The Oriental Insurance Company LTD
The Oriental Insurance Company LTD
The Oriental Insurance Company LTD
The Oriental Insurance Company Ltd.: Rating downgraded to [ICRA]AA from [ICRA]AA+;
outlook remains Negative
Summary of rating action
Rationale
The rating downgrade reflects the further deterioration in The Oriental Insurance Company Ltd.’s (OICL) solvency profile due
to its weak underwriting performance and the absence of capital infusions by the Government of India (GoI) in FY2023. The
underwriting performance was affected by the increase in management expenses on account of wage revision and payment
of associated arrears in FY2023. Moreover, the continued net losses of Rs. 4,968 crore and Rs. 3,115 crore in FY2023 and
FY2022, respectively, resulted in a negative net worth of Rs. 4,147 crore as on March 31, 2023.
The company’s solvency is expected to remain weak unless the GoI makes a sizeable equity infusion. OICL has provided Rs.
2,425 crore for the payment of arrears for the period of August 01, 2017, to July 31, 2022. The solvency ratio declined sharply
to -0.96 times (excluding fair value change account (FVCA)1) as on March 31, 2023, from 0.15 times in FY2022. The company
has applied to the regulator for the inclusion of 100% FVCA for solvency calculation for FY2023, though approval is yet to be
received. Even after considering this, the solvency stood at 0.56 times as on March 31, 2023, lower than the regulatory
requirement of 1.50 times. The solvency ratio was previously (FY2019-FY2021) supported by the regulatory dispensation
allowing the inclusion of FVCA while computing the same.
The rating factors in OICL’s position as one of the leading players in the domestic general insurance industry and the sovereign
ownership (GoI holds 100%) with demonstrated capital support in the past and the expectation of continued GoI support in
future. Although the GoI infused Rs. 3,170 crore and Rs. 1,200 crore in FY2021 and FY2022, respectively, further capital would
need to be infused again in FY2024 to help the company meet the regulatory solvency ratio.
OICL’s statutory auditors have drawn attention to its ability to continue as a going concern, given the negative net worth and
the continued net losses. While the company is exploring different avenues to turn around the situation as defined in its
business and strategy plans, such as focusing on profitable business and avoiding loss-making Government mass health
policies, the ability to successfully implement these plans and receive the required equity from the GoI would be critical.
OICL has regulatory forbearance specific to the solvency requirements allowed by the Insurance Regulatory and Development
Authority of India (IRDAI) for the entire tenure for the servicing of the subordinated debt (sub debt) raised. Under this
forbearance, OICL can service the sub debt even if the solvency ratio falls below the minimum regulatory requirement.
The outlook on the rating remains Negative, given ICRA’s expectation of continued losses over the medium term, leading to
high dependence on capital infusions from the GoI to meet the regulatory solvency ratio.
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Key rating drivers and their description
Credit strengths
Sovereign ownership – OICL is wholly owned by the GoI. ICRA expects the company to continue receiving strong support from
the GoI. Considering the extremely low insurance penetration in India, the role of Government-owned insurers, such as OICL,
becomes important. Further, GoI support is evidenced from the capital infusion of Rs. 9,950 crore (OICL received Rs. 3,170
crore) and Rs. 5,000 crore (OICL received Rs. 1,200 crore) in FY2021 and FY2022, respectively, across three public sector general
insurance companies.
Established player with long operating history – OICL has a long operating history with a recognised brand value in North
India. It is the fifth largest player in the general insurance industry with a market share of 6.5% in terms of gross direct premium
written (GDPW) in FY2023 (6.7% in FY2022). While the company has a presence in all major segments, the health and motor
segments continued to account for a significant share of the GDPW at 55% and 24%, respectively, in FY2023 (48% and 25%,
respectively, in FY2022). The company plans to diversify and reduce its high loss portfolio and grow selectively in the motor
portfolio. OICL has a strong agency channel with ~31% of its business being sourced through individual agents. Further, direct
sourcing accounts for 30% of the business with a wide presence across 1,452 branches.
Credit challenges
Weak solvency levels; largely dependent on GoI capital infusion – In the absence of equity infusions by the GoI in FY2023 and
given the weak underwriting performance, OICL’s solvency remains weak (negative solvency of 0.96 times as on March 31,
2023 compared to 0.15 times as on March 31, 2022). The company has provided Rs. 2,425 crore for the payment of arrears for
the period of August 01, 2017, to July 31, 2022. This has resulted in an elevated combined ratio, which further weakened its
solvency profile. OICL has applied to the regulator for the inclusion of 100% of the FVCA for solvency purposes. Post approval,
the solvency will improve to 0.56 times as on March 31, 2023, though it will remain lower than the regulatory requirement.
Further, the company had a significant amount of 90+ days receivables from its co-insurance and reinsurance arrangements,
which is disallowed for the calculation of the solvency ratio. With continued losses in FY2023, OICL’s net worth became a
negative Rs. 4,147 crore in FY2023 from Rs. 524 crore in FY2022.
