New Jersey CD 03 Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Joe Q4 From the following list of choices, which issue
Biden’s job performance? is most important to you: jobs and the
economy, healthcare, education, stopping gun
Approve .......................................................... 85%
violence, reproductive rights, protecting
Disapprove ..................................................... 7% democracy, or something else?
Not sure .......................................................... 8% Jobs and the economy ................................... 14%
Q2 In June there will be a primary election in New Healthcare ...................................................... 6%
Jersey for Congress and other important
offices. Will you be voting in the Democratic Education........................................................ 2%
primary or the Republican primary, or will you Stopping gun violence .................................... 11%
not be voting in the primary election?
Reproductive rights......................................... 11%
The Democratic primary .................................100%
Protecting democracy ..................................... 48%
The Republican primary.................................. 0%
Something else ............................................... 5%
Won’t be voting in the primary election........... 0%
Not sure .......................................................... 3%
Q3 The Democratic candidates for Congress in
your district are Joe Cohn, Herb Conaway, Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
Carol Murphy, Brian Schkeeper, and Sarah of Joe Cohn?
Schoengood. If the primary election was today, Favorable........................................................ 11%
who would you vote for?
Unfavorable .................................................... 4%
Joe Cohn ........................................................ 3%
Not sure .......................................................... 85%
Herb Conaway ................................................ 25%
Carol Murphy .................................................. 11%
Brian Schkeeper ............................................. 2%
Sarah Schoengood ......................................... 8%
Not sure .......................................................... 51%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q11 If you are Hispanic or Latino, press 1. If white,
of Herb Conaway? press 2. If Asian, press 3. If African-American,
press 4. If other, press 5.
Favorable........................................................ 34%
Hispanic or Latino ........................................... 7%
Unfavorable .................................................... 4%
White .............................................................. 60%
Not sure .......................................................... 62%
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Asian............................................................... 3%
of Carol Murphy? African-American ............................................ 23%
Favorable........................................................ 25% Other............................................................... 6%
Unfavorable .................................................... 9% Q12 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,
press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
Not sure .......................................................... 66%
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion 18 to 45........................................................... 21%
of Brian Schkeeper? 46 to 65........................................................... 40%
Favorable........................................................ 6% Older than 65 .................................................. 39%
Unfavorable .................................................... 4% Q13 What is the highest level of education you have
received: high school graduate or less, some
Not sure .......................................................... 90%
college but did not finish, 2-year college
Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion degree, 4-year college degree, or post-
of Sarah Schoengood? graduate degree?
Favorable........................................................ 10% High school graduate or less .......................... 20%
Unfavorable .................................................... 3% Some college but did not finish....................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 87% 2-year college degree ..................................... 8%
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
4-year college degree ..................................... 27%
If you are gender non-binary, press 3.
Post-graduate degree ..................................... 21%
Woman ........................................................... 56%
Q14 Mode
Man................................................................. 42%
Landline .......................................................... 37%
Gender non-binary.......................................... 2%
Text ................................................................. 63%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Biden Approval
Approve 85% 84% 85% 100%
Disapprove 7% 5% 11% -
Not sure 8% 11% 4% -

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Democratic
Congressional Vote
Joe Cohn 3% 2% 5% -
Herb Conaway 25% 26% 23% 41%
Carol Murphy 11% 10% 12% 16%
Brian Schkeeper 2% 2% 1% -
Sarah Schoengood 8% 10% 5% 20%
Not sure 51% 50% 54% 23%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Most Important Issue
Jobs and the 14% 11% 19% -
economy
Healthcare 6% 5% 6% 8%
Education 2% 2% 3% -
Stopping gun violence 11% 15% 6% -

Reproductive rights 11% 13% 8% 11%

Protecting democracy 48% 46% 50% 49%
Something else 5% 5% 5% 32%
Not sure 3% 3% 3% -

