which seems to be so variable from area to area for equal yields, tell
you anything about the yield?
Keller: Well, let me tell you what the simple relationship was.
The first thing I took was a column straight down the middle of the
chimney. I took the height of that column before collapse to be
from the top of the cavity to the surface, and after collapse to be
from the bottom of the cavity to the bottom of the crater. Any
difference in that dimension before and after collapse was bulking
or compaction of the rocks in the chimney. I expected that there
would be convergence of that because of the slumping you see in
craters, and also because of the collapse of the cavity into the
bottom. And so I expected bulking, and I just plotted that bulking
factor, the ratio of those two columns versus the depth of burial.
There was a lot of scatter, but it was not nearly as much as I had
expected. This bulking factor was very high for low depths of burial
and yields, and it asymptotically approached a value of about
eighteen percent, as I recall, for high yields and very large depths
of burial. That was the first clue that there was reasonable order.
The thing that defeats the argument about there being compac-
tion is that there is a very clean cutoff between events that breach
the surface and those that don't. It's a scaled-depth-of-burial
cutoff, and it's relatively sharp. If you had compaction sometimes,
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 267
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Hutch (left) and Flax subsidence craters. Two closely spaced events.
Equipment near surface ground zero, after the crater has formed.
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 269
you're real near the surface and you get a strong relief wave, and you
crater, that cavities really are pretty much a constant times W to the
l/3rd. Now, they are occasionally bigger. They're obviously
bigger, as measured, in the southern area of Yucca. Not only is the
measured cavity radius larger in that area, the craters are also larger,
which supports that correlation.
Carothers: You can look at the crater, and you can do surveys,
and you can get the dimensions as accurately as you care to pay for.
On the other hand, the cavity radius, if there is such a thing, is in
fact poorly known. They drill down, poke into an uncertain spot
where the cavity used to be, and somebody picks a radius based on
some level of radiation there. The impression I get is that no one
believes those reported radii are very accurate. How did you deal
with that when you tried to compare the crater depths before and
after the shot?
Keller: I presumed that there was uncertainty in the radii, and
that the crater volumes were known better than the cavity radii. So,
I went back and calculated yields from the crater dimensions, and
there were a few yields that were way off. One of them was
Bandicoot. Since then they have gone back and re-drilled it, and
found that the measured cavity radius is larger than originally
reported. There's also reason to believe that the actual yield was
substantially higher than the published yield. And so, those kinds
of things show up.
There are a couple of events where it's probably worth noticing
those differences, and one is Merlin. Merlin is the shot from which
the samples were obtained for which all material properties for
alluvium are based these days. "Merlin alluvium" — you hear it all
the time. Well, those properties are deduced from a presumed yield
for Merlin. I've never really pushed it, but I suspect that the Merlin
yield as given isn't correct either.
It was like '67 when I first developed this correlation, and Bob
Brownlee was excited about it, or seemed to be anyway. He took
it to Charles Brown and said, "Hey, here's a way to measure yield."
And there were a couple of folks who said, "That's just because we
always bury shots at the same scaled depth, and you use depth in
there, and that's why you get that." Well, thats's not true. If you
just knew the depth you wouldn't get nearly as good a correlation.
Another thing Brown said was, "We already have Hydyne, we have
270 CAGING THE DRAGON
distance. But they're not the same from shot to shot. On some
shots the velocity falls off very rapidly, and they have correspond-
ingly very high motions toward ground zero. On other shots the
velocity falls off very slowly, or relatively more slowly, with
distance, but they don't have much velocity at surface ground zero.
It's almost as if there's an energy conservation that the amount of
energy under the curve is staying the same, but it's distribution
around surface ground zero can be very different.
The puzzling thing is that we can't predict for any particular
shot which of these behaviors is going to show. The motion will fall
on a well defined curve, but we can't tell in advance what curve that
is, and we can't relate the curve to any of the geological aspects. In
particular, in our tuff pile location, which is a very uniform section
of tuff geology, we have shot very similar shots in very similar
settings; same device, same depth of burial, same location in the
structure. If you had to try to repeat an event, you can't do any
better than that. And they have had completely different ground
motions. And, completely different collapse times.
And the collapse times aren't related to the ground motions
either, by the way. I thought, ah ha, now I'll have some way to
predict collapse times, but no, that didn't pan out. I think that both
collapse times and ground motions are sensitive to the detailed
properties of the close-in geology, the geology near the event work
point.
Carothers: I was about to raise that issue. The shots, you say,
were just about as similar as two shots could be, in terms of yield and
geologic setting. Perhaps so. Yield, sure. On the other hand, they
were probably a thousand of so feet apart. Maybe more. So, they
weren't really in the same geologic setting, except in a general way.
The details near the working point, the inhomogeneities on the scale
of the cavity size, you don't know.
Kunkle: Well, that's true. For some things, like the scaled
cavity size, the inhomogeneities don't seem to matter too much in
the tuff units. For other things, such as the collapse times or ground
motions, it seems to matter very much, and in unpredictable ways.
We don't measure enough to be able to link the downhole measure-
ments with what we see happening post-shot.
276 CAGING THE DRAGON
rock, turns the water it contains to steam, which then blows off that
layer of rock, and so on. So, the cavity walls are continually flaking
off.
Kunkle: I would expect such pieces of rock to be quite small
compared to the major blocks that would fall in during cavity
collapse. A n d , by and large, the cooling that occurs is from the
energy that is transported into the rock to make it hot. The
conditions near the wall of an underground cavity, following a
nuclear explosion, must be quite suitable for steam vapor explosions
to occur. The rock and the water in the cavity are under a large
pressure. The water in the rock can now be superheated, probably,
to appreciable temperatures before it will flash to steam. At those
high temperatures, the flash of the superheated water to vapor can
have an energy release comparable to a good high explosive. But
the energy has already gone into it, by thermal conductivity, and so
it is already hot steam and water and rock, being added back to the
cavity. The work's already been done, other than the mechanical
work, which is soaked up.
But I think those pieces must be small. You're looking at an
average size of a pocket, even the big ones maybe, of a few
millimeters across. So, you can imagine a little droplet of high
explosive detonating just inside the wall, and scaling off some small
amount of rock. 1 think this is unlikely to contribute to the major
collapse.
Now, there has been a school of thought that believes that the
cavity pressure is related to the collapse time. The model seems to
be that of an impermeable membrane, which allows you to push
against the rock. I've thought that a mechanism that may be more
important in determining when cavities collapse than the steam
pressure inside the cavity is the stress in the rock around the cavity.
If our calculational models are to be believed, we often reach stress
states in the rock immediately surrounding the cavity of compres-
sive stress; the residual stress we like to talk about. That's also
expected to dissipate, as water moves out of pores and relieves that,
and collapse times may be more related to the migration of the
water out of the combined pore spaces than to the actual pressure
decay in the cavity. The two may go hand-in-hand, but we know
very little about any of these mechanisms.
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 281
much air goes in." We had three shots for which we measured the
flow of air into those cavities, and what we found, of course, was
that the amount of air that went in was the volume of the cavity.
So, we had a standing cavity with a vacuum. What you
immediately deduce is that the cavity was small, and in tuff, so it
stood. It didn't fall in. But it was sealed off, and this told us a lot
about gas flow through tuff, and how things could seal.
Carothers: Subsurface collapses, by definition, go part of the
way to the surface, and when they stop, there seems always to be
an apical void above the chimney material. If that void is at low
pressure, the flow will be downward from the surface to fill up this
big vacuum chamber. That is a mechanism which would tend to
militate against any release of gases that might have gotten up that
high. Do you believe that's possible, ]ohn?
Rambo: I like that idea. We saw that happen on Barnwell,
certainly. The pressure dropped, and you could see that on the
downhole gauges. The subsurface collapse tended to draw a
vacuum, and we didn't see any radiation get above where it was
measured at the stemming platform, which was very high in the
hole, about four hundred meters up. And so, 1 think that downward
flow certainly does happen.
There were a set of experiments carried out by Ed Peterson, of
S-Cubed, sponsored by DNA, which had to do with whether there
was any containment threat if a shot site was situated close to the
chimney of a previous event. Data was sought as to whether or not
there might be flow of gas through the old chimney to the surface.
Peterson: At the time we did the chimney pressuriztion
measurements there were a couple of things that were coming up.
One was that they were going to shoot Hybla Gold near a nuclear
chimney, and they were worried about, if they got gases from the
shot into the chimney, would they then leak up to the surface very
rapidly. If you place events reasonably close together, and if you
get rapid gas flow into an old chimney, could those gases end up
going up to the surface rapidly? That was the motivation. It was
a pretty much a containment-type question.
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 283
feet per minute. It was between one and three thousand, some-
where around that. Eventually, after twenty hours or so, we could
build up the pressure in the chimney to maybe three, four, five psi.
We put in numbers of millions of cubic feet of gas. You can
model it, and we found we could model it very well. From the model
we could calculate what would happen if we let the pressure decay,
and built it up again, and so forth. So, we got to the point where
we thought we could understand reasonably well the conditions in
the chimney. We did three chimneys, and 1 think we did seven tests
on those three chimneys, which were from Dining Car, Ming Blade,
and Mighty Epic.
1 believe some of the motivation for using the Mighty Epic
chimney was because Diablo Hawk was going to be done in that
general vicinity. I think we verified, if nothing else, that gas doesn't
come up to the surface from those chimneys.
Carothers: Is that because, although the chimney may have a
lot of cracks, and the gas goes up to the top of the chimney, there
is then some amount of material from the top of the chimney to the
surface of the Mesa, and that's what's really keeping the gas in?
Peterson: Yes, one can make that argument. 1 believe it was
on Dining Car where, when we did our first test, we actually
detected gases up on the Mesa at positions that were probably on
the order of two or three hundred feet from the surface ground zero.
Subsequently, after the USGS came out and looked at it, they found
a region there that was fractured. The fractures went down at about
a thirty degree angle, and would intersect the uncased bore hole that
went down into the top of the chimney. Subsequently that bore
hole was cased, and we did another test. Nothing came up to the
surface.
So, in that case we really made the right guess — the material
above the chimney was what kept the gas in. I can't remember the
exact numbers, but we probably put in two to four million cubic feet
of gas, and our guess is that at the most, even when we detected it,
maybe less than a hundred cubic feet had come out on the Mesa.
The tracers are very sensitive, to one part to ten to the twelfth.
If we had been testing over a chimney that was in alluvium,
where you wouldn't necessarily get the flow through the fractures,
we would then have put some type of a tarp on the surface, and
collected the gas under it. That way. if it does ooze up over a large
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 285
region, you can still pick it up. I think that what we showed was that
there was no gross flow. These slight oozings — I don't think one
can tell. But I think the amounts would be so small that it would be
almost impossible to detect, no matter what it was that was oozing
up at that rate.
Carothers: The conclusion that I would arrive at is that indeed
I can safely detonate a device quite close to an old chimney, because
it is no more of a flow path than the new chimney that's going to
form.
Peterson: I think that's true. If you're looking purely at the
fluid flow aspects of it, what you say it true.
Carothers: How else should I look at it?
Peterson: Well, because DNA has a iine-of-sight, and ground
shock closures, and things like that on the tunnel events, if you do
put another shot too close to an old chimney, you may affect the
ground motion in a manner that might adversely affect some other
part of the system.
Carothers: You're implying that the properties of the chim-
ney, of this material which has fallen in, are different from the
surrounding materials, and so you can't treat it as similar to, or the
same as the rest of medium?
Peterson: That's true. It may be a perturbation to the ground
motion. But I think from the fluid flow and leakage point of view
what you say it very true.
Carothers: Do you think that would be true in alluvium as well?
Peterson: I think so. I see no reason why it wouldn't be. On
Pahute, Livermore has done shots where they get some collapse, or
partial collapse, and there are little fractures that ooze small
amounts of activity from atmospheric pumping. But they are very
small amounts. The thing is, you can count anything, jim. It's like
our sulfer hexafluoride — there are just molecules that came out.
With the measurement capabilities that people have today you can
measure far below anything the EPA says is significant for anything,
or that anyone else says is significant. You can measure molecules
of anything, like our tracer. And there are a lot of molecules. It's
286 CAGING THE DRAGON
true that Caesar's last breath is still floating around, and every
breath you draw in should have a molecule or two of Caesar's last
breath. One can mathematically show it.
Carothers: Carl, the Test Site, including the tunnels, is used
as a two dimensional grid, as far as siting events goes, and there are
some arbitrary rules about how far from an old chimney a new event
should be located. Eventually, perhaps, for various reasons, people
could be forced locate events closer than those rules would allow.
My impression is that nobody really knows very much about what
the properties of the chimneys are, and so they stay away from them
because they don't know.
Keller: That's right.
Carothers: Do you think that could become an issue in the
future?
Keller: I think that if there were a few measurements of
chimney permeabilities, and measurements outside those same
chimneys, to develop real data on what the relative permeability is,
inside versus outside, then you could be much more quantitative
about how close you could get. The gas flow codes we have now
would easily handle that problem. There are some kinds of sitings
that are already all right. You can shoot, certainly, well underneath.
1 don't see anything wrong with dropping one chimney into another.
Carothers: No, 1 don't either. No one has done it though.
Keller: No. Well, they've gotten close. But 1 think in that case
you don't have to be very quantitative to convince yourself it's all
right.
The thing that I think is most compelling for the measurement
of permeabilities in the chimneys is the C02 question. As they site
in different areas, and they encounter higher C02 contents, they
will have to be more explicit about what is an acceptable level. The
standard five percent that has been the threshold of concern is based
on an analysis of seeps, which occurred all over the site and includes
events like Diagonal Line and a bunch of Livermore shots. There's
a whole area which Livermore uses that has a high C02 content. It's
also fairly well cemented. It's very important that the threshold of
concern for C02 is very medium dependent. If you're shooting in
a material where the chimney is not significantly different from the
Cavity Collapse, Chimneys and Craters 287
Carothers: Russ, you have said that there are indications that
things other than the simple movement of gases from the detonation
through the chimney toward the surface go on in the chimney after
the shot.
Duff: When the early Plowshare activity in S-Cubed came
along, I had an opportunity on Gasbuggy to look at the chemistry
of a nuclear chimney. We had extensive measurements of gas
composition over time, after the shot. Chuck Smith, at Livermore,
did measurements not only on the composition of the gas - - carbon
dioxide and air and methane and ethane, and so forth - - he also
looked at HD, HT, H2, HTO. So, we had not only chemistry, we
had isotopic chemistry. I tried to develop for El Paso Natural Gas,
who were the commercial partner, a model which would explain all
of those measurements in a consistent fashion. I think we did, and
it is a very different model from what the Laboratory developed.
One thing that came out of it was the postulate that during
collapse some of the hot rock was elevated, or at least not flooded
by the condensate. So, over a period of six months there was a
continuing series of reactions at these hot rock surfaces between the
various chemical species. There must have been hot spots in the
chimney, and by hot I mean six, seven, eight hundred degrees
Kelvin, that lasted for six months.
Carothers: That's not the conventional wisdom.
288 CAGING THE DRAGON
11
The Residual Stress Cage
where the hoop stresses in the rock are greater than the cavity
pressure. Hence, gases in the cavity cannot be forced through that
region.
Another postulated mechanism is hydrofracturing, or crack-
ing, of the rock near the cavity by the gases which are at high
pressures in the cavity. Such a crack exposes additional cold
surfaces, and speeds the cooling of the cavity material, reducing the
high pressures that might force materials toward the surface. Hence,
they could reduce the flow from the cavity, and be beneficial to
containment. On the other hand, such fractures would seem to
provide paths for flow of gases toward the surface, or perhaps to
some plane of weakness such as fault. As such they could be a threat
to the containment of the event.
The third, thought to be sometimes important in tunnel events
where a line-of-sight pipe is used, is block motion. This refers to
fact that upon tunnel reentries very large blocks of rock have been
observed to have moved many feet. Such motion could conceivably
be good for containment by moving a very thick block of material
across the tunnel, effectively sealing it. Or, it could be bad by
destroying or interfering with the action of the mechanical closure
hadware typically used on line-of-sight shots.
There is, of course, the possibility that all three of these things
might occur in various degrees on every detonation, either reinforc-
ing or interfering with each other in the containment of the gases. In
a similar way, it is difficult to confine the discussion of peoples'
opinions about why shots contain to just one of these mechanisms.
This chapter will consider principally residual stress, the next
hydrofractures, and the one following that, block motion.
Carothers: In the earliest days of the underground program
there were people who said, "I don't understand why every shot
doesn't hydrofract to the surface and vent. Why do they stay there?
Everything is diverging, everything is being pulled apart, there is this
high pressure gas, and it should hydrofract to the surface very
quickly. But it doesn't do that." There were other people who said,
"Well, there is some sort of mystical magical membrane that keeps
it from doing that. There has to be, because otherwise, you're right,
you couldn't contain an underground shot."
The Residual Stress Cage 293
a beam and put a load on it, you introduce compression on the top,
tension on the bottom, and so you get a nonuniform stress distribu-
tion through the beam. Or, the torsion of a cylinder. If you load
it into the plastic regime, the outside fibers get loaded higher, and
they go plastic first. When you take the load off, stresses get locked
in. That's a well known concept in civil engineering.
Carothers: Well, we didn't have any civil engineers considering
this problem. A l l we had were physicists and calculator types.
Rimer: That's right.
Broyles: I don't remember who really came up with the actual
idea of the stress cage. It was based on some calculations, but it was
fairly nebulous. When you look back at it, it's so simple that a high
school physics student can understand it. When you deform
something classically, and stretch it out elastically, it rebounds, and
is going to have a residual stress.
Carothers: That wasn't appreciated by people for a long time.
Broyles: No, and we at Sandia didn't either. And it's not at
all clear yet under what conditions, particularly in alluvium, are you
going to get how much of a stress cage, or how consistently, or
regularly. I think it's quite clear-cut that in tuffaceous materials you
regularly get a stress cage, and that there's creep, and that it decays.
And that you can cause perturbations in it, and get yourself in
trouble with things like line-of-sight pipes sticking through it.
We got started, and Wendell Weart got started, worrying about
hydrofracing as a way of breaking out of the cavity. He started
trying to understand how you could have calculations which said
you had several times overburden pressure in the cavity, and not
have the stuff get out of the cavity. We then developed, and did the
first in-situ measurements, using high explosives, that really demon-
strated the containment stress cage, I don't claim that Sandia
invented the idea of the stress cage, but 1 think we really pursued
it, and proved it in a real environment, even though we were
devoting most of our efforts to the line-of-sight shots.
called Puff and Tuff. I did all the calculations on that thing, and I'm
very proud of Puff and Tuff. It was a beautiful experiment. We fired
a 256 pound charge, which had two pipes looking at it. One came
down the tunnel we used to put the charge in. We put a funnel on
the front of it, where it went to the HE. That was calculated to keep
the pipe open, so the gas would come down, and then be there
available to crack the formation. It is very important that you put
the funnel on; otherwise the hydrodynamics will close off the pipe
right away, and you get no gases in it. The tunnel was stemmed, of
course.
When we were first designing the experiment, that was the only
pipe we planned. AI Church, of the firing group, was sitting in on
the meeting on firing the HE, and he said, "Why don't you just drill
a hole on beyond the charge, and have one that is in the tuff, not
in the stemming?" So, after we excavated the place for the charge,
we drilled a hole on into the tuff. It was six inches in diameter, and
we put a transite pipe in it and forgot about it. And again we put
this funnel on. Thank God Allen suggested that pipe, because that
one worked, and the one in the stemming didn't work at all.
So we fired the shot. The HE gases went down the pipe in the
tuff, right away, and delivered enough pressure at the end to crack
the rock. We know it got down there very quickly because we had
a pressure gauge at the end of the pipe in the stemming to find out
when the gas got down there, and it got down there like a bat out
of hell. We had calculated where the residual stress should be, and
when we went back in there was no cracking at all for one cavity
radius beyond the original cavity. Then all of a sudden we have a
vertical crack that goes up and down as far as you can see, with black
detonation products all through it. But there's absolutely no crack
where we calculated the existence of a residual stress field. Now,
I think that is very good evidence.
There was one thing that was bad about the experiment. That
was, we did change the stresses in the tunnel by the excavation. In
the same place where this residual stress field would be, we had a
modified stress state due to the excavation. This always has to be
considered. There's some creep that will take place, and there will
be some differences. But indeed, you could go back in there and for
The Residual Stress Cage 297
a full cavity radius there was no crack at all. We used the Alpine
Miner when we went back in, and we stopped it every six or eight
inches, and did a complete map of the area.
Now, something very interesting happened with the pipe in the
stemming. We closed that pipe in the stemming. That stemming
was supposedly GSRM - - rock matching stemming grout. Now, you
know as well as I do, it doesn't match at all. Indeed, we closed the
pipe in the stemming; we did not close the pipe in the tuff. I think
that this happens should be known in the containment community.
On Carl Smith's high explosive experiments we do see some
stress records that look good, and there may be an indication of
residual stress on those. I believe I've seen residual stress twice.
Once was on Puff and Tuff; the other was a precursor to Puff and
Tuff. That was a five pound cylindrical HE charge. It was the first
thing that Lynn Tyler did.
After the shot Lynn got a very bright guy to go in and dig it out.
This guy had nothing better to do, and he went in there with a dental
pick, a tiny chisel, and a paint brush, and dug it out like an
archeologist. He found a cavity, a nice little cavity, elongated
because of the cylindrical charge. Of course it was small, and the
material was a nice smooth, very homogeneous, weak tuff, with no
cracks in it at all. Then he found a region that didn't look like the
same stuff at all. It had absolutely no structure to it. He did find
some little cracks too; right on the edge of the cavity he found some
circumferential cracks. Then he got into this region of absolute
mush. He went into this region, which was about the same size as
the cavity. Then he went to the edge of that material, and he found
circumferential cracks all the way around, and radial cracks running
all over hell. Now, I claim that is a stress cage. A n d , unfortunately,
I have just given you the best write up known to man. It has never
been documented, and I cannot get the man who did it to do that.
While I was doing hydrofrac work I was also involved with the
measurements on the DNA nuclear shots. Occasionally Don Eilers
would talk Bob Bass into making measurements on some of his
vertical shots, and so there were about a half dozen vertical shots,
including some LLL shots, where we did some measurements.
Carothers: When you're working in the tunnels you're always
working in the tuffs. Were the vertical shots deep enough that they
were in the tuffs too?
Smith: Most of them were, but there was one I remember that
was in the alluvium. That was U1 Obe, one of the Livermore shots.
It was a low yield thing, and we got some fairly nice measurements
on that. It was the early days of the gypsum concrete plugs, and
there were two stress measurements in one of those plugs; one at the
top, and one near the bottom. They saw a little over half a kilobar,
and after the dynamic phase they came down and showed about a
hundred bar offset. We were recording the signals on a tape deck,
which would run out of tape at about eight minutes. But, at about
seven minutes these signals, which had been decaying, got down to
zero stress level. So, those are a couple of measurements in alluvium
that suggest there was a residual stress field loading that stemming
plug. And so there are these bits and pieces of measurements on
nuclear shots which say, "Yes, there's a residual stress."
We've been using that data, and it's interesting that they cannot
consistently see a residual stress in their stress measurements. Now,
it may be an instrumentation problem, or it may be that the residual
stress really is absent, or at least different than the way we model
it. I don't know which. Calculations certainly show the formation
of a residual stress field. There's no doubt about that. But that
doesn't mean it actually exists in nature.
Carothers: There are people who might say something like the
following: "The physics is right. The codes are right. And if you
lived in a uniform, homogeneous world, and you calculated what
was going to happen, you would see a residual stress cage, and it
would be there. But you don't live in such a world."
App: Well, the codes are pretty good at looking at the
potential effects of layering, and non-homogenieties. One suspi-
cion is that material that has been shocked, has been worked, has
been strained, and has had tremendous pore pressures built up due
to trapped water, is a completely different material than it started
out as. It loses its strength, and cannot support a residual stress
field.
Some of the theoretical models predict no stress cage. The
physics in the effective stress models would suggest that, out at least
to some range, you have zero strength in the material. Now, the
material has to have some residual shear strength in order to have
a residual stress field. It has to be able to support deviatoric stress,
or stress differences, in order to have a stress field of the type we're
referring to, where the stress tangential to the cavity is higher than
any other stress component. If the shear strength goes to zero, you
can't have a residual stress field. There has to be some residual
strength in that rock. Now, the question is, does that material have
essentially no residual shear strength?
Russ Duff, of S-Cubed, has questioned the role of the residual
stress as the principal agent of containment. As he expresses it, it
is not the physics used in developing the calculational codes, but the
presumptions upon which they are based that should be called into
question.
The Residual Stress Cage 303
sight pipes, and things of that kind. This is all based on an extension
of our belief that the first-order approximation of one-dimensional
spherical motion is at least a place to start.
Out of this basic assumption comes our concept of the residual
stress field. We say the explosion occurs, the cavity forms, the rock
is forced out, there is plastic distortion. There is then elastic
rebound, which compresses the rock, builds up a residual stress
field, and "Voila!" We have the intellectual explanation for the
"mystical magical membrane" that people used to talk about before
the 1973 or 1974 time frame, when the residual stress concept was
widely taken to be the basis for containment.
Carothers: Would it be fair to say that this assumption of a
spherically symmetric cavity growth is based on the idea that the
amount of deposited energy is so large, is deposited so fast, and the
shocks that develop are so strong that within that region you're
talking about it doesn't really matter what's there? That it
overwhelms the material properties, and it doesn't matter whether
it's tuff or alluvium or granite or whatever? Is that the basis of this
approximation, do you think?
Duff: Well, that may be the basis of it, and that is what was
observed at Rainier, but that approximation seems to apply only for
one meter past the cavity boundary- - not for the region over which
we think the residual stress field sets up and is effective.
Carothers: Which you take to be between one and two cavity
radii?
Duff: Yes. So, I think what we have done, and I'm saying DNA
now because DNA is the only testing organization which has made
a practice of trying to measure rock properties and strengths in
detail, is we've taken cores of the rock, and we have protected that
core as well as we can. We have then sent it to the laboratory,
primarily to Terra Tek, and they have developed good and presum-
ably reliable techniques to measure the mechanical properties of
that rock. And we have used those measured properties as input to
material models, which then go into the code, and the continuum
mechanics calculational procedures then give us predictions of
stresses, velocities, displacements, and ultimately, residual stresses;
all the observables and calculated parameters of interest.
The Residual Stress Cage 305
maybe there was some bug somewhere - - so try it again. Maybe they
have tried it again; I don't know. I think that when it comes to
measuring residual stresses in a nuclear environment, we haven't
done it. There are a lot of technical reasons why it's hard to do.
In the nuclear case, the early cases, when there were indica-
tions of low stresses, people said, "We didn't get around to
reentering and drilling this hole and doing the hydrofrac until three,
four, five, six months after the shot. Maybe the stress has just leaked
away. But it must have been there earlier." Some of the other
experiments, like the zero moving parts measurement by Terra Tek,
suggest maybe there isn't any in the first place.
They have found some evidence that the directions of fractures
are what one would expect based on the predictions, but they
haven't found strong stress fields. Now, one can argue, "Oh, they
have decayed away." That might be true.
Carothers: There were tests done at SRI - - small amounts of
HE detonated in concrete blocks - - and residual stress fields were
found.
Duff: Those were the grout-spheres tests at SRI. I think in that
case we may have been misled by experiments which were modeling
a real world, but the models were too good, in a sense. The grouts
as poured were sufficiently homogeneous that the assumptions of
the one-dimensional model were in fact reasonably valid for those
experiments.
The measurement technique which was used in those tests
consisted of circumferential copper wires cast into grout spheres.
The sphere was then placed in a magnetic field, such that as the
cavity was formed, and as the grout moved radially outward, the
wires cut the magnetic field and generated a voltage; this voltage
was proportional to the velocity of the wire. The diagnostics
worked, and that in itself tells us the motion was reasonably
uniform. It was not dominated by block displacements, which
would have sheared the wires. That is a major diagnostic problem
in the nuclear area; it's very difficult to get cable survival, which is
why it has been difficult to get cavity pressures or cavity gas samples
on a routine basis. The conclusion I've come to is that we have
measured residual stresses in the grout spheres experiments, where
308 CAGING THE DRAGON
SKIPPER here, and you get a very small cavity radius. And you get
a number of other observables related to stresses and velocities.
You get certain predictions. Then you ask, "What is the data?" The
data is quite different.
Norton Rimer is one person who has had reasonable success
trying to Fit a material model to the Pile Driver experience, from first
principles. He started with an explosion in a rock whose properties
he defined, and made sure that he got the particle velocities and the
stresses that were measured. In order to do that he had to use what
he called an effective stress model. In other words, he said, "The
strength of the rock is not even to a first approximation what Terra
Tek measured." Its strength is related to the fluid pressures which
you generate in the little fractures. The point is, it was the
inhomogeneities in the rock, and not the rock itself, which were
central to an effective description. Effective means we had a model
which at least agreed with the observations. The straightforward
calculation that we would make the way DNA, or Los Alamos, or
Livermore ordinarily treats the problem doesn't come close. The
code is probably okay; that's just F = ma, usually. And if one has
done his job right on certain test problems you can believe that F
= ma, and the code is computing that.
But I want to emphasize this point again in connection with the
cavity radius observations. I think we are dealing with a situation
where the response of the ground to the explosion is dominated by
interface slipping characteristics. And, the interface characteristics
are likely to be quite different from the apparent characteristics of
intact rock. It is not inconceivable to me that the interfaces in hard
rock can slip more or less as easily as interfaces can in alluvium. This
leads me to question the prediction, the expectation, of a residual
stress which comes from simple continuum mechanics codes. There
the intrinsic assumption is that material points which start out close
together will end up close together.
This assumption leads to a whole bunch of conclusions, residual
stress being one of them. If the essential phenomena are governed
by motions which don't satisfy the fundamental continuum mechan-
ics assumption, then I don't think that as technical people we are
justified in expecting the predictions of continuum mechanics to
apply.
The Residual Stress Cage 31]
where we've modeled a generic weakness, and we may have seen the
same thing in the field. I say, "may", because the statistics are very
poor.
There are things like Baneberry, which we modeled, that didn't
show residual stress. There was a lot of evidence that it didn't have
anything like that. For instance, it leaked out of the ground. More
recently there was the Barnwell event, which looked calculationally
like it had residual stress problems. And after the shot there was
radiation high in the stemming. There was Nash, which I did run
some calculations on and compared to the Bourbon event. Nash
looked worse than Bourbon, and Nash leaked but Bourbon con-
tained. That is probably the only evidence of things actually having
happened that I calculated.
