Advanced Microeconomics II - Tian
Advanced Microeconomics II - Tian
Advanced Microeconomics II - Tian
Guoqiang TIAN
Department of Economics
Texas A&M University
College Station, Texas 77843
([email protected])
1
This book draft is for my teaching and convenience of my students in class. Please not
distribute it.
ii
Contents
Preface
iii
iv CONTENTS
14 Externalities 659
14.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 659
14.1.1 Consumption Externality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 659
14.1.2 Production Externality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 661
14.2 Consumption Externality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 663
14.3 Production Externality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 672
14.4 Solutions to Externalities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 674
xii CONTENTS
xiii
xiv CONTENTS
els can reflect them (e.g., general equilibrium theory, mechanism design
theory). As such, when studying economics, one should know well not
only the academic contents of economics, but also its systems, in order to
master the underlying profound thoughts and wisdom. Although it may
not be crucial for it to become a norm for the public to understand these
thoughts in a mature modern market system, it remains extremely impor-
tant in institutional transitional countries where the direction of economic
and social transformation is not clear. Combining both, this textbook at-
tempts to advocate pursuing academics both “with deep thoughts and for
deep thoughts”.
I have comprehensively compiled the biographies of 44 economists who
made pioneering contributions to the development of modern microeco-
nomics, in order to enhance understanding of the origin, development, and
inheritance of the various economic theories (including the economic the-
ory expressed in advanced mathematics) discussed in this textbook. This
was also done to increase readers’ interest in learning economic theory, to
expand the comprehensiveness of knowledge, and to balance scientific rig-
or and profound thoughts well.
This textbook also connects with the profound philosophy and wisdom
of ancient China, in an effort to achieve more comprehensive ideological
and academic thinking, and realize ideological and organic academic in-
tegration. To learn economics, it is not sufficient to just be proficient at
economics itself, but also to grasp its inherent logic, master its profound
ideas, and consequently attain pragmatic wisdom.
The textbook is divided into seven parts. Part I comprises the gener-
al introduction and preparatory knowledge of the textbook. Parts II-IV
mainly introduce the benchmark models and theories in ideal economic
environments in which a spontaneous market works well, as well as ana-
lytical frameworks, methods, and tools. Parts V-VII address market failure
in terms of efficiency. They primarily examine how to modify the market
in the presence of economic externalities, public goods, and especially pri-
vate information, in order to achieve efficient allocation of resources. The
contents of the textbook are as follows:
There are two chapters in Part I. Chapter 1 primarily introduces the na-
ture and methods of economics, the scope of the textbook, as well as the
preparatory knowledge and methods of mathematics. It commences with
an overview of the nature, scope, thoughts, analytical framework, and re-
search methods of economics, especially microeconomic theory, as well as
the similarities between economic thoughts and Chinese wisdom. These
contents aim to increase readers’ inclusiveness to all subdisciplines of eco-
nomics, which is not only essential for the development of various branches
of economics, but also within disciplines, such as benchmark theories and
relatively realistic theories.
Chapter 2 provides almost all of the commonly used mathematical an-
alytical tools and methods in economics, and particularly in this textbook.
It can be used as the basic text or primary reference textbook for courses of
mathematical economics for studying advanced macro/micro economics.
It can also serve as a manual reference for basic mathematic tools that are
needed to study economics.
Part II comprises three chapters, which largely discuss individual decision-
making, including consumer theory, producer theory, and individual choice
under uncertainty. The individual decision-making theory constitutes the
micro foundation for the establishment of numerous theoretical models in
economics, and it occupies a central position in the way that economists
think about problems. Many choices are made in risk and uncertain situa-
tions. Since people frequently need to avoid some uncertainties, for exam-
ple, by purchasing insurance, choice under risk and uncertainty is a critical
aspect of economics.
CONTENTS xix
Part III consists of four chapters. It mainly discusses game theory and
market theory, including basic game theory, repeated game and reputation
mechanism, cooperative game, and market theory of various market struc-
tures. Game theory has become an extremely important subdiscipline in
mainstream economics, a core field in microeconomics, and the most foun-
dational analytical tool for analyzing various interactive decision problems
in economics. For instance, monopolistic competition, and especially the
discussion of oligopolistic markets, necessitates the use of a great amount
of knowledge and results of game theory, and thus it is discussed together
as applications.
Part IV comprises five chapters. It mainly discusses the benchmark
market theory in the frictionless situation of perfect competition: gener-
al equilibrium theory and social welfare, including the positive theory of
competitive equilibrium, the normative theory of competitive equilibrium,
economic core, fair allocation, social choice theory, and general equilibri-
um theory under certainty. General equilibrium theory is one of the most
important theories in the history of economic theory development in the
past 100 years. It provides a core reference and benchmark for better s-
tudying and solving practical problems. This part describes the nature of
competitive equilibrium, and explores how to achieve the fair allocation of
resources, in order to further demonstrate the universality, optimality, and
rationality of the market economy system.
The above four parts mainly describe benchmark models and theories
under ideal economic environments in which the market results in effi-
cient allocations, as well as the analytical framework, methods, and tool-
s. However, in many cases, the market is not omnipotent and frequent-
ly fails in term of efficiency, especially from the micro- and information-
perspective. Indeed, it can face numerous problems, leading to “market
failure”. Therefore, it is very important to elucidate where the market fail-
s and precisely what corrective actions should be taken by governments,
regulators, and/or designers. As a consequence, the next three parts of this
textbook focus on how to deal with problems caused by market failures,
which is closer to reality.
Part V consists of two chapters. It discusses theories of externalities
xx CONTENTS
and public goods, including the typical market failures of externalities and
public goods provision. In this part, it will be shown that, in general, these
“non-market goods”or “harmful goods”will result in Pareto inefficient
allocations, and produce market failure. Due to externalities and the provi-
sion of public goods, a primary market is generally not an ideal mechanism
for allocating resources.
Part VI has five chapters. The most important three keywords in e-
conomics are information, incentive, and efficiency. Therefore, this part
is devoted to discussing incentive, information and economic mechanis-
m design, including principal-agent theory under hidden information and
moral hazard, mechanism design under complete information and incom-
plete information, and dynamic mechanism design. Mechanism design
does not attempt to change human nature, which is essentially immutable.
As such, mechanism design theory investigates whether and how to de-
sign a set of mechanisms (i.e., rules of games or systems) to achieve de-
sired goals under the conditions of individuals pursuing their self-interest,
free choice, voluntary exchange, incomplete information and decentralized
decision-making, and to compare and assess the advantages and disadvan-
tages of a particular mechanism. Whether or not information is symmetric
and incentive is compatible constitute the root causes of different perfor-
mances of alternative competing mechanisms.
Part VII comprises two chapters, which discusses market design of auc-
tion theory and matching theory that are the two frontier subfields of mi-
croeconomic theory. Market design, as a relatively new field, can be re-
garded as the specific expansion and extension of the general mechanism
design theory in Part VI, and has a wide range of applications in the real
world.
Teaching tips
Research tips
Acknowledgements
the English draft who provided comments and suggestions. Valuable addi-
tions, corrections, and comments from Sambuddha Ghosh (Chapter 7), Xi-
ang Han (Chapter 22), Huaxia Zeng (Chapters 12 and 13), Yongchao Zhang
(Chapter 5), and Shuguang Zhu (Chapters 18 and 19) have been especially
helpful. I also thank Zhe Yang (Chapter 2), Qianfeng Tang (Chapters 3 and
8), Xinghua Long (Chapters 4 and 16), Jun Yu (Chapter 9), Lei Qiao (Chap-
ters 10 and 11), Kang Rong (Chapters 14 and 15), Bingyong Zheng (Chapter
17), Seokjong Ryu (Chapters 18 and 19), Dawen Meng (Chapter 20), Bilig-
baatar Tumendemberel (Chapter 21), and Man Wah Cheung (Chapter 6)
for their important feedback. The most of them mentioned above received
their doctoral degrees in economics overseas and are now actively doing
research on economic theory.
I would also like to thank the many students and teaching assistants
who took my advanced microeconomics courses in various universities.
They provided innumerable useful suggestions on the content of the cours-
es. Many economics graduates from Texas A&M University and Shang-
hai University of Finance and Economics also participated in the prepara-
tion of exercises, document formats, and glossary work. They are Guojing
Wang (Chapters 3-4), Jun Hu (Chapters 5-7), Xinghua Long (Chapters 10-
11), Jianxin Rong (Chapters 15-17), Dazhong Wang (Chapters 12, 14, and
18), Yan Ju (Chapters 7, 8, and 21), Guanfu Fang (Chapters 2 and 6), Liang
Hao (Chapters 2-4, 7, 9 ,15 ,18, and 19), Youze Yang (Chapters 13-14, 16-17,
and 20), Yougong Tian (Chapters 2, 5, 13, and 20), Quanlin Liu (Chapter-
s 12-15), Darong Dai (Chapters 15-18), Chao Huang (Chapters 13-15 and
22), and Zhenhua Jiao (Chapter 22). Jiani Zong assisted with the figures,
edited the biographies and figures, and performed other assistant work in
preparing the English draft. Liang Hao and Youze Lang participated in the
collation of the glossary, as well as the examination of the documents and
the standardization of the formats. I am sincerely grateful to them all.
Finally, I would like to thank Shanghai University of Finance and Eco-
nomics (SUFE) and its previous presidents. In particular, the former pres-
ident, Professor Tan Min, who appointed me as the Honorary Dean of the
School of Economics at SUFE in 2004 and has given me full support to pur-
sue the economics education reform at SUFE. During 2004-2019, I has par-
CONTENTS 1
Guoqiang Tian
In my Xingkong Study in Texas
December, 2020
2 CONTENTS
Part I
3
In order for readers to grasp the content in this textbook more effec-
tively, learn economics, and rigorously understand its profound economic
thoughts, theoretical models and proofs, this part introduces the prelimi-
nary knowledge and methods of economics and mathematics.
Chapter 1 briefly discusses the nature, essence, category, thoughts, and
methods of the discipline of economics. We will fully discuss the ideas and
methods of economics, especially those that are involved in this textbook.
While the mainstream of the economics profession prior to World War II
focused largely on qualitative analysis and economic concepts, to a great
extent lacking scientific rigor and quantitative analysis, it currently seems
that primary attention is given to techniques and rigor, and the profound e-
conomic thoughts behind economics are largely neglected. When studying
economics, one should know not only the academic contexts of economics
well, but also its systems, in order to master its deep thoughts and wisdom.
Combining both, this textbook attempts to advocate pursuing academics
“with deep thoughts and for deep thoughts”.
Chapter 2 introduces the basic knowledge and results of mathematics
that are indispensable for studying economics, in general, and advanced
microeconomic theory, in particular. They are used for rigorous analysis of
economic problems and for derivation and proofs of theoretical results. In
other words, they provide requisite mathematical knowledge and tools for
formalization, axiomatization, and scientification of microeconomic theory.
6
Chapter 1
To learn economics well, one must first know its definition and understand
its nature, connotation, scope, and concerns.
7
8 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
Economics is a social science that studies how people interact with val-
ue in the face of resource scarcity and/or information asymmetries. Specif-
ically, it studies economic behavior and phenomena, and how rational in-
dividuals (agents, households, firms, nations, organizations, and govern-
ment agencies) make trade-off choices with limited resources.
In fact, economics could only come into being due to the fundamental
inconsistency and conflict that exists between resource scarcity and indi-
viduals’ unlimited desires (or wants). The core idea is that individuals, who
are under the basic constraint of limited resources (i.e., limited information,
capital, time, capacity, freedom etc.) and driven by unlimited desires, must
make trade-off choices in resource allocation to make optimal utilization of
limited resources to maximize satisfaction of their needs.
As a discipline of social science, economics investigates the problem of
choices based on logical analysis and scientific tools, and establishes itself
via systematic exploration of the specific topic of choice. Such exploration
not only involves the building of theory, but also provides analytical tools
for the testing of economic data.
Modern economics, which has developed rapidly since the 1940s and was
constructed on the basic recognition of individuals pursuing their self-interest,
10 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
economic analysis: the first element is theory for logical analysis; the sec-
ond is history for historical analysis; and the third is statistics for empirical
analysis with data.1
For theoretical innovations and practical applications, it is of critical
importance to correctly understand and master general knowledge of e-
conomics and the content of this textbook. It is useful for studying and
analyzing economic problems, interpreting economic phenomena and in-
dividuals’ economic behavior, setting up goals, and identifying the direc-
tion of improvements. More importantly, with the support of comparative
analysis from the historical perspective and quantitative analysis based on
data, we can draw reliable conclusions of inherent logic and make relative-
ly accurate predictions through rigorous inference and analysis.
Economics — a key part of social sciences, is referred to as the “crown”of
social sciences due to its extremely general analytical framework, research
methods, and analytical tools. Its basic ideas, analytical framework, and re-
search methodologies are potent for studying economic problems and phe-
nomena that occur in different countries, regions, customs and cultures,
and can be applied to almost all social sciences. It can even be beneficial
if one strives to be a good leader with strong leadership ability, manage-
ment and work ethic. Indeed, it is lightheartedly referred to as “economic
imperialism”or an “omnipotent discipline”due to a bunch of influential
works by Gary S. Becker (1930-2014, see Section 13.7.2 for his biography),
who applied economic analysis to the entire spectrum of human behavior,
including areas previously considered more or less the exclusive domain of
sociology, psychology, criminology, demography and education.
There are three major differences between economics and natural science:
(1) Economics studies human behavior and needs to impose certain be-
1
In his inaugural speech titled “Science and Ideology”when assuming the position
of President of the American Economic Association in 1949, Schumpeter pointed out that
“Science is knowledge processed by special skills. Economic analysis, i.e., scientific eco-
nomics, involves skills of history, statistics, and economic theory.”See Schumpeter, Joseph
A. (1984). “Science and Ideology”in Daniel M. Hausman, eds., The Philosophy of Economic-
s, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 260-275.
12 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
Since these conclusions are strictly derived from the assumptions and an-
alytical frameworks and models used, it constitutes an analytical method
with inherent logic. This analysis method is highly advantageous for clear-
ly elucidating the problem and can avoid unnecessary complexities and
disputes. Economics aims to explain and evaluate observed economic phe-
nomena and make predictions based on economic theory.
towards the ideal situation. Although it is the case that sometimes only
a relatively better result can be achieved, the optimal outcome can be ap-
proached through the process of continually comparing the outcomes with
the benchmark or reference system. This is why it is correctly claimed that
it is only through comparing our performances with the best and learning
from the best, can we perpetually improve. Therefore, the benchmark the-
ory provides necessary standards for judging what is better and whether it
constitutes the right direction, without which what we are doing may not
be moving us towards our goals at all. .
Secondly, it establishes the necessary foundations for developing the
other category of realistic theories. Any theory, conclusion, or statemen-
t can only be considered relatively; otherwise, there will be no basis for
analysis or evaluation. It is for this reason that benchmark theories are
required. This is true for both physics, which is a natural science, and e-
conomics, which is a social science. For instance, a world with friction is
relative to a world with no friction, information asymmetry is relative to
information symmetry, monopoly is relative to competition, technological
progress and institutional changes are relative to technological and insti-
tutional lock-in, etc. Consequently, we must first develop the benchmark
theory under rather ideal situations. This is analogous to basic laws and
principles in physics, which only hold under an ideal situation without
friction, and do not exist in reality, but nevertheless remain fundamentally
important because they provide requisite benchmarks for solving physics
problems in reality. Similarly, to study real economic behaviors and phe-
nomena, which include “friction”, it is necessary to first be clear about
the ideal situation without “friction”, and then use it as a benchmark
and reference system. Indeed, the rapid development of economics would
be impossible without benchmark economic theories.
As an important part of economics, neoclassical economics assumes the
regularity conditions of complete information, zero transaction costs, and
convexities of consumer preference and production sets, and thus falls into
the first category of benchmark economic theory. Neoclassical economic-
s considers ideal situations; although there is no artificially designed so-
cial goal, it contends that, as long as individuals are self-interested, the
1.2. TWO CATEGORIES OF ECONOMIC THEORY 15
theoretical innovation, and determine the direction and goals of the reform
in the first place. Moreover, it must be acknowledged that the fundamen-
tal institutions that determine the rule of collective decision-making, legal
systems, strategies and policies play decisive roles in this process. If basic
institutions of the rule of law, legal systems, politics, economy, society, and
culture that concern a nation’s path of development and long-term stability
are not determined, economic theories in the present state-of-the-art may
accomplish nothing, and may even have deleterious effects. In the disci-
pline of economics, there is not a universal economic theory that is always
applicable for all development stages, but rather there is an optimal one
that is best suited for certain development stage under certain institutional
environments.
For market-oriented reforms, it is natural and necessary to set neoclassi-
cal economic theory - especially economic theory of the first category, such
as general equilibrium theory, that demonstrates the market as the optimal
economic system - as a benchmark and the competitive market as a refer-
ence system for the orientation of these reforms. In this way, the results
of the reforms will be continuously improved towards reaching the best
possible outcome.
According to the economic environment defined by these benchmark-
s, reforms of deregulation and delegation for competition neutrality must
be carried out, including ownership neutrality, liberalization, privatization,
and marketization or reforms against government monopoly of resources
and control of market access. In particular, the general equilibrium theory
defines the applicable range of market mechanisms and identifies the en-
vironments under which the market may fail. With such knowledge, it is
possible to identify the areas in which governments could establish rules
and institutions to correct market failures.
Therefore, the study of economic problems and reforms, and especially
determination of the direction of reforms, must commence from the bench-
mark of economics. Reforms that run counter to common sense in eco-
nomics will end up in failure. The benchmark and reference system present
the premises on which the market will lead to a more efficient allocation
and result in a more prosperous market economy, thereby revealing the di-
1.2. TWO CATEGORIES OF ECONOMIC THEORY 17
rection of the reforms. The fourth part of this textbook stresses the Arrow-
Debreu general equilibrium theory (Kenneth Joseph Arrow, 1921-2017, see
Section 10.8.2 for his biography; Gerald Debreu, 1921-2004, see Section
11.9.2 for his biography) and the rational expectations theory of macroeco-
nomics (referred to as neoclassical macroeconomics), both of which are s-
tandard theories of neoclassical economics and rigorously demonstrate that
markets of free competition lead to efficient allocation of resources.
Alternative benchmarks and reference systems under different value
judgements and goals could lead to markedly divergent outcomes. For
example, when students regard a “pass”grade as their benchmark, the
result is frequently a failure because a test comprised of questions is a ran-
dom variable to the students. Just as Confucius and Sun Zi asserted, those
who aim at the superior get the medium, those who aim at the medium get
the inferior, and those who aim at the inferior lose entirely, which illustrates
the critical importance of the choice of benchmark. Meanwhile, given that
many benchmark theories are established under ideal conditions, they can-
not be simply adopted to solve real problems in practice. In other words,
a well-trained economist will not mechanically apply economic theories in
the first category. However, concerning the economic reforms implement-
ed in some transitional economies, we may come across some economists
who do not analyze the dynamics in the transition, consider only develope-
d countries but not developing countries, and neglect the objective law and
constraints in special development stages. As such, both the target and the
path selection and schedule arrangement for accomplishing the target are
of crucial importance in practice. In addition, although some short-term e-
conomic and social problems might be resolved through promoting growth
and development per se, market-oriented reforms should not be delayed;
otherwise, an emerging economy is likely to be trapped in the transitional
status.
It should be pointed out that a benchmark economic theory is estab-
lished under an exogenously given economic environment that constitutes
a relatively ideal situation. In so doing, we are able to address the key is-
sues and draw some benchmark conclusions; otherwise, no question can be
scientifically discussed if we do not control for many factors. Therefore, in
18 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
It can be seen from the definition of the above two categories of econom-
ic theories, modern economics is a highly inclusive and open discipline
in dynamic development, which far exceeds the scope of neoclassical eco-
nomics. Through weakening the assumptions of benchmark theories and
standardized axiomatic formulation of descriptive theories, economics con-
tinuously develops the second category of economic theories, which grants
itself great insight, explanatory power, and predictability. In the author’s
opinion, as long as a study involves rigorous logical analysis (not necessarily us-
1.2. TWO CATEGORIES OF ECONOMIC THEORY 19
questions and conclusions per se even more opaque and challenging to un-
derstand.
The major reason that modern economics uses a substantial amount of
mathematics and statistics is that economists must scientifically (both qual-
itatively and quantitatively) identify the applicable scope of an econom-
ic theory, which is especially the case when proposing economic policies
based on the economic theory. Once a theory is adopted for making policy,
great negative externalities may come into being if the boundary condition-
s of the theory are not known. In particular, it is the economists who make
policy proposals, rather than the policy-makers and the public, that must
have a good knowledge of the details or premises of a rigorous theoreti-
cal analysis. To this end, mathematics is needed to thoroughly identify the
boundary conditions and applicable scopes of economic theories; simulta-
neously, economists equipped with the knowledge of mathematics can lay
a strong foundation for continuous theoretical innovations. Moreover, the
application of a theory or the formulation of a policy will usually require
the use of statistics and econometrics for quantitative analyses or empirical
tests.
In most cases, as real society cannot be simply used for experiments,
a larger historical perspective is useful for viable vertical and horizontal
comparisons. In addition, many superfluous disputes can be avoided in
the exploration and discussion of certain questions. Hurwicz, for exam-
ple, believed that the biggest shortcoming of traditional economic theories
is the imprecise explanation of concepts, while the greatest significance of
the axiomatic method lies in its formalization of the theory, providing a
commensurable research paradigm and analytical framework for both dis-
cussion and criticism.
As a result, as the basic theoretical foundation for market economies,
economics relies heavily on the introduction of research methodology and
analytical framework of natural sciences to study social economic behav-
iors and phenomena. Indeed, using mathematical models as basic analyt-
ical tools, it stresses the inherent logic from assumptions and derivations
to conclusions, along with the use of statistics, econometrics and comput-
er simulations for data-driven empirical research, laboratory experimental
1.2. TWO CATEGORIES OF ECONOMIC THEORY 21
Here, we briefly introduce the operation and basic functions of the market
and how the market coordinates individuals’ economic activities without
requiring excessive participation or intervention of the government.
Market: The market constitutes a modality of trade in which buyers
and sellers conduct voluntary exchanges. It refers not only to the location
where buyers and sellers conduct exchanges, but also to all forms of trading
activity, such as auction and bargaining mechanisms.
When studying microeconomics, it is crucial to keep in mind that any
transaction in the market has both buyers and sellers. In other words, for
a buyer of any good, there is a corresponding seller. The final outcome of
the market process is determined by the rivalry of relative forces of sell-
ers and buyers in the market. Three forms of competition exist in such
a rivalry: consumer-producer competition, consumer-consumer competi-
tion, and producer-producer competition. Throughout this textbook, read-
ers will find that the bargaining position of consumers and producers in the
market is circumscribed by these three sources of competition in economic
transactions. Competition in any form is like a disciplinary mechanism that
24 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
guides the market process and has varied impacts on different markets.
Market mechanism: The market mechanism or price mechanism is an
economic institution in which individuals make decentralized decisions
guided by price. It is worth noting, however, that this is usually a nar-
row definition of market mechanism. In fact, a mature market mecha-
nism or market system constitutes the set of all systems and mechanisms
closely related with the market (including the system of market laws and
regulations). As a form of economic organization featuring decentralized
decision-making, as well as voluntary cooperation and voluntary exchange
of products and services, it is one of the greatest inventions in human his-
tory and by far the most successful means for human beings to solve their
economic problems. Indeed, the establishment of the market mechanism
is not a conscious, purposeful human design, but rather a product of the
natural process of evolution. In the opinion of Hayek, market order is a
spontaneous order of the economy which has evolved through long-term
choices and processes of trial and error. The emergence, development, and
further extension of economics are mainly based on the study of the mar-
ket system. In aggregate, the operation of the market appears wonderous
and beyond comprehension. It is genuinely awe-inspiring that, in the mar-
ket system, decisions on resource allocation are independently made by
producers and consumers who pursue their own interests under the guid-
ance of market price without the imposition of any command or order. The
market system unknowingly solves the previously mentioned four basic
questions which must be faced by all economic systems: what to produce,
how to produce, for whom to produce, and who makes the decisions.
Under the market system, firms and individuals make the decisions on
voluntary exchange and cooperation. Consumers seek maximal satisfac-
tion of their demands, while firms pursue profits. In order to maximize
profits, firms must have meticulous plans for the most efficient utilization
of resources. In other words, for resources with similar usage or quali-
ty, firms will choose the ones with the lowest possible cost. Although
“making the best use of everything”may differ in meaning from the point
of view of firms and that of the economy, price makes them related which,
as a result, harmonizes the interests of firms and those of the entire soci-
1.3. ECONOMICS AND MARKET SYSTEM 25
ety, and leads to the efficient allocation of resources. The price level reflects
the supply and demand of resources in the economy and the degree of scarcity of
resources. For example, in the case of an inadequate timber supply and am-
ple steel supply in the economy, timber will be expensive while steel will
be inexpensive; consequently, to reduce expenses and make more profits,
firms will strive to use more steel and less timber. In doing so, firms do
not take the interests of society into consideration, but the outcome is pre-
cisely in accordance with social interests, and it is the role of resource price
that achieves this. Resource price coordinates the interests of firms and
those of the overall society, and solves the problem of how to produce. The
price system also guides firms to make production decisions in the inter-
est of society. Indeed, it is the consumer who has the final say about what
to produce. Firms only need consider how to produce products that have
a higher price. Yet, in the market system, the price level exactly reflect-
s social needs. For instance, poor harvests and the corresponding rising
grain price will encourage farmers to produce more grain. As such, profit-
pursuing producers “come to the rescue”under this guiding force, and
the problem of what to produce is solved. Moreover, the market system al-
so addresses the problem of how to distribute products among consumers.
If a consumer really needs a shirt, he or she will offer a higher price for
it than will others. Profit-pursuing producers will certainly aim to sell the
shirt to the consumer who offers the highest price. In this way, the problem
of for whom to produce is solved. Furthermore, all of these decisions are
made by producers and consumers in a decentralized manner, and thus the
problem of who makes the decision is also resolved.
As such, the market mechanism easily coordinates seemingly incom-
patible individual interests and public interests. As early as over 200 years
ago, Adam Smith, the Father of modern Economics, identified the harmo-
ny and wonder of the market mechanism in his masterpiece, The Wealth of
Nations (Adam Smith, 1776). He regarded the competitive market mecha-
nism as an “invisible hand”. Under the guidance of this invisible hand,
individuals solely pursuing their own interests move towards a common
goal, and thus achieve maximization of social welfare:
“... every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the
26 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
are in need of that information, while those who need information are in-
ternally driven to acquire information. For example, ready-to-wear apparel
manufacturers are continually striving to obtain the best kind of cloth and
looking for new suppliers. Meanwhile, cotton cloth manufacturers are also
always reaching out to clients to attract them with the high quality and in-
expensive price of their products by various means of marketing and pub-
licity. Those who are not involved in such activities will surely be indiffer-
ent to the prices and supply and demand of cotton cloth. The mechanism
design theory, as discussed in Chapter 18 of this textbook, will demonstrate
that the competitive market mechanism is the most efficient mechanism in
the utilization of information because it requires the least amount of infor-
mation and thus the lowest transaction cost. In the 1970s, Hurwicz and his
collaborators had already proved that, for the neoclassical economic envi-
ronment of pure exchange, no other economic mechanism can achieve as
efficient resource allocation using less information than does the competi-
tive market mechanism.
Price can also provide incentives, so that individuals will react to changes
of supply and demand. When the demand of a commodity decreases, an e-
conomic society should provide certain incentives so that manufacturers of
the commodity will increase production. One of the advantages of the mar-
ket price system is that prices not only transmit information, but also pro-
vide incentives for individuals to respond to the information voluntarily
out of self-interest, so that consumers are driven to consume in an optimal
way while producers are driven to conduct production in the most efficient
manner. The incentive function of price is closely related to the third func-
tion of price: determining income distribution. As long as the increased
gain brought by increased production (i.e., marginal revenue) exceeds the
increased cost (i.e., marginal cost), producers will continue to increase pro-
duction until the two are equal, and thus maximum profits are realized.
1.3. ECONOMICS AND MARKET SYSTEM 29
Even though the market mechanism cannot perfectly solve the problem
of social fairness manifested in the large income and wealth gap between
the rich and the poor, as long as the government strives to provide a level
playing field with equality of opportunity and equal value of resources for
all individuals and allows the market to play its role instead of controlling
it, equity and efficient resource allocation can be achieved by the market,
as the fairness theorem in Chapter 12 indicates. The above statements and
proofs about the optimality, uniqueness, and fairness of the modern com-
petitive free market system in resource allocation and its contribution to
social stability are all core aspects of the general equilibrium theory.
Joseph Schumpeter also discussed the optimality of the market mech-
anism from the perspective of how interactions (dynamic game) between
competition and monopoly lead to innovation-driven growth. His inno-
vation theory informed us that valuable competition is not merely price
competition, but more importantly, competition in new commodities, new
technologies, new markets, new supply sources, and new combinations of
ideas, knowledge, and resources. As a consequence, the root of the long-
term vitality of the market economy is innovation and creativity, which
stems from entrepreneurship and entrepreneurs’ constant, creative desta-
bilization of the market equilibrium, which he refers to as ‘creative destruc-
tion’. Profit-pursuing entrepreneurs and private economies are necessary
to cultivate the soil for innovation, and to encourage and protect innova-
tion.
In fact, competition and monopoly, like supply and demand, can form
an astonishing unity of opposites through the power of the market, thus
revealing the true beauty and power of the market system. Indeed, market
competition and enterprise innovation are inseparable. If there is no com-
petition, there will also be no motivation for innovation; this is what occurs
in state-owned enterprises in state monopolies. It is the case, of course,
that competition results in profit decline. Overall, the fiercer the competi-
tion becomes, the more rapidly corporate profits decrease. This provides
enterprises with strong incentives to innovate in order to survive. Innovat-
ing enterprises may gain a monopoly position, which implies monopoly
profits, which will attract more enterprises to participate in the competi-
1.3. ECONOMICS AND MARKET SYSTEM 33
pair. Specifically, a good institution can reduce the transaction costs of in-
novation, create conditions for cooperation, provide incentives for innova-
tion, and facilitate internalization of the benefits of innovation. One goal
of constructing a technological innovation system is to promote effective
interaction and cooperation among innovative elements.
Innovation comprises transcending rules and regulations, which inevitably
poses high risks. High-tech innovation, in particular, means high risks
and an extremely low possibility of success for venture capital investment;
when it succeeds, however, it brings considerable, and possibly parabolic,
returns, which then attracts more investment. Nevertheless, it is impossible
for state-owned enterprises to take such high risks due to the fact that they
inherently lack the incentive mechanisms that would enable the assump-
tion of such risks. In contrast, it is private enterprises that typically dare
to take the most risk out of a strong incentive to pursue their self-interest,
and consequently they are the most creative and innovative entities. There-
fore, entrepreneurial innovation (not fundamental scientific research) large-
ly takes place within the context of private business. In fact, Sima Qian, a
major Chinese philosopher, also affirmed that competition and survival of
the fittest constituted fully natural tendencies. He believed that it was not
certain trades that were more likely to produce wealth, and that wealth
was not exclusively attained by specific people. He asserted that a capable
person would accumulate wealth; whereas, incapable people would forfeit
it.
What should be noted is, with the emergence of innovation in financial
technology and big data method, the deviation between the real economic
situation and the ideal state will be decreased. Innovation will push the
real market economy toward the ideal state of market economy described
by Adam Smith, Friedrich Hayek, Kenneth Joseph Arrow, Gerard Debrue,
and Ronald H. Coase (1910-2013, see Section 14.6.2 for his biography). In-
deed, the market can be proven to be optimal, irrespective of whether it de-
fines the role of the competitive market as the “invisible hand’ à la Adam
Smith, general equilibrium in the perfectly competitive market by Arrow
and Debrue, the theory with the zero transaction cost in the perfectly com-
petitive market by Coase, or the assertion that competition benefits inno-
1.4. GOVERNMENT, MARKET, AND SOCIETY 35
vation from Schumpeter. The basic conclusion of these theories is that the
perfectly competitive market leads to efficient allocation of resources and
social welfare maximization. Of course, the perfectly competitive market
merely provides a reference system or an ultimate goal, which means that
the more competitive the market is, the better it is; and the more symmet-
ric the information is, the better it is. Such a perfectly competitive market
system, however, does not exist in reality because communication costs,
transaction costs, and financing costs cannot be zero (although they may
approach it).
With the Internet as a medium for finance and big data method, trans-
action costs are becoming increasingly diminutive. Due to the disruptive
innovation and development of financial technology and big data method,
to some extent, the perfectly competitive market, as considered by the first
category of economic theory, is not just an ideal state but also tends to in-
creasingly approach reality. In particular, financial technology and big data
method will greatly reduce the cost of information communication in real-
ity in order to make market economic activities closer to the ideal state of
perfect competition and thus more efficient.
market and between the government and the society is handled frequently
determines the effect of state governance and development. If they cannot
be well balanced, a series of major problems and crises may occur, includ-
ing poor development, an excessive gap between the rich and the poor,
unequal opportunities, etc., preventing an inclusive market economy and a
tolerant and harmonious society from coming into existence. In this way, in
the logic of governance, there is a “good”kind and a “bad”kind of gov-
ernance that will lead to a good or bad market economy and good or bad
social norms, respectively. Therefore, governance should not be taken as
being equivalent to rules, controls or regulations, or regarded as the oppo-
sition of development, making it difficult to attend to both governance and
development simultaneously. To achieve and maintain an efficient mar-
ket and harmonious society, a limited government should be built that is
capable, accountable, effective and caring, leading towards a desired gov-
ernance that features the principle of the rule of law.
This breeds the so-called the “State Capture”, which refers to the phe-
nomenon that, by providing personal interests for government officials, e-
conomic agents interfere in decisions on laws, rules and regulations, and
thus, without going through fair competition, they convert their personal
interests to the basis of rules of the game of the whole market economy.
This then leads to policies that produce high monopoly profits for specif-
ic individuals at the expense of enormous social costs and the decrease of
government credibility. As a result, an inefficient balance in public choice
continues over a long period of time. The behavior of striving for social
and governmental resources by means of unfair rent-seeking instead of fair
competition will not only produce market failures, but more importantly
gradually result in bad social norms in the long term. These poor social
norms produce a distortion of resource allocation and social values, the de-
cline in moral values, an absence of good faith, the popularity of “false,
big, and empty”words and deeds, the frivolity of society and increased
factors of instability, which finally result in enormous explicit and implic-
it transaction costs. Some sociologists refer to such social state as “social
corruption”, meaning that the social cells of the social organism are dead
and experiencing functional failures.
Therefore, in the three-dimensional framework of government, market
and society, the government, as an institutional arrangement with great
positive and negative externalities, plays a vital role. Indeed, it can make
the market efficient, become the impetus for economic development, assist
to construct a harmonious society, and realize sustainable development. On
the other hand, it may also make the market inefficient, lead to various so-
cial conflicts, offer tremendous resistance against the benign development
of the society and economy, and exert deleterious social impacts. Although
almost all countries in the world have adopted a market economy, a ma-
jority have not achieved sound and rapid development. Among numer-
ous reasons for this, the most fundamental one is the lack of reasonable
and clearly delineated governance boundaries between the government,
the market and the society, so that there is over-playing, under-playing,
and mis-playing of the government role. Only when the government ap-
propriately tightens its omnipresent “visible hand”, and the functions
40 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
3
See Von Hayek F. Law, Legislation, and Liberty (Vol. 3). Chicago, IL: The University of
Chicago Press, 1979, pp42.
4
Abraham Lincoln’s Quotes on Government (1854).
42 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
self-interested and have a limited ideological realm, and these two asser-
tions should be universally recognized. Although it is not difficult to stop
“talking”about interests, in reality, it is challenging not to “value”interests.
Taoism contends that “the law of nature is beneficial, but not harmful”,
and emphasizes compliance with natural tendency and governance by non-
interference. However, it neglects two necessary conditions for govern-
ing by non-interference, i.e., the establishment of basic institutions and the
proper role of government.
Even though this textbook primarily discusses the problem of economic in-
centives, governance on rules or institution remains the most essential and
fundamental among the three kinds of arrangements since it establishes the
most basic institutional environment, has strong positive and negative ex-
ternalities, and determines whether or not the role of government is appro-
priate, thereby determining the effect of incentive mechanism design and
the formation of good or bad social norms. In addition, for the formulation
of institutional arrangements of both regulatory governance and incentive
mechanisms, the principle should not, and essentially cannot, change the
self-interested nature of human beings. Instead, it should make use of in-
dividuals’ immutable self-interestedness to guide them to perform actions
that are beneficial to society. In other words, the design of an institution
should conform to the self-interested nature of individuals, rather than at-
tempting to alter it. Moreover, individuals’ self-interestedness cannot be
simply deemed to be either good or evil, but instead what kinds of institu-
tions that are employed and towards what directions they are guided must
be taken carefully into account. Different institutional arrangements will
result in individuals’ different responses to incentives and various trade-
off choices, thereby leading to markedly dissimilar consequences. As Deng
Xiaoping contended, “Good institutions can make bad people unable to
run amok arbitrarily, and bad institutions can make good people unable to
do good enough, or even go to the opposite side.”5 Expressed in a collo-
quial way, bad institutions can turn good people into bad people, but good
institutions can turn even bad people to do good things.
Therefore, the utilization of “reason, interest, and emotion,”should be
synthesized, and vary with individuals, matter, place, and time to analyze
and solve problems case by case. The criterion for deciding which aspect
to use is determined by the importance of regulations, the degree of infor-
mation symmetry, and the cost of supervision and law enforcement. All
three institutional arrangements possess their own boundary conditions.
5
Selected Works of Deng Xiaoping (Second Version). Beijing: People’s Publishing House.
Volume 2, 333.
48 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
trategy of state governance, i.e., the government should take the common
interests, risks, welfare and livelihood of the populace as its own, in order
to achieve the incentive-compatible outcome in which the populace shares
the same interests and risks as the government. Jiang Shang also provided
an incisive answer to the relationship and priority of the wealth of the state
and the wealth of the people: “The true king enriches the people. The hegemon
enriches the gentry. The state which barely survives enriches its grand ministers.
The state which perishes enriches its coffers and fills up its treasuries.”His advice
was followed by King Wen of the Zhou dynasty, who ordered the granary
to be opened to assist the poor and reduce taxes to enrich the people. As a
consequence, the Western Zhou became a growing power.
Over 2,600 years ago, Guan Zhong (a Legalist chancellor and reformer
of the State of Qi in ancient China) had deep insights on numerous econom-
ic issues. The core of his economic thought was “the theory of self-interest”.
In Guan Zi: Jinzang (On Maintaining Restraint), he vividly explained so-
cial economic activities with individuals pursuing their interests: “All men
pursue interests and avert harm. When doing business, merchants hasten on the
way day and night and make light of traveling from afar because, for them, interests
are on their way. When fishermen go fishing in the sea, though the sea is hundreds
of meters deep, they sail against the current for hundreds of miles day and night be-
cause, for them, interests are in water. So as long as there is interest, people would
climb the mountain regardless of its height and go to sea regardless of its depth.
Therefore, if those who know well how to govern the origin of interest, people will
naturally admire the state and settle. The governor does not need to push them
to go or lead them to come. Without being bothered or disturbed, people will get
rich in a natural course. It is like a bird incubating eggs, the process of which is
invisible and silent, but the result is noticeable when it is done.”Essentially, this
constitutes a clear demonstration of Adam Smith’s “invisible hand”more
than 2,000 years earlier. In his book Guan Zi, Guan Zhong presented the
law of demand by stating that “The devaluation comes from the excess, while
the value from the scarcity”, and also drew the basic conclusion that individ-
uals’ wealth leads to national stability, security, prosperity, and power by
saying that “Only at times of plenty will people observe the etiquette. Only when
they are well-clad and fed will they have a sense of honor and shame.”He further
1.6. ANCIENT CHINESE THOUGHTS ON THE MARKET 51
pointed out that “State governance must start with enriching the people. When
the people become well-off, the state will be easy to govern. If they are in poverty,
the state will be hard to govern.”· · · “Usually, an orderly state is abundant in
prosperity, while a disorderly one is deep in poverty. So, a king versed in ruling a
state must give priority to making people wealthy over governance itself.”. Fur-
thermore, comprehensive governance is another essential point in Guan
Zhong’s thought of state management. For example, with respect to vas-
sal kings, Guan Zhong suggested “restraining them with interest, associating
with them with trust, admonishing them with military power”so that vassal
kings “won’t dare to defy the king and will accept his interest, trust his benev-
olence, and fear his military force.”Indeed, it does not require much effort
to discern that certain corresponding relations exist between “restraining
them with interest, associating with them with trust, admonishing them with mil-
itary power”mentioned here and the three institutional arrangements pre-
viously discussed.
More than 2,500 years ago, Sun Tzu (a military general, strategist, and
philosopher in ancient China)’s book entitled The Art of War focused on
military strategies and tactics, but its principles and ideas are highly simi-
lar to the market behavior and decision-making of firms. The first chapter
“Detail Assessment and Planning”of the book coincides, to a large ex-
tent, with the basic analytical framework of economics and can be fully
adopted in the context of accomplishing an endeavor. It serves as essen-
tial guidance for accomplishing big goals, making optimal decisions, and
winning competitions in governing a state and managing an enterprise or
organization. He also provided the basic conclusion of information eco-
nomics: it is possible to achieve the optimal outcome (“the best is first
best”) only under complete information; under information asymmetry,
we can, at most, obtain a suboptimal outcome (“the best is second best”):
“if you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a
hundred battles; if you do not know your enemies but do know yourself, you will
win one and lose one; if you do not know your enemies nor yourself, you will be
imperiled in every single battle.”
In the same period, a more remarkable fact was that Lao Tzu (a fa-
mous philosopher of ancient China, the founder of Taoism) presented the
52 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
ship is not yet determined. On the other hand, hares are sold on the market, but
even a thief dare not take one because ownership has been determined. Thus, if
ownership is not definite, sages like Yao, Shun, Yu, and Tang would also chase af-
ter it; when ownership is definite, even a greedy thief will not dare to take it.”The
hare is chased because people are driven to strive for its ownership, and
even sages would do the same. In contrast, ownership of a captured hare
in the market is determined, and thus others cannot simply take it.
Approximately 2,100 years ago, Sima Qian (a Chinese historian of the
Han dynasty who is considered the father of Chinese historiography) made
a remarkable statement in his work Records of the Grand Historian: Biogra-
phies of the Money-makers , “Jostling and joyous, the whole world comes after
profit; racing and rioting, after profit the whole world goes,”which succeeded
Guan Zhong’s concept of self-interest. He also demonstrates the economic
paradigm of achieving social welfare through the social division of labor
based on self-interest, which is similar to that of Adam Smith. Sima Qian
investigated the development of social and economic life, and realized the
importance of the social division of labor. He wrote that “All of them are
commodities coveted by the people, who according to their various customs use
them for their bedding, clothing, food, and drink, fashioning from them the goods
needed to supply the living and bury the dead.”Therefore, “Society obviously
must have farmers before it can eat; foresters, fishermen, miners, etc., before it can
make use of natural resources; craftsmen before it can have manufactured good-
s; and merchants before they can be distributed.”Moreover, he believed that
the entire social economy, composed of agriculture, forestry, industry and
commerce, should develop in a natural manner without the constraint of
administrative orders.
Also in the Biographies of the Money-makers, Sima Qian continued to
write that “What need is there for government directives, mobilizations of labour,
or periodic assemblies? Each man has only to be left to utilize his own abilities and
exert his strength to obtain what he wishes. Thus, when a commodity is very cheap,
it invites a rise in price; when it is very expensive, it invites a reduction. When each
person works away at his own occupation and delights in his own business then,
like water flowing downward, goods will naturally flow forth ceaselessly day and
night without having been summoned, and the people will produce commodities
54 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
without having been asked. Does this not tally with reason? Is it not a natural
result?”
In addition, Sima Qian’s thinking contains great wisdom regarding the
philosophy of state governance, the importance of economic freedom, and
the priority of several basic institutional arrangements. Sima Qian provid-
ed an insightful conclusion in the Biographies of the Money-makers, “The
highest type of ruler accepts the nature of the people, the next best leads the people
to what is beneficial, the next gives them moral instruction, the next forces them to
be orderly, and the very worst kind enters into competition with them.”
Confucius affirmed that the pursuit of personal material interests on
the premise of social ethics is justifiable. He stated, “When a country is well
governed, poverty and a mean condition are things to be ashamed of. When a coun-
try is ill governed, riches and honor are things to be ashamed of.”(The Analects:
Tai Bo) By saying so, Confucius encouraged people to pursue a sufficient
amount of material wealth. The Analects also recorded Confucius’s com-
pliments on his disciple Zigong (Duanmu Ci), who was a merchant. In The
Analects: Xian Jin, it states that “The Master said, ‘There is Hui! He has
nearly attained to perfect virtue. He is often in want. Ci does not acquiesce in the
appointments of Heaven, and his goods are increased by him. Yet his judgments
are often correct.’ ”Here, Confucius compared Yan Hui, his favorite disci-
ple, with Zigong. The former was almost perfect in morality, but frequently
lived in poverty, which did not seem to be the right way of living; whereas,
the latter, who did not follow the arrangement of destiny and went into
business, turned out to be excellent in predicting the market.
These ancient Chinese economic thoughts are profound and historical-
ly important. Indeed, what Adam Smith discussed had already been ad-
dressed by ancient Chinese philosophers much earlier. Yet, as those ancient
Chinese statements just constituted summaries of experience, they did not
form rigorous scientific subjects or disciplines, provide boundary condi-
tions and scopes for conclusions, or make logically inherent analyses. As a
result, little is currently known about them in the outside world.
In the remaining parts of this chapter, we will present a rough discus-
sion on core assumptions, key points, analytical frameworks, and research
methodology of economics to assist you to understand the rigorous analy-
1.7. A CORNERSTONE ASSUMPTION IN ECONOMICS 55
to sacrifice their lives (even certain animals possess this instinct). For exam-
ple, when a nation is invaded by another nation, many citizens are willing
to sacrifice their lives to protect their country. Under a normal and peaceful
environment, however, when engaged in economic activities, individuals
normally pursue their own interests. These illustrations demonstrate that
self-interest and altruism are not oppositional to each other, but rather con-
stitute natural responses to different situations and environments.
Therefore, we can view self-interest and altruism as relative terms. In
fact, such duality can also be witnessed in animals. For example, when wild
goats are chased to the edge of a cliff, the old goats sacrifice themselves by
making the first jump, so that the goatlings could jump on them and have
a greater chance of survival. Adam Smith not only wrote the foundational
work of The Wealth of Nations, but also wrote The Theory of Moral Senti-
ments, which contends that individuals should have sympathy and a sense
of justice. These two works complement each other in the overall philoso-
phy of Adam Smith. It is the case that, under the reality of an individual’s
self-love and self-interest, morality should be a kind of balance, an equi-
librium outcome, and a convention realized through the social division of
labor and cooperation. Under the guidance of appropriate institutions, in-
dividuals voluntarily divide the work by choosing varied specializations
and cooperate in order to establish a harmonious, civilized, stable, and or-
derly society. It is against human nature to regard self-interest as immoral
and runs counter to reality; it is not selfish. In fact, the organic combina-
tion of moral ethics and self-interest can actually promote social civilization
and individuals’ decency. The biggest advantage of the modern market is
its utilization of the power of self-interest to counteract the weakness of
benevolence so that hard-workers can be rewarded. As a consequence, we
should not neglect the role of benevolence and morals in the formation of
the modern market system.
Overall, self-interested individuals can be benevolent, altruistic, and
moral. However, “self-interest”should not be “at others’ cost”. There
are limitations and boundaries for self-interest and altruism, while selfish-
ness that benefits oneself at the expense of others is the origin of malefi-
cence and greed. Rationally self-interested behavior will conform to social
1.8. KEY POINTS IN ECONOMICS 59
The above assumptions and constraints are crucial because relaxing any
one of them may result in different outcomes. The consideration and appli-
cation of these assumptions, constraints, and principles are also useful for
people in their daily lives. Although they may appear to be simple, thor-
oughly understanding and skillfully utilizing them in reality is not easy. In
the following, we briefly discuss these key points, conditions, axioms, and
principles, respectively.
Economics stems from the fact that resources are limited in the world (at
least the Earth’s mass is finite). As long as an individual is self-interested,
and his or her material desire is unlimited (i.e., the more one possesses, the
better), it is impossible to realize distribution according to wants. There-
fore, the problem of precisely how to employ limited resources to optimally
satisfy wants must be addressed, and economics is needed to achieve this.
nisms.
In fact, the Economic Core Equivalence Theorem, which will be dis-
cussed in Chapter 12, reveals that once full economic freedom is given and
free competition, voluntary cooperation and exchange are allowed, even
without the establishment of any institutional arrangement in advance, the
outcome of resource allocation driven by the self-interested behavior of in-
dividuals will be theoretically consistent with equilibrium allocation of a
perfectly competitive market. The essence of the Economic Core Equiv-
alence Theorem can be summarized as follows: under the rationality as-
sumption, as long as economic freedom and competition are given, even if
institutional arrangements are not considered, the economic core obtained
will constitute a competitive market equilibrium.
China’s reform and opening-up over the past 40 years have confirmed
this assertion in practice. When analyzing the reasons for China’s remark-
able economic achievements, the critical factor is the provision to individ-
uals of more freedom of economic choice. Indeed, reform practices from
rural to urban areas indicate that wherever there are looser policies and a
greater degree of economic freedom provided for producers and consumer-
s, higher levels of economic efficiency prevail. China’s so-called miraculous
economic growth stems from the government’s delegation of powers to the
market; whereas, its imperfect market today is the result of excessive gov-
ernment intervention and inadequate or inappropriate government regu-
lation and institutional arrangements.
t of the basic idea of constraints is the budget set (or opportunity set) of
consumer theory, as will be discussed in Chapter 3, which states that an in-
dividual’s budget is constrained by the prices of the commodities and his
or her income. For an enterprise, constraints include available technolo-
gies and prices of inputs, under which the goal of maximum profit requires
firms to determine the quantity of production, technologies to be adopted,
the quantity of each input, pricing for products, responses to competitors’
decisions, etc. The development of a person, or even a nation, must con-
tend with various constraints, including political, social, cultural, environ-
mental, and resource constraints. Furthermore, if constraint conditions are
not clearly identified and understood, it is difficult to perform tasks and
achieve goals.
When introducing a reform measure or an institutional arrangement, it
is essential to consider feasibility and meet the objective constraints. In ad-
dition, the implementation risk is expected to be reduced to a minimum so
that social, political, and economic turmoil will not result. Therefore, feasi-
bility is a requisite condition to judge whether a reform measure or institu-
tional arrangement is conducive to economic development and the smooth
transformation of economic systems. In a nation’s economic transition, to
make a feasible institutional arrangement, it must conform to the institu-
tional environment of the specific stage of the country’s development.
Participation constraint is critical when considering optimal contract
design (cf. Chapters 16 and 17), which means that an economic agent can
benefit, or at least will not experience harm, from economic activities; oth-
erwise, he or she will not participate in, or may even oppose, the rules or
policies to be implemented. Individuals who pursue the maximization of
self-interest will not automatically accept an institutional arrangement, but
instead will make a choice between acceptance and refusal. Only under an
institutional arrangement in which the individual’s benefit is not less than
his or her reserve level (or he or she does not accept the arrangement) will
the individual be willing to work, produce, trade, distribute, and consume.
Moreover, if a reform measure or an institutional arrangement does not
meet the participation constraint, individuals may give up. Of course, if
everyone is reluctant to accept the reform measure or institutional arrange-
1.8. KEY POINTS IN ECONOMICS 65
The incentive is one of the core concepts in economics. Each individual has
his or her own self-interest; to obtain interests from some activity, one must
also pay the corresponding cost. Through a comparison between benefits
and costs, individuals may be willing (have an incentive) to get something
done or do it well, or be reluctant or unwilling to get it done or do it well,
and thus will have a rational incentive response to the rules of the game.
This, however, frequently leads to incentive-incompatible conflicts of inter-
est among individuals or between individuals and society, and produces
chaos. The concept of incentive compatibility has been discussed by Adam
Smith in The Theory of Moral Sentiments, in which he stated that “...in the
great chess-board of human society, every single piece has a principle of motion of
its own, altogether different from that which the legislature might choose to impress
upon it. If those two principles coincide and act in the same direction, the game of
human society will go on easily and harmoniously, and is very likely to be happy
and successful. If they are opposite or different, the game will go on miserably, and
the society must be at all times in the highest degree of disorder.”6 The reason
for this is that, under given institutional arrangements or rules of the game,
individuals will make optimal choices according to their own interests, but
such choices will not automatically satisfy the interests or goals of other-
s and society. In addition, information asymmetry makes it challenging
to implement social optimum by command. A good institutional arrange-
ment or rule is able to guide self-interested individuals to act subjectively
for themselves, but objectively for others, making individuals’ social and
economic behavior beneficial to the nation and the individuals, as well as
to themselves. This is core content of economics.
Everything that an individual does involves interests and costs (i.e.,
6
Adam Smith: The Theory of Moral Sentiments.
66 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
benefits and costs), making incentive a ubiquitous issue that must be dealt
with in daily work and life. As long as the benefits and costs are not e-
qual, there will be different incentive reactions. To maximize profits, an
enterprise has the incentive to use resources in the most efficient way and
provide incentives to guide employees to expend the greatest effort. Out-
side of the enterprise, changes of profits provide an incentive for resource
holders to modify their ways of using the resource; whereas, inside of the
enterprise, incentive influences the way that the resource is used and the ef-
fort that employees invest in the work. To make management efficient, the
role of incentive in organizations must be clear, as well as how to construct
incentives to guide subordinates to exert the greatest effort in the work.
Since the interests of individuals, society and economic organizations
cannot be identical, how can self-interest, mutual benefits, and social inter-
ests be organically combined? This requires incentive compatibility, with
which the reform measures and institutional arrangements adopted can
drive individuals’ incentive for production and work. As a consequence,
to implement a goal of one’s own or that of society, appropriate rules of the
game must be defined, under which when individuals pursue their self-
interest, the goal can also be achieved. In other words, it unifies the self-
interest of individuals and mutual benefits among individuals so that when
pursuing one’s self-interest, each individual can assist in attaining the goal
intended by society or other individuals. We will focus on the issue of how
to achieve incentive compatibility in Part V of the textbook.
and used. A clear definition of property rights will enable a clear definition
of the attribution of profits, thus providing incentives for property owners
to consume and produce in the most efficient way, to provide quality prod-
ucts and good services, to build reputation and credibility, and to maintain
their own commodities, housing, and equipment. If property rights are
not unequivocally defined, however, the enterprises’ incentive will be di-
minished, giving rise to incentive distortion and moral risk. For example,
unclear property rights in state-owned enterprises will lead to inefficien-
cy, induce wide-spread corruption, such as rent-seeking and interest trans-
fer, squeeze the private economy, impede innovation, and lead to unfair
competition. In the market mechanism, incentives are given to individuals
mainly in forms of property possession and profit acquisition. The Coase
Theorem, which will be discussed in Chapter 14, is a benchmark theorem in
property rights theory. It claims that when there is neither transaction cost
nor income effect, as long as property rights are clearly defined, an efficien-
t allocation of resources can be achieved through voluntary coordination
and cooperation.
though individuals are born with different values, genders, physical con-
ditions, cultural backgrounds, capacities, ways of life, etc., “individual
equality”requires deep respect for such individual differences.
As individuals hold heterogeneous preferences, the seemingly equal
distribution of, for example, milk and bread, may not satisfy everyone, and
then the difference between equality and equity must be emphasized. Al-
though both promote fairness, equality achieves this through treating ev-
eryone the same irrespective of need, while equity achieves this through
treating people differently depending on need. Therefore, beside equal al-
location that defines equality as absolute equalitarianism, the concept of
equity in other senses should also be used in the discussion of econom-
ic issues. For instance, equitable allocation, which will be discussed in
Chapter 12, considers both subjective needs and objective factors, such as
income, which means that everyone is satisfied with their own allotment.
there will be more outputs for the whole industry. At the same time, even
if production of the entire industry is efficient, the allocation of resources
may not be (Pareto) efficient.
The concept of Pareto efficiency in allocating resources is applicable to
any economic institution. Indeed, it provides a basic criterion of value judg-
ment for an economic institution from the perspective of social welfare,
and assesses the economic performance from the perspective of feasibili-
ty. It can also be applied to a planned economy, a market economy, or a
mixed economy. The First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics,
which will be introduced in Chapter 11, proves that when individuals pur-
sue their own self-interest, a perfectly competitive market will lead to the
efficient allocation of resources.
ments of values, there are few universally correct conclusions that satisfy
everyone and apply in all situations. Just as medicines will vary according
to the disease, when considering economic problems, case-by-case analy-
ses must be conducted according to the specific time, place, people, and
occasion involved. The major difference in the analogy to medicine is that,
while an incorrect prescription for a condition may result in serious health
problems or the death of an individual, an incorrect choice of economic pol-
icy, with large externalities, will influence an entire group of individuals or
even a nation.
Although different economic theories and models exist, both the bench-
mark economic theory, which provides a benchmark or reference system,
and the second category of economic theory, that aims to solve practical
problems, they definitely do not constitute different “economics”.
The basic analytical framework and methodologies of (modern) eco-
nomics, just like those of mathematics, physics, chemistry, engineering,
etc., are not bounded by regions or nations. The foundational principles,
methodologies, and analytical framework can be used to investigate a va-
riety of economic issues under all economic environments and institutions,
and to study economic behavior and phenomena in specific areas and time
periods. The analytical framework and methodologies that will be intro-
duced later can be used to conduct comparative analyses on almost every
economic phenomenon and issue. In fact, this is precisely where the pow-
er and wonder of the analytical framework of economics lies: its essence
and core require that the economic, political, and social environment con-
ditions at a specific time and place must be considered and clearly defined
when carrying out research. Economics can be used to investigate econom-
ic issues and phenomena under human behavior as manifested in different
nations, regions, and cultures. Its basic analytical framework and method-
ologies can also be applied to elucidate other social phenomena and human
decision-making processes. Indeed, it has been proven that, due to the u-
niversality and generality of the analytical framework and methodologies
of economics, in the past few decades, various analytical methods and the-
ories have been successfully extended to other disciplines, including polit-
ical science, sociology, and the humanities.
72 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
ly, a necessary requirement for a good theory is its generality, in which the
more general it is, the larger explanatory power it will have and the more
useful it will be. The general equilibrium theory, which studies competitive
markets, constitutes such a theory. It proves that the existence of compet-
itive equilibrium leads to efficient resource allocation under the condition
of very general individual preferences and production technologies.
Even so, theories of social sciences, and especially those of economics,
like all theorems in mathematics, are subject to boundary conditions. As
discussed previously, because of the great externalities of economic theo-
ries, when discussing or applying an economic theory, it is necessary to
focus on its presupposed assumptions and application scope. This is be-
cause the conclusions of any economic theory are not absolute, but rather
only hold when the assumptions are satisfied. Whether or not this point is
recognized when discussing economic issues is a basic criterion of whether
an economist is well-trained. As economic issues are closely correlated
with daily life, even ordinary people can give their opinions about eco-
nomic problems, such as inflation, business climate, balance or imbalance
of supply and demand, unemployment, the stock market, and the hous-
ing market. For this reason, many people do not regard economics as a
science. Indeed, economics would not be a science if it did not take into
account constraints or base itself on accurate data and rigorous theoretical
logical analysis. A well-trained economist always discusses issues based
on economic theories and is fully cognizant of the boundary conditions of
the relationship among economic variables and the inherent logic of the
corresponding conclusions. It is crucial to fully understand the boundary
conditions of economic theories; otherwise, one will not be able to distin-
guish between the theory and the reality, but instead tend towards one of
two extremes: either simply applying the theory to reality, irrespective of
constraints in reality; or completely denying the value of economic theory.
The first extreme viewpoint overestimates the role of theory and misus-
es it. For example, some people disregard the realistic objective constraints
that face a nation. They blindly or mechanically apply the two categories of
economic theories to solve the nation’s problem, and indiscriminately copy
models to study the problem, assuming that the inclusion of mathematical
74 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
ing new theories to explain the real world. With these methods, economists
can become enlightened on how to solve economic problems in reality. Fur-
thermore, as discussed in the previous section, a theory applicable to one
nation or region may not be applicable to another due to different environ-
ments. Instead of applying the theory mechanically and indiscriminately, it
is necessary to modify the original theory to develop new theories accord-
ing to given economic environments and individual behavior patterns.
There is also another extreme viewpoint, in which certain people con-
tend that market failures may occur under any circumstance, and that the
market has externalities. In claiming this, they deny the practical signifi-
cance of economic theory, believing that economics is highly hypothetical,
and that these assumptions are superfluous because the market does not
have boundaries.
It is also sometimes stated that a certain theory or conclusion has been
overturned. As not all of the conditions of a certain theory are in accor-
dance with reality, the theory is deemed to be incorrect and thus supplant-
ed. In general, this statement is not correct. Assumptions, even those in the
second category of theories that aim to solve practical problems, cannot ful-
ly coincide with reality or cover every possible case. Indeed, a theory may
be applicable to the economic environment of one location but inapplicable
to that of another. As long as there is no inherent logic error present, how-
ever, it cannot be concluded that the theory is fallacious and needs to be
abandoned. It may only be stated that it is not applicable to a certain place
or a particular time.
Another common mistake is attempting to draw a general theoretical
conclusion based solely on certain specific examples. This constitutes a
methodological error. Of course, we do not deny the unique role of history,
culture, and paradigms of each country in the establishment of its own
discourse of economics.
For performing most tasks in life, basic laws exist. The way that economics
studies and solves problems is similar to how people deal with personal,
household, economic, political, and social affairs. In order to do something
well and establish and maintain good relationships with others, the first
task is to understand national conditions and customs, i.e., to know the re-
al environment, behavior, and personality of the persons with whom you
interact. On such a basis, one determines the optimal way of dealing with
them and performing tasks, and make an incentive response after weigh-
ing the advantages and disadvantages to obtain the best outcome. Finally,
one must make a value judgement on the choice, and evaluate the rules of
the particular game being played. The basic analytical framework and re-
search methods of economics follow this mode precisely to study economic
phenomena, human behavior, and how people assess trade-offs and make
decisions. Of course, a major difference between these two is the rigorous
reasoning of economics, which uses formal models to identify the logical
relationship between presupposed assumptions and conclusions. Such an-
alytical framework offers great generality and consistency.
A standard academic work needs first to delineate all of the problems
to be studied and/or resolved, or the economic phenomena to be elucidat-
1.10. BASIC ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK OF MODERN ECONOMICS81
ed. In other words, economists should first identify research objectives and
their significance, provide readers with information regarding an overview
and progress of the issues under investigation through a literature review,
and illustrate the work’s innovation concerning technical analyses and/or
theoretical conclusions. Subsequent to this, they should discuss how to ad-
dress the issues raised and draw conclusions.
