Equity Analysis GST
Equity Analysis GST
Equity Analysis GST
Ⅰ.INTRODUCTION
To start any business capital plays major role. Capital can be acquired in two
ways by issuing shares or by taking debt from financial institutions or
borrowing money from financial institutions. The owners of the company have
to pay regular interest and principal amount at end. Stock is ownership in a
company, with each other each share of stock representing a tiny piece of
ownership. The more shares you, the more dividends you earn when the
company makes a profit In the financial world, ownership is called “Equity”.
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(over or under valued). This is valuable because it fills information gaps so that
each individual investor does not need to analyze every stock thereby making
the markets more efficient
Ⅱ. THEOTERICAL BACKGROUND :
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• Portfolio
• Beta
• Leverage
• Diversification
The one thing that almost all investors would agree upon is the fact that equity
is definitely more risky than debt. Irrational exuberance with a rising market has
left many an investor losing their shirts and in some cases even more sensitive
garments. However, does this mean that investing in debt instruments is entirely
risk-free? Unfortunately, the answer is in the negative though the volatility is
much less. So first, let us examine what kind of risks do debt instruments pose,
Interest rate and prices of fixed income instruments share an inverse
relationship. In other words, when the overall interest rates in the economy rise,
the prices of fixed income earning instruments fall and vice versa. Interest rates
in the economy may fluctuate due to several factors such as a change in the
RBI's monetary policy, Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) requirements, forex reserves,
the level of the fiscal deficit and the consequent inflation outlook etc.
Extraneous factors such as energy price fluctuations, commodity demand and
supply and even capital flows may result in rates fluctuating. Then there are the
event-based factors that affect interest rates. For example, the 11/9 episode in
the United States of America and 13/12 in India.
If there is a war, interest rates will rise. However, typically such events are
temporary in nature and in fact a good fund manager can actually take
advantage of such hiccups.
This is the risk inherent in a particular asset class. The best way to combat this
risk is by diversification. However, one must remember that the diversification
must be in the class of asset and not the asset itself.
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NEED FOR STUDY :
▪ The accentuated growth rate of the IT Industry in recent times has turned
the head winds for the many major economies of the world. India being
instrumental in supplying the human capital to the IT industry studying IT
stocks movements is the need of the hour.
▪ Further as the growth of IT industry accelerated the need of the firms for
more capital also raised thus many firms lined up for additional funds and
capital markets being instrumental channels for funds the study is of at
most importance keeping the Industry’s growth rate in view.
▪ Investors being key players in the stock market who focuses on
improving their return margins with minimal risk , the study is of prime
importance as the major objective of the study is to analyse the riskreturn
relationship of stock pertaining to IT Industry.
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o To identify and examine the risk and return relationship of selected
IT companies in Indian stock market.
o To provide valid suggestions for the stockholders, in order to take a
rational choice while investing in IT stocks.
o To find and compare the performance of the selected IT companies
in share market.
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LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY :
➢ The study focused on the market with the historical information.
➢ While applying the tools transaction cost, impact cost etc, is not taken into
consideration. Therefore, it will reflect on the return calculated.
➢ Tools used for the analysis have their own limitations which may have an
impact on the study
➢ This study has been conducted purely to understand Equity analysis for
investors.
➢ The study is limited to the companies having equities.
➢ Detailed study of the topic was not possible due to limited size of the project.
➢ There was a constraint with regard to time allocation for the research study
i.e. for a period of 45 days.
REASEARCH METHODOLOGY:
✓ Source of data : Data is collected from the primary data and secondary
data.
✓ Primary Data: primary data means which is collected personally and
observations, for this project there is no primary data.
✓ Secondary data: The data which is represented already. The present study
is based on Secondary data.
Ⅲ. DIFFERENT COMPANIES INFORMATION:
1. WIPRO LTD.
2. INFOSYS LTD.
3. TCS LTD.
4. HCL LTD.
5. TECH MAHINDA LTD .
6. L&T LTD .
7. MPHASIS LTD .
8.ORACLE COMPANY LTD.
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S. No Name of the Company Return
Daily Monthly
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Table No:1.2 Tabular representation of Standard Deviations of IT
Companies returns during 2018-19 Source: Author’s Compilation
Standard Deviation
Monthly
From the analysis, standard deviation is calculated for the monthly standard
deviation. Standard deviation measures the companies based on daily and
monthly prices for a period of 5 risk of an investment.
