Ethiopia - Modjo-Hawassa Highway Project Phase I - Appraisal Report
Ethiopia - Modjo-Hawassa Highway Project Phase I - Appraisal Report
Ethiopia - Modjo-Hawassa Highway Project Phase I - Appraisal Report
COUNTRY: ETHIOPIA
OITC DEPARTMENT
October 2013
TABLE OF CONTENTS
IV – IMPLEMENTATION...................................................................................................... 11
4.1 Implementation arrangements ........................................................................................ 11
4.2 Monitoring ..................................................................................................................... 13
4.3 Governance .................................................................................................................... 13
4.4 Sustainability................................................................................................................ 14
4.5 Risk management ........................................................................................................... 14
4.6 Knowledge building ....................................................................................................... 15
VI – RECOMMENDATION ................................................................................................... 16
Fiscal Year
8 July- 7 July
Financing plan
Source Amount (UA) Instrument
AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT FUND 84,080,000 LOAN
ii
Project Summary
Project Overview
The Modjo – Hawassa Highway Project (209km) will be implemented in two phases. Phase I
consists of the construction of 93 km of a new asphalt surfaced 4-lane dual carriageway road
between Modjo and Zeway towns. The Modjo – Hawassa Highway Project (Phase I), costing
UA 233.20 m, will be divided into two lots and will be funded by the African Development
Fund (ADF), the Korea Exim Bank (Economic Development Cooperation Fund, EDCF) and
the Government of Ethiopia. The Modjo – Meki section (56km) will cost UA 151.83 and an
ADF loan of UA 84.08 m will fund part of the construction costs and an ADF grant of UA
1.63 m will fund capacity building for Ethiopia Roads Authority. An EDCF loan of UA 66.72
m will, in parallel, fund the construction of the Meki – Zeway section (37km), with
government contribution of UA 14.65m. The project will be implemented in 5 years.
The Modjo- Hawassa highway lies mostly in Oromia Region and is part of the major
Mombasa- Nairobi-Addis Ababa highway. Oromia (pop 31.2 m, 2011) covers 290,000 sq.
km of land and agriculture is the backbone of its economy. The road will therefore serve the
local agri-business and international trade. The direct beneficiaries will include transporters,
travelers, traders, agro-businesses, and others who will benefit from an improved road
connection to Addis Ababa. Local communities (especially youth and women), will for the
short-term, benefit from supplying labor, food and accommodation for immigrant workers,
including improved environmental and economic conditions, and access to health and
education facilities.
Needs Assessment
The current Modjo – Hawassa road is a dilapidated single 2-lane carriageway that has already
served its design life and requires upgrading. The road section forms a link within the Cape
Town to Cairo road corridor connecting southern, eastern and northern Africa. The current
capacity is insufficient to cater for the growing traffic demands, including international heavy
traffic. Furthermore, Ethiopia currently depends on the Djibouti port, and Mombasa port is
the best alternative. In this respect, the Bank has already invested in the construction of
1,000km sections of the Mombasa–Nairobi-Addis Ababa Road Corridor in both Kenya and
Ethiopia. The Modjo – Hawassa highway project is therefore a logical continuation of this
transport expansion program and when completed in 2019, it will provide a wide range of
socio-economic benefits, supporting national and regional trade.
Bank’s Added Value
The Road Sector Development Program (RSDP) IV is an ambitious program intended to
enhance road transport service throughout the country. While the government has mobilized
its own resources (estimated to cover about 75% of the total cost), it is depending on the
financial assistance from Development Partners (DP) to close the 25% funding gap. In this
respect, the Bank, being the fourth largest DP in the sector and a leading financier of regional
infrastructures, is well positioned to continue making strategic contributions as well as
leveraging considerable amount of resources from EDCF to augment its own funds.
Knowledge Management
The knowledge generated during project preparation and implementation will be analyzed to
improve future project design particularly in the use of Design-and-Build concept.
