APHIS 2024 0014 0003 - Content

Importation of avocado (Persea americana var.
Hass) from Guatemala into the United States for

consumption
A Qualitative, Pathway Initiated Pest Risk

Assessment
Version 3
October 24, 2022
Agency contact
Plant Pest Risk Analysis (PPRA)
Science and Technology (ST)
Plant Protection and Quarantine (PPQ)
Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS)
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
920 Main Campus Drive, Suite 400
Raleigh, NC 27606
Pest Risk Assessment for avocado from Guatemala
Executive Summary
The purpose of this report is to assess the pest risks associated with importing commercially
produced fruit of avocado, Persea americana var. Hass (Lauraceae), from Guatemala into the
United States for consumption.
Based on the market access request submitted by Guatemala, we considered the pathway to
include the following processes and conditions: fresh fruit that will be culled and brushed or
washed during post-harvest processing. The pest risk ratings depend on the application of all
conditions of the pathway as described in this document. Fruit produced under different
conditions were not evaluated and may pose a different pest risk.
We used scientific literature, port-of-entry pest interception data, and information from the
government of Guatemala to develop a list of pests with quarantine significance for the United
States. These are pests that occur in Guatemala on any host and are associated with the
commodity plant species anywhere in the world.
The following organisms are candidates for pest risk management because they have met the
threshold for unacceptable consequences of introduction and can follow the commodity import
pathway.
Pest type Taxonomy Scientific name Likelihood of
Introduction
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Conotrachelus aguacatae Medium
Barber
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Conotrachelus perseae Barber Medium
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Heilipus lauri Boheman Medium
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Holcocera plagatola Adamski Low
Coleophoridae
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Elachistidae Stenoma catenifer Walsingham Medium
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Noctuidae Euxoa sorella Schaus Low
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Amorbia santamaria Phillips Low
and Powell
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Cryptaspasma perseana Medium
Gilligan & Brown
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Histura perseavora Brown Low
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Netechma pyrrhodelta Low
(Meyrick)
Fungus Dothideomycetes: Elsinoë perseae (Jenkins) Low*
Myriangiales Rossman & W.C. Allen
* This risk rating applies only to Hawaii and Northern Mariana Islands.
Detailed examination and choice of appropriate phytosanitary measures to mitigate pest risk are
addressed separately from this document.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 2

Table of Contents
Executive Summary.......................................................................................................................2
Table of Contents...........................................................................................................................3
1. Introduction................................................................................................................................4
1.1. Background...........................................................................................................................4
1.2. Initiating event......................................................................................................................4
1.3. Potential weediness of the commodity..................................................................................4
1.4. Description of the pathway...................................................................................................4
2. Pest List and Pest Categorization.............................................................................................5
2.1. Pest list..................................................................................................................................5
2.2. Pests considered but not included on the pest list...............................................................11
2.4. Pests selected for further analysis or already regulated......................................................13
3. Assessing Pest Risk Potential..................................................................................................14
3.1. Introduction.........................................................................................................................14
3.2. Assessment..........................................................................................................................15
4. Summary..................................................................................................................................32
5. Literature Cited.......................................................................................................................33
6. Appendix: Pests with non-quarantine status........................................................................43

1. Introduction
1.1. Background
The purpose of this report is to assess the pest risk associated with the importation of
commercially produced fresh fruit of avocado (valid scientific name: Persea americana Mill.,
var. Hass) for consumption from Guatemala (referred to as the export area) into the United
States1 (referred to as the pest risk analysis or PRA area).
This is a qualitative risk assessment. The likelihood of pest introduction is expressed as a

qualitative rating rather than in numerical terms. This methodology is consistent with guidelines
provided by the International Plant Protection Convention (IPPC) in the International Standard
for Phytosanitary Measures (ISPM) No. 11, “Pest Risk Analysis for Quarantine Pests” (IPPC,
2017). The use of biological and phytosanitary terms is consistent with ISPM No. 5, “Glossary of
Phytosanitary Terms” (IPPC, 2018, 2019).
As defined in ISPM No. 11, this document comprises Stage 1 (Initiation) and Stage 2 (Risk
Assessment) of risk analysis. Stage 3 (Risk Management) will be covered in a separate
document.
1.2. Initiating event

The importation of fruits and vegetables for consumption into the United States is regulated
under Title 7 of the Code of Federal Regulations, Part 319.56-3 (7 CFR § 319.56-3, 2019).
Under this regulation, the entry of avocado from Guatemala into the PRA area is not authorized.
This commodity risk assessment was initiated in response to a request by the Guatemalan
Ministerio de Agricultura Ganadería y Alimentación to change the Federal Regulation to allow
entry (MAGA, 2021).
1.3. Potential weediness of the commodity

In some cases, an imported commodity could become invasive in the PRA area. If warranted, we
analyze the commodity for weed risk.
A weed risk analysis is not required when (a) the commodity is already enterable into the PRA
area from other countries, (b) the commodity plant species is widely established (native or
naturalized) or cultivated in the PRA area, or (c) the imported plant part(s) cannot easily
propagate on its own or be propagated. We determined that the weed risk of avocado does not
need to be analyzed because it is cultivated in the United States and it is enterable from other
countries (7 CFR § 944.31, 2021).
1.4. Description of the pathway

A pathway is “any means that allows the entry or spread of a pest” (IPPC, 2018, 2019). In the
context of this document, the pathway is the commodity to be imported, together with all the
processes the commodity undergoes from production through importation and distribution. The
following description of this pathway focuses on the conditions and processes that may have an
1
The United States includes all states, the District of Columbia, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,
the U.S. Virgin Islands, and any other territory or possession of the United States.

impact on pest risk. Our assessment is therefore contingent on the application of all components
of the pathway as described in this section.
1.4.1. Description of the commodity

The specific pathway of concern is the importation of fresh fruit of avocado for consumption.
1.4.2. Summary of the production, harvest, post-harvest, shipping, and storage conditions
considered
Fresh fruit of avocado will be imported year-round. Fruit will be culled and brushed or washed
during post-harvest processing. Other production, harvesting, and post-harvesting procedures in
the exporting area are not being considered as part of the assessment.
Shipping and storage conditions are not being considered as part of the assessment.
2. Pest List and Pest Categorization

The pest list is a compilation of plant pests of quarantine significance to the entire United States.
This list includes pests that are present in Guatemala on any host and known to be associated
with Persea americana var. Hass anywhere in the world. Pests are considered of quarantine
significance if they (a) are not present in the PRA area, (b) are actionable at U.S. ports of entry,
(c) are regulated non-quarantine pests, (d) are under Federal official control, or (e) require
evaluation for regulatory action. Consistent with ISPM No. 5, pests that meet any of these
definitions are considered “quarantine pests” and are candidates for analysis. Species with a
reasonable likelihood of following the pathway into the PRA area are analyzed to determine their
pest risk potential.
2.1. Pest list

We developed the pest list based on the scientific literature, port-of-entry pest interception data,
and information provided by the government of Guatemala. We listed the pests that are of
quarantine significance to the PRA area in Table 1. For each pest, we provided evidence of the
pest’s presence in Guatemala and its association with avocado. We also indicated the plant parts
with which the pest is generally associated and provided information about the pest’s distribution
in the United States, if any. Pests that are likely to remain associated with the harvested
commodity in a viable form are indicated by bold text and are listed separately in Table 2.

Table 1. List of quarantine pests associated with avocado (in any country) and present in
Guatemala (on any host).
Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) 2 Considered further?3
Guatemala association
MITE: Acari: Wysoki et al., Wysoki et al., Leaf, bud No.
Eriophyidae 2002 2002 (Wysoki et al.,
Calepitrimerus 2002)
muesebecki Keifer
MITE: Acari: Migeon and Migeon and Leaf (Ochoa No.
Tetranychidae Dorkeld, 2022 Dorkeld, 2022 et al., 1994)
Allonychus littoralis
(McGregor)
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Stem No.
Coleoptera: (Carrasco,
Cerambycidae 1978)
Acrocinus
longimanus (L.)
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 No.
Coleoptera:
Cerambycidae
Callipogon
barbatum
(Fabricius)
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Flowers, No. Adult Diabrotica
Coleoptera: leaves, fruits, species feed externally on
Chrysomelidae and roots flowers, leaves, and fruits
Diabrotica litterata (CABI, 2022). of host plants. Larvae feed
Sahlberg on roots (CABI, 2022).
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Flowers, No. Adult Diabrotica
Coleoptera: leaves, fruits, species feed externally on
Chrysomelidae and roots flowers, leaves, and fruits
Diabrotica signifera (CABI, 2022). of host plants. Larvae feed
Jacoby on roots (CABI, 2022).
INSECT: MAGA, 2021 Jones et al., Fruit, seed Yes.
Coleoptera: 2019a; (Jones et al.,
Curculionidae MAGA, 2019a;
Conotrachelus 2021; Wysoki (MAGA,
aguacatae Barber et al., 2002 2021), leaf
(MAGA,
2021)
2
The plant part(s) listed are those for the plant species under analysis. If the information has been extrapolated,
such as from plant part association on other plant species, we note that.
3
“Yes” indicates simply that the pest has a reasonable likelihood of being associated with the harvested
commodity; the level of pest prevalence on the harvested commodity (low, medium, or high) is qualitatively
assessed as part of the Likelihood of Introduction assessment (section 3).