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Cohn Favorability
Favorable 11% 9% 14% -
Unfavorable 4% 3% 6% 14%
Not sure 85% 88% 80% 86%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Conaway Favorability
Favorable 34% 35% 32% 60%
Unfavorable 4% 3% 6% -
Not sure 62% 62% 63% 40%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Murphy Favorability
Favorable 25% 26% 23% 22%
Unfavorable 9% 8% 11% 14%
Not sure 66% 67% 65% 64%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Schkeeper
Favorability
Favorable 6% 6% 6% 15%
Unfavorable 4% 3% 5% 14%
Not sure 90% 91% 89% 72%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Schoengood
Favorability
Favorable 10% 10% 10% -
Unfavorable 3% 1% 6% 14%
Not sure 87% 89% 84% 86%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Biden Approval
Approve 85% 65% 90% 50% 83% 76%
Disapprove 7% 31% 4% 13% 7% 12%
Not sure 8% 4% 6% 37% 10% 12%

Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Democratic
Congressional Vote
Joe Cohn 3% 4% 3% - 4% 5%
Herb Conaway 25% 30% 23% - 31% 36%
Carol Murphy 11% 11% 11% 3% 14% 8%
Brian Schkeeper 2% - 2% - 2% -
Sarah Schoengood 8% 2% 8% 15% 10% 2%
Not sure 51% 52% 54% 82% 40% 50%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Most Important Issue
Jobs and the 14% 11% 11% 44% 22% 12%
economy
Healthcare 6% - 5% - 11% 7%
Education 2% 7% 2% - - 5%
Stopping gun violence 11% 24% 9% - 13% 12%

Reproductive rights 11% - 14% 11% 3% 18%

Protecting democracy 48% 33% 55% 13% 45% 27%
Something else 5% 20% 2% 32% 3% 20%
Not sure 3% 6% 2% - 4% -

Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Cohn Favorability
Favorable 11% 4% 7% 11% 24% 9%
Unfavorable 4% - 5% - 3% 10%
Not sure 85% 96% 87% 89% 73% 81%

Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Conaway Favorability
Favorable 34% 48% 31% 21% 40% 36%
Unfavorable 4% 5% 3% - 10% 5%
Not sure 62% 47% 67% 79% 51% 60%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Murphy Favorability
Favorable 25% 25% 23% 21% 34% 10%
Unfavorable 9% 11% 9% - 7% 16%
Not sure 66% 64% 68% 79% 58% 74%

Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Schkeeper
Favorability
Favorable 6% - 5% 21% 12% 2%
Unfavorable 4% 4% 3% - 6% 12%
Not sure 90% 96% 92% 79% 82% 86%

Race
Hispanic African-
Base or Latino White Asian American Other
Schoengood
Favorability
Favorable 10% 2% 12% 11% 7% 4%
Unfavorable 3% 10% 2% - 4% 12%
Not sure 87% 88% 86% 89% 89% 84%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Biden Approval
Approve 85% 73% 87% 88%
Disapprove 7% 12% 5% 7%
Not sure 8% 15% 8% 5%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Democratic
Congressional Vote
Joe Cohn 3% - 4% 4%
Herb Conaway 25% 18% 25% 30%
Carol Murphy 11% 11% 11% 11%
Brian Schkeeper 2% 5% - 1%
Sarah Schoengood 8% 12% 4% 10%
Not sure 51% 55% 56% 44%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Most Important Issue
Jobs and the 14% 34% 14% 4%
economy
Healthcare 6% 5% 6% 5%
Education 2% 5% 1% 2%
Stopping gun violence 11% - 11% 17%