Furthermore, as envisaged in the current CSP, the Bank is conducting a transport sector
economic study to analyze sector policy and institutional issues, including the performance of
Bank funded projects, and focusing on the future transport needs.
iii
Result-based Logical Framework
Country and project name: ETHIOPIA: MODJO – HAWASSA HIGHWAY PROJECT (PHASE I)
Purpose of the project : To improve the road transport connectivity between Modjo and Hawassa by increasing traffic carrying capacity of the road
PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
MEANS OF
RESULTS CHAIN Indicator Baseline : Target : RISKS/MITIGATION MEASURES
VERIFICATION
(including CSI) 2012 2020
1: Increased welfare Total pop. below poverty 29.6% 22% * Central Statistics Risk: Increased general economic growth assumes strict
IMPACT
2.2: Afforestation
women) Nil trees 1 mln trees planted (D&B)
2.3: PAP compensated /r resettled No. of trees planted All PAPS resettled Mitigation: D&B directorate established in 2010 to implement
Execution of the ESMP and No ESMP /compensated D&B. Also, capacity building component provided in the
RAP implemented Regular monthly project
3. Improved ERA capacity Monthly Site Progress No regular meetings plus 200 Risk: Govt unable to make counterpart contributions.
meetings plus number of meetings (80% of ERA) Mitigation: Govt to show budget line every financial year
ERA Engineers trained. and no Engineers trained.
training.
iv
COMPONENTS INPUTS
KEY ACTIVITIES
1. Construction of dual carriageway Costs - UA million : Costs - UA million (Cont.): Sources of financing (UA million)
1.1: Civil works Civil Works**** 159.85 Project cost 197.49 ADF Loan 84.08
1.2: Supervision services Supervision Services 5.58 Taxes 27.74 ADF Grant 1.63
1.3: Capacity building Audit consultancy service 0.27 Compensation of PAP 7.97 EDCF loan 66.72
1.4: Audit services Base Cost 165.70 Grand Total Cost 233.20 GOE 80.76
2. Implementation of ESMP Physical Contingencies 20.80 Total 233.20
2.1: Sensitization on social issues (gender/HIV, road safety)*** Price contingencies 9.02
2.2: Plant/care for 1 million trees Capacity building 1.63
2.3: Compensation and resettlement of PAPs Afforestation
0.33
NOTES: 1. *National economic projections up to 2015 based on the Growth & Transformation Plan of the Government of Ethiopia (2011-2015),
2. ** 47,500 vpd projected in 2038.
3. ***40% local jobs created, 30% for women; Nine communities, sensitized on road safety, gender, HIV/AIDS.
4. ****100,000 UA cost of sensitization included in the costs of works
v
Project Timeframe: Modjo-Hawassa Highway Project (Phase I)
DETAILS OF PROCUREMENT
Bank no-objection of Procurement document 1-Jul-13 31-Oct-13
Publication of Specific Procurement Notice 30-Nov-13
vi
REPORT AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE MANAGEMENT
ON A PROPOSED LOAN TO ETHIOPIA FOR THE MODJO – HAWASSA HIGHWAY
PROJECT (PHASE I)
Management submits the following Report and Recommendation on a proposed ADF loan of
UA 84.08 million (UA 75.61 million from ADF-12 PBA and UA 8.74 million from loan
cancellations) to finance Ethiopia’s Modjo – Hawassa Highway Project (Phase I) consisting
of the section between Modjo and Zeway, and Grant amounting to UA 1.63 million (from
grant cancellations) to fund capacity building for Ethiopia Roads Authority.
2
close the 25% gap in funding. In this respect, the Bank, being the fourth largest development
partner in the sector and a leading financier of eastern Africa regional infrastructures, is well
positioned to continue making strategic contributions. This is particularly so in southern
Ethiopia where it has successfully funded other transport and energy projects.
1.3. Donor coordination
Aid coordination in the transport sector is carried out through the Transport Sector Working
Group (TSWG) of which the Bank is a member. The TSWG meets quarterly and is currently
co-chaired by the Ministry of Transport and the EU. The joint financing under the RSDP has
facilitated the complementarities of the development partners’ efforts and internal donor co-
ordination. The World Bank, EU, AfDB and China have contributed 86.5% of all donor
support over the last 15 years. A the end of 2012, the total donor support towards the road
sector stood at ETB 26.7 billion, making up 25% of all expenditure on the sector, which
amounts to ETB 108.5 billion. The World Bank is the largest donor, contributing 9.2% of the
total disbursements, followed by EU (6.2%), China (3.9%) and then the AfDB (2.0%)1. A
further analysis of donor interventions is given in Technical Annex A, para A4.
