RAHUL SINGH Mini Project - A STUDY ON STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY OF INDIAN MNC'S
RAHUL SINGH Mini Project - A STUDY ON STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY OF INDIAN MNC'S
RAHUL SINGH Mini Project - A STUDY ON STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY OF INDIAN MNC'S
CERTIFICATE
Have been collected by me. I also declare that this mini project report
has been prepared by me and the same has never been submitted by the
under signed either in part or in full to any other university or institute
or published earlier
This information is true to the best of my knowledge and belief.
Date-
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
List of content
Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 9-21
Introduction
PROFILE
MNC’S
Types of MNC’S
Advantages of MNC’S
Disadvantages of MNC’S
Company profile
Literature review
Collection of data
Research gap
CONCLUSION
Findings, suggestions
Conclusion
Reference 71-73
s
Annexures 74-75
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
Introduction
The origin of the stock market started in the year 1494, when the
Amsterdam Stock Exchange was set up in India in the 18th century, in
that East India Company was a dominant Institution in those days and
business related to loan securities used to be transacted towards the close
of the 18th century. From 1830's business on corporate stocks and shares
in Bank and Cotton presses took place in Bombay. Though the trading list
was large in 1839, there were only few brokers recognized by banks and
merchants during 1840 and 1850. The 1850's witnessed a rapid
development of commercial enterprise and brokerage business attracted
many men into that sector and in 1860 the number of brokers increased to
60. In 1860-61 due to the American civil war the cotton supply from the
United States of Europe was stopped; thus, the 'Share Mania' in India
began. Thus, the number of brokers increased to about 200 to 250.
However, by the end of the American Civil War, in 1865, a disastrous
slump began (for example, Bank of Bombay Share which had touched Rs
2850 could only be sold at Rs. 87). In the end of the American Civil War,
the brokers who thrived out of Civil War in 1874, found a place in a
street (now appropriately called as Dalal Street) where they might
assemble and transact business. In 1887, they formally established in
Bombay, the “Native Share and Stockbrokers’ Association” (which is
alternatively referred as “The Stock Exchange”). In 1895, the Stock
market acquired a premise within the same street, and it had been
inaugurated in 1899. Thus, the Stock Exchange at Bombay was
consolidated
STOCK
A stock also known as "shares" and "equity”. It is a kind of security
that signifies ownership of the organization and represents a claim
to a neighborhood of the corporation's assets and earnings.
Common stock usually entitles the owner to vote at shareholders'
meetings and to receive dividends.
TYPES OF STOCKS:
Investors have completely different objectives, like growth or
financial gain, and completely different investment horizons.
Hence, they search out stocks that have the qualities that they
appear for. To satisfy this would like, stocks are categorized per
their investment characteristics. The foremost common classes are
listed below.
Blue-Chip Stocks:
valuable stocks are stocks of enormous, stable corporations that
have an extended history of stable earnings and dividends and are
typified by the stocks composing the Dow-Jones Industrial Average
Industrial Average, as well as General electrical, IBM, Microsoft,
and Pfizer. due to their massive size, there is just about no potential
for a high rate, therefore most of the comeback of those stocks is
within the kind of dividends. However, capital gains will be
obtained from these stocks if they are bought in an exceedingly
securities industry once stock costs are depressed overall.
For example, throughout the credit crisis of Gregorian calendar
month and Dec 2008, and therefore the early part of 2009,
Microsoft was commerce below $20 per share, whereas before this,
Microsoft had been commerce at around $30 per share for an
extended time. It is affordable to assume, given Microsoft's sturdy
monetary position, that its stock value can come back to $30 a
share, and, perhaps, surpass it.
Income Stocks:
Financial gain stocks generate most of their returns in dividends,
and therefore the dividends—unlike the dividends of preferred
shares or the interest payments of bonds— will, in several cases,
grow unendingly year after year because the companies' earnings
grow. These corporations have a high dividend pay-out magnitude
relation as a result of there are few opportunities to speculate the
cash within the business that may yield a better come back on
stockholders' equity. Hence, several of those corporations are
already terribly massive, and are thought of as valuable
corporations, like General Electric.
