Intelligence Bureau Election Survey Report

Email/UCS.No.
108/2024 Top-Secret/ Immediate
Cremo : Vijayawada (JD)

Criminaire : New Delhi (JD/Political)
Info : Chennai (SD), Hyderabad (DD), New Delhi (JD/W)
No.VJA/POL-1213/2024-188 Date: 03.05.2024
Sub:- Pre-Poll Survey conducted on upcoming 2024 general election prospects.

Kindly refer to the even memo. issued on March 20, 2024, regarding pre-poll
survey in all the 25 Parliamentary Constituency (PC) segments. As guided by
headquarters, the poll survey was conducted by selecting 5000 quality sample
each, in all the 175 Assembly Constituencies (AC) of the Andhra Pradesh state.
Following Points are noticed on overall observation.
▪ Arrest of Chandrababu Naidu had evoked a strong anti-Jagan wave and
undercurrent TDP wave across the state.
▪ TDP Alliance is about to get 52 % voting and YSRCP is appearing to get limited
to 40 %
▪ New voters and youth voters are much inclined towards alliance partners,
whereas elder electors, especially beneficiaries of social welfare schemes are
preferring YSRCP.
▪ Both employees and unemployed are dissatisfied over government. Business
community are hoping for change in government.
▪ The impact of capital Amaravati is very much visible in erstwhile Godavari,
Krishna and Guntur districts.
▪ The TDP wave had further intensified after N Chandrababu Naidu released the
Manifesto.
▪ Free Bus travel and Free Cylinder schemes to women is attracting the attention
of female voters. It is noticed that many parts of AP are undergoing severe
drinking water crisis, water tap to every house scheme is silently showing
impact on the voter’s psyche.
▪ The much hyped and anticipated YSRCP manifesto failed to attract attention,
as it contains no new schemes, neither any address of redressal mechanism
for further better implementation of existing schemes.
▪ The bad conditions of road network and retrogressive mode in development is
hugely impacting the voter’s choice and that would reflect in the election result.
The detailed report consisting of 218 pages has been submitted under, in the
prescribed format. (Note: As the document is lengthy, it’s been sent in the form of
soft copy.)
PC Segment Summary
SL.No PC Name Probable Winner Party
001 Araku (ST) Kothapalli Geetha BJP
002 Srikakulam Kinjarapu Rammohan Naidu TDP
003 Vizianagaram Kilisetti Appla Naidu TDP
004 Visakhapatnam Methukumilli Sri Bharath TDP
005 Anakapalli Budi Mutyala Naidu YSRCP
006 Kakinada Tangella Uday Srinivas JSP
007 Amalapuram (SC) Ganti Harish Madhur TDP
008 Rajahmindry Daggubati Purandhareshwari BJP
009 Narasapuram Bhupathiraju Srinivasa Varma BJP
010 Eluru Karumuri Sunil Yadav YSRCP
011 Machilipatnam Vallabhaneni Balashouri JSP
012 Vijayawada Kesineni Sivanath @ Chinni TDP
013 Guntur Pemmasani Chandrasekhar TDP
014 Narasaraopet Lavu Srikrishna devarayalu TDP
015 Bapatla Tanneti Krishna Prasad TDP
016 Ongole Magunta Sreenivasulu Reddy TDP
017 Nandyal Pocha Brahmananda Reddy YSRCP
018 Kurnool Pachalingala Nagaraju TDP
019 Anantapur Malagundla Shankara Narayana YSRCP
020 Hindupur BK Parthasaradhi TDP
021 Kadapa YS Sharmila INC
022 Nellore Vemireddy Prabhakar Reddy TDP
023 Tirupathi (SC) Velagapalli Varaprasad Rao BJP
024 Rajampet PV Midhun Reddy YSRCP
025 Chittoor (SC) Daggumalla Prasad Rao TDP
The Party-wise breakup is as follows:
Party Seats
TDP 13
YSRCP 05
JSP 02
BJP 04
INC 01
AC Segment Summary
Ac.No AC Name Probable Winner Party
001 Icchapuram Bendalam Ashok TDP
002 Palasa Gouthu Sireesha TDP
003 Tekkali Kinjarapu Atchannaidu TDP
004 Pathapatnam Reddy Shanti YSRCP
005 Srikakulam Dharmana Prasada Rao YSRCP
006 Amadalavalasa Kuna Ravi Kumar TDP
007 Etcherla Nadikudi Eswar Rao BJP
008 Narasannapeta Dharmana Krishna Das YSRCP
009 Rajam (SC) Kondru Murali Mohan TDP
010 Palakonda (ST) Nimmaka Jaya Krishna JSP
011 Kurupam (ST) Toyyaka Jagadeeshwari TDP
012 Parvathipuram (SC) Alajangi JOgarao YSRCP
013 Salur (ST) Gummidi Sandhya Rani TDP
014 Bobbili RSVKK Ranga Rao TDP
015 Cheepurupalli Kimidi Kala Venkat Rao TDP
016 Gajapatinagaram Kondapalli Srinivas TDP
017 Nellimarla Lokam Naga Madhavi JSP
018 Vizianagaram Adtii Vijayalakshmi Gajapati Raju TDP
019 Srungavarapukota Kolla Lalitha Kumari TDP
020 Bheemili Muttamsetti Srinivasa Rao YSRCP
021 Visakhapatnam East Velagapudi Ramakrtishna Babu TDP
022 Visakhapatnam South Vamsikrishna Srinivas Yadav JSP
023 Visakhapatnam North Vishnu Kumar Raju BJP
024 Visakhapatnam West P Gana Venkata Reddy Naidu TDP
025 Gajuwaka Palla Srinivasa Rao TDP
026 Chodavaram Karanam Dharmasri YSRCP
027 Madugula Erli Anuradha YSRCP
028 Araku Valley (ST) Regam Matsya Lingam YSRCP
029 Paderu (ST) Giddi Eswari TDP
030 Anakapalli Konathala Ramakrishna JSP
031 Pendurthi Annamreddy Adeepraj YSRCP
032 Elamanchili Sundarapu Vijay Kumar JSP
033 Payakaraopet Vangalapudi Anitha TDP
034 Narsipatnam Chintakayala Ayyannapatrudu TDP
035 Tuni Yanamala Divya TDP
036 Prathipadu Varupula Surya Prabha TDP
037 Pithapuram Pawan Kalyan JSP
038 Kakinada Rural Patnam Venkateswara Rao JSP
039 Peddapuram Nimmakayala Chinarajappa TDP
040 Anaparthy Nallimalli Ramakrishna Reddy BJP
041 Kakinada City Vanamadi Venkateswara Rao TDP
042 Ramachandrapuram Pilli Surya Prakash YSRCP
043 Mummudivaram Datla Subba Raju TDP
044 Amalapuram (SC) Aithabathula Anandarao TDP
045 Rajole (SC) Deva Vara Prasad JSP
046 Gannavaram (SC) Vipparthi Venugoplala Rao YSRCP
047 Kothapeta Bandaru Satyananda Rao TDP
048 Mandapeta Y Jogeswara Rao TDP
049 Rajanagaram Jakkampudi Raja YSRCP
050 Rajahmundry City Adireddy Vasu TDP
051 Rajahmundry Rural Gorantla Butchaiah Chowdary TDP
052 Jaggampeta Jyothula Nehru TDP
053 Rampachodavaram (ST) Miriyala Sirisha Devi TDP
054 Kovvur (SC) Muppidi Venkateswara Rao TDP
055 Nidadavole Kandula Durgesh JSP
056 Achanta Pithani Styanarayana TDP
057 Palakollu Nimmala Rama Naidu TDP
058 Narasapuram Bommidi Jayakar JSP
059 Bhimavaram Pulaparthy Ramanjaneyulu JSP
060 Undi Karumuri Raghu Ramakrishna Raju TDP
061 Tanuku Arimilli Radha Krishna TDP
062 Tadepalligudem Bollisetty Srinivas JSP
063 Unguturu Papppula Vasubabu YSRCP
064 Denduluru Chintamaneni Prabhakar TDP
065 Eluru Badeti Radha Krishna TDP
066 Gopalapuram (SC) Maddipati Venkata Raju TDP
067 Polavaram (ST) Chirri Balaraju JSP
068 Chintalapudu (SC) Songa Roshan TDP
069 Tiruvuru (SC) Nallagatla Swamydas YSRCP
070 Nuzivid Meka Venkata Pratap Apparao YSRCP
071 Gannavaram Yarlagada Venkata Rao TDP
072 Gudivada Venigandla Ramu TDP
073 Kaikaluru Kamineni Srinivas BJP
074 Pedana Kagitha Krishna Prasad TDP
075 Machilipatnam Kollu Ravindra TDP
076 Avanigadda Mandali Buddha Prasad JSP
077 Pamarru (SC) Kaile Anil Kumar YSRCP
078 Penamaluru Bode Prasad TDP
079 Vijayawada West Yalamanchili Satyanarayana Chowdary BJP
080 Vijayawada Central Bonda Uma Maheshwararao TDP
081 Vijayawada East Gadde Rammohan TDP
082 Mylavaram Vasantha Venkata Krishna Prasad TDP
083 Nandigama (SC) Tangirala Sowmya TDP
084 Jaggayyapeta Rajagopla Sriram TDP
085 Pedakurapadu Namburi Sankar Rao YSRCP
086 Tadikonda (SC) Tenali Sravan Kumar TDP
087 Mangalagiri Nara Lokesh TDP
088 Ponnur Dhulipalla Narendra Kumar TDP
089 Vemuru (SC) Nakka Anand Babu TDP
090 Repalle Anagani Satya Prasad TDP
091 Tenali Nadendla Manohar JSP
092 Bapatla Kona Raghupati YSRCP
093 Prathipadu (SC) Burla Ramanjineyulu TDP
094 Guntur West Vidadala Rajani YSRCP
095 Guntur East Muhammed Nazeer TDP
096 Chilakaluripeta Prathipati Pullarao TDP
097 Narasaraopet Gopireddy Srinivas Reddy YSRCP
098 Sattenapalli Kanna Lakshmi Narayana TDP
099 Vinukonda Bolla Brahma Naidu YSRCP
100 Gurazala Yerapathineni Srinivas TDP
101 Macherla Julakanti Brahma Reddy TDP
102 Yerragondapalem (SC) Tatiparthy Chandrasekhar YSRCP
103 Darsi Gottipati Lakshmi TDP
104 Parchur Yeluri Samba Siva Rao TDP
105 Addanki Gottipati Ravi TDP
106 Chirala Amanchi Krishna Mohan INC
107 Santhanuthalapadu (SC) BN Vijaya Kumar TDP
108 Ongole Damacherla Janardhan Rao TDP
109 Kandukur Burra Madhusudhan Yadav YSRCP
110 Kondepi (SC) Dola Bala Veeranjaneyulu Swamy TDP
111 Markapuram Anna Rambabu YSRCP
112 Giddaluru Kunduru Nagarjuna Reddy YSRCP
113 Kanigiri Mukku Ugra Narasimha Redd
114 Kavali Ramireddy Prathap Reddy YSRCP
115 Atmakur Anam Ramnarayana Reddy TDP
116 Kovuru Vemireddy Prashanthi Reddy TDP
117 Nellore City Narayana Ponguru TDP
118 Nellore Rural Kotamreddy Sridhar Reddy TDP
119 Sarvepalli Somireddy Chandramohan Reddy TDP
120 Guduru (SC) Pasam Sunil Kumar TDP
121 Sullurpeta (SC) Kaliveti Sanjeevaiah YSRCP
122 Venkatagiri Korugondla Ramakrishna TDP
123 Udayagiri Kakarla Suresh TDP
124 Badvel Dasari Sudha YSRCP
125 Rajampet Sugavasi Subrahmanyam TDP
126 Kadapa Amzad Basha Shaikh Bepari YSRCP
127 Kodur (SC) Korumutla Sreenivasulu YSRCP
128 Rayachoti Gandikota Srikanth Reddy YSRCP
129 Pulivendula YS Jaganmohan Reddy YSRCP
130 Kamalapuram Putha Krishna Chaitanya Reddy TDP
131 Jammalamadugu Mule Sudheer Reddy YSRCP
132 Proddatur Rachamallu Siva Prasad Reddy YSRCP
133 Mydakur Putta Sudhakar Yadav TDP
134 Allagadda Bhuma Akhila Priya TDP
135 Srisailam Shilpa Chakrapani Reddy YSRCP
136 Nandikotkur (SC) Sudheer Dara YSRCP
137 Kuranool TG Bharat TDP
138 Panyam Katasani Rambhupal Reddy YSRCP
139 Nandyal S Ravichandra Kishore Reddy YSRCP
140 Banaganapalle BC Janardhan Reddy TDP
141 Dhone Buggana Rajesndranath Reddy YSRCP
142 Pathikonda KE Syam Kumar TDP
143 Kodumur (SC) Boggula Dastagiri TDP
144 Yemmiganuru BV Jayanageswara Reddy TDP
145 Mantralayam Y Balanagi Reddy YSRCP
146 Adoni Y Sai Prasad Reddy YSRCP
147 Aluru B Veerahadra Gowda TDP
148 Rayadurgam Kaluva Srinivasulu TDP
149 Uravakonda Payyavula Keshav TDP
150 Guntakal Y Venkatrami Reddy YSRCP
151 Tadipatri JC Asmith Reddy TDP
152 Singanamala (SC) Bandaru Sravani Sree TDP
153 Anatapuram Urban Anantha Venkatrami Reddy YSRCP
154 Kalyanadurgam Talari Rangaiah YSRCP
155 Rapthadu Paritala Sunitha TDP
156 Madakasira Karikera Sudhakar INC
157 Hindupur Nandamuri Balakrishna TDP
158 Penugonda Somandepalli Savithamma TDP
159 Puttaparthi Palle Sindhura Reddy TDP
160 Dharmavaram Kethireddy Venkatrami Reddy YSRCP
161 Kadiri BS Maqbool Ahmad YSRCP
162 Thambalapalle Jayachandra Reddy TDP
163 Pileru N Kishore Kumar Reddy TDP
164 Madanapalle Shahjahan Basha TDP
165 Punganur Peddireddy Ramachandra Reddy YSRCP
166 Chandragiri Pulivarthi Venkata mani Prasad TDP
167 Tirupati Arani Srinivasulu JSP
168 Srikalaharsthi Bojjala Sudheer Reddy TDP
169 Satyavedu (SC) Koneti Adimulam TDP
170 Nagari Gali Bhanu Prakash TDP
171 Gangadhar Nellore (SC) Dr VN Thomas TDP
172 Chittoor Gurajala Jagan Mohan TDP
173 Puthalapattu (SC) Kalikiri Murali Mohan TDP
174 Palamaner N Amarnath Reddy TDP
175 Kuppam Nara Chandrababu Naidu TDP
The Party-wise breakup is as follows:
Party Seats
TDP 105
YSRCP 47
JSP 16
BJP 05
INC 02
Comments: The above study clearly indicates that TDP is going to form
government in Andhra Pradesh with clear majority. The alliance has total strength
of 126 seats, while YSRCP has been limited to 47 seats.
Detailed Segment-wise Survey report as per proforma is as follows;

PC Segment :- 1. Araku (ST)
Area: Two districts ASR District and Parvatipuram Manyam
Total Electors: 13.5 lakhs
Candidature of Major Parties:
Party Candidate Remark

BJP Kothapalli Geetha Ex-MP
YSRCP Gumma Tanuja Rani -
Assembly Segments : 07
1. 010 Palakonda (ST)

Demography:
No. Total electors – 1.96 Lakhs Polling Influential group
Mandals Rural Urban Stations
04 97 % 03 % 283 Konda Dora, Koya
Important Candidates
YSRCP Viswasarayi Kalavathi Sitting MLA
JSP Nimmaka Jaya Krishna
INC Sarava Chanti Babu
Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Religion Percentage JSP YSRCP Others
Hindu 96 % 58 % 37 % 05 %
Christian 03 % 38 % 56 % 06 %
Muslim Nil - - -
Others 01 % 100 % - -
Gender Percentage JSP YSRCP Others

Male 51 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 49 % 56 % 41 % 03 %
Age Group JSP YSRCP Others

Below 30 74 % 21 % 05 %
30 - 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 51 % 46 % 03 %
Profession JSP YSRCP Others

Agri 54 % 42 % 04 %
Business 78 % 18 % 04 %
Govt Emp 85 % 09 % 06 %
Unemployed 67 % 30 % 03 %
Observations:
• Historically, TDP has a very strong hold in AC, though YSRCP held the AC since two terms.
BJP also has considerable cadre in AC.
• Nimmaka Jaya Krishna contested from TDP last time and lost with close margin. Nimmaka
family hails from INC and also has firm personal vote base.
• YSRCP Sitting MLA Viswarayi Kalavathi lost goodwill among YSRCP vote bank and is facing
severe incumbency.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nimmaka Jaya Krishna (JSP)
Probable Margin – 18000 - 20000 Votes
2. 011 Kurupam (ST)

Demography:
05 97 % 03 % 268 Koya
YSRCP Pamula Pushpa Shreevani Sitting MLA
TDP Toyyaka Jagadeeshwari

Religion Percentage TDP YSRCP Others
Hindu 95 % 62 % 35 % 03 %
Christian 04 % 41 % 55 % 04 %
Muslim 01 % 41 % 39 % 20 %
Others Nil - - -
Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Male 46 % 64 % 32 % 04 %
Female 54 % 60 % 36 % 04 %
Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Below 30 64 % 35 % 01 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Profession TDP YSRCP Others

Agri 48 % 46 % 06 %
Business 80 % 16 % 04 %
Govt Emp 91 % 02 % 07 %
Observations:
• Pamula Pushpa Sreevani is facing severe anti-incumbency in the region, despite of her two
continuous terms.
• Nimmaka family would impact voting in favour of TDP, as TDP and BJP is in alliance and INC
has internal understanding and not contesting candidate from AC.
• CPI (M) also had considerable presence in the AC.
• Likely impact of family of Kishore Chandra Deo would add to TDP favour.
Result:
Probable Winner – Toyyaka Jagadeshwari (TDP)
3. 012 Parvathipuram (SC)

Demography:
03 89 % 11 % 233 Konda Kapu
YSRCP Jogarao Alajangi Sitting MLA
TDP Vijay Bonela
INC Bathina Mohan Rao

Hindu 86 % 51 % 47 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 29 % 68 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 21 % 71 % 08 %
Others Nil - - -

Male 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %
Female 51 % 62 % 35 % 03 %

Below 30 55 % 44 % 01 %
30 – 50 44 % 52 % 04 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 52 % 02 %
Business 78 % 20 % 02 %
Govt Emp 78 % 22 % -
Observations:
• Jogarao Alajangi has been dormant in the AC. Though YSRCP has fixed vote bank in AC,
the candidature of Jogarao would impact in damage of YSRCP vote bank.
• Bonela Vijay has good following in youth but is also not considered as a suitable candidate
by many TDP cadre
• One Luthern Church had considerable impact on AC politics and it would favour YSRCP.
Result:
Probable Winner – YSRCP has edge in the AC
Probable Margin – Tentative margins between 2000 – 3000
4. 013 Salur (ST)

Demography:
03 95 % 05 % 240 Konda Kapu, Turpu Kapu
YSRCP P Rajanna Dora Sitting MLA
TDP Gummidi Sandhya Rani

Hindu 91 % 62 % 35 % 03 %
Christian 03 % 34 % 61 % 05 %
Muslim 01 % 41 % 51 % 08 %
Others Nil - - -

Male 50 % 55 % 41 % 04 %
Female 50 % 62 % 33 % 05 %
Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 54 % 43 % 03 %
Above 50 58 % 40 % 02 %

Agri 48 % 51 % 01 %
Business 76 % 20 % 04 %
Govt Emp 82 % 16 % 02 %
Unemployed 76 % 24% -
Observations:
• P Rajanna Dora is facing severe Anti-Incumbency factor.
• YSRCP cadres opined that they had lost hope on the AC and found to have felt discouraged
internally, as the party failed to replace the candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gummidi Sandhya Rani (TDP)
Probable Margin – 12000 – 15000
5. 028 Araku Valley (ST)

Demography:
06 36 % % 04 % 303 Koya Konda Dora, Female
YSRCP Regam Matsya Lingam
BJP Pangi Raja Rao
INC Setti Gangadhara Swamy

Religion Percentage BJP YSRCP Others
Hindu 93 % 42 % 47 % 10 %
Christian 06 % 22 % 78 % Nil
Muslim Nil - - -
Others 1% 96 % 2% 2%
Gender Percentage BJP YSRCP Others

Male 48 % 69 % 23 % 08 %
Female 52 % 28 % 56 % 14 %
Age Group BJP YSRCP Others
Below 30 55 % 35 % 10 %
30 - 50 42 % 45 % 03 %
Above 50 27 % 63 % 10 %
Profession BJP YSRCP Others

Agri 45 % 46 % 09 %
Business 72 % 12 % 16 %
Govt Emp 88 % 06 % 06 %
Observations:
• TDP was having traditional hold on AC, but was allocated to BJP in alliance pact. TDP
cadre are discouraged over this.
• Koya Community has strong hold in AC while Konda Dora are economically strong. Koya
Community was given considerable representation by YSRCP in Local positions.
• One Kumbha Ravi (MLC) from YSRCP is playing key roll in AC and it is likely to work out.
Likely Result:
Probable Winner – Regam Matsya Lingam (YSRCP)
6. 029 Paderu (ST)

Demography:
05 94 % 06 % 233 Konda Kapu, Women
YSRCP M Vishweswar Raju
TDP Giddi Eswari Ex-MLA

Hindu 95 % 71 % 38 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 52 % 41 % 07 %
Muslim 01 % 44 % 51 % 05 %
Others Nil - - -

Male 48 % 74 % 25 % 01 %
Female 52 % 68 % 30 % 02 %
Below 30 71 % 29 % -
30 – 50 69 % 30 % 01 %
Above 50 68 % 26 % 06 %

Agri 64 % 33 % 02 %
Business 81 % 13 % 06 %
Govt Emp 78 % 18 % 04 %
Unemployed 68 % 32 % -
Observations:
• TDP fielded a senior leader and ex-legislator, who lost the previous election only due to
YSRCP wave.
• No YSRCP wave is existing the AC, instead a strong TDP wave is clearly visible.
• Strong presence of BJP would also benefit TDP in alliance advantage.
Result:
Probable Winner – Giddi Eswari (TDP)
7. 053 Rampachodavaram
Demography:

11 94 % 06 % 394 Konda Kapu , Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Nagulapalli Dhanalakshmi Sitting MLA
TDP Miriyala Sirisha Devi

Hindu 96 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 02 % 42 % 52 % 06 %
Muslim 01 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Others 01 % 78 % 22 %

Male 48 % 56 % 43 % 01 %
Female 52 % 69 % 29 % 02 %

Below 30 51 % 48 % 01%
30 – 50 65 % 30 % 05 %
Above 50 46 % 52 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 53 % -
Business 68 % 34 % -
Govt Emp 81 % 18 % 01 %
Observations:
• YSRCP Candidate is a dummy for one Anata Babu, who is a murder accused and notorious
all over the state. The SC and ST voting would likely impact the factor.
• Female voters are noticed to be against the YSRCP candidate and hence may benefit TDP
candidate.
• Strong presence of YSRCP vote bank is affecting the winning prospects of TDP candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – TDP has edge over YSRCP
Probable Margin – Tentative margins between 2000- 4000
Araku Parliamentary Analysis

• Strong presence of TDP, strong anti-incumbency factor, an undercurrent TDP wave in the
Assembly segments would benefit BJP in the PC.
• Kothapalli Geetha is considered as very strong and unmatching compared to the candidate
fielded by YSRCP.
Result: Kothapalli Geetha
Margin: 115000 -145000
Araku PC Segment Poll

PC BJP
AC TDP YSRCP TDP YSRCP JSP
Edge edge
3 1 1 1 1
-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-
PC Segment :- 2. Srikakulam
Area: Srikakulam District

TDP Kinjarapu Rammohan Naidu Two term MP
YSRCP Perada Tilak
Assembly Constituencies : 07
8. 001 Icchapuram
Demography:
04 84 % 16 % 295 Turpu Kapu, Kalinga Vaishya
YSRCP Piriya Vijaya Political family
TDP Bendalam Ashok Sitting MLA

Hindu 92 % 76 % 22 % 2%
Christian 05 % 51 % 49 % -
Muslim 01 % 28 % 55 % 17 %
Others 02 % 88 % 12 % -

Male 52 % 76 % 22 % 02 %
Female 48 % 71 % 27 % 01 %

Below 30 74 % 23 % 03 %
30 - 50 71 % 28 % 01 %
Above 50 68 % 30 % 02 %

Agri 68 % 29 % 03 %
Govt Emp 85 % 06 % 09 %
Observations:
• A strong TDP wave would give TDP a huge victory.
• YSRCP candidate political roots are in TDP. So she does not have any own cadre.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bendalam Ashok (TDP)
9. 002 Palasa
Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 278 Turpu Kapu, Kalinga Vaishya
YSRCP Seediri Appala Raju Sitting MLA
TDP Gouthu Sireesha
INC Majji Trinadh Babu

Hindu 92 % 65 % 30 % 05 %
Christian 05 % 48 % 52 % -
Muslim 03 % 36 % 54 % 10 %
Others Nil - - -

Male 51 % 65 % 29 % 06 %
Female 49 % 66 % 29 % 05 %

Below 30 68 % 29 % 03 %
30 – 50 64 % 35 % 01 %
Above 50 62 % 37 % 01 %

Agri 58 % 35 % 07 %
Business 80 % 19 % 01 %
Govt Emp 88 % 12 % -
Observations:
• Seediri Appla Raju, who also served as a minister is facing severe opposition from own party
cadre, while Gouthu Sireesha is far ahead in cadre support.
• In addition she carries the legacy of Sardar Gouthu Lachanna, who is regarded as pride of
North Andhra.
• The JSP cadre on ground is very actively participating in TDP programs and hence youth
votes are likely to impact margins in the AC
Result:
Probable Winner – Gouthu Sireesha (TDP)
10. 003 Tekkali

Demography:
04 87 % 13 % 233 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Duvvada Srinivas Ex-MLC
TDP Kinjarapu Atchannaidu Sitting MLA
INC Killi Krupa Rani

Hindu 89 % 76 % 21 % 03 %
Christian 05 % 42 % 58 % -
Muslim 03 % 41 % 52 % 07 %
Others 03 % 81 % 19 % -

Male 51 % 68 % 30 % 02 %
Female 49 % 62 % 35 % 03 %

Below 30 67 % 30 % 03 %
30 – 50 71 % 23 % 06 %
Above 50 67 % 27 % 06 %

Agri 58 % 38 % 04 %
Business 81 % 16 % 03 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Duvvada Srinivas lost good will among the public due to his loud mouth and is considered
as an immature politician. His family disputes added further more irregularities to his stature.
• On the other hand Kinjarapu Atchannaidu is considered as a senior leader in Stat politics and
is well regarded in the constituency.
• JSP cadre backed by Turpu Kapu community are very vigorous in the AC and are waiting to
teach lesson to Duvvada Srinivas over his loud mouthed attitude on their patron Pawal
Kalyan. Being Turpu Kapu is most dominant community in AC, this factor would hugely
benefit TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kinjarapu Atchannaidu (TDP)
11. 004 Pathapatnam

Demography:
05 84 % 16 % 316 Women, Business along NH
YSRCP Reddy Shanti Sitting MLA
TDP Mamidi Govinda Rao