The statistics are very poor. There have been cases where I've
calculated things that showed residual stress, and they leaked, or
had some difficulties. And there have been some cases where I did
a calculation which showed that didn't have any residual stress, and
they contained just fine. But there's one thread that seems to
wander through these calculations of residual stress, although the
statistics, as I said earlier, are terrible. That is, there's usually
something else wrong with the event besides the residual stress. On
Baneberry there was lots clay and lots of water. On Barnwell there
was also quite a bit of water. On Nash there was a lot of C02, a
non-condensable gas. Those things may play a factor, if you know
you haven't got any residual stress, it may be a secondary thing that
is really important. To draw a conclusion out of three or four events
like that is a very poor style, but nevertheless in this business, I keep
looking for a thread.
Carothers: Russ Duff has said that the calculations are not
wrong, but the world in which you work is not the kind of world that
the calculations calculate. That's the business of the inhomogene-
ities, the layers of different rocks, the three dimensionality, possibly
block motions. If you only had the right kind of world, the
calculations would be just fine, but you're applying them to a world
that doesn't exist.
Rambo: I would like to temper that comment a bit. There are
some areas where the non-homogeneities are more apparent than
others. Take the tunnels, where you're in stronger rock, and there
are lots of fracture planes. They have indeed seen motion along
316 CAGING THE DRAGON
these planes, and the calculators that I talk with say, "We just can't
model that sort of thing yet. Or maybe we will never be able to
model that kind of thing." Those fracture planes may play a strong
role in what eventually ends up as the non-residual stress, or the
residual stress being taken away. But as you get down to the Flat,
the differences in the strength are not quite as different. In the Flat
we're talking about more of a soil type of material, but still there are
those areas that have hard rocks and porous materials.
My experience is in looking at drilling rates. In the Flat, drilling
tends to go fairly quickly through most of the tuffs - - not all of them,
but most of them. I get a different impression from that than what
I see up on the Mesa, in looking at the strengths that are measured
in the tunnels. It's just a bias that I've picked up over the years, in
looking at, and becoming more aware of what's happening in the
tunnels. A calculator tends to look at things a little bit differently,
because he's looking for, or trying to divine, properties that have to
do with containment, or those he thinks have to do with containment.
Another answer to this question about residual stress is that
many of the people who say there isn't anything such as residual
stress are talking about shots in the tunnels. That's the discussion
that seems to be going on now. One of the things that has come
through this whole business is that, in the lore, low yield events have
more trouble containing than high yield events. And, the people in
the tunnels are always shooting in a subkiloton to maybe less than
two kilotons range, for the most part. They have done ten kilotons
shots, but the low yield events seem to be showing most of the
residual stress problems. Or, most of the events where they've
leaked radioactivity have been in the low yield range.
To a first degree I try to put layers in the model at different
strengths, but there may be things that we don't know are there, or
cracks, or the strength properties we may think are all one strength
may not be. My argument is that you see more of this kind of thing
in the tunnels than you do out in the Flat. My feeling is you ought
to see it where you have relatively high strength rock with cracks,
and with lots of weakness around the shot point. Those things are
going to move, and they do move; in the tunnels they can see that
they have.
The Residual Stress Cage 317
with the fluid, and part of it is taken up by the matrix of the material.
And then the issue was, does it take up a lot of it, or a little of it.
My recollection is that it didn't really cancel out very well.
Ristvet: If we believe some of our recent DNA data, yes, we
have residual stress, but it's very small. I think some of the
measurements we made on the last three events kind of suggest that
yes, the residual stress is there, but the magnitude is less than the
cavity pressure. What's interesting is we are now calculating those
small numbers using a discrete element code that allows certain
block motions to occur.
We're getting almost to the point where we can make some
measurements. We're finally getting smart enough about how to
make the measurements, after twenty some events where we failed.
And everybody knew what the problem was; it's called cable
survivability. So we went out and made the hardest cables we could,
and I give credit to SRI, and in part to Carl Keller who modified SRl's
design, and then to Sandia who even made it better. What they have
developed is this wire rope wrapped cable. In the tuff or alluvium
I think it will work just great, because it can cut through the medium,
in a sense, because it is so rigid in comparison, and yet it can protect
the soft conductors inside.
Carothers: Norton Rimer has said that as far as he was
concerned the best location for testing a device was in a weak rock.
If you have a strong rock, like granite, you will get a small cavity,
high pressure, and a lot of tensile fractures. He said he liked a nice
soft, forgiving rock.
App: Same here. I believe that. Our current models of the
ashflow tuffs at the Nevada Test Site suggest that you get a stronger
residual stress field in them than in other rocks. For example, you
don't get a lot of tensile failure. The failure is predominately shear
failure; the material is not physically pulling apart. Also there is a
lot of rebound for the formation of a residual stress field.
Calculationally, the residual stress is stronger than you get for a
weaker material like alluvium, or for a denser material like welded
tuff or lava. I think what Norton said is right.
Lava is strong in shear, and it is always jointed. You're not
going to find many rocks that are not jointed. The shear strength
might be quite high, but the effective tensile strength is zero; during
The Residual Stress Cage 323
the outward cavity growth the cracks open up. During rebound they
close down again, but during that hysteresis period when the cracks
are opening and closing the mechanism isn't there to create a
residual stress field, because residual stress formation depends on
shear failure.
When the material is failing in shear, as soon as the rebound
starts you immediately start forming the compressive, elastic stresses
that comprise the residual stress field. So, there's a very basic
phenomenological difference between a strong rock and what I will
call a medium strength rock such as ashflow tuff. On the other hand,
when you go to a very weak rock, like a Baneberry clay, there's not
enough strength to support any kind of shear, or residual stress.
If you make a plot of calculated peak residual stress versus
strength of the rock, it starts out very low, increases with increasing
strength, hits a peak, and then decreases with increasing strength.
The way the models are currently set up, it appears that the ashflow
tuffs are almost ideal for the formation of a strong residual stress
field. The fact that the alluvium is very weak doesn't matter that
much because the water table is below it, so it's dry, and there is a
lot of volume to take up the gases, even if it doesn't form much of
a residual stress cage.
324 CAGING THE DRAGON
325
12
Hydrofractures
little to do with it. There are fractures, and as a matter of fact, the
more fractures there are the better it is, because they lead to
cooling, and to a decrease in the pressure in the cavity.
Duff: I can provide a piece of pretty good evidence to support
the fracture argument. Let's talk about Red Hot. This was an event
which occurred in a hemispherical cavity. The yield was relatively
small. We have calculated the expected cavity expansion from this
event, and it's about three or four meters. What's observed is
roughly one meter.
When you have a twenty-three meter start and then you go one
more, or you go three or four more, that is a big relative volume
difference. From 23 meters to 24 meters is a little bit of expansion,
like 12 or 13 percent in volume. From 23 meters to 27 or 28
meters is a lot of expansion, like 60 to 80 percent. What
mechanism can make the cavity not expand? Well, one obvious
thing is that the pressure went away. When would the pressure have
to go away to make the cavity expansion only be one meter instead
of three or four? The answer is five or ten milliseconds. Now, that
is so fast that whatever happened did so inside of any time frame in
which residual stress fields would be set up; that would be more like
a hundred millisecond time frame.
So, how can nature get rid of the pressure from an explosion
in ten milliseconds? Nilsen looked at this problem, and looked at
the fracture system that you might expect from such an explosion
in such a cavity. He used his code called FAST, which is a calculating
system which is related in many ways to analytic treatments. He
came up with an answer that it would require fractures from the
cavity at roughly three meter intervals to dump the pressure.
We reentered Red Hot, and it happened that the reentry drift
intersected a fracture; you can see it in the floor of the reentry drift.
It goes out about fifteen or twenty feet from the cavity boundary
and stops, so it wasn't driven for a very long time, but it was driven
quite energetically. It is a very narrow crack for the last few feet,
but it is quite a large fracture at the cavity boundary. There is a
grapefruit sized hunk of rock in this glass-filled fracture, and that
rock came from some place far away. So, there was at least one
fracture on Red Hot. It didn't go very far, probably because the
pressure didn't last very long. Let's say the pressure didn't last very
long because there was a system of fractures, lots of fractures.
Hydrofractures 327
Nilsen said you could kill the pressure if you had fractures
every three meters. So, Joe LaComb drilled a hole parallel to the
flat face of the cavity, and 1 believe he encountered fourteen
fractures along the length of this hole. On average they were three
meters apart. So, I think that there is a net of at least circumstantial
evidence which says Red Hot was contained because a whole system
of fractures developed and they dumped the pressure on a very fast
time scale.
Ristvet: There was an another hypothesis, which was that the
crater threw a lot of cold debris into the cavity. When we looked
at the crater through the drilling, with the TV cameras, it was almost
exactly as S-Cubed and myself had predicted. I did it empirically,
and S-Cubed did it calculationally. The throwout was very small,
because the high pressures in the cavity just didn't let anything get
thrown out. You have to have extremely high ejection velocities to
move through that overpressure.
That also says something else about the timing, which helped
validate the calculations too. Those high pressures lasted for only
a few tens of miliseconds, and then they dropped very, very fast.
That was probably during the time those short, stubby fractures
formed.
Now, we did see, on Red Hot reentry, two steam type
hydrofracs, the kind with no glass, or very little glass associated with
them. They went up above the Deep Well access drift to the base
of the vitric. They follow the in-situ stress field perfectly. Those
two are not well explained. They had to occur at a very early time,
while the pressure was still up, and probably the other fracs were still
forming. And maybe they continued to grow during the dynamic
phases of the tunnel and cavity growth.
Carothers: I have heard that on Red Hot there is a big fracture
that extends a long way, and is wide and open.
Ristvet: Yes, that's also in the Deep Well access drift, where
we saw these two steam-type fractures. Those were observed during
the actual reentry when Bill VoIIendorf and probably Mel Merrit,
because he was the scientific director, or whatever the title was in
those days, on the shot, went back in there. And yes, they could
see this big opening in the top of the Deep Well access drift, filled
with glass. However, the ones we actually mined up to were very
328 CAGING THE DRAGON
wide, a foot wide or so, but they didn't go anywhere. They only
went three, four, five meters from the cavity. I think the viscosity
of that glass just plugs those things up real quick.
Smith: Well, in addition to those short fractures, there is that
fracture that goes over the top of the drift that went over to Deep
Well. And this is a fracture with radioactivity in it. My predecessor
had them drill down, and my impression is that they traced it down
about thirty feet. When 1 got into the program 1 was still curious
about it, and we drilled a bunch more holes up. It goes up over a
hundred feet from where the tunnel intersects it; we drilled holes
through it, and ran radiation probes through it. So, in addition to
all those short fractures there is this additional one, and I think
people tend to forget about that fracture. They concentrate on
what was found in the DNA work, when they were looking at all the
phenomenology of decoupled and coupled shots.
dumping like one or two megawatts into that little hole. To run for
about two minutes required twenty-four big cylinders of hydrogen
and twelve cylinders of oxygen.
We looked at the steam flow, and the fracture propagation.
The main attempt was to try to calibrate the KRAK code, and
validate it. So, we looked at steam fracturing from that source, and
steam flow, and steam condensation. We had numbers of drill holes
that had been drilled in at various distances from the source hole,
and we looked at the fracture tip propagation across those bore
holes, and looked at the pressure rise, and so forth and so on. It was
to get a better idea of fracturing, to see whether the models really
do calculate steam fracturing correctly.
Carothers: When you hydrofracture something you take some
water, or steam, or whatever. You pressurize it. There's a little
discontinuity in the rock, and the rock cracks. The fluid moves
down the crack, transmits the pressure, and the crack extends.
That's my view of hydrofracture.
Peterson: I don't think it's any different than mine. I think it's
been interesting over the last five years to see what we've learned
in terms of fracturing. If we look at fracturing from a cavity, and
we take a standard tamped shot, the only time, in most cases, that
it looks like you can get any fracture from this cavity is during the
time that the cavity is actually growing.
That's the only time that the stress fields are set up in a manner
which allows the pressure in the fracture to be greater than the
confining pressure. If the confining pressure around the fracture is
greater than the pressure inside, the fracture just closes back up. It
won't grow. While the cavity growth is continuing, the Shockwave
is moving out further, and the shock is way ahead of the cavity.
Sometimes you can see that you can get these fractures that will
grow a little bit. They don't go very far and they don't last very long
in time. And then when the stress fields change, they are again
closed right up. So the most you see when you go back into one of
these events is one of these gas seams that people will talk about
once in a while. They saw a little, thin seam that had some
radioactivity in it. Even our calculations, at least the ones that I have
seen, never indicate that once the cavity is formed that you can
fracture out of it any more. If our calculations are right, you just
can't because the pressure in the cavity is too low by that time.
332 CAGING THE DRAGON
money from the Gas Research Institute of Chicago. That work was
related to the things they do to hydrofrac gas-bearing formations.
What they had in G tunnel was 1 500 feet of overburden, where they
could do the experiments, and then mine back into the areas and
look at the results. So, they were able to test a lot of assumptions
about stimulating wells with hydrofracs.
There was one experiment they did that was hydrofracing from
the surface, 1 500 feet above. They did the standard industry
practice of colored sands, and walnut shells, and all the usual stuff.
Then they started drilling holes, trying to find this fracture that was
supposed to propagate five or six hundred feet. They eventually
mined back and found out it had propagated no more than twenty
or thirty feet from where it started. It got into a region of massive
fractures and just stopped.
Carothers: As you know, people at S-Cubed have been doing
calculational work on hydrofractures; how they're formed, how
they propagate, and so on. Apparently they have come to the
conclusion that such fractures don't propagate very far - - perhaps
one or two cavity radii. Perhaps that's because you simply can't, in
a sense, pump them enough. You can't keep delivering the
necessary fluids and the necessary pressures to keep them going.
Smith: We discovered that experimentally. No way could we
get big enough air compressors to drive those things. The harder
you drive a fracture, the more the aperture opens up.
We did a whole series of shots prior to Misty Echo, called
Junior Jade. That was a series of eight pound shots, where we varied
the size of the air cavity around an eight pound charge. We were
looking at what point do you begin to create fractures. If the shot
is tightly coupled presumably it will set up the residual stress, and
there won't be fractures. At some point, if the cavity is large
enough, you won't set up any residual stress, and there will be
fractures.
All told we did about five of these shots, and on the one that
was tightly coupled, the cavity indeed grew, and we measured the
cavity pressure. We also measured the volume of these cavities with
a volumetric technique before and after the shot, and then we mined
back into them. On the tightly coupled one, we ended up with a
cavity which had grown to two or three times the original volume.
342 CAGING THE DRAGON
13
Block Motion
I think the cracks are smaller, but you still have a series of blocks.
And, as you go deeper, gravity is holding them together better and
better, until your eye might not be able to detect them as blocks.
When you detonate a nuclear device, some of those blocks
move around a little. This one might move a lot easier than that one,
this other one might not move at all. We only know what we see in
the reentry drifts, but we do see that. When you go back into the
tunnel you can observe, and see that this block slid up over that
block x-number of inches. Blocks do move, and you wonder why
that bed down there stayed there, and this bed up here moved.
Then you look and say, "Ah, here's a nice clay zone that this bed
can slide on. It can move along that much easier than the one below
can move along that gravel bed below it. That's much more
difficult." So, blocks do move with respect to each other. We have
seen up to a number of feet of motion.
Carothers: The picture I've gotten from what you've said is
that we could look at Rainier Mesa as a large piece of material that
has a lot of more or less vertical joints and faults, and a number of
more or less horizontal layers, which were laid down at different
times. And so, in a way it's a fairly loose pile of stuff, on a very big
scale.
Orkild: That's correct, on a very large scale. Now, the
Marshmallow site, in Area 16, was essentially completely shattered,
broken, and cracked. When they mined into it, it was just sitting
there as a mass of rocks, held there by gravity, and it was slowly
creeping down the hill. Each time it got bumped, it jiggled a little
bit and settled back again. The cracks readjusted, and the gases
would seep out here and there. Many, many years from now Rainier
Mesa will be like that - - essentially a pile of rubble. The blocks are
getting smaller and smaller as time goes on.
Ristvet: Block motion is interesting to me is because I got
involved with it when I was first at DNA. That was in relation to
survivability of underground structures, from both a defensive and
a strategic aspect. The big question was, at what stress levels do
these motions occur? I said, "Well, it's really more of a displace-
ment level than a stress level."
Block Motion 349
metal, which caught the door, just barely. When we went in there,
even though the door looked very secure, one did not want to go
underneath it without putting a little bracing there.
Carothers: You also talk about residual stress, and it might be
that if you do get such motion, it's going to inhibit or decrease the
formation of the residual stress.
Ristvet: What it does is, it spreads it out over a bigger area, or
a bigger volume. Consequently the peak is greatly degraded, and
allows the relaxation to take place a lot faster, because you're having
rock creep occuring along these planes as the residual stress is trying
to set up. What I'm talking about is not new, and the modelers who
work with the continuum models have been very aware that is
probably what real life is like. We've just always felt it comforting
when we thought these motions didn't degrade it as much as perhaps
it does.
Bass: We have noticed these random motions; indeed, these
disordered motions occur. There's no question about that, but I
don't believe they're controling.
Carl Smith had a very interesting experience on one event. He
and I put in a thing called a SCEMS - - a Self Contained Environmen-
tal Measurement System. Sandia has been doing them off and on
for years and years. You put in this very strong unit, and then go
back and recover it after the shot. And hope it has worked.
Actually it has worked on some occasions. Right now it's a dead
issue; it should never be fielded again. The last time it cost a quarter
of a million dollars, and the data return was absolutely zero.
Carl did get some data on an event not too long ago. He had
one of these units up at five kilobars, and that was the closest we
thought we could go. In order to make the measurements Carl put
some cables out from it, to gauges maybe twenty feet in front of it.
We also put gauges in the body of the machine, so when those cables
got broken we would still get something. I had designed these
SCEMS in the past, and in an attempt to make it move with the
surrounding rocks we put big fins around it to tie it to the mountain.
That works, and they do tie it to the mountain. The accelerometers
on-board and off-board did show the same thing. And when you
integrate them they showed the same thing, within limits.
352 CAGING THE DRAGON
When Carl went back in, the guys who did the reentry were
very careful about it and took a lot of good pictures, and you can
see this chaotic motion of the type Russ Duff talks about. Here sits
the SCEMS, and there sits the outboard gauge. Between the gauge
and the SCEMS the cable does the damnedest didos you've ever
seen. It's moved three feet this way, and two feet that way, and
everything else. And the motion had cut the cable in various places.
That rock does not just move radially out, in detail, but the general
motion is outward.
Carl has looked at permanent displacements for eight or ten
events, and put them all together, and has gotten a very nice curve
out of it. Even up in the kilobar regime, and these would be up to
five and eight kilobars, which is about as close as you can get back
in and measure and have any accuracy, outward motion is absolutely
a straight function. Inside there's terrific chaos, but that doesn't
necessarily destroy the possibility of a stress cage.
Smith: There aren't any easy answers about block motion. The
questions are all research problems.
We did field, about three shots ago, one of the so-called
SCEMS units - - Self Contained whatever. You can't make the cables
survive as close in as the gauges were, so you have this self contained
recording unit. Then, you dig back, recover it, and read out the
recording. There was about twenty feet separation between with
the gauge and the recorder. And, there was a big fault that went
through the space where they were separated. On the reentry we
found that the fault had moved, but a foot this side of the hole with
the cable in it there was another hole, and that hole was intact. That
fault moved six or eight inches, and it was a massive fault that
extended for numerous feet, but the movement didn't extend in one
direction at all, because it didn't cut the other hole.
That makes you think, "Yes, these big fractures occur, and
move at least six inches." But if you look at them on a global extent,
they just don't extend anywhere. You've got all this massive block
movement, but when you go and look at that fracture very carefully,
and look at the other evidence, you discover that there are just
numerous of these short fractures. Now, when you mine back and
see what looks like massive block movement, it may be a whole
Block Motion 353
series of short fractures where each of them may have moved six or
eight inches. But, I don't think those fractures extend for tens of
feet. As I said, I think it's a research problem.
Bass: We also now have some data about when those blocks
move. We had never had a timing of when blocks moved until Misty
Echo. On Misty Echo I got a lucky break. I found a place to put
instrumentation on a fault that Dean Townsend absolutely promised
me would move. And, it was out at the tenth kilobar regime. So,
being at a tenth kilobar I could get cables to last. I had three-axis
accelerometers on each side of that fault, and we watched it move,
and we know when it moved. And we know that it moved
contemporaneously with the peak particle velocity. It moved right
away. So, I think block motions are occuring during the peak of the
particle velocity, which I think is a helpful thing. That's before the
stress cage is formed. That's important.
For a long time people thought blocks or faults moved in
seconds. But on Misty Echo they moved right at the peak particle
velocity, and a funny thing happened to these blocks. They were
sitting there, side by side. In radial motion outward, they moved
together. In horizontal motion they moved together. In vertical
motion they didn't. The one farthest from the device rose up over
the other block, which went out and down. That lasted about for
six hundred milliseconds, and then they moved off together. The
bigger block behind became the controlling block, and started
moving down. This is well documented.
The motion lasted a second, and we ended up saying it moved
seven centimeters, that there should be a seven centimeter vertical
displacement at that point. That was at one second. We said,
"Okay, that's interesting. That should be interesting for seismic
source mechanisms, and a few things like that." We asked joe
LaComb to go back in and verify this by reentry. He came back and
said that there was no motion at all. What happened was that the
shotcrete didn't break. I said, "Damn it, there was motion. Go back
and look again." Joe listened to me, thank God, and he sent FscS
back in again to knock the shotcrete off. I said it moved seven
centimeters - - it had moved five. I think that's a fantastic bit of
data, as to when it moved, and how much it moved.
354 CAGING THE DRAGON
occurred. We were able to find it after the shot, but we didn't find
it before the shot. We went back and looked at pre-shot records,
and cores, and we were unable to identify it.
1 think that there are probably a very large number of other
displacements that occur that we never recognize because we don't
know what was there before the shot. We do relatively little looking
close-in to an explosion. The Laboratories never, or almost never,
do, and DNA is restricted in its efforts by money, and time, and
difficulty, and all the other things that really do apply in the real
world.
Carothers: You were talking about the world being
inhomogeneous.
Duff: Intrinsically inhomogeneous.
Carothers: Let me offer a thought. The world is inhomogeneous
on any scale that you care to use to look at it. If you want to start
with a scale of a few thousand miles or so, there's space, and then
there's atmosphere, and then there's dirt. If you want to go to an
atomic scale, there is silicon, and carbon, and oxygen. On a
somewhat larger scale there are molecules, then grains of minerals,
and then you to get pebbles, and cobbles, and on and on. How that
affects your predictions, it seems to me, is a question that can only
be answered if you tell me the wavelength of the phenomena you're
concerned with. Would you comment on that?
Duff: 1 think that's a very crucial point, and one that does
indeed need discussion. 1 think the scale of the disturbance that
we're concerned with in a nuclear test is, or can be, characterized
by one of the characteristic dimensions of the test. Let's call that
one the cavity radius.
Carothers: That would seem to be a reasonable dimension to
choose.
Duff: Yes. Therefore, I think inhomogeneities that occur on
scales that are of that order of magnitude can influence the
phenomenology. And my point is that the modeling that we have
done, largely that DNA has done, is based on measurements of
pieces of rock core which are measured in centimeters. Whereas,
we know from reentry observations that there are non-uniform
motions that are occurring on dimensions of meters or tens of
Block Motion 357
Peterson: Some people have stated that the reason we've had
problems with some of the events, Mighty Oak being the worst, was
the fact that we went to larger pipe tapers. They have postulated
that once we went to the larger pipe tapers, the only reason we've
had containment is because we've had very fortuitous block motion.
That block motion has served to sever the LOS drift, and prevent
things from leaking. Now, there's quite a bit of evidence on some
shots that we have had block motion. For example, it looks as
though block motion cut the drift on Misty Rain. People speculate
that if it hadn't cut it quite as much as it did, Misty Rain would have
looked like Mighty Oak.
There are clearly identifiable instances where a block of
material has moved. Misty Rain is one example, and I think it's true
on most of the events. It is documented on numbers of events.
There was some on Mighty Oak as well, but you can then always
argue that it wasn't enough.
Carothers: You could also argue that was what caused the
problem.
Peterson: Well, that's the next point I was getting to. I can go
to the other extreme of looking at, say, what is called the "tired
mountain," which I think is maybe more properly said as shock
conditioning occurs out to a larger radius then we can measure by
going in and doing sonic measurements, or accoustic measurements,
360 CAGING THE DRAGON
I don't mean to imply by this that 1 believe it's either the block
motion that's made the changes we have seen, or that it's the
increase in pipe taper that's made those changes. 1 have found both
arguments interesting, because the increased pipe taper one says,
"You had to have block motion in order to get containment on the
recent shots." The larger damage region argument says, "We're
developing block motions because we were continually shaking the
ground in the region where we do the shots." If you follow it to the
next level, you can say, "If you have block motion, then you need
block motion to get containment." But you could follow it back the
other way and say, "If I don't have block motion, then things might
work the way they always have sometime in the past."
Carothers: There is another set of detonations; those which
occur in Yucca Flat. No line-of-sight, no tunnel. There's just the
emplacement hole and its stemming. I don't understand how the
block motion argument might apply to those shots. Does block
motion occur only because the tunnel is there? Suppose there were
no tunnel.
Peterson: I don't believe that the tunnel has anything at all to
do with the block motion, or very, very little to do with it. I think
it's the motion that occurs as a result of the natural discontinuities
in the ground before the shot. I think the block motions generally
occur independent of whether that little tunnel is or is not there. I
don't think the tunnel causes block motion.
In Yucca Flat, when a device is detonated in the tuffs, I think
blocks probably do move there also, but in a stemmed hole I don't
believe it necessarily bothers you at all.
Carothers: Well, the evidence is that it doesn't. Of course, in
emplacement holes all there is in the first few hundred feet is a
bunch of gravel and a few plugs.
Peterson: Yes. And so they'll never see it, or it doesn't really
matter to them at all. I believe it's something that we in containment
need to think about, however. I personally don't know what the
answer is.
Carothers: Let me disagree with you. The evidence in the Flat
is that whether it occurs or doesn't occur is of no concern. The
concern, really, is on the part of the DNA people who could to lose
Block Motion 363
14
Depths of Burial, Drilling
Well, the Teapot Ess explosion proved that the nuclear energy
was as efficient. To the degree one can determine from measuring
the size of the crater, it was just about as good as high explosives.
The people in the Plowshare program, starting in a few years later,
began to scale things and said, "All right, if a kiloton works as well
as a thousand tons of TNT, then how about a megaton?" And they
began to realize that things like a Panama Canal could be excavated
with explosions in the megaton and submegaton range, placed at
depths of 600 feet or so.
Carothers: I presume the original argument would be, "The
chemical explosive produces a lot of gas, so there's a push, or
pressure, from this gas which lifts and throws out material. The
nuclear explosive doesn't do that, so it won't be as effective or as
efficient in moving the dirt."
Higgins: That was the argument. That first test, the pre-
Plowshare program test, was not definitive in that particular, but the
crater was about the right size. The issue still was not settled, but
it looked as though the vaporized rock did the same amount of work
as if it had been a permanent gas. That was important from a
containment point of view, because that meant the vaporized
material contained a lot of the energy. There was a good mixing,
at least until most of the energy was in the gaseous material, and
there wasn't a lot of radiant energy left behind.
So, the Plowshare cratering program people proposed a series
of shots, like Teapot ESS, at a number of depths to confirm the
scaling curves, and to examine this business of the gas coupling at
deeper depths. 1 think the scaled depth of Teapot ESS was about
60 feet. The optimum scaled depth of burst for cratering is about
120, and so Teapot ESS was at about half the optimum depth. The
gas becomes more important as the detonation point gets deeper,
and the argument was that as you approached a scaled depth of 100
or 120 for a nuclear source the gas acceleration phase, or the gas
coupling, wouldn't be very effective. So, one of the objectives of
the early Plowshare cratering program was to confirm the scaling
curves.
First we confirmed that the old scaling curves that had been
published by the French in 1870's were valid. And it turns out
they're very precise, and they were valid for both TNT and nuclear
explosives. When we used a thousand calorie per gram high
Depths of Burial, Drilling 369
explosive like TNT, we got the same results that the French had.
And we found that the effectof wet rock or dry sand was not all that
pronounced. There was a little difference, but all these curves
existed. By confirming one or two of them we found that we could
use all of the curves.
The real issue was how far up in yield could you go, because it's
obvious, if you think about it, that in a gravity field there is an upper
limit to the size of crater you can make. If you tried to do half the
world, it would obviously all fall back, because it's going to fall back
into the same world. It might be oriented differently, but there's
going to be no crater at all. What flies up one place will fall back
somewhere else.
The largest explosion we did was the Sedan event on July 6,
1962. It was 100 kilotons or so, at a depth of about 630 feet. That
was the optimum depth from the old scaling curves. Lo and behold!
It scaled just as if it had been high explosives. It produced a 300
foot deep crater that was essentially 350 feet in radius, and was very
close, or exactly on, the high explosive curves. That verified the
scaling curves from 1 gram to 100 kilotons, which is 10 to the 8th
grams.
The point, for containment, is that 100 kilotons at the
optimum scaled depth of burst produced the right scaled dimen-
sions for the crater. We also looked at the craters from the Pacific
surface shots, and those large yields at the surface produced craters
also of the right scaled dimensions. The inference was that when the
explosive was contained, and it produced no crater, the same logic
should apply. In other words, an explosion should be completely
contained at the same scaled depth of burst, whether the explosion
was a gram or 10 grams or 100 kilotons or even a megaton.
In the absence of gravity, in a perfectly elastic medium, the
effects of energy at a point decreases as the radius cubed. But when
you put gravity in, and say the explosion is going to be contained
in this constant force field, things change. If you include gravity,
the containment depth doesn't scale as the yield to the 1/3.
Empirically it was found that it wasn't 1/3, but more like 1/3.4.
The scaled containment depth, on that basis, was 220 feet. A
couple of high explosive tests were fired at that depth. One was in
370 CAGING THE DRAGON
Higgins: Exactly right. And it's one of the mistakes that can
occur if you try to do scaled models of tests at the one gram scale.
You have to be very careful to scale all of the particle sizes, and
other features, along with the size of the explosive.
When we have a nuclear explosion the wavelengths from the
explosion are in the hundred meter range, as far as the bulk of the
growth is concerned. After all, the cavity grows from the size of the
explosion, which is a meter or so, up to a hundred meters or so.
Those things that are a lot smaller than a meter, or a hundred
meters, aren't going to make a lot of difference. If you had a
hundred meter sized hole, I think there's no doubt that the
explosion would find it and go out. A one meter size hole, it's
questionable. A tenth of a meter size hole is so small that its not
going to make any difference. This is my opinion, and 1 think it's
been shown in a couple of cases. It's not going to make any
difference no matter what's in the hole, including nothing. We've
done tests many times with ten centimeter size pipes. We worry
about them because we worry how big is too big, but the evidence
is that they don't make a lot of difference.