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

INSECT: MAGA, 2021 Jones et al., Fruit, seed Yes.
Curculionidae MAGA, 2019a;
Conotrachelus 2021; Wysoki (MAGA,
perseae Barber et al., 2002 2021), leaf
(MAGA,
2021)
INSECT: MAGA, 2021 Jones et al., Stem, buds No.
Curculionidae MAGA, 2021 2019a).
Copturus aguacatae
Kissinger
INSECT: Atkinson, Sandoval- Stem No.
Coleoptera: 2018 Cornejo et al., (Sandoval-
Curculionidae 2019 Cornejo et al.,
Coptoborus 2019)
silviasalasi Atkinson
Syn. Dryocoetoides
capucinus
(Eichhoff)
INSECT: PMC, 2019 PMC, 2019; Stem (Wysoki No.
Coleoptera: Wysoki et al., et al., 2002)
Curculionidae 2002
Copturomimus
perseae Hustache
INSECT: MAGA, Jones et al., Fruit, seed Yes.
Coleoptera: 2021; PMC, 2019a; (Jones et al.,
Curculionidae 2019 MAGA, 2019a;
Heilipus lauri 2021; PMC, MAGA,
Boheman 2019; Wysoki 2021)
et al., 2002
INSECT: PMC, 2019 Castañeda- Fruit No. Eggs are laid within
Coleoptera: Vildózola et (Castañeda- small fruits, causing fruit
Curculionidae al., 2013a; Vildózola et drop before the fruit
Heilipus pittieri PMC, 2019 al., 2013a) reaches maturity (PMC,
Barber 2019).
INSECT: Arce-Perez Arce-Perez Stem (Arce- No.
Coleoptera: and Moron, and Moron, Perez and
Scarabaeidae 2012 2012 Moron, 2012)
Macrodactylus
lineatocollis Bates


INSECT: Arce-Perez Wysoki et al., Leaves, No. The biology of the
Coleoptera: and Moron, 2002 flowers, fruit, adults in the genus
Scarabaeidae 2012 pollen, and Macrodactylus are based on
Macrodactylus sap (Aragón- four species in Mexico,
mexicanus García et al., including M. mexicanus
Burmeister 2010). (described in Carillo, 1960)
and are known to feed
externally on fruit and other
plant parts (Aragón-García
et al., 2010); adults would
be washed off during post-
harvest processing.
INSECT: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022; Leaves No. Present in Florida,
Hemiptera: Wysoki et al., (Schrader et Hawaii, Texas (Schrader et
Aleyrodidae 2002 al., 2019) al., 2019), and Puerto Rico
Aleurocanthus (Evans, 2008.
woglumi Ashby
INSECT: Evans, 2007 Evans, 2007; Leaves No.
Hemiptera: Sánchez- (Sánchez-
Aleyrodidae Flores et al., Flores et al.,
Aleuroplatus 2018 2018)
cococolus
Quaintance
INSECT: García García No.
Hemiptera: Morales et al., Morales et al.,
Cerococcidae 2016 2016
Antecerococcus
badius (Leonardi)
INSECT: García García Leaves and No. Reportable only for
Hemiptera: Morales et al., Morales et al., stems of host Hawaii, the Virgin Islands,
Coccidae 2016 2016 plants (Garcia and Pacific territories
Philephedra lutea et al., 2004). (ARM, 2022).
(Cockerell)
INSECT: Funkhouser, Wysoki et al., Metcalfiella No.
Hemiptera: 1943 2002 spp. affect
Membracidae stems and
Metcalfiella branches of
monogramma host plants
Germar (Cuentas,
1974).
INSECT: García García Leaf (Beuke, No.
Hemiptera: Morales et al., Morales et al., 2021)
Pseudococcidae 2016 2016
Pseudococcus
landoi
(Balachowsky)


INSECT: MAGA, 2021 MAGA, 2021; Leaf (Wysoki No.
Hemiptera: Wysoki et al., et al., 2002)
Triozidae 2002
Trioza anceps
Tuthill
INSECT: MAGA, 2021 MAGA, 2021 Leaf (MAGA, No.
Hemiptera: 2021)
Triozidae
Trioza erytreae (Del
Guercio)
INSECT: Adamski and Adamski and Fruit Yes.
Lepidoptera: Hoddle, 2009; Hoddle, 2009; (Adamski
Coleophoridae Hoddle and Hoddle and and Hoddle,
Holcocera Brown, 2010 Brown, 2010 2009; Hoddle
plagatola Adamski and Brown,
2010)
INSECT: Hoddle and Hoddle and Fruit, seed Yes.
Lepidoptera: Hoddle, Hoddle, (MAGA,
Elachistidae 2008b; 2008b; 2021)
Stenoma catenifer Hoddle and Hoddle and
Walsingham Hoddle, Hoddle,
2008a; 2008a;
Hoddle and Hoddle and
Brown, 2010; Brown, 2010;
Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004
MAGA, 2021
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Hesperiidae No.
Lepidoptera: caterpillars
Hesperiidae form shelters
Zera hyacinthinus in leaves of
ssp. hyacinthinus food plants
(Mabille) (Byrne and
Moyle, 2019).
Noctuidae Hoddle and Hoddle and and Hoddle,
Euxoa sorella Hoddle, Hoddle, 2009; Hoddle
Schaus 2008b; 2008b; and Brown,
Hoddle and Hoddle and 2010)
Brown, 2010 Brown, 2010
INSECT: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Fruit, sap No. Adults feed on rotting
Lepidoptera: (Hoskins, fruit (Hoskins, 2022), but
Nymphalidae 2022). would not be associated
Archaeoprepona with ripe fruit for
demophoon ssp. consumption.
gulina (Fruhstorfer)


INSECT: BIOKIC, 2022 Wysoki et al., Leaf (Wysoki No.
Lepidoptera: 2002 et al., 2002)
Saturnidae
Copaxa
multifenestrata
(Heinrich-Shaffer)
INSECT: Hoddle and Hoddle and Fruit Yes.
Lepidoptera: Hoddle, Hoddle, (Adamski
Tortricidae 2008b; 2008b; and Hoddle,
Amorbia Hoddle and Hoddle and 2009; Hoddle
santamaria Phillips Brown, 2010; Brown, 2010; and Brown,
and Powell MAGA, 2021 MAGA, 2021 2010) Leaf
(MAGA,
2021).
INSECT: Hoddle and Hoddle and Fruit (Hoddle No. Larvae feed internally
Lepidoptera: Brown, 2010 Brown, 2010 and Brown, on small, immature fruit
Tortricidae 2010) (Hoddle and Brown, 2010)
Argyrotaenia but are unlikely to be
urbana (Busck) associated with fully
developed fruit.
INSECT: Gilligan et Gilligan et Fruit, seed Yes.
Lepidoptera: al., 2011 al., 2011 (Gilligan et
Tortricidae al., 2011)
Cryptaspasma
perseana Gilligan
& Brown
INSECT: Brown and Brown and Fruit, Yes.
Lepidoptera: Hoddle, 2010; Hoddle, 2010; pedicel, stem
Tortricidae Hoddle and Hoddle and (Brown and
Histura perseavora Brown, 2010 Brown, 2010 Hoddle,
Brown 2010).
Tortricidae Hoddle and Hoddle and and Hoddle,
Netechma Hoddle, Hoddle, 2009; Hoddle
pyrrhodelta 2008b; 2008b; and Brown,
(Meyrick) Hoddle and Hoddle and 2010)
INSECT: Hoddle et al., Hoddle et al., Flower No.
Thysanoptera: 2002 2002 (Johansen and
Thripidae Mojica, 2007)
Frankliniella
cubensis Hood
INSECT: Hoddle et al., Hoddle et al., Flower No.
Thysanoptera: 2002 2002 (Ebratt-Ravelo
Thripidae et al., 2019)
Frankliniella
gardeniae Moulton
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 10


INSECT: Bianchi, 1968 Bianchi, 1968 Fruit (Bianchi, No. Thrips feed externally
Thysanoptera: 1968) on young fruit (Hoddle et
Thripidae al., 2008), but would not be
Liothrips priesneri associated with mature,
Bianchi washed fruit for export.
INSECT: Hoddle et al., Hoddle et al., Fruit, leaf No. Thrips feed externally
Thysanoptera: 2002; Hoddle 2002; Hoddle (Hoddle et al., on young fruit (Hoddle et
Thripidae et al., 2008 et al., 2008 2008) al., 2008), but would not be
Pseudophilothrips associated with mature,
perseae (Watson) washed fruit for export.
syn. Liothrips
perseae Watson
FUNGI: Elsinoë CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 Fruits, Yes. This fungus is
perseae Leaves (Pegg present in Florida, Guam,
(Jenkins) Rossman et al., 2002; Puerto Rico, and U.S.
& W.C. Allen, CABI, 2022; Virgin Islands (Schlub,
syn: Sphaceloma 2018; CABI, 2022). It is a
perseae Jenkins quarantine pest for
Hawaii (ARM, 2022b) and
Northern Mariana Islands
where the pest is not
known to occur.
2.2. Pests considered but not included on the pest list
2.2.1. Organisms with non-quarantine status

We found evidence of organisms that are associated with avocado, and are present in the export
area, but are not of quarantine significance for the PRA area. These organisms are listed in the
Appendix.
Armored scales (Hemiptera: Diaspididae): These insects are highly unlikely to establish via the
fruits or vegetables for consumption pathway due to their very limited ability to disperse to new
host plants (Miller et al., 1985; PERAL, 2007). Also, diaspidids on fruits and vegetables for
consumption are considered non-actionable at U.S. ports of entry (NIS, 2008). For these reasons,
armored scales are included in the Appendix rather than Table 1, even if they are not present in
the PRA area.
2.2.2. Quarantine pests considered but not included on the pest list
Thrips palmi (Thysanoptera: Thripidae): Thrips palmi is a pest of avocado (Cano-Calle et al.,
2021) present in Central and South America (CABI, 2022). However, we found no reliable
evidence that it is established in Guatemala. CABI (2022) states “…by 2005 it was well
established in Guatemala…” but does not include a reference for this information. EPPO (2022)
lists the status of T. palmi in Guatemala as “absent, unreliable record.” Without reliable evidence
of presence in Guatemala, we did not include it in this pest list.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 11

Rhynchophorus palmarum (Coleoptera: Curculionidae): Present in Guatemala (EPPO, 2022), R.

palmarum is an incidental pest of avocado (Hoddle et al., 2021). Adults may feed externally on
fruit, but avocado is a non-reproductive host for R. palmarum and we did not include it in this
pest list.
Neosilba glaberrima (Diptera: Lonchaeidae): Present in Guatemala (McAlpine and Steyskal,