Reproductive rights 11% 12% 14% 7%

Protecting democracy 48% 34% 46% 58%
Something else 5% 9% 5% 4%
Not sure 3% 2% 2% 3%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Cohn Favorability
Favorable 11% - 16% 12%
Unfavorable 4% 4% 6% 2%
Not sure 85% 96% 78% 86%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Conaway Favorability
Favorable 34% 26% 31% 42%
Unfavorable 4% 2% 8% 1%
Not sure 62% 73% 61% 57%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Murphy Favorability
Favorable 25% 23% 28% 22%
Unfavorable 9% 12% 8% 9%
Not sure 66% 65% 64% 69%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Schkeeper
Favorability
Favorable 6% 4% 8% 6%
Unfavorable 4% 5% 5% 3%
Not sure 90% 91% 88% 91%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Schoengood
Favorability
Favorable 10% 7% 9% 12%
Unfavorable 3% 3% 5% 2%
Not sure 87% 90% 86% 86%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Biden Approval
Approve 85% 74% 87% 96% 85% 87%
Disapprove 7% 7% 8% 4% 8% 7%
Not sure 8% 19% 5% - 7% 6%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Democratic
Congressional Vote
Joe Cohn 3% 5% 3% - 3% 2%
Herb Conaway 25% 20% 21% 30% 28% 29%
Carol Murphy 11% 8% 18% 12% 9% 8%
Brian Schkeeper 2% 2% 2% - 2% 0%
Sarah Schoengood 8% 11% 11% 14% 4% 5%
Not sure 51% 54% 44% 44% 53% 56%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Most Important Issue
Jobs and the 14% 19% 16% 17% 9% 13%
economy
Healthcare 6% 11% 5% 6% 4% 4%
Education 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4%
Stopping gun violence 11% 22% 9% 8% 9% 7%

Reproductive rights 11% 8% 17% 8% 12% 6%

Protecting democracy 48% 34% 46% 45% 52% 60%
Something else 5% 3% 4% 7% 9% 6%
Not sure 3% 2% 3% 6% 2% 1%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Cohn Favorability
Favorable 11% 18% 9% 5% 11% 10%
Unfavorable 4% 7% 4% 2% 2% 5%
Not sure 85% 74% 87% 93% 87% 85%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Conaway Favorability
Favorable 34% 24% 35% 39% 34% 40%
Unfavorable 4% 7% 3% 6% 3% 4%
Not sure 62% 69% 62% 56% 63% 56%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Murphy Favorability
Favorable 25% 26% 29% 19% 24% 23%
Unfavorable 9% 10% 2% 13% 9% 15%
Not sure 66% 64% 69% 68% 67% 63%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Schkeeper
Favorability
Favorable 6% 3% 10% 6% 6% 6%
Unfavorable 4% 3% 3% 4% 2% 7%
Not sure 90% 94% 87% 90% 92% 87%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Schoengood
Favorability
Favorable 10% 5% 11% 14% 9% 10%
Unfavorable 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 5%
Not sure 87% 92% 87% 82% 87% 85%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Mode
Base Landline Text
Biden Approval
Approve 85% 88% 82%
Disapprove 7% 7% 7%
Not sure 8% 5% 10%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Democratic
Congressional Vote
Joe Cohn 3% 3% 3%
Herb Conaway 25% 35% 20%
Carol Murphy 11% 10% 11%
Brian Schkeeper 2% 1% 2%
Sarah Schoengood 8% 15% 4%
Not sure 51% 36% 60%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Mode
Base Landline Text
Most Important Issue
Jobs and the 14% 2% 21%
economy
Healthcare 6% 2% 7%
Education 2% 1% 3%
Stopping gun violence 11% 16% 8%

Reproductive rights 11% 8% 12%

Protecting democracy 48% 62% 41%
Something else 5% 6% 5%
Not sure 3% 2% 3%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Cohn Favorability
Favorable 11% 13% 10%
Unfavorable 4% 7% 3%
Not sure 85% 80% 87%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Conaway Favorability
Favorable 34% 44% 29%
Unfavorable 4% 3% 5%
Not sure 62% 53% 66%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters
 Mode
Base Landline Text
Murphy Favorability
Favorable 25% 26% 24%
Unfavorable 9% 13% 7%
Not sure 66% 61% 69%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Schkeeper
Favorability
Favorable 6% 7% 6%
Unfavorable 4% 4% 4%
Not sure 90% 89% 90%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Schoengood
Favorability
Favorable 10% 13% 8%
Unfavorable 3% 4% 3%
Not sure 87% 83% 89%

April 26-27, 2024 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters