Fare Analysis of Air India
Fare Analysis of Air India
Fare Analysis of Air India
1. INTRDUCTION
A. Airlines industry ..................................................................................................07
B. Research objectives ……………………………………………………………..09
C. Terms and definitions ……………………………………………………..........09
D. Abbreviations ……………………………………………………………...........10
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
A. Market structure- differentiated oligopoly............................................................11
B. Factors affecting consumer perception..................................................................12
C. Pricing in airlines....................................................................................................12
D. Frequent flier programs.........................................................................................13
3. ORGANISATION
A. History of AIR INDIA……………......................................................................15
B. Global Network......................................................................................................18
4. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
4.1 Major players in aviation industry.........................................................................23
4.2 Comparison of Players...........................................................................................28
4.3 Connectivity...........................................................................................................31
5. DATABASE AND ANALYSIS.........................................................................................33
6. INTERPETATION OF FARE TREND..............................................................................60
7. NEW DESTINATION (DOMESTIC).................................................................................61
8. SWOT ANALYSIS OF AIR INDIA..................................................................................65
9. FUTURE PLANNING & PROMOTIONAL SCHEMES..................................................67
10. RECOMMENDATIONS & SUGGESTIONS..................................................................68
11. REFERENCES..................................................................................................................69
12. APPENDICES....................................................................................................................70
1
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
A. AIRLINES INDUSTRY
The first commercial flight in India was made on February 18, 1911, when a French pilot
Monseigneur Piguet flew airmails from Allahabad to Naini, covering a distance of about 10
km in as many minutes.
Tata Services became Tata Airlines and then Air-India and spread its wings as Air-India
International. For many years in India air travel was perceived to be an elitist activity. This
view arose from the “Maharajah” syndrome where, due to the prohibitive cost of air travel,
the only people who could afford it were the rich and powerful.
Until less than a decade ago, all aspects of aviation were firmly controlled by the
Government. In the early fifties, all airlines operating in the country were merged into either
Indian Airlines or Air India and, by virtue of the Air Corporations Act, 1953; this monopoly
was perpetuated for the next forty years. The Directorate General of Civil Aviation controlled
every aspect of flying including granting flying licenses, pilots, certifying aircrafts for flight
and issuing all rules and procedures governing Indian airports and airspace. With the opening
up of the Indian economy in the early Nineties, aviation saw some important changes. Most
importantly, the Air Corporation Act was repealed to end the monopoly of the public sector
and private airlines were reintroduced.
Market analysis
The Indian airline industry generated total revenues of $8.3 billion in 2007, representing a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.6% for the period spanning 2003-2007.
Industry volumes increased with a CAGR of 27.4% between 2003-2007, to reach a total of
47.2 million passengers in 2007.
Domestic flights dominated the Indian airline industry and accounted for 43.5 million
passengers in 2007, equivalent to 92.3% of the industry's overall volume. The performance of
the industry is forecast to decelerate, with an anticipated CAGR of 17.1% for the five-year
period 2007-2012, which is expected to drive the industry to a value of $18.3 billion by the
end of 2012.
Table 1.1: Indian airlines industry in $ billion 2003-07
Year $ billion INR billion % growth
2003 3 122.2
2004 3.6 150.4 23
2005 4.6 189.5 26
2006 6.6 272 43.6
2007 8.3 344 26.7
CAGR 2003-07 29.6
Source: Data monitor
Market volume
The Indian airlines industry grew by 17.6% in 2007 to reach a volume of 47.2 million
passengers. The compound annual growth rate of the industry volume in the period 2003-
2007 was 27.4%.
Table 1.2: Indian Airlines Industry Volume: Passenger Million, 2003-07
2003 17.9
2004 22 23
Source: Indiastat.com
B. RESEARCH OBJECTIVE:
The ultimate objective of the project is to find out the trend of fares in last
two years of air India at international routes and comparison of AIR INDIA
with domestic players in terms of market performance, capacity share and
fares.
D. ABBREVIATIONS
FFP- Frequent Flier Programme
FSC- Full Service Carrier
LCC- Low Cost Carrier
LTC- Leave Travel Concession
NACIL- National Aviation Company of India Ltd.
MPI- Market Performance Index
PAX- Passengers
S.F. - Seat Factor
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
Air India is the national carrier of India. Air India (formerly Air-India) is the national flag
carrier of India with a worldwide network of passenger and cargo services. It is one of the
two state-owned airlines in the country, the other being Indian (formerly Indian air Airlines.
The merger of Air India and Indian (formerly Indian airline) is in process. Its main bases are
Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport, Mumbai and Indira Gandhi International Airport,
New Delhi with hubs at Chennai International Airport. The airline connects 95 destinations
around the world, including 12 gateways in India with Air India Express, which is a fully
owned subsidiary of Air India. The IATA and ICAO code of Air India is AI and AIC
respectively. Other details are given below in table 1:
AIR INDIA
IATA AI
ICAO AIC
Call Sign AIRINDIA
Founded 1932
Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport, Mumbai
Hubs Indira Gandhi International Airport, New Delhi
Chennai International Airport, Chennai
Frequent
Flyer
Flying Return
Program
Member
Maharajah Lounges
Lounge
Fleet Size 56 (+61 orders)
Destinations 95
Parent
Air India
Company
Company
"Your Place In Sky"
Slogan
Headquarters Mumbai, India
Key Person Mr. Arvind Jhadav ( Chairman)
Website: http://www.airindia.in
3.09 NETWORK:
In its ever-growing quest for providing direct services from various points in India, Air India
currently operates flights from Mumbai, and 13 other Indian cities, viz. Ahmadabad,
Amritsar, Bangalore, Chennai, Delhi, Goa, Hyderabad, Kochi, Kolkata, Kozhikode,
Lucknow, Pune and Thiruvananthapuram. Commencement of international operations from
these cities has obviated, to a very large extent, the need for passengers from these regions to
necessarily travel to Mumbai and Delhi, the traditional main gateways, for taking
international flights. Passengers boarding or deplaning in these cities can now complete their
immigration and custom formalities at their city airport, both at the time of departure and
arrival. The global network of air India is shown below
B. COMPARISON OF PLAYERS
Different airlines players have been compared and analysed on three different parameters:
market performance, fleet strength and reach.
4.1 ANALYSIS OF MARKET PERFORMANCE
Market performance is analyzed by taking all the domestic sectors and also comparing only
ex-Delhi sectors separately.
MARKET PERFORMANCE (DOMESTIC)
The market performance of the airlines is based on 3 parameters:
a) Market Share
b) Seat Factor
c) Capacity Share
Figure: 4.1 Number of passengers flown from different airlines in April 09.
6.5
5.5
4.5
3.5
2.5
1.5
0.5
air india jet air- jetlite kingfisher spicejet goair indigo para-
ways mount
volume 5.83 5.52 2.44 8.61 3.87 1.45 4.54 0.750000
0000000
13
Source: indiastat.com
In terms of number of passengers in the month of April 09, Kingfisher (including Kingfisher
Red) is the leader in market share with 8.61 lakh passengers. Air India has the second highest
market share with 5.83 lakh passengers. Jet Airways has 5.52 lakh passengers but including
JetLite, it becomes the second highest market shareholder with 7.96 lakh passengers. Among
the LCC’s Indigo has the best market share with 4.54 passengers followed by SpiceJet with
3.87 lakh passengers.
a) Market Share: Market share is the number of passenger bookings by one airline as a
percentage of total passenger bookings among all the airlines.
Figure: 4.2 Market Shares of Domestic Airlines in April 08 and April 09
Apr-08 Apr-09
Spicejet Others Others
10.1% 1.2% 2.5% NACIL
NACIL
GoAir 15.1% Spicejet 17.6%
4.6% GoAir 11.7%
4.4%
Indigo
11.5%
Indigo
13.7%
Jet Airways &Jetlite Jet Airways &Jetlite
29.6% 24.1%
Source: livemint.com
With respect to previous year for the month of April, market share for Jet Airways including
JetLite has substantially fallen from 29.6% last year to 24.1% in this year. Market share for
Kingfisher has declined from 27.9% in April 08 to 26% in Apr 09. Market share for NACIL
has increased from 15.1% in April 08 to 17.6% in April 09. Share for all the LCC’s increased
except for GoAir which had a fall of a marginal 0.2%. Indigo had the highest market share
among LCC’s with an increase from 11.5% to 13.7%.
b) Seat Factor: - The seat factor is the percentage of the number of seats occupied by the
passengers in the flights. For e.g.:- if the seat factor of an airline is said to be 75% it
implies that of all the seats available in airlines, 75% were booked by the passengers.
55
45
35
25
15
5
air india jet air- jetlite kingfisher spicejet goair indigo para-
ways mount
seat factor 59.9 65 68.7 64.2 68 72 72.1 88.5
Source: indiastat.com
Paramount had the highest seat factor in April 09 followed by Indigo and GoAir. In fact all
the LCC’s had a market share of above 65%. Among full service carriers Jet Airways had the
highest seat factor with 65%.
c) Capacity Share: Capacity share is the percentage of seats available with the airline w.r.t.
the total seats available in the market.
Figure 4.4: capacity for airlines in April 09
11%
17%
27% 7%
Source: indiastat.com
Kingfisher had the maximum capacity share of 27% for April 09. Jet Airways including
JetLite had a capacity share of 24%. Air India has a capacity share of 19%. SpiceJet has a
capacity share of 11% and Indigo has a capacity share of 13%. GoAir has a capacity share of
4%.
4.2 MARKET PERFORMANCE (EX- DELHI)
Following is the analysis of market performance of different players on sectors only through
Delhi on the basis of capacity share, market share and seat factor.
Table 4.1: Different players are compared on capacity share, market share and seat
factor and MPI in April 07-March 08
APR’ 07 – MAR’ 08
Seat
Utilisation Capacity Market
Airline Capacity Passengers Factor Share Share MPI
IC 1994810 1440986 72% 20% 21% 1
Jet
Airways 2306024 1510381 65% 23% 22% -1
Table 4.2: Different players are compared on capacity share, market share and seat
factor and MPI in April 08-March 09
APR’ 08 – MAR’ 09
Seat
Utilization Capacity Market
Airline Capacity Passenger Factor Share Share MPI
Air India (IC) 1988726 1233216 62% 18% 18% 0
Jet Airways 2161557 1232107 57% 19% 18% -1
Kingfisher 2093723 1156581 55% 19% 17% -2
JetLite 1023462 621363 61% 9% 9% 0
Kingfisher Red 587250 409651 70% 6% 6% 0
Spice Jet 1560331 1046541 67% 14% 16% 2
Go Air 446220 260238 58% 4% 4% 0
IndiGo 1197900 823219 69% 11% 12% 1
Total 11059169 6782916 61%
The average seat factor has declined from the last fiscal year clearly showing signs of effects
of recession in the economy. LCCs such as SpiceJet & Indigo have increased their capacity
because they are doing very well and giving a stiff competition to the Full Service Carriers
increasing their combined market share from 20% to 28%.
Air India has been performing well having a better seat factor than the average seat factor for
the entire industry in both the years. It has reduced its capacity which has also led to a
decrease in the market share. Jet Airways with its subsidiary JetLite has an MPI of -1 and
Kingfisher with low cost carrier Kingfisher Red has an MPI of -2 for the year 2008-09.
Market Performance Index (MPI) is market share minus capacity share. This indicates how
well the airline has been able use its capacity vis-à-vis other airlines. A positive MPI is
always desirable for any airline.
According to the above table, it is visible that Jet Airways (including JetLite) is doing very
well in Northern Region having the maximum market share and capacity share though it has
a negative MPI. It is followed by Kingfisher and third comes Air India. Among LCCs, Indigo
has seen the greatest improvement, increasing its capacity share from 6% to 11% and market
share from 7% to 12% maintaining a positive MPI.
75%
55%
50%
It can be seen that seat factor for NACIL has been the maximum since June 08 among the
Full Service Carriers bettering even the LCCs in few months. Kingfisher had the lowest seat
factor after June 08.
b) Comparison of market performance in most voluminous routes in April ‘09
Table 4.3: Market performance of different players on Delhi Bombay route
DELHI-BOMBAY
AIRLINES FLTS CAP PAX S.F. CAP MKT MPI
IC 292 46824 27245 58.2 19.4 19.9 0.5
JET 257 44975 27429 61.0 18.6 20.0 1.4
JETLITE 93 16800 8506 50.6 6.9 6.2 -0.7
KINGFISHER
RED 30 5400 2899 53.7 2.2 2.1 -0.1
KINGFISHER 284 50444 26004 51.6 20.8 19.0 -1.9
SPICE JET 122 23702 12911 54.5 9.8 9.4 -0.4
GO AIR 170 30600 17642 57.7 12.6 12.9 0.2
INDIGO 129 23220 14310 61.6 9.6 10.4 0.9
1377 241965 136946 56.6
Delhi-Mumbai (DEL-BOM): Air India had the largest number of flights in this
sector followed by Kingfisher in turn followed by Jet Airways for April 09. Jet
Airways and Indigo has the best seat factor in this sector. Kingfisher has the
maximum capacity share though Jet Airways is the leader in market share in this
sector. Jet Airways has the maximum MPI. Jet Airways has the best performance for
this sector.
As of May,2009 NACIL has a fleet of 154 Aircraft with 66 orders which is distributed
amongst Air India , Air India Express , Air India Cargo and Indian Airlines , Air India
Regional.
NACIL will expand its Fleet to around 160 by the end of the next fiscal, inducting as many
as 30 new aircraft manufactured by the US-based Boeing Commercial Airplanes and France-
based Airbus S.A.S. over the next 12months.
NACIL will induct 4 737-800s, 3 777-200LRs and 4 777-300ERs from Boeing Commercial
Airplanes & 8 A319-100s, 4 A320-200s and 7 A321-200s from Airbus S.A.S.. By March
2011 all 111 new aircraft would have joined into fleet to bring down the average age of
aircraft to 18 months. These are part of 111 (68 Boeing and 43 Airbus) aircraft order placed
in January 2006.
180
160
140
120
100
80 154
60
109
40 79
20
20 19
0
air india jet airways kingfisher indigo spicejet
Total aircrafts
Source: DGCA
The above graph shows the total number of aircraft fleet with every domestic airline. Air
India has the largest number of aircrafts with 155 followed by Jet Airways with 109 aircrafts
and third is Kingfisher with 79 aircrafts.
Figure 4.7: Variety of fleet with Air India
6% 7% ATR 72-500
9% 6% ATR 72-212A
2% Airbus A330-200
11% Boeing 737-300
Boeing 737-400
1% Boeing 737-700
2%
Boeing 737-800
Boeing 737-900
Boeing 777-300ER
38% 18%
Boeing 787-8
CL-600-2B19
6% 10%
10%
ATR 42-500
ATR 72-500
Airbus A319-100
Airbus A320-200
Airbus A321-200
34%
Airbus A330-200
35%
4%
Air India has the largest variety with 16 types of aircrafts out of which 30% fleet consists of
A320-200. Jet Airways has 11 types of aircrafts and 38% of its fleet consists of 737-800.
Kingfisher has 6 types of aircrafts and has 36% of its fleet as A320-200.
4.3 CONNECTIVITY
Reach is defined by the number of destinations covered by the players in the domestic and
international sector.