Carothers: Well, there are some people who might take
exception to your statement. You said, "If you had a hole which was
a tenth of a meter in diameter, it doesn't make any difference what's
in that hole, including nothing." There was a period of time when
you chemists drilled holes, not quite that small, but still much
smaller than a meter, near events, and filled them with various
things at various times, including drilling mud, nitromethane, and
starch.
Some of those holes stayed open. Take Eel, for example.
There were two small holes near the emplacement hole. One was
filled with drilling mud. the other with nitromethane. The mud, the
cables, and anything else that was in them blew out, and the cavity
did its best push all the gas out them. How does that square with
your statement that it doesn't matter what's in the hole?
Higgins: It does matter what's in it. I made an imprecise, and
also unconsidered statement. You can contrive to keep a tenth of
a meter hole open, but it takes some special efforts. To keep such
a size hole open isn't easy.
Depths of Burial, Drilling 373
Drilling
Regardless of the depth that is chosen as the appropriate one
for a planned experiment, a hole must be drilled so the device and
the associated experimental hardware can be emplaced. The drill-
ing of the hole is not a containment issue in itself, but on more than
one occasion what the drillers were able to do has modified the
planned containment or experiment design. Information from the
drilling processs, should it reach the containment scientist, can
sometimes provide valuable insights as to the properties of the
medium through which the hole has been drilled. The characteris-
tics of the hole, such as its diameter and straightness constrain how
the various data colection experiments can be designed.
In 1961, when the moratorium ended, Livermore did their first
few shots in tunnels, with little success as far as containment was
concerned. Los Alamos always used drill holes, and their experi-
ence was somewhat better. One of the concerns about the use of drill
holes was that they weren't big enough to allow much in the way of
diagnostic measurements. During the first few years the holes were
36 inches, or 48 inches in diameter. While large compared to holes
that were drilled for things such as oil exploration and production,
they were a very small diameter laboratory space in which to place
the diagnostic equipment needed to collect data about the perfor-
mance of the nuclear device.
Miller: By the time I got to the Test Site the common size holes
were 36 or 48 inches, and they were doing them in one pass. In the
very beginning they would drill a small hole, similar to what they
used to do in the oil fields, then open them up with what we called
a hole opener, or hole enlarger.
Carothers: The people who were trying to make the measure-
ments always wanted a bigger hole — four, six, eight, ten feet in
diameter. Who developed what you might call "big hole drilling?"
Did we do that, or was that a commercial development?
Miller: The evolution came from people at the Test Site. The
Laboratory would give the requirements to the then AEC, and they,
of course, had drilling contractor. Holmes and Narver had the
drilling before I came out to the Site. When I came to work out there
374 CAGING THE DRAGON
I worked as an engineer for Fenix and Sisson, and they did the design
work for whatever was required, in conjunction with REECO. I
think the answer, probably, depends on who you talk to.
I think that initially it was probably entirely the AStE, Fenix and
Sisson, and it kind of evolved to more REECO doing it, mainly
because of personalities. It would depend on who was given the job.
We had some really fantastic people out there. One with FscS was
named Art Hodge. I'm one of the few people on earth who could
get along with him, because I wouldn't take off him. He was a mean
one, but he was smarter then anybody I'd ever known. He was that
type of guy. REECO had a guy by the name of Sim Crews, who was
a petroleum engineer. Between the two of them, reluctantly
sometimes, because FstS and REECo were always at each others
throats, similar to Los Alamos and Livermore, is how these things
developed. The prime mover, of course, was the Laboratories —
give us a bigger hole, give it to us quicker and cheaper.
Carothers: Where did they go to get eight foot diameter drill
bits? Nobody in the world used them, did they?
Miller: That's not really so. The mining industry used them
a lot, for what they called raise drilling. They mine in straight, drill
a hole down, in a drift, and then run a drill pipe in there. It's pretty
simple to drill out a twelve and a quarter inch hole in a drift. Then
they put a bit on the top, and drill up, and all the cuttings fall out
into the drift. That is called raise drilling. Then they haul the
cuttings out like they would in a regular mining operation. When
you start at the surface you have to remove the surface stuff that you
drill through, and that's the really difficult part. Raise drilling is just
one thing they use big bits for.
Carothers: What people have said is, "Well, it was really at the
Test Site where we developed big hole drilling. That had not been
done before."
Miller: That's not so. There was a guy with Robin Bits, which
sells cutters. Fantastic guy, an engineer. I heard him give a talk, and
he quoted four different localities where they have drilled big holes,
and how they progressed differently. There was the way we did it,
there was a guy from Canada who drilled some big holes, and there
was a guy in Wyoming, and somebody in Tennessee who did
something with coal mines.
Depths of Burial, Drilling 375
Miller: There were two of them that did that. The first one
was an uncased hole that was drilled to like a thousand feet. They
were getting ready to use it, and went over there, and there's a
doggone collapse crater. There's the emplacement hole, and right
next to it is the collapsed area. The thing caved in, all the way to
the surface.
The one they don't like to talk about is the one that occurred
with the drilling rig on it. Everybody tried to keep that quiet,
because if certain safety people heard about it, who knows what they
would have done. What happened was it collapsed underneath the
rig, under part of the sub-base, while they were drilling. They
hauled trucks in there with gravel; several truckloads; I never did
find out how many. They filled it back up, and gently moved the
rig off, and abandoned the hole.
The result of that was a meeting just between the drillers; there
wasn't anybody else involved in it. I was in some of the meetings.
What can we do about it? And I won't mention any names, but one
LASL guy said that they were thinking about putting an expanded
metal mat all over the location, so if it happened again the
roughnecks wouldn't fall in it.
Then Fred Huckabee, who is an old driller - - he used to be a
tool.-pusher on one of our post-shot rigs - - he looked at me, and sort
of made a face, and he said, "I'll tell you what. I used to roughneck,
Miller used to roughneck, and I think he feels the same way. If my
driller brought me out to a rig and it had this expanded metal all over
everything I'd have to ask him what it was for. And he'd tell me,
'In case the ground opens up, that's to keep you from falling in it.'"
He says, "1 wouldn't have worked another minute for that driller.
I would have left." And Huckabee really got mad. He was serious,
and he said, "We don't want to start any crap like that, because that
tells you that it's unsafe to do what you're doing. You're putting
a safety net like for somebody from the Circus Circus - - in case he
misses his grip he's going to fall in the safety net. You don't want
to do that with a drilling rig."
So there were two events where that happened in the LASL
area, and after those things happened, if they had an emplacement
hole, and had a shot nearby, they would Fill the thing all the way
back up with stemming material. Shoot the shot, and go back and
de-stem the hole. Suck the stuff out. Like re-drilling it, essentially.
Depths of Burial, Drilling 383
will people be lowered below the conductor pipe." I read that and
said, "Can't do it. The top of the fish is eight foot below the
conductor pipe." "Well, we know that, but we won't get this
approved unless we say that." When I said, "Well, I don't
understand," they said, "Well, that's just to satisfy all the safety
people, and the powers that be." Everybody involved in it knew we
had to do it.
So, we went down below the surface conductor, and 1 latched
onto that fish. We had sound powered phones to the surface, and
joe Dehart, who was a big ironworker superintendent, said, "Hold
on there. Take off those phones." So we took the phones off. He
said, "You see down there?" And I said, "Yeah, it's about sixteen
hundred feet to the stemming." He said, "It took three days to write
this damn safety order." I said, "So? What about it?" He said, "I'll
send one of my ironworkers up in a bosuns chair on the jib of a 4600
crane a hundred feet, and I don't have to have a safety order. If he
falls out of it and hits the ground, what's going to happen to him?"
I said, "He dies, probably." And he said, "What happens to us if
we fall out of here and fall sixteen hundred feet?" I said, "We die."
He said, "What's the difference?" I said, "That's easy, Joe. They
can produce your ironworker's body. It's going to be difficult to get
our bodies. That's the only difference. The only difference." He
said, "Put your phones on. Let's go up."
Carothers: As I remember, there was a man who fell into one
of the holes up on Pahute, all the way.
Miller: Only to the water table.
Carothers: Well, that's a pretty high dive.
Miller: That's the only person I've ever known to fall into an
emplacement hole. A laborer fell into a rat hole where we had put
part of the drilling gear in, and it got stuck. They just lowered a rope
and pulled him out. I think he was down about twenty feet. Scared
the dickens out of him.
most of the time, you have very little trouble. But if you start at the
top of the chimney and drill through the chimney all the way down,
it's just horrible conditions. Back in those days I would not have
done it. I would have quit. They didn't even use blowout
preventers.
Carothers: What do you need those for?
Miller: Well, if you like to breath radioactive gas, I guess no
reason. I've reviewed lots of histories of when they did things like
that, and there were all kinds of problems. To investigate a chimney
for a containment scientist would be no problem, because we'd
probably do it six months or a year after the event. But doing post-
shot drilling rapidly to get fast-time samples for the radiochemist is
a different thing. I'm not talking about the drilling. The drilling
problems are going to remain. I'm talking about the radiological
problems.
Carothers: One of the things that interests people in the
containment world is, what is the condition of the rocks in the
chimney. They don't think about it in terms of drilling; they think
about it in terms of shooting another shot pretty close by. You said
that if you start to drill down from the top, you've got probably a
lot of loose, broken rock. You lose circulation. I can understand
that at the very top of the chimney, but as you get down a ways isn't
that rock pretty well consolidated?
Miller: No. I don't think so. I don't have that much
experience drilling in the chimney, so some of these things are what
I believe. Ifitcollapsedinonebigplug, all at once, instantaneously,
naturally you probably wouldn't have that much difference. But if
it did the slow caving thing, until it finally built up to the surface,
it would be different.
When they drilled back right after the shot, I don't know how
you could have learned anything about the chimney, the way they
pumped tremendous volumes of mud in the hole to try to get the
cuttings away, and contain the radioactive gases. I don't see how
a person could get any knowledge from any of those holes.
388 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: I have heard that one of the reasons they went away
from drilling straight down, to the angle drilling, was that there was
a shot which had not collapsed, and the geophones were quiet. So
they moved a rig in, they were drilling, and all of a sudden the drill
stem droped about sixty feet. Have you heard that story?
Miller: Yes. I know what hole it was, and I know the guy that
was there. What happened was, there was no collapse, but they
moved in two rigs forty feet from the GZ, one on each side. They
really crammed the rigs in together in those days. They used two
because usually one of them never got to total depth. Even down
in the crater a lot of times they would use two rigs because it
increased your chances for success.
Anyway, they set the surface casing at about eighty feet on
both rigs, but one rig broke down. They drilled with the other one
to, I'd say, thirty feet below the surface casing and the tools just fell
in the hole. Well, everybody says, "It's fixing to collapse. It could
collapse." So, everybody evacuated the rig. The rigs were still
sitting there. It was Tiny Carroll who said, "I want volunteers to go
in there and tear those rigs down." Now, who is going to tear a rig
down except the roughnecks? There's nobody else qualified. So the
roughnecks went in and tore the rigs down and hauled them out.
That's one of the reasons they went to angle rigs, but the main
reason was that you can drill from the side and be in undisturbed
rock most of the time. You stay out of the chimney, so it was
quicker, easier, and had more chance of success. You didn't have
to build the road down in the crater. And we could preset the
surface casing and have that all done ahead of time, which you
couldn't do in the crater. Angle drilling was just like a discovered
America for post-shot drillers. It was that kind of a step forward.
390 CAGING THE DRAGON
Drill bit.
iiSS^^^^W^Ki
15
Emplacement Holes
Stemming, Plugs, And Cable Blocks
soldering irons and their pliers. In a shaft you can get to it, but it's
troublesome, because if you're stemming you've got the bomb
down there.
Carothers: Was it as surprising to you as it was to me, Tom,
that you could not pour sand down a rat hole, as it were?. And a
very big rat hole.
Scolman: Yes, and I think it surprised the people who poured
it down. We found out the hard way that it was, indeed, possible
to bridge certainly a four foot diameter hole, and probably a hole
of any diameter you want, and have the stemming fall in later. So
the thing that started first off was, "Okay, what is it that we can
really fill a hole with?" And so we came up with the requirements,
for example, of dry material and material of a certain size.
The notion of alternating coarse and fine layers came before
my time; it was in existence when I got there. My belief is that was
done so one could say with confidence that the permeability of the
stemming column was lower than the permeability of the surround-
ing medium. Remember we were mostly in cased holes in those
days. I think the ability to emplace the material was as important
a part of the criteria as the permeability. Whether that was so or
not I don't know, because as 1 said, that was folklore that was there
when 1 came.
Keller: When I came to Los Alamos in 1966 the only
interesting events were the Iine-of-sight events. We barely consid-
ered the rest of them. Charles Brown used to talk a lot about the
quality of the grout job behind the casing, but that was about the
main concern for the normal emplacement hole event. The Iine-of-
sight pipes involved the only challenging containment problems, as
far as I saw them.
Carothers: The Nuclear Test Ban Treaty had been signed in
1963. A fair fraction of the events that were fired during the mid
to late sixties, of whatever nature, released some amount of activity.
Some of the amounts were pretty small, but maybe a quarter, or
maybe a third of the events recorded some amount of leakage at the
surface. Was that considered acceptable? Why wasn't Charles
Brown worried about those?
Emplacement Holes, Stemming, Plugs, and Cable Bolcks 397
Keller: Well, you look back now and it seems cavalier, but at
the time, while any leak was disliked, the seepage of noble gases
wasn't considered a major failure. The concerns were mainly that
there would be so much flow up the Iine-of-sight pipe that you'd
have a major fallout problem from the venting. The next level of
concern was that you'd have enough radiation leakage from the
event to fog the photographic film in the recording trailers. Below
that, it was just an operational nuisance to have a leak. Hot cables
were pretty common.
But there was, even before Baneberry, a deliberate attempt to
limit the leakage to nothing. Then, as now, J-6 stemmed the holes.
And the question was whether or not the stemming would work well
enough. The LASL Standard 5 was the stemming plan for all the
shots, and it had been developed early on. It was developed partly
to avoid slumping; that's the reason the coarse materials are in
there. The coarse material is terrible stemming, if you consider gas
flow, but it doesn't slump and that was why they used so much of
it. Then they put in the fines layers, in moderation, to get some
impedance to gas flow.
The last event I worked on before Baneberry was Manzanas,
and that was the first event where Los Alamos used coal-tar epoxy
plugs. That was the hated, messy stuff that Livermore had dreamed
up, and J-6, Rae Blossom and company, were not the least bit
interested in being caught using a Livermore material. The whole
idea was abhorrent. So, I ran into a lot of resistance in trying to
design a stemming plan when I requested coal-tar epoxy plugs on
Manzanas. And yet, it was pretty clear that the stemming plan for
Manzanas would be better if it had some impermeable plugs in it
instead of just coarse and fines. So, they finally relented, and it was
used.
Carothers: Jack, Livermore and Los Alamos have always had
different stemming plans. Do you know why that is so?
House: I guess 1 would have to sum it up by saying Livermore
has been far more adventuresome in looking at different types of
stemming material and stemming plans, and to some degree I think
that is an artifact of Livermore having dedicated engineers, who are
paid to go out and look for new and different, and perhaps better,
398 CAGING THE DRAGON
And so, we argued that putting in plugs to better block the flow of
gas was a good idea. Those were more for a gas block, I guess, than
they were for a stemming platform.
I don't remember just when it was we decided that we needed
a stemming platform. It was primarily driven by the idea of a
subsurface subsidence, where a significant amount of gas would be
displaced perhaps halfway to the surface, after which we might have
some, or all of the stemming fall into the void at the top of the
subsidence. Any kind of stemming fall would eliminate the imped-
ance between that pocket of gas and the surface. We wanted to
avoid that. Riola was a perfect example of where we needed a
stemming platform, and we had one that didn't work.
Carothers: I remember one occasion, and there were probably
others, before Baneberry, where there was a stemming fall. The
device went unexpectedly low yield. It was buried quite deep, and
only went about a kiloton. That left a standing cavity into which all
the stemming fell, leaving an open hole to the surface. So, I believe
stemming falls do occur. But again, the LASL argument is, "Well,
the fines bridge, and we never lose stemming."
Hudson: After starting to use instrumentation in the past few
years to monitor the performance of their stemming, they have seen
gas halfway up the stemming column, on some events, in a fairly
short period of time. They've also actually observed their stemming
column falling into the void above a chimney. Now, they will argue
that they expect the stemming to bridge; they expect the stemming
not to fall. But you may remember a CEP meeting where I asked
Wendee Brunish if they thought they could depend on that. She
said, "No, but we don't really need it anyway." So, they've lost
confidence in their stemming as being a dependable bridging
mechanism.
Carothers: The Livermore stemming has been criticized in the
last year or two on the grounds that most of the stemming is just
gravel, with a few plugs of gypsum concretein it. How did you arrive
at that kind of design? Was it based on measurements you'd made?
Hudson: I think the current design is driven more by the
philosophy of "good enough is good enough" than by measure-
ments. The only place you really block the emplacement hole is
where you're blocking the cable bundle and the cables themselves.
402 CAGING THE DRAGON
So, the whole thing on this pumping business is that you need
the atmospheric pumping, but it is the degree of nonuniformity that
exists that makes it work. It is the small fractures, or nonuniformities
in permeability, that determine how fast the atmosphere can pump
these gases out. When it is nonuniform, some gas flows up in the
fast flow paths, and as it does that it diffuses out to the side. When
the atmospheric pressure changes it can't push all the stuff that's
diffused out to the side back down. And so, on the next atmospheric
low, a little more moves up and diffuses out, and tends to stay there
during the next high. If you have a lot of these nonuniformities,
then the gas can move up quite a bit faster than if you have a fairly
uniform medium. That's a containment thing that we have looked
at and studied, and I think we found some interesting answers.
We're still doing some work on it. There are a bunch of
models, and part of the work we're doing is to look at some of those
experimental results. There is some data, and we're trying to look
at it to see whether we can characterize what the formation looks
like, and why it has done what you see that it has done. You can
say, "Gee, it would be nice to learn all these things, and then
somebody could go out and drill one drill hole, and they would know
whether that's the perfect place to do a test or not." I think we're
a long way from that. But I think you have to learn these things, and
get an understanding of what's happening, even to be able to make
the judgment as to whether you're ever going to be able to do
something like that or not.
Carothers: The things that have been done in the field since
Baneberry have essentially eliminated the seeps and leaks through
the stemming and the cables that had happened on both Laborato-
ries' shots fairly often before then. What did Los Alamos do about
the cables, for instance?
Scolman: We had been gas blocking multi-conductors before
Baneberry. After that we started gas blocking coaxial cables. And,
we pushed for the development of continuously gas blocked cables.
As I've often told people, anytime you break a cable you're asking
for trouble. For example, when you look for trouble with wiring in
your house, or car, you don't go to the middle of an existing run of
wire; you look at the connectors.
Carothers: Did you ever do cable fanouts before Baneberry?
406 CAGING THE DRAGON
Scolman: I don't think so. They were initially a pain until we,
and 1 think in this case until Livermore, figured some simpler ways
to do it. We did, for a while, have big three-dimensional cages
where the cables were physically separated from each other. They
were a pain to put down. And most of the time when we found we
had a cable problem going downhole, it was either where we had put
a gas block in, which involved breaking a cable and putting in a
physical connector, or going through a fanout. We made a point
that whenever we were going downhole, when we had gone by cable
gas blocks, which in general meant a fanout in the same area, before
we went any further we required a complete cable check. We didn't
want to put the device downhole and then find out we had to bring
it back later. And we did have trouble doing those things. We also
did an awful lot of experimentation to try to do things that were
probably not possible to do. One of the early requirements was that
our cable gas blocks and our plugs in the casing should be able to
handle five hundred psi. We found pretty soon that probably was
not possible.
The plugs were the problem. The cable gas blocks you can
make that good, but you can't make the plugs that good. The other
problem, of course, is that if you're going to tell somebody that a
downhole plug is good for five hundred pounds, you better be able
to test it in place. That's pretty tough to do, unless you put a pipe
down, and force a whole hell of a lot of air down there to start with.
So, that requirement on the plugs went away, but we did a lot of
work trying to do things like that.
Carothers: My impression is that Los Alamos came to the use
of plugs somewhat reluctantly. Why was that, aside from the fact
that they're expensive, messy, and a pain to emplace?
Scolman: I'd agree that it was reluctantly. We didn't really
think they were necessary. We had a body of experience that said
fines plugs were very effective. When you say 'plugs', generally
what you really mean are 'stemming platforms.'
Carothers: They're called a couple of different things depend-
ing on who's talking about them. And I suspect the people in the
field who were emplacing them called them a lot of things we
needn't mention.
Emplacement Holes, Stemming, Plugs, and Cable Bolcks 407
House: TPE is not the ESStH problem that CTE was in terms
of handling, and it is a much more suitable plug because it does, in
fact, become a rigid plug. There was a confirmed suspicion that coal
tar might never get hard and set up, and could, in the event of a
stemming fall below a plug, perhaps drain away. And in one
confirmed instance, it did. We have seen physical evidence in terms
of pictures provided to the Panel of just that happening. And that
event in and of itself really spurred conversion to some other type
of plug material.
TPE is, unfortunately, a far more expensive, in terms of pour
per linear foot, than Livermore's sanded gypsum concrete. But for
some reason, that I won't attempt to address, our field operations
people have been not particularly receptive to making a move to
sanded gypsum concrete. I think, cost notwithstanding, and if I
remember the Chairman's sermon, delivered more than once, cost
is not to be considered a factor in containment design, we at Los
Alamos favor the TPE because of its properties. Albeit, we are in
a process now of reducing the number of TPE plugs, and replacing
one of them with a grout mix designated as HPNS-5, which means
Husky Pup Neat Slurry, which seems to have a lot of reasonable
properties, and is far easier to emplace at great depth.
Carothers: How do you emplace the two-part epoxy plugs?
House: Two-part epoxy is emplaced in a very simple fashion.
It is pre-mixed at the surface, in a specially configured, or specially
insulated, transit mix truck. The two-part epoxy is called, by the
Celanese Corporation, Part A and Part B. Three-eights inch pea
gravel aggregate is added to it. It goes through a mixing process and
comes out of the truck, down a chute, and free falls down the hole.
At one time we attempted, I believe on the Trebbiano event, to
emplace a plug at 990 feet using a tremmi pipe. I think the field
engineering folks had a six inch tremmi pipe to pour the stuff down,
and it didn't go down very well at all. And so it was concluded that
trying to emplace it through a pipe was unsuitable, and we have
continued with the free fall method.
Carothers: Do you have any concern that there might be some
separation of the gravel and the epoxy?
Emplacement Holes, Stemming, Plugs, and Cable Bolcks 413
sat there for a number of hours before it finally decayed all the way.
It was down around twenty bars, which is fairly low, but it was still
there for a fairly long time.
It's enough to say there's something there that isn't letting all
the cavity gases go out immediately. There hasn't been enough data
to put the whole story together yet, but there may be something
there. If we could see more data, perhaps we could see that in a
weaker material there is something which happens, or doesn't
happen, so the gases are held in for a while.
There were shots, like Roquefort and Coso, where calculations
showed them close to the margin, and they had radiation high in the
stemming column. I think one of the failures in this business is that
when we have radiation up the stemming column, very seldom is
anything ever done post-shot to look at why that happened. And
without ever looking at that you're doomed to keep repeating it.
You never learn anything unless you stop and take stock, and say,
"Why don't we learn something about this?" The constant state-
ment is, "Well, it contained." But by how much? And what did you
learn from that? That part of the process is dead.
Carothers: I can't remember any significant post-shot explo-
ration in the past few years.
Rambo: That's right. Anyway, there is this realm of calcula-
tions that shows things on the margin sometimes. I'm not sure it was
totally residual stress, but I looked at Roquefort after I had
presented it to the CEP, and I said, "Look, there are some
weaknesses around the top of the cavity." 1 told the containment
scientist, "It looks to me like you could get something into the
stemming column. Even though there's residual stress in the outside
world there isn't enough residual stress to close across this coarse
material that we're using for stemming. That's hard rock with lots
of permeability. How much residual stress does it take to close that
off? I don't know."
That's one of the key issues that we don't really think about
very carefully, and it's part of the difficulty in interpreting the
calculations. I told them, "I see you've put your two plugs in some
very weak areas in the hole. If you do get gases up there, it's liable
to go past the first two plugs." Well, that's exactly what happened.
And at that point I quit doing that because I was ahead of the game,
and it'll probably never happen again.
Emplacement Holes, Stemming, Plugs, and Cable Bolcks 417
16
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes
things were difficult or impossible when the device and all the
experimental equipment had to be lowered down a relatively small-
diameter emplacement hole.
On the other hand, if there was to be no release of radioactive
materials to the atmosphere, somehow the opening leading to the
device had to be closed after the desired information was obtained.
The experience was mixed. Rainier had released no radioactive
material. Nor had Logan, which had a line-of-sight pipe used to
allow samples to be exposed to the device output. Neptune and
Blanca had vented. Both of those could be attributed to an insuffi-
cient amount of material over the detonation. So, it seemed that an
underground detonation with a pipe of some size to allow the
radiation from the explosion to reach diagnostic detectors, or to
irradiate samples could certainly be done and the detonation con-
tained. However, as later tunnel events showed, containment of the
radioactive products was not as simple as it had first seemed, nor
was it easy to assure the protection of the samples.
But first, to do an experiment in a tunnel the tunnel had to be
mined. Bill Flangas was the mining superintendent at the Test Site
for many years.
Carothers: I have asked people why they picked Rainier Mesa
for the first underground tunnel shot, and about the only answers
I have gotten is that it was there, and it was good minable rock.
What do they mean by "good minable rock?"
Flangas: Well, it's a rock that's in the neighborhood of a couple
of thousand psi in compressive strength, and so it's easy to mine. In
the tuffs in Rainier it's easy to drill out a face, and once you've
drilled it you didn't even have to use full strength dynamite. We
were using 25 to 30 percent compared to the usual 50 and 60 we
use in hard rock. It's the kind of material that has to be supported,
but it's easily supported. In those days we were using wooden sets,
and then we went to steel sets, and used some rock bolts. Then we
went to wire mesh and shotcrete, which is a mixture of cement and
water. It's a modern version of gunnite. The products come out of
the nozzle, where they are plastered up against the wall. It's gotten
refined to the point where getting six and seven thousand psi
strength with shotcrete is pretty routine.
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes 421
And in tuff you can use the Alpine Miner, which is a machine
that's like a tractor. It's got a boom, and on the end of the boom
is a rotating cylinder, which has carbide bits on it. This boom
articulates up and down, and back and forth. As the cylinder rotates
it just grinds the rock away. It works very well in soft rock, like tuff.
It wouldn't touch granite.
During the Hardtack II operation, from September 12 to Octo-
ber 31, 1958, seven devices were detonated in tunnels in Rainier
Mesa. Neptune, Logan, and Blanca were mentioned in Chapter 1.
Mercury (slight yield), Mars (13 tons), Tamalpais (72 tons), and
Evans (55 tons), were all events with very low yields, but even so all
but Mercury released some radioactivity. Following Tamalpais,
fired on October 8, 1958, there was an noteworthy incident related
to the gaseous by-products of a detonation, which were not, in a
sense, contained.
Flangas: Tamalpias was where we had the infamous hydrogen
explosion. When we shot Tamalpias, because of the short lived
products, some of the early readings in the tunnel were up there in
the 10,000 R range. And so the consensus was, "Okay, this tunnel
is gone." And we still had not fired Evans.
We had been working seven days a week, twenty-four hours a
day, and I never left that tunnel day or night. Most of the time I
was sleeping on my desk. By the time we shot Tamalpais some of
us were flat wore out. So, once they start reading those kind of
numbers it looked like the ball game was over as far as that tunnel
went, and I went home. I got home about nine or ten o'clock that
night, and I was still asleep at two o'clock the next afternoon when
a call came through that said to hurry on back. The readings were
down to 300 or 400 mR, and they were anxious to get started again.
By the time I got back up there it was like four o'clock. The
Livermore honchos were there, and some of my troops had been
assembled and they were there.
I asked the question, "What have we got." They said, "It looks
like the highest exposure right now is like 400 mR." We could stand
that for reentry. And then, of course, my next question was about
explosive mixtures. I was assured that there was no explosive
mixture. What had really happened is that due to the inexperience
422 CAGING THE DRAGON
of both the Lab people and others, the meters they had in those days
got saturated, and so they were reading zero, when in fact the place
was loaded with hydrogen.
1 went into the tunnel and 1 went back several hundred feet.
The hair was standing up on my head, because I knew there was
something wrong, but I couldn't put a finger on it. So, I came back
out, and I repeated the question. "How are we in terms of an
explosive mixture, or are there are any other gases, or any exotic
gases I don't know anything about?" And again I was assured.
"Quit worrying about it. You do not have an explosive mixture."
I went back in the tunnel. We were doing some preliminary
work to get started, because it was important to get ventilation
established so we could clear the tunnel out so we could proceed.
I came back out again, was reassured again. As I ruled out every
possibility, it occurred to me to wonder if my antennae weren't
geared to an oxygen deficiency. One of the things copper miners
fear the worst is oxygen deficiency, and in those days, in a copper
mine, under Nevada state law, you had to provide every miner with
a candle. The way you checked for oxygen deficiency was with a
candle, because a candle goes out at 16% oxygen, or thereabouts.
Carothers: You can also check for hydrogen that way.
Flangas: Oh boy, can you. So, anyway, I lit the candle, and
I went all the way back in the tunnel. I was holding it just about chest
level, and it was burning, so that ruled out oxygen deficiency. The
rad-safe superintendent had climbed up on a sandbag plug, which
was at about the 700 station; - 700 feet from the portal. And he
says, "Hey Flangas, hand me that candle." So, I handed him the
candle. Well, being a light gas, and without that environment having
been disturbed, the hydrogen had accumulated along the top of the
tunnel. He was up in that atmosphere, and Lordy, Lordy. I was
standing in the middle of the drift, at the 700 station, and he was
up at the top of that sandbag plug. He said, when we talked to him
a couple of days later, that he saw a flame that just went down to
the 1200 station, where the other door was, and he was fascinated
by the sight. I was standing right on the track there, and the next
thing I knew I was head over heels, and when I picked myself up, I
was at the 350 foot station.
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes 423
f.'V'.'
426 CAGING THE DRAGON
stemming, the tunnel was now full of the surrounding tuff, which
had been injected into these void regions. And it was tightly
compacted, as was the stemming material. To me the most
impressive thing was to go back in to where the pipe had been, and
see the complete and utter disruption of any continuity of the pipe.
There were just massive pieces of steel, almost unrecognizable if you
hadn't known what they were ahead of time.
