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James N. Furze
Kelly Swing
Anil K. Gupta
Richard H. McClatchey
Darren M. Reynolds
Editors

Mathematical
Advances Towards
Sustainable
Environmental
Systems
Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable
Environmental Systems
James N. Furze • Kelly Swing • Anil K. Gupta
Richard H. McClatchey • Darren M. Reynolds
Editors

Mathematical Advances
Towards Sustainable
Environmental Systems
Editors
James N. Furze Kelly Swing
Faculty of Environment and Technology Founding Director, Tiputini
University of the West of England Biodiversity Station
Bristol, UK College of Biological and Environmental
Sciences
Anil K. Gupta University of San Francisco de Quito
Indian Institute of Management Quito, Ecuador
Coordinator, Society for Research and
Initiatives for Sustainable Technologies Richard H. McClatchey
and Institutions Centre for Complex Cooperative Systems
Ahmedabad, Gujarat University of the West of England
India Bristol, UK

Darren M. Reynolds
Centre for Research in Biosciences
University of the West of England
Bristol, UK

ISBN 978-3-319-43900-6 ISBN 978-3-319-43901-3 (eBook)


DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-43901-3

Library of Congress Control Number: 2016955374

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2017


This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of
the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations,
recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission
or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or
dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this
publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt
from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this
book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the
authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained
herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made.

Printed on acid-free paper

This Springer imprint is published by Springer Nature


The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
This volume is dedicated. . .
To all who have contributed in the past, to
those who see and are yet to see the beauty we
rely on and can collectively renew—
environmental systems hold bounty and
sustenance for us all
(James N. Furze)
To all who depend upon biodiversity, whether
they know it or not—with hopes of acting
before it’s too late
(Kelly Swing)
To all those creative, compassionate, and
collaborative communities whose coping
strategies with climatic risk require models
that deal with their vulnerability, and yet
don’t underestimate their resourcefulness in a
given socio-ecological and institutional
context
(Anil K. Gupta)
To a future that binds us all
(Darren M. Reynolds)
To all who are concerned by, and driven to
help guarantee, the sustainability of our
wonderful worldwide ecosystem
(Richard H. McClatchey)
Foreword: The Vocabulary of Nature

Nature expresses herself through a broad array of options. Her immense vocabulary
includes the majesty of rugged snow-capped mountain ranges, the terrifying power
of tornados, the profound serenity of a golden sunset along the ocean’s shore, or the
countless species, animal and vegetable, great and small, assigned to every bit of
land and sea imaginable. It is precisely this vocabulary that we wish to catalog,
categorize, understand, exploit, and manage on a long-term basis. Her tremendous
richness is precisely what presents the challenge, the opportunity, and the duty we
have as the thinking agents of Earth.
As a writer hitches words together, one after another, to masterfully construct a
story, so nature weaves species, along with their terrestrial and aquatic arenas into a
tapestry of infinite functionality. When an author searches for just the right word,
there exists only one real option due to its particular meaning, its sound, its history,
and its connotations. Nature has likewise produced combinations of species
meshing poetically together to compose the wondrous and seamless ecosystems
that make our planet live and breathe.
And now, humankind is beset upon the task of eradicating the vocabulary of
Nature herself by extinguishing species upon species and even entire panoramas
from arctic extremes to the expanses of the sea, from the cloud forests of the
cordilleras and the wettest of lowland rainforests to the driest of deserts, selfish,
oblivious, and merciless in our advance. All for some “greater good,” we push
ahead never understanding that Nature’s poetry can never be surpassed, and cannot
be sustained without all her words, all the right words, all the integral elements of
the fabric of life. Without all the fibers in their proper places, the tapestry becomes
threadbare and begins to fall into tatters, becoming irreparable even for the most
capable weaver, the last remnants serving essentially no function whatsoever.
Imagine the cruel punishment for the sculptor, the removal of an implement
from his studio every day until left with no capacity to go on uncovering the
spectacle within the material before him. Imagine eliminating pigmented oils
from the painter’s palette along with brushes and trowels to apply them. What
could the carpenter accomplish if each day we took another tool from his

vii
viii Foreword: The Vocabulary of Nature

workbench—hammer and saw, drill, chisel, and plane? And as to the novelist, the
removal of a word from her treasure chest of emotive terms each day might
eventually still her pen altogether. Such losses would not only affect the creators,
but all those who might have appreciated their wonderful ideas as they are left
intangible. Fortunately, true creativity, nevertheless, will ultimately triumph over
such an onslaught. In spite of all the challenges, the driven artist or artisan will
devise a way to overcome adversity; history confirms that evolution can also begin
anew after a cataclysm, albeit with very different results.
Every culture has invented distinct words to represent each kind of place and
resource, every sort of plant and animal. When we don’t have a word of our own,
usually because the phenomenon or species doesn’t exist in places where people
speak our language, we borrow the names from other tongues, because the standard
human perspective is that every single thing simply must have a unique name. Part
of basic human nature is the utilitarian desire to both quantify and qualify the things
around us. Across the globe, in every ethnicity, we want a word, or combination of
words, to match each and every thing we see, including every species. As an
illustration, a basic repertoire of common names makes up an important portion
of the first words learned by all children everywhere. And to avoid being confused
by multiple common names of various origins, science has stepped in to apply a
standard, universal name to every recognizable sort of organism, in the form of a
genus combined with a qualifying specific epithet.
As species are driven to extinction, their word counterparts will be left orphans
without any sense to their existence, or with only a perverse meaning parallel to
current usage of “dodo,” a species deemed too stupid to be allowed to share the
planet with us any longer by a few myopic individuals blinded by hunger. We must
rise above our overwhelming capacity to justify almost any loss or trade-off given
momentary desperation situations. If we are to survive, there is no choice but to put
our brains to earnestly resolving unsustainable scenarios.
How many organisms live in places where English isn’t spoken? All those have
names in other languages that we borrow to be able to talk or write about them. The
enrichment of languages through incorporation from other languages is immense
and enlightening. Just think of the marvelous examples like gorilla, narwhal and
boomslang, chimpanzee, aye-aye and orang, panda, puma and piranha, take
matamata, koala and kangaroo, condor, anaconda and caribou, wombat,
wobbegong and wahoo. And there are so many more that leave us with no choice
but to make use of their scientific names as common names. Boa constrictor and
Tyrannosaurus rex are two of the few uttered every day in their complete forms. But
it’s much more typical to use the genus name alone; hardly anyone notices where
they came from. How about all those ornamental plants and flowers? Geranium and
chrysanthemum, ficus and philodendron, dieffenbachia and rhododendron just to
name a few. And among the animals, we must consider rhinoceros and octopus, and
also hippopotamus; contemplate alligator and python, iguana as well as mastodon
never overlooking archaeopteryx and stegosaurus, triceratops, and brontosaurus!
The richness of language depends upon the richness of our surroundings—
always has, always will. How many words exist in the English language?
Foreword: The Vocabulary of Nature ix