Table 1.1: Donor Coordination
IDA 9.2%
Government Donors
EU 6.2%
ETB 5.453 billion ETB 1.780 billion China 3.9%
[75%] [25%] AfDB 2.0%
Japan 1.0%
(Total ETB 81.8 billion) (Total 26.7 billion)
Others 2.3%
II – PROJECT DESCRIPTION
1
Source: Ethiopia: On-Going Efforts in Roads Development and Future Plans, Ethiopian Roads Authority (Feb,
2013)
3
I. Modjo - Zeway section (93km)
The works component will include (i) detailed design and construction of 93 km of a new
asphalt paved 4-lane dual carriageway highway (2x2x3.65m wide carriageway with 2m wide
paved shoulders and 1.5 m median) between Modjo, Meki and Zeway, including link roads to
three main towns, and (ii) Implementation of ESMP (road safety, gender sanitization and
HIV/AIDS awareness).
II. Supervision Consultancy Services
Consultancy services for the supervision of roads work will include reviewing and approving
detailed engineering design, administering the works contract, quality and quantity control of
all works, including the control and monitoring of the day to day activities of the contractor,
reporting to the EA on all matters of project progress, advising EA on payment, claims and
all matters pertaining to technical and financial aspects of the contract, amongst others. The
services will include the supervision of the full implementation of the ESMP and
compensation/resettlement of PAPs. The consultant will also collect designated baseline and
first year impact data.
III. Capacity building of the Executing Agency
This component will include consultancy services to enhance capacity of ERA in form of 2
individual consultant engineers who will support ERA by coordinating the implementation of
this and all other Bank funded transport projects. The consultants will ensure that the
contractual monthly progress meetings between the contractor, supervision consultant and
ERA are held regularly. In addition, 200 ERA engineers (making up about 80% of the
engineering staff) will receive further short-term and on-the-job training in project related
skills, including skills transfer from the 2 individual consultants.
IV. Project audit consultancy services
Consultancy services for audit will include annual independent audit of the financial and
technical aspects of the project implementation.
B. Implementation of the Environmental and Social Management Plan
I. Afforestation program will consist of production, planting and caring for one million
trees along the road reserve. The work will be implemented by specialist organizations.
II. Sensitization on social issues includes consultancy services for Road Safety campaign,
HIV/AIDS awareness and gender sensitization. The cost is included in the works.
III. Compensation and Resettlement of PAP includes the implementation of the
Resettlement Action Plan and compensation of project affected persons.
4
B.II Sensitization (0.10)* Awareness on road safety, gender, HIV/AIDS etc
B.III Compensation 7.97 Identify the PAPs in the ROW
of PAP Assess assets, compensate and / or resettle the PAPs
* Sensitization costs included in A.1 (works)
NB: 1. Figures include contingencies. 2. Costs of taxes estimated at UA 27.73 million not included.
5
RAP - 7.97 7.97
Local Taxes - 27.67 27.67
EDCF service charge 0.07 - 0.07
The cost of Lot 1: Modjo-Meki Section (56 km) is UA 151.83 million and the costs of Lot 2:
Meki – Zeway section (37km) is UA 81.37 million; See Table 2.3 below:
The project costs are based on engineering design done by a consulting firm using funds
provided by the government. At the time of appraisal, the cost estimates were found to
compare well with the current market rates of similar standard of road cost.
Table 2.6: Expenditure schedule by component for Lot 1: Modjo – Meki section [amounts in
million UA equivalents]
Annual Disbursements in UA Millions
Year of implementation 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total
Works 25.21 12.61 37.82 37.82 12.61 126.06
3.1.2. Assumptions taken and the Economic Analysis Results: The project construction is
assumed to commence in January 2015. With a construction period of 48 months, the first
year of opening the road to traffic will be 2019 and the analysis period goes up to 2038. The
maintenance strategies that have been considered in the analysis are (a) the “without project”
do minimum, and (b) “with-project” improved road. Residual values are assumed as 20 % of
the initial capital investment and credited to the project in the final evaluation year of 2038.
The economic costs taken into account are the road agency costs in the “with” and “without”
project scenarios, which include both the maintenance and the investment cost of building the
new 4-lane 93km long dual carriage. The economic capital investment cost of the road is
ETB 5,602 million (ETB 60.2 million per 4-lane km). The wide socio-economic impacts
linked to free access of the new highway, while significant, have not been computed in order
to maintain conservative assumptions for the appraisal. The summary of the economic
analysis result is presented in Table 3.1. The detail economic analysis results are presented
Technical Annex B para B.2.