1982) and has been reported from avocado in Brazil (de Almeida et al., 2019; Raga et al., 2015).
The fruit collected in these surveys are not representative of commercially produced and
harvested avocado fruit because fruit were collected from unmanaged or natural areas, both
directly from the plants and off the ground. Based on an extensive literature search, we found no
evidence of these Neosilba species causing damage in avocado production; nor have they
resulted in management measures. Additionally, Neosilba species are typically considered
secondary invaders that attack hosts previously damaged by primary invaders, particularly
Tephritidae fruit flies (Raga et al., 2015). Based on this evidence, we estimated that Neosilba
species are highly unlikely to be associated with commercially produced avocado fruit at harvest
in Guatemala and did not include them in the pest list.
Fruit flies (Diptera: Tephritidae): Fruit flies are present in Guatemala and are reported in
association with some Persea americana cultivars. However, extensive research (e.g., Aluja et
al., 2004; Aluja et al., 2010; Enkerlin et al., 1993; Liquido et al., 2011; [as reported in] Wysoki et
al., 2002) on the suitability of commercially produced ‘Hass’ avocados has shown them to not be
suitable hosts for these fruit fly species: Anastrepha fraterculus (Liquido et al., 2011); A. ludens,
A. obliqua, A. striata, A. serpentina (Aluja et al., 2004); Ceratitis capitata (Liquido et al., 2011).
We therefore did not include them in this pest list.
Orthocomotis herbacea (Lepidoptera: Torticidae): This moth is present in Guatemala (Brown,

2003). Gilligan et al., 2011 reports it as a potential pest of avocado, citing (Clarke, 1956). The
remarks by (Clarke, 1956) indicate it was a specimen “reared on avocado” in 1932. We found no
additional information regarding a pest-host association, so did not include this species in the
pest list.
Aeneolamia albofasciata and Prosapia simulans (Hemiptera: Cercopidae): These spittlebugs

were collected in association with avocado (Maes, 2004) and are present in Guatemala (Maes,
2004). We found no additional information indicating that spittlebugs are likely to regularly be
associated with avocado production. We therefore did not include them in this pest list.
Draeculacephala soluta, Macunolla ventralis, Oncometopia (Oncometopia) clarior, Phera

obtusifrons, and Pseudophera contraria (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae): These leafhoppers were
collected in association with avocado (Maes, 2004) and are present in Guatemala (Maes, 2004).
We found no additional information indicating that leafhoppers are likely to regularly be
associated with avocado production. We therefore did not include them in this pest list.
Discocephalessa humulis (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae): This stink bug was collected in association
with avocado (Maes, 2004) and is present in Guatemala (Maes, 2004). We found no additional
information indicating that stink bugs are likely to regularly be associated with avocado
production. We therefore did not include them in this pest list.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 12

Atta cephalotes, A. sexdens (Hymenoptera: Formicidae): These ants nest in or near avocado trees
(CABI, 2022; Serpa, 1968) and may be associated with the flowers or leaves of the tree, but are
mostly found nesting in the soil (Hölldobler and Wilson, 1990). Worker ants would be washed
off or removed from fruit during harvest and were not considered in this assessment.
Termites (Isoptera) may be present in avocado-growing regions where they primarily affect the
roots and lower stems of young trees (Wysoki et al., 2002). Ringbark or death of older avocado
trees may also occur (Wysoki et al., 2002). However, termites would not be associated with
commercially produced avocado fruit, and they were not considered in this assessment.
Grasshoppers (Orthoptera): Schistocerca nitens ssp. nitens and Tropidacris dux are included by
Maes (2004) as present in Guatemala and associated with avocado. However, grasshoppers
would not be associated with avocado fruit harvested for consumption or would be washed off if
found to be hitchhiking in post-harvest procedures. They are not considered in this assessment.
2.2.3. Organisms identified only to the genus level

In commodity risk assessments, the taxonomic unit for pests selected for evaluation beyond the
pest categorization stage is usually the species (IPPC, 20172013). Generally, we do not assess
risk for organisms identified only to the genus level, especially if the genus is reported in the
PRA area. Many genera contain multiple species, and we cannot know if the unidentified species
occurs or is regulated in the PRA area. Because the organism has not been fully identified, we
cannot properly assess the likelihood and consequences of its introduction. However, if the genus
is absent from the PRA area or is actionable at U.S. ports of entry, the genus can be regulated as
a quarantine pest.
We found evidence that the following organisms identified only to the genus level are reported
on avocado in Guatemala: Aeolothrips sp. (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) (Hoddle et al., 2002),
Amorbia sp. (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) (Adamski and Hoddle, 2009), Cryptaspasma sp.
(Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) (MAGA, 2021), Frankliniella sp. (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) (Hoddle
et al., 2002), Holcocera sp. (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) (MAGA, 2021), Histura sp. (Lepidoptera:
Tortricidae) (MAGA, 2021), Neohydatothrips sp. (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) (Hoddle et al.,
2002), Polyortha sp. Dognin [new species] (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) (Gilligan et al., 2011), and
Scirtothrips sp. (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) (Hoddle et al., 2002).
2.4. Pests selected for further analysis or already regulated
We identified 11 quarantine pests for further analysis (Table 2).
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 13

Table 2. Pests selected for further analysis.

Pest type Taxonomy Scientific name
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Conotrachelus aguacatae Barber
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Conotrachelus perseae Barber
Arthropod Coleoptera: Curculionidae Heilipus lauri Boheman
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Coleophoridae Holcocera plagatola Adamski
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Elachistidae Stenoma catenifer Walsingham
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Noctuidae Euxoa sorella Schaus
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Amorbia santamaria Phillips and Powell
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Cryptaspasma perseana Gilligan & Brown
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Histura perseavora Brown
Arthropod Lepidoptera: Tortricidae Netechma pyrrhodelta (Meyrick)
Fungi Ascomycetes: Myriangiales Elsinoë perseae (Jenkins) Rossman & W.C. Allen
3. Assessing Pest Risk Potential
3.1. Introduction
We estimated the risk potential for each pest selected for further analysis. Risk is described by
the likelihood of an adverse event, the potential consequences, and the uncertainty associated
with these parameters. For each pest, we determined if an endangered area exists within the
United States. The endangered area is defined as the portion of the PRA area where ecological
factors favor the pest’s establishment and where the pest’s presence will likely result in
economically important impacts. If a pest causes an unacceptable impact (i.e., is a threshold
pest), that means it could adversely affect agricultural production by causing a yield loss of 10
percent or greater, by increasing U.S. production costs, or by impacting an environmentally
important host or international trade. After the endangered area is defined, we assessed the pest’s
likelihood of introduction into that area on the imported commodity.
The likelihood of introduction is based on the potential entry and establishment of a pest. We
qualitatively assess this risk using the ratings: Low, Medium, and High. The risk elements
comprising the likelihood of introduction are interdependent; therefore, the model is
multiplicative rather than additive. We define the risk ratings as follows:
High: This outcome is highly likely to occur.

Medium: This outcome is possible; but for that to happen, the exact combination of
required events needs to occur.
Low: This outcome is unlikely to occur because one or more of the required events are
unlikely to happen, or because the full combination of required events is unlikely to align
properly in time and space.
We address uncertainty associated with each risk element as follows:
Negligible: Additional or more reliable evidence is very unlikely to change the rating.
Low: Additional or more reliable evidence probably will not change rating.
Moderate: Additional or more reliable evidence may or may not change rating.
High: Reliable evidence is not available.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 14

3.2. Assessment
3.2.1. Conotrachelus aguacatae, C. perseae, Heilipus lauri (Coleoptera: Cucurlioninae)

The avocado seed weevils, Conotrachelus aguacatae, C. perseae, and Heilipus lauri are the
main pest of concern for avocado producers in Central America (Castañeda-Vildózola et al.,
2015; Luna et al., 2017). Females of these species lay their eggs in avocado fruits where the
larvae then develop internally in the seed causing the fruit to be unsalable (Segrera, 2019). These
species are commonly intercepted in fruits of Persea at U.S. ports of entry (ARM, 2022) and
have spread to new areas in South America (Castañeda-Vildózola et al., 2013). These weevils
have the potential to cause large yield losses in avocado fruits.
The endangered area for avocado seed weevils within the United States.
Climatic suitability: There are records of Conotrachelus aguacatae in Mexico (Whitehead,
1979), Nicaragua (CABI, 2021), and Panama (Segrera, 2019); C. perseae from Mexico, Costa
Rica, Honduras (Whitehead, 1979), Guatemala (Barber, 1919), and Panama (Segrera, 2019);
Heilipus lauri from Mexico, Columbia (Castaneda-Vildozola, 2015; Castaneda-Vildozola et al.,
2013), Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua (CABI, 2021), and Panama (Segrera, 2019). These
species occur in plant hardiness zones 8-13 (Takeuchi et al., 2018b) which correspond to areas in
the southern portion of the United States from California to Florida and other territories.
Hosts in the PRA area: The species of weevils C. aguacatae, C. perseae, and H. lauri only feed
on avocado (Lauraceae: Persea americana) (Castañeda-Vildózola et al., 2013b). Between 2015
and 2020 avocados were commercially produced in American Samoa, Arizona, California,
Florida, Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto
Rico, Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands (NASS, 2020).
Economically important hosts4: Avocado is an economically important host at risk in the United
States. In 2020, more than 206 thousand tons of avocado were produced for a value of more than
$427 million dollars in the United States (NASS, 2020).
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: These pests are likely to cause
unacceptable consequences because they feed internally on the seed, sometimes causing the fruit
to drop prematurely, or causing the pulp inside to become discolored from frass (Barber, 1919;
Castañeda-Vildózola et al., 2013b; Popenoe, 1919). Conotrachelus species are considered to be
the most damaging pest in Guatemala where historically in some areas, most of the fruits were
found to be infested and unfit for consumption (Popenoe, 1919). Heilipus lauri may cause up to
80% losses of fruit in avocado gardens, (Castañeda-Vildózola et al., 2013b). The avocado seed
weevils are the main pests regulated for avocado from Mexico (Luna et al., 2017).
Endangered Area: The area endangered by the avocado seed weevils includes the areas in plant
hardiness zones 8-13 where avocado is grown.
The likelihood of entry of avocado seed weevils into the endangered area via avocado
(Persea americana) fruit imported from Guatemala.
4
As defined by ISPM No. 5, potential economic importance applies to crops, the environment (ecosystems, habitats,
or species), and to other specified values such as tourism, recreation and aesthetics (IPPC, 2022).
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 15