What proportion of them do we use on a regular basis? Or ever? Do we have to use


them frequently for them to have value? How many do we utilize in a lifetime?
Does their disuse imply they’re useless? If we don’t use them, does that mean
they’re dispensable? If they have limited usage, say, by one peculiar erudite, does
that indicate some potential for isolation or even discrimination or exclusion? In
such a case, would we expect social pressure to avoid them? If such words
disappear, would anyone notice or care?
How many languages exist? And how many species exist? How many species
are useful? How many species are directly useful on a daily basis? What do we
mean by “useful”? Who decides? Words come and go as far as popular usage is
concerned, but they don’t simply disappear. They continue to exist in dictionaries
and in past publications and recordings no matter their most recent occurrences.
And they can instantly be retrieved at any moment. But that cannot happen for
species if every individual has been pushed off its proper habitat or immersed in
sealed jars of embalming fluid on the dusty shelves of a museum. Words don’t
multiply when we ignore them, but populations of organisms, if they have sufficient
numbers, can recover from neglect, abuse, or overuse and increase on their own,
given the chance.
Can we only understand our planet and its biota, and consequently manage its
resources, by cataloging all its actors and amassing information about their func-
tioning? How much information is necessary for us to be able to effectively apply
modelling strategies so that a rational balance between our wants and needs and the
requirements for a planet in equilibrium may be struck?
“Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can
be counted.” Often attributed to Albert Einstein but actually the words of William
Bruce Cameron.
The more species and habitats we lose, the more I am left without words.

Tiputini Biodiversity Station, Yasunı́, Kelly Swing


UNESCO Biosphere Reserve
Quito, Ecuador
6 April 2016
Preface: From the Coordinating Editor

This volume focuses on diverse systems and sustainability. Included are component
subjects of relevance with coverage of frontier research from subject specialists in
13 different areas. Following a coauthored introduction to establish balance and
context, indication of the current state of research in each of the chapters will be
marked. The volume unites multiple subject areas within sustainability, enabling
the techniques applied in each chapter to be applied to other chapter areas in future
research, giving a synergistic function for knowledge advancement, interdisciplin-
ary cooperation, policy formation/governance, and subsequent areas.
The book is not of particular political focus; it is the scientific basis on which we
can protect and enhance environmental sustainability within Earth Systems, faced
with changes and pressures imposed by our expansive needs.
The target audience includes the “layman,” graduate, postgraduate, doctoral, and
postdoctoral researchers. Benefits are for national organizational structures, policy
formation teams, and regional management bodies as well as the general public.
This is a maturely written volume for the same audience.
• Each chapter describes frontier research which may be applied in different
locations and groups as well as those that the authors quote.
• Together the chapters explain how we may proceed and progress in the subject
disciplines with the use of systematic approaches.
• Each chapter provides a unique perspective of leading international authors,
giving advancement and enrichment of knowledge and understanding of sus-
tainability within diverse systems, while managing subject knowledge, devel-
opment, and application for the benefit of multiple, expansive populations.
This book is an edited volume; the main purpose of the coordinating and other
editors’ work has been to locate and bring together the subject specialists, many of
whom are editors and journal founders in their own disciplines.

xi
xii Preface: From the Coordinating Editor

Unique selling points of the volume are as follows:


• The volume gives pertinent mention of key areas which should be employed for
generation of subject synergies, previously unpublished.
• The range of subjects considered has not been included in one complete volume
before.
• Cooperation between high-standing authors across the range of subjects covered
has value for policy makers and the general public, enhancing our progress
within developmental pressures.
The book has a strong multidisciplinary nature at its core. This holds a wide
range of interest to both generalist readers and to future subject specialists in
information, mathematics, biology, physics, and chemistry as well as readers of
the arts, history and political sciences. Upon reading the chapters together, the
expressions of hope offered by each should allow great expansion in both separate
chapters and the whole subject of sustainability/complex thinking. As knowledge
expands in more descriptive chapters and contracts in more scientific chapters, great
synergy may result; in mathematical thinking, the residual error between the
approaches of each chapter offers a “functional resonance” which enables synergy
beyond the volume. This statement becomes philosophical in terms of thinking and
concrete knowledge advancement which we all keep in mind through modelling
and societies; to create the abstract, one must have encountered the concrete and
become able to ignore parts of it on purpose, and reaching rather than lessoning the
very presentation of the concrete. What and if we should ignore of course is
determined by our own individual, collective visions and perspectives of
sustainability.
In addition to the 27 leading authors across 10 countries (including the United
Kingdom, Belgium, Italy, Iran, Iraq, Egypt, India, China, Canada, and Ecuador),
the editorial team was built of 5 leading members firmly uniting Eastern and
Western ideologies in the name of knowledge advancement and sustainability for
both natural and socioeconomic systems. We extend our gratitude to the publishers
and authors who allowed the use of some figures/material in the volume, many
reviewers (in additional countries including some in universities in Japan, Switzer-
land, Spain, Germany, Morocco, and Greece), and organizational units (including
members of the Food and Agricultural Organization; United Nations Development
Program and United Nations Environment Program) who gave support and assisted
in the preparation of the volume. Finally, I appreciate all the authors and editors
who sacrificed their time and effort to write the book.
The coordination of a sustainability effort represents a lifelong journey for all of
us. It is hoped that this volume will represent a marker in the journey of the
advancement of mathematics and individual research areas which will be followed
Preface: From the Coordinating Editor xiii

by conference activities, journal platforms, and further editions of this volume as


well as the use of increasingly diverse formats to enable our knowledge and ability
to manage systems collectively to expand.