Hindu 90 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 42 % 58 % -
Muslim 03 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Others 01 % 85 % 12 % 03 %

Male 51 % 54 % 42 % 04 %
Female 49 % 48 % 51 % 01 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 50 % 46 % 04 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % -

Agri 48 % 51 % 01 %
Business 76 % 22 % 02 %
Govt Emp 78 % 21 % 01 %
Observations:
• YSRCP improved its hold on the AC enormously with cadre building activities. The Nadu
Nedu activity was hugely propagated by among the cadres by MLA contestant.
• Though TDP is traditionally strong in the region, it appears weak due to weak candidature.
• Despite that an undercurrent TDP wave is also noticed among unemployed youth. Presence
of BJP among business would benefit alliance.
• YSRCP candidate is also far ahead in election campaigning and TDP candidate is still
dormant.
Result:
Probable Winner – Reddy Shanti (YSRCP)
Probable Margin – 6000 - 8000
12. 005 Srikakulam

Demography:
02 68 % 32 % 279 Kaligna Vaishya, Kapu
YSRCP Dharmana Prasad Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Gondu Shankar Rao
INC Ambati Krishna Rao

Hindu 96 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Christian 02 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 54 % 08 %
Others - - - -

Male 51 % 54 % 45% 01 %
Female 49 % 51 % 49 % -
Below 30 55 % 43 % 02 %
30 - 50 49 % 50 % 01 %
Above 50 52 % 48 % -

Agri 46 % 52 % 02 %
Govt Emp 79 % 21 % -
Observations:
• Dharmana Prasada Rao, despite being facing anti-incumbency still holds a strong support
over the ground for being a Senior leader with INC background.
• Though historically TDP had very strong hold on AC, the internal disputes among the TDP
leadership is going to negatively impact in the AC. The internal groupism between Gunda
Family (Ex-TDP MLA) and Gondu Shakar is dominating the TDP wave in the AC.
Likely Result:
Probable Winner – Dharmana Prasada Rao (YSRCP)
13. 006 Amadalavalasa

Demography:
04 79 % 21 % 259 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Tammineni Seetaram Sitting MLA
TDP Kuna Ravi Kumar Ex-MLA

Hindu 95 % 68 % 30 % 02 %
Christian 04 % 41 % 49 % -
Muslim 01 % 39 % 59 % 02 %
Others Nil - - -

Male 49 % 74 % 24 % 02 %
Female 51 % 69 % 29 % 02 %

Below 30 71 % 28 % 01 %
30 – 50 64 % 36 % -
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 62 % 35 % 03 %
Business 76 % 22 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 15 % -
Observations:
• TDP leader Kuna Ravi Kumar is having very good hold among the AC and the under current
TDP wave in AC would garner the easy victory for TDP.
• Tammineni Sitaram despite worked as a Speaker of AP assembly is facing anti-incumbency
for not being active in his AC.
• In addition Kuna Ravi Kumar is also a nephew of Tammineni Seetharam. Voters of AC are
sympathetic over Kuna Ravi Kumar, as Tammineni Seetharam is said to have illegally
grabbed the family property of Kuna Ravikumar family.
• Considerable number of Janasena Cadre and Ex- Praja Rajyam Party cadre are present in
the AC and it would certainly benefit TDP candidate, though JSP cadre expressed
discouragement for this AC not being allotted to JSP as they anticipated.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kuna Ravi Kumar (TDP)
14. 008 Narasannapeta

Demography:
04 82 % 18 % 290 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Dharamana Krishna Das Sitting MLA
TDP Baggu Ramana Murthy Ex-MLA

Hindu 95 % 48 % 50 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 39 % 61 % -
Muslim 02 % 38 % 58 % 04 %

Male 49 % 48 % 51 % 01 %
Female 51 % 46 % 54 % -

Below 30 51 % 48 % 01%
30 – 50 47 % 50 % 03 %
Above 50 46 % 52 % 02 %

Agri 44 % 55 % 01 %
Business 74 % 22 % 04 %
Govt Emp 75 % 25 % -
Observations:
• Dharamana family holds a strong ground in the AC since a two decades.
• On the other hand TDP candidate Baggu Ramana Murthy also an ex-MLA have purely
dependent on TDP traditional cadre and failed to add new cadres of his own. Only a strong
TDP wave across the state, if any like 2014 would lead him to victory.
• Youth Voters are more inclined towards TDP and they may act as game changers in AC
Result:
Probable Winner – YSRCP has edge over TDP
Probable Margin – Tentative margins between 5000- 8000
Srikakulam Parliamentary Analysis

• TDP is was too strong in the PC. Its candidate K Rammurthy Naidu is carrying a huge good
will among voters of various sections.
• The Turpu Kapu community is also backing its supports towards TDP candidate. YSRCP
candidate is way more weaker compared to his opponent.
Result: Kinjarapu Rammurthy Naidu Margin: 120000 -150000
Srikakulam PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP TDP Edge YSRCP edge
4 2 0 1
PC Segment :- 3. Vizianagarm
Area: Srikakulam and Vizianagaram Districts

YSRCP Bellana Chandra Sekhar Sitting MP
TDP Kalisetti Appala Naidu
15. 007 Etcherla

Demography:
04 86 % 14 % 309 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Gorle Kiran Kumar Sitting MLA
BJP Nadikudi Eswara Rao

Hindu 94 % 58 % 42 % -
Christian 04 % 21 % 79 % -
Muslim 02 % 18 % 76 % 06 %

Male 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Female 49 % 49 % 48 % 03 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01 %
30 - 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 45 % 02 %
Business 83 % 13 % 04 %
Govt Emp 80 % 16 % 04 %
Observations:
• N Eswara Rao is backed by Kala Venkata Rao, senior leader and ex-minister from TDP.
Hence TDP cadre are firm and cooperating.
• BJP is highly active in the AC since last 05 years and has a membership over 25000. It
emerged victorious in local panchayat elections carrying Bantupalli and Tirupatipalem
Panchayats. The temple politics around Arasavalli Surya Develayam adds an additional
weapon to BJP.
• Janasena cadre led by Viswaksen and his mother Kanti Sree are also trying to push the
margins further.
• On the other hand Gorle Kiran Kumar of YSRCp is considered as a weakest opponent. He
depended purely on Jagan Wave likewise of 2019, which is very unlikely now.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nadikudi Eswara Rao (BJP)
16. 009 Rajam (SC)

Demography
04 74 % 26 % 285 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Dr Tale Rajesh Political Family
TDP Kondru Murali Mohan Ex-MLA

Hindu 93 % 62 % 35 % 03 %
Christian 06 % 51 % 42 % 07 %
Muslim 01 % 40 % 57 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 64 % 34 % 02 %
Female 51 % 63 % 35 % 02 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01%
30 – 50 67 % 32 % 01 %
Above 50 64 % 34 % 02 %
Agri 62 % 36 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• YSRCP hugely lost its cadre in the AC in last 05 years. The sitting MLA was sent to
Payakaraopet AC to divert the anti-incumbency factor.
• Dr Tale Rajesh of YSRCP is also having roots in TDp as his father Tale Bhadraiah served as
MLA from TDP. He failed to bring TDP cadre into YSRCP hold, along with him.
• Kondru Murali Mohan is a senior leader and also served as Minister is having good hold on
Constituency and TDP cadre, where TDP is going ti hugely benefit
Result:
Probable Winner – Kondru Murali Mohan (TDP)
17. 014 Bobbili

Demography:

04 81 % 19 % 264 Kapu, Bobbili Zamindar Legacy
YSRCP SVC Appala Naidu Sitting MLA
TDP RSVKK Ranga Rao Political family

Hindu 94 % 67 % 32 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 43 % 54 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 65 % 33 % 02 %
Female 50 % 65 % 34 % 01 %

Below 30 60 % 38 % 02 %
30 – 50 65 % 32 % 03 %
Above 50 68 % 31 % 01 %

Agri 61 % 36 % 03 %
Business 79 % 19 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 15 % -
Observations:
• TDP candidate RSVKK Ranga Rao @ Baby Narayana hails from a traditional Zamindari
family, whose ancestors are in politics since 1930s with Justice party.
• The family legacy has been carried further by RV Sujay Krishna Ranga Rao, who served as
MLA and Minister in all INC, YSRCP and TDP parties.
• On the other hand Sambangi Venkatachina Appala Naidu of YSRCP was a two term MLA
from TDP and he migrated to YSRCP as his political apponent Sujay Krishna Ranga Rao,
joined TDP government despite winning on YSRCP ticket.
• Due to lack of earlier sympathy and Jagan wave in AC, again the family of Bobbili Zamindar
is likely to take over.
• Huge TDP wave is visible in the AC
Result:
Probable Winner – RSVKK Ranga Rao (TDP)
18. 015 Cheepurupalli

Demography:

04 79 % 21 % 257 Turpu Kapu, Anti-Incumbency
YSRCP Botsa Satya Narayana Sitting MLA
TDP Kimidi Kala Venkata Rao Ex-MLA

Hindu 96 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Christian 03 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 57 % 05 %
Others - - -
Male 51 % 55 % 43 % 02 %
Female 49 % 54 % 45 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 38 % 04 %
30 – 50 49 % 50 % 01 %
Above 50 57 % 42 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 72 % 26 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• Botsa family is facing a severe anti-incumbency in the AC and it would likely affect on the
final result.a strong base of YSRCP cadre could not be neglected.
• On the other hand, Kimidi family also lost the cadre support due to inactiveness and distance
from political activities over last 05 years.
• An undercurrent TDP wave would likely gain from anti-incumbency factor.
Result:
Probable Winner – TDP has edge over YSRCP
19. 016 Gajapathinagaram

Demography

05 78 % 22 % 264 Turpu Kapu, Koppula Velama
YSRCP Botcha Appalanarasayya Sitting MLA
TDP Kondapalli Srinivas Political family

Hindu 93 % 59 % 39 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 35 % 62 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 38 % 03 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 60 % 38 % 02 %
30 – 50 60 % 37 % 03 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 80 % 19 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 15 % 05 %
Observations:
• Negative impact of anti-cadre sentiments on Botcha Satyanarayana Family would likely
benefit TDP. Botcha Appalanarasayya also lost his relevance due to his family shadow.
YSRCP cadre is noticed to have largely discouraged over the candidature of
Appalanarasayya, as they are vexed with the family politics of Botcha Family.
• Kondapalli Srinivas is also hails from a political family. His family is in TDP since 4 decades
and had noticed to have strengthened party roots in AC and hence carries goodwill among
cadre.
• Janasena vote base became very influential in the AC, as it is backed largely by Turpu Kapu
caste. In addition JSP cadres are also satisfied for the selection young face, without any
history of prior conflict with Janasena Party.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kondapalli Srinivas (TDP)
20. 017 Nellimarla

Demography:

04 81 % 19 % 248 Turpu Kapu, PRP Vote bank
YSRCP Baddukonda Appalanaidu Sitting MLA
JSP Lokam Naga Madhavi

Hindu 97 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 02 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 21 % 76 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 49 % 47 % 04 %
Female 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 69 % 28 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 45 % 53 % 02 %

Agri 55 % 41 % 04 %
Govt Emp 74 % 21 % 05 %
Observations:
• Janasena Party, appears to have demanded the seat in alliance due to the overwhelming
performance of Praja Rajyam Party in 2009, from the AC, which lost with very less margin
and have greatly impacted the vote bank of opposition.
• The strongest Vote bank Turpu Kapu is still backing the JSP and hence that would add
strength to the chances of JSP candidate.
• After her loss in 2019, JSP candidate Lokam Madhavi stood firm and active and garnered
huge public support. As an owner of a software firm, she is financially very strong.
• She being a Brahmin and her Husband hails from the dominant Turpu Kapu Community,
better suits to the caste equation in AC.
• On the other hand, Baddukonda Appala Naidu is a three-time MLA from the AC, but is
struggling hard to build his own cadre. He was highly reliant on INC and YSRCP cadres in
the last elections.
Result:
Probable Winner – Lokam Naga Madhavi (JSP)
21. 018 Vizianagaram

Demography:

01 68 % 32 % 264 Turpu Kapu, Kshtriya
YSRCP Kolagatla Veera Bhadra Swamy Sitting MLA
TDP Aditi Vijayalakshmi Gajapathi Raju Political family

Hindu 96 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Christian 03 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 62 % -
Others - - -

Male 50 % 52 % 45 % 03 %
Female 50 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 54 % 43 % 03 %
30 – 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 48 % 04 %

Agri 52 % 47 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Kolagatla Veera Bhadra Swamy carries a very goodwill among the AC. He has the history of
defeating Ashok Gajapathi Raju, who was a very strong candidate, that too contesting as
independent candidate.
• The issues like lack of developmental activities and bad condition of roads and drainage
system in AC would negatively impact his vote bank.
• On the other hand Aditi Vijayalakshmi Gajapathi Raju, being the daughter of Ashoka
Gajapathi Raju is having very good support in AC. Despite losing earlier election with very
less margin, she was completely active in party programs in all these 05 years, hence
protecting her cadre and building new.
• The anti-incumbency and underdevelopment factors would affect winning chances of YSRCP
and benefit TDP.
• One Palavalasa Yashasvi of JSP also expected ticket in alliance. She also hails from the
noted political family. Despite not obtaining ticket, she seems to have cooperating with TDP
leadership.
Result:
Probable Winner – Aditi Vijayalakshmi Gajapathi Raju (TDP)
Vizianagaram Parliamentary Analysis

• Kilisetti Appalanaidu is a political trainer of TDP and is a senior leader who always worked
behind the curtains. Earlier he anticipated to contest from Etcherla AC, but TDP leadership
allotted him PC as Etcherla was being allotted to BJP in alliance terms.
• Being from Turpu Kapu community which is over 35 % in the PC, and his good terms with all
the alliance parties would help him to win PC seat very easily.
• Bellana Chandra Sekhar who won in 2019 only on Jagan Wave and Sympathy would loose
seat as both of them are dormant now.
Result: Kilisetti Appalanaidu

Margin: 120000 -150000
Vizianagaram PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP TDP YSRCP BJP JSP
Edge edge
4 0 0 1 1 1
PC Segment :- 4. Visakhapatnam
Area: Visakhapatnam District

YSRCP Botsa Jhansi Ex-MP
TDP Mathukumilli Sribharat
22. 019 Srungavarapukota

Demography:

05 76 % 24 % 270 Koppula Velama
YSRCP Kadubandi Srinivasarao Sitting MLA
TDP Kolla Lalitha Kumari Ex-MLA

Hindu 95 % 60 % 39 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 37 % 62 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 39% 02 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 64 % 34 % 02 %
30 – 50 57 % 42 % 01 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 81 % 18 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• The AC is a traditional Velama Caste seat and is a strong hold of TDP from the day of its
formation. But when compared Kadubandi Srinivasa Rao, who was an USA returnee is
considered less associated in AC.
• Kolla Lalitha Kumari, who also served as two-time MLA from the AC has very strong hold
both on constituency and TDP cadre. She lost 2019 election only due to Sympathy wave in
favour of YS Jaganmohan Reddy. She is likely to regain the seat again
Result:
Probable Winner – Kolla Lalitha Kumari (TDP)
23. 020 Bheemili

Demography:

04 81 % 19 % 335 Kapu , Yadava
YSRCP Muttamsetti Srinivasa Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Ganta Srinivasa Rao Ex-MLA

Hindu 97 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 28 % 71 % 01 %
Muslim - - - 01 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 47 % 52% 01 %
Female 52 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 56 % 41 % 04 %
30 – 50 49 % 50 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 52 % 01 %
Govt Emp 78 % 21 % 01 %
Observations:
• Bheemili is the largest constituency in the state.
• Kapu Voters which constitute 23 % in AC and 07 % vote bank of Yadava community had
stood firm with Muthamsetty Srinivasa Rao since many years. Muttamsetty Srinivas @ Avanti
Srinivas is also having good support in SC and BC Voters.
• On the other hand, TDP traditionally was very strong in the AC, while it won all elections
except 2 times in the AC after its institution. TDP both times lost against Muttamsetty
Srinivasa Rao, once when he is in PRP and again in 2019 while he contested on YSRCP
ticket. Despite that TDP still holds strong and dedicated cadre.
• Ganta Srinivasa Rao is considered as a weak candidate, who may benefit if in case of a
statewide TDP wave during the election time.
• Even JSP leadership Panchakarla Sandeep is also opposing the candidature to Ganta
Srinivasa Rao, as both TDP and JSP cadres demanded ticket one Korada Rajababu.
• TDP leadership initially thought to allot Cheepurupalli AC to Ganta Srinivasa Rao, but he
insisted party to give him ticket from Bheemili AC, which would cost the TDP party, one easy
seat.
Result:
Probable Winner – Muttamsetti Srinivasa Rao (YSRCP)
24. 021 Visakhapatnam East

Demography:

01 56 % % 44 % 282 Yadava
YSRCP MVV Satyanarayana MP
TDP Velagapudi Ramakrishna Babu Sitting MLA

Hindu 91 % 62 % 35 % 03 %
Christian 06 % 31 % 65 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 25 % 70 % 05 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 65 % 32% 03 %
Female 51 % 61 % 38 % 01 %

Below 30 66 % 30 % 04 %
30 – 50 58 % 41 % 01 %
Above 50 58 % 39 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 78 % 31 % 01 %
Govt Emp 75 % 21 % 04 %
Observations:
• Velagapudi Ramakrishna is a strong leader who stood against Jaganmohan Reddy wave in
2019. The financial strength of Kamma community in the region would benefit towards TDP.
• On the other hand, MVV Satyanaraya lost all good will due to his land grabbing activities and
misuse of his position as MP of Visakhapatnam. He got ticket only due to his close
association with V Vijayasai Reddy of YSRCP. YSRCP cadres also noticed to be discouraged
over his candidature.
• Allocation of Visakhapatnam South seat to JSP and North to BJP resulted in cooperation of
JSP cadre backed by Yadav community.
Result:
Probable Winner – Velagapudi Ramakrishna Babu (TDP)
25. 022 Visakhapatnam South

Demography:

01 08 % 92 % 236 Besta, Yadav, Christian
YSRCP Vasupalli Ganesh Kumar Sitting MLA
JSP Vamshi Krishna Srinivas Yadav Ex-MLC

Hindu 89 % 50 % 48 % 02 %
Christian 07 % 31 % 65 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 25 % 70 % 05 %
Others 01 % 75 % 25 %

Male 49 % 52 % 45% 03 %
Female 51 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Below 30 54 % 44 % 02 %
30 – 50 48 % 49 % 03 %
Above 50 51 % 46 % 03 %

Agri 49 % 50 % 01 %
Business 65 % 32 % 03 %
Govt Emp 72 % 25 % 03 %
Observations:
• Visakhapatnam South is one of the strongholds in the state. Present sitting MLA Vasupalli
Ganesh Kumar also won on TDP ticket in the last election, later he joined in YSRCP. Though
his migration TDP Cadre seems unmoved in the AC. Hence his migration would not damage
the TDP dominance.
• The Agnikula Kshtriya (Besta) Community and Christian community living nearby the Sea
Port area which falls under the constituency are noticed to be staunchly supporting YSRCP.
• Vamsi Krishna Srinivas Yadav of Janasena had earlier contested from Praja Rajyam Party in
Visakapatnam East. Being a film producer, he is financially strong, participates in social
service programs and notable figure in Yadav community.
• Janasena Cadre of the AC were noticed to be opposing his candidature due to local
groupism. But he is succefull in securing ticket, due to his close ties with Pawan Kalyan.
• JSP candidate is likely to sail through if, TDP cadres extends their full support.
Result:
Probable Winner – JSP has edge over YSRCP
26. 023 Visakhapatnam North

Demography:

01 04 % 96 % 271 Kshtriya, Kapu

YSRCP Kammula Kannaraju -
BJP Penmatsa Vishnu Kumar Raju -

Hindu 90 % 65 % 32 % 03 %
Christian 07 % 26 % 71 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 25 % 72 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 65 % 32% 03 %
Female 49 % 65 % 31 % 04 %

Below 30 66 % 32 % 02 %
30 – 50 62 % 37 % 01 %
Above 50 61 % 39 % -

Agri 58 % 39 % 03 %
Business 81 % 18 % 01 %
Govt Emp 77 % 21 % 02 %
Observations:
• Kshatriya community is backing BJP in the constituency and was been supporting TDP since
2014. On the similar equation Penmatsa Vishnu Kumar Raju won the AC in 2014 election,
during which TDP allied with NDA alliance and again is all set to emerge victorious.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vishnu Kumar Raju (BJP)
27. 024 Visakhapatnam West

Demography:
01 12 % 88 % 237 Kapu
YSRCP Adari Anand -
TDP Gana Venkata Reddy Naidu Pethakamsetti Sitting MLA

Hindu 92 % 62 % 36 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 41 % 55 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 64 % 35 % 01 %
Female 50 % 60 % 38 % 02 %

Below 30 65 % 28 % 01 %
30 – 50 60 % 37 % 03 %
Above 50 64 % 32 % 04 %

Agri 60 % 39 % 01 %
Business 84 % 15 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• PGVR Naidu @ Gana Babu is an influential Kapu leader in the are who stepped into politics
from PRP era. He holds a high following and goodwill among Kapu community voters which
constitutes about 23 % in the AC. He joined TDP in 2014 and emerged victorious in
continuous two terms, including in 2019 when Jagan wave was clearly visible in the whose
state.
• Adari Anand, though striving hard is not considered as a suitable candidate of the stature to
face strong leader like Gana Babu. Many YSRCP cadres opined that, nobody know him until
YSRCp declared him a seat and are accusing that, he is non-local.
Result:
Probable Winner – Pethakamsetti Gana Venkata Reddy Naidu (TDP)
28. 025 Gajuwaka

02 55 % 45 % 307 Kapu, Janasena Voters
YSRCP Gudiwada Amarnath Minister, MLA
TDP Palla Srinivasa Rao Ex-MLA
Hindu 89 % 67 % 31 % 02 %
Christian 07 % 52 % 41 % 07 %
Muslim 03 % 38 % 56 % 06 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 68 % 29 % 03 %
Female 51 % 65 % 34 % 01 %

Below 30 69 % 29 % 02 %
30 – 50 65 % 32 % 03 %
Above 50 64 % 34 % 02 %

Agri 62 % 37 % 01 %
Business 84 % 15 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 15 % -
Observations:
• This is one of the seats PRP bagged in 2009 due to Kapu factor. Palla Srinivas Rao served
a term in 2014 and had very strong cadre support and goodwill among the public.
• He lost 2019 election only because Pawan Kalyan had contested from this seat cutting off
major Kapu vote bank of TDP.
• Vizag Steel Plant falls under the AC and hence, it would negatively impact YSRCP.
• In addition to that, YSRCP cadre opined that, the candidate Gudivada Amarnath has
credibility in the area and hence they are discouraged with his candidature.
• Janasena Cadre who is very influential in the AC are very angry with Gudivada Amarnath
and they would energetically vote to alliance candidate (TDP).
Result:
Probable Winner – Palla Srinivasa Rao (TDP)
Visakhapatnam Parliamentary Analysis

• TDP candidate Mathukumilli Bharat is son-in-law of Nandamuri Bala Krishna and he is
financially sound. He carries huge following and goodwill among voters of Visakhapatnam
Parliament.
• He contested from the same PC in 2019 and lost with slander margin, only due to cross
voting to Janasena and Jayaprakash Narayana.
• The Visakhapatnam Voting psychology always chooses a high quality candidate traditionally,
for which Sribharat is perfectly fitting in.
• On the their hand, YSRCP candidate, Botsa JKhansi is wife of Botcha Satyanarayana and
had served as MP from Vizianagaram PC from 2009-14 and lost in 2014 both times on INC
ticket. It is considered that, for being dummies in YSRCP Botcha family lost its relevance in
Northern Andhra Politics and their legacy would no more work on ground.
Result: Mathukumilli Sribharath
Margin: 130000 -155000
Visakhapatnam PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP BJP Jasnasena edge
4 1 1 1
PC Segment :- 5. Anakapalli
Area: Visakhapatnam and Anakapalli Districts

YSRCP Budi Mutyala Naidu Minister
BJP CM Ramesh EX-MP (RS)
29. 026 Chodavaram

Demography:

04 72 % 28 % 243 Kshatriya
YSRCP Karanam Dharma Sri Sitting MLA
TDP KNSS Raju Ex-MLA

Hindu 94 % 44 % 55 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Female 49 % 42 % 56 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 50 % 02 %
30 – 50 45 % 54 % 01 %
Above 50 41 % 56 % 03 %

Agri 45 % 54 % 01 %
Business 58 % 41 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• Karanam Dharma Sri is a senior leader of the constituency and enjoys goodwill among Voters
of AC. He is known for his polite attitude towards cadre and leadership.
• Despite that, the issue od underdevelopment would affect his vote bank.
• On the other hand, KNSS Raju was infamous for illegal mining activities during his tenure as
MLA from 2014-2019. Many TDP cadres are naming him as Mining Raju. TDP cadres are
seen discouraged over his candidature and this would help YSRCP to grab this AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Karanam Dharamasri (YSRCP)
30. 027 Madugula

Demography:

04 78 % 22 % 235 Velama, Gavara
YSRCP Erli Anuradha Political family
TDP Bandaru Satyanarayana Raju Ex-Minister

Hindu 95 % 46 % 53 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 21 % 76 % 03 %

Male 50 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 50 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 50 % 48 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 46 % 51 % 01 %

Agri 45 % 53 % 02 %
Business 72 % 26 % 02 %
Govt Emp 75 % 25 % -
Observations:
• Erli Anuradha is daughter of Budi Mutyala Naidu, incumbent MLA of AC and also a ZPTC
having very good hold on AC. She belongs to Koppula Velama Community which is a major
community in the district. Besides that notable leaders of other populous communities like
Kapu, Gavara and Nagarapu traditionally stood behind Budi Mutyala Naidu family in the past
elections and still likely continue to render their support.
• Its has been discussed in AC that, Budi Mutyala Naidu wanted to retire and asked Jagan to
accommodate his daughter. On this, Jagan not only gave ticket to her daughter, but also
offered Budi Mutyala Naidu, Anakapalli MP seat, so as to bank their good will in whole PC.
Its said that this strategy of Jagan would work well as the Koppula Velama Community
constitutes nearly 1.3 lakh votes in Anakapalli District.
• On the other hand, Bandaru Satyanarayana Murthy had expected Pendurthi ticket and was
disgruntled over the party for allotting Pendurthi Ticket to Jana Sena Party. Only to pacify
him, he was allotted Madugula ticket, where one Paila Krishna Prasad was expected to be
contested from TDP. Paila Krishna Prasad would contest as independent as TDP rebel
candidate and cut the voting.
• Both TDP cadre and MLA Candidate are dissatisfied over the decision. This could become a
big set back for TDP and help YSRCP to an easy win.
Result:
Probable Winner – Erli Anuradha (YSRCP)
31. 030 Anakapalli

Demography:

02 68 % 32 % 251 Kapu, Gavara, Velama
YSRCP Malasala Bharath Kumar -
JSP Konathala Ramakrishna Ex-Minister

Hindu 95 % 64 % 35 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 21 % 76 % 03 %