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S. No Name of the Company P-VALUE
Nifty IT Nifty 50
1 WIPRO LTD 0.83 0.82
2 INFOSYS LTD. 0.60 0.78
3 TCS LTD. 0.53 0.35
4 HCL LTD. 0.78 0.37
5 TECH MAHINDA LTD. 0.68 0.39
6 L&T LTD. 0.19 0.81
7 MPHASIS LTD. 0.96 0.64
8 ORACLE COMPANY LTD. 0.37 0.83
Table No:1.3 Tabular representation of t-test results of IT Companies
returns during 2018-19
From the analysis, the p-value is calculated using t-test, the pvalues of the
companies return with respect to both nifty IT index return and nifty 50 index
return are more than the level of significance (0.05), hence the null hypothesis
H0 is accepted in both cases. Therefore, there is no significant relationship
between stock returns and NIFTY-50 returns and no significant relationship
between stock returns and NIFTY IT returns.
➢ During the study period, the daily mean return and monthly mean return
of all the selected companies in the IT sector is positive except for
MPHASIS and L&T. Among all the companies, ORACLE
(0.025%,0.887%) has the highest daily and monthly return.
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➢ In terms of variance, standard deviation INFOSYS has the lowest risk and
MPHASIS and MPHASIS has the highest risk element. As per coefficient
of variation TCS and TECHMAHINDRA (daily prices) has the lowest risk
per unit of return and TECH MAHINDRA(monthly prices), MPHASIS
have the highest risk per unit of return.
➢ The correlation coefficient between the daily and monthly return of
selected IT companies with the return of NIFTY IT index and NIFTY 50
index is highest for L&T and TCS has the lowest correlation.
➢ INFOSYS has the lowest systematic risk (beta) and MPHASIS has highest
systematic risk. TCS has the lowest Alpha value and ORACLE has highest
Alpha value.
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16-May-21 2145.1 2189.6 -2.03
17-May-21 2185 2137.2 2.24
20-May-21 2142 2125.1 0.8
21-May-21 2126.2 2132.9 -0.31
22-May-21 2132 2135 -0.14
23-May-21 2149 2156.35 -0.34
24-May-21 2154.9 2188.45 -1.53
27-May-21 2212 2300.35 -3.84
28-May-21 2294 2282.6 0.5
29-May-21 2275 2259.85 0.67
30-May-21 2265 2276.05 -0.49
31-May-21 2277 2263.45 0.6
03-Jun-21 2258 2221.85 1.63
04-Jun-21 2229 2186 1.97
06-Jun-21 2190 2182.35 0.35
07-Jun-21 2182.2 2154.55 1.28
10-Jun-21 2160.5 2195.75 -1.61
11-Jun-21 2205 2195.25 0.44
12-Jun-21 2194.8 2208.2 -0.61
13-Jun-21 2218 2200.3 0.8
14-Jun-21 2214 2207.6 0.29
17-Jun-21 2202 2259.3 -2.54
18-Jun-21 2277 2282.65 -0.25
19-Jun-21 2280 2288.9 -0.39
20-Jun-21 2292 2339.3 -2.02
21-Jun-21 2343.8 2313.6 1.31
24-Jun-21 2306 2307.7 -0.07
25-Jun-21 2300 2288.1 0.52
26-Jun-21 2266 2293.1 -1.18
27-Jun-21 2281.5 2323.4 -1.8
28-Jun-21 2326.7 2313.4 0.57
01-Jul-21 2303 2351.7 -2.07
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02-Jul-21 2354.9 2365.55 -0.45
03-Jul-21 2366.6 2361.35 0.22
04-Jul-21 2361.25 2368.25 -0.3
05-Jul-21 2369.7 2379.5 -0.41
08-Jul-21 2384 2334.4 2.12
09-Jul-21 2321 2281.4 1.74
10-Jul-21 2275 2303.7 -1.25
11-Jul-21 2304 2315.35 -0.49
12-Jul-21 2315 2324.4 -0.4
15-Jul-21 2324.4 2344.35 -0.85
16-Jul-21 2348 2249.3 4.39
17-Jul-21 2250 2258.55 -0.38
18-Jul-21 2254.9 2278.75 -1.05
19-Jul-21 2278 2295.1 -0.75
22-Jul-21 2295 2291 0.17
23-Jul-21 2287 2285.35 0.07
24-Jul-21 2265 2306.7 -1.81
25-Jul-21 2304 2318.35 -0.62
26-Jul-21 2322.6 2353 -1.29
29-Jul-21 2345.05 2357.8 -0.54
30-Jul-21 2341 2332.9 0.35