Bristol, UK James N. Furze, Coordinating Editor

Bristol, UK James N. Furze


Quito, Ecuador Kelly Swing
Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India Anil K. Gupta
Bristol, UK Richard H. McClatchey
Bristol, UK Darren M. Reynolds
17 May 2016
Contents

1 Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable Environmental


Systems: Context and Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
S.M. Raafat and K. Swing
2 Biological Modelling for Sustainable Ecosystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
J.N. Furze, Q. Zhu, J. Hill, and F. Qiao
3 On the Dynamics of the Deployment of Renewable
Energy Production Capacities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
R. Fonteneau and D. Ernst
4 Water System Modelling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
M.H. Bazrkar, J.F. Adamowski, and S. Eslamian
5 Introduction to Biodiversity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89
K.Swing
6 Challenges to Conservation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109
K.Swing
7 Biogeochemistry in the Scales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129
S.A.F. Bonnett, P.J. Maxfield, A.A. Hill, and M.D.F. Ellwood
8 Plant Metabolites Expression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
H.A. Hashem and R.A. Hassanein
9 Tools from Biodiversity: Wild Nutraceutical Plants . . . . . . . . . . . . 181
S. Kumar and P.K. Jena
10 The Effect of Climate Change on Watershed Water Balance . . . . . 215
M.J. Zareian, S. Eslamian, A. Gohari, and J.F. Adamowski
11 Modelling Challenges for Climate and Community Resilient
Socioecological Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239
A. Dey, Anil K. Gupta, and G. Singh

xv
xvi Contents

12 Introduction to Robotics-Mathematical Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261


S.M. Raafat and F.A. Raheem
13 Intelligent and Robust Path Planning and Control
of Robotic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
S.M. Raafat and F.A. Raheem
14 Prospects for Sustainability in Human–Environment Patterns:
Dynamic Management of Common Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319
M. De Marchi, B. Sengar, and J.N. Furze
Contributors

J.F. Adamowski Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences,


Department of Bioresource Engineering, McGill University, Ste Anne de Bellevue,
QC, Canada
M.H. Bazrkar Department of Water Engineering, Isfahan University of Technol-
ogy, Isfahan, Iran
S.A.F. Bonnett Department of Applied Sciences, University of the West of
England, Bristol, UK
A. Dey Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India
M.D.F. Ellwood Department of Applied Sciences, University of the West of
England, Bristol, UK
D. Ernst Systems and Modeling Research Unit, University of Liège, Institute
Montefiore (B28, P32) Grande Traverse, Liège, Belgium
S. Eslamian Department of Water Engineering, Isfahan University of Technol-
ogy, Isfahan, Iran
R. Fontenau Systems and Modeling Research Unit, University of Liège, Institute
Montefiore (B28, P32) Grande Traverse, Liège, Belgium
James N. Furze Faculty of Environment and Technology, University of the West
of England, Bristol, UK
A. Gohari Department of Water Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology,
Isfahan, Iran
Anil K. Gupta Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India
Society for Research and Initiatives for Sustainable Technologies and Institutions,
Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India

xvii
xviii Contributors

H.A. Hashem Faculty of Science, Botany Department, Ain Shams University,


Cairo, Egypt
R.A. Hassanein Faculty of Science, Botany Department, Ain Shams University,
Cairo, Egypt
A.A. Hill Department of Applied Sciences, University of the West of England,
Bristol, UK
J. Hill Faculty of Environment and Technology, University of the West of
England, Bristol, UK
P.J. Jena Department of Botany, Ravenshaw University, Cuttack, Odisha, India
S. Kumar Department of Botany, Ravenshaw University, Cuttack, Odisha, India
M. De Marchi Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural
Engineering, University of Padova, Padova, Italy
P.J. Maxfield Department of Applied Sciences, University of the West of
England, Bristol, UK
F. Qiao Faculty of Information and Control Engineering, Shenyang JianZhu
University (SJZU), Shenyang, Liaoning, China
S.M. Raafat Automation and Robotics Research Unit, Control and System
Engineering Department, University of Technology, Baghdad, Iraq
F.A. Raheem Automation and Robotics Research Unit, Control and System Engi-
neering Department, University of Technology, Baghdad, Iraq
B. Sengar Department of History and Ancient Indian Culture School of Social
Sciences, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad, India
Gurdeep Singh Vinoba Bhave University, Hazaribagh, Jharkhand, India
Kelly Swing Tiputini Biodiversity Station, College of Biological and Environ-
mental Sciences, University of San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
M.J. Zareian Department of Water Engineering, Isfahan University of Technol-
ogy, Isfahan, Iran
Q. Zhu Faculty of Environment and Technology, University of the West of
England, Bristol, UK
Chapter 1
Mathematical Advances Towards
Sustainable Environmental Systems:
Context and Perspectives

S.M. Raafat and Kelly Swing

Abstract This volume focuses on diverse systems/sustainability. Included are


component subjects of relevance with coverage of frontier research from subject
specialists in different areas. Following a co-authored introduction to establish balance
and context, indication of the current state of research in component chapters will be
marked. The volume unites multiple subject areas within sustainability, enabling the
techniques applied in each chapter to be applied to other chapter areas in future
research, giving a synergistic function for knowledge advancement, interdisciplinary
cooperation as well as policy formation/governance and subsequent areas.
Each of the chapters of this book provides description of frontier research which
may be applied in different locations and groups as well as those specifically
mentioned. Together the chapters give indication of how we may proceed to
advance related disciplines with use of systematic approaches. Each chapter pro-
vides a unique perspective of leading international authorities, encouraging
advancement and enrichment of knowledge and understanding of sustainability
within diverse systems, whilst managing subject knowledge, development and
application for the benefit of multiple, expansive populations.

Keywords Frontier research • Balance • Context • Multiple subjects • Synergistic


function • Cooperation • Policy formation • Governance • Knowledge enrichment •
Sustainability • Expansive populations
Learning to live sustainably on Earth is going to require enormous advances in our under-
standing of the natural world and our relationship with it. To acquire that understanding
progress in the mathematical sciences is Essential
(Rehmeyer 2011)

S.M. Raafat (*)


Automation and Robotics Research Unit, Control and System Engineering Department,
University of Technology, Baghdad, Iraq
e-mail: [email protected]
K. Swing
Founding Director, Tiputini Biodiversity Station, College of Biological and Environmental
Sciences, University of San Francisco de Quito, Quito, Ecuador
e-mail: [email protected]

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2017 1


J.N. Furze et al. (eds.), Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable
Environmental Systems, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-43901-3_1
2 S.M. Raafat and K. Swing