Male 50 % 65 % 32 % 03 %
Female 50 % 61 % 35 % 04 %

Below 30 67 % 31 % 02 %
30 – 50 63 % 33 % 04 %
Above 50 65 % 33 % 02 %

Agri 61 % 37 % 02 %
Business 75 % 23 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• In alliance pact, Janasena allotted this ticket to konathala Ramakrishna, just after one month
of his joining in the party. Konathala Ramakrishna is a senior leader of Congress era and is
know for frequent jumps into various parties. He was elected two times from the same
constituency on INC ticket and is considered as a staunch political rival for TDP cadres.
Hence his candidature as paert of alliance is opposed by TDP leaders who expected ticket
from the AC. Meanwhile, the senior leadership of TDP in AC Dadi Veera Bhadra Rao
interfered, took responsibility and settled the disgruntlement.
• Janasena leadership who worked on ground for all these years are also discouraged over
the decision of giving ticket to the new comer.
• Konathala Ramakrishna belongs to Gavara community. So in addition to the Kapu vote bank,
who has been severely opposing Gudivada Anarnatha and YSRCP, Gavara vote bank also
would add to the alliance strength.
• From YSRCP, though the incumbent MLA Gudivada Amarnath lost good will in the AC, he
was sent to Gajuwaka, as is close aid of YV Subba Reddy. To replace him YV Subba Reddy
selected one Malasala Bharath Kumar to contest from AC. Malasala Bharath Kumar is young
and is completely unknown face in AC.
• In AC, YSRCP cadres are assuming that, YSRCP leadership lost confidence on winning the
seat and gave up by fielding an irrelevant candidate. It is also discussed that, YV Subba
Reddy and Gudiwada Amarnath don’t want to lose hold on AC, so fielding a dummy
candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Konathala Rama Krishna (JSP)
32. 031 Pendurthi

Demography:

04 68 % 32 % 279 Kapu, Velama
YSRCP Annamreddy Adeepraj Sitting MLA
JSP Panchakarla Ramesh Babu Ex-MLA

Hindu 94 % 47 % 50 % 03 %
Christian 04 % 32 % 67 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 18 % 78 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 47 % 52 % 03 %
Female 50 % 46 % 51 % 03 %

Below 30 51 % 47 % 02 %
30 – 50 45 % 52 % 03 %
Above 50 44 % 55 % 01 %
Agri 45 % 52 % 03 %
Business 71 % 28 % 01 %
Govt Emp 82 % 18 % -
Observations:
• In Sitting MLA Adeep Raj is having goodwill among cadre and YSRCP vote bank of AC.
However senior leaders of YSRCP are irritated over his attitude towards them. The
Panchagrama Land issue is the major issue in AC, where Adeep Raj was successfully
negotiated with CM for suitable settlement rehab plan. It appears that victims of
Panchagrama land issue are convinced with Adeep Raj as the matter is in purview of court.
• On the other hand Panchakarla Ramesh Babu is a senior politician and an influential Kapu
leader of the District. With the support of Kapu Community he won Elamanchili AC in 2014
and lost in 2019 due to cross voting of Kapu Votes to JSP. However, many voters of Kapu
community opined that they are dissatisfied over his frequent party changing politics. Even
Janasena Cadre are also not happy on his candidature as he joined the party in last quarter
of 2023.
• Though it appears that he lost relevance in Kapu votes, the magic combination of alliance
may help to overcome the bad image of Panchakarla Ramesh Babu.
Result:
Probable Winner – Annamreddy Adeepraj
33. 032 Elamanchili

Demography:

04 70 % 30 % 243 Kapu, Farmers
YSRCP U Venkata Ramanamurthy Raju @ Sitting MLA
Kanna Babu
JSP Sundarapu Vijay Kumar -

Hindu 94 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 05 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -
Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Elamanchili is considered as baston of TDP, and is having a seizable population of farmers.
The SEZ rehabilitation and Gangavaram Port are main electoral issues in the AC.
• Kanna Babu is a senior leader of the AC and had served three terms from Elamanchili AC.
He lost relevance in AC, as he failed to address the SEZ and Gangavaram port rehab issues.
In this backdrop, Janasena added enormous cadre to its vote bank in the AC.
• Influencial Kapu population is deciding factor in the AC.
• JSP contestant Sundarapu Vijay Kumar hass good support among Kapu community. He
entered into politics during PRP time and later joined TDP. He again joined JSP as TDP gave
ticket to Panchakarla Ramesh Babu in 2014. In 2019 he contested on JSP ticket which
resulted in loss to TDP.
• Strong YCP vote bank may also affect the margins. But most likely the alliance formula would
out likely work in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Sundarapu Vijay Kumar (JSP)
34. 033 Payakaraopet (SC)

Demography:

04 81 % 22 % 292 Velama, SC
YSRCP Kambala Jogulu -
TDP Vangalapudi Anitha Ex-MLA
Hindu 95 % 63 % 36 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 59 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 65 % 34 % 01 %
Female 51 % 61 % 38 % 01 %

Below 30 68 % 31 % 01 %
30 – 50 60 % 39 % 01 %
Above 50 62 % 37 % 01 %

Agri 63 % 36 % 01 %
Govt Emp 82 % 18 % -
Observations:
• Erli Kambala Joulu was incumbent MLA from Rajam AC. As he lost trust among the cadre in
Rajam AC and has been accommodated in Payakaraopet AC.The incumbent MLA of
Payakaraopet AC, Golla Babu Rao has been nominated for MP- Rajya Sabha.
• Even Golla Babu Rao also failed to satisfy the cadre and local leadership and could not add
new cadre to the party in AC.
• On the other hand Vangalapudi Anitha, a renowned for her fire brand politics had developed
good hold in public by participating in various anti-government programs. She served as MLA
for a term in 2014-19 from the same AC. TDP cadres are also energetic over the allocation.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vangalapudi Anitha (TDP)
35. 034 Narsipatnam

Demography:

04 75 % 25 % 262 Kapu, Velama
YSRCP Petla Umashankar Ganesh Sitting MLA
TDP Chintakayala Ayyanna Patrudu Ex-MLA

Hindu 94 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 27 % 70 % 03 %

Male 49 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 51 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 59 % 39 % 02 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 58 % 41 % 01 %
Business 75 % 24 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 18 % 02 %
Observations:
• Petla Uma Shakar Ganesh is facing severe anti-incumbency factor in the AC. The voters are
seen complaining over underdevelopment and irregular governance. The strong cadre of
YSRCP also are discouraged over the continuation of Petla Uma Shankar.
• On the other hand, Chintakayala Ayyanna Patrudu is a notable figure in state politics. TDP
cadre were initially discouraged over the news of allotment of seat to his son Chintakayala
Vijay. Cadre are assuming that Vijay is not the suitable candidate that could replace his father.
Result:
Probable Winner – Chintakalaya Ayyannapatrudu (TDP)
Anakapalli Parliamentary Analysis

• Anakapalli constituency is dominated by Koppla Velama caste which constitutes around 1.3
lakh vote strength in the PC and Budi Mutyala Naidu is a highly respectable leader among
the community.
• Other than Kapu, the popular castes in AC are Gavara and Nagarapu. These castes were
traditional vote bank of TDP till 2014 and due to the special concentration of YSRCP
leadership, now they are standing behind YSRCP. Especially Budi Mutyala Naidu is been
regarded as honest leader.
• On the other hand, BJP candidate CM Ramesh, is also from Velama Community. But in the
PC he is regarded as non-local person (belongs to Kadapa District) with no relevance in the
PC. His sole strength is his financial strength. TDP cadre in the AC are considering his as
the one who betrayed Chandra Babu Naidu. His association with infamous leaders like KNSS
Raju is adding negative impact on his prospects.
• The youth vote bank in Anakapalli PC is going to play crucial role in PC. 10 % youth have
registed the vote in PC. The privatization of Visakhapatnam Steel Plant issue would impact
the youth voting psyche, and hence BJP would likely face backlash in PC.
Result: Budi Mutyala Naidu (YSRCP)

Margin: 60000 - 80000
Anakapalli PC Segment Poll

PC YSRCP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP YSRCP edge
2 2 2 1
PC Segment :- 6. Kakinada
Area: Kakinada Districts

YSRCP Sunil Chalamalashetti -
JSP Tangella Uday Srinivas -
36. 035 Tuni

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 221 Kapu, SC
YSRCP Dadisetti Raja Sitting MLA
TDP Yanamala Divya Ex-MLA

Hindu 90 % 49 % 48 % 03 %
Christian 08 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 35 % 60 % 05 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 48 % 48 % 04 %
Female 51 % 50 % 49 % 01 %

Below 30 54 % 45 % 01 %
30 – 50 49 % 49 % 02 %
Above 50 47 % 52 % 01 %

Agri 47 % 50 % 03 %
Business 65 % 32 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 22 % 03 %
Observations:
• Earlier, Tuni is a strong baston for TDP since NTR era and Yanamala Ramakrishnudu was
elected continuously 4 times from AC and represented for over 20 years.
• From 2014, the AC slipped into the hands of YSRCP and 18.5 % of SC population stood
firmly in support of YSRCP. Dadisetti Raja is representing since last two terms both times
won against Yanamala Krishnudu, the brother of Yanamakla Ramakrishnudu.
• This time, TDP fielded Yanamala Divya, daughter of Yanamala Ramakrishnudu and with her
arrival TDP cadre was highly motivated with new vigor. Yanamala Divya is likely benefit from
the sympathy factor. Kapu vote bank transfer is the major factor that would decide her fate.
• Dadisetti Raja is facing anti-incumbency issue for nil development I the AC and the strong
cadre in SC community lost trust on Dadisetti Raja over his support to the land grabbers of
Church lands.
Result:
Probable Winner – Yanamala Divya (TDP)
37. 036 Prathipadu

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 227 OBC, Kapu
YSRCP Varupula Subba Rao Ex-MLA
TDP Varupula Satyaprabha -

Hindu 91 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 35 % 62 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 54 % 43 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 59 % 40 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 50 % 45 % 05 %

Agri 51 % 46 % 04 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 78 % 20 % 02 %
Observations:
• The politics in the district was always between Varupula family and Parvata family.
• Parvatha Purna Chandrarao is incumbent MLA, who is facing severe anti-incumbency and
has been denied ticket this time, leading to factions among YSRCP cadre.
• Varupula Raja was dynamic and strong leader of TDP who lost 2019 election with a mere
5000 Margin. In AC it was in discussion that Varupula Raja died due to agony over
harassment of YS Jagan Government, with fabricated cases. After death of Varupula Raja,
Varapula Satyaprabha his wife was made incharge of TDP and has been allotted ticket to
her.
• This sympathy factor is going to hugely impact along with the TDP cadre strength and JSP
alliance benefit.
• Varupula Subba Rao of YSRCP is a senior leader and ex-legislator from INC. he joined in
YSRCP and won on YSRCP ticket in 2014, but later joined TDP after elections. He again
rejoined YSRCP as TDP denied him ticket in 2019. He lost relevance in AC with his unstable
political stand.
Result:
Probable Winner – Varupula Satyaprabha (TDP)
38. 037 Pithapuram

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 242 OBC, Kapu
YSRCP Vanga Geetha MP
JSP Pawan Kalyan -

Hindu 90 % 67 % 30 % 03 %
Christian 08 % 32 % 64 % 04 %
Muslim 02 % 39 % 60 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 67 % 31 % 02 %
Female 51 % 67 % 30 % 03 %

Below 30 72 % 27 % 01 %
30 – 50 65 % 30 % 05 %
Above 50 56 % 42 % 02 %

Agri 62 % 35 % 03 %
Business 79 % 20 % 01 %
Govt Emp 78 % 21 % 01 %
Observations:
• Vanga Geetha is incumbent MP from Kakinada PC, who is noticed to have purely won on
Jagan wave and later failed to have any prominence of heself in the PC.
• Jaganmohan Reddy strategically fielded a female candidate with Kapu background to corner
Pawan Kalyan, the Chief of JSP. This strategy is very unlikely to work as Pawan Kalyan is
carrying huge sympathy and support base of kapu and young OBC vote bank across the
state. The similar voting psyche is visibly noticed in the AC confirming the huge majority likely
to Pawan Kalyan
Result:
Probable Winner – Pawan Kalyan (JSP)
39. 038 Kakinada Rural

Demography:

03 85 % 15 % 264 Kapu, OBC
YSRCP Kurusala Kannababu Sitting MLA
JSP Patnam Venkateswara Rao @ Nanaji -

Hindu 90 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 54 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 30 % 68 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 51 % 57 % 40 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 32 % 03 %
30 – 50 54 % 42 % 04 %
Above 50 54 % 43 % 03 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 24 % 01 %
Observations:
• Patnam Venkateswara Rao @ Nanaji is strongest leader who obtained 22 % vote share in
2019 elections, badly affecting the TDP prospects in the AC.
• Kurasala Kannababu is also from Kapu community and has political roots in Praja Rajyam
Party. But he is unlikely to get Kapu benefit as Kapu voters are more inclined towards JSP
candidate.
• Though it is learnt that TDP leadership is not cooperating with JSP at par with the
expectations, it is not going to damage JSP prospects in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Patnam Venkateswara Rao (JSP)
40. 039 Peddapuram

Demography:

02 90 % 10 % 200 Kapu
YSRCP Davuluri Dorababu -
TDP Nimmakayala China Rajappa Sitting MLA

Hindu 90 % 57 % 40 % 03 %
Christian 08 % 40 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 39 % 02 %
Female 51 % 57 % 40 % 03 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Agri 55 % 43 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• Peddapuram is traditional stronghold of TDP since many decades, though Kapu community
is having very strong impact on AC.
• TDP contestant Nimmakayala Chinna Rajappa is strong leader in AC and ale successfully
sailed through Jagan wave in 2019 holding the TDP fort in the AC.
• With the addition of JSP support, the majority of Nimmakalya Chinna Rajappa would likely
increase in the upcoming election.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nimmakayala Chinna Rajappa (TDP)
41. 041 Kakinada City

Demography:

01 12 88 % 233 Besta, Kapu
YSRCP Dwarampudi Chandra Sekhar Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Vanamadi Venkateswara Rao -

Hindu 90 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 56 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 58 % 04 %
Others 01 % 79 % 20 % 01 %

Male 49 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Female 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 55 % 43 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA Dwarampudi Chandra Sekhar Reddy is facing severe anti-incumbency in the AC
for serious allegations of corruption and also facing opposition from party cadre also.
• Vanamadi Venkateswar Rao @ Konda Babu belongs to Agnikula Kshatriya @ Besta
Community which has 45000 vote strength in the AC. He is also a two-time legislator and
hold good grip in various sections of AC.
• Additional Kapu vote transfer to TDP would likely impact, the margins. Pawan Kalyan
campaign in Kakinada had changed many calculations for upcoming elections.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vanamadi Venkateswara Rao (TDP)
42. 052 Jaggampeta

Demography:

04 89 % 11 % 247 Kapu
YSRCP Thota Narasimham Ex-MLA
TDP Jyothula Nehru Ex-MLA

Hindu 92 % 58 % 41 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Others -% - - -

Male 50 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 50 % 57 % 40 % 03 %
Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 54 % 43 % 03 %

Agri 52 % 45 % 03 %
Business 71 % 26 % 03 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Jyothula Nehru is most senior leader and a three-time legislator from AC, 2 times from INC
and in 2014 from YSRCP. After 2014 elections, he left YSRCP, joined TDP and contested on
TDP ticket in 2019, where YSRCP fielded Jyothula Chanti Babu, son of his brother.
• He lost against Chanti Babu as sympathy factor favoring Jagan worked well during 2019
elections.
• YSRCP, this time denied ticket to Chanti Babu and allocated ticket to Thota Narasimham,
another senior leader and two-times legislator from INC. He lost relevance in AC as he was
not at all active in AC.
• It is also learnt that Chanti Babu is furious over the ticket denial and is working in favour of
his uncle Nehru. One Patamshetti Surya Chandra Rao the strong JDP leader is also standing
in support of TDP candidate, which indicates the easy win to TDP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Jyothula Nehru (TDP)
Kakinada Parliamentary Analysis

• YSRCP Candidate Chalamalashetty Sunil belongs to Kapu Community and a businessman
who earlier contested three times once from Prajarajyam Party and two times from TDP ticket
in 2014, 2019.
• Sunil again joined in YSRCP and got replaced with Vanga Geetha, on whom he lost in 2019.
• Chalamalasetty Sunil is financially strong, Due to frequent shifts of political parties, he is
being considered as an opportunistic politician in the AC. In addition to that Incumbent
YSRCP MP Vanga Geetha’s failure in development aspects, also had damaged the
prospects of YSRCP in PC.
• On the other hand, Tangella Uday Srinivas, a young entrepreneur who is famously known as
“Tea Time” Uday Srinivas is contesting from JSP. He is known across the PC for his humble
background and success story. His association with Pawan Kalyan garnered good support
from Kapu community which consists of 32 % in the PC. Fresh face and positive goodwill
would likely lead him to victory.
Result: Tangella Uday Srinivas (JSP)

Margin: 70000 - 80000
Kakinada PC Segment Poll
PC JSP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP TDP edge
4 0 2 1
PC Segment :- 7. Amalapuram
Area: Konaseema District
Total Electors: 16 lakhs

YSRCP Rapaka Vara Prasad MLA
TDP Ganti Harish Madhur Political family
43. 042 Ramachandrapuram

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 239 Mala, Kapu
YSRCP Pilli Surya Prakash -
TDP Vassamshetty Subhash -

Hindu 88 % 49 % 50 % 01 %
Christian 11 % 31 % 68 % 01%
Muslim 01 % 30 % 68 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 48 % 59 % 03 %
Female 51 % 50 % 49 % 01 %
Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 49 % 49 % 02 %
Above 50 47 % 52 % 01 %

Agri 47 % 51 % 02 %
Business 62 % 36 % 02 %
Govt Emp 61 % 38 % 01 %
Observations:
• TDP contestant Vasamshetty Subhash belongs to Shetty Balija caste from Amalapuram AC.
Earlier, he served from YSRCP and is a prime suspect in Konaseema clashes on the
backdrop of naming it as Ambedkar District. He left YSRCP over the ZP Chairman ticket to
his mother and joined TDP in 2023. Though he is contesting from TDP, he is having
considerable support base from Janasena cadre. Despite of that he is seen as Rowdy
Sheeter in AC.
• Pilli Surya Prakash is son of Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose, senior leader of YSRCP and
incumbent MP/ RS. He lacks direct political experience and is considered as weak candidate
in the fray. His only hope is Jagan image and YSRCP cadre base.
• It is to be noted that, Vasamshetty Subhash though famous man in upper castes, lower
castes especially mala caste having 15 % vote bank in AC, is considering him as threat.
Hence SC voters would stand firm on behalf of YSRCP candidate.
• TDP cadre were noticed to be a little discouraged over selection of Subhash, setting aside
senior leadership like Reddy Subrahmanyam. Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose goodwill is adding
to slight edge to YSRCP
Result:
Probable Winner – Slight edge to Pilli Sura Prakash (YSRCP)
44. 043 Mummidivaram

Demography:

04 85 % 15 % 268 Mala, Besta
YSRCP Ponnaada Venkata Satish Kumar Sitting MLA
TDP Datla Subba Raju @ Buchi Babu -
Hindu 88 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 12 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Muslim - - - -
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Female 51 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 60 % 37 % 03 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 47 % 52 % 01 %

Agri 52 % 47 % 01 %
Business 64 % 35 % 01 %
Govt Emp 75 % 21 % 04 %
Observations:
• The AC is dominated by SC voters comprising 72000 vote share and next to that, OBC vote
bank dominated by Agnikula Kshatriya comprises about 47000 votes. Balija and Kapu also
have about 70000 vote strength in the AC.
• YSRCP sitting MLA, Ponnaada Venkata Saitsh Kumar belongs to Besta @ Agnikula
Kshatriya community. He won the earlier election with the support of SC votes which were
traditional vote bank of YSRCP. He is facing sever anti-incumbency for his corruption and
under development in AC.
• JSP candidate bagged almost 18 % of votes and drastically affected the TDP winning
chances. Present alliance between TDP and JSP had enhanced the winning chances of TDP
candidate to a very larger extant.
Result:
Probable Winner – Datla Subba Raju (TDP)
Probable Margin – .18000 - 20000
45. 044 Amalapuram (SC)

Demography:

03 85 % 15 % 234 Mala, Kapu
YSRCP Pinipe Vishwarup Sitting MLA
TDP Aithabathula Anandarao -

Hindu 87 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 12 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 35 % 63 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Female 51 % 54 % 44 % 02 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 52 % 47 % 01 %
Business 70 % 28 % 02 %
Govt Emp 75 % 24 % 01 %
Observations:
• Pinipe Vishwarup served as Minister in incumbent YSRCP government. Though this Pinipe
Vishwarup garnered negative image in the Ac especially in Sc community voters for being
unavailable to them. Nil development and mismanagement of administration further
damaged his prospects
• Aithabathula Anandarao is a senior politician in Ac hand holds good image for developmental
activities in AC while he was representing its legislator.
• During last election, JSP leader Shettybathula Raja Babu got 27 % votes mostly comprising
of constituting Kapu and Shetti Balija Votes.
• Along with the positive image of Aithabathula Anandarao, the strength of JSP would add
additional vigour to the TDP prospects and lead it to an easy victory.
Result:
Probable Winner – Aithabathula Anandarao (TDP)
46. 045 Rajole (SC)
Demography:

04 85 % 15 % 205 Kapu, Mala
YSRCP Gollapalli Surya Rao -
JSP Deva Vara Prasad -

Hindu 88 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Christian 12 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Muslim - - - -
Others - - -

Male 49 % 58 % 41 % 01 %
Female 51 % 57 % 51 % 02 %

Below 30 63 % 35 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 53 % 46 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 46 % 01 %
Business 70 % 28 % 02 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• 32 % Kapu Vote bank in the AC is going to decide the fate of candidates in the AC.
• TDP Candidate Deva Vara Prasad is a retired IAS officer and carries a good personal image
in the AC
• Sitting MLA of AC, Rapaka Vara Prasad elected from JSP ticket in 2019, purely with Kapu
vote strength. After the election he joined YSRCP and JSP cadre are very furious over his
decision. Presently Rapaka Vara Prasad is contesting as MP candidate for Amalapuram from
YSRCP.
• On the other hand Gollapalli Surya Rao is a senior TDP leader, who left the party and joined
YSRCP for ticket. He relevance is no more in present scenario.
• The Kapu vote bank once again likely stand with JSP candidate and this would lead to the
victory of Deva Vara Prasad.
Result:
Probable Winner – Deve Vara Prasad (JSP)
47. 046 Gannavaram (SC)

Demography:

04 85 % 15 % 212 Kapu, Mala
YSRCP Vipparthi Venugopal -
JSP GiddiS Satya Narayana -

Hindu 89 % 50 % 48 % 02 %
Christian 09 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 35 % 64 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Female 51 % 49 % 50 % 01 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 48 % 50 % 02 %
Above 50 47 % 21 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 52 % 01 %
Business 68 % 28 % 04 %
Govt Emp 67 % 31 % 02 %
Observations:
• Incumbent MLA Kondeti Chitti Babu was facing severe opposition from his own party cadre.
Due to inactivity of YSRCP, TDP gained huge cadre in AC. YSRCP leadership to save their
face from blame of under development, denied ticket to incumbent and allocated ticket to
one Vipparthi Venugopal, who served as ZP Chairman for Konaseema District, having wide
exposure and political connections across the AC.
• Initially TDP allotted ticket to one Rajesh Mahasena, a social media activist, which faced
severe backlash from JSP cadre for his earlier comments on Pawan Kalyan and Kapu
community.to appease JSP cadre, this seat was allocated to JSP.
• JSP fielded Giddi Satya Narayana who served as an accounts officer in DGP office and
rendered voluntary resignation.
• On cards JSP candidate is appearing very weak, but when considered the 2019 voting JSP
is strong in the AC.
• The ticket allotment issue between TDP and JSP is appearing to have affected the winning
chances of alliance candidate in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vipparthi Venugopal Rao (YSRCP)
48. 047 Kothapeta

Demography:

04 85 % 15 % 262 Kapu
YSRCP Cheerla Jaggireddy Sitting MLA
TDP Bandaru Satyananda Rao Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Christian 10 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 40 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 62 % 35 % 03 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 70 % 27 % 03 %
Observations:
• Incumbent MLA Cheerla Jaggireddi is a three-time legislator who won 2014 election purely
on YS Jagan sympathy in AC. In 2019 though has a stronger Jagan wave, lost 6 % vote
share, due to his corrupt practices in AC.
• TDP candidate Bandaru Satyananda Rao lost last election only due to cross voting by JSP,
where JSP fielded his own brother Bandaru Srinivas. This time Bandaru Srinivas extended
his full support to his brother’s candidature.
• TDP and JSP alliance is the main driving factor for alliance candidate to win the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bandaru Satyananda Rao (TDP)
49. 048 Mandapeta

Demography:

03 85 % 15 % 220 Kapu
YSRCP Thota Trimurthulu MLC
TDP V Jogeswara Rao Sitting MLA

Hindu 88 % 58 % 41 % 01 %
Christian 11 % 48 % 51 % 01 %
Muslim 01 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 40 % 01 %
Female 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %

Below 30 63 % 34 % 03 %
30 – 50 56 % 43 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 49 % -

Agri 55 % 43 % 02 %
Business 70 % 28 % 02 %
Govt Emp 70 % 27 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Thota Trimurthulu is serving as MLC from YSRCP. He is infamous for the
case of atrocity against Dalits, for which he was awarded jail term by a local court. The dalit
population who are traditional vote bank of YSRCP is opposing his candidature in AC.
• TDP contestant is sitting MLA who is a very strong leader in the AC and winning since three
terms. He withstood both Jagan Wave and JSP cross voting collectively in 2019 election.
• TDP strong presence, clean image of Jogeswara Rao and in addition JSP strength would
result in huge victory of TDP in the election.
Result:
Probable Winner – V Jogeswara Rao (TDP)
Amalapuram Parliamentary Analysis

• Rapaka Vara Prasad who served as MLA of Razole, was allocated with PC ticket. He was
elected on JSP ticket and later shifted to YSRCP. For the same reason he is facing severe
opposition from Kapu community and JSP cadre are highly keen on teaching him a lesson
for his betrayal.
• TDP contestant Ganti Harish Madhur is a political heir of GMC Balayogi who is very popular
leader in region. The legacy of GMC Balayogi and strong Kapu vote bank likely to stand
behind JSP voting would steer him towards victory in PC.
Result: Ganti Harish Mathur (TDP)
Margin: 80000 - 100000
Amalapuram PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP YSRCP edge
4 1 1 1
-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-
PC Segment :- 8. Rajahmundry
Area: East Godavari District

YSRCP Guduru Srinivas -
BJP Daggubati Purandhareswari -
INC Gidugu Rudra Raju
50. 040 Anaparthy

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 228 Kapu, Reddy
YSRCP Sathi Suryanarayana Reddy -
BJP Nallamilli Ramkrishna Reddy -

Hindu 90 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 46 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 32 % 68 % -
Others - - -