OICL requires equity infusion of ~Rs. 4,400 crore to meet the regulatory solvency requirements as on March 31, 2023 after
100% inclusion of the FVCA. Given the expectation of continued underwriting losses, the equity capital required in the medium
term is expected to increase further and remain sizeable.
Weak underwriting performance – The company’s underwriting performance deteriorated on a year-on-year (YoY) basis in
FY2023 due to the impact of the retrospective wage revision (impact of Rs. 2,425 crore in FY2023). OICL reported an
underwriting loss of Rs. 7,477 crore in FY2023 compared to Rs. 5,289 crore in FY2022. The combined ratio was elevated at
155% in FY2023 compared to 144% in FY2022. Excluding the impact of the wage revision in FY2023, the company’s overall
underwriting performance had improved, though the combined ratio remained high at 138%. Consistent improvement in the
underwriting performance and sizeable capital infusions by the GoI remain key rating sensitivity factors.
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Rating sensitivities
Positive factors – The outlook may be revised to Stable if there is a consistent improvement in the underwriting performance
and sizeable capital infusions by the GoI, resulting in a sustained improvement in the cushion above the regulatory solvency
requirement.
Negative factors – ICRA could downgrade the rating on a dilution in OICL’s strategic role and importance to the GoI or on
inadequate capital infusions by the GoI or further weakening of the capital position.
Analytical approach
FY2022 FY2023
Gross direct premium 14,020 15,993
Total underwriting surplus/(shortfall) (5,289) (7,477)
Total investment + Trading income 2,297 2,776
PAT (3,115) (4,968)
Net worth (excluding FVCA) 524 (4,147)
Net worth (including FVCA) 6,189 3,015
Total technical reserves 22,550 25,220
Total investment portfolio 27,347 28,017
Total assets 35,289 35,167
Gearing (times) 1.43 (0.18)
Combined ratio 143.5% 154.5%
Regulatory solvency ratio (times) 0.15 (0.96)
Source: Company, ICRA Research; All ratios as per ICRA’s calculations; Amount in Rs. Crore
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Rating history for past three years
Current Rating (FY2024) Chronology of Rating History For the Past 3 Years
Amount Date & Date & Rating in Date & Rating in
Amount Rating in Date & Rating in FY2021
Instrument Rated
Type Outstanding FY2023 FY2022
(Rs. FY2024
(Rs. crore)
crore) Aug 14, 2023 Nov 14, 2022 Nov 17, 2021 Nov 19, 2020
Subordinated
Long [ICRA]AA [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AAA [ICRA]AAA
1 debt 750.0 750.0
term (Negative) (Negative) (Negative) (Negative)
programme
[ICRA]AA [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AAA [ICRA]AAA
2 Issuer Rating - - -
(Negative) (Negative) (Negative) (Negative)
The Complexity Indicator refers to the ease with which the returns associated with the rated instrument could be estimated.
It does not indicate the risk related to the timely payments on the instrument, which is rather indicated by the instrument's
credit rating. It also does not indicate the complexity associated with analysing an entity's financial, business, industry risks or
complexity related to the structural, transactional or legal aspects. Details on the complexity levels of the instruments are
available on ICRA’s website: Click Here
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Annexure I: Instrument details
Date of Amount
Coupon Current Rating and
ISIN Instrument Name Issuance / Maturity Rated (Rs.
Rate Outlook
Sanction crore)
INE06GZ08015* Subordinated debt Mar-18-2019 8.80% Mar-18-2029 750.00 [ICRA]AA (Negative)
NA Issuer Rating NA NA NA NA [ICRA]AA (Negative)
Source: Company
*The company has a call option exercisable five years from the date of allotment on March 18, 2024
The rating factors in the key features of the subordinated debt instrument:
• Servicing of interest is contingent on the company maintaining a solvency ratio above the level stipulated by the
regulator2
• If the interest payouts lead to a net loss or an increase in the net loss, prior approval of the regulator would be required
to service the debt
OICL has, however, received approval from the regulator, which allows it to pay interest on its subordinated debt instrument
even if its solvency ratio is below the minimum regulatory requirement of 150% and interest payouts lead to an increase in
the net losses.
Corrigendum
Updated the link for “Rating Approach-Consolidation” in the analytical approach section on page 3 on the document dated
August 14, 2023.
2 As per IRDAI regulations, insurers are required to maintain a minimum solvency ratio of 150%
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ANALYST CONTACTS
Karthik Srinivasan Anil Gupta
+91 22 6114 3444 +91 124 4545 314
[email protected] [email protected]
Niraj Jalan
+91 33 7150 1146
[email protected]
RELATIONSHIP CONTACT
L. Shivakumar
+91 22 6114 3406
[email protected]
Today, ICRA and its subsidiaries together form the ICRA Group of Companies (Group ICRA). ICRA is a Public Limited
Company, with its shares listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange. The international
Credit Rating Agency Moody’s Investors Service is ICRA’s largest shareholder.
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