Risk Element Risk Uncertainty Evidence for rating (and other notes as
Rating Rating necessary)
Pest prevalence on High Moderate The avocado seed weevils are prevalent and
the harvested widespread throughout their native range in
commodity Central America (Castañeda-Vildózola et al.,
2013b; Jones et al., 2019b; Luna et al., 2017;
McGuire and Crandall, 1967). In Guatemala
Conotrachelus larvae were historically found in
nearly every fruit at certain markets (Popenoe,
1919). Heilipus lauri may cause up to 80%
losses of fruit in avocado gardens (Castañeda-
Vildózola et al., 2013b). Most of the literature
does not provide quantitative prevalence of these
pests, listing only qualitative reports of them
being major or minor importance. Therefore, we
increased our level of uncertainty to moderate.
Likelihood of High Moderate Internally feeding arthropods are highly likely to
surviving post- survive minimal post-harvest treatment, such as
harvest processing washing and culling. The puncture marks caused
before shipment by the females when they oviposit are sometimes
visible. The internal feeding habits of the larvae
can destroy the fruit in a way that makes it unfit
for market (Francia Rico, 2008; Segrera, 2019)
increasing the likelihood that infested fruit would
be culled after harvest. Because we did not
consider mitigations, we did not change the risk
rating.
Likelihood of High Low These species are commonly intercepted in fruits
surviving transport of Persea at U.S. ports of entry (Conotrachelus
and storage aguacatae (n=200), C. perseae (n=145),
conditions of the Conotrachelus sp. (n=168), Heilipus lauri (n=2),
consignment Heilipus sp. (n=77)) (ARM, 2022a) indicating
the ability of the insect to remain with the
commodity through harvest and shipping. Based
on this evidence the rating from the previous risk
element was not changed.
Overall High n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 16

The likelihood of establishment of avocado seed weevils into the endangered area via
avocado (Persea americana) fruit imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Medium Low Host material in the PRA area would likely be
Establishment limited to avocado. Avocado plants may be
found in plant hardiness zones 8-13, particularly
American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida,
Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi,
the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,
Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, where
avocados are commercially produced (NASS,
2020). The natural dispersal potential of seed
weevils is not known, but adults are capable of
flight and may be dispersed in seeds through
trade or by large herbivores (NASS, 2020);
several larvae can be found in each infested fruit
(Castañeda-Vildózola et al., 2013b; Segrera,
2019; Whitehead, 1979). Because suitable host
material will likely be limited to avocado, which
is not distributed through the PRA area, we rated
this element Medium.
Overall Medium n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Establishment
The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of

Conotrachelus aguacatae, C. perseae, and Heilipus lauri into the endangered area via
avocado fruit imported from Guatemala is Medium.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 17

3.2.2. Euxoa sorella (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae), Holcocera plagatola Adamski (Lepidoptera:

Coleophoridae), and Netechma pyrrhodelta (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)
These three species were reared from avocado fruit collected from a tree in Guatemala (Adamski
and Hoddle, 2009). However, Hoddle and Brown (2010) hypothesized that they are
“opportunistic exploiters of large avocado fruit.” They were only recently described, and there is
very little information regarding their primary hosts and climate suitability. Larvae of these
species were found feeding near the seed within avocado fruit collected from commercial
orchards that had been treated with broad-spectrum insecticides (Adamski and Hoddle, 2009).
We are highly uncertain about the potential pest status of these species on avocado and in the
United States but cannot discount the potential association with harvested avocado fruit.
The endangered area for Euxoa sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma pyrrhodelta
within the United States
Climatic suitability: Euxoa sorella is present from southern Mexico southward to Costa Rica
(Lafontaine, 1982). Holcocera plagatola is only known to occur in Guatemala (Adamski and
Hoddle, 2009). Netechma pyrrhodelta has only been reported from Guatemala and Costa Rica
(Hoddle and Brown, 2010). A comparison of USDA Plant Hardiness Zones (Takeuchi et al.,
2018a) to these regions indicates that establishment may occur in Zones 9 through 13 within the
United States.
Hosts in PRA area: We found very little information about the host range for these species.
Avocado (Lauraceae: Persea americana) may only be an incidental host, but large mature fruit is
at risk. In addition to avocado, N. pyrrhodelta has only been reared from Inga sp. (Fabaceae)
(Hoddle and Brown, 2010). We do not have additional information regarding potential hosts in
the PRA area.
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: These species were found
feeding internally within commercially produced avocado fruit that had been treated monthly
with broad-spectrum insecticides (Adamski and Hoddle, 2009). We have no additional
information regarding the significance of the infestation in Guatemala nor how much damage
was caused. This pest-host association may also have been incidental, with another unknown
primary host nearby (Adamski and Hoddle, 2009). Therefore, we are uncertain about the
potential consequences on avocado in the United States but cannot rule it out without additional
information.
Endangered area:
Euxoa sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma pyrrhodelta may establish and affect at least
avocado production in the United States within areas in plant hardiness zones 9-13 where
5
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 18

avocado is grown. This encompasses American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia,
Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, Texas, and
the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The likelihood of entry of Euxoa sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma pyrrhodelta
into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala
Pest prevalence on Low Medium Larvae of these species emerged from avocado
the harvested fruit collected in a commercial orchard in
commodity Guatemala (Adamski and Hoddle, 2009).
However, prevalence was very low. Of 1,098
specimens reared from harvested avocado, only 4
were these species [E. sorella (n=1), H.
plagatola (n=2), N. pyrrhodelta (n=1)] (Hoddle
and Brown, 2010). These species have only
recently been found associated with avocado.
Therefore, we rated this risk element Low, but
with Medium uncertainty.
Likelihood of Low Medium Avocado fruit will be washed and culled.
surviving post- However, as an internally feeding pest, the larvae
harvest processing may not be detected during post-harvest
before shipment processing. Therefore, the risk rating did not
change.
Likelihood of Low Low Transport and storage conditions are not being
surviving transport considered in this PRA. Internally feeding larvae
and storage or eggs are unlikely to be affected; therefore, the
conditions of the risk rating did not change.
consignment
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 19

The likelihood of establishment of Euxoa sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma

pyrrhodelta into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Low Medium We found very little information about these
Establishment species, including information on climate and
host suitability. Based on the information we do
have, only larvae may follow the pathway
(Adamski and Hoddle, 2009). For establishment
in a new area, these larvae would need to then
find suitable substrate for pupation, suitable
mates, and suitable host/climate for
development. We estimate a low likelihood of
these specific parameters being met for a new
population to establish in the United States.
Additionally, we found no evidence of
introduction into new areas.
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Establishment
The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of Euxoa

sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma pyrrhodelta into the endangered area via
avocado fruit imported from Guatemala is Low.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 20

3.2.3. Stenoma catenifer (Lepidoptera: Elachistidae)

Stenoma catenifer is a highly destructive pest of avocado. It invades new areas through
accidental movement of infested avocado fruit (Gilligan et al., 2011). The moth produces several
generations per year and reach high population levels causing losses of 80-100% in some areas
severely impacting avocado production (Segrera, 2019).
The endangered area for Stenoma catenifer within the United States
Climatic suitability: The avocado seed moth, S. catenifer, occurs in the Neotropical Region. Its
range spans from Mexico (Palacios Torres et al., 2011) through Central America (Hoddle and
Parra, 2013) and into South America, including Argentina (CABI, 2021), Brazil (Link and Link,
2008), Colombia (Manrique et al., 2014), Guyana (Cervantes et al., 1999), Peru (Hoddle and
Hoddle, 2012), and Venezuela (Boscán de Martínez and Godoy, 1982). Stenoma catenifer occurs
in plant hardiness zones 8-13 (Takeuchi et al., 2018) which correspond to areas in the southern
areas of the United States from California to Florida and other territories.
Hosts in PRA area: Stenoma catenifer feeds on plants in the Lauraceae family (Cervantes et al.,
1999). Hosts include Lauraceae: Beilschmiedia spp., Chlorocardium rodiei, Persea americana,
and P. schiedeana (CABI, 2021). Between 2015 and 2020, avocados were commercially
produced in American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana,
Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
(NASS, 2020).
Economically important hosts at risk: Avocado is an economically important host at risk in the
United States. In 2020, more than 206 thousand tons of avocado were produced for a value of
more than $427 million dollars in the United States (NASS, 2020).
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: Stenoma catenifer is a major

pest of avocado in Central and South America (Segrera, 2019). Larvae tunnel into the fruit to
feed on the seed. Infested fruit may be prematurely aborted, or unmarketable causing
considerable crop loss (Cervantes Peredo et al., 1999; Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b). The
proportion of damaged fruit ranges from 80 to 100 percent in some areas (Cervantes Peredo et
al., 1999; Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b; Segrera, 2019).
Endangered Area: The area endangered by the avocado seed moth includes the areas in plant
hardiness zones 8-13 where avocado is grown in American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida,
Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,
Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The likelihood of entry of Stenoma catenifer into the endangered area via avocado imported
from Guatemala
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 21

Pest prevalence on High Low Stenoma catenifer is one of the most destructive
the harvested pests of avocado (Ebeling, 1959). It undergoes
commodity several generations a year and can reach high
population levels throughout the growing season,
including during harvest. Females can lay up to
164 eggs during her lifetime (Segrera, 2019).
Eggs are typically laid on rough surfaces on the
fruit or along crevices such as the area around
the fruit pedicel (Cervantes Peredo et al., 1999;
Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b). Multiple larvae feed
inside the fruit (Ebeling, 1959). Because the
insect can reach high populations levels and it
has two life stages associated with the fruit, we
rated this risk rating as high with low
uncertainty.
Likelihood of High Low As internal feeders, the larvae are not likely to be
surviving post- affected by post-harvest surface cleansing and
harvest processing culling, especially if the damage is not obvious.
before shipment However, the presence of later instars on fruit
would probably be detected due to the presence
of frass and visible feeding damage (Cervantes
Peredo et al., 1999; Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b).
Since post-harvest practices would not reduce all
life stages of this pest, we did not change the
previous rating.
Likelihood of High Low Stenoma sp. have been intercepted at U.S. ports
surviving transport of entry in Persea americana (n=515). (ARM,
and storage 2022a), indicating that this moth can survive
conditions of the standard shipping conditions. For this reason, we
consignment did not change the risk rating.
Overall High n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 22