Although economic issues under study may be quite dissimilar, the ba-
sic analytical framework used is essentially identical, which is an axiomat-
ic approach to investigate economic problems. The analytical framework
for a standard economic theory in economics consists of the following five
steps: (1) specifying economic environments; (2) making behavioral as-
sumptions; (3) establishing institutional arrangements; (4) determining e-
quilibrium outcomes; and (5) making evaluations. All economics papers
written with clarity and logical consistency comprise these five parts, espe-
cially the first four parts, irrespective of the conclusion and whether or not
the author realized it. In this way, writing an economics paper constitutes
innovative writing with a logical structure and analysis in such steps. Once
these components are understood, the basic writing pattern of academic
economics papers is known, and it will be substantially easier to learn e-
conomics. These five steps are also quite beneficial for understanding e-
conomic theory and its proofs, and finding research topics and conducting
research.
Prior to discussing the five components in detail, it is first necessary to
define the term “institution”. An institution is usually defined as a set
of rules related to social, political, and economic activities that dominate
and restrict the behavior of various social classes (Schultz, 1968; Ruttan,
1980; North, 1990). When people consider an issue, it is normal to consider
certain factors as exogenously-given variables or parameters, and others as
endogenous or dependent variables. These endogenous variables depend
on the exogenous variables, and thus are functions of those exogenous vari-
ables. In line with the classification method of Davis-North (1971, pp 6-7)
and the issue to be studied, any institution can be divided into two cate-
gories: institutional environment and institutional arrangement. An insti-
tutional environment is the set of a series of basic economic, political, social,
82 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
and legal rules that form the basis for establishing production, exchange,
and distribution rules. Among these rules, the basic rules and policies that
govern economic activities, and property and contract rights, constitute the
economic institutional environment. An institutional arrangement is the
set of rules that dominate potential cooperation and competition existing
among economic participants. It can be interpreted as the generally known
the rules of the game, with different rules of the game leading to dissimilar
incentive reactions of individuals. In the long term, institutional environ-
ment and institutional arrangement will affect each other and evolve. Yet,
in most cases, as Davis-North points out, people usually regard economic
institutional environments as an exogenously-given variable, and consid-
er economic institutional arrangements (e.g., the market system) as exoge-
nous or endogenous, depending on the issue under study or discussion.
Therefore, when deciding the rules of the game, policies, regulations or in-
stitutional arrangements, it is necessary to take into account the behavioral
pattern of participants and make correct judgments. Just as when dealing
with different individuals in our daily lives, it is necessary to know whether
or not they are selfless and honest. Different rules of the game should be in-
stituted when faced with different people. When interacting with an honest
person who tends to tell the truth, the best way to deal with him or her, or
the rules of the game imposed on him or her, may be comparatively simple.
When facing totally selfless individuals, the rules to deal with them can be
even simpler, since it is not necessary to take precautions or invest much
energy (in designing the rules of game) to interact with them, and the rules
may seem not as important. In contrast, when encountering a cunning and
dishonest person, the best way to deal with him or her will be quite differ-
ent and requires substantial energy, and thus the rules will be much more
complicated. As such, making accurate judgments about individuals’ be-
havior is a crucial step for the study of how individuals react to incentives
and make trade-off choices. When investigating economic problems, such
as economic choice, and interactions between economic variables and how
they change, it is also important to determine the behavioral pattern of e-
conomic agents.
As mentioned above, under normal circumstances, a logical and realis-
tic assumption about individuals’ behavior used by economists is the self-
interest assumption, or the stronger rationality assumption, i.e., economic
agents pursue the maximization of benefits. Bounded rationality means
to make the best choice according to the knowledge and information pos-
sessed by an agent, which belongs to the category of rationality assump-
tion. In consumer theory, which will be discussed later, we assume that
consumers pursue utility/satisfaction maximization; in producer theory,
we assume that producers pursue profit maximization; and in game theo-
ry, various equilibrium solution concepts have been introduced to describe
the behavior of economic agents, which are given based on different behav-
ioral assumptions. Overall, any economic agent, in his or her contact with
others, implicitly assumes others’ behavior.
The assumption of (bounded) rationality is largely reasonable. From
1.10. BASIC ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK OF MODERN ECONOMICS87
order to identify the institutions that are best suited to the development of
a nation.
When making evaluations on economic mechanisms or institutional ar-
rangements, one of the most important criterion adopted in economics is
whether the institutional arrangement is in accordance with the principle
of efficiency. Certainly, as economic environments and individuals’ behav-
ioral patterns, as well as science and technology, continue to change, the
precise Pareto optimality may never be fully realized. Just like Newton’s
three laws of motion, free fall, and fluid flow without friction in physics,
Pareto optimality is an ideal state and provides the direction for improve-
ment regarding economic efficiency. As long as the improvement of eco-
nomic efficiency is desired, individuals will continually strive to approach
this goal as closely as possible. With the ideal standard of Pareto optimali-
ty, we have a benchmark against which to compare, measure, and evaluate
various economic institutional arrangements in the real world. Further-
more, it enables us to determine how far they are from this ideal goal for
improvement of economic efficiency in order to continue to approach Pare-
to optimality.
Nonetheless, Pareto optimality is not the sole criterion for social val-
ue, equality or equity is also used. The market system achieves efficient
allocation of resources, but it also faces numerous problems, such as social
injustice resultant from an enormous wealth gap. There are a variety of def-
initions of equality, equity, and fairness. Equitable allocation, which will be
introduced in Chapter 12, takes both objective equality and subjective fac-
tors into consideration, and more importantly, it can achieve equitable and
efficient outcomes simultaneously. This is the basic conclusion of the Fair-
ness Theorem, which will be discussed in Chapter 12. Another important
criterion for evaluating an economic institutional arrangement is incentive
compatibility.
Evaluations or judgements can only be relative, and not absolute, and thus
there should be a benchmark, which also applies to the discussion of eco-
nomic issues. In economics, benchmark refers to a relatively ideal state or simple
economic environment. As discussed in the first section of this chapter, to in-
vestigate a realistic economic issue and develop a new theory, we usually
need to first consider it under a relatively ideal economic environment to
develop a simple result or theory. Subsequently, we discuss the result in a
non-ideal economic environment, which is closer to reality, develop a more
general theory, and compare it with that developed under the benchmark
situation.
In this sense, benchmarks are relative to non-ideal economic environ-
ments and new theories to be developed that are closer to reality. For in-
stance, a complete information environment is the benchmark for the study
of incomplete information. When investigating economic issues under pri-
vate information, the situation of complete information must first be un-
derstood (even though it is highly unrealistic). Only when we are clear
about the situation of complete information can we adeptly study econom-
ic issues taking place under the circumstance of private information. This is
the case with theoretical research in economics. We start from the ideal state
or simple scenarios prior to considering more realistic or general scenarios.
In addition, we learn from others’ research results before innovating the
existing theories. In fact, new theories are always developed on the basis
of prior research findings and results. An example of this is that Newton’s
mechanics makes Einstein’s theory of relativity possible, while the theory
of relativity makes it possible for Chen-Ning Yang and Tsung-Dao Lee to
put forward the non-conservation of parity.
work may assist us to have a greatly improved thinking process, and deal
with everyday concerns and other individuals in a much better manner.
Indeed, it can make you more thoughtful, insightful, and capable in your
work. It is frequently stated that economics is esoteric and metaphysical s-
ince it involves so much difficult mathematics that seems remote from prac-
tice. Some people wonder “What will it be used for?”In fact, the basic ap-
proach of dealing with others and events in our daily lives is similar to the
basic framework in economic analysis. For example, when one is in a new
place preparing to perform a task or cooperate with others, the first thing
one needs to do is to become familiar with the local environment and sit-
uation, which is similar to “specifying the economic environment”in the
framework. It is then necessary to know the local culture and customs, the
behavioral patterns and personalities of your counterparts, etc., which is
similar to “making behavioral assumptions”. Subsequently, by taking all
of the information together, one can decide on one’s rules for dealing with
people, which is similar to “establishing economic institutional arrange-
ments”. The next step is to choose the optimal scheme by making trading-
offs among feasible options, which is similar to the “determining equilib-
rium”. The final step is to summarize and reflect on your decisions, ac-
tions, and your ways of dealing with people, circumstances, and events to
assess whether they constitute the most effective approaches, whether they
achieve the best outcomes, whether they are fair and reasonable, whether
individuals’ enthusiasm is engendered, whether people have reactions to
the incentive, and whether the intended goal of incentive compatibility is
achieved, which is similar to “making evaluations”. In addition, when
the environment and conditions are changed, or the subject with which you
are working is altered, the rules should be changed accordingly. If you can
act in accordance with the five aspects, and adjust the rules with changes
in conditions, better results will certainly be produced. Not only may this
be one of the best ways to deal with daily life and work, certain conclusion-
s of economic theories can also assist you to better think about and solve
problems.
102 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
There are three basic requirements for learning and mastering economic
theory:
3. One must also grasp how the basic theorems or propositions are
proven (ideas and processes). A good economist, like a good physician,
should know what the problem is and why it is present, understand its
pathology, as well as be able to determine appropriate medicines. Then,
he or she can gain a deeper understanding and a better command of the
theories that he or she has learned.
third phase is a kind of enhancement of the first phase. In fact, the three-
stage form of common language - technical language - common language is
a normal research method that is widely adopted by numerous disciplines.
1.17 Biographies
1.18 Exercises
Exercise 1.1 (Economics and the three dimensions of scientific economic analysis)
Answer the following questions:
2. What are the two great objective realities facing the study of economic
problems?
1.18. EXERCISES 113
1. What are the main differences between economics and natural sci-
ence?
Exercise 1.3 (Two basic categories of economic theory) Answer the follow-
ing questions:
3. How should we correctly regard and deal with the interaction be-
tween these two kinds of economic theory?
2. Why is there not a best kind of economic theory that is always right
and fits every development stage, but instead a kind that fits certain
institutional environments the best?
Exercise 1.5 (Market and market mechanism) Answer the following ques-
tions:
114 CHAPTER 1. NATURE OF MODERN ECONOMICS
1. From the perspectives of information and incentive, what are the ad-
vantages of the market economic system compared with the planned
economic system?
2. Under the condition of the market economy, what are the three basic
functions of price?
4. What are the three development stages that an economy will experi-
ence? How can efficiency-driven and further innovation-driven de-
velopment be realized? What is the basic economic institution behind
this?
2. What does the Innovation Theory of Schumpeter tell us? Please state
the importance of innovation-driven development.
Exercise 1.7 (The boundaries among the government, the market, and the society)
Answer the following questions:
2. How should the boundaries between the government and the market
and between the government and the society be generally defined?
1.18. EXERCISES 115
Exercise 1.8 (The three basic institutional arrangements for state governance and benign development
Answer the following questions:
1. What are the three elements of state governance and benign develop-
ment?
2. What are the three basic institutional arrangements for state gover-
nance?
3. State the range of application and limitation of each of the three basic
institutional arrangements. Which one is the most basic and impor-
tant?
Exercise 1.9 (The logic of development and governance) Answer the fol-
lowing questions:
1. Provide five examples that indicate the thought of the market econo-
my in ancient China.
2. Why does economics use the self-interest assumption as the most ba-
sic, important, and central assumption?
1. What are the key points of economics? Please state each of them gen-
erally.
6. Why are clearly defined property rights crucial to the efficient alloca-
tion of resources?
4. How shall we regard the critics that contend that economics cannot
be tested through experimentation?
1. What are the components that constitute the basic analytical frame-
work of a standard modern economic theory?
3. Why are different economic theories needed even for the same eco-
nomic reality or environment under many circumstances?
6. What are practical usages of the basic analytical framework and re-
search methodologies of economics?
Exercise 1.15 (Benchmark and reference system) Answer the following ques-
tions:
2. Why are both positive and normative analysis needed when discussing
economic problems?
1.19 References
Acemoglu, D., and Robinson, J. A. (2012). Why Nations Fail: The Origins
of Power, Prosperity and Poverty. First Edition. New York: Crown.
Hayek, F. (1973). Law, Legislation and Liberty (Volume II and III). Univer-
sity of Chicago Press.
Smith, Adam (1776). (An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth
of Nations) The Wealth of Nations. W. Strahan and T. Cadell. Reprint-
ed, Oxford: Clarendon Press.
田国强(2010). 序:从国富到民富——从发展型政府转向公共服务型政
府. 见王一江. 民富论. 北京:中信出版社. ( Tian, G. (2010). From
the Wealth of Nations to the Wealth of People: A Transition from
Development-oriented Government to Public-service-oriented Gov-
ernment. Preface to The Wealth of People by Wang, Yijiang. Beijing:
Citic Press.)
Papers:
钱 颖 一. 理 解 现 代 经 济 学. 经 济 社 会 体制 比 较 ,2002年第2 期. (Qian, Y.
(2002). “Understanding Modern Economics”. Comparative Eco-
nomic and Social Systems, No. 2.)
田 国 强. 和 谐 社 会 的 构 建 与 现 代 市 场 体 系 的 完 善——效 率 、 公 平 与 法
治. 经济研究,2007年第3期. (Tian, G. (2007). “The Construction of
a Harmonious Society and Improvement of Modern Market System–
Efficiency, Justice, and Rule of Law”. Economic Research Journal,
No. 3.)
田国强. 从拨乱反正、市场经济到和谐社会构建——效率、公平与和谐
发展的关键是合理界定政府与市场的边界. 《文汇报》、《解放
日报》及上海管理科学研究院“中国改革开放与发展30年”征文
优 秀 论文 稿 ,2008年7月. (Tian, G. (2008). “From Bringing Order
out of Chaos, Market Economy, to the Construction of a Harmonious
Society–The Key to Efficiency, Justice, and Harmonious Development
is the Reasonable Definition of the Boundaries between Governmen-
t and Market”. Excellent Paper in Call for Papers on “30 Years of
China’s Reform and Opening up and Development”by Wenhui Pa-
per, Jiefang Daily, and Shanghai Institution for Management Science
Research, July.)
田国强. 近现代中国的四次社会经济大变革——国企改革的镜鉴与反思. 探
索与争鸣,2014年第6 期. (Tian, G. (2014). “The Fourth Great Social
and Economic Reform in Modern China: Lessons and Reflections on
the Reform of State-owned Enterprises”. Exploration and Free View,
No. 6.)
田国强. 当前中国经济增速的合理区间探讨——发展和治理两大逻辑如
何统筹兼顾. 人民论坛·学术前沿,2015 年第6 期. (Tian, G. (2015).
“Discussion on the Reasonable Range of China’s Economic Growth
Rate: How to Consider the Logic of both Development and Gover-
nance”. People’s Forum: Academic Frontiers, No. 6.)
1.19. REFERENCES 123
田国强,杨立岩. 对“幸福—收入之谜”的一种解释:理论与实证.经济
研究,2006 年第11期. (Tian, G. and Yang, L. (2006). “A Solution to
the Happiness-Income Puzzle: Theory and Evidence”. Economics
Research Journal, No. 11.
This section introduces some basic concepts and results of set theory.
2.1.1 Set
125
126CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
infinite uncountable set, for example, S = R, where R is the set of all real
numbers. A countable set can be either finite or infinite. A set can also be
described with some properties, for example, S = {1, 3, 5, 7, 9} = {x : x <
10, x ∈ N , x2 ∈
/ N }. The empty set ∅ is a set consisting of no elements.
A subset T of a set S is also a set, and any element in T belongs to S,
denoted by T ⊆ S. If T is a subset of S and S has at least one element that
does not belong to T , then T is a proper subset of S. If T and S are subsets
of each other, then these two sets are equal, i.e., T = S.
∪
The union of two sets T and S is denoted by T S = {x : x ∈ T or x ∈
∩
S}; the intersection of two sets T and S is denoted by T S = {x : x ∈
T and x ∈ S}.
The complement set of S in the universal set U is denoted by S c = {x :
x ∈ U, x ∈
/ S}. The complement set of the universal set U is the empty set,
and the complement of the empty set is the universal set. The difference
between sets S and T is denoted by S\T or S − T , which is defined as
S\T = S − T = {x : x ∈ S, x ∈
/ T }.
The complement of the union or the intersection of any number of sets
satisfies De Morgan’s law:
( )c
∪ ∩
Ai = Aci ;
i∈I i∈I
( )c
∩ ∪
Ai = Aci .
i∈I i∈I
2.1.2 Mapping
The image of f is the set of points in the range into which some points
2.1. BASIC SET THEORY 127
Both sets of natural and rational numbers are countable sets, but the
real number set is not. The following conclusion shows that the set of all
binary numbers is not countable.
(a + b)
x−
y= 2
(b − a)
2
128CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
where the letter with double subscript, aij , denotes the coefficient appear-
ing in ith equation and attached to the jth variable xj , and dj denotes the
constant term on the right side of the jth equation.
This can be expressed more succinctly in the following matrix form:
Ax = d,
a11 a12 ··· a1n
a a22 ··· a2n
21
A=
··· ··· ··· ···
am1 am2 · · · amn
x1
x
2
x=
···
xn
d1
d
2
d=
···
dm
Equality of Two Matrices: A = B if and only if aij = bij holds for all
i = 1, 2, · · · , m, j = 1, 2, · · · , n.
Matrix Multiplication: Given two matrices Am×n and Bp×q , matrix mul-
tiplication requires a compatibility condition: the number of columns
130CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
AB = C
∑n
with cij = ai1 b1j + ai2 b2j + · · · + ain bnj = l=1 ail blj . Obviously, the
matrix product of AB is not necessarily equal to BA.
Identity Matrix
A square matrix is a matrix with the same number of rows and columns,
which is assumed to be n.
An identity matrix of order n, denoted by In , is a square matrix with
ones in its principal diagonal and zeros everywhere else.
It possesses the following properties:
Property 1:
Im Am×n = Am×n In = Am×n
Property 2:
Am×n In Bn×p = (Am×n In )Bn×p = Am×n Bn×p
Property 3:
(In )k = In
Null Matrix
2 4 1
v1 = , v2 = , v3 =
7 8 5
6 2 4
3v 1 − 2v 2 = − = = v3
21 16 5
or
3v 1 − 2v 2 − v 3 = 0
0
where 0 = is a zero vector.
0
132CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Properties of Transpose:
a) (A′ )′ = A;
b) (A + B)′ = A′ + B ′ ;
d) (AB)′ = B ′ A′ .
AA−1 = A−1 A = I.
While the transpose of matrix always exists, the inverse does not neces-
sarily exist.
Ax = d.
A−1 Ax = A−1 d.
of rows.
′
a11 a12 ··· a1n v1
′
a a22 ··· a2n v2
21
A=
=
· · · ··· ··· · · · · · ·
′
an1 an2 · · · ann vn
′
where vi = [ai1 , ai2 , · · · , ain ], i = 1, 2, · · · , n. Whether a square matrix A
′
is nonsingular is determined by whether the vectors vi , i = 1, 2, · · · , n are
linearly independent.
Determinant of a Matrix
a11 a12
|A| = = a11 a22 − a12 a21
a21 a22
= a11 a22 a33 − a11 a23 a32 − a12 a21 a33 + a12 a23 a31 + a13 a21 a32 − a13 a22 a31 .
From the definition of the determinant for matrix A with 2th or 3th or-
der, it is defined as the sum of all possible products, in which each product
2.2. BASIC LINEAR ALGEBRA 135
consists of elements in different rows and columns. This is also true for a
general nth order square matrix A. Then, for a n × n matrix A, its determi-
nants is defined as:
∑
|A| = (−1)I(α1 ,··· ,αn ) a1α1 a2α2 · · · anαn ,
(α1 ,··· ,αn )
∑
n
|A| = (−1)l+k alk × det(Mlk ), for any l ∈ {1, · · · , n},
k=1
where Mlk is the n − 1th order square matrix that results from A by deleting
the l-th row and the k-th column, called the minor of alk .
The Laplace expansion of an nth-order determinant will reduce the
problem to one of evaluating n minors, each of which is of the (n − 1)th
order, and the repeated application of the process will methodically lead to
increasingly lower orders of determinants, eventually culminating in the
basic second-order determinants. Then, the value of the original determi-
nant is calculated.
Even though one can expand |A| by any row or any column, concerning
the numerical calculation, a row or column with largest number of 0’s or 1’s
is always preferable for this purpose, because 0 times its cofactor is simply
0.
3. The interchange of any two rows (columns) will alter the sign,
but not the numerical value, of the determinant.
5. If two rows (or columns) are proportional, i.e., they are lin-
early dependent, then the determinant will vanish.
6. det(AB) = det(A)det(B).
7. det(A−1 ) = 1
det(A) . As a consequence, a necessary condition
for the existence of A−1 is that det(A) ̸= 0.
1
dij = (−1)i+j det(Mij ).
det(A)
The Cramer’s Rule given below summarizes how to solve a linear sys-
tem. For a system of linear equations:
Ax = d,
where
a11 a12 ··· a1n
a a22 ··· a2n
21
A= ,
· · · ··· ··· ···
an1 an2 · · · ann
d′ = (d1 , · · · , dn ),
x′ = (x1 , · · · , xn ).
2.2. BASIC LINEAR ALGEBRA 137
which is obtained by replacing the jth column of |A| with constant terms
d1 , · · · , dn . This result is the statement of Cramer’s rule.
=x′ Ax,
where
138CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
a11 a12 ··· a1n
a a22 ··· a2n
21
A=
· · · ··· ··· ···
an1 an2 · · · ann
Definition 2.2.4 For a matrix of quadratic form A, the quadratic form q(u1 , u2 , · · · , un ) =
u′ Au is said to be
a11 a12
|A2 | = > 0;
a21 a22
···
a11 a12 ··· a1n
a21 a22 ··· a2n
|An | = > 0.
··· ··· ··· ···
an1 an2 · · · ann
If a square matrix A and a real number λ satisfy the equation Ax = λx, then
λ is called the eigenvalue of A, and the vector x is called the eigenvector
of A belonging to the eigenvalue λ.
Eigenvalues and some properties of matrix, such as positive or negative
definiteness, have close connections. The following theorem characterizes
the relation between the eigenvalues and positive (or negative) definite-
ness.
P −1 AP = D.
Theorem 2.2.2 (The Spectral Theorem for Symmetric Matrices) Suppose that
A is a symmetric matrix of order n and λ1 , · · · , λn are its eigenvalues. Then, there
exists an orthogonal matrix U , such that
λ1 0
..
U −1 AU = .
0 λn
140CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
or
λ1 0
.. ′
A=U . U .
0 λn
λk1 0
.. ′
Ak = U . U .
0 λkn
If the eigenvalues of A are nonzero real numbers, then the inverse of A can
be reformulated as follows:
λ−1 0
1
.. ′
A−1 = U . U .
0 λ−1
n
Another common concept about square matrix is the trace. The trace of
∑n
an nth-order A is tr(A) = i aii . It also has following properties:
(1) tr(A) = λ1 + · · · + λn ;
The set X together with its topology τ is called the topological space, de-
noted by (X, τ ); members in τ are called the open sets of this topological
space.
Remark 2.3.1 If the metrics on the same set are different, then the corre-
sponding metric spaces are different. For example,
Although the remaining discussions in this section are also true for gen-
eral metric spaces, we mainly focus on Euclidean spaces for convenience of
statement.
With the concept of metric, we can clearly define proximity between points.
In an n-dimensional Euclidean space, given x0 ∈ Rn , the set of all points of
distances less than ϵ from x0 is called an open ball with radius ϵ and center
x0 , denoted by Bϵ (x0 ). A related concept is closed ball, which is given by
the set of all points of distances less than or equal to ϵ, denoted by Bϵ∗ (x0 ).
Next, we give the definition of closed sets and compact sets.
Definition 2.3.2 The set S ⊆ Rn is an open set if for any x ∈ S, there always
exists an ϵ > 0, such that Bϵ (x) ⊆ S.
Based on the definition of open sets, the following theorem gives some ba-
sic properties of open sets:
Theorem 2.3.1 (Open Sets in Rn ) In terms of open sets, the following conclu-
sions are true.
P ROOF . (1) Since ∅ has no elements, the proposition “for each point
in ∅, there is an ϵ, · · · ”, satisfies the definition of an empty set.
(2) For any point x in Rn and any ϵ > 0, according to the definition of
an open ball, the set Bϵ (x) is a subset in Rn . Therefore, Bϵ (x) ⊆ Rn , and
then Rn is open.
(3) For all i ∈ I, let Si be an open set. We need to show that ∪i∈I Si is an
open set. Suppose that x ∈ ∪i∈I Si . Then, for some i′ ∈ I, we have x ∈ Si′ .
144CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Since Si′ is open, we have Bϵ (x) ⊆ Si′ for an ϵ > 0. It then follows that
Bϵ (x) ⊆ ∪i∈I Si , and thus ∪i∈I Si is open.
∩n
(4) Suppose that B = k=1 Bk . If B = ∅, it is clear that B is an open set.
If B ̸= ∅, for any x ∈ B, obviously, we have: for any k ∈ {1, · · · , n}, x ∈ Bk .
Since Bk is an open set, there must exist an ϵk > 0, such that Bϵk (x) ⊆ Bk .
Let ϵ = min{ϵ1 , · · · , ϵn }. Then, for any k ∈ {1, · · · , n}, Bϵ (x) ⊆ Bk , and
thus Bϵ (x) ⊆ B. Therefore, B is an open set. 2
The following theorem shows the relationship between open sets and
open balls.
Theorem 2.3.2 (Each open set is a union of open balls) Suppose that S ⊆
Rn is an open set. Then, for each x ∈ S, there exists an ϵx > 0, such that
Bϵx (x) ⊆ S, and also
∪
S= Bϵx (x).
x∈S
We also have some conclusions about the basic properties of closed sets.
Theorem 2.3.3 (Closed Sets in Rn ) In terms of closed sets, the following con-
clusions are true.
P ROOF . (1) Since ∅ = {Rn }c , and Rn is an open set, it follows from the
definition of closed sets that ∅ is a closed set.
(2) Since {Rn }c = ∅, and ∅ is an open set, it follows from the definition
of closed sets that Rn is a closed set.
(3) Suppose that for all i ∈ I, Si is a closed set in Rn . Then, it is necessary
to show that ∩i∈I Si is closed. Since Si is closed, its complement Sic is an
open set. The union ∪i∈I Sic is also open. It follows from the De Morgan’s
laws that i ∈ I, (∪i∈I Sic )c = ∩i∈I Si holds. Since ∪i∈I Sic is open, then its
complement ∩i∈I Si is closed.
(4) Let C1 and C2 be closed sets, and denote C = C1 ∪ C2 . Since C1 and
C2 are closed, Ckc = Bk , k = 1, 2, are open. It follows from the properties of
open sets above that B1 ∩ B2 is an open set, and thus C = (B1 ∩ B2 )c is a
closed set. 2
Next, we discuss the concept of point sets related to open and closed
sets.
Definition 2.3.4 For set S in Rn , a point x ∈ Rn is called the limit point (or
∩
cluster point or accumulation point) of S if for any ϵ > 0, Bϵ (x) S ̸= ∅, i.e.,
every neighbourhood of x contains at least one point of S different from x
itself. The collection of all limit points of set S is denoted by ∂S. For set S,
a point x ∈ S is called an interior point of S , if there is an ϵ > 0, such that
Bϵ∗ (x) ⊆ S.
Now, we can redefine the open set as follows: a set is open if every
element in the set is an interior point. Similarly, closed sets can also be
defined as follows: a set is called the closed set if all limit points of the set
belong to itself. In addition, for any set S in a metric space, the smallest
closed set containing S is called the closure of the set, denoted by S̄ =
∪
S ∂S or clS . Obviously, if S is closed, S̄ = S.
Definition 2.3.7 (Open Cover) For a set S and a collection of open sets
∪
{Gα } in metric space X, if S ⊆ α Gα , then {Gα } is called a open cover
of S ; if the index set {α} is finite, it is called a finite open cover.
Theorem 2.3.5 The set S ⊆ R1 is connected if and only if it satisfies the following
property: for any x, y ∈ S, if x < z < y, then z ∈ S.
For all sufficiently large k, if each element of sequence {xk } can arbitrar-
ily approach a point in Rn , then we conclude that the sequence converges
to this point. Formally, we have the following definition:
The convex set is an important type of set, which is widely used in eco-
nomics. For example, sets of budget constraints of indivisible goods are
generally convex sets and possess a strong economic meaning.
We first define convex sets.
Definition 2.3.13 If for any two elements x1 , x2 ∈ S and any t ∈ [0, 1], we
have tx1 + (1 − t)x2 ∈ S, then the set S ⊆ Rn is a convex set.
If z = tx1 + (1 − t)x2 , t ∈ (0, 1), then point z is called the weighted av-
∑k
erage or convex combination of x1 and x2 . If z = l=1 α
l xl , xl ∈ S, αl ∈
∑
[0, 1], l ∈ {1, · · · , k}, l αl = 1, then z is also a convex combination of {xl }.
We have the following theorems about convex sets.
∩
Theorem 2.3.7 If both sets S and T are convex, then their intersection T S is
also convex.
Definition 2.3.14 The convex hull of a set S ⊆ Rn is the smallest convex set
containing S, denoted by co S.
i.e., the convex hull of S is formed by the set of all convex combinations of finite
points in S.
The following theorems show that the convex hull of a compact set is a
compact set.
See A3.1 of Kreps (2013) for the proof of the above three theorems.
Every point in a convex hull is a convex combination of finite points in a
set, but this does not mean that it must be a convex combination formed by
other points. If a point is not a convex combination formed by other points,
we define such a point as the extreme point. For compact sets, the structure
of the convex hull will be more simplified. The following Krein-Milman
theorem characterizes the convex hull of compact sets.
Although the three definitions of continuity are all equivalent, the sec-
ond definition is easier to verify. The idea of continuity is quite intuitive. If
we draw the function, the curve has no disconnected point.
Since the function is continuous, then the change of f (x) is small when
x changes slightly.
The following theorem illustrates the relationship between the continu-
ity of functions and the open sets.
(1) f : D → Rn is continuous.
(2) For each open ball B in Rn , f −1 (B) is also open in D.
(3) For each open set S in Rn , f −1 (S) is also open in D.
(3) ⇒ (1). Suppose that (3) holds. Take x ∈ D and ε > 0. Then,
since Bε (f (x)) is open in Rn , it follows from (3) that f −1 (Bε (f (x))) is open
in D. Since x ∈ f −1 (Bε (f (x))), there is a δ > 0, such that Bδ (x) ∩ D ⊆
f −1 (Bε (f (x))), which means that f (Bδ (x) ∩ D) ⊆ Bε (f (x)). Therefore, f is
continuous at x. Since x is arbitrary, (1) is established. 2
We have the following conclusion for a continuous function whose do-
main is a compact set.
Theorem 2.4.2 (The continuous image of a compact set is a compact set) Sup-
pose that f : D ⊆ Rm → Rn is a continuous function. If S ⊆ D is a compact set
in D, then its image f (S) ⊆ Rn is compact in Rn .
Theorem 2.4.3 (L’Hopital Rule) Suppose that f (x) and g(x) are differentiable
on an open interval I, except possibly at c. If limx→c f (x) = limx→c g(x) = 0
or limx→c f (x) = limx→c g(x) = ±∞, g ′ (x) ̸= 0 for all x in I with x ̸= c, and
f ′ (x)
limx→c ′ exists. Then,
g (x)
f (x) f ′ (x)
lim = lim ′ .
x→c g(x) x→c g (x)
∂ 2 f (x) ∂ 2 f (x)
= ,
∂xi ∂xj ∂xj ∂xi
Then, we have
f ′ (x0 ) = 0.
Theorem 2.4.5 (Rolle Theorem) Suppose that f is continuous on [a, b], differ-
entiable on (a, b), and f (a) = f (b). Then, there exists at least one point c ∈ (a, b),
such that f ′ (c) = 0.
From the Roll Theorem, we can have the well-known and useful La-
grange’s Theorem or the Mean-Value Theorem.
f (b) − f (a)
f ′ (c) = .
(b − a)
2.4. SINGLE-VALUED FUNCTION 155
The above mean value theorem is also true for multivariate x. If functionf :
Rn → R is differentiable, then there is z = tx + (1 − t)y with 0 5 t 5 1,
such that
f (y) = f (x) + Df (z)(y − x).
f (b)−f (a)
Proof. Let g(x) = f (x) − b−a x. Then, g is continuous on [a, b],
differentiable on (a, b), and g(a) = g(b). Therefore, by Rolle or Férmat’s
Theorem, there exists a point c ∈ (a, b), such that g ′ (c) = 0, and therefore
f ′ (c) = f (b)−f (a)
b−a .
A variation of the above mean-value theorem is in the form of integral
calculus:
1 ′
f (y) = f (x) + Df (x)(y − x) + (y − x) D2 f (w)(y − x),
2
′
where (y − x) is the transpose of the vector (y − x).
Generally, we have the following theorem:
at x0 :
1 ′′ 1
f (x) = f (x0 ) + f ′ (x0 )(x − x0 ) + f (x0 )(x − x0 )2 +· · ·+ f (n) (x0 )(x − x0 )n + Rn
2! n!
≡ Pn + R n ,
where Pn represents the n-th order polynomial, and Rn is the Lagrange’s remain-
der:
f (n+1) (P )
Rn = (x − x0 )n+1 ,
(n + 1)!
where P is a point between x and x0 , and n! is the factorial of n:
∑
n
∂f (x)
kf (x) = xi .
i=1
∂xi
F (y, x1 , x2 , · · · , xn ) = 0.
Then:
∂y Fi
=− , i = 1, · · · , n.
∂xi Fy
158CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
ity implies that the expectation of function value with respect to a random
variable is not greater than the function value with respect to the expecta-
tion of the random variable, i.e.,
Remark 2.4.4 The strict concavity of the function f (x) can be determined
by testing whether the principal minors of the Hessian matrix change signs
alternately, i.e.,
f11 f12
> 0,
f21 f22
∂2f
and so on, where fij = . This algebraic condition is very useful for
∂xi ∂xj
testing second-order conditions of optimality.
P ROOF . Necessity: Let x1 and x2 be two points of S(y) (if S(y) is the
empty set, then it is clearly convex). We need to show: all convex combina-
tions xt ≡ tx1 + (1 − t)x2 , t ∈ [0, 1] are in S(y).
2.4. SINGLE-VALUED FUNCTION 161
When there are two or more variables, the above proposition becomes:
∑
n
∂f (x)
f (y) = f (x) ⇒ (yj − xj ) = 0. (2.4.2)
j=1
∂xj
0 f1 f2
0 f1
|B1 | = , |B2 | = f1 f11 f12 , · · · , |Bn | = |B|.
f1 f11
f2 f21 f22
px < c < py ∀x ∈ A, ∀y ∈ B.
px 5 py ∀x ∈ A.
Suppose that X and Y are two subsets of a topological vector space (e.g.,
the Euclidean space).
Point-to-set mapping is also called a correspondence or multi-valued
function. A correspondence F maps points x in a domain X into sets in
Y (e.g., maps point x in X ⊆ Rn into the range Y ⊆ Rm ), denoted by
F : X → 2Y . One also uses F : X ⇒ Y or F : X →→ Y to denote the
multi-valued mapping F : X → 2Y .
∪
m
xλ ∈ F (xi ).
i=1
(1) f : X → R is quasi-concave;
P ROOF . It is clear that: (1) implies (2); (2) implies (3); (3) implies (4);
and (5) implies (1). We just need to show that (4) implies (5). Suppose
that this is not the case, and there is a finite set {x1 , x2 , · · · , xm } ⊂ X and
∑m
certain convex combination, xλ = j=1 λj xj , such that xλ ̸∈ ∪m
j=1 U (xj ).
Therefore, for all j, we have xλ ∈ Ls (xj ), i.e., xj ∈ Us (xλ ), and thus xλ ∈
co Us (xλ ), which is a contradiction. 2
Remark 2.5.2 Upper hemi-continuity captures the idea that F (x) should
not “suddenly contain new points”when passing through a point x, i.e.,
F (x) does not jump if x changes slightly. In other words, if one starts at a
point x and moves slightly to x′ , upper hemi-continuity at x implies that
there is no point in F (x′ ) that is not close to some points in F (x).
2.5. MULTI-VALUED FUNCTION 167
Remark 2.5.3 Lower hemi-continuity captures the idea that any element in
F (x) can be “approached”from all directions, i.e., F (x) does not sudden-
ly become much smaller if one changes x slightly. In other words, if one
starts at x and y ∈ F (x), lower hemi-continuity at x implies that if one
moves slightly from x to x′ , there is some y ′ ∈ F (x′ ) that is close to y.
Remark 2.5.4 In fact, the notions of upper and lower hemi-continuous cor-
respondence both reduce to the standard notion of continuity for a function
if F (·) is a single-valued correspondence, i.e., a function. In other words,
2.5. MULTI-VALUED FUNCTION 169
Remark 2.5.5 Based on the following two facts, both notions of hemi-continuity
can be characterized by sequences.
(1992, 1993) and Zhou and Tian (1992) weaken the conditions for estab-
lishing some basic mathematical theorems in nonlinear analysis and the
existence of equilibrium solutions of optimization problems. They can be
employed to obtain many characterization results, such as necessary and
sufficient conditions for the existence of the maximal element of preference
relations and the existence of Nash equilibrium. These conclusions are pro-
vided in the corresponding chapters of this textbook.
Denote by int D and cl D the set of interior points, and the closure of set
D, respectively.
∩ ∩
cl G(x) = G(x)
x∈X x∈X
∩ ∩
cl G(x) = G(x).
x∈X x∈X
It is clear that
∩ ∩
G(x) ⊆ cl G(x),
x∈X x∈X
∩ ∩
cl G(x) ⊆ G(x).
x∈X x∈X
∩
Suppose that this is not the case. Then, there is a y, such that y ∈ x∈X cl G(x),
∩
but y ̸∈ x∈X G(x). Therefore, there is a z ∈ X, such that y ̸∈ G(z). Note
that G is transfer closed-valued on X, and then there exists a z ′ ∈ X, such
∩
that y ̸∈ cl G(z ′ ), and thus y ̸∈ x∈X cl G(x), which is a contradiction.
Necessity: Suppose that
∩ ∩
cl G(x) = G(x).
x∈X x∈X
If y ̸∈ G(x), then
∩ ∩
y ̸∈ cl G(x) = G(x),
x∈X x∈X
∪
s
co {yi1 , yi2 , · · · , yis } ⊆ G(yir ).
r=1
Remark 2.5.8 Unlike FS-convex and SS-convex, when defining the transfer
FS-convex and transfer SS-convex, we do not assume that correspondences
are mapping from itself to itself. It is clear that when X = Z and picking
yi = xi , FS-convex implies transfer FS-convex and SS-convex implies trans-
fer SS-convex. Similarly, it is not difficult to verify that the correspondence
P : X → 2Z is transfer SS-convex if and only if G : X → 2X defined by
G(x) = Z \ P (x) is transfer FS-convex.
Definition 2.6.1 (Local Optimum) If f (x∗ ) = f (x) (f (x∗ ) > f (x)) for al-
l x in some neighbourhood of x∗ , then the function is said to have local
maximum (unique local maximum) at point x∗ .
If f (x̃) 5 f (x)(f (x̃) < f (x)) for all x ̸= x̃ in some neighbourhoods of
x̃, then the function is said to have local minimum (unique local minimum) at
x̃.
Definition 2.6.2 (Global Optimum) If f (x∗ ) = f (x)(f (x∗ ) > f (x)) for all
x in the domain of the function, then the function is said to have global
(unique) maximum at x∗ ; if f (x∗ ) 5 f (x) (f (x∗ ) < f (x)) for all x in the
domain of the function, then the function is said to have global (unique)
minimum at x∗ .
f (y). It follows from the transfer weak upper continuity of f that there is
a x′ ∈ X and a neighbourhood N (y) of y, such that f (x′ ) = f (y ′ ) for all
y ′ ∈ N (y). Therefore, we have X = ∪y∈X N (y). Since X is compact, there
is a finite number of points {y1 , y2 , · · · , yn }, such that X = ∪ni=1 N (yi ). Let
xi′ be the corresponding points, such that f (xi′ ) = f (y ′ ) for all y ′ ∈ N (yi ).
f must have the maximum in the finite subset {x′1 , x′2 , · · · , x′n }. Without
loss of generality, suppose x′1 satisfying f (x′1 ) = f (x′i ) for ∀i = 1, 2, · · · , n.
It follows from the previous assumption that f has no maximum on X, i.e.,
x′1 is not the maximal point of f on X. Therefore, there exists x ∈ X, such
that f (x) > f (x′1 ). However, since X = ∪ni=1 N (yi ), there is j, such that x ∈
N (yj ), and then f (x′j ) = f (x). Therefore, f (x) > f (x′1 ) = f (x′j ) = f (x),
which is a contradiction. As a consequence, f has a maximum on X.
Necessity: We prove this in a straightforward manner. Let x′ be a max-
imal point of f . Then, f (x′ ) = f (y ′ ) holds for all y ′ ∈ X .
2
In many cases, when proving the existence of competitive equilibrium
and the existence of equilibrium in a game, we not only need to prove the
existence of optimal points, but also prove that the set of the optimal points
is compact.
P ROOF . We only need to prove the case with a set of maximal points.
Necessity: Suppose that the set of maximal points of f on X is nonemp-
ty and compact. If f (y) < f (x) for any x, y ∈ X, then y cannot be a maxi-
mal point of f on X. It follows from the compactness of the set of maximal
points that there is a neighbourhood N (y) of y that does not contain any
maximal points of f on X. Let x′ be a maximal point of f on X, and then
f (z) < f (x′ ) for all z ∈ N (y). Therefore, f is transfer upper continuous on
X.
176CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
∩
m ∩
m
∅ ̸= G(xi ) ⊆ cl G(xi ),
i=1 i=1
i.e., the class of sets {cl G(x) : x ∈ X} has the property of finite intersection
on X. Since {cl G(x) : x ∈ X} is a collection of closed sets in compact set
∩ ∩
X, ∅ ̸= x∈X cl G(x) = x∈X G(x). This implies that there is x∗ ∈ X,
such that ∗
f (x ) = f (x) for all x ∈ X. Since the set of maximal points
∩
x∈X cl G(x) is a closed subset of the compact set X, it is also compact. 2
In order to easily determine whether a function has an extreme point,
the following gives the method of finding extreme values by the differen-
tial method. We first provide the necessary conditions for interior extreme
points without constraints, and then give the sufficient conditions.
Generally, there are two necessary conditions for the interior extreme point,
i.e., first- and second-order necessary conditions.
Theorem 2.6.4 (The first-order necessary condition for interior extreme points)
Suppose that X ⊆ Rn . If a differentiable function f (x) reaches a local maximum
or minimum at an interior point x∗ ∈ X, then x∗ is the solution to the following
system of simultaneous equations:
∂f (x∗ )
= 0,
∂x1
2.6. STATIC OPTIMIZATION 177
∂f (x∗ )
= 0,
∂x2
..
.
∂f (x∗ )
= 0.
∂xn
P ROOF . Suppose that f (x) reaches the local extreme value at an interior
point x∗ , then we need to prove that Df (x∗ ) = 0. Although this proof is not
the simplest one, it will be very useful when considering the second-order
condition.
Choose any vector z ∈ Rn , and then construct a familiar univariate
function of any scalar t:
g(t) = f (x∗ + tz)
∑
n
∂f (x∗ )
g ′ (0) = zi = Df (x∗ )z = 0.
i=1
∂xi
Since the above equation holds for any vector z, including the unit vec-
tor, this means that each partial derivative of f must equal to zero, i.e.,
Df (x∗ ) = 0.
Theorem 2.6.5 (The second-order necessary conditions for interior extreme points)
Suppose that f (x) is twice continuously differentiable on X ⊆ Rn .
(1) If f (x) reaches a local maximum at the interior point x∗ , then the Hessian
178CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
∑
n
∂f (x + tz)
g ′ (t) = zi .
i=1
∂xi
∑
n ∑
n
∂ 2 f (x + tz)
g ′′ (t) = zi zj .
i=1 j=1
∂xi ∂xj
∑
n ∑
n
∂ 2 f (x∗ )
g ′′ (0) = zi zj 5 0,
i=1 j=1
∂xi ∂xj
(1) If fi (x∗ ) = 0, and if f ′ (x) changes its sign from positive to nega-
tive from the immediate left of the point x0 to its immediate right,
then f (x) has a local maximum at x∗ .
(2) If fi (x̃) = 0, and f ′ (x) changes its sign from negative to positive
from the immediate left of the point x0 to its immediate right, then
f (x) has a local minimum at x̃.
2.6. STATIC OPTIMIZATION 179
(3) There is no extreme point if f ′ (x) has the same sign on some neigh-
borhood.
Global Optimization
The local optimum is, in general, not the same as the global optimum.
However, under certain conditions, these two are consistent with each oth-
er.
Theorem 2.6.8 (Local and Global Optimum) Suppose that f is a concave and
twice continuously differentiable function on X ⊆ Rn , and x∗ is an interior point
of X. Then, the following three statements are equivalent:
(1) Df (x∗ ) = 0.
P ROOF . It is clear that (3) ⇒ (2), and it follows from the previous
theorem that (2) ⇒ (1). We just need to prove that (1) ⇒ (3).
Suppose that Df (x∗ ) = 0. Then, that f is concave implies that for all x
in the domain, we have:
f (x) 5 f (x∗ ).
Theorem 2.6.10 (The sufficient condition for the uniqueness of global optimum)
Suppose that f (x) is twice continuously differentiable on X ⊆ Rn . We have:
Equality-Constrained Optimization
max f (x1 , · · · , xn )
x1 ,··· ,xn
s.t. g 1 (x1 , · · · , xn ) = 0,
g 2 (x1 , · · · , xn ) = 0,
..
.
g m (x1 , · · · , xn ) = 0.
∑
m
L(x, λ) = f (x) + λj g j (x), (2.6.3)
j=1
∂L(x∗ , λ∗ ) ∂f (x∗ ) ∑ m
∂g j (x∗ )
= + λ∗j = 0, i = 1, · · · , n.
∂xi ∂xi i=1
∂xi
The following proposition gives the sufficient conditions for interior ex-
treme values with equality constraints.
182CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
0 g1 g2 ··· gn
g1 L11 L12 ··· L1n
|H̄| = g2 L21 L22 ··· L2n .
··· ··· ··· ··· ···
gn Ln1 Ln2 · · · Lnn
f1 f2 fn
λ= = = ··· = .
g1 g2 gn
2.6. STATIC OPTIMIZATION 183
0 g1 g2 g3
0 g1 g2
g1 L11 L12 L13
|H̄2 | = g1 L11 L12 , |H̄3 | = , ··· .
g2 L21 L22 L23
g2 L21 L22
g3 L31 L32 L33
(2) |H̄2 | > 0, |H̄3 | < 0, |H̄4 | > 0, · · · , (−1)n |H̄n | > 0.
max f (x)
s.t. gi (x) 5 di , i = 1, 2, · · · , k.
If for a point x that makes all constraints held with equality, Dg1 (x),
Dg2 (x), · · · , Dgk (x) are linearly independent, then x is said to satisfy the
strong version of constrained qualification. Here, the symbol D represents
the partial differential operator.
λi = 0, for all i = 1, 2, · · · , k.
λi = 0, if gi (x) < di .
We can weaken the conditions in the above theorem when there is only
2.6. STATIC OPTIMIZATION 185
Proposition 2.6.2 Suppose that f is quasi-concave, and the set C is convex (this
is true if g is quasi-convex). If x satisfies the Kuhn-Tucker first-order conditions,
then x is a global solution to the constrained maximization problem.
max f (x)
s.t. gi (x) 5 di , i = 1, 2, · · · , k,
x = 0.
∑
k ∑
n
L(x, λ) = f (x) + λl [dl − gl (x)] + µj xj ,
l=1 j=1
L(x, λ) ∂f (x) ∑ k
∂gl (x)
= − λl + µi = 0, i = 1, 2, · · · , n.
∂xi ∂xi l=1
∂xi
λl = 0, l = 1, 2, · · · , k.
λl = 0, if gl (x) < dl .
µi = 0, i = 1, 2, · · · , n.
µi = 0, if xi > 0.
L(x, λ) ∂f (x) ∑k
∂gl (x)
= − λl 5 0, with equality if xi > 0, i = 1, 2, · · · , n,
∂xi ∂xi l=1
∂xi
or in matrix notation,
Df − λDg 5 0,
186CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
x[Df − λDg] = 0,
where we have written the product of two vectors x and y as the inner
∑n
product, i.e., xy = i=1 xi yi . Therefore, if we are at an interior optimum,
we have
Df (x) = λDg.
The function M (a) gives the maximum of the objective function as a func-
tion of parameter a.
Let x(a) be the value of x that solves the maximization problem. Then,
we can also write M (a) = f (x(a), a). It is often of interest to know how
M (a) changes as a changes. The Envelope Theorem gives us the answer:
dM (a) ∂f (x, a)
=
da ∂a
x=x(a)
∂g ∂h
−λ = 0, (2.6.4)
∂x1 ∂x1
∂g ∂h
−λ = 0,
∂x2 ∂x2
h(x1 , x2 , a) = 0.
These conditions determine the optimal choice functions (x1 (a), x2 (a)), which,
in turn, determine the maximum value function
dM (a) ∂L(x, a)
=
da ∂a x=x(a)
∂g(x1 , x2 , a) ∂h(x1 , x2 , a)
= −λ
∂a xi =xi (a)
∂a
xi =xi (a)
is upper hemi-continuous.
For the infinite dimension space, we have the following Browder Theo-
rem.
The fixed point theorem plays a crucial role in proving the existence of e-
quilibrium. It is the most commonly used method for determining whether
there is a solution of equilibrium equations. John von Neumann (1903-1957,
see Section 5.8.1 for his biography) was the first to propose results that are
essentially the fixed point theorem in two papers published in 1928 and
1937, respectively.
There are some important fixed point theorems which are widely used
in economics.
Brouwer’s fixed point theorem is one of the most fundamental and impor-
tant fixed point theorems.
g(0) = f (0) = 0
g(1) = f (1) − 1 5 0.
From the mean-value theorem, there is a point x∗ ∈ [0, 1], such that g(x∗ ) =
f (x∗ ) − x∗ = 0.
192CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Figure 2.4: The intersection point of 45◦ line and the curve of a function is
a fixed point. There are three fixed points in this example
It follows from Theorem 2.6.16 that we have the following Browder’s Fixed
Point Theorem.
It follows from Theorem 2.6.17 that Michael’s Fixed Point Theorem is given
as follows.
Tarsky’s fixed point theorem is a very different type of fixed point theorem.
It does not require the function to have any kind of continuity, but only re-
quires that the function be monotonic and non-decreasing, and be defined
on the domain composed of intervals. It is becoming increasingly impor-
tant in applications of economics, especially in games with a monotonic
payoff function.
Theorem 2.6.23 (Tarsky’s Fixed Point Theorem (1955)) Let [0, 1]n be the n
times product of interval [0, 1]. If f : [0, 1]n → [0, 1]n is a non-decreasing func-
tion, then f has a fixed point, i.e., there is a point x∗ ∈ X, such that f (x∗ ) = x∗ .
In numerous dynamic economic models, we not only need to prove the ex-
istence of equilibrium, but also prove the uniqueness of equilibrium. The
contraction mapping principle is an important tool to solve this problem.
It is also the most basic and simple theorem of existence in functional anal-
ysis. Indeed, many of the existence theorems in mathematical analysis are
its special cases. Its basic conclusion is that a contraction mapping from a
complete metric space to itself has a unique fixed point.
All of the above fixed-point theorems are only sufficient conditions for the
existence of fixed points. Tian (2017) introduced a series of concepts of
recursive transfer continuity, and provided a sufficient and necessary con-
dition for the existence of fixed points.
We first introduce the concept of diagonal transfer continuity intro-
duced by Baye, Tian and Zhou (1993).
certain sense, such as KKM lemma, Sperner lemma, Brouwer’s fixed point
theorem, and Kakutani’s fixed point theorem (which can be derived from
each other). In numerous disciplines, such as variation inequalities, mathe-
matical programming, partial differential equations and economic models,
it can be used to prove the existence of equilibrium solutions.
Then, there exists a point y ∗ ∈ X, such that ϕ(x, y ∗ ) 5 0 holds for all x ∈ X.
∪
m
xλ ∈ F (xi ),
i=1
then
∩
F (x) ̸= ∅.
x∈X
∪
m
xλ ∈ F (xi ).
i=1
Then,
∩
F (x) ̸= ∅.
x∈X
∩
Then, x∈X F (x) ̸= ∅ if and only if the correspondence ϕ: X × X → R ∪ {±∞}
defined by
γ, if (x, y) ∈ G,
ϕ(x, y) =
+∞, otherwise
∫ t1
g(a) = F [t, y(t), y ′ (t)]dt
t0
∫ t1
∗
= F [t, x∗ (t) + ah(t), x′ (t) + ah′ (t)]dt. (2.7.9)
t0
Using integration by parts on the second part of the right side of the equa-
tion (2.7.10) yields:
∫ { }
t1
∗ ′∗ dFx′ [t, x∗ (t), x′ ∗ (t)]
Fx [t, x , x (t)] − h(t)dt = 0. (2.7.11)
t0 dt
If equation (2.7.11) holds for any continuous function h(t) that satisfies the
constraint h(t0 ) = h(t1 ) = 0, the Euler equation (2.7.8) also holds (see
Kamiem & Schwartz (1991)).
Example 2.7.1 (Kamien & Schwartz (1991)) Suppose that an enterprise re-
ceives an order, requiring B units of products delivered at time T . Assume
that the production capacity of the enterprise is limited, and the unit cost of
production is proportional to the output. In addition, completed products
2.7. DYNAMIC OPTIMIZATION 199
need to be stocked, and the inventory cost per unit is a constant. Business
managers need to consider production problems from now (time 0) to de-
livery date (time T ). Suppose that at time t ∈ [0, T ], the inventory of the en-
terprise is x(t), and the change of inventory depends on the production of
the enterprise, i.e., ẋ(t) ≡ x′ (t) = y(t), where y(t) is the productivity at time
t. At t, the cost of the enterprise is c1 x′ (t)x′ (t) + c2 x(t) or c1 u(t)u(t) + c2 x(t),
where c1 u(t) is the unit cost of production when the yield is u(t), and c2 is
the unit cost of inventory. The goal of the enterprise is to minimize cost-
s (including both production costs and inventory costs), and therefore the
dynamic optimization problem is
∫ T
[c1 x′ (t) + c2 x(t)]dt
2
min (2.7.12)
0
s.t. x(0) = 0, x(T ) = B, x′ (t) = 0.
∗
c2 = 2c1 x′′ (t).
c2
x∗ (t) = t(t − T ) + Bt/T, t ∈ [0, T ].
4c1
is:
H(t, x, p) = −F (t, x, x′ ) + px′ . (2.7.14)
In equation (2.7.14), p(t) can be regarded as the shadow price. The total
differential of equation (2.7.14) is:
∂H/∂x = −Fx ;
∂H/∂p = x′ .
Since −Fx = −(dFx′ /dt) = −p′ , we have two Euler equations under first-
order conditions:
∂H/∂x = −p′ ;
∂H/∂p = x′ .
The Euler equations are only the necessary conditions for solving dy-
namic optimization, and the sufficient conditions involve the second-order
conditions. After deriving the first-order conditions by the calculus of vari-
ation, it is clear that the second-order condition is:
∫ t1
′′
g (0) = [Fxx h2 + 2Fxx′ hh′ + Fx′ x′ (h′ )2 ]dt 5 0.
t0
It can be proven (see Kamiem & Schwartz (1991, p.43)) that the first-order
condition, i.e., the Euler equation, will be met as long as Fx′ x′ 5 0, and
thus the dynamic maximization problem is solved. Regarding dynamic
minimization, the first-order condition is also a sufficient condition if the
second-order condition satisfies Fx′ x′ = 0.
We have two types of variables in the previous example: state variable and
control variable. We can also discuss the dynamic optimization problem
using the analytical framework of optimal control.
The optimal control problem can be generally expressed as follows:
∫ t1
max f [t, x(t), u(t)]dt (2.7.15)
t0
s.t. x′ (t) = g(t, x(t), u(t)), (2.7.16)
x(t0 ) = x0 . (2.7.17)
The necessary conditions for the optimal control problem can be de-
rived by using a similar process of deducing the calculus of variation. As-
suming that u∗ (t) is the optimal control function, we introduce a new con-
trol function u∗ (t) + ah(t), which reduces to the original optimal control
function when a = 0. The optimal state function x∗ (t) can be determined
by giving the optimal control function u∗ (t) and the initial state x(t0 ) = x0 .
Denote the state variable generated by control function u∗ (t) + ah(t) and
initial state x0 as y(t, a), which satisfy: y(t, a) = x∗ (t), y(t, 0) = x0 , and
dy(t, a)/dt = g(t, y(t, a), u∗ (t) + ah(t)). Set the function:
∫ t1
J(a) = f [t, y(t, a), u∗ (t) + ah(t)]dt
t0
∫ t1
= {f [t, y(t, a), u∗ (t) + ah(t)]
t0
+λt [g(t, y(t, a), u∗ (t) + ah(t)) + y ′ (t, a)λ′t ]}dt
−λt1 y(t1 , a) + λt0 y(t0 , a). (2.7.19)
The first one is the first-order condition with respect to the control vari-
able:
fu [t, x(t), u(t)] + λgu (t, x(t), u(t)) = 0. (2.7.20)
The second one is the first-order condition with respect to the costate
variable:
λ′ (t) = −fx [t, x(t), u(t)] − λ(t)gx [t, x(t), u(t)], λ(t1 ) = 0. (2.7.21)
2.7. DYNAMIC OPTIMIZATION 203
The Hamilton equation for optimal control, which is similar to the La-
grange equation for constrained optimizations, is defined as:
H(t, x(t), u(t)) ≡ f (t, x(t), u(t)) + λ(t)g(t, x(t), u(t)). (2.7.23)
c2
x∗ (t) = t(t − T ) + Bt/T, t ∈ [0, T ],
4c1
c2 −c2
u∗ (t) = t + k, t ∈ [0, T ]; k= T + B/T.
2c1 4c1
Define the value function J(t0 , x0 ) as the maximal value starting at time
t0 in state x0 :
∫ T
J(t0 , x0 ) = max f (t, x(t), u(t))dt + ϕ(x(T ), T ) (2.7.29)
u t0
s.t. x′ (t) = g(t, x(t), u(t)), x(t0 ) = x0 , t ∈ [t0 , T ]. ∀t0 ∈ [0, T ].
At time t0 + ∆t, the state changes to x0 + ∆x, and it follows from Bellman’s
2.7. DYNAMIC OPTIMIZATION 205
∫ (∫ )
t0 +∆t T
J(t0 , x0 ) = max f dt + max f dt + ϕ(x(T ), T )
u t0 u t0 +∆t
∫ t0 +∆t
= max f dt + J(t0 + ∆t, x0 + ∆x), (2.7.31)
u t0
x′ = g, x(t0 + ∆t) = x0 + ∆x.
Since
dJx (t, x)
λ′ (t) = = Jtx + Jxx g,
dt
together with (2.7.34), we obtain:
The equation (2.7.35) is just the first-order condition for optimal control
with respect to the state variable:
−∂H/∂x = λ′ .
fu + Jx gu = 0,
and this is the first-order condition for optimal control with respect to con-
trol variables:
∂H
= fu + λgu = 0.
∂u
Suppose that the state set S ⊆ Rn is a nonempty and compact set, and
U : S × S → R is a bounded continuous function, which generally rep-
resents the utility function in a period. Given the initial state s0 = z, the
general dynamic optimization problem is:
∞
∑
max δ t U (st , st+1 ) (2.7.36)
{st }
t=0
s.t. st ∈ S, ∀t,
s0 = z. (2.7.37)
The equivalence results provide the basis for solving the dynamic opti-
mization problem by the Bellman method. The following theorem reveals
that the value function is the only function satisfying the Bellman equation.
Theorem 2.7.1
f (s) = max U (s, ŝ) + δV (ŝ) (2.7.38)
ŝ∈S
−1
T∑
f (z) = max δ t U (st , st+1 ) + δ T f (xT )
{st }T
t=0 t=0
s.t. st ∈ S, ∀t,
s0 = z.
holds for any s ∈ S, and thus we obtain a new value function f1 (ŝ).
Value function V (·) can be also found by the iterative method. If f1 (t) =
f0 (t), then f0 (t) satisfies the Bellman equation. It follows from the above
theorem that f0 (t) = V (t). If f1 (t) ̸= f0 (t), we obtain a new value func-
tion from f1 (t), and also obtain the whole sequence of functions {fr (·)}∞
r=0 .
Then, it can be shown that
∂U [x, g(x)]
0= + δV ′ [g(x)], (2.7.40)
∂g
where g(x) is the state of the next periods determined by x following Bell-
man’s principle of optimality. It follows from the envelope theorem that
∂ψ ∂ψ ∂ψ
···
∂C1 ∂C2 ∂Cn
∂ψ (1) ∂ψ (1) ∂ψ (1)
D[ψ, ψ (1) , · · · , ψ (n−1) ] def ···
= ∂C1 ∂C2 ∂Cn
D[C1 , · · · , Cn ] .. .. .. ..
. . . .
∂ψ (n−1) ∂ψ (n−1) ∂ψ (n−1)
···
∂C1 ∂C2 ∂Cn
(1) (n−1)
y(x0 ) = y0 , y (1) (x0 ) = y0 , · · · , y (n−1) (x0 ) = y0 , (2.8.44)
then the ordinary differential equation (2.8.42) and the initial value condi-
tions (2.8.44) are said to be the Cauchy problem or initial value problem for
210CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
The following is the theorem on the uniqueness of the solution for dif-
ferential equations.
Theorem 2.8.2 Suppose that f is continuous on an open set D, and satisfies the
global Lipschitz condition with respect to y. Then, for any (x0 , y0 ) ∈ D, there
always exists a unique solution y(x) satisfying y ′ = f (x, y) and y(x0 ) = y0 .
Generally, we aim to obtain the concrete form of solutions, i.e., explicit so-
lutions, for differential equations. However, in many cases, there is no ex-
plicit solution. Here, we present some common cases in which differential
equations can be solved explicitly.
1
y(x) = .
ln(x2 + 1) + 1
dy
+ p(x)y = q(x). (2.8.45)
dx
then substituting this back into the original differential equation, we have
∫ ∫ ∫
c′ (x)e− p(x)dx
+ c(x)p(x)e− p(x)dx
= p(x)c(x)e− p(x)dx
+ q(x),
and thus ∫
c′ (x) = q(x)e p(x)dx
.
We have ∫ ∫
p(x)dx
c(x) = q(x)e dx + C.
214CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Bernoulli Equation
dy
+ p(x)y = q(x)y n , (2.8.46)
dx
dy
(1 − n)y (−n) + (1 − n)y (1−n) p(x) = (1 − n)q(x).
dx
Let z = y (1−n) , and get:
dz
+ (1 − n)zp(x) = (1 − n)q(x),
dx
∂M (x, y) ∂N (x, y)
≡ .
∂y ∂x
λn + a1 λn−1 + · · · + an−1 λ + an = 0.
yi1 (x) = eλi x , yi2 (x) = xeλi x , · · · , yik (x) = xk−1 eλi x .
yj1 = eαj x cos βj x, yj2 = xeαj x cos βj x, · · · , yjl = xl−1 eαj x cos βj x;
yjl+1 = eαj x sin βj x, yjl+2 = xeαj x sin βj x, · · · , yj2l = xl−1 eαj x sin βj x.
Next, we will provide some procedures for solving for particular solu-
tions of nonhomogeneous equations.