As I recall, the area of fairly intense radioactivity was separated
from the place where the tunnel was not collapsed, and was open,
by a relatively short distance. It wasn't a long interval; there wasn't
a massive plug of a hundred feet or more. It was a relatively short
distance, and it led one to think that we may have come close to a
situation where we wouldn't have contained this event very well at
all. It pointed out that we really ought to understand what was going
on.
Broyles: When Sandia got into the underground business a few
years later, the doors were recognized as one of the big shortcom-
ings for experiment protection, because we saw lots of projectiles in
those days. They would come down the pipes and penetrate the
doors. We had a distribution on those doors; everything from
gaping holes down to craters with embedded particles. We carried
out an extensive survey, and we talked to all the astrophysicists we
could find who were experts on moon craters and asteroid impacts,
trying to figure out velocities and energies, and so on. We ended
up deciding we had things from fractions of grams to hunks, flying
from very low velocities up to ten or twenty kilometers per second.
From the things we saw, we were satisfied that a lot of them,
probably not all of them, were pieces of the front end of the pipe,
or something up quite close. It also appeared that some of it,
probably not the high velocity stuff, was grout being thrown down
the pipe. Even in those early days that was recognized as very likely
the stuff coming later in time. The early pieces were were mostly
from the pipe walls, or closures, or the baffles. Most of the early
shots had baffles, which were somewhat like a collimator, or a heavy
baffle that you put in a muffler. They were a four-inch thick ring
that stuck three or four inches into the pipe. After one or two tries
it was decided they kept the pipe open more than they shut it down.
They blew the pipe up, so it didn't get closed very well.
430 CAGING THE DRAGON
Gum Drop, which seemed to support this; in the areas where there
was no stemming there was much more complete disruption of the
line-of-sight pipes than in areas where the stemming was continuous.
In the continuously stemmed areas the pipe was squeezed more
uniformly, which would leave a tightly squeezed mass of steel, but
with little paths through which gases could migrate, and perhaps
eventually erode the material to make much larger paths.
And those early designs seemed to work. Whether it was what
we did, or just because we were lucky, the early shots were
successful; if they had been utter disasters we probably wouldn't
have kept on doing it that way. Logan worked well. Marshmallow
did have a little seepage out, but not a massive failure; the
experiments weren't severely compromised, or anything like that,
and Gum Drop, in 1965, worked very well. So, people thought
they knew all they needed to know.
But it wasn't too long before we found out that even though
you did things exactly the same way, the results weren't always
exactly the same. We continued to apply the same techniques we
had used for closing the line-of-sight pipe and for stemming the drift
itself, but as we began to have more and more of these events, many
of them were severe failures. High temperatures and intense
radioactivity would get out beyond the stemmed area, beyond the
mechanical seals, out to the experiments themselves. And occasion-
ally, even though we would put in things we called gas-seal doors,
they were circumvented and some radioactivity was released into
the atmosphere. When these kind of events started to occur, people
started to wonder, "If the old techniques happened to work all right,
what could be different? What can we do to maximize our chance
of success, since we obviously aren't optimum."
Carothers: One of the things you could have pointed out to
them, Wendell, as a geophysicist, is that the earth is not a nice,
homogeneous medium. One place is not like another place, even
a rather close by other place.
Weart: That's right. And as we went along, I think that fact
took on a great deal of significance to us. We had relied upon the
ground shock to provide closure, but we really hadn't tried to
optimize that ground shock by finding regions where the seismic
velocity would be high, and where we could maintain high pressures
from the ground shock out to greater distances. We knew at that
434 CAGING THE DRAGON
.#
438 CAGING THE DRAGON
area of that path was the same as the one on Door Mist. That's why
Ed Peterson uses eleven square feet when he calculates a leak from
the cavity.
Hudson Moon (5/26/70) was not as bad in the tunnel as
Double Play or Door Mist was. Door Mist was a step beyond Hudson
Moon. Hudson Moon had all the lagging charred, and it didn't have
it's strength, but it was still in place rather than being completely
gone. The DBS, the debris barrier system, which we had added to
the pipe string to be a barrier, did a good job of protecting the
samples that were in the test chamber. They got more of a soak
temperature than anything straight down the pipe. We were pretty
lucky there, because the leak path went outside the pipe. The pipe
was closed off by the debris barrier system, so it was kind of a cocoon
for the samples.
The Hudson Moon rock samples had been very soft, and they
had a very high gas-filled porosity. At the time we tested them, we
said they'd sat at the portal during an extremely cold spell and
they'd frozen. So, we wrote the physical property tests off because
the rocks had frozen. After the test, when we went back into the
tunnel and started to investigate it, we came to the conclusion that
maybe the measurements were right. They might be real. So, then
we went back and started digging further into the Door Mist physical
property data. We found that there also was a lot of gas-filled voids
there. And the longitudinal velocity in both tunnels was low. Then
we started doing some calculations, and we found there is a
significant difference in the ground shock attenuation between one
percent and five percent gas-filled porosity. So, we then attributed
the Hudson Moon failure to the gas-filled porosity.
Duff: Bob Bjork did a series of 1 -D calculations of ground shock
propagation, and he rather dramatically showed the influence of air-
filled porosity on shock wave attenuation. These calculations were
based on naively simple material models, but they showed us that
if you compare the attenuation for one or two percent air voids with
zero air voids, there is quite a difference. If you go to five percent
air voids, you get a little more attenuation. If you go to fifteen
percent air voids, a little more attenuation. It's the first few percent
that makes the big difference. So in the context of the Hudson
Moon failure, we hypothesized that what we had there was a
440 CAGING THE DRAGON
relatively dry medium, such that the ground shock, which had been
expected to squeeze the tunnel and develop a stemming plug, simply
died. It got too weak too soon.
Then we did a pair of thousand pound HE shots in two media.
One was in a fairly saturated medium, and the other was in a fairly
dry, Hudson Moon-type medium. And, indeed, they confirmed the
validity of the prediction. That has influenced DNA's thinking
about appropriate material properties ever since.
Peterson: After the Hudson Moon leak, one of the things that
was recognized to be different about Hudson Moon was that it had
a high gas-void content. With a material with a high gas-void
content, the ground shock damps out fairly quickly, and so one
doesn't get the closure that one would expect for an event in a low
gas-void material. So, this was pinpointed as one of the reasons for
Hudson Moon.
And, this has been the philosophy for a long time - - you do not
want a high air-void material. Let me give you two contrasting
things, which show why our lack of understanding bothers people
like me. There are people who say, and they may be right, that one
of the reasons, or at least one of the contributors to the Mighty Oak
situation is that it was shot in a material with a very low air-void
content. As a result, the ground shock was too strong, and it drove
the stemming too hard. So, it drove it right through the closures.
You can keep going on with happened from there.
If you look at Mission Cyber, the response you saw was that the
peak stress versus range was low. There's a lot of evidence that it
didn't come from having too low an air void, but the response on
Mission Cyber was similar to what you'd calculate if you just put a
lot of air void in the material. It wasn't there, but the response looks
similar. And on Mission Cyber that worked great. It didn't crunch
anything, and everything was just perfect. So people say, "Well,
you know, maybe some of this air void is really okay."
So, you can go from the extreme of people thinking there was
too much air void to the point where they think there was too little,
and and now maybe a little bit more is better. The history has gone
back and forth, and I'm not sure what the answer is.
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes 441
dollars hardening, a lot less dollars shock mounting. You use up, for
a half kiloton, compared to ten kilotons, only a fraction of the real
estate. Real estate in Rainier Mesa is disappearing, so that's been
a big driver in the development of the low yield test bed. Of course,
the need for the coupling experiments, like Misty Echo, Mill Yard,
and Mini Jade , and the stigma associated with Red Hot have also
driven our program. We've got to work the program so we're able
somehow to do that kind of test. So, a lot of research has been
driven by the need to understand the phenomenology of the events.
Carothers: Bruce, what drove your Iine-of-sight diameters,
which affects the pipe taper and its length? Was it the size of the
hardware that people brought for exposure, or did it happen the
other way; "We're going to have a shot, it's going to have an
exposure area this big, and what have you got?"
Wheeler: I think there was some of both in the early seventies.
Primarily it was driven by military system requirements, the Defense
Department stuff. The size of, and the number of test chambers was
driven by the number of experiments there were; the need for
space. The need for sheltons was the way we quantified it. A
shelton was a calorie per square centimeter, and was a unit of barter.
Many times experiments were not approved to be on a test because
there wasn't any room. That could be a reason, and another reason
could be the experimenter hadn't done his homework well enough.
But space was always at a premium. However big the exposure space
was, it was always fully subscribed, as all the DNA tests have been.
We used to talk about having a physics event about every third or
fourth shot to let the experimental physicists and experimenters
play with it, and do phenomenology, and physics.
Carothers: They still would have wanted a lot of space on the
next shot.
Wheeler: True. And, we never would have gotten a shot like
that funded, because we didn't have any system driving it.
Carothers: Were you getting participation from all three
services?
Wheeler: Pretty much, yes. As I recall, the Army participated
the least, probably because they didn't have systems other than the
Spartan and the Sprint. They didn't happen to have a system that
required that kind of testing. The Air Force was always there with
444 CAGING THE DRAGON
ICBM missile parts and materials. The Navy was there because of
their Polaris program, and there was always a lot of phenomenology
and materials effects experiments by contractors. And of course
Sandia, who developed components for weapons, was a big partici-
pant.
Carothers: Carl, you came to DNA in 1974. Perhaps this was
an issue that arose before you got there, and had reached some
conclusion. That was the question of what kind of tuff should you
shoot in. What should the porosity be, for example. Also there had
been a lot of fussing around with various kinds of grouts such as
superlean, and rock-matching, and so on.
Keller: Yes, before I got to DNA they had already concluded
that the rock needed to be saturated to give you the strongest
possible ground shock to the greatest range, and that the stemming
had to be as weak as necessary to allow closure of the LOS pipe as
far as possible. Now, those generalizations eventually led to, 1
believe, some serious stemming failures. It was true that they tried
to get the longest stemmed tunnel by maximizing the ground shock
and minimizing the grout strength.
The trouble with that concept was that you also, by reducing
the grout strength, suffered a lot of relief with grout extrusion into
this large pipe volume. So, it had no confining stress, and therefore
no strength, and it just had a ballistic trajectory. That was first
dramatically demonstrated on Hybla Fair, which was David Oakley's
attempt to push the state of the art. They overshot quite a bit. That
was a seventy-six foot long LOS pipe; it diverged to something like
five feet at the end, and there were no closures in it. The hope was
that there would be a ground shock stemming closure of the whole
pipe.
We did a parameter study with calculational models at Pac Tech
after that shot, and found that there's a very strong correlation
between the pipe taper and the amount of extrusion that you suffer.
According to the calculations, if you doubled the pipe taper you
started to see a small effect. If you went to four times the normal
pipe taper, you had a very dramatic effect. At five times the normal
pipe taper you just lost it completely. That was a calculational
parameter study that was done as part of the design of the low-yield
test concept.
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes 445
Hybla Fair was premature, and there was talk about how it
might have actually killed the low-yield test concept, because it had
blown out so badly into the tunnel. But in fact, a couple of years
thereafter we dared to offer to pursue that, and we were allowed to
when funding was available. The intermediate tests were scaled
model tests done by Sandia. They put in the low-yield test design
and the Hybla Fair design side-by-side, and drove them with high
explosives. Those were scaled models which showed that Hybla Fair
failed, but the low-yield test concept didn't. The low-yield test
concept went all that way, and that was the only test design I know
of that ever evolved all the way from calculations, up through scale-
model tests, finally to nuclear proof-tests, and then to a follow-up
nuclear test.
After the FAC, the Fast Acting Closure, was developed by
Sandia we were sure we could go to double the normal pipe taper
easily, because the scaled models that were tested were at that
taper. Midnight Zephyr tested out that concept, and the proof of
that design was Diamond Ace, which had just a short part of the
pipe. Diamond Beech finally tested the whole thing. And then, just
about at that time Misty Rain and Mighty Oak occurred. The low-
yield test concept was then the only concept left in which DNA had
any faith. That test concept has been used many times since then.
So, that was an application of our calculational models, and our
experimental program, all the way from the smallest charges on up
through nuclear scale.
The low-yield concept was designed from scratch, whereas the
traditional LOS designs were developed in the field. The early tests
had difficulties, and the designs evolved very timidly. Of course,
they were all tested on the nuclear scale, where you didn't dare fail,
and so the standard HLOS design came about through timid
evolution in the field. And they started long before the calculational
models could treat the whole problem. Eventually the standard
design, as the product of that timid evolution, was proven not to
have the margin of safety that we'd become to believe.
Carothers: Well, DNA had been pretty successful with those
line-of-sight experiments for a few years. There were a series of
events where they worked.
446 CAGING THE DRAGON
as you could. Sandia has done a lot in terms of building big, fast-
acting closures for the DNA shots, for large diameter Iines-of-sight.
They have also done some HE closure work.
We also did a lot of work, along with DNA, in trying to insure
that the last line of defense, the overburden plugs, the gas-seal
doors, really would provide effective seals against high temperature
gases. We did a lot of work with Chuck Gulick, who worked for
Sandia, and we also worked with Waterways Experiment Station to
try and design cements which, for instance, were expansive, and
which would form a more positive seal against the rock. We did
quite a lot of work in that area.
The other advance that I think was made was in being able to
better understand and calculate the behavior of the various interact-
ing energy streams, such as the ground shock, and the pipe energy.
There was also a major effort instrumenting those events to try to
confirm whether or not our calculations were representing reality.
Carothers: I think that's an area where the tunnel events have
had an advantage, in that there is access. My impression is that there
was always a fair amount of instrumentation in the tunnels, looking
at the tunnel behavior and the medium behavior.
Weart: There were certainly advantages in the kind of things
you could do. The geometry afforded you a way of assuring that the
instruments lasted long enugh to get the data out, because you
didn't have to be right in the drill hole along the Iine-of-sight pipe.
So, ground motion measurements, free-field motions, energy flow
down the pipe using things like slifers, were much easier to do in
tunnel shots. We did try to do those things in the vertical LOS shots,
but it just wasn't as easy or as certain.
Smith: i had been involved in the DNA shots to the extent that
I would design the stress gauges for Bass, and help field them. C.
Wayne Cook did the recording of the data, and Bass would reduce
the data. All through those years I had my fingers in measurements
on DNA shots; principally the free-field stuff. Bass did the work on
the pipe, the pipe flow, and I was never involved in that. So, when
Bass retired, and G tunnel closed I just moved into the free-field
portion of his work, and Tom Bergstress took over the pipe flow
work. Of course, Bass is still the Grand Master of all that sort of
448 CAGING THE DRAGON
work. And so my work for the last few years has been more or less
on the DNA shots, the free-field measurements of stresses and
motions.
The original driver for that work in the intermediate regime
was, "What sort of stresses do we have loading these containment
structures?" That has broadened, now that those things are fairly
well known, into a number of things. One of them is failure
diagnostics. In case something happens, what measurements do we
have that would let us go back and assess what actually happened?
What was the pressure and temperature in a certain portion of the
pipe when the thing blew out?
The other sort of measurements are for trying to understand
what happens around the FAC. In other words, what are the stresses
and pressures in front of the FAC, and what is the interaction of the
ground shock with the stemming and the rock right around it. So,
the attempt is to measure those things, and to try to get a good
enough understanding of them so you get a good feel for why that
system works, and works fairly well. It's something that has evolved,
and it now seems to be a good system, but the community still
doesn't think it has a good feel for what the forces are that load the
FAC after the bomb goes.
DNA still has problems with gases that come trickling out into
the drift complex; there are late time leaks in there, and they would
very much like to know how long there are residual stresses loading
that portion of the stemming. So, it's the interaction of those things
that some of those measurements are used for now.
Carothers: Wendell, was this type of information useful to
you? Was there a clear enough understanding of what was going on
that you could say, "Look, see what's happening here? It shows us
this, and so we should make this change."
Weart: Well, we clearly used it. Some of it was more
immediately useful than others. Ground shock data, for instance,
was fairly easy to interpret, and it told us about how far out we could
expect high enough stresses to really squeeze down LOS systems,
and things of that sort. And we had shock velocities, which were
easily obtained, and easily used. Energy in the pipe? Not quite as
easy to interpret, because of the difficulties of getting measure-
ments that weren't ambiguous.
Tunnels and Line-of-Sight Pipes 449
17
Pipe Closure Hardware
it. The concept was to build the big end of the pipe so strong that
you couldn't lose it — a hardened pipe section is what it was called.
And, near the working point where the pipe was small, you put in
a relatively strong grout and swaged it with the very high ground
shock that you had that close-in. So, you developed a short, high
quality closure, that plugged the LOS pipe which closed in a
millisecond. That served as an absolute plug, so you could not
extrude the grout through that hole. And so, as long as the HE
machine was closed, and the hardened pipe structure was intact, you
had a competent system.
Sandia did the scale model tests. We specified what geometry
we wanted, and they built and fielded the scale model tests for the
low-yield test concept. They also built our MAC'S and the FAC
according to our specifications. They did probably a hundred half-
scale and fifth-scale HE tests, during the evolution of the FAC. If
we'd had to pay the full price of those, at a contractor, it would have
added a lot to our budget.
Carothers: Dan, do you get involved in location of the big
mechanical closures? Do you do calculations of the stresses you
expect them to see?
Patch: Oh yes. That's a very important part of what we're
doing. In a way that's almost the central part. Another aspect of
that is we really think a lot about what an appropriate piece of
hardware is, and where should it go in the pipe string. Sometimes
we run into a situation where we really need to have a closure, and
it's up to us, working with Joe LaComb and Byron Ristvet to say,
"This pipe string is not going to be safe unless we have a closure
here, here, and here." If we don't have a closure that will fit at those
places, then we either have to take one off the shelf, move it till it
fits, and then see if it can stand the loads there, and it may not. If
that's the case, then we really try to be closely involved in saying,
"These are the performance criteria that we need for new closures."
We've talked with Sandia for many years about their closure
design program. For example, this Fast Acting Closure that we see
all the time on the low yield shots; we really were the ones that said
such a device was needed, and kind of ballparked what the specs
ought to be. Sandia folks thought about how they would go about
making such a thing, and did the engineering analysis, which was a
substantial job. We did the 2-D design calculations, so when they
Pipe Closure Hardware 457
said, "We need a spool that's about so thick," we took a look at their
design and said, "Yeah, you're going to have to put so much HE on
the outside, because it's going to close on this kind of a time scale."
They took that information and went to small scale, and tuned it up
and made it work. They carried the lion's share, but we worked back
and forth interactively on what was needed, how it worked, and how
to really build the thing.
Carothers: When they wanted bigger pipe tapers, they had to
move the hardware in closer because the opening in the doors had
a certain diameter, and you had to move the system forward to
where it fit the pipe.
Patch: Mechanically, that's what you have to do, but if you do
that the risk to the hardware goes up almost exponentially as you
move in, depending on what the threat is.
Carothers: But they did do that, because they were going to
bigger pipe tapers.
Patch: They did do that, but now they've moved things back.
But it's different hardware too, with this Fast Acting Closure
machine, which is very different than the gate closures, in some
respects at least. It closes in a millisecond, which is a factor of thirty
times faster than the gates. That's not so germane to it's survival,
but it's just one big slug of material that gets in the way, as opposed
to the gates, which are more of a diaphragm configuration. Sandia
has done a lot of work in the last couple of years to really bring up
the strength of those gate doors. Of course, they've worked on that
for many, many years, but I think what they've done recently is
going in the right direction.
Carothers: It seems that the hardware now is going in the
direction of brute forcing the problem. They're trying to make the
hardware so strong that it will survive whatever it sees, much like the
overburden plugs.
Patch: Yes. But there's a lot of finesse that may not be
obvious, and that comes in getting this big, brutal piece of hardware
in the way without giving up the timing. One can easily put more
stuff in the way, but it's not so easy to get it in the way on the right
time scale. These machines are fairly sophisticated in the design.
They're going to the very limits of the materials.
458 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: When you talk about the timing, are you talking
about the material coming down the pipe, or are you talking about
the collapse of the pipe.
Patch: We're really talking about the collapse of the pipe. The
gates are too slow to catch the front end of stuff that comes down
the pipe. They may be able to catch the back part of it. In cases
where we've apparently had too much pipe flow you can see it
interact with the doors, in terms of slowing them down. So, they're
catching the back part of the flow, and that's the more threatening
part, in my mind, because it seems to be more massive, more
capable of really loading things. The first stuff that comes down is,
I think, a pretty faint wisp. It's very energetic material, but it's very
low density. I suspect it dissipates and plates itself out, literally,
inside the pipe as it goes down the pipe.
Kennedy: The debris barrier system had gates that set parallel
to the walls of the pipe, inside the pipe, so they were curved. They
were explosively driven to close. They had interlocking fingers, but
sometimes they just went on through instead of locking. They
didn't work very well, and sometimes they made shrapnel that
damaged the experiments. I'm not sure who designed them —
whether it was Lockheed, or DNA in conjunction with Lockheed.
DNA also uses a closure that was designed by Lockheed that is
called the TAPS, the tunnel and pipe seal, which is supposed to be
a late time gas seal. This is a great big toilet seat cover like thing,
where the cover is latched up, and at zero time is dropped by gravity
to slam closed. It's very slow; it takes of the order of a second to
close, so any fast debris is long gone before it latches. Sometimes
it hasn't latched and sealed because some of the debris which had
gotten there was deposited on the seat, or it didn't fall all the way
down.
One closure we developed and used on Cypress was an HE
driven vertical closure. The gate was put up above the line of sight.
Being that it was explosive driven, it came down like a guillotine at
a pretty high speed, and seated at the bottom. I don't remember
the exact closure time. We built and tested that at Oak Ridge. It
was a huge, massive gate. It was an immense monster of a thing.
About that time, the group then working for Howard Viney
started designing these gates that were driven horizontally so they
overlaid each other. They were fast acting gates, HE driven. Then
Pipe Closure Hardware 459
they decided that you could do that more safely by driving them
with high pressure gas, rather than HE. You could regulate the
pressure, it had lots of safety features, and you didn't have to have
quantities of explosives around. That design was all Sandia's, and
we paid for a lot of it ourselves, because it was for our own test,
Camphor. DNA was very interested in those gates, and we started
providing them for their tests too. They started kicking in funding
to help our level of design effort for those closures.
Those gates have continued to be developed to this day. Each
of the doors in current years is about a foot thick, and weighs about
five thousand pounds, even with all of the holes that are drilled in
them to lighten them up, while you try to maintain structural
strength. These gates come in various sizes, but they are usually
designed for either a 60 or 72 inch diameter pipe. They obscure
the line of sight in about 1 7 milliseconds.
Carothers: That's a thing that has always impressed me. Here
are these big, massive pieces of hardware, and they work as fast as
a camera shutter.
Kennedy: John Weydert, who was one of our great designers
of these things loved to say, " I f you stood 20 feet or so on the other
side of the door, and you aimed your 45 at me and pulled the
trigger, and 1 pulled the trigger on the doors at the same time, I'd
be safe." The doors would close before the bullet got there. A n d
he also likened the problem of stopping them to taking a Cadillac at
a hundred and fifty miles an hour and trying to stop it in about six
inches without damaging it. Starting them was a lot easier than
stopping them, it turned out. It was a real problem, absorbing all
that energy, and decelerating those things, and making them stop
where you wanted them to instead of either going on to China, or
rebounding. Either way is bad. That was really the hard part of the
design, absorbing that energy, and having them stop in closed
position. So, 1 7 milliseconds is when they overlap, and it's around
30 milliseconds for a complete closure.
development work, because we felt for a long time that we might still
have a need for them. But sometime after Camphor, a couple of
years, during the early seventies, was hard times for the Laborato-
ries.
Carothers: There were. We had layoffs in the early seventies.
Kennedy: Yes. So there was a lot of pulling in of the horns.
One of those was to say, "Well, we're not going to fund to develop
fast closures any more, because we don't think we're going to use
them anymore. If DNA wants to do that, they ought to take care
of it." We were under contract with them to provide some closures
through some shot that 1 don't now remember. I had the duty to
go back East to tell DNA that we were going to get out of this
business. We would honor our commitments through this particular
event, and we would see to the fielding of that hardware, and so
forth, but we were giving them this warning. In the future they
would have to see to having that done by somebody else. They said,
"But we want you to do that. What should we do about that?" And
I said, "If I were you, I would get the highest person I could get in
this place to talk to the highest person he could talk to at my place,
and tell him that they would really like for us not to quit doing this
work, and make the argument." And, in fact, that's exactly what
they did.
Carothers: There were also some things that were used which
were called HE machines. Did you people at Sandia do those
designs, and tests, also?
Kennedy: Yes. We early on had so-called HE machines. On
Camphor we called them dimple machines. They were in on a close-
in section of the Iine-of-sight. We put like a shaped, or platter
charge on the side wall of the pipe. We started with one, and then
put one at 90 degrees a little further down, and another one at 90
more degrees, so when they went off they just made the pipe go
criss-cross to obstruct the line of sight. All they were supposed to
do was to make a mess, and delay any hyper-velocity flow that might
want to come down there and get the other hardware. They were
just supposed to cause a delay, and a temporary obstruction. It
wasn't containment. Nobody even pretended that they thought
those things could do that, but they ought to slow down the flow.
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Bass: It's the most dangerous part of the test program. It's
much more dangerous than the FAC sitting there with four hundred
pounds or so of TNT in it. We're going to drive them explosively
in the future, and propellants are pretty safe to handle.
Well, I should say that some work has been done, but the Tiger
Team visit to Sandia stopped this last event from having propellant
drive. The laboratories were closed, for ESscH purposes, or that
work would have been done.
465
18
Pipe Flow
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468 CAGING THE DRAGON
was interacting with the pipe before the ground shock got there, and
blowing it out significantly. So, it was a lot larger when the ground
shock did arrive, and that made it harder to close. That whole
process led to some very tenuous looking curtains of material
between the open LOS and the hot zero room. We noticed right
away that we ought to try to do something about that. Initially we
just put in a couple of feet of thick-walled iron pipe. That helped,
so we decided to make it longer, because we noticed that just
beyond the end of that thick walled section, again the pipe was
exploding.
The impedance of the metal was enough to inhibit the explo-
sion of the pipe, so it didn't get as large before the ground shock
arrived. That's the basic concept. Also, when you do close it, the
material comes in more gently because of its higher density. So, it
doesn't get as hot, and it doesn't produce as much of a problem
downstream. We started doing a lot of numerical experiments on
the computer, and we noticed that higher density was better. And
what's the highest density around? Uranium, or something like
that, and there was lots of that stuff available. Now, it took a
number of years to reach that state. We went to ten foot long
reverse cones of steel and we used those for quite a time.
Carothers: Wasn't there a time when they were lead?
Dismukes: No, they have never been lead. We talked about
that, and we were a little nervous about lead. It has such a low heat
of melt we were worried about squirting a lot of lead up the pipe.
And, the density isn't that much higher than steel, so it wouldn't be
a big difference.
Somewhere along there, say 1975, we started experimenting
with really high density, on the computer. Uranium was much more
beneficial. The energy in the pipe wasn't sufficient to open the pipe
up. And when the ground shock pushed it back in it was relatively
cool.
Carothers: Let me see if I have the concept. The uranium is
sitting here. The material that starts coming from the zero room
heats it very rapidly and starts to push it out. You would like it to
just sit there until the ground shock gets there and starts to move
it in.
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Dismukes: Right. And, the stuff in the pipe that gets there
doesn't have a high Mach number. In other words, there's a lot of
thermal energy as well as kinetic energy. So, it creates at least many
tens of kilobars of pressure in there. That's enough to start trying
to make the pipe bigger; to push the pipe out before the ground
shock has really had time to get there. The ground shock at first tries
to stop it from moving out, and then it tries to push it back in. Of
course, the bigger the pipe has become, and the more energy there
is in it, the more work the ground shock does on it, and adds even
more energy which, potentially, can go up the pipe.
Now, that's one thing everybody always assumes is bad for
containment. It might not be. Letting all that energy go up the pipe
doesn't necessarily cause a problem, except it can sure attack other
things like the mechanical closures. In principle it could even get
to the experiment station and do damage to the experiments. But
if we've done our job there won't be device debris in it, and so it's
not radioactive. So, if we could let all this fast stuff go roaring up
the pipe and just got lost, and out of the way, maybe we could close
the pipe even better.
Carothers: You are recapitulating a line of thought that
occurred in Livermore following the event called Eagle. It was the
one that produced a fireball at the surface. We were a little
surprised to see that.
Dismukes: I'll bet.
Carothers: I had people who did things like fireball yields, and
I said, "How much energy was there?" They came up with a number
which was kind of off the wall, not applying fireball yield rules, of
course, but HE fireballs, you might say. They said, "About two
hundred pounds."
Dismukes: I would have guessed it might have been a few tons.
Either way, it's not really very much energy, but it looked spectacu-
lar. You wouldn't want to be standing there.
Carothers: No. It sure blew up the tower that had the
instruments on it. Anyway, "Bang." There was the fireball, and all
these pieces of the tower flying around. Then there was a quiescent
period. Not very long. Maybe a couple of seconds. Up to that
point there was no radioactivity.
474 CAGING THE DRAGON
didn't design that one very well. Apparently the back of the test
chamber got blown out by what came up the pipe. For the kinds of
devices DNA is currently using I'm pretty comfortable.
Carothers: Really? How about the reverse cone?
Dismukes: Well, I'm a little nervous about that, because we've
seen some things that don't make me feel good. The Bermuda
Triangle of containment to me is the few meters beyond the reverse
cone, and maybe it includes the end of the reverse cone. That's the
time frame of a few milliseconds. Nobody's dealing with that
problem, for a lot of reasons - - partly for the reasons you already
reviewed. You have this little thin pipe in there, stretching over
many meters in length, and there don't seem to be enough zones,
even with the current fast computers, to really deal with that. Plus,
there's a combination of high shear flow in the pipe, where you have
very hot gases shearing against the pipe while it's blowing out. And,
you also need to treat the strength of the material fairly carefully,
because the shocks are getting down under a hundred kilobars. Plus
there are some weak shocks of a few kilobars out of the pipe. So,
you need to treat strength carefully. You need a Lagrangian code
for that, but a Lagrangian code can't handle the shear in the pipe.
We need a different approach, 1 think.
Peterson: Carl Keller thought for years that the most damaging
thing coming down to the closures was the pipe flow. He thought
that even to the extent that one might be able to remove some of
the closures if you could eliminate the pipe flow. Subsequently we
reduced the pipe flow a lot, and the reduction of pipe flow correlates
better with increasing bad experience than with anything else. I
don't understand why. It may be, for example, that the flow we
measure is not the damaging one. And so, we reduced the part we
can measure, but we may have increased the one which we can't
measure. It seems that for almost any technical detail you can bring
up there is evidence on both sides; there's contradictory evidence
as to which way you ought to go in changing it.
