4 Contemporary Models of Devt Underdevt

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Chapter 4

Contemporary
Models of
Development and
Underdevelopment
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Introduction
Development does not happen automatically; it
requires systematic effort → What makes the study
of economic development so important

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Introduction

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4.1 Underdevelopment as a
Coordination Failure

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4.1 Underdevelopment as a
Coordination Failure
• A newer school of thought on problems of
economic development
• Coordination failures occur when agents’ inability
to coordinate their actions leads to an outcome
that makes all agents worse off.
• This can occur when actions are complementary,
i.e.,
• Actions taken by one agent reinforces incentives
for others to take similar actions
• This circumstance can, under some
circumstances, lead to multiple equilibria

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optimal level.

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4.2 Multiple Equilibria
• The existence of more than one solution to the
equations describing the equilibrium of an
economic model.
• The multiple equilibria can be locally unique or
there can be a range / variety of
symmetries/stabilities.
• If the equilibria are locally unique there is
generally an odd number of them.
• This fact is useful in computing the set of Nash
equilibria for a game.

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What is multiple equilibria in economic
development?

The existence of more than one solution to the


equations describing the equilibrium of an economic
model. The multiple equilibria can be locally unique or
there can be a continuum of equilibria. If the equilibria
are locally unique there is generally an odd number of
them.

What are equilibrium examples?


1. An example of equilibrium in economics ‘when supply and
demand are equal.

2. If there are two pure strategy equilibria there must be at


least one mixed strategy equilibrium.

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4.2 Multiple Equilibria: A
Diagrammatic Approach
• Often, these models can be diagrammed by graphing an
S-shaped function and the 45º line

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Figure 4.1 Multiple Equilibria

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4.3 Starting Economic
Development: The Big Push
• Sometimes market failures lead to a need for public policy
intervention
• The Big Push: A Graphical Model, 6 assumptions
– One factor of production
– Two sectors
– Same production function for each sector
– Consumers spend an equal amount on each good
– Closed economy
– Perfect competition with traditional firms operating, limit pricing
monopolist with a modern firm operating
• Conditions for Multiple Equilibria
• A big push may also be necessary when there are:
– Intertemporal effects
– Urbanization effects
– Infrastructure effects
– Training effects

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Figure 4.2 The Big Push

Modernization of one good is a positive externality for


all other goods because of the induced rise in sales
and production

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Why the Problem Cannot be Solved by a
Super-Entrepreneur

• Super Entrepreneur?
– Capital market failures
– Cost of monitoring managers- Asymmetric
Information
– Communication failures
– Limits to knowledge
– Lack of any empirical evidence that would
suggest this is possible

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In a Nutshell: Big Push
Mechanisms
• Raising total demand
• Reducing fixed costs of later entrants
• Redistributing demand to later periods when other
industrializing firms sell
• Shifting demand toward manufacturing goods
(usually produced in urban areas)
• Help defray costs of essential infrastructure (a
similar mechanism can hold when there are costs
of training, and other shared intermediate inputs)

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4.4 Further Problems of Multiple
Equilibria

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4.5 Michael Kremer’s O-Ring Theory
of Economic Development

• The O-Ring Model


– Production is modeled with strong
complementarities among inputs
– Positive assortative matching in production
• Implications of strong complementarities for
economic development and the distribution
of income across countries

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