1.1 Introduction

Sustainability science is dedicated to understanding human–environment interac-


tions—patterns that play out over periods of decades to centuries and over signif-
icant expanses of space (Levin and Clark 2010).
In the face of global climate change and the ongoing mass extinction event, the
urgency for cataloguing, understanding and managing resources at the planetary
scale increases, thereby making the discovery and implementation of functional
solutions an ever greater priority.
Constructing this science of sustainability requires a multi-disciplinary method
that combines practical understanding with knowledge and proficiency deduced
from across the natural and social sciences, mathematics and computation, medi-
cine and engineering. Moreover, the developed research on sustainability affords a
magnificent challenge to mathematical disciplines and computer science in collab-
oration with natural, physical and social sciences (Levin and Clark 2010).
Sustainability issues are extremely complicated, demanding more sophisticated
scientific, mathematical and statistical tools than those traditionally available.
Biological systems, climate, water, renewable energy production capacities models,
for example, are extraordinarily complex. Created by scientists from many disci-
plines, and requiring unusually powerful supercomputers to run, these strategies
provide only crude and imprecise approximations of the true processes affecting
climate. They are, in fact, raising mathematical and statistical questions that have
never before been faced, and right now, there still remain tremendous research
demand to obtain suitable answers (Rehmeyer 2011).
Almost every sustainability challenge needs new mathematical tools. Economic
issues, which are deeply interlinked with sustainability issues, promote their own
mathematical and statistical challenges. The only approach to realise the real
impacts is to integrate economic models with mathematical models of climate,
energy, biodiversity, etc. a task that presents dramatic new challenges. Addition-
ally, with the increase in world population, we may have to revisit accepted
definitions of a healthy economy. Complex issues arise, including issues
concerning the carbon market, concepts of equity between nations and
intergenerational equity, etc. Addressing these issues requires new partnerships
between mathematical scientists and social scientists (Rehmeyer 2011).
Reaching the goal of a sustainability system is affected by generating new
knowledge about the current state of the system under study and by considering
all the influences of management and natural processes. This can be accomplished
by acquiring vast amounts of new information. To handle new data types, classifier
decision rules based on fuzzy logic, evidential reasoning and neural networks have
been developed or modified for local and/or remote sensing applications. Decisions
can be made either based on probabilistic rules or by using different mathematical
theory and logic (Franklin 2001).
It has been recognised that mathematical models are an essential method to establish
effective responses to critical situations like disease outbreaks (Rehmeyer 2011).
1 Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable Environmental Systems. . . 3

An Epidemiological mathematical model, for instance, could provide guidance


to help make more informed decisions. Specific attention is required to ensure that
solving interesting mathematical problems is useful for public health in the real
world. To deal with public health challenges, it is recommended that foster collab-
orations between mathematical scientists and researchers from the economic, social
and behavioural sciences be established. Agent-based models are one promising
approach. They create individuals inside the computer and model their movement
along with the movement of any pathogens they carry; still, there are limited
applications in this context (Levin and Clark 2010).
Sustainable Environmental Systems (SES) are complex and adaptive. In spite of
much study of such phenomena, however, we still have only the beginnings of an
understanding of the vulnerability and flexibility of SES. Research is needed to
understand—in both spatial scales and organisational levels—the impact of
advances in mathematics and modern technologies on such systems (Levin and
Clark 2010).
Many properties of SES can be adequately captured with conventional statistical
or system-dynamic models. But the complex dynamics, inter-sectoral and multi-
scale interactions, emergent properties and uncertainty that characterise many of
the SES most relevant to sustainability concerns have proven highly difficult to deal
with using such approaches. Advances in agent-based and network approaches to
the modelling of complex adaptive systems offer promise of doing better, as do
several approaches to the qualitative analysis of non-linear systems and the devel-
opment of interdisciplinary, multi-scale scenarios. Research in this field has accom-
plished some goals (Levin and Clark 2010).
Humans and highly developed robots are not necessarily competitors in terms of
sustainability. Indeed, it is an understanding of automisation in terms of the criteria
for sustainability—economic, ecological and social—that ultimately leads to a
significantly closer combination of humans and automisation systems. Conse-
quently, these considerations call for a new paradigm in automation technology,
i.e. one of human-centred automation. The objective of human-centred automation
is not to copy human capabilities but to assist and support them. Examples of such
human-oriented automation devices are cooperative robots, e.g. cobots, where
robots do not need to be programmed with any particular movement in advance.
The human worker controls the complex process, the robot supports him/her and at
the same time learns, i.e. memorises the process. With the human-centred automa-
tion approach, sustainability in production is maintained in several ways: econom-
ically by an improved adaptability of semi-automated systems to change production
processes, ecologically by a more long-term usability and energy efficiency of
human-centred systems, and socially by an improved integration of humans into
the production process and the possibility to avoid difficult and dangerous work
tasks (Krüger 2008).
An important application of sustainability in automation technology can be
found in the field of medical technology, where several successful examples already
exist. Robot-assisted systems for supporting humans in the household, in care or in
rehabilitation are still undergoing investigation (Krüger 2008).
4 S.M. Raafat and K. Swing

Industrial robotics and automation currently play a quantitative role in increas-


ing the productivity of human workers, which could actually have a destabilising
effect on economics. However, robots also make a qualitative contribution to
production. Sustainable productivity management does not, in principle, exclude
the use of robots. First, robots have skills such as strength, precision and sensing
often superior to those of humans. These skills facilitate the production of advan-
tageous outcomes and it would not make much sense to abandon such qualitative
benefits. Second, robots can be redesigned to exploit sustainable energy and
material resources. Third, new robotic system application models can be conceived
to fit in a human–robot corporation establishing a production unit, thereby making
use of the capabilities of both partners. Fourth, new applications of robotics can
appear, that support a sustainable economic model, like energy and resources
production, the food chain and recycling. However, the most useful applications
are still to emerge (Bugmann et al. 2011).

1.2 Chapter Outlines

This volume focuses on diverse systems/sustainability. Included are component


subjects of relevance with coverage of frontier research from subject specialists in
different areas. Following a co-authored introduction to establish balance and
context, indication of the current state of research in component chapters will be
marked. The volume unites multiple subject areas within sustainability, enabling
the techniques applied in each chapter to be applied to other chapter areas in future
research, giving a synergistic function for knowledge advancement, interdisciplin-
ary cooperation as well as policy formation/governance and subsequent areas.
Each of the chapters of this book provides description of frontier research which
may be applied in different locations and groups as well as those specifically
mentioned. Together the chapters give indication of how we may proceed to
advance related disciplines with use of systematic approaches. Each chapter pro-
vides a unique perspective of leading international authorities, encouraging
advancement and enrichment of knowledge and understanding of sustainability
within diverse systems, whilst managing subject knowledge, development and
application for the benefit of multiple, expansive populations.
Chapter 2 introduces dimensions in which authors consider biological diversity
of plant species (life history strategies, life forms and metabolic process).
Maintaining and monitoring current levels of diversity in these categories are
essential for understanding trophic systems. Diversity within the primary producing
level of trophic systems enables subsequent levels of trophic organisation to attain
stability and growth. Socio-economic consequences are relevant to sustainability
and stability of our populations.
Details of the modelling process are shared using computationally efficient
processes. Basic algorithmic structures, advanced mathematic dispersal of
populations and functional approximation are shown with reference to case studies
1 Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable Environmental Systems. . . 5

with contrasting levels of species richness. Alternative functions are considered in


vulnerable areas in order that the use of plants within those areas can be maximised.
Appropriate levels of protection status are recommended to national organisations
and governing bodies.
Mathematic methods/modelling generates tools within research providing us
with structures by which we can expand knowledge of related fields and systems,
allowing us to apply appropriate safeguarding of diversity and communities in the
face of developmental pressures.
About 80 % of world energy consumption is currently from non-renewable
origin. Chapter 3 addresses the problem of the “energy transition”, i.e. the switch
to an energy production system using renewable resources only. One of the main
challenges of this transition comes from the fact that switching to an energy system
that would not depend on non-renewable resources is a process that needs itself—at
least for the moment—to use non-renewable energy. The originality of this
approach is to consider the deployment of renewable energy production units as
an energy investment. This point of view is motivated by the fact that the Energy
Return Over Investment (EROI) parameters characterising the two main rising
renewable technologies—wind turbines and photovoltaic panels—are currently
too low to be viable. The transition is formalised into a discrete-time optimal
control problem constrained by a finite budget of non-renewable resources. The
objective is to maximise over a given time horizon (in the order of 50 years) the
level of renewable energy production while minimising the quantity of
non-renewable resources used during the transition phase. We show that this
problem can be reformulated as a reinforcement learning problem, opening the
doors to a large class of resolution techniques.
Modelling plays a key role in the simulation, planning and management of water
systems. Effective simulation allows for more sustainable decision making in water
resources management. There are many different types of water resources model-
ling approaches, each with its own advantages and disadvantages. Chapter 4 will
provide readers with a thorough overview of modelling approaches, as well as ways
to decide which type of model to use in a given situation.
Biodiversity has finally entered conversations among scientists and the populace at
large as a common topic. Chapter 5 brings to our attention high rates of species loss;
getting an idea of the wealth of species on our planet takes on an air of urgency. In
about 250 years of applying scientific names, we have managed to work through only a
fraction of what is believed to be out there. Part of human nature involves collecting
and categorising the things around us. Our primordial purpose can vary from simple
curiosity to economic interests. Only recently has biodiversity, in and of itself, come to
be regarded as a valuable resource. Undoubtedly, every species plays a role in nature
and as such, has potential to provide humankind rewards at some level.
Chapter 6 discusses the fact that management and maintenance of nature are
complicated because both nature and human nature are themselves quite complex.
While traditional explanations based on human population growth combined with
increasing resource demands offer some perspective on an ever worsening situa-
tion, they seem somewhat separated from root causes as well as potential solutions.
Unfortunately, we live in a time of wilful ignorance of scientific facts. For some
6 S.M. Raafat and K. Swing

inexplicable reason, certain sectors of society have taken to rejecting the teachings
of science as though they were nothing more than political rhetoric based on
opinions and popularity polls. We have literally taken a step back in time to such
pivotal moments as the ostracising of imminent figures such as Galileo and Coper-
nicus, purposely choosing to toss aside well-established facts because their conse-
quences imply the need for great expenditures. In earlier times, opposition mostly
came from religious factions, but now it comes from politicians and their powerful
self-interested business affiliates that will be impacted by transitions to different
technologies.
One simplified model frequently used to depict relationships of humans and our
world involves a triangle with the three corners, respectively, occupied by our
species (the exploiters), another specific species (the exploited) and its habitat (the
stage). Assuming that ecosystems were in some state of equilibrium before humans
so recently appeared on the scene, it becomes evident that our addition to this
geometric figure is precisely what has upset the balance. We know that humans
have been increasingly responsible for impacts on their surroundings for millennia.
We have repeatedly proven our capacity to modify nearly any habitat for our own
benefit and concomitantly to the detriment of nature.
Biogeochemical cycling (Chap. 7) is fundamental to Earth systems. Carbon and
nutrients are recycled primarily within ecosystems by the microbial processes of
decomposition and mineralisation, with decomposition being one of the world’s
most important ecosystem services. The stability of such ecosystem services is
being undermined by climate change, habitat loss and nitrogen loading.
Model systems are widely used for testing complex problems. However, accu-
rately parameterising models for predicting intricate real-world scenarios is highly
challenging. An effective solution is to use natural, controllable microcosms to
generate representative models. We will review current biogeochemical determin-
istic and probabilistic models, focusing primarily on microcosms. Primary areas of
interest will include ecophysiology, nutrient and enzyme stoichiometry, cycling of
carbon and nitrogen, and isotope partitioning using tracers and kinetic isotope
fractionations.
Having defined the biogeochemical parameters, we will review possible model-
ling approaches. The principle aim of Chap. 7 is to explore the potential
destabilisation of the cycles to environmental perturbations through instability
theory. By highlighting and predicting areas of unstable behaviour, we will show
how this can facilitate wider studies into the effects of global change and the fate of
natural ecosystems.
Case studies to be reviewed will include but not be restricted to conventional
carbon and nutrient cycling models such as DNDC, CENTURY and FAEWE.
Microbial-based models will be reviewed in the context of ecosystem function
owing to their sensitivity to environmental change and their control over critical
biogeochemical processes. Finally, we will examine and evaluate the use of oceanic
islands and epiphytes in tropical rainforests as example model systems. The ulti-
mate goal nonetheless is to accurately model the inputs and outputs of entire
ecosystems rather than as a series of individual interactions.
1 Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable Environmental Systems. . . 7