The likelihood of establishment of Stenoma catenifer into the endangered area via avocado
imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Medium Moderate Host material in the PRA area would likely be
Establishment limited to avocado. Avocado plants may be
found in Plant hardiness zones 8-13, particularly
American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida,
Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi,
the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,
Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, where
avocados are commercially produced (NASS,
2020). The natural dispersal potential of S.
catenifer is not known (male adults were
recorded flying ca. 67m, though this may be an
underestimate) (Hoddle et al., 2011), but several
larvae can be found in each infested fruit
(Hoddle and Parra, 2013). Because suitable host
material will likely be limited to avocado, which
is not distributed through the PRA area, we rated
this element Medium.
Likelihood of
Establishment

Stenoma catenifer into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala is
Medium.
3.2.4. Amorbia santamaria (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)

This moth primarily feeds on leaves of avocado (MAGA, 2021), but occasionally may feed
internally in large, mature fruit (Hoddle and Brown, 2010). First described in 2007, we have very
little information regarding its pest status and climatic suitability. We are highly uncertain about
the potential pest status of these species on avocado and in the United States but cannot discount
the potential association with harvested avocado fruit.
The endangered area for Amorbia santamaria within the United States
Climatic suitability: Amorbia santamaria is only known to occur in Guatemala (Hoddle and
Hoddle, 2008b; Hoddle and Brown, 2010; MAGA, 2021), but was also collected in Costa Rica
more than a century ago (Phillips-Rodriguez and Powell, 2007). First described in 2007
(Phillips-Rodriguez and Powell, 2007), we found no indication that the species had been
introduced elsewhere. A comparison of USDA Plant Hardiness Zones (Takeuchi et al., 2018a) to
these regions indicates that establishment may occur in Zones 10 through 13 within the United
States, limiting potential establishment to southern Florida, Hawaii, and the territories.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 23

Hosts in PRA area: Amorbia santamaria is not well studied, so the full host range for this
species is unknown. The only reported host of A. santamaria is avocado (Lauraceae: Persea
americana) (Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b; Hoddle and Brown, 2010; MAGA, 2021; Phillips-
Rodriguez and Powell, 2007)). Between 2015 and 2020, avocados were commercially produced
in American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana,
Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
(NASS, 2020).
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: This species has been found
feeding internally within commercially produced avocado fruit (Hoddle and Brown, 2010). We
have no additional information regarding the significance of the infestation in Guatemala nor
how much damage was caused. Therefore, we are uncertain about the potential consequences on
avocado in the United States but cannot rule it out without additional information.
Endangered area: Amorbia santamaria may establish and affect at least avocado production in
the United States within areas in plant hardiness zones 9-13 where avocado is grown.
The likelihood of entry of Amorbia santamaria into the endangered area via avocado fruit
Pest prevalence on Low Low Amorbia santamaria is present in avocado
the harvested producing regions of Guatemala, but primarily
commodity feeds on leaves (MAGA, 2021). However, larvae
have been collected from large, mature fruit at a
very low incidence (n=5 of 1,098 specimens
identified) (Hoddle and Brown, 2010). Based on
the occasional association as an internal pest in
mature fruit, we rated this element Low.
Likelihood of Low Low Amorbia santamaria is most likely to be
surviving post- associated with harvested avocados as internally
harvest processing feeding larvae. They would therefore be unlikely
before shipment to be affected by post-harvest processing. Based
on this, we did not change the risk rating.
consignment
6
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 24

Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
The likelihood of establishment of Amorbia santamaria into the endangered area via
avocado fruit imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Low Medium We found very little information about this
Establishment recently described pest, including information on
climate and host suitability. Based on the
information we do have, only larvae may follow
the pathway (Hoddle and Brown, 2010). In order
for establishment in a new area, these larvae
would need to then find suitable substrate for
pupation, suitable mates, and suitable
host/climate for development. Without additional
information about this species, we estimate a
Low likelihood of these specific parameters
being met for a new population to establish in the
United States. Additionally, we found no
evidence of introduction into any new areas
outside of Guatemala, so reduced our uncertainty
from High to Medium.
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Establishment

Amorbia santamaria into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala
is Low.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 25

3.2.5. Cryptaspasma perseana (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)

Cryptaspasma perseana is an avocado seed borer described from avocado fruit in 2011 (Gilligan
et al., 2011). It is present in Guatemala and Mexico (Gilligan et al., 2011; Mancilla-Brindis et al.,
2019; Ortega-Licona et al., 2016). There is not enough information available to estimate the
potential for spreading beyond its native range, or whether the endangered area may encompass
additional climates or hosts. While it has not yet been found in standard commercial production
of Hass avocados, new research on this species is ongoing and it cannot be ruled out (Mancilla-
Brindis et al., 2019; Mancilla-Brindis et al., 2021). We are highly uncertain about the potential
pest status of this species in the United States.
The endangered area for Cryptaspasma perseana within the United States
Climatic suitability: Cryptaspasma perseana is distributed in Mexico and central Guatemala
(Gilligan et al., 2011; Mancilla-Brindis et al., 2019; Ortega-Licona et al., 2016). However, it was
recently described, and we do not have enough information to determine whether climate
suitability may be further expanded than the Plant Hardiness Zones of Guatemala and central
Mexico. It is likely to be able to establish in at least Plant Hardiness Zones corresponding to this
region, including Zones 9-13 (Takeuchi et al., 2018a).
Hosts in PRA area: Cryptaspasma perseana is not well studied, so the full host range for this
species is unknown. Known hosts include avocado (Lauraceae: Persea americana) and Prioria
copaifera (Fabaceae) (Brown et al., 2020; Gilligan et al., 2011). Between 2015 and 2020,
avocados were commercially produced in American Samoa, Arizona, California, Florida,
Georgia, Guam, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,
Texas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands (NASS, 2020).
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: This pest has infested backyard
avocados (Ortega-Licona et al., 2016), and been reared from avocados in laboratory settings
(Gilligan et al., 2011). We have no additional information regarding the significance of this pest
in avocados nor how much damage has been caused. Therefore, we are uncertain about the
information.
Endangered area: Cryptaspasma perseana may establish and affect at least avocado production
in the United States within areas in plant hardiness zones 9-13 where avocado is grown.
The likelihood of entry of Cryptaspasma perseana into the endangered area via avocado
fruit imported from Guatemala
7
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 26

Pest prevalence on Low Medium We found very little information regarding the
the harvested potential infestation of C. perseana in Hass
commodity avocado in Guatemala. Gilligan et al. (2011)
reared this species from avocado in laboratory
settings. It has also been collected from backyard
orchards in Mexico (Mancilla-Brindis et al.,
2019; Ortega-Licona et al., 2016). Hass variety
avocados do not appear to be a preferred host as
it is mostly found in creole avocados (Mancilla-
Brindis, et al., 2021), but it can infest Hass
varieties (Hoddle and Hoddle, 2008b). It has not
become a problem in commercial orchards of
Hass because of standard management practices
that reduce tortricids (Mancilla-Brindis et al.,
2021). Additionally, it may be more likely to
colonize dropped fruit, but more research is
needed to confirm this (Macilla-brindis et al.,
2021). We found no additional information
regarding the potential prevalence in commercial
orchards, so rated this risk element Low, but
with medium uncertainty.
Likelihood of Low Low Cryptaspasma perseana is most likely to be
consignment
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 27

The likelihood of establishment of Cryptaspasma perseana into the endangered area via
avocado fruit imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Medium High Cryptaspasma perseana is not well studied, so
Establishment the full host range for this species is unknown.
It infests avocado and Prioria copaifera (Brown
et al., 2020; Gilligan et al., 2011). The
Cryptaspasma genus is generally associated with
large stone type seeds such as Lauraceae
(Laurales) and Myrtaceae (Myrtales) (Brown et
al., 2019), so may infest a wider range of species
that are present in the United States. Many
individuals may infest a single fruit (Mancilla-
Brindis et al., 2021), increasing the possibility of
finding suitable mates for establishment. For this
reason, we estimate the likelihood of
establishment to be Medium, but with High
uncertainty. It is unclear whether infestation
levels of Hass avocados would be as high as
other varieties.
Likelihood of
Establishment

Cryptaspasma perseana into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from
Guatemala is Medium.
3.2.6. Histura perseavora (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)

Histura perseavora larvae feed in avocado fruit pulp around the seed (Brown and Hoddle, 2010).
It was described about 10 years ago from Guatemala (Brown and Hoddle, 2010). We have very
little additional information about this species, including the significance of damage caused.
However, it has been collected from large, mature Hass and non-Hass avocado fruit in both
managed and non-managed orchards (Hoddle and Brown, 2010). We are uncertain about the
information.
The endangered area for Histura perseavora within the United States
Climatic suitability: Histura perseavora is only known to occur in Guatemala (Brown and
Hoddle, 2010). It was described for the first time in 2010 with no additional information on its
distribution since then. We do not have enough information to determine whether climate
suitability may be further expanded than the Plant Hardiness Zones of Guatemala.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 28

Hosts in PRA area: Histura perseavora larvae were collected from commercially produced
avocado (Lauraceae: Persea americana) (Brown and Hoddle, 2010). We do not have additional
information regarding potential hosts in the PRA area.
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: This pest was found feeding
internally within commercially produced avocado fruit in both managed and non-managed
avocado orchards (Brown and Hoddle, 2010). We have no additional information regarding the
significance of the infestation in Guatemala nor how much damage was caused. Therefore, we
are uncertain about the potential consequences on avocado in the United States but cannot rule it
out without additional information.
Endangered area: Histura perseavora may establish and affect at least avocado production in
the United States within areas in at least plant hardiness zones 10-13 where avocado is grown.
The likelihood of entry of Histura perseavora into the endangered area via avocado fruit
Pest prevalence on Medium High Histura perseavora has recently been described
the harvested as pest of avocado, reared from mature Hass fruit
commodity in both managed and non-managed orchards
(Brown and Hoddle, 2010). It is frequently
associated with avocado orchards in Guatemala
but is typically found on fruit that has fallen to
the ground (Arévalo and Bonilla, 2019). We
found no evidence that this is a significant pest
of concern to growers, and therefore rated this
risk element Medium.
Likelihood of Medium Low Histura perseavora is most likely to be
Likelihood of Medium Low Transport and storage conditions are not being
consignment
8
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 29

