Preprint Soccer PageRank
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Abstract Data analysis in sports has adopted many different approaches given its
usefulness in quantitative and objective management. Several advances have been
made considering the researches and technologies that have been developed up until
now. It is possible to find many complex methodologies of sport performance analy-
sis in order to have as much as information as possible to achieve success. Therefore,
a wide variety of options are available for sport managers, coaches or anyone inter-
ested, including advances on information systems, data mining, machine learning
and motion analysis. However, the cost of these powerful methodologies induces
the search of cheaper techniques based on basic but proper notation methodology.
The aim of this chapter is to provide an observational methodology for soccer match
analysis. When paired with PageRank as the main indicator of performance, it
allows for a deep analysis of the data and better decision-making and performance
analysis in soccer. To show some insights about the proposed model, real data from
past matches are presented and discussed. Results show graph visualization that
sum up the whole match in terms of the flows of a network modelled with passes
and recoveries from the players as weights of its edges. One implication of our
research is to be a first approach in generalizing the PageRank algorithm to soccer
team’s management, which could be extrapolated to other disciplines. It also points
to the feasibility of making a quantitative analysis for sport managers with a reasonable
J. Rojas-Mora (*)
School of Informatics, Universidad Católica de Temuco,
Rudecindo Ortega n°, 2950 Temuco, Chile
e-mail: [email protected]
F. Chávez-Bustamante
Faculty of Business and Economics, Universidad del Desarrollo,
Ainavillo 456, Concepción, Chile
e-mail: [email protected]
J. del Río-Andrade • N. Medina-Valdebenito
Business Administration Institute, Universidad Austral de Chile,
Calle Viel s/n, Valdivia, Chile
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]
cost-benefit ratio. This analysis opens the paths to further analysis that could include
spatiotemporal variables.
16.1 Introduction
observer is unable to assimilate the entire action taking place on the field, due to its
attention to the game critical areas; hence, most of the peripheral play action gets
usually lost (Hughes et al. 2001).
Given this context, the aim of this chapter is to provide an observational method-
ology for soccer match analysis, armed with just some basic information in order to
develop a non-expensive tool based on network analysis. This is achieved by using
the PageRank centrality measure created by Google (Brin and Page 1998) and some
insights from graph theory and social networks. Our contribution has to do with a
simple and economic application of the PageRank algorithm to the performance
analysis of soccer players in understanding their performance, as centres in the flow
of the ball, in any given match.
A key claim of our paper has to do with the fact that network analysis, when
applied to soccer, allows for the representation of teamwork, which leads to a better
understanding of the team as a whole, in contrast to the analysis of individuals and
their personal contributions. This possibility of reinterpreting individual statistical
data based on the comprehension of the group dynamic is an example that the con-
ciliation of the common performance indexes with the novel approaches permits to
cover every single level of analysis (Maya Jariego and Bohórquez 2013).
Some of the practical applications that our model features are as follows:
• Identification of the most relevant players
• Team dominance throughout the game
• Direction of the flows
• Relevance of the substitutes (compared to the time played)
• Ball recoveries or interceptions by player
• Identification of tactics (i.e. defensive or offensive game, long passes, area where
the ball most circulated, etc.)
• Analysis of the rival team
The previous features are explained and discussed in this article on the following
sections. After this introduction, the next section outlines the theoretical and con-
ceptual framework that embodies our proposition with some important background
to understand the core of our methodology. Section 16.4 describes the methodology
required for the match analysis and the indicators used. Section 16.5 presents the
results of different matches from the group phase of the past Copa America 2015
used as example. Finally, this chapter ends with a brief conclusions section, present-
ing the guidelines for future researches.
methodology ensures to be under the most suitable methodology used in sport studies
when the objective is to analyse matches in their natural context and dynamics
(Anguera and Hernandez-Mendo 2014).
It is said that Euler in 1741 founded both topology and graph theory by solving the
Konigsberg bridges problem. It consisted in visiting the four land masses of the
entire city, starting and finishing in the same one, while completely crossing once
over each of the seven bridges. Like this one, many situations can be described by
means of a diagram consisting of a set of points connected with lines. This is the
basic principle of graph theory; points are called “nodes” and the lines that connect
them are named “edges”. A graph G is an ordered triple V(G), E(G), φG consisting
of a non-empty set V(G) of vertices; a set E(G), disjoint from V(G), of edges; and an
incidence function φG that associates with each edge of G an unordered pair of ver-
tices of G. If e is an edge and u and v are vertices such that φG(e) = uv, then e is said
to join u and v; the vertices u and v are called the ends of e (Bondy and Murty 1976).