Cyclical Stocks:
alternate stocks cycle with the economic cycles, growing
powerfully once the economy is growing and declining because the
economy declines. Most of those corporations provide capital
instrumentality for businesses or expensive things, like cars and
homes, for customers. Some examples embody Alcoa, Caterpillar,
and Brunswick. The most effective time to buy these stocks is at
very cheap fluctuations, so sell once the cycle peaks.
Defensive Stocks:
customers. Some examples embody Alcoa, Caterpillar, and
Brunswick. The most effective time to buy these stocks is at very
cheap fluctuations, so sell once the cycle peaks.
Defensive Stocks:
Large-cap stocks:
Mid-cap stocks:
Small-cap stocks are small companies that have the best potential
for growth - hence, most of those stocks are growth or speculative
stocks, and most tech stocks also are during this category, since
many tech companies consider a narrow niche of the market, or
they were began to develop a replacement product or service, like
the various Internet companies that sprouted during the stock
market bubble. In some cases, the small-cap stocks are
distinguished from the even smaller micro-cap stocks, which are
often found within the Russell Microcap Index. Note that even the
micro-cap stocks include only those
The Indian stock market is the oldest stock market in Asia; India
goes back to the 18th century. East India Company used to transact
the loans and securities in the 1830s at this time the number of
brokers were very less. Afterwards informal groups started doing
business under the banyan tree. In the 1860s share mania began in
India after the American civil war broke with Europe, they stopped
cotton supply from America to Europe as brokers increased more in
India.
Share
Derivatives
Bonds
SHARES:
The two main sorts of shares are common stock and preferred
stock. Physical paper stock certificates have been replaced with
electronic recording of stock shares; just as mutual fund shares are
recorded electronically.
Stock exchange gives a prepared and constant market for buy and
sale of securities. It gives a prepared outlet to purchasing and
offering of securities. Stock trade additionally goes about as an
outlet for the offer of recorded securities. Stock exchange is
valuable for the assessment of business securities. This empowers
speculators to know the genuine worth of their possession
whenever. Correlation of organizations in a similar industry is
conceivable through stock trade citations. Stock exchange quickens
the procedure of capital development. It makes the propensity for
sparing, contributing and chance taking among the putting class and
changes over their reserve funds into beneficial ventures. It goes
about as an instrument of capital arrangement. What is more, it
additionally goes about as a channel for right speculations.
There are 23 SEBI permitted stock exchanges in India. Major stock exchanges are:
Hyder
abad
stock
exchan
ge ❖
Jaipur
stock
exchan
ge
❖ Madhya
Pradesh stock
exchange ltd ❖
Meerut stock
exchange ltd ❖
National stock
exchange
❖ Uttar
Pradesh
stock
exchange
❖
Vadodara
stock
exchange
ltd
BSE also gives good information about the Indian stock market
through conducting webinar programmes in this programme
investors can avail a lot of information about the stock market and
if the customer has any queries and doubts, they can clear by asking
questions to the webinar.
SEBI OPERATIONS
⮚ SEBI is primarily set up to protect the interests of investors
trustees
always efficient
(companies).
⮚ When companies require capital for growth and expansion, it can either raise this
capital
⮚ Companies issue equity shares to the shareholders via the stock market. So, the
primary
all trades are entered onto the stock markets through a trading
exchanges like BSE and NSE are where trades are placed, and
⮚ SEBI: The Securities and Exchange Board of India, is the market regulator and is in
The history of the transnational is joined with the history of using. several
of the primary multinationals were commissioned at the bid of European
monarchs so as to conduct expeditions. Several of the colonies not
controlled by European countries or Portugal were below the
administration of a number of the world's earliest multinationals. One
amongst the primary arose in 1600: The East Indies Company, supported
by land. It had been headquartered in London, and took half in
international trade and exploration, with mercantilism posts in India.
Different examples embrace the Swedish Africa Company, supported in
1649, and therefore the Hudson's Bay Company, which was incorporated
within the seventeenth century.
