Continuous Random Variable Can Take Any One of An Unlimited Number
Continuous Random Variable Can Take Any One of An Unlimited Number
that a continuous random variable takes any one specific value is 0, but you
can write The probability
that it takes values within a given range. For example, when ten coins are
flipped:
𝑌𝑌 is a continuous
random variable
A continuous random variable has a continuous probability distribution .
Links
A discrete random variable can take only certain distinct values.
You can model the heights of adult males in this city using a normal
distribution ,
Watch out
Although a normal random variable could take any value, in practice
,observations a
Long way (more than 5 standard deviations) from the mean have
probabilities close to 0.
Example 1 SKILLS PROBLEM-SOLVING
The diameters of a metal pin produced by a particular machine, Xmm,
are modeled as
𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(8,0,22 ). Find
a P(𝑋𝑋 > 8) b P(7.8 < 𝑋𝑋 < 8.2)
Example 7A SKILLS PROBLEM-SOLVING
State, with a reason, whether these random variables are discrete or
continuous:
a 𝑋𝑋, the lengths of a random sample of 100 sidewinder snakes in the
Sahara desert
d 𝑄𝑄, the shoe sizes of 200 randomly selected women in a particular town.
The lengths, 𝑋𝑋mm, of a bolt produced by a particular machine
are normally distributed with mean 33 min and standard deviation
0.4 mm. Sketch the distribution of 𝑋𝑋.
The distribution of
incomes in $000s per year,
of employees at a bank is
shown on the right. State,
with reasons, why the
normal distribution is not a
suitable model for there
data.
The arm spans of a group of Yeas 5 students, 𝑋𝑋 cm, are modeled as
𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(120,16).
The snakes have a length between 93cm and 107 cm, find 𝜎𝜎 2
Sheep weigh more than 52kg and 97.5% of the sheep weigh more than
47.5kg find 𝜇𝜇 and 𝜎𝜎 2
The percentage scores, 𝑆𝑆 of a group of students in a test are
modeled as a normal distribution
a P (𝑠𝑠 > 45) b P(30 < 𝑠𝑠 < 60) c P 915 < 𝑠𝑠 <
75)
Alexia states that since it is impossible to score above 100%, this is not a
suitable model.
d State, with a reason, whether or not Alexia is correct.
You should remember that be symmetry, if P(𝑍𝑍 > 1.286) = 0.1 then
P(𝑍𝑍 < −1.286) = 0.1 as well.
• If P(𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎)is greater than 0.5 then 𝑎𝑎 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 > 0
• If P(𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎)is less than 0.5 then 𝑎𝑎 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 < 0
• If P(𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎)is less than 0.5 then 𝑎𝑎 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 > 0
• If P(𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎)is greater than 0.5 then 𝑎𝑎 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 < 0
Example 3 SKILLS INTERPRETATION
Find the value of the constant 𝑎𝑎such that P (𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎) = 0.7517
Hint
For parts g and h you will need to use the symmetry properties of the
distribution.
7. 4 The standard normal distribution
Notation
The standard normal variable is written as 𝑍𝑍~𝑁𝑁(0,12 )
Hint
𝑥𝑥−𝜇𝜇
If 𝑋𝑋 = 𝑥𝑥 then the corresponding value of 𝑋𝑋 will be 𝑧𝑧 = .
𝜎𝜎
𝑥𝑥−𝜇𝜇
The mean of the coded data will be = 0 and the standard deviation will
𝜎𝜎
𝜎𝜎
=1
𝜎𝜎
For the standard normal curve 𝑍𝑍~𝑁𝑁(0,12 ), the probability P (𝑍𝑍 < 𝑎𝑎) is
sometimes written as Ф(𝑎𝑎).
You can find it by entering 𝜇𝜇 = 0 and 𝜎𝜎 = 1 into the normal cumulative
distribution function on your calculator, or by using the tables.
a P (𝑌𝑌 > 𝑠𝑠) = 975 b P(𝑌𝑌 > 𝑡𝑡) = 0.10 c Write down P(𝑠𝑠 < 𝑌𝑌 < 𝑡𝑡)
Given that 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(80,42 ),
Hint
Write your answer to part d in the form Ф(𝑧𝑧1 ) − Ф(𝑧𝑧2 )
a Use the percentage points table to find a value of 𝑧𝑧 such that P
(𝑍𝑍 > 𝑧𝑧) = 0.025 (1mark)
b A hat manufacturer makes a special ‘little’ hat which should fit 15% of its
customers.
Given that hat sizes can be modeled using a normal distribution with
mean 57cm and standard deviation 2 cm, use your answer to
part 𝒂𝒂 to find the size of a ‘little’ hat. . (2 marks)
a Use the percentage points table to find a value of 𝑧𝑧 that
correspond to the 10% to 90% inter- percentile range. (2 mark)
b Use your answer to part 𝒂𝒂 to find the range of life to the nearest hour for
a ‘standard’ bulb. (2 mark)
7.5 Finding 𝝁𝝁 and 𝝈𝝈
Example 11 SKILLS INTERPRETATION
The random variable 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(𝜇𝜇, 32 ).
𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(50𝜎𝜎 2 ).
Given that P(𝑋𝑋 > 35) = 0.025 and P (𝑋𝑋 < 15) = 0.1469, find the value of
𝜇𝜇 and the value of 𝜎𝜎.
3. The random variable 𝑌𝑌~𝑁𝑁(𝜇𝜇, 40) and P (𝑌𝑌 < 25) = 0.15 Find the
value of 𝜎𝜎
4. The random variable 𝑌𝑌~𝑁𝑁(50, 𝜎𝜎 2 ) and P (𝑌𝑌 > 40) = 0.6554 Find
the value of 𝜎𝜎
The random variable 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(𝜇𝜇, 𝜎𝜎 2 ).
Given that P(𝑋𝑋 < 17) = 0.8159 and P(𝑋𝑋 < 25) = 0.9970,find the
value of 𝜇𝜇
and the value of 𝜎𝜎
Given that P(𝑌𝑌 < 15) = 0.10 and P (𝑌𝑌 > 35) = 0.005 , find the value
𝜇𝜇 and the value of 𝜎𝜎.
The random variable 𝑌𝑌~𝑁𝑁(𝜇𝜇, 𝜎𝜎 2 ).
Given that P (𝑋𝑋 > 15) = 0.20 and P(𝑋𝑋 < 9) = 0.20 find the value of 𝜇𝜇
and the value of 𝜎𝜎.
Given that P (𝑋𝑋 > 2𝑎𝑎 ) = 0.2 and P (𝑋𝑋 < 𝑎𝑎) = 0.4, find the value of 𝑎𝑎.
Hint
Draw a diagram and use symmetry to find 𝜇𝜇
Distributed with mean 𝜇𝜇 and standard deviation 5mm. given that 75% of
bowls are greater that
c Find the probability that all three bowls are greater than 205 mm in
diameter. (3 marks)
A loom makes tablecloths with an average thickness of 2.5 mm.
The thickness,
mean𝜇𝜇, and standard deviation 𝜎𝜎. Given that 10% of the penguins have a
mass less then
c Find the probability that at least 4 of than have mass greater than 24 kg.
(4 marks)
The length of an adult Dachshund dog is found to be normally
distributed with mean 𝜇𝜇
And standard deviation 𝜎𝜎. Given that 20% of Dachshunds have a length
less than 16 inches
You will need to refer to the instruction for your particular calculator.
These calculators can be used in your S1 examination but you are advised
to clearly state the
probability you can are finding and give your final answer to 3 significant
figures.
B. Find the probability that three men, selected at random, are all less than
180 cm tall. (3marks)
A. Find the percentage of sheets that weigh less than 30kg. (1mark)
A. Find the probability that a battery will last for more than 60 hours.
(2marks)
B. Find the probability that the battery lasts less than 35 hours. (1mark)
A random sample of 30 smartphone batteries is taken.
C. Find the probability that 3 or fewer last less than 35 hours. (2marks)
The random variable 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁(24, 𝜎𝜎 2 ). Given that P (𝑋𝑋 > 30) = 0.05,
find :
and the probability that the machine puts in too much liquid so that the
cup overflows is 0.01.
b Find the probability that machine puts in less than 110 ml. (1marks)
Ten percent of customers complain that the machine has not given enough
liquid.
c Find the largest volume of liquid, to the nearest millilire that will lead to a
complaint. (2marks)
Taller than 15cm and 5% are shorter than 4cm, find the mean and standard
deviation of
The second test has a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.
Jam is sold in jars and the mean weight of the contents is 108 grams.
Only 3%of jars have contents weighing less than 100 grams . Assuming that
the weight of
c Find the probability that 2 or fewer jars have contents weighing more that
115 grams. (3marks)
The waiting time at a doctor’s surgery is assumed to be normally
distributed with standard deviation of 3.8 minutes .Given that the
probability of waiting more that 15 minutes is 0.0446, find :
As part of the production process, the shelving is tested with two gauges
(used for measuring).
The first gauge is 7 mm thick and 98.61% of the shelving passes through
this gauge. The second
gauge is 5.2 mm thick and only 1.02% of the shelves pass through this
gauge.
Find the mean and standard deviation of the thickness of the shelving.
(4marks)
Challenge – Skills Critical Thinking
1. The lifespan of televisions has a normal distribution with a mean of 58
months and a standard deviation of 10 months. A company gives a
warranty of 36 months to replace any defective television with a new
one. Suppose the company makes 2 million televisions per year. How
many televisions may be replaced?
2. The times taken by a large number of people to travel between two
cities can be modelled by a normal distribution with a mean of 5.2
hours. It is found that 62.5% of the people took more than 4.5 hours to
travel between the two cities.
A. If a number of extra people are taken into account, all of whom took
exactly 5.2 hours to travel between the two cities, state with reasons
what would happen to:
I. The mean
II. The variance.
B. Explain why the distribution would no longer be normal.
5
6 The random variable 𝑋𝑋 that has a normal distribution with mean
𝜇𝜇 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎deviation 𝜎𝜎 is
11 Nearly all of the data (99.7%) lies within three standard deviations of
the mean.