Male 50 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 51 % 47 % 02 %
Business 74 % 24 % 02 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Nallamilli Ramakrishna Reddy served a term as TDP MLA from 2014-2019, during which he
developed a very huge goodwill in AC with his famous public interaction program named
Mana Intiki Mana MLA (Our MLA visiting our home). Initially he was announced as TDP
candidate from the AC, but later the seat was adjusted to BJP as an alliance pact. Nallimilli
Ramakrishna Reddy revolted against party for the development and strived hard to retain the
ticket. BJP leadership joined Nallimilli Ramakrishna Reddy into the party and allocated the
ticket, as his cooperation is much needed for winning Rajahmundry PC where BJP chief
Purandhareswari had been contesting.
• The positive image of Nallimilli, coordinated vote bank of TDP, BJP and JSP would drive
alliance candidate to cross Majority.
• Sathi Suryanarayana Reddy lost goodwill in AC for his authoritarian attitude, especially in
harassing TDP cadre with fabricated cases.
• Pendyala Nalini Kumar who is an influential Kamma leader in Rangampeta Mandal of AC is
noticed to have in non-cooperation with Nallimalli Ramakrishna Reddy, which would affect
the majority of BJP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nallimalli Ramakrishna Reddy (BJP)
51. 049 Rajanagaram

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 239 Mala, Kapu
YSRCP Jakkampudi Raja Indrvandit Sitting MLA
JSP Bathula Balaram Krishna -

Hindu 90 % 44 % 52 % 02 %
Christian 09 % 28 % 69 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -
Male 50 % 42 % 54% 04 %
Female 50 % 44 % 55 % 01 %

Below 30 46 % 51 % 03 %
30 – 50 44 % 55 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 64 % 35 % 01 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Rajanagaram has been very stronghold fro TDP party with strong cadre. One Boddu
Venkataramana Chowdhary, TDP incharge has been worked on ground to activate the cadre
since last 4 years. Though TDP cadre got discouraged over the decision of allotment of seat
to JSP, which does not have active cadre and suffering lack of prominent figure to represent,
Boddu Venkataraman Chowdary extended her unconditional support to the decision and
appeased the cadre.
• Though TDP leadership and cadre are rendering good cooperation to JSP, its candidate
Bathula Balaram Krishna was failing to mingle with TDP cadre. This would prove to be a huge
set back to the alliance prospects in AC. It is to be noted that Bathula Balaram Krishna is
also an earlier associate of Jakkampudi Raja.
• YSRCP sitting MLA Jakkampudi Raja created a mass image in AC and enhanced his own
cadre base. Though he is facing serious opposition from voters over illegal activities like
encouraging cricket betting, drug pedaling, mining and under development, weak opposition
candidature by JSP would benefit him and he would easily sail through.
Result:
Probable Winner – Jakkampudi Raja (YSRCP)
52. 050 Rajahmundry City

Demography:

01 90 % 10 % 225 Turpu Kapu
YSRCP Margani Bharat Incumbent MP
TDP Adireddy Vasu -

Hindu 88 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 10 % 48 % 50 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 56 % 43 % 01 %
Female 50 % 57 % 41 % 02 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01 %
30 – 50 54 % 45 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 52 % 46 % 02 %
Business 64 % 32 % 04 %
Govt Emp 68 % 30 % 02 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Margani Bharat is sitting MP of Rajahmundry, won in 2019 purely on
Jaganmohan Reddy sympathy factor and he lost relevance in PC with his immature political
comments on opponents.
• Rajahmundry on the other hand is TDP is very strong in Rajahmundry AC, where Turpu Kapu
community dominates vote strength. Adireddy Bhavani who is sitting MLA of TDP in ac, is
daughter of Kinjarapu Acthennaidu, State President of TDP. Hence hold strong affinity with
TDP cadre across AC.
• This time TDP is fielding Adiraeddy Vasu, husband of Adireddy Bhavani, who has good
exposure and grip on AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Adireddy Vasu (TDP)
53. 051 Rajahmundry Rural

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 263 Kapu, OBC
YSRCP Chelluboina Venugopala Krishna Minister
TDP Gorantla Butchaiah Chowdary Sitting MLA

Hindu 88 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Christian 10 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 56 % 41 % 03 %
Female 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 37 % 01 %
30 – 50 54 % 45 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 46 % 01 %
Business 65 % 32 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 27 % 02 %
Observations:
• Rajahmundry Rural is very stronghold of TDP and Gorantla Butchiah Chowdary got elected
from the seat two consecutive terms, both times breaking the Jagan Wave. In 2019 he also
withstood Janasena Cross voting factor which broke away 22.6 % votes.
• Presently as TDP and JSP are in alliance, the additional vote strength would likely to enhance
the majority of Butchaiah Chowdary.
• Chelluboina Venu Gopala Krishna is a OBC leader of YSRCP, has lost relevance for being
arubber stamp of YSRCP Reddy leadership.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gorantla Butchaiah Chowdary (TDP)
54. 054 Kovvur (SC)
Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 181 SC, Kapu
YSRCP Talari Venkata Rao MLA
TDP Muppidi Venkateswara Rao -

Hindu 90 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 46 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 32 % 68 % -
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 55 % 44 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 51 % 47 % 02 %
Business 74 % 24 % 02 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• It may be noted that YSRCP and TDP both parties fielded non-locals who together contested
from Gopalapuram AC since a decade. Muppidi Venkateswara Rao served a term in
Gopalapuram from 2014 and lost to Talari Venkat Rao in 2019. Talari in Gopalapuram AC.
• Talari Venkat Rao, who was facing sever anti-incumbency in his AC is being bought to Kovvur
AC by YSRCP leadership. TDP strategically followed the same.
• Kovvur being TDP stronghold Muppidi Venkateswara Rao is having huge chances of victory.
Result:
Probable Winner – Muppidi Venkateswara Rao (TDP)
55. 055 Nidadavole

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 209 SC, Kapu
YSRCP G Srinivas Naidu Sitting MLA
JSP Kandula Durgesh -

Hindu 90 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 56 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 58 % 04 %
Others 01 % 79 % 20 % 01 %

Male 49 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Female 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 52 % 45 % 03 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 52 % 46 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• JSP contestant Kandula Durgesh contested from Rajahmundry Rural in 2019 and secured
almost 22 % votes. In Nidadavole also JSP candidate in 2019 secured 14 % votes and further
cutting the TDP vote bank.
• Sitting MLA G Srinivas Naidu lost goodwill among voters in AC and facing anti-incumbency
for under development, rampant corrupt activities and mismanaged governance.
• As JSP cadre strength joins additionally to TDP dedicated cadres alliance candidate is likely
to win with good margins.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kandula Durgesh (JSP)
56. 066 Gopalapuram (SC)

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 248 Kamma, Kapu
YSRCP Taneti Vanita Minister
TDP Maddipati Venkata Raju -

Hindu 90 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Christian 08 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 59 % 03 %

Male 49 % 48 % 50 % 02 %
Female 51 % 49 % 50 % 01 %

Below 30 56 % 43 % 01 %
30 – 50 47 % 50 % 03 %
Above 50 46 % 51 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 53 % 01 %
Business 67 % 30 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 23 % 02 %
Observations:
• As incumbent MLA Talari Venkat Rao was facing opposition from own cadre. Jagan Mohan
Reddy replaced him with Taneti Vanitha, who elected from Kovvur AC and served as Home
Minister. Taneti Vanitha earlier in 2019 elected as legislator from TDP party.
• The victory of the candidate in this Ac is dependent on 17 % Kamma and 13 % Kapu Vote
bank, which is likely to choose TDP candidate.
• TDP contestant Maddipati Venkata Raju is a fresh face without any political experience and
neither any negative image.
• Voters in AC are noticed to be disappointed over under development. Though, YSRCP is
having very strong cadre and in addition personal image of Taneti Vanitha would likely hold
seat to YSRCP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Maddipati Venkata Raju (TDP)
Rajahmundry Parliamentary Analysis

• Guduri Srinivas is a renowned Cardiologist in Rajahmundry belonging to Setti Balija caste.
He carries goodwill among voters of Rajahmundry. Initially YSRCP planned to field him from
Rajahmundry AC. But to accommodate Margani Bharat, Guduri Srinivas has been allocated
PC seat.
• . Daggubati Purandhareshwari, being BJP chief is a renowned figure across state. Voters of
PC would chose him over YSRCP candidate as she belongs to national party, which is likely
to form government at the center.
• Strong TDP and JSP strength would likely enhance the winning chances of Daggubati
Purandhareswari.
Result: Daggubati Purandhareswari (BJP)
Margin: 80000 - 90000
Rajahmundry PC Segment Poll
PC BJP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP BJP
3 2 1 1
PC Segment :- 9. Narasapuram
Area: West Godavari District

YSRCP Pavan Valavala -
BJP Bhupatiraju Srinivas Varma -
57. 056 Achanta

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 186 Kapu, Balija
YSRCP Cherukuvada Sri Ranganadha Raju Sitting MLA
TDP Pithani Satya Narayana Ex-MLA

Hindu 90 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 46 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 32 % 68 % -
Others - - -

Male 50 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 51 % 47 % 02 %
Business 74 % 24 % 02 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Cherukuvada Sri Ranganadha Raju earlier represented erstwhile Attilli AC in 2004 and after
a gap in politics joined YSRCP and won from Achanta AC in 2019, benefiting from Jagan
Wave.
• Pithani Satya Narayana is a two-term MLA and is very strong leader in the AC. Under his
leadership Achanta became a fortress of TDP and TDP lost ACin 2019 only because of the
cross voting to Janasena Party.
• Alliance between JSP and TDP would likely favor the prospects of YDC candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Pithani Satya Narayana (TDP)
58. 057 Palakollu

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 189 Kapu, OBC
YSRCP Gudala Srihari Gopala Rao -
TDP Nimmala Rama Naidu Sitting MLA

Hindu 88 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Christian 10 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 56 % 41 % 03 %
Female 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 37 % 01 %
30 – 50 54 % 45 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 46 % 01 %
Business 65 % 32 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 27 % 02 %
Observations:
• Palakollu is TDP strong fortress where NImmala Rama Naidu is continuously winning since
last three terms. Even in 2019 TDP in Palakollu emerged victorious even JSP broke 21 %
vote share along with strongest Jagan wave across the state.
• Gudala Srihari Gopal Rao is a aqua business magnate. But in politics, he is completely
unmatching candidate to Nimmala Rama Naidu, with poor oratory and campaigning skills.
He is completely dependent on Jagan Image and no notable self-strategy.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nimmala Rama Naidu (TDP)
59. 058 Narasapuram

Demography:

02 80 % 20 % 169 Kapu, Besta
YSRCP Mudunuri Prasad Raju Sitting MLA
JSP Bommidi Nayakar -

Hindu 89 % 60 % 39 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 37 % 62 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 39% 02 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 64 % 34 % 02 %
30 – 50 57 % 42 % 01 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 81 % 18 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Bommidi Nayakar is from Matyasakar @ Agnikula Kshatriya Community and a notable figure
across the AC where Besta community votes play prominent role in AC. He contested from
Narasapuram AC and in short time he managed to get 34 % votes pushing down TDP to third
place.
• Hence his candidature from alliance would likely encash his image along with 25% fixed TDP
vote bank in AC.
• Sitting YSRCP MLA Mudunuri Prasad Raju is facing anti-incumbency for under development
and failure to address poll promises. The YSRCP cadre are also unhappy with his
candidature.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bommidi Nayakar (JSP)
60. 059 Bhimavaram

Demography:

02 80 % 20 % 233 Kapu, Kshatriya
YSRCP Grandhi Srinivas Sitting MLA
JSP Pulaparthi Ramajineyulu @Anji Babu -

Hindu 94 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Christian 05 % 38 % 58 % 04 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 46 % 02 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 11 % 03 %
Observations:
• Pulaparthi Ramanjineyulu @ Anji Babu is a senior leader from this AC, Who represented AC
for two terms, once in 2009 from INC and again in 2014 from TDP. He also contested in 2019,
but lost due to huge vote cut, as JSP Chief Pawan Kalyan fielded from here. After 2019
elections he joined JSP and now contesting from JSP ticket. TDP background awarded his
good support from TDP cadre and in addition Strong Janasena cadre would likely steer him
to victory this time.
• YSRCP contestant Grandhi Srinivas, despite being most senior politician is way more
considered as outdate politician by the party cadre. He won 2019 as the anti-Jagan vote was
divided hugely between TDP and JSP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Pulaparthy Ramanjineyulu (JSP)
61. 060 Undi

Demography:

05 80 % 20 % 238 Kapu, Kshatriya
YSRCP PVL Narasimha Raju -
TDP Kanumuri Raghu Rama Krisha Raju MP
All India Bloc Vetukuri Venkata Siva Rama Raju Ex MLA

Hindu 92 % 49 % 46 % 05 %
Christian 07 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 48 % 45 % 07 %
Female 49 % 49 % 45 % 06 %
Below 30 55 % 41 % 04 %
30 – 50 48 % 45 % 07 %
Above 50 45 % 48 % 07 %

Agri 49 % 45 % 06 %
Business 62 % 25 % 13 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• TDP Contestant Kanumuri Raghu Ramakrishnam Raju represented Narasapuram PC from
YSRCP from 2019 and rebelled after the elections. He joined TDP and is having sympathy
among TDP cadres in the AC.
• Vetukuri Venkata Siva Rama Raju is the senior most leader from TDP having a wide exposure
and support base in TDP cadre base. He won two times from Undi AC with huge Majorities
and lost PC election in 2019 against Karumuri Raghu Rama Krishna Raju, with mere 3 %
votes.
• On denial of ticket he rebelled against TDP leadership and is contesting as a candidate from
All India Bloc. He is likely cut down atleast 05-07 % of TDP votes.
• Though cross voting TDP is having a record cadre of almost 50 % vote share in AC, which
would help Raghu Ramakrishna Raju to sail through and achieve victory.
• YSRCP contestant PVL Narasimha Raju purely depends on Jagan Image and YSRCP fixed
vote bank.
Result:
Probable Winner – Karumuri Raghu Ramakrishna Raju (TDP)
62. 061 Tanuku

Demography:

03 80 % 20 % 231 OBC, Kshatriya
YSRCP Karumuri Venkata Nageswara Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Arimilli Radha Krishna MP

Hindu 89 % 63 % 36 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 33 % 64 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 59 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 65 % 34 % 01 %
Female 51 % 62 % 37 % 01 %

Below 30 68 % 31 % 01 %
30 – 50 60 % 39 % 01 %
Above 50 62 % 37 % 01 %

Agri 63 % 35 % 02 %
Business 80 % 19 % 01 %
Govt Emp 82 % 15 % 03 %
Observations:
• Tanuku is stronghold of TDP from where Arimilli Radha Krishna won with 30000 Majority in
2014. In 2019, with the participation of JSP candidate Pasupuleti Venkata Rama Rao who
cut down 17 % voting, he lost with mere 2000 votes. In the absence of JSP he would have
successfully sustained Jagan Wave. This election whereJSP and TDP coming together would
benefit TDP candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Arimilli Radha Krishna (TDP)
63. 062 Tadepalligudem

Demography:

02 80 % 20 % 208 OBC, Kapu
YSRCP Kottu Satya Narayana Sitting MLA
JSP Bolllisetty Srinivas -

Hindu 93 % 59 % 39 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 35 % 62 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 38 % 03 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 60 % 38 % 02 %
30 – 50 60 % 37 % 03 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 80 % 19 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 15 % 05 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Kottu Satya Natrayana is senior politician in the AC, though lost goodwill
among voters due to YSRCP failures to address the local issues and under development. A
strong anti-incumbency wave Is noticed in the AC.
• In 2019 elections TDP and JSP got 32 % and 21 % vote share which combinedly is 53 %
where YSRCP candidate won with 43 % vote share.
• In 2019 Bollishetty Srinivas contested from JSP, hence the alliance formula would
successfully work on ground.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bollishetty Srinivas (JSP)
Narasapuram Parliamentary Analysis

• Bhupati Raju Srinivasa Varma is State Secretary of AP BJP, who was almost away from
electoral politics. He last time contested from Narasapuram PC in 2009.
• Initially it was assumed that Narasapuram MP seat would be allocated to Kanumuri Raghu
Ramakrishna Raju but due to severe opposition from BJP state leadership, BJP decided to
field Bhupati Raju Srinivas Varma.
• Srinivas Vama is known for his humble background. His clear image and cadre strength of
TDP and JSP would likely lead him to win PC election.
Result:
Probable: Bhupati Raju Srinivasa Varma (BJP)
Margin: 65000 - 80000
Narasapuram PC Segment Poll

PC BJP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP BJP
4 0 3 -
PC Segment: 10. Eluru

Area: Visakhapatnam and Anakapalli Districts

YSRCP Karumuri Sunil Kumar Yadav -
TDP Putta Mahesh Yadav -
64. 063 Unguturu

Demography:

04 89 % 11 % 213 Kapu, Mala (SC)
YSRCP Pappula Srinivasrao Vasu Babu Sitting MLA
JSP Patsamatla Dharma Raju -

Hindu 87 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -
Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• 21.08 % SC vote bank constituting 48000 votes in which Mala votes constitute approximately
41000 and Kapus constitute about 44000 vote in AC.
• Pappula Vasu Babu is from Kapu community and has good hold among the communities in
AC. The huge SC vote bank which are traditional voters of YSRCP is adding to his strength.
• On the other hand, JSP candidate Dharma Raju is a new comer into politics and completely
lack oratory and communication skills. Due to his inexperience, he could not able to get
associated with TDP and BJP leaders. Being from Kshatriya community, he is failing to grab
attention of Kapu vote bank also.
• TDP is very strong in the AC and its leader Ganni Veeranjaneyulu is having huge mass
following, TDP cadre were confident over his victory, but later got hugely discouraged due to
allotment of seat to Janasena Party in alliance pact. Though this Ganni Veeranjaneyulu had
extended his complete support to JSP candidate, but Dharma Raju is failing to cope up.
Result:
Probable Winner – Pappula Vasu Babu (YSRCP)
65. 065 Denduluru

Demography:

04 90 % 10 % 239 Kamma
YSRCP Kotaru Abbayya Chowdary Sitting MLA
TDP Chintamaneni Prabhakar -
Hindu 89 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 09 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 28 % 72 % -
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 37 % 01 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 45 % 02 %
Business 78 % 21 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 14 % 01 %
Observations:
• The AC is dominated by Kamma and Mala caste people. Kamma Community traditionally
stood behind both INC and TDP, while SC community stood behind IND followed by YSRCP.
• YSRCP has very strong cadre base in AC, but the statewide anti-Jagan wave is seen in AC.
• The image of Abayya Chowdary got tarnished due to Sand Mafia allegations and the under
development, bas road conditions etc is going to impact badly on the YSRCP voting.
• The traditional voting of YSRCP, Mala and Besta communities are noticed to be showing
uninterested in Abayya Chowdary.
• On the other hand, Chintamaneni Prabhkar is famous mass leader in the AC and also having
sympathy of loss in the last election.
• A huge TDP wave is noticed in the AC
Result:
Probable Winner – Chintamaneni Prabhakar (TDP)
66. 064 Eluru

Demography:

2 72 % 28 % 208 Kapu
YSRCP Alla Kali Krishna Srinivas Sitting MLA
TDP Badeti Radha Krishna -

Hindu 89 % 53 % 46 % 1%
Christian 07 % 39 % 60 % 01 %
Muslim 04 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 54 % 41 % 05 %
Female 51 % 53 % 42 % 05 %

Below 30 62 % 35 % 03 %
30 – 50 54 % 42 % 04 %
Above 50 52 % 45 % 03 %

Agri 51 % 45 % 04 %
Business 75 % 23 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Kapu and Turpu Kapu are dominant community having 40,000 votes in the AC.
• Alla Kali Krishna Srinivas @ Alla Nani holds very strong support from the YSRCP cadre in
the AC. But the Kapu Voters would prefer alliance despite the stature of candidate.
• Badeti Radha Krishna @ Chanti of TDP took over the party responsibility with the death of
his brother Badeti Kota Ramarao @ Bujji. Badeti Bujji served as MLA from 2014 and have
contested on TDP ticket in 2019 elections. The sympathy factor also would work in his favour.
• Reddy Appla Naidu of Jana sena is an influential leader in Turpu Kapu community and also
having communist labour union background. The votes of Turpu Kapu community is also
likely get added to alliance and would contribute to the victory of TDP candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Badeti Radha Krishna (TDP)
67. 067 Polavaram (ST)
Demography:

07 90 % 10 % 283 Kapu, Koya
YSRCP Tellam Rajalakshmi Political Family
JSP Chirri Balaraju -

Hindu 93 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 31 % 67 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 55 % 42 % 03 %
Female 52 % 54 % 45 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 46 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Koya is most populous community in AC, while Kapus are dominant community having huge
impact across 04 mandals in the AC.
• Tellam Rajalakshmi is wife of Tellam Balaraju who is an incumbent MLA from YSRCP who is
popular and influential leader in the AC and agency area. During the last tenure his image
has been tarnished due to illegal mining activities and failure toa address the Polvaram
rehabilitation issues. Raja Lakshmi served as a school teacher earlier and also having very
good knowledge over constituency.
• On the other hand, Chirri Balraju has vast support from Kapu community as he is supported
by influential Kapu leaders in the AC.
• Earlier TDP was confident on winning the seat under the leadership of one Borgam Srinivasa
Rao, who contested and lost in 2019. As the seat was allotted to JSP in alliance pact, TDP
leadership became highly noncooperative. Later, the issues had been settled with the
interference of senior leadership of both the parties.
• The strength of Kapu community would play key role and the negative image of Tellam
Balraju would impact voting in favour of alliance candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Chirri Balraju (JSP)
68. 068 Chintalapudi (SC)

Demography:

04 90 % 10 % 271 Kapu, Mala, Madiga
YSRCP Kambham Vijaya Raju -
TDP Songa Roshan -
INC Unnamatla Eliza -

Hindu 89 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 11 % 47 % 48 % 05 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 47 % 51 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 11 % 04 %
Observations:
• Chintalapudi is considered as strong baston for TDP. But with the migration of Kotagiri family
to YSRCP, TDP lost its strength. Though TDP is still holding very strong base in 03 out of 04
Mandals of AC, lack of leadership is affecting its prospectus.
• Kambham Vijay Raju is a retired Motor Vehicle Inspector, and joined in YSRCP through his
brother in law, MLC Koyye Moshen Raju. He is close associate of Kotagiri family. Kotagiri
Sridhar proposed his candidature as he is not in good terms with the ex- incumbent YSRCP
MLA, Unnamatla Elizah.
• Unnamatla Elizah, is now contesting on INC ticket, have sympathy in AC as it has been
considered by the cadre that, he has been made scapegoat for the failures of YSRCP
governance in the developmental aspects. Sympathy would result in cross voting and might
negatively impact YSRCP voting.
• Songa Roshan Kumar, who belongs to Madiga community was doing social service activities
under the abnner of Hope foundation. It was noticed that, though he is not actively
participating in campaign activities, TDP strong cadre and anti-incumbency against YSRCP
government would lead him to Majority. In addition to that, he would also benefit from the
Mala- Madiga conflict among SC castes as both belongs to different sub-castes of SC.
• So in the AC TDP has a slight edge over YSRCP
Result:
Probable Winner – Slight Edge to Songa Roshan (TDP)
69. 070 Nuzivid

Demography:

04 85 % 15 % 286 OBC, Mala
YSRCP Meka Vankata Pratap Apparao Sitting MLA
TDP Kolusu ParthaSarady MLA - Penamaluru
Independent Muddaraboina Srinivasa Rao TDP- Rebel

Hindu 91 % 44 % 49 % 07 %
Christian 06 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Female 49 % 42 % 54 % 04 %

Below 30 52 % 46 % 04 %
30 – 50 45 % 50 % 05 %
Above 50 43 % 54 % 07 %

Agri 45 % 51 % 04 %
Business 62 % 34 % 04 %
Govt Emp 76 % 23 % 01 %
Observations:
• The good will of Meka Venkata Pratap Apparao would drive YSRCP to bag Nuzivid seat.
YSRCP is having very string and dedicated cadre in Nuzivid who are actively campaigning
on Jagan Mohan Reddy popular schemes door to door.
• Despite that, due to developmental aspects, there is a silent anti-incumbency factor existing
under current in AC.
• On the other hand TDP lost the opportunity to bank the suitable situation with an unnecessary
dispute over seat allotment. Kolusu Parthasaradhy an MLA from YSRCP, who who is facing
severe resentment in his own (Penamaluru AC) constituency was forcefully bought to Nizivid
and Muddaraboina Srinivsa Rao who strived to settle down the party in Nuzivid Ac has been
denied ticket.
• This Muddaraboina Srinivasa Rao is contesting as an rebel-candidate and is expected to
attain atleast 08 % of cross voting, affecting the winning chances of TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Meka Venkata Pratap Apparao (YSRCP)
70. 073 Kaikalur

Demography:

04 90 % 10% 234 Kapu, Mala
YSRCP Dulam Nageswara Rao Sitting MLA
BJP Kamineni Srinivas Ex-MLA

Hindu 88 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 38 % 58 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 27 % 65 % 07 %

Male 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Female 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %

Below 30 55 % 42 % 03 %
30 – 50 48 % 18 % 04 %
Above 50 47 % 51 % 02 %

Agri 49 % 47 % 04 %
Business 82 % 16 % 02 %
Govt Emp 76 % 23 % 01 %
Observations:
• This formula of TDP + BJP alliance had proved to be successful in the AC in 2014 elections.
• Kamineni Srinivas is Kamma by caste and Dulam Nageswara Rao belongs to Kapu
community (36000 votes) which holds dominance in the area.
• Despite sitting YSRCP MLA belongs to Kapu community, Kapus are keen to vote for alliance
candidate.
• Though SC castes contribute 42000 votes, they are showing opposition towards siting MLA
and this would largely favour BJP candidate.
• In addition to that Yadavas have 24000 votes and Gowdas have 21000 vote share and both
the communities are going to stand with BJP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kamineni Srinivasa Rao (BJP)
Probable Margin – 15000 -17000
Eluru Parliamentary Analysis

• Though strong presence of TDP, strong anti-incumbency factor, TDP Candidate Putta
Mahesh Yadav is failing to encash it. Almost all the MLA candidates of alliance are opining
that PC candidate is not at all cooperating. Putta Mahesh Yadav is not at all showing interest
in interaction with people.
• On the other hand one Gorremuchu Gopla Yadav, who worked on ground to make TDP
strong has been denied ticket. TDP cadre are discouraged with decision and all these factors
would show negative impact on TDP voting.
• On the other hand, YSRCP MP candidate Sunil Kumar Yadav though is a weaker candidate,
is striving hard to interact with people and is extensively campaigning along with YSRCP
assembly contestants.
• The lethargic attitude of alliance candidate is going to cost alliance one MP ticket and also
would show negative impact on alliance AC contestants prospects,.
Result: Karumuri Sunil Kumar Yadav (YSRCP)
Margin: 25000 - 30000
Eluru PC Segment Poll

PC YSRCP
AC TDP YSRCP TDP YSRCP JSP
Edge edge
3 2 1 - 1
-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x-x
PC Segment: 11. Machilipatnam

Area: Krishna and NTR Districts

YSRCP Dr Simhadri Chandr Sekhar Rao -
JSP Vallabhaneni Balashouri Incumbent MP
71. 071 Gannavaram

Demography:

04 89 % 11 % 301 Kamma, SC
YSRCP Pappula Srinivasrao Vasu Babu Sitting MLA
JSP Patsamatla Dharma Raju -
Hindu 84 % 51 % 48 % 01 %
Christian 12 % 46 % 51 % 03 %
Muslim 04 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Female 51 % 49 % 50 % 01 %