(1) If f (x) = Pk (x)ebx , and Pk (x) is the polynomial of degree k, then the
form of particular solutions is:
yp (x) = xs Qk (x)ebx ,
(2) If f (x) = Pk (x)epx cos qx + Qk (x)epx sin qx, and Pk (x) and Qk (x) are
all polynomials of degree k, then the form of particular solutions is:
as follows:
yg = C1 y1 (x) + · · · + Cn yn (x),
(4) If f (x) = f1 (x) + f2 (x) + · · · + fr (x), and yp1 (x), · · · , ypr (x) are the
particular solutions corresponding to f1 (x), · · · , fr (x), then
6a = 1, −5 × 2a + 6b = 0, 2a − 5b + 6c = −5, d − 5d + 6d = 1,
x(t) = xc (t) + xp .
There are two methods for solving the system of homogeneous differential
equations (2.8.49).
The first one is that we can eliminate n − 1 dependent variables, and
thus the system of differential equations becomes the differential equation
of order n, such as the following example.
thus the general solution is x(t) = C1 et + C2 e5t . Since y(t) = ẋ − 2x, y(t) =
−C1 et + 3C2 e5t .
x(t) = eAt x0 ,
where
A2 t2
eAt = I + At + + ··· .
2!
Now, we solve eAt in three different cases.
220CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Matrix A has different real eigenvalues, which means that its eigenvectors
are linearly independent. Therefore, A can be diagonalized, namely,
A = P ΛP −1 ,
x(t) = P eΛt P −1 x0
= P eΛt c
= c1 v1 eλ1 t + · · · + cn vn eλn t ,
First, consider a simple case in which A has only one eigenvalue of mul-
tiplicity m. In this case, there are at most m linearly independent eigen-
vectors, which means that the matrix P cannot be constructed as a matrix
consisting of linearly independent eigenvectors, and thus A can not be di-
agonalized.
∑
m
x(t) = ci hi (t),
i=1
where hi (t), ∀i, are quasi-polinomials, and ci , ∀i, are determined by initial
2.8. DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS 221
h1 (t) = eλt v1 ,
h2 (t) = eλt (tv1 + v2 ),
h3 (t) = eλt (t2 v1 + 2tv2 + 3v3 ),
(A − λI)vi = vi−1 , v0 = 0.
If A has more than one multiple real eigenvalues, then the solution of the
differential equation (2.8.49) can be obtained by summing up the solutions
corresponding to each eigenvalue.
x(t) = eAt x0
= P eΛt P −1 x0
= P eΛt c
= c1 v1 e(α+βi)t + c2 v2 e(α−βi)t
= c1 v1 eαt (cos βt + i sin βt) + c2 v2 eαt (cos βt − i sin βt)
= (c1 v1 + c2 v2 )eαt cos βt + i(c1 v1 − c2 v2 )eαt sin βt
= h1 eαt cos βt + h2 eαt sin βt,
222CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
Definition 2.8.7 Let x∗ be the stationary point of the dynamic system (2.8.50),
Q ⊆ Rn be an open set containing x∗ , and V (x) : Q → R be a continuously
differentiable function. If it satisfies:
def
V̇ (x) = ▽V (x)f (t, x) 5 0, ∀x ∈ Q, (2.8.51)
Theorem 2.8.3 If there exists a Lyapunov function V for the dynamic system
(2.8.50), then the stationary point x∗ is globally stable.
If the Lyapunov function (2.8.51) of the dynamic system satisfies V̇ (x) <
0, ∀x ∈ Q, x ̸= x∗ , then the stationary point x∗ is asymptotically globally stable.
and particular solutions. The general solutions usually contain some arbi-
trary constants that can be determined by initial conditions.
The difference equations can also be expressed in the following form by
variable conversion:
y(t) = Y + y ∗ .
y(t + 1) + ay(t) = 0,
r
y∗ = , a ̸= −1,
1+a
y ∗ = rt, a = −1.
∑
t−1
y∗ = (−a)t−1−i r(i),
i=0
228CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
∑
t−1
y(t) = (−a)t y0 + (−a)t−1−i r(i), t = 1, 2, · · · .
i=0
y(t + 1) − 3y(t) = t2 + t + 2.
y(t + 1) − 3y(t) = 0,
y ∗ = At2 + Bt + D.
or
−2At2 + 2(A − B)t + A + B − 2D = t2 + t + 2.
2.9. DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS 229
1 3
which gives A = − , B = −1 and D = − , and thus we have a particular
2 4
∗ 1 2 3
solution: y = − t − t − . As a consequence, a particular solution of the
2 4
1 3
nonhomogeneous equation is y(t) = Y + y ∗ = C3t − t2 − t − .
2 4
We can also solve the case with an exponential function by using the
method of undetermined-coefficients.
Then, its general solution depends on the roots of the following linear
equation:
m2 + a1 m + a2 = 0,
Case 3: m1 and m2 are two complex roots, i.e., r(cos θ ± i sin θ) with r >
0, θ ∈ (−π, π]. The general solution of the homogeneous equation is
Y = C1 rt cos(tθ + C2 ).
mn + a1 mn−1 + · · · + an−1 m + an = 0.
C1 rt cos(tθ + C2 ).
∑
n ∞
∑
y∗ = θs mis r(t − i),
s=1 i=0
where
ms
θs = .
Πj̸=s (ms − mj )
Theorem 2.9.1 Suppose that the modulus of all eigenvalues of the characteristic
equation are less than 1. Then, the difference equation (2.9.60) is asymptotically
stable.
When the following inequality conditions are satisfied, the modulus of all
eigenvalues of the characteristic equation are less than 1.
1 an
> 0,
an 1
2.9. DIFFERENCE EQUATIONS 233
1 0 an an−1
a1 1 0 an
> 0,
an 0 1 a1
an−1 an 0 1
(I − A)−1 b.
Risk and uncertainty, as well as some of their basic operations, are broadly
used in economics. This section briefly introduces knowledge involved in
the textbook.
πss′
P (Xb = Xbs′ |Xa = Xas ) = ∑ .
t′ ∈S πst′
∑
E(Xa ) ≡ X̄a = πs Xas ,
s∈S
∑
Var(Xa ) ≡ σX
2
a
= πs (Xas − X̄a )2 .
s∈S
Therefore, the larger is the variance, the greater is the variation degree.
There may be some correlations between the two random variables, Xa
and Xb . Suppose that the value space of Xa is {Xas }s∈S , and that of Xb is
{Xbs′ }s′ ∈S ′ . Then, their covariance measures the correlations between their
values.
Let πss′ be the probability of Xa = Xas and Xb = Xbs′ . Covariance,
denoted by Cov(Xa , Xb ), is defined as:
∑
Cov(Xa , Xb ) = πss′ (Xas − X̄a )(Xbs′ − X̄b )
s∈S,s′ ∈S ′
or
When a random variable X takes values over [a, b], its probability distri-
bution function F on support [a, b] is defined by
and thus
∫ x ∫ x
F (x)E[X|X < x] = tf (t)dt = xF (x) − F (t)dt,
a a
Binomial Distribution
Assume that there are many balls in a box with two colors. The proportion
of red balls is p, and that of black balls is 1 − p. The value of the random
variable X is 1 if the red ball is drawn; otherwise, it is 0. If it is taken only
once, the probability distribution of the random variable is p(X = 1) = p
and p(X = 0) = 1 − p.
The expectation and variance are:
If we draw n times (the ball is put back into the box at each time),
the random variable is defined as the number of times that the red ball
is drawn.
The probability distribution of random variables is
n!
p(X = k) = pk (1 − p)n−k .
k!(n − k)!
Poisson Distribution
λk
P (X = k) = e−λ ,
k!
E(X) = λ; Var(X) = λ.
Uniform Distribution
1
f (x) = , x ∈ [a, b],
b−a
then X follows a uniform distribution over [a, b]. Its expectation and vari-
ance are:
b+a (b − a)2
E(X) = ; Var(X) = .
2 12
Normal Distribution
1 (x−µ)2
f (x) = √ e− 2σ2 , x ∈ (−∞, ∞),
2πσ
E(X) = µ; Var(X) = σ 2 .
Exponential Distribution
1 1
E(X) = ; Var(X) = .
λ λ2
Theorem 2.11.1 F (·) first-order stochastically dominates G(·) if and only if for
any nondecreasing function u : [a, b] → R, we have
∫ b ∫ b
u(z)dF (z) = u(z)dG(z).
a a
while the inequality is based on the assumptions that u(·) is weakly increas-
ing (u′ (·) = 0) and H(z) 5 0. 2
For any two probability distributions F and G, as long as an agent’s
utility is (weakly) increasing in outcomes, he or she prefers the one that
first-order stochastically dominates the other one.
for all z.
plies not only monotonicity, but also lower risk. To show this, we introduce
the notion of “mean-preserving spreads”.
Suppose that X is a random variable with distribution function F . Let
Z be a random variable whose distribution conditional on X = x, H(·|X =
x), is, such that for all x, E[Z|X = x] = 0. Suppose that Y = X + Z
is the random variable obtained from first drawing X from F and then
for each realization X = x, drawing a Z from the conditional distribution
H(·|X = x) and adding it to X. Let G be the distribution of Y so defined.
We will then say that G is a mean-preserving spread of F .
While random variables X and Y have the same mean, i.e., E[X] =
E[Y ], variable Y is “more spread-out”than X since it is obtained by
adding a “noise”variable Z to X. Now, suppose that u : [a, b] → R is
a concave function. Using Jensen’s inequality, we have
Theorem 2.11.2 If distributions F (·) and G(·) defined on [a, b] have the same
mean, then the following statements are equivalent.
(1) F (·) second-order stochastically dominates G(·);
∫b
(2) for any nondecreasing concave function u : R → R, we have a u(z)dF (z) =
∫b
a u(z)dG(z);
(3) G(·) is a mean-preserving spread of F (·).
∫ ∫ (∫ )
b b b
u(z)dF (z) = u (x + z)dHz (x) dF (z)
a a a
∫ (∫ )
b b
= u(x + z)dHz (x) dF (z)
a a
∫ b
= u(z)dG(z),
a
242CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
If γ1 (a2 − a1 ) < γ2 (a4 − a3 ), then there exists a3 < â4 5 a4 , such that
γ1 (â2 − a1 ) = γ2 (â4 − a3 ).
Letting
if a1 < z < aˆ2 ,
γ1 ,
S1 (z) =
−γ2 , if a3 < z < aˆ4 ,
0, otherwise.
Let F be a distribution function with support [a, b]. The hazard rate of F is
the function λ : [a, b) → R+ defined by
f (x)
λ(x) ≡ .
1 − F (x)
If we interpret F as the probability that some event will occur prior to time
x, then the hazard rate at x represents the instantaneous probability that
the event will happen at x, given that it has not occurred until time x. S-
ince the event may be the failure of some component, e.g., a lightbulb, it is
sometimes also called the “failure rate”.
Solving for F , we have
( ∫ x )
F (x) = 1 − exp − λ(t)dt . (2.11.64)
a
This shows that any arbitrary function λ : [a, b) → R+ , such that for all
x < b, ∫ ∫
x x
λ(t)dt < ∞, lim λ(t)dt = ∞,
a x→b a
244CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
A closely related concept to the hazard rate is the reverse hazard rate σ :
(a, b] → R+ given by
f (x)
σ(x) ≡ ,
F (x)
and is sometimes referred to as the inverse of the Mills’ ratio. Similarly,
solving for F gives ( )
∫ b
F (x) = exp − σ(t)dt . (2.11.65)
x
This shows that any arbitrary function σ : (a, b] → R+ , such that for all
x > a, ∫ ∫
b b
σ(t)dt < ∞ and lim σ(t)dt = ∞.
x x→0 x
f (x) f (y)
5 , (2.11.66)
g(x) g(y)
f
which means that g is a nondecreasing function. As such, we refer to this
order as likelihood ratio dominance.
f (y) g(y)
5 ,
f (x) g(x)
1 − F (x) 1 − G(x)
5 .
f (y) g(y)
f (x) g(x)
5 ,
f (y) g(y)
(n) (n)
Y1 = Y2 = · · · = Yn(n) ,
(n)
where Yk , k = 1, 2, · · · , n are referred to as order statistics.
(n) (n)
Let Fk denote the distribution of Yk , with corresponding probability
(n)
density function fk . If there is no confusion, we simply denote them as Yk ,
Fk and fk . In auction theory, we will typically be interested in properties of
the highest and second highest order statistics, i.e., Y1 and Y2 , respectively.
F1 (y) = F (y)n .
2.11.6 Affiliation
in which
x′ ∨ x = (max(x′1 , x1 ), · · · , max(x′n , xn ))
∂2
ln f = 0,
∂xi ∂xj
which means that the off-diagonal elements of the Hessian of ln f are non-
negative.
Suppose that the two random variables X and Y have a joint density f :
[a, b]2 → R. If X and Y are affiliated, then for all x′ = x and y ′ = y, we
have
f (x, y ′ ) f (x′ , y ′ )
f (x′ , y)f (x, y ′ ) 5 f (x, y)f (x′ , y ′ ) ⇔ 5 (2.11.68)
f (x, y) f (x′ , y)
and
f (y ′ |x) f (y ′ |x′ )
5 ,
f (y|x) f (y|x′ )
so the likelihood ratio
f (·|x′ )
f (·|x)
is increasing, and this is referred to as the monotone likelihood ratio prop-
erty.
Using the same arguments as for order stochastic dominance in the pre-
vious subsection, it can be deduced that for all x′ = x, FY (·|x′ ) dominates
2.11. STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE AND AFFILIATION 249
FY (·|x) in terms of the likelihood ratio, and the other dominance relation-
ships then follow as usual. We have the following conclusions.
f (y|x′ ) f (y|x)
λ(y|x′ ) ≡ ′
5 ≡ λ(y|x).
1 − F (y|x ) 1 − F (y|x)
f (y|x′ ) f (y|x)
σ(y|x′ ) ≡ 5 ≡ σ(y|x),
F (y|x′ ) F (y|x)
2.12 Biographies
lies in the adoption of the following three elements in the process of eco-
nomic analysis. The first one is economic theory with an inherent logical
analysis. The second is history with analysis from historical perspectives.
Finally, the third is statistics with data and empirical analysis. Schum-
peter’s five innovation concepts are also frequently quoted and mentioned,
even to the extent that his name appears in almost every discussion about
innovation. Moreover, as the founder of the Innovation Theory and the re-
search of business history, Schumpeter’s influence is also currently being
“rediscovered”.
Innovation refers to an economic process that recombines and integrates
original production factors into new production methods in order to in-
crease efficiency and reduce costs. In Schumpeter’s economic model, those
who can successfully innovate can survive the dilemmas of diminishing re-
turns; whereas, those who fail to recombine production factors will be the
first to be eliminated by the market. The creative destruction of capitalism
means that when the economy cycles to the bottom, this is the time when
some entrepreneurs have to consider exiting the market and others must
innovate to survive. As long as excess competitors are excluded or some
successful “innovations”are created, the economy will improve and pro-
duction efficiency will increase. When an industry becomes profitable a-
gain, however, it will attract the investment of new competitors. Then, the
process of diminishing returns begins again and returns to the previous s-
tate. Therefore, every depression implies the possibility of another techno-
logical innovation, or it can alternatively be stated that the result of techno-
logical innovation is another expected depression. In Schumpeter’s view,
the creativity and destructiveness of capitalism are homologous. Howev-
er, Schumpeter did not believe that the superiority of capitalism is due to
its own impetus which can promote its own development continually. In-
stead, he contended that the capitalist economy will eventually collapse be-
cause it cannot withstand the energy of its rapid expansion. The business
cycle, also known as the economic cycle, is Schumpeter’s most quoted eco-
nomic term. Schumpeter’s concept of creative destruction has had a great
influence on the development of modern economics. The combination of
the dynamic market mechanism and R&D economics provides economists
254CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
2.13 Exercises
Exercise 2.1 Consider an economy with two sectors: the industrial sector
and the monetary sector, characterized by the following equations:
Y = C + I + G,
2.13. EXERCISES 255
C = a + b(1 − t)Y,
I = d − ei,
G = G0 ,
1. Equilibrium income Y ∗ ;
Exercise 2.3 Given a metric space X, consider a series of open sets {En }n∈N
in X.
∪
1. Prove that n∈N En is an open set.
2. Prove that it may not be true that the intersection of a series of open
sets is open (please provide an example of this).
1. The difference of an open set and a closed set is also open, while the
difference of a closed set and an open set is also closed.
Exercise 2.5 Let S ⊆ RL . Prove that the following propositions are equiv-
alent:
1. S is compact.
5. Each closed subset of the set S with finite intersection property (i.e.,
the intersection over any finite subcollection is nonempty) is nonemp-
ty.
1
Exercise 2.9 Suppose that f (x) = xT Ax+bT x+c, where x ∈ Rn , xT is the
2
transpose of vector x, A is an n×n symmetric matrix , b is an n-dimensional
vector, and c is a constant.
max x1
s.t. x31 − x2 5 0,
x2 5 0.
max xyz
s.t. x2 + y 2 + z 2 5 6,
x > 0, y > 0, z > 0.
max f (x)
s.t. g 1 (x) = 0, · · · , g m (x) = 0,
258CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
max u(x)
x
s.t. px = y.
Suppose that there is an optimum solution x∗ (p, y) > 0, such that v(x, y) =
u(x∗ (p, y)).
Prove:
1. There is a point a ∈ X, such that d(x0 , a) < d(x0 , x) for all x ∈ X, and
d(x0 , a) > 0.
∑n
2. There is a point p ∈ Rn , p ̸= 0, ||p|| ≡ ( 2 1/2
i=1 pi ) < ∞ and α ∈ R,
such that
p · x = α, for all x ∈ X and p · x0 < α.
2.13. EXERCISES 259
Draw the graph of G(x) and prove that: G(x) is upper hemi-continuous
but not lower hemi-continuous, and specify at which points it is not
lower hemi-continuous.
G(x) and prove that: G(x) is upper hemi-continuous but not lower
hemi-continuous, and specify at which points it is not lower hemi-
continuous.
specifically, ψ(x) contains the closest point in S to x. Discuss the upper and
lower hemi-continuity of ψ(x).
If G(Γ) is a closed set, then we say Γ has a closed graph; if G(Γ) is a bound-
ed and closed set, we call Γ compact-valued. Suppose that Γ is compact-
valued. Prove:
Exercise 2.21 Suppose that X is a complete metric space, and T is the map-
ping from X to X. Denote
d(T n x, T n x′ )
an = sup , n = 1, 2, · · · .
x̸=x′ d(x, x′ )
∑∞
Prove that: If n=1 an < ∞, then the mapping T has a unique fixed point.
Exercise 2.22 Consider n ∈ N and an nth order square matrix A = (aij )n×n .
For any x ∈ Rn , we have
∑
n ∑
n ∑
n
Ax = ( a1j xj , a2j xj , · · · , anj xj )T .
j=1 j=1 j=1
Exercise 2.26 Consider the following optimal control problem, write the
Hamilton equation, and solve the optimal function.
∫1
max 0 (x + u)dt
s.t. x′ (t) = 1 − u2 , x(0) = 1.
Exercise 2.28 Find the general solution to the extremum curve of the fol-
lowing functional:
∫ b
(y ′ + z ′ + 3y ′ z ′ )dt.
2 2
V (y, z) =
a
∫T
Exercise 2.29 In the problem of functional 0 F (t, y, z, y ′ , z ′ )dt, suppose that
y(0) = A, z(0) = B, yT = C, zT = D, T are free, and A, B, C, and D are
constants.
1. How many transversal conditions are required for the problem? Why?
Exercise 2.31 Solve the paths of y(t) and z(t) of extremum curves of V (y, z) =
∫T
0 (y ′ 2 + z ′ 2 )dt subject to y − z ′ = 0.
Exercise 2.32 Solve the optimal paths of control variables, state variables,
and costate variables as follows:
∫T
1. max 0 −(t2 + 2u2 )dt subject to y ′ = u, y(0) = 2, and y(T ) = 3, and T
is free.
∫T
2. max 0 −(u2 + y 2 + 3uy)dt subject to y ′ = u, y(0) = y0 , and y(t) is
free.
∫4
3. max 0 2ydt subject to y ′ = y + u, y(0) = 3, y(4) = 200.
Exercise 2.33 Find the optimal consumption path of the following exhaustible
resource problem:
∫ T
max ln qe−δt dt
0
s.t. s′ = −q, s(0) = s0 , s(t) = 0.
Exercise 2.35 In a maximization problem, there are two known state vari-
ables, (y1 , y2 ), two control variables (u1 , u2 ), an inequality constraint, and
an inequality integral constraint. The initial state is fixed, but the final state
is free at fixed T .
264CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
3. Suppose that there is an interior solution, and then write the condi-
tions of the maximum principle.
Exercise 2.37 Consider the following problem of “tree cutting”: the growth
of a tree can be represented by the function h, i.e., kt+1 = h(kt ), where kt is
the scale of the tree at time t.
There is no cost for cutting trees, and the timber price is p = 1. Interest
rate r remains unchanged, β = 1/(1 + r).
2. Suppose that another tree can be planted where the original tree is
cut down, and the replanting cost c = 0 remains unchanged for a
long period of time. Under what conditions about h and c is there a
simple rule that can be used to characterize when to cut trees?
∞
∑
max ∞ β t ln ct
{ct .kt+1 }t=0
t=0
s.t. ct + kt+1 = Aktα ,
2.13. EXERCISES 265
where k0 is given.
1. y ′ = t2 y.
2. y ′′ − 4y ′ + 5y = 0.
3. y ′′ − 2y ′ − 3y = 9t2 .
1. y(t + 1) − 2y(t) = 4t .
Exercise 2.43 Let X and Y be two random variables in the range [a, b].
Prove:
266CHAPTER 2. PRELIMINARY KNOWLEDGE AND METHODS OF MATHEMATICS
f (t)
λX : R+ −→ R+ , λX (t) = .
1 − F (t)
2.14 References
Sydsaeter, Knut, Arne Strom and Peter Berck (2010). Economist’s Mathe-
matical Manual (4th Edition), Springer.
Papers:
Zhou and Tian (1992). “Transfer Method for Characterizing the Existence
of Maximal Elements of Binary Relations on Compact or Noncompact
Sets”, SIAM Journal on Optimization, Vol. 2, No. 3, 360-375.
Part III
271
This part discusses game theory and market theory. Game theory has
become an extremely important subdiscipline in mainstream economics,
a core field in microeconomic theory, and one of the most important ana-
lytical tools for investigating various economic issues with strategic inter-
actions among individuals. Readers will find that the market theory in-
troduced in this part involves abundant knowledge and results in game
theory, and thus we will present them as applications of game theory. The
mechanism design theory, auction theory and matching theory studied in
the book also take game theory as a basic analytical tool, and use extensive
knowledge and results in game theory.
Game theory studies the strategic interactions between individuals. In
earlier chapters, we studied the optimal choice of an individual, such as a
firm or a consumer — the simplest case, and we assumed how individuals
make optimal decisions when they are not affected by other individuals’
decisions. However, in many situations, this is certainly not realistic. In
reality, individuals’ decisions are frequently more complicated. One aspect
is that their decisions tend to affect each other. The game theory introduced
in this part examines how interactions among individuals affect their out-
comes or payoffs. There are many aspects from which one can study inter-
actions of decision-makers. For example, one could investigate behaviors
from the perspectives of sociology, psychology, biology, etc. Each of these
approaches is useful in certain contexts. Game theory emphasizes the s-
tudy of strictly “rational”decision-making, since this may constitute the
most appropriate approach for economic behaviors and activities in which
“business is business”.
Game theory can assist us to understand the phenomenon of individ-
uals’ interaction and its underlying mechanism. In games, a stronger as-
sumption is required concerning decision-makers’ rationality. It not only
requires that a decision-maker be rational, but also requires the decision-
maker to assume that other decision-makers are rational and that others al-
so think that he or she is rational. In other words, it is common knowledge
that all decision-makers are rational. Game theory studies the strategic in-
teractions among individuals in this context.
Game theory has two branches: non-cooperative game and coopera-
274 part2 Game Theory and Market Theory
tive game (sometimes called the coalition game). These two branches are
not divided literally. The former studies non-cooperative relations of in-
dividuals, while the latter investigates cooperation among individuals. In
numerous situations, we will find that non-cooperative game frequently
studies the mechanism of cooperation of players, and cooperative game of-
ten studies non-cooperative behaviors of players. Taking cost-sharing as
an example, all players hope that the other party will bear more of the cost.
As a consequence, cooperative game and non-cooperative game are not re-
flected in research objects, but instead are reflected in assumptions.
Cooperative game assumes that individuals communicate prior to mak-
ing their decisions, and that the decisions are reflected in the choice of con-
tract. Once a contract is chosen, it will be followed by a coalition (i.e., the
group of individuals who have signed the contract). In this way, the anal-
ysis is based on the collective unit, and thus cooperative games are some-
times called the coalition games. Corresponding to this, in non-cooperative
games, players’ communication, choice of contract, and compliance with
contracts are all based on individual rational decision-making. Neverthe-
less, neither of the theories is superior or inferior to the other. Instead, they
analyze different issues on different levels of analysis and in dissimilar con-
texts. Overall, they are complementary in our understanding of practical
problems.
In the development history of game theory, John von Neumann (1903–
1957, see his biography in Section 5.8.1) is recognized as the founder of
game theory. His work with Morgenstern (1944) marked the occasion when
game theory become a subdiscipline. In its early stages, game theory was
considered more of a branch of mathematics, and especially a branch of
operations research.
Game theory has a broad range of applications. It is an abstract descrip-
tion of how individuals make rational decisions in real life, and thus can be
employed to study various aspects of the economy, society, and politics.
Any phenomenon that involves strategic interactions, such as competition
among firms in the market, voting in the political system, lobbying of in-
terested groups, war and disarmament, and even the evolution of species
in ecosystems, can be investigated using game theory. Due to its influence
part2 part2 275
and importance, John Nash, John Harsanyi, and Reinhard Selten in 1994,
Robert J. Aumann and Thomas C. Schelling in 2006, and Lloyd S. Shapley
in 2012 were awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics, respectively. Their bi-
ographies can be found in Section 6.8.1, Section 6.8.2, Section 8.5.2, Section
8.5.1, Section 20.6.2, and Section 22.5.1.
Game theory, to be discussed in this part, is somewhat technical and
abstract. However, various game theoretical models and results are widely
used in many fields of economics, including the discussion of market theo-
ry that will be also discussed in this part. The core issue of market theory is
pricing (i.e., how to determine the market equilibrium price and quantity).
We will discuss the basic structure of four major markets: perfect compe-
tition, monopoly, monopolistic competition, and oligopoly. Subsequently,
we will examine how the actions of consumers and firms affect market ef-
ficiency when they interact in the market. Game theory is involved exten-
sively in the study of oligopolistic behaviors.
This part consists of four chapters: Chapter 6 discusses non-cooperative
games, Chapter 7 explores repeated games, Chapter 8 examines coopera-
tive games, and Chapter 9 proceeds to market theory.
276 part2 Game Theory and Market Theory
Chapter 6
6.1 Introduction
This section presents basic terminologies used in game theory and discuss-
es the assumptions behind game theory. In game theory, there are usually
277
278 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
two ways of describing the interactions of players: the normal form (also
called the strategic form) and the extensive form. These two forms possess
distinct advantages in expressing different games and are normally inter-
changeable.
To describe a situation of strategic interaction, we need to know four
things:
(1) Players: Who are involved in the game? It is assumed that players are
rational, ie., the goal is to maximize their own utilities/payoffs.
(2) Rules: Who moves and when? What information do the players pos-
sess when taking actions? What actions can the players choose?
(3) Outcomes: What is the consequence of the game for each possible set
of actions by players? A primary purpose of game theory is to deter-
mine the outcomes of games according to a solution concept, such as
those outcomes of equilibrium strategy profile, or equilibrium action
profile.
(4) Payoffs: What are the benefits or utilities over possible outcomes? A
payoff profile is the utility levels of all players under a certain out-
come.
Player B
Rock Paper Scissors
Rock 5, 5 0, 10 10, 0
Player A Paper 10, 0 5, 5 0, 10
Scissors 0, 10 10, 0 5, 5
From this game, we inspect the elements of a game. The set of players is
N = {A, B}. The set of strategies for players A and B are the same: {rock,
280 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
paper, scissors}, and there are 9 possible strategy profiles in this game (see
Table 6.1). The corresponding payoff of each outcome is represented by the
payoff matrix shown in the table. For example, the corresponding payoff
profile of strategy profile (rock, scissors) is (10, 0), where 10 represents the
payoff profile obtained by player A under this outcome, and 0 represents
the payoff profile obtained by player B under this outcome.
Note that here we assume that each player’s utility function is ui (x(s)) =
x, i = A, B, where x is the dollars obtained. If the utility function is
1
ui (x(s)) = x 2 for i = A, B, then under the outcome of strategy profile
1
(scissors, rock), the payoff profile profile is (0, 10 2 ).
The game in this example is a constant-sum game (i.e., the sum of play-
ers’ payoff profiles is a constant); the higher payoff profile one player ob-
tains means the lower payoff profile the other player will obtain; these play-
ers are in a confrontational relationship in the game. When the constant is
zero, the game is called the zero-sum game, which is a specific case of a
constant-sum game.
In fact, the non-cooperative game can be used to describe many coop-
erative relationships, such as the following example.
Example 6.2.2 (Meet at the Restaurant) Two individuals, Tom (T) and Schelling
(S), decide to meet and have lunch together at noon. They have forgotten
the exact place to meet, and only know that there are two possible places
(i.e., Restaurant 1 and Restaurant 2). They left home so hurriedly that they
forgot to take their mobile phones. They can only choose one place. If they
happen to go to the same restaurant, they can eat together, and their utility
levels in this situation are both 10; otherwise, they can only eat alone, and
their utility levels in this situation are both 0. (see Table 6.2)
The elements of this game are: the set of players is N = {T, S}; the sets
of strategies for Tom (T) and Schelling (S) are both {Restaurant 1, Restaurant 2};
there are four possible outcomes. For example, in the outcome (Restaurant
1, Restaurant 1), the payoff profile of each player is 10.
In this example, the interaction between these two players is actually a
situation of seeking cooperation.
6.2. BASIC CONCEPTS 281
Schelling
Restaurant 1 Restaurant 2
Tom Restaurant 1 10, 10 0, 0
Restaurant 2 0, 0 10, 10
(3) A correspondences about moves. The set of decision nodes to the set
of players (including Nature), ι : X → {N̄ , 1, 2, . . . , n}, indicates the
player that makes a decision at each decision node.
(4) A set of action for each player. The set of a player’s choices at a de-
cision node x is called the action set at that node, denoted by A(x),
which may be a finite, infinite, or even continuum set.
(6) Outcomes. The actions chosen by all players in each information set
determine the outcome of the game (i.e., a terminal node z ∈ Z). Each
player (except Nature) is assigned a payoff profile at each outcome
ui (·) : Z → R, ∀i ∈ N .
6.2. BASIC CONCEPTS 283
Si = Πh∈H:ι(h)=i A(h),
For instance, if player i has two information sets, among which one set has
three actions and the other set has two actions to choose, then the number
of pure strategies in the player’ strategy set is 6.
Below, we utilize an example to illustrate that the extensive form repre-
sentation can describe interaction behaviors in more detail.
four possible outcomes of strategy profiles (i.e., (l, l), (l, r),
(r, l), and (r, r)). For example, strategy profile (r, l) indicates
that player 2 selects r on her left information set and l on
her right information set. Once players 1 and 2 have cho-
sen their strategies, there will be an payoff profile profile.
For each strategy profile outcome, the corresponding payoff
profiles of players 1 and 2 are assigned. The four terminal n-
odes in Figure 6.1(a) are the payoff profile profiles (the upper
number is player 1’s payoff profile, and the lower number is
player 2’s payoff profile).
Tables (a) and (b) in Table 6.3 illustrate the strategic forms correspond-
ing to Game 1 and Game 2 in Figure 6.1. Two form representations of a
game are interchangeable.
From Table 6.3, we know that there are differences between Game 1 and
Game 2, where the key difference arises from player 2’s strategies, which
is the outcome of the information status of player 2 when making her deci-
sion.
6.2. BASIC CONCEPTS 285
1 1
L R L R
2
2 2
l r l r l r l r
5 5 3 8 5 5 3 8
0 -3 0 3 0 -3 0 3
(a) (b)
player 1
l r
player 2 player 2
player 1
L R L R
a b a b
player 2
c d c d
player 2
a12 =(l, l) a22 =(r, r) a32 =(l, r) a42 =(r, l)
player 1
a11 5, 0 5, -3 5, 0 5, -3
a12 3, 0 8, 3 8, 3 3, 0
(a) Game 1
player 2
a12 = l a22 = r
player 1
a11 5, 0 5, -3
a12 3, 0 8, 3
(b) Game 2
Table 6.3: Table (a): the strategic form representation of Game 1; Table (b):
the strategic form representation of Game 2.
them.
In addition, in an extensive form game, there may be external uncer-
tainties. Usually, we introduce “Nature”as the decision-maker to select
external uncertain events.
nature
1/2 1/2
player 1 player 2
H T H T
player 2 player 2 player 1 player 1
H T H T H T H T
-1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1’s payoff
1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 2’s payoff
Example 6.2.4 (Matching Pennies) There are two players 1 and 2 who play
a matching pennies game (i.e., choosing heads or tails). If these two players
have the same choice, then player 1 pays one dollar to player 2; otherwise,
player 2 pays one dollar to player 1. Suppose that the game is played as
follows: first, by tossing a coin, if the head side is face-up, player 1 choos-
6.2. BASIC CONCEPTS 287
es first and then player 2 chooses; if the tail side is face-up, their selection
order is reversed. The player selecting later knows the action of the previ-
ous player. In this game, there is an external uncertainty (i.e., who chooses
first). We introduce a new player “Nature”, and let it act as a decision-
maker for external events. Figure 6.3 describes this game.
Definition 6.2.1 (Mixed Strategy) For a game ΓN = [N, {Si }, {ui (·)}] with
Si = {s1i , · · · , sni i }, a mixed strategy for player i, σi : Si → [0, 1]ni , is a prob-
ability distribution on Si = {s1i , · · · , sni i }, where σi (ski ) = 0 indicates the
∑
ni
probability that player i chooses strategy ski , which satisfies σi (ski ) = 1.
k=1
If all players choose mixed strategies, the expected payoff profile (utili-
ty) of player i is
∑
Eσ ui (s) = [σ1 (s1 )σ2 (s2 ) . . . σn (sn )] ui (s) (6.2.1)
s∈S
when S is finite
∫
= ui (σ(s))dσ(s) (6.2.2)
when S is not finite,
that is, utility from strategy s, times the joint probability of the occurrence
of s, summed (integrated) over all s ∈ S.
∑n1 ∑n2 l k l k
Eu1 (s) = l=l k=1 σ1 (s1 )σ2 (s2 )u1 (s1 , s2 )) (6.2.3)
= σ1 (s1 )′ U1 σ2 (s2 ),
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 289
Prisoner 2
Confess Deny
Prisoner 1 Confess −4, −4 −1, −8
Deny −8, −1 −2, −2
At first glance, both players should choose to deny since collective ra-
tionality can make both players better. However, the individual rational as-
sumption implies that one only pursues one’s own utility maximization. It
is not difficult to see that “Confess”is always better than “Deny”because
if the other player chooses “Deny”, your choice of “Confess”will result
in a payoff profile of −1, greater than −2, which is the payoff profile if you
alternatively choose “Deny”; if the other player chooses “Confess”, y-
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 291
for all s−i ∈ S−i with strict inequality for some s−i .
Similarly, we have
with strict inequality for some s−i . In this case, we say that strategy s′i
weakly dominates strategy si .
If every player has a strictly dominant strategy, then we call the profile
of all players’ strictly dominant strategies a strictly dominant strategy e-
quilibrium. If every player has a weakly dominant strategy, then we call
the profile of all players’ weakly dominant strategies a dominant strategy
equilibrium. Formally, we have
Example 6.3.2 Consider the game described at the top of Table 6.5. Play-
er 1 has three strategies {T, M, B}, and player 2 also has three strategies
{L, C, R}.
In the initial game, since M is a strictly dominated strategy for player 1,
it is impossible for player 1 to choose strategy M , and the game after elim-
inating the strictly dominated strategy is described in Table 6.5(b). In this
game, C is a strictly dominated strategy for player 2, and the game after
eliminating the strictly dominated strategy is described in Table 6.5(c). In
this game, T is a strictly dominated strategy for player 1, and the game af-
ter eliminating the strictly dominated strategy is described in Table 6.5(d).
In this game, L is a strictly dominated strategy for player 2. In the game af-
ter eliminating the strictly dominated strategy, as described in Table 6.5(e),
only one strategy profile remains, which is the iterated-elimination equilib-
rium equilibrium of the game.
Player 2
L C R
T 1, 1 2, 0 1, 1
Player 1 M 0, 0 0, 1 0, 0
B 2, 1 1, 0 2, 2
Player 2
L C R
T 1, 1 2, 0 1, 1
Player 1 B 2, 1 1, 0 2, 2
Player 2
L R
Player 1 T 1, 1 1, 1
B 2, 1 2, 2
Player 2
L R
Player 1 B 2, 1 2, 2
Player 2
R
Player 1 B 2, 2
is a good match. He threatens his daughter, and says, “If you marry the
poor boy, I will sever family ties with you”. A normal-form game can be
employed to describe the game between the father and the daughter. Here,
the daughter has two strategies: “Give In”and “Don’t Give In”; the
father also has two strategies: “Agree”and “Disagree”. If the daugh-
ter chooses “Give In”and the father chooses “Agree”, then the father
gets the best of both worlds (neither losing his daughter nor accepting the
marriage), and the daughter loses her boyfriend. If the daughter choos-
es “Give In”and the father chooses “Disagree”, then the father loses
his daughter and the daughter loses everything. If the daughter chooses
“Don’t Give In”and the father chooses “Agree”, then the father has to
accept the poor boy, and the daughter gets the best of both worlds (neither
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 295
Father: Daughter
Given In Don’t Give In
Agree the best of both, losing boyfriend enduring poor boy, the best of both
Disagree losing daughter, losing everything losing daughter, losing father
losing her boyfriend nor her father). If the daughter chooses “Don’t Give
In”and the father chooses “Disagree”, then the father loses his daughter,
and the daughter loses her father.
Therefore, the game matrix shown in Table 6.6 can be obtained. What is
the equilibrium outcome? First, it can be seen that for the daughter, “Give
In”is a strictly dominated strategy. Irrespective of what strategy the father
chooses, “Don’t Give In”is a strictly dominant strategy for the daughter.
If the daughter chooses “Don’t Give In”, then the father’s best response is
to choose “Agree”, because accepting the poor boy is always better than
losing his daughter! Then, the unique iterated-elimination equilibrium is
(“Agree”, “Don’t Give In”).
This example illustrates why in reality most fathers’ efforts to resist
their daughters’ marriage end in failure. The reason for this is that the
father’s threat of cutting off family ties is not credible. For the daughter,
“Don’t Give In”is a dominant strategy: losing her father is better than
losing everything (losing her father and her boyfriend), and the best of
both worlds is better than losing her boyfriend. Indeed, a large number
of actual phenomena in reality show that once the daughter and the poor
boy go home with a grandson, the father often forgives his daughter. This
further shows that “Don’t Give In”is the optimal strategy for the daugh-
ter whose father opposes her marriage. The ideas shown in this example
can also be utilized to study whether the threat of a price war is credible.
We will return to the discussion of credibility issues later.
Example 6.3.4 (Boxed Pigs Game) The Boxed Pigs Game is also called the
Rational Pigs Game. Imagine that two clever pigs, one Big Pig and one
Piglet, live together in a pigpen. There is a lever on one side of the pigpen
and a device that can provide food to the pigs on the other side. The device
296 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
produces food only if the pigs press the lever. Pushing the lever by one
pig yields 10 units of food, the other pig will get the chance to run to the
food earlier. Pushing and coming back “costs”either pig 2 units of food.
Because the Big Pig is bigger than the Piglet, it eats faster too. Each pig can
choose “Push”or “Not Push”. There are four possible outcomes:
Piglet
Push Not Push
Big Pig Push 5, 1 3, 5
Not Push 9, -1 0, 0
Therefore, we have the payoff profile matrix shown in Table 6.7 for this
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 297
The story of the Boxed Pigs Game informs the weak participant (Piglet)
in a competition that waiting is the Piglet’s best strategy. However, as far
as the society is concerned, since piglets do not participate in competitions
and are free riders, the allocation of social resources is not optimal. Such
result is, in fact, due to the inappropriate design of the institution or the
rules of the game. Whether free-rider problems occur or not depends on
the design of the incentive mechanism, otherwise desired outcomes cannot
be achieved. Different institutional arrangements and different rules can
lead to very dissimilar behaviors of economic agents, and further different
choices and outcomes. For instance, the following variations of the Boxed
Pigs Game give us very different equilibrium outcomes.
Piglet
Push Not Push
Big Pig Push 1, 0 -1, 4
Not Push 5, -2 0, 0
Table 6.8: Food Reduction Plan for the Boxed Pigs Game.
Piglet
Push Not Push
Big Pig Push 15, 10 15, 10
Not Push 15, 10 0, 0
Table 6.9: Food Increment Plan for the Boxed Pigs Game.
Piglet
Push Not Push
Big Pig Push 3, 2 3 + ϵ, 2 − ϵ
Not Push 3 − ϵ, 2 + ϵ 0, 0
Table 6.10: Food Reduction Plus Displacement Plan for the Boxed Pigs
Game.
the law of the jungle and get involved in the “vicious” com-
petition. As such, one has to innovate to get rid of the situ-
ation. Without innovation, it is not possible to survive. As
mentioned in Chapter 1, there is a repeated cycle of “competition
→ innovation → monopoly profit → competition”, in which
market competition tends to achieve an equilibrium, but in-
novation disrupts it. The market continually goes through
such cycles to inspire enterprises to pursue innovation. Through
this dynamic process, the market maintains its vitality, and
greater economic development and social welfare are ob-
tained.
player 2
L R
player 1 T 1, 3 −2, 0
(b)
M −2, 0 1, 3
B 0, 1 0, 1
Example 6.3.5 Consider the two games described in Table 6.12. In these
two games, player 1 has three strategies {T, M, B}, and player 2 has two
strategies {L, R}. In Table (a), neither player has a strictly dominated pure
strategy. However, consider a mixed strategy, such as σ1 , in which player
1 has the same probability 1/2 of choosing T and B. Then, M is a strictly
dominated strategy for player 1.
In Table (b), neither player has a strictly dominated strategy. However,
302 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
consider a mixed strategy, say σ1 ′ , in which player 1 has the same probabili-
ty 1/2 of choosing T and M . Then, regardless of what player 2 chooses, the
utility that σ1 ′ brings to player 1 is always lower than that brought by pure
strategy B. In this way, mixed strategy σ1 ′ is a strictly dominated (mixed)
strategy.
In fact, since
∑ ∏
ui (σi , σ−i ) − ui (σi′ , σ−i ) = σj (sj ) [ui (σi , s−i ) − ui (σi′ , s−i )],
s−i ∈S−i j̸=i
[ui (σi , σ−i ) − ui (σi′ , σ−i )] < 0 if and only if [ui (σi , s−i ) − ui (σi′ , s−i )] < 0. We
then have the following proposition.
Definition 6.3.8 (Best Response) Given a game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}],
a mixed strategy σi is a best response of player i to other players’ mixed
strategy profile σ−i , if for any σi ′ ∈ ∆(Si ), we have
Definition 6.3.9 (Belief) Give a game ΓN = [N, {∆S−i }, {ui (·)}], a belief of
player i about the strategies of other players is a probability distribution
µi ∈ ∆(S−i ).
∑ ∑
µi (s−i )ui (s′i , s−i ) < µi (s−i )ui (σi , s−i ).
s−i ∈S−i s−i ∈S−i
In other words, s′i is not optimal against any belief µi (s−i) about other play-
ers’ strategies.
Obviously, if a pure strategy s′i ∈ Si is a strictly dominated strategy,
then the strategy is a never-best-response. Conversely, for a finite game in
which its strategy space has a finite number of strategy profiles, if a pure
strategy is a never-best-response of player i, then this strategy must also be
a strictly dominated strategy (cf. Osborne and Rubinstein (1994)). Thus in
finite games, iterated elimination of never-best-response strategies yields
the same outcomes as iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies
Now we are able to define the rationalizability of strategy.
Definition 6.3.11 For game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}], a pure strategy si ∈
Si is rationalizable, if it survives the iterated elimination of those strategies
that are never-best-response.
such that sj is player j’s strictly dominated strategy), then si is not rational-
izable. (3) If strategy si is the best response for player i under beliefs µi , but
the support of all such beliefs contains strategies that are not rationalizable
for other players, then strategy ai is not rationalizable.
As indicated above, for a finite game, the set of strategy profiles that
survive the process of iterated elimination of never-best-response strategies
coincides with the set of strategy profiles that survive the process of IESDS.
Then, we have the following proposition.
Proposition 6.3.2 For a finite game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}], if S IE = ×j∈N SjIE
is the set of strategy profiles that survive the process of IESDS, then for each player
i ∈ N , SiIE is a set of rationalizable strategies for player i.
player 2
L R
player 1 T 2, 0 −1, 0
B −1, 0 2, 0
Besides rationalizability of strategies, one can use the notion of best re-
sponse to identify the Nash equilibria of a game, as discussed below.
Definition 6.3.12 (Nash Equilibrium) Given a game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}],
strategy profile (σi∗ , σ−i
∗ )
i∈N is a Nash equilibrium if for every i ∈ N , we have
ui (σi∗ , σ−i
∗
) = ui (σi′ , σ−i
∗
)
Definition 6.3.13 For game ΓN = [N, {Si }, {ui (·)}], strategy profile (s∗i , s∗−i )i∈N
is a pure strategy Nash equilibrium if for every i ∈ N , we have
Proposition 6.3.3 Given a game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}], the set of Nash e-
quilibria coincides with the intersections of the sets of all players’ best responses.
Example 6.3.7 There are two players 1 and 2, and their game matrix is
shown in Table 6.13.
We can find the Nash equilibrium of this game conveniently and quick-
ly by using the conclusion that the set of Nash equilibria coincides with the
set of intersections of all players’ best response sets. Consider the strategy
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 307
player 2
L C R
T 5, 3 0, 4 3, 5
player 1 M 4, 0 5, 5 4, 0
B 3, 5 0, 4 5, 3
of player 1, and for each strategy of player 2, find out the best responses
of player 1. Draw a horizontal line under its corresponding payoff pro-
file. Similarly, find out the best responses of player 2. The strategy profile
with both horizontal lines is (M , C), and such a strategy profile is unique.
Therefore, the strategy profile (M , C) is the unique pure strategy Nash e-
quilibrium, and its corresponding Nash equilibrium payoff profile is (5,5).
Example 6.3.8 (Chicken Game) Consider the following Chicken Game. There
are two equal-strength chickens. Each chicken has two strategies: “Continue
to Fight”and “Retreat”. If both chickens choose “Continue to Fight”,
the outcome is a lose-lose, and the payoff profile of each player is −1. If
both chickens choose “Retreat”, however, there is neither victory nor
failure, and the payoff profile of each player is 0. If one chicken chooses
“Continue to Fight”and the other chicken chooses “Retreat”, the pay-
off profile of the winning chicken is 1 and the payoff profile of the retreating
chicken is 0. In this way, the payoff profile matrix is:
Chicken B
Continue To Fight Retreat
Chicken A Continue To Fight -1, -1 1, 0
Retreat 0, 1 0, 0
the utmost strength does not ensure success. This is also the logic of the fa-
mous guerrilla tactic of Mao Zedong’s “The enemy advances, we retreat;
the enemy retreats, we pursue”. General Matthew Bunker Ridgway also
used the same strategy when he found out that each Chinese soldier could
only carry food for seven days at most without logistics during the Korean
War.
This example offers some pertinent implications for two equally pow-
erful firms to get along and compete with each other. Two powerful firms
already in the market are likely to consciously follow the Nash equilibri-
um. When one side takes the offensive, the other side temporarily retreats.
Although one side may be temporarily loss, this is far superior to a lose-
lose outcome. However, to maintain this situation such as the Battle of the
Sexes game to be discussed below, it should be ensured that the next time
the earlier damaged party takes the offensive, and the other side will also
retreat.
Definition 6.3.14 For game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}], a Nash equilibrium
consists of a pair of subjective belief system (assessment) µ∗ = (µ∗1 , µ∗2 , . . . , µ∗n )
with µ∗i defined on Sj , j ̸= i, and strategy profile (σi∗ , σ−i
∗ )
i∈N , such that for
any σi ′ ∈ ∆(Si ), we have
∫
where Eui (σi∗ |µ∗i ) = si ∈Si ,s−i ∈S−i u(si , s−i )d(σi (si ))d(µi (s−i )) denotes the
expected utility of player i choosing σi under belief µi , and µ∗i |Sj represents
the (marginal) probability distribution of belief µ∗i on Sj . Note that if every
player’s mixed strategy is independent, then µ∗i = ×j∈N \{i} µ∗i |Sj .
This definition on Nash equilibrium exactly describes the consistency
between belief and choice mentioned above. The choice based on belief is
rational (payoff profile maximization), and the belief supporting this choice
is correct (perfect foresight on the equilibrium strategy profile of the oppo-
6.3. STATIC GAMES WITH COMPLETE INFORMATION 309
nents).
For some games, such as the Rock-Paper-Scissors game, there is no pure
strategy Nash equilibrium, but there may exist a mixed strategy Nash e-
quilibrium. Then, can we have a more convenient way to solve the mixed
strategy Nash equilibrium? Of course, it can be always obtained by the s-
tandard method of maximizing the expected payoff profile (say, using the
first-order condition), but this method is a little bit involved. In fact, there
is a more straightforward way.
The following proposition shows that the indifference among strategies
played with a positive probability is a general feature of a mixed strategy
Nash equilibrium.
Proposition 6.3.4 Let Si + ⊆ Si be the set of pure strategies that player i plays
with a positive probability under the mixed strategy profile σ = (σ1 , σ2 , · · · , σn ).
Then the strategy profile σ = (σ1 , σ2 , · · · , σn ) is a mixed strategy Nash equi-
librium of game ΓN = [N, {∆Si }, {ui (·)}] if and only if, for every i ∈ N , we
have:
Thus, given the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium profile of the oppo-
nent, the expected utility of any strategy for a player is the same, and there-
fore players have no incentive to change the probabilities of choosing these
strategies (i.e., no players will unilaterally change their mixed strategies at
equilibrium). This proposition is very helpful in finding mixed strategy e-
quilibria, and thus it provides a simple method to solve for mixed strategy
Nash equilibrium.
Player B
Rock Paper Scissors
Rock 5, 5 0, 10 10, 0
Player A Paper 10, 0 5, 5 0, 10
Scissors 0, 10 10, 0 5, 5
Setting these three expected payoff profiles equal to one another leads
to σr = σp = (1 − σr − σp ) = 1/3. By symmetry, this is also the column’s op-
timal mixed strategy. Thus, the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium is ({Rock
with probability 1/3, Paper with probability 1/3, Scissors with probability
1/3}) for both players.
In this example, for the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, Si + = Si is
established for all players.
Some games have both pure strategy Nash equilibrium and mixed s-
trategy Nash equilibrium.
Example 6.3.10 (Battle of the Sexes) The Battle of the Sexes is also a clas-
sical example analyzed in game theory. A man and a woman want a date
over the weekend, but they cannot agree over what to do. The man prefers
to watch a basketball game, whereas the woman wants to watch an opera.
The payoff profile matrix is given by Table 6.16.
Male
Opera Basketball
Female Opera 2, 1 0, 0
Basketball 0, 0 1, 2
In this game, there are two pure strategy Nash equilibria: (Opera, Oper-
a) and (Basketball, Basketball). Using the above method, we now show that
there is also a mixed strategy Nash equilibrium : ({Opera with probability
2/3, Basketball with probability 1/3}, {Opera with probability 1/3, Basket-
ball with probability 2/3}).
Given the man’s choice of the mixed strategy (σ1 , 1 − σ1 ), the expected
payoff profile of the woman’s choice of opera is 2σ1 + 0(1 − σ1 ) and the
expected payoff profile of choosing basketball is 0σ1 + 1(1 − σ1 ). Equal-
izing them leads to σ1 = 1/3. Similarly, given the woman’s choice of the
mixed strategy (σ2 , 1 − σ2 ), the expected payoff profile of the man’s choice
of opera is 1σ1 + 0(1 − σ1 ) and the expected payoff profile of choosing bas-
ketball is 0σ2 + 2(1 − σ2 ). Equalizing them leads to σ2 = 2/3. Thus, the
man chooses the mixed strategy {Opera with probability 1/3, Basketball
312 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
with probability 2/3} and the woman chooses the mixed strategy {Opera
with probability 2/3, Basketball with probability 1/3} constitute a mixed
strategy Nash equilibrium.
In the above game and also the Chicken Game, there are two pure strat-
egy Nash equilibria and one mixed Nash equilibrium. A natural question
is: How many Nash equilibria are there? A partial answer is given by the
Oddness Theorem (Wilson 1971), which shows that the pattern holds not
just for 2 × 2 games, but for almost all n × n normal form games.
Theorem 6.3.1 (Oddness Theorem) Nearly all finite normal form games have
an odd number of Nash equilibria.
Proposition 6.3.5 Every finite normal-form game ΓN = [N, {Si }, {ui (·)}] has a
mixed strategy Nash equilibrium.
∑
∆ε (Si ) = {σi : σi (si ) = εi (si ), σi (si ) = 1}.
si ∈Si
That is, a perturbed game Γε is derived from the original game ΓN by re-
quiring that each player i play only completely (or totally) mixed strate-
gies in which every pure strategy receives positive probability not less than
εi (si ).
The proof of the proposition can be found in Selten (1975). By the defini-
tion of trembling-hand perfect Nash equilibrium and Proposition 6.3.6, we
immediately know that a trembling-hand perfect Nash equilibrium cannot
be a weakly dominated strategy.
player 2
L R
player 1 U 2, 2 0, −5
D −5, 0 0, 0
Example 6.3.11 The game with two players 1 and 2 is described by Table
6.17.
In this game, there are two pure strategy Nash equilibria, (U, L) and
(D, R). Strategy D is a weakly dominated strategy for player 1, and strat-
egy R is a weakly dominated strategy for player 2. Although (D, R) is
a Nash equilibrium, it is not a trembling-hand perfect Nash equilibrium.
This is because if each player has a choice deviation, no matter how small
the probability of this deviation is, as long as this probability is positive,
choosing a weakly dominated strategy is not a player’s best response. As
such, in a perturbed game, there is only one Nash equilibrium, i.e., (U, L),
and (D, R) is not the limit of the sequence of Nash equilibria of perturbed
games.
The previous section studied games of complete information where all play-
ers make choices simultaneously. In many games, players make choices se-
quentially, one player observes the other players’ decisions and then makes
actions. The classic example is the game of Chess. The classic economic ex-
ample is the Stackelberg Oligopoly in which the leader firm moves first and
then the follower firm moves sequentially. This section discusses dynamic
games of complete information. For a dynamic game, we may convert such
an extensive-form game to a normal-form game, and then solve for the e-
quilibrium of the normal-form game with an equilibrium concept (such as
Nash equilibrium). However, such an approach likely result in many equi-
libria and some of them may be undesirable. We then need some criterion
to refine Nash equilibria of dynamic games.
In a dynamic game, since there is an order of decisions, there may be
a problem of credibility of “commitment”. A reasonable dynamic equi-
librium then needs to satisfy the requirement of “credible commitmen-
t”(“credible threat”), and thus we can refine equilibria. The “credible
commitment”has new requirements for a player’s rationality. It requires
that players are rational in every possible decision-making environment
(more precisely, every information set). This rationality is also called the
sequential rationality. In the study of dynamic games, in many situations,
we need to take a certain way to solve an equilibrium, usually using back-
ward induction.
We first consider the issue of commitment through an example.
Example 6.4.1 (Market Entry Game) Suppose that there are two firms in
a market, the Incumbent and the Potential Entrant. The Potential Entrant
6.4. DYNAMIC GAMES OF COMPLETE INFORMATION 317
moves first to choose whether to enter the market, and then the Incumbent
decides whether or not to launch a price war. The payoff profiles of their
actions are shown in Figure 6.4. Table 6.18 is the normal-form represen-
tation of the game. The game has two pure strategy Nash equilibria, i.e.,
(Enter, Accommodate if Enter occurs) and (Stay out, Fight if Enter occurs).
Potential Entrant
Incumbent
5
8
Accommodate Fight
8 0
5 0
Incumbent
Accommodate if Enter occurs Fight if Enter occurs
Potential Entrant Enter 8, 5 0, 0
Stay Out 5, 8 5, 8
6.4.1 Subgame
A subgame is a subset of an entire game, but not all subsets can be a sub-
game. If an entire game begins with a singleton information set, then the
game as a whole is also a subgame.
(2) The subgame does not divide any information set. If de-
cision node x is in the subgame, then every decision node
x′ ∈ h(x) is also in the subgame.
Incumbent
Accommodate Fight
8 0
5 0
Firm E Firm E
Firm E Firm E
Not a subgame
Firm I Firm I
Not a subgame
(b)
(a)
Firm E
Firm E
Firm I
Not a subgame
(c)
None of the subsets of the game described in Figure 6.6 are subgames.
Firm E
Firm I
0
10 Fight Accommodate
-5 10
-3 5
Example 6.4.4 (Market Entry Game continued) Suppose that there are t-
wo firms I and E, in which firm I is the incumbent, and firm E is the
potential entrant. Firm E decides whether to enter the market. If firm I ob-
serves that firm E has decided to enter the market, then firm I may either
fight or accommodate. Their payoff profiles are shown in Figure 6.7. (Stay
out, Fight if firm E enters) is a Nash equilibrium. However, there is a prob-
lem with this equilibrium. Once firm E has chosen to enter the market, it is
irrational for firm I to choose to fight. In other words, firm I’s threat, “If
firm E enters, I will choose to fight”, is not credible.
Example 6.4.5 As shown in Figure 6.8, firm E is the potential market en-
trant, and firm I is the incumbent. Firm E first chooses whether or not to
enter (In) or stay out (Out). Once firm E enters, firm E and firm I choose
whether to accommodate (A) or fight (F) simultaneously. The normal form
representation and the simultaneous-move game are depicted in (a) and (b)
of Table 6.4.2, respectively.
From the normal form, we see that there are three Nash equilibria (σE , σI ):
Firm E
Firm E
0 Fight Accommodate
3
Firm I
Fight Accommodate
Fight Accommodate
-4 2 -3 5
-2 -3 -2 2
Firm I
A if Enter occurs F if Enter occurs
Firm E Out, A if entering 0, 3 0, 3
Out, F if entering 0, 3 0, 3
In, A if entering 5, 2 −3, −2
In, F if entering 2, −3 −4, −2
Potential Entrant
8 8
5 5
(a) (b)
Potential Entrant
8 5
5 8
(c)
ket entry game. Diagram (a) in Figure 6.9 is the entire game. In the market
entry game, there are two subgames: the original game (Diagram (a)), and
the subgame starting from the incumbent’s decision node (Diagram (b)).
Backward induction starts from the subgame at the lowest level (i.e., from
the game in Diagram (b)). The Nash equilibrium of the game in Diagram
(b) is the incumbent choosing to accommodate, and thus the equilibrium
payoff profile of this subgame is (8, 5), and then the entire game is reduced
to the game in Diagram (c). At this time, the game has advanced to the top-
most level (i.e., the subgame is replaced by its equilibrium payoff profile).
The Nash equilibrium of the game in Diagram (c) is the Potential Entrant
choosing to enter. Therefore, (Enter, Accommodate if Enter occurs) is the
subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of the entire market entry game.
The proof for the existence of a pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equi-
librium of a finite extensive form game is straightforward from the defini-
324 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
tion of subgame perfect Nash equilibrium since every finite subgame has a
Nash equilibrium. Solving the dynamic game via backward induction, the
solution obtained is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium. The proof for the
uniqueness of a pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibrium is more
involved and is referred to Mas-Colell, Whinston, and Green (1995).
In the following, we study the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of a
dynamic game in which players make decisions alternately. As the shape
of this dynamic game’s extensive-form representation is similar to that of
a centipede, it is called the Centipede Game. This game reveals that, al-
though the total payoff profile increases after each cooperation, unfortu-
nately, this happy ending is hard to achieve (i.e., no cooperation from the
very beginning is a rational choice). Thus, like the Prisoner’s Dilemma,
the Centipede Game presents a conflict between self-interest and mutual
benefit.
did the first player choose to take on the first move. Similar results were
reported by Nagel and Tang (1998). There are some types of explanation
to account for the divergence. One is that not all individuals are fully (se-
quentially) rational but bounded rational. The second one is that a player’s
self-interest or players’ distrust interferes the cooperation and creates a sit-
uation where both do worse than if they had blindly cooperated. The third
explanation may be simply because of the possibility of action errors such
as pressing the wrong key.
If some enforcement or incentive mechanism could be imposed, both
players would prefer that they both cooperate throughout the entire game
as we will discuss next chapter.
Example 6.4.8 (Market Entry and Site Selection) There are two firms E and
I. Firm E chooses whether to enter the market first. If firm E does not
enter, the game ends; if firm E enters, in the second stage, firms E and
I select their sites simultaneously. In this game, there is a non-singleton
information set, so that it is not a perfect information game. There are t-
wo subgames in this game. In addition to the original game, after firm E
6.4. DYNAMIC GAMES OF COMPLETE INFORMATION 327
Firm E
Firm E
0
3 Small Large
A simultaneous Firm I
Firm I action game Small Large
Small -5,-5 -1,1
Small Large Small Large
Firm E
Large 1,-1 -2,-2
-5 -1 1 -2
-5 1 -1 -2
Firm E Firm E
0 1 0 -1
3 -1 3 1
chooses to enter, the game in which two firms move simultaneously is also
a subgame.
The subgame in which two firms move simultaneously can be described
by Diagram (a) in Figure 6.11. This subgame has two Nash equilibria:
(Large, Small) and (Small, Large), and the equilibrium payoff profiles are
(1, −1) and (−1,1), respectively, which can be used to reduce this simultane-
ous move game. Therefore, the backward induction of this step produces
two possibilities, which are given in Diagrams (b) and (c), respectively. In
the game in Diagram (b), the Nash equilibrium is firm E choosing to enter;
whereas, in the game in Diagram (c), the Nash equilibrium is firm E choos-
ing to stay out. As such, the entire game has two subgame perfect Nash
equilibria ((Enter, Large if entering), Small if Enter occurs) and ((Stay Out,
Small if entering), Large if Enter occurs).
For a finite extensive form game of complete information but not nec-
essarily perfect information, we have the following proposition.
Example 6.4.9 (Rubinstein Bargaining Game, 1982) Suppose that there are
two players who conduct a bargaining on how to split a total of 1 unit of
an infinitely divisible property. Obviously, in this game, any (x1 , x2 ) ∈
[0, 1] × [0, 1] with x1 + x2 = 1 is a Nash equilibrium, and thus there are
infinitely uncountable Nash equilibria, but the subgame perfect equilibri-
um is unique. Since backward induction is more suitable for bargaining
games with finite periods, we first discuss the bargaining game with T = 1
periods.