Chapter 8 considers a complete review of the recent research of plant metabolite


expression. It aims to illustrate the link between different elements in the metabo-
lism regulation process with special reference to the environmental factors affecting
metabolite expression in plants. This chapter covers both primary and secondary
metabolism in plants. The complexity of transcriptional regulation of secondary
metabolite biosynthesis including flavonoids, alkaloids and terpenoids will be
highlighted. Recent advances in mitochondrial metabolism control as the power
station of plant cells will be also summarised.
Plant metabolic engineering is an emerging discipline which promises to create
new opportunities in agriculture, environmental applications, production of
chemicals and even medicine. The key to improving the success rate of this
technology is the enhanced understanding of the systems that are subjected to
engineering, and this can be achieved by wide and comprehensive study of the
expression and over-expression of plant metabolites. Potential in this field is driven
by the diversity of physiological reactions within cellular and organismal biochem-
ical arenas as well as the overall diversity of life forms. Specific examples within
the Dioscorea family are discussed in Chap. 9, together with community and social
uses of the plants.
Chapter 10 discusses Climate change, referring to a statistically long-term shift
in the pattern (mean state and variability) of a regional or global climate. This
phenomenon is attributed directly or indirectly to human activities that have
resulted in an increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the global atmo-
sphere. Climate change is already having major effects on the physical environment
as well as societies. The aim of Chap. 10 is to investigate the effects of climate
change on the sustainability of water resources at the watershed scale.
Chapter 11 considers how resilience may be formed in climatic and community
terms and outlines the pertinent elements which must be considered in the mainte-
nance of a homeostatic system. The chapter highlights the strengths and weaknesses
of modelling approaches, outlines different dimensions of social systems and
indicates the consequences of the changing climate on socio-economics in terms
of the patterns of coping strategies.
Chapter 12 focuses on Robotics systems and how they play a crucial role in the
world; their presence and our dependence on them are progressively growing.
Qualitative benefits result from several of their inherent characters including
computing power. The application of robotics for sustainable development is an
exciting arena whose challenges may be met with assistance from scientific
research and industry. Chapter 12 brings together mathematical developments
in important fields of robotics: kinematics, dynamics, path planning, control
and vision. An introduction to the development of robotics in different areas of
applications (types of robots and applications) is provided. The kinematics of a
robot manipulator is briefly described. The formulation of dynamics for the manip-
ulator has been obtained based on Lagrange’s energy function. Linear Segments
with Parabolic Blends and Third-Order Polynomial Trajectory Planning have been
described in detail. Different classical control strategies are presented. Basic con-
cepts of Robot Vision are presented.
8 S.M. Raafat and K. Swing

Intelligent control has a great influence in improving the performance of robotic


systems. Similarly robust control proves to enhance the precision and accuracy of
positioning in robotic applications. Chapter 13 describes some powerful intelligent
and robust control methods for robots. The development of intelligent methods of path
planning and obstacle avoidance is illustrated in detail. An efficient decision-making
model for collective search behaviour for a swarm of robots in a risky environment is
also demonstrated. In addition, an intelligent variable structure control for a robot
manipulator has also been shown. Finally, discussion and further directions are given.
Chapter 14 acts as a summary for the volume and attempts to include emphasis
from all chapter areas whilst giving an indication of the prospects for sustainability
with our ‘dynamic management of common resources’. Models formed by policy
makers and sustainability scientists cooperatively produce tools with desired prac-
tical implications. Models presented in the volume are summarised, with existing
policy methods for resource management and Global perspective for resource
planning methods in context. Our holistic management vision for sustainability is
emphasised with diverse digital, practical and wholly pragmatic imperatives. Addi-
tionally authors give details of case studies in two contrasting yet highly vulnerable
areas and show how each area has different issues with similar priorities of land and
ecosystem management being in the best long-term interest of each system. The
two case studies, although complex may be given new hope through application and
more efficient use of models and methods covered in this volume. A European
example is further given to show how a complex demographic can be stabilised and
sustained together with the ecosystem with use of modelling approaches. Finally,
the authors concede that although sustainability offers many challenges, use of
dimensional and alternative perspectives presented in each chapter will result in
synergy which will advance our sustainability into the future.
Collaboration towards sustainable environmental systems must have key partic-
ipation from the communities of vulnerable ecosystems, by scientists and from
national and international governance bodies. We hope to see this impetus sustain
the World for many years to come.

References

Bugmann G, Siegel M, Burcin R (2011) A role for robotics in sustainable development? Proc. of
IEEE Africon ‘2011, 13–15 Sept., Livingstone, Zambia
Franklin SE (2001) Remote sensing for sustainable forest management. CRC, Boca Raton
Krüger J (2008) Sustainability of automated systems in production. Future. https://www.ipk.
fraunhofer.de/fileadmin/user_upload/_imported/fileadmin/user_upload/IPK_FHG/
publikationen/futur/Futur_1_3_2008_englisch/sustainability_of_automated_systems_in_pro
duction.pdf. Accessed 10 January, 2016
Levin SA, Clark WC (2010) Toward a science of sustainability, report from toward a science of
sustainability conference Airlie Center—Warrenton, Virginia November 29, 2009—December
2, 2009, March 30
Rehmeyer J (2011) Mathematical and Statistical Challenges for Sustainability. In: Cozzens, M,
Roberts FS (eds) Report of a Workshop held November 15-17, 2010
Chapter 2
Biological Modelling for Sustainable
Ecosystems

James N. Furze, Q. Zhu, J. Hill, and F. Qiao

Abstract Modelling of biological systems is discussed in terms of the primary


producers of trophic levels of organisation of life. Richness of plant communities
enables sustainability to be reached within subsequent trophic levels. Plant dimen-
sions of life history strategy, primary metabolic type and life form are defined and
discussed with respect to the water–energy topography dynamic of climatic vari-
ables. The role of biogeography is given and classical approaches to species
distributions and both antecedent and consequent variables within plants differen-
tiated modelling frameworks are discussed. The algorithmic modelling frameworks
applied in plant systems are justified statistically and with reference to established
models. Mechanisms of dispersing discrete distributes are covered in consideration
of genetic programming techniques. Further analysis expanding discrete
approaches through functional transformations is considered and detail of a Gauss-
ian Process Model is shown. Case study data of global locations is considered by
means of discrete approaches of strategy and photosynthetic type and a continual
approach of life form distribution. Algorithms for all processes and techniques are
shown and graphical distributions made in illustration of the techniques. Synergy
which may take place between the techniques is elaborated and flow diagrams of
multiple benefits in pattern identification and further analysis are given. Recom-
mendations for planting policies and policy implementation methods are covered in
the final section, which also gives further direction on which we can base investi-
gations which allow rational truth of distributes to be maximised and hence
modulation of future modelling frameworks. Value is provided in terms of empir-
ical, cause–effect and combinatorial approaches allowing us to process information
effectively, structuring trophic levels and our own communities’ expansive needs.