Table 4.9: No. of daily flights flown by different players to different destinations
Players No of daily Destinations Destinations Daily flights
fights from Delhi from Delhi
According to the table Jet Airways has the maximum flights operating daily in the domestic
region. Both Jet Airways and Air India cover the more than 90 destinations though Air India
covers the maximum destinations ex-Delhi. Though Air India covers maximum destinations
through Delhi, Jet Airways has the maximum flights operating from Delhi.
FARE STRUCTURE OF AIR INDIA
# Published Fares: These are those fares that are published to the world at large through
industry standard channels ,notably the airline Tariff publishing company (ATPCO) and
SITA’s AIRFARE SYSTEM. If applicable to international markets and arrived at by
resolution at an IATA traffic conference, they might be referred to IATA Fares. They can
usually be broken down into full or normal fares & special and discounted fares.
# Normal or Full Fare: This is unrestricted, on-demand fare charged for travel in a particular
cabin (First, Business or economy class) in a market at any given time. The normal or full
fare can be looked upon as the pricing platform for a carrier’s service price offers in a
particular cabin in any given market.
#Special or Discounted Fares: These are discounted off the price platform in each cabin and
are available in most markets subjects to restrictions; they are associated with alphanumeric
code that varies widely from market to market. Airline commonly break them down into
promotional fares available to any body willing to meet restrictions on booking and
preferential fares available by reference to factors such as age or employment status.
# unpublished fares: These are also known as DGCA fares and offered through specific
distribution channels which involve prices that are unavailable through general channels.
# Net Fares: These are a feature of several international markets in particular and are notably
important in Asia. It is the gross fare for a block of seats sold to an agency less standard
commission and any other fare adjustment typically applied in the market concerned, the net
fare is the net fare less any volume or other incentive including travel agency commission
offered by the airline to a particular agency with which it has targeted a special relationship.
The lower the net fare available to an agency, the lower the price it is able to charge retail
consumers.
CHAPTER-5
DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL
Figure 5.1: Fares for DEL-BOM route on different days for different players
8000
7000
6000
Air India(IC)
5000 Kingfisher
Kingfisher Red
4000 Jet Airways
JetLite
3000 Spicejet
Indigo
GoAir
2000
1000
0
d day d+1 day d+10 days d+20 days d+30 days d+45 days
Table 5.1: Fares for DEL-BOM route on different days for different players
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
d day d+1 day d+10 days d+20 days d+30 days d+45 days
Table 5.2: Fares for DEL-CCU route on different days for different players
Table 5.3: Fares for DEL-MAA route on different days for different players
Table 5.4: Fares for DEL-BLR route on different days for different players
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
d day d+1 day d+10 days d+20 days d+30 days d+45 days
Table 5.5: Fares for DEL-HYD route on different days for different players
JUL07-JUN09
FARE TREND
DEL-DXB ONE WAY FARE
12000
10000
8000
6000
Axis Title Pub. Fare
YQ + YR
4000
NN After PLB
2000
0
7
9
7
9
g0
b0
n0
g0
b0
n0
t0
c0
r0
t0
c0
r0
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
fe
fe
ju
ju
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) jump up from 2130 in jul07 to 3160 in jun09.
Published Fare decline from 6320 in jul07 to 3800 in jun 09 with dump in oct08 i.e. 4600.
Net fare achieved the same level after many variations & major decline from sep08
(9385) to mar09 (7178).
The dominating foreign airline on this route is Emirates airline which operates with 60%-
70% load factor. AIRINDIA has to give competitive fare w.r.t Emirates airline.
The graph is in correlation.
In the month of aug07 there was peak period and demand was more which leads to high
published fare as well as net fare.
The change in net fare was more as compared to Published fare in apr08-sep08 because
the commission given to the agents was more than usual.
Fuel surcharge increased due to ATF hike.
Being a public sector unit, AIR INDIA can’t play with fares in that manner in which other
airlines can do.
Almost 60%-70% of Europe business is grasped by Emirates Airline.
DELHI TO DUBAI (DEL-DXB)
Return Fare
Period Pub. YQ + YR Gross Commission Net Fare Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare Fare
JUL07-JUN09
25000
20000
15000
Axis Title Pub. Fare
YQ + YR
10000
NN After PLB
5000
0
t07
t08
08
08
09
09
7
9
7
8
c0
r0
c0
r0
g0
g0
feb
jun
feb
jun
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
Axis Title
Fuel coefficient (YQ + YR) decline from 6020 in jul07 to 3960 in jun09.
Published fare shows a drastic hike from 7950 in jul07 to 17800 in may09.
Net fare also shows an increment from 16088 in jul07 to 19026 in jun09 & highest in
month of oct08 i.e. 24489.
The dominating foreign airline on this route is Emirates airline which operates with
60%-70% load factor. AIRINDIA has to give competitive fare w.r.t Emirates airline.
The graph is in correlation.
In the month of aug07 there was peak period and demand was more which leads to
high published fare as well as net fare.
The change in net fare was more as compared to Published fare in apr08-sep08
because the commission given to the agents was more than usual.
Fuel surcharge increased due to ATF hike.
Being a public sector unit, AIR INDIA can’t play with fares in that manner.
Almost 60%-70% of Europe business is grasped by Emirates Airline.