Types of Multinationals
2. Transnational firms scale back government aid dependencies within the developing world.
Since the 2000s, the reliance on aid throughout the African continent is
believed to be liable for the general weakness of the native economies.
Some nations believe aid for over four-hundredth of their annual budget.
making new assets within the developing world permits multinationals
to start up the quantity of trade that happens within the developing
world.
If you step outside of the developed world for an instant, the typical
person works in an associate degree agriculture-related position. virtually
seventieth of the roles found within the poorest countries of the globe
square measure supported this business, compared to but five-hitter that
is found within the wealthiest nations within the world. Multinationals
are available, provide higher wages (which square measure is still low
compared to international standards), then shift the quality of living.
The average real wages have virtually tripled since 2018 within the
developing and rising G20 countries since 2008. India had the very
best levels, achieving an associate degree index rating of five.5
compared to the regional three.7 average.
Companies should have staff WHO will access job sites to become
productive. which means associate degree investment within the native
infrastructure becomes necessary before operations even begin. Roads,
bridges, and technology access square measure 3 of the most important
barriers taken down once multinationals become active during a
developing country. You’ll see education investments to enhance labor
skills, at the side of public transportation development and different
distinctive wants that some nations could need.
The amount of your time necessary to form native skills that encourage
high productivity levels is measured in years, not weeks or months.
Multinationals invest in native staff to develop their skills, however they
additionally got to get their venture off the bottom quickly. Most
corporations during this position can import the delicate labor they need
from different economies to fulfill their wants. meaning the simplest
jobs, particularly within the developing world, square measure given to
people that don’t even board the native economy. Those wages do not
supply a similar economic edge as a result of disbursement happens
internationally rather than at the native level.
Walmart offers a relentless push for profits. One does not earn $500+
billion in revenues annually while not it. which means the merchant puts
constant pressure on suppliers to supply very cheap costs attainable. On
essential products that do not amend, the value Walmart pays should
drop year once year. That places a squeeze on the suppliers as a result of
the sheer size of the merchant permits it to receive concessions that kill
native profits. rather than “Buying yank,” because the whole accustomed
trumpet, the corporate is currently chargeable for 100 percent of all
Chinese exports to the U.S
Company Profile
1.NESTLE INDIA:
Nestlé Republic of India restricted is the Indian subsidiary of
Nestlé that may be a Swiss international company. The
corporation is headquartered in Gurgaon, Haryana. The
company's merchandise embraces food, beverages, chocolate, and
confectioneries. The company was incorporated on twenty eight
March 1959 and was promoted by Nestle Alimentana S.A. via a
subsidiary, Nestle Holdings Ltd. As of 2020, the parent company
Nestlé owns sixty-two.76% of Nestlé Republic of India. The
corporation has nine production facilities in varied locations
across the Republic of India.
History:
Nestlé Republic of India is one among the most important players
in India's Fast-moving trade goods phase and contains a long
history within the country.
o Nestlé Republic of India restricted was incorporated at capital
of India on twenty eight March 1959 and was promoted by Nestle
Alimentana S.A. via an entirely owned subsidiary, Nestle
Holdings Ltd., Nassau, country.
o The company engineered their initial production facility in 1961
at Moga, within the Indian state of Punjab.
o Nestlé's second plant was discovered at Choladi in state, the
plant was engineered primarily to method the tea adult within the
space.
o In 1989, the corporation established a mill at Nanjangud in Mysore.
o The company entered the confectionery business in 1990 by
introducing Nestlé premium chocolate.
o In 1991, they started the assembly of soy primarily based
merchandise through a venture with the BM Khaitan cluster.
o In 1995 and 1997 Nestlé established 2 facilities in Goa at
Ponda and Bicholim severally.
o In Apr 2000 they entered the liquid milk and tea markets.
2. Hindustan Unilever
Operation
The majority of old master cluster businesses square measure sorted
into the subsequent four business sectors.