Below 30 54 % 45 % 01 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 52 % 47 % 01 %
Business 71 % 27 % 02 %
Govt Emp 84 % 12 % 04 %
Observations:
• In 2019, Vallabhaneni Vamsi Mohan won from TDP ticket and had shifted to YSRCP after the
election.
• TDP is having a strong and dedicated cadre basin the AC, which helped Vallabhaneni Vamsi
Mohan to steer across Jagan Wave in 2019. In addition to TDP cadre base, Vamsi Mohan is
also having a wide personal image across the AC.
• Changing the party and becoming a puppet in the hands of ruling party to corner NCB Naidu
and his family had damaged his image very badly in AC.
• On the other hand, Yargadda Venkata Rao who is contesting on TDP ticket had last time
contested on YSRCP ticket and lost with a meagre margin. He gained sympathy in the AC
for his kind nature and availability to the party cadres.
• Strong TDP Cadre, credibility damage of Vamsi and sympathy over Yarlagadda would lead
TDP to victory.
Result:
Probable Winner – Yarlagadda Venkata Rao (TDP)
72. 072 Gudivada

Demography:
Total electors – 2.62 Lakhs Influential group

No. Rural Urban Polling
Mandals Stations
03 86 % 14 % 230 SC, Yadav, Kapu
YSRCP Kodali Sri Venkateswara Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Venigandla Ramu -

Hindu 85 % 50 % 48 % 02 %
Christian 12 % 36 % 60 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 65 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Female 51 % 50 % 49 % 01 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 50 % 49 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Kodali Sri Venkateswara Rao @ Nani is very strong candidate, with his roots in TDP. He has
a wide follower base across the AC.
• His image got tarnished with his continuous loud mouth speeches against NCB Naidu and
Nara Lokesh. This attitude activated TDP cadre to strive against Nani and this hyper activity
of TDP cadres would benefit Venigandla Ramu in the upcoming election.
• Sc Community having 60,000 votes is the strongest vote bank in AC, who stood with Kodali
Nani since last two elections. Kapu the second largest community are highly enthusiastic
over teaching a lesson to Kodali Nani for his loud-mouthed comments on Pavan Kalyan.
There is a strong TDP wave noticed in the AC
• On the other hand, Venigandla Ramu being a Kamma by caste, his wife is from SC
community and she is canvassing for her husband and would cut down the SC vote bank
support to Kodali Nani.
• Voters in the region are very discouraged over the almost nil developmental activities in the
AC and this factor would affect voting of Kodali Nani this time.
Result:
Probable Winner – Venigandla Ramu (TDP)
73. 074 Pedana

Demography:

04 92 % 08 % 216 Kapu, Gowda
YSRCP Uppala Ramesh -
TDP Kagitha Krishna Prasad -

Hindu 86 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 10 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 20 % 69 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Pedana was represented by Jogi Ramesh, who is another loud mouth in politics. YSRCP
already lost its cadre due to the egoistic attitude of Jogi Ramesh in then AC. Hence the Jogi
Ramesh was been sent to other AC and the seat was allotted to one Uppala Ramesh, from
the son of Uppala Ram Prasad family. He is completely unknown in the ac and his voting is
purely absent on Jagan and YSRCP image.
• On the other hand, Kagitha Krishan Prasad is having good grip on AC. He is also having
sympathy due to the death of his father Kagitha Venkat Rao, who is a senior TDP leader and
ex-legislator from the AC.
• Kagitha Krishna Prasad lost the previous election due to kapu vote cross voting to Janasena
and this time he would benefit hugely from alliance pact.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kagitha Krishna Prasad (TDP)
74. 075 Machilipatnam

Demography:

01 84 % 16 % 201 Kapu, Gowda
YSRCP Perni Sai Krishna Murthy -
TDP Kollu Ravindra -

Hindu 85 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Female 49 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 61 % 37 % 02 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 51 % 47 % 02 %

Agri 55 % 42 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 79 % 19 % 02 %
Observations:
• Perni Krishna Murthy is son of Perni Venkata Ramaiah who also served as Minister from
YSRCP. He belongs to Kapu community and lost credibility of Kapu community due to his
comments of bad taste on Pawan Kalyan and Kapu community voting. Kapu community is
very angry and him and wanted to avenge his attitude. This would greatly damage the
prospects of Perni Krishan Murthy.
• Perni Krishan Murthy @ Kittu is considered as completely unfit person to be considered for
candidature and YSRCP Cadre are completely discouraged over this decision.
• On the other hand, Kallu Ravindra is a senior politician of greater stature and hold very strong
command on the AC. His clean image and TDP strength would steer him towards and easy
win.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kollu Ravindra (TDP)
75. 076 Avanigadda

Demography:

06 89 % 11 % 266 Kapu, SC
YSRCP Simhadri Ramesh Babu Sitting MLA
JSP Mandali Buddha Prasad -

Hindu 86 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 21 % 75 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %
Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Avanigadda is one of the seats, where TDP was greatly affected by Janasena cross voting
in 2019 elections. Extensive vote bank of Kapu community in the AC resulted in strong cadre
base buildup to Janasena Party.
• TDP has very strong care base in the AC. Mandali Buddha Prasad is a senior leader, who
served as legislator from both INC And TDP. Mandali Buddha Prasad personal image and
his candidature from JSP would benefit him in the election.
• From JSP, one Bandreddi Ramakrishna who was District president in the party was initially
aspiring from ticket rebelled against the party, but it would not contribute to any formidable
loss.
• Simhadri Ramesh Babu is facing severe anti-incumbency and opposition from its cadre for
his absence and lack of development in the AC. He is purely depending on YSRCP fixed vote
bank and Jagan image, which is bot going to work this time.
Result:
Probable Winner – Mandali Buddha Prasad (JSP)
76. 077 Pamarru (SC)

Demography:

05 90 % 10 % 238 Kapu, Mala
YSRCP Kaile Anil Kumar Sitting MLA
TDP Varla Kumar Raja Political family
INC DY Das Ex-MLA

Hindu 83 % 45 % 53 % 02 %
Christian 14 % 34 % 60 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Female 51 % 44 % 54 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 44 % 54 % 02 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 45 % 53 % 02 %
Business 61 % 38 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 28 % 01 %
Observations:
• Kaile Anil Kumar is strong both in financial and image aspects. Kaile Anil Kumar holds a good
support from YSRCP cadre base, which is very big strength to the party. Kaile Anil Kumar
though facing anti-incumbency due to lack of development, his personal image and
communication skills with his vote bank would add to his strength.
• On the other hand, Varla Kumar Raja, who is son of Vara Ramaiah, PB of TDP is very weak
and backward in campaigning skills. His financial position is also very weak compared to his
opponent. He is highly dependent on party and its cadre cooperation, which he is not getting
due to loud-mouthed image of his father.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kaile Anil Kumar (YSRCP)
77. 078 Penamaluru

Demography:

03 90 % 10 % 302 Kapu, Gouda
YSRCP Jogi Ramesh Minister
TDP Bode Prasad Political family

Hindu 83 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 13 % 41 % 54 % 05 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 43 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 33 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 54 % 45 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 29 % -
Observations:
• Penamaluru earlier represented by YSRCP with Koludu Parthsaradi, who joined TDP and is
now contesting from Nuzivid AC. Jogi Ramesh who was facing severe opposition from
YSRCP cadre at Pedana Ac was bought to Penamaluru to replace him. Joggi Ramesh is
infamous for his loud mouth and corruption all over the state. Jagan image and strong
YSRCP cadre base in Ac would not help him to sail though in this election.
• Bode Prasad is a senior leader and the man of choice for the TDP cadre in AC. TDP cadre
is vigorous and engaging in campaigning after the announcement of candidature to Bode
Prasad. Bode Prasad has positive image and sympathy in all the sections of the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bode Prasad (TDP)
Machilipatnam Parliamentary Analysis

• Positive image, experience of JSP candidate Vallabahneni Balashouri, huge kapu voting and
TDP strong cadre would contribute easy win to Vallabhaneni Balashouri.
Result: Vallabhaneni Balashouri (JSP)
Margin: 25000 - 30000
Machilipatnam PC Segment Poll
PC JSP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
5 1 1
PC Segment: 12. Vijayawada

Area: NTR District

YSRCP Kesineni Srinivas @ Nani Incumbent MP
TDP Kesineni Shivanath @ Chinni -
78. 069 Tiruvuru (SC)

Demography:

04 91 % 09 234 Madiga, Gowda, Vysya
YSRCP Nallagatla Swamydas Sitting MLA
TDP Kolikapudi Srinivas -

Hindu 86 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 18 % 79 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Female 49 % 43 % 55 % 02 %
Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 56 % 04 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %

Agri 40 % 58 % 02 %
Business 58 % 40 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP Candidate Swamy Das was a senior most politician having base in TDP. He is two
times legislator from TDP and also had contested in 2009, 2014 on TDP ticket and lost with
very meagre margins. He hold good personal image in the AC and has sympathy in TDP
cadre even though he joined YSRCP in 2024.
• In addition to this YSRCP has very strong cadre base in the region and is noticed to be very
cooperative, despite their incumbent MLA has been denied ticket and candidate was
changed in AC.
• On the other hand, Kolikapudi Srinivas is a non local who got the ticket for being a halping
hand in running Amaravathi capital movement in favour of TDP and a well known media
personality. Other than this he is not having any positive side for contesting from AC. His is
completely dependent on TDP party image and finances of TDP MP candidate Kesineni
Shivanath. His poor communication and appalling abilities is avoiding him to mingle with TDP
cadre in AC. TDP cadre are not happy with the choice and are noticed to be showing
uninterest in campaigning.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nallagatla Swamy Das (YSRCP)
79. 079 Vijayawada West

Demography:

02 60 % 40 % 253 OBC, Muslim
YSRCP Shaikh Asif -
BSP Yalamanchili Satyanarayana Chowdary -
Hindu 83 % 62 % 37 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 36 % 65 % 01%
Muslim 09 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others 02 % 76 % 24 % -

Male 51 % 63 % 35 % 02 %
Female 49 % 62 % 35 % 03 %

Below 30 68 % 30 % 02 %
30 – 50 58 % 38 % 04 %
Above 50 60 % 38 % 02 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 79 % 20 % 01 %
Govt Emp 75 % 23 % 02 %
Observations:
• The AC is dominated by 09 % Muslim population and about 7 % of Vyashya community.
Traditionally Muslim community aligned with INC and YSRCP congress while Vyasya
community aligned with BJP and TDP in the AC.
• The YSRCP candidate Shaikh Asif is new candidate as its incumbent MLA Vellampalli
Srinivas has been sent to Vijayawada Central, as he is facing severe opposition in the AC for
being corrupt and nil development.
• Initially it was assumed that the Vijayawada seat would be allotted to JSP and later confusion
raised with allotment to BJP. But all the calculations changed with the allocation of seat to Y
S Chowdary @ Sujana Chowdary
Result:
Probable Winner – Y S Chowdary (BJP)
80. 080 Vijayawada Central

Demography:

02 45 % 65 % 257 Kapu, Padmasali
YSRCP Vellamapalli Srinivas MLA
TDP Bonda Uma maheswara Rao -

Hindu 88 % 59 % 40 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Muslim 03 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 59 % 37 % 04 %
Female 50 % 59 % 38 % 03 %

Below 30 67 % 30 % 03 %
30 – 50 56 % 40 % 04 %
Above 50 55 % 42 % 03 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 82 % 15 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 22 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP Candidate Vellampalli Srinivas was bought to AC only because he was facing severe
opposition in his incumbent AC. He lost good will and credibility among voters and YSRCP
cadre are not at all happy with his selection in the AC. In addition to that Brahmin community
feel dejected with the decision of denying seat to sitting MLA Malladi Vishnu.
• On the other hand, in 2019, Bonda Uma Maheshwara Rao lost election with meagre 25 votes
in the strong image of Jaganmohan Reddy. TDP is very strong in AC and the addition of
Janasena vote bank would add to huge margin
Result:
Probable Winner – Bonda Umamaheswara Rao (TDP)
81. 081 Vijayawada East

Demography:
02 45 % 65 % 298 Kapu OBC
YSRCP Devineni Avinash -
TDP Gadde Rammohan Sitting MLA

Hindu 90 % 62 % 34 % 04 %
Christian 08 % 51 % 47 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 52 % 08 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 62 % 35 % 03 %
Female 51 % 63 % 36 % 01 %

Below 30 67 % 31 % 02 %
30 – 50 60 % 35 % 05 %
Above 50 58 % 38 % 02 %

Agri 57 % 40 % 03 %
Business 72 % 36 % 02 %
Govt Emp 75 % 21 % 04 %
Observations:
• Vijayawada East being a Kapu dominant AC was always traditionally strong hold of TDP and
Gadde Ram Mohan is a senior leader and a notable personality in the region. He is presently
incumbent MLA, who fstood firm against the strong Jagan Wave in 2019.
• On the other hand, Devineni Avinash is still considered as immature leader and does not hold
any strength in Vijayawada East AC as his father Devineni Rajasekhar @ Nehru’s Legacy is
limited to Vijayawada central AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gadde Rammohan (TDP)
82. 082 Mylavaram

Demography:

05 80 % 20 % 293 Kamma Gowda
YSRCP Sarnala Tirupati Rao Yadav -
TDP Vasantha Venkata Krishna Prasad Incumbent MLA

Hindu 91 % 62 % 34 % 04 %
Christian 08 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 50 % 50 % -
Others - - -

Male 49 % 64 % 35 % 01 %
Female 51 % 62 % 36 % 02 %

Below 30 70 % 28 % 02 %
30 – 50 61 % 37 % 02 %
Above 50 61 % 38 % 01 %

Agri 60 % 39 % 01 %
Business 72 % 35 % 03 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Vasantha Venkata Krishna Prasad contested and won on YSRCP ticket in 2019, but having
family roots in TDP.
• Though TDP notable leader and ex-minister Devineni Umamaheshwara Rao was denied
ticket to accommodate Vasnata Krishna Prasad, cadre have not shown any resistance.
Hence in addition to the personal clean image of Vasantha Krishna Prasad, full support of
TDP cadre would help him to lead on cards.
• On the other hand Sarnala tirupathi Rao is completely unknown figure in AC politics and
Jagan allotted him ticket on experimental basis to run his ticket to common man narrative,
which is going to fail utterly this time.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vasantha Venkata Krishna Prasad (TDP)
83. 083 Nandigama (SC)

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 222 Madiga, Kamma
YSRCP Monditoka Jaganmohan Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Tangirala Sowmya Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 45 % 51 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Female 51 % 54 % 43 % 03 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA Monditoka Jaganmohan Rao is facing allegations of mining and anti-incumbency
for nil developmental activities in the AC. Despite that YSRCP strong cadre in AC would
rescue him from defeat.
• Tangirala Sowmya of TDP, is daughter of late Tangirala Prabhakar Rao, who was a loved
leader of the AC and has goodwill among TDP cadres. Though Tangirala Soumya never
proved herself to be the right heir of her fathers legacy, strongest vote bank of TDP and
undercurrent TDP wave, would steer her towards the victory.
Result:
Probable Winner – Tangirala Sowmya (TDP)
84. 084 Jaggayyapeta

Demography:

04 80 % 20 % 222 Madiga, Kamma
YSRCP Samineni Udaya Bhanu Sitting MLA
TDP Rajagopal Sriram Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Jaggayyapeta is always a strong baston of TDP and Sriram Rajagopal @ Tatayya is strong
leader in the Ac with extensive support across the sections. He is one of the leaders who
stood against the strong YS Rajasekhar Reddy wave in 2009 and is admired across the
sections in AC.
• Samineni Udaya Bhanu is also the leader of similar stature with huge public support. Though
his image is good, it would not stand, against strong TDP wave in AC.
• Samineni Uday Bhanu is also a political guru of Sriram Rajagopal. Rajagopal is from Vysya
community and considerable number of vysya votes would add to the strength of TDP
contestant.
Result:
Probable Winner – Rajagopal Sriram (TDP)
Vijayawada Parliamentary Analysis

• Incumbent MP of Vijayawada, Kesineni Srinivas @ Nani won on TDP ticket and had joined
YSRCP just before announcement of election schedule, as he was denied ticket by TDP for
his anti-party activities and indiscipline. It could be easily understood that TDP strength in AC
helped him to win PC election despite strong Jagan Sympathy wave across the state.
• Though he left TDP and joined YRSCP, he failed to transfer the cadre to YSRCP as TDP
cadre is more adhered to the party than its MP. Hence his joining in YSRCP failed to add any
new strength to the party.
• On the other hand, Kesineni Shivanath @ Chinni is the brother of Kesineni Nani and was
spreading his mark in Vijayawada PC. It is also learnt that this increasing involvement of
Kesineni Chinni in party activities is the major factor which resulted in Nani leaving the party.
• Kesineni Chinni is having goodwill across the leadership of TDP in all the AC’s. Despite of
new to the politics, TDP strength in AC would garner the prospects of Kesineni Shibvanth in
the PC.
Result: Kesineni Shivanath (TDP)
Margin: 75000 - 90000
Vijayawada PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP BJP
5 1 1
PC Segment :- 13. Guntur

Area: Guntur District

YSRCP Kilari Venkata Rosaiah Incumbent MLA of Ponnur AC
TDP Pemmasani Chandra Sekhar Christian Background
85. 086 Tadikonda (SC)

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 244 Kamma, Madiga
YSRCP Mekathoti Sucharita Ex-Minister
TDP Tenali Sravan Kumar Ex-MLA

Hindu 88 % 57 % 40 % 03 %
Christian 09 % 42 % 56 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 39 % 60 % 01 %
Others - - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Female 51 % 58 % 39 % 03 %

Below 30 64 % 35 % 01 %
30 - 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 53 % 45 % 02 %
Business 78 % 20 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Amaravathi Capital impact which is favouring TDP is hugely noticed in the AC. In addition to
that, Positive Image and sympathy over TDP contestant Tenali Sravan Kumar would help in
garnering good majority.
• On the other hand, YSRCP fielded Mekathoti Sucharitha, who lost time won from Prathipadu
AC and served as Minister. Though she is having positive image as a clean politician, this
would not substitute the anti-jagan narrative widely spread in the AC. Like in every other AC,
YSRCP candidate is completely dependent on Jagan Image and popular social welfare
schemes of YSRCP government, which is unlikely show any huge impact.
Result:
Probable Winner – Tenali Sravan Kumar (TDP)
86. 087 Mangalagiri

Demography:
03 80 % 20 % 281 Padmashali, Muslim
YSRCP Murugudu Lavanya -
TDP Nara Lokesh Ex-Minister

Hindu 85 % 61 % 38 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 43 % 56 % 01 %
Muslim 06 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Others - - - -

Male 49 % 62 % 37 % 01 %
Female 51 % 61 % 37 % 02 %

Below 30 68 % 30 % 02 %
30 - 50 60 % 38 % 02 %
Above 50 56 % 43 % 01 %

Agri 60 % 39 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 14 % 01 %
Observations:
• Amaravathi Capital impact which is favouring TDP is hugely noticed in the AC.Voters are
noticed to be sympathetic over Nara Lokesh. TDP cadre in the AC are hyper active.
• On the other hand Jaganmohan Reddy strategically fielded a women hailing from
Padamashali community which has a large chunk of vote bank in the AC. But she is unlikely
to show any positive impact as a strong TDP wave is noticed in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nara Lokesh (TDP)
87. 088 Ponnur

Demography:
03 80 % 20 % 264 Kamma, OBC
YSRCP Ambati Murali Krishna -
TDP Dhulipalla Narendra Kumar Ex-MLA

Hindu 83 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 13 % 41 % 54 % 05 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %

Male 49 % 57 % 43 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 33 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 54 % 45 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 29 % -
Observations:
• Ponnur is always been a strong bastion of TDP, where the TDP contestant Dhulipalla
Narendra was consecutively elected for the five terms. In 2019 he was succumbed to the
Jagan wave and lost with a meagre margin of 1000 votes.
• The incumbent MLA Kilaru Rosaiah of YSRCP is being fielded as Guntur MP candidate and
one Ambati Murali Krishna was bought as contestant, who is far way behind in campaigning.
He would get only the tradition YSRCP vote bank who are cheering to the popular schemes,
which is not enough to show any impact.
• In the view of Strong TDP cadre, undercurrent TDP wave, Anti-Jagan sentiment prevailing in
the area, this time, TDP is likely to reoccupy Ponnur AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Dhulipalla Narendra Kumar (TDP)
88. 091 Tenali

Demography:
02 80 % 20 % 273 Kamma, SC
YSRCP Annabathuni Siva Kumar Sitting MLA
JSP Nadendla Manohar Ex-MLA

Hindu 88 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Christian 10 % 45 % 52 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 56 % 41 % 03 %
Female 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 37 % 01 %
30 – 50 54 % 45 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 53 % 46 % 01 %
Business 65 % 32 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 27 % 02 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA Annabathuni Siva Kumar is having his political roots in TDP. He won the AC in
2019 purely on Jagan Wave and failed to establish his own mark on Tenali Politics. The under
development and mismanaged governance further tarnished his image in the AC. He is
purely dependent of Jagan schemes and image of YSRCP party.
• JSP contetstant Nadendla Manohar is a renowned political figure across the state. He
represented the AC for two terms and during which he established a positive mark in the AC.
• Personol Image of Nadendla Manohar, Anti0Jagan wave, failed image of Incumbent MLA,
etc. are the factors which are going to contribute victory to JSP contestant.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nadendla Manohar (JSP)
89. 093 Prathipadu (SC)

Demography:
05 80 % 20 % 283 Kamma, SC
YSRCP Balasani Kiran Kumar -
TDP Burla Ramanjaneyulu -

Hindu 88 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Christian 10 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 27 % 70 % 03 %

Male 49 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 51 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 59 % 39 % 02 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Agri 58 % 41 % 01 %
Business 75 % 24 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 18 % 02 %
Observations:
• Amaravathi Capital issue is favouring TDP in the AC.
• Though TDP doesn’t have fielded strong candidate, undercurrent TDP wave and Anti-Jagan
sentiment in the AC would lead TDP contestant towards and easy victory.
• Balasani Kiran of YSRCP is far behind the campaigning as he is not receiving proper
cooperation from the local YSRCP cadre.
• Jagan schemes etc. are not going to show any considerable impact on voting psyche of
electors in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Burla Ramanjaneyulu (TDP)
90. 094 Guntur West

Demography:
01 0 100 % 282 Kamma, Minority
YSRCP Vidadala Rajani Ex-Minister
TDP Galla Madhavi -

Hindu 88 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Christian 07 % 35 % 62 % 03 %
Muslim 05 % 32 % 65 % 03 %

Male 49 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Female 51 % 48 % 48 % 04 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 46 % 52 % 02 %
Above 50 42 % 57 % 01 %

Agri 46 % 52 % 02 %
Business 57 % 42 % 01 %
Govt Emp 68 % 30 % 02 %
Observations:
• Though there is huge resentment against YS Jagan Government in AC, the positive image
and campaigning skills of Vidadala Rajani is making her to run forefront ahead of her
opponent.
• TDP fielded one Galla Madhavi, who is poor both in communication and oratory skills and
hence is far behind in campaigning. Any other suitable candidate from TDP would have saved
face of TDP.
• Presence of strong Christian and Muslim population in AC and association of TDP with BJP
is helping YSRCP to attract good number of majority.
• It may be said that, YSRCP is going to win this AC, not with its strength, but due to the
strategic failures of TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vidadala Rajani (YSRCP)
91. 095 Guntur East

Demography:
01 12 % 88 % 250 Kapu, Muslim
YSRCP Noori Fathima -
TDP Mohammad Nazeer -

Hindu 80 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 11 % 54 % 45 % 01 %

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Noori Fathima of YSRCP is daughter of incumbent MLA Muhammad Mustafa Shaikh.
Mustafa Shaikh is facing severe anti-incumbency in the AC over the harassment of TDP
cadres with fabricated cases. Nil development, land grabbing allegations and failure to deliver
promises to Muslim community in AC etc had tarnished his image. In addition to this, son of
Mustafa Shaikh further worsened the scenario with his drug and gutkha trading. Hence to
mask all these, YSRCP leadership allotted seat to his daughter.
• This negative image on Mustafa Shaikh and the atrocious attitude of his son, is going to
impact negatively on Noori Fathima candidature.
• The AC is dominated by almost 17 % of Kapu vote bank and the JSP cadre are very active
In the AC. This, when combined with 32 % traditional vote bank of TDP would likely result in
easy victory of TDP candidate Mohammad Nazeer.
Result:
Probable Winner – Muhammad Nazeer (TDP)
Guntur Parliamentary Analysis

• Guntur PC is always a strong bastion of TDP and it was represented from two terms by
renowned leader like Galla Jayadev. With the withdrawal of Galla Jayadev from the politics,
TDP cadre were in very ambiguous over the replacement until the arrival of Pemmasani
Chandra Sekhar.
• It may be noticed that, Pemmasani Chandra Sekhar’s arrival had changed many calculations
across the Guntur PC. His positive and mass campaigning he added new vigour to TDP in
the region.
• YSRCP fielded Kilaru Venkata Rosaiah who is an incumbent MLA of Ponnnur AC, is
completely unmatching candidate both image wise and financial aspects.
• The anti-YSRCP wave, negative impact of Amaravathi capital issue would badly affect the
YSRCP chances in the PC.
Result: Pemmasani Chandra Sekhar (TDP)
Margin: 125000 – 150000
Guntur PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
5 1 1
PC Segment :- 14. Narasaraopet

Area: Palnadu District

YSRCP Paluboina Anil Kumar Ex-Minister
TDP Lavu Sri Krishna Deverayalu Incumbent MP
92. 085 Pedakurapadu

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 265 Kamma, Reddy
YSRCP Namburi Shankar Rao Sitting MLA
TDP Bhashyam Praveen Ex-MLA

Hindu 90 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Christian 08 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 59 % 03 %

Male 49 % 48 % 50 % 02 %
Female 51 % 49 % 50 % 01 %

Below 30 56 % 43 % 01 %
30 – 50 47 % 50 % 03 %
Above 50 46 % 51 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 53 % 01 %
Business 67 % 30 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 23 % 02 %
Observations:
• Pedakurapadu is stronghold of TDP and lost 2019 election, due to cross voting to Janasena
Party. After 2019 YSRCP improved wide cadre base with the positive image of its MLA
Namburi Shankar Rao.
• TDP cadre got deactivated as its leader Kommalapati Sridhar went dormant in the AC. Hence
TDP changed the candidate and allotted seat to Bhashyam Praveen
• It is herby noticed that Namburi Shakar Rao and Bhashyam Praveen are related to each
other and belongs to same village.
• Bhashyam Praveen got seat due to his close association with Nara Lokesh and it may be
noted that Namburi Shakar Rao is stronger candidate than Bhashyam Praveen.
• The disassociation of TDP cadre between supporters of Kommalapati Sreedhar and Praveen
would negatively impact Bhashyam Praveen chances. JSP cadre are hesitant to associate
with Bhashyam Praveen as he is close aid of Nara Lokesh. (over Nara Lokesh comments on
Pawan Kalyan)
Result:
Probable Winner – Namburi Shankar Rao (YSRCP)
93. 096 Chilakaluripet

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 239 OBC, Kamma
YSRCP Kavati Siva Naga Manohar Naidu -
TDP Prathipati Pullarao Ex-Minister