Table 3.1 : Summary of the Economic Analysis
Parameter Quantum
FIRR, NPV (base case) (Not Applicable)
Economic Internal Rate of Return(EIRR) 25.7 %
Net Present Value (NPV) in ETB ETB 5,269 million
Sensitivity of EIRR of concurrently 20% increase in cost and 20% decrease in 16.4%
traffic
9
The positive impacts expected from this project include: (i) provision of a faster corridor of
travel leading to a reduction in travel time, reduced risks of accidents and reduced cost of
transport; (ii) Significant improvement to local, regional and national economy; (iii) Reduction
in air pollution from traffic congestion; (iii) Creation of employment opportunities, especially
during the project construction phase; (iv) improved environment due to increased forestation.
3.2.2 Climate Change: The climate change projection for Ethiopia reveals that the mean
annual temperature will increase in the range of 0.9 – 1.1oC by 2030; in the range of 1.7 – 2.1oC
by 2050 and in the range of 2.7oC – 3.4oC by 2080 compared to the 1961 – 1990 temperatures.
The projection indicates that an increase in annual precipitation will also be expected. In this
context, impacts and hazards related to climate change have manifested in Ethiopia through
flooding, heavy rains, strong winds, and high temperature. The engineering design has provided
for a climate resilient project. The road corridor passes through a rolling-to-flat terrain prone to
flash floods and its soil structure is loose loamy type which loses its load carrying capacity when
saturated with water. In this respect, the road pavement is to be built on a high embankment to
protect the expensive road structure from damage as well as to ensure passage of traffic all the
time. Furthermore, numerous culverts have been provided for drainage of surface runoff to
protect the embankment from damming effect. The embankment will be covered by indigenous
grass in order to prevent soil erosion. The road corridor immediately beyond the road prism will
be planted with approximately one million trees to provide stability to the road structure and
prevent soil erosion in the micro-catchment. The tree planting program is expected to contribute
to the regional and national effort of combating global warming and climate change as the
planted trees will serve as CO2 sink.
3.2.3 Gender: The project will benefit both men and women during implementation and
operation through direct employment and enhanced economic activities due to an improved
road transport system. The project will mainstream gender and ensure equal opportunities
between men and women in planning, implementation and the enjoyment of benefits. As a
mechanism of gender mainstreaming, ERA will ensure that more women are employed in the
works and services. ERA will monitor the effectiveness of this initiative through regular
quarterly reports to the Bank. As part of women’s economic empowerment, the project has a
quota of at least 30% of semi-skilled and non-skilled jobs to be filled by women. Effort will
also be made to have 30% women representation in the community and wereda RAP
Committees. It is expected that increased demand for services including accommodation,
food-stalls and cleaning at the site camp will economically benefit women. The project will
provide adequate accommodation including ablution facilities for female and male workers at
the camp. Female headed households among the project affected communities are identified
as vulnerable due to the disproportionate impact of involuntary resettlement on them and as
such will be provided with special support in the compensation and resettlement process. The
presence of construction workers earning above average incomes and often coming without
their families may contribute to the spread of HIV/AIDS/STI, whose impact is higher on
women than men. Thus, the project will provide HIV/AIDS/STI prevention and awareness
campaigns and activities targeted at women and girls.
3.2.4 Social: The road project will bring wealth and improve household incomes of local
communities during both implementation and operation. The project construction is estimated
to take about 4 years and approximately 1000 jobs will be created during implementation.
Equal opportunities for men and women from local communities and the extra income from
the job opportunities will decrease the vulnerability of the PAPs in particular female headed
households. Above all the project road once completed will facilitate faster movement of
agricultural produce especially cut-flowers and horticultural produce which are grown in the
area to markets. Reduced travel-time will in turn encourage farmers to grow more with better
10
quality. The project will improve access to health and education facilitates as well as increase
business opportunities to micro enterprises. The project road will also improve the wellbeing
of the populations living in the area through improved road safety measures that have been
incorporated in the project design; created parking bays; separated motorized and non-
motorized traffic by providing 2 m of sealed shoulders on either side and road safety
campaigns. The design has also included the construction of 16 underpasses which will
ensure safe passage for pedestrians and livestock.