DELHI TO SHANGHAI (DEL-SHA)
ONE WAY FARE
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commissio Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare n Fare
JUL07-JUN09
DEL-SHA ONE WAY FARE
25000
20000
15000
0
7
8
7
9
8
9
7
8
g0
g0
c0
r0
c0
r0
b0
n0
b0
n0
t0
t0
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
fe
fe
ju
ju
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) remains almost constant from jul07 to jan09 then shows
downfall in feb09 i.e. 5180.
Published fare also shows a constant trend from jul07 to mar08 then down trend from
apr08 to jun09 with dump in feb09 i.e. 10200.
Net fare shows major fall from 20877 in jul07 to 15872 in jun09.The major downfall
period is from jun08 to feb09.
The dominating airline on this route is Singapore airline which operates with 70%
load factor and covers long distance which helps in reducing per unit operation cost.
The graph is in correlation.
There is major decline in net fare w.r.t publish fare in period May08-jul08 because of
the fuel surcharge component.
The fuel surcharge increase because of the ATF prices.
The decline in fares in period may08-jul08 was due to competitive pricing w.r.t
Singapore Airline.
Singapore airline have big pockets and financially strong thus bear losses unlike AIR
INDIA
DELHI TO SHANGHAI (DEL-SHA)
RETURN FARE
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commission Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare Fare
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
Axis Title Pub. Fare
15000 YQ + YR
NN After PLB
10000
5000
0
7
8
7
9
8
9
7
8
g0
g0
c0
r0
c0
r0
b0
n0
b0
n0
t0
t0
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
fe
fe
ju
ju
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) shows downfall from 3954 in jul07 to 9466 in jun09 with
major dump in may08-jul08.
Published fare shows constant trend from july07 –mar08 then major fall in mar08-
jun08 and continue falling to 12000 in jun09.
Net fare shows overall decline from 33161 in jul07 to 22636 in jun09 with the major
downfall in may08-sep08 and again in apr09-jun09.
The dominating airline on this route is Singapore airline which operates with 70%
load factor and covers long distance which helps in reducing per unit operation cost.
The graph is in correlation.
There is major decline in net fare w.r.t publish fare in period May08-jul08 because of
the fuel surcharge component.
The fuel surcharge increase because of the ATF prices.
The decline in fares in period may08-jul08 was due to competitive pricing w.r.t
Singapore Airline.
Singapore airline have big pockets and financially strong thus bear losses unlike AIR
INDIA
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commission Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare Fare
jul07 15600 2130 17730 3% 16950 225 1717 0% 17175
5
aug07 15600 2138 17738 3% 16958 225 1718 0% 17183
3
sep07 15600 2145 17745 3% 16965 225 1719 0% 17190
0
oct07 15600 2086 17686 3% 16906 225 1713 0% 17131
1
nov07 15600 2285 17885 3% 17105 225 1733 0% 17330
0
dec07 15600 2481 18081 3% 17301 225 1752 0% 17526
6
jan08 15600 2481 18081 3% 17301 225 1752 0% 17526
6
feb08 15600 2481 18081 3% 17301 225 1752 0% 17526
6
mar08 15600 2555 18155 3% 17375 225 1760 0% 17600
0
apr08 14950 3321 18271 3% 17524 225 1774 0% 17749
9
may08 14950 4287 19237 3% 18490 225 1871 0% 18715
5
jun08 14950 4401 19351 3% 18604 225 1882 0% 18829
9
jul08 14950 4403 19353 3% 18606 225 1883 3% 18404
1
aug08 13500 4355 17855 3% 17180 225 1740 3% 17020
5
sep08 13500 4355 17855 3% 17180 225 1740 3% 17020
5
oct08 14950 5417 20367 0% 20367 225 2059 10% 18532
2
nov08 14950 5417 20367 0% 20367 225 2059 10% 18532
2
dec08 13500 3419 16919 0% 16919 225 1714 10% 15794
4
jan09 13500 3487 16987 3% 15273 225 1549 3 + 10% 15393
8
feb09 12500 3513 16013 3% 15533 225 1575 10% 14545
8
mar09 12500 3676 16176 3% 15691 1529 1722 10% 16007
0
apr09 12500 3643 16143 3% 15659 1529 1718 0% 17188
8
may09 12500 3643 16143 3% 15659 1529 1718 3% 16824
8
jun09 12500 3436 15936 3% 15467 1529 1699 0% 16996
6
JUL07-JUN09
40000
35000
30000
25000
5000
0 08
08
09
09
7
8
7
8
8
9
7
8
v0
v0
p0
p0
n0
n0
l0
l0
ay
ay
ar
ar
ju
ju
no
no
se
se
ja
ja
m
m
m
m
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) remains smooth from jul07 to jun09 with some variation
from may08 to jan09.
Published fare shows a downfall from 15600 in jul07 to 12500 in jun09.
Net fare remains smooth from July 07 to apr 08 then show rise trend & highest in
nov08.Then after major dump i.e. lowest in feb09 i.e14545
The graph is in correlation.
From apr08-jul08, the rise in net fare was due to the additive effect of fuel surcharge.
Fuel surcharge increased due to the ATF hike.
From mar09-jun09, the net fare increase because of the more commission given to the
agents.
The major foreign airlines which dominate on this route are Singapore and Cathay
Pacific airline. Cathay Pacific use Jumbo 747-ER and 747-LR aircrafts which covers
the destinations beyond Delhi. The operating cost per kilometre reduces because of
the long run distance, resulting into less operating cost and thus less fare.