Hindu 88 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 31 % 67 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 55 % 42 % 03 %
Female 52 % 54 % 45 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 46 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Chilakaluripet is a very stronghold of TDP and Prathipati Pulla Rao represented 3 times from
there and once lost with very meagre margin. Chilakaluripet has very strong TDP cadre.
Pathipati Pullarao is also having goodwill across the AC for his seniority and hold gool
command on TDP cadre.
• TDP lost Chilakaluripet seat only due to Jagan Wave and after winning the Ac, its MLA
Vidudala Rajani failed to conduct activities of new cadre building.
• YSRCP fielded Kavati Siva Naga Manohar Naidu who earlier served as Guntur mayor and is
not at all the leader to match the stature of Prathipati Pulla Rao
Result:
Probable Winner – Prathipati Pullarao (TDP)
94. 097 Narasaraopet

Demography:
02 85 % 15 % 245 Reddy, OBC
YSRCP Gopireddy Srinivas Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Chadalavada Aravind Babu Ex-Minister
Hindu 87 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• Earlier, Narasaraopet is stronghold of TDP until it is under the influence of Kamma caste.
Later Reddy community with the support of lower castes started to influence the AC and is
playing dominant role in the political environment of the AC.
• Special focus of YS Rajasekhar Reddy on Narsaraopet to end the legacy of Kodela Shiva
Prasada Rao is said to have resulted in the above development. YS Jaganmohan Reddy
also followed the similar strategy.
• Sitting MLA Gopireddy Srinivas Reddy implemented the strategy well in AC and had built a
very strong cadre with the support of lower castes in the AC. YSRCP traditional cadre and
propaganda worked well in the AC.
• On the other hand TDP fielded on Chadalavada Aravind Babu. Aravind Babu is appearing
weaker to break the YSRCP strategy and his poor campaigning is failing to reactivate the
TDP cadre in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gopireddy Srinivas Reddy (YSRCP)
95. 098 Sattenapalli

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 274 Kamma, OBC
YSRCP Ambati Rambabu Sitting MLA
TDP Kanna Lakshmi Narayana Ex-MLA

Hindu 85 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 57 % 41 % 02 %
Female 49 % 56 % 42 % 02 %

Below 30 61 % 37 % 02 %
30 – 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 51 % 47 % 02 %

Agri 52 % 45 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 79 % 19 % 02 %
Observations:
• Sattenapalli was strong hold of INC and after the bifurcation, The INC traditional vote strength
has been transferred to YSRCP. In 2019, Ambati Rambabu from YSRCP won with a good
majority and also had served in cabinet.
• Ambati Rambabu lost cadre support due to his unprofessional loud mouth and failure in
developmental aspects in AC. Hence is facing severe anti-incumbency in AC.
• TDP has a dedicated and strong cadre in AC but all the cadre got inactive with the death of
Kodela Shiva Prasad. The empty space for TDP in Ac has been filled in by Kanna Lakshmi
Narayana who is a famous figure in erstwhile Guntur district.
• Negative image of Ambati Rambabu and underlying TDP wave in Ac would likely favour TDP
in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kanna Lakshmi Narayana (TDP)
96. 099 Vinukonda
Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 299 Reddy, SC
YSRCP Bolla Brahma Naidu Sitting MLA
TDP Gonuguntla Venkata Seetha Ex-MLA
Ramanjaneyulu

Hindu 87 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• Vinukonda has 23000 Reddy vote bank which has the support of SC voters which constitutes
47000 votes in AC. YSRCP contestant Bolla Brahma Naidu being from Kamma community
would also attract some Kamma vote bank benefiting YSRCP.
• Bolla Brahma Naidu is maintaining goodwill among voters of AC, though some YSRCP cadre
is opposing him, which is negligible.
• TDP contestant GV Anjaneyulu was elected for two terms from this AC has considerable
hold. But after 2019 election, he went dormant which discouraged the cadre in the AC.
Additional strength of Janasena would save face of TDP in AC. But overall scenario is
suggesting that Bolla Brahma Naidu would beg the AC again.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bolla Brahma Naidu (YSRCP)
97. 100 Gurazala

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 304 Kamma, OBC
YSRCP Kasu Mahesh Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Yerpathineni Srinivasa Rao Ex-MLA

Hindu 93 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Kasu Mahesh Reddy is facing anti-incumbency factor for rampant corruption and under-
development in AC.
• Gurazala bien a bastion of TDP and Yerapathineni Srinivasa Rao leading party since two
decades built a strong cadre, which is likely show great impact. Kapu voting would also
contribute to TDP victory.
Result:
Probable Winner – Yeerapathineni Srinivas (TDP)
98. 101 Macherla

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 299 Reddy, Vaddera
YSRCP Pinnelli Ramakrishna Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Julakanti Brahmamamda Reddy -

Hindu 85 % 50 % 48 % 02 %
Christian 12 % 36 % 60 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 65 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Female 51 % 50 % 49 % 01 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 49 % 49 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Macherla AC is one of the high-risk Acs in AP.
• Pinnelli Ramakrishna Reddy of YSRCP is literally ruling the AC for two decades. Being
elected for 4 terms Ramakrishna Reddy has wide cadre base due to his faction background.
• Compared to YSRCP candidate, TDP contestant Julakanti Brahma Reddy appears to be
weak. Though that, TDP developed huge cadre in last 05 years, under the leadership of
Julakanti Brahma Reddy. Julakanti Brahmananda Reddy is considered as a suitable
candidate to face Ramakrishna Reddy as both contested face to face in 2009, but lost due
to cross voting for Praja Rajyam. Hence this time JSP vote bank comprising 11 % Kapu voting
would add additional strength to TDP candidate.
• Yadava and Vaddera community has 12 % votes each while SC community has 13 % vote
share in AC, which is likely to divide among both parties this time.
Result:
Probable Winner – Julakanti Brahma Reddy (TDP)
Narasaraopet Parliamentary Analysis

• TDP contestant Lavu Sri Krishna Devarayalu was incumbent MP, won in 2019 on YSRCP
ticket. He joined TDP as YSRCP denied him ticket due to his caste affinity with Kamma
Community. Instead of him YSRCP preferred to bring a non-local Paluboina Anil Kumar
Yadav who is MLA from Nellore City AC. He joined TDP and retained MP seat.
• Image wise, Lavu Sri Krishna Deverayalu carries a good image for his availability to cadre
and kind approach towards voters. Palubaina Anil Kumar is another loud mouth of YSRCP
who is dependent purely on Jagan Mohan Reddy Charishma, which is unlikely to work in PC
presently.
Result: Lavu Sri Krishna Deverayalu (TDP)

Margin: 85000 - 95000
Narasaraopet PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
4 3 -
PC Segment :- 15. Bapatla

Area: Bapatla and Prakasham District

YSRCP Nandigam Suresh Incumbent MP
TDP Tanneti Krishna Prasad -
99. 089 Vemuru (SC)

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 233 Kamma, Madiga
YSRCP Varikuti Ashok Babu -
TDP Nakka Anand Babu Ex-MLA

Hindu 87 % 57 % 40 % 03 %
Christian 11 % 40 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 02 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 39 % 02 %
Female 51 % 57 % 40 % 03 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 55 % 43 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• Vemuru always has been bastion for TDP due to the strong presence of Kamma and Kapu
community. In 2019 YSRCP candidate Meruga Nagarjuna won from the AC as 10 % of cross
voting has been went to JSP candidate.
• TDP contestant Nakka Anand babu is a prominent leader who also served as minister and
carries a huge support base from the TDP cadre. He build his own image and also has
sympathy for his earlier loss.
• As YSRCP incumbent MLA and Minister Meruga Nagarjuna is facing severe anti-incumbency
in the AC, he has been sent to SN Padu and replaced with Varikuti Ashok Babu. Varikuti
Ashok is a non-local contestant without any personal image or affliation in AC. He purely
depend on YSRCP cadre and image of party in AC, which is unlikely to show considerable
impact.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nakka Anand Babu (TDP)
100. 090 Repalle

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 263 Gouda, Kapu
YSRCP Dr Evuri Ganesh -
TDP Anagani Satya Prasad Sitting MLA

Hindu 89 % 60 % 39 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 37 % 62 % 01 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 39% 02 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 64 % 34 % 02 %
30 – 50 57 % 42 % 01 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 81 % 18 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Repalle is very strong hold of TDP and Anagani Satya Prasad is the robust candidate who
stood firm against Jagan wave and Janasena cross voting together.
• Sidelining Mopidevi Venkata Ramana who is a senior leader of YSRCP, for accommodating
Evuri Ganesh had resulted in factions among YSRCP cadres, which further damaged
YSRCP prospects in AC. Evuri Ganesh also has political roots in TDP and his mother Seetha
Ravamma served as MLA for three terms. He also once contested on PRP ticket.
Result:
Probable Winner – Anagani Satya Prasad (TDP)
101. 092 Bapatla

Demography:
03 80 % 20 % 202 Betsa, Kapu, SC
YSRCP Kona Raghupathi Sitting MLA
TDP Vegasani Narendra Varma -

Hindu 89 % 49 % 48 % 03 %
Christian 09 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 47 % 48 % 03 %
Female 51 % 48 % 48 % 04 %

Below 30 56 % 42 % 02 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 48 % 51 % 01 %
Business 76 % 22 % 02 %
Govt Emp 84 % 16 % -
Observations:
• Kona Raghupati of YSRCP has maintained goodwill among voters in AC. Though his positive
image, lack of development and non-fulfillment of poll promises to Bapatla AC resulted in
anguish among voters. An Under current TDP wave and Anti-Jagan sentiment is also noticed
in the AC.
• Narendra Varma has the support of strong TDP cadre in the AC and the additional vote bank
of JSP and BJP had enhanced his winning chances.
• Allthough this YSRCP is still having a little edge over TDP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner –Kona Raghupathi (YSRCP- Edge)
102. 104 Parchur

Demography:
06 80 % 20 % 295 Kamma
YSRCP Yadam Balaji
TDP Yeluri Samba Siva Rao Sitting MLA

Hindu 92 % 58 % 41 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Others -% - - -

Male 50 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 50 % 57 % 40 % 03 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 56 % 42 % 02 %
Above 50 54 % 43 % 03 %

Agri 52 % 45 % 03 %
Business 71 % 26 % 03 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Parchur has always been a strong bastion of TDP Party and withhold the Jagan wave in
2019. In 2019 YSRCP fielded Daggubati Venkateswara rao, who secured very good votes
but lost with mere 1100 majority to TDP contestant Yerluri Sambashiva Rao.
• After Daggubati Venkateswara Rao resigned from YSRCP, party got completely deactivated
in the AC. Presently YSRCP fielded one Yadam Balaji, who was bought from Chirala AC.
• Due to strong cadre and weak opponent TDP is likely to retain this AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Yeluri Samba Siva Rao (TDP)
103. 105 Addanki

Demography:
05 80 % 20 % 296 OBC
YSRCP Peram Chinna Hanimi Reddy
TDP Gottipati Ravi Kumar Sitting MLA

Hindu 93 % 59 % 39 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 35 % 62 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 59 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 59 % 38 % 03 %
Female 51 % 58 % 38 % 04 %

Below 30 60 % 38 % 02 %
30 – 50 60 % 37 % 03 %
Above 50 56 % 41 % 03 %

Agri 58 % 40 % 02 %
Business 80 % 19 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 18 % 02 %
Observations:
• Gottipati Ravi Kumar of TDP has been elected in the AC three times consecutively once from
INC, once from YSRCp and in 2019 from TDP every time with a greater majority. It portrays
his strength and personal image in the AC. In addition to tehat Strong cadre base of TDP
would result in grand victory to TDP in the AC.
• YSRCP candidate Hanimi Reddy does not match with the political stature of Gottipati Ravi
and would not stand before his strength.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gottipati Ravi (TDP)
104. 106 Chirala

Demography:
02 70 % 30 % 218 Padmashali, Yadava
YSRCP Karanam Venkatesh
TDP Madduluri Mala Kondaiah -
INC Amanchi Krishna Mohan Ex-MLA

Religion Percentage TDP YSRCP INC
Hindu 88 % 27 % 32 % 41 %
Christian 10 % 28 % 37 % 35 %
Muslim 02 % 29 % 30 % 41 %
Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP INC

Male 49 % 26 % 32 % 42 %
Female 51 % 27 % 32 % 41 %
Age Group TDP YSRCP INC

Below 30 27 % 35 % 38 %
30 – 50 27 % 32 % 41 %
Above 50 28 % 34 % 38 %
Profession TDP YSRCP INC
Agri 28 % 34 % 38 %
Business 36 % 23 % 41 %
Govt Emp 34 % 26 % 40 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Karanam Venkatesh is son of Karanam Balarama Krishna Murthy, who
was ex-legislator from TDP and joined in YSRCP. TDP contestant Madduluri Malakondayya
in 2019 contested for Ongole PC on TDP ticket.
• Amanchi Krishnamohan who has wide cadre base and positive image in AC is contesting on
INC ticket this time. Amanchi Krishna Mohan was in YSRCP, but due to internal politics he
exited from YSRCP. Both TDP and YSRCP candidate are weak when compared to Amanchi
Krishna Mohan.
• Strong Anti-YSRCP wave, weak TDP candidate, personal image of Amanchi Krishna Mohan
etc factors are indicating victory of INC in the AC.
• Amanchi Krishna Mohan contest would likely push TDP to third place.
Result:
Probable Winner – Amanchi Krishna Mohan (INC)
105. 107 Santhanuthalapadu (SC)

Demography:
04 80 % 20 % 256 Reddy, OBC
YSRCP Merugu Nagarjuna Minister
TDP BN Vijay Kumar Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 45 % 51 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 56 % 03 %

Male 49 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Female 51 % 54 % 43 % 03 %
Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• TDP contestant BN Vijay Kumar actually hails from Giddaluru AC and Merugu Nagarjuna of
YSRCP is from Vemuru AC. Though both candidates are not local, BN Vijay Kumar has been
contesting in AC 3 times consecutively and once won from AC, hence considered more local
than Merugu Nagarjuna.
• The election of Merugu Nagarjuna purely depends on his association with Balineni Srinivas
Reddy and Siva Prasad Reddy. He is far behind in campaigning programs when compared
to his opponent.
• YSRCP as a party facing anti-incumbency in AC for nil development under its incumbent MLA
TJ Sudhakar Babu. This factor could affect the voting.along with positive impact of TDP JSP
alliance that would likely favour TDP.
• It appears that YSRCP leadership strategically fielded Palaparthi Vijay Raj, son of Ex-MLA
Palaparthy David Raju on INC ticket to cut down Anti-incumbency vote, but unlikely to show
any impact.
Result:
Probable Winner – BN Vijay Kumar (TDP)
Bapatla Parliamentary Analysis

• TDP contestant Tanneti Krishna Prasad is a retired IPS Officer served as DGP in Telangana
Cadre. He is a BJP leader in Telangana and surprisingly TDP allocated him Bapatla seat,
assuming that he fits well in the community equation and could garner BJP strength in
Bapatla PC.
• Nandigam Suresh of YSRCP is a sitting MP and he is holding a goodwill among the cadre.
Though facing many allegations including corruption illegal mining etc, due to his affinity with
YSRCP supremo Jaganmohan Reddy, he was much revered by cadre across the PC.
• Although, the positive image of Nadigam Suresh, YSRCP is facing severe opposition in all
the ACs under the PC segment over nil development and zero representation in Indian
parliament. Hence this time vote may go in favour of TDP candidate, who holds good stature
and connections across the national parties.
Result: Tanneti Krishna Prasad (TDP)

Margin: 85000 - 95000
Bapatla PC Segment Poll
PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP Edge INC
5 1 1
PC Segment :- 16. Ongole

Area: Prakashan District

YSRCP Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy Ex-MP
TDP Magunta Sreenivasulu Reddy Ex-MP
106. 102 Yerragondapalem (SC)

Demography:
No. Total electors – 2 Lakhs Polling Influential group
05 85 % 15 % 265 Reddy, SC
YSRCP Tatiparthy Chandra Sekhar -
TDP Guduri Erixion Babu Ex-MLA
INC Ajitha Rao Budhala

Hindu 90 % 44 % 52 % 02 %
Christian 09 % 28 % 69 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 32 % 65 % 03 %

Male 50 % 42 % 54% 04 %
Female 50 % 44 % 55 % 01 %

Below 30 46 % 51 % 03 %
30 – 50 44 % 55 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 64 % 35 % 01 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Yerragondapalem is very stronghold of YSRCP as the AC is dominated by SC and reddy
community vote bank. The incumbent MLA, Adimulapu Suresh was facing severe anti-
incumbency for failure in fulfilling poll promises especially Veligonda Project. Hence YSRCP
leadership sent Adimulapu Suresh to Kondepi AC and allocated ticket to Tatiparthy Chandra
Sekhar, who actually hails from Singarayakonda.
• TDP allocated ticket to Guduri Erixion Babu, keeping aside Budhala Ajitha Rao, who
contested from TDP in 2019. Ajitha Rao rebelled against party and joined INC. As Ajitha Rao
is contesting from INC, she is likely to break vote bank of TDP.
• The caste calculation factor, TDP factions and strong YSRCP cadre base in AC is favouring
YSRCP in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Tatiparthy Chandra Sekhar (YSRCP)
107. 103 Darsi

Demography:
05 80 % 20 % 282 Reddy, Kapu
YSRCP Buchepalli Siva Prasad Reddy Ex-MLA
TDP Gottipati Lakshmi -

Hindu 90 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 46 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 32 % 68 % -
Others - - -
Male 50 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 47 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 49 % 01 %

Agri 51 % 47 % 02 %
Business 74 % 24 % 02 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• YSRCP kept aside its incumbent MLA Maddi Reddy Venugopal as he is facing anti-
incumbency factor in AC. He was replaced with Buchepalli Shiva Prasad Reddy who was
away from active politics from 2014. This change in ticket resulted in group conflicts inside
YSRCP cadre.
• TDP fielded Gottipathi Lakshmi, who hails from a prominent political family. Gottipati
Lakshmi’s candidature was being welcomed by TDP cadre, due to her positive image. JSP
vote bank comprising Kapu votes which constitute 15 % in AC is standing firmly with TDP
candidate, which increased the winning chances of TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gottipati Lakshmi (TDP)
108. 108 Ongole

Demography:
02 45 % 55 % 256 Reddy, Kapu
YSRCP Balineni Srinivas Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Damacherla Janardhan Rao Ex-MLA

Hindu 86 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 21 % 75 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Balineni Srinivas Reddy of YSRCP and Damacherla Janardhan Rao of TDP are counterparts
who are contesting since last 3 terms against each other where Balineni Srinivas Redy won
for 2 times and Damacherla won once in 2014.
• Balineni Srinivas is a statewide figure and is considered way stronger candidate personally.
But YSRCP is facing severe anti-incumbency for failure in poll promises. An intense anti-
Jagan wave is visible in AC.Damacherla Janardhan Rao is also likely to benefit from
sympathy factor.
• Resignation of Ongole MP Magunta Sreenivas Reddy and his joining in TDP would show
great negative impact on YSRCP prospects in Ongole AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Damacherla Janardhan Rao (TDP)
109. 110 Kondepi (SC)

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 283 Reddy, SC
YSRCP Adimulapu Suresh Minister
TDP Bala Veeranjaneya Swamy Dola Sitting MLA
Hindu 86 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 10 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 20 % 69 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Dola Bala Veeranjaneya Swamy is sitting MLA of TDP and is been representing AC from last
two terms. He is having a very positive image in AC and is well regarded leader among all
the communities across AC. In addition to that TDP has a wide and vigorous cadre base in
Kondepi, hence regarded as one of the strongholds of the party.
• On the other hand, Adimulapu Suresh has been sent from Yerragondapalem as he was facing
severe opposition in his incumbent seat. Though worked as minister he lacks any self-identity
in the new AC and purely depend on YSRCP poll narrative, which is dragging him behind.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bala Veeranjaneyulu Swamy Dola (TDP)
110. 111 Markapuram

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 257 Kapu, OBC
YSRCP Anna Rambabu MLA
TDP Kandula Narayana Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 45 % 53 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 34 % 60 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Female 51 % 44 % 54 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 44 % 54 % 02 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 45 % 53 % 02 %
Business 61 % 38 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 28 % 01 %
Observations:
• YSRCP interchanged Markapuram and Giddalur Sitting MLA’s and hence Giddalur MLA Anna
Ram Babu is allocated with Markapuram seat. Though he has represented Giddalur for two
terms, he actually hails from Markapuram constituency.
• TDP contestant Kandula Narayana Reddy is senior leader in TDP and served as MLA in
2009. Kandula Narayana Reddy and Anna Rambabu are close friends who made political
entry at the same time.
• It has been learnt that, Anna Rambabu have to contest on PRP ticket in 2009, but to
accommodate victory to his friend Narayana Reddy who is contesting on TDP ticket, he
migrated to Giddaluru AC and won from there.
• Anna Rambabu carries a clean image and in 2019 he won from Giddaluru with a record
majority of 41 %. On the other hand Narayana Reddy is holding sympathy of loss of last two
elections. How ever Anna Rambabu clean image in addition to YSRCP cadre base would
earn YSRCP a seat in the AC
Result:
Probable Winner – Anna Rambabu (YSRCP)
111. 112 Giddalur
Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 284 Reddy, Kapu
YSRCP Kunduru Nagarjuna Reddy MLA
TDP Muthumala Ashok Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 90 % 44 % 49 % 07 %
Christian 07 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Female 49 % 42 % 54 % 04 %

Below 30 52 % 46 % 04 %
30 – 50 45 % 50 % 05 %
Above 50 43 % 54 % 07 %

Agri 45 % 51 % 04 %
Business 62 % 34 % 04 %
Govt Emp 76 % 23 % 01 %
Observations:
• Kunduru Nagarjuna Reddy is MLA of Markapuram, was interchanged to accommodate Anna

Rambabu, incumbent MLA of Giddaluru to Markapuram.
• Muthumala Ashok Reddy won 2014 election on YSRCP ticket and after election he joined
TDP. Due to this factor he lost drastically in 2019 on TDP ticket.
• Giddalur is strong Bastion of YSRCP and after the loss in 2019 TDP cadre in AC went
dormant and weak efforts from Muthumala Ashok Reddy couldn’t recover the lost base in the
AC. All these factors would likely contribute easy victory to YSRCP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kunduru Nagarjuna Reddy (YSRCP)
112. 113 Kanigiri

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 296 Reddy, Yadav
YSRCP Daddala Narayana Yadav -
TDP Mukku Ugra Narasimha Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 88 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 41 % 54 % 05 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 43 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 33 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 54 % 45 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 29 % -
Observations:
• YSRCP is facing severe anti-incumbency factor in AC over nil development in AC and huge
mis management of administration. Hence YSRCP leadership to cover administrative failures
sent its sitting MLA Burra Madhusudhan Yadav to Kandukur AC and allocated ticket to a new
face Daddala Narayana Yadav.
• Mukku Ugra Narasimha Reddy is a senior leader in AC representing TDP for two decades.
He served one term as MLA from 2014. AC voters are sympathetic over him for his loss in
2019 election.
Result:
Probable Winner – Mukku Ugra Narsimha Reddy (TDP)
Ongole Parliamentary Analysis

• The most senior leader of AC Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy left YSRCP and joined TDP and is
contesting on TDP ticket this time. This development created a huge vacuum in the PC which
would also show negative impact on AC’s as well. As a damage control measure YSRCP
brought in Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy, who is an incumbent MLA of Chandragiri AC.
• Compared to Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy, Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy’s wide political
experience and hold on Prakasham district politics would impact the voting psyche in PC
elections. The overall factors are indicating TDP edge in PC.
Result: Magunta Srinivasulu Reddy (TDP)
Margin: 50000 - 60000
Ongole PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
4 3 0
PC Segment :- 17. Nandyal

Area: Prakasham District

YSRCP Pocha Brahmananda Reddy Sitting MP
TDP Byreddy Shabari -
113. 134 Allagadda

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 295 Reddy, Kapu
YSRCP Gangula Brijendra Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Bhuma Akhila Priya -

Hindu 89 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 07 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 42 % 54 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Allagadda is strong bastion of Bhuma Nagi Reddy family, whose daughter Bhuma Akhila
Priya is contesting on TDP ticket this time. Bhuma Akhila Priya lost 2019 election due to
Jagan Wave.
• Bhuma family and Gangula family are longtime political opponents in Allagadda AC. As
Bhuma Akhila Priya joined TDP, Gangula family who was taking political resort in TDP since
many years joined YSRCP.
• YSRCP contestant Gangula Brijendra Reddy is son of Gangula Prabhakar Reddy and won
2019 election on YSRCP ticket.
• Though Gangula Brijendra Reddy holds mass image in the AC, failure in developmental
aspects mismanaged administration in the AC resulted in huge anti-incumbency against him
and antipathy in party cadre.
• Bhuma Akhila Priya also carrying sympathy of not being elected though from a prominent
family that represented AC and developed Ac in various fronts.
• Positive image of Akhila Priya, anti-incumbency factor against YSRCP and Anti-Jagan factor
etc has contributed a clear edge to TDP over YSRCP
Result:
Probable Winner – Bhuma Akhila Priya (TDP)
114. 135 Srisailam

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 225 Reddy, SC
YSRCP Shilpa Chakrapani Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Budda Rajasekhar Reddy -

Hindu 91 % 46 % 49 % 05 %
Christian 06 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Female 49 % 42 % 54 % 04 %

Below 30 52 % 46 % 04 %
30 – 50 45 % 50 % 05 %
Above 50 43 % 54 % 07 %

Agri 45 % 51 % 04 %
Business 62 % 34 % 04 %
Govt Emp 76 % 23 % 01 %
Observations:
• Shilpa Chakrapani Reddy and Buda Rajasekhar Reddy are long-time opponents in the AC.
Buddd Rajasekhar Reddy was elected in 2014 and Shilpa Charapani Reddy sailed through
strong Jagan wave in the AC.
• Though there is underlying Anti-Jagan factor noticed in the AC, image of Shilpa Chakrapani
Reddy stood firm and this would drive cadre to vote in favour of him.
• Budda Rajasekhar Reddy failed to keep up the cadre activated in AC and this would
negatively affect TDP prospects.
Result:
Probable Winner – Shilpa Chakrapani Reddy (YSRCP)
115. 136 Nandikotkur (SC)

Demography:
No. Total electors – 2 Lakhs Polling Influential group
06 85 % 15 % 245 Reddy, SC
YSRCP Sudheer Dara -
TDP Gitta Jayasurya -
INC Arthur Toguru Incumbent YSRCP MLA

Hindu 89 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 18 % 79 % 03 %

Male 51 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Female 49 % 43 % 55 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 56 % 04 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %

Agri 40 % 58 % 02 %
Business 58 % 40 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 03 %
Observations:
• Incumbent YSRCP MLA Arthur Toguru was denied ticket and he joined INC, as TDP also
showed uninterest in joining him.
• Nanidkotkur is strong bastion fro Byreddy family and the MLA candidate is considered as
dummy in the hands of Byreddy who are landlords in the AC. Arthur Toguru rebelled against
the influence of Byreddy Siddhartha Reddy over the administrative affairs and not giving him
a proper stature for being an MLA.
• Candidature of Arthur Tonguru from INC would likely cut the voting of YSRCP.
• TDP had fixed voting of 32 % in the AC. Despite that it could not match the strength of YSRCP
in the AC. The fate of TDP candidate is largely dependent on swing voting, which is very
unlikely in this election.
Result:
Probable Winner – Sudheer Dara (YSRCP)
116. 138 Panyam

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 339 Reddy, Telaga
YSRCP Katasani Rambhupal Reddy Sitting - MLA
TDP Gowru Charita Reddy Ex- MLA

Hindu 90 % 43 % 55 % 02 %
Christian 06 % 31 % 66 % 03 %
Muslim 04 % 28 % 70 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 43 % 56 % 01 %
Female 49 % 44 % 54 % 02 %