Carothers: Dan, when you talk about late-time calculations,
what is late time for you? When does it begin?
Patch: Late time for us was, and this goes back into the history
of before I joined the program, times beginning something like a
millisecond after the detonation, and in principle it goes on essen-
Pipe Flow 479
of the zero room and the front-end. Then we start at zero time and
basically let it grow in a more or less spherical way. We may model
some shapes, but we don't do a detailed analysis of the hardware and
its effects on the ground shock. So, we start at zero time, and we
kind of sluff through the early part. Right now we're really trying
to fill the gap between the classic early-time calculations and the
late-time work we've done. We're trying to do a better job there.
What 1 would say is that what we would like to do is start the
calculations with the details of the zero room environment, with the
most important mechanical details, but probably not with the
sophisticated treatments that are done so well in trying to set the
timing of all the hardware.
Carothers: Do you also look at the material transport down the
pipe?
Patch: We have not done much with that. That's an area we
are just starting to work in. We have relied on S-Cubed to give us
a definition of that pipe environment. We've put that into the
calculations, as best we can do it, as a boundary condition.
Carothers: You look at the cavity growth, the shock that moves
out, and basically you try to tell people what the stemming is going
to do, and what the loads on the closure hardware are going to be?
Patch: Yes. We try not only to tell them what is going to
happen, but hopefully we're a little more proactive. We not only
look to see what the problems might be, but to say, "You really need
a smaller tunnel in this region, and you ought to take this out a little
farther," and so on. So, in a way we attempt to tune the geometry
of the test bed, depending on the medium properties and the
objectives of the test. The basic geometry of each test has, in some
sense, experimental constraints, such as the length of the pipe, the
taper angle, the yield limits, where it's fielded, and lots of other
things. At the lowest order we attempt to identify what are the
undesirable features of the test bed, and try to figure out how they
can best be mitigated. I think I would be overstating our role if we
said we were really fine-tuning the designs. We try to, but it's a very
complicated world out there. Calculators always have to guard
against the idea that they're doing something real, that they know
what they're doing, but we're doing the best that we can.
Pipe Flow 481
Carothers: This serious part of the flow; do you think it's pipe
material, or some of the grout, or both?
Patch: I think it's both. I suspect there's a fair amount of steam
that's generated from the very strong collapse forces. They're very
convergent, so that tends to act like a shaped charge. I think that
these collapse forces are generating very high pressures on a
relatively limited amount of material.
Carothers: Why don't you make the pipe square?
Patch: That question has been asked many times, and it's a
question that's never been satisfactorily answered. I personally
don't think it would make very much difference. We've fought this
battle back and forth, and I don't know that anybody has shed any
real light on how important the pipe being circular is. I've heard it
argued that because seemingly very similar shots have quite differ-
ent flow, therefore if we get just perfect convergence, for whatever
reason, we're in a much more serious regime than if things are
slightly off. And I've heard it argued the other way, that the flow
can't really be that sensitive to the shape, and there are other factors
that are causing these differences. I would really like to know the
answer.
482 CAGING THE DRAGON
them with HE, and still got the target damage. Then we put in three-
quarter inch tubes radiating out from a three hundred pound
nitromethane charge in saturated sand, so we generated a ground
shock that imploded the pipes. We got awesome target damage.
Then E.T. Morris and I were sitting in the SRI cloakroom
waiting for a DNA meeting, and we were depicting the geometries
on ten pipes that we were going to put around the next nitrometh-
ane sphere. We tried changing the nature of the jet by lining the
pipe. One pipe we lined with paper, sort of carbon-like, one pipe
we lined with glass, one pipe we lined with polyethylene. And we
thought, "Well, that ought to really change the nature of the jet."
We were thinking we could perhaps modify the damage by modify-
ing the material that was in the jet.
We also used a very heavy walled pipe that was wrapped with
lead. It was a really heavy walled pipe because the calculations had
shown that a heavy walled pipe was more effective even than the
assymmetry. These were S-Cubed calculations, and that configura-
tion had shown the lowest jetting, in those calculations, for years.
I heard that heavy walled pipes were better long before I ever got
to DNA. But there was some worry about trying them on a shot,
because we thought that if we really changed the form of the energy
from a gas flowing down the pipe to a cannon ball, that the cannon
ball might do more damage to the doors than the gas flow. So, there
was some reluctance to try it. But since we were just doing these
HE experiments we could try it without any risk, so we put in a heavy
walled pipe.
We had one left and we were asking ourselves, "What shall we
try now? What's the variation?" We decided that maybe the plastic
lined pipe would show the biggest difference, and if we made that
with an asymmetric liner, it would even be better. And so our tenth
pipe had a plastic helix on the inside. The helix was only about
fourteen mils thick, and the pipe wall was about twelve mils thick.
So, it was like heavy scotch tape that we sealed to the pipe.
They fired the shot, and E.T. called me up and said, "You won't
believe the results." And he went through the pipes. We had a
couple of normal pipes on the shot, standard pipes with nothing in
them. They put big holes in the target. All the pipes with the liners
- - paper, plastic, and glass - - put bigger holes in the target. The
heavy walled pipe put the biggest hole in the target. The heavy wall
not only did not attenuate the jet, it made it the worst of all, directly
Pipe Flow 485
contrary to the lore. And the pipe with the plastic helix made no
crater at all. We couldn't believe that plastic helix made such a
difference. There was another pipe which had a lead helix on the
outside to simulate the assymmetry we had used with the HE so
successfully. It made a big hole in the target.
So, of all those things we tried, nothing worked except the
internal helix of plastic. We thought, "Well, maybe there was a
mistake in the experiment. Maybe a mouse crawled in that pipe and
just blocked it off, or something." We couldn't believe that helix
could be that effective. So we tried it again. This time we put in
a steel helixe, a lead helixe, a plastic helix, and we tried some of the
other pipes again. We had twenty pipes around the sphere this time.
We fired that, and sure enough, all the internal helixes were just
miraculous in their attenuation of the jet. At the time we didn't
know whether we were reducing the source, or whether we were
attenuating it. Eventually we learned that we were attenuating the
flow. The helix has no effect on the source.
We tried many things of that kind, and it was a fascinating
program, because we were studying all this parameter space experi-
mentally. Things that would take weeks to calculate, you could just
try. With twenty pipes we could try anything, and in a very short
time.
I told Don Eilers at Los Alamos about the results, and he was
really excited about them. He decided he'd try it on a nuclear test,
so he put in a pipe with an internal helix, and one without on the
Flora event, in 1980. He instrumented them to measure the
penetrations of steel plates at the end of the pipes. And he found
that he got a major reduction in the number of plates penetrated
with the internal helix. Los Alamos has used it ever since, and so
has Livermore, to reduce the flow of energy in the some of the
longer diagnostic pipes.
stemming where gas can go around your facility. That's the only
leak that you're liable to see through geologic features, is Joe's
point. As far as I'm concerned, all the DNA work I've done, or have
been connected with where there was a leak, has leaked in the line-
of-sight pipe. Except, where the leaks came from a region where
there was a helix. There have been little leaks there. Otherwise, it
has come right down the tunnel. I don't think we have ever, or at
least very rarely, leaked through the formation. I think we leak
through man-made facilities.
Carothers: How about the the experiments Carl Keller de-
scribed which he had done to look at pipe flow? These were the HE
experiments with a dozen pipes with a helix of this kind and that kind
in them, and they were ail on the same shot.
Bass: The trouble is, the helix on those HE shots is not the helix
on a nuclear event. The helix works in an entirely different manner
in a nuclear event than it does with HE. Carl said the helix worked
late. In fact, it works early. If the helix works, the pressure outward
on the pipe has to be increased. What we find on events where we
had a helix, the pressure at 50 meters, which on DNA events is
where there is a muffler section, the pressure out of the pipe is down
by an order of magnitude if there is a helix. That says any reduction
has to have occurred earlier. Either that or we don't have any idea
how a helix works. Maybe we don't know how a helix works.
We do know that on one event the pressures went up inside the
muffler section when a helix was used, and that had never happened
before. That says we added disorder to the flow. We had pressures
higher coming out of the muffler than we had going into the muffler,
and we had pressure measurements inside the muffler which were
high as you go through the muffler, higher than when you went into
the muffler. This is very unusual, and it only happened one time.
That one time we had a helix up close to the front. So, we added
disorder to the flow. Where we didn't have the helix, the muffler
didn't seem to do much. Where we had the helix the muffler did
one hell of a lot. Which says to me we had all kinds of things going
on. This has been discounted completely, and nobody has paid any
attention to it.
Pipe Flow 487
Peterson: At about the time that Pac Tech split off from S-
Cubed Norton Rimer and and myself started working on what we
termed the late-time containment issues. Those are the cavity
growth, the cavity conditions, leaks to the tunnel complexes, the
ground motion, the thermodynamic and fluid flow process - the
very slow processes that you see.
Carothers: When you say the late-time, where do you pick that
up?
Peterson: 1 suppose about ten milliseconds. All of these times
are relative, but compared to the times of the explosion they are
slow.
Carothers: I read somewhere once, and I think about it
occasionally when I think about time scales for containment, that if
you wanted to build an accurate scale model of the solar system, you
would have to make it not much smaller than the system is. There
are very large distances, and if you try to scale them to a reasonable
size, then some of the smaller things, like much of the asteroid belt,
vanish. They get so little you can't see them.
In a similar way, when you think about the time scale of
containment processes, which goes from small fractions of a micro-
second out to perhaps a few hours, how can you possibly scale this
to where everything fits? It's got to be in chunks, in a way.
Peterson: That is correct, and of course, that is one of the real
difficulties in looking at it, because we do, being people, tend to
split things into problems we can digest. But when we do that, we
lose the coupling effects between them, which can be very impor-
tant. You arbitrarily split on what you think you can understand,
and that has nothing to do with what might be the most important.
So, if you look at the way we evaluate containment, we do have it
split into the time scales of various effects. We will look at cavity
growth, we will look at ground motion, we will look at pipe flow, we
will look at leakage, and things like that, but they're all very, very
coupled. And one of the things I think we've fallen short on is to
look at the coupling effects between these things. In other words,
pipe flow is coupled very closely to ground motion and cavity
growth.
488 CAGING THE DRAGON
19
Codes and Calculations
Scolman: I am not aware, but I'm not sure I would have been
aware, of us ever, ever deciding that a hole was not suitable for an
event in the days before Baneberry, other than one time. Carl
Keller, who was in the containment business for Los Alamos in those
days, became concerned over an event in Area 4. I don't remember
the name, but it was a reasonably high yield shot which was to be
fired fairly close to the basement rocks, to the dolomite. Carl was
convinced that we would generate enough C02 that it could not be
contained in the overlying rock. And he heckled us sufficiently that
we finally moved the event to another location.
App: In 1971 Bob Brownlee hired me, Tom Cook, and Tom
Bennion to start up the calculational effort for containment. We
weren't interested in developing our own codes, not at all. We
wanted to get something that somebody else had, and if we had to
convert it for our use, fine. Tom Cook and I drew straws to see who
would concentrate on which codes. We went by Labs, and Tom got
Livermore. Tom got the 1-D SOC code from Livermore, and the
2-D TENSOR code as well. I got the WONDY and TOODY codes
from Sandia.
We evaluated and benchmarked the four codes, to determine
which would be the most appropriate for us. We chose Livermore's
SOC, and Sandia's TOODY. We also used WONDY to a limited
extent. Things evolved from there. SOC went by the wayside after
a number of years because, although it had a lot of containment lore
behind it, and was an excellent code, it was written in a language
called LRLTRAN. When the Cray machines arrived, LRLTRAN was
not implemented, so SOC no longer worked. Actually, Charles
Snell, who now works here at Los Alamos, but who did work at
Livermore, has it running again, on our machines. He liked it, and
he converted it from LRLTRAN into standard FORTRAN.
The TOODY code has actually been our mainstay. It's what
I've primarily used for modeling purposes, with a lot of modifica-
tions to fit our particular needs. It's now more of a special purpose
code for ground shock modeling than it was at Sandia. We're in the
process of benchmarking other, newer codes against it, but I haven't
found any that are a substantial improvement. It has archaic coding.
It has twenty year old architecture, based on the CDC 6600 system.
It's hard sometimes to part with old friends. I know the innards of
it; another reason for not wanting to part with it.
Codes and Calculations 499
it doesn't matter, and it can stop right there. So, I see the potential
for going past a bad one - - one that may show an indicator, a blip,
in a calculation as a potential problem. That never even gets
discussed.
The calculator has his own view of things. What I've discovered
over the years is that minor differences, or changes in certain
properties around the cavity, and certain positions of layers, can
make a big difference in a calculation.
Carothers: I have talked to various DNA people who say,
"Well, you know, one of the things that's really kind of baffling is
we have made what appear to be small changes in our designs, and
we get big differences in things." As Ed Peterson put it, "\ cannot
understand it in the science that I learned, because if someone came
to me and said, 'We're going to make a ten percent change in this,'
I would say, 'Well, we only guessed at the first one, so what can ten
percent do on the next one?'"
Rambo: Yes. I see sensitivities also. The difficulty in
answering the question has to do with which problem you are talking
about. There are so many changes you can make, and I'm not sure
which ones do make a difference. Let me give you an example. Take
Galena, which I presented to the CEP. The approach to it was, from
the people who look at geology and look at material properties,
"Oh, it looks like everything else we've presented before. We've
got all these different Grouse Canyon layers that we've shot next
to." But when I ran the calculation on it, and by the way I did it on
my own, I said, "I think you people may have some problems. I
think we ought to look at it." The containment scientist didn't want
to do that.
Carothers: It's like doing a test with a weapon from the
stockpile. If it works we won't have learned anything, because it's
supposed to work, and if it doesn't work They will know that, and
that's terrible. Similarly, your calculations will show the site is all
right, which we already know, or it won't look all right, and then
you'll give us trouble.
Rambo: You've put your finger on exactly what I go through
sometimes. That's the biggest issue about calculations - -1 really am
not independent of the total system. And so I have this anchor
around me, that you might call wanting to know the truth.
506 CAGING THE DRAGON
said, "Have you run calculations on this, that, and the other?"
maybe twice. But our side never demands any calculations from Los
Alamos, or at least it doesn't seem as though we have, and we have
very rarely if ever run a calculation on one of their sites.
Conversely, Los Alamos has run calculations on our sites
several times. I don't know why this imbalance exists, but I think
it's the perception of calculations from different sides of the fence.
It's as though some of the management on our side is saying, "Well,
calculations don't mean much. They're useful to sell to the CEP."
When we run up against a negative calculation we're maybe a little
more leery, but we're still saying the calculations by themselves
don't make a big difference.
It's good to be aware of that, because the people making the
decision at the CEP are much more savvy about this process than
they used to be in the old days. I think they're able to say, "Well,
this is a negative calculation, but there are other factors that take
place that have to do with containment." I think that has certainly
changed over the years, but we're still living with the remnants of
the ideas that if you show any bad calculation to the Panel, they may
give us a B or C. I think the Panel is a little more savvy in being able
to make intelligent judgments.
Carothers: When you talk about calculations, do you do them
for events of the various yields? Do you, for instance, do calcula-
tions on the low yield events?
Rambo: Sure. Galena was an example of that. The yield was
not high. The layers went from full saturation up to this Grouse
Canyon layer that was enormously porous. That to me was a flag
that said, "Look, this is at the extreme, and you ought to run a
calculation." Eventually I did, somewhat on my own, and that was
presented to the Panel. If I had just laid back and not done anything,
that calculation would not have been done.
What was kind of interesting about it was that it was different
from everything else I've seen in terms of Grouse Canyon related
calculations. There was a tremendous change in the attenuation
rate. And that produced this focusing effect that I talked about -
- the flattening of the out-going wave. For a normal residual stress
you like things to go out spherically and come back spherically so
it tends to close everything up in a spherical sense. When everything
runs up as a plane wave, and comes back that way from the topside,
508 CAGING THE DRAGON
you don't get a big residual stress. The max cred calculation on
Galena didn't show a residual stress. Nobody knew that at the CEP
because it wasn't asked. The design yield showed a very weak ten,
twenty bar stress along the stemming column.
Carothers: Refering to the Panel again, I think they can make
intelligent judgments if they have the information upon which to
base those judgments. And that's the point that concerns me. If
they don't have all the information, such as not being informed of
your calculations on Galena, how can they make an informed
judgment?
Rambo: Well, you have to remember that certainly our models
for looking at containment calculations leave some things to be
desired. 1 see some of that after looking at comparisons between
real data and the calculations. I'm not trying to sell calculations
necessarily, because 1 know that there are calculations that may be
misleading, and that some of them have been misleading. But in
spite of that, we don't do too bad a job.
There's always been a tendency for there to be higher rise times
in our calculations, compared to the measurements. It's like the
ground is a bigger absorber than we calculate. But 1 think in terms
of residual stress we tend to capture some of that, and yet there are
plenty of arguments that say, "Gee, we don't think there's any
residual stress in any of the shots." The DNA people are starting
to say those kind of things.
The calculators tend to believe the reason the high yield shots
contain is because there's a well established residual stress. You
don't see anything going through cables, the man-made phenom-
enon of the hole is very small, and the residual stress is very thick
compared to the pressure in the cavity.
Now, in the calculations you always seem to generate, for the
same strength rock, the same cavity pressure. On a low yield shot
there is less protective distance than there is on a high yield shot.
When you get to low yield shots the man-made phenomenon
become large with respect to other things, and that's been one of
the ideas behind why low yield shots don't have as good a history
as the high yield ones.
Codes and Calculations 509
dramatic that makes you change your view, you say, "Gee, that
must be the way it is." It has been shown time after time that we
don't know that's the way it is. As witness to that look at Mighty
Oak, or Mission Cyber and Disko Elm.
I have criticized continuum-mechanics based codes as inappro-
priate because the basic assumption that points that start out close
together stay close together during the motion is not, apparently,
what is observed in the field. Therefore, I have recommended that
effort be directed towards the development of a three-dimensional
discrete element calculational technique.
Discrete-element is basically a two-dimensional calculational
procedure put together some fifteen or twenty years ago by a man
named Peter Cundall. He's now at the University of Wisconsin. The
technique, basically, imagines that you have interacting blocks of
rock, which are are defined preshot, unfortunately. Unfortunately
for our case, because we don't know what's in the earth in any great
detail. But for civil engineering applications, for which he devel-
oped this technique, it's adequate.
In such a calculation there are predefined blocks of material,
which in the first approximation are rigid, so these blocks can
interact only through interfaces, where there are frictional forces
that are defined. There have been extensions to the theory to allow
elastic type distortions to occur also. The beauty of the technique
is that one block is free to do whatever the forces that are at play
ask it to do. It can change its neighbors however it wants to. It is
not restricted to the continuum-mechanics assumption that there
are proximity relationships that are maintained, nor is it restricted
by the slip-line constraints that have sometimes been put into 2-D
continuum-mechanics codes Those, I think, are always restricted to
one class of boundaries which can slip. The ] lines can slip, or the
K lines can slip, but not both of them. In the discrete element codes
both can.
Let me give you an example of problems I have seen calculated,
on personal computers by the way. We'll take a hopper containing
an arbitrary array of defined objects; square blocks, round blocks,
triangular blocks, you name it. They're sitting in the hopper under
gravity. Remove a diaphragm at the bottom of the hopper. The
blocks are allowed to flow out under gravity, and they start sliding
down. One will fall out, and another one will fall out, and they will
512 CAGING THE DRAGON
tumble, and fall, and they will pile up and do what they do in
complete freedom from the constraints of usual continuum-me-
chanics calculational procedures.
Now, this calculational technique has been known, as I said, for
fifteen or twenty years. There has been work on it at Livermore, and
there has been work on it, supported by DNA, through Waterways
Experiment Station. I don't know that it has been generalized to 3-
D, but my recommendation is that a serious effort be made to try
to bring up a practical and effective three-dimensional discrete
element technique.
Carothers: My comment is that the development of calculational
tools and codes within the Laboratories has been dominated, in the
past, by the device designers. People were, and are, intensely
interested in what happens inside a device when you fire it. That's
where the the big kids play. That's where the interest, the money,
and the effort has been, and so they have developed very sophisti-
cated and elaborate ways to make those calculations. And in a
device there are no blocks moving around, or hydrofractures, and
they are usually symmetrical about some axis. If you're just a little
guy who comes along and wants to do some calculations concerning
dirt and rocks that maybe crack or jiggle around, you're probably
not going to get a lot of money to do that. And so, maybe you adapt
some of those techniques that have already been developed to your
problem. That might be one of the reasons that has led to the
widespread use of the continuum-mechanics techniques you de-
scribe.
Duff: I believe that.
Carothers: Chuck, inherent in the efforts to model, or
calculate, the phenomenology of an underground detonation, par-
ticularly where you have a Iine-of-sight pipe, there is an enormous
range of time scales. Things important occur from fractions of a
microsecond to more than many minutes. Similarly, spatially, you
have a thin piece of iron which is maybe going to do something and
interact with things, and then you have, if you want to believe in
block motion, a piece of rock, probably bigger this building, moving
around.
Dismukes: You're giving good reasons why the modeling is not
as simple as one would like.
Codes and Calculations 513
a fault in, and see what that does to the stress cage. And indeed,
those calculations show that if the fault is in the wrong place, it kills
the stress cage.
Now, you don't need a discrete element code to do that. Any
finite difference code will tell you the same thing. But the finite
difference code will only tell you about one fault. You can't put in
several faults. With these discrete elements codes you can put in
numerous faults, and address an area. We have recommended, and
I think someday somebody will do something about it, that if a DN A
test area shows multiple faults in what we call the stress cage region
that should be addressed with a discrete element code. I think we
need to do this.
Certainly a finite element code can go 3-D a hell of a lot easier
than a finite difference code. Sandia has some going; certainly a lot
of people have some going, but they are not being used, as far as 1
can see. We're really falling behind with what we should be doing
with 3-D codes. We have the capability now to run those codes.
People can still think, and with the capabilities we have now we
should be running 3-D problems, and people aren't. All of the 3-
D calculations have just kind of died.
Patch: Even a 1 -D code is useful in a lot of material property
studies. It's fast, and it does some of those sorts of things pretty
well. Almost all of our serious work is done in 2-D. We do limited
work in 3-D, and we're prepared to do it. It's just that one has to
be sure that there is something that is truly 3-D, and that the 3-D
effects are so important that you can either give up on the zoning
resolution that you can achieve in 2-D, or you bite the bullet and
pay the cost of doing a 3-D simulation. There are instances when
one does that, but they're relatively rare.
I think the most effective way to use 3-D calculations is to home
in on limited features. For example, you could ask yourself, "Does
it really matter that the tunnel has a horseshoe shape as opposed to
a circular shape that the 2-D code forces it into?" In addition to
that, DNA typically offsets the Iine-of-sight pipe. They put it on one
side of the tunnel so people can walk on the other side because it
makes it nicer to work. So now you have a funny shaped thing with
the Iine-of-sight pipe set off in one corner. Is that important?
516 CAGING THE DRAGON
Rambo: Over the years of doing these things I've tried to bring
some ideas together about how calculations play some role in some
shots, and on other shots they really don't play any significant role
at all. I was looking at what happened after the shot. What's the
report card look like? How well did we do; did the calculations mean
anything at all?
There's a group of shots that we've done calculations on where
we were trying to deal with issues that were of interest for a number
of reasons, where people felt there were containment issues that
needed to be calculated, and the calculations did matter. We've run
these calculations on a lot of events, and they looked okay. And at
least in looking at the post-shot analyses where we're looking at
radiation, we didn'tsee anything. So in a sense the calculations have
been helpful to kind of get things through the CEP, and maybe
there's a connection between the calculations and the fact that we
didn't see anything.
Then there's the area that I call kind of worrisome. Worrisome
areas are like Roquefort and Coso. Roquefort was probably in the
thirty-some kiloton category and had radioactivity that went past
the bottom two plugs, and we'd run calculations and presented
them to the CEP. It bothers me to run these things and say, "Well,
there's still a residual stress even though there's this hard layer that
runs through it and there's a lot of perturbation, and there's this
Grouse Canyon layer that's close by. It bothers me, to some extent,
to run these things and go down to the CEP and say, "Gee, I didn't
see anything calculationally." And then afterwards, think maybe
there was something I should have talked about.
As a postscript to this chapter, and a case study of the current
role of calculations on an emplacement hole event is the Barnwell
event. Barnwell, with a yield in the 20 to 150 kiloton range, was
fired in Area 20, on 12/08/89. John Rambo was the Livermore
containment scientist.
Carothers: ]ohn, I know you were quite concerned about the
containment of Barnwell. And, let me say that if anyone were to
look carefully at the post-shot data on Barnwell, they might
conclude that your apprehensions were well founded. There are
people who think Barnwell came very close to being a containment
failure.
520 CAGING THE DRAGON
So, I knew all this, and I went down to the CEP, prepared to
present it to the Panel, if necessary. I thought we ought to be able
to contain this thing because it was right on the edge, and besides,
nobody on the Panel believes in calculations. I came down with
about six notebooks full of viewgraphs to present in case somebody
wanted to get into the subject. The rest is history. Dr. Brownlee
said, "Calculations don't make any difference." Fred App was
starting to get interested in the subject, but he was sort of swept
away by Brownlee's strong statement. I was sitting there with my
mouth open, thinking, "Boy, did I get through this one easy."
But I was still quite worried about what might happen, because
in my calculational experience I had never seen anything quite like
it. On the other side of the slate, we had all the experience of high
yield events that had never shown any problems. 1 even went over
and calculated a nearby event, called Lockney. I didn't have any
measurements, but I tried to back-calculate from the cavity radius
and the drilling rates. It didn't look good either, but it was very,
very sensitive to minor changes in strength. That was what was
interesting about this whole thing. We didn't appreciate how, with
high strength you can get these enormous changes in residual stress
for slightly different properties. It comes and goes with very minor
differences in the strength, and it can be catastrophic if you hit the
right combination of timing and of reflections.
As I said, Lockney showed poor residual stress also. But it
contained. Lockney had something like five percent water content,
and Fred App has calculated other events where he says, "You
know, the calculations look pretty bad up there on Pahute, but
there's still this very low water content that they're shooting in."
And so, I thought at the time that maybe they were right. Maybe
containment calculations don't make any difference on high yield
shots. Maybe you can shoot anywhere, in any material, and who
cares. So that did affect my thinking on Barnwell.
So, I was concerned already, and then about ten minutes
before shot time the device physicist came up, and remember that
this thing gets worse as you go to lower yields, and he said, "By the
way, I just did another calculation. You'll be pleased to know the
yield has gone down." It wasn't more than about twenty minutes
later that I saw all this radiation going up through the stemming
column, up to the last plug. I think we came very close on Barnwell,
and the calculations certainly pointed in that direction.
523
20
Current Practice
Page: That's a part of it, but the real focus on that belongs to
the containment group. But since the Test Director is the man
responsible, on the spot, he essentially owns all of those aspects, to
first order, from nuclear safety to containment to industrial safety.
Roth: You pick up an event somewhere in its definition stage,
and actual production stage. When the event becomes active in the
field, the Test Director becomes the lead man in charge of it at that
point in time. He picks up that responsibility from a project
physicist, who shepherds it from its inception to the point where it's
going to the field. I concern myself, first of all, with getting the
fielding done, making sure the facilities are available for the
canisters and experiments that have to be fielded, coordinating the
craft support to carry that out, determining the safety and security
requirements of classified gear in the field.
Carothers: Let me start with industrial safety. When do you
become responsible for that? I would think REECO, for instance,
would do that.
Page: There a couple of aspects to that, but the Test Director
assumes ESscH coordination responsibility from the DOE for the
shot site at a certain time. It's a formal transition of responsibility.
Up until that time N VO had assigned that to REECO, and so REECO
had that responsibility. When that transition happens, then the
Laboratory gets it, and the Test Director is the person who assumes
that responsibility. What that means is that he is responsible for the
coordination of the activities at the shot site to assure that they're
done safely, that all the independent contractors know what's going
on, and that they know what the other people are doing. He has the
responsibility to make sure there is a well-coordinated operation.
Of course, each contractor is responsible to assure that their people
know their jobs, and that they do them safely. But the contractors
take their direction from the Laboratory, and then they apply their
methods to get the job done.
The craft support is all through the contractors. REECO
provides the crafts we need. For security, we call heavily on
Wackenhut to do the guard duty we require. We determine the
requirements and we lay those requirements on those people, and
they, hopefully, carry them out, and we oversee that they are
carried out to our specifications.
Current Practice 525
away from another high yield event that could go off in the same
time period. But the specific location and coordinates are not my
choice. That's the geologists.
gone from one cable to two cables to four cables, but I think even
their four cable capacity does not equal our heavier drill pipe
capacity.
Page: I can't answer the question of why we first started using
drill pipe, but the reason we like using it today is that drill pipe offers
a heavy load carrying capability. We believe the joining method is
reliable, and it's something we can test. And, we've had good luck
with it.
Carothers: What do you mean when you say it's something you
can test? Do you pull test all those joints?
Page: Yes we do. Of course, then we have to unmake them.
Roth: There's a very strict quality control program involved in
all of that. The pipes are first of all threaded and inspected, and then
pull tested to some 125 or 150% of what the working load is
expected to be. They are then very carefully maintained from that
point on to see that they aren't damaged in any way, even to the
extent of seeing that somebody doesn't sabotage one of them.
They're brought to the event site, put into an enclosed area, and
maintained there until they're used. The threading operation itself
has a quality control on it, in that the pipe joint makeup has to fit
within certain tolerances. The threaded joints are marked with a
small diamond, so they have to thread up into some portion of that
diamond. Going too far or too short is not acceptable. So, we have
very good assurance when we go to lift that load that joint is going
to be good, and that pipe is going to be good. And it's special metal.
It's not necessarily old D-36 steel; it's API pipe.
Carothers: Do you have to use a drill rig to put the device
down?
Page: No. You can use a drill rig, but the emplacement
machine can be a crane, =» sub-base, and a stabbing tower. The sub-
base is a working platform that allows us to tie off the load when we
let go of it with the crane. The process works pretty well, and it's
reasonably fast.
Roth: The crane actually holds the load, and lowers it pipe
section by pipe section. And we use ancillary cranes that feed the
pipe up to the stabbing tower. The drillers thread it in, the main
530 CAGING THE DRAGON
crane picks up the load, releases it from the grips, and lowers it
down. People underneath the sub-base tie on the cables and put on
the experiments that go on the pipe.
Carothers: Once it's in place, you have to fill the center of that
pipe.
Roth: Yes, but that's relatively easy. We just grout it up.