The scientific study of networks, including computer networks, social networks and
biological networks, has received an enormous amount of interest in the last few
years. Much of this interest can be attributed to the appeal of social network analysis
on relationships among social entities and on the patterns and implications of these
relationships. That is, relations defined by linkages among units are a fundamental
component of network theories (Wasserman and Faust 1994). The structure of net-
works has been of interest of many branches of science: methods for analysing
network data, including methods developed in physics, statistics and sociology; the
fundamentals of graph theory, computer algorithms and spectral methods; mathe-
matical models of networks, including random graph models and generative mod-
els; and theories of dynamical processes taking place on networks (Newman 2010).
Centrality has been widely studied in the context of social network analysis
(Clemente et al. 2016; Lusher et al. 2010). Thus, several measures have been devel-
oped, like “betweenness” (Freeman 1979), “eigenvector centrality” (Bonacich
1972) and “closeness” (Freeman 1979), among others. Even though many measures
and different approaches about the concept of centrality in a network exist, Freeman
(1979) offers three intuitive conceptions:
(a) The most intuitive conception is that point centrality is some function of the
degree of a point. The degree of a point pi is the count of number of other points
(nodes) pj(j ≠ i) that are adjacent 1 to it.
1
Two incident vertices with a common edge are adjacent.
262 J. Rojas-Mora et al.
(b) The second view is based upon the frequency with which a point falls between
pairs of other points on the geodesic paths connecting them.
(c) The third conception is based upon the degree to which a point is close to all
other points in the graph.
The main idea of these different approaches of centrality is to define a measure
that determines the relative importance of a node within a graph. The discussion of
these different researches focuses on what the most appropriate measurement should
be. A complete summary and revision of the concept of centrality in networks and
the different existing measures and interpretations of the concepts can be found in
Borgatti (2005). The key claim of that paper is that centrality measures can be
regarded as generating expected values for certain kinds of node outcomes (such as
speed and frequency of reception) given implicit models of how traffic flows.
Regarding network analysis and sports, intra-group relationships are important
for sport teams and include aspects such as cohesiveness and hierarchies among
players (Lusher et al. 2010). Social network analysis (SNA) methods allow for the
exploration of “social2” relations between team members and their individual-level
qualities simultaneously. Its usefulness has to do with addressing the issue of inter-
dependencies in the data inherent in team structures. The most basic concept of
relationship in network analysis is defined by the existence of a link between two
players (e.g. i and j). It is binarily defined, where ei, j = 1 models the existence of a
relation, and ei, j = 0 represents its absence. More complex networks might consider
valued edges, depending on the importance or strength of the bond.
R (v)
R (u ) = c å (16.1)
vÎBu N (v)
Even though the equation is recursive, it may be computed by starting with any set
of ranks and iterating the computation until it converges. To overcome the problem
2
“Social”, in this case, refers to how frequently a player passes the ball to another.
3
For a given node in a graph, its “backlinks” are the nodes linking to it.
16 A Methodology for the Analysis of Soccer Matches Based on PageRank Centrality 263
that, during the iteration, the loop will not distribute rank because two nodes are
linked only between each other and, therefore, there are no out edges, Page et al.
(1999) introduced the following rank source.
Let E(u) be some vector over the nodes that corresponds to a source of rank, then
the PageRank of a set of nodes is an assignment R′, to the nodes which satisfies:
R¢ ( v )
R¢ ( u ) = c å + cE ( u ) (16.2)
vÎBu Nv
Such that cc is maximized and ‖R‖1 = 1, where ‖R‖1 denotes the L1 norm of R′.
As presented from the creators of the method, the PageRank algorithm may be com-
puted as:
R0 ¬ S
loop:
Ri +1 ¬ ARi
d ¬ Ri 1 - Ri +1 1 (16.3)
Ri +1 ¬ Ri +1 + dE
d ¬ Ri +1 - Ri 1
while d > e
16.3 Methodology
4
For further inquiries about GNU R (R Core Team 2016), check the website of the R Foundation
for Statistical Computing, URL https://www.R-project.org/
16 A Methodology for the Analysis of Soccer Matches Based on PageRank Centrality 265
16.4 Results
In order to visualize the results of our work, the methodology was applied to three
soccer matches from the group phase of the Copa America 2015. In specific, those
matches analysed were Chile-Ecuador, Chile-Mexico and Chile-Bolivia. They were
broadcasted by a public television channel, so the recording was made with digital
video tools.5
The nodes represent the players, the notation “C” is for the Chilean players,
while “E” is used for the Ecuadorian players, and the number next to each letter
corresponds to the shirt number worn by any given player in that match. The size of
the node is proportional to its PageRank centrality measure, and the boldness of the
edges is proportional to the number of passes from one player to another. Nodes that
seem to be outliers on the bottom of the figures are the substitute players. The same
goes for the next figures, where “M” denotes Mexican players and “B” denotes
Bolivian players. We present a brief discussion of the graphs showing some basic
examples of the types of analysis that can be made with this tool.