Among the adverse social impacts of the project will be the land take and disruption to
livelihoods of affected persons and to utilities. The RAP will be implemented in accordance
with the Bank policy to offset these impacts. Another social concern is associated with the
potential increase in communicable diseases such as the increased exposure to HIV/AIDS
resulting from the influx of large number of mobile workers. The area has a relatively low
HIV/AIDS prevalence rate of 1% and hence must be protected and improved to even lower
rate. The project includes a comprehensive HIV/AIDS prevention program, coordinated with
local government and NGOs, targeting both workers and communities.
Specific baseline data (with gender disaggregation) will be collected at the commencement of
the project to enable ERA track the implementation and impact of the new road, and be able
to make certain midstream adjustments to the project, if necessary. Data will include
transport costs and travel time, accident data, agricultural activities, jobs created by project,
gender awareness levels and HIV/AIDS prevalence and access to social services.
3.2.5 Involuntary resettlement: The project road is on a new route and entails acquisition of
land for the right of way, and for access to and excavation of construction materials. These
activities will result in involuntary resettlement of people, destruction of assets and disruption
to utilities. Approximately 16,280 people will be affected in the process, out of which 51.3%
are male. In response, a full Resettlement Action Plan (RAP) has been prepared and a
provision has been made to cover the full cost of RAP estimated at USD 11.95 million. The
implementation of the RAP shall provide special attention to the vulnerable groups that
include the elderly, female and child headed households and the people with disability.
IV – IMPLEMENTATION
4.3. Governance
Ethiopia has greatly improved its governance structures and is a considered a low risk
environment. However, to ensure that the project funds are safe, the project has included in
its design specific governance risk mitigation measures such as (i) the appointment of
external and independent financial / technical audit firm to ensure that funds are used
efficiently and for the intended purposes; and (ii) Bank’s prior review and approval of all
project procurement activities.
13
4.4. Sustainability
4.4.1 Project sustainability will depend on the quality of works executed. It will also largely
depend on the Governments’ capacity to plan, finance and carry out routine and periodic
maintenances on a timely basis. Furthermore, it will also depend on the implementation of
effective axle-load-control programs to prevent overloaded trucks from using the road assets.
The road maintenance is done based on plans under the Road Sector Development Program
(RSDP), implemented by ERA. To strengthen the maintenance planning capacity, the on-
going Bank funded phase III of Mombasa–Nairobi-Addis Ababa road corridor project
includes consultancy services in asset management. The consultant will diagnose the current
maintenance programming of ERA and assistance in the preparation of annual and five year
maintenance plan, review road network stock and determine its value, propose improvement
to existing, and/or design new maintenance planning approach.
4.3.2 Detailed maintenance strategies have been devised for the project and have been
incorporated into the HDM model. For the options “with project”, two strategies have been
defined. The first one is applicable to the period before the project is completed (years 2014-
2018), whereas the second one is applied after completion of works. This strategy aims at
conserving the asset value of the project road after rehabilitation.
The recurrent costs after project completion include the routine maintenance expenditure of
the road undertaken annually and the periodic maintenance. Those are based on programmed
interventions as responsive to a set of technical criterions aimed at maintaining the wearing
course in acceptable condition. For the new Modjo – Hawassa road savings in road
maintenance expenditures are estimated at USD 59 million.
4.4.3 In Ethiopia, the resources for road maintenance are administered through the Ethiopian
Road Fund (ERF). Its revenues consist of fuel levies, transit fees and interest income. Those
resources at the starting year of the Road Fund, i.e. 1997-98, were ETB 0.33 billion and has
increased to ETB 1.29 billion in 2011-12, which is 94% of routine maintenance needs.
Considering the expected increase in the road network, ERF has identified annual vehicle
license fees, mass distance charges, heavy vehicle charges, overloading fines and road tolls as
potential sources. Ethiopia is also implementing policy measures with respect to axle- load-
control on their respective road networks with technical assistance funded by Development
Partners. These measures include the introduction of improved axle configurations, the
construction of additional weighbridge stations, and more efficient enforcement. ERA is
enforcing axle load control using twelve stationary and three mobile weighbridges.
4.5. Risk management
The major risks and mitigation measures are described below.