31-Jul-21 2320 2229.8 4.05
Total 4.73
Average Return 0.07
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2.11 0.07 2.04 4.18
1.60 0.07 1.53 2.35
-1.10 0.07 -1.17 1.36
-0.45 0.07 -0.52 0.27
2.67 0.07 2.60 6.77
-0.12 0.07 -0.19 0.04
0.47 0.07 0.40 0.16
2.29 0.07 2.22 4.93
2.18 0.07 2.11 4.47
-0.21 0.07 -0.28 0.08
-2.03 0.07 -2.10 4.42
2.24 0.07 2.17 4.69
0.80 0.07 0.73 0.53
-0.31 0.07 -0.38 0.15
-0.14 0.07 -0.21 0.04
-0.34 0.07 -0.41 0.17
-1.53 0.07 -1.60 2.57
-3.84 0.07 -3.91 15.29
0.50 0.07 0.43 0.18
0.67 0.07 0.60 0.36
-0.49 0.07 -0.56 0.31
0.60 0.07 0.53 0.28
1.63 0.07 1.56 2.42
1.97 0.07 1.90 3.60
0.35 0.07 0.28 0.08
1.28 0.07 1.21 1.47
-1.61 0.07 -1.68 2.81
0.44 0.07 0.37 0.14
-0.61 0.07 -0.68 0.46
0.80 0.07 0.73 0.54
0.29 0.07 0.22 0.05
-2.54 0.07 -2.61 6.79
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-0.25 0.07 -0.32 0.10
-0.39 0.07 -0.46 0.21
-2.02 0.07 -2.09 4.38
1.31 0.07 1.24 1.53
-0.07 0.07 -0.14 0.02
0.52 0.07 0.45 0.20
-1.18 0.07 -1.25 1.57
-1.80 0.07 -1.87 3.51
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-1.81 0.07 -1.88 3.53
INTERPRETATION:
The above table shows return & risk associated with the price
movement of TCS for a month of May, June, July . It has an average return of
0.07 that is 7% and risk is 1.49.
FINDINGS:
1. We can state that Infosys & TCS has good returns, where as other
month of May, June, July . It has an average return of -0.05 that is -5%.
3. The risk associated with the price movement of Tech Mahindra s 1.82 .
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4. The return associated with the price movement of HCL Technologies for
a month of May, June, July 2021. It has an average return of -0.19 that is
-19% .
5. The risk associated with the price movement of HCL is 1.51.
6. The return associated with the price movement of Infosys for a month of
May, June, July 2021. It has an average return of 0.20 that is 20%.
7. The risk associated with the price movement of Infosys is 1.38 .
8. The return associated with the price movement of Wipro for a month of
May, June, July 2021. It has an average return of -0.02 that is -2% .
9. The risk associated with the price movement of Wipro is 1.24.
10. The return associated with the price movement of TCS for a month of
May, June, July 2021. It has an average return of 0.07 that is 7%.
11. The risk associated with the price movement of TCS is 1.49.
12. The daily mean return and monthly mean return of all the selected
and MPHASIS and MPHASIS has the highest risk element. As per
coefficient of variation TCS and TECHMAHINDRA (daily prices) has
the lowest risk per unit of return and TECH MAHINDRA(monthly
prices), MPHASIS have the highest risk per unit of return.
15. The correlation coefficient between the daily and monthly return of
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16. INFOSYS has the lowest systematic risk (beta) and MPHASIS has
highest systematic risk. TCS has the lowest Alpha value and ORACLE
has highest Alpha.
SUGGESTIONS:
✓ To have a higher return, the investor should be able to accept the fact that
he has to be faced with greater risk.
✓ Though high risk leads to high returns, there may be certain cases where
more returns cannot be generated. This may be due to volatility of the
market or some other factors.
✓ If an investor wants to take risk he can invest in Infosys because reason is
the risk is more and at the same time, it is yielding high returns.