The bargaining process is as follows: In the 2k + 1 period, k = 0, 1, . . .,
player 1 proposes a distribution plan (in which the payoff profile received
by any player is not allowed to be negative), and player 2 chooses whether
to accept it; in the 2k period (k ̸= 0), player 2 proposes a distribution plan,
and player 1 chooses whether to accept it. Once an agreement is reached
in a certain period, at which player 1 (or player 2) chooses to accept the
distribution plan proposed by the opponent, the game ends, and the dis-
tribution of the property is determined by the distribution plan. If the two
players still have not reached an agreement in the T period, then the prop-
erty is confiscated and the two players will receive nothing. Suppose that
the time discount rate for both players is δ. Let (xt , 1 − xt ) be a distribution
plan proposed by the player who has the right to make a proposal during
the t period, where xt is the amount of property distributed to player 1 and
1 − xt is the amount of property distributed to player 2.
When T = 1, player 1 has the right of proposal, and player 2 chooses
whether or not to accept it. Obviously, as long as x2 = 1 − x1 = 0, player
2 will not choose to reject the proposal. Therefore, the Nash equilibrium of
the game is that player 1 proposes a distribution plan of (1, 0), and player
2 accepts it.
When T = 2, in the last period, player 2 has the proposal right. Similar
6.4. DYNAMIC GAMES OF COMPLETE INFORMATION 329
to the logic in the previous case, in this period, player 2’s proposal is (0, 1),
and player 1 will also choose to accept it. In this plan, the present value
of the payoff profile profile of these two players is (0, δ). Returning to the
first period, player 1 has the right of proposal. As long as x2 = 1 − x1 = δ,
player 2 will accept player’s 1 proposal, because if player 2 does not accept
player 1’s proposal, player 2’s final payoff profile is still δ in the subgame
in the last period. Therefore, in the equilibrium path of the game, player
1 proposes a distribution plan (1 − δ, δ) and player 2 accepts it in the first
period, and the game ends.
When T = 3, in the last period, player 1 has the proposal right. Similar
to the logic in the previous cases, in this period, player 1’s proposal is (1, 0),
and player 2 will also choose to accept it. Returning to the second period,
player 2 has the right of proposal, and as long as x1 = 1 − x2 = δ, player 1
will accept player 2’s proposal. Returning to the first period, player 1 has
the right of proposal, and as long as x2 = 1 − x1 = δ(1 − δ), player 2 will
accept player 1’s proposal. Therefore, in the equilibrium path of the game,
player 1 proposes a distribution plan (1−δ +δ 2 , δ −δ 2 ) and player 2 accepts
it in the first period, and the game ends.
We find that in the case of T = 1, 2, 3, player 1 proposes a distribution
T T
plan ( 1−(−δ)
1+δ , 1 −
1−(−δ)
1+δ ) and player 2 accepts this plan in the first period,
and then the game ends. As a consequence, we conjecture that for all T ,
T 1−(−δ)T
we have: player 1 proposes a distribution plan ( 1−(−δ)
1+δ , 1 − 1+δ ) and
player 2 accepts this plan in the first period, and then the game ends. This
can be proven by mathematical induction.
Let (xt (T ), yt (T )) denote the distribution plan of the t period of the
bargaining game with the deadline of T period(s), which satisfies xt (T ) +
yt (T ) = 1. First of all, when T = 1, the above conclusion holds. Assume
that when T = K, the above conclusion is also true. That is, the distribu-
1−(−δ)K
tion plan (x1 (K) = 1+δ , y1 (K) = 1 − x1 (K)) proposed by player 1 in
the first period will be accepted by player 2.
Suppose now that T = K + 1. Consider the distribution plan in the
second period (x2 (K +1), y2 (K +1)). The subgame starting from the second
period is the same as the bargaining game with the deadline of K period(s)
in which player 2 proposes a distribution plan first, and thus y2 (K + 1) =
330 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
1−(−δ)K
x1 (K) = 1+δ and (x2 (K + 1) = 1 − x1 (K), y2 (K + 1) = x1 (K)) will be
accepted by player 1. Returning to the first period, (x1 (K +1) = 1−δy2 (K +
1), y1 (K + 1) = δy2 (K + 1)) will be accepted by player 2. Therefore, the
distribution plan:
( )
1 − (−δ)K 1 − (−δ)K+1
(x1 (K +1) = 1−δ = , y1 (K +1) = 1−x1 (K +1))
1+δ 1+δ
and player 2 accepts this plan in the first period, and then the game ends.
When δ < 1 and T → ∞, the subgame perfect equilibrium becomes
( )
1 δ
(x1 , x2 ) = , ,
1+δ 1+δ
knowledge of all players of the game. Different players may have different
signals for these type variables. These signals can also be utilized to revise
posterior beliefs. In this way, incomplete information can be converted into
complete but imperfect information by describing all unknown informa-
tion and beliefs by type variables. The complete information defined here
refers to a situation in which a player’s information state can be defined
by an information set, and this information state is common knowledge.
Nature assigns a random variable to each player, which could take values
of types for each player.
At the beginning of the game, players’ types are exogenously-given ran-
dom variables whose values are decided by Nature. A player knows her
own type, and does not know other players’ types, but knows their prior
distributions. The game after transforming from incomplete information
to complete but imperfect information is called the Bayesian game. In the
Bayesian game, belief is an essential concept, especially for dynamic games
of incomplete information, which is a player’s subjective judgment of other
players’ types distribution. If a player obtains some new information, the
player will update beliefs about other players’ types using Bayes’ rule. We
will use the concept of Bayesian-Nash equilibrium to analyze the equilib-
rium of strategic interactions in static games.
(5) A payoff profile for each player: player i’s utility function is
ui (·) : A × T → R.
Note that the Bayes’ Rule is not well-defined if there is a zero probabil-
ity event that appears in the denominator of the formula for a conditional
probability. This matters little for now, but matters a lot when requiring
sequential rationality in dynamic games of incomplete information. Al-
so, when players’ probability distributions are independent each other, we
have
p(t−i |ti ) = p(t−i ).
of player i for all possible types, where si (ti ) is an action plan of player i
when the player’s own type is ti .
The set of all possible strategies player i for type ti is denoted by Si (ti ).
∏
Player i’s strategy space Si ≡ Si (ti ) : Ti → Ai is then a correspondence
ti ∈Ti
(set-valued map). The corresponding mixed strategy space is denoted as
∏
∆Si ≡ ∆Si (ti ).
ti ∈Ti
Since the payoff profile functions, possible types, and the prior prob-
ability distribution are common knowledge, the (interim) expected payoff
profiles of player i of type ti is given by
∑
Et−i ui (s′i , s−i , ti ) = p(t−i |ti )ui (si ′ (ti ), s−i (t−i ), t) (6.5.4)
t−i
when types are finite
∫
= ui (s′i (ti ), s−i (t−i ), t)dp(t−i ) (6.5.5)
when types are not finite.
Here, “the interim expected utility”means that it is taken when the play-
er knows her own type but does not known others’types (i..e, information
is asymmetric). When a strategy is a mixed strategy, the expected payoff
profiles of player i of type ti is given by Ui (σi′ , σ−i , ti ).
In the following, we describe the Bayesian game with two examples.
Prisoner 2: Type I
Deny Confess
Prisoner 1 Deny −2, −2 −10, −1
Confess −1, −10 −5, −5
Prisoner 2: Type II
Deny Confess
Prisoner 1 Deny −2, −2 −10, −7
Confess −1, −10 −5, −11
Prisoner 2 is of type II, the payoff profiles of Prisoner 1 and Prisoner 2’s
interaction are represented by the second matrix in Table 6.20.
Formally, the Bayesian game for this incomplete information prisoner’s
dilemma can be decried as
If bi = maxj̸=i bj , the types shall be decided by lot (i.e., the object is ran-
domly assigned by the same probability).
∑
si (ti ) ∈ arg max p(t−i |ti )ui (si ′ (ti ), s−i (t−i ), t),
s′i (ti )∈S(ti )
t−i
∑
σi (ti ) ∈ arg max p(t−i |ti )ui (σi ′ (ti ), σ−i (t−i ), t),
σi′ (ti )∈∆S(ti )
t−i
Case 1. When vi > maxj̸=i bj , bidding bi > maxj̸=i bj and the true value
vi bring the same payoff profilef vi −maxj̸=i bj > 0, but when bi < maxj̸=i bj ,
the opportunity to win is lost, so that the payoff profile is less than that
brought by bidding the true value vi . Thus, when vi > maxj̸=i bj , si (vi ) = vi
is a weakly dominant strategy.
Case 2. When vi 5 maxj̸=i bj , bidding bi 5 maxj̸=i bj and the true
value vi bring the same payoff profile 0, but when the bidding price bi >
maxj̸=i bj , the payoff profile vi − maxj̸=i bj < 0 is smaller than the payoff
profile of bidding vi . Thus, when vi 5 maxj̸=i bj , si (vi ) = vi is also a weakly
dominant strategy.
Therefore, truth-telling (si (ti = vi ) = vi )i∈N,ti ∈Ti is a Bayesian-Nash e-
quilibrium.
Player 2: t2 = 1
L R
Player 1 U 2, −2 −2, 2
D −2, 2 2, −2
Player 2: t2 = 2
L R
Player 1 U 3, 2 −2, −2
D −2, 2 2, −2
Hence, Et2 u1 (U ) > Et2 u1 (D) and thus U is player 1’s best response to the
strategy of player 2. Therefore, the strategy profile (s1 (t1 ) = U ; s2 (t2 =
1) = R, s2 (t2 = 2) = L) is a Bayesian-Nash equilibrium.
340 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Then this Cournot game has 2 players, and the set of actions of each
player are qi ∈ [0, ∞), but firm 2 has two types T2 = {L, H}.
The payoff profile functions of the players, after output choices are
made, are given by
There are three best response functions and they are are given by
∗ ) satis-
The Bayesian-Nash equilibria of this game are vectors (q1∗ , qL∗ , qH
fying the best responses of all players:
B1 (qL∗ , qH
∗
) = q1∗ , BL (q1∗ ) = qL∗ , BH (q1∗ ) = qH
∗
.
have
1
q1∗ = (Q̄ − 2C + βCL + (1 − β)CH ),
3
1 1
qL∗ = (Q̄ − 2CL + C) − (1 − β)(CH − CL ),
3 6
∗ 1 1
qH = (Q̄ − 2CH + C) + β(CH − CL ).
3 6
Example 6.5.7 (First-Price Sealed-Bid Auction) There are bidders whose val-
uations are independent and follow uniform distribution G on [0, 1]. The
bidder with the higher bid wins the auction item at the bidding price. If
they submit the same biding price, each player obtains the item with equal
probability and pays the bidding price. Let v1 and v2 be the types of bidders
1 and 2 whose strategies are b1 (v1 ) and b2 (v2 ), respectively.
We want to solve the symmetric Bayesian-Nash equilibrium (i.e., b1 (v1 ) =
b(v1 ) and b2 (v2 ) = b(v2 )). Suppose that b(v) is an increasing function, as we
will verify later. The expected utility of bidder i with type vi when she bids
bi is
1
Evj ui (bi , vi ) = (vi − bi )prob(b(vj ) < bi ) + (vi − bi )prob(b(vj ) = bi ).
2
Hence,
Evj ui (bi , vi ) = (vi − bi )Φ(bi ).
G′
Since Φ(b(vi )) = G(b−1 (bi )) = G(vi ), Φ′ (b(vi )) = b′ (vi ) , and G′ (vi ) = 1,
342 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
we have
G(vi )b′ (vi ) + b(vi )) = vi
or
d
[G(vi )b(vi )] = vi .
dvi
Thus, taking the integral from 0 to vi on the both sides and noting G(vi ) =
vi , we have
vi
b(vi ) = .
2
Obviously, b(vi ) is a strictly increasing function. Therefore, the Bayesian-
Nash equilibrium of this First-Price Sealed-Bid Auction is b(vi ) = vi
2, i ∈ N.
Male
Opera Basketball
Famale Opera 2, 1 + x2 0, 0
Basketball 0, 0 1 + x1 , 2
Thus, the above example explains why individuals choose mixed strate-
gies by introducing incomplete information. In other words, a player’s
344 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
judgment of other players’ mixed strategies may stem from a lack of un-
derstanding them.
Similarly, we can have the existence theorems on Bayesian-Nash equi-
librium. For a Bayesian game with continuous strategy space and contin-
uous types, if strategy sets and type sets are compact subsets in Euclidean
space, payoff profile functions are continuous on the strategy spaces and
concave in own strategies, then there exists a pure strategy Bayesian-Nash
equilibrium.
For an incomplete information Bayesian game with finite strategy space
and finite types, we have the following proposition.
Proposition 6.5.1 Every finite incomplete information Bayesian game has a mixed
strategy Bayesian-Nash equilibrium.
information on moves and types), players can use both the knowledge of
the entire game as well as the actions that have previously occurred in the
game to update their beliefs about which node in the information set they
are at through Bayes’ rules.
Combining the insights of SPNE under dynamic situation and Bayesian-
Nash equilibrium in static game of incomplete information with the revi-
sion of the beliefs using Bayesian rule “whenever possible”, a natural
solution concept is the weak perfect Bayesian equilibrium (weak PBE)1 ,
or called the weak sequent equilibrium by Myerson (1991), which needs
to satisfy three requirements. The first requirement is that beliefs must be
specified. When a player has multiple decision nodes within an informa-
tion set, the player must specify a belief about which node in the informa-
tion set he is at. This is a new requirement.
The second requirement is that the strategy choices must be sequen-
tially rational. Each player must be acting optimally at each information
set given the player’s beliefs and the opponents’ subsequent strategies that
follow the information set (i.e., strategies must be best responses both to be-
liefs and to other players’ strategies). The third requirement is that the be-
liefs must be updated by Bayes’ rule at the equilibrium path (which mean-
s the information set is reached when the equilibrium strategy is played).
These three requirements together define a weak PBE.
However, the weak PBE does not impose any restriction off the equilib-
rium path. It is loosely defined by stating that players should be sequen-
tially rational given beliefs in which Bayes’ rule is applied “whenever pos-
sible.”Consequently, there may exist undesirable weak perfect Bayesian
equilibria. This is why the modifier “weak”was added here. So it is nec-
essary to make further refinements.
Then a fourth requirement is the full consistence in the sense that the off-
equilibrium-path beliefs are also determined by Bayes’ rule and the player-
s’ equilibrium strategies where possible through the means of “trembling-
hand”, i.e., playing completely mixed strategy so that the probability of
1
When considering the signaling game with two players whose types are the only asym-
metry of information, it is called the perfect Bayesian equilibrium (PBE) since it is equiva-
lent to the sequent equilibrium.
346 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
reaching any information set is positive and then beliefs on any informa-
tion set can be updated according to Bayes’ rule. These four requirements
together define the solution concept of sequential equilibrium proposed
by Kreps and Wilson (1982a) or called the strong PBE. Thus, the sequen-
tial equilibrium refines the Bayes-Nash equilibrium concept by eliminating
“noncredible threats,”and also eliminates some of the SPNE that exist
“noncredible threats”when there is imperfect information.
When the types of players are the asymmetry of information, we will
define the perfect Bayesian equilibrium and discuss the signaling game.
All these solution concepts can be further refined by imposing various re-
strictions.
In the following, we will discuss these equilibrium solution concept-
s. We will first consider the situation where earlier moves of players are
private information or the initial mover (state or type) of a player is deter-
mined by Nature. We then consider signaling games where types of players
are private information.
Specification of Belief:
That is, a belief system means that for any information set h, the player
who moves at point h believes that she is at node x ∈ h with probability
µ(x|h). A player’s belief system on an information set is actually a sub-
jective judgment on the types of the opponents and the player’s previous
actions.
6.6. DYNAMIC GAMES OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 347
Sequential Rationality:
Eι(h) [uι(h) (σh , σ−h )|h, µ] = Eι(h) [uι(h) (σ ′ h , σ−h )|h, µ], ∀ σ ′ h ∈ ∆A(h),
Firm E
0 Firm I
3
Fight Accommodate
Fight Accommodate
-2 5 -2 3
-2 0 -2 1
Firm I
Accommodate if entry occurs Fight if entry occurs
Firm E Stay out 0, 3 0, 3
Enter 1 5, 0 −2, −2
Enter 2 3, 1 −2, −2
There is only one subgame that is the whole game and thus all Nash
equilibria are SPNE. From the normal form representation depicted in Ta-
ble 6.23, this game has two Nsh equilibria: One is (Stay Out, Fight if entry
occurs) and the other is (Enter 1, Accommodate if entry occurs). However,
strategy profile (Stay Out, Fight if entry occurs) does not satisfy sequential
rationality since the sequential rationality for incomplete information game
requires that the actions on any information set (not merely on a subgame,
here it is the whole game) should be rational. On firm I’s information set,
regardless of what firm I’ belief is (i.e., regardless of what entry strategy
6.6. DYNAMIC GAMES OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 349
Bayes’ Rule:
Example 6.6.2 (An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’ Rule) Suppose that two
events S (Smoke) and F (Fire) can occur exclusively or together according
to some prior probability distribution P (·). P (S) denotes the prior proba-
bility of smoke (how often we can see smoke), P (F ) the prior probability
of fire (i.e., how often there is fire), and P (S ∩ F ) the prior probability that
it will be smoke with fire. When you see smoke; what can you infer about
(update) the probability of fire (without seeing the fire)?
350 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
P (S ∩ F ) = P (F ) × P (S|F )
= P (S) × P (F |S),
P (S ∩ F )
P (F |S) =
P (S)
P (F ) × P (S|F )
= ,
P (S)
When we know how often smoke happens given that fire happens (i.e.,
P (S|F )), how likely fire is on its own (i.e., P (F )), and how likely smoke is
on its own (i.e., P (S)), then we can know how often fire happens given that
smoke happens (i.e.,P (F |S)).
P (F |S) is then called the posterior which is what we are trying to esti-
mate, and P (S|F ) the likelihood which is the probability of observing the
new evidence, given the initial hypothesis. So the formula kind of tells us
"forwards" P (F |S) when we know "backwards" P (S|F ).
For instance, dangerous fires are rare (P (F ) = 1%), but smoke is fairly
common (P (S) = 10%) due to barbecues, and P (S|F ) = 95% of dangerous
fires make smoke. We can then discover the probability of dangerous Fire
when there is Smoke:
P (F ) × P (S|F ) 1% × 95%
P (F |S) = = = 9.5%.
P (S) 10%
prob(x|σ)
prob(x|h, σ) = ∑ ′
x′ ∈h prob(x |σ)
prob(x|σ)
= . (6.6.7)
prob(h|σ)
The more serious issue arises when players are not using completely
mixed strategies. In this situation, not all information sets can be reached
with a positive probability, Bayes’ rule is not well defined at which the de-
nominator in the above formula is zero. Then Bayes’ rule cannot be used to
compute conditional probabilities for the nodes in these information sets.
We refer to the information set which is not reached with positive probabil-
ity as an information set off the equilibrium path.
In the dynamic game of incomplete information, there are different e-
quilibrium concepts corresponding to different requirements for the infor-
mation sets off the equilibrium path. The solution concept of weak perfect
Bayesian equilibrium given below does not impose any restrictions on the
beliefs on information sets off the equilibrium path, but rather imposes re-
strictions only on the information sets on an equilibrium path, requiring
that beliefs are consistent with the equilibrium strategy’s sequential ratio-
nality.
prob(x|σ)
µ(x) = .
prob(h|σ)
Note that a weak PBE is a pair but not just a strategy profile.
We illustrate the application of the weak PBE concept using the previ-
ous game depicted by Figure 6.12.
Firm E
0 Fight Accommodate
3
Fight Accommodate
Fight Accommodate
-4 2 -3 5
-2 -3 -2 2
A weak PBE of this game is the strategy profile (σE , σI )=((Stay out, Ac-
commodate if entering), Fight if Enter occurs) combined with beliefs for
firm I that assigns probability 1 to firm E having played “Fight if enter-
ing”, which is shown in Figure 6.13.
However, this weak PBE is not a subgame perfect equilibrium, because
in the subgame after firm E enters, the only Nash equilibrium is that both
firm E and firm I choose “Accommodate if Enter occurs”. Then, the only
subgame perfect equilibrium of this game is that firm E chooses to enter,
and once it enters, it chooses “Accommodate”and firm I also chooses
“Accommodate”after firm E enters.
The problem is that after firm E enters, firm I’s belief about firm E’s
play is unrestricted by the weak perfect Bayesian equilibrium because firm
I’s information set is off the equilibrium path.
This example shows that since there are no restrictions on beliefs off
the equilibrium path, a weak perfect Bayesian equilibrium may not be a
subgame perfect equilibrium. Firm I’s beliefs off the equilibrium path do
not match firm E’s strategy in the subgame.
The following example further illustrates that due to the lack of restric-
tions on beliefs off the equilibrium path, these beliefs become unsensible.
Nature
0 3 0 3
3 1 3 5
i.e., player 1 chooses “x”and player 2 chooses “l”given her belief that
player 1’s choice is “y. Moreover, player 1’s beliefs on his information set
are 0.5 for the left decision node and 0.5 for the right decision node, and
player 2’s beliefs on her information set are 0.9 for the left decision node
and 0.1 for the right decision node.
Obviously, given the beliefs of players 1 and 2, their strategies meet the
requirement of sequential rationality since player 2’s expected payoff pro-
file 3 of choosing the left node is greater than the expected payoff profile
1.4 of choosing the right node, and player 1’s expected payoff profile 1.5 of
choosing x is greater than the expected payoff profile 0 of choosing y. How-
ever, while player 1’s beliefs coincide with “Nature’s”selection probabil-
ities, player 2’s information set is off the equilibrium path, and there are
no restrictions on her beliefs on player 1’s information set. Moreover, these
beliefs are not sensible. Player 2’s beliefs are unsensible since it is not con-
sistent with “Nature”’s choices. Player 1 has the same probability on his
two decision nodes, once player 1 has chosen y, player 2’s beliefs on play-
er’s 1 information set should be 0.5 for both of her decision nodes, instead
of 0.9 for the left decision node and 0.1 for the right decision node. Here we
see that it is desirable to require that beliefs at lease be structurally consis-
tent off the equilibrium path.
The above two examples show that the concept of the weak PBE needs
to be strengthened and it is necessary to impose extra consistence restric-
356 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
tions on beliefs off the equilibrium path; otherwise, a weak perfect Bayesian
equilibrium may contain unreasonable beliefs and strategy profiles. Below,
we will discuss some strengthened equilibrium concepts which impose cer-
tain consistence restrictions on beliefs off the equilibrium path. We first
consider the concept of sequential equilibrium.
x3 4,2,2
(ε$)
x2 y3
(ε#) (1-ε$) 0,0,0
y2 x3 0,0,3
x1 (1-ε#) y3 (ε$)
(ε ) 2.2 (1-ε$) 0,1,1
3.3 x3
2,2,2
y1 x2 y3 (ε$)
1.1 (ε#) 2,3,0
(ε!) (1-ε$)
y2
z1 (1-ε#) x3 2,0,0
(1-ε -ε!) y3 (ε$)
1,4,4
(1-ε$) 0,1,1
ε0
α=
ε0 + ε1
and
ε1
1−α= .
ε0 + ε1
Similarly, player 3’s belief probabilities of the decision nodes from the
top to the bottom are
ε0 ε2
β = = αε2 ,
ε0 + ε1
ε0 (1 − ε2 )
γ = = α(1 − ε2 ),
ε0 + ε1
ε1 ε2
δ = = (1 − α)ε2 ,
ε0 + ε1
ε1 (1 − ε2 )
ζ = = (1 − α)(1 − ε2 ),
ε0 + ε1
respectively.
When ε0 , ε1 , ε2 and ε3 approach to 0, these consistent beliefs must sat-
isfy:
β = 0, δ = 0, γ = α, ζ = 1 − α,
where α may be any number in the interval [0, 1]. So there is a one-parameter
family of beliefs vectors that are fully consistent with the strategy profile
(z1 , y2 , y3 ).
However, it is not a sequential equilibrium since with these beliefs,
(z1 , y2 , y3 ) is not sequently rational. This is because when ε0 , ε1 , ε2 and ε3 al-
l approach to 0, completely mixed strategy profiles converge to (z1 , y2 , y3 ).
The fact that player 3’s choice of y3 is sequentially rational requires that the
expected payoff profile from choosing strategy x3 is lower than that from
6.6. DYNAMIC GAMES OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 359
If ε3 = 1, (1 − α)(1 − ε2 ) < 2
3 is required;
.95
.05
On information set 1.1, player 1’s sequential rationality requires the fol-
lowing:
Therefore, the only sequential equilibrium of the entire game is: the
behavior strategy profile is β = 1, γ = 4/19, ε = 0.2, ζ = 0; and the belief
system is α = 0.95, and δ = 0.8.
Readers who are interested in the proof of this proposition can refer to
the classical literature of Kreps and Wilson (1982).
Example 6.6.8 In the game depicted in Figure 6.17, there are two (pure s-
trategy) sequential equilibria. One is strategy profile (a1 , y1 ; y2 ), and the
belief probability of the lower decision node on player 2’s information set
2.2 is 1. The other is strategy (b1 , x1 ; x2 ), and the belief probability of the
upper decision node on player 2’s information set 2.2 is 1. However, the
first sequential equilibrium does not satisfy the forward induction criteri-
on. If player 2 enters information set 2.2, player 1 has not chosen strategy
a1 on information set 1.0. If player 1 chooses a1 , his payoff profile is 4. If
player 1 is rational, the goal of having not chosen strategy a1 on informa-
tion set 1.0 is to obtain a higher payoff profile in the continuation subgame
equilibrium. In consequence, the Nash equilibrium of the subgame starting
from information set 1.1 is (x1 , x2 ).
If the Nash equilibrium of this subgame is (y1 , y2 ), player 1 only ob-
tains a payoff profile of 3, which is not as good as choosing strategy a1 on
information set 1.0. In other words, the strategy (b1 , y1 ) is player 1’s strictly
dominated strategy (relative to strategy a1 ). If player 1 knows that player
2 will reason in this way, then once the subgame starting from information
set 1.1 is entered, the Nash equilibrium will be (x1 , x2 ). This reasoning pro-
364 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
cess is called the forward induction. In the game shown in this example,
only the sequential equilibrium (b1 , x1 , x2 ) satisfies the forward induction
criterion. In this sequential equilibrium, the belief probability of the upper
decision node on player 2’s information set 2.2 is 1.
However, the forward induction criterion may conflict with the back-
ward induction criterion. The following example (see Figure 6.18) shows
the possibility of such a conflict.
Example 6.6.9 In this example, by backward induction, there are two Nash
equilibria (x1 , x2 ) and (y1 , y2 ) in the subgame that starts from information
set 1.3, and their equilibrium payoff profiles are (9, 0) and (1, 8), respective-
ly. On information set 2.2, if player 2 chooses a2 , her payoff profile is only
7, and if player 2 chooses b2 , she wants to obtain an equilibrium payoff pro-
file of 8 in the subgame starting from the information set 1.3 (otherwise, she
has chosen a2 ). Therefore, the Nash equilibrium is (y1 , y2 ).
However, reaching information set 1.3 indicates that player 1 has cho-
sen b1 on information set 1.1. If player 1 chooses a1 on information set 1.1,
his payoff profile is only 2. As a consequence, for player 1, the purpose
of choosing b1 is to ultimately obtain a payoff profile that is no less than
2. However, when the backward induction is combined with the previ-
ous forward induction, player 1’s final equilibrium payoff profile is 1 if she
chooses b1 , which contradicts the forward induction here.
Spence (1973) proposed a new idea when discussing the value of education.
He found that an important function of education was to deliver signals
on individuals’ productivity. In the labor market, different workers have
heterogeneous productivities. However, individual productivity is private
information so that employers usually do not know or is costly to obtain. A
simple and convenient way of judging individual productivity is through
years of education or diplomas. Different levels of education may reflec-
t different intrinsic productivity. From years of education and diplomas,
employers can speculate on potential employees’ types.
Consider a signaling game that is described by a two-stage extensive-
form game. Assume that there are two players 1 and 2, and player 1’s type θ
is his private information. The set of all possible types is denoted as Θ. The
prior distribution of types is p(·) : Θ → [0, 1], which is common knowledge.
Player 1’s action in the first stage is represented by a1 , and the set of all pos-
sible actions is denoted as A1 . In the second stage, after observing player
1’s action a1 , player 2 chooses action a2 . The set of all possible actions of
player 2 is denoted as A2 . When player 1’s type θ becomes public infor-
mation, these two players’ payoff profiles are u1 (a1 , a2 , θ) and u2 (a1 , a2 , θ),
respectively. Let α1 ∈ ∆A1 and α2 ∈ ∆A2 represent the mixed actions of
players 1 and 2, respectively.
Player 1’s strategy σ1 (·|θ) describes the probability distribution on his
action set A1 when his type is θ; player 2’s strategy σ2 (·|a1 ) describes the
probability distribution on her action set A2 after she observes player 1’s
366 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
action a1 . Prior to taking her action, player 2 speculates that the probability
with which player 1’s type is θ is µ(θ|a1 ). The formation of this posterior
belief depends on player 1’s strategy a1 and Bayes’ rule.
The equilibrium concept adopted here is that of perfect Bayesian equi-
librium (PBE).
Example 6.6.10 (Education Game) Suppose that there are two different type-
s of individuals whose intrinsic productivities are θh and θl , respectively,
where θh > θl . Productivity can be viewed as unit labor’s output value,
and the proportion of high-productivity individuals is λ (priori distribu-
tion).
The costs of education level e for different types of individuals are C(e, θ),
which satisfy C(0, θ) = 0, Ce (e, θ) > 0, Cee (e, θ) > 0, C(e, θh ) < C(e, θl ),
6.6. DYNAMIC GAMES OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 367
and Ce (e, θh ) < Ce (e, θl ) (i.e., Ceθ (e, θ) > 0, which is called the single-
crossing property).
Assume that in the labor market, due to competition, the wage paid by
an employer equals to the expected labor productivity of the worker. In the
first stage, a job seeker chooses his education level e. In the second stage,
after observing the job seeker’s education level e, an employer’s posterior
belief on the job seeker’s type θh is µ(θh |e), and thereby the employer pays
wage:
w = µ(θh |e)θh + (1 − µ(θh |e))θl .
The employer chooses to provide a labor contract with wage w, and the job
seeker chooses whether or not to accept it. If the labor contract is accepted,
the payoff profile of the job seeker whose type is θ is given by
If the labor contract is not accepted, it is assumed that the payoff profile
of each type of job seeker is zero. Then, the labor contract should satisfy
participation constraint:
also faced with the incentive compatible constraint that no type of job seek-
er deviates from this choice. The fact that job seekers of type θl are willing
to accept employers’ labor contracts means that the participation constraint
holds:
u(wp , e∗ |θl ) = wp − C(e∗ , θl ) = 0.
Let ê satisfy wp − C(ê, θl ) = 0. When e∗ > ê, job seekers of type θl will
reject employers’ contracts by the participation constraint. Consequently,
this game’s pooling equilibrium requires e∗ 5 ê.
Define
i.e., Θ(a1 ) presents that under types θ ∈ Θ(a1 ), a1 is not a strictly dominated
strategy.
In a perfect Bayesian game, reasonable beliefs need to satisfy: if µ(θ|a1 ) >
0, then θ ∈ Θ(a1 ).
Since we must also take into account all players’ strategies in equilib-
rium, we need an equilibrium related belief system for eliminating dom-
inated strategies. Let S−1 ∗ (Θ, a1 ) ≡ S2 ∗ (Θ, a1 ) × · · · × SN ∗ (Θ, a1 ) ⊆ S−1
be all possible equilibrium responses of other players i ̸= 1 to a given be-
lief µ(θ|a1 ) after observing player 1’s action a1 (i.e., if si ∗ ∈ Si ∗ (Θ, a1 ), then
si ∗ ∈ arg maxsi ui ∗ (a1 , si , θ)).
Applying the above criterion, we have the following definition.
Equilibrium Domination
Θ∗∗ (a1 ) = {θ :̸ ∃a1 ∈ A1 makes the above strict inequality (6.6.10) true}.
u1 (θ) ≡ u1 (a1 ∗ (θ), s−1 ∗ (a1 ∗ ), θ) > min u1 (a∗1 (θ), s′−1 , θ),
s′−1 ∈S−1
∗ (Θ,a′ )
1
(e(θh ) = e(θl ) = e∗ < ê, w(e∗ ) = wp = λθh +(1−λ)θl , µ(θh |e∗ ) = λ, µ(θh |e∗ ) = 0)
is a pooling equilibrium.
Let e′ satisfy θh −C(e′ , θl ) = wp −C(e∗ , θl ) and e′′ satisfy θh −C(e′′ , θh ) =
wp −C(e∗ , θh ). Obviously, we have e′′ > e′ . When e ∈ (e′ , e′′ ), θh −C(e, θl ) <
wp − C(e∗ , θl ) and θh − C(e, θh ) > wp − C(e∗ , θh ). In other words, when the
employer observes e ∈ (e′ , e′′ ), job seekers of type θl prefer the payoff pro-
file of pooling equilibrium instead of choosing e to obtain the maximum
possible payoff profile, while job seekers of type θh are just the opposite.
According to the restrictions of the dominated strategy in equilibrium on
beliefs, when e ∈ (e′ , e′′ ), the employer’s posterior belief is µ(e) = 1. There-
fore, job seekers of type θh have an incentive to choose e, and the pooling
equilibrium does not satisfy the belief restrictions imposed by the dominat-
ed strategy in equilibrium.
Intuitive Criterion
Based on the above restrictions on beliefs, Cho and Kreps (1987) proposed
another refinement criterion for reducing the set of equilibria, which is in-
tuitive criterion.
According to the above discussion of the education game, only the Pare-
to optimal separating equilibrium can pass the intuitive criterion among all
perfect Bayesian equilibria.
In the following, we refer to the example in Cho and Kreps (1987) (see
Figure 6.19) to explore how to employ the intuitive criterion to refine per-
fect Bayesian equilibria.
%HHU 4XLFKH
%HHU 4XLFKH
The second class: both types of player 1 choose “Quiche”, and play-
er 2 chooses F if she observes that player 1 has chosen “Beer”and chooses
N F if she observes that player 1 has chosen “Quiche”, and µ(θw |Quiche) =
0.9.
We find that the second class of perfect Bayesian equilibrium does not
satisfy the “intuitive criterion”. If player 2 observes that player 1 has
chosen “Beer”, she should be able to infer that player 1 is “strong”.
This is due to the fact that if player 1 is “weak”, his payoff profile is 3 in
Bayesian equilibrium, which is the highest payoff profile of all possible out-
comes in the game, and thus the “weak”type has no incentive to choose
“Beer”. However, for the “strong”type, choosing “Beer”can make
player 2 choose N F because she believes that “Beer”reveals that player
1 is “strong”. In this case, the “strong”type has a higher payoff profile.
In a more rigorous way, since u1 ∗ (θw ) > maxs2 u1 (Beer, s2 , θw ) and µ(θw |Beer) =
0, Θ∗∗ = θs . When θ = θs , we have
It can be verified that the first class of perfect Bayesian equilibrium does
not violate the “intuitive criterion”.
There are other criteria for refining the equilibrium of dynamic games
of incomplete information, such as the “divinity”and the “universal di-
vinity”proposed by Banks and Sobel (1987), and the concept of “stable
equilibrium”proposed by Kohlberg and Mertens (1986).
In using game theory to examine an interaction process, the most basic and
important premise is that the game has an equilibrium solution. In the
non-cooperative game, Nash equilibrium is a crucial concept. Nash (1951)
proved the existence theorem of Nash equilibrium.
Below, we discuss some existence theorems of game equilibrium.
i.e., BRi (x−i ) is the set of best responses to other players’ strategy x−i .
Define BR(x) = ×i∈N BRi (x−i ). Then, BR : S → 2S is a correspon-
dence (multi-valued mapping). Since for any i ∈ N , ui is continuous and
quasiconcave on Si , BRi (x−i ) is non-empty, compact and convex for all
s−i ∈ S−i . Also, by the Maximum Theorem (Theorem 2.6.14), the corre-
spondence BRi is an upper hemi-continuous correspondence on S.2 Ap-
plying the Kakutani fixed point theorem (see Theorem 2.6.20), there is an
x∗ , such that x∗ ∈ BR(x∗ ). x∗ is the pure strategy Nash equilibrium of the
game. 2
Since the utility function is linear on mixed strategy space ∆Ai , it is
quasiconcave. We immediately have the following corollary.
dence, if for all sequences {xn } and {yn }, where xn ∈ X, yn ∈ F (xn ), xn → x and yn → y,
then y ∈ F (x).
376 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Since a finite game ΓN = [N, {Si }, {ui (·)}] that can be viewed as a game
∑ ∏n
with strategy sets (∆Si )i∈N and ui (σ1 , σ2 , . . . , σn ) = ai ∈Si [ j=1 σj (aj )]ui (ai )
satisfies all the assumptions of Corollary 6.7.1, there exists a mixed strategy
Nash equilibrium. Thus Proposition 6.3.5 is proved.
However, in reality, many games do not satisfy some of the above as-
sumptions. For example, in the first-price sealed-bid auction, if two bidders
bid the highest price at the same time, these two bidders obtain the auction
item with the same probability. If one of these two bidders increases the
bid slightly, the bidder’s utility level will experience a large leap. As a con-
sequence, the utility function is not continuous at this point. The classical
Bertrand (1883) price war game also has discontinuous payoff profile func-
tions.
If some of the above conditions are not satisfied, does it mean that no
equilibrium exists? In the literature, there are intensive discussions on the
existence of Nash equilibrium after appropriate relaxation of continuity
and quasiconcavity, such as Dasgupta and Maskin (1986), Baye, Tian, and
Zhou (1993), Reny (1999), and Tian (2015). Below, we introduce some char-
acterization results on the existence of Nash equilibrium given by Baye,
Tian and Zhou (1993) and Tian (2015).
Definition 6.7.2 A game Γ = (N, (Xi )i∈N , (ui )i∈N ) is diagonally transfer
continuous, if the function U : X × X → R is diagonally transfer continuous
with respect to y, i.e., for any x, y ∈ X, once U (y, x) > U (x, x), then
there is another strategy profile z ∈ X and a neighborhood of x, Vx ⊆ X,
such that U (z, Vx ) > U (Vx , Vx ), i.e., for any x′ ∈ Vx , we have U (z, x′ ) >
U (x′ , x′ )).
l
min U (xk , y k0 ) 5 U (y k0 , y k0 ). (6.7.11)
15l5s
Similarly, a game Γ = (N, (Xi )i∈N , (ui )i∈N ) is diagonally transfer quasicon-
cave, if the function U : X × X → R is diagonally transfer quasiconcave
with respect to x.
Theorem 6.7.2 (Baye, Tian, and Zhou (1993)) Suppose that a normal form game
Γ = (N, (Xi )i∈N , (ui )i∈N ) satisfies diagonal transfer continuity. Γ has a pure s-
trategy Nash equilibrium if and only if it is diagonally transfer quasiconcave.
P ROOF . Necessity: Suppose that game Γ has a pure strategy Nash equi-
librium y ∗ ∈ X. We need to prove that U is diagonally transfer quasicon-
cave with respect to x. For any finite subset X m = {x1 , · · · , xm } ⊆ X,
let the corresponding finite subset be Y m = {y 1 , · · · , y m } = {y ∗ }. So,
for any {y k , y k , · · · , y k } ⊆ Y m = {y ∗ }, where 1 5 s 5 m and any
1 2 s
y k0 ∈ co {y k , y k , · · · , y k } = {y ∗ }, we have
1 2 s
∑
min [U (xk , y k0 )U (y k0 , y k0 )] 5 [U (xk , y ∗ )U (y ∗ , y ∗ )] = [ui (xki , yi∗ )ui (y ∗ )] 5 0.
l l l
15l5s
i∈I
Definition 6.7.4 A game Γ = (N, (Xi )i∈N , (ui )i∈N ) is said to be recursively
diagonal transfer continuous if, for any x, y ∈ X satisfying y ≻ x, there
exists a strategy profile y 0 ∈ X (possibly y 0 = x) and a neighborhood
Vx ⊆ X, such that for any z ∈ X that recursively upsets y 0 ,4 there exists
U (z, Vx ) > U (Vx , Vx ).
Definition 6.7.5 Let B ⊆ X. A game Γ = (N, (Xi )i∈N , (ui )i∈N ) is said
to satisfy recursive diagonal transfer continuity relative to B on X, if x is not
a Nash equilibrium, and then there exists a strategy profile y 0 ∈ B (pos-
sibly y 0 = x) and a neighborhood of strategy profile x, Vx , such that: (1)
y 0 is upset by a strategy on B. (2) If for any finite strategy profile chain
{y 1 , · · · , y m = z} with U (y i+1 , y i ) > U (y i , y i ), i = 0, · · · , m − 1, we have
U (z, Vx ) > U (Vx , Vx ).
∪L
k = L, we have z L ̸∈ Vx1 ∪ Vx2 · · · ∪ VxL and thus z L ̸∈ B ⊆ i=1 Vxi , which
is a contradiction. As a consequence, the game has a pure strategy Nash
equilibrium x∗ on B.
We now prove that x∗ must also be a pure strategy Nash equilibrium
on X. Suppose that x∗ was not a pure strategy Nash equilibrium on X.
Then, x∗ will be upset by a strategy in X \ B, and thus it is upset by a
strategy in B, which means that x∗ is not a Nash equilibrium on B, which
is a contradiction.
The proof of necessity is the same, since its proof does not rely on the
compactness of the set. 2
In Tian (2015), the sufficient and necessary conditions for the existence
of mixed strategy equilibrium and for the existence of equilibrium under
general preferences are also discussed.
6.8 Biographies
The minimax theorem proposed by von Neumann in 1928 and the equi-
librium theorem proposed by Nash in 1950 formed the cornerstone of game
theory. The former primarily considers the zero-sum game, while the latter
considers the more general non-zero-sum game. By extending this theory
to games involving various cooperation and competition, Nash successful-
ly opened the door to application of game theory in economics, political
science, sociology, and even evolutionary biology. In 1958, Nash was iden-
tified by Fortune (magazine) as the most outstanding figure among genius
mathematicians of the modern generation for his excellent work in mathe-
matics. In 1994, he and John C. Harsanyi and Reinhard Selten jointly won
the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. In 1999, he was awarded
the Leroy P. Steele Prize by the Mathematical Association of America.
6.9 Exercises
Exercise 6.1 Consider a normal-form game. Prove that if only one strate-
gy profile survives the iterated elimination of non-best response strategies,
then it is the unique Nash equilibrium.
Exercise 6.2 Consider the following game: There are 20 students in a class.
Each of them chooses an integer between 1 and 100. Students who choose
the number closest to 1/2 of the class average will equally divide 100 dol-
lars.
3. Suppose that the winning rule is changed to that students who choose
the number closest to 2 times the class average will equally divide 100
dollars. Find all Nash equilibria of the game.
2. Solve for the amount of sheep held by each herdsman in the Nash
equilibrium.
Exercise 6.4 Consider a normal-form game (N, (Si )i∈N ), (ui )i∈N ), where
N = {1, 2, · · · , n}. We say that the game is symmetric if it satisfies the
following conditions: (1) For any players i and j, Si = Sj ; (2) if s−i = s−j
and si = sj , then u(si , s−i ) = u(sj , s−j ). Suppose that for any player i and
j, σi = σj , strategy σ = (σ1 , · · · , σn ) is symmetric. The symmetric Nash
equilibrium refers to the Nash equilibrium whose strategy is symmetric.
6.9. EXERCISES 387
Exercise 6.5 Find all Nash equilibria of the following game (including pure-
strategy Nash equilibrium and mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium):
Player 2
L R
Player 1 T 0, 0 0, −2
M 3, 0 −1, 0
B 1, 0 −1, 1
Exercise 6.6 Two individuals have to decide how to allocate 100 thousand
dollars. They use the following allocation rule: Each decision-maker re-
ports a positive integer less than 100 thousand. If the sum of the number-
s reported by these two individuals does not exceed 100 thousand, then
the amount of money a decision-maker receives is the person’s own num-
ber (the extra money is discarded). If the sum of the numbers reported by
these two individuals is greater than 100 thousand and their numbers are
different, then the decision-maker who reports the smaller number receives
the amount of money that she reports, and the other decision-maker gets
what remains of the 100 thousand dollars. If the sum of the two numbers
is greater than 100 thousand and the two numbers are the same, then each
decision-maker receives 50 thousand dollars.
Player 2
L C R
T 1, −3 −3, 1 0, 0
Player 1 M −3, 1 1, −3 0, 0
B 0, 0 0, 0 2, 2
Player 2
L R
Player 1 T a1 , a2 b1 , b2
B c1 , c2 d 1 , d2
3. Find the Nash equilibrium in question (2) (where all players’ payoff
profiles are constant).
Exercise 6.9 Two players compete for one item, and each player simulta-
neously chooses a time node of giving up. If one of the two players first
gives up, the other player will receive the item; if both players give up at
the same time, then both players get the item with the same probability. Let
time be a continuous variable that starts at 0 and tends to infinity. Assume
that if player i receives the item, the player’s payoff profile is vi . For each
unit of time passed, each player needs to pay one unit cost. Let t1 and t2
represent the time node of giving up chosen by these two players.
6.9. EXERCISES 389
3. Suppose v1 > v2 . Find the best response curves for these two players.
Exercise 6.10 Prove that in game G = (I; {Si , ui }ni=1 ), if s∗ = (s∗1 , · · · , s∗n )
is the only strategy profile that survives the iterated elimination of strictly
dominated strategies, then s∗ is the unique Nash equilibrium of the game.
Exercise 6.12 A game in which the sum of two players’ payoff profiles is
zero is called a zero-sum game. When player 1 chooses strategy a1 ∈A1
and player 2 chooses strategy a2 ∈A2 , player 1’s payoff profile is u(a1 , a2 ).
In a zero-sum game, player 2’s payoff profile is −u(a1 , a2 ). A1 and A2 are
strategy spaces for players 1 and 2, respectively.
1. Prove the minimax theorem, i.e., prove that the following formula
holds:
2. Prove that if (m1 , m2 ) and (m∗1 , m∗2 ) are Nash equilibria, then (m1 , m∗2 )
and (m∗1 , m2 ) also are Nash equilibria.
3. Prove that player 1’s payoff profile is always zero in Nash equilibrium
in a symmetric zero-sum game.
Player B
L R
T x, x 0, 0
Player A
B 0, 0 x, x
Player A knows the exact value of x, and player B only knows that the
probability of x being 5 or 10 is 0.5.
3. Now, suppose that, after observing the value of x, player A can choose
to play a simultaneous-move game with player B, or pay a cost of 2
to play a sequential-move game and move first. For certain values
of x, player A will choose to pay a cost of 2 and move first. Find a
Bayesian-Nash equilibrium for this dynamic game. Is this Bayesian-
Nash equilibrium a sequential equilibrium? If yes, why?
Exercise 6.14 Consider the following game with two players. There are
21 coins on the table. Player 1 and Player 2 take turns to take away 1 to
3 coins. The last player to take away the coin on the table loses the game.
Specifically, player 1 can choose to take away 1, 2 or 3 coins, and then player
2 chooses the number of coins to take away, and they will take turns until
the last player to take away the coin on the table loses.
2. What is the number of coins on the table that can make player 2 al-
ways be the loser in equilibrium?
Exercise 6.15 Two players play the following game: In the first stage, play-
er 1 makes a choice between actions A and B; in the second stage, player 2
makes a choice between actions C and D after observing player 1’s choice;
in the third stage, player 1 makes a choice between actions a and b after not
observing player 2’s choice.
6.9. EXERCISES 391
A B
P P
C D L R
P P
2 1
C D C D 1 0
3 0 0 1
3 0 0 1
Figure 6.20:
2. For the simultaneous subgame, what are the (mixed) Nash equilibria?
A B
P P
C D L R
P P
1 2
C D C D 1 2
3 0 0 3
1 0 0 1
Figure 6.21:
3. What are all the pure and mixed strategy Nash equilibrium of the left
subtree.
1
L R
2 2
l r l! r!
1
2 6 0 l r
6 2 8
6 2
6 10
Figure 6.22:
3. Find all the rationalizable strategies in this game using the normal
form of the game. State the rationality/knowledge assumptions nec-
essary for each elimination.
5. Find the pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in this game.
3. Find all the rationalizable strategies in this game using the normal
form of the game. State the rationality/knowledge assumptions nec-
essary for each elimination.
6.9. EXERCISES 393
1
l r
2 2
l! r! l" r"
1 1 1
r# 3 r$ l% r%
l# l$
3
0 2 -1 8 2 4
6 4 0 2 -2 6
Figure 6.23:
5. Find the pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in this game.
1
L R
M
2 2
l r l! r! l" m" r"
r$ 0 1 4 1 0
l# r# l$
0 1 4 0 8
4 1 1 4
1 4 4 1
Figure 6.24:
3. Find all the rationalizable strategies in this game using the normal
form of the game. State the rationality/knowledge assumptions nec-
essary for each elimination.
5. Find the pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibrium in this game.
394 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Exercise 6.21 In a wild grassland, there are n hungry lions that have not
eaten food for a long period of time. One of the lions has fallen into a coma
and is defenseless due to an illness. These lions have a strict hierarchy.
Only the highest-ranked lion can eat the sick lion. However, the highest-
ranked lion may become sick and slip into a coma once he has eaten the
sick lion, and may subsequently be eaten by the second highest-ranked
lion. The preferences of these lions are as follows: “eat a sick lion and not
be eaten”≻, “not be eaten”≻, and “eaten by another lion (they don’t
care whether or not they are sick)”. Use backward induction to find the
subgame perfect equilibrium of this game.
Exercise 6.22 There is a duel among three musketeers, each with a pistol.
In each round, they aim at the target and fire at the same time, and the
entire process continues until at most one person survives. It is known that
the hit rate of A is 1, the hit rate of B is 0.8, and the hit rate of C is 0.6.
1. In the first round of the duel, who should be the shooting target of A,
B, and C, respectively?
3. The dueling rules are now amended to the following: In each round,
C fires first, then B fires, and A fires last. In the first round of the
duel, who should be the shooting target for A, B, and C, respectively?
What is the final survival rate of each of the three musketeers?
Exercise 6.23 Consider the following pirate game: 10 pirates consider how
to allocate 100 gems, and they alternately propose a distribution plan in
order of 1 to 10, and the order is determined by a lottery. The rules of
the game are as follows: Gems can only be allocated in integer quantities.
Pirate 1 first proposes an allocation plan. If half or more of the pirates
vote to accept the plan, the plan will be implemented, and the game ends;
otherwise, pirate 1 must leave the game, and the other 9 pirates continue
the game. Next, pirate 2 proposes an allocation plan. The rules of the game
are the same as previously. Suppose that all pirates must choose to reject an
allocation plan when they are indifferent between accepting and rejecting
6.9. EXERCISES 395
this allocation plan. Solve for the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of this
game.
Exercise 6.24 Two players A and B consider how to allocate two cakes
X and Y . Each cake is 1 unit in size. The utility function of player A is
u(x, y) = x + λy, where (x, y) is his share (i.e., x is obtained from cake X
and y is obtained from cake Y ); the utility function of player B is v(x, y) =
x + δy, where (x, y) is Player B’s share. Suppose that δ > λ > 0. The mech-
anism for allocating cakes is as follows: First, each cake is divided into two
pieces by A (i.e., X is divided into x and 1 − x and Y is divided into y
and 1 − y), and the divided cakes are merged into two groups: (x, y) and
(1 − x, 1 − y). Then, B chooses one group first, and A gets the other group.
1. Solve for the subgame perfect Nash Equilibrium of this game with
backward induction.
2. If the roles of A and B are reversed (i.e., the cakes are divided and
grouped by B, and A chooses one group first). What is the outcome?
Exercise 6.25 Consider the following dynamic game (arms race) with two
players (two countries that are competing with each other). In each period
t = 0, 1, 2, · · · , each player can choose to participate in or withdraw from
the competition. The cost of participating in the competition in each period
is 1. If both players choose to participate in the competition in a certain
period, then the returns of both players are 0 for the current period, and
they enter the game in the next period; if one player chooses to participate
396 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
in the competition and the other player chooses to withdraw from the com-
petition in a certain period, then the player who chooses to participate will
receive v for the current period and the player who chooses to withdraw
will receive 0 for the current period, and the game will end (i.e., there will
be no game in the subsequent period).
Exercise 6.26 Consider a bargaining game with three players. During peri-
ods t = 1, 4, 7, · · · , the first player can propose an allocation plan (x1 , x2 , x3 ),
where xi = 0 and x1 + x2 + x3 5 1, and other players can choose whether or
not to accept the allocation plan. During periods t = 2, 5, 8, · · · , the second
player can propose an allocation plan. During periods t = 3, 6, 9, · · · , the
third player can propose an allocation plan. If all players during a certain
period accept the allocation plan, the allocation plan will be implemented;
if there is one player in a certain period who rejects the allocation plan,
these three players will perform the next round of distribution. The dis-
count rate of each player per period is δ.
Player 2
L R
Player 1 U 1, α −α, 0
D α, 0 1, α
Player 2
L R
Player 1 U 2 + θ1 , 1 θ1 , θ2
D 0, 0 1, 2 + θ2
Exercise 6.30 Suppose that two investors decide whether to invest in a cer-
tain firm, and their returns on investment can be represented in the follow-
ing payoff profile matrix, where θ is the firm’s operating cost.
Investor 2
Invest Don’t Invest
Investor 1 Invest θ, θ θ − 1, 0
Don’t Invest 0, θ − 1 0, 0
398 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
1. If the investors know the operating cost θ. Find all Nash equilibria.
2. If the investors do not know the operating cost θ, investor i can ob-
serve a signal xi = θ + εi on the operating cost, where εi ∼N (0, σ 2 ).
Assume that the belief of investor i prior to observing the cost signal
is that θ obeys a uniform distribution in R. The belief of investor i af-
ter observing the cost signal becomes θ|x∼N (x, σ 2 ). Find the unique
Bayesian-Nash equilibrium of this game.
1. Suppose that c1 and c2 are 0.1 and 0.5, respectively. What is the Nash
equilibrium of this game? What will be the outcome of this game?
Exercise 6.32 Two hostile armies want to occupy an island. Each army can
decide whether or not to attack. The probability that the army is strong or
weak is one-half (the strength of each army is independent of each other).
Each army knows its own strength. If the island is occupied by an army,
this army gains M . If one army attacks the island and the other army does
not attack the island, the attacker will occupy the island. If two armies
choose to attack at the same time, then the stronger army will occupy the
island; if the two armies have the same strength, then no army will occupy
the island. Each attacker needs to pay a certain cost: the cost for a strong
army is s, and the cost for a weak army is w. The army that does not attack
the island will not suffer any cost. Assume M > w > s and w > M/2 > s.
Find the pure strategy Bayesian-Nash equilibrium of this game.
6.9. EXERCISES 399
Exercise 6.33 Consider the following bilateral auction. Both the buyer and
the seller quote a price simultaneously. If the seller’s price ps is less than or
equal to the buyer’s price pb , they trade at the price of p = (ps + pb )/2; how-
ever, if ps is greater than pb , no transaction occurs. The value of the auction
item for the buyer is vb , and for the seller it is vs . The value is private in-
formation for each party, and independently obeys a uniform distribution
on [0, 1]. If the buyer gets the item at a price of p, then the buyer’s payoff
profile is vb − p; if no transaction occurs, the buyer’s utility is zero. If the
seller sells the item at a price of p, the seller’s payoff profile is p − vs ; if no
transaction occurs, the seller’s utility is zero.
1. Find out the objective functions for the buyer and the seller.
Exercise 6.34 Consider a game with two players. Player 1 chooses from
three strategies: U , V , and W . Player 2 chooses from two strategies: L and
R. Player 2 only knows whether player 1 has chosen U while making her
decision and does not know any other information. In the case in which
player 1 has chosen U , if player 2 then chooses L, and their payoff profiles
will be (0, 2), where 0 is player 1’s payoff profile and 2 is player 2’s pay-
off profile. If player 2 then chooses R, their payoff profiles will be (2, 0).
Similarly, if these two players choose V and L one after another, their pay-
off profiles will be (−1, −1); if these two players choose V and R one after
another, their payoff profiles will be (3, 0). If these two players choose W
and L one after another, their payoff profiles will be (−1, −1); if these t-
wo players choose W and R one after another, their payoff profiles will be
(2, 1).
2. Find all pure strategy weak perfect Bayesian equilibria of this game.
3. Find out all pure strategy sequential equilibria of this game and com-
pare them with the results in question 2.
400 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Exercise 6.35 Prove the following theorem on the trembling hand perfect
Nash equilibrium:
Exercise 6.36 Consider the extensive-form game shown in Figure 6.25. Find
all the sequential equilibria of this game.
x y
3/4 1/4
1 1
out in in out
2 0
2
L R L R 1
0
4 1 4 1
5 0 0 1
Figure 6.25:
Exercise 6.37 Consider the extensive-form game shown in Figure 6.26. Find
the sequential equilibria/equilibrium of this game.
2. For each player, at each of his information sets, find the sequential
value of each of his possible moves, relative to this scenario with these
consistent beliefs.
6.9. EXERCISES 401
3/5 2/5
1 1
d a A D
2 0
3
3
α δ α δ 0
1 5 1 2
3 1 0 1
Figure 6.26:
2,-1
c
(.9)
2.2
d
(.1) 6,-6
a
(.6) 8,0
c
(.9)
2.2
1.1
d
b .25 (.1) 1,4
(.4) 0
.75
8,0
2.3 (.05)
(.95)
1,4
Figure 6.27:
3. Identify all irrational moves in this scenario with these consistent be-
liefs. In other words, for every information set of each player, identify
each move that has a positive move probability in this scenario but
does not maximize the sequential value for this player at this infor-
mation set.
2. Prove that if for any θ, y R (θ) ̸= y S (θ, b), then the number of equilibri-
um actions is finite. Hint: It can be proven that for any two different
equilibrium actions a1 < a2 , there is ε > 0, such that a1 − a2 = ε.
3. Prove that the state space is divided into finite intervals in each equi-
librium, and in the same interval, the audit company will adopt the
same strategy that leads to the same amount of investment.
4. Prove that for any θ, such that y R (θ) ̸= y S (θ, b), there is a positive
integer N (b), such that for any positive integer k between 1 and N (b),
there is a corresponding equilibrium which divides the state space
into k intervals.
Player 2
C D
Player 1 C 1, 2 2, 1
D 2, 0 0, 2
Game 2 is as follows:
Player 2
C D
Player 1 C 2, 1 1, 2
D 0, 2 4, 0
After observing which game Nature has chosen, player 1 chooses be-
tween actions C and D. Player 2 cannot observe Nature’s choice, and after
observing player 1’s action, she chooses between actions C or D.
404 CHAPTER 6. NON-COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
least offset the wage. Employees of type θ can receive e years of education
e
at cost c(e, θ) = θ. The education investment cost function c(e, θ) satis-
fies the single-crossing property with respect to (e, θ) (i.e., if e > e′ , then
c(e, θL ) − c(e′ , θL ) > c(e, θH ) − c(e′ , θH )). Given wage w and education level
e, each type θ employee has a payoff profile function u(w, e|θ) = w − c(e, θ).
Consider the following sequential actions:
• The firm observes the education level of the employee, but cannot
observe the employee type;
• The firm either rejects the request or accepts the request and employs
the employee at the wage level.
1. Write down the optimization problem that can solve for the first best
(the information is complete) wage and the first best education in-
vestment level.
investing in e years’ education is q(e), where q(e) > p(e) for any e >
0). What is the first best investment level in education at this time?
What is the payoff profile of type θL employee at this time? Provide
an intuitive explanation for your answers.
Exercise 6.44 Based on the previous exercise, suppose that there is asym-
metric information between the firm and its employees and that the solu-
tion concept of pure strategy perfect Bayesian equilibrium is adopted. Con-
sider separating equilibrium that satisfies eH ̸= eL . Answer the following
questions:
6.10 References
Papers:
6.10. REFERENCES 409
Cho, I., and D. Kreps (1987). “Signaling Games and Stable Equilibria”,
Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 102, No. 2, 179-221.
Nessah, R. and G. Tian (2014). “On the Existence of Strong Nash Equi-
libria”, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol. 414,
871-885.
Reny, P. J. (1999). “On the Existence of Pure and Mixed Strategy Nash
Equilibria in Discontinuous Games,”Econometrica, 67, 1029-1056.
Selten, R. (1978). “The Chain Store Paradox”, Theory and Decision, Vol.
9, No. 2, 127-159.
Tian, G. and Zhou, J. (1992). “The Maximum Theorem and the Existence
of Nash Equilibrium of (Generalized) Games Without Lower Semi-
continuities,”Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 166,
351-364.
Repeated Games
7.1 Introduction
In game theory, the dynamic game refers to a game in which players move
either sequentially or repeatedly. The previous chapter mainly discusses
the sequential game, in which one chooses one’s action before the others
choose theirs. Importantly, the later players must have some information
about the former player’s choice; otherwise, the difference in time would
have no strategic effect. Sequential games are thus governed by the time
axis, and represented in the form of decision trees, but the structure of dif-
ferent sub decision trees (subgames) may be different.
Although the repeated game also exhibits a dynamic structure, the d-
ifference is that the structure of its sub-decision tree is the same,, it is an
extensive form game that consists of a number of repetitions of some base
game, called the stage game (i.e., it refers to a strategic situation in which
all or some of the participants interact repeatedly). The theory of repeated
games provides a central underpinning for understanding social, political,
and economic institutions, both formal and informal. A key factor in under-
standing institutions and other long-term relationships is the role of shared
expectations of behavioral norms such as cultural beliefs, as well as the role
of sanctions in ensuring compliance with the “rules”. The repeated game
theory can be used to study these roles.
Repeated games capture the idea that one will have to take into account
414 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
the impact of the one’s current action on the future actions of others; this
impact is sometimes called the person’s reputation. We can find many
examples of repeated games: neighbours in the countryside often inter-
act repeatedly in certain activities, such as sowing and harvesting, social
events (weddings, funerals, etc.), and borrowing. When making policies,
including fiscal and monetary policies, governments may face similar envi-
ronments repeatedly; furthermore, policy choices of governments may be
constrained by possible future interactions. In addition, firms within the
same industry may face repeated games of competition and cooperation.
Compared with one-shot interaction, these repeated interactions have
quite dissimilar impacts on individuals’ behaviors and incentives. For in-
stance, discussions about increased urban crime rates after the opening-up
of China often focus on the reason of migration. Some people behave ap-
propriately in places where they have been living for a long period of time,
while they may misbehave when visiting a location for a short period of
time. This is not due to a change of preferences, but rather attributable to
changed constraints and environments that face them. In a relatively stable
environment, information is sufficient that punishment or encouragemen-
t is relatively direct and effective. However, for a temporary stay, neither
punishment nor encouragement works well. The common logic behind
these phenomena is what the theory of repeated games is going to reveal.
The idea of the repeated game has been applied broadly in reality, with
the reputation mechanism being one of the most important applications. S-
ince individuals usually do not know much about the quality of goods that
they consume, how do they make rational decisions about them? Since dif-
ferent companies have varied reputations (e.g., their product brands), these
reputations will affect behavioral decisions regarding the quality of prod-
ucts. For example, individuals may encounter two kinds of restaurants.
One is proximal to a railway station, and the other is near residential areas.
In general, people only go to the former restaurant occasionally while vis-
iting the latter frequently. Indeed, the quality of food of the former is likely
to be inferior to that of the latter. With the idea of repeated games (e.g.,
Folk Theorem), repeated interactions will make the reputation mechanis-
m more effective. It is not difficult to understand the above phenomenon.
7.1. INTRODUCTION 415
The Folk Theorem actually concerns the fact that virtually any outcome of
an infinitely repeated game becomes a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
Expressed more simply, the theorem suggests that anything that is feasible
and individually rational is possible. This result was termed the Folk Theo-
rem because it was widely known among game theorists in the 1950s, even
though no one had published it.
In this chapter, we will focus on how multiple interactions change indi-
viduals’ incentives. The theoretical results show the reason why the mod-
ern market economy can better solve the problem of honesty. This is be-
cause honesty is not only a traditional virtue and a positive social climate,
but also an incentive mechanism, and is the long-term outcome of the law
and incentive mechanism such as market mechanism such that individuals
who are dishonest will be punished. According to the Folk Theorem, any
established social climate constitutes a social equilibrium. Indeed, once
the social norm or convention is established, as long as the discount fac-
tor is sufficiently large (i.e., the future penalty after deviation is sufficiently
large), no one has the incentive to deviate unilaterally. If the process of
strategic choices can be divided into successive steps, rational behaviors
would consider the influences of all individuals’ initial behaviors on sub-
sequent choices and final outcomes. The key issue here is credibility (i.e.,
once deviation occurs, whether or not the punishment is actually execut-
ed). In fact, this is precisely the key to establish credibility in a realistic
society.
As will be revealed in this chapter (Section 7.5.3), in a society replete
with deceit and dishonesty, even if the discount factor equals one, if a per-
son chooses to be honest, the person’s interest will be harmed. As a result,
deceiving each other is a Nash equilibrium. However, in a society in which
most people are honest, cheating is subject to legal sanctions and public
condemnation (the discount factor is greater than some lower bound), and
being honest would constitute a Nash equilibrium. If the discount factor
in the society is not particularly large, the larger is the proportion of mis-
behavior individuals in the society, the lower is the effectiveness of social
norms. This is because the lower bound of the discount factor that guar-
antees upholding the social norm is increasing with a lower proportion
416 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Repeated games can clearly describe not only the short-sighted incentives
for which agents do not follow the rules, but also the incentive measures to
prevent such opportunistic behaviors through appropriate norms, rewards
and punishments for future behaviors.
Firstly, we illustrate this point through examples of long-term relation-
ship and opportunistic behavior. These examples can assist us to under-
stand the basic idea behind repeated games.
Example 7.2.1 Table 7.1 describes the incentive problem in a team. Con-
sider a team with two members. If both members work hard (exert, de-
noted as “E”), each receives a payoff profile of 3; if one is lazy (shirk,
denoted as “S”) and the other works diligently, the lazy worker receives
7.2. EXAMPLES OF REPEATED GAMES 417
a payoff profile of 4 and the other receives a payoff profile of -1; if both
are lazy, each receives a payoff profile of 1. From the perspective of team
welfare, both should choose to work hard; however, from the perspective
of individual welfare, both will choose to be lazy because being lazy is a
dominant strategy for both, and it is the unique equilibrium.
Now, suppose that they will interact infinitely often, with the payoff
profile at the end of each period given by Table 7.1. At the beginning of
each period, they can observe all previous choices. Let the discount factor
be 0 < δ < 1. In such a repeated game, a player cares about the utility of
all periods. As is standard, the (normalized/average discounted) utility of
player i in the repeated game is
∞
∑
Ui = (1 − δ) δ t uit ,
t=0
where uit is the payoff profile obtained in period t. Note that if uit = ui for
all t, then Ui = ui .
player 2
E S
player 1 E 3, 3 −1, 4
S 4, −1 1, 1
Therefore, given that the opponent chooses the grim strategy, in any
subgame player i will choose to follow the grim strategy, as well.
In this infinitely repeated game, why are players willing to give up the
best choice in the short run, “be lazy”, and instead “work hard”? The
above reasoning process of “grim strategy”shows that each player will
weigh the short-run benefits of choosing to “be lazy”and the long-run
returns of choosing to “work hard”. When each player’s extra return, 2δ,
from cooperation is greater than the short-run extra return, (1 − δ), from
non-cooperation, they both resist opportunistic behavior (i.e., not to “be
lazy”). As the discount factor δ increases, players place more weight on
7.2. EXAMPLES OF REPEATED GAMES 419
long-run returns.
In this infinitely repeated game, there are multiple subgame-perfect
Nash equilibria. One such equilibrium involves each player choosing to
“be lazy”in every period; this gives (1, 1) as the equilibrium payoff pro-
file. In fact, (t + 3(1 − t), t + 3(1 − t)), for all t ∈ [0, 1], are all payoff profiles
of some Nash equilibria in this infinitely repeated game. This conclusion is
called the “Folk Theorem”.
Now, instead of infinitely many periods, we allow the players to interact
for a finite horizon T < ∞. Then, under grim strategies, for any δ 5 1, the
unique subgame perfect Nash equilibrium is: “be lazy”in each period.
This is because, in the last period T , players choose to “be lazy”as there
are no future returns; in period T − 1, as the choices in this period will not
influence their choices in the next period, both players will choose to “be
lazy”, as well. By backward induction, since the choices in any period
have no effect on their behavior in future periods, they always choose their
short-run optimum (i.e., to “be lazy”).
However, this conclusion also depends on the uniqueness of Nash e-
quilibrium in the one-stage game. When there are multiple equilibria in a
stage game, the finiteness of the horizon does not fully determine players’
behavior in a repeated interaction. The key determinant is how behavior in
the current period affects future interaction. This is the case when a stage
game has more than one equilibrium. We now explain this idea with a
two-stage game.
Example 7.2.2 Suppose that there are two players, denoted {1, 2}. Each
has three choices: {L, M, R}. The payoff profiles are shown in Table 7.2.
The game is repeated twice, using the discount factor 1 for simplicity (anal-
ysis of the general situation with δ 5 1 is similar).
The single-stage game has two Nash equilibria, (L1 , L2 ) and (R1 , R2 ),
with payoff profiles (1, 1) and (3, 3), respectively. However, compared with
the two Nash equilibria, the action profile (M1 , M2 ) is better off for bothe
players in terms of team welfare. The two-stage game has more than one
subgame perfect Nash equilibrium. For example, playing any of the above
Nash equilibria in each stage forms a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
420 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
player 2
L2 M2 R2
L1 1, 1 5, 0 0, 0
player 1 M1 0, 5 4, 4 0, 0
R1 0, 0 0, 0 3, 3
This section first sets up the basic structure and concepts of the repeated
game with perfect monitoring (i.e., observable previous actions), and then
focuses on providing important techniques and tools for proving the Folk
Theorem in the next section and its extensions in more general environ-
ments in the consequent sections.
A repeated game consists of repetitions of some base game (also called
a stage game). Generally, in a repeated game, the stage game is a static
game with simultaneous actions (in some repeated games, the stage game
may also be in extensive form). Let Γt be the stage game in period t. The set
of players in period t is N t , the set of actions of player i ∈ N t is (Ati ), and the
utility/payoff profile function is (ui (at ))i∈N t , with at ∈ At ≡ At1 × · · · × AtN t
being the action profile in period t.
Let ht = (a0 , a1 , · · · , at−1 ) be the history of previous actions at period
t, indicating what have been played before t, where a0 ∈ H 0 is the initial
action history. The set of action histories at period t is denoted by H t . All
∪∞
possible action histories are contained in H ≡ t=0 H
t. With perfect infor-
mation, a player can observe all previous actions of all players.
A strategy in the repeated game prescribes a strategy of the stage game
for each history ht = (a0 , a1 , · · · , at−1 ) at each date t. Then a (mixed) strate-
gy of player i at date t is σit : H t → ∆Ati , which is a probability distribution
on the set of actions, and a strategy of player i in the whole repeated game
is denoted by σi = (σit )t∈{1,2,··· ,∞} .
Denote the strategy profile for all players by σ = (σi )i∈N = (σ t )∞
t=1 ,
where σ t = (σit )i∈N is the strategy profile of all players in period t. Thus,
a strategy in a repeated game determines a strategy in the stage game for
each history and period t. The important point is that the strategy in the
stage game at a given period can vary by histories.
If the repetition period is finite, the repeated game ΓR = (Γt )t∈T is
called the finitely repeated game; otherwise, it is called the infinitely re-
peated game. The simplest infinitely repeated game is that the game in
each stage is the same (i.e., we have N t = N and Ati = Ai ).
7.3. REPEATED GAMES WITH PERFECT MONITORING 423
As the game has multiple periods, the utility of a player is, in general,
defined as the sum of intertemporal discounted utilities, and the discount
factor δ is the same for all players. Of course, in some cases, such as bar-
gaining, different players may have different discount factors.
Given the strategy profile σ = (σi )i∈N , the payoff profile for player i is
∞
∑
Ui (σ) = (1 − δ) δ t ui (σ t ).
t=0
When defined in this way, the domain of this utility is the same as that of
utility in the stage game. It is worth noting that Ui is the payoff profile of
player i in the whole repeated game, while ui is the payoff profile in the
stage game.
Each action history starts a new proper subgame, we can define the
continuation game for the repeated game. From the beginning of action
history ht at period t, for any strategy profile σ, the continuation strategy
of player i given ht is denoted as σi|ht with σi|ht (hτ ) for each hτ ∈ H.
The continuation game generated from a given action history is then a
subgame of the whole repeated game. Thus, for any strategy profile σ and
history ht , we can compute the players’ expected present values of payoff
profiles from period t onward. We shall call these the continuation payoff
profiles, denoted by
∞
∑
Uit (σ|ht ) = (1 − δ) = δ τ −t ui (σ|ht ).
τ =t
Under what conditions are there equilibria of the repeated game? What
are their properties and range? These are questions that we will answer in
the remainder of this chapter.
We first give some basic concepts on the stage game and equilibrium solu-
tion concept of a repeated game.
Define F ≡ {v ∈ Rn : ∃a ∈ A, s.t. v = u(a)} as the set of pure strategy
payoff profiles of the stage game, and define F + ≡ coF as the convex hull
424 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Definition 7.3.2 (Minmax Payoffs) In the stage game Γt , player i’s pure s-
trategy minmax payoff v pi is:
i.e., it is the lowest payoff that the player can obtain regardless of all the
other players’ choices. In other words, it is the minimum of player i’s best
response over other players’s strategies.
When other players can employ mixed strategies in the stage game, the
mixed strategy minmax payoff is defined as
In the stage game, player i will never receive a payoff lower than the
minmax payoff. So we have the following concept of individual rationality
on payoffs.
vi = v pi ,
i.e., the pure strategy payoff of every player is not less than its pure strategy
minmax payoff. Similarly, a mixed strategy profile is individually rational in
the stage game Γt if
vi = v i
for all i ∈ N .
7.3. REPEATED GAMES WITH PERFECT MONITORING 425
F p ≡ {v : vi = v pi | v ∈ F + }.
Similarly, the set of feasible and individually rational payoff profiles for
mixed strategies is defined as
F ∗ ≡ {v : vi = v i | v ∈ F + }.
The feasibility and individual rationality of payoff profiles are very im-
portant requirements. In the next section, we will show that any feasible
and individually rational payoff profile v is an equilibrium payoff profile
of a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
The following is an example of calculating the minmax payoff of play-
ers.
player 2
Head Tail
player 1 Head 1, −1 −1, 1
Tail −1, 1 1, −1
Example 7.3.2 Consider the game given by Table 7.4. It can be shown that
this game does not have a pure strategy Nash equilibrium, but there is a
426 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
mixed strategy Nash equilibrium at which two players choose (Up, Mid-
dle) and (Left, Right) with probability 0.5, respectively, and then the mixed
strategy minmax payoff is 0. Thus, the set of feasible and individually ra-
tional payoffs, F ∗ , is the intersection of the feasible set F + ≡ coF shown
by the area of triangle and the set of all nonnegative vectors {v : vi = 0},
which is the shaded area in Figure 7.1.
player 2
Left Right
Up −2, 2 1, −2
player 1 Middle 1, −2 −2, 2
Down 0, 1 0, 1
˄-22˅
˄1,-2˅
Example 7.3.3 Consider the game in Table 7.5. Let W = {w1 , w2 }, and the
probability of each state be 0.5. When w1 appears, the choices of players 1
and 2 are (Up, Right); when w2 appears, the choices of players 1 and 2 are
(Down, Left). Thus, the expected payoff profiles obtained under the public
correlation device are (3,3). However, without such a device, they cannot
achieve these payoff profiles.
player 2
Left Right
player 1 Up 2, 2 1, 5
Down 5, 1 0, 0
Assuming that public correlation devices exist, the set of feasible payoff
profiles in the repeated game is:
{ }
∑ ∑
∗
V =F +
≡ λ(a)u(a) ∃λ(·), λ(a) ∈ [0, 1], λ(a) = 1 ,
a∈A a∈A
P ROOF . Here, we prove the one-shot deviation for the case of pure strate-
gies with perfect information. When mixed strategies or public correlation
devices are allowed, proofs are similar, but require more technical details.
Obviously, if a strategy profile is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium, for
each player there are no better strategies, which includes one-shot devia-
tion strategies. Thus, the necessary condition is immediate.
Now, we prove sufficiency by way of contradiction. If a strategy profile
is not a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium, there must exist a profitable
one-shot deviation strategy.
Suppose that the strategy profile σ is not the subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium of a repeated game. Then, there exists at least one history h̃t
such that for player i, there exists a strategy σ̃i ̸= σi leading to
Let M = maxa ui (a) and m = mina ui (a) be the highest and the lowest
payoffs that player i can obtain in a stage game. As δ < 1, there exists a
430 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
where σi |h̃t (hτ ) is the strategy that conditions on hτ that includes h̃t .
Obviously, we have
Ui (σ̃i |h̃t , σ−i |h̃t ) − Ui (σ̂i |h̃t , σ−i |h̃t ) = UiT (σ̃i |h̃t , σ−i |h̃t ) − UiT (σ̂i |h̃t , σ−i |h̃t )
5 δ T (M − m) < ε/2,
where UiT (·) is player i’s continuation payoff function starting from T , and
then
Ui (σ̂i |h̃t , σ−i |h̃t ) − Ui (σ|h̃t ) > ε/2.
Thus, for σi , if a profitable deviation σ̃i exists, there must exist a prof-
itable deviation σ̂i that deviates at only a finite number of histories.
Now we use σ̂i to construct a profitable one shot deviation.
Let ĥT −1 = (â0 , · · · , âT −2 ) be a history of T − 1 periods induced by
(σ̂i , σ−i ).
Consider the payoff difference of the one-shot deviation strategy σ̂i |ĥT −1
and the original strategy σi at the history ĥT −1 :
player 2
E S
player 1 E 3, 3 −1, 4
S 4, −1 1, 1
Uit (E, E) = 3.
Now suppose that players choose the “Tit for tat”strategy: Play E at
t = 0, and each t > 0, play whatever the other player played at t − 1. That
is, players choose to work in the initial stage and thereafter copy the oppo-
nent’s behavior in the previous period, and thus “Tit-for-tat”strategies at
t only depends on what is played at t − 1 not any previous play.
According to the Tit for tat strategy, if both players choose E at t > 0,
then starting at t + 1 and we will have (E, E) throughout. Then, the player
i’s continuation payoff at t is
Uit (E, E) = 3.
7.3. REPEATED GAMES WITH PERFECT MONITORING 433
After (S, S) at t, we will have (S, S) throughout, and then U1t (S, S) = 1.
We want to show that (Tit-for-tat, Tit-for-tat) is not a subgame-perfect
Nash equilibrium. To do so, we consider three histories in which it fails the
one-shot deviation principle:
1. Consider the history at t = 0 in which (Tit-for-tat, Tit-for-tat) pre-
scribes (E, E) (i.e., both players play E forever). The one-shot deviation
principle requires that (E, E) is a Nash equilibrium of the continuation
game starting from any t, i.e., we must have
or
4−δ
3= ,
1+δ
which requires that δ = 14 .
2. Consider a history in which (E, S) is played at t − 1 with t > 1.
434 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Although the one-shot deviation principle greatly simplifies the test of sub-
game perfect Nash equilibrium, many histories need to be examined to
check whether there is no profitable one-shot deviation. A further simplifi-
cation is to divide histories into equivalence classes, such that all histories
in an equivalence class produce the same continuation strategy. If we de-
7.3. REPEATED GAMES WITH PERFECT MONITORING 435
a0 = f (ω 0 ), a1 = f (τ (ω 0 , a0 )), a2 = f (τ (τ (ω 0 , a0 ), a1 )), · · · .
The automaton can divide the entire history H into equivalence classes
and each equivalence class produces the same continuation strategy. The
set of states under automaton is usually a finite set. Under automaton rep-
resentation, for the strategy σ|ht after history ht , each state forms a specific
continuation strategy.
The automaton of a player can be defined as (Ωi , ωi0 , fi , τi ), and it is
interchangeable with individual strategy σi .
and
w , if w = w , a = EE,
EE EE
τ (w, a) =
w , otherwise.
SS
that when δ = 1/3, as we did before, the grim strategy profile is a subgame
perfect Nash equilibrium.
egy profile is a Nash equilibrium of the reduced stage game using one-shot
deviation principle. This approach together with automata method has be-
come a standard approach to solving repeated games. The current and next
subsections will discuss the logic behind this approach.
Given an automaton (Ω, ω 0 , f (·), τ (·)), let Vi (ω) be player i’s value start-
ing from state ω. In other words, if players make strategic choices according
to the automaton (Ω, ω 0 , f (·), τ (·)), then starting from ω, (Ω, ω 0 , f (·), τ (·))
will generate a strategic sequence, and Vi (ω) is player i’s value that is gen-
erated by the strategy sequence that comes from the automaton under state
ω.
When the output of f (·) is a pure strategy profile, Vi (ω) at each state
ω ∈ Ω is determined by
where Vi (τ (ω, a)) is player i’s continuation present value of future payoffs
Vi (τ (ω, a)) at τ (ω, a). The automaton (Ω, ω 0 , f (·), τ (·)) then induces the
sequences:
ω 0 := ω, a0 := f (ω 0 ) = a
ω 1 := τ (ω 0 , a0 ) a1 := f (ω 1 )
ω 2 := τ (ω 1 , a1 ) a2 := f (ω 2 ).
.. ..
. .
Thus, we have
on the current state; we can write this as a ∈ A(ω). Thus, when Vi (ω) is
maximized, we have the conventional Bellman equation:
∑ ∑
Vi (ω) = (1 − δ) ui (a)f ω (a) + δ Vi (τ (ω, a))f ω (a). (7.3.4)
a∈A a∈A
In other words, the claim that the strategy generated by (Ω, ω 0 , f (·), τ (·))
is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium means that, given that other play-
ers follow the automaton, Vi (ω) starting from any state is the highest for a
player when the player follows the recommendations of the automaton. As
such, no one will deviate unilaterally.
âi ∈ Ai , we have
∑
Vi (ω) = (1 − δ) ui (a′i , a−i )f ω (a′i , a−i )
a−i ∈A−i
∑
+δ Vi (τ (ω, (a′i , a−i )))f ω (a′i , a−i )
a−i ∈A−i
∑
= (1 − δ) ui (âi , a−i )f ω (âi , a−i )
a−i ∈A−i
∑
+δ Vi (τ (ω, (âi , a−i )))f ω (âi , a−i ).
a−i ∈A−i
We call the payoff Vi (ω) that satisfies the above inequality as credible
continuation promises of player i. On the basis of credible continuation
promises, we can have the one-shot deviation principle in the automaton
representation, which re-characterize the subgame perfect Nash equilibria
of repeated games.
Ui (σ̂i |ĥt , σ−i |ĥt ) = giω̂ (âi , a−i ) = (1 − δ)ui (âi , a−i ) + δV (τ (ω̂, (ai , a−i )))
> (1 − δ)ui (ai , a−i ) + δV (ω̂, (ai , a−i ))
= giω̂ (ai , a−i ) = Ui (σi |ĥt , σ−i |ĥt ),
7.3. REPEATED GAMES WITH PERFECT MONITORING 441
(1 − δ)ui (âi , a−i ) + δV (τ (ω̂, (âi , a−i ))) 5 (1 − δ)ui (ai , a−i ) + V (τ (ω̂, (ai , a−i ))).
Then,
4−δ 4δ − 1
V1 (wEE ) = 3, V1 (wSS ) = 1, V1 (wSE ) = , V1 (wES ) = .
1+δ 1+δ
vi = (1 − δ)ui (a∗ ) + δγi (a∗ ) = (1 − δ)ui (ai , a∗−i ) + δγi (ai , a∗−i ).
(1 − δ)ui (a∗ ) + δγi (a∗ ) = (1 − δ)ui (ai , a∗−i ) + δγi (ai , a∗−i ).
vi = (1 − δ)ui (a∗ ) + δγi (a∗ ) = (1 − δ)ui (ai , a∗−i ) + δγi (ai , a∗−i ),
k−1
v 0 = v, a0 = f (v 0 ), v k = τ (v k−1 , ak−1 ) = γ v (ak−1 ), ak = f (v k ).
Thus,
∑∞
As vit is bounded, when t → ∞, vi = (1 − δ) s=0 δ
su
i (a
s ), we have
vi = Vi (v). 2
The above proposition can be extended to a corollary: the set of payoff
profiles of pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibria, E p , is the largest
pure-strategy self-generating set. Furthermore, Abreu, Pearce, and Stac-
chetti (1990) proved that E p is a compact set.
Using the above method, we can solve for the equilibrium payoffs in re-
peated games. However, empirical research is more concerned with analysing
interactive behavior in repeated games. Dynamic inconsistency (or time in-
consistency) is a difficulty usually faced by governments in the process of
policy-making. Much research focuses on this topic, such as the dynam-
ic inconsistency of monetary policy by Kydland and Prescott (1977). For
such a problem, people will think of the credibility of the government. For
example, the government can fix such decisions in the form of a rule that
cannot be changed at will, or give the relevant decision-making power to
446 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
√
c + (1 − t)R(1 − c) + 2 G,
γ
tax rate is: t(c) = R(1−c) .
The best response functions for consumers and the government are
shown in Figure 7.3. Since R > 1, the most efficient consumption arrange-
ment is c = 0 (i.e., all endowments are utilized for investment). In this
γ
situation, tax revenue is t = R, which is point B in Figure 7.3. From Figure
7.3, we can find that there is a unique equilibrium c = 1, t = 1 in this (stage)
game, which is point A. This equilibrium does not optimize the goal of con-
sumers or the government. This conclusion is somewhat surprising since,
in this model, both the consumers and the government have identical goal-
s. However, in equilibrium, they choose a strategy that is unfavourable for
both of them.
Figure 7.3: The Best Reaction Functions for Consumers and the Govern-
ment.
Since every individual has very little influence on society, the individual
will not consider the consequences of her actions, and each will choose
the strategy to optimize her short-run benefit. Considering the behavior
constraints of consumers (i.e., consumers always make a best response to
the government’s decision), the optimal strategy profile in this economy is
point C in Figure 7.3. The highest tax rate which is compatible with the
R−1
best consumption decision is R .
448 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
any feasible and strictly rational payoffs above the static Nash payoffs is
a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium payoff profile of repeated game; and
then comprehensively studied in Fudenberg and Maskin (1986), which as-
sesses that for any feasible and individually rational payoff profile v, if
players are sufficiently patient, then there is a subgame perfect Nash e-
quilibrium with payoff v. Consequently, the theorems imply that efficient
payoffs are consistent with equilibrium (then collective rationality can be
consistent with individual rationality), so are many other payoffs and asso-
ciated behaviors. Moreover, multiple equilibria may be consistent with the
same payoff.
We first discuss the Folk Theorem for Nash equilibrium.
Theorem 7.4.1 (Nash Folk Theorem) Suppose that v is a feasible and strictly
individually rational payoff profile. Then, there exists δ < 1 such that for any
δ ∈ [δ, 1), there is a Nash equilibrium of repeated game with payoff profile v.
P ROOF . Suppose that there is a pure action profile a such that ui (a) = vi .
Consider the following strategy for each player i:
(1 − δ) max
′
ui (a′i , a−i ) + δv i .
ai
(1 − δ) max
′
ui (a′i , a−i ) + δv i < vi .
ai
Thus, there exists a δ such that for any δ ∈ [δ, 1), this strategy profile is a
Nash equilibrium.
If there is no such pure strategy profile a, such that ui (a) = vi , a public
correlation device can be introduced. Let W be the set of public states (i.e.,
everyone observes it). Let p be a probability distribution on W , such that
∑
w∈W ui (ai (w)) p(w) = vi . Then, the pure action profile above, a, can be
replaced by the action profile a(w)w∈W using the public correlation device
that yields expected payoff profile v. The punishment phase incentives are
unaffected.
When δ → 1, we have
(1 − δ) max
′
ui (a′i , a−i (w)) + δv i < vi ,
ai ∈Ai
Theorem 7.4.2 (Nash Threats Folk Theorem for SPE (Friedman, 1971)) Let
a∗ be the Nash equilibrium of a stage game, and its equilibrium payoff profile be
e. Let F p be the set of all feasible and individually rational profiles. Then, for any
v ′ ∈ {v|vi > ei , v ∈ F p }, there is δ, such that for all δ ∈ [δ, 1), there exists a
7.4. FOLK THEOREMS WITH PERFECT MONITORING 451
subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of the repeated game with payoff profile v ′ .
P ROOF . Suppose that there is a pure action profile a, such that ui (a) =
vi′ . Consider the following strategy for each player i:
(1 − δ) max
′
ui (a′i , a−i ) + δei < vi′ .
ai
Thus, there exists a δ, such that for δ ∈ [δ, 1), this strategy profile is
a Nash equilibrium. As for any subgame off the equilibrium path, a is
always a Nash equilibrium, and this equilibrium is naturally a subgame
perfect Nash equilibrium. The case in which there is no action profile such
that ui (a) = vi′ is tackled as in the previous theorem.
2
The set of payoffs supportable in SPE by Nash threats is generally less
than the set of feasible and strictly individually rational payoffs that are
supportable in Nash equilibrium. Consequently, some payoff profiles that
can be realized in Nash equilibrium of the repeated game cannot be sup-
ported by Nash threats. Excises in the chapter give such examples.
For a more general Folk Theorem, it is only required that each player’s
payoff is greater than the minmax payoff, and is not necessarily greater
than the equilibrium payoff of the stage game. Next, we prove this Folk
Theorem for two players first, and then prove it in a more general situation.
Theorem 7.4.3 (Subgame Perfect Folk Theorem for Two Players) Suppose that
n = 2. For any feasible and individually rational payoff profile v ∈ F p , there
always exists δ, such that for any δ ∈ [δ, 1), there is a subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium of repeated game with payoff profile v.
452 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
P ROOF . Suppose that there is a pure action profile ã, such that ui (ã) =
v. Let M = maxa∈A ui (a) < ∞. Define a mutually punishing strategy
â = (aji , aij ), i ̸= j by
which is the minmax strategy for both players. Note that ui (â) 5 v pi . Con-
sider the following strategy: players choose a(0) = ã. If in previous stages
both players choose a(0), they choose a(0) in this stage, as well; however,
if in the last stage a player has deviated from a(0), a punishment process
that lasts L periods begins at this stage. During the punishment process,
players choose â.
Meanwhile, if some player deviates from â, from the next stage onward-
s a new punishment process that lasts L periods starts again. If during the
punishment process both players choose â, it returns to the initial choice
a(0) when the punishment process is over. This strategy can be expressed
as the following automaton.
where vi∗ = (1 − δ L )ui (â) + δ L ui (ã). Substituting vi∗ into inequality (7.4.12),
we have:
∑
L ∑
L−1
δ t ui (ã) = M + δ t ui (â). (7.4.13)
t=0 t=0
If there does not exist such a pure action profile ã, such that ui (ã) = v,
by the payoff structure, there exists a mixed action α that assigns probabili-
∑
ty α(a) to the pure action profile a, such that a∈A ui (a)α(a) = vi for all i.
Then, we can use a public correlation device to describe the strategy using
an automaton (Ω, µ0 , f, τ ), where Ω = {wa }a∈A ∪ {w(l), l = 1, · · · , L}, µ0 is
the probability distribution induced by α on {wa : a ∈ A},
a, if w = wa ,
f (w) =
â, if w = w(l) for l = 1, · · · , L;
454 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
and
if w = wa , a′ = a or w = w(L), a′ = â,
α,
τ (w, a′ ) = w(l + 1), if w = w(l) for 0 < l < L, a′ = â
w(1), otherwise.
After replacing w(0) by {wa }a∈A , and the initial state w0 by µ0 , the re-
mainder of the proof is similar to the previous one and is thus omitted. 2
P ROOF . Here, we only consider the case of pure strategies both on and off
the equilibrium path. In particular, we assume that there exists a, such that
the payoff u(a) = v holds. The case of mixed strategies and the case in
7.4. FOLK THEOREMS WITH PERFECT MONITORING 455
Furthermore, assume that for each j, the action profile mj is pure. Finally,
pick a natural number k satisfying
∑
k−1 ∑
k−1
max ui (a) + δ( δ τ )v i < ( δ τ )vi′ .
a∈A
τ =0 τ =0
If deviating unilaterally, the player receives the minmax payoff for the next
k periods, and then the game enters stage IIIi ; thus, the payoff from devia-
tion is no more than
When δ → 1, this payoff converges to vi′ , while the payoff from not deviat-
ing converges to the strictly higher value vi′ + ε. In stage IIi , consider player
i. When k t 5 k periods are still left, if the player follows the equilibrium
strategy, the payoff is
qi (k t ) = (1 − δ k )v i + δ k vi′ ;
t t
qi (k) = (1 − δ k )v i + δ k vi′ .
Obviously, vi′ > v i and k t 5 k imply that qi (k t ) = qi (k) (i.e., it is not prof-
itable to restart one’s own punishment).
For mixed strategies, the discussion is more complex, and details can be
found in Fudenberg and Maskin (1986).
∏n
where graph(B) ⊆ i=1 ∆Ai is the corresponding graph of B, which satis-
fies the following: for j > L, αj (α−j ) = argmaxaj uj (aj , α−j ). However, in
the situation with short-run players, there exists an upper bound in the re-
peated game that constrains the feasible and individually rational payoffs
of long-run players. Define
in which support(αi ) denotes that those pure actions ai have strictly posi-
tive probability in the mixed action αi of player i.
in which α1T is the probability with which the long-run player 1 chooses T .
We obtain v 1 = 1 and v̄1 = 6.
In this game, the minmax payoff of the long-run player is 1, which e-
quals the player’s payoff from the Nash equilibrium (T, L) of the stage
game; meanwhile, the upper bound of payoff 6 is equal to the payoff of
player 1 when the (mixed) Nash equilibrium (0.5, R) is played in the stage
460 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Player 2
L C R
T 1, 3 0, 0 6, 2
Player 1 B 0, 0 2, 3 6, 2
game. Therefore, in this example, for player 1 the payoff is v1 ∈ (1, 6), and
we can construct a public correlation device. For example, let the space W
be {w1 , w2 }, and let p = prob(w = w1 ) and 1 − p = prob(w = w2 ), such
that p + 6(1 − p) = v1 . We construct the following strategy profile: under
w1 , players choose (T, L); under w2 , they choose (0.5, R). If player 2 ob-
served that player 1 deviated from this strategy in previous stages (by not
choosing T after w1 ), they play (T, L) henceforth. For player 1, there is a
lower bound of time discount factor δ, such that when δ ∈ [δ, 1), the above
strategy is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium where the payoff of player
1 is v1 .
Theorem 7.5.1 (Folk Theorem on Long-Run and Short-Run Players) Let the
dimension of the payoff space for the long-run players equal the number of long-
run players L. If payoff profile v = (v1 , · · · , vL ) of the long-run players satisfies
vi < vi < v¯i , i ∈ {1, 2, · · · , L}, then there exists a lower bound of the time
discount factor, δ, such that for any δ ∈ [δ, 1), there is a subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium of the repeated game in which the payoff profile of the long-run players
is v.
Some interaction involves players entering or exiting the game, and there
is some time limit for everyone to interact with others. In this situation,
no player interacts with others forever, and different types of players face
different periods of interaction. In reality, such examples are very com-
mon, especially in organizations. In fact, most members in an organization
7.5. SOME VARIATIONS OF REPEATED GAMES 461
will face retirement, and new ones will join. For different members, the
time that they stay in the organization is different, and their career expec-
tations are also dissimilar. This situation is called a repeated game with
overlapping generations of finite-lived players. Next, we use an example
(Cremer, 1986) to explore interactions and incentives of such individuals.
Consider an organization in which every one stays for T years (which
can be regarded as age at retirement). For simplicity, assume that in this
organization, the measure of individuals with different ages is 1. In ev-
ery period, there is 1 member (length of service is T ) retiring and a new
member joining (length of service is 1). Every member who stays in the
organization for the next period increases the member’s length of service
by 1. Consider the cooperative interactions between members. Everyone
can choose to work hard or to be lazy, and the individual cost of working
hard is 1. The output of the organization is determined by the number of
members who choose to work hard. At the same time, each member gets
the same proportion of output (i.e., there is a possibility of free-riding).
Assume that, except player i, the number of the players who choose to
work hard is k. Let s be the output efficiency of working hard and assume
s(k+1)
1 < s < T . If player i chooses to work hard, the player’s utility is T − 1;
sk
otherwise, it is T . Obviously, if the interaction lasts for only one period,
all rational players choose to be lazy. However, the outcome is completely
different in a repeated game. For simplicity, assume that the discount factor
is δ = 1. Next, we consider the incentives of members in the organization.
Obviously, the player who has length of service T stays in the organiza-
tion only for the last period. Therefore, she has no incentive to work hard.
Consider the following strategy profile for organization (players): the play-
ers that have length of service T choose to be lazy; if no one whose length
of service is not T has ever chosen to be lazy, then these players choose to
work hard; if someone whose length of service is not T has ever chosen to
be lazy, then all players choose to be lazy. In the following, we prove that
this strategy is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
Firstly, for players whose length of service is T , to be lazy is a dominant
strategy. Then, consider the incentive of players who have length of ser-
vice T − 1. Assume that all other players follow the above strategy profile.
462 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
s(T −2)
If only one player chooses to be lazy, the player’s payoff is T in the
s(T −2)
current period and 0 in the next period. The total payoff is T ; if the
player chooses to work hard, the player’s payoff is s(TT−1) − 1 in this period
s(T −1)
and T in the next period. The total payoff 2 s(TT−1) − 1 > s(TT−2) since
s > 1. As a consequence, for a player with length of service T − 1, there is
no incentive to deviate unilaterally.
We consider the player whose length of service is T − k, in which k ∈
1, 2, · · · , T − 1. If the player deviates from this strategy, the player’s payoff
s(T −2)
is T in current period and 0 for the next period. Her total payoff is
s(T −2)
T . If this player follows the strategy, the player’s payoff is k s(TT−1) −
(k − 1) > s(TT−2) . Thus, the player with length of service T − k does not
deviate from the strategy profile, as well. In addition, off the equilibrium
path where some players whose length of service is not T choose to be lazy,
the strategy profile is that everyone chooses to be lazy forever afterwards.
This is exactly a Nash equilibrium in the stage game from which no player
will deviate unilaterally. Therefore, the above strategy profile is a subgame
perfect Nash equilibrium.
Of course, it is not necessary to restrict attention to δ = 1. In the above
inference, we can find a lower bound δ for time discount factor, such that
when δ ∈ (δ, 1], the above strategy profile is still a subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium.
player 2
C D
player 1 C 4, 4 0, 5
D 5, 0 1, 1
Consider the social norm below, with the set of social labels being {G, B}:
G, if (x, z, ai ) = (G, G, C) or (G, B, D) ,
τi (x, z, ai ) =
B, otherwise.
C, if x = z = G ,
σi (x, z) =
D, otherwise.
In the above, the definitions of social label and social label dependent
strategy are quite intuitive: we can regard individuals who have social la-
bel G as a “good person”and those who have B as a “bad person”. If
a person with the label “good person”faces another one with the label
“good person”, choosing cooperation (C) maintains the person’s social
label as a “good person”; if his rival is a “bad person”, choosing non-
cooperation (D) keeps the person a “good person”; in any other case, his
social label becomes a “bad person”. In other words, the social norm
requires that to be a good person one should cooperate if one encounters
another good person, but not if one encounters a bad one; otherwise, under
464 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
social norms, the social label for this person is a “bad person”. For a bad
person, the social norm always regards him as a bad person, which is sim-
ilar to the grim strategy in that there is no forgiveness. We shall show that
when δ → 1, no matter how large M is, the social norm described above is
a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
Suppose that at the initial state the social label of every one is G. First,
we prove that on the equilibrium path, no player deviates unilaterally. If a
player deviates, the discounted payoff is 5(1−δ)+δ; if the player follows the
equilibrium path, the player’s discounted payoff is 4. As long as δ > 1/4,
no player deviates unilaterally.
Next, consider a situation off the equilibrium path. Assume that the
proportion of individuals with social labels G and B are α > 0 and 1 − α,
respectively. Let V (G) and V (B) denote the equilibrium utilities of players
with social label G and B, respectively, prior to knowing the type of the
current opponent.
For the individual with social label B, since (D, D) is the Nash equilib-
rium in a stage game, his optimal choice is D given that all others follow
the above social norms.
For the individual with social label G, when encountering an opponent
with social label B, following the social norm gives the expected payoff (1−
δ) + δV (G); if the individual does not follow the social norm, his expected
payoff is 0 + δV (B). When encountering an opponent with social label G,
if the individual follows the social norm, the expected payoff is 4(1 − δ) +
δV (G); whereas, the expected payoff is 5(1 − δ) + δV (B) if she deviates
from the norm. Clearly, V (B) = 1. Therefore, we have V (G) = (1 − δ)[α4 +
(1 − α)] + δV (G), which yields V (G) = 1 + 3α > V (B).
Therefore, off the equilibrium path, an individual with label G will fol-
low social norms when the individual meets an opponent with label B,
since (1 − δ) + δV (G) > 0 + δV (B). When the individual’s opponent has
social label G, she strictly prefers to follow the social norm if
1
which is equivalent to δ > δ = 1+3α . Thus, as long as α > 0, no matter
7.5. SOME VARIATIONS OF REPEATED GAMES 465
what the distribution of good persons and bad persons is initially, the above
norm is always a subgame Nash equilibrium as δ → 1.
In the above proof, we find that when the discount factor δ of a player
is not very large, the greater is the proportion of “bad people”in society,
the lower will be the effectiveness of social norms; especially, in a society
replete with deceit and dishonesty, even if the discount factor is close to
one, if a person chooses to be honest, his interest will be harmed. This is
because the lower bound of the discount factor that guarantees upholding
the social norm is δ ≡ 1
1+3α , and this is increasing with a smaller α. When
1−δ
α < 3δ , the above social norm is no longer a Nash equilibrium (i.e., the
social norm will collapse. As such, both dishonesty and honesty can be
Nash equilibria). The determinant factor is which equilibrium is in the ma-
jority. In the development of a society, there are various kinds of traps. In
addition to resource endowment, social culture, which takes trust as a key
element, has become a crucial constraining factor.
The study of repeated games above assumes that players can observe all
previous actions, which is a very strong assumption in real life. For many
repeated interactions, individuals are unable to observe previous actions,
but can only observe certain outcomes, the distribution of which depends
on individuals’ actions. In order to support the cooperation outcome, play-
ers can punish actions highly related to noncooperation outcomes, and thus
indirectly punish opportunistic behavior, although they cannot directly im-
pose punishments on players who deviate.
Repeated interactions that cannot be accurately observed can be fur-
ther divided into two categories, according to the outcomes that player-
s observe. One is that the outcomes observed by the players are public.
For example, when firms cannot directly observe their opponents’ previ-
ous pricing behaviors, it is possible to observe the aggregate demand in the
market (e.g., industry reports issued by trade associations), and the size
of aggregate demand depends on the pricing behaviors. The other is that
the outcomes observed by players are private. For example, firms cannot
observe the overall market demand, but can observe their own demands.
This section focuses on the situation of publicly observable outcomes.
stage t, for any common history ht , and any two different private histories
zit and z˜i t , we have σi (ht , zit ) = σi (ht , z˜i t ).
For public strategy, we have the following conclusion: if all players oth-
er than i choose a public strategy, player i can best respond with a public
strategy. The logic behind this conclusion is simple: the rational behaviour
of player i depends on his belief of the behavior of other players, while the
behavior of other players depends only on public outcomes; thus, player i’s
belief in the behavior of other players is independent of the private infor-
mation of other players (i.e., their previous actions). Therefore, the player
has a best response on the basis of public outcomes only.
Although not all pure strategies are public strategies, the choice of pub-
lic strategies has a certain degree of universality. This is because for any
pure strategy equilibrium σ, there is an equivalent public strategy equilibri-
um σ̂. Two strategies σi and σ̂i are (outcome) equivalent for player i means
that for the strategies of other players σ−i , the distributions of common out-
comes induced by action profiles (σi , σ−i ) and (σ̂i , σ−i ) are the same. The
following lemma reveals this idea.
Lemma 7.6.1 In the game with imperfect public monitoring, each pure strategy
has an (outcome) equivalent pure public strategy.
P ROOF . Let σi be the pure strategy of player i, and a0i = σi (∅) be the action
in the first stage, where ∅ is the empty set. In the second stage, given the
public outcome y 0 , player i chooses a1i (y 0 ) = σi (y 0 , a0i ) = σi (y 0 , σi (∅)).
The rest can be done in the same manner. In stage t, public history is ht =
(y 0 , y 1 , · · · , y t−1 ), and the history of player i is
Therefore, for any public outcome h, the pure strategy gives a probabili-
ty of 1 to (a0 , a1 (y 0 ), · · · , at (ht ), · · · ). Therefore, pure strategy σi is outcome
equivalent to a public strategy of player i (choosing ati (ht ) in stage t). 2
i chooses a0i in stage 1, and chooses σi1 (a0i , y 0 ) in stage 2. Since the action
a0i in stage 1 was previously determined, the dependence of the strategy in
stage 2 on a0i becomes redundant. We can replace the strategy σi1 of player
i with the public strategy σ̂i 1 (y 0 ) = σi1 (a0i , y 0 ), and then the public strategy
of the other stage is constructed in a similar way.
On the basis of public outcomes, we can give concepts and tools similar
to those in repeated games with perfect monitoring. First, under imperfect
public monitoring, an automaton consists of the following elements: state
∏
set Ω, initial state ω 0 , output function f : Ω → i ∆(Ai ), and state transition
function τ : Ω × Y → Ω.
The second is the concept of equilibrium. When all individuals adop-
t public strategies, given public history ht , they agree on the distribution
of future actions and outcomes (common knowledge). Similar to repeated
games with perfect monitoring, we can define the continuation payoffs of
a given public history, the public strategy associated with the continuation
payoffs, and discuss what kind of public strategy profile is a Nash Equilib-
rium after stage t. Since there is such a structure at every possible stage, the
equilibrium discussed here is perfect public equilibrium.
∑
gi (a) = (1 − δ)ui (a) + δ Ui (σ|ht ,y )πy (a),
y∈Y
where Ui (σ|ht ,y ) is the (expected) continuation value of player i under public his-
tory ht and public strategy σ with outcome y.
The proof of this proposition is similar to the previous one, and thus
omitted. By adopting the automaton representation for repeated games,
the following equivalent formulation of a perfect public equilibrium can be
obtained (the proof is similar to the previous one with perfect monitoring,
and thus omitted).
Proposition 7.6.2 For the automaton (Ω, ω 0 , f, τ ), let Vi (w) is the discounted
payoff of player i from state w. A public strategy σ is a perfect public equilibrium
if and only if for any state w ∈ Ω that can be reached from the initial state ω 0 ,
f (w) is an equilibrium of the following normal-form game with payoff:
∑
gi (a) = (1 − δ)ui (a) + δ Vi (τ (w, y))πy (a).
y∈Y
7.6. REPEATED GAMES WITH IMPERFECT PUBLIC MONITORING 471
∑
vi = (1 − δ)ui (α) + δ πy (α)γi (y),
y
∑ ∑
(1−δ)ui (α∗ )+δ πy (α∗ )γi (y) = (1−δ)ui (αi , α∗−i )+δ πy (αi , α∗−i )γi (y).
y y
Let E P P E (δ) be the set of all perfect public equilibrium payoff profiles
at the discount factor δ. Abreu, Pearce, and Stachetti (1986, 1990) proved
the following theorem.
Theorem 7.6.1 If W is a bounded and self-generating set, then W ⊆ B(W, δ) ⊆
E P P E (δ).
The theorem is similar to the one under perfect monitoring. More generally,
for the case of mixed strategy, see the proof of Proposition 7.3.1. in Mailath
and Samuelson (2006).
P ROOF . Let W be self-generating, and fix v ∈ B(W, δ). By definition
of B(W, δ), we can find an action profile α and the continuation promises
γ : Y → W that leads to payoff profile v. Suppose that the strategy in pe-
riod 0 is σ 0 = α0 (v), and for each outcome y 0 in stage 0, v 1 = γ 0 (y 0 ) ∈ W .
∑
Then, we have v = (1 − δ)u(α0 ) + δ y∈Y πy (α0 )γ 0 (y). In addition, since
v 1 ∈ W and W is a self-generating set, we have v 1 ∈ B(W, δ); thus, v 1 is
also decomposable by an action profile α(v 1 ) and a continuation promise
γ 1 (y 1 ). Let the strategy be the following in period 1: σ 1 (y 0 ) = a1 (γ 0 (y 0 )).
Furthermore, for any sequence y 0 , y 1 , let v 2 = γ 1 (γ 0 (y 0 ))(y 1 ). Continuing
the above construction, we can obtain a public strategy profile. For any t,
the payoff of this public strategy profile can be written as the discounted
sum of t action profiles and a continuation payoff profile; since this contin-
uation payoff profile is discounted and in a bounded set W , the discounted
sum of the actions converges to v.
Finally, it is necessary to check that there is no incentive to unilateral-
ly deviate from any stage of this public strategy profile. In essence, this
follows from the incentive compatibility conditions imposed by the notion
of enforcement (and thus by self-generation) and the one-shot deviation
principle mentioned earlier. Therefore, the constructed strategy profile is a
perfect public equilibrium. 2
Abreu, Pearce, and Stacchetti (1990) also proved that the set of all per-
fect public equilibrium payoffs is self-generating:
they also showed that it is the largest set with this property.
7.6. REPEATED GAMES WITH IMPERFECT PUBLIC MONITORING 473
where 1 > p > q > 0, 1 > p > r > 0. Obviously, high outcome ȳ is
more likely under cooperation between both parties, while low outcome y
is more likely to be the outcome of one or both parties being lazy.
We can show that the parameters of the game can be specified to yield
ex-ante payoffs given by Table 7.9.
player 2
C D
player 1 C 2, 2 −1, 3
D 3, −1 0, 0
The state space is Ω = {wEE , wSS }, the initial state is wEE , the automa-
ton action function is f (wEE ) = EE, f (wSS ) = SS, and the state transition
function is
w , if w = w , y = ȳ,
EE EE
τ (w, y) =
w , otherwise.
SS
2(1−δ)
We then obtain Vi (wEE ) = 1−δp , Vi (wSS ) = 0 from the above two e-
quations. If the above grim strategy is a Nash equilibrium, the incentive
compatibility conditions (i.e., players have incentives to follow the automa-
ton) need to hold:
er words, under the grim strategy, the player’s payoff profile of (2, 2) per
period cannot be the payoff profile of this repeated game.
The following considers another mode of interaction, i.e., the relative-
ly tolerant punishment mode (also known as the punishment mode under
one-term memory). If the previous state has a high outcome, then this pe-
riod returns to the cooperation state; otherwise, it enters the punishment
period.
The above strategy is described by an automaton (see Figure 7.5).
The state space is Ω = {wEE , wSS }, the initial state is wEE , and the
payoff function is:
f (wEE ) = EE, f (wSS ) = SS.
Similarly, if {(V1 (wEE ), V2 (wEE )), (V1 (wSS ), V2 (wSS ))} is the self-generating
set of payoffs from the above tolerant strategy, then it satisfies:
we then have
Then, the conclusion in this example is different from the one in repeat-
ed games with perfect monitoring: under the grim strategy punishment
mode, all individuals choose to shirk; whereas, under the relatively loose
punishment mode, they choose to work hard.
Through the above discussion, we find that under the above two pun-
ishment modes, the highest possible ex-ante expected payoff of the prefect
public equilibrium is less than the ex-ante expected payoff of the coop-
eration between two parties. Under the punishment model of one-term
2(1−δ(1−r))
memory (i.e., 1−δ(p−r) < 2), which means that in repeated games with
imperfect monitoring, the Folk Theorem may fail in many cases.
where τwEE (w, y) is the probability of state wEE in the next stage. In the
above state transition function, increasing ϕ reduces the difference between
the observable signal and the payoff function; however, if ϕ is too high, it
will impede players’ incentive to work hard. The following discusses how
automaton should be chosen to obtain the maximum possible payoff. If
ϕ = 0, it corresponds to the previous grim strategy.
The following focuses on the value V (wEE ) for players’ cooperation.
From
and
2(1−δ)
we have that V (wSS ) = 0, V (wEE ) = 1−δ(p+(1−p)ϕ) , the incentive com-
patibility conditions are satisfied, and the larger is the ϕ, the greater is the
V (wEE ).
To achieve the above automaton, it is necessary to have:
δ(3p−2q)−1
The maximum possible ϕ to satisfy the above inequality is ϕ = δ(3p−2q−1) .
Substituting the above solution into V (wEE ), we obtain the maximum pos-
1−p
sible payoff: V (wEE ) = 2 − p−q < 2. The maximum possible symmet-
ric equilibrium payoffs are not dependent on the discount factor δ, and it
is strictly less than the most efficient symmetric equilibrium payoff under
perfect monitoring (i.e., (2, 2)).
The efficiency losses in a repeated game are due to the fact that some
strategies need to be implemented by mutual punishment under certain
conditions (observed public outcomes), which reduces the players’ expect-
ed discounted payoffs. This conclusion is analogous to the one in the principle-
theory we will systematically discuss in the part of mechanism design:
there is a tradeoff between allocative efficiency and the extraction of in-
formation rent. To avoid the decrease in payoffs due to punishment for
all players, there is a need for more accurate signals that allow speculation
on individual behavior, thus linking the state (observed public outcomes)
more directly to individual behavior. In other words, sufficient information
is needed to identify and punish opportunistic players, while avoiding ac-
cidental injury to “innocent”players.
Fudenberg, Levine and Maskin (1994) systematically discussed the con-
ditions for Folk Theorem in repeated games with imperfect monitoring (i.e.,
infer players’ actions probabilistically from public outcomes). For different
public outcomes, the appropriate punishments or rewards are applied to
7.6. REPEATED GAMES WITH IMPERFECT PUBLIC MONITORING 479
The cases discussed above are based on public strategies of players. This
implies that any pure strategy has an (outcome) equivalent public strate-
gy. Does this then mean that the private strategy (i.e., the strategic choices
of players are based not only on the history of the public outcomes, but
also on the history of one’s own actions) irrelevant? The answer is nega-
tive. The following is an example from Mailath and Samuelson (2006) that
discusses the difference between private strategies and public strategies. It
shows that perfect public equilibrium payoffs do not cover the full set of
equilibrium payoffs, even when signals are public, as some equilibria may
rely on players using private strategies.
player 2 player 2
E S R P
player 1 E 2, 2 −1, 3 player 1 R 8 8
5, 5 0, 85
S 3, −1 0, 0 P 8
5, 0 0, 0
Table 7.10: Left table: payoff in the first stage; Right table: payoff in the
second stage.
9
p= , if a = EE ;
10
4
πȳ (a) = q= , if a = SE or a = ES ;
5
1
r= , if a = SS.
5
8 38
3(1 − δ) + δq = .
5 27
8 8
2(1 − δ) + δ [p + (1 − p)ϕ] = 3(1 − δ) + δ [q + (1 − q)ϕ],
5 5
7.6. REPEATED GAMES WITH IMPERFECT PUBLIC MONITORING 481
Getting player i to mix (α ∈ (0, 1)) in the first stage requires that the
player is indifferent regarding the two actions:
{ } { }
8 8
α 2(1 − δ) + δ + (1 − α) (−1)(1 − δ) + δ [q + (1 − q)ξ]
5 5
{ } { }
8 8
= α 3(1 − δ) + δ + (1 − α) (0)(1 − δ) + δ [r + (1 − r)ξ] .
5 5
25 4 1
Substituting δ = 27 , q = 5, r = 5 into the above equality, we obtain
ξ(α) = 11−12α
12−12α . Substituting this, it can be checked that a player’s expected
approximately 1.5864.
42 40
Since 1.5864 > 1.5566 > 27 > 27 , in the above four symmetric equilibri-
um cases, the private strategy can support a higher degree of cooperation
than a mixed strategy with a public correlation device. The pure strategy
with a public correlation device, when compared to the pure strategy, can
support a higher degree of cooperation.
There are other types of repeated games, such as repeated games with
private monitoring (i.e., players can only observe their own signals, and
there is no public signal). It is more difficult to establish the previous re-
cursive structure under this type of repeated game. However, for repeat-
ed games with private monitoring, Ely, Horner, and Olszewski (2005) pro-
posed a new concept of equilibrium with stronger constraints -–“belief-
free equilibrium”– to reconstruct a recursive structure. Mailath and Samuel-
son (2006) systematically discuss this type of repeated games, and their
monograph is considered to constitute an encyclopedia of repeated games
and reputation mechanisms to be discussed below.
A long-lived company has chain stores in multiple markets that are inde-
pendent. There is a sequence of short-lived players, each of whom is a
potential entrant in a different market. Each short-run player observes all
previous actions. Each potential entrant decides whether or not to enter
the market. If he does not enter, then the incumbent in the market is a mo-
nopolist with payoff a > 0. If the potential entrant enters, the incumbent
decides whether to fight or accommodate to the entry. If the incumbent
fights, the incumbent’s payoff is −1; if not, the incumber’s payoff is 0. The
incumbent’s goal is to maximize the sum of expected discounted payoffs
with δ < 1 as the discount factor.
Suppose that there are two types of potential entrants: with probability
q ∈ (0, 1) the short-run player is tough and will enter in any case, while
with the remaining probability the short-run player is weak and receives
a payoff of 0 if the player does not enter (so this type will perform a cost-
benefit analysis when deciding whether or not to enter). If the potential
entrant enters and the incumbent fights back, then the entrant’s payoff is
−1; if the incumbent accommodates and accepts the entry, then the entran-
t’s payoff is b > 0. The type of the potential entrants is private information,
while the types of different potential entrants are independent. Assume
that this is a finitely repeated game, in which the number of repetitions equals
the number of markets. In each stage game, there is a unique equilibrium:
potential entrants will enter, while the incumbent will choose to accommo-
date.
Selten (1978) noted that from a theoretical point of view, there exists a
unique sequential equilibrium in this finitely repeated game, in which po-
tential entrants enter in each period, and the incumbent chooses to accom-
modate to each entry. However, this equilibrium seems counter-intuitive
given that there are multiple markets, and the incumbent can fight entrants
in certain markets and create a tough image that discourages entry into
other markets. Selten referred to this contrast between the theoretical pre-
diction and the intuitive view as the chain store paradox.
Market entry is a key issue in industrial organizations because it influ-
7.7. REPUTATION MECHANISM 485
ences the competition and efficiency of a market. Much work has been car-
ried out to solve the Chain Store Paradox. Kreps and Wilson (1982b), Mil-
grom and Roberts (1982), and Kreps, Wilson, Milgrom and Roberts (1982)
solved this paradox by introducing incomplete information.
Now, suppose that the incumbent also has private information. Specifi-
cally, the long-lived incumbent has a probability p0 of being an irrational or
hard type who will always fight an entrant; the incumbent has a probabil-
ity of 1 − p0 to be rational, when the incumbent’s payoff equals that of the
incumbent described earlier. The following argument demonstrates that
even if p0 is small, as long as the duration of the repetition is sufficiently
long, the incumbent will always maintain a hard-line attitude toward entry
(i.e., the incumbent will establish a reputation for being irrational when it
comes to responding to entry).
We now discuss the mechanism of reputation. If there is only one pe-
riod, as long as the potential entrant enters, the rational type incumbent
will choose to accommodate, and the tough type incumbent will choose to
fight. If (1 − p0 )b − p0 < 0 , or p0 > p̄ ≡ b
b+1 , a weak potential entrant will
choose to not enter; otherwise, the entrant will choose to enter.
Consider two periods of interaction now. Potential entrants 1 and 2
make decisions for markets 1 and 2, respectively. Player 1 firstly faces the
entry choice, then player 2 chooses after seeing the outcome of market 1.
The following focuses on the behaviour of the rational type incumbent and
the weak type of potential entrants.
In period 1, if the incumbent chooses to accommodate when faced with
market entry, the incumbent is revealed as the rational type. Therefore,
in period 2, the potential entrant will definitely choose to enter market 2.
The following focuses on the consideration of the rational type incumben-
t. If faced with entry in the first period, the cost of choosing to fight is 1.
However, the benefit is to build the reputation of the hard type to discour-
age potential weak entrants. At this time, her revenue is at most δ(1 − q)a
so that her total expected revenue is −1 + δ(1 − q)a. In this case, when
q > q̄ ≡ aδ−1
aδ , the incumbent will not choose to fight.
When q 5 q̄, if the fight in market 1 can make weak potential entrant
2 quit, then reputation can produce value. However, player 2’s decision-
486 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Consider the case of p0 > p̄. Since the tough type incumbent always
chooses to fight, the probability of the rational type incumbent choosing
to fight is not more than that of the tough type. After observing the fight
in market 1, the potential entrants in market 2 believe that the probability
of the tough type will not be lower than p0 . At this time, the weak type
player 2 will not choose to enter; this, in turn, means that the rational type
incumbent will establish reputation through fighting in market 1. In this
way, potential weak entrants will choose to not enter market 1.
Consider the case of p0 5 p̄. We prove that the incumbent will not
choose a pure strategy. First, consider the pooling equilibrium and show
that the rational type incumbent will not choose to fight entry into market
1. Under pooling, if there is a fight in market 1, the posterior belief of the
potential entrant of market 2 is the same as the initial belief. Therefore,
the weak entrant 2 will also choose to enter, which means that the rational
type incumbent should definitely not choose to fight in market 1. Second,
consider the separating equilibrium, in which the rational type incumbent
will certainly choose to accommodate in market 1. If instead the incumbent
deviates from this strategy and fights in market 1, the potential entrant in
market 2 will think that the incumbent is tough and the potential entrant
will choose to not enter. The rational type incumbent then has an incentive
to fight entry in the market.
p0 b
prob(tough|fight) = = p̄ = ,
p0 + (1 − p0 )β b+1
p0
and thus it follows that β = (1−p0 )b
. In market 1, the probability of the
potential entrant facing a fight with the incumbent is
p0 p0 (1 + b)
p0 + (1 − p0 ) = .
(1 − p0 )b b
b 2
If p0 > ( b+1 ) = p̄2 , weak potential entrants in market 1 will not choose
to enter, the ex-ante expected payoff of the rational type incumbent is greater
than zero; if p0 < p̄2 , weak potential entrants in market 1 will inevitably en-
ter.
The following continues to discuss the presence of chain stores in three
markets. If p0 > p̄2 , the rational type incumbent facing an entrant in market
1 will definitely choose to fight, while the weak potential entrants of market
1 will not choose to enter. If p0 ∈ (p̄3 , p̄2 ), the rational type incumbent
chooses a mixed strategy when facing entry in market 1, while the weak
potential entrants in market 1 will not choose to enter. If p0 < p̄3 , the weak
potential entrants in market 1 will definitely enter.
More generally, the incumbent has N chain stores. If p0 > p̄k , k < N ,
then the weak potential entrants from market 1 to market N −k will not en-
ter, and the incumbent will certainly build strong reputation in these mar-
kets by choosing to fight should there be entry. In addition, note that as
N → ∞, we obtain that p̄N → 0, and thus p0 > p̄N holds for sufficiently
large N . This means that the first potential entrant will not enter, and if
there is entry the rational type incumbent has a strong motivation to fight
it to build a strong reputation. Therefore, as long as there is incomplete in-
formation, even if the degree of incomplete information is small, long-run
players can build their reputations through certain behavior.
In different contexts, reputation operates differently and performs dis-
similar roles. Fudenberg and Tirole (1991) and Mailath and Samuelson
(2006) provide systematic introductions to the rich literature in this field;
the latter also reviews some recent literature on the reputation mechanism.
488 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
7.8 Biographies
nesian macroeconomics.
Hicks used the accelerator multiplier interaction for building up a new
theory of business cycle. The theory holds that the increase of output and
income will lead to acceleration of investment through the acceleration ef-
fect. Moreover, due to the multiplier effect, the growth of investment caus-
es output and income to increase accordingly by a magnified amount, and
thus production capacity expands rapidly. When expansion reaches the
limit of the cycle, it shifts to economic contraction. During the contraction,
due to the role of acceleration, the decline in investment will lead to output
and income decline in a certain proportion, and this decline is limited by
the lower bound of the cycle. The economy starts to rebound again when
it reaches the bottom of the cycle. Hicks discovered a regular cyclical fluc-
tuation of 7-10 years, based on a study of the economic history of the past
one and a half century.
interactions with which people are familiar can be understood from the
perspective of non-cooperative games; Aumann also found that some long-
term social interactions can be analyzed deeply with formal non-cooperative
game theory.
7.9 Exercises
2. Prove: for any discount factor δ ∈ (0, 1), the payoff of any player in a
subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE) in the repeated game is at
least 1/4.
buyer
B D
H 1, 1 −1, 2
seller
L 2, −1 0, 0
The seller can choose to work hard (H) or to be lazy (L), and the buyer
can choose to purchase (B) or not (D).
1. Find the set of feasible payoff profiles and the set of individually ra-
tional payoff profiles.
2. Suppose that the game is repeated infinitely, and the discount factor
for both players is δ. Find a SPNE such that, for some range of δ, the
path of the repeated game is (H, B)∞ . Solve for the range of δ.
3. Now, suppose that in the stage game, the buyer could observe the
effort of the seller prior to making a purchasing decision. Then, solve
question 2.
Exercise 7.3 There is a static game with complete information between play-
er 1 and player 2, and the strategy space for both is {A, B}. If both choose
A, then each obtains α; if both choose B, then each obtains β; if they choose
A and B, respectively, then the player with action A receives γ, and the
player with action B receives λ.
7.9. EXERCISES 493
3. With the answer from question 2, suppose that the game is repeated
infinitely, and the discount factor is δ. Prove that if δ = δ̄, then the
grim strategy can resolve the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Solve for δ̄.
player 2
d e f
a 3, 1 0, 0 5, 0
player 1 b 2, 1 1, 2 3, 1
c 1, 2 0, 1 4, 4
serve the outcomes of stage one, and there is no discount factor. Is there
an SPNE, such that the payoff profile in stage one is (4, 4)? If yes, give the
corresponding strategy. If no, explain why.
Exercise 7.5 Consider the following infinitely repeated game with the stage
game:
player 2
L C R
T 1, 1 −1, −8 6, −8
player 1 M −8, 1 −4, −4 1, −4
B −8, 6 −4, 1 3, 3
Solve for the range of discount factor δ, such that the following strategy
is an SPNE.
State 1: first choose (B, R); if no one deviates, then continue to choose
(B, R); otherwise, change to state 2;
State 2: choose (T, L); if no one deviates, then continue to choose (T, L);
otherwise, change to state 1.
Exercise 7.6 Consider the infinitely repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma game with
the stage game:
494 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
player 2
candor(C) disavow(D)
candor (C) 1, 1 −1, 2
player 1
disavow(D) 2, −1 0,0
1. Prove: if δ = 0.5, then there is an SPNE, such that the strategy pro-
file in every stage is (C, C). Find the complete strategies of the two
players in this equilibrium.
1. Solve for the minimum SPNE payoff profile for players, and prove
that there is no lower equilibrium payoff.
3. If the discount factor is lower than δ ∗ , is there an SPNE such that the
payoff profile is bigger than (0, 0)?
1. Prove: if δ < 0.5, in pure strategy SPNE, the maximum payoff profile
of players is 0; if δ = 0.5, then there is a pure strategy SPNE, such that
the payoff profile of players is 1.
2. Now suppose that a player plays the above game with N players, and
the payoff in one period is the sum of payoff in all N games. Then,
will the result in question 1 change? Explain your answer.
player 2
candor(C) disavow(D)
player 1 candor(C) a, a b, c
disavow(D) c, b 0, 0
Exercise 7.10 In the Cournot model of n firms, the inverse demand func-
tion is p = 1 − 2q, and the marginal cost and fixed cost of all firms are zero.
Consider the infinitely repeated game of this stage game:
1. Solve for the minimum δ such that a firm can maintain monopoly
output through the grim strategy in SPNE.
Exercise 7.11 Consider a game between a firm and a labor union. The u-
nion determines the wage level, and the firm decides the number of em-
ployees. The union’s utility function is u(w, l), where w is wage, l is em-
ployment, and u(w, l) is an increasing function of w and l. The firm’s prof-
it function is π(w, l) = R(l) − wl, where R(l) is the enterprise’s revenue,
496 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
Exercise 7.12 (Shapiro and Stiglitz, 1984) Consider the following stage game:
in the first stage, the firm sets wage level w for a worker; in the second
stage, the worker chooses to accept or reject the wage. If rejected, the work-
er chooses a self-employment salary of w0 ; if accepted, the worker chooses
to work hard or to be lazy. Hard work will result in a negative utility of
f , while laziness does not have a negative effect. The firm cannot observe
the worker’s effort, but the firm and the worker can observe the level of the
worker’s output, with a low output of 0 and a high output of y > 0. The
worker who works hard can inevitably achieve high output, while the lazy
worker gets high output with probability p and low output with probability
1 − p.
Suppose y − f > w0 > py, and consider the following combination
of strategies in an infinitely repeated game: the firm’s strategy is to set
the wage level w∗ for the first stage, and if at each subsequent stage, the
outcome of the game is (w∗ , y), then continue the wage level w∗ ; otherwise,
change the wage level to be w = 0; the worker’s strategy is if w = 0, then
accept the firm’s wage (or choose self-employment), and if the outcome in
each stage of the game is (w∗ , y), then work hard (otherwise choose to be
lazy). Solve for the conditions under which the above strategies form a
subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
Exercise 7.13 Consider the following infinitely repeated game of two play-
ers with the discount factor δ and the stage game:
7.9. EXERCISES 497
player 2
candor(C) disavow(D)
candor (C) 2, 3 1, 6
player 1
disavow(D) 0, 1 0, 1
Prove that if δ satisfies a certain condition, then (C, C), (C, C), · · · is not the
equilibrium path of an SPNE, and solve for the range of δ in this case.
Exercise 7.14 Prove that in a repeated game, if there is an SPNE for each
player where the equilibrium payoff is the player’s minmax payoff, then
every Nash equilibrium payoff is an SPNE payoff.
player 2
candor (C) disavow (D)
player 1 candor (C) 3, 3 0, 4
disavow( D) 4, 0 1, 1
1. Suppose that the game proceeds in two periods, and the discount
factor is δ. Find a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium, such that for a
range of δ, the first stage can achieve the payoff profile of (a, a). Solve
for the range of δ.
2. Suppose that the game repeats T > 2 periods, and the discount factor
is δ. Find a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium, such that for some
range of δ, the payoff profile of (a, a) can be achieved in the previous
T − 1 stage. Find the range of δ and equilibrium payoffs for each
player.
3. Suppose that the game repeats infinite periods, and the discount fac-
tor is δ. Is there a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium where for some
δ, every T − 1 stage can achieve the payoff profile of (a, a)? If it exists,
find the range of δ and the equilibrium payoff for each player; if it
does not exist, provide the corresponding proof.
Exercise 7.19 Workers will face off season and peak seasons each year. In
the off season, they will receive wage w∗ . During the peak season, they will
7.9. EXERCISES 499
receive wage w∗ , and w∗ > w∗ . Workers cannot save, and their utility func-
tion u is a strictly concave function defined in each period of consumption.
The discount factor between different periods is δ. Each season is a period.
1. Suppose that the wage cannot be used for saving or borrowing. Write
the worker’s lifelong utility.
(b) Suppose that the employer provides the contract in the off sea-
son. What are the two constraints that need to be met, such that
the workers accept and perform the contract?
(c) Prove that δ 2 u′ (w∗ ) > u′ (w∗ ) is the sufficient and necessary con-
dition for the existence of an incentive compatible contract in
which both parties can make a profit.
player 2
C D
C 5, 5 3, 6
player 1
D 6, 3 4, 4
This stage game is repeated infinitely, and two players in each period
fully know the history of the previous stages. Both have a discount factor
0 < δ < 1. Answer the following questions:
500 CHAPTER 7. REPEATED GAMES
player 2
L R
T 2, 3 1, 5
player 1
B 0, 1 0, 1
3. Suppose that this game repeats infinitely. According to the Nash Folk
Theorem, what are the payoff profiles that can be realized in Nash
equilibrium?
7.9. EXERCISES 501
player 2
L R
T 2, 1 0, 0
player 1
B 0, 0 1, 2
2. Give a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium that can achieve the payoff
profile ( 32 , 23 ), and give the requirement for common discount factor
δ.
3. Suppose that this game repeats infinitely. According to the Nash Folk
Theorem, what are the payoff profiles that can be realized in Nash
equilibrium?
player 2
C D
C 3, 3 k, 1
player 1
D 1, k 2, 2
Suppose that the new round of probability that the stage game contin-
ues is p, and this probability is independent of the number of repetitions of
the stage game.
if both cooperated with each other last time, then you will defect this
time;
if you defected the last time but the other party chose cooperation,
then you will cooperate this time;
if you cooperated last time but the other side defected, then you will
defect this time;
if both sides defected last time, then you will cooperate this time.
player 2
C D
C 3, 3 1, 4
player 1
D 4, 1 2, 2
1. Suppose that the two players know in advance that the stage game
will only repeat for 3 rounds. What is the SPNE of this repeated
game?
2. Let this game repeat infinitely. According to the Subgame Perfect Folk
Theorem, what are the payoff profiles that can be achieved in SPNE?
player 2
C D
C 3, 3 1, 4
player 1
D 4, 1 2, 2
Exercise 7.26 (Product Choice Game) Player 1 is the manufacturer, and play-
er 2 is the consumer. The manufacturer can choose either high effort (H)
or low effort (L). The consumer can choose from two products, high-end
products (h) or low-end products (l). The payoff matrix of the game is
shown in the table:
player 2
h l
H 2, 3 0, 3
player 1
L 4, 0 1, 1
1. If the game is played for a finite period, what is the subgame perfect
Nash equilibrium?
4. Suppose that this game repeats infinitely. According to the Nash Folk
Theorem, what are the payoff profiles that can be realized in Nash
equilibrium?
Exercise 7.27 (Product Choice Game) There are two types of manufactur-
ers. The probability of being effort type is p, who can only use strategy H;
the other type of manufacturers is called the common type, and the prob-
ability of being such type is 1 − p. The discount factor for both types is δ.
The payoff matrixes are as follows:
Common type:
player 2
h l
H 2, 3 0, 2
player 1
L 3, 0 1, 1
Effort type:
player 2
h l
player 1 H 2, 3 0, 2
2. Suppose that the type is private information, and the game repeats for
2 periods. Under what conditions can manufacturers of the common
type benefit from the existence of effort type? What is the specific
strategy? (Hint: the common type can maintain the confidentiality of
their type by adopting strategy H in the first period).
3. Suppose that the type is private information, and the game repeats
for n periods (n = 3). What is the equilibrium strategy?
Exercise 7.28 (Reputation Mechanism) Consider the chain store model giv-
en in this chapter. Suppose that the incumbent has chain stores in 3 mar-
kets. Answer the following questions:
7.9. EXERCISES 505
1. For market 2, suppose that the rational type incumbent has not re-
vealed her own type in market 1 (fight when facing an entrant). Dis-
cuss her strategies for different ranges of q and p0 . (Hint: it is the
same as the case of 2 markets).
2. For market 2, suppose that the rational type incumbent has already
revealed her own type in market 1 (did not fight when faced with
entry). Then, obviously her subsequent strategy is not to fight for
any entry, while tough or weak type potential entrants will choose to
enter. Based on this and the conclusion in question 1, use backward
induction to discuss the strategy of the rational type incumbent for
different ranges of q and p0 in the market 1. Provide the reasoning
process.
3. Give equilibrium strategies for this game, i.e., provide strategies for
the rational type incumbent and weak potential entrants in these mar-
kets.
Exercise 7.29 (Reputation Mechanism) Consider the general case of the chain
store model in this chapter. Suppose that the incumbent has chain stores in
N markets, and potential entrants are tough with probabilities q1 , q2 , · · · , qN ,
respectively. If the incumbent does not fight, then the benefits of entry
are b1 , b2 , · · · , bN , respectively. The incumbent is rational with probability
1 − p0 .
7.10 References
Books:
Papers:
Abreu, D., P.K. Dutta, and L. Smith (1994). “The Folk Theorem for Re-
peated Games: A NEU Condition”, Econometrica, Vol. 62, No. 4,
939-948.
Nessah, R. and G. Tian (2014). “On the Existence of Strong Nash Equi-
libria”, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol. 414,
871-885.
Tian, G. and J. Zhou (1992). “The Maximum Theorem and the Existence
of Nash Equilibrium of (Generalized) Games without Lower Semi-
continuities”, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol.
166, No. 2, 351-364.
8.1 Introduction
511
512 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
The coalitional game with transferable payoff concerns the payoff obtained
by a group of players, and the payoff is allocated among the members with-
out restriction.
∑
v(S) = min max ui (σS , σN \S ).
σN \S ∈∆(CN \S ) σS ∈∆(CS )
i∈S
8.2. THE CORE 513
We usually assume v(∅) = 0, where ∅ denotes the empty set. The def-
inition of coalitional payoff is based on a pessimistic judgment of actions
of players outside of the coalition (i.e., they will choose the most unfavor-
able actions against coalition members). There are also other ways to define
coalitional payoff. Different judgment criteria of players’ actions outside of
the coalition will lead to dissimilar definitions.
∑
σ̄S = argmaxσS ∈∆(CS ) ui (σS , σ̄N \S );
i∈S
∑
σ̄N \S = argmaxσN \S ∈∆(CN \S ) uj (σ̄S , σN \S );
j∈N \S
∑
v(S) = ui (σ̄S , σ̄N \S );
i∈S
∑
v(N \S) = uj (σ̄S , σ̄N \S ).
j∈N \S
v({1, 2, 3}) = 12, v({1, 2}) = v({1, 3}) = v({2, 3}) = 4, v({1}) = v({2}) = v({3}) = 1.
v({1, 2, 3}) = 12, v({1, 2}) = v({1, 3}) = v({2, 3}) = 4, v({1}) = v({2}) = v({3}) = 5.
function is:
v({1, 2, 3}) = 12, v({1, 2}) = v({1, 3}) = v({2, 3}) = 2, v({1}) = v({2}) = v({3}) = 1.
Thrall and Lucas (1963) extended the characteristic function and pro-
posed the concept of partition function, which can deal with the externali-
ty between coalitions in a more general framework. The coalitional games
discussed later are based on the condition that each coalition has a corre-
sponding characteristic function, thereby placing the focus on what kind
of coalition the player will choose. We assume that the coalitional games
satisfy the cohesive condition.
The cohesive condition means that the coalition consisting of all players
is optimal.
A stronger condition is the superadditive condition.
Definition 8.2.5 (Core) We say that a feasible allocation (xi )i∈N is in the
core of a coalitional game with transferable payoff, if there exists no coali-
tion S and an S-feasible allocation (yi )i∈S , such that yi > xi for any i ∈ S.
Thus, an payoff allocation (xi )i∈N is in the core of ⟨N, v⟩ if and only if
∑
i∈S xi = v(N ) and x(S) = v(S) for all S ⊆ N . We say a coalition S can
improve on an payoff allocation x if the participants in S can obtain a S-
feasible payoff allocation (yi )i∈S such that yi > xi , i ∈ S. Then, if x is in the
core, there is no such an improvement.
Remark 8.2.1 In a strict sense, the core defined above should be a weak
core. A strong core means that there exist no subset S of N and an S-feasi-
ble payoff allocation (yi )i∈S , such that yi = xi for any i ∈ S and yj > xj for
at least one j ∈ S. This is similar to the difference between strong Pareto
efficiency and weak Pareto efficiency (see Chapter 11). Obviously, a strong
core implies a weak core, but the opposite may not be true. However, un-
der continuous transfers, the concepts of weak core and strong core are
equivalent. The transferable payoffs discussed in this chapter are mostly
payoffs that can be transferred in a continuous manner, and thus a weak
core implies a strong core.
The following example discusses the core of the coalitional game under
different rules.
Example 8.2.2 (Coalitional game with collective allocation) There are three
players, and a total of 300 units of resources that are available for allocation.
Suppose that there are three different allocation rules. Rule 1: the allocation
plan must win consent from all of the three players; otherwise, no one will
receive any resource. Rule 2: the allocation plan can be passed with major-
ity consent. Rule 3: if all players agree upon the allocation plan, then all of
the resources can be allocated; if only two players agree upon the allocation
8.2. THE CORE 517
plan, the resources available for allocation are 2/3 of the total resources; if
only one player agrees upon the allocation plan, then no resource is avail-
able for allocation.
Under Rule 1, the coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩1 can be described as N =
{1, 2, 3}, v(N ) = 300, and if S ̸= N , then v(S) = 0. By the definition of
core, every feasible payoff allocation is in the core. This is because for any
feasible payoff allocation (xi )i∈N , we have x1 + x2 + x3 = 0, and there exists
no other feasible payoff allocation (yi )i∈N , such that yi > xi for any i.
Under Rule 2, the coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩2 can be described as N =
{1, 2, 3}, and v(N ) = 300 when S ⊆ N and |S| = 2 (here the function
| · | represents the number counting function); v(S) = 0 when S ⊆ N and
|S| = 1. If a feasible payoff allocation (xi )i∈N is in the core, then there
must exist i, such that xi > 0. However, at this time, there exists a coalition
S = N/i satisfying |S| = 2 and x(S) < 300 = v(S), and thus (xi )i∈N cannot
be in the core. Consequently, the core is an empty set in this coalitional
game.
Under Rule 3, the coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩3 can be described as: when
S = N = {1, 2, 3}; v(N ) = 300, and v(S) = 200 when S ⊆ N and |S| = 2;
v(S) = 0 when S ⊆ N and |S| = 1. In this game, (xi )i∈N = (100, 100, 100)
is a unique allocation in the core. The reason for this is that if there exists
an i, such that xi > 100, then there must exist a coalition S = N/i satisfying
|S| = 2 and x(S) < 200 = v(S).
In the examples above, the core is not always nonempty. Next, we dis-
cuss the conditions for the existence of nonempty cores.
∑
λS v(S) 5 v(N ).
S∈C
receive in the biggest coalition that includes all players. Bondereva (1963)
and Shapley1 (1967) characterized the relationship between balanced game
and nonempty core based on linear programming and duality theorem.
P ROOF . Necessity: Let (xi )i∈N be a payoff allocation in the core, while
∑
(λS )S∈C is one of its balanced collections of weights. Then, S∈C λS v(S) 5
∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
S∈C λS x(S) = i∈N xi i∈S λS = i∈N xi = v(N ).
The inequality is attributed to the definition of the core; the first equal
sign is attributed to different orders of summation of the equivalence; the
second equal sign comes from the definition of balanced weights; the last
equal sign comes from the definition of feasible payoff allocation.
Sufficiency: ⟨N, v⟩ is balanced, and thus there exists no balanced weight-
∑
s (λS )S∈C satisfying S∈C λS v(S) > v(N ). Therefore, the convex set {(1N , v(N )+
∑
ε) : ε > 0} and the convex cone {y ∈ RN +1 : y = S∈C λS (v(S) + 1S ),
∀S ∈ C, λS = 0} are disjoint. Using the hyperplane separation theorem,
there exists a non-zero vector (aN , a) ∈ RN +1 , such that for any y, ε > 0,
we have (aN , a)y = 0 > (aN , a)(1N , vN + ε). Since (1N , vN ) is in the convex
cone, this inequality implies that a < 0. We construct x = aN /(−a). In addi-
tion, since for any S ∈ C, (1S , v(S)) belongs to the above convex cone, then
from the above inequality, we have (aN , a)(1S , v(S)) = a(−x1S + v(S)) =
a(−x(S) + v(S)) = 0, and thus x(S) = v(S). Since for any ε > 0, we
have (aN , a)(1N , v(N ) + ε) < 0 and (aN , a)(1N , v(N )) = a(−x1N + v(N )) =
a(−x(N ) + v(N )) = 0. Then, we have x(N ) = v(N ), and thus the x con-
structed above is a payoff allocation in the core. 2
In the following, we discuss why some cores exist and some cores may
be empty in the previous coalitional game with collective allocation.
1−λ{1,2,3} ∑
so we have λ{1,2} +λ{2,3} +λ{1,3} 5 3 2 . S∈C λS v(S) = λ{1,2,3} 300+
(λ{1,2} + λ{2,3} + λ{1,3} )200 5 300 = v(N ).
∑
minx∈RN i∈N xi
∑
s.t. i∈S xi = v(S), ∀S ⊆ N.
∑
max λS vS
λ∈RC
+ S∈C
∑
s.t. λS = 1, ∀i ∈ N.
S∋i
Suppose that there are some homogeneous and indivisible goods, such as
horses of the same type. Different individuals have different values or re-
serve prices or willingness to pay for the horses. In addition, in this e-
conomy, some individuals have horses, while others do not. We denote
the group of individuals who own horses (owners) as L, |L| = L, and
those without horses (non-owners) as B, |B| = M . To simplify the dis-
cussion, everyone has at most one horse. At the same time, each individual
i ∈ N ≡ L ∪ B has a value vi for having the first horse and no extra value
for having more horses, which means that the demand is at most the unit
demand. We rank the values of non-owners for horses from the top to the
lowest, β1 , · · · , βM , and the values of owners for horses from the lowest
to the top, σ1 , · · · , σL . We denote k ∗ = max{k|βk > σk }. When k 5 k ∗ ,
βk > σk , the top k ∗ highest values of non-owners for horses are higher than
the top k ∗ lowest values by owners. During the transaction, the horses are
transferred from the owners to the non-owners. In this way, both parties
can benefit when the transaction occurs between high-value non-owners
and low-value owners.
We denote the group of individuals who have sold horses (the seller
group) as L∗ ⊆ L, and the group of individuals who do not own horses
initially but have purchased horses now as B ∗ ⊆ B. Assume that during
the entire process of transaction, ri , i ∈ L is the income of the horse seller i,
and pj , j ∈ B is the payment of the horse buyer j. The payoff allocation of
8.3. APPLICATION OF THE CORE: MARKET DESIGN 523
∑ ∑
tutes a closed system). In other words, i∈L∗ ri = j∈B ∗ pj , and thus we
must have ri = pj = p∗ .
Next, we discuss the value range of p∗ . We want to verify that x, which
satisfies k ∗ = |L∗ | = |B ∗ | and p∗ ∈ [max{βk∗ +1 , σk∗ }, min{βk∗ , σk∗ +1 }] is in
the core (See Figure 8.2).
xi = max{vi , p∗ }, i ∈ L,
xj = max{vj , p∗ } − p∗ = 0, j ∈ B.
∑
x(S) = max{vi , p∗ } − bp∗
i∈S
∑ ∑
= max{vi , p∗ } + max{vi , p∗ } − bp∗
i∈S ∗ i∈S\S ∗
∑
= vi = v(S).
i∈S ∗
are required. Participant i can rank the items in set H in order of preference
from the highest to the lowest. If |{h′ ∈ H|h′ ≻i h}| = k − 1, which means
for player i, only k − 1 goods are preferred to h in the set of goods, then
participant i is ranked k in h, denoted by h = Ri (k).
In the following, we show that if every agent has only one good, then
there must be a top trading cycle.
First, consider N = 2. If i ∈ {1, 2} and hi = Ri (1). Obviously, {i} is a
top trading cycle; otherwise, h1 = R2 (1) and h2 = R1 (1) must hold, and
thus {1, 2} is a top cycle.
Next, consider N = 3. If i ∈ {1, 2} and hi = Ri (1), obviously, {i} is a
top cycle; otherwise, for player 1, we have h2 = R1 (1) or h3 = R1 (1). When
h2 = R1 (1), consider the preference list of player 2. If h1 = R2 (1), then
{1, 2} is a top cycle; if h3 = R2 (1), consider the preference list of player 3.
If h2 = R3 (1), then {2, 3} is a top cycle; if h1 = R3 (1), then {1, 2, 3} is a top
cycle. When h3 = R1 (1), we will obtain similar results. Therefore, when
N = 3, a top cycle exists, as well.
Mathematical induction shows that within finitely many individuals, if
each agent owns only one good, then there must be a top trading cycle.
Of course, we can also relax the assumption of each agent having only one
good and let agents have different numbers of items.
We next examine why the outcome of such a top trading cycle mecha-
nism is a core allocation. As we know, if an outcome is a core allocation,
then there exists no improvable coalition. During the operation of the top
trading cycle mechanism, it is impossible for any individual in top trad-
ing cycles of the first step to improve the individual’s welfare through any
other allocation. As a consequence, coalitions that are likely to improve
welfare must not include participants in top trading cycles of the first step.
Second, for the participants in top trading cycles of the second step, no al-
location can possibly improve their welfare by reallocation in the coalition
without the participation of the individuals in top trading cycles of the first
528 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
step. Therefore, if all of the individuals in top trading cycles of the first step
do not participate in a certain coalition, the individuals in top trading cy-
cles of the second step will also not participate in the coalition. By analogy,
if participants in top trading cycles of previous steps do not participate in
a coalition, this coalition will not improve the welfare of participants in top
trading cycles of the current step. As a result, there is no coalition that can
improve the welfare of its members.
In the following, we discuss the top trading cycle mechanism through
an example.
Each player’s ordering of houses is from top to bottom, and the horizon-
tal lines “—”appearing in the figure indicate that these parts of orderings
can be arbitrary, which is not our concern here.
In the first step, {1, 2} constitutes a top trading cycle, while player 1
and player 2 make exchanges. In the second step, player 1 and player 2
have been removed, and player 3 and player 4 remain. Their preferences
8.3. APPLICATION OF THE CORE: MARKET DESIGN 529
In the second step, {3, 4} constitutes a top trading cycle, and thus player
3 and player 4 exchange. The outcome of the whole exchange is that player
1 owns the house of player 2, player 2 owns the house of player 1, player 3
owns the house of player 4, player 4 owns the house of player 3, and there
does not exist any improved coalition for this allocation outcome.
For a more detailed discussion of the top trading cycle, see one-sided
matching in Chapter 22, where we present a systematic discussion of the
matching mechanism of players and indivisible goods, as well as the effi-
ciency and incentive characteristics of different mechanisms. In addition,
the one-sided matching mechanism has a broad range of applications in
school admissions (Abdulkadiroglu and Sonmez, 2003) and organ trans-
plantation (Roth, Sonmez and Unver, 2004). These problems are discussed
in depth in Chapter 22.
Stable matching means that if the mate of an agent is not the agent self,
then the mate is surely acceptable to the agent; at the same time, there are
8.3. APPLICATION OF THE CORE: MARKET DESIGN 531
no two agents of the opposite groups who would both rather have each
other than their current matching mates. The stability of matching is con-
sistent with the concept of the core. First, if one’s matching is unacceptable,
then according to the definition of the core, the coalition of one’s own can
improve one’s benefit. Second, for the matching problem, there are only
two types of meaningful coalitions: one is a coalition of one agent, and the
other is a coalition of a man and a woman.
In the matching, we rule out the possibility of polygamy, polyandry, or
group marriages (shared husbands and wives), i.e., a coalition of multiple
men and multiple women. Consequently, in a coalition formed by a man
and a woman in the matching problem, stable matching is consistent with
the core. However, the pertinent question is, how can we find the stable
matching? Gale and Shapley (1962) proposed a deferred acceptance algo-
rithm. The deferred acceptance algorithm introduced here is from Roth
(2010).
There are two steps for each stage. We start with the first stage.
In the first step, each agent in the proposing group (e.g., a male
agent) proposes to his most preferred choice (e.g., a female
agent) in the proposed group (if there is anyone acceptable;
otherwise, no proposal is made).
In the second step, each agent in the proposed group first re-
moves the proposals of those unacceptable agents. If there
are any remaining ones, choose the most preferred and reject
the rest.
of the proposing group does not receive any acceptance, or an agent of the
proposed group does not receive any offer, the agent is matched with the
agent self.
Gale and Shapley (1962) proved that there always exists a stable match-
ing in the marriage market. We will discuss in detail the logic behind this
in Chapter 22. Next, we use an example to understand the operation of the
deferred acceptance algorithm.
p(m1 ) = w2 , w1 , w3 ; p(w1 ) = m1 , m2 , m3 ;
p(m2 ) = w1 , w2 , w3 ; p(w2 ) = m3 , m1 , m2 ;
p(m3 ) = w1 , w2 , w3 ; p(w3 ) = m1 , m2 , m3 .
The procedure for the deferred acceptance algorithm is shown in the ta-
ble below, in which the underlined proposals are being held without com-
mitment.
Stage w1 w2 w3
1 m2 , m 3 m1
2 m1 , m 3
3 m1 , m 2
4 m2 , m 3
5 m2
It is easy to verify that this matching outcome satisfies the stability condi-
tion.
8.4. STABLE SET, BARGAINING SET, AND SHAPLEY VALUE 533
The stability of the core comes from blocking any deviations. However, the
deviation itself may be unstable, and the deviation can lead to new devia-
tions. The initial deviation may also bring worse outcomes to the deviant.
Therefore, the concept of stability needs a reasonable justification. In the
following, we will further explore stability in the cooperative game by con-
straining the deviation. We will introduce some related concepts based on
different constraints, including stable set, bargaining set, and the Shapley
value. Here, we focus on the type of coalitional game with transferable
534 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Von Neumann and Morgenstein (1944) proposed the concept of the stable
set. This concept is related to the negotiation process. Assume that a fea-
sible allocation disappoints some players who, therefore, may propose a
blocking that is favorable for them. If their blocking is inherently unstable,
there will be subsequent reactions. If the final stable outcome is not as good
as the previous allocation, then it is not a meaningful deviation to the coali-
tion. In other words, what a coalition S puts forward should be a credible
blocking. The so-called credibility means that the blocking is stable (i.e.,
no new blocking or possibly chain of blockings will be triggered, such that
eventually some members of the coalition are worse off than previously).
In this way, a set of stable outcomes need to satisfy two conditions: first,
for each unstable outcome, there is a coalition that can present a credible
blocking; second, for any stable outcome, there is no other credible block-
ing. Therefore, the solution concept is discussed in terms of sets. By the
concept of stable set, we can divide the feasible outcomes into a stable set
and an unstable set.
Definition 8.4.2 (Stable Set) We say that a subset Y of the feasible alloca-
tion set X of the coalitional game with transferable payoff ⟨N, v⟩ is a stable
set, if it satisfies the following two conditions:
Von Neumann and Morgenstein explained that each stable set consti-
tutes a behavior pattern, and the allocations of different stable sets corre-
spond to different behavior patterns.
The following proposition summarizes the relationship between the
core and the stable set, and the property of the stable set.
Proposition 8.4.1 The core is a subset of every stable set; no stable set is a proper
subset of another stable set; if the core forms a stable set, then it is the only stable
set.
In the following example, the core is empty, but there are multiple stable
sets.
Example 8.4.1 (Continued from Example 8.2.2) There are three players, and
a total of 300 units of resources that are available for allocation. The rule
is: the allocation plan can be passed with majority consent. The expres-
sion of their coalition: for coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩, N = {1, 2, 3}, if S ⊆ N
and |S| = 2, then we have v(S) = 300 (here the function |·| represents the
number counting function); if S ⊆ N and |S| = 1, then we have v(S) = 0.
Y1 = {(150, 150, 0), (150, 0, 150), (0, 150, 150)} is a stable set. For this sta-
ble set, its behavior pattern is that the coalition members allocate the coali-
tion income evenly. Firstly, for each element of Y1 , there exists no deviation
in Y1 . For any z ∈ X/Y1 , where X = {(x1 , x2 , x3 )|xi = 0, x1 +x2 +x3 = 300},
obviously there exists i ̸= j, zi < 150, zj < 150 and a coalition S = {i, j},
such that in Y1 , (yi = yj = 150, yk = 0) is a blocking in Y1 to z.
∑
Yk,c = {(yi )i∈N |yk = c ∈ [0, 300], ∀i ̸= k, yi = 0, i∈N yi = 300} is also
a stable set. Its behavior pattern is that the player k gets a fixed value c.
Therefore, there are infinite stable sets in this coalitional game.
Next, we verify that Yk,c is a stable strategy. Firstly, the outcome zk > c
will be improved with an outcome y in Yk,c by the coalition {i, j}, i ̸= k, j ̸=
zk −c
k formed by other players, for example, y = (yk = c, yi = zi + 2 , yj =
zk −c
zj + 2 ). If zk < c, then there always exists an i ̸= k, such that zi > 0, and
thus {k, j}, j ̸= k, j ̸= i can be improved with any outcome y in Yk,c , for
example, y = (yk = c, yi = 0, yj = 300−c). In addition, for any outcomes in
the set Yk,c , there does not possibly exist any coalition, such that the choice
536 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
of other outcomes within Yk,c will improve the situation of the coalition
members.
We can also utilize the bargaining method to restrict blocking in the nego-
tiation process. Under this method, the deviation chain generated by each
blocking is divided into two steps. The stability condition means that for
each blocking, there is a counter-blocking constraint. The idea here is that,
if a certain set is stable, then there exists no stable blocking. Stability here
is reflected in the way that if a player raises a blocking against other play-
ers and the blocking increases the player’s payoff, then players suffering
a loss because of this blocking can always put forward a counter-blocking
against the previous objector. Therefore, the previous blocking is not a sta-
ble blocking, because the previous objector’s payoff will eventually become
worse.
In the following, we discuss the two stages of three types of blocking
and counter-blocking coalitions. Different types correspond to the solution
concepts of different stable outcomes.
The first type of blocking and counter-blocking:
The above two conditions are for the blocking coalition that
deviates from the stable allocation, but not for any specif-
ic member of it.
Definition 8.4.3 (Bargaining Set) We say that a set of coalitional game with
transferable payoff is a bargaining set, if: (1) its element x is a feasible allo-
cation; and (2) under the first type of blocking and counter-blocking, for a
blocking (y, S) of any player i to x against another player j, there always
exists a counter-blocking of player j against player i’ blocking (y, S).
For any two players i and j and any allocation x, define si,j (x) =
maxS∈C {e(S, x) : i ∈ S, j ∈
/ S}, where C = {S : S ̸= ∅, S ⊆ N }, which
is the maximum surplus of coalition S including i, but not including j. The
following definition of the kernel is in accordance with the above. If x is
a feasible kernel element of N , then for any pair of players i and j, either
sj,i (x) = Si,j (x), or it satisfies xj = v({j}) for all j ∈ N .
The kernel models a stable arrangement of the group, making each
member have the following collective logic about the allocation x in it: if
player i proposes a blocking to the allocation x and establishes a coalition S
including the player self, then the coalition excludes player j who receives
more benefits under the initial allocation than the payoff of the player self.
The blocking was raised because player i was dissatisfied with the payoff
from the previous allocation x. Player j could raise a counter-blocking and
create a coalition T that includes the player self (player j), but does not
include the blocker (player i). This coalition sacrifices more or gains less
than the blocking coalition S under the allocation x. In other words, if the
8.4. STABLE SET, BARGAINING SET, AND SHAPLEY VALUE 539
initial allocation x is blocked, players can obtain more than in the previous
blocking coalition by forming the counter-blocking coalition T .
The idea of the nucleolus is closely related to the idea of the kernel. If
the coalition S is not satisfied with allocation x, measured by e(S, x), the
coalition believes that it contributes too much. In the kernel, blocking is
raised by one of the players; whereas, in the nucleolus, it is raised by the
coalition. A blocking (S, y) can be interpreted as such opinion of the coali-
tion: “In allocation x, our contribution is too big, and thus we propose a
relatively less contributing allocation y.”The nucleolus depicts that one of
the other coalitions, T , can raise such a counter-blocking: “Your opinion
is not justified because we have contributed more in allocation y than in al-
location x, and our contribution in allocation y is more than what you (i.e.,
the coalition S) contribute in allocation x.”Therefore, the idea of the nu-
cleolus reflects the concept of equity (i.e., how much contribution players
should make in the group).
In the following, we discuss the allocations (sets) corresponding to these
three concepts through some examples.
Example 8.4.2 (Continued from Example 8.2.2 (2)) There are three player-
s, and a total of 300 units of resources that are available for allocation. For
coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩, N = {1, 2, 3}, if S ⊆ N and |S| = 2, then we have
v(S) = 300; if S ⊆ N and |S| = 1, then we have v(S) = 0.
First, we solve for the bargaining set of the coalitional game. In this
example, the set is a singleton whose allocation is (xi = 100, ∀i ∈ N ). To see
this, let feasible allocation x be in the bargaining set. If (y, S) is a blocking
of player i to x against player j, then she will propose S = {i, h}, i ̸= h ̸= j,
satisfying: yh > xh , yi > xi , and yh 5 300 − yi , getting yh 5 300 − xi , and
thus player i and player h receive more benefits in the blocking coalition.
Since x is in the bargaining set, player j can always propose a counter-
blocking (z, T ). Let T = {j, h}, and z satisfies: zh = yh , zj = xj , and
540 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Note that the sets of solutions for these three concepts are not neces-
sarily identical. The following example shows that the kernel is a proper
subset of the bargaining set.
The previous solution concepts are all based on a single game, while the
Shapley value discussed below is based on a series of games. In all games,
the marginal contributions of a player to the coalition and the payoff that
its average value assigns to the player reflect some kind of equity, which
means that one’s revenue is associated with one’s contribution. The Shap-
ley value is widely adopted and has good properties.
Let ⟨N, v⟩ be a coalitional game with transferable payoff. We call the
⟨S, v S ⟩ a subgame of the coalitional game, where S ⊆ N , if for any T ⊆ S,
we always have v(T ) = v S (T ). Let ψ be a value that is a feasible payoff allo-
cation to the coalitional game with transferable payoff. For i ∈ S, ψi (S, v S )
characterizes the payoff of player i in the subgame ⟨S, v S ⟩.
The blocking of player i to j is against the feasible payoff allocation x
of the whole coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩.
There are two types of blocking:
For the two types of blocking of player i, player j has two correspond-
ing types of counter-blocking:
Under the solution concept of the previous coalitional game, a stable so-
lution means that each blocking corresponds to a counter-blocking. Thus, if
for any group of players, i, j ∈ N, i ̸= j, we always have ψj (N/{i}, v N/{i} )−
xj = ψi (N/{j}, v N/{j} ) − xi , then x is stable.
It is noted that in the Shapley value, blocking and counter-blocking in-
volve the subgames of the entire coalitional game, and the previously dis-
cussed blocking and counter-blocking are limited only to the entire game.
We first have the following definition.
(3) Additivity (ADD): for any two games ⟨N, v⟩ and ⟨N, w⟩, and for any
i ∈ N , we have
Now, we show how to solve for the Shapley value through some exam-
ples.
Example 8.4.4 (Continued from Example 8.2.2 (3)) There are three player-
s, and a total of 300 units of resources that are available for allocation.
For coalitional game ⟨N, v⟩, N = {1, 2, 3}, if S ⊆ N and |S| = 2, then
v(S) = 300; if S ⊆ N and |S| = 1, then v(S) = 0.
By the definition of the Shapley value, there are six possible permuta-
tions of the set of players N (i.e., there are only two possible permutations
in which each player i can have a positive marginal contribution of 300).
Consequently, the Shapley value of this game is φ(N, n) = (100, 100, 100).
The Shapley value can also be obtained with symmetry. Because the con-
tribution of each player in the coalition is symmetric, the payoffs that they
receive are also the same.
Assume that the set of players is N = {1, 2, 3, 4}, and their weight is:
0.2, i = 1,
(wi ) =
0.4, otherwise.
marginal contribution, and we obtain the Shapley value of the entire game:
{ }
1 1 1 1
φ⟨N, n⟩ = , , , .
2 6 6 6
It can be seen that the Shapley value is different from the allocation
of the nucleolus discussed earlier. They establish blocking and counter-
blocking mechanisms based on different environments, and thus have dif-
ferent applicability under various environments. Moreover, the coalition-
al games discussed above are based on transfers. For coalitional games
without transferable payoff, there are also corresponding solution concept-
s, which usually involve a more mathematical and technical background.
Readers can refer to certain books, such as Myerson (1991) and Peleg and
Sudholter (2007).
8.5 Biographies
Reinhard Selten (1930-2016) was the founder of the subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium, the founder of experimental economics, and winner of the
1994 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.
Selten was born in Breslau, a German city that became part of Poland
and was renamed Wroclaw after World War II. In 1951, Selten graduated
from high school, and although he had considered studying economics or
psychology in university, he finally decided to study mathematics. In 1951,
Selten was admitted to the Department of Mathematics at Goethe Universi-
ty Frankfurt. He graduated in 1957 with a master’s degree in mathematics,
and was later engaged in academic research in game theory and its applica-
tions, experimental economics, etc. In 1961, Selten received a Ph.D. degree
in mathematics from Goethe University Frankfurt. In the early 1960s, Sel-
ten conducted experiments on an oligopoly game; from 1967 to 1968, he
was a visiting professor at the University of California, Berkeley. He trans-
ferred to work at the University of Bielefeld in Germany in 1972 and began
working at the University of Bonn in Germany in 1984. In 1994, Selten re-
ceived the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his “pioneering
analysis of equilibria in the theory of non-cooperative games”.
Having obtained the master’s degree in 1957, Selten was hired as an as-
sistant by Professor Heinz Sauermann, an economist at Goethe University
Frankfurt. Sauermann was among the first economists to advocate Keyne-
sianism in Germany. At first, Selten was arranged to study the application
of game theory to industrial organization, but he soon became fascinat-
ed with economic laboratory experimentation. His work received support
548 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
8.6 Exercises
Exercise 8.1 In a cooperative game with transferable payoff, use linear pro-
gramming and the duality theorem to prove the Bondereva-Shapley Theo-
rem: a sufficient and necessary condition for the existence of a nonempty
core in a coalitional game with transferable payoff is that the game is bal-
anced.
1. Derive the set of feasible utilities and represent them with figures.
3. Suppose that the player’s utility has a discount factor of δ ∈ [0, 1). De-
rive Rubinstein bargaining outcome (i.e., the subgame perfect Nash
equilibrium solution of the infinite alternating-proposal bargaining
game).
550 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
4. Use the results of questions 2-3 to derive the solution to the Rubin-
stein bargaining problem when δ approaches 1 .
3. Suppose that player 2’s utility function is unchanged, but player 1’s
utility function become:
α, if α ∈ [0, 1],
u1 (α) =
1, if α ∈ [1, 2].
1, if w(S) = q,
v(S) =
0, if w(S) < q,
∑
where w(S) = i∈S wi . wi can be interpreted as the number of votes that
player i owns, and q is the number of votes needed to win. A weighted
majority game is homogeneous if w(S) = q for any minimum winning
coalition; it is zero-sum if for each coalition, either v(S) = 1 or v(N ) = 1,
but the two cannot hold at the same time.
Consider a zero-sum homogeneous weighted majority game ⟨N, v⟩, where
for each player i who does not belong to any minimum winning coalition,
wi = 0. Prove that the core of ⟨N, v⟩ includes all allocations that satisfy
xi = wi /w(N ) for any i ∈ N .
8.6. EXERCISES 551
Exercise 8.6 Given the following men and women (3 women and 5 men)
marriage market preference structure:
Women’s preferences are as follows:
A B C D E
a 1 1 2 3 3
b 2 3 1 1 2
c 3 2 3 2 1
A B C D E
a 2 1 3 4 5
b 3 1 2 5 4
c 3 1 4 2 5
⟨I, J, Xi , Yj , fi , gj ⟩,
where I is the finite set of leaders i, J is the finite set of followers j, Xi is the
action set of leader i, Yj is the action set of follower j, fi : X × Y −→ R is
the payoff function of leader i, and gj : X × Y −→ R is the payoff function
of follower j.
In the multi-leader-follower game, the leaders make decisions first, and
then the followers play the game after obtaining information about the
leaders’ action. For the leaders’ action x ∈ X, let C(x) represent the cooper-
ative equilibrium core of the followers’ game. It becomes a correspondence
relationship C : X ⇒ Y , i.e., y ∈ C(x) means that for any B ⊆ J, there exists
no uB ∈ Y B satisfying:
⟨I, J, Xi , Yj , fi , gj ⟩,
Exercise 8.8 Determine if true or false for the following three propositions
and provide corresponding explanations.
the allocation (for example, the vertex corresponds to the allocation that u-
niquely assigns v(N ) to the player who is represented by the opposite side
of this vertex).
1. Use this figure to find the general form of stable set of the following
three-person game: v(1, 2) = β < 1, v(1, 3) = v(1, 2, 3) = 1, and
v(S) = 0 for any other subset S.
Exercise 8.10 Three cities can establish connections with a new power source,
P , to increase power supply. The utilities of increased power supply for the
three cities A, B, and C are uA = 100, uB = 140, and uC = 130, respective-
ly. Suppose that any established connection has the transmission capacity
to meet the requirement of simultaneous power supply for the three cities,
and the costs of establishing a direct connection between two points are as
follows:
Connection AB BC CA AP BP CP
Cost 50 20 30 100 140 130
The net value of power transmission for each city equals vi = ui − ci for
i = A, B, C.
2. Solve for the core, give the set, and draw figures to represent it.
Exercise 8.11 There are three players, each denoted by Z, M , and H. Each
of them has a different skill: Z is strong, M moves fast, and H has good s-
tamina. They plan to work together to hunt antelopes. They need to decide
how to share the work and allocate the reward with antelope as the unit of
measurement. Antelopes can be used for transfers, and their coalitions and
554 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
Coalition Payoff
{ZM H} (6)
{ZM }{H} (4)(1)
{ZH}{M } (3)(1)
{M H}{Z} (3)(2)
{Z}{M }{H} (2)(1)(1)
A, B, C 50
A, B 25
B, C 20
A, C 30
A 15
B 10
C 5
Use the core concept of cooperative game to answer the following ques-
tions:
Everyone can benefit by exchanging their time for doctor visits. In this
case, consider the following questions:
va (i) = 0, i = 1, 2, 3;
va ({1, 2}) = 3, va ({1, 3}) = 2, va ({2, 3}) = 1;
va ({1, 2, 3}) = a.
1. What is the minimum value of a, such that the core of this cooperative
game is nonempty?
3. What is the minimum value of a, such that the Shapley value is in the
core?
556 CHAPTER 8. COOPERATIVE GAME THEORY
1. When n approaches infinity, what are the limits of the Shapley values
for these two major shareholders?
8.7 References
Gura, Ein-Ya and Michael B. Maschler (2008). Insights into Game Theory,
Cambridge University Press.
Papers:
Hatfield, John W., and Paul Milgrom (2005). “Auctions, Matching and
the Law of Aggregate Demand”, American Economic Review, forth-
coming.
Nessah, R. and G. Tian (2014). “On the Existence of Strong Nash Equi-
libria”, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol. 414,
871-885.
Shapley, L. S. (1967). “On Balanced Set and Cores”, Naval Research Lo-
gistics Quarterly, Vol. 14, No. 4, 453-460.
Tian, G. and J. Zhou (1992). “The Maximum Theorem and the Existence
of Nash Equilibrium of (Generalized) Games without Lower Semi-
continuities”, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol.
166, No. 2, 351-364.
Zhou and Tian (1992). “Transfer Method for Characterizing the Existence
of Maximal Elements of Binary Relations on Compact or Noncompact
Sets”, SIAM Journal on Optimization, Vol. 2, No. 3, 360-375.
Chapter 9
Market Theory
9.1 Introduction
561
562 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
does not depend on prices, what incentive does she have to seek out price
information or to respond to that information?
A firm has the power of free pricing only when the market competi-
tion is imperfect. In an imperfectly competitive market, firms can influence
demand, and thus have the ability to determine prices and quantities of
the products that they produce. Such ability is known as market power
or the ability to influence the market, or as a competitive advantage. Such
market power may come from unique resources, intellectual property, gov-
ernments, product differentiation, or cost advantages from economies of
scale.
The above four assumptions portray the basic nature of firms in a perfectly
competitive market (i.e., the firm’s impact on the market is zero). Next, we
discuss the characteristics of firms in a perfectly competitive industry.
A competitive firm is free to set whatever price that it wants and pro-
duce whatever quantity that it is able to produce. However, since all prod-
ucts are homogeneous, each firm that sells the product must sell it at the
same price, and thus the inverse demand function is a horizontal line par-
allel to the consumption axis. If any firm attempted to set its price at a level
564 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
higher than the market price, it would immediately lose all of its customer-
s; if it sets its price at a level below the market price, all of the consumers
would immediately come to it, but it can also sell its output at a higher
price. Therefore, as a profit-maximizing firm, it must use the market price
for its products. When making supply decisions, each firm must take the
market price as given, and thus price is an exogenous variable.
Next, we analyze the behavior of perfectly competitive firms. The anal-
ysis of firms’ market behavior is usually based on the short-run or long-run
time frame, according to the scope and degree of firms’ decision-making.
Short-run analysis means that certain production factors of the firm, such as
manufacturing plants and production lines, are constrained, and thus the
scope of its decision-making is also constrained accordingly. In the short-
run, the structures of firms in the market are immutable. In the long-run,
all production factors can be changed. For example, a firm can expand its
factory buildings, set up new production lines, and establish new business
outlets. It can also decide whether to enter or exit from a market. In the
long-run, the structures of firms in the market are variable.
Assuming that a firm only produces one product, we want to know how
its supply function and the market equilibrium price are determined. Since
a perfectly competitive firm must take the market price as given, its profit
maximization problem is simple. The firm only needs to choose an output
level y to solve:
max py − c(y),
y
where p is the price of the product, and c(y) is the cost function of produc-
tion.
The first-order condition (FOC for short) for the interior solution of the
above optimization problem gives:
p = M C(y),
Cost
Quantity
The industry aggregate demand function measures the total output de-
∑n
manded at any price, which is given by x̂(p) = i=1 xi (p), where xi (p)
is the demand function of consumer i, and n denotes the number of con-
sumers.
∑
n ∑
J
xi (p) = yj (p).
i=1 j=1
make sense for it to continue production as long as its revenues cover its
variable costs (i.e., p = AV C); otherwise, it will suffer even greater losses
(which equals the fixed cost).
From the producer theory, we know that the feature of returns to scale of
technology can be inferred from the cost function. If the average cost de-
creases (increases or remains unchanged) as the output increases, then the
technology exhibits increasing (decreasing or constant) returns to scale.
The following cost function exhibits the typical feature of increasing
returns to scale:
F + cq, if q > 0,
C(q) =
0, if q = 0.
F
The corresponding average cost function is AC(q) = + c. Figure 9.3
q
illustrates the average cost and the marginal cost of the technology: the
average cost decreases with the increase in output; and when the output
goes to infinity, the average cost converges to the marginal cost.
However, a technology with increasing returns to scale is not compati-
ble with a perfectly competitive market. Let us use an example to demon-
strate this statement.
568 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
Let the market demand function be P (Q) = a − bq,, where b > 0, a > c.
Suppose that the equilibrium of the competitive market exists, and let
the equilibrium price be pe . Then, there are only two possibilities for the
equilibrium price: either pe 5 c or pe > c.
When pe = pe2 > c, when output q exceeds a certain limit, we will have
F d(pe2 − AC(q))
pe2 > + c = AC(q), and > 0. Thus, at market price pe2 ,
q dq
the competitive firm that pursues profit maximization will choose infinite-
ly large output (because the producer surplus is greater than zero at any
output). At this point, the market supply is infinitely large. However, at
pe2 , the market demand is limited. Therefore, pe2 can also not be the market
equilibrium price.
Cost
Quantity
Figure 9.4: Long-run competitive equilibrium where every firm makes zero
profit.
In the case of free entry or exit, the equilibrium number of firms is deter-
mined by the following principle: at the equilibrium, the entry of new firms
will make the profits of all firms less than zero. In other words, when free
entry and exit makes the profits of firms approach zero at the equilibrium
price, the number of firms is determined.
570 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
Example 9.2.1 c(y) = y 2 +1. The equilibrium level of output is the solution
of the following equation:
AC(y) = M C(y).
where b > 0, a > c. Figure 9.5 depicts the market demand curve and the
marginal cost curve. At market price p = p0 and market transaction quanti-
ty Q0 , the consumer surplus is α, the firm’s producer surplus or profit is β,
and social welfare is α + β. We find that in the process when the price falls
from p0 to the marginal cost c, the consumer surplus increases, the firm’s
profit declines, and social welfare also increases. When the price equals c,
the consumer surplus is α+β +γ, the firm’s profit is zero, and social welfare
is α + β + γ. When the price falls further, we find that the decrease of the
firm’s profit exceeds the increase of the consumer surplus, and thus social
welfare decreases. As a consequence, when price equals marginal cost, so-
cial welfare reaches the maximum at the perfectly competitive equilibrium
where the market price equals the marginal cost.
The market price describes consumers’ willingness to pay for extra prod-
uct, while the marginal cost is the cost that a firm spends to produce extra
product. As long as the social welfare generated by the production of an
extra product (depicted by the consumer’s willingness to pay) exceeds the
social cost (depicted by the marginal cost if there is no externality) of it,
trading this extra product will increase social welfare. When consumers’
willingness to pay is lower than the marginal cost, trading this extra prod-
uct in the market will reduce social welfare. When consumers’ willingness
to pay equals the marginal cost, the market transaction is optimal. The per-
fectly competitive market happens to be the place where the two are equal.
In other market structures, firms have the ability to make the market price
higher than the marginal cost, which means that firms possess the market
572 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
The other extreme of market structure that is the opposite of perfect compe-
tition is pure monopoly, referred to as monopoly . In the monopoly market,
there is only one seller. If there is only one buyer in the factor market, it is
called the monopsony market, which will be discussed later. The sources
of monopoly are from: (1) economies of scale; (2) barriers to market entry;
and (3) exclusive possession of rare factors of production. In this section,
we classify monopoly into two categories: monopoly in the product mar-
ket; and monopsony in the factor market. Monopolies in the two types
of markets have different characteristics. We first discuss monopoly in the
product market, and then discuss monopoly (i.e., monopsony) in the factor
market.
The production cost of the firm also depends on the quantity of output.
We have studied in depth the characteristics of the cost function in produc-
er theory. Here, we assume that the factor market is perfectly competitive,
and thus the factor price can be set as constant (we will discuss below that
in a monopoly market of factors, the factor prices are determined by the
monopoly buyer), and so the conditional cost function can be written as a
function of the level of output of the firm.
The profit maximization problem of the firm can then be written as:
p dq(p)
The price elasticity of demand is defined as ε(q) = , which is
q(p) dp
dq(p)
always a negative number since < 0.
dp
Simple algebra shows that the condition for marginal cost to equal marginal
574 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
or
C ′ (q ∗ )
p(q ∗ ) = .
1
1+
ε(q ∗ )
Since ε(q ∗ ) < 0, in order to ensure that the price is non-negative, the
firm needs to produce within the arrangement of the elastic demand (i.e.,
ε(q ∗ ) < −1). Therefore, we have [1 + (1/ε(q ∗ ))] 5 1, which implies that the
price is not less than the marginal cost at profit maximization.
This formula is very useful, and provides a basic pricing formula for
any market. It shows that the equilibrium price of a product depends on
its marginal cost and price elasticity of demand. It should be noted that the
price is dependent on the price elasticity of demand. When the marginal
cost remains unchanged, the optimal pricing of the product is inversely
proportional to the price elasticity of demand, which means that the small-
er is the elasticity, the bigger is the market power and thus the higher is
the price. When the market is perfectly competitive, the price elasticity of
demand is infinitely large, and thus the price equals the marginal cost.
For a monopoly market, the monopoly price equals the marginal cost
multiplied by a markup. This markup is a decreasing function of the price
elasticity of demand. Meanwhile, the smaller is the absolute value of the
prive elasticity, the stronger is the monopoly power of the firm and the
higher is the markup. Price elasticity measures the substitutability of a
product. The smaller is the absolute value of price elasticity, the lower is
the consumer’s sensitivity to the price of the product, like in the case of
salt. If such commodity as salt is subject to monopoly pricing, its price
could be very high (e.g., salt monopolized by the government in China’s
feudal society). This is because there are no other substitutes, and firms are
not concerned that price increases may bring about decline in sales.
A graphical illustration of the profit maximization condition is shown
in Figure 9.6. Suppose for simplicity that the inverse demand function is
linear (i.e., p(q) = a − bq). Therefore, the revenue function is R(q) = qp(p),
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 575
and the marginal revenue function is R′ (q) = a − 2bq. The marginal rev-
enue curve has the same vertical intercept as the demand function, but the
former is twice as steep as the latter. Figure 9.6 illustrates the relationship
between price elasticity and monopoly price. Figure (a) shows the case of
low price elasticity of demand, in which the difference between monopoly
price and marginal cost is large; Figure (b) shows the case of high price e-
lasticity of demand, in which the difference between monopoly price and
marginal cost is small.
Figure 9.6: Low price elasticity of demand and high price elasticity of de-
mand.
We have seen how the long-run and the short-run behavior of a compet-
itive industry may differ due to changes in technology and entry. There
are similar effects in a monopolistic industry. The technological effect is the
simplest: the monopolist will choose the level of fixed factors in order to
maximize the monopolist’s own long-run profits. Therefore, she will op-
erate where the marginal revenue equals the long-run marginal cost. The
entry effect is slightly more subtle. Presumably, if the monopolist is earning
positive profits, other firms would like to enter the industry. If the monop-
olist remains a monopolist, there must be some sort of barrier to entry for
the industry, so that it still can make positive profits even in the long run.
These barriers to entry may be of a legal sort, but often they are due to
the fact that the monopolist owns some unique factor of production. For
576 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
greater than the cost of production. Here, we allow the monopolist to dis-
criminate in pricing (we will further discuss differential pricing later). She
firstly sells an output of quantity q m at a certain price, and then sells more
at some other (lower) price.
How long will this process continue? Once the output reaches the com-
petitive level, the firm will not be able to improve its situation further. At
this point, the competitive levels of price and output are Pareto efficient
for this industry. The welfare losses of the monopolist relative to the com-
petitive market are revealed by Figure 9.7. At the monopoly price pm , the
consumer surplus is the area of the triangle DEC, the monopoly profit is
the area of the trapezoid CEF A, and the total social welfare is the area of
the trapezoid DEF A. In a competitive market, the total social welfare is
the area of the triangle DGA. Therefore, the loss of social welfare resultant
from monopoly is the area of triangle EGF .
Consumer surplus
C(q)=Marginal cost
Welfare loss
P(q)=Demand
Marginal revenue
From the above discussion, we know that monopoly means that firms pos-
sess market power in setting prices. They can use their monopoly power
to raise the price of their products above the competitive equilibrium price,
and make their output lower than that of the perfectly competitive mar-
ket. As such, this results in Pareto inefficient allocations, incurring certain
social welfare loss. Government regulations may then be needed, such as
anti-trust laws, to increase market competition. However, because some in-
dustries are naturally monopolistic due to economies of scale, technology
578 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
not be permanent, but rather for a limited time, in case fixed or permanent
oligopolies and monopolies may appear.
Overall, competition and monopoly are two sides of the same entity,
like supply and demand, the two of which can become an awe-inspiring
dialectical unity of opposites under market forces, showing the beauty and
power of the market system. Without competition, just like state-owned en-
terprises with a government monopoly, they would not possibly have the
incentive to innovate. Entrepreneurs’ pursuit of reasonable profit consti-
tutes the power source for market progress. Where does the pricing power
come from? The monopoly of a product generates pricing power. On what
does the ability of a monopoly rely? In addition to government protection,
which can lead to monopolies and thus produce low efficiency and incen-
tive distortions, innovation and unique products are needed to gain the
preemptive advantage.
Schumpeter’s (see his biography in section 2.12.2) “Innovation The-
ory”informs us that valuable competition is not a price war, but instead
competition of new products, technologies, markets, sources of supply, and
combination forms. The root of the long-term vitality of the market econ-
omy lies in innovation and creativity, which originates from entrepreneur-
ship and entrepreneurs’ constant “creative destruction”of market equi-
libria. Apple Inc., a thriving company today, was once on the verge of
bankruptcy in the late 20th century. What did Steve Jobs rely on to turn
the tide when he returned to Apple as its CEO? It was innovation that met
and stimulated demand in the market. Its series of products that combined
human aspects with science and technology profoundly affected people’s
consumption preferences and lifestyle. Innovation is the result of flashes of
inspiration, yet it cannot be simply achieved from a single brainstorming
session. Essentially, innovation comprises many existing ideas. Therefore,
entrepreneurs are crucial, but “it is not part of his function to ‘find’ or
‘create’ new possibilities. They are always present, abundantly accumulat-
ed by all sorts of people”. The function of an entrepreneur is to put those
possibilities into practice before they disappear by conceiving and devel-
oping new combinations of factors.
It should also be pointed out that innovation mainly relies on private
580 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
The pricing of firms discussed above is uniform price, but in reality, firm-
s usually adopt differential pricing, known as price discrimination. Un-
der differential pricing, the firm may charge varied prices to different cus-
tomers or different purchase quantities, even though the production cost
is the same. The premise of differential pricing is that the purchase of the
demander will generate consumer surplus. In the analysis of monopoly
pricing, the firm obtains monopoly profit by setting a uniform price, while
different consumers also obtain consumer surplus to some extent. To fur-
ther increase profits, a monopolist may obtain some, or even all, of the
consumer surplus through price discrimination.
There are many ways that price discrimination appears in the real world.
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 581
1
An excerpt from Dennis W. Carlton and Jeffrey M. Perloff (1998), Chapter 11, Page 640.
582 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
or maintenance parts together. When selling copiers, the firm may require
that the customer purchase ink, copy paper, etc., at the same time. When
the consumer buys a cell phone, she also needs to purchase a charger from
the seller. Indeed, it is sometimes the case that consumers have no choice
due to technological compatibility requirements, as in the case of chargers
for Apple products.
The fourth is quality discrimination. Quality discrimination may occur
when a firm offers commodities with different profiles of price and quali-
ty. For example, a firm can offer high-quality products at a high price to
some customers who greatly value quality and low-quality products at a
low price to the others, thus dividing the customers into two markets. As
another example, airline tickets are divided into first class, business class,
and economy class. A similar situation is found in the case of train and
performance tickets. In the following, a real-world example in Dupuit’s
discussion of railroad tariffs is given:
It is not because of the few thousand francs which would have to be spent
to put a roof over the third-class carriages or to upholster the third-class seats
that some company or other has open carriages with wooden benches.... What the
company is trying to do is prevent the passengers who can pay the second-class
fare from traveling third-class; it hits the poor, not because it wants to hurt them,
but to frighten the rich.... And it is again for the same reason that the companies,
having proven almost cruel to third-class passengers and mean to second-class
ones, become lavish in dealing with first-class passengers. Having refused the poor
what is necessary, they give the rich what is superfluous.2
In addition, it should be noted that not every non-uniform pricing con-
stitutes price discrimination. There are numerous other reasons that firms
would charge different consumers varied prices. For example, when firm-
s offer quantity discounts to consumers, it may be due to cost savings of
large orders that firms would return to bulk buyers. Sometimes, even for
the same price, price discrimination can also exist. For example, a firm may
charge consumers at different locations the same price for a home delivery
service, in which the price cannot fully reflect the cost difference, which
2
An excerpt from Tirole (1988), Chapter 3, Page 150.
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 583
willing to pay a higher price. If it is easy to resale, then the firm’s attempt to
charge higher prices to one consumer group than the other will not succeed.
Moreover, in the case of quantity discount, the firm has to prevent bulk
buyers from reselling the commodities to small buyers.
Resale can be prevented or reduced in the following ways.
(1) Service. The vast majority of services cannot be resold.
(2) Guarantee. Taking after-sale service as an example, a firm may an-
nounce that only first-time buyers will be provided a guarantee or free
after-sale service. For example, black market electronic products sold vi-
a unauthorized channels are apparently not guaranteed.
(3) Mixture. A firm may include certain other substances in a prod-
uct, so that the product cannot be used for other purposes. For instance,
medicinal alcohol cannot be converted into alcoholic beverages.
(4) Transaction costs. A large transaction cost can be charged for resale.
Taking the resale of coupons (which allows consumers to purchase a prod-
uct at a lower price) as an example, it costs too much to search for buyers
without coupons.
(5) Contract remedy. The firm may ban resale as a condition of sale in
the purchase contract. For example, if one uses a student sports game tick-
et, one needs to present one’s student ID. In addition, in some universities,
students and teachers can purchase computers below the market price, but
resales are banned.
(6) Vertical integration. Upstream firms can integrate some downstream
firms to charge higher prices than do other downstream firms.
Suppose that the monopolist adopts a two-part tariff which is quite the
same as first-degree price discrimination, which charges a fixed fee and a
same unit price (i.e., T (q) = A + pq). If the monopolist adopts competitive
pricing, then T (q) = pc q. At this point, the net surplus of all consumers
∫ qc
is S c = 0 [p(q) − pc ] dq, where q c = p−1 (pc ), and the net surplus of each
Sc Sc
consumer is n . If A = n , p = pc , the two-part tariff T (q) = A + pq will be
accepted by the consumer, at which the net surplus left for the consumer is
0, and the monopoly profit equals the optimal social welfare. Setting aside
the issue of allocation and equity, and only taking efficiency into considera-
tion, perfect price discrimination increases social welfare, and the decrease
of consumer surplus is offset by the increase of producers’ profits. Figure
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 587
9.8 shows the change of consumer surplus and firm profit under perfect
price discrimination.
We can extend the above analysis to the case of n types of consumers.
Each type of consumers’ demand function is Qi (p). In this way, each type
of consumer makes one separate market. Similar to the previous analysis,
if different two-part tariffs are adopted for each type of consumer, then in
each market, the unit price corresponds to the competitive market price,
while the fixed fee is the surplus of consumers of each type corresponding
to the competitive price.
A serious information problem exists in perfect price discrimination, as
the firm does not know the consumers’ type, and the consumers are also
reluctant to disclose their type in most cases. In this situation, perfect price
discrimination is impossible, and the firm cannot obtain all of the consumer
surplus.
Figure 9.9: Demands of two types of consumers and their consumer sur-
pluses.
588 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
i.e.,
θi (1 − q) = p.
p
Di (p) = 1 − .
θi
p
D(p) = λD1 (p) + (1 − λ)D2 (p) = 1 − ,
θ
1 λ 1−λ
where ≡ + .
θ θ1 θ2
Now, we discuss how firms can implement second-degree price dis-
crimination for consumers. Assume that a two-part tariff is adopted for
differential pricing. In order to understand the difference between second-
degree price discrimination and other types of price discrimination, we
use perfect price discrimination and uniform monopoly pricing as a bench-
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 589
mark.
In the previous discussion of perfect price discrimination, we know that
the firm gains the revenue of perfect price discrimination by setting various
types of two-part tariffs for different consumers. In perfect price discrim-
ination, for type i of consumers, the corresponding two-part tariff set by
the monopolist is Ti (q) = Ai + cq, satisfying pf d = c and Ai = Si (c). The
monopolist gains all consumer surplus, and the monopolist profit is
c+θ (θ − c)2
The monopoly price and profit are pm = and π m = , respec-
2 4θ
tively.
When the monopolist does not know the type of the consumer, how
should it implement second-degree price discrimination? We start with a
simple way of using a single two-part tariff for second-degree price dis-
crimination (i.e., T (q) = A + pq). Since the firm cannot distinguish the type
of consumers, this pricing is for consumers of all types.
When the unit price is p, consumers with preference θ1 may still pur-
chase, and the maximum fixed fee that they are willing to pay is A = S1 (p).
Then, the consumer surplus of consumers with preference θ1 is completely
extracted, but consumers with preference θ2 still have positive consumer
surplus. Since S1 (p) > 0, given the price p, the optimal fixed fee is A =
S1 (p). The subsequent question is how much the unit price p should be.
For the monopolist, the most profitable two-part tariff is found by solv-
ing the following optimization problem,
( )
(θ1 − p)2 p
max S1 (p) + (p − c)D(p) = + (p − c) 1 − .
p 2θ1 θ
590 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
c
psd = ,
2 − θ/θ1
where
[ ]
T W ′ (p) = (p − c) λD1′ (p) + (1 − λ) D2′ (p) .
subject to
To sum up the above discussion, only the inequalities (9.3.2) and (9.3.5)
hold with equality, which implies that
T1 = θ1 V (q1 )
and
θ2 V (q2 ) − T2 = θ2 V (q1 ) − T1 = (θ2 − θ1 )V (q1 ).
592 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
c
θ1 V ′ (q1 ) = ,
1 − λ θ2 − θ1
1−
λ θ1
θ2 V ′ (q2 ) = c.
1−(1−q)2
Because of V (q) = 2 , we have
c
q1 = 1 − ,
1−λ
θ1 − (θ2 − θ1 )
λ
c
q2 = 1 − .
θ2
Therefore, the consumption for high-demand type consumers is social-
ly optimal (the marginal utility of commodities equals the marginal cost),
but the consumption for low-demand type consumers is lower than the so-
cially optimal level. Meanwhile, the high-demand type consumers receive
positive consumer surplus.
Figure 9.10 depicts the above optimal nonlinear pricing. Point B1 in
the figure corresponds to the purchase profile (q1 , T1 ) of consumers with
preference θ1 , where the consumer surplus is zero; point C2 corresponds to
the purchase profile (q2 , T2 ) of consumers with preference θ2 , whose con-
sumer surplus is greater than zero. In the previous second-degree price dis-
crimination with two-part tariffs, the purchase profile for consumers with
preference θ1 is B1 and for consumers with preference θ2 is B2 . Compared
with the above single two-part tariff, consumers with preference θ2 pur-
chase more commodities in nonlinear second-degree price discrimination,
and the monopolist’s profits are also higher. Since the second-degree price
discrimination with two-part tariffs is a form of nonlinear pricing, the mo-
nopolist under the above optimal nonlinear pricing chooses a form of dis-
crimination that is different from the two-part tariff, resulting in a higher
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 593
profit.
Indifference curve of
consumers of type
Indifference curve of
consumers of type
pi − C ′ (q) 1
= ,
pi εi
594 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
pi Di′ (pi )
where εi = − is the absolute value of the elasticity of demand of
Di (pi )
market i.
From the above condition, we know that, compared with uniform pric-
ing, consumers with higher elasticity of demand face lower prices under
price discrimination. As a consequence, this kind of consumers prefer dif-
ferential pricing. Less-elastic consumers will be charged higher prices due
to price discrimination, resulting in reduced welfare. However, for the mo-
nopolist, differential pricing will certainly bring more profits; otherwise,
there is no need for it. Because of the pair of opposite effects, the change of
social welfare in third-degree price discrimination is uncertain.
Now, let us consider a more general case. Suppose that there are m
markets, the marginal cost is constant c, the demand of the ith market is
qi = Di (pi ), the corresponding consumer surplus is Si (pi ), and the firm’s
profit is (pi − c)qi . If differential pricing is not allowed, the monopolist sets
a uniform price p̄ for all markets. Then, the corresponding demand of the
ith market is q¯i = Di (p̄), the consumer surplus is Si (p̄), and the profit is
(p̄ − c)q¯i . After adopting differential pricing, the demand of the ith market
will become ∆qi ≡ qi − q¯i .
The change of social welfare after adopting price discrimination is:
{ } { }
∑ ∑ ∑
∆W = (Si (pi ) − S̄i (p̄)) + (pi − c)qi − (p̄ − c)q̄i . (9.3.6)
i i i
∫ p̂
The (net) consumer surplus is S(p) = p D(ξ)dξ, where p̂ is the maxi-
mum price (i.e., D(p̂) = 0). Since S ′ (p) = −D(p) < 0 and S ′′ (p) = −D′ (p) >
0, S(p) is a convex function. Thus, we have
and
9.3. PURE MONOPOLY 595
∑
∆W 5 (p̄ − c) ∆qi ,
i
where ∆qi = qi (pi ) − qi (p̄). If ∆qi = 0, ∀i, then ∆W = 0. In other words,
after adopting differential pricing, the demand of each type of consumers
increases, and thus differential pricing increases social welfare.
∑
If i ∆qi 5 0, then ∆W 5 0, which means that the aggregate demand of
consumers decreases, and thus price discrimination reduces social welfare.
Therefore, whether the effect of differential pricing on social welfare is
positive or negative depends on its influence on sales volume.
Example 9.3.1 (Linear demand) Suppose that there are two markets, the
demand functions are q1 = a1 − b1 p and q2 = a2 − b2 p, respectively, and the
marginal cost is 0. In addition, suppose that a1 = a2 and b1 5 b2 , which
means that market 1 is larger than market 2.
Suppose that the monopolist can adopt price discrimination. In market
i, the objective of the monopolist is
max pi (ai − bi pi ).
ai
pi = ,
2bi
ai
qi = .
2
Suppose that the monopolist can only set a uniform price instead of
differential pricing. If the monopolist sets a uniform price p̄ in all markets,
and at the same time all markets have positive demands (of course, the
demand of some markets can be zero at a certain price level, which will be
discussed later), then the aggregate market demand is
(a1 + a2 )
p̄ = .
2(b1 + b2 )
(a1 + a2 )
Q = q̄1 + q̄2 = = q1 + q2 ,
2
have willingness to pay at least 4 will not purchase in the first period, and
the demand in the first period will decrease.
Such examples are ubiquitous in reality. For example, many electronic
products are durable goods, such as the iPad. When the product is new-
ly released, only consumers with a high willingness to pay will purchase
it. As people expect that the firm will inevitably lower the price to attract
medium- and low-end consumers in the future, consumers with a lower
willingness to pay will wait for future price reductions.
100 − q1
p 2 = q2 = .
2
300 − 3q1
p1 = .
2
dx w(x)
where ε(x) = is the price elasticity of supply. As the elastic-
dw(x) x
ity goes to infinity, the monopsonist becomes perfectly competitive in the
input market.
Recall that, in Chapter 4, we considered only the behavior of a firm
in competitive factor markets. Similarly, it is possible to define the cost
function for a monopsonistic firm. For example, suppose that xi (w) is the
∑
supply function for factor i. Then, we can define C(y) = min wi xi (w),
9.4. MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION 601
such that f (x(w)) = y. At this time, C(y) is the minimum cost of producing
y in the monopolistic factor market.
The previous section assumes that the demand curve for a product depends
only on the price set by the monopolist. However, this constitutes an ex-
treme case. Most commodities have some substitutes, and the prices of
those substitutes will affect the demand of a commodity. In this section, we
consider what occurs when the prices and quantities of similar products
produced by many firms affect one another, in what we term a monopolis-
tically competitive market.
We assume that a group of n “monopolists”sell similar, but not iden-
tical, products. The price that consumers are willing to pay for the output
of firm i depends on not only the level of output of firm i, but also the lev-
els of output of the other firms: we write this inverse demand function as
pi (qi , q−i ), where q−i = (q1 , . . . , qi−1 , qi+1 , · · · , qn ).
Each firm i chooses output level qi in order to maximize its profits,
Since the demand facing firm i also depends on what the other firms do,
how is firm i supposed to forecast the other firms’ behavior? We will adopt
a very simple behavior hypothesis that firm i assumes that the other firms’
behavior will be constant and thus we can use Nash equilibrium as solution
concept. Then, each firm i will take the output level of other firms as given
and choose its level of output qi∗ . We then have the following first-order
condition:
the behavior of the other firms must be compatible with what the other
firms actually do. As a consequence, if q ∗ = (q1∗ , . . . , qn∗ ) is the vector of
equilibrium output, it must satisfy:
qi∗ = Qi (q−i
∗
), i ∈ {1, 2, . . . , n},
i.e., q1∗ must be the best response of firm 1 if it assumes that other firms are
going to produce q2∗ , · · · , qn∗ .
For each firm, its marginal revenue equals the marginal cost given the
actions of all of the other firms. This is illustrated in Figure 9.11. At the
point of equilibrium under monopolistic competition depicted in Figure
9.11, firm i is making positive profits. In a monopolistically competitive
industry, if there is no barrier and firms can freely enter and exit, it is nec-
essary to consider long-run equilibrium.
Since firms can freely enter and exit, the profits of the monopolistically
competitive industry will be zero in the long run. This means that firm
i must set a price p∗i and choose an output level qi∗ , such that
or
Ci (qi∗ )
pi = .
qi∗
9.4. MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION 603
Since the price is higher than the marginal cost, there is a loss of social
welfare in monopolistic competition compared with perfect competition.
In addition, as their products are different, the product varieties may also
lead to an efficiency loss. Since each firm cannot obtain all of the consumer
surplus, the positive externality shows the possibility of insufficient entry.
Moreover, the entry of a firm will reduce the profits of others, and thus
the negative externality shows the possibility of excessive entry. As a re-
sult, a monopolistically competitive industry may have too many or too
few product varieties. In the following, we discuss a classic monopolistic
competition model.
( )1/ρ
∑
L
U (q1 , · · · , qL ) = qlρ , ρ 5 1,
l=1
T Cl (ql ) = F + cql .
(1) given income and market price, the consumer chooses a con-
sumption bundle that maximizes the consumer’s utility;
(2) given the consumer’s choice, firms of differentiated products
(each of whom is a monopolist of its own product) chooses
a monopoly price or output to maximize its profit;
(3) firms can enter and exit freely: the point at which the market
profits are zero determines how many firms enter the mar-
ket.
( L )1/ρ ( )
∑ ∑
L
L(q1 , · · · , qL ; λ) = qlρ −λ p l ql − I .
l=1 l=1
∑
L
pl ql = I,
l=1
From the demand function above, we can solve for the price elasticity
of demand for products in monopolistic competition as
∂ ln ql 1
η≡− = .
∂ ln pl 1−ρ
Second, for each firm, its decision is to solve the following optimization
problem,
max Dl (pl )pl − cDl (pl ) − F.
pl
I
(1 − ρ) = F.
L
Consequently,
I(1 − ρ)
L∗ =
F
and
Fρ
ql∗ = .
(1 − ρ)c
From the above analysis, we can conclude that the larger is the elasticity
of substitution ρ, the lower is the price, the smaller is the number of firms,
and the greater is the output of differentiated products; the higher is the
fixed cost, the smaller is the number of firms, or the fewer is the product
varieties, the greater is the output; and the rise of revenue will increase
the number of firms, but it has no effect on the price and quantity of the
products.
9.5 Oligopoly
The simplest and most basic static price competition model of oligopoly
was proposed by the French economist Joseph Bertrand in 1883, so is called
the Bertrand model. When the market structure of a monopoly is broken,
competition arises among firms. If their strategic means is price competi-
tion, what will the interactions among them be like? What is the market
equilibrium?
We first assume that there are only two firms in the market which are
symmetric to each other. They produce homogeneous products with the
same marginal cost c, and the market demand function is q = D(p). We
will find that in such a symmetric price competition and interactive equi-
librium, the equilibrium prices of the two firms are both the marginal cost,
which is the same as the outcome of perfect competition. At this point,
adding just one competitor will make the market power of the original mo-
nopolist completely reduce to zero. The enlightenment of this model is
that when two rival firms compete, they should not immediately engage in
a price war. The price war is the most direct form of competition, which
often results in a lose-lose outcome.
When firm 1 and firm 2 are in price competition, the profit of firm i is
where Di (pi , pj ) is the demand faced by firm i given the prices of itself
and its opponent (i.e., pi and pj ), respectively. Since the products of the
two firms are homogeneous, the demand faced by firm i is characterized as
follows:
if pi < pj ,
D(pi ),
1
Di (pi , pj ) = D(pi ), if pi = pj ,
2
0, if pi > pj .
i.e., when the opponent chooses p∗j , the best response function of firm i is
We find that the Bertrand equilibrium outcome is unique (i.e., (p∗1 , p∗2 ) =
(c, c)). To see this, we consider three cases.
(1) When p∗i > p∗j > c, the strategy profile is not a Nash equi-
librium. This is because, in this case, the profit of firm i is
zero, and at least firm i has the incentive to deviate from
the choice. If the strategy of firm j is unchanged while pi =
p∗j −ε > c, then the profit of firm i is (p∗j −ε−c)D(p∗j −ε) > 0.
(2) When p∗i = p∗j > c, the strategy profile is not a Nash equi-
librium. Suppose that the strategy of firm j is unchanged.
Then, if the strategy of firm i also remains unchanged, its
1
profit is (p∗j −c)D(p∗j ); if firm i chooses a price p∗i = p∗j −ε >
2
c, its profit becomes (p∗j − ε − c)D(p∗j − ε) > 0. As long
as the positive number ε is sufficiently small, we will have
1
(p∗j − ε − c)D(p∗j − ε) > (p∗j − c)D(p∗j ).
2
∗ ∗
(3) When pi > pj = c, the strategy profile is not a Nash equilib-
rium. At this time, the profit of firm j is zero. If the strategy
of firm i is unchanged, when firm j chooses pj = c + ε < p∗i ,
where ε > 0, its profit becomes εD(c + ε) > 0.
less than D(c), the product at price c is not available to some consumers
who will turn to firm 2 instead even if firm 2 raises the price slightly. In this
way, firm 2 can choose a price that is higher than the marginal cost, and it
has an incentive to deviate from marginal-cost pricing. In practice, the pro-
duction capacity needs to be accumulated through investment in advance.
At the same time, in many industries, the marginal cost will rise when the
output reaches a certain level. We often see the weakening of competition
due to the limitation of production capacity.
It is also assumed that a firm only makes one price decision. In real-
ity, however, firms usually can adjust prices. We learned in the previous
repeated game that if the interaction between firms is repeated, two firms
may choose to cooperate after all. For example, through price collusion,
they can both obtain greater benefits.
Suppose that the cost function C(q) satisfies C ′ (q) > 0 and C ′′ (q) > 0. In
this way, the production cost of the firm exhibits the property of decreas-
ing returns to scale, and the extreme case of decreasing returns to scale is
constrained production capacity. The production capacity q̄ implies that
the marginal cost will be infinitely large when the output exceeds q̄. In the
following, we examine price competition among firms under production
capacity constraints through an example.
We investigate the residual demand functions of firms under produc-
tion capacity constraints. If firm i charges a low price pi and the supply of
firm i under this price is less than the market demand (i.e., Si (p) < D(p)),
then there are consumers who cannot purchase from firm i, and other firms
will face positive residual demand.
Let p1 < p2 . q̄1 ≡ S1 (p1 ) denote the supply of firm 1 or the production
capacity constraint of firm 1. When q̄1 ≡ S1 (p1 ) < D(p1 ), the residual
demand function of firm 2 is
D(p2 ) − q̄1 , if D(p2 ) > q̄1 ,
D̃2 (p2 ) =
0, if D(p2 ) 5 q̄1 .
This rationing rule for residual demand is called the efficient rationing
rule, which means that consumers will first purchase products from low-
priced producers. Tirole (1988) also discussed some other rationing rules
in his classic textbook about industrial organization.
Let the market demand function be D(p) = 1 − p, and the inverse de-
mand function be p = P (q1 + q2 ). Assume that both firms are subject to
production capacity constraints (i.e., the output of firm i satisfies qi 5 q̄i ).
The production capacity q¯i was obtained by firm i prior to price competi-
tion at a unit cost c0 ∈ [3/4, 1]. Once the production capacity is completed,
the marginal cost is 0 at an output below q̄i and becomes infinitely large at
1
an output greater than q̄i . Because of the monopoly profit maxp p(1−p) = ,
4
1
the ex-ante profit of firm i does not exceed , and meanwhile c0 ∈ [3/4, 1],
4
1
and thus q̄i 5 .
3
612 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
It can be shown that the Nash equilibrium caused by the price compe-
tition between the two firms is that both firms charge p∗ = 1 − (q̄1 + q̄2 ). In
other words, in the price competition, the two firms are doing their best to
produce in the market, and all of the demand can be satisfied. This is be-
cause even if one firm lowers the price, it cannot sell more products, which
means that lowering the price will only bring about less revenue, and thus
no firm will choose to lower the price. Now, we discuss whether the firms
have the incentive to raise the price.
There are two effects of raising the price. One effect is to obtain more
revenue from consumers falling inside of the margin who have positive net
consumer surplus. The other effect is to decrease the sales volume of the
product, or to drive away cutoff consumers whose net consumer surplus is
zero, and some other consumers falling inside of the margin. If the price set
by firm i satisfies p = p∗ , the residual demand of firm i (here, we employ the
efficient rationing rule) is q = 1 − q̄j − p, and thus its profit is p(1 − q̄j − p) =
(1 − q − q̄j )q given p = p∗ and q 5 q̄i . In this way, the derivative of profit
(1 − q − q̄j )q with respect to q is 1 − 2q − q̄j = 0, since q 5 q̄i 5 1
3 and q̄j 5 13 .
This means that increasing the sales volume will increase the profits of
firms, or raising the price will have a negative impact on profits, and thus
we conclude that p∗ = 1 − (q̄1 + q̄2 ) is the Nash equilibrium of price compe-
tition for the two firms. Thus, under production capacity constraints, the
price competition of firms will lead to a price that just clears the market.
Meanwhile, the price is higher than the marginal cost and the firms obtain
a certain degree of market power. This outcome is the same as the Cournot
competition model, which will be discussed below. Under a more general
assumption, Kreps and Scheinkman (1983) proved that the two-stage (pro-
duction capacity accumulation and price competition) oligopolistic compe-
tition equilibrium outcome is consistent with that of Cournot competition.
In the following, we discuss Cournot competition, which is an oligopolistic
interaction model of quantity competition.
9.5. OLIGOPOLY 613
Assume that the profit function π i is strictly concave and twice differ-
entiable to qi . Through the first-order condition for the output from the
profit function, the reaction function of firm i can be obtained, which is
∂π i (qi∗ (qj ),qj )
qi = qi∗ (qj ), such that ∂qi = 0 for qi∗ > 0.
Deriving the first-order condition for qi from the above profit function,
we have
P (qi + qj ) − Ci′ (qi ) + qi P ′ (qi + qj ) = 0.
We then obtain firm i’s Lerner index, which measures the market power
of the firm,
P − Ci′ qi P ′ P ′ Q qi di
Li ≡ =− =− = ,
P P P Q ε
where di is the market share of firm i, and ε is the absolute value of demand
elasticity. Given the linear demand and cost, the equilibrium outcome can
be easily deduced.
1 − (qi + qj ) − ci − qi = 0,
1 − qj − ci
qi = qi∗ (qj ) =
2
1 − 2ci + cj
qi = .
3
1−c
qic = q = ,
n+1
n2 (1 − c2 )
CS = ,
2(n + 1)2
9.5. OLIGOPOLY 615
1−c
p = 1 − nq = c + .
n+1
d
Then, it is easy to show that W (n) > 0 (i.e., the more are the oligopolistic
dn
firms, the higher is the social welfare).
First, we analyze the action of firm 2. After observing the output of firm
1, firm 2 makes the optimal output decision as follows:
max(1 − q1 − q2 − c)q2 ,
q2
1 − c − q1
q2 = q2∗ (q1 ) = .
2
Given the reaction function of firm 2, the optimal output choice of firm
1 is to solve the problem
1−c
q1s = > q1c ,
2
1−c
q2s = < q2c ,
4
ps < p c ,
where qic , pc and πic are the output, price, and profit when the firms are in
the situation of Cournot competition. From comparison of the above mar-
ket equilibria, we find that there is a first-mover advantage in the quantity
competition.
Having discussed the one-shot interaction of firms, we next explore the
impact of multi-period interactions on market competition.
When firms can conduct multiple pricing, an early price may affect subse-
quent ones. For instance, if a firm lowers its price, it may trigger a chain
reaction of price cuts, which as a result poses an incentive that constrain-
s the price cuts of firms. Chamberlin’s oligopoly model pointed out that
in the oligopoly of homogeneous products, when recognizing the strategic
dependence between them, firms can maintain the monopoly price through
tacit agreement without taking any specific measures so that each firm can
obtain higher profits. The tacit collusion between them is based on revenge
for unilateral deviations, such as in a ruthless price war.
The validity of collusion between firms depends on the effectiveness of
the penalty mechanism for deviations. The so-called effectiveness refers to
the intensity of punishment against deviant participants, such that no firm
is willing to deviate from the collusive price. This depends on numerous
factors, such as observability of information and coordination during the
618 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
πm πm
(1 + δ + δ 2 + · · · + δ t−1 ) + δ t π m 5 (1 + δ + δ 2 + · · · + δ t−1 )
2 2 [ m ]
π
+δ t (1 + δ + δ 2 + · · · )
2
π m
= (1 + δ + δ 2 + · · · ).
2
1
If δ = ,
2
πm πm
(1 + δ + δ 2 + · · · ) = = πm,
2 2(1 − δ)
then the grim strategy is a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
From the above analysis, it can be seen that there is a possibility of
price collusion between oligopolists to make the market price the same as
the monopoly price. In the collusion mechanism, some strict punishment
mechanisms exist to restrict the deviation of firms.
Although the infinite-period assumption seems to be unrealistic, as long
as there is no clear cut-off time in the market competition, assuming that
there is a probability p̂ that firm i will coexist with its opponents in the
market in the next period, we can write the discount rate as δ̂ = δ p̂. Then,
∑ ∑
the total discounted profit of firm i is t δ p̂t πti (pit , put ) = t δ̂ t πti (pit , put ).
1
Therefore, as long as δ̂ = δ p̂ = , there will exist the same equilibrium of
2
price collusion as in the above case.
By the Folk Theorem in Chapter 7, we know that repeated games usual-
ly have infinitely many equilibria. In the above context, we find that firms
choosing the price p1t = p2t = p ∈ [c, pm ] in each period also constitute
a (subgame perfect) Nash equilibrium. A similar grim strategy exists, i.e.,
each firm chooses the price p in the beginning, and if any opponent deviates
in a period, then in each period afterwards, other firms choose marginal-
cost pricing as a punishment for the opponent.
From the above multi-period price competition model, we find that in
the case of repeated games, firms have the incentive and ability to choose
collusion, which further explains why in reality we do not see the same
intense price competition as in the Bertrand equilibrium. Next, we will
relax the assumption of the homogeneity of products. We will find that in
620 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
p2 − p1 + t
D1 (p1 , p2 ) = x(p1 , p2 ) = .
2t
p1 − p2 + t
D2 (p1 , p2 ) = 1 − x(p1 , p2 ) = .
2t
pj − pi + t
π i (pi , pj ) = (pi − c) .
2t
pj + c + t
Ri (pj ) = .
2
ax − pA , i = A,
Ux (i) ≡
bx − pB , i = B.
pB − pA
x̂ = .
b−a
pB b − a + pA
pA = RA (pB ) = ; pB = RB (pA ) = .
2 2
b−a 2(b − a)
p∗A = ; p∗B = .
3 3
9.5. OLIGOPOLY 623
p∗B − p∗A 1
Therefore, x̂ = = . At Nash equilibrium, the profits of the two
b−a 3
firms are
b−a 4(b − a)
πA (a, b) = ; πB (a, b) = .
9 9
We further discuss the choice of product positioning. Consider the fol-
lowing two-stage game and find the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
In the first stage, the two firms choose product quality, and in the second
stage, they engage in price competition.
If the two firms choose product quality a and b, respectively, in the first
stage where a 5 b, then the equilibrium of the above price competition is
the Nash equilibrium in the second stage of the game.
In the first stage, the profits of firm A and B are
b−a 4(b − a)
πA (a, b) = ; πB (a, b) = .
9 9
Since
∂πA (a, b) 1 ∂πB (a, b) 4
=− , = ,
∂a 9 ∂b 9
we have a∗ = 0 and b∗ = 1, which means that in price competition under
vertical product differentiation, firms will maximize their product differ-
ences from others.
1 2
In the second stage, the prices of the two firms are p∗A = and p∗B = ,
3 3
both larger than the marginal cost, which means that in the price competi-
tion under vertical product differentiation, firms will weaken the intensity
of price competition.
The above oligopolistic competition models assume that the market
structure is exogenous. However, in practice, entering or exiting the mar-
ket is an important dimension of firms’ strategy. In the following, we will
consider competition in the dynamic market structure.
Bain (1956) summarized four factors that affect the market structure, which
also affect the ability of incumbent firms to maintain market power.
The first factor is economies of scale. The minimum efficient scale of a
624 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
firm (or the output at the lowest average cost) is a crucial factor to deter-
mine the consumer demand of the industry. For example, in a firm that
exhibits increasing returns to scale, its minimum efficient scale may be in-
f
finitely large. If we have C(q) = f + cq, AC(q) = + c as the decreasing
q
function of the output, then only a few firms can survive in the market. In
an industry with increasing returns to scale, the cost is the least when all of
the output is produced by one firm.
The second is the absolute advantage of cost. Incumbent firms may
have more advanced technologies obtained through experience (the pro-
cess of learning by doing) or R&D (patenting or innovation). Incumbent
firms may accumulate capital to lower their production costs, or prevent
entrants from acquiring important inputs by contracts with suppliers, or
raise the cost of their competitors.
The third is the advantage of product differentiation. Incumbent firms
obtaining patents for their products can prevent other firms from using or
imitating their technologies. They can also use the first-mover advantage
to gain brand loyalty of consumers.
The fourth is capital input requirement. Before a firm enters the market,
it needs to finance the investment. When financing is difficult, for exam-
ple, banks are unwilling to lend due to risk considerations, or if incumbent
firms increase the intensity of potential competition in the product mar-
ket and thus lower the potential entrant’s expectation for profitability, the
willingness of the potential entrant to enter the market will decrease.
Some barriers to entry are exogenous, such as those granted by law, and
not controlled by incumbent firms; whereas, some others are endogenous,
and caused by strategic choices of incumbent firms. When an incumbent
faces the threat of entry, she may take the following three actions.
1 − k1
k2 = R2 (k1 ) = .
2
In the first stage, expecting the response of firm 2, firm 1 chooses the
optimal capital level from the problem:
max k1 (1 − k1 − R2 (k1 ))
k1
or ( )
1 − k1
max k1 1 − k1 − .
k1 2
626 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
We use the Stackelberg model to obtain the subgame perfect Nash equi-
1 1 1 1 1
librium, k1∗ = , k2∗ = , π 1 = , π 2 = − f . When f > , we know that
2 4 8 16 16
1
firm 2 will not enter, or there is a market entry blockade. When f < , if
16
firm 1 allows firm 2 to enter, then it will choose the outcome of the Stack-
1 1
elberg equilibrium, i.e., k1∗ = , and firm 2 will also choose k2∗ = . The
2 4
1 1
1
profit of firm 1 is then π = , and the profit of firm 2 is − f > 0.
8 16
If firm 1 deters the entry of firm 2, it will choose a capital level k1b , such
that the best choice of firm 2 is k2∗ = 0. k1b satisfies maxk2 k2 (1 − k1b − k2 ) −
√
f = 0, and thus we obtain k1b = 1 − 2 f > 1/2. The profit of firm 1 is
√ √ 1
π 1 = (1 − 2 f )[1 − (1 − 2 f )]. When f → 16 1
, π 1 → = π m , a deterrence
4
strategy is a better choice for firm 1. When f → 0, an accommodation
strategy is a better choice for firm 1.
( √ )2
1 2
We can verify that, when f 5 − , firm 1 will choose an accom-
4 8
modation strategy; otherwise, it will choose a deterrence strategy.
The two firms choose the prices at the same time. To solve for the Bertrand
price equilibrium under asymmetric information, we use Bayesian-Nash
equilibrium as a solution concept. Let p∗2 be the equilibrium price of firm 2,
and pl1 and ph1 be the equilibrium price strategies of firm 1 at marginal costs
cl1 and ch1 , respectively.
Now, we solve for the best response functions of the two firms.
For firm 1, given marginal cost c1 and the pricing of firm 2, p∗2 , from
profit maximization, we obtain
and then
a + dp∗2 + bc1
p1 = R1 (p2 ; c1 ) = .
2b
Therefore,
a + dp∗2 + bcl1
pl1 = .
2b
628 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
Similarly, given marginal cost c2 and the pricing of firm 2, p∗2 , we have
a + dp∗2 + bch1
ph1 = .
2b
For firm 2, given firm 1’s choice, its objective is to choose a price p2 to
maximize the expected profit
a + dp∗2 + bcl1
pl1 = ;
2b
a + dp∗2 + bch1
ph1 = .
2b
We compare the above case with the case of symmetric information.
When information is symmetric, we can obtain that
The traditional view is that an incumbent firm can block entry through
low prices. Bain, in his 1949 article, proposed the concept of limit pricing,
also known as entry preventing pricing. If there is a positive relationship
between the price prior to entry and the degree of entry, the incumbent firm
will have an incentive to lower the price. A pertinent question becomes:
why can low prices prevent firms from entering? Bain asserted that the
information delivered to potential entrants by low prices was poor market
profitability, or high competition intensity, or that incumbent firms have
low-cost advantages.
Consider the situation in which price acts as a signal mechanism pro-
posed by Milgrom and Roberts (1982). Assume that, in order to convey her
private information of competitiveness or cost level, the incumbent firm
chooses a price to deliberately reveal its type information to form an entry
barrier. This game constitutes a typical signaling game.
Assume that there are two periods. In the first period, there is a monop-
olistic incumbent firm 1 that chooses a price. In the second period, firm 2
decides whether or not to enter. If firm 2 enters, there is a duopoly market
structure in the second period; if not, firm 1 remains a monopolist. The cost
of the incumbent firm is private information, and it has two possible values.
630 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
Assume that the probability of low cost is β, and the probability of high cost
is 1 − β. If firm 2 does not enter the market, it does not know the private
information of firm 1. If it enters, firm 2 will get the cost information of firm
1. Meanwhile, entry is irreversible. The significance of introducing private
information here is that we can study how private information influences
the market entry decision and no longer has an impact post-entry.
Let M1t (p1 ) be the profit of the incumbent firm when her type is t ∈
{l, h} and price is p1 . Let plm and phm be the monopolistic prices when the
incumbent has low cost and high cost, respectively. From the monopoly
pricing, we know that plm < phm . Let M1l and M1h be the monopoly profits at
low cost and high cost, respectively, i.e., M1t ≡ M1t (ptm ), t ∈ {l, h}.
If firm 2 enters, the cost information of firm 1 can be observed by firm
2, and the two firms engage in price competition in the second period. Let
D1t and D2t be the profits of the two firms after entry, where t ∈ {l, h}. To
make the discussion meaningful, suppose M1t > D1t , ∀t; D2h > 0 > D2l .
In other words, for the incumbent, monopoly is superior to oligopolistic
competition; if the incumbent is a high-cost type, the entrant possesses an
advantage and can earn positive profits, while if the incumbent is a low-
cost type, firm 2 will not wish to enter. The discount rate is δ for both firms.
Since the incumbent aims to obtain a monopoly profit, she hopes that
her price choice in the first period can make the potential entrant believe
that she is a low-cost type. The problem here is whether or not the incum-
bent has the ability to achieve the goal. Consider the following signaling
mechanism. Firm 1 chooses a low price pl1 to send the low-cost signal. As a
result, the profit of the incumbent may decrease in first period, but such a
reduction can bring returns in the second period, i.e., the incumbent can ob-
tain a monopoly profit, as the potential entrant believes that the incumbent
is a low-cost type and thus abandons entering the market. Now, the issue
becomes whether the potential entrant will believe that the incumbent is
low-cost without observing pl1 . The answer may not be readily apparent.
This is because even a high-cost incumbent may be able to imitate the low-
price type, so that price signals may not reflect the type information. To an-
alyze this problem, we usually use equilibrium concepts of the incomplete
information dynamic game, such as “perfect Bayesian equilibrium”.
9.5. OLIGOPOLY 631
or
M1h − M1h (pl1 ) = δ(M1h − D1h ), (9.5.10)
where M1h (pl1 ) is the profit of the high-cost type in the first period when it
chooses price pl1 .
In the following, we consider the strategic choice of a low-cost type. S-
ince the incumbent can at least set a monopoly price plm in the first period
and the worst case in the second period is that there are entrants, the mini-
mum profit that he or she can obtain is M1l + δD1l . If choosing pl1 in the first
period, the total discounted profit of the low-cost type of the incumbent is
M1l (pl1 ) + δM1l . As a consequence, the incentive compatibility constraint for
the low-cost type to choose pl1 is
or
M1l − M1l (pl1 ) 5 δ(M1l − D1l ). (9.5.11)
≈
In (9.5.10) and (9.5.11), pl1 is in a range [ p 1 , p̃1 ], where p̃1 < plm . Con-
sequently, to achieve the separating equilibrium, the pricing of a low-cost
type must be sufficiently lower than her monopoly price, which is the cost
of preventing the high-cost firm from pooling, in order to prevent market
entry in the second period.
The reason why a high-cost type does not mimic the pricing of a low-
cost type is that imitation leads to more decrease of profit in the first period
than the gain.
When M1l − D1l > M1h − D1h , i.e., the revenue obtained by the low-
cost type through low prices to prevent entry (the increase in profit from
oligopoly to monopoly) is more than that of a high-cost type, or
d
[M1 (c1 ) − D1 (c1 )] < 0,
dc1
where
M1 (c1 ) = max[(p1 − c1 )D1m (p1 )],
p1
dM (c1 )
= −D1m (pm
1 ),
dc1
Thus,
M1 −M1 (p1)
which the price transmits the cost information. Assume that the inverse
demand function is p = 10 − Q, and the incumbent firm 1’s marginal cost
c1 is private information. Assume that the prior distribution of the type of
firm 1 is prob(c1 = 0) = prob(c1 = 4) = 0.5. The cost of the potential entrant
firm 2 is c2 = 1, which is public knowledge. The market entry cost is 9,
and the time discount rate is δ = 1. Suppose that the oligopolistic market
competition is quantity competition. The time structure of the game is as
follows: in the first period, firm 1 is the market monopolist and chooses the
price p1 ; in the second period, firm 2 chooses whether to enter the market. If
firm 2 enters, it will pay a fixed cost 9, and the two oligopolists will engage
in quantity competition; if not, firm 1 is still a monopolist and chooses the
price p2 in the second period.
We use simple formulas for equilibrium profits of quantity competition
under linear demand, which are
(a − 2c1 + c2 )2
π1 (c1 , c2 ) = ,
9
(a − 2c2 + c1 )2
π2 (c1 , c2 ) = − f,
9
where a = 10. Table 9.1 depicts the profits of the two firms.
If under price p1 in the first period, firm 2 cannot distinguish the type of
the firm 1 (which is the pooling equilibrium), the expected revenue of firm
2 to enter the market is 0.5 × (−1.9) + 0.5 × 7 > 0. As a result, firm 2 will
9.5. OLIGOPOLY 635
choose to enter.
We discuss p1 (c1 ) in the first period that satisfies the intuitive criterion.
In other words, when p1 = p1 (c1 = 0), firm 2 believes that firm 1 is the
low-cost type, or the high-cost type will not mimic the low-cost type, and
meanwhile, p1 (c1 = 0) is the price that brings the highest profits to the low-
cost type among all separating equilibria. We can verify that p1 (c1 = 0) =
4.17, because 9.99 = π1m (p1 = 4.17, c1 = 4) + π1m (4) = (10 − 4.17)(4.17 −
4) + 9 < π1m (4) + π1c (4) = 10.
From the above all kinds of models in the oligopolistic market, we find that
different market environments, including information distribution (sym-
metric or asymmetric), one-shot or repeated games, product properties (ho-
mogeneous or heterogeneous), sequence of actions, different strategy s-
paces (price decisions, quantity decisions, product decisions), etc., will all
affect the final strategic choices of the firms, and impact the final market
price and the profits of the firms. Because the firms possess market power
(i.e., the pricing ability of deviating from the marginal cost), generally the
more are the market transactions, the greater is the social welfare. There-
fore, an in-depth analysis of the oligopolistic market may be beneficial to
provide certain useful suggestions for government policies. For example,
it can provide a logical basis for the design of competition policy to control
and restrain the excessive market power of incumbents and control price
collusion among firms.
We have a simple classification of market structure, but in pratice, an in-
dustry may experience different market structures in various periods. For
instance, when a new product is just released, the market is likely to be a
monopoly. With the imitation of other firms, the market structure slow-
636 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
9.6 Biographies
The Edgeworth model described the instability of the market with only
two sellers, but in 1929, Hotelling challenged this view and proposed the
Hotelling model. He believed that price or output instability was not the
basic feature of oligopoly. The Hotelling model is obviously a criticism of
Edgeworth and Bertrand. Hotelling disagreed with the idea that consumer-
s’ sudden change of choice from one seller to another constituted a feature
of the market. He expected that the decrease in price would, in fact, not
attract a great number of consumers. Therefore, he asserted that as long as
consumers turned to other sellers gradually, the market would remain sta-
ble. At the same time, he proposed the theory of spatial competition, which
divides product difference into different points in the line segment of space,
and thus product difference has a testable empirical meaning. One well-
known example of this is the previously discussed Hotelling model that
was published in the Journal of Political Economy in 1929. In 1931 he pub-
lished “The Economics of Exhaustible Resources”, which is considered
to be a hallmark of the birth of resource economics.
Hotelling taught Milton Friedman statistics and Kenneth J. Arrow math-
ematical economics. He also helped Arrow to transfer from the Department
of Mathematics to the Department of Economics, and was an important in-
fluence in his change of research interest from mathematical statistics to
economic theory.
intervention. Stigler’s view renewed the assumption that there was only
one price for a commodity in the market theory of microeconomics. In the
research process, Stigler also extended this analysis to the labor market.
These studies established a new research area called the information eco-
nomics. Since his paper The Economics of Information was published in 1961,
the study has become a prominent subject in today’s economic discipline,
producing many Laureates of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sci-
ences. Another contribution of Stigler was his criticism of social regulation
policies. His frequent comments on public policies were often cited by po-
litical figures. His most well-known contribution was to demonstrate that
the free market mechanism remains the most efficient system in existence
today. He utilized the latest research results of econometrics, and provided
many examples in which government regulations that aimed to improve ef-
ficiency were actually ineffective or deleterious. He also advocated the free
market system, and opposed monopoly and state intervention. He was the
primary founder of a new and important research area called the regulato-
ry economics. Friedman praised Stigler as a pioneer who used economic
and analytical methods to study legal and political issues.
640 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
9.7 Exercises
3. If a consumption tax of $50 per unit is levied, find the number of firms
at the new long-run equilibrium.
1. If consumers are levied a specific duty t, how will social welfare change?
Why?
1. Consider the case of specific duty. Are the equilibrium quantity and
price finally obtained by producers when taxing consumers the same
as those when taxing producers? Justify your answer.
9.7. EXERCISES 641
Exercise 9.4 There is a unique monopolistic firm in the market, who can
adopt first-degree price discrimination.
1. Will the firm choose the output level according to the decision princi-
ple M R = M C? Why?
2. Will the firm choose to produce where the market demand is inelas-
tic? If it is possible, give an example; if not, justify your answer.
Exercise 9.6 There is only one firm in the market with a demand function
q = a − bp and a marginal cost c satisfying c < a/b. The firm sells through a
unique retailer. It first sets a wholesale price w, and then the retailer sets a
retail price p after observing the wholesale price. The retailer’s cost is zero.
Prove the following: The retail price in the market is higher than the price
set by the vertically integrated monopolist.
Exercise 9.7 There is a unique monopolistic firm in the market, and its in-
verse demand function (in each period) is p = a − bq. The marginal cost
642 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
Exercise 9.8 Suppose that the monopolist and consumers both live for in-
finite periods. The value v by consumers is uniformly distributed over
[0, 1/(1 − δ)] (i.e., the valuation in each period is subject to a uniform distri-
bution on [0, 1]). If a consumer with value v purchases at price pt at time t,
∑∞
his utility is δ t (v − pt ). The monopolist’s intertemporal profit is t=1 δ
tp q .
t t
Find the linear stable equilibrium: in a certain period, when the price is p,
any consumer with a value higher than w(p) = λp will purchase, where
λ > 1, while consumers with lower valuations will not. Conversely, in a
certain period, if consumers with value higher than v purchase while oth-
ers do not purchase, then the monopolist charges a price p(v) = µv, where
µ < 1.
1. When only consumers with values lower than v purchase, the mo-
nopolist charges pt , pt+1 , · · · , and consumers follow the above linear
rule. Find the intertemporal profit of the monopolist starting from
period t.
Exercise 9.10 A retailer purchases products from a wholesaler and sells the
products to consumers. The retailer holds all sales channels, and thus it is a
monopolist in the retail market. The market demand is p = 20 − q. Suppose
that the retailer cannot implement price discrimination. The wholesaler
is a monopolist in the wholesale market, and its production cost is c(Q) =
3Q2 +10. The wholesaler charges the retailer a two-part tariff: in addition to
the wholesale price w per unit of product, there is a fixed entry fee F (note
that when the retailer does not purchase products from the wholesaler, i.e.,
when the retailer chooses to withdraw from the market, there is no need to
pay the entry fee F ). Because the wholesaler does not have retail channels,
it cannot directly sell its products to consumers. The retailer’s goal is to
maximize her profit p(q) = wq − F by choosing q under the premise of
given (w, F ). To facilitate the solution, we assume that the retailer will exit
644 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
from the market if and only if its profit is negative, and the wholesaler
chooses a wholesale price w < 20.
2. If the retailer chooses to enter the market, find the output q ∗ when the
retailer’s profit is maximized, where q ∗ is a function of w.
3. After obtaining q ∗ , express the retailer’s price p and its profit as func-
tions of w.
4. What conditions shall F and w satisfy so that the retailer will not exit
from the market?
1. Write the firm’s profit maximization problem and give the first-order
condition.
Exercise 9.12 There are two oligopolists in the market who engage in a
Bertrand competition. The market demand function x(p) is continuous and
strictly decreasing in p, and there exists a p̄ < ∞, such that x(p) = 0 for all
p = p̄. The marginal costs of the two firms are both c > 0.
2. Prove that the above pure strategy Nash equilibrium is also the u-
nique Nash equilibrium.
9.7. EXERCISES 645
3. If the market demand function becomes x(p) = p−η , prove that there
is a mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, such that both firms have posi-
tive profits. (Hint: Let the firms choose prices according to the distri-
m−η (m−c)
bution function F (p) = 1 − p−η (p−c) for p = m; F (p) = 0 otherwise,
and m > cm, and check that F is a mixed strategy Nash equilibrium
where prices announced always exceed marginal cost c. )
Exercise 9.15 There exist two oligopolists in the market, and their cost func-
tions are c1 = 2q12 and c2 = q22 , respectively. The demand function is
q = 10 − 2p.
1. If the two firms do not form a cartel, solve for the optimal outputs
and profits of the two in a Cournot competition.
2. If the two firms form a cartel, solve for the profit-maximizing outputs.
How will the two firms distribute the profits?
Exercise 9.16 There are two oligopolists in the market who engage in a
Cournot competition. The marginal costs of the two firms are both 2. The
market demand function is q = 14−3q. Before they decide on their outputs,
firm 1 can choose whether to adopt a new technology with a fixed cost of
10 to reduce its marginal cost to 0. Firm 2 can observe whether firm 1 has
adopted the technology.
2. Will firm 1 use this technology? What are the equilibrium outputs of
the two firms, respectively?
Exercise 9.17 There are J oligopolists in the market who engage in a Cournot
competition. The market demand function is q = a − 2p, and the marginal
cost of firm i(i = 1, 2, · · · , J) is ci .
Exercise 9.18 There are two oligopolists in the market. Their marginal cost-
s are both c, and the inverse demand function is p = a − bq. The two firms
compete in a Stackelberg game, where firm 1 is the leader, and firm 2 is the
follower.
1. Solve for the output levels in the subgame perfect equilibrium (i.e.,
(q1∗ , q2∗ )).
3. If these two firms now compete in a Cournot game, prove that the
Nash equilibrium of the Cournot game is also the Nash equilibrium
of the Stackelberg game.
9.7. EXERCISES 647
Exercise 9.19 There are three oligopolists in the market. The demand func-
tion is q = a − bp, their marginal costs are all c, and the fixed costs are all
zero. If the three firms make output decisions, respectively, in the following
orders, solve for the optimal output level of each firm.
2. Firm 1 first chooses its output, firm 2 chooses its output after observ-
ing firm 1’s output, and firm 3 chooses its output after observing the
outputs of firm 1 and firm 2.
3. Firm 1 first chooses its output, and after observing firm 1’s output,
firm 2 and firm 3 choose their outputs simultaneously.
4. Firm 1 and firm 2 first choose their outputs simultaneously, and firm
3 chooses its output after observing the outputs of firm 1 and firm 2.
Exercise 9.20 There are two oligopolists in the market. The market de-
mand function is q = 500 − 4p. Firm 1 and firm 2 have constant marginal
costs of 6 and 10, respectively.
1. If firm 1 sets the market price of the product and firm 2 is a price-taker,
find the equilibrium outputs and profits of the two firms.
2. If firm 2 sets the market price of the product and firm 1 is a price-taker,
find the equilibrium outputs and profits of the two firms.
Exercise 9.21 There is a leader firm and a follower firm in the market. The
market demand function is q = 10 − 2p. The leader firm 1 sets the market
price of the product, and then the follower firm 2 takes the price as given.
This is called the “price leadership model”. The cost functions of the two
firms are T C1 = 0 and T C2 = 2q22 , respectively.
648 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
1. Explain the difference between the price leadership model and the
Stackelberg model.
2. Solve for the outputs and profits of the leader firm and the follower
firm.
Exercise 9.22 Suppose that the cost for each firm to enter the market is c >
0, and the following conditions are satisfied: (1) the equilibrium output of a
single firm decreases in the number of firms; (2) the total output increases
in the number of firms; and (3) the equilibrium price is always above the
marginal cost. Prove the following: From the perspective of social welfare,
the symmetric Cournot model of free entry leads to excessive entry.
Exercise 9.24 (Rotemburg and Saloner, 1986) There are two oligopolists in
the market who produce homogeneous products, and both have a constant
marginal cost c. The two firms engage in infinitely repeated Bertrand com-
petition with a discount factor δ. The market demand function is q = a − p,
and the intercept a randomly fluctuates: in each period, the probability of
a = ah is λ, and the probability of a = al is 1 − λ. al < ah and the demands
in different periods are independent. The monopoly prices at two demand
levels are denoted by ph and pl .
1. Solve for the δ ∗ , such that for δ = δ ∗ , the two firms can employ the
trigger strategy to maintain the above-mentioned monopoly prices in
the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
9.7. EXERCISES 649
2. For 1/2 < δ < δ ∗ , find the highest price p(δ), such that in the subgame
perfect Nash equilibrium, the two firms can use the trigger strategy
to maintain the price p(δ) at the high demand level, and pl at the low
demand level.
Exercise 9.25 There are two oligopolists in the market who produce ho-
mogeneous products and engage in the incomplete information Cournot
competition. The market demand function is q = a − bp. The marginal
cost of firm 1 is ch with a probability λ and cl with a probability 1 − λ. The
marginal cost of firm 2 is ch with a probability η and cl with a probability
1 − η.
1. If both firms know exactly their own marginal costs and know only
the probability distribution of the opponent’s marginal cost, find the
equilibrium outputs of the two firms.
2. If the two firms know only the probability distribution of the marginal
costs of their own and their opponents, find the Bayesian-Nash equi-
librium outputs of the two firms.
Exercise 9.26 Suppose that consumers and firms are uniformly distributed
on a unit circle. A consumer chooses one firm to purchase one unit of its
product, and his transportation cost is tx, where x represents the distance
between the consumer and the chosen firm. The market is free to enter, and
the fixed entry cost for each firm is f .
Exercise 9.27 (Selten, 1973) There are J firms in the market, and their marginal
costs are all zero. The market demand function is q = 1 − p. The firms de-
cide whether to join a cartel. The cartel members determine the output
distribution standard and strictly enforce it, and they engage in a Cournot
650 CHAPTER 9. MARKET THEORY
competition with other firms. Prove the following: If J 5 4, then all firms
will join the cartel; but if J = 6, the cartel will only include some of the
firms.
Exercise 9.28 There are J firms in the market, their marginal costs are all c,
and the market demand function is q = a − p.
Exercise 9.29 In the limit pricing model in this chapter, it is assumed that
the marginal cost of the potential entrant is public knowledge. Now, con-
sider the following model, in which the marginal cost of the potential en-
trant is private information. Specifically, let the demand function be p =
10 − 2q, the prior distribution of the incumbent firm 1’s type be p(c1 = 0) =
α and p(c1 = 4) = 1 − α, and the prior distribution of the potential entrant
firm 2’s type be p(c2 = 1) = β and p(c2 = 2) = 1 − β. The market entry
cost is F , and the time discount rate is δ = 1. Find possible pooling equilib-
ria and separating equilibria, and verify whether they satisfy the intuitive
criterion.
9.8 References
Papers:
653
655
The rest of the textbook will examine the allocation of resources in more
realistic economic environments. The main theme is how to solve the issue
of “market failure”. These will be the topics discussed in the remaining
chapters of this textbook.
The market we have discussed so far is basically a frictionless ideal
one. In addition, we directly or implicitly assume that markets are perfectly
competitive except for monopolistic competition, oligopoly, and monopoly
discussed in Chapter 9.
Chapters 3-10 and Chapter 13 are primarily positive analysis of the mar-
ket economy, discussing how rational consumers and firms make optimal
decisions, and how the market operates in various structures (perfect com-
petition, monopolistic competition, oligopoly). Chapters 11-12 primarily
conduct normative analysis on perfectly competitive markets, and discuss
the free market’s optimality, rationality, uniqueness, and universality from
different aspects.
In Chapters 11 and 12, we have discussed the internal logic between
competitive equilibrium (Walrasian equilibrium) and efficiency (Pareto op-
timality). The concept of competitive equilibrium provides us with an ap-
propriate notion of market equilibrium for competitive market economies.
The concept of Pareto optimality offers a minimal test that any socially op-
timal economic outcome should pass since it is a formulation of the idea
that there is no further improvement under given social resources, and it
conveniently separates the issue of economic efficiency from more contro-
versial (and political) questions regarding the ideal distribution of wealth
across individuals.
The important results and insights obtained in Chapters 11-12 are the
First and Second Fundamental Theorems of Welfare Economics, the Com-
petitive Equilibrium Core Property Theorem, the Core Equivalence Theo-
rem, and the Fairness Theorem. These results demonstrate the optimality,
rationality, and uniqueness of a perfectly competitive market from differ-
ent perspectives. The First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics
reveals how a market economy results in Pareto optimal allocations under
certain conditions, such as perfect competition, pursuit of personal inter-
ests (local non-satiation preferences), no externalities, no public goods, no
656
Externalities
14.1 Introduction
659
660 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
cannot control the consumption of others, and thus the agent’s utility level
is passively affected. Externality can be either negative, which may hurt an
agent, or positive, which may benefit the agent. Indeed, such examples in
the real world are manifold.
Environmental impacts or pollution in cases (i) and (ii) are typical exter-
nalities, and individual behaviors that pollute the environment can have a
negative impact on the health of others. In addition, there are always some
people who are jealous of others around them. Benefiting oneself at the
cost of others in case (iv) may be understandable, and harming others at
the cost of oneself (all perish together) may also be understandable, but,
as shown in case (iii), harming others without benefiting oneself is more
commonplace. Although it is somewhat difficult to understand, it may be
interpreted by negative consumption externalities. Cases (v) and (vi) are
14.1. INTRODUCTION 661
examples of positive externalities, while cases (vii) and (viii) are examples
of consumption network externalities.
These examples illustrate that externality is a ubiquitous phenomenon.
Some may deny the existence of externality with the example of looking
at beauty without cost. In fact, there are two misunderstandings in this
assertion. First, whether the price is zero is not used in defining externality.
Second, to see beauty more often, such as models in fashion shows or movie
stars in films, it is actually necessary to pay for admission tickets.
Formally, we express the existence or absence of consumption external-
ities as follows:
Production externality means that the level of one firm’s output is affected
by the production activities of other economic agents. Production external-
ity effects can be either negative or positive.
The following lists some examples for production externality:
Example 14.1.2 Here are some typical examples about production exter-
nalities in practice.
(i) Sewage discharge from chemical plants can affect the pro-
duction of surrounding fishermen. In particular, downstream
fishing can be adversely affected by pollutants emitted from
an upstream chemical plant.
(ii) The machine noise of the factory near to you disturbs your
equanimity.
(iii) Smog from factories could be equivalent to smoking one
pack of cigarettes per day.
662 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
ensuring that agents face the correct pricing for their activities. Ways of
solving externality problems include taxation, regulation, property rights,
merges, mechanism design, market design, etc.
ui (xi ). (14.2.1)
pl
M RSxl ,xh = M RSxl ,xh = · · · = M RSxln ,xhn = , (14.2.2)
1 1 2 2 ph
and from Chapter 11, we know that the FOCs for Pareto efficiency are also
given by:
M RSxl ,xh = · · · = M RSxln ,xhn , (14.2.3)
1 1
uA (xA , xB , yA ), (14.2.4)
uB (xA , xB , yB ), (14.2.5)
664 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
A px B
M RSxy = = M RSxy . (14.2.6)
py
s.t. xA + xB 5 wx ,
y A + y B 5 wy ,
uA (xA , xB , yA ) = uA (x∗A , x∗B , yA
∗
).
∂uB ∂uA
xA : − λx + µ = 0, (14.2.8)
∂xA ∂xA
∂uA
yA : −λy + µ = 0, (14.2.9)
∂yA
∂uB ∂uA
xB : − λx + µ = 0, (14.2.10)
∂xB ∂xB
∂uB
yB : − λy = 0, (14.2.11)
∂yB
λx : wx − xA − xB = 0, λx = 0, λx (wx − xA − xB ) = 0, (14.2.12)
λy : wy − yA − yB = 0, λy = 0, λy (wy − yA − yB ) = 0, (14.2.13)
µ : uA − u∗A = 0, µ = 0, µ (uA − u∗A ) = 0. (14.2.14)
∂uB
By (14.2.11), λy = ∂yB > 0, and thus by (14.2.13),
yA + yB = wy , (14.2.15)
14.2. CONSUMPTION EXTERNALITY 665
which means that there is never disposal (or destruction) of the good that
has no externality. Moreover, by (14.2.9) and (14.2.11), we have
∂uB
∂yB
µ= ∂uA
. (14.2.16)
∂yA
which means that the social marginal rate of substitution of good x for good
y for the two consumers is identical at Pareto efficient allocations. We call
this the social marginal rate of substitution because the social welfare func-
tion can be written as the sum of individual utilities. From the above con-
dition, in order to evaluate relevant marginal rates of substitution for op-
timality conditions, we must take into account both the direct and indirect
effects of consumption activities in the presence of externalities. In other
words, to achieve Pareto optimality, when one consumer increases the con-
sumption of good x, not only does the consumer’s consumption of good y
need to change, the other consumer’s consumption of good y also needs to
change. Thus, the social marginal rate of substitution of good x for good y
∂ui ∂uj
∂xi ∂xi
by consumer i equals ∂ui + ∂uj . Since the FOCs for competitive equilibri-
∂yi ∂yj
um and Pareto optimal allocations are not the same, we immediately have
the following conclusion:
666 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
∂uB
∂xB − ∂uB
∂xA
µ= >0 (14.2.20)
∂uA
∂xA − ∂uA
∂xB
and
∂uA ∂uB
∂xA ∂xB − ∂uA ∂uB
∂xB ∂xA
λx = . (14.2.21)
∂uA
∂xA − ∂uA
∂xB
∂uA ∂uB
We can interpret the term in the left-hand side of (14.2.23), ∂xA ∂xB , as
the joint marginal benefit of consuming good x, and the term in the right-
∂uA ∂uB
hand side, ∂xB ∂xA , as the joint marginal cost of consuming good x because
the negative externality harms the consumers. To consume the goods effi-
ciently, a necessary condition is that the joint marginal benefit of consuming
good x should not be less than the joint cost of consuming good x.
Thus, the following conditions
(PO) y A + y B = wy ,
xA + xB 5 wx ,
( ∂u A ∂uB
∂xA ∂xB − ∂uA ∂uB
∂xB ∂xA ) (wx − xA − xB ) = 0,
Case 2. When the joint marginal benefit equals the joint marginal cost:
then
∂uA ∂uB ∂uB ∂uA
∂xA ∂xA ∂xB ∂xB
∂uA
+ ∂uB
= ∂uB
+ ∂uA
=0 (14.2.25)
∂yA ∂yB ∂yB ∂yA
Proposition 14.2.2 For 2 × 2 pure exchange economies, suppose that the utility
function ui (xA , xB , yi ) is continuously differentiable, strictly quasi-concave, and
∂ui (xA ,xB ,yi )
∂xi > 0 for i = A, B.
√
ui (xA , xB , yi ) = xi yi − xj , i ∈ {A, B} , j ∈ {A, B} , j ̸= i.
and thus
yA yB
= . (14.2.27)
xA xB
Let xA + xB ≡ x̄. Substituting xA + xB = x̄ and yA + yB = wy into (14.2.27),
we have
yA wy
= . (14.2.28)
xA x̄
Then, by (14.2.27) and (14.2.28), we get
√ √
∂uA ∂uB 1 yA yB yA wy
= = = (14.2.29)
∂xA ∂xB 4 xA xB 4xA 4x̄
and
∂uA ∂uB
= 1. (14.2.30)
∂xB ∂xA
Thus, x̄ = wy /4 is the critical point that makes ∂uA ∂uB
∂xA ∂xB − ∂uA ∂uB
∂xB ∂xA = 0, or
∂uA ∂uB ∂uB ∂uA
∂xA ∂xA ∂xB ∂xB wy
equivalently ∂uA + ∂uB = ∂uB + ∂uA = 0. Therefore, if wx > 4 , then
∂yA ∂yB ∂yB ∂yA
∂uA ∂uB
∂xA ∂xB − ∂uA ∂uB
∂xB ∂xA < 0, and thus there must be destruction in any Pareto
wy
efficient allocation. If wx < 4 , then ∂uA ∂uB
∂xA ∂xB − ∂uA ∂uB
∂xB ∂xA > 0, and thus
wy
Pareto optimal allocation requires no destruction. Finally, when wx = 4 ,
any allocation that satisfies the marginal equality condition (14.2.19) and
the balanced budget conditions, xA + xB = wx and yA + yB = wy , also
670 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
∂uA ∂uB
Note that, since ∂xA and ∂xB represent marginal utilities, they are usu-
∂uA ∂uB
ally diminishing as consumption in good x increases. Since ∂xB and ∂xA
are in the form of marginal cost, their absolute values are typically increas-
ing in good x. Therefore, when total endowment wx is small, the social
marginal benefit would exceed the social marginal cost, so that there is
no destruction of good x. As the total endowment of wx increases with
the total endowment of wy fixed (i.e., y becomes relatively scarce when x
becomes abundant), the social marginal cost will ultimately outweigh the
social marginal benefit, which results in the destruction of the endowment
wx .
Alternatively, we can obtain the same result by using the social marginal
rate of substitution. When utility functions are strictly quasi-concave, marginal
rates of substitution are diminishing. Therefore, in the presence of negative
consumption externalities, the social marginal rate of substitution of good x
for good y may become negative when the consumption of good x becomes
sufficiently large. When this occurs, it is better to destroy some resources
for good x. As the destruction of good x increases which will, in turn, de-
crease the consumption of good x, the social marginal rate of substitution
will increase. Eventually, it will become nonnegative.
When there is a negative externality, it seems strange that some com-
modities need to be destroyed in order to achieve Pareto efficient alloca-
tions. This phenomenon, however, is not only important in theory, but also
related to practice. Tian and Yang (2012) used the above theoretical result-
s to explain a well-known puzzle of the happiness-income relationship in
the economics and psychology literature: people’s happiness rises with in-
come up to a point, but not beyond it. For example, mean life satisfaction in
the United States has been declining in roughly past 60 years; whereas, that
in the United Kingdom remained approximately flat across the same peri-
od. If we interpret income as a good, when the good becomes an inferior
good or people envy each other’s income level (e.g., low-income people en-
vy high-income people), then according to the above results, when income
14.2. CONSUMPTION EXTERNALITY 671
We now discuss the fact that, when production externalities exist, com-
petitive markets may also result in inefficient allocations of resources. To
illustrate this, consider a simple economy with two firms. Firm 1 produces
output x that will be sold in a competitive market. However, production of
x imposes an externality cost, denoted by e(x), to firm 2, which is assumed
to be convex and strictly increasing.
Let y be the output produced by firm 2, which is sold in a competitive
market. Let cx (x) and cy (y) be the cost functions of firms 1 and 2, which are
convex and strictly increasing.