J.N. Furze (*) • Q. Zhu • J. Hill


Faculty of Environment and Technology, University of the West of England, Frenchay
Campus, Cold Harbour Lane, Bristol BS16 1QY, UK
e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected]
F. Qiao
Faculty of Information and Control Engineering, Shenyang JianZhu University (SJZU),
9 Hunnan East Road, Hunnan New District, Shenyang, Liaoning 110168, China
e-mail: [email protected]

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2017 9


J.N. Furze et al. (eds.), Mathematical Advances Towards Sustainable
Environmental Systems, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-43901-3_2
10 J.N. Furze et al.

Keywords Modelling • Life • Sustainability • Dimensions • Synergy •


Combinatorial • Information • Trophic levels

2.1 Introduction

In characterising biological systems we may apply a modelling approach to species


characteristics and ecological functions in order to provide policy makers with
informative descriptions of life on Earth. In this introduction of biological model-
ling applications, the authors focus on different dimensions of those species which
are the primary producers within trophic levels of organisation. In order to show the
application of the dynamic conditions which exist on Earth, we may characterise
plants in terms of life history strategies, metabolic (photosynthetic) type and life
form. We characterise species within the main elements of climatic and topographic
factors. In brief, habitats dominated by certain life history strategies, or with a
major element of one of the three photosynthetic types, determine richness and
hence variation in life forms. By considering these different dimensions of plant
species, detail is covered of use in both empirical (Furze et al. 2011) and cause–
effect-based modelling approaches (Best et al. 2011), which may lead to a combi-
natorial approach. Such an approach has minimum error in its consequential result
(Fourcade et al. 2014; Zhu et al. 2013). Inclusion of different dimensions of form
enables sufficient detail on which cause–effect modelling platforms can be based
(Cuddington et al. 2013). Each of the primary groups considered here is fundamen-
tal to secondary and tertiary biological and biochemical processes and even abun-
dance of species coverage. Each of the groups considered has implications in both
ecological and socio-economic systems (given that we have many uses, for example
for metabolites and plant materials). Thus, an appreciation of the diversity within
the main sets equates to a resource in itself, notwithstanding the multiple benefits in
ecosystem sustainability. This section provides a brief account of each of the three
dimensions.
Globally characterised groups of plant life history strategies (Furze et al. 2013a, b;
Grime et al. 1995; Grime and Pierce 2012) are as follows: Competitive species
(C) are fast growing, often aggressive species, with rapid nutrient absorption and
rapid root and leaf growth. They develop a consolidated growth form with vigorous
lateral spread above and below ground, thriving in high nutrient soils. Stress-
tolerating species (S) are slow growing, capturing and retaining scarce resources
in a continuously hostile environment. Their leaves are long-lived and often heavily
defended against predation. Ruderal species (R) have a potentially high growth rate
within the seedling phase and display early onset of the reproductive phase. The
allocation of resources to flowers and seeds is suited neither to development of
extensive root and shoot systems needed for dominance of habitats, nor to highly
stressed environments dependent on conservative patterns of resource use. Species
combine the earlier described strategies (e.g. C–R, S–R, S–C and C–S–R), integrat-
ing different growth forms to suit the environment.
2 Biological Modelling for Sustainable Ecosystems 11

Fig. 2.1 Separation of the rK and C–S–R theories in two dimensions (Barreto 2008)

In a study of the evolution of model plant populations in computer-simulated


environments, where nitrogen availability and disturbance frequency alone were
used as variables, the evolution of expected plant strategies and patterns proved
consistent with described theoretical and field evidence (Grime 1979; Mustard et al.
2003). The illustration of plant strategies in computer-simulated systems supports
the existence of patterns on all scales, which may be modelled in real space and
time. Barreto (2008) linearly spaced plant species using simulation techniques to
obtain the rK (‘Kp’) continuum, with seven definite partitions as shown in Fig. 2.1.
Barreto’s (2008) 2D rK and C–S–R reconciliation shows low to high Kp value:
plants of ruderal (R) strategy were isolated in places of high disturbance and
productivity; stress-tolerant ruderal plants (S–R) were seen in lightly disturbed
habitats with low productivity; competitive ruderal plants (C–R) were present in
habitats where disturbance brought moderate competition by a relatively low level of
stress; competitive plants (C or r ¼ K) were found in environments with low distur-
bance and high productivity; competitive-stress-tolerant ruderal plants (C–S–R) were
found in environments where there was a moderate intensity of stress and distur-
bance; competitive stress tolerating plants (C–S) were found in environments where a
moderate intensity of stress and a situation of relative non-disturbance existed; stress
tolerating plants (S) were found in environments where there was low productivity
and low disturbance.
Figure 2.2 shows the extrapolation of plant life history strategies and rK strat-
egies to a linear 3D continuum. The triangular distribution is effectively expressed
within membership categories of x and y and strategy. The former axis categories
may be used to express climatic/topographic conditions (as elaborated in later
sections).
Photosynthesis is the primary metabolic process by which plants grow (Furze
et al. 2013c). There are three main groups of photosynthesis in plants, C3, C4 and
Crassulacean Acid Metabolism (CAM). C3 plants have three carbon compounds in
the first step of photosynthesis, C4 have four carbon compounds in the first step of
the process and CAM plants store carbon in the form of an acid before
photosynthesis.
C3 plants’ stomata are open during the day, allowing gaseous and water
exchange via photorespiration (breakdown of sugars formed in photosynthesis,
releasing CO2 and H2O). Ribulose bisphosphate-carboxylase oxygenase
(RUBISCO) is the enzyme involved in uptake of CO2 in C3 photosynthesis.
12 J.N. Furze et al.

5
C-S-R Strategy

1
r
0
1
0.8 1
S 0.6 0.8
0.4 0.6 C
0.4
0.2 0.2
Membership (x) [0,1] Membership (y) [0,1]
0 0

r or R

Fig. 2.2 C–S–R and rK Strategies in three dimensions

Photosynthesis takes place throughout the leaves of the plants. C3 plants represent
the largest group of plant species, the process being highly efficient under cool and
moist conditions (Niu et al. 2005).
C4 plants’ stomata are open during the day. Phosphoenol pruvate (PEP) carbox-
ylase is the enzyme involved in uptake of CO2 with RUBISCO processing CO2 in
photosynthesis. Photosynthesis takes place in specialised Kranz cells,
compartmentalised inner layers of the leaf. C4 plants photosynthesise faster than
C3 plants under circumstances of high energy (e.g. light, temperature) and have
much lower rates of photorespiration as the enzyme RUBISCO is more saturated
with CO2 for photosynthesis due to PEP activity. CO2 uptake is more efficient in C4
plants, coupled with highly efficient water use in photosynthesis due to spatial
separation. Stomatal closure effects less water-loss from plants and hence greater
efficiency under warm and drier conditions. They are mainly summer annual
species occurring in over 19 plant families (Keeley and Rundel 2003; Salisbury
and Ross 1992; Wang et al. 2012).
CAM plants keep their stomata closed during the day and during both day and
night in periods when water must be conserved (known as CAM-idle). During
CAM-idling photosynthesis and photorespiration couple, the oxygen given off in
photosynthesis is used during respiration and CO2 given off in respiration is used in
photosynthesis. CAM idling leads to a build up of toxic compounds over very dry
periods. When moisture is available, the stomata reopen and CAM occurs as before.
Opening of stomata at night enables more efficient use of water as temperatures and
wind speeds are lower than during the day. CAM is an adaptation to very hot, dry
conditions. Most cacti and succulent plants use this metabolism. It is also found in
orchids and epiphytic bromeliads (Lüttge 2003). Intermediates occur between
2 Biological Modelling for Sustainable Ecosystems 13