AIRINDIA is unable to operate Jumbo because of the less load factor and seat
utilization.
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commissio Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare n Fare
JUL07-JUN09
40000
35000
30000
25000
5000
0 08
08
09
09
7
8
7
8
8
9
7
8
v0
v0
p0
p0
n0
n0
l0
l0
ay
ay
ar
ar
ju
ju
no
no
se
se
ja
ja
m
m
m
m
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) shows overall decline from3960 in jul07 to 6572 in jun09
but highest in nov08 i.e. 10534
Published fare also follow the same trend i.e. decline from24000 in jul07 to 11740 in
jun09
Net fare shows smooth trend from july07 to mar08 & then shows major up down
variations i.e. highest in nov08 i.e. 34702 and lowest in feb09 i.e17571
The graph is in correlation.
From apr08-jul08, the rise in net fare was due to the additive effect of fuel surcharge.
Fuel surcharge increased due to the ATF hike.
From mar09-jun09, the net fare increase because of the more commission given to the
agents.
The major foreign airlines which dominate on this route are Singapore and Cathay
Pacific airline. Cathay Pacific use Jumbo 747-ER and 747-LR aircrafts which covers
the destinations beyond Delhi. The operating cost per kilometer reduces because of
the long run distance, resulting into less operating cost and thus less fare.
AIRINDIA is unable to operate Jumbo because of the less load factor and seat utilizati
JUL07-JUN09
DEL-TYO ONE WAY FARE
60000
50000
40000
30000
Axis Title NN After PLB
20000 YQ + YR
Pub. Fare
10000
0
08
09
08
09
7
8
7
8
8
9
7
8
v0
v0
p0
p0
n0
n0
l0
l0
ay
ay
ar
ar
ju
ju
no
no
se
se
ja
ja
m
m
m
m
Axis Title
100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
Axis Title NN After PLB
40000
YQ + YR
30000 Pub. Fare
20000
10000
0 08
09
08
09
7
8
7
8
8
9
7
8
v0
v0
p0
p0
n0
n0
l0
l0
ay
ay
ar
ar
ju
ju
no
no
se
se
ja
ja
m
m
m
m
Axis Title
Fuel component(YQ + YR) shows rising trend from 4774 in jul07 to 12400 in nov08
then show downward trend from 12400 in nov08 to 5124 in jun09 with lowest in
apr09.
Published fare shows smooth trend from 31000 in jul07 to 28000 in nov08 then shows
downward trend from nov08-jun09 with lowest in month of mar09i.e 17460
Net fare shows drastic change from 34449 in jul07 to 26332 in jun09 with rise trend
from jul07 –nov08 then major dump from feb09-jun09 with lowest in apr09 i.e. 32392
The graph is in correlation.
The dominating airline on this route is JAAL airline of Japan with the load factor of
60%-65%.
From may08-nov08, the bounce in net fare is due to the additive effect of fuel
surcharge.
Fuel surcharge increase due to the ATF hike.
From feb09-apr09, JAAL airline drop their fares drastically and due to the
competitive pricing, AIRINDIA has to do the same.
JAAL airline covers the destinations, across the globe, from TYO to DEL and then
FRA. The long distance coverage thus reducing per unit operational cost.
DELHI TO LONDON (DEL-LON)
ONE WAY FARE
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commission Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare Fare
20000
15000
Pub. Fare
Axis Title
10000 YQ + YR
NN After
PLB
5000
0
7
9
7
9
t0
b0
n0
t0
b0
n0
g0
g0
c0
r0
c0
r0
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
fe
fe
ju
ju
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) shows overall rise from 3553 in jul07 to 6813 in jun09.
Published fare shows zig zag trend during period jul07-jun08 then shows major dump
in the month of dec08.
Net fare also shows the zig zag trend with overall rise from jul07 to nov08 then
sudden fall in dec08 then smooth rise trend follows.
The dominating airlines on this route are Virgin airline, Lufthansa airline, British
Airways, Ethihad Airways with AIRINDIA.
The graph is in correlation.
The rise in net fare was due to the more demand in jul07. The net fare increase w.r.t
the published fare because of the commission given to the agents and fuel surcharge
also increase.
The fuel surcharge increase due to the ATF hike.
The zigzag motion is due to the comparative fares w.r.t the other foreign airlines.
DELHI TO LONDON (DEL-LON)
RETURN FARE
Period Pub. YQ + Gross Commission Net Other Taxes TTL PLB/INC NN After PLB
Fare YR Fare Fare
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
5000
0
7
8
7
9
8
9
7
8
g0
g0
c0
r0
c0
r0
b0
n0
b0
n0
t0
t0
oc
oc
de
de
ap
ap
au
au
fe
fe
ju
ju
Axis Title
Fuel component (YQ + YR) shows overall rise trend from 6806 in jul07 to16026 in
jun09.
Published fare shows drastic dump from 23900 in jul07 to 8900 in jun09 with major
downfall nov08- may09.
Net fare shows upward trend from 33010 in jul07 to 38782 in sep08 then major
decline in sep08-feb09.It shows overall decline trend.
The dominating airlines on this route are Virgin airline, Lufthansa airline, British
Airways, Ethihad Airways with AIRINDIA.
The graph is in correlation.