There is a stemming plan for the hole that we adhere to that's
defined, and reviewed, and accepted prior to the time we actually
carry it out. That involves perhaps a half dozen different types of
material. Boron rich material might be emplaced around the device
itself, for neutron shielding. Above that, depending on what the
diagnostic requirements are, we have overton sand, or perhaps
magnetite, perhaps sometimes a mix for neutron shielding. Once
above the canister, generally it winds down to a sand, gravel, and
eventually a plug configuration.
Carothers: Let's say you have a reel of fiber optic cable. You
cut off ten feet don't you, and test that? What if it doesn't meet
that test?
House: Then you don't use that reel, or you put a discrete gas
block in the run. You put the blocks in at the standard locations
where you have designated gas blocks for the multi-conductor
cable. In our particular geometries there are typically three places,
one in each of the rigid plugs, where gas blocks are placed.
Carothers: What's your experience with the fiber optic cables?
Do many of them fail your pressure test?
House: It's probably about thirty percent that fail, that leak
enough so they don't meet the specs. They are supposed to come
from the factory, by design, as continually gas blocked fiber optic
cables. But, when they sit in the Nevada desert sun, or lie out in a
cable way before they've been terminated, there's a degradation
that takes place. It in many cases causes the cable not to pass the
test, and then you've got to go in and discretely gas block them.
The fiber optic cable is a very small diameter cable — maybe
a 1/2 inch outside diameter, which of course includes the sheath
and the protective jacket, and so on. By the time you get down to
the potential flow path for gas up one of those cables, it's very small.
It's hard to envision gas being driven very far up one of those fiber
optic cables, but we gas block them because that's the way we do
it. Conservatism is perhaps our most important product.
Carothers: Well, coax cables used to leak gases to the surface.
Gases were forced a long way through them - - a thousand feet or
more. You look at the cable, and you wonder how you could
possibly push gas through it, but there is plenty of evidence that it
happens.
House: The factory gas-blocked coax works very, very well. I
don't have any numbers in my head about failure rate, but it is very
low. Coax is good stuff. In terms of our field, or discrete, gas blocks
that are installed in the multi-conductor cables, both Laboratories'
cable gas blocks work very well. They're not a problem.
Disko Elm was the last time we saw anything flow down the
pipe, and that's when we realized — in fact 1 caught it in the middle
of Distant Zenith — that we weren't separating our cables like we
used to. We were using predominately Livermore devices, and
Livermore likes to use this four conductor Number 2 for the firing
cables. That is an unbelievable leaker, because not only does the
jacket have lots of holes in it, but it is a stranded cable. It's a great
power cable, and of course, that's exactly what it's used for — for
charging up the x-units. But we tested it, and 1 think the permeabil-
ity was two or three darcies over a hundred foot length. So, you
could imagine it's just a conduit. But, it works real well once you
separate the strands. You do that and you cut it down at least into
the millidarcy range. You don't even have to take the insulation off.
Carothers: There used to be some people at the Livermore
Laboratory who were very touchy about their firing cables, because
they had some experiences they didn't like very much. I'm
surprised they let you mess with their firing cables.
Ristvet: Well, I talked it over at length with Mr. Ray Peabody
et al, who do Livermore's firing, and Ray and Mike Bockas stood and
watched every step that was done. And they were there even when
we did the same thing on other shots in the same way. When we did
it on the Los Alamos device, Everett Holmes and crew stood there
and just watched everything that was done, and assured themselves
that everything would be okay.
Carothers: It's called attention to detail. Joe LaComb would
have smiled and nodded approvingly.
Ristvet: That's certainly right. I can understand the sensitivity.
I can remember one DNA shot where we were down to the last set
of firing cables because we had a little water getting into the RTV
boxes. And the thought of retrieving a live nuclear device on a
reentry does not appeal to me. We've thought about it many times
though, and we actually have a contingency plan for such.
Current Practice 535
Plugs
Page: Was coal-tar epoxy the first material Livermore used for
plugs?
Carothers: They used concrete plugs on a few shots, but they
weren't very enthusiastic about those after they lost the cables on
Duryea because somebody forgot about the exotherm when the
concrete set up. The cable insulation softened, or melted, and all
the cables shorted out. Including the firing cables. It's actually
quite embarrassing not to be able to communicate with the device.
A lot of people get very upset about that.
Page: That would be a Test Director's nightmare.
Roth: Emplacing the coal-tar epoxy mix was an attempt to
solve the exotherm problem you can have with concrete, and still
get a rapidly setting up plug. A n d , it was an attempt to get a tighter
seal. A l l those kinds of things drove the development of that
material.
Carothers: I've never talked to a person who liked coal-tar
epoxy plugs.
Roth: They were smelly, they were carcinogenic, and they
were messy. If you got some of that stuff on you, you couldn't get
it off. It was gooey, sloppy stuff that ruined your clothing, and it
was difficult to put in place, but for years we did that.
Page: It was miserable stuff. It was just terrible stuff to deal
with, to be in direct contact with. It was put together in transit
trucks, and it was difficult to control the mix. The coal-tar was just
dumped in the hole, along with the gavel, and you were never
certain where the coal-tar and the gravel ended up. We made some
of those plugs in surface casings, and when we pulled them out, cut
them apart and looked at them, the uniformity through the plug
never did look good to me. I think they just depended on the fact
that there was a lot of it there to give something that was going to
do the job. I think we did ourselves a big favor when we got rid of
that.
536 CAGING THE DRAGON
can put it in the hole, and within a half hour to forty-five minutes
it's hard, and we're ready to continue stemming. By the time you
get the pipe extracted and the equipment cleaned up it's hard, and
we can continue the stemming operation. From a cost standpoint
it's a fairly expensive material, but so was the coal-tar epoxy.
Carothers: What makes it expensive?
Roth: I'm not sure. Perhaps the gypsum. The equipment to
mix it and pump it not commonly used. It's not a transit mix truck.
It's a batch mixing operation where they pneumatically blow the
gypsum into a mixture of water and sand, and tumble that.
Eventually it gets pumped out, over to the hole and down a tremmi
pipe. We've had cameras down there, and it comes squirting out
quite violently down at the bottom. It's a good material, but it is
expensive compared to concrete.
Page: It seems to form a nice product, and when it's set it's got
a strength of about 3000 psi. And we think it's fairly compliant
when it's hit with high ground motion.
'i
544 CAGING THE DRAGON
their own analyzing, Los Alamos asked for a more formal review of
the issue. As that started to come into place we decided we
wouldn't proceed until the Panel was notified. The approach was
to poll the Panel without pulling them together, but people weren't
comfortable with that, and it was decided that wasn't sufficient, so
a Panel meeting was called.
That was how it went. There were independent looks at the
data. People relying on their own experience, and making their own
interpretations, felt there was enough uncertainty that we couldn't
go ahead without a formal review. We're still totally satisfied that
we did not have a void there.
Carothers: Sure. But the important thing, for the Panel, was
you couldn't prove it one way or the other. And so people on the
Panel then said, "Well, in that case we have to assume that void is
there."
Page: I can't argue with that. 1 think that's a reasonable
attitude. Now, you'd like to be able to say that you have absolute
certainty of what's going on a thousand feet underground, but we
can't always do that.
Carothers: There was a Panel meeting on a Saturday afternoon
in Las Vegas, and after hearing what was presented, the Panel felt
the shot could go ahead. So, you fired it, and it performed just fine,
as far as the containment aspects were concerned.
Page: It did. Radiation didn't get high in the hole at all.
Carothers: Neither Laboratory has done a line-of-sightshot for
a long time. If one were needed it would be like starting all over,
wouldn't it?
Page: I don't know where we stand with regards to being able
operationally to do one of those, but we recently did re-certify our
HE closure design. About four years ago we thought we were going
to do a shot like that, and we knew there would be a large line of
sight. So we rejuvenated an old technology, where we drew from
the old design drawings that we had available, and from the
experience of people who had been there. I was one of the people
who had been in on the early development of that system back in
the late sixties and early seventies. We were able to rebuild the
machine, and we did one test, with new people. They were all new
Current Practice 545
people doing the work, and they demonstrated that it closed very
nicely. There was a situation where twenty years had passed, and
we had not lost the technology.
C arothers: It gives you to think though.
Page: O h , you bet it does. But now there's a bridge for another
ten years, perhaps. If ten years from now somebody wanted to
develop one of those, we have three or four young people who, if
they're still at the Lab, could do it then. I'll be long gone, but those
people might still be around.
Carothers: One thing that I think has been true at both
Laboratories - - I will leave DNA out because they have a different
set of problems in that they have to protect millions of dollars worth
of samples - - is that there is inherently a kind of conflict of interest
between the containment people and the field people. Your job as
the Test Director would be easier, and the shot quicker and cheaper
to do, if you didn't have to do all the logging, and special stemming,
and put in cable gas blocks, and so on.
Scolman: I think one way of looking at it is, going under-
ground, particularly with the containment criteria we've got now,
puts a buy-in cost, a base cost on any shot that is so high that what
you do on the shot does not appreciably effect the cost of the shot.
In other words, the difference in cost between a very minimal test
and a very maximal test is certainly not as much as it would have
been if it wasn't for the containment.
Carothers: I've heard the argument put the other way - - that
the shots are so complicated and expensive today that what you do
for containment is only a small part of the cost.
Scolman: In some sense, if what you count as costs for
containment is what is necessary to run an event through the CEP,
and the additional containment hardware you put in, that may be
true.
But, first off, there's the fact that you do, indeed, need to drill
holes, which requires the maintenance of a drilling < ai.ublV'-y both
for the emplacement holes and the post-shot ^ m p ' i n e . . You do,
indeed, need to have plants that generate the kind of stemming
material you use. You do, indeed, need to do all the logging and
those kind of things.
546 CAGING THE DRAGON
Then you put in the cost of just maintaining the Test Site — the
EPA, the weather service, all of these people who are there
regardless of how complex the event is.
Carothers: Yes, but you can't fairly charge that against
containment. Those people would be there if you were doing
atmospheric shots.
Scolman: Well, that's true.
Carothers: After Baneberry life for you as the Test Director
must have changed. You had a lot of other things that you now had
to do to prepare a shot, and fire a shot.
Scolman: Yes, of course. The TEP was never a particular
problem. One didn't worry about getting shots through the TEP;
one worried mightily about getting shots through the CEP. The
other thing was that the operational requirements that came after
Baneberry were much, much different than they were before. We
used to draw a line between Area 4 and 9. If it was a Livermore shot
we just cleared above that line. If it was a Los Alamos shot we
cleared below that. Now we clear the whole forward area on every
shot.
And there was a push made, largely driven by NVO, which
said, "Okay, let's get everything out of the forward area that we
don't need to have there." The reconfiguration studies that were
done really didn't lead to an awful lot other than we moved some
things that had been out in the forward area back into Frenchmen
Flat. Some of those changes, which in general increased costs, were
not necessarily involved directly with containment, but more with
how one reacted if you had a containment problem when you fired.
One of the things on Baneberry that got people's attention, other
than the fact that it vented and got off-site, was the fact that we did,
indeed, contaminate some people and some facilities. A lot of
changes were made to prevent that from happening again.
Brownlee: There's always been a curse, here at Los Alamos,
that I haven't quite known how to fight. It has been a very insidious
thing, because down through the years, after Baneberry, we never
had another failure. And worse than that, we didn't even have a
seep. So there has been the attitude, "Why should we do anything
different than we've been doing? We had those experiences, we did
these things, and since then we've never had a single problem of any
Current Practice 547
21
Sometimes The Dragon Wins
For example, the Misty Rain and Mighty Oak events both were
successfully contained by the definitions in the CEP charter and the
Nuclear Test Ban Treaty. No activity found its way to the atmo-
sphere following either event, but there was radioactivity in the
tunnel complex itself. During the ventilation process activity was
detected on-site, and both events are listed as having a controlled
release. This is an operational procedure that is not part of the
containment design, and does not indicate a containment failure.
G n o m e - - 12/10/61
Eagle-- 12/12/63
Brownlee: I approached containment from the point of view
of containment of LOS shots, and I saw the whole thing in terms of
closing pipes with various kinds of things to keep energy from
getting out after they had made their measurements. Now, as I saw
it, the Livermore experimentalist had an upper hand to a greater
degree than they did here. And that started with AI Graves and Bill
Ogle; they were determined to allow me to try to keep things from
coming out. At Livermore, it seemed to me, closures were kind of
secondary. With Los Alamos, closures were kind of first; you had
to do that.
When Eagle came along it was for sure, I thought, going to
allow the experimenters to get their information, but there was no
way to close the pipe. I was convinced that Eagle was going to leak.
Almost by accident I told AI Graves, "1 think Eagle will come right
out. I don't think it's designed right." We had the treaty then, so
that could have been a violation of the treaty if it did that. It
bothered AI when I told him I thought it would leak. So, he called
552 CAGING THE DRAGON
Eagle we no longer had the debate about letting energy pass before
you closed the pipe. So, the concept of closing everything fast was
solidified, reinforced, and became doctrine after Eagle, for us.
Eagle was a big experience for us.
I think the Eagle design, if it had been emplaced right, would
almost have worked. 1 think it would have changed history if it had
been emplaced right. As it was, it looked as though the design
allowed all that energy out, and 1 don't believe that. But Eagle
heavily influenced the next designs.
But there was enough gas coming with the glass that it formed those
bubbles. The same kind of bubbles were seen in the tunnel on Red
Hot. It was the same kind of failure in the same time frame. So,
I think that glass must have come from the cavity.
There were also glass stalactites hanging down from the ceiling.
That glass, on the rock itself, I'm not sure whether it was where the
tunnel had been melted and dripped down in place, or whether it
was sprayed on and then dripped down.
It was kind of funny, because when we first reentered that area,
it was several R. As we walked forward, into the stemming region,
it went down to ten mR. Everything had come out so fast that area
was clean.
Scroll - - 04/23/68
Olsen: Probably the earliest event where material properties
really made a difference to anybody was Scroll, up on Pahute, where
they were hunting for a medium that would decouple as much as
possible. So, they wanted to know the in-situ density. Well, we
found an air-fall tuff of very low density; it was 1.3 to 1.4.
Carothers: It contained?
Olsen: Well, it probably would have if we had plugged the
holes properly.
Carothers: What was wrong?
Olsen: Again, it was a lack of appreciation for the time scale
of things, and what can happen after the initial bang. We poured
some sand down the hole, and we also poured some cement in.
Except, we poured the cement in at a location where it would be
eaten up by any ordinary subsurface collapse, which is what we got.
So, because the only plug we had was eaten up by the subsurface
collapse, all the granular stemming drained out, and there was an
open hole to the surface, and lo and behold, it started leaking.
556 CAGING THE DRAGON
Hupmobile- - 11/18/68
Olsen: Hupmobile was a disaster. It was a vertical line-of-sight
shot, and the experimenters wanted collimators in the pipe, because
they did not want shine bouncing off the walls, so we putin
collimators at almost every pipe joint. This was a fairly Iargeline-of-
sight - - it went up to several feet in diameter at the surface. We had
these relatively massive collimator rings, and for ease of installation
they had a little, very thin metal lip around the outside. So, they
just sat on a pipe joint, and there was virtually no strength in the
thing that attached them to the pipe.
When the flow came along, going upward, and started dumping
energy on the downstream side of these things, this little rim of fairly
thin metal that was holding them in place gave way. So, these rings
went up the pipe, became a tangled mass of stuff at the top, and
blocked all of the valves. We recovered, on reentry, something like
sixteen hundred pounds of twisted up collimator rings at the top of
the line-of-sight pipe. We could even identify which collimator it
was that had been torn loose.
556a
Baneberry - - 12/18/70
Weart: I have a little trouble recalling the exact time people
started to look for more favorable geology for the tunnel shots.
Certainly a marked turning point within the entire community,
recognizing the influence of geology and so forth, was with the
Baneberry event.
Carothers: You were part of the investigating committee.
Looking back on it, what is your view of the understanding that was
reached at that time, which may still be the right one?
Weart: As I recall, there were a couple of circumstances which
we felt contributed to the Baneberry release. One was the fact that
whereas events of this particular yield were normally detonated in
alluvium, in unsaturated rock where we had come to expect a certain
phenomena, Baneberry was detonated in saturated clay. There was
a very high water content, and much more effective coupling of
energy into ground motion.
That simply wasn't anticipated. In one simplistic way of
looking at it, with that equivalent seismic energy it looked like a
much bigger event. And therefore by our criteria, which were
empirical, of course, itwasunderburied. I think the water may have
contributed in another sense in that it provided an immense
reservoir, a far greater reservoir than usual of not easily condensable
gases. That left the cavity at a very high pressure for a very long
time. And the third circumstance was a fault, through which the
558 CAGING THE DRAGON
liked to have had answered before Baneberry, but I don't think any
of us who had questions really had reason for believing it was going
to vent. We just had unanswered questions we would like to have
had answered before Baneberry. Had we answered all those
questions, it's not clear whether we had enough understanding of
containment at that time to have avoided Baneberry.
Carothers: It's my understanding that it did not vent through
the Iine-of-sight pipe. That closed off.
Hudson: That's true. I think the pipe had little or nothing to
do with the venting on Baneberry. The overburden structure was
too weak to contain the event. As a result, as the cavity grew,
probably fissures were formed close-in and hot steam entered the
fissures, and pushed them outward. And it found the easiest path
to the surface and came out through a crack, known now as the
Baneberry fault. My personal opinion is that had that fault not been
there, it would still have come out through the path of least
resistance. It might have been a crack some place that wasn't
associated with the fault, but I believe it still would have come out.
The conditions that you needed to not have a hydrofracture
out of the cavity just weren't there on Baneberry. You need some
strength to keep hydrofractures from occurring, and apparently on
Baneberry we didn't have that, so gases came to the surface.
Another reason why I think it is related to hydrofracture is because
it took three and a half minutes. If it had been something really
prompt, associated with the Iine-of-sight pipe, it probably would
have been at the surface in well under a minute. I think we stepped
into Baneberry largely due to our ignorance.
Rambo: There were a lot of calculations that were done after
Baneberry, using 1-D calculations. They were not successful. In
going back and looking at this residual stress field again, those
calculations seemed to show a residual stress field. I think the one
person who came closest to having some success, using 1 -D codes,
was Norton Rimer, from S-Cubed. He alluded to weak clay at the
shot point as being a possibile reason.
Things kind of got left that way for a number of years. In the
meantime, we were developing, with Don Burton, who was the code
physicist, much easier ways of working with this 2-D code called
TENSOR. For instance, we found that instead of having to zone
v- • i% w *&
560 CAGING THE DRAGON
Camphor-- 06/29/71
Camphor was a line-of-sight tunnel event, sponsored by San-
dia, which was originally scheduled to be fired shortly after
Baneberry. It was delayed for some six monthes by the AEC
investigation of the Baneberry release, and was the fourth event
fired after testing was resumed with the Embudo event on June 16,
1971. In some respects its containment behavior resembled the
Mighty Oak event fired some fifteen years later. There was a release
of a small amount of gases, where Mighty Oak did not have such a
release, but there was extensive damage to all of the equipment and
experiments in the tunnel itself, and the loss of essentially all of the
tunnel complex due to the fact that there was direct communication
from the cavity to the various drifts. Jerry Kennedy, from Sandia,
was the Test Director for Camphor.
near as we could ever tell, a leak formed around the outside of the
close-in plug, through a crack we were unaware of, went around the
plug, and then it quickly eroded into the LOS drift, and then the
work drift.
The LOS pipe was rolled it into a ball at the forward overbur-
den plug, into a space of about two to three hundred feet long. That
was originally over a thousand foot string of pipe. It was all fairly
compacted right up against that overburden plug. You just don't
really realize from calculations and numbers how much energy there
is there, and what it can do to things. You have to see what happens.
The flow didn't go through the gas seal plug in the main pipe
drift, at the aft end where the diagnostics were. It went across into
the parallel work drift, and then went through the plug over there.
That plug had all the cables in it; all the instrumentation cables went
through it. The eventual hole, which I walked back through on
reentry, was through that area where the cables went through. It
was clean as a whistle. It took all those cables out.
The gas seal door was the final thing between us and the great
out-of-doors. It was a swing-shut door which you closed on button
up. It was just a big steel swinging door with big seals. It was
supposed to be speced at a thousand psi and a thousand degrees.
We tried to test that door for leaks. It was all in a big, grouted
bulkhead, and we worried about leaks in that thing. It had been
there for a long time, because it wasn't a one shot thing. That was
there for all time. We worried about leaks in that, and in the course
of preparation we had closed that door I don't know how many
times. At night on the late shift, when people didn't need to be in
and out of tunnel, we closed that thing, sealed it, and then we would
pressurize the inside with big blowers and compressors. Then we
would check for leaks all over that face. We did it with little squirt
guns with soap bubbles. And it leaked. We pressure grouted that
plug, and did it I don't know how many times. We thought we were
probably wasting a lot of money, because it was a massive effort, but
I think it saved our bacon in the end.
Inside that door we measured the temperatures and pressures,
and it was pretty clear we had a bad environment right at the door.
Later you could see the cables that were inside by that gas seal door,
and the insulation was hanging down in festoons. It was really the
last barrier, but it held.
564 CAGING THE DRAGON
to the drift where the pipe was we mined parallel drifts all the way
back, because we couldn't go through the old way - - it was too hot,
and too difficult to decon, so we mined new drifts.
Carothers: That wasn't just a gas leak in the tunnel. It sounds
as though that tunnel was in direct communication with the cavity,
and that there was device debris all over the place.
Kennedy: Oh yes. It was very bad. We parallel mined all the
way back in, parallel to the pipe drift itself, and made cross cut
entries at interesting points into the drift. In some places we
couldn't go still, so we would just put a hole in so we could insert
some intrumentation and look around. Some drifts we crossed in
the reentry mining we had to stem because they were rather hot
areas. There were places where you couldn't stop and look around.
In 5 R fields you don't loiter, and we didn't.
Carothers: You had the overburden plugs, and the gas seal
door. Did you have any closure hardware on the pipe?
Kennedy: Other than the front end we had a thing called a
dimple machine up front, which was to cut off flow in the LOS pipe
close in. We had some experiment recovery packages that we hoped
we would be able to mine in and pick up and take out, which we did
do. Then farther out we had our fast gate, and then one of those
gravity fall doors as a backup, the way that DNA did it.
and then there's a little hissing noise that in a few seconds builds up
to where it sounds like a train. That opening was eroded from very
small to very big very quickly.
Patch: I haven't heard that recording, but we think that's
exactly what happened - - that Mighty Oak had a relatively small
path, which was capable of supplying a credible amount of gas.
There's a fair amount of volume back there, but nothing compared
to the volume of the cavity. It wasn't really a nasty flow at first, but
once the TAPS let go, and it began to really flow through that path,
I think it just cleaned things right out of there. And also 1 think
there's a lot of evidence to suggest that's how Hybla Fair failed also
- - that the real failure of the stemming was not a prompt stemming
blowout, but from an flow that just eroded the stemming out.
I don't think that Mighty Oak was an impossible test. I think
one could successfully design for that site, and I'm not even
convinced that one couldn't use that pipe taper, and successfully
contain that shot.
Carothers: What would you change?
Patch: Well, that's a fair question. I think one of the things
Sandia has done is make the doors on those gates about four times
stronger, and they've speeded the gates up significantly. An
improvement they've done a lot of work on, and are about ready to
field, is to use a propellant, a powder charge, if you will, to drive
the doors, as opposed to gas from gas bottles. I think we could speed
the doors up enough so we'd have a better chance against them
getting stalled in the ways. I think we've got doors that are
significantly stronger, like factors of about four. Maybe that's not
enough. I don't know.
that the only thing that had been saving us from a containment
failure on the previous shots, including Huron Landing and Miner's
Iron, was what I call serendipidous block motion. We were shooting
the closures out before the stemming even got to them. A n d , if you
didn't have something holding the stemming in, it would go down
to the test chamber, and of course, the cavity would follow shortly
thereafter.
Misty Rain was just fortuitous. We were a gnat's eyebrow from
Mighty Oak on Misty Rain. I said that because of the Mighty Oak
geologic setting, the kind of block motion we needed probably
would not occur in the LOS drift. There would be block motion on
the one fault, but it would occur too late. This was based on the
breaking of timing wires, and other studies we had done, so we kind
of knew when block motion triggered with respect to ground shock.
If Pac Tech's calculations were anywhere near being correct, most
of the stemming would be past the fault before the fault would
move. My advice to DNA at the time was that it would cost more
money to fix Mighty Oak than there was equipment underground.
And so my advice was to go ahead and shoot it, and pray that there
would be the block motion to keep the stemming in.
Carothers: That must be a characteristic of a particular site or
a particular area, because there are a lot of tunnel shots that
behaved perfectly well.
Ristvet: Really only N tunnel is where we've seen a lot of block
motion, and that's because of the frequency of the faults and
fractures. Also the orientation of them is such with respect to the
residual stress field that they move easier than they do in P tunnel,
say. There we virtually don't have any faults or fractures, and in P
tunnel we don't see very much block motion.
22
About the Containment Evaluation Panel
TABLE 1
Total 10.810
Total 21.500.000
the Panel as the best that can be given for the particular device, and
that uncertainties which might exist in that number are fully
accounted for in the containment plan.
In the same way, the Panel accepts as fact that the containment
plan as reviewed by the CEP will be implemented in the field, and
that the characteristics of the various containment features as built
are as they were described to the Panel. The seeps and the leaks that
can occur are really prevented by the people in the field who install
the cable gas blocks, the cable fanouts, the stemming and plugs, and
so on. The Panel relies on the integrity and competence of those
people to do the job right, and to describe promptly and accurately
any deviations which may occur.
In any organization or Panel that has operated for over twenty
years, how it operates and how it might operate in a different manner
is a question seriously to be considered. A number of people, CEP
members, presenters, observers were asked their opinion of the
Panel, and how it operates.
Billy Hudson, LLNL, alternate Panel member:
Hudson: I think that by its very existence the Panel has a strong
effect on the way testing is carried out. Knowing that you have to
satisfy a Panel of relatively bright people who can ask penetrating
questions causes you to look very carefully at your designs. It
stimulates attention to detail.
Carothers: At a CEP presentation a person is in a public forum,
where the Panel members are going to ask questions. Most people
have a certain amount of pride in a situation like that. Not that
they're proud of being there, but they don't want to appear stupid
in front of everybody.
Hudson: That's right. That's part of it. Another part of it is
they don't want to be caught doing something that appears to be
stupid after the fact, if indeed there is a failure. So, the CEP is in
many ways a public hearing before the fact, only to be brought to
light should there be a problem. In that sense 1 think it has been a
very valuable body.
Carothers: What changes would you make in it?
576 CAGING THE DRAGON
horizontal lines, but it's comforting to know that all those lines are
horizontal. I think that trend of not showing data could get us into
trouble.
As a point of deviation from what I said, I think that the Panel
is good enough to recognize points in the document that should be
brought up. 1 hope that we on the geologic side are bright enough
to pick up things that should be brought up. I sometimes feel
uncomfortable because I certainly don't have expertise in the
physics, or the chemistry, or the engineering parts of the presenta-
tions.
Carothers: Those people don't have the expertise in geology
that you have. That's why there is a Panel.
Jenkins: Well, yes. 1 have to rely on those other people for
these other points. The geology, I think we can handle all right, but
I rather hate to sign my name to anything where I haven't seen
everything.
Tom Scolman, LANL, former Los Alamos Test Director:
Scolman: Let me say something that I think ought to be done.
A great deal of what we have done and do with the CEP, I believe,
is to lay down a record that could be examined by whomever. Come
back later, and that record offers rational reasons for doing what
we've done. It is a record that says, "Yes, indeed, we did look at
the proper things. We considered the proper things, and the fact
that this thing vented and killed eight thousand sheep in Utah can't
really be blamed on our particular community." Frankly, if I were
NVO, or if I were even Watkins (Secretary of Energy), I might be
inclined to have somebody who could come in with a more or less
clean slate, but some scientific appreciation of what we are trying
to do, and look and see if we really are doing the right things. Are
they defensible? Should we be doing things the way we are, even
though some of them were developed for other situations?
Carothers: Well, there are a couple of responses that I'd like
to make. One, to take the example of using, as stemming, the coarse
and fines layers that were developed for cased holes, in uncased
holes. The defense is that they have worked just fine, because LANL
has never, on any shot since Baneberry, had seepage on one of their
events. So, whether you can justify thatstemming design or not, the
fact is that it has worked successfully many, many of times.
578 CAGING THE DRAGON
Scolman: And that's the answer I get every time I bring it up.
Carothers: The other part of my response is that one of the
reasons I think the CEP stays the way it is, and does its business way
it does is that, like the coarse and fines layers, it has demonstrably
solved a problem hundreds of times. Another reason it stays the
way it is, is because today it is addressing a political problem as well
as a technical problem.
Scolman: That's the point 1 was making. And I wonder if is it
addressing it properly.
Carothers: Well, from the point of view NVO, DASMA, DOE
it is. On several occasions I have gone back to Washington for one
reason or another; sometimes because there was a worry about the
containmentof a particular shot, and I am the Chairman of the CEP.
1 go there and say, "I'd like to tell you about containment." And
these are very capable, concerned people who are probably think-
ing, "If this shot blows out of the ground, there's my career on the
line." We go through it, and hopefully they're reassured. Then I
say, "You know, we've been in business a long time. The Charter
for this Panel basically comes from you, and it says the following '.
. . '. Maybe that's appropriate, maybe it's not, in today's world.
If you want to change it, certainly that is your prerogative, and we'll
do it the way you want to do it." The answer always is, "I don't want
to change a thing."
So the Panel stays, and it produces this public record that
you're talking about - - we have looked at these various things, we
have made no radical departures, our record has been very good,
and we stay close to our previous experience.
Suppose you, Tom, decided there was a cheaper, better, but
very different kind of stemming, so you changed to that stemming
plan. Suppose some leak happened that had nothing at all to do with
that, but it happened. You wouldn't be able to justify the change
economically, calculationally, theoretically, or however. Some-
body would say, "Well, Tom, you had two hundred shots where
they didn't leak, and then you changed your stemming."
Scolman: Exactly. No, I agree. It's hard to argue with success.
About the Containment Evaluation Panel 579
Carothers: You've seen the CEP since the first days, when it
was formed. Do you think it does anything useful? Is it a function
that once was useful, and now isn't? What are your comments about
the CEP as a body, and about what it does.
Hearst: I think, on balance, it's a useful thing to keep the
Laboratories honest. Sometimes the Panel does things on the basis
of gut feeling, but I think there has to be some sort of reviewing body
to uphold standards of some sort. I'm not convinced that the CEP
does that as well as it might. I think a great deal of effort is wasted
in getting presentations just ever so, and in all the nitpicking - - all
the pre-meeting meetings, and all the worry about two decimal
582 CAGING THE DRAGON
Carothers: When did you first start interacting with the CEP?
Rambo: I think I went to my first CEP within a year after
Baneberry.