4.5.1. Negative social impact on the local population include road accidents, HIV/AIDS.
The concentration of male construction workers in the project area for up to 5 years during
the project construction may increase incidences of sexually transmitted diseases. In
mitigation, the project has provided for sensitization against these negative social behaviors
including HIV/AIDS awareness.
4.5.2. Project Design risks include possible negative impacts on the environment, delays in
implementation and costs increases due poor engineering and project design. In mitigation
the engineering design has taken due consideration of flat/rolling terrain with loose top soil
prone to erosion in case of flash floods. The design has provided sufficient drainage facilities
and raised the level of road embankment all throughout the alignment. Furthermore, the
afforestation component will improve climate and reduce soil degradation by increasing
forest cover. In order to avoid delays due to protracted procurement, ERA is using advanced
14
contracting procedures and has also applied the design-and-build concept in project delivery.
This will eventually save up to 2-3 years in between project conception and completion.
4.5.3. Implementation risks include risks due to RAP and management of the construction
works. The design & build concept requires that compensation be done after the contractor
has started preparatory work but before any construction works can start. Delays in RAP
could slow down progress of project implementation, risking cost increases. In mitigation the
government has already started preparations to compensate PAPs. Additionally, the
implementation of RAP is one of the Other Loan Conditions. ERA has limited experience in
design/build projects. In mitigation, ERA in March 2010 established the Design and Build
Directorate to learn and implement these kinds of projects. In addition, a capacity building
component is provided consisting of 2 experienced individual consultants who will assist in
project management and further short-term and on-the-job training of ERA engineers.
Furthermore, the supervision consultant will have specific skills in design & build projects.
The contractor will also be required to provide a warranty to cover for the project engineering
performance for 3 years beyond project defects liability period.
4.5.4. Government counterpart funds: Although the government is committed to
implement this project and the rest of RSDP, the counterpart funds are considerable (UA 80
m, about 34% of project cost) and the government could face delays in meeting their
obligations. In mitigation, the government has undertaken to report at start of every fiscal
year during project implementation that required counterpart funds have been set aside.
4.6. Knowledge building
This will be the first design & build project the Bank has implemented in Ethiopia and
therefore knowledge gained will be useful in improving design and implementation of similar
future projects. Project coordinator will perform technical audit functions that will form basis
for building a reliable source of knowledge to be applied in subsequent projects. The
supervision consultant will collect additional baseline and monitoring data during project
implementation which will be used to evaluate the performance of the project and analyzed to
improve future projects. The data will become part of the national M&E system that ERA has
developed over the years to track the impact of road development in alleviating poverty and
its contribution to the attainment of MDGs. Furthermore, as recommended in the CSP, the
Bank is undertaking a transport ESW to analyze all the issues pertaining to the sector,
focusing on the future transport needs in view of the RSDP IV and the GTP. The outputs of
the study, to be shared amongst all stakeholders, will contribute to knowledge and will be
used in the development of future projects.
15
ii. The entry into Force of the Protocol for Grant Agreement shall be subject to the
fulfillment by the Recipient of the provisions of Section 10.01 of the General
conditions Applicable to Protocol of Agreements for Grants of the African
Development Fund.
B: Conditions Precedent to First Disbursements of the Loan/ Grant: The obligation of
the Fund to make the first disbursements of the Loan/Grant shall be conditional upon the
entry into force of the Loan/Grant Agreement, and submission by the Borrower/ Recipient of
evidence, in form and substance satisfactory to the Fund, of the fulfillment of the following
conditions:
C: Other Conditions for the Loan and Grant Agreements: The Borrower/ Recipient shall
have:
i. Developed and submitted to the Fund a Resettlement Action Plan (the, “RAP”)
together with a Works and Compensation Schedule detailing, inter alia, (i) the
sections into which each lot of the civil works will be divided; and (ii) a timeframe for
the compensation of the Project Affected Persons with respect to all such sections;
and
ii. Prior to commencement of construction on any section of civil works, all Project
Affected Persons have been compensated and/or resettled with respect to the relevant
section in accordance with the RAP and any updates to the RAP, as well as the Works
and Compensation Schedule.