Likelihood of
Entry
The likelihood of establishment of Histura perseavora into the endangered area via avocado
fruit imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Low Medium We found very little information about this
Establishment recently described pest, including information on
climate and host suitability. Based on the
information we do have, only larvae may follow
the pathway (Brown and Hoddle, 2010). For
establishment in a new area, these larvae would
need to then find suitable substrate for pupation,
suitable mates, and suitable host/climate for
development. Without additional information
about this species, we estimate a Low likelihood
of these specific parameters being met for a new
population to establish in the United States.
Additionally, we found no evidence of
introduction into any new areas outside of
Guatemala.
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Establishment
The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of Histura

perseavora into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala is Low.
3.2.7. Elsinoë perseae (Jenkins) Rossman & W.C. Allen, syn: Sphaceloma perseae Jenkins
(Dothideomycetes: Myriangiales)
The avocado scab fungus, Elsinoë perseae (previously known as Sphaceloma perseae) is
considered to be host specific (Everett and Siebert, 2018) but closely related Elsinoë spp. cause
similar scab diseases of other economically important crops, such as E. fawcettii and E. australis
on citrus (Fan et al., 2017). The disease is most prominent and most easily diagnosed on the fruit
of very susceptible varieties. Spots are first oval, slightly raised, and brown to purplish brown.
As the fruit mature, spots coalesce, and the centers of these spots become sunken, and a large
portion of the fruit may become rough in appearance (Palmateer et al., 2006; Everett et al.,
2011).
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 30

Avocado scab results in premature fruit drop and reduced fruit quality, which heavily impacts
marketability (Everett and Siebert, 2018; Fan et al., 2017). An indirect but nevertheless major
impact of this disease is that it restricts market access to pest-free countries (Everett and Siebert,
2018). This is a quarantine pest for Hawaii (ARM, 2022b) and Northern Mariana Islands where
the pathogen is not known to occur.
The endangered area for Elsinoë perseae within the Hawaii and Northern Mariana Islands
Climatic suitability: Elsinoë perseae is present in Africa (Guinea, Morocco, South Africa,
Zambia, Zimbabwe; Asia (Philippines, Taiwan); North America (Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican
Republic, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Nicaragua, Panama, El Salvador,
Mexico, United States (Florida, Texas), Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands; South America
(Argentina, Brazil, Guyana, Peru, Venezuela (CABI, 2022, ARM, 2022; Everett et al., 2011).
Comparing the plant hardiness zones with known geographic distribution, we predict that the
pest could establish in areas corresponding to Plant Hardiness Zones 8 to 13 (Takeuchi and
Fowler, 2018).
Hosts in PRA area: The only host of E. perseae is Persea americana [Lauraceae: Persea
americana (CABI, 2022), which is grown in Hawaii and Northern Mariana Islands (Kartesz,
2022; NRCS, 2022). These areas are suitable for the pathogen.
Economically important hosts at risk: The only economically important host present is P.
americana (NASS, 2022; USDA, 2020).
Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: Elsinoë perseae is a severe

problem in humid tropical regions where it causes losses due to fruit drop and lower market
value of avocado fruit (Menge and Ploetz, 2003). This pest is likely to cause unacceptable
consequences because it is one of the most serious phytosanitary issues in avocado-producing
countries such as Mexico (Ávila-Quezada et al., 2002; Téliz-Ortiz et al., 2003). Young avocado
leaves and fruit (from fruit set to the time the fruit reaches one third to one half of the mature
size) are the most susceptible plant tissues to the pathogen (Ávila-Quezada et al., 2002). Scab
symptoms begin with scattered corky, raised brown to purplish-brown lesions or ‘scabs’ which
merge as the disease progresses causing deep brown fissures covering the fruit surface (Burnett,
1974). Avocado scab results in premature fruit drop and reduced fruit quality, which heavily
impacts marketability (Everett and Siebert, 2018; Fan et al., 2017). The disease incidence can be
as high as 98% (Ávila-Quezada et al., 2002). Crop losses of up to 53% have been reported
(Quezada et al., 2003) and price reductions ranging from 27-53% (Morales-Garcia, 2017).
Avocado scab lesions may provide a gateway for the entry of other pathogens (Menge and
Ploetz, 2003a). In addition to direct marketable fruit losses, the occurrence of this disease could
restrict market access to pest-free countries (Parkinson and Geering, 2019).
Endangered Area: Elsinoë perseae has the potential to occur in plant hardiness zones 8-13
(Takeuchi et al., 2018) which correspond to areas in Hawaii and Northern Mariana Islands.
The likelihood of introduction of Elsinoë perseae into the endangered area via Persea
americana imported from Guatemala
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 31

Pest prevalence on High Low Avocado scab results in premature fruit drop
the harvested and reduced fruit quality, which heavily impacts
commodity marketability (Everett & Siebert, 2018; Fan et
al., 2017). Elsinoë perseae is one of the main
phytosanitary concerns in avocado-producing
countries (Ávila-Quezada et al., 2002; Everett
and Siebert, 2018; Fan et al., 2017). Crop losses
of up to 53% have been reported (Vidales,
1996). The disease incidence can be as high as
98% (Ávila-Quezada et al., 2002), therefore we
rated the pest prevalence on the harvested
commodity high.
Likelihood of Medium Low We found no evidence that this pathogen could
surviving post- produce latent infections on avocado fruit or
harvest processing that the pathogen is seed transmitted. Symptoms
before shipment of avocado scab our noticeable in severe cases
with dark sunken spots and fruit becoming
rough in appearance (Palmateer et al., 2006;
Everett et al., 2011). Because a portion of
infected fruit would likely be culled, we reduced
the rating for this element to Medium.
Likelihood of Medium Low In the last five years there has been one
surviving transport interception of E. perseae in avocado fruit from
and storage Mexico in permit cargo and twenty-six in fruit
conditions of the found in baggage from all over the world
consignment (ARM, 2022b). This indicates that the pathogen
can remain in the commodity through storage
and transport. Therefore, the rating for this
element remains medium.
Overall Medium Low n/a
Likelihood of
Entry
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 32

The likelihood of establishment of Elsinoë perseae into the endangered area via Persea
americana imported from Guatemala
Likelihood of Low Low Avocado is the only known host of E. perseae
Establishment (Jenkins, 1934) so establishment in Hawaii and
Northern Mariana Islands would be limited.
Avocado scab is not known to be seed
transmitted (Everett and Siebert, 2018).
Further, most of the infection occurs up to 2–3
months after fruit set suggesting that sporulation
occurs during this period as well (Quezada et al.,
2003) which would happen prior to harvest.
Additionally, it would be highly unlikely for
discarded fruit to come in contact with
susceptible host material, due to the
epidemiology of the disease and the restricted
distribution of avocado in Hawaii and Northern
Mariana Islands.
Overall Low n/a n/a
Likelihood of
Establishment
The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of Elsinoë

perseae into the endangered area via avocado fruit imported from Guatemala is Low.
4. Summary
Of the organisms associated with avocado worldwide and present in the export area, we
identified 12 organisms that are quarantine pests for the United States. These pests are likely to
meet the threshold for unacceptable consequences in the PRA area and have a reasonable
likelihood of following the commodity pathway (Table 3). Thus, these pests are candidates for
risk management. These results represent a baseline estimate of the risks associated with the
import commodity pathway as described in section 1.4.
Table 3. Summary of pests that met the threshold for unacceptable consequences of introduction,
have a reasonable likelihood of following the commodity pathway, and thus are candidates for
risk management.
Pest type Scientific name Likelihood of Uncertainty statement
Introduction (optional)a
Arthropod Conotrachelus aguacatae Barber Medium N/A
Arthropod Conotrachelus perseae Barber Medium N/A
Arthropod Heilipus lauri Boheman Medium N/A
Arthropod Holcocera plagatola Adamski Low Association of this species
with avocado may be
incidental (Hoddle and
Brown, 2010).
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 33

Pest type Scientific name Likelihood of Uncertainty statement

Introduction (optional)a
Arthropod Stenoma catenifer Walsingham Medium N/A
Arthropod Euxoa sorella Schaus Low Association of this species
with avocado may be
Brown, 2010).
Arthropod Amorbia santamaria Phillips and Low N/A
Powell
Arthropod Cryptaspasma perseana Gilligan & Medium Species was recently
Brown described (Gilligan et al.,
2011), and we are uncertain
about the extent of potential
impacts.
Arthropod Histura perseavora Brown Low Species was recently
described (Brown and
Hoddle, 2010), and we are
uncertain about the extent of
potential impacts.
Arthropod Netechma pyrrhodelta (Meyrick) Low Association of this species
with avocado may be
Brown, 2010).
Fungus Elsinoë perseae (Jenkins) Rossman Low This risk rating applies only
& W.C. Allen to Hawaii and Northern
Mariana Islands.
a
The uncertainty statement, if included, identifies the most important source(s) of uncertainty.
Our assessment of risk is contingent on the application of all components of the pathway as
described in section 1.4. Appropriate phytosanitary measures to mitigate pest risk are addressed
separately from this document.
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Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 43

6. Appendix: Pests with non-quarantine status
We found evidence that the organisms listed below are associated with avocado and present in
Guatemala. Because these organisms are not of quarantine significance for the United States
(ARM, 2021 as defined by ISPM 5, IPPC, 20182019), we did not list them in Table 1 nor did we
intensively evaluate their association with avocado and their presence in Guatemala. Therefore,
the organisms are considered to have only “potential” association with the commodity and
presence in Guatemala.
We listed these organisms along with the references supporting their potential presence in
Guatemala, their presence in the United States (if applicable), and their potential association with
avocado. If any of the organisms are not present in the United States, we also provided
justification for their non-quarantine status. Unless otherwise noted, these organisms are non-
actionable at U.S. ports of entry.
Organism In In U.S. Host Notes