C3-CAM and C4-CAM (Silvera et al. 2014). C3 metabolism evolved primarily,


with C4 photosynthesis serving as an adaptation to warmer temperatures and
enabling CAM plants to cover arid zones and extreme environments. Although
the three main photosynthetic types lend themselves to the triangular ordination of
Fig. 2.2, the large proportion of intermediates and subsequent levels of secondary
and tertiary metabolism underline the requirement for the use of sophisticated
mathematic systems for discrete space–time modelling.
There are five main groups of life forms: phanerophytes, chamaephytes,
hemicryptophytes, cryptophytes and therophytes. Within the main groups there
exist a total of 18 subgroups, with the following characteristics: Phanerophytes
are of three types: (1) evergreen phanerophytes with bud scales, (2) evergreen
phanerophytes without bud scales, (3) deciduous phanerophytes with bud scales.
Phanerophytes are further divided according to height: Mega-(>30 m), Meso-
(8–30 m), Micro-(2–8 m), Nano-(<2 m).
Chamaephytes have woody and herbaceous types. Chamaephytes are broken
into (1) suffruticose (after the main growth period upper shoots die, only lower parts
of the plant remain in “unfavourable” periods); (2) passive (in unfavourable con-
ditions upper shoots become procumbent, protecting them from environmental
stresses); (3) active (shoots only produced along the ground and remain so);
(4) cushion (similar to passive type but shoots are so closely packed together so
they form a “cushion”).
Hemicryptophytes are further divided into (1) proto (leaves are well developed
up the stem of the plant, partially developed leaves protect growing buds); (2) partial
rosette (developed leaves form a rosette at the base of the plant, the following year a
long aerial shoot may grow); (3) rosette (leaves restricted to a basal rosette, long
exclusively flower bearing aerial shoot forms).
Cryptophytes are divided into (1) geophyte (underground organs such as bulbs,
rhizomes, tubers, shoots emerge in growing season); (2) helophyte (growing buds
are in soil or mud under water producing shoots above water); (3) hydrophyte (buds
lie under water, unfavourable period spent completely below water).
Therophytes are annual plants, which survive the unfavourable period as seeds,
completing their life cycle in the summer months.
Life forms are seen in differing proportions or spectra; plants show chaotic
patterns of evolution in terms of their individual growth processes and numbers
(Cui et al. 2012; Furze et al. 2011; Su et al. 2009). Life form differences are often
associated with variable gradients in topographical and climatic conditions
(Bhattarai and Vetaas 2003; Furze et al. 2013f; Schmidt et al. 2005).
In order to model the groups of life history strategies, photosynthetic type and
life forms, we propose the use of a modelling framework, constructed with use of
efficient antecedent (inputted) climatic and topographical variables and consequent
species numbers. The remainder of the chapter is as follows: Section 2.2 gives
detail of a digital elevation model (DEM) for the sourcing of topographical infor-
mation, climatic variables and biological records. Section 2.3 provides mathematic
detail of algorithmic structures. Section 2.4 shows a candidate dispersal method
14 J.N. Furze et al.

used in biological simulations. Section 2.5 proceeds to detail the use of both
continual and discrete data in informative functional approximated ecological/
mathematic methods. Section 2.6 elaborates case studies of life history strategies,
photosynthetic type and life form characteristics. Section 2.7 develops the use of
functional approximation methods further and describes the proposed use of
Lyapunov stability in combined use of algorithmic blocks. Finally, Section 2.8
concludes by summarising some of the advantages of and challenges for biological
modelling and proposes further directions and applications.

2.2 Biogeographic studies, Digital Elevation Models,


Climatic data and Biological Records

Plant characterisation originates in plant exploration. Alexander von Humboldt


(1769–1859) published on botany and geography, founding biogeography itself
(Wallace 1878). Humboldt was one of the first to describe the increase in species
richness towards the equator (Humboldt 1806), the ‘latitudinal gradient’ as it later
became known (Humboldt 1808; Rosenzweig 1995). Humboldt, 1845–1858, was
the first to identify the Chocó region and Andean forests of Columbia, South
America as one of the mega centres of plant diversity:
Die dem Äquator nahe Gebirgsgegend . . . von Neugranada [today: Columbia] . . . ist der
Teil der Oberfläche unseres Planeten, wo im engsten Raum die Mannigfaltigkeit der
Natureindrücke [today: biodiversity] ihr Maximum erreicht—[Humboldt (1845), p. 12].
(English translation by Otté (1860, p. 10):. . . The countries bordering on the equator
[meant is the present-day country of Colombia] possess another advantage . . . This portion
of the surface of the globe affords in the smallest space the greatest possible variety of
impressions from the contemplation of nature [today: biodiversity] (Barthlott et al. 2005).

Humboldt (1808) hypothesised explanations for the diversity including complex


topography and the variety of suitable climatic conditions in the Chocó region. He
made the statement that plant richness declines at higher latitudes due to the fact
that many species are frost intolerant and may not survive in the comparatively
cooler temperatures of temperate zone winters, substantiating the water–energy
dynamic (Wright 1983). Wright continues that plant productivity is limited primar-
ily by energy from the sun and water availability. He adds however that the solar
energy that transfers through each trophic level is what constrains richness as
opposed to the total energy within a geographic area (Hawkins et al. 2003; Jetz
et al. 2009; Wright 1983).
The relationship between species occurrence and area is given by Arrhenius
(1921) as follows:

S ¼ cAz ð2:1Þ

Where S refers to the number of species, c is an environmental constant specific to


the area, A refers to the area and z is a taxon-specific constant. To estimate what the
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