Figure 16.1 shows the Chilean dominance on the match against the Ecuadorians
with a higher volume of passes and variety of options to deliver; it meant a higher
possession of the ball through the entire match. Boldness of the Chilean arrows
indicates an offensive tendency towards the middle field to get to the centre forward
C7, Alexis Sánchez. Another conclusion has to do with the principal nodes of each
team. For the Chilean case, the bigger node corresponds to C8, Arturo Vidal, the
most relevant player given the flows that passed through him and the importance of
the players who passed the ball to him, i.e. his PageRank value. Therefore, Vidal
became the most important player for the Chilean team which won for 2 goals
against 0, with the first one scored by Vidal.
For sport managers, it is useful to analyse other aspects too, like the flows
between two nodes of different teams. For the case of E13, Enner Valencia, Fig. 16.1
shows that from the several flows that are directed to him, many correspond to
Chilean nodes. This means that he interfered with many passes intended for Chilean
players and, accordingly, recovered the ball many times, playing a defensive role
even though his position was that of a winger.
In the Chile-Mexico match, Fig. 16.2 shows that the ball circulated significantly
through every player, with a higher density on the Chilean side of the field. In time,
Chilean nodes are bigger, have a higher centrality or are more important, with the
most relevant players being C8, Arturo Vidal, and C10, Jorge Valdivia, with Vidal
scoring 2 goals throughout the match.
For the Mexican team, the most relevant players are their three forwarders, show-
ing a considerable amount of passes received from the central and lateral defenders,
which means that the Mexican game was characterized by long passes (e.g. M3 to
M7 edge). The most relevant players for Mexico were M9, Raul Jimenez, and M19,
Matías Vuoso, both managed to score goals for their team.
5
The dataset can be requested to the corresponding author.
266 J. Rojas-Mora et al.
Fig. 16.1 Network of the Chile-Ecuador match in the group phase of the Copa America 2015
Finally, the Chile-Bolivia game ended with a lopsided score of 5-0. In this match,
Chile played with two more “open” forwarders than the previous games, which
allowed them to dominate more positions of the field with a considerable flow of the
ball going to C11, Eduardo Vargas. There is clear relation between the volume of the
flows for the Chilean team against the Bolivian team and the final score of the
match, i.e. Chile owned the ball and, thus, the opportunities to score. In this aspect
it is important to consider: in the discipline, one of the most important findings is the
correlation between the ability to retain possession of the ball for prolonged periods
of time and success (Bate 1988; Gómez and Álvaro 2002; James et al. 2004; In:
Lago and Martín 2007).
Another analysis to be made is that in this match, the substitute players had a big-
ger importance in the development of the plays for both of the teams, which could not
be seen, e.g. in the Ecuadorian team on Fig. 16.1. This adds another type of analysis
16 A Methodology for the Analysis of Soccer Matches Based on PageRank Centrality 267
Fig. 16.2 Network of the Chile-Mexico match in the group phase of the Copa America 2015
to our approach: relevance of the substitute players during the time they played. In
Fig. 16.3, the difference of the relevance of the substitute nodes for both teams is
remarkable. Some are even similar to the nodes of players that started the game from
the minute one. Hence, sport managers can take decisions and evaluate performance,
given the relevance that substitutes manage to acquire during a shorter period than the
regular first team players, and maybe evaluate if they are making the most of their time
on field. For example, a coach might decide to turn a substitute into a regular starter
because of the relevance of his node and flows directed from and to him.
A last thing to keep in mind is that the analysis can also have another focus. Sport
managers can use this methodology not only to analyse their team’s weaknesses and
strengths but also to analyse the adversaries through the data collection of other
previous matches in order to set proper tactics and, in this way, develop that
competitive advantage that is so much important in such a competitive environment
(i.e. see which are the opponents that do not have so much relevance and then focus
the direction of the ball through the less explored areas of those nodes).
268 J. Rojas-Mora et al.
Fig. 16.3 Network of the Chile-Bolivia match in the group phase of the Copa America 2015
16.5 Conclusion
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