Below 30 51 % 48 % 01 %
30 – 50 42 % 56 % 02 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %
Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 61 % 37 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 28 % 01 %
Observations:
• Incumbent YSRCP MLA Katasani Rambhupal Reddy is very strong in AC. Gowru Charita
Reddy strength has been weakened in past 05 years as she was inactive after election. It is
noticed that she lost 2019 election as she contested on TDPP tiockest when she wad denied
ticket by YSRCP to accommodate Katasani Rambhupal Reddy.
• Personal image of Rambhupal Redy, strong YSRCP cadre base is indicating easy victory to
YSRCP in this AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Katasani Rambhupal Reddy (YSRCP)
117. 139 Nandyal

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 271 Reddy, Muslim
YSRCP Singareddy Ravichandra Kishore Reddy Sitting - MLA
TDP Naysem Mohammad Farooq Ex- MLA

Hindu 85 % 44 % 55 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 09 % 32 % 60 % 08 %

Male 51 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Female 49 % 42 % 56 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 50 % 02 %
30 – 50 45 % 54 % 01 %
Above 50 41 % 56 % 03 %

Agri 45 % 54 % 01 %
Business 58 % 41 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 25 % 04 %
Observations:
• TDP contestant NMD Farooq is a senior TDPleader who served various cabinet ranks in NTR
and Chandra Babu Naidu cabinets and is having very good exposure on Nandyal AC. He is
also an influential muslim leader figure across the state. But TDP’s alliance pact with BJP is
drastically impacting on his poll prospects in the AC.
• On the other hand, Singareddy Ravichandra Kishore Reddy @ Silpa Ravi, sitting MLA from
YSRCP is far ahead in captaining over spreading the narrative of popular social welfare
schemes implemented by Jagan government in last 05 years. The indicators are signifying
the victory of YSRCP contestant again in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Singareddy Ravichandra Kishore Reddy (YSRCP)
118. 140 Banaganapalle

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 277 Reddy
YSRCP Katasani Rami Reddy Sitting - MLA
TDP Bobbala Chinnolla Janardha Reddy Ex- MLA

Hindu 89 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 04 % 31 % 68 % 01 %

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant and sitting MLA Katasani rami Reddy is facing sever anti-incumbency in
the AC and cadre area also noticed to be furious over underdevelopment in the AC.
• On the other hand, BC Janardhan Reddy is an influential family in the AC, who is striving
hard to get his family member back into ruling the AC.
• On comparing the individual strengths, Bobbala is way stronger leader but he lost in 2019
due to strong Jagan wave across the state. This time he is likely to come back.
Result:
Probable Winner – B C Janardhan Reddy (TDP)
119. 141 Dhone

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 291 Reddy, Telaga
YSRCP Buggana Rajendranath Reddy Sitting - MLA
TDP Kotla Jayasurya Praksh Reddy -

Hindu 86 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 18 % 79 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Female 49 % 43 % 55 % 02 %
Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 56 % 04 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %

Agri 40 % 58 % 02 %
Business 58 % 40 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Buggana Rajendranath Reddy who also served as a cabinet minister is
having good image across all the sections in the AC. Voters in AC expressed satisfaction
over the developmental initiatives taken by Buggana Rajendranath Reddy.
• Dhone TDP is suffering with factionalism between Kotla Jayasurya Prakash Reddy faction
and KE Krishnamurthy faction. TDP though having good cadre bas, still not strong enough
top topple Buggana supremacy in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Buggana Rajendranath Reddy (YSRCP)
Nandyal Parliamentary Analysis

• TDP contestant Byreddy Shabari is daughter of Byreddy Rajasekhar Reddy. She as a political
heir has a very good image in PC, but lack of political experience is dragging her back.
Byreddy family legacy in PC is now dominated by Byreddy Siddhartha Reddy who is brother’s
son of Byreddy Rajasekhar Reddy. This family conflict is weakening their personal strength.
• On the other hand, Pocha Brahmanada Reddy is way stronger in financial strength. YSRCP
strong cadre base in PC would steer him with good majority.
Result: Pocha Brahmananda Reddy (YSRCP)

Margin: 115000 - 150000
Nandyal PC Segment Poll

PC YSRCP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
2 5 0
PC Segment :- 18. Kurnool
Area: Kurnool District

YSRCP BY Ramailah Sitting MP
TDP Panchalingala Nagaraju -
120. 137 Kurnool

Demography:
01 85 % 15 % 258 Reddy, Muslim
YSRCP A.Md. Imtiaz -
TDP T.G. Bharat -

Hindu 83 % 51 % 46 % 03 %
Christian 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 12 % 42 % 54 % 04 %

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• Kurnool Sitting MLA Hafeez Khan was having a good personal image in the AC, despite that
YS Jagan Reddy denied him seat and replaced him with his close aid and Ex-Civil Servant
A.Mohammad Imtiaz.
• TG Bharath is son of TG Venkatesh is financially stronger than A.Md.Imtiaz. But the cleaner
image on Imtiaz for being a honest politician would stand in his favour.
• Muslim community in Kurnool disowned YSRCP for their stand on atrocities on Muslims like
Abdul Salam Suicide case etc. and moreover the polarization factor would also favour TDP
as it is the alliance partner of BJP..
Result:
Probable Winner – TG Bharath (TDP)
121. 142 Pathikonda

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 255 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Kagitha Sreedevi Sitting MLA
TDP KE Shyam Kumar -

Hindu 90 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 05 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 05 % 31 % 68 % 01 %

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Pathokonda has always been a bastion of TDP with strong TDP cadre. TDP lost it only in
2019 under the influence of Jagan wave.
• There is an underlying TDP wave again in AC and TDP fielded KE Shyam Kumar who worked
hard in last five years to regain the strength of party in AC. TDP is likely to take over again in
AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – K E Shyam Kumar (TDP)
122. 143 Kodumur (SC)

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 275 Telaga, Valmiki
YSRCP Adimulapu Satish -
TDP Boggula Dastagiri -

Hindu 91 % 44 % 49 % 07 %
Christian 05 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Muslim 04 % 51 % 46 % 03 %

Male 51 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Female 49 % 42 % 54 % 04 %

Below 30 52 % 46 % 04 %
30 – 50 45 % 50 % 05 %
Above 50 43 % 54 % 07 %

Agri 45 % 51 % 04 %
Business 62 % 34 % 04 %
Govt Emp 76 % 23 % 01 %
Observations:
• TDP never won Kodumur from 1989, but it has 30 % of dedicated cadre, which was
untouched by neither INC not YSRCP.
• YSRCP allotment of seat to Adimulapu Satish who is brother of YSRCP minister Adimulapu
Suresh has changed the calculation. Adimulapu Satish has very bad image in AC for various
land grabbing allegations including lands belonging to Muslim mosques.
• JSP is also having considerable strength and could cover at least 08 % of the vote bank.
• Underlying TDP wave and Anti-YSRCP sentiment, negative image of YSRCP contestant
would likely lead to victory of TDP
Result:
Probable Winner – Boggula Dastagiri (TDP)
123. 144 Yemmiganur

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 271 Padmashali, Valmiki
YSRCP Butta Renuka Ex-MP
TDP BV Jaya Nageswara Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 84 % 51 % 48 % 01 %
Christian 12 % 46 % 51 % 03 %
Muslim 04 % 48 % 49 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Female 51 % 49 % 50 % 01 %

Below 30 54 % 45 % 01 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 52 % 47 % 01 %
Business 71 % 27 % 02 %
Govt Emp 84 % 12 % 04 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Butta Renuka served as MP for Kurnool PC from 2014-2019. She actually
hails from Nellore. After winning election in 2014 she joined TDP and lated in 2019 she
returned back to YSRCP.
• As she has not made any considerable contributions to Kurnool region during her tenure, she
has no positive image. But she is financially strong.
• YSRCP is suffering from factionalism in AC. Machani Venkatesh, another strong leader of
YSRCP in Yemmiganur is not cooperating with contestant and sitting MLA Chenna Kesava
Reddy also wanted to launch his son in this election.
• BV Jaya Nageswara Reddy family is very active in Yemmiganur politics for three decades.
Jaya Nageswara Reddy also had represented Yemmiganur AC in 2014 his positive image
and his father BV Mohan Reddy legacy would give him additional lead.
Result:
Probable Winner – BV Jaya Nageswara Reddy (TDP)
Probable Margin – 8000 – 11000 Votes
124. 145 Mantralayam

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 236 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Y Balanagi Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Nallagowni Raghavendra Reddy -

Hindu 91 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 04 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -
Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 05 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Yellareddy Gari Balanagi Reddy has been representing AC for 3 times
continuously. Initially in 2009 he contested and won on TDP ticket. In 2014 he joined YSRCP
and contested in 2014 and 2019 on won with good majorities. He is having a very good
personal image in the AC.
• TDP fielded on N Raghavendra Reddy by replacing Thikka Reddy who contested from TDP
last two times and was holding sympathy among voters. Due to new face, TDP cadres seems
discouraged.
Result:
Probable Winner – Y Balanagi Reddy (YSRCP)
125. 146 Adoni

Demography:
No. Total electors – 2.05Lakhs Polling Influential group
01 70 % 30 % 256 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Y Sai Prasad Reddy Sitting MLA
BJP PV Parthasaradhi -

Hindu 92 % 45 % 53 % 02 %
Christian 04 % 28 % 71 % 01 %
Muslim 04 % 21 % 75 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Female 49 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 55 % 43 % 02 %
30 – 50 42 % 56 % 02 %
Above 50 44 % 54 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 51 % 02 %
Business 60 % 37 % 03 %
Govt Emp 58 % 40 % 02 %
Observations:
• YSRCP contestant Yellareddy Gari Sai Prasad Reddy is a senior leader who is representing
AC from last two terms. He is facing anti-incumbency in the AC over nil development.
• TDP has increased its strength considerably in last 5 years under the leadership of Konki
Meenakshi Naidu. But this sent went to BJP under alliance pact. BJP candidate PV
Parthasaradhi is way weak candidate here. BJP is solely dependent of TDP strength in the
AC, but the experiment is unlikely to cross the majority mark in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Y Sai Prasad Reddy (YSRCP)
126. 147 Aluru

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 240 Reddy, Gowda
YSRCP Busine Virupakshi -
TDP B Veera Bhadra Gowd -
Hindu 93 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• YSRCP fielded new face as its sitting MLA Gummanuru Jayaram joined TDP.
• TDP fielded B Veerabhadra Gowd who is working on ground for the party since a decade. It
is also noticed that Gummanuru Jayaram who is strongest leader from the AC has extended
his support to the TDP candidate and striving for its victory. The Gowda vote bank in the AC
is giving additional strength to the TDP candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – B Veerabhadra Gowda (TDP )
Kurnool Parliamentary Analysis

• BY Ramaiah served as Mayor of Kurnool and he does not hold positive image due to
allegations of corruption and mismanagement of administration.
• Increased strength of TDP in AC would also reflect in PC polling.
• Panchalingala Nagaraju @ Bastipati Nagaraju is from Valmiki community. Valmiki community
is the largest community in Kurnool. TDP assumed that Valmiki candidate could be put forth
to check the supremacy of Reddy community dominance in PC segment. He served as
MPTC in Kurnool district.
• Humble background positive image of TDP candidate, increased TDP strength would likely
lead TDP contestant towards victory.
Result: Pachilingala Nagaraju (TDP)
Margin: 70000 - 90000
Kurnool PC Segment Poll
PC YSRCP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
5 2 0
PC Segment :- 19. Anantapur

Coverage
Area: Anantapuramu District

YSRCP Malagundla Sankaranarayana MLA Penukonda
TDP Ambika Lakshminarayana -
127. 148 Rayadurgam

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 293 OBC
YSRCP Mettu Govinda Reddy Ex-MLA
TDP Kaluva Sreenivasulu Ex-MLA

Hindu 91 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 42 % 54 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 52 % 46 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 71 % 28 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• Mettu Govinda Reddy started his political journey in TDP and had contested on TDP ticket in
2004 and 2009 elections. As TDP denied him ticket in 2014 and gave ticket to Kaluva
Srinivasulu, he joined YSRCP. Kaluva Srinivasulu won in 2014 and in 2019 he lost to Kapu
Ramachandra Reddy.
• Kaluva Sreenivasulu is actively engaging the cadre in these 5 years and is likely to get back
AC into TDP hold. Hence TDP brought Mettu Govinda Reddy into the scene to break TDP
votes.
• Underlying Anti-YSRCP sentiment and positive image of Kaluva Sreenivasulu along with
strong TDP cadre base are giving clear edge to TDP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kaluva Sreenivasulu (TDP)
128. 149 Uravakonda

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 259 OBC
YSRCP Y Vishweshwara Reddy Ex-MLA
TDP Payyavula Keshav Sitting MLA

Hindu 92 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 20 % 69 % 01 %
Others - - -
Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Y Vishweshwara Reddy and Payyavula Keshav are long time opponents in the AC, where
Payyavula Keshav lead the charts. Uravakonda is always been the bastion of TDP and this
time also the same thing would repeat.
Result:
Probable Winner – Payyavula Keshav (TDP)
129. 150 Guntakal

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 276 Valmiki
YSRCP Y Venkatrama Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Gummanuru Jayaram MLA- Aluru

Hindu 90 % 44 % 52 % 02 %
Christian 04 % 28 % 69 % 03 %
Muslim 06 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 42 % 54% 04 %
Female 50 % 44 % 55 % 01 %

Below 30 46 % 51 % 03 %
30 – 50 44 % 55 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 64 % 35 % 01 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Y Venkatrama Reddy who has been representing the AC undertook several developmental
works in the AC and established a positive self-image, in addition to the strong cadre base
of YSRCP in the party.
• Gummanuru Jayaram has been bought from Aluru AC, and his image is unlikely show any
impact in Guntakal.
Result:
Probable Winner – Y Venkatrama Reddy (YSRCP)
130. 151 Tadipatri

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 271 Valmiki
YSRCP Kethireddy Pedha Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP JC Asmit Reddy -

Hindu 96 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -
Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• JC Asmit Reddy is son of JC Prabhar Reddy. He lost last time election and has sympathy in
AC. These is underlying TDP wave in the AC, which would also contribute to JC family getting
back the ticket.
• Kethireddy Pedha Reddy is amassed negative image by harassing opponents with fabricated
cases. His recent comments of starting faction again in AC if he get agitated has received
negative comments from his own party cadre.
• Positive image of Asmit Reddy and negative image of Kethireddy Pedda Reddy would show
impact on swing voting which is likely to favour TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – JC Asmith Reddy (TDP)
131. 152 Singanamala (SC)

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 290 OBC
YSRCP Mannepakula Veeranjaneyulu -
TDP Bandaru Sravani Sree -
INC Sake Sailajanath Ex-MLA

Hindu 96 % 46 % 45 % 09 %
Christian 04 % 43 % 47 % 10 %
Muslim 04 % 27 % 59 % 14 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 44 % 43 % 11 %
Female 50 % 46 % 45 % 09 %

Below 30 46 % 43 % 11 %
30 – 50 44 % 40 % 16 %
Above 50 42 % 44 % 14 %

Agri 40 % 45 % 15 %
Business 64 % 25 % 11 %
Govt Emp 65 % 14 % 21 %
Observations:
• Mannepakula Veeranjaneyulu is lorry driver by profession belonging to lower middle class
family. He was given ticket by YS Jaganmohan Reddy in the backdrop of his common man
narrative. This time this narrative is not going to work as there is no Jagan wave unlike 2019.
The faction of sitting MLA Jonnalagadda Padmavathi is opposing this candidature and are
not cooperating.
• In 2019 TDP set aside its sitting MLA Yamini Bala and allocated seat to Bandaru Sravani
Sree where she lost with huge margins. Despite disgraceful loss, she was actively
participating in TDP activities across the AC and enhanced the cadre strength. One
Kambhagiri Ramulu an influential TDP leader also tried to get ticket to his daughter in law
Snigdha, is also not happy to continue Sravani Sree candidature.
• Sajke Sailajanath candidature would likely impact negatively on YSRCP candidate.
• Though having internal disturbances in TDP, it is likely that all would coordinate together at
the time of election. TDP has slight edge over YRSCP in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bandaru Sravani Sree (TDP slight edge over YSRCP)
132. 153 Anantapuram Urban

Demography:
01 85 % 15 % 268 Valmiki
YSRCP Anatha Venkatrami Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Daggupati Venkateswara Prasad -

Hindu 95 % 46 % 53 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 21 % 76 % 03 %

Male 50 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 50 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 50 % 48 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 46 % 51 % 01 %

Agri 45 % 53 % 02 %
Business 72 % 26 % 02 %
Govt Emp 75 % 25 % -
Observations:
• Though YSRCP sitting MLA Anatha Venkatrami Reddy improved his image with various
development activities, there was an underlying TDP wave in the AC, which is visibly seen in
whole erst while Anantapur district.
• But denying the candidature to Vaikunta Prabhakar Chowdary, who is strong TDP leader,
also served as MLA and earned goodwill during his tenure, to accommodate Daggupati
Venkateswara Prasad had changed the scenario. TDP cadre are heavily demotivated with
the decision and this development would likely benefit YSRCP to overcome anti-incumbency.
Result:
Probable Winner – Ananth Venkatrami Reddy (YSRCP)
133. 154 Kalyanadurgam

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 261 Valmiki, Yadava, Kuraba
YSRCP Talari Rangaiah MP - Anatapur
TDP Amilineni Surendra Babu -

Hindu 97 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 28 % 71 % 01 %
Muslim - - - 01 %

Male 48 % 47 % 52% 01 %
Female 52 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 56 % 41 % 04 %
30 – 50 49 % 50 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 50 % 03 %
Govt Emp 78 % 21 % 01 %
Observations:
• Talari Rangaiah is sitting MP of Anantapur, who was bought to the AC as sitting MLA and
minister Ushasri Charan is facing severe anti-incumbency in AC.
• TDP fielded Amilineni Surendra who is a wealthy civil contractor and one of the richest
businessmen in Anatapur district. He entered into politics through Praja Rajyam Party.
• Talari Rangayya hold very good image and is far ahead in campaigning in his own style.
Kalyanadurgam YSRCP cadre are very happy and enthusiastic over the advent of Rangaiah
into Klayanadurgam AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Talari Rangaiah (YSRCP)
Anantapur Parliamentary Analysis

• YSRCP PC contestant Madugula Shankaranarayana is MLA of Penukonda. As Sitting MLA
of Anantapuram, Talari Rangayya has been sent to Kalyanadurgam as MLA candidate. He
was allocated with MP seat.
• Ambika Lakshmi Narayana is a close associate of Nandamuri Bala Krishna. His father is
personal astrologer of Nandamuri Taraka Ramarao. He is a successful businessman and
financially strong candidate in the PAC.
• As Anantapur PC is strong bastion for Reddy community aka YSRCP leadership, TDP is less
likely to get back to form. All the assembly seats where YSRCP is winning is going to win
with huge majority and TDP is likely to pass through with slighter edges. Hence overall voting
of YSRCP would be considerably more in PC.
Result: Malagundla Shakaranarayana (YSRCP)
Margin: 40000 - 60000
Anantapur PC Segment Poll

PC YSRCP
AC TDP YSRCP TDP Edge
3 3 1
PC Segment :- 20. Hindupur

Coverage
Area: Anantapuram and Satya Sai districts

YSRCP Joladarasi Shanta -
TDP BK Parthasaarathi -
134. 155 Rapthadu

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 279 Valmiki Reddy
YSRCP Thopudurthy Prakash Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Paritala Sunitha Ex-MLA

Hindu 93 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA Thopudurthi Prakash Reddy is facing severe anti-incumbency in AC for their
family faction and political vendetta on opponents.
• Paritala Sunitha carries huge sympathy factor and TDP fielded her instead of her son Paritala
Sriram to encash this sentiment in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Paritala Sunitha (TDP)
135. 156 Madakasira (SC)

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 236 Valmiki, Madiga
YSRCP Erra Lakkappa -
TDP MS Raju -
INC Karikera Sudhakar -

Religion Percentage TDP YSRCP INC
Hindu 93 % 31 % 34 % 35%
Christian 04 % 22 % 38 % 40 %
Muslim 03 % 29 % 31 % 40 %
Others - - -
Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP INC

Male 49 % 30 % 34 % 36 %
Female 51 % 32 % 32 % 36 %
Age Group TDP YSRCP INC

Below 30 34 % 30 % 36 %
30 – 50 30 % 35 % 35 %
Above 50 29 % 34 % 37 %
Profession TDP YSRCP INC

Agri 30 % 34 % 36 %
Business 45 % 25 % 30 %
Govt Emp 40 % 20 % 40 %
Observations:
• Erra Lakkappa is a daily wage worker living in a house allocated under government housing
scheme. Jagan gave him seat as a propaganda for his narrative of common man politics. It
is unlikely work in the present scenario as YSRCP cadre is weak in AC.
• TDP allocated seat to MS Raju, who is a leader of its SC wing. His seat announcement was
late and due to this he has no time for preparation in the AC.
• INC candidate Karikera Sudhakar is associate of Raghuveera Reddy who is strong leader of
INC in that area. The whole scenario, where two parties fielded weak candidates, would likely
benefit INC in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Karikera Sudhakar (INC)
136. 157 Hindupur

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 253 Valmiki, Padmashali
YSRCP Tippegowda Narayan Deepika -
TDP Nandamuri Balakrishna Sitting MLA

Hindu 94 % 61 % 38 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 43 % 56 % 01 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %

Male 49 % 62 % 37 % 01 %
Female 51 % 61 % 37 % 02 %

Below 30 68 % 30 % 02 %
30 - 50 60 % 38 % 02 %
Above 50 56 % 43 % 01 %

Agri 60 % 39 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 14 % 01 %
Observations:
• Hindupur has been a permanent fortress for TDP from 1983 and Bala Krishna being the
strong candidate. The tradition would likely to continue this time.
Result:
Probable Winner – Nandamuri Bala Krishna (TDP)
137. 158 Penugonda

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 261 OBC, Telaga
YSRCP KV Ushasri Charan -
TDP Somandepalli Savitthamma -

Hindu 91 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 05 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Minister KV Ushasri Charan was sitting MLA in Kalyanadurgam AC. She was allocated with
Penugonda as she is facing severe anti-incumbency there. Sitting MLA of Penugonda
Malagundla Sankaranarayana is sent to contest Anantapur PC seat. YSRCP is facing anti-
incumbency in AC for nil development and dummy representatives.
• On the other hand, Penugonda is stronghold of TDP and TDP lost it in 2019 only due to
Jagan Sympathy wave. TDP is likely to regain back Penugonda assembly seat.
Result:
Probable Winner – Somandepalli Savithamma (TDP)
138. 159 Puttaparthi

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 235 OBC, Valmiki
YSRCP Duddugunta Sreedhar Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Palle Sindhura Reddy -

Hindu 91 % 58 % 41 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 37 % 61 % 02 %
Muslim 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 58 % 40 % 02 %
Female 50 % 58 % 41 % 01 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 56 % 43 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Duddukunta Sreedhar Reddy won in 20189 purely on Jagan Wave and even after winning
election he failed to create his mark on the AC. Still, he is dependent on Jagan image and
any wave in favour of YSRCP which is unlikely in AC.
• Palle Sindura Reddy is daughter of Palle Raghunatha Reddy, who is a very strong leader in
the AC. Though Palle Raghunatha Reddy lost in 2019 his daughter successfully retained the
cadre with continuous party activity in the AC.
• Sympathy voting on Palle Sindhura Reddy and anti-YSRCP wave would lead TDP to victory
in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Palle Sindhura Reddy (TDP)
139. 160 Dharmavaram
Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 287 Padmasali
YSRCP Kethireddy Venkatarami Reddy Sitting MLA
BJP Y Satya Kumar -

Hindu 90 % 44 % 52 % 02 %
Christian 09 % 28 % 69 % 03 %
Muslim 01 % 32 % 65 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 42 % 54% 04 %
Female 50 % 44 % 55 % 01 %

Below 30 46 % 51 % 03 %
30 – 50 44 % 55 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 64 % 35 % 01 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Dharmavaram is alswas a stronghold of TDP. Kethireddy Venkatrami Reddy won two times
from AC once due to YSR Wave in 2009 and again in Jagan wave in 2019. He is facing
severe anti-incumbency over the allegations of land grabbing, corruption and administrative
failures in AC.
• On the other hand in alliance this seat was allocated to BJP and fielded Y Satya Kumar as
its candidate. Satya Kumar is national spokesperson of BJP and has no significant impact
on the AC. His success at poll is pure dependent on TDP cadre and the strong support from
Gonuguntla family. TDP cadre are showing enthusiastic behavior.
• Hence YSRCP has clear edge in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kethireddy Venkatrami Reddy (YSRCP)
140. 161 Kadiri

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 281 Muslim, Valmiki
YSRCP BS Maqbool Ahmed -
TDP Kandikuntla Venkata Prasad -

Hindu 86 % 45 % 54 % 01 %
Christian 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %
Muslim 11 % 22 % 76 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 47 % 52% 01 %
Female 52 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 56 % 41 % 04 %
30 – 50 48 % 51 % 01 %
Above 50 43 % 55 % 02 %

Agri 47 % 52 % 01 %
Govt Emp 78 % 21 % 01 %
Observations:
• Kandikuntla Venkata Prasad is a senior TDP leader in the AC who was elected as MLA in
2009. He lost two times in 2014 and 2019. One more TDP leader Attar Chand Basha left
party and obtained ticket from YSRCP and won in 2014. He again came back to TDP after
winning from YSRCP.
• This Chand Basha now expected ticket from TDP and he was denied. Hence, he again left
TDP and joined YSRCP. As the Muslim voting is the key factor YSRCP also fielded BS
Maqbool Ahmad. It maty be also noticed that Muslim section of the AC are unsecured over
TDP for its alliance with TDP.
• A Muslim voting is fully in favour of YSRCP, again YSRCP is going to retain seat in the AC
Result:
Probable Winner – BS Maqbool Ahnmed (YSRCP)
Hindupur Parliamentary Analysis

• YSRCP contest Joladarsi Shanta is sister of B Sri Ramulu, who is facing allegations in
Obulapuram Mining Scam. She represented Bellary PC from 2009-14 on BJP ticket. In
January 2024 she joined YSRCP. She is financially very strong.
• Although this YSRCP incumbent MP Gorantla Madhav who dragged the party into disgraceful
situation with his Video call issue, has spoiled the image of YSRCP in the PC. Nil
development and failure in administration would impact negatively on then prospects of the
party in PC.
• TDP contestant B.K Parthasaradhi is a two-time MLA from Penukonda AC and is having good
image in whole PC segment. Strong TDP cadre and underlying TDP wave would favour to
TDP
Result: B.K. Parthasaradhi (TDP)
Margin: 45000 - 60000
Hindupur PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
4 2 1
PC Segment :- 21. Kadapa

Coverage
Area: Kadapa districts

YSRCP YS Avinash Reddy Sitting MP
INC YS Sharmila -
141. 124 Badvel
Demography:
07 85 % 15 % 272 Reddy
YSRCP Dasari Sudha Sitting MLA
BJP Bojja Roshanna -

Hindu 93 % 44 % 55 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 34 % 62 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 28 % 71 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 44 % 53 % 03 %
Female 51 % 43 % 56 % 01 %

