DRAFT OF THE

1TH FLEMISH SEDIMENT

MANAGEMENT CONCEPT
(SMC)
FOR THE SCHELDT AND MEUSE
RIVER BASIN
2022-2027

SedNet Conference 2021

29th of June 2021
Edward
Van Keer
Integration in the Flemish River Basin
Management Plan
Flemish River Basin “Background Documents”

Management Plan
(RBMP) 2022-2027

End 2021
2
Structure of the Flemish 2027
Sediment Management
Concept

2051

Actions &

3
Sediment Scout (Sediment Data Platform)

4
Sediment Scout (Sediment Data Platform)

https://www.dov.vlaanderen.be/portaal/?module=verkenner
5
Sediment Scout (Sediment Data Platform)

6
Actions &

7
 Actions

Costs and benefits of erosion prevention

“Maximal” scenario with combined measures:

+ +

Cost: 7,5 - 9,5

million euro/year

-40% sediment
-28% erosion
Dredging & culling benefit:
10-15 million euro/year

8
Historical dredging backlog Actions

m3 Estimation of the expected dredging backlog end of 2021

8000000
7000000
6000000
5000000
4000000
3000000
2000000
1000000
0
provinces polders Flemish Flemish Dep. Of Mob.
Environm. Waterways & Infra.,
Agency Plc. Maritime
Access

Estimated cost at end of 2021: 300 - 425 million euro

9
Research and Remediation of polluted
aquatic soils of non navigable rivers

10
Research and Remediation of polluted Actions

aquatic soils of non navigable rivers

Estimated cost: 650 - 975 million euro

11
Possible dredging benefits after remediation Actions

estimated total
average yearly
total average dredging & culling
current average cost estimated average yearly "benefit"
yearly dredging 3 cost after
per m or meter of cost for not after completing all
& culling cost completing all
river polluted sediment measures
2013-2018 erosion measures
and remediation
measures
200 million euro,
of which 40
dep. Mob. & Infra.,
million euro for
Maritime Access
polluted
sediment
Flemish Waterways
17,5 million euro 40 euro/m3 19,55 euro/m3 5,1 million euro 12,4 million euro
Plc.
Flemish
Environmental 5 million euro 28 euro/m3 5 euro/m3 0,5 million euro 4,5 million euro
Agency
provinces 2 million euro 50 Euro/meter river 19 euro/meter river 0,5 million euro 1,5 million euro

Port Autorities (Only

numbers for Port of 10 million euro 32,5 euro/m3 25 euro/m3 7,7 million euro 2,3 million euro
Antwerp)
polders 2,5 million euro 16,06 euro/m river 14,73 euro/m river 2,3 million euro 0,2 million euro

12
Future Scenarios

13
Scenario: do all the “needed” actions
in 2022-2027
(except aquatic soil remediation of navigable rivers!)
Present yearly budget: Extra yearly budget during period 2022-2027:
242 million euro/year 221 million euro/year??
knowledge erosion

Historical
Backlog
removal

Dredging & culling

Remediation Sediment
Traps
8B_A 8B_B 8B_C 8B_D 8B_E 8B_F

14
Zero-
scenario

historical dredging backlog (m3)

25000000
M3 BAGGERACHTERSTAND

20000000

15000000

10000000

5000000

0
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
JAARTAL
15
Zero-scenario

16
End-of-
pipe
scenario

historical dredging backlog (m3)

14000000

12000000

10000000

8000000

6000000

4000000

2000000

0 17
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090 2095 2100
Source
scenario:
most
optimistic
case

(Most pessimistic scenario: 260 year)

18
Adapted
zero
scenario:
(really)
most
optimistic
case

historical dredging backlog (m3)

14000000
12000000
10000000
8000000
6000000
4000000
2000000
0
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2080
2085
2090
2095
2100

19
Conclusions
Scenarios

20
Preferential strategy

2027

2051

21
 2027
(average) Yearly cost to implement
all needed actions during the period 2051
2022-2051
(Except aquatic soil remediation of navigable rivers and
yearly dredging)
• Average 12,5
Budget- million €/y
shifts • Rises year after
year

• Average 38 million
€/y
“Extra”
• Partly common taks
budget
money
• Partly from a °fund

22
 2027
(average) Yearly cost to implement
all needed actions during the period 2051
2022-2051
(Except aquatic soil remediation of navigable rivers and
yearly dredging)
280 million euro/year

+16%

23
 2027
Estimation cost-benefits
2051
2022-2081
Benefits of reusing, ecological,
agricultural and maritime dredging “present yearly budget"
benefits 2052-2081

Estimation of
“avoided” dredging
Prevented extra historical costs 2022-2051
dredging backlog 2052-2081
Prevented extra historical
dredging backlog 2022-
2051

Estimation of “avoided” Benefits of reusing

dredging costs 2052-2081
Ecological benefits
Agricultural benefits
Maritime dredging benefits
24
“No regret”-proposal for 2022-2027

2027

2051

25
 2027

“No regret”-proposal for 2022-2027 2051

259 miljoen euro/jaar

million euro/year

+6,6%
From common tax money
From fund
From present
dredging budget

Still ambitious: budget for all action types except dredging:

x426
 2027 More extensive presentation
More information: (in Dutch!)
Sedimentbeheerconcept Webinar 7/1/2021
(background document) (speaking notes included)
Presentatie deel 1
2051
Presentatie deel 2

Actions &

27