1.Mobility solutions
2.Industrial technology
3.Consumer goods
4.Energy and building technology
LOCATIONS:
Through a fancy network of over 440 subsidiaries and regional
entities, the corporate operates in over sixty countries worldwide.
together with sales and repair partners, Bosch's world producing,
engineering, and sales network covers nearly each country within
the world. At a hundred twenty-five locations across the world,
Hieronymus Bosch employs roughly sixty-four,500 associates in
analysis and development.
Bosch Asian country is listed on the Indian stock exchanges and
incorporates a capitalization of over US$ twelve billion.
Industry: Conglomerate
Founded: 15 November 1886; 134 years
past Founder: Robert Jerom Bos
Headquarters: Robert-Bosch-Platz one, 70839 Gerlingen, Germany
Area served: Worldwide
Key people: Volkmar Denner (CEO), Michael Bolle (CTO, CDO)
Products: Automotive elements, power tools, security systems, home appliances,
engineering, physics, cloud computing, IoT
Revenue: Decrease €77.721 billion
Operating income: Decrease €1.903
billion Net income: Decrease €1.060billion
Total assets: Increase €89.030 billion
Total equity: Increase €41.079 billion Owner Robert Jerom Bos Stiftung
(92%) Bosch Family (7%) Robert Jerom Bos GmbH (1%)
Number of employees:398,150.
CHAPTER 3
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
1. Roni Bhowmik and Shouyang (2020), In order to prevent uncertainty
and risk in the stock market, it is particularly important to measure
effectively the volatility of stock index returns. The main purpose of this
review is to examine effective GARCH models recommended for
performing market returns and volatilities analysis. The secondary
purpose of this review study is to conduct a content analysis of return and
volatility literature reviews over a period of 12 years (2008–2019) and in
50 different papers. The study found that there has been a significant
change in research work within the past 10 years and most researchers
have worked for developing stock markets.
2. Dipankar Biswas and Swapan Sarkar (2020), this study analyzes the
return dynamics of four broad based and 18 sectoral indices using ARMA
GARCH techniques. This study finds the return dynamics during the
selected period can be well captured by a carefully selected conditional
mean model under ARMA approach. This economic crisis has affected
the entire world and will certainly have a manifold impact. This paper is a
humble attempt to model volatility in the context of the Indian stock
market.
11. Ruchi Nityanand Prabhu (2019) This paper analyzes the risk and
return in the banking sector taking the Nifty Index as the benchmark. The
study compares the performance of the 50 stocks in the NSE. The Indian
banking industry, the backbone of the country’s economy has always
played a positive key role in preventing the economic disaster from
reaching horrible volume in the country. Risk & Return is a concept that
denotes a potential negative impact to an asset or some characteristic of
value that may arise from some present process or future event. It has
achieved enormous appreciation for its strength, particularly in the wake
of some of the worldwide economic disasters. NSE Shares have proved to
be more volatile than the pure diversified equity funds which make some
of them a high-risk proposition. The study evaluates the performance of
stocks mainly to identify the required rate of return and risk of a
particular stock based upon different risk elements prevailing in the
market and other economic factors.
RESEARCH GAP
After reviewing the different articles associated with risk and return
management it is observed that there is no recent study in the Indian
MNCs in risk and return management. So during this study I will be
considering 5 different Multinational companies.
RESEARCH OBJECTIVES:
⮚ To know the relation between risk and return of selected companies in MNCs.
The study covers the period of five years of selected commodities from
2016-17 to 2020-2021. The data has been collected from the BSE/NSE.
The collected data has been tabulated and used various portfolio
charts.
SOURCES OF DATA
The present study covers only secondary data in which the selected
commodities are traded and daily stock market indices are taken into
consideration. The data is also collected from various sources like
journals, reports, magazines, newspapers, and stock market sensex data.
Collection of data
Data collected contains opening price, closing price and dividend of the
below mentioned companies of MNCs which were selected from NSE
(national stock exchange). The data analysis is conducted by using 5
years historical data of the companies.