The rise in net fare was due to the more demand in jul07. The net fare increase w.r.t
the published fare because of the commission given to the agents and fuel surcharge
also increase.
The fuel surcharge increase due to the ATF hike.
The zigzag motion is due to the comparative fares w.r.t the other foreign airlines.
CHAPTER-6
The fluctuations in fares at these international routes are due to cyclic variation in
aviation industry. Aviation industry is in trap of recession from last two year and the
overall growth is also declining.
As far as fuel component (YQ+YR) is concerned, the ATF hike is one of the
dominating factors in fluctuation of the fares.
The fares of other international airlines also affect the fares of AIRINDIA because of
the market characteristics and competition.
AIRINDIA is losing its market share because of the declining capacity utilisation and
load factor. The other airlines thus fetching up the passengers.
Published fare decline due to recession that is still affecting the aviation industry. So
to maintain the loyal passenger AIRINDIA lower down its fares.
Most of the airlines have big pockets i.e. they can afford losses but the same story is
opposite in case of AIRINDIA.
Most foreign Airlines use Jambo747-ER and 747-LR aircraft on the particular route
that covers the long journey resulting into lowering down per unit cost.
The fare trends fluctuate because of the financial condition of the AIRLINE itself.
The Foreign Airlines i.e. Emirates, Cathay Pacific, Gulf Air, Singapore Airlines are
dominating at their particular routes and much potential in terms of finance.
CHAPTER-7
NEW DESTINATIONS
A. DOMESTIC
There are a few destinations which have not been exploited to the maximum. This is because
of the proximity of these places via road and rail transport. Two of these places are Agra and
Uttarakhand. Both of the places have a substantial number of tourists coming to these places
every year.
Agra gets a good number of international tourists as it has the Taj Mahal which is one of the
seven wonders of the world. Agra also has a few other sites which are of historical
importance. A flight can be started from Delhi to Agra by an ATR so that it can be
commercially viable. The seats offered should be in only economy class as the time of flight
will be very less.
Uttarakhand is a destination which attracts mostly domestic tourist as it has a lot of places
having religious significance. It has an airport 25 kms away from capital city, Dehradun,
which has been recently upgraded to handle A 320 fleet as well. Dehradun is the centre from
where pilgrims can go to Badrinath, Kedarnath, Haridwar, Rishikesh etc. and holiday tourist
can go to places like Mussoorie. Kingfisher Red is the only big operator on this route offering
a ticket at Rs. 8500. As the flight duration is only for 45 minutes the seats should be offered
only in the economy class.
Both the places can fetch good business for LCCs segment with both the places attracting
many domestic and international tourists. It should be kept in mind that airlines would not be
competing on these routes not only with competitor airlines but also with road and rail
transport. Therefore, the airlines should make the marketing mix accordingly.
Table 6.2: Destinations where Jet Airways flies and Air India doesn’t
Destination Connecting city Flights/week
Bhavnagar Mumbai 7
Bhuj Mumbai 14
Diu Mumbai 6
Gorakhpur Delhi 5
Porbandar Mumbai 6
Rajahmundry Hyderabad 6
The fig 6.1 shows the number of flights originating from the destinations where Air India
doesn’t fly and Kingfisher or Jet flies.
Figure 6.1: Existing flights from where only Kingfisher or Jet Airways fly
21
16
15
14 14 14 14 14 14
13 13
12
11
10
9
8
7 7 77 7
6 6 6
5 5
4 4 4
3
2
1
Go Diu
Tu a
uj
sik
i
Ko la
um
jay n
a
la
ur
ur
r
r
r
Sh y
bl
ga
da
pu
ad
i
Sim
dr
nd
Bh
sa
or
ap
Hu
ap
Na
lga
na
an
aw
un
kh
am
tic
Ka
ol
lh
av
Be
rb
ra
m
ar
Bh
jah
Po
Dh
Vi
Ra
According to the number of flights originating from a destination following are the top six
potential destinations:
Bhuj
Bhavnagar
Hubli
Nasik
Shimla
Vijayawada
Jet Airways and Kingfisher both fly to Bhuj and Bhavnagar. The airlines fly only economy
class on the route. The ticket to Mumbai from Bhavnagar is around Rs. 3000 and from Bhuj
is around Rs. 3500. The duration of flights to Mumbai is around an hour from both the
destinations. The destinations are attractive for operating smaller planes in the LCC business
model.
Hubli is a city in Northern Karnataka and is situated 20 KM from Dharwad which is the
commercial and business centre for Northern Karnataka. It is connected to Mumbai,
Bangalore and Hyderabad (via Bangalore) with 14 flights per week departing from Hubli.
Kingfisher’s LCC Kingfisher Red is the only carrier flying from Hubli.
Nasik is located in Maharashtra around 180 Km from Mumbai and is referred as the “Wine
capital of India”. Nasik is the third most industrialized city after Mumbai and Pune in
Maharashtra. Nasik is also connected by Kingfisher Red to Mumbai and has very low fares
of around 1500 and duration of flight to Mumbai to around an hour.
Vijayawada is the third largest city of Andhra Pradesh and has gained the name of Business
capital of Andhra Pradesh over the years. It is 275 Km from Hyderabad and is connected to
Hyderabad and Bengaluru Kingfisher Red with prices around 4500 for Hyderabad and 3000
for Bengaluru.