D: Undertakings for the Loan and Grant Agreements: The Borrower/ Recipient
undertakes to:
i. Implement and report on the implementation of the Environmental and Social Impact
Assessment, the Environment and Social Management Plan and the RAP on a semi-
annual basis in form acceptable to the Fund;
ii. Report on a semi-annual basis, no later than 30 days, in a form acceptable to the Fund
on the measures adopted and progress on HIV/AIDS and STD prevention; and
iii. Report at the start of every fiscal year, for the duration of the Project that the
counterpart funds required have been set aside.
VI – RECOMMENDATION
16
Management recommends that the ADF Board of Directors approve the proposed ADF Loan
of UA 84.08 million and the proposed ADF grant of UA 1.63 million to the Federal
Democratic Republic of Ethiopia for the purpose of financing the Modjo – Hawassa Highway
Project (Phase I), subject to the conditions stipulated in this report.
17
Ethiopia
I: Ethiopia’sSOCIO-ECONOMIC
AppendixCOMPARATIVE INDICATORS
comparative socio-economic indicators
Develo- Develo-
Year Ethiopia Africa ping ped
Countries Countries
Basic Indicators GNI Per Capita US $
Area ( '000 Km²) 2011 1,104 30,323 98,458 35,811 1800
Total Population (millions) 2012 86.5 1,070.1 5,807.6 1,244.6 1600
Urban Population (% of Total) 2012 17.0 40.8 46.0 75.7 1400
1200
Population Density (per Km²) 2012 76.7 34.5 70.0 23.4 1000
GNI per Capita (US $) 2011 400 1 609 3 304 38 657 800
600
Labor Force Participation - Total (%) 2012 48.4 37.8 68.7 71.7 400
Labor Force Participation - Female (%) 2012 47.7 42.5 39.1 43.9 200
Gender -Related Dev elopment Index Value 2007-2011 0.403 0.502 0.694 0.911 0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Human Dev elop. Index (Rank among 186 countries) 2012 173 ... ... ...
Popul. Liv ing Below $ 1.25 a Day (% of Population) 2005-2011 39.0 40.0 22.4 ... Ethiopia Africa
Demographic Indicators
Population Grow th Rate - Total (%) 2012 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.3
Population Grow th Rate - Urban (%) 2012 3.3 3.4 2.3 0.7
Population < 15 y ears (%) 2012 40.2 40.0 28.5 16.6 Population Growth Rate (%)
Population >= 65 y ears (%) 2012 3.4 3.6 6.0 16.5
Dependency Ratio (%) 2012 77.3 77.3 52.5 49.3 2.5
Sex Ratio (per 100 female) 2012 99.1 100.0 103.4 94.7 2.4
Female Population 15-49 y ears (% of total population) 2012 24.7 49.8 53.2 45.5 2.3
Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Total (y ears) 2012 59.7 58.1 67.3 77.9 2.2
Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Female (y ears) 2012 61.4 59.1 69.2 81.2 2.1
Crude Birth Rate (per 1,000) 2012 30.2 33.3 20.9 11.4 2.0
Crude Death Rate (per 1,000) 2012 9.2 10.9 7.8 10.1 1.9
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2012 63.6 71.4 46.4 6.0
Child Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2012 97.5 111.3 66.7 7.8
Total Fertility Rate (per w oman) 2012 3.9 4.2 2.6 1.7 Ethiopia Africa
Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000) 2010 350.0 417.8 230.0 13.7
Women Using Contraception (%) 2012 30.6 31.6 62.4 71.4
Public Ex penditure on Health (as % of GDP) 2010 5.7 5.9 2.9 8.2
Education Indicators
Gross Enrolment Ratio (%)
Primary School - Total 2010-2012 105.6 101.9 103.1 106.6
Primary School - Female 2010-2012 100.5 98.4 105.1 102.8 Infant Mortality Rate
( Per 1000 )
Secondary School - Total 2010-2012 37.6 42.3 66.3 101.5
Secondary School - Female 2010-2012 34.9 38.5 65.0 101.4 90
Primary School Female Teaching Staff (% of Total) 2011 37.2 43.2 58.6 80.0 80
Adult literacy Rate - Total (%) 2007-2010 39.0 67.0 80.8 98.3 70
Adult literacy Rate - Male (%) 2007-2010 49.1 75.8 86.4 98.7 60
50
Adult literacy Rate - Female (%) 2007-2010 28.9 58.4 75.5 97.9 40
Percentage of GDP Spent on Education 2008-2010 4.7 5.3 3.9 5.2 30
20
10
Environmental Indicators 0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Land Use (Arable Land as % of Total Land Area) 2011 14.6 7.6 10.7 10.8
Annual Rate of Deforestation (%) 2000-2009 0.8 0.6 0.4 -0.2
Forest (As % of Land Area) 2011 12.2 23.0 28.7 40.4 Ethiopia Africa
Per Capita CO2 Emissions (metric tons) 2009 0.1 1.2 3.1 11.4
Sources : AfDB Statistics Department Databases; World Bank: World Development Indicators; last update : May 2013
UNAIDS; UNSD; WHO, UNICEF, WRI, UNDP; Country Reports.