6. Bosch ltd
The process used to collect information and data for the purpose of
making decisions regarding their activities. This study is of secondary
data. Secondary research is a common approach to a systematic
investigation in which the researcher depends solely on existing data in
the course of the research process. This research design involves
organizing, collating, and analyzing these data samples for valid research
conclusions. The methodology in which data are collected are done from
various sources like website, journal, newspaper article and other
publication research, interview, survey and other research techniques and
can include both present and past data
The collected data have properly been analyzed with the assistance of
Microsoft Excel by applying various statistical tools. The researcher has
mainly used the subsequent techniques for analyzing the collected data.
Like other studies, this study also has its own limitations. They are: -
⮚ The analysis was completely based on the secondary data collected from the
⮚ Different experts have different opinions regarding the analysis of equity shares,
SAMPLING SIZE:
Based on the market performance of the stock/commodity five companies are selected
from the
Multinational companies, which are having high market return and risk.
NESTLE LTD, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD, BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES
LTD, BOSCH LTD AND
MAHINDRA AND MAHINDRA companies are
CHAPTER SCHEME
Chapter I: Introduction
CHAPTER 4
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
Company: NESTLE LIMITED
R=D+(P1-PO)/P0*100
Table 4.1.1
Computation of return of the company NESTLE LIMITED
year Opening price Closing price Dividend Returns
expected
25.81325136
Return
Interpretation:
TABLE: 4.1.2
Expectedreturn=25.81325136 1067.724802
∑(R-Expected return)2
Variance 213.5449603
SD 14.61317763
Interpretation:
Year
Volatility
2016-17
Price Volatility 6680.65
2017-18
2019-20 48.70974
Data taken is opening price, closing price and dividend of previous 5 years (2016-
2021) of HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD. The formula used is
R=D+(P1-PO)/P0*100
Table 4.2.1
Interpretation:
TABLE: 4.2.2
Expected 1307.685581
return=25.1487655 ∑(R-Expected return)2
5
.
Variance 261.5371161
SD 16.1721092
Interpretation
In table 4.2.2 it has been observed that, expected return & risk, risk is less and more return.
Volatility
2016-17 911.75
By the above we came to how stock fluctuates day to day and we should in the
above on yearly basis how it fluctuates.
Company: BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES LTD
Data taken is opening price, closing price and dividend of previous 5 years
(2016-2021) of BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES LTD. The formula used is
R=D+(P1-PO)/P0*100
Table 4.3.1
Interpretation:
TABLE: 4.3.2
Expected return=11.88269996
∑(R-Expected return)2=5155.504534
Variance 1031.100907
SD 32.11075998
Interpretation
In table 4.3.2 it has been observed that, expected return & risk, risk is
approximately two times of return.
Volatility
Year price
Volatility
2016-17 3374
2017-18 4970.6
47.32068761
2018-19 3085.5
-37.92499899 -12.85204991
2019-20 2688.95
34.81284516
2020-21 3625.05
By the above we came to how stock fluctuates day to day, and we should
in the above on yearly basis how it fluctuates.
Company: BOSCH LTD
Data taken is opening price, closing price and dividend of previous 5 years
(2016-2021) of BOSCH LTD. The formula used is
R=D+(P1-PO)/P0*100
Table 4.4.1
Interpretation:
In the above table (4.4.1) the computation of the returns of BOSCH LTD has
been calculated. It has been observed that in the year 2019-20(-48.6008) has got
lowest return and highest return in the year 2020-21 (50.00426) when we
compare the returns from 2016-17 to 2020-21 and BOSCH LTD returns are not
more fluctuating has per the data observed.
TABLE: 4.4.2
-20.3774 335.8355281
variance1068.66063
SD32.69037519
Interpretation
In table 4.4.2 it has been observed that, expected return & risk, risk is
approximately 30 times to the return.