Shimla is the capital of Himachal Pradesh and is a popular tourist destination. It is 365 Km
from New Delhi by Kingfisher Red. The fare on the route is high with prices around Rs 9500.
All the six destinations have varying level of fares but are operated primarily by Kingfisher
Red using the ATR aircraft (except for Bhuj where Kingfisher operates 320). The destinations
have short duration flights with capacity in each flight varying around 50. These destinations
can be attractive if operated in the LCC mode.
CHAPTER-8
Strengths:
It has the best Reach among the players.
It has the largest and the most diverse fleet strength.
Air India has a wide range of promotional schemes among the players. It offers the
best coupon schemes amongst the airlines and provides the covers a broader market
in terms of discounted fares provided compared to Jet and Kingfisher.
It has the best holiday packages in terms of number of destinations covered and
combinations offered. Prices of the holiday packages are also competitive.
It has strong Brand name and oldest Airline.
It has strong Govt.backup & monopoly in various international routes.
It has established infrastructure and prime parking slots & space
Weaknesses:
Manual inventory management compared to automated inventory management used
by Jet and Kingfisher
Despite best fleet and reach Air India is only third in terms of market share. The
seat factor was lowest among the players for the first quarter of 2009.
Poor HR Strategies and management.
Poor cost control and loss of market.
Highest manpower ratio to aircraft.
Air India lags behind Jet Airways and Kingfisher in terms of airline and non airline
partners. This is significant for the FFP especially when the three FSCs offer similar
benefits to the passengers.
Opportunities:
As per “Airports Authority of India, Foundation for Aviation & Sustainable Tourism”,
the domestic traffic will witness a six to seven percent growth till 2017. The growth
presents an opportunity to improve capacity utilization.
It can tap the various international routes where other airline is not operating as it
has wide code sharing.
Airlines can charter into routes where there are very less players operating and can
gain a competitive advantage.
Threats:
LCCs have become strong players and eating the market share of FSCs. The market
share of Indigo and Spice jet increased to 14 percent and 12 percent from 10 percent
each last year.
There has been an alliance between Jet and Kingfisher who together own more than
50 percent of capacity and the market share.
Only FSC without a well famed LCC in the domestic market.
Challenges:
Shedding the negative image of Air India.
Excess capacity leading to frequent fare drops/ dilution of yields.
Prolific Expansion of low cost carriers.
Problems:
Lack of selling efforts in interior cities.
Tracking of productivity data for various incentive or PLB schemes.
Agents not authorized to re-issue or revalidate tickets on international ticketing.
Interface problem between GDS system.
Inadequate staff in customer interface areas such as Reservations, Sales, etc. which
hampers effective customer services.
Poor attention towards the Passenger and service quality.
FUTURE PLANNING AND PROMOTIONAL SCHEMES
AIR INDIA is going to create F&J cell to promote High Yield Business in Mid
August09.
Dedicated sales officer for customized servicing of F&J passengers.
Compilation of Exhaustive data bank of High net worth passengers, corporate, CEO’s
etc.
Development of newsletter to high yield passengers with updates of products,
schemes etc.
Personalized letter to potential and actual F&J passengers for post flight feedback.
Enhancing reach to Trade Bodies such as ASSOCHAM, FICCI, CII etc.
Special deals with corporate and GOI.
Participation through sponsorship in high profile events.
Conducting road show/Presentation to Agents and Corporate highlighting the New
AIR INDIA.
Integration of NACIL and Sales team.
Companion free scheme for West-USA/EUROPE up to Nov09.
AIR INDIA will launch bonus free travel for spouse in first and executive class (F&J)
for Paris, London and New York.
AIR INDIA will offer 30KGS free Baggage allowance for travel to London, Paris and
FRA.
Complimentary pick-up and drop for F&J class passengers till 31st march 2010.
AIR INDIA is going to Introduce New One India D.G.C.A commissionable fares in
August09.
AIR INDIA is offering 3% IATA commission on basic fare plus fuel surcharge till
March 2010 and no Fuel surcharge will be charged on infant fares from India to
USA/CAN/UK/EUR.
Introduction of Corporate Super Saver Scheme to strengthen the high yield
passengers.
Special discounted Domestic and International night fare (25%) between 2300 to
0500 hrs. from Sep09 onwards.
RECOMMENDATIONS & SUGGESTIONS
Air India is a strong player in the market with the potential to become the leader once again.
It covers widest range of destinations, has the best fleet and offers competitive fares. Based
on the study following areas can be targeted in the quest to become the leading Indian player.
http://www.indianairlines.in/index.aspx
http://www.airindiaholidays.in
http://www.indiastat.com
www.iata.org
www.dgca.nic.in
www.airindia.com
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Fleet
Appendix A.1
NACIL Passenger Fleet
Capacit
Aircraft Owned Leased Orders Notes
y
Airbus A310
4 - - Operated by Air India
Freighter
144
Airbus A319-
11 5 9 120 Operated by Indian Airlines
100
122
Bombardier 74
0 4 0 Operated by Indian Airlines.
CRJ700
Total 105 49 65
Source: - DGCA
Airline Partners
19 partners
Code- sharing
8 code share partners.
Conversion Partners
10 conversion partners
Hotel Partners
20 hotel partners
Other Partners
8 other partners