✓ Understanding and measuring return and risk in fundamental to the
investment process and increases an awareness of the investment
problem.
✓ Infosys & TCS has good returns, where as other companies showing
negative returns. The risks associated with these companies are very high.
✓ The reverse will be the case if the investor is risk averse. That means a
risk averse investor invests only in those securities which are having
minimal risk and he is satisfied with the normal returns. Here, in the
study, if an investor is risk averse person, then he will be interested to
invest in TCS & Infosys.
✓ In some cases, there will be investors who are in a position to face
moderate risk. Such kind of people would like to invest in Axis.
✓ IT sector achieves the highest continuous output. Investing in the IT
sector offers a high return for long-term investments. Hence, it is
suggested that long-term investments in this sector would bring the
maximum return.
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✓ It is recommended to shareholders that their investment horizon is not
geared towards a long-term investment horizon, but rather depends on
their goals and the type of investment opportunity. Instead of making
wrong investment decisions, shareholders are encouraged to seek the help
of a financial planner.
✓ It is recommended that you avoid investing in the final movement and
plan the investment at the beginning of the year.
✓ The returns of various investments are now based on the market scenario,
so it is advisable for shareholders who continue to be aware of new
guidelines and to improve condition changes, they need to know not only
the investment channels they have invested in, but also the general
investment routes so that they can make the diversification necessary to
keep your portfolio profitable.
✓ Unit holders are advised to invest in suitable speculation avenue which is
appropriate for them while making investment.
✓ Understanding and measuring return and risk in fundamental to the
investment process and increases an awareness of the investment
problem.
✓ To have a higher return, the investor should be able to accept the fact that
he has to be faced with greater risk.
✓ Though high risk leads to high returns, there may be certain cases where
more returns cannot be generated. This may be due to volatility of the
market or some other factors.
✓ If an investor wants to take risk he can invest in BIOCON because reason
is the risk is more and at the same time, it is yielding high returns.
✓ The reverse will be the case if the investor is risk aversor. That means a
risk adverse investor invests only in those securities which are having
minimal risk and he is satisfied with the normal returns. Here, in the
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study, if an investor is risk adverse person, then he will be interested to
invest in Cipla.
✓ In some cases, there will be investors who are in a position to face
moderate risk. Such kind of people would like to invest in Lupin.
Ⅴ. SUMMARY& CONCLUSION :
The goal of maximizing returns can only be pursued at the expense of
risk inclusion. When selecting the company to invest in, the investor must
consider both the potential return and the associated risk. Empirical
evidence shows that there is generally a high correlation between risk and
risk. In the recent past the market has reached great heights due to
business expansion and especially globalization, and the higher
proportion of FDI has a direct impact on the demand and supply of a
company's shares from peaking. With the market boom, there are many
shareholders willing to take more risks. The financial sector is booming
and the need for risk and return analysis is growing. Due to the very
complicated behaviour of the stock market, it has become mandatory to
manage the portfolio in order to reduce risk and maximize returns.
Requirements, the portfolio should be developed and reviewed regularly.
The analysis of the test of the relationship between risk and return in
stocks shows that all the different risk variables considered in the study
confirm the effectiveness of the risk and return compensation in stocks.
Correlation of stock market performance and average return over the
study period. It also discusses the relationship between the systematic risk
and return of stocks. Any rational investor, before investing his or her
investible wealth in the stock, analyses the risk associated with the
particular stock. The actual return he receives from a stock may vary from
his expected return and the risk is expressed in terms of variability of
return. Investors in general would like to analyze the risk helps him to
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plan his portfolio in such a manner so as to minimize the risk associated
with the investment. The study equity analysis of pharmaceutical sector
started with the objectives specifications, to study the detailed analysis of
Pharma industry this is gearing towards international standards To
analyze the various risks and returns patterns in shares From the
calculations in the study it can beconcluded that the banking sector in the
best sector for the investment with minimum risk and maximum return,
every individual can do this simple calculations to understand the risk and
return involved in the each securities. Any rational investor, before
investing his or her investible wealth in the stock, analyses the risk
associated with the particular stock. The actual return he receives from a
stock may vary from his expected return and the risk is expressed in
terms of variability of return. Investors in general would like to analyze
the risk helps him to plan his portfolio in such a manner so as to minimize
the risk associated with the investment.
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WEBSITES:
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