About the Containment Evaluation Panel 583
23
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns
Cliff Olsen
Olsen: I think one of the problems in containment is something
I had to learn, and I think I learned it slowly. In school, and I think
it's almost reinforced in graduate school, you focus closely on
something. You have to look at something in great detail, and you
tend to lose sight of the fact that there's something else close by.
You look at the mechanism of a particular reaction, and you isolate
it, and you figure that all out.
In the containment world the scenario is always changing; the
environment, and the mechanism concerned, is always changing.
For example, if you design a collimator having in mind only what it
does to the x-ray flux, and you forget that something else is going
to happen after the x-rays are long gone, you can get in real trouble.
So, you have to constantly keep thinking about what is going to
happen next. Where do we go from here? You have to keep looking
at different mechanisms all the time, and how they keep interacting.
You can't just say, "Okay, that thing did it's job. Now I can forget
it." For instance, on the early shots there were people who would
design an x-ray experiment, and they would install it, and forget all
588 CAGING THE DRAGON
about it. Eventually we learned that you can't do that. You have
to look at all the pieces, and you have to look at how they behave
promptly, and intermediately, and later on, and maybe even after
collapse, when the guy who designed it couldn't care less what it's
doing.
1 think that was one of the hardest lessons. We had to learn to
look through the entire time span of the test, which meant from the
time of lighting the HE on the primary to possibly way after it
collapsed, and we had to appreciate how everything was going to
behave through that whole time period, which is ten decades or
more, because a lot of it was uncontrollable. And we just didn't do
that in the beginning. We did things that worked fine for part of that
time span, but were dumb for a different part.
It was on Umber where a particular thing that became obvious
was that you had to concern yourself with things that happen as late
as collapse, and that you better be careful about how you engineer
stuff to survive collapse. Los Alamos had a line-of-sight pipe with
a bunch of valves going off to various things at the surface, and when
collapse occurred a couple of those valves sheared off. So, it just
started leaking, and there was nothing they could do about it. And
it leaked quite a bit.
Bob Bass
Carothers: Bob, what do you think is the fundamental mecha-
nism that leads to containment?
Bass: Mass.
Carothers: Billy Hudson, years ago said that he believed a foot
of overburden was more effective for containment than a foot of
printouts.
Bass: I think that's probably true. The question of the right
overburden has often worried me in Rainier Mesa. We're always
firing in the same part of Rainier Mesa, but occasionally there's been
a reason why we wanted to pull one out closer to the portal. Then
somebody says, "We've got the same amount of overburden, so it's
okay." But 1 don't know that it's as good overburden when you get
out towards the portal. It's more of a chopped up mess there. It's
got more stringers through it, it's got more damage from erosion.
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns 589
Paul Orkild
Orkild: I look at the structure first, then the rock type, and
then the water. And then at the stemming. Sometimes stemming,
to me, is the all important factor if the geologic media is benign.
Stemming is very important.
One of the things that I rely heavily on is past experience. I
think predictions about containment depends largely on judgment
developed from past experience. I believe that's very, very true. If
we didn't have the past experience of the people who are on the
Panel, I think that it would be much more difficult. I think that
what's going to happen, when you get a new, younger generation,
is that they'll struggle.
Carothers: No, they'll have this book.
Orkild: Oh, that's right.
Carothers: "What did Paul Orkild say about this situation?"
Orkild: Oh God!
Russ Duff
Duff: I guess as far as containment is concerned, I would
summarize my understanding of it by saying, "I don't." I have been
working in aspects of containment-related science since the early
sixties, and I've been running the DNA late-time containment
contract at S-Cubed for the better part of twenty years. In that
period of time I've become very aware of the extreme complexity
of the issues of containment. Containment is complex because the
phenomenology involved in the explosion includes not only shock
physics, but coupled to it are many other processes - - thermal
conduction, chemical reactions, diffusion, condensation, and so on
- - which occur simultaneously at extreme conditions. And they
occur in modified media, and those media aren't well known even
before they were modified.
590 CAGING THE DRAGON
Bill Twenhofel
Tom Kunkle
Bill Flangas
Bob Bass
Bass: I'll tell you where money ought to be spent, when it is,
if it ever is. I'm effectively quoting Billy Hudson's ideas on this. I
think it's important that containment not rule the experiments. I
think there has been a tendency in recent years for containment to
be the driving feature. "You can't do that, because it isn't a good
containment idea." Billy says, "No. Tell us what you need to do,
and we'll figure how to do it."
Carothers: That's exactly right. I know that the Laboratories
don't present some things to the CEP. They say,"Well, we will just
get hassled about this, so we won't do it." That's wrong, because
the CEP might say, "You ought to calculate this," or "You ought to
do that, and I'd feel more comfortable, but it can be done."
594 CAGING THE DRAGON
Bass: Yep, "This is the rule, and this is what we follow." I say,
"Experimenters, come. Propose your experiment. There's a way
to do it." And if somebody comes up with a reason to do something,
we will find a way to do it.
Norton Rimer
Rimer: For containment, clearly absolute depth helps. There's
an example that's important that I don't think has ever been brought
up at the CEP. For example, if we ever shoot an event in granite,
we need a totally different depth of burial criteria to avoid seeps. I
did a number of calculations, probably fifteen years ago, for various
reasons, about shooting an event in granite. 1 think the containment
depth I came up with was at least 1 50 meters times the yield to the
one-third.
Carothers: By the existing criteria, that would be very conser-
vative.
Rimer: Well, I don't think it would be very conservative at all
for granite. I'd be happy with 180, but you know what drilling costs
are. It's another medium, and for releasing gases it's a different ball
game.
The stronger the rock is, the more it's likely to have tensile
failure. That's a funny thing to say, but it's a question of equilibrium
at the end. It's the question of continuity of radial stress, which is
a boundary condition. The amount that the radial stress can differ
from the hoop stress depends on the strength of the medium, so a
stronger medium can have hoop stresses much lower in compression
than a weak material like alluvium or tuff. A hard rhyolite is the
closest thing to a granite that we shoot in at the Test Site, but it's
not near as strong — it doesn't have near as high a wave speed. The
hardest rhyolite I've seen, the seismic velocity is 4200, 4400
meters a second, and you can get a shear modulus out of that.
Granite is 5500 meters a second.
I calculated Pile Driver ad infinitum. Tensile failure occurred
from the surface down to below the Pile Driver cavity, in those
calculations. Then we calculated deeper shots, on a scaled basis,
and even then I got fractures down to the cavity. It was only when
I got to higher than 150 scaled meters depth that there was a small
- - twenty, thirty meters - - zone of unfractured rock above the
cavity. Now, the porosity in some of those fractures was very small;
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns 595
ten to the minus three. On the other hand, I didn't assume there
were joints down there, so even 150 meters scaled depth I'm not
all that happy with, for late time seeps.
That's based on tensile failure calculations that we did for
different yields and different depths. I think we did 1 OOkt at 1000
meters, 20kt at 1000 meters, 20kt at Piledriver depth, which was
460 meters. We did a number of calculations. We didn't do the
whole parameter space, and of course, the models were not as good
back then. We've improved some of the things in our description
since.
Bob Brownlee
Byron Ristvet
Ed Peterson
of those things are very important, and they all ought to be looked
at. And the capability to look at each one of these needed to be
developed. But when you break them up in order to develop them,
I think you lose sight of the fact that you've only broken them up
so you could look at them individually and develop some type of
model. You lose sight of the fact that they are interactive, and you
forget to look at the interactive part. I personally believe, in terms
of the modeling and the understanding, that is the next direction
that one has to go.
In other words, if I understand material properties perfectly,
I'm not sure I'm going to be able to calculate containment anyway,
because I don't know how material properties interact with all of
these other things. So, I see that as the thing that really has to be
addressed. I have no idea how to do it. Everyone has ideas, but it's
nothing trivial, so one shouldn't look at it and say people over the
last fifteen years have neglected it, or something like that. It's an
extremely difficult thing to do. I'm not sure how one can do it, but
I think you have to look at it.
Another thing is that I think we don't even know how to
proceed on some of the problems from the physics standpoint. It
isn't that you don't have an expert; you don't even know what you
should be expert in. Jim, you're very familiar with it, you've sat
through all of these things for years. You know, for example that
even on something like a Mighty Oak, the leakage doesn't come
until on the order of seconds or minutes. Our calculations stop at
less than a second. If we have a stemming column that "fails"
enough to let something leak, maybe it has another half a percent
porosity compared to one that works perfectly. You don't even
know exactly what physics to start building in, or how to do it. So,
I don't even know how to interact with a neighbor who's doing a
different calculation. I don't even know what kind of an expert 1
ought to go talk to. It's just that there are very fundamental
questions that are hard to get an answer to. I don't know the
answers. We've learned a lot, but I'm not sure that we understand
containment. We know a lot more about it than we did, but I don't
think we really understand it.
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns 601
Carter Broyles
Broyles: I think we at Sandia still take seriously the charge we
got when we went back to testing after Baneberry, which was that
each of the three Labs was charged with an aggressive, active RSCD
program for containment. And I've used that to justify our
programm. A lot of people say Sandia doesn't sponsor tests any
more, so why should it waste its time? It seems to me that we have
served a useful purpose as an independent group, without an ax to
grind, a lot of times. Perhaps it's useful to have that third party
there at the CEP, and other places.
Carothers: It is. And, your people have produced a lot of very
useful data.
Broyles: Well, we certainly have had a better record than a lot
of other organizations. We've had a lot more continuity and
devotion, but you can get into all sorts of philosophical arguments
having nothing to do with containment about what produces good
results. I still hold, as a personal belief, that if you have the total
responsibility for the program, as well as the measurements, you're
going to come out on the whole with better results. It's not that
you've got better people, but you don't have the artificial divisions
where things tend to fall through the cracks that you have if you
have six different contractors doing different parts of the job, and
then trying to have what is essentially a contract monitor put it all
together.
Something I've seen over the years, probably more in the last
five than in the early days, is a more cooperative, not only attitude,
but effort on the part of all of the players toward working together,
sharing their capabilities. I think DNA, and LASL, and Livermore
working together, reinforcing each other, has contributed a lot
more now than it did in the early days of Baneberry and prior to that.
But everybody has, Sandia just as much as anybody else, the
feeding that if we didn't do it we can't trust it. When you've got
the responsibility - - that's something that a lot of people in the
system have never faced. It's like the General who's developing the
Minuteman, or the Admiral who's developing the Trident. When
his neck is on the line, and he has to guarantee something, that's one
thing. If you sit down and ask for a scientific judgment, that's
another thing. What you demand in proof, I think, is justifiably
602 CAGING THE DRAGON
Tom Scolman
Scolman: Frankly, my biggest concern about containment is
that the CEP, over the years, has evolved into some kind of ritual
raindance, which forces us to do things not because they make a hell
of a lot of sense, but because it's what we've always done.
Unfortunately, while we at one time had an organization called a
Containment Research Committee, one really can't do research on
containment, because you're not allowed to do an experiment that
pushes you beyond the known containment boundaries. So, we are
more or less forced to do things the way we've always done them
before. Take one of the points that I referred to earlier; the fact that
the containment scheme that Los Alamos uses, at least, was largely
designed in the days when all holes were cased, and I think many of
the things we do don't really make an awful lot of sense, or are
completely justifiable in the days when a majority of our shots are
done in uncased holes.
For another example, I think there's a great deal more to the
containment business than depth of burial, which always comes
from the same scaled depth. That assumes you're shooting in a
known, homogeneous media, and you never do. I argue, for
example, that with the faulting that exists at the Nevada Test Site
we have probably, without knowing it, fired in almost any configu-
ration you could have managed with respect to a fault. And yet we
sometimes reject shot locations because of proximity to faults. We
worry about reflections from hard layers, and yet we can't find those
hard layers when we do seismic work. We know the layers are there,
but do they matter?
Carothers: What you're saying is seismic work uses acoustic
reflections and you can't see those layers. So, how can the shock
wave from the shot see them?
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns 603
Carl Keller
Bruce Wheeler
Carothers: To what extent do you think the containment
requirements, which were severe, had an impact on the programs
you were trying to accomodate? Did they really constraint you?
Wheeler: I don't think the containment requirements had a
great impact in terms of how long it took to get the test ready - - to
build it, and get ready to go. They added some cost, but it wasn't
a lot in terms of the overall cost. Back in Misty North times, that
was a twenty-five million dollar shot. Diamond Skulls was thirty-two
million. Those two shots today would probably be a hundred
million each.
604 CAGING THE DRAGON
Billy Hudson
think you learned anything new in those six months, but all the
leakages stopped, with the exception of four events over twenty
years. What do you think accounts for that?
Hudson: One cause was that we adopted a minimum depth of
burial. Statistically, for events sited in alluvium before that time,
approximately twice as many events involved a release if they were
buried shallower than 500 feet, as those events buried deeper than
600 feet. And so, one of the things we did was to adopt a minimum
depth of burial. What that did was to avoid some of the higher
carbonate content alluvium near the surface.
Even before Baneberry we had adopted the practice of putting
cable gas blocks on all cables. I think that was just shortly before
Baneberry. The combination of those two acts - - putting in the gas
blocks, and increasing the depth of burial - - I think was primarily
responsible for eliminating most of those releases.
Right after Baneberry we did quite a few things that we later
stopped doing, because we didn't need them. For example, when
we had experiments in the emplacement pipe we had sections of the
pipe that were malleable. We thought that would help the ground
shock closure. These soft pipe sections were fairly expensive. We
never did show whether they helped or didn't help, and after a while
we decided we didn't need them. We did a lot of things right after
Baneberry. Everything we could think of, almost, became a viable
suggestion as a solution to some problem.
Carothers: The minimum depth of burial of 600 feet has
carried on to today. There are people who occasionally grumble
about that when they do a twenty ton shot. Do you think it's really
needed for shots like that?
Hudson: The answer is, "Of course not. It's not always
needed." The problem is, you never know exactly what the yield
is going to be. You never know for sure when you're going to need
that depth. If the maximum credible yield is really twenty tons, you
probably don't need the 600 feet. Then you have to decide what
you do need, and why the shot is going to be contained as well at
a shallower depth. After a while people would probably decide that
it was easier and cheaper just to use 600 feet.
Thoughts, Opinions, Concerns 607
APPENDIX
The people who made this book possible. Somethings about
them in their words.
612 CAGING THE DRAGON
613
Fred App
LANL — Alternate Panel Member
mM
614 CAGING THE DRAGON
There are various types of surveys that are made; there are
explosion surveys, and vibroseis surveys. The vibroseis sends out a
sweep of signal frequencies in about six or seven seconds, and no
frequency repeats itself in the sweep. So, it's a unique wave form
that goes out, and they cross correlate what comes back with the
sweeps, and you end up with your actual time history recording.
The vibroseis system was invented by Conoco, and at the time 1 was
working with them nobody else was licensed to use the system. Only
Conoco had it.
There were two reasons why I left Conoco. One, I simply got
tired of that particular line of work. I wanted to move into hard rock
geophysics, that 1 thought would be more interesting. The other
reason was that in order to be successful, and really advance with
the company, you would, almost by definition, end up in Houston.
That was the headquarters, and was not an end point 1 desired to be
at.
Another option was Ponca City, Oklahoma, which was better.
It's north of Oklahoma City. Of course, if you look at a frequency
chart for tornados, you'll see a contour closure that takes in Wichita
to the north, and Oklahoma City to the south. And Ponca City is
right in the middle. But it's a nice place.
So, for those reasons 1 decided I wanted to try something
different, and for a short while I was with Anaconda, in Butte,
Montana. That was a mistake. It was copper mining, in deep mines.
In Montana I was working below sea level, an indication of how deep
the mines are. One mine was 6000 feet deep. It took a while to
get down, and to get back up.
As far as I was concerned, that whole operation was very
dangerous. The company itself was not very safety conscious.
There were many ladders with rungs missing, and that sort of thing.
They had No Smoking signs right at the shaft, and of course
everybody would be smoking — and that was the only way out. I
left primarily because of the safety problems.
I returned to my wife's home town in North Dakota. I had quit
Anaconda without having another job lined up. I started reading the
classified ads in the papers, and applied for and got a job with
Control Data. Control Data at that time was a booming outfit, and
the reason they were booming was because places like Los Alamos
and Livermore were buying their 6600 at that time.
615
At that time Control Data was flush with cash, but they were
shy of programmers. So they decided to try an experiment. They
decided to take applicants from everywhere — one person might be
an art major, just out of school. Another person might be an
electrical engineer who had been in the business for ten or fifteen
years. In one case they took a seismic explorationist, namely me.
I believe there were about 35 in the group. We were brought in to
Minneapolis, but they did not bring our families because it was quite
intensive training; days, nights, and weekends. You had enough
time to sleep and that was it. A second reason reason for excluding
families was because if you failed the course, you were not hired. I
successfully completed the course, and became a permanent em-
ployee of Control Data. I stayed with them for five years. However,
all along I knew I did not want to remain in a large city, so I
continued searching for employment.
In 1971 I read an ad in the Minneapolis Tribune, offering jobs
at Los Alamos, with talk about the beautiful mountains, and skiing,
and hunting, and all that sort of thing. These jobs were for C
Division, which is the computer division. I applied, and they invited
me down. I talked to two C groups. In the meantime Bob Brownlee
happened to see my resume, and he asked to interview me as well.
After I had interviewed the three groups I had no doubt about my
first choice. The way Bob described the containment work, and
what was involved, appealed to me.
616 CAGING THE DRAGON
Bob Bass
Sandia - - Shock Physics
1953. That was pretty good income. I was single. When I was
living in Nevada we were getting expenses the whole time. I was
very rich. It was more money than I knew what to do with.
Looking at the campus environment, I couldn't do it. I said,
"I'm not going to do that. That's not for me, right now. I'm making
too much money." So, I went to work at a radio station, and fiddled
around. At the time, though, I had met some people from Sandia,
working at the Test Site. I liked what I saw, I liked what they did,
and I said to myself, "The Department of Defense is on the outer
edge of all this. I'd rather be in the middle." So, I knew people from
Sandia, and that's where my formal education stopped for a while.
I decided to capitalize on what I had done through the years, and
keep on making money. But I went to work at Sandia for 500 dollars
a month, so I took a big cut.
CAGING THE DRAGON
Robert Brownlee
Los Alamos — Panel Member
Because you see, to me that was vastly more important than how
much wheat we were going to get that summer. But, of course, I
was living on the wheat, so that was important too.
I regarded that question, "What makes the sun shine?" as just
awesome. My dad didn't realize that would change the history of
the world. I didn't realize it either, but I came along at just the right
time. When I got my degree in '55, I took the job that nobody
counted on me getting. That was the one at Los Alamos. The other
offer was for the vacancy in the Astronomy Department in Nash-
ville, Tennessee. That was the job that had been programmed for
me to get.
Carothers: Were these professors aware that Los Alamos was
interested in astronomers, or willing to hire them, or was this a
surprise?
Brownlee: They were aware of it, and unalterably opposed. It
turned out that a colleague also came to Los Alamos, and he and 1
were ostracized by the astronomical community for some years
because we had gone to Los Alamos against all the programming we
had. We were slated for these other jobs.
Carothers: What led a nice boy like you to fall in with this
bunch in New Mexico? You had an offer for a reputable job in
Tennessee.
Brownlee: Yes, but after 1 had done my thesis work on W Ursa
Majoris I had done a solar model, a model of the sun. I had worked
it out for one moment in time. Here is a model of what the sun was
- - never mind that it's evolving one minute every minute. This is
what it was, static. I did that the last year, and 1 was very intrigued
by that. There were a number of questions we couldn't answer;
things we just didn't know. Los Alamos was at that time the only
place in the world that I knew about where you could get your hands
on the center of a star, and have a chance to make observations on
it. And one of the things they at Los Alamos wanted to do was to
measure the opacity of materials in fireballs.
Now, that was exactly the kind of information I needed for
models of the sun, or for stars in general. It seemed a great oddity,
even to me - - of course, I was influenced by my father - - that
somebody would pay me to do an experiment on a fireball which
gave me exactly the information I needed for stars, which were
hopelessly out of reach. So, it seemed to me to be a very clever
623
Carter Broyles
SNL - Panel Member
Robert Campbell
Los Alamos — Test Director
The AEC had been formed just a few months before, and I figured
that never in my lifetime could anything starting as new as the AEC,
and this Laboratory was kind of new, ever get as hidebound,
dogmatic, and bureaucratic as the United States Navy.
Well, I was wrong. What I found out rather quickly was that
for most of the things that you go through in Naval Regs, something
had happened somewhere, maybe years ago, but there was a reason
for it being that way. I very quickly found, in this new organization,
that they didn't have that history, but they still needed rules, so they
made them up. And a lot of times there was no reason for doing
it. Somebody just thought, "We'll do it this way." This place was
much more awkward than the Navy.
I was married when I came here, and my wife and I arrived in
Los Alamos on the 3rd of ]uly, 1947.1 guess the decision had been
made that this was going to be more or less a permanent place by
the time we got here, but the funds hadn't caught up with the
decision yet. We had to have a place to live, and all that was
available were the wartime four-foot modular - - because that's the
way a sheet of plywood comes - - structures of one sort or another.
We were assigned to a little house down on Canyon Road. Two little
bedrooms, a little living room with an oil stove in the middle of it
to heat the place, a little kitchen, a little bathroom - - no tub, just
a shower. I think, but I'm not sure, that building was about 32 feet
square. It was rather crowded.
I came here without a specific, "that's going to be your job",
type of thing. At the time it was awfully hard to get anybody to say
they'd come to Los Alamos, so they were taking almost any warm
body and making what they could of the people when they arrived.
I ended up in a place called R Site. These were people who were
doing hydrodynamic testing, as it's called today. I had the fun job
of trying to get two metal jets to collide in front of a spectroscope
to see what the ionization was.
After a few years at R Site, I don't know whether my feet got
itching or I could see there wasn't a hell of a lot of future for me,
I jumped. I got into the radiochemistry business for Greenhouse in
1951. Someone, and I think it was dear Edward (Teller), dropped
an idea that it would be interesting to know what a fireball looked
like as a function of time, from the inside. One of the games that
628 CAGING THE DRAGON
was thought of was to make a vessel which you would put out there,
engulf it in the fireball, and then close it at various and sundry times.
So, we were going to get grab samples inside the fireball.
The concept was to take a cylinder, hold that in the flow, and
on each end have some sort of valve or gate that would close quickly,
and so on. To do that we made ourselves some gate valves that were
to operate one time only. They were powder driven, about an inch
and a quarter thick, maybe four inches, five inches wide, in a body
about ten inches long. The gate went sliding across the opening and
jammed into a tapered seat, because they were not to bounce.
The shot was like ten kilotons on a three-hundred foot tower;
the collectors were out about fifty feet, so they were engulfed in the
fireball. We had some that were through-pipes, set horizontally
about six feet above the ground, and we had another variety that was
flush mounted. That was a tube closed on one end, with a valve on
top, and we took whatever got jammed in. We had five of each kind
on the event.
We went in and got the things out very quickly after the shot,
mucking about at the bottom of the tower a day or two after the
shot. And we did manage to get them out, but there were no
samples. They were clean. The part of it we didn't get right was
that we didn't get any flow through the damn things. They had sort
of a funnel type opening in a teardrop shaped casting, but there was
no flow, because it stagnated in the throat of the thing.
Of course, we weren't asked to repeat that experiment. So, I
jumped out again. A guy named John C. Clark had more or less
watched the criteria, and construction requirements, and every
other damn thing for the early phases of Greenhouse. But jack was
pulled out of that when the need for Ranger came along. He was
given the problem, essentially, of setting up the Ranger operation.
Ranger was in January 1951, and I was at Enewetak, setting up
the rad-chem samplers when Ranger was being conducted in Ne-
vada. So, I missed Ranger, because I was already in the field on
Greenhouse. Anyhow, they needed some sucker to start this
construction business, gather up the criteria, get it to the AscE, get
it back, get it approved, and all that sort of jazz. So I took that over
in August 1951, and that's how I got into what became the Test
Director business.
629
Rod Carroll
USGS — Geophysics
Chuck Dismukes
S-Cubed - - Codes and Calculations
Russ Duff
S-Cubed - - Panel Member
Paul Fenske
Desert Research Institute - - Panel Member
infantry school, so put them on a train and ship them out to the
infantry. And so 1 was in the infantry in Camp Van Doren,
Mississippi, which was the hell-hole of the South.
Carothers: Paul, that's what everybody says about wherever
they were.
Fenske: Yeah? Well, that's because they weren't at Camp Van
Doren. Camp Van Doren was it. I had some difficulty there where
I had to go to the hospital. While I was in the hospital they shipped
my outfit, the 63rd Infantry Division, over to Germany. When I got
out of the hospital I went to the Corps of Engineers, where I became
a construction equipment mechanic. From there they sent me to
the Mariannas Islands, where I fixed bulldozers and things like that.
When I was growing up in Wisconsin and South Dakota I never
realized that you didn't have to be cold in the winter. So, I was on
Guam, and Saipan, and then I had enough points to come home in
'46.
1959 the oil industry was going to pot. You could import Arab oil,
and have it for a dollar a barrel, delivered on the dock. To produce
oil in West Texas cost us a minimum of two and a half a barrel. It
looked to me that the oil industry was going to pot; the Arab oil was
too cheap.
And so, I went back to school. I was kind of planning that
anyway, and I could see the oil industry was going down, and it was
getting to where it wasn't much fun anymore either. I went to the
University of Colorado and got a Ph.D. in Geology there, in the
summer of ' 6 3 . Working for that small company I had done fairly
well, so I had enough money for three and a half years at the
University of Colorado. Of course, at the end of that time I was flat
busted.
Then I borrowed some money, and went to Idaho State
University, and taught there. So, I was at Idaho State for a couple
of years, and it just didn't seem like they were going to do anything
for me, in the sense of increasing my pay, which was 6300 dollars
a year.
Carothers: Now Paul, academicians by and large, are not
highly paid people, but they get the advantages of the collegia!
atmosphere, the inspiration from the students - - they get all of those
things, and all of those things are tax free.
Well, Idaho State wasn't all that great that way either.
So then I went to Hazelton Nuclear Science Corporation in
Palo Alto, in 1965, and I got associated with DOE projects. The
company was Hazelton, then it became Isotopes, then it became
Teledyne Isotopes, and every time it changed names it went further
down the drain. But I had been associated with DOE projects, and
at that time they had a panel of consultants. George Maxey was on
it, and I had gotten pretty well acquainted with Maxey at that time.
He kept telling me I should come over to DRI. And, when it seemed
that Isotopes was running out of gas, I just went ahead and went over
the mountain. George Maxey was on the Panel when I came to work
for DRI in the latter part of August, 1971, and shortly after I was
attending Panel meetings. I wasn't a member or alternate; I had no
official status with the Panel. Two or three months later I became
Maxey's alternate. Then, in 1976, Maxey died, and I was made a
member of the Panel.
639
Bill Flangas
REECO - - Mining Superintendent
After the war, and after I got out of school, 1 worked for
Kennecott Copper in an underground copper mine. Then, early in
1958 I got a couple of calls suggesting that there was some work to
be done down here at the Nevada Test Site. My name had come up
through Mr. Reynolds, who was the owner-manager of Reynolds
Electric, who at that time was in New Mexico. He had been
hobnobbing in Rotary, or one of those clubs, with the people from
one of the Kennecott operations in New Mexico. He mentioned
that he was looking for a mining engineer.
It was through that trail I got contacted. I was asked two or
three times to come down to the Site and take a look at what was
going on. My answer was that I didn't want to get involved in any
radioactive work. Then time went on, and a couple of months later
I got another call. They said, "Look, without making any commit-
ments, will you come down? We're starting a tunnel, and we just
want you to spend a couple of days to help us get started, and you're
free to leave." So, I agreed to come down and take a look.
Reynolds was a construction company, and they were trying to
dig a tunnel with construction people. Obviously that didn't make
sense. I walked into E-tunnel, and they had managed to dig it in two
or three hundred feet. I don't how they got there. When I walked
in there it was just painfully obvious that they needed miners. So,
the question was put to me, "Do you know where there are some
miners?" Obviously I did. So, I made a number of calls, and started
rounding up some miners, and started putting that force together.
I came down here, to the Test Site, in May of '58 when the
Livermore Lab was digging E-tunnel, and they had a little activity
going in B-tunnel. It was at the time when they were first
considering taking the program underground. In the climate of the
times, there was just a great deal of anxiety on the Test Site, even
for those of us not connected with the nuclear business, over the
confrontation with the Soviets. It just became immediately appar-
ent. And so, I agreed to stay a few days and get that thing started.
And, by the time I got it started I got caught up in the excitement,
and here I am, thirty-six years later.
From myvery first days I grasped the national significance and
felt the dynamics of the NTS. I have had the good fortune to have
been a participant and member of this highly skilled and disciplined
641
Joe Hearst
LLNL - - Logging
Then I was put into this bomb design business, and for a while
I designed bombs, and I found that pretty boring. Those were the
days where you would make a bomb design, more or less by hand,
and you would then do some code calculations to see what the result
was. Every morning I would go in, and this was before Cal Comp,
and hand-plot the results of the calculations. Foster would come in
every now and then and look over my shoulder at some of the plots,
even though he was an Associate Director then. But my current
leader dictated every aspect of what we did; the colors in which we
plotted the scales, everything. He was the one person I've ever
worked for at the Lab whom I detested working for. He was a little
dictator and I had no freedom whatever.
I did write some codes to simplify my job and automate some
of the things I was doing. Writing codes was fun, and I enjoyed that.
1 came in one day, knowing nothing about programming, and went
to the guy who was in charge of the programming, and I said,
"What's this thing called FORTRAN?" He said, "Take this manual."
I took the manual home for the weekend and came back and wrote
a program. Nowadays there are courses in this, and I found you
could learn it in a weekend.
Carothers: Well, Joe, just remember, a second-rate physicist
can be a first-rate anything else.
Hearst: Right. Anyhow, I got unhappy with bomb design, and
didn't do very well at it. When the moratorium ended we got into
a rush, crash program. Eighteen day turnaround with designs - -
from hydro shot to hydro shot was eighteen days. 1 had to do the
calculations, do the ramrodding, make sure the parts were put
together correctly, all that sort of thing, and then design the next
one. That was okay. I think if 1 hadn't been working for the guy
I was working for I might have enjoyed it, but he was such a tyrant
that it was really not fun. And so I helped design another device for
awhile, then I went back to doing experimental work.
We were trying to do a series of experiments to look at the face
of a pit, as it imploded, and trying to see what was going on, in
detail. We were doing very fast photography. This was full time Site
300 work, and I enjoyed trying to make what were very high quality
measurements, for the time. That was fun. It was optical, with the
fastest shutters you could get. We had our own little bunker, and
I also still did my own code work development, which I liked.