2020-21
Year
2016-17
Volatility
2017-18
price Volatility 22751.25
2018-19
Data taken is opening price, closing price and dividend of previous 5 years (2016-
2021) of MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA. The formula used is
R=D+(P1-PO)/P0*100
Table 4.5.1
2017-18 1297.6
Interpretation:
In the above table (4.5.1) the computation of the returns of MAHINDRA &
MAHINDRA has been calculated. It has been observed that in the year 2019-
20(-57.7306) has got lowest return and highest return in the year 2020-21
(183.1744) when we compare the returns from 2016-17 to 2020-21 and
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA returns are not more fluctuating has per the data
observed.
TABLE: 4.5.2
Expected return=11.52399717
∑(R-Expected return)238383.54413
Variance 7676.708827
SD87.61682959
Interpretation
In table 4.5.2 it has been observed that, expected return & risk, risk is approximately 8 times of return.
Volatility
year price
Volatility
2016-17 1022.25
By the above we came to how stock fluctuates day to day and we should in the
above on yearly basis how it fluctuates.
Stock fluctuates day to day of different companies. the price may increase or
decrease accordingly. In the above analysis, I observed that in 5 years of data
from 5 MNC’s companies the price changed every day, if the price fluctuates
everyday the risk of investing in a particular company is high. Considering 5
years of data of the company we made a risk and return analysis of five different
companies. By doing the risk and return we came to know which company has
high or low risk and which company has high or low return. whether to invest or
not.
CHAPTER 5
FINDINGS
SL NO Name of the company Expected return Expected risk
1
Nestle India ltd25.81325136 14.61317763
2 Hindustan Unilever ltd 25.14876555 16.1721092
involved in it.
it.
Mahindra has the more expected risk (87.61682959) with less expected
Nestle India ltd has less risk and approximately one time return
involved in it.
In others all selected companies have more risk involved with comparatively
less return; hence they are not advisable to invest.
CONCLUSION
In order to achieve the objective of maximizing the return, the investors need to
consider both risk factor and return potential of various companies under
consideration. That will be differing from companies to companies. Equity
analysis is one of the most important techniques used to measure the risk and
return factor of equities of different companies. Based on my study Nestle ltd
will be preferred to invest on the basis of risk and return management.
References: -
1 Bhowmik, R.; Wang, S. Stock Market Volatility and Return Analysis: A
Systematic Literature Review. Entropy
2020.https://www.researchgate.net/publication/
341157428_Stock_Market_Volatility_and_Return_Analys
is_A_Systematic_Literature_Review
1. The changing India amidst in Covid 19 Dipankar Biswas and Swapan Sarkar (2020).
2. Robert F. Engle & Eric Ghysels & Bumjean Sohn, 2013. "Stock Market
Volatility and Macroeconomic Fundamentals," The Review of Economics and
Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(3), pages 776-797, July.
10. Prabhu, Ruchi. (2019). Risk & return analysis of nifty stock in Indian
capital market.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/335526293_Risk_return_analysis_of
_nifty_stock_in_Indian_ca
pital_market
11. Author: Gopala Krishnan.M. Muthu, P.K. Akarsh; Publisher: International
journal of advance research & development, Website: www.ijarnd.com, Year:
2017 & pg. no.: 166 to 171, Title: Equity analysis of automobile industry in
Indian stock market.
14. Chaturvedi, S., Rizvi, I. A., and Pasipanodya, E. T. (2019). How Can
Leaders Make Their Followers to Commit to the Organization? The Importance
of Influence Tactics. Glob. Business Rev. 20 (6), 1462– 1474.
https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0972150919846963
15. Srivastava, A. K., and Chaturvedi, S. (2014). Negative Job Experiences and
Employees Job Attitudes and Health in High-Performance Work Organizations.
Metamorphosis 13 (2), 22–28.
https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0972622520140205
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as Mediator of the Upward Influence and Career Success Relationship Int. J.
Business Excellence 15 (3), 372–391.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJBEX.2018.092576
https://www.nseindia.com/
Nestle Ltd
2020-21 16300.25
Year opening price
2016-17 5690
Closing price dividend 6680.65 185%
2017-18 6612.05 8203.55 230%
10960.95 230% 16300 250%
2018-19 8199.85
17165.2 610%
2019-20 10980
BOSCH LTD
75