Guatemala Association
MITE: Acari: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004;
Tarsonemidae Wysoki et
Polyphagotarsonemus al., 2002
latus (Banks)
MITE: Acari: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 Peña, 2003
Tenuipalpidae
Brevipalpus phoenicis
(Geijskes)
MITE: Acari: MAGA, Migeon and MAGA,
Tetranychidae 2021 Dorkeld, 2021;
Oligonychus perseae 2022 Wysoki et
Tuttle, Baker & Abbatiello al., 2002
MITE: Acari: Migeon and Migeon and Migeon and
Tetranychidae Dorkeld, Dorkeld, Dorkeld,
Oligonychus peruvianus 2022 2022 2022
(McGregor)
MITE: Acari: Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004;
Tetranychidae MAGA, MAGA,
Oligonychus punicae 2021 2021;
(Hirst) Wysoki et
al., 2002
MITE: Acari: Maes, 2004 Migeon and Maes, 2004
Tetranychidae Dorkeld,
Tetranychus urticae Koch 2022
INSECT: Coleoptera: Maes, 2004 Clark et al., Maes, 2004
Chrysomelidae 2004
Cerotoma atrofasciata
Jacoby
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 44


INSECT: Coleoptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Chrysomelidae
Charidotella
(Charidotella) sexpunctata
(Fabricius)
Chrysomelidae
Diabrotica balteata
Leconte
Chrysomelidae
Neolema sexpunctata
(Olivier)
INSECT: Coleoptera: Atkinson, Atkinson, Atkinson,
Curculionidae 2022 2022 2022
Cryptocarenus diadematus
Eggers
INSECT: Coleoptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
Curculionidae
Caulophilus latinasus
(Say)
Curculionidae
Caulophilus oryzae
(Gyllenhal)
INSECT: Coleoptera: EPPO, 2021 EPPO, 2021 EPPO, 2021
Curculionidae
Euplatypus parallelus
(Fabricius)
Scarabaeidae
Cotinis mutabilis (Gory &
Percheron)
Scarabaeidae
Strategus aloeus
(Linnaeus)
Scolytidae
Xyleborus affinis Eichhoff
Scolytidae
Xyleborus ferrugineus
(Fabricius)
Scolytidae
Xyleborus volvulus
(Fabricius)
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 45


Scolytidae
Xylosandrus crassiusculus
(Motschulsky)
INSECT: Diptera: Hoddle, Hoddle, Hoddle,
Cecidomyiidae 2008 2008 2008
Asphondylia websteri Felt
INSECT: Hemiptera: Evans, 2007 Evans, 2007 Evans, 2007
Aleyrodidae
Aleurodicus cocois Curtis
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
Aleyrodidae
Aleurodicus dispersus
Russell
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022;
Aleyrodidae Wysoki et Wysoki et
Aleurodicus dugesii al., 2002 al., 2002
Cockerell
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022; Kumar et al.,
Aleyrodidae Kumar et al., Kumar et al., 2020
Aleurodicus 2020 2020
rugioperculatus Martin
Aleyrodidae
Aleuroglandulus subtilis
Bondar
INSECT: Hemiptera: EPPO, 2022 EPPO, 2022 EPPO, 2022
Aleyrodidae
Aleurothrixus trachoides
(Back)
INSECT: Hemiptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Considered Quarantine
Aleyrodidae organism, but no action
Bemisia tabaci required, except when
(Gennadius) on tomato from the
Dominican Republic
(ARM, 2022).
INSECT: Hemiptera: Evans, 2007 Wysoki et Evans, 2007;
Aleyrodidae al., 2002 Wysoki et
Paraleyrodes minei al., 2002
Iaccarino
INSECT: Hemiptera: Arreaga and Dooley et Arreaga and
Aleyrodidae Rodriguez, al., 2010; Rodriguez,
Tetraleurodes mori 2007 Wysoki et 2007;
(Quaintance) al., 2002 Wysoki et
al., 2002
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 46


INSECT: Hemiptera: MAGA, Wysoki et MAGA,
Aleyrodidae 2021 al., 2002 2021;
Tetraleurodes perseae Wysoki et
Nakahara al., 2002
Aleyrodidae
Trialeurodes floridensis
(Quaintance)
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022;
Aleyrodidae Wysoki et
Trialeurodes vaporariorum al., 2002
Westwood
INSECT: Hemiptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004;
Aphididae Wysoki et
Aphis gossypii Glover al., 2002
INSECT: Hemiptera: Yahia, 2011 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
Aphididae
Aphis spiraecola Patch
INSECT: Hemiptera: MAGA, CABI, 2022 MAGA,
Aphididae 2021 2021;
Myzus persicae Sulzer Wysoki et
al., 2002
INSECT: Hemiptera: García García García
Asterolecaniidae Morales et Morales et Morales et
Bambusaspis bambusae al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Boisduval)
INSECT: Hemiptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Cicadellidae
Tylozygus fasciatus
(Walker)
Coccidae Morales et Morales et Morales et
Ceroplastes floridensis al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
Comstock Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Ceroplastes stellifer al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Westwood). Syn:
Vinsonia stellifera
(Westwood)
Coccus hesperidum al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
hesperidum (Linnaeus) Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004;
Wysoki et
al., 2002
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 47


Coccus longulus (Douglas) al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Coccus viridis (Green) al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
INSECT: Hemiptera: García Dekle, Dekle,
Coccidae Morales et 1999 1999
Eucalymnatus tessellatus al., 2016
(Signoret)
Kilifia acuminata al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Signoret)
Milviscutulus mangiferae al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Green)
Parasaissetia nigra al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
(Nietner) Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Phalacrococcus howertoni al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Hodges & Hodgson
Philephedra tuberculosa al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Nakahara & Gill
Protopulvinaria pyriformis al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016;
(Cockerell) Wysoki et
al., 2002
Pseudokermes vitreus al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Cockerell)
INSECT: Hemiptera: García CABI, CABI,
Coccidae Morales et 2022 2022
Pulvinaria psidii Maskell al., 2016
Saissetia coffeae (Walker) al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 48


Saissetia neglecta De Lotto al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Saissetia oleae oleae al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Olivier)
INSECT: Hemiptera: García García Action required only
Diaspididae9 Morales et Morales et when destined to
Acutaspis albopicta al., 2016 al., 2016; Hawaii (ARM, 2021).
(Cockerell) Morse et al.,
2009;
Wysoki et
al., 2002
INSECT: Hemiptera: García Wysoki et García
Diaspididae Morales et al., 2002 Morales et
Acutaspis aliena al., 2016 al., 2016
(Newstead) Syn.
Melanaspis aleina
(Newstead)
Diaspididae Morales et Morales et Morales et
Acutaspis scutiformis al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Cockerell)
Diaspididae
Aspidiotus destructor
Signoret
INSECT: Hemiptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004
Diaspididae Wysoki et
Chrysomphalus aonidium al., 2002
(Linnaeus)
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, García Moznette,
Diaspididae 2022 Morales et 1919
Chrysomphalus al., 2016
dictyospermi (Morgan)
Diaspis boisduvalii al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Signoret
INSECT: Hemiptera: García Wysoki et García
Diaspididae Morales et al., 2002 Morales et
Hemiberlesia diffinis al., 2016 al., 2016
Newstead
9
All armored scales (Diaspididae) are non-actionable at U.S. ports of entry on fruits and vegetables for
consumption (NIS, 2008). Therefore, we did not need to determine whether they occur in the United
States.
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 49


INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, García Rugman-
Diaspididae 2022 Morales et Jones et al.,
Hemiberlesia lataniae al., 2016 2009
(Signoret)
Hemiberlesia rapax al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
(Comstock) Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004
Wysoki et
al., 2002
Ischnaspis longirostris al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Signoret)
Diaspididae
Lepidosaphes beckii
(Newman)
Diaspididae
Lepidosaphes gloverii
(Packard)
Melanaspis nigropunctata al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Cockerell)
INSECT: Hemiptera: García García
Diaspididae Morales et Morales et
Melanaspis squamea Ferris al., 2016 al., 2016
Morganella longispina al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Morgan)
Diaspididae
Parlatoria pergandii
Comstock
Parlatoria proteus (Curtis) al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Pseudaonidia al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
trilobitiformis (Green)
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, CABI, García
Diaspididae 2022 2022 Morales et
Pseudaulacaspis cockerelli al., 2016
(Cooley)
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 50


INSECT: Hemiptera: García García
Diaspididae Morales et Morales et
Pseudischnaspis acephala al., 2016 al., 2016
Ferris
Pseudischnaspis bowreyi al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
(Cockerell) Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Pseudoparlatoria al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
parlatorioides (Comstock)
INSECT: Hemiptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004
Diaspididae Wysoki et
Selenaspidus articulatus al., 2002
(Morgan)
Unaspis citri (Comstock) al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Membracidae
Umbonia crassicornis
(Amyot & Serville)
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, García Wysoki and
Monophlebidae 2022 Morales et Izhar, 1978
Icerya purchasi Maskell al., 2016
INSECT: Hemiptera: CABI, 2022 Wysoki et CABI, 2022
Pentatomidae al., 2002
Nezara viridula (Linnaeus)
Pseudococcidae Morales et Morales et Morales et
Dysmicoccus brevipes al., 2016 al., 2016; al., 2016
al., 2002
INSECT: Hemiptera: García García Chia and
Pseudococcidae Morales et Morales et Evans,
Dysmicoccus neobrevipes al., 2016 al., 2016 1997
Beardsley
Ferrisia virgata al., 2016 al., 2016; al., 2016
al., 2002
Nipaecoccus nipae al., 2016 al., 2016; al., 2016
(Maskell) Wysoki et
al., 2002
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 51