14.3. PRODUCTION EXTERNALITY 673
π1 = px x − cx (x), (14.3.31)
π2 = py y − cy (y) − e(x), (14.3.32)
where px and py are the prices of x and y, respectively. Then, by the FOCs,
we have for positive amounts of outputs:
Figure 14.1: The efficient output x∗ is less than the competitive output xc .
From the above discussion, we know that a competitive market may not
result in Pareto efficient outcomes in the presence of externalities. Conse-
quently, one needs to seek some other alternative mechanisms to solve the
market failure problem. Many remedies have been proposed to correct the
market failure of externality, such as:
1. Pigovian taxes;
2. Voluntary negotiation (Coase’s approach );
3. Compensatory taxes/subsidies;
4. Creating a missing market with property rights;
5. Direct intervention;
6. Mergers of firms;
7. Creating a market for the exchange of emission rights;
8. Incentive mechanism design.
Any of the above solutions may result in Pareto efficient outcomes, but
may lead to different income distributions. It is also important to know
what kinds of information are required to implement one of the above so-
lutions.
Most of the above proposed solutions need to make the following as-
sumptions:
14.4. SOLUTIONS TO EXTERNALITIES 675
The Pigovian tax was proposed by Arthur Cecil Pigou (1877–1959, see his
biography in Section 14.6.1). For externality-producing firms, the govern-
ment imposes a tax on the marginal cost of externality with the tax rate
t = e′ (x∗ ). In the case of complete information, both the externality and the
tax rate t can be determined, and the FOCs of the enterprise’s problem are
the same as the FOCs of the social optimum, thereby achieving the efficient
allocation of resources.
To see this, set a tax rate, t, such that t = e′ (x∗ ). This tax rate to firm 1
would internalize the externality. Indeed, the net profit of firm 1 is
π1 = px · x − cx (x) − t · x, (14.4.36)
which is the same as the one for social optimality. In other words, when fir-
m 1 faces the wrong pricing of its action, a tax t = e′ (x∗ ) should be imposed
for each unit of its production. This will lead to a socially optimal outcome
that is less than the competitive equilibrium outcome. Such correction taxes
are called Pigovian taxes.
This solution requires that the taxing authority knows the externality
cost e(x). How does the authority know the externality and estimate its
value in real world? If the authority has such information, this solution
would work well, such as imposing a Pigovian tax on gasoline, since au-
tomobile emissions are relatively easier to determine. However, in most
cases, it does not work well, and it is only applicable to scenarios in which
e(x) is relatively easier to identify.
In addition, as pointed out by Ng (2004), if e(x) is an assessment func-
tion of environmental disruption, this often involves many people (even
globally) and the future generations, and thus it is difficult to estimate.
However, if e(x) is a cost function on abatement spending, it is often eas-
ier to estimate. Ng argues that in the case of serious pollution (and there-
fore there is an abatement investment), it is not necessary to estimate the
damage of pollution, but rather to tax according to the marginal cost of
abatement. However, when e(x) is private information and is difficult to
identify, it is difficult for the tax collector to accurately obtain information
about the cost e(x), and thus this solution cannot be directly adopted. In
order to obtain information, some effective means are necessary, but they
all involve a cost. If the cost is too high, it is difficult to adopt in practice.
Stigler’s Claim 2 would follow from Claim 1 if it were true that every
Pareto optimal allocation has the same level of externality, irrespective of
the way that private goods are distributed. Thus, the so-called Coase The-
orem asserts that as long as property rights are clearly assigned and the
transaction cost is zero, the two parties will negotiate in such a way that
the optimal level of the externality-producing activity is implemented. As a
policy implication, a government should simply rearrange property rights
with appropriately designed property rights. The market could then inter-
nalize externalities without direct government intervention.
Coase illustrates his assertion through various examples of the two-
person economy with externalities. The following simple examples depict
Coase’s core ideas.
Example 14.4.1 Two firms: One is a chemical factory that discharges chem-
icals into a river, and the other is the fisherman. Suppose that the river can
678 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
produce a value of $100,000. If the chemicals pollute the river, the fish can-
not be consumed. How does one solve the externality problem? Coase’s
solution states that as long as the property right of the river is clearly as-
signed, efficient outcomes will emerge. In other words, to yield an efficien-
t output, the government should give the river’s ownership either to the
chemical firm or to the fisherman. To see this, assume that:
The cost of a filter is denoted by cf .
Case 1: The river is given to the factory.
ii) cf > $100, 000. The chemical is discharged into the river. The
fisherman does not want to install a filter.
Case 2: The river is given to the fisherman, and the firm’s net product
revenue is greater than $100, 000.
i) cf < $100, 000. The factory purchases the filter so that the
chemical cannot pollute the river.
ii) cf > $100, 000. The firm pays $100,000 to the fisherman be-
fore the chemical is discharged into the river.
In this way, regardless of who owns the property, two cases lead to the
same efficient result: as long as cf < $100, 000, pollution will not occur;
otherwise, it will take place. The only difference is that the income distri-
bution effect is different.
To rule out the income effect resultant from the assignment of proper-
ty rights, we assume that utility functions are quasi-linear with respect to
some numeraire commodity. Thus, the consumer’s indirect utility function
takes the following form:
vi (wi , h) = ϕi (h) + wi .
We further assume that utility is strictly concave in h: ϕ0i (h) < 0. Again,
the competitive equilibrium outcome in general is not Pareto optimal. In
order to maximize utility, consumer 1 chooses h in order to maximize v1 ,
so that the interior solution satisfies ϕ′1 (h∗ ) = 0. Even though consumer 2’s
680 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
where h∗∗ is the Pareto optimal amount of h. Thus, the social optimum is
where the sum of the marginal benefit of the two consumers equals zero.
In the case of negative externality for consumer 2 (loud music), we have
h∗ > h∗∗ , namely, too much h is produced. In the case of positive externality
for consumer 2, we then have h∗ < h∗∗ .
Now, we show that, as long as property rights are clearly determined,
the two parties will negotiate in such a way that the optimal level of the
externality-producing activity is implemented. We first consider the case
in which consumer 2 has the right to prohibit consumer 1 from undertak-
ing activity h. However, this right is contractible. Consumer 2 can sell
consumer 1 the right to undertake h2 units of activity h in exchange for
some transfers, T2 . The two consumers will bargain both over the size of
the transfers, T2 , and over the number of units of the externality-producing
good, h2 .
In order to determine the bargaining outcome, we first specify the bar-
gaining mechanism as follows:
ϕ1 (h2 ) − T2 = ϕ1 (0).
max ϕ2 (h2 ) + T2
h2 ,T2
s.t. ϕ1 (h2 ) − T2 = ϕ1 (0).
This is the same condition that results in the socially optimal level of
h2 . Thus, consumer 2 chooses h2 = h∗∗ , and, using the constraint, we have
T2 = ϕ1 (h∗∗ ) − ϕ1 (0). Moreover, the offer (h2 , T2 ) is accepted by consumer
1, and the bargaining process implements the social optimum.
Now, we consider the case in which consumer 1 has the right to produce
as much of the externality as she wants. We maintain the same bargaining
mechanism. Consumer 2 can give consumer 1 a take-it-or-leave-it offer
(h1 , T1 ), where the subscript indicates that consumer 1 has the property
right in this situation. However, now, in the event that consumer 1 rejects
the offer, she can choose to produce as much of the externality as she wants,
which means that she will choose to produce h∗ . Thus, the only change
between this situation and the previous case occurs when no agreement is
reached. In this case, consumer 2’s problem is:
max ϕ2 (h1 ) − T1
h1 ,T1
s.t. ϕ1 (h1 ) + T1 = ϕ1 (h∗ ).
682 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
which is also maximized at h1 = h∗∗ , since the FOC is the same. The only
difference is in the transfer. Here, T1 = ϕ1 (h∗ ) − ϕ1 (h∗∗ ).
Though the outcomes of both property-rights arrangements implement
h∗∗ , they have different distributional consequences. Specifically, the trans-
fer payment is positive if consumer 2 has the property rights; whereas, it
is negative when consumer 1 has the property rights. The reason for this
is that consumer 2 has bargaining power in the sense that consumer 1 is
forced to produce 0 units of the externality-producing good when no a-
greement is reached.
Note that in the quasi-linear framework, redistribution of the numeraire
commodity has no effect on social welfare. Irrespective of how the property
rights are assigned, this bilateral bargaining process provides an example
of the Coase Theorem: If trade of the externality can occur, then bargain-
ing will lead to an efficient outcome, regardless of how property rights are
assigned (as long as they are clearly assigned). Note that well-defined, en-
forceable property rights are essential for bargaining to work. If there is a
dispute over who has the right to pollute (or not pollute), then bargaining
may not result in efficiency. An additional requirement for efficiency is that
the bargaining process itself is costless. Note that the government does not
need to know about individual consumers here, i.e., it only needs to define
property rights clearly. Thus, the Coase Theorem provides an argument in
favor of having clear laws and a well-developed judicial system.
However, we know that the quasi-linear function is a highly restric-
tive assumption, which means that there is no income effect. If the Coase
Theorem is only valid for the quasilinear utility function, then it has great
limitations to be applicable for solving consumption externality problem-
s. Therefore, a natural question is, does the Coase Theorem hold for other
types of utility functions? Hurwicz gave a surprising and disappointing
answer . Hurwicz (Japan and the World Economy, 7, 1995, pp. 49-74) argued
14.4. SOLUTIONS TO EXTERNALITIES 683
that, even when the transaction cost is zero and property rights are clearly
defined, the absence of income effects in the demand for the good with an
externality is not only sufficient (which is well known) but also necessary
for the Coase Neutrality Theorem to be true. In other words, when the
transaction cost is negligible, the level of pollution will be independent of
the assignments of property rights if and only if the preferences of the con-
sumers are quasi-linear with respect to the externality-generating private
good.
where ∫
ϕi (h) = e−h bi (h)dh. (14.4.39)
We then have
for (xi , h) ∈ (0, ξ) × (0, η), i = 1, 2. Thus, by the mutual tangency equality
condition for Pareto efficiency, we have
/ /
∂U1 ∂U1 ∂U2 ∂U2
0= + = −x1 − x2 + b1 (h) + b2 (h) = b1 (h) + b2 (h) − ξ,
∂h ∂x1 ∂h ∂x2
(14.4.40)
which is independent of xi . Therefore, if (x1 , x2 , h) is Pareto optimal, and
so is (x′1 , x′2 , h) provided that x1 + x2 = x′1 + x′2 = ξ. In addition, note
684 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
that b′i (h) < 0 (i = 1, 2), b1 (0) + b2 (0) = ξ, and b1 (η) + b2 (η) 5 ξ. Then,
b1 (h) + b2 (h) is strongly monotone, and thus there is a unique h ∈ [0, η],
satisfying (14.4.40). Thus, the contract curve is horizontal, even though
individuals’ preferences need not be quasi-linear.
Example 14.4.2 Suppose that b1 (h) = (1+h)α η η +ξ with α < 0, and b2 (h) =
−hη . Then, for all h ∈ (0, η], b1 (h) > ξ, b2 (h) < 0, b′i (h) < 0 (i = 1, 2),
∫
b1 (0) + b2 (0) > ξ, and b1 (η) + b2 (η) < ξ. Thus, ϕi (h) = e−h bi (h)dh is
∫
concave, and Ui (xi , h) = xi e−h + e−h bi (h)dh is quasi-concave, ∂Ui /∂xi > 0
and ∂U1 /∂h > 0, and ∂U2 /∂h < 0 for (xi , h) ∈ (0, ξ) × (0, η), i = 1, 2, but it
is not quasi-linear in xi .
Chipman and Tian (2012) then investigate the necessity for the “Coase
conjecture”that the level of pollution is independent of the assignments of
property rights. This reduces to developing necessary and sufficient condi-
tions that guarantee that the contract curve is horizontal, so that the set of
Pareto optima for the utility functions is h-constant. This, in turn, reduces
to finding the class of utility functions, such that the mutual tangency (first-
order) condition does not contain xi and, consequently, it is a function, de-
noted by g(h), of h only:
/ /
∂U1 ∂U1 ∂U2 ∂U2
+ = g(h) = 0. (14.4.41)
∂h ∂x1 ∂h ∂x2
∂Ui ∂Ui
Let Fi (xi , h) = ∂h / ∂xi (i = 1, 2), which can be generally expressed as
F (x, h) = 0. (14.4.42)
Thus, the contract curve, i.e., the locus of Pareto-optimal allocations, can be
expressed by a function h = f (x) that is implicitly defined by (14.4.42).
14.4. SOLUTIONS TO EXTERNALITIES 685
h = f (x) = h̄
dh Fx
=− =0
dx Fh
for all x ∈ [0, ξ] and Fh ̸= 0, which means that the function F (x, h) is
independent of x. Then, for all x ∈ [0, ξ],
F (x, h) = xψ1 (h)+(ξ−x)ψ2 (h)+f1 (x, h)+f2 (ξ−x, h)+b1 (h)+b2 (h) ≡ g(h).
(14.4.43)
and /
∂Ui ∂Ui
= Fi (xi , h) = xi ψ(h) + bi (h), (14.4.45)
∂h ∂xi
which is a first-order linear partial differential equation. It can be verified
that the principal integral Ui (xi , h) of (14.4.45) is given by
∫
ψ(h)dh
Ui (xi , h) = xi e + ϕi (h), i = 1, 2 (14.4.46)
with ∫ ∫
ψ(h)dh
ϕi (h) = e bi (h)dh. (14.4.47)
by (14.4.45).
Note that (14.4.46) is a general utility function that contains quasi-linear
utility in xi and the utility function given in (14.4.38) as special cases. In-
deed, it reduces to the quasi-linear utility function when ψ(h) ≡ 0 and to
the utility function given by (14.4.38) when ψ(h) = −1.
To make the mutual tangency (first-order) condition (14.4.41) also be
sufficient for the contract curve to be horizontal in a pollution economy, we
assume that for all h ∈ (0, η], x1 ψ(h)+b1 (h) > 0, x2 ψ(h)+b2 (h) < 0, ψ ′ (h) 5
0, b′i (h) < 0 (i = 1, 2), ξψ(0)+b1 (0)+b2 (0) = 0, and ξψ(η)+b1 (η)+b2 (η) 5 0.
We then have for (xi , h) ∈ (0, ξ) × (0, η), i = 1, 2,
∫
ψ(h)
∂Ui /∂xi = e > 0, i = 1, 2,
∫
ψ(h)
∂U1 /∂h = e [x1 ψ(h) + b1 (h)] > 0,
∫
ψ(h)
∂U2 /∂h = e [x2 ψ(h) + b2 (h)] < 0,
and thus
/ /
∂U1 ∂U1 ∂U2 ∂U2
0 = +
∂h ∂x1 ∂h ∂x2
= (x1 + x2 )ψ(h) + b1 (h) + b2 (h)
= ξψ(h) + b1 (h) + b2 (h), (14.4.48)
where h and bi are arbitrary functions, such that the Ui (xi , h) are differentiable,
∂Ui /∂xi > 0, and ∂U1 /∂h > 0, but ∂U2 /∂h < 0 for (xi , h) ∈ (0, ξ) × (0, η),
i = 1, 2.
(1) The economic core may be empty, and thus no Pareto opti-
mum exists. An example of this for a three-agent economy
was presented by Aivazian and Callen (1981).
(4) Arrow (1979) argued that the Coase Theorem relies on a bar-
gaining process and finally forms a cooperative game, which
depends on the assumption of complete information. Obvi-
ously, in practice, the information is not complete and may
lead to free-rider problems.
Thus, the hypothesis that negotiations over externalities will mimic trades
in a competitive equilibrium is, as Coase himself conceded, not one that
can be logically derived from his assumptions, but must be regarded as
an empirical conjecture that may or may not be confirmed by the data.
Consequently, room for much theoretical work remains in order to provide
Coasian economics with rigorous underpinnings .
π1 = px x1 − rx1 − c1 (x1 ),
π2 = py y + rx2 − e2 (x2 ) − cy (y).
mation problem?
Varian (1994) proposed an incentive mechanism which encourages firm-
s to correctly reveal the costs that they impose on others. Here, we discuss
this mechanism. In brief, a mechanism consists of a message space and an
outcome function (rules of game). We will introduce in detail mechanism
design theory in Part VI. Varian’s incentive mechanism allows firms to form
a Pareto efficient tax rate through a game. The regulatory department does
not know the individual’s information, and thus it is necessary to induce
individuals’ information about their economic characteristics to implement
efficient tax rates t1 and t2 through an incentive compatible mechanism.
Varian’s mechanism is designed in a way that firms proposes a tax rate
for each other. If the tax rates set by the two parties are different, they
then will be punished. The mechanism proposed by Varian is divided in-
to two stages. In the first stage, firms independently propose tax rates for
each other, which captures the idea of competitive markets, and no firm
can control the tax rate imposed on itself. If one can determine its tax rate,
then rent-seeking occurs. In the second stage, the mechanism designer dis-
tributes interests according to the information of both parties. Finally, the
individuals make the decision of production and output according to the
rules determined by the mechanism, and the equilibrium outcome is Pareto
efficient.
Strategy Space (Message Space): M = M1 × M2 with Mi = {(ti , xi )},
i = 1, 2, where t1 is interpreted as a Pigovian tax proposed by firm 1 and x1
is the proposed level of output by firm 1, and t2 is interpreted as a Pigovian
tax proposed by firm 2 and y2 is the proposed level of output by firm 2.
The mechanism has two stages:
Stage 1 (Announcement stage): Firms 1 and 2 name Pigovian tax rates
respectively, ti , i = 1, 2, which may or may not be the efficient level of such
a tax rate.
Stage 2 (Choice stage): If firm 1 produces x units of pollution, firm 1
must pay t2 x to firm 2. Thus, each firm takes the tax rate as given. Firm 2
receives t1 x units as compensation. Each firm pays a penalty, (t1 − t2 )2 , if
they announce different tax rates.
692 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
Since this is a two-stage game, we may use the subgame perfect equilib-
rium, i.e., an equilibrium in which each firm takes into account the reper-
cussions of its first-stage choice on the outcomes in the second stage. As
usual, we solve this game by looking at stage 2 first.
1
x′ (t2 ) = − < 0. (14.4.52)
c0x (x)
Stage 1: Each firm will choose the tax rates t1 and t2 to maximize their
payoffs.
For Firm 1,
2(t1 − t2 ) = 0,
and thus
t∗1 = t2 . (14.4.54)
For Firm 2,
This section deals with emissions trading. Emissions trading is also called
cap and trade (CAT), which is a market-based approach to controlling pol-
lution by providing economic incentives for achieving reductions in the
emissions of pollutants. In contrast to command-and-control environmen-
tal regulations, such as best available technology (BAT) standards and gov-
ernment subsidies, emissions trading programs are a type of flexible envi-
ronmental regulation that allows organizations to decide how best to meet
policy targets.
We will discuss the governance of pollution and focus on how to achieve
efficient allocations of pollution rights through markets, so that pollution
can be efficiently controlled. In the 1990s, some European and American
countries established emission permit markets for pollutants and achieved
relative success. Their application has also been gradually extended to oth-
er countries. This section focuses on the intrinsic mechanism, efficiency,
and possible limitations of the emissions trading market. The discussion
in this section refers to the analysis of emissions trading markets by Leach
(2004) and Newell and Stavins (2003).
An important issue regarding pollution charges and emission caps is in-
formation. Since the government does not have the information on technol-
ogy of firms, discharge of pollutants usually do not reach the level of Pigo-
vian tax, nor can it achieve the most efficient level of pollution abatemen-
t. In addition, in environmental pollution, the negotiations between firms
and residents are faced with excessive transaction costs, such as free-rider
problems, and thus cannot achieve efficient pollution control. However,
cap-and-trade can usually reduce information requirements and transac-
tion costs through market mechanisms.
Below is a simple example to discuss the efficiency of the emission right-
s market.
Consider an economy with two firms. There is no externality between
the two firms, and they may discharge pollutants. Without control, firm i
will produce pollution of ē. Let ai denote the volume of emission abate-
14.5. EMISSIONS TRADING AND EFFICIENT ALLOCATION OF POLLUTION RIGHTS695
a2i
ment. Assume that the cost of emission abatement is Ci = ci 2 . The two
firms have different costs of emission reduction. Suppose that c1 < c2 , the
total social emission regulated by the government is 2ê, and the emission
cap for every firm is ê < ē.
If the emission rights of two firms cannot be exchanged, then the mission
2
abatement cost for firm i is Ci = ci (ē−ê)
2 , and the total cost of emission
2
abatement is (c1 + c2 ) (ē−ê)
2 . The marginal costs of emission abatements
for firm 1 and firm 2 are c1 (ē − ê) and c2 (ē − ê), respectively. Since two
firms’ marginal costs of emission abatement are different, the total cost of
social emission abatement is not minimized. If firm 2 transfers 1 unit of
emission rights to firm 1, the social emission abatement cost is reduced by
(c2 − c1 )(ē − ê). The establishment of an emission rights market will reduce
the total cost of emission abatement without affecting total emissions.
a21
min c1 + p(ē − ê − a1 ) (14.5.59)
a1 2
s.t. a1 5 ē, (14.5.60)
Similarly, we can get the demand of emission rights for firm 2, d2 (p).
and satisfies
p < c1 ē.
c2 − c1
ê > ē .
2c2
In other words, if firm 1’s cap is sufficiently large, then the firm will retain
14.5. EMISSIONS TRADING AND EFFICIENT ALLOCATION OF POLLUTION RIGHTS697
c2 − c1
−d1 = d2 = (ē − ê) . (14.5.64)
c1 + c2
From the formula (14.5.64), we can see that the greater is the difference
in the emissions technologies of the two firms, the greater is the scale of the
emissions trading. Through emissions trading, the social emission abate-
ment costs can be minimized. In equilibrium, the emission abatement cost
of the society is
[ ]−1
1 1 c1 + c2
C1 + C2 = 2(ē − ê)2 + < (ē − ê)2 .
c1 c2 2
p
ē − 2ê − = 0,
c2
and satisfies
p > c1 ē,
obtaining
c2 − c1
ê < ē .
2c2
The volume of emissions trading is
−d1 = d2 = ê.
c1 2 c2 c1 + c2
(ē) + (ē − 2ê)2 < (ē − ê)2 .
2 2 2
14.6 Biographies
Arthur Cecil Pigou (1877 - 1959) was a British economist, and one of the
leading representatives of the Cambridge School. Pigou was born into a
military family in England and was admitted to the University of Cam-
bridge, where he first studied history. Later, he changed his focus to eco-
nomics under the influence of Marshall. In 1908, Pigou became a Professor
of Political Economy at the University of Cambridge in succession to Alfred
Marshall, and held the post until 1943. Pigou inherited Marshall’s academ-
ic tradition and analytical framework to a large extent. In addition, he also
served as a Fellow of the Royal Society, Honorary President of the Interna-
tional Economic Association, a member of the Cunliffe Committee on the
Currency and Foreign Exchange, and a member of the Royal Commission
on Income Tax. He proposed the concept of “economic welfare”in his
representative works The Economics of Welfare, Industrial Fluctuations and A
Study in Public Finance. He advocated the equalization of national income
and established the cardinal utility theory. Pigou was the first to systemati-
cally study externality from the perspective of welfare economics. Based on
the concept of “external economy”put forward by Marshall, he expand-
ed the concept and content of “external diseconomy”. This expansion
turned from the effect of external factors on business to the impact of busi-
ness or residents on other businesses or residents.
The Economics of Welfare published in 1920 was Pigou’s most famous
representative work. This textbook systemized welfare economics, and
marked the establishment of Pigou’s complete theoretical system. Its inter-
pretation of welfare economics has long been regarded as “classic”, and
therefore Pigou was also known as the “father of welfare economics”.
Pigou believed that the purpose of this textbook was to study the impor-
tant factors that affect economic welfare in real life. The entire book was
centered on how to increase social welfare. Pigou proposed the so-called
Pigovian tax, which advocates subsidies for activities that have positive
externalities.
700 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
Ronald Harry Coase (1910 - 2013) was the originator of the new institution-
al economics, founder of property rights theory, and a representative of the
Chicago School of Economics. He was awarded the 1991 Nobel Memori-
al Prize in Economic Sciences for his discovery and analysis of the role of
transaction costs and property rights in institutional structure and opera-
tion.
Coase was born on 29 December 1910 in a small town, named Willes-
den, outside of London. In his childhood, Coase had to wear leg-irons to
help support his legs. Due to physical limitations, young Coase had to at-
tend a school for the physically disabled. Through his own unremitting
efforts, Coase successfully entered the London School of Economics and
obtained a Bachelor of Commerce degree at the age of 22. After six years of
teaching at this school, Coase received a doctoral degree from the Universi-
ty of London in 1951. He then came to the U.S. and taught at the University
of Buffalo and the University of Virginia. Subsequently, he became a pro-
fessor at the University of Chicago.
Coase only wrote a few papers in his life. The most famous of these
were “The Nature of the Firm”published in 1937 and “The Problem of
Social Cost”published in 1960. These two papers are probably the most
widely cited works in all economics literature. Although he seldom used
mathematics, his articles were logically clear. He introduced and adopted
the concept of transaction costs and clarified property rights to investigate
the boundaries and externalities of the firm. He introduced the institution
14.6. BIOGRAPHIES 701
and the firm into mainstream economics, which had previously focused
on interpreting how the market price system works. He demonstrated the
relationship of the firm, property rights, contracts, and markets, as well as
the important role of these factors in economic development. His economic
ideas were profound, and had a far-reaching influence on the developmen-
t of modern economics. Indeed, various subfields of economics, such as
the economics of property rights, information economics, mechanism de-
sign theory, contract theory, and transition economics, have all been greatly
influenced by Coase’s ideas.
In his paper, entitled “The Nature of the Firm”, he explained how the
firm was formed from a distinctive perspective. This paper was later wide-
ly considered as having a paradigm-changing effect on economics. From
the perspective of “transaction costs”, Coase provided reasons for how
firms emerged. Coase believed that there were costs in market transaction-
s. These costs include bargaining, costs of contracts formation and imple-
mentation, and time costs. Coase also asserted that when market transac-
tion costs are higher than coordination costs within the firm, then the firm
emerges. The existence of the firm occurs to save market transaction cost-
s by replacing higher-cost market transactions with lower-cost intra-firm
transactions. This distinctive research perspective is still heralded by the
economics community.
Coase’s research seldom involves mathematics. In his seminal 1960 pa-
per “The Problem of Social Cost”, he used a written discourse to deal
with the economic problem of externalities, and to demonstrate the defini-
tion of property rights and the importance of property rights arrangement
in economic transactions. George Joseph Stigler (1911 - 1991), winner of the
1982 Nobel Prize in Economics, further classified Coase’s theory as “under
perfect competition, private and social costs will be equal”, and eventu-
ally formed the well-known “Coase Theorem”. The importance of the
Coase Theorem lies in the revelation that, apart from price, property right-
s arrangement and transaction costs have a major impact on institutional
arrangements. The Coase Theorem is divided into two parts. As long as
the transaction cost is zero and the property rights are clearly defined: (1)
the level of the externality will be the same, regardless of the assignment
702 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
of property rights, known as the Coase Neutrality Theorem; and (2) with
voluntary exchanges and voluntary negotiations, clearly defined property
rights will lead to efficient allocation of resources. In other words, with
market mechanisms, through voluntary trading and negotiations, contrac-
tual arrangements that achieve the best interests of all individuals can be
determined. This conclusion is called the Coase Efficiency Theorem. Coase
further argued that, even if there are transaction costs, the parties involved
in the interaction will find a less costly institutional arrangement through
the contract when the property rights are clearly defined.
Coase’s economic theory and his insights have spread widely in China,
which has always been in the process of economic reforms, making him
one of the most cited contemporary economists among Chinese economist-
s. Coase also enjoyed a remarkably long life, and passed away at the age of
102.
14.7 Exercises
2. If the orchard and the apiary merge, what is the output of fruit and
honey, respectively?
3. Do the markets for fruit and honey result in Pareto efficient alloca-
tions? Why?
14.7. EXERCISES 703
Exercise 14.2 Consider an economy with two goods and two consumers.
The utility functions of the two consumers are
Exercise 14.3 Consider a pure exchange economy with two goods and two
consumers. The first good is “music”, and the second good is “bread”.
The consumption space is Xi = R2+ , i = 1, 2. The aggregate initial endow-
ment is (wm , wb ). The utility functions of the two consumers are
3/5 2/5
u1 (m1 , b1 ) = m1 b1 − k1 ,
3/5 2/5
u2 (m2 , b2 ) = m2 b2 − k2 ,
in which m1 and m2 are music consumptions, and b1 and b2 are bread con-
sumptions of consumer 1 and 2, respectively, and k1 and k2 are constant
parameters.
3/5 2/5
b1 (m1 , m2 , b1 ) = m1 b1
u − m2 ,
3/5 2/5
b2 (m1 , m2 , b2 ) = m2 b2
u − m1 .
704 CHAPTER 14. EXTERNALITIES
One explanation to the above utility functions is that, while one per-
son’s consumption of music increases her own utility, it also interferes
with the quiet environment of the other, thereby reducing the utility
of the other.
(a) What is the critical value w̄m of the aggregate initial endowment,
such that exhaustion of resources beyond the critical value will
result in Pareto inefficient allocation?
(c) Suppose that w1 = (3/2, 1/2) and w2 = (1/2, 3/2). Solve for
the competitive equilibrium. Is the competitive allocation Pareto
optimal?
1 y1 − x 2 ,
u1 (x1 , y1 ) = x0.3 0.7
2 y2 − x 1 .
u2 (x2 , y2 ) = x0.3 0.7
1. Solve for w̄x , such that if wx > w̄x , any attainable (balanced) allocation
is not Pareto efficient.
3. Suppose that w1 = (2, 1), w2 = (1, 2), and solve for competitive equi-
librium. Is the competitive allocation Pareto efficient? Why?
Exercise 14.5 Consider the economy of two commodities and two consumer-
s. The consumption space is Xi = R2+ , i = 1, 2. Commodity m represents
all commodities that can be purchased with money. Commodity n char-
acterizes all commodities that cannot be purchased with money, such as
14.7. EXERCISES 705
freedom and family life. In other words, commodity m represents the com-
posite of all goods that can be included in GDP, while commodity n cannot.
The utility function of consumer i is:
3. Do you think that the conclusion of this question can explain the fol-
lowing paradox: The individual’s happiness index may not increase
with the country’s wealth?
3. Compare the Pareto efficient outcome with the Nash equilibrium out-
come. What kind of tax rate can result in Pareto optimal outcomes?
1. Prove that free grazing does not maximize the total welfare of the
grazing land.
Exercise 14.8 Two persons have to decide separately how fast they should
drive an automobile. Individual i chooses driving speed xi to obtain the u-
tility of ui (xi ) and u′i (xi ) > 0. However, the faster the automobile, the more
likely there will be an automobile accident. Let P (x1 , x2 ) be the probability
of an accident, and it is an increasing function of x1 and x2 . Let ci > 0 be
the cost to individual i in the event of an accident. Each person’s utility is
linear with regard to currency.
1. Prove that the individual’s choice of driving speed is faster than the
requirement for social welfare maximization.
2. Solve for the Pareto optimal quantity of fishing boats, and prove that
it is less than the equilibrium quantity.
4. Suppose that the lake belongs to someone. How does the owner
choose the number of fishing boats?
3. Now, suppose that a specific duty, denoted t2B , is levied on the con-
sumption of commodity 2 by consumer B. What will happen to the
utility maximization problem of consumer B?
4. Can the method of taxing restore the Pareto efficient allocation? Why?
2. Explain why the system is not efficient, in general, and cannot en-
courage minimal-cost abatements, and under what circumstances the
system is efficient.
1. When the damage function of pollution is convex and linear, find so-
cially optimal emissions of the two firms.
1. How does the firm’s optimal reported emissions and actual emissions
change with the regulatory intensity ρ?
14.7. EXERCISES 709
2. Does the increase of regulatory intensity for the firm that reports greater
than zero emissions reduce its actual emissions?
1. Suppose that the property rights are not clearly defined, pollution has
already occurred, and the two fishermen can negotiate. What is the
result?
2. Suppose that the property rights are owned by the chemical plant,
and the chemical plant and the two fishermen can negotiate. What is
the result?
3. Now, suppose that the property rights belong to the two fishermen,
and the chemical plant and the two fishermen can negotiate. What is
the result?
2. Suppose that both have the Cobb-Douglas utility function. Does the
argument of the Coase Neutrality Theorem still hold? Illustrate your
answer with a diagram.
Exercise 14.17 The Coase Efficiency Theorem states the following: If prop-
erty rights are clearly defined and transaction costs are zero, the negotiation
of externalities will lead to Pareto optimal outcomes.
Exercise 14.18 (Kolstad, 2000) Suppose that there are two polluting firms
with hidden characteristics θ. For both firms, θ does not have to be equal.
Suppose that θ can take a value of 1 or 2. The revenue of firm i is Si (hi , θi ) =
(1−θi hi )2
1− 2θi . The damage resultant from pollution is D(h1 + h2 ) = (h1 +
h2 )2 /2.
1. Suppose that the regulator knows each firm’s θ: θ1 and θ2 . For all pos-
sible combinations of θ1 and θ2 , what is the socially optimal pollution
for each firm: h∗1 (θ1 , θ2 ), h∗2 (θ1 , θ2 )?
2. Now, suppose that the regulator does not know θ, but asks each firm
to report θ. After receiving reports from each firm, each firm i will be
charged a fee of Ti (hi , θi ). This fee is based on the reported θi by firm
i, the reported θj by firm j, and real emissions hi :
Before firms report their θ values, all of above specifications are com-
mon knowledge. Prove that it is in the best interest of each firm to
report the true θ and take the socially optimal pollution level h∗ .
14.8. REFERENCES 711
14.8 References
Papers:
Andel, N. (1966). “Some Note on Equating Private and Social Cost: Com-
ment”, Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 3, 112.
Coase, R. (1960). “The Problem of Social Cost”, The Journal of Law and
Economics, Vol. 3, 1-44.
Hurwicz, L. (1995). “What Is the Coase Theorem”, Japan and the World
Economy, Vol. 7, 49-74.
Public Goods
15.1 Introduction
715
716 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
lic parks, public projects, etc. The purest public good is national defense. It
protects all citizens of a nation from aggression.
Local Public Goods: when there is a location restriction for the provision
of a public good.
The non-exclusivity of public goods may result in a free-rider problem.
For example, individuals want to get benefits from, but do not want to
contribute to, a public project. The inefficiency of state-owned enterprises
also originated from the free-rider problem. These enterprises usually lack
a proper incentive to make efforts, i.e., everyone wants to enjoy the efforts
provided by others. Even if the competitive market is an efficient system
for allocating private goods, it is not an efficient mechanism for allocating
public goods.
There are three possible ways that might be used to solve this prob-
lem: (1) forming social norms and cultures of donation habits, although it
is difficult to achieve in the short term, and the effect is limited; (2) remold-
ing one’s ideology by taking altruism and work as happiness, although the
reality is cruel and it is ineffective, unless the genes that pursue personal
interests are altered; and (3) in situations in which social norms and cul-
tures, such as donation habits, are difficult to form in the short run and
individuals’ ideological consciousness cannot be markedly improved, in-
centive mechanism design shall be adopted by respecting the fact that in-
dividuals’ ideological realm is limited as a constraint condition on a case-
by-case basis. A comprehensive governance approach that combines in-
centive mechanism with social norms and regulations can better solve the
free-rider problem in the presence of public goods.
• Zi ⊆ R L
+ × R+ : the consumption space of consumer i.
K
• Z ⊆ RnL
+ × R+ : consumption space.
K
• xi ∈ R L
+ : a consumption of private goods by consumer i.
• y ∈ RK
+ : a consumption/production of public goods.
• wi ∈ RL
+ : the initial endowment of private goods for consumer i. For
simplicity, it is assumed that there is no public goods endowment, but
they can be produced from private goods.
• f : RL
+ → R+ : production function with y = f (v).
K
problem, the economic environments can be more general to allow for pro-
duction possibility sets of general form, an arbitrary number of firms, and
either public or private goods as input or output. For a detailed discussion,
see Foley (1970) and Milleron (1972).
∑
n ∑
n
xi + v 5 wi , (15.2.1)
i=1 i=1
and
y = f (v). (15.2.2)
Definition 15.2.3 An allocation (x, y) is weakly Pareto efficient for the public
goods economy e if it is feasible and there is no other feasible allocation
(x′ , y ′ ), such that (x′i , y ′ ) ≻i (xi , y) for all consumers i.
Remark 15.2.1 Unlike private goods economies, even under the assump-
tions of continuity and strong monotonicity, a weakly Pareto efficient allo-
cation may not be Pareto efficient for public goods economies. The follow-
ing proposition is ascribed to Tian (1988).
Proposition 15.2.1 For public goods economies, a weakly Pareto efficient alloca-
tion may not be Pareto efficient, even if preferences satisfy strong monotonicity and
continuity.
For simplicity, consider a public good economy with n consumers and two
goods: one private good and one public good.
Discrete public goods, also called public projects, are indivisible. It is
assumed that the units of public goods provided are normalized to 1. This
can also be interpreted as a logical variable of 0 or 1: 1 for providing public
projects, and 0 for not providing public projects.
Let gi be the contribution made by consumer i, so that
x i + g i = wi ;
∑
n
gi = v.
i=1
Let c be the cost of providing the public project, so that the production
technology is given by
∑n
1 if =c
i=1 gi
y=
0 otherwise
Inequality (15.3.3) implies that providing the public project will bring
higher utilities for all consumers than not providing the public project.
Then, from the perspective of social optimality, the public good should
be provided. Therefore, as long as we know the utility function of each
individual, we know their willingness-to-pay, and thus we know whether
providing the public good is Pareto efficient.
If providing the public project Pareto dominates not providing the pub-
lic project, we have
Then, we have
ri > gi , (15.3.7)
and thus
∑
n ∑
n
ri > gi = c. (15.3.8)
i=1 i=1
In other words, the sum of the willingness-to-pay for the public good must
exceed the cost of providing it. This condition is necessary. In fact, this
condition is also sufficient. In summary, we have the following proposition.
Proposition 15.3.1 Providing a public good Pareto dominates not providing the
∑n ∑n
public good if and only if i=1 ri > i=1 gi = c.
ri = 100 i = 1, 2;
c = 150 (total cost);
150/2 = 75 if both agents make contributions;
gi =
150 if only agent i makes contribution.
Person 2
Contribute Not Contribute
Person 1 Contribute (25,25) (-50,100)
Not Contribute (100,-50) (0,0)
contribution). Thus, although the public project benefits both agents, no-
body wants to share the cost of producing the public project, but wants to
free-ride on the other consumer. As a result, the public good is not provid-
ed at all, even though it would be more efficient to do so. Thus, voluntary
contribution, in general, does not result in an efficient level of the public
good provision.
The above-mentioned problem is typically a prisoner’s dilemma. This
phenomenon is common in practice, causing both participants to be worse
off. For example, if two firms conspire to monopolize prices, they can
gain higher profits, but if one side lowers its price slightly, it can attrac-
t more customers. Consequently, as the Bertrand model predicted, each
party has an incentive to reduce the price, and ultimately the price reaches
the marginal cost level. This illustrates the basic conclusion that inefficient
allocation often results from self-consciousness and self-dedication only.
The amount of a public good is also often determined by voting. Will this
generally result in an efficient provision? The answer, in general, is nega-
tive.
Voting does not result in efficient provision. Consider the following
example.
Example 15.3.1
c = 120
r1 = 80, r2 = 35, r3 = 35.
This example also shows that democracy and efficiency are often incom-
patible in decentralized decision-making, because voters are usually driv-
en by their own interests. To overcome the possible inconsistency between
democracy and efficiency, a criterion of whether democratic decision-making
should be adopted is that the higher is the level, the more respect for pub-
lic opinion is given in the election of leaders, and the more democratic
decision-making should be adopted in the selection of leaders. Because
leaders’ decisions of directions and strategies have tremendous external-
ities, it is necessary to elect/select a person who respects public opinion,
cares about the total welfare of a society, and is responsible to the voter-
s; otherwise, they will not be elected/selected for public office in the next
term.
However, once a person is elected/selected, since she is accountable to
the voters, the implementation of her goals and specific decisions should
be efficient; otherwise, if her daily decisions are often rejected by her staff
or team members, how can she be responsible for the voters? As such,
constantly applying the simple majority rule to every specific issue may
often lead to inefficient outcomes. Therefore, even in a democratic system,
the major leader of an organization (e.g., presidents of a nation or of a u-
niversity) usually has the power to nominate her deputies and the entire
leadership team. Of course, if a unit fails to improve and does not perform
well, the people will not be satisfied after the end of a term of office, and
then the existing leaders may not be reelected. Thus, the top leaders have
incentives to fulfill their commitments to the people. This is essentially the
structure of government departments and enterprises.
An example is the professors’ committee at universities. Its duty is to
evaluate the academic performance and promotion of faculty members,
rather than getting involved in the details of daily executive work. If every
professor has a voting right to support her own field of specialty, then an
inefficient outcome, as described in the above example, may arise.
724 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
The above analysis shows that neither market nor democratic voting
procedures could lead to the efficient provision of public goods. The so-
lution to this problem is quite challenging to achieve, and depends on the
design of proper incentive mechanisms. We will discuss the VCG (Vickrey-
Clarke-Groves) mechanism in Chapter 18, which may elicit the efficien-
t provision of public goods and truth-telling of voters.
Similar results can also be obtained for the provision of continuous public
goods. Again, for simplicity, we assume that there is only one public good
and one private good that may be regarded as money, and y = f (v), where
y is the production of public good, and v is the input of private good used
in producing the public good.
∑
n
max ai ui (xi , y)
(x,y)
i=1
∑
n ∑
n
s.t. xi + v 5 wi ,
i=1 i=1
y 5 f (v).
the FOCs:
∂ui
ai − λ 5 0, with equality if xi > 0; (15.4.10)
∂xi
µf ′ (v) − λ 5 0, with equality if v > 0; (15.4.11)
∑
n
∂ui
ai − µ 5 0, with equality if y > 0. (15.4.12)
i=1
∂y
ai f ′ (v)
= ∂ui . (15.4.13)
µ ∂x i
∂ui
∑
n
∂y 1
= . (15.4.14)
∂ui
i=1 ∂xi
f ′ (v)
The result shows that the provision level of the public good and the
consumption of the private good are jointly determined.
Example 15.4.1 Consider an economy with one public good, one private
726 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
ui = ai ln y + ln xi ,
y = v.
and thus ai
∑
n
y
∑
n
ai xi ∑
1 = =1⇒ ai xi = y, (15.4.17)
i=1 xi i=1
y
which implies that the level of the public good depends on the private good
consumptions of all agents and is not uniquely determined.
∑
n
1
u′i (y) = ≡ c′ (y), (15.4.19)
i=1
f ′ (v)
ui = ai ln y + xi ,
y = v.
and thus
∑
n
ai ∑
=1⇒ ai = y, (15.4.21)
i=1
y
We gave the conditions for Pareto efficiency in the presence of public good-
s. The next issue is to determine how to achieve Pareto efficient allocations
under decentralized decision-making of individuals. In an economy with
only private goods, as long as the local non-satiation assumption is satis-
fied, every competitive equilibrium allocation is Pareto efficient.
However, with public goods, a competitive mechanism in general can-
not result in Pareto efficient allocations. Indeed, if public goods are allo-
cated through a competitive market, the equilibrium outcome is the same
as the one for private goods economies, i.e., the marginal rate of substitu-
tion of two goods for all individuals is equal to the price ratio of the cor-
responding goods and then equal to the marginal rate of technical substi-
tution, which does not satisfy the Lindahl-Samuelson condition. As such,
the competitive mechanism leads to inefficient allocations in the presence
of public goods.
For instance, if we solve for competitive equilibrium in an economy
with one private good, one public good and two consumers, then utility
maximizing behavior would equalize the MRS of y for x and its relative
price, e.g.,
A B py
M RSyx = M RSyx = ,
px
which violates the Lindahl-Samuelson condition. Thus, in a public goods
economy, market failure occurs.
Then, what economic mechanism should be adopted to achieve Pare-
to efficient allocations in public goods economies? We know that, in the
private goods economy, the Walrasian mechanism can result in efficient re-
source allocation. In the presence of public goods, one possible institutional
arrangement is the Lindahl mechanism.
In the early 20th century, Lindahl proposed an institutional arrange-
728 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
∑
n ∑
n
xi + v 5 wi . (15.4.22)
i=1 i=1
Let qi ∈ RK
+ be the personalized price vector of consumer i for
consuming the public goods y.
∑n
Let q̂ = i=1 qi be the market price vector of y.
Let p ∈ RL
+ be the price vector of private goods.
∑n ∑n ∗ ∑n
where v ∗ = t=1 wi − ∗
i=1 xi , t=1 qi = q̂ ∗ .
∑
n ∑
n
p∗ x∗i = p∗ wi + q̂ ∗ y ∗ .
i=1 i=1
Thus, the budget constraint (i) holds with equality at Lindahl equilibrium
for every consumer.
(i) Zi = RL+K
+ ;
(ii) wi > 0;
∂ui
∂y qi
= , (15.4.23)
∂ui 1
∂xi
∑
n
M RSyxi = q̂,
i=1
Example 15.4.3 Solve for the Lindahl equilibrium of the following public
goods economy:
The demand functions for private goods xi and public goods yi of con-
sumer i are given by
x i = α i wi , (15.4.24)
(1 − αi )wi
yi = . (15.4.25)
qi
qi y ∗ = (1 − αi )wi . (15.4.26)
732 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
∑
n
∗
q̂y = (1 − αi )wi .
i=1
Then, we have ∑n
∗ i=1 (1 − αi )wi
y = .
q̂
Thus, by (15.4.26), we have
Theorem 15.5.1 (The First Welfare Theorem for Public Goods Economy)
For a public goods economy e = (e1 , . . . , en , Y ), every Lindahl allocation (x∗ , y ∗ )
with the price system (q1∗ , · · · , qn∗ , p∗ ) is weakly Pareto efficient. Furthermore, if
local non-satiation is satisfied, it is Pareto efficient.
We first show
p∗ xi + qi∗ y < p∗ wi .
Then, by local non-satiation, there is (x′i , y ′ ), such that (x′i , y ′ ) ≻ (xi , y) <i
(x∗i , y ∗ ) and p∗ x′i + qi∗ y ′ < p∗ wi , contradicting the fact that (x∗i , y ∗ ) is con-
sumer i’s utility maximizing consumption bundle.
For consumer k, since (x∗k , y ∗ ) is consumer k’s optimal choice, by (xk , y) ≻k
(x∗k , y ∗ ), we must have
∑
n ∑
n ∑
n
p ∗ xi + qi∗ y > p∗ wi , (15.5.28)
i=1 i=1 i=1
i.e.,
∑
n
q̂ ∗ y + p∗ (xi − wi ) = q̂ ∗ y + p∗ v > 0.
i=1
Theorem 15.5.2 (The First Welfare Theorem of LE with Transfers) For a pub-
lic goods economy e = (e1 ,. . . ,en , Y ), every Lindahl equilibrium allocation (x∗ , y ∗ )
with transfers and price system(qi∗ ,· · · ,qn∗ , p∗) is weakly Pareto efficient. Further-
more, if consumers’ preferences are locally non-satiated, then it is Pareto efficient.
P ROOF . The proof is analogous to the proof of Theorem 15.5.1, and is thus
omitted. 2
Remark 15.5.1 Every allocation in the core is Pareto efficient and individ-
ually rational, i.e., (xi , y) <i (wi , 0), ∀i = 1, 2, . . . , n.
Similar to the proof of the Economic Core Theorem for private goods,
we can show that every Lindahl equilibrium allocation has the core prop-
erty under local non-satiation of preferences.
15.5. WELFARE PROPERTIES OF LINDAHL EQUILIBRIUM 735
Theorem 15.5.4 (The Second Welfare Theorem for a Public Goods Economy)
For a public goods economy e = (e1 , · · · , en , {Yj }), suppose that <i is continu-
ous, convex, and strongly monotone, Y is a closed convex set, and 0 ∈ Y . Then, for
every Pareto efficient allocation (x∗ , y ∗ ) with interior-point private consumption
(i.e., x∗ ∈ RnL
++ ), there exists a nonzero price vector (q1 , · · · , qn , p) ∈ R+
L+nK
,
such that ((x, y), (q1 , · · · , qn ), p) is a Lindahl equilibrium with transfers, i.e.,
there exists an assignment of wealth levels after transfers (I1 , · · · , In ) satisfying
∑ ∑
i Ii =p· i wi , such that
∑
n
P (x∗ , y ∗ ) = {(y1′ , · · · , yn′ ; −v ′ ) : v ′ = (x′i − wi ) & (x′i , yi′ ) ≻i (x∗i , y ∗ )}.
i=1
∑
n ∑
n
qi yi′ − pv ′ = qi yi − pv. (15.5.29)
i=1 i=1
2. (q1 , · · · , qn , p) = 0, and p ̸= 0.
Consequently,
qik = 0, k = 1, 2, · · · , K; i = 1, 2, · · · , n. (15.5.31)
pli = 0, l = 1, 2, · · · , L. (15.5.32)
∑ ∑
3. For all i, if (xi , y) < (x∗i , y ∗ ), then i pxi + q̂y = ∗
i pxi + q̂y ∗ .
∑ ∑
px′i + q̂y ′ = px∗i + q̂y ∗ .
i i
∑ ∑
Let x′i → xi . We have i pxi + q̂y = ∗
i pxi + q̂y ∗ .
∑ ∑ ∑
pxi + qi y + (px∗m + qm y ∗ ) = px∗j + qi y ∗ ,
m̸=i j i
therefore
pxi + qi y = px∗i + qi y ∗ .
Since x∗ ∈ RnL
++ , from step 2 where we have (q1 , · · · , qn , p) = 0 and
p ̸= 0, we already know that pxi + qi y = px∗i + qi y ∗ > 0; therefore,
λ = 1, which contradicts the fact that λ < 1.
Thus, all of the conditions of the Lindahl equilibrium with transfers are
satisfied. 2
When the MRS is known, Pareto efficient allocation (x, y) can be deter-
mined from the Lindahl-Samuelson condition or the Lindahl solution. Sub-
sequently, the contribution of each consumer is given by gi = wi − xi .
However, since individuals’ preferences are private information, a social
planner does not normally know the information about MRS. Of course, it
would be naive to think that each individual will truthfully reveal her pref-
erences and determine the willingness-to-pay based on the revealed infor-
mation. Since all economic agents are self-interested, generally they will
not tell the true MRS, so they may be able to make a smaller contribution.
15.6. FREE-RIDER PROBLEM 739
To see this, note that the social goal is to reach Pareto efficient allocations
for a public goods economy. However, from the perspective of personal
interest, the utility maximization problem of each person is the following:
subject to
gi ∈ [0, wi ];
xi + gi = wi ;
∑
n
y = f gi + gj .
j̸=i
That is, each consumer i maximizes her payoffs when others’ strategies g−i
are given. From this problem, we can form a non-cooperative game:
Γ = (Gi , ϕi )ni=1 ,
For the game Γ = (Gi , ϕi )ni=1 , the strategy g∗ = (g1∗ , · · · , gn∗ ) is a Nash
Equilibrium if
740 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
ϕi (gi∗ , g−i
∗ ∗
) = ϕi (gi , g−i ) ∀gi ∈ Gi , ∀i = 1, 2, · · · , n,
∂ϕi (g∗ )
5 0, with equality if gi > 0, ∀ i = 1, · · · , n. (15.6.36)
∂gi
Thus, we have
∂ϕi ∂ui ∂ui ′ ∗ ∑
n
= (−1) + f gi + gj 5 0, with equality if gi > 0.
∂gi ∂xi ∂y j̸=i
∂ui
∂y 1
= ∑ ,
∂ui
∂xi
f ′ (gi∗ + j̸=i gj )
and thus
i
M RSyx i
= M RT Syv ,
Figure 15.1: Free-rider results in a lower provision of public goods than the
level of Pareto efficient provision of public goods.
15.7 Biographies
Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973), the third generation head of the Austrian
School and a member of the Mont Pelerin Society, enrolled at the University
of Vienna in 1900, where he was greatly influenced by Carl Menger (1840 -
1921) and received a doctoral degree from the School of Law in 1906. From
1909 to 1934, he was an economist for the Vienna Chamber of Commerce.
After World War I, he also served as a legal advisor to a government agen-
cy, where he was responsible for drafting the terms of the final war-treaty
to resolve pre-war private debt problems between belligerents . On New
Year’s Day in 1927, the Austrian Institute for Business Cycle Research that
he founded was formally established, and Hayek became its first director.
In 1934 - 1940, he moved to Geneva as a professor at the Graduate Insti-
tute of International Studies. In 1940, he moved to New York. At that time,
Keynesianism in the U.S. academic world was prevalent, Mises’ liberalism
was clearly out of the mainstream, and he was not employed by any aca-
demic organization. In 1945, through the recommendation of the Lawrence
742 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
Fertig & William Volker Foundation , Mises entered New York University,
but he could only serve as a visiting professor. In 1949, Mises published his
important work “Human Behavior.”Even so, he was only able to find a
visiting professor position until his retirement in 1969.
For a long time, even though Mises’ ideas had not been accepted by
mainstream economists, his ideological influence and knowledge contri-
bution to 20th century human society cannot be ignored. To a certain ex-
tent, it could be said that the history of economic thought of human society
in the 20th century is incomplete without the inclusion of Mises. In 2000,
America’s “Freedom”magazine referred to Mises as “the century figure
of libertarianism.”
The reason why Mises occupied such an important position in the his-
tory of contemporary human society is mainly because Mises made numer-
ous remarkable theoretical contributions in understanding the basic princi-
ples of human economic and social operations. In addition to his theoreti-
cal contributions in inflation, economic cycles, economic epistemology and
methodology, and his own unique cataliactics (i.e., a theory of the way that
the free market system reaches exchange ratios and prices) and praxeolo-
gy, his main theoretical contributions lie in the early 1920s. He presented
the following major theoretical insight: In the absence of a market price
mechanism, the impossibility of economic computations will result in the
infeasibility of a centrally planned economy.
Douglass C. North (1920 - 2015), as the founder and pioneer of New Eco-
nomic History (Cliometrics), New Institutional Economics, and New Polit-
ical Economy, was one of the most important and influential economists in
the late 20th century. In 1942 and 1952, respectively, he received a bache-
lor’s degree and a Ph.D. degree from the University of California, Berkeley.
He began teaching at the University of Washington in 1951, taught at Rice
University in 1979, at Cambridge University in 1981-1982, and returned to
the University of Washington in 1982. North was awarded the 1993 No-
bel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for renewed research in economic
15.7. BIOGRAPHIES 743
15.8 Exercises
Exercise 15.1 Prove that, for a public goods economy, weak Pareto efficient
allocation is Pareto efficient when preferences satisfy strong monotonicity,
continuity, and strict convexity.
1
y = v.
q
∂ui
>0 for all i = 1, 2, . . . , n.
∂xi
15.8. EXERCISES 745
1. Define the Lindahl equilibrium and Pareto efficiency for this econo-
my, without assuming representation of preferences by utility func-
tions.
u1 = x1 + α ln y
u2 = x2 + β ln y
Exercise 15.3 Consider a public goods economy with one private good, x,
one public good, y, and n agents. Each agents consumption set is the non-
negative quadrant. Each agent i is endowed with wi units of private good.
There are no initial endowments for the public good, but the public good
can be produced from the private good, according to a production technol-
ogy y = v. Utility functions of agents are given by
ui (xi , y) = xi + ci ln y, ci > 0.
746 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
1. Define the Lindahl equilibrium and Pareto efficient allocation for this
economy.
3. Find the set of interior Lindahl equilibria. Does the First Theorem of
Welfare Economics hold for Lindahl equilibria in the above economy?
Justify your answer.
4. For the above economy, find the set of interior competitive equilibria
(if necessary, specify values ci for which competitive equilibria exist).
Does the First Theorem of Welfare Economics hold for competitive
equilibria in the above economy? Justify your answer.
Exercise 15.4 Consider an economy with two consumers and two goods.
One of these goods, y, is public, and the other good, x, is private. The con-
sumer’s preferences can be represented by u1 (x, y) = xy and u2 (x, y) =
xy 2 . The public good can be produced, by either consumer, with the pro-
1
duction function y = 2 x. Consumer 1 has 20 units of x, and consumer 2
has 20 units of x. Let yi be the production of y by consumer i.
1. Find the conditions for Pareto efficiency in this economy, and then all
possible Pareto efficient allocations.
4. Show that the Lindahl equilibrium allocation for the economy is Pare-
to efficient.
Exercise 15.5 Consider a public good economy with one private good x,
one public good y, and n consumers whose consumption choice sets are
non-negative in each dimension. Each consumer i owns wi units of private
good, and they do not own public good which can be produced with a
production function of y = v . The utility function for each consumer i is
15.8. EXERCISES 747
represented by ui (xi , y), which may not be differentiable (note that it is then
not possible to answer the following questions 1 and 2 with differential
methods).
ui = xi + ϕi (y), (15.8.37)
where the valuation function ϕi (y) is twice differentiable, and has a positive
derivative ϕ′i (y) > 0, and a negative second derivative ϕ′′i (y) < 0 for all
y = 0, for i = 1, 2. (Remember, it is assumed that wi > 0 for i = 1, 2.)
Suppose that each consumer i voluntarily chooses to contribute an amoun-
t of labor vi = 0 toward the production of the public good y, with vi < wi .
By definition, at a Nash equilibrium allocation, written (x̄1 , x̄2 , v̄1 , v̄2 , ȳ),
748 CHAPTER 15. PUBLIC GOODS
5. Define the Lindahl equilibrium, and prove that every Lindal equilib-
rium is Pareto efficient under local non-satiation.
1. Find the Pareto optimal allocation. How does this answer change
with n?
4. If the government can only collect an income tax at the rate of τ , and
all taxes are employed to produce the public good, what is the tax rate
that can guarantee the efficient provision of the public good? If con-
sumers vote to determine the tax rate, what is the tax rate determined
by majority voting? What is the difference compared to the situation
in which all consumers have the same preference parameter θ?
Exercise 15.8 (Public goods and group size) Consider a public good econ-
omy with n identical economic agents, one private good, and one public
good. Suppose that consumer i’s consumption space Zi = R2+ and the
utility function is ui (xi , y) = xi + h(y), where xi represents the private
good consumed by consumer i and y represents the public good. Sup-
pose that h is concave, differentiable, monotonically increasing, and satis-
fies limy→0 h′ (y) > 1 and limy→∞ h′ (y) = 0. Each agent has an endowment
ω of the private good, and the amount of endowment is sufficiently large,
such that the non-negativity constraint of private consumption is always
non-binding. The public good production exhibits constant returns to s-
cale. One unit of private good can produce one unit of public good, and
only symmetric allocations are discussed.
1. Prove that the optimal provision level of the public good is an increas-
ing function of n.
2. The level of the public good provided under the voluntary contribu-
tion equilibrium is independent of the number of people n. Provide
an explanation for this.
Exercise 15.10 (Tragedy of the Commons) Suppose that there are n house-
holds in a village, and each household has the right to raise dairy cows in
a public pasture. The number of dairy cows raised by farmer i is xi . The
amount of milk that a cow can produce depends on the number of cows x̂
grazing on the pasture. Assume that the income of farmer i raising xi cows
is xi v(x̂). v(x̂) > 0 when x̂ < x̂0 , v(x̂) = 0 when x̂ > x̂0 , where v(0) > 0,
v ′ < 0 and v0 < 0. The cost per cow is c, and assume that the cow can be
perfectly segmented and that v(0) > c. Each household also decides how
15.8. EXERCISES 751
many cows to purchase at the same time, and all of the cows bought will
graze on the public pasture.
2. Find the Nash equilibrium, and compare it with the socially optimal
result.
∑
y ∈ arg max
′
vi (y ′ ) − c(y ′ ).
y 50
i
Exercise 15.12 Suppose that there are n fishermen in a fishing village. Some
fishermen fish in the sea. Since the sea is large enough, irrespective of how
many fishermen go fishing, every fisherman can catch k fish. There are
some other fishermen who fish a lake (the fish in the sea and the fish in the
lake are perfect substitutes). If x fishermen go fishing in the lake, then each
fisherman can catch x−1/2 fish (i.e., these fishermen can catch x1/2 fish in
total, and every fisherman catches the same number of fish).
Q = A − BP,
compare the price of fish in the market without restriction to that un-
der efficient allocation.
4. Now, suppose that the fish in the lake and the fish in the sea are not
perfect substitutes. The price of marine fish is $20 each, and the de-
mand for fish in the lake is
QL = A′ − B ′ PL .
Exercise 15.13 Suppose that n economic agents have the same Cobb-Douglas
utility function ui (xi , y) = xαi y 1−α and the consumption set Zi = R2+ . The
total amount of wealth is w, and they are divided among k 5 n individuals.
How many public goods are provided? How does the quantity of public
goods change when k increases?
Exercise 15.14 An ancient village uses some goods (e.g., sheep) for two
purposes: either as food or as a public religious sacrifice . Suppose that
villager i’s initial endowment of sheep is wi > 0. Let xi = 0 be the con-
sumption of sheep, and gi = 0 be the amount for public sacrifice. The total
∑n
amount of sheep used for sacrifice is y = i=1 gi . The utility function for
villager i is given by:
ui (xi , y) = xi + ai ln y,
where ai > 1.
1. When deciding on their sacrifice, each villager i regards that the sac-
rifice of other villagers remain fixed, and on this basis she decides on
the sacrifice that she would offer. Let
∑
y−i = gi
j̸=i
consumed by resident i each year. Suppose that the price of a loaf of bread
is 1, and the price of maintaining a square meter of skating rink is also 1.
Each resident have a different income wi . Find the Lindahl equilibrium for
this town. Under the Lindahl equilibrium, how much should the govern-
ment raise from resident i?
5. From the previous question, if <i is strictly convex, the Lindahl equi-
librium allocation is Pareto optimal. Then, if <i is strictly convex, is
Lindahl equilibrium necessarily a Lindahl quasi-equilibrium?
6. Suppose that <i satisfies continuity for every individual i. Prove the
following: If p ∈ RL
++ , the Lindahl quasi-equilibrium is a Lindahl
equilibrium.
7. Suppose that for any individual i, <i satisfies continuity and strong
monotonicity. Prove the following: If (p, x) is a Lindahl quasi-equilibrium
and xi ∈ int RL
+ for some i, then p ∈ R++ .
L
15.9 References
Papers:
Tian, G., and Li, Q. (1991). “Completely Feasible and Continuous Im-
plementation of the Lindahl Correspondence with Any Number of
Goods”, Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol. 21, 67-79.
Tian, G., and Li, Q. (1994). “An Implementable and Informational Effi-
cient State-Ownership System with General Variable Returns”, Jour-
nal of Economic Theory, Vol. 64, 268-297.
Tian, G. and Li, Q. (1994) “Ratio-Lindahl and Ratio Equilibria with Many
Goods”, Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 7, 441-460.
15.9. REFERENCES 759
Tian, G., Li, Q., and Nakamura, S. (1995). “Nash Implementation of the
Lindahl Correspondence with Decreasing Returns to Scale Technolo-
gy”, International Economic Review, Vol. 36, 37-52.