Note : n.a. : Not Applicable ; … : Data Not Available.
Appendix II : Ethiopia’s Portfolio 2013
ETHIOPIA - ADB ON-GOING OPERATIONS IN 2012/2013( AS AT 31, August 2013)
CUMULATIVE DISBURSEMENTS AS AT 31 August 2013
Cum. Disb.
Initial Revised Revised
Ser. Approval Date Effective Net Loan/Grant Amount Cumulative Undisbursed
Project/Study Loan/Grant No. Source Closing Closing Closing
No. Date Signed Date Amount (31,Aug. Disb. Ratio balance (UA)
Date Date_1st Date_2nd
2013)
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
Agriculture Sector
1 2100150007227 LOAN 5-Nov-03 12-Feb-04 21-Mar-05 31-Dec-10 31-Dec,-13 30-Jun-13 21,240,000 15,340,879 72.23% 5,899,121
Support Project
>> " " 2100155002019 GRANT 5-Nov-03 12-Feb-04 21-Mar-05 31-Dec-10 31-Dec,-13 30-Jun-13 17,761,200 14,282,109 80.41% 3,479,091
Creation of
Sustainable Tse tse
2 2100150009198 LOAN 8-Dec-04 16-May-05 23-Jan-07 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-12 15-Dec-13 9,550,000 8,703,289 91.13% 846,711
and Trypanosomiasis-
free areas in Ethiopia
LOAN 30,790,000 24,044,168 78.09% 6,745,832
GRANT 17,761,200 14,282,109 80.41% 3,479,091
Sub-total 48,551,200 38,326,278 78.94% 10,224,922
TRANSPORT SECTOR
Jimma-Mizan Road
3 2100150013218 LOAN 13-Dec-06 12-Jan-07 3-Oct-07 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-14 65,000,000 44,077,626 67.81% 20,922,374
Upgrading
Bedele-Metu Road
4 2100150025495 LOAN 30-Nov-11 2-Feb-12 1-Apr-12 31-Dec-16 41,060,000 7,612,163.27 18.54% 33,447,837
Upgrading
LOAN 106,060,000 51,689,790 48.74% 54,370,210
GRANT - - 0.00% -
Sub-total 106,060,000 51,689,790 48.74% 54,370,210
PUBLIC UTILITY
Rural Electrification II
5 2100150013644 LOAN 20-Dec-06 12-Jan-07 2-Nov-08 31-Dec-13 87,200,000 60,574,941 69.47% 26,625,059
Project
Electric Transmission
6 Systems Improvement 2100150023451 LOAN 6-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 19-Aug-11 31-Dec-15 93,750,000 60,068,370 64.07% 33,681,630
Projet
Electricity Transmission
>> Systems Improvement 2100155019269 GRANT 6-Dec-10 20-Dec-10 19-Aug-11 31-Dec-15 58,000,000 38,814,049 66.92% 19,185,951
Projet
Rural Water Supply and
7 2100155006269 GRANT 21-Dec-05 25-Feb-06 1-Sep-06 31-Dec-10 30-Jun-12 31-Dec-13 43,610,000 43,592,478 99.96% 17,522
Sanitation Project
LOAN 180,950,000 120,643,312 66.67% 60,306,688
GRANT 101,610,000 82,406,527 81.10% 19,203,473
Sub-total 282,560,000 203,049,838 71.86% 79,510,162
MULT_SECTOR
PBS III 2100150027194 LOAN 18-Jul-12 24-Aug-12 18-Dec-12 31-Jul-15 166,000,000 111,000,000 66.87% 55,000,000
Sub total loan 166,000,000 111,000,000 66.87% 55,000,000