Paracoccus marginatus al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
Williams & Granara de
Willink
INSECT: Hemiptera: García Katbeh- García
Pseudococcidae Morales et Bader et al., Morales et
Phenacoccus madeirensis al., 2016 2019 al., 2016
Green
INSECT: Hemiptera: García Abdel- García
Pseudococcidae Morales et Razzik et al., Morales et
Phenacoccus solenopsis al., 2016 2015 al., 2016
Tinsley
Planococcus citri (Risso) al., 2016; al., 2016; al., 2016;
Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004; Maes, 2004
Wysoki et
al., 2002
Planococcus minor al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Maskell)
Pseudococcus al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
jackbeardsleyi Gimpel &
Miller
Pseudococcus longispinus al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016;
(Targioni Tozzetti) Wysoki et
al., 2002
Pseudococcus viburni al., 2016 al., 2016 al., 2016
(Signoret)
INSECT: Hemiptera: Rugman- Peña, 2003; Peña, 2003;
Tingidae Jones et al., Rugman- Rugman-
Pseudacysta perseae 2012 Jones et al., Jones et al.,
(Heidemann) 2012; 2012
Wysoki et
al., 2002
INSECT: Heteroptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Alydidae
Hyalymenus tarsatus
(Fabricius)
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 52


Coreidae
Leptoglossus zonatus
(Dallas)
Lygaeidae
Oncopeltus (Erythrischius)
cingulifer Stal
INSECT: Heteroptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Non-quarantine (ARM,
Thyreocoridae 2022).
Galgupha guttiger (Stal)
INSECT: Hymenoptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
Formicidae
Solenopsis geminata
(Fabricius)
INSECT: Lepidoptera: CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
Noctuidae
Peridroma saucia (Hübner)
INSECT: Lepidoptera: Obraztsov, Obraztsov, Gilligan et
Tortricidae 1961 1961 al., 2011;
Argyrotaenia montezumae Obraztsov,
(Walsingham) 1961
INSECT: Lepidoptera: Hoddle and Poole, 2022 Hoddle and
Tortricidae Hoddle, Hoddle,
Micrathetis triplex Walker 2008b; 2008b;
Hoddle and Hoddle and
INSECT: Lepidoptera: Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004 Maes, 2004
Tortricidae
Platynota rostrana
(Walker)
INSECT: Thysanoptera: Hoddle et CABI, 2022 Hoddle et
Thripidae al., 2002 al., 2002
Frankliniella gossypiana
Hood
INSECT: Thysanoptera: CABI, 2022 Wysoki et CABI, 2022
Thripidae al., 2002
Frankliniella occidentalis
(Pergande)
Frankliniella williamsi
Hood
INSECT: Thysanoptera: PMC, 2019 CABI, 2022 PMC, 2019
Thripidae
Heliothrips
haemorrhoidalis (Bouche)
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 53


Karnyothrips merrilli
Watson
INSECT: Thysanoptera: Mound et Mound et Mound et
Thripidae al., 2019 al., 2019; al., 2019
Neohydatothrips burungae Rugman-
(Hood) Jones et al.,
2006
INSECT: Thysanoptera: Hoddle et Hoddle et Hoddle et
Thripidae al., 2002 al., 2008 al., 2002
Scirtothrips aceri Moulton
INSECT: Thysanoptera: Hoddle et Hoddle et Hoddle et
Thripidae al., 2002 al., 2002 al., 2002;
Scirtothrips perseae Wysoki et
Nakahara al., 2002
FUNGI : Aithaloderma Farr and Farr and Farr and
citri (Briosi & Pass.) Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Woron., syn: Capnodium 2022 2022 2022
citri Penz.
FUNGI: Albonectria CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022
rigidiuscula (Berk. & Farr and Farr and Farr and
Broome) Rossman & Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Samuels 2022 2022 2022
(= Calonectria rigidiuscula
(Berk. & Broome) Sacc;
Nectria rigidiuscula Berk.
& Broome)
Anamorph: Fusarium
decemcellulare C. Brick
FUNGI: Alternaria Farr and Farr and Farr and
alternata (Fr.: Fr) Keissl., Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
syn: Alternaria citri Ellis 2022 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI,
and N. Pierce 2022 2022
FUNGI: Athelia rolfsii CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022; Menge and
(Curzi) Tu & Kimbr. Farr and Ploetz, 2003;
(= Sclerotium rolfsii Sacc.) Rossman,
Anamorph: Corticium 2022
rolfsii Curzi
FUNGI: Botryosphaeria CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022:
dothidea (Moug.) Ces. & Farr and Everett et
de Not Rossman, al., 2011;
2022 Farr and
Rossman,
2022
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 54


FUNGI: Ceratocystis Farr and Farr and Farr and
fimbriata Ellis & Halst. Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
2022; CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022
2022 2022
FUNGI: Colletotrichum CABI, 2022; CABI, CABI, 2022;
gloeosporioides (Penz.) Farr and 2022;Farr Ploetz et al.,
Penz. & Sacc, syn: Rossman, and 1994; Farr
Glomerella cingulata 2022 Rossman, and
(Stoneman) Spauld. & H. 2022 Rossman,
Schrenk 2022
FUNGI: Corynespora Farr and Farr and Farr and
cassiicola (Berk. & M.A. Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Curtis) C.T. Wei 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022
2022 2022
FUNGI: Curvularia lunata Farr and Farr and Farr and
(Wakker) Boedijn, syn: Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Acrothecium lunatum 2022; 2022; CABI, 2022
Wakker CABI, 2022 2022
FUNGI: Fusarium Farr and Farr and Farr and
graminearum Schwabe, Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
syn: Gibberella zeae 2022 2022; CABI, 2022
(Schwein. : Fr.) Petch 2022
FUNGI: Lasiodiplodia Farr and Farr and Farr and
theobromae, (Pat.) Griffon Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
& Maubl., syn: 2022; 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI,
Botryosphaeria rhodina CABI, 2022 2022 2022
(Berk. & M.A. Curtis) Arx
FUNGI: Nigrospora Farr and Farr and CABI, 2022;
oryzae (Berk. and Curt.) Rossman, Rossman, Farr and
Petch., syn: Khuskia 2022 2022; CABI, Rossman,
oryzae H.J. Huds 2022 2022
FUNGI: Phytophthora CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 Ploetz et al.,
cinnamomi Rands Farr and 1994; CABI,
Rossman, 2022; Farr
2022 and
Rossman,
2022
FUNGI: Phytophthora Farr and Farr and Farr and
citrophthora (R.E. Sm. & Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
E.H. Sm.) Leonian 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI, 2022; CABI,
2022 2022 2022
FUNGI: Phytophthora CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
heveae A. Thomps.
nicotianae Breda de Haan
(= P. parasitica Dastur)
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 55


palmivora (E.J. Butler) E.
J. Butler
FUNGI: Phytopythium CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 Ramírez-Gil
vexans (de Bary) Abad, de and Morales,
Cock, Bala, Robideau, 2019
Lodhi & Lévesque, syn:
Pythium vexans de Bary
FUNGI: Rhizoctonia noxia Farr and Farr and Farr and
(Donk) Oberw., R. Bauer, Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Garnica & R. Kirschner, 2022; 2022; CABI, 2022
syn: Corticium koleroga CABI, 2022 2022
(Cooke) Höhn.,
Pellicularia koleroga
Cooke
FUNGI: Rhizoctonia Farr and Farr and Mircetich
solani J.G. Kühn, syn: Rossman, Rossman, and
Thanatephorus cucumeris 2022 2022 Zentmyer,
(A. B. Frank) Donk 1960
FUNGI: Rhizopus Farr and Farr and Farr and
stolonifer (Ehrenb.: Fr.) Rossman, Rossman, Rossman,
Vuill., syn: Rhizopus 2022 2022 2022
nigricans Ehrenb.
FUNGI: Rosellinia CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 Farr and
bunodes (Berk. & Br.) Rossman,
Sacc. Black 2022; CABI,
2022
FUNGI: Sclerotinia CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022
sclerotiorum (Lib.) de Bary
FUNGI: Verticillium albo- CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022 USDA, 1999

atrum Reinke & Bert.
VIROID: Avsunviroidae Everett and CABI, 2022 CABI, 2022; Present in Florida and
Avsunviroid Avocado Siebert, Ploetz et al., California (CABI,
sunblotch viroid 2018 1994; 2022); not under official
Everett and control.
Siebert,
2018
Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 56

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Importation of avocado (Persea americana var.

Hass) from Guatemala into the United States for

A Qualitative, Pathway Initiated Pest Risk

October 24, 2022

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 2

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 3

This is a qualitative risk assessment. The likelihood of pest introduction is expressed as a

1.2. Initiating event

1.3. Potential weediness of the commodity

1.4. Description of the pathway

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 4

1.4.1. Description of the commodity

2. Pest List and Pest Categorization

2.1. Pest list

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 5

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 6

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 7

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 8

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 9

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 10

Pest name Presence in Host Plant part(s) Considered further?

2.2. Pests considered but not included on the pest list

2.2.1. Organisms with non-quarantine status

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 11

Rhynchophorus palmarum (Coleoptera: Curculionidae): Present in Guatemala (EPPO, 2022), R.

Neosilba glaberrima (Diptera: Lonchaeidae): Present in Guatemala (McAlpine and Steyskal,

Orthocomotis herbacea (Lepidoptera: Torticidae): This moth is present in Guatemala (Brown,

Aeneolamia albofasciata and Prosapia simulans (Hemiptera: Cercopidae): These spittlebugs

Draeculacephala soluta, Macunolla ventralis, Oncometopia (Oncometopia) clarior, Phera

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 12

2.2.3. Organisms identified only to the genus level

2.4. Pests selected for further analysis or already regulated

We identified 11 quarantine pests for further analysis (Table 2).

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 13

Table 2. Pests selected for further analysis.

3. Assessing Pest Risk Potential

High: This outcome is highly likely to occur.

We address uncertainty associated with each risk element as follows:

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 14

3.2.1. Conotrachelus aguacatae, C. perseae, Heilipus lauri (Coleoptera: Cucurlioninae)

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 15

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 16

The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 17

3.2.2. Euxoa sorella (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae), Holcocera plagatola Adamski (Lepidoptera:

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 18

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 19

The likelihood of establishment of Euxoa sorella, Holcocera plagatola, and Netechma

The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of Euxoa

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 20

3.2.3. Stenoma catenifer (Lepidoptera: Elachistidae)

Potential consequences on economically important hosts at risk: Stenoma catenifer is a major

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 21

Ver. 3 October 24, 2022 22

The likelihood of introduction (combined likelihoods of entry and establishment) of