645
Dick Heckman
LLNL — Chemical Engineering
647
T"
648 CAGING THE DRAGON
hundred for those houses over there. That was just way too much
money. There were none of the flat-top duplexes to rent then, so
we had our choice of three houses in town. And so we bought over
on north K street, behind the Eagles Hall. Harold Moore was in the
process of building one, and when we looked at the house, and
agreed to buy it there were just some foundations there. Harold
finished that house, and we moved in December. When we moved
here there was definitely a lot of open space in the town.
On the MTA project, very early on it became clear that one of
the problems in the target area would be radiation damage. And so,
Vermuelen had directed my career off towards radiation damage
work. We went through a whole series of projects, but by the spring
of '53 it became very clear that CRscD was not going to make it. It
was just scuttlebutt, but it was very clear. I guess for me, in looking
back, the real time was when we realized there was going to be a
confrontation between the CRscD group and E. O. Lawrence, about
who was really directing things.
Well, of course, there was no question about that in Lawrence's
mind. The CRscD president, Fred something — I forget his name
— went off to Washington, left on a Monday. He was going off to
do battle at the AEC headquarters, and so I called up some of my
buddies in Berkeley and said, "Hey, this is going on. What do you
guys hear?" They laughed, and said, "It's all settled. E. O. left for
Washington on Friday, he came back Sunday, and it's all settled."
Don Hanson was getting involved in a lot of materials stuff over
on the Whitney project. I went to talk to him in May, and he said,
"Yeah, we've got a place for you, so if you want to come over, fine."
Well, I went to talk to my boss in CR&D, and my boss at CRstD told
me, "Hey, you're top of the line. The company will fold before you
go." So, it was very interesting when he called me in about a month
and a half later and said, "I've got some bad news for you. I've got
to lay you off." So, I jumped the fence then and came to work for
Don Hanson, here at the Lab in September of ' 5 3 .
Carothers: That must have been very convenient. You didn't
have to move. You didn't have to sell your house. You just went
in this gate instead of the other gate.
Heckman: It was more than just convenient, because believe
me, the guys who couldn't find jobs in the area were stuck with
making house payments, in some cases for three or four years,
because in a sense there was literally nothing out here, in Livermore.
649
Gary Higgins
LLNL - - Panel Member
attend a full year, but when March of '45 came 1 went around to
all the profs and I said, "I'm going to have to leave and go into the
service pretty quick." Most of them said, "Okay, your mid-term
averages are up, don't worry about taking the final. I'll give you the
grade, so you just stick it out until your birthday," which was May
19th, "gets here. If you get your call to go into the service,
whenever it is, I'll give you a grade and you won't get an incom-
plete."
I was discharged in the late summer of '46, early enough to
be able to register for school again in the fall. I missed twelve
months of school. I graduated in 1949 with majors in chemistry and
physics, and a minors in mathematics, German, and English litera-
ture, so I was not really anything.
That fall I entered the Department of Chemistry at U. C.
Berkeley. I was awarded a PhD in June of '52 after we had
discovered elements 99 and 100 in the debris recovered from the
Ivy-Mike nuclear test. I went directly to work for California
Research and Development, which was a subsidiary of Standard Oil.
but I found very quickly I was not suited for work for Standard Oil.
I terminated in November 1952, and restarted at the Laboratory,
then UCRL, as a radiochemist. I worked on nuclear explosion
phenomenology from 1958 until 1983, when I retired from active
programmatic work.
651
Jack House
Containment Project Manager, LANL
Billy Hudson
LLNL - - Alternate Panel Member
Evan Jenkins
USGS - - Alternate Panel Member
Gerry Johnson
LLL - - Test Director
one had any money, especially me. Many of us worked our way
through by doing odd jobs, and in my senior year I received a
teaching assistantship. I completed my undergraduate work in
1937, and then they gave me a a post-graduate teaching assistant-
ship; a half-time job. I stayed on two years, did a little laboratory
research, and received a masters degree in 1939.
From there I went to Berkeley, and it was while I was doing my
graduate work the war broke out. I'd been guided by a statistical
mechanics and kinetic theory professor, Paul Anderson, at Pullman,
to work for Leonard Loeb, which I did. A n d , if you worked for
Leonard Loeb, the story was that as a graduate student you always
knocked on his door before entering. As soon as the door opened
you were advised to say, "Goddamn the Radiation Laboratory."
Then you were permitted to enter. Loeb had no association with the
Lab, and in fact, he had developed a lot of resentment between
himself and the Lab. It was just a personality problem within the
Department.
Loeb was involved with the degaussing of ships, and he was a
reserve Commander or Captain, in the Navy. In the beginning none
of us took the war seriously. We were all anti-war, and Over the Hill
In October, if anybody were to try to draft us. But when France fell,
1 9 4 0 , we suddenly realized that there was going to be a war, and
we would be involved.
About that time, the summer of 1940, there were three of us
under Loeb, who advised us, "You fellows ought to take commis-
sions in the Volunteer Research Reserve," which was a Navy unit.
We allowed as how that might be a good thing, and so we took our
correspondence courses in Navy regulations, and ordnance, and
gunnery, and they commissioned all three of us. Towards the end
of 1940 Professor Loeb went on active duty, so there went my
thesis advisor. Soon after he reported, Loeb called me up and asked
how soon I could come on active duty.
I was well along on my research and had one prelim to go, an
oral, to qualify for a Ph.D., so I replied, " I ' d like to take my last oral
before coming. I think I could be ready around the first of February.
Any time after that I'll be prepared to join y o u . " Well, I passed that
oral; I suppose not with distinction, but I did.
At that stage of my life the Navy looked like a great adventure.
We had a different feeling at that time, after the war started, but
660 CAGING THE DRAGON
prior to the war we were no different than any other young people.
1 put my thesis on the shelf, and went on active duty in late February
or early March, 1941. 1 was assigned to the Naval Proving Ground,
which is south of Washington, on the Potomac. At that time it was
essentially a test range for experimental and acceptance tests of
armor and armor piercing projectiles, and for various other kinds of
ordnance, like mines. 1 became involved in armor and armor
penetration, which 1 continued for five years.
Specialists, like myself, in various technical areas, were sent to
various places, and essentially locked up for five years. We missed
the war, so to speak. They wouldn't let us enter combat areas. They
had the attitude that they shouldn't expose technical people to
combat, because of World War 1 experience. They usually referred
to Moseley being killed at Gallipoli.
1 thought it was a mistake at the time, and 1 still think it was a
mistake, because we didn't get a feel for the war. We were just
there, and problems would come in for us to work on. It's not the
same as getting associated with a combat operation and defining the
problems yourself. All of us kept trying to get out, at one time or
another, to get involved in something else, but they just wouldn't
let us. And the work we were doing was fairly pedestrian after we
got the experimental facilities and programs set up and going. After
the first two years it was nothing but routine. Shoot this bullet at
this armor, and make the measurements.
1 was in Washington until '46. Then 1 went back to Berkeley
and finished my thesis. I got my degree, and 1 concluded, "Now
what 1 want to do is get a teaching job and let ivy grow all over me."
So I did that. I heard of a teaching job at Pullman. 1 got hold
of my old friend Anderson, my former professor, and said, "I'm
looking around. I want a teaching job." He said, "Can you teach
physical metallurgy?" 1 replied, "Of course." I thought, "I can
certainly teach the theory because I've had physics of solids,
physical chemistry, and thermodynamics." But what was more to
the point, they wanted it to include a laboratory course in which
metallographic specimens were prepared. That is an art. I'd never
done anything like that. But I didn't tell them that, and I took the
job and went to work. I had a tough time polishing and etching
specimens, but I finally succeeded in getting some pictures. I felt
sorry for those students, but they were patient with me.
661
Carl Keller
Panel Member
Joe Kennedy
Sandia Tunnel Closure Mechanisms
Tom Kunkle
Los Alamos - - Panel Member
Joe Lacomb
DNA - - Panel Member
contract, but they didn't know what they wanted us to do. I used
to go berserk - - I'd go down the hall, door to door, trying to find
work, something to do, something to get involved in.
Then they needed a test group engineer for an event called
Double Play, but Jack Noyer had said he'd never have a SC@**%!
contractor as a test group engineer. Then he changed his mind, and
said, "Well, have him go do it." So 1 came out to the Test Site in
mid-December '65, as test group engineer on a tunnel test in Area
16.
673
Roy Miller
LLNL - - Drilling Superintendent
Cliff Olsen
LLNL - - Panel Member
Paul Orkild
USGS - - Panel Member
Jim Page
LLNL - - Test Director
Dan Patch
Pacifica Technology - - Codes, Calculations
Ed Peterson
S-Cubed - - Panel Member
from many standpoints are the same. They're all a little different,
but they all have a lot of similarities. The work on the trucks was
very technical, and a lot of fun.
A lot of the people that are in containment really only work in
one area, but there are others of us that have done other things.
686 CAGING THE DRAGON
John Rambo
LLNL - - Codes, Calulations
really felt uptight during the whole interview. About that time I got
to go down to the Nevada Test Site, for an interview down there.
They showed me around the Test Site, took me up to CP-1, and as
we were driving back one of the physicists, Bill King, the head of
Health and Safety, said, "You know all about radiation and that sort
of thing?" I said, "Yes," and that was about the extent of the
interview.
I proceeded to be very interested in joining the Laboratory in
Nevada, and I was hired on by John Ellis, who was then in charge
of a small group developing, as a group, how to measure slifer yields
for the nuclear test program. I came to work in November of 1963.
I lived in Las Vegas, and worked at the Test Site for five years.
I came in as the physicist who would analyze the slifer data, and
then proceed to write reports telling people how the devices went
in terms of yield. Things were quite different during those days.
Some of my first visits out in the field involved looking at how the
engineering construction people, Joe Snyder and Dick Hunter, sat
in a small trailer and directed the entire operation from that trailer.
We were shooting a shot every week or so at that time. That's
something that 1 doubt we could do today. It was rather phenom-
enal to see how they would get all this activity going just from that
one trailer. People would show up, and they would tell them where
they were to go. They were on the net a lot of the time, and it was
just that very small operation that was doing the whole thing.
688 CAGING THE DRAGON
Norton Rimer
S-Cubed - - Codes, Calculation
f'.v . .• V
Byron Ristvet
DNA - - Panel Member
Bernie Roth
LLNL — Test Director
Tom Scolman
LANL - - Test Director
ing and certifying the gas handling for test devices. With this 1 was
involved with the Hardtack operations, both in the Pacific and later
when we came back to Nevada, although I was not part of the test
organization, per se.
It wasn't a bad life, out in the Pacific, if you didn't mind being
away from where you lived for a while. That certainly was the most
negative side of it. I think in many ways it was harder on the families
back here than it was on the participants in the field. It turns out
the group I was in was not engaged in the construction in the field,
so as a result we did not have to go out and spend six months in the
field for every operation, as much of] Division, the test division, did
in those days. For example, on Hardtack Phase 1, if 1 remember
right, I spent probably not more than like six weeks at Enewetak.
We did, as some people remember, then come back and do
Hardtack Phase II, which was very different. I remember one time
where we were out arming a device, preparing it to go up on a
balloon so it could be fired at dawn. While we were out arming,
three shots were fired within probably five miles of where we were.
Carothers: I've talked with people at Livermore, and the things
they have said about that operation are hard to believe these days.
Bob Petrie said that they once went out, got the carpenter foreman,
and said, "We want a tower. How high can you make it by tomorrow
night? Can you make it about this high, and about that wide? And,
we'll need some steps." And Walt Arnold told me, "I remember
carrying a device up those stairs." I said, "Aw, come on." Do you
believe that, Tom?
Scolman: Yes I do. I never carried a device up the stairs, but
I did carry one on my lap, in the backseat of a sedan, out to the zero
point.
It must have been the fall of '62 that I got into ] Division. I
had become closely acquainted with Bob Campbell during our
involvement in the operations, and I said, "Is there anything in J
Division that might be interesting?" He suggested that I look at their
timing and firing group, which was J-8. It wasn't really in line with
my background, but it was sufficiently interesting, and had some
involvement with the field activity. I enjoyed the testing business.
I like to go out and do things, and the test people do things.
697
Carl Smith
SNL - - Shock Physics
Bill Twenhofel
USGS - - Panel Member
Wendell Weart
SNL - - Panel Member
Bruce Wheeler
USAF/DNA - - Test Operations
was involved in the details of construction, the entire test bed, the
experiment package of the whole facility, and all the aspects of it.
That included the calculations, the predictions, and the whole nine
yards. At that time it seemed to me that people were being very
careful, and a very worried. They were very desirous of putting
together a shot that wouldn't do anything untoward.
There were things changing even as I came there. At that time
there was not a well-founded, formal, well-managed research pro-
gram to try to understand more about the containment of these
tests, and I thought we needed that. One of the things I tried to
encourage, and did encourage after I became the boss, was to go
back and look at successfully contained tests; to mine back and see
how things had worked right. As I perceived it, the only time the
DNA dug back in to see what happened was when something went
wrong. I thought there was a void there that ought to be filled with
some understanding of the phenomenology of a successfully con-
tained test. We routinely planned to use our contingency fund on
every test for reentry mining, if there was any left, and usually there
was some.
That job in DNA, when I became Director of Test, was the best
job I ever had. I wouldn't trade that for anything. It was a field
operation, and I could get the hell out of the office. Somebody
asked me, "Why do you spend so much time out there in the
tunnels?" I said, "That's where I go to regain my sanity." I enjoyed
that kind of work, being part of putting something together, even
though we blew it up afterwards.
706 CAGING THE DRAGON
Irv Williams
DOE/DASMA Staff
Northrop County, and it's quite near the ocean, where England juts
out into the North Sea. There is a big bay area, which is called the
Wash. We operated there for three years, from a British base that
the United States had used during World War I I . We went in there,
rehabilitated it, and operated out of that for three years. That place
was really damp, wet, and rainy, and cold. The North Sea is very
cold. It never gets much above about 34 degrees.
Then I came back and went to school at the Air Force Institute
of Technology, at Wright Patterson. I was in a course called A i r
Ordnance Engineering, and as a result of that I was picked up, and
zinged out to Kirtland to go back into the weapons program. This
was after I came out of graduate school.
After three years at Albuquerque, which was a wonderful
assignment, doing nuclear weapons work for the B-58 Hustler, and
going through command and staff school, I was surprised by my next
assignment, which was to Livermore. It was out of the blue. I had
asked to go to the West Coast, and I got a letter sending me to
Livermore. I was there assigned to the Defense Nuclear Agency's
predecessor. I first came to the AEC, I would say, when I first went
to Livermore. That was in 1 9 6 1 .
I worked with the engineers and the chemists in explosives, for
B Division at Site 3 0 0 . I kept track of every test design as it grew
up during those early days. I followed all of them all the way
through, and I did that for a good part of three years. I also spent
time down in the plutonium building with Bill Ramsey, and with Gus
Dorough in explosives. And occasionally I got to the Test Site.
I was at Livermore from '61 to ' 6 4 , and I was there before we
resumed testing. I was in the office with Marv Martin when the alert
came to move and do a test. I don't know who called with those
instructions, for sure, but I know people moved, and they went in
all directions that afternoon. Immediately, after a short council,
things started to move immediately.
So, I was there at the beginning of the resumption of testing.
I was able to follow through the full three years, and follow the
preparations for Dominic, the Pacific operation. I also did some
work with the Laboratory people at Travis, and I spent several times
there with the Hotspot team, with Marv Martin. I had a very good
introduction to the program. I wasn't part of a design or device
team, but I followed the designs and all the work in the Laboratory.
708 CAGING THE DRAGON
',!•' /
710
Index
App, Fred
Background 613
Atmospheric pumping
Peterson, E.
Laboratory experiments 403-405
Bandicoot event
Brownlee, R.
Containment failure 81-82
Baneberry event 93
Hudson, B; Rambo, J: Weart, W.
Containment failure 557-561
Drilling problems 384-386
Bass, Bob
Background 616
Block motion
Patch, D.
How can blocks move? Where's the space? 359
Peterson, E.
Effect on the residual stress field 359-361
Importance to containment 362-363
Ristvet, B.
Amount of movement observed 350
Effect on the residual stress field 351
Kinds of block motion 348-349
Smith, C.
Observations on reentry 352-353
Brownlee, Bob
Background 620
Broyles, Carter
Background 624
Bulking factors
Keller, C. 266-267
Kunkle, T. 277-278
Cable gas blocks
House, J.
Fiber optics cables 530-531
Olsen, C.
Gas blocks and fanouts 398, 405
Ristvet, B.
Leakage through cables; DNA experience 533-534
Roth, B.
Livermore practice 531-532
712 CAGING THE DRAGON
Scolman, T.
LASL gas blocks and fanouts 405-406
Calculations
App, F.
Effective stress models 173 -174
Brownlee, R.
First Los Alamos containment calculations; Bernillilo, 18-24
Duff, R,
Assumption of continum mechanics; inadequacies 303-312
Keller, C.
The One Ton exercise 168-169
Rambo, J.
For the Galena event 507-508
Rimer, N,
Effective stress models; Pile Driver 175-176
Campbell, Bob
Background 626
Camphor event
Kennedy, J.
Containment failure 562-565
Carpetbag event
Rambo, J.
Areal subsidence post-shot 253
Carroll, Rod
Background 629
Cavity collapse
Keller, C; Miller, R.
Collapse to surface on Rainier Mesa 267-268
Kunkle, T.
Mechanisms 279-280
Times of collapse 273-275
Miller, R.
Hazards of delayed surface collapses 267
Cavity growth
Patch, D.: Rambo, J.
Where does the material go? 252-254
Patch, D.; Rimer, N.
Important factors 230-231
Rambo, J.
Influence of rock properties 230-231
Cavity pressure
Brownlee, B.
Instances of low pressures in standing cavities 281-282
Hudson, B.
Measurements in nuclear cavities 247-250
Kunkle, T.
Inference of low pressures prior to collapse 281
Rambo, J.
Observations on Barnwell 282
Index 713
Smith, C.
Pressure in HE formed cavities 246-247
Cavity shape
Patch, D.
DNA interest in stemming column effects 244-245
Rambo, J.
Measurements showing non-spherical growth 245-246
Ristvet, B.
Information from tunnel reentries 243-244
Cavity size
Bass, R.
Junior Jade HE experiments 343-344
Duff, R.
Inability to caculate 308-310
Higgins, G.
Of the Rainier event 36-38, 46-47
Kunkle, T.
Variations in scaled cavity sizes 233-235
Patch, D.
Determining the cavity boundary 236
Patch, D.; Rambo. J.
Effect of rock strength 236-23 8
Rambo, J.;Rimer, N.
French tests in Hoggar granite 242-243
Rimer, N.
Scaled cavity sizes 239-240
Cavity temperature
Higgins, G.
Temperatures in the first second after detonation 250-252
Chemistry of gases in the chimney
Duff, R.
Unexplained data 287-290
Chimney bulking factors
Keller, C. 291-292
Kunkle, T. 302-303
Chimney material
Flangas, W.; Weart, W.
Characteristics; seen on reentry 278-279
Chimney pressurization experiments
Peterson, Ed
Methods, conclusions 282-286
Codes
App, F.
LASL containment codes 498
App F.; Bass R.; Dismukes C; Patch D.
Discussion of 2-D, 3-D codes 513-517
Dismukes, C.
Difficulties in modeling 512-513
714 CAGING THE DRAGON
Duff, R.
Critique of current approaches 509-512
Higgins, G.
UN EC, which became SOC 495-496
Keller, C.
KRAK; JACTS code 500-502
Containment
Brownlee, R.
The price of success 546-547
Why LASL used drill holes exclusively 69-70
Definition of
Before the Treaty 12
Nuclear Test Ban Treaty interpretations 5
Higgins, G.
Containment of post-explosion gases 38
Scolman, T.
Field costs 545-547
Successful containment
CEP Charter definition 7
Containment calculations
App, F.; House, J.
At LASL, currently 503
Patch, D.
Criticisms directed at calculators 517-518
Rambo, J.
At Livermore, currently 504-505
Barnwell; A case study 519-522
Before Baneberry, at Livermore 496-497
Collaboration between Livermore and LASL 506-507
Galena event 507-508
High yield vs low yield containment 508-509
Containment Evaluation Panel
Charter 6
Comments about
Brownlee, R. 580-581
Broyles, C. 94
Hearst, J. 581-582
House, J. 105-107
Hudson, B. 575-576
Jenkins, E. 576-577
Rambo, J. 506, 582-583
Ristvet, B. 583-584
Scolman, T. 577-580
Weart, W. 580
Williams, I 584-506
Vinceguerra Committee report
Formation of the Panel 93
Containment groups; DNA
Formation 107-112
Containment groups; Livermore
Index 715
Hudson, B.
Formation 91-02
Role in the sixties 94-96
Containment groups; Los Alamos
Brownlee, R.
Formation 96-97
House, J.
Assignment to the containment group 97
•'- Ineractions with Livermore 102-105
Interactions within the Laboratory 527
Presentations to the CEP 98-99
Relationship with the USGS 98-99
Role of the containment scientist 537-539
House, J.; Kunkle, T.
Reorganizations 100-103
Crater dimensions
Keller, C; Kunkle, T.
Correlation with yield 265-272
Crossroads operation
Campbell, R. 9
Current practices
House, J.; Page, J.; Roth, B.
Emplacement of downhole hardware 586-589
% Miller, R.
--> ; Downhole cable repairs 383-384
''|/' Page, J.; Roth, B.
• •'-• Livermore downhole operations 539-543
':.£- What does a Livermore Test Director do? 523-527
• J. , Data banks
}>\[ Keller, C; Rambo, J.
•:'fl Development of 176-178
-•V Depth of burial
•fjS Higgins, G.
,- Origins and evolution 366-372
Diluted Waters event
•f Olsen, C.
Observers reactions 87-88
.Jf~ Dismukes, Chuck
j,:"' Background 630
•; Door Mist event
v- LaComb, J.
Containment failure 554-555
- Double Play event
-; LaComb, J.
Containment failure 553-554
Drilling
Brownlee, R.
J'., . Early LASL drilling experience; cased holes 61-63
1^"
716 CAGING THE DRAGON
Miller, R.
Casing a drilled hole 379
Development of big hole drilling 373-375
Early Livermore drilling experience 62
Extra costs for containment related work 377
Sloughing in drill holes, problems 381-382
Straight holes and plumb holes 377-378
Use of underreamers 375-377
Duff, Russ
Background 632
Eagle event
Brownlee, R.
Possible cause of the containmrent failure 551-553
Olsen, C. 88
Energy coupling and ground motion
App, F.
Relevence to containment 207-208
Higgins, G.
Observed variations 208-211
Rambo, J.
Tybo ground motion calculations 224-227
Fallout
Campbell, R.
On-site problems in the fifties 15-16
Ross, W.
Bravo event 13-15
Faults
Orkild, P.
Opinion about the faults on Oscuro 131
Twenhofel, W.
Importance to containment 130-134
Weart, W.
Pinestripw eventt; afault as the path for the vent 133
Fenske, Paul
Background 636
Flangas, Bill
Background 639
Front end design
Dismukes, C.
Core flow 475-476
Let the energy go up the pipe? Eagle event. 473-474
Reverse cone 470-478
Very low yield devices 477
Peterson, E.
Comments 478
Geology
Brownlee, R.; Orkild, P.; Rimer, N.
Does it matter to containment? 134-135
Index 717
:
!^!jti:% iv.i-o" »
718 CAGING THE DRAGON
LaComb, Joe
Background 669
Leaks and seeps
Hudson, B.
Late time seeps on Pahute Mesa 402-403
Keller, C.
LASL attitude toward before Baneberry 396-397
Logan event
Clark, A.
Planning, results 27-29
Logging tools
Fenske, P.
Commercial tools in the fifties 179-180
Hearst, J.
Accuracy and precision 193-194
Building a calibration facility 185-186
Dry hole acoustic log 195-196
Epithermal neutron log 190-191, 196
Gravimeter 198-201
In-situ strength 204-205
In-situ stress 202-204
.Need for the logs 191-192
Problems with cal ibrations 187-189
Resistivity logs 197
Seism ic surveys 201 -202
Seismic velocity 198
Sound speed 183-184
Unsuitability of commercial tools 183
Orkild, P.
Comments about the epithermal neutron log 137
Rambo, J.
Beginnings of the Li vermore logging program 182-183
Marshmallow event
Broyles, C.
Containment features 426-428
Weart, W.
Reentry observations 428-429
Material properties
App, F.
Modeling 159-62
Optimum rock properties for containment 322-323
Over large regions 158-159
Bass, R.
Hugoniot measurements 154-156
Bass, R.; Higgins G.
Megabar measurements 156-158
Brownlee, R.; Olsen, C.
Use by rhe Laboratories in the sixties 148-150
Hearst, J.
Bound water vs free water 190-191
:-7r
720 CAGING THE DRAGON
Keller, C.
Permeability 163-165, 286-287
LaComb, J.
Hudson Moon; Inferences from the rock samples 439
Patch, D.
Limitations of mechanical test data 169-170
Rimer, N.
In-situ strength 174-175
Shock damage to materials 170-172
Smith, C.
In-situ equation of state measurements 166-168
Value of core data 162-163
Twenhofel, W.
Importance to containment 151-154
Mighty Oak event
Bass, R.; Patch, D.: Peterson, E.; Ristvet, B.
Sample protection failure 565-570
Miller, Roy
Background 673
Mint Leaf event
LaComb, J.
Leakage over the TAPS 438
Nevada Test Site
Brownlee, R.
Opinions about the value of the Site 113-119
Selection by AI Graves 11-12
Miller, R.
Annual variation of magnetic declination 379
Non-condensable gas production
Higgins, G. 262-264
Nuclear Test Ban Treaty 5
Olsen, C.
Background 675
Line of sight closures 89-91
Pipe flow measurements 88-89
Orkild, Paul
Background 677
Pacific operations
Campbell, R. 13-15
Johnson, G. 10-11
Page, Jim
Background 681
Pahute Mesa
Orkild, P.
Data collection 128-129
Late-time seepage of gases 13 0
Index 721
Pascal events
Brownlee, R.; Campbell, R. 20-23
Patch, Dan
Background 681
Peterson, Ed
Background 683
Pike event
Brownlee, R.
Containment failure 84-86
Pile Driver event
Flangas, W.
Mining in granite 425-426
Pipe flow calculations
Hudson, B; Olsen, C.
At Livermore, before Baneberry 499-500
Plugs
House, J.
Los A lamos use of two-part epoxy plugs 412-413
Keller, C.
First LASL use of coal-tar epoxy plugs 397
Kunkle, T.
Analysis of coal-tar epoxy plugs 409-411
Olsen, C.
Cables shorted by exotherm in concrete plugs 399-400
Reasons for use by Livermore 399
Page, J.; Roth, B.
Coal-tar epoxy; Two part epoxy; Gypsum cement 535-537
Post-shot drilling
Miller, R.
Angle drilling 389
Chimney conditions 386-388
Prompt radiochemical sampling
Heckman, R.
Des Moines Event 75-80
Eel event 74-75
Neptune 25-27
Heckman, R,; Higgins, G.
Gnome event 72-73
Radioacitive debris
Differences on definition of 5-6
Rainier event
Flangas, W.
Reentry mining 424-425
Higgins, G.
Cavity chemistry 51-57
Cavity size 38
Containment design; Gene Pelsor 41
~"~—"ty.'i ••;—rr
722 CAGING THE DRAGON
Smith, C.
Evidence for from HE work 297-298
Evidence from nuclear shots 299
Rimer, Norton
Background 688
Ristvet, Byron
Background 690
Rock melt
Higgins, G.
Amount of melted rock produced 211-212
Effect of water 259-262
Importance of water content of the rocks 240-241
Rock melted per kiloton of yield 255-262
Roth, Bernie
Background 693
Sandstone operation
Campbell, R. 9
Scolman. Tom
Background 695
Scooter experiment
Bass, R.
Cause of the misfire 65-68
Pressure measurements 213-214
Scroll event
Olsen, C.
Containment failure 555-556
Smith, Carl
Background 698
Stemming
Brownlee, R.
Evolution to Los Alamos Standard 5 stemming 392-394
Brownlee, R.; Scolman, T.
Stemming slumps and rates of stemming 395-396
House, J.
Reasons for Livermore/Los Alamos stemming plans 397-398
Hudson, B.
Comparison of LASL and Livermore stemming history 413-414
Current Livermore stemming philosophy 401 -402
Why two different stemming plans? 417
Page, J.
Problem on Galena 543-544
Rambo, J. 459-462
Stemming platforms
Hudson, B.
Gypsum concrete plugs 408
Plugs and fines layers 400-401
724 CAGING THE DRAGON
Scolman, T.
LASL plugs not considered to be stemming platforms 406-408
Tamalpias Event
Flangas, W.
Hydrogen explosion 421-424
Test Evaluation Panel
Olsen, C. 83-84
Thoughts, Opinions, and Concerns
Bass, R. 588-589, 593-594
Brownlee, R. 595-596
Broyles, C. 601-602
Duff, R. 589-592
Flangas, W. 593
Hudson, B. 604-607
Keller, C. 603
Kunkle, T. 593
Olsen, C. 587-588
Orkild, P. 589
Peterson, E. 597-600
Rimer, N. 594-595
Scolman. T. 602-603
Twenhofel, W. 592
Wheeler, B 603-604
Tunnel containment
Duff, R.
Importance of air-filled voids 439-440
Keller, C.
Unexplained variations from shot to shot 446
LaComb, J.
Cable gas blocks 441
High strength grout 436
Misty North; first use of two overburden plugs 441
Patch, D.
Grout stemming designs 437-438
Peterson, E.
Differences of opinion about air-filled voids 440
Peterson, E.; Weart, W.
Same designs, different results 433-435
Weart, W.
Changes after Baneberry 446-451
Stemming on Marshmallow and Gum Drop 432-433
Tunnel sample protection
DBS; Debris Barrier System
Kennedy, J. 458
FAC; Fast Acting Closure
Bass, R.; Kennedy, J.; design 455,461
Keller, C; purpose 455-456
Patch, D; need for timing 456-458
Helix
Bass, R. Experience on tunnel events 485-486
Index 725
Underground shots
Brownlee, R.
Need forseen by Al Graves 17-18
Johnson, G.
Need for underground shots 23-24
Teller, E. & Griggs, D.
Report on feasibility 16
USGS
Orkild, P.
NTS geologic data bases 136-137
Twenhofel
Early mapping of the NTS 119-120
Twenhofel, W.
HE shots before Rainier 120-121
Vertical lines-of-sight
Duff, R.
Measurements on front end performance 469
Hudson, B.
Earliest Livermore designs 465, 469
Keller, C.
Assymetric pipe closures 467-468
Early front end design at LASL 466-467
Early LASL pipe flow measurements 466-467
Weart, Wendell
Background 702
Wheeler, Bruce
Background 704
Williams, Irv
Background 706
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