Below 30 51 % 47 % 02 %
30 – 50 46 % 53 % 01 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 42 % 56 % 02 %
Business 51 % 48 % 01 %
Govt Emp 61 % 37 % 03 %
Observations:
• Badvel is stronghold of YSRCP and BJP was never in fray. TDP has fixed 25-30 % voting in
the AC.
• YSRCP contestant Dasari Sudha is wife of late Gunthoti Venkata Subbaiah, who won in 2019
election with huge majority. After his demise Sudha contested in 2021 by-election and won
with huge majority. She holds good image in Badvel as well as sympathy for her husbands
death.
• BJP’s Badvel contestant Bojja Roshanna was TDP incharge of the AC and suddenly his
name was announced as TDP candidate. Hence it is indicating that TDP would strategically
contest in the name of BJP here, so as to garner both TDP and BJP.
• This strategy would likely fail in the AC and Badvel would remain in YSRCP hold.
Result:
Probable Winner – Dasari Sudha (YSRCP)
142. 126 Kadapa

Demography:
01 85 % 15 % 268 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Amzad Basha Shaik Bepari Sitting MLA
TDP Reddapagari Madhavi Reddy -

Hindu 88 % 44 % 54 % 02 %
Christian 03 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 09 % 22 % 76 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 46 % 53% 01 %
Female 52 % 45 % 53 % 02 %

Below 30 58 % 38 % 04 %
30 – 50 48 % 51 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 54 % 02 %

Agri 48 % 50 % 02 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 72 % 27 % 01 %
Observations:
• With 09 % Muslim population and maximum of the muslims are strongly aligned with YSRCP
in the Ac, Kadapa AC is very strong hold of YSRCP. YS Rajasekhar Reddy made a tradition
of allocating this seat to Muslims and Jagan Reddy is continuing it. Present YSRCP
contestant Amzad Basha Shaik Bepari is holding the seat since two terms.
• TDP has fixed voting of 30 % in Ac and after the arrival of Reddapagari Madhavi Reddy, TDP
cadre base has improved like never before. Whether it could convert into voting or not has
to be seen in upcoming election.
Result:
Probable Winner – Amzad Basha Shaikh Bepari (YSRCP)
143. 129 Pulivendula

Demography:
07 85 % 15 % 301 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP YS Jaganmohan Reddy Sitting MLA, CM
TDP Marreddi Ravindranath Reddy -

Hindu 86 % 32 % 66 % 02 %
Christian 07 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 07 % 18 % 79 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 30 % 68 % 02 %
Female 49 % 33 % 65 % 02 %

Below 30 40 % 59 % 01 %
30 – 50 34 % 65 % 01 %
Above 50 33 % 65 % 02 %

Agri 33 % 65 % 02 %
Business 39 % 40 % 01 %
Govt Emp 64 % 33 % 03 %
Observations:
• Pulivendula is strong fortress of YS family and the tradition would continue.
• TDP is having 25 % of vote in the Ac and it would likely improve to further +5 %.
Result:
Probable Winner – YS Jaganmohan Reddy (YSRCP)
144. 130 Kamalapuram

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 249 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Pochimareddy Ravindranath Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Putha Krishna Chaitany Reddy -

Hindu 96 % 46 % 45 % 09 %
Christian 04 % 43 % 47 % 10 %
Muslim 04 % 27 % 59 % 14 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 44 % 43 % 11 %
Female 50 % 46 % 45 % 09 %

Below 30 46 % 43 % 11 %
30 – 50 44 % 40 % 16 %
Above 50 42 % 44 % 14 %

Agri 40 % 45 % 15 %
Business 64 % 25 % 11 %
Govt Emp 65 % 14 % 21 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA of Kamalapuram Pochimareddy Ravindranath Reddy is maternal uncle of
YSRCP chief Jaganmohan Reddy. He is facing anti-incumbency factor in the AC. During last
three elections his performance was not upto the mark and is managing to win with mere
margins.
• The strong leader of TDP Putha Narasimha Reddy retired from the politics and his son Putha
Krishna Chaithanay Reddy is been fielded this time. TDP cadre are working with enthusiasm
over the change in leadership, but it is to be seen if Chaitanya Reddy could face the family
member with such inexperience. But TDP stioll has overall edge in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Putha Krishna Chaitanya Reddy (TDP)
145. 131 Jammalamadugu

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 314 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Dr Mule Sudheer Reddy Sitting MLA
BJP Chidipirala Adinarayana Reddy -

Hindu 87 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• BJP contestant Chidipirala Adinarayana Reddy was three-time MLA from AC having won on
YSRCP ticket in 2014, he joined in TDP government. Later in 2020 he joined BJP after TDP
denied ticket to him in 2019 election.
• The image of Chidipirala Adinarayana Reddy tarnished when he shifted his allegiance to
TDP, after winning from YSRCP. It would likely impact the prospects of BJP in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Dr Mule Sudheer Reddy (YSRCP)
146. 132 Proddatur

Demography:
02 85 % 15 % 267 Reddy, Valmiki
YSRCP Rachamallu Sivaprasad Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Nandyala Varadarajulu Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 18 % 79 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Female 49 % 43 % 55 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 56 % 04 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %

Agri 40 % 58 % 02 %
Business 58 % 40 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 03 %
Observations:
• Rachamallu Siva Prasad Reddy is holding a clean image in AC. Nandyala Varadarajulu
Reddy took long gap in politics after 2014 where last time he contested on TDP ticket. His
come back would affect then margins but Rachamallu siva Prasad could easily sail through.
Result:
Probable Winner – Rachamallu Siva Prasad Reddy (YSRCP)
147. 133 Mydakur

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 269 Reddy, Yadava, Kuraba
YSRCP Sittepalli Raghurami Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Putta Sudhakar Yadav -

Hindu 86 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 10 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 20 % 69 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Sittepalli Raghurami Reddy is facing severe anti-incumbency and Putta Sudhakar Yadav had
gained a good image for being present in public.
• TDP gained huge cadre in the AC in last 5 years.
Result:
Probable Winner – Putta Sudhakar Yadav (TDP)
Kadapa Parliamentary Analysis

• YS Avinash Reddy became very unpopular for being the accused in the murder case of his
own family member and senior leader YS Vivekananda Reddy. He is facing severe anti-
incumbency among common public. But YS Jaganmohan Reddy strength in the PC would
come to rescue of Avinash Reddy.
• YS Sharmila strongest campaigns against his own brothers cornering them for their failures
and mismanagement has been appreciated in the whole PC. It is very likely that TDP and
BJP cadre vote would also get transferred to INC, which would likely lead YS Sharmila to
victory.
Result: Y.S. Sharmila (INC)
Margin: 115000 - 150000
Kadapa PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
2 5 -
PC Segment :- 22. Nellore

Coverage
Area: Nellore districts

YSRCP V Vijaysai Reddy -
TDP Vemireddy Prabhakar Reddy -
148. 109 Kandukur
Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 269 Yadav, Kamma
YSRCP Burra Madhusudhan Yadav -
TDP Inturi Nageshwara Rao -

Hindu 89 % 49 % 48 % 03 %
Christian 09 % 41 % 56 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 47 % 48 % 03 %
Female 51 % 48 % 48 % 04 %

Below 30 56 % 42 % 02 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 48 % 51 % 01 %
Business 76 % 22 % 02 %
Govt Emp 84 % 16 % -
Observations:
• Kandukur is considered as strong bastion for YSRCP. Burra Madhusudhan Yadav had
represented Kanigiri AC but he was allocated with Kandukuru seat to encash Yadav voting
in the AC.
• Kandukuru TDP is suffering from family factions. One Inturi Rajesh, who is also the family
member of Inturi Nageswara Rao was not cooperating with the party and had threatened to
break the TDP voting. This factor would affect the TDP chances in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Burra Madhusudhan Yadav (YSRCP)
149. 114 Kavali

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 314 Reddy
YSRCP Ramireddy Prathap Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Kavya Krishna Reddy -
Independent Pasupuleti Sudhakar -

Hindu 91 % 45 % 48 % 08 %
Christian 05 % 41 % 52 % 07 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 55 % 07 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 44 % 48 % 07 %
Female 51 % 44 % 48 % 08 %

Below 30 52 % 42 % 06 %
30 – 50 45 % 48 % 07 %
Above 50 45 % 48 % 07 %

Agri 44 % 51 % 05 %
Business 70 % 22 % 08 %
Govt Emp 80 % 16 % 04 %
Observations:
• It initially appeared that TDP is likely winning the AC as Kavya Krishna Reddy is financially
strong and Ramireddy Prathap Reddy is facing severe anti-incumbency due to nil
development in AC.
• Pasupuleti Sudhakar who expected TDP ticket rebelled against party and contesting as
independent candidate is going to badly impact TDP voting as TDP cadre is sympathetic over
him. All these factors likely give benfit to YSRCP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Ramireddy Prathap Reddy (YSRCP)
150. 115 Atmakur

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 278 Reddy
YSRCP Mekapati Vikram Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Anam Ramnarayana Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 93 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 02 % 23 % 75 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Anam Ramnarayana Reddy was sitting MLA from Venkatagiri AC and he rebelled against
YSRCP over failure of YSRCP leadership cooperation to allocate funds to the development
of his AC. He later joined TDP and is fielding as TDP contestant from the AC.
• Mekapati Vikram Reddy elected in by-poll after the death of his brother Mekapati Gowtham
Reddy. He failed to replace his brothers stature in the AC.
• With the advent of Ramanayarana Reddy, TDP is likely to lead in the AC. Anti-Jagan wave in
Nellore would also act as catalystic.
Result:
Probable Winner – Anam Ramnarayana Reddy (TDP)
151. 116 Kovuru

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 323 Reddy
YSRCP Nallaparedyy Prasanna Kumar Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Vemireddy Prashanthi Reddy -

Hindu 91 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 05 % 41 % 54 % 05 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 43 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 33 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 54 % 45 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 29 % -
Observations:
• Nallapareddy Prasanna Kumar Reddy emerged victorious with huge margin in 2019 with the
support of Vemireddy family.
• Presently Vemireddy family left YSRCP and joined TDP which result in change in lots of
calculations.
• Vemireddy family is having sympathy over ground in whole Nellore district. And hence it is
more likely that Vemireddy Prashanti Reddy would won from AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Vemireddy Prashanti Reddy (TDP)
152. 117 Nellore City

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 248 Reddy
YSRCP Mohammad Khaleel Ahmed -
TDP Ponguru Narayana -

Hindu 93 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 06 % 40 % 58 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 23 % 75 % 02 %

Male 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %
Female 49 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 53 % 45 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 45 % 01 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Sitting MLA of Nellore city Polubaina Anil has been sent to Narasaraopet as MP candidate
and he is replaced with a Muslim name as there is 08% Muslim population is present in
Nellore city.
• Ponguru Narayana last time lost with very meagre margin. Though he doesn’t hold clean
image in AC. Addition of Anam family strength to AC would be a huge benefiting point to TDP
in this election.
Result:
Probable Winner – Narayana Poguru (TDP)
153. 118 Nellore Rural

Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 266 Reddy
YSRCP Adala Prabhakar Reddy Sitting MP
TDP Kotamreddy Sridhar Reddy Sitting MLA
Survey Statistics (Sample Size -5000)

Hindu 93 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 45 % 51 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 56 % 03 %

Male 49 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Female 51 % 54 % 43 % 03 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Adala Prabhakar Reddy is YSRCP sitting MP of Nellore, as its MLA Kotamreddy Sridhar
Reddy rebelled against YS Jaganmohan Reddy and joined TDP. YSRCP filled Nellore Rural
AC with its MP candidate.
• Kotamreddy Sridhar Reddy is way stronger candidate that its MP candidate and has own
stature and good will among every section of AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kotamreddy Sridhar Reddy (TDP)
154. 123 Udayagiri

Demography:
08 85 % 15 % 323 Reddy
YSRCP Mekapati Rajagopal Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Suresh Kakarla -

Hindu 92 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 21 % 75 % 04 %

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• YSRCP candidate Mekapati Rajmohan Reddy is facing opposition with his own brother
Mekapati Chandra Sekhar Reddy. This family dispute is dragging him behind.
• Kakarla Suresh was NRI who is famous in Udayagiri for his charity programs. He is having
goodwill across the AC. Underlying pro-TDP wave and anti-Jagan wave would supplement
the chances of TDP in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kakarla Suresh (TDP)
Nellore Parliamentary Analysis

• V Vijaysai Reddy who was MP/RS was first time contesting in direct politics. He lacks any
own strength and dependent of YS Jaganmohan Reddy image. Though he belongs to the
district, he never was aligned to interfere in district politics hence not having grip on political
developments.
• Vemireddy Prabhakar Reddy is strong both image-wise and financially sound. He is likely to
win in PC, due to the underlying anti-YSRCP wave in the PC.
Result: Vemireddy Prabhakar Reddy (TDP)
Margin: 125000 – 150000
Nellore PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP INC
5 2 -
PC Segment :- 23. Tirupati (SC)

Coverage
Area: Nellore, Tirupati districts

YSRCP Maddila Gurumoorthi Sitting MP
BJP Velagapalli Varaprasad Rao -
155. 119 Sarvepalli
Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 282 Reddy
YSRCP Kakani Govardhan Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Somireddy Chandramohan Reddy -

Hindu 89 % 52 % 47 % 01 %
Christian 11 % 47 % 48 % 05 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 58 % 01 %

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 52 % 47 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 41 % 01 %
30 – 50 51 % 48 % 01 %
Above 50 47 % 51 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 11 % 04 %
Observations:
• Kakani Govardhna Reddy won in last two elections and his victory in 2019 was due to Jagan
wave across Nellore district. Now he is facing anti-incumbency in the AC for mismanage of
municipal affairs.
• TDP contestant Somireddy Chandramohan Reddy is senior leader in TDP and is carrying
sympathy among public with positive image. TDP and JSP alliance had added additional
benefit to TDP candidate.
Result:
Probable Winner – Somireddy Chandramohan Reddy (TDP)
156. 120 Guduru (SC)
Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 290 OBC
YSRCP Meriga Muralidhar -
TDP Pasam Sunil Kumar Ex-MLA

Hindu 91 % 50 % 48 % 02 %
Christian 06 % 36 % 60 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 65 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 51 % 47 % 02 %
Female 51 % 50 % 49 % 01 %

Below 30 52 % 47 % 01 %
30 – 50 49 % 49 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Velagapalli Varaprasad Rao, sitting MLA of YSRCP in Gudur is facing severe allegations of
corruption and is facing opposition from own party cadre. Hence YSRCP replaced him with
Meriga Muralidhar, who served as MLC.
• TDP contestant Pasam Sunil Kuma served as MLA for one tertm is more experienced
compared to YSRCP contestant and is having good hold in the AC. Pasam Sunil is
campaigning in top gear concentrating on swing voters.
• Result:
Probable Winner – Pasam Sunil Kumar (TDP)
157. 121 Sullurpeta (SC)

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 303 OBC, SC
YSRCP Kiliveti Sanjeevaiah Sitting MLA
TDP Nelavala Vijayasree Ex-MLA

Hindu 92 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 06 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 02 % 22 % 75 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• Kiliveti Sanjeevaiah of YSRCP is having very positive image in AC. In last 2019 election his
majority was more than all the opposition parties together. His simplicity, kind nature and
respectful talking style are being admired by many in the AC.
• Nelavala Vijayashree is the daughter of Nelavala Subrahmanyam, who served as MLA from
TDP. TDP candidate could not show any likely impact.
• Result:
Probable Winner – Kiliveti Sanjeevaiah (YSRCP)
158. 122 Venkatagiri

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 296 OBC, SC
YSRCP Nedurumalli Ramkumar Reddy -
TDP Korugondla Ramakrishna Ex-MLA

Hindu 89 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 08 % 45 % 51 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 41 % 56 % 03 %

Male 49 % 53 % 46 % 01 %
Female 51 % 54 % 43 % 03 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 51 % 48 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Govt Emp 80 % 19 % 01 %
Observations:
• Nedurumalli Ramkumar Reddy is son of Ex-CM Nedurumalli Janardhan Reddy and earlier
he was in BJP till 2019. He was active in AC and his increasing influence has invoked sitting
MLA Anam Ramnarayana Reddy to leave the party. MLA Anam Ramnarayana Reddy joined
TDP and is contesting from Atmakur.
• With the leaving on Anam Ramnarayan Reddy party became weak in AC. And as Nedurumalli
Ramkumar Reddy doesnot have cadre of his own and all those who was with him are the
cadre of His mother who served a term as MLA from TDP. His contest in party haven’t given
any likely additional benefit to YSRCP.
• Korugondla Ramakrishna served two terms in the AC and has good support base in the
cadre. He is likely to regain back the seat.
Result:
Probable Winner – Korugondla Ramakrishna (TDP)
159. 167 Tirupati

Demography:
02 85 % 15 % 265 Kapu, SC
YSRCP Bhumana Abhinay -
JSP Arani Srinivasulu Ex-MLA

Hindu 88 % 57 % 40 % 03 %
Christian 09 % 42 % 56 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 39 % 60 % 01 %
Others - - - -

Male 49 % 57 % 42 % 01 %
Female 51 % 58 % 39 % 03 %

Below 30 64 % 35 % 01 %
30 - 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 53 % 45 % 02 %
Business 78 % 20 % 02 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• JSP candidate Arani Srinivasulu was YSRCP sitting MLA for Chittoor constituency and he
left the party as YSRCP leadership denied ticket this time. Janasena has strong cadre base
in Tirupati. TDP is also very strong in Tirupati.
• Bhumana Abhinay is son of Bhumana Karunakar Reddy, who is sitting MLA and is facing
severe anti-incumbency for anti-Hindu activities in Tirupati area, destroying the sanctity of
temple. His fathers negative image would affect his prospects.
Result:
Probable Winner – Arani Srinivasulu (JSP)
160. 168 Srikalahasthi

Demography:
04 85 % 15 % 291 Balija
YSRCP Biyyapu Madhusudhan Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Bojjala Sudheer Reddy -

Hindu 88 % 59 % 40 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 45 % 50 % 05 %
Muslim 03 % 37 % 60 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 59 % 37 % 04 %
Female 50 % 59 % 38 % 03 %

Below 30 67 % 30 % 03 %
30 – 50 56 % 40 % 04 %
Above 50 55 % 42 % 03 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 82 % 15 % 03 %
Govt Emp 75 % 22 % 03 %
Observations:
• Bojjala Sudheer Reddy is son of Bojjala Gopalakrishna Reddy (5 Time-MLA) who also
contested and lost in earlier election. He is striving hard with his new age campaigning
techniques, to rebuild and retain TDP cadre from last 5 years. Ex-MLAs SCV Naidu and
Muniramayya joined the TDP and supporting the candidature of Bojja Sudheer is giving
additional benefit to TDP.
• Biyyapu Madhusudhana Reddy is facing severe allegations of land grabbing and torturing
businessmen for ransom, which contributed to the negative image in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Bojjala Sudheer Reddy (TDP)
161. 169 Satyavedu (SC)

Demography:
07 85 % 15 % 279 Balija, SC
YSRCP Nukathoti Rajesh -
TDP Koneti Adimulam YSRCP-MLA

Hindu 90 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Christian 07 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 03 % 21 % 75 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• Koneti Adimulam was YSRCP sitting MLA for Satyavedu. YSRCP leadership allocated him
Tirupati MP ticket. He rebelled against the decision and denied ticket and joined TDP. TDP
allocated him MLA ticket.
• Nukathoti Rajesh is a new face who has been hastily announced to replace the Koneti
Adimulam Place. Nukathoti Rajesh is Peddireddy man and has no hold on AC. He is
dependent purely on Jagan image.
Result:
Probable Winner – Koneti Adimulam (TDP)
Tirupati Parliamentary Analysis

• Velagapalli Varaprasad Rao is a former IAS Officer and also served as MP from YSRCP from
2014-19 from YSRCP. In 2019 he was elected from Gudur AC on YSRCP ticket. Lated he
joined BJP. Vara Prasad is close man to Chiranjeevi and one of the important persons behind
drafting the manifesto for Chiranjeevi’s Praja Rajyam Party. He took VRS from service to
contest from Tirupati. He resigned from YSRCP as the party is not striving for special status
to AP. He has close associations with various parties and goodwill across all the sections.
• Maddila Gurumoorthi is facing anti-incumbency for being just a dummy in the hands of Reddy
leadership. His contributions to Tirupathi Parliament in last 5 years is literally zero.
Result: Velagapalli Varaprasada Rao (BJP)

Margin: 85000 - 100000
Tirupati PC Segment Poll

PC BJP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
5 1 1
PC Segment :- 24. Rajampet

Coverage
Area: Tirupati, Annamayya districts

YSRCP PV Midhun Reddy Sitting MP
BJP Nallari Kiran Kumar Reddy Ex-CM
162. 125 Rajampet

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 282 SC, Balija
YSRCP Akepati Amarnath Reddy -
TDP Sugavasi Subrahmanyam -

Hindu 85 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 09 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 04 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Sugavasi Subrahmanyam was initially announced as TDP candidate for Rajampet PC, Later,
as the ticket was allocated to BJP, he is accommodated inn Rajampet AC. He hails from
Balija caste which is major community with around 35000 votes in AC.
• Akepati Amarnatha Reddy served as MLA for one term in 2009. He was denied ticket in 2014,
2019 but served as ZPTC.
• YSRCP in the AC is suffering with factionalism. Meda Mallikarjuna Reddy who won 2014 on
TDP seat and 2019 election on YSRCP ticket, is furious over the candidature to Akepati and
joined back in AC.
• Strong TDP cadre, factionalism in YSRCP and caste calculations are suggesting the benefit
to TDP candidate.
• Failure of rehabilitation program in Annamayya Project would show negative impact in AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Sugavasi Subrahmanyam (TDP)
163. 127 Kodur (SC)

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 248 SC, Balija, Muslim
YSRCP Korumutla Sreenivasulu Sitting MLA
JSP Arava Sreedhar -

Hindu 87 % 47 % 51 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 05 % 22 % 75 % 03 %

Male 51 % 47 % 52 % 01 %
Female 49 % 46 % 52 % 02 %

Below 30 54 % 46 % 02 %
30 – 50 47 % 52 % 01 %
Above 50 44 % 53 % 03 %

Agri 46 % 51 % 03 %
Business 62 % 37 % 01 %
Govt Emp 71 % 17 % 12 %
Observations:
• Korumutla Srinivasulu is 4 term MLA in AC and is facing severe Anti-incumbency.
• Initially Yanamala Bhaskara Rao was announced as JSP candidate. But after his
photographs with YSRCP leadership went Viral on social media showcasing his affinity with
YSRCP, JSP chief reconsidered his decision and reallocated ticket to Arav Sreedhar, who is
presently the sarpanch of Mukkalapadu.
• Though MLA is facing anti-incumbency the opposition candidate is weak to face him.
Result:
Probable Winner – Korumutla Sreenivasulu (YSRCP)
164. 128 Rayachoti

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 279 Balija
YSRCP Gandikota Sreekanth Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Mandipalli Ramprasad Reddy -

Hindu 86 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 11 % 27 % 70 % 03 %
Muslim 03 % 18 % 79 % 03 %
Others - - -

Male 51 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Female 49 % 43 % 55 % 02 %

Below 30 48 % 51 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 56 % 04 %
Above 50 39 % 57 % 04 %
Agri 40 % 58 % 02 %
Business 58 % 40 % 02 %
Govt Emp 71 % 26 % 03 %
Observations:
• Gandikota Sreekanth Reddy is 5 term MLA from the AC and is having good public image.
Mandipalli Ramprasad Reddy is way weak and TDP cadre are also very inactive in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gandikota Srikanth Reddy (YSRCP)
165. 162 Thambalapalle

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 233 Reddy
YSRCP Peddireddy Dwarakanath Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Jayachandra Reddy -

Hindu 89 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 42 % 57 % 02 %
Muslim 04 % 20 % 69 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Female 50 % 53 % 46 % 01 %

Below 30 57 % 42 % 01 %
30 – 50 55 % 43 % 02 %
Above 50 49 % 50 % 01 %

Agri 49 % 48 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• TDP was very strong in Thambalapalle. Peddireddy Dwarakanath Reddy won in 2019 only
on Jagan Wave and is having bad image for nil development and corrupt activities.
• TDP is likely take over the Thambalapalle again.
Result:
Probable Winner – Jayachandra Reddy (TDP)
166. 163 Pileru

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 280 Reddy
YSRCP Chintala Ramchandra Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP N Kishore Kumar Reddy -

Hindu 88 % 56 % 42 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 41 % 54 % 05 %
Muslim 04 % 38 % 60 % 02 %

Male 49 % 57 % 43 % 01 %
Female 51 % 56 % 41 % 03 %

Below 30 65 % 33 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 54 % 45 % 01 %

Agri 54 % 43 % 03 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 71 % 29 % -
Observations:
• Nallari Kishore Kumar Reddy is younger brother of Nallari Kiran Kumar aReddy who was
congress CM fro undivided AP and also presently BJP contestant of Rajampet PC.
• N Kishore Kumar Reddy is having very positive image in the AC. He lost two times and last
time he encountered sitting MLA and lost with little margin even in the Jagan wave
• This time N Kishore Kumar reedy is likely to win as the alliance parties are having stronger
cadres in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – N Kishore Kumar Reddy (TDP)
167. 164 Madanapalle
Demography:
03 85 % 15 % 250 Padmashali, Reddy
YSRCP Nisar Ahmed Sitting MLA
TDP Shahjahan Basha -

Hindu 86 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 05 % 31 % 67 % 02 %
Muslim 09 % 60 % 39 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 48 % 55 % 42 % 03 %
Female 52 % 54 % 45 % 01 %

Below 30 58 % 40 % 02 %
30 – 50 54 % 44 % 02 %
Above 50 52 % 46 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 85 % 12 % 03 %
Observations:
• Shahajahan Basha popularly known as Jaha in the AC is having good image. He is known
for his agitation against government over protection of expensive Muslim Waqf lands valuing
crores of rupees.
• Muslim voter consisting of 09 % of the vote share would likely stand with TDP candidate.
• YSRCP sitting MLA Mohammad Nawaz Basha faced severe anti-incumbency over illegal
sand mining allegations. The mismanagement in his regime is likely to show impact on Nasir
Ahmed candidature.
Result:
Probable Winner – Shahjahan Basha (TDP)
168. 165 Punganur

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 261 Reddy, Yadav
YSRCP Peddireddy Ramachandra Reddy Sitting MLA
TDP Challa Ramachandra Reddy -

Hindu 90 % 41 % 57 % 02 %
Christian 04 % 28 % 69 % 03 %
Muslim 06 % 32 % 65 % 03 %

Male 50 % 42 % 56% 02 %
Female 50 % 41 % 58 % 01 %

Below 30 46 % 53 % 01 %
30 – 50 40 % 59 % 01 %
Above 50 41 % 57 % 02 %
Agri 38 % 60 % 02 %
Business 60 % 39 % 01 %
Govt Emp 65 % 33 % 02 %
Observations:
• Peddireddy Ramachandra Reddy is very strong candidate in the AC.
• One Bode Ramachandra Yadav, who contested on JSP ticket last time has floated his own
party and is contesting in the AC. He is likely to break voting of TDP.
Result:
Probable Winner – Peddireddy Ramachandra Reddy (YSRCP)
Rajampet Parliamentary Analysis

• YSRCP is stronger in its own pockets and the negative image of Nallari Kiran Kumar Reddy
who is infamous for being the CM at the time of bifurcation of the state. This would show
negative impact on voting psyche. BJP failure of addressing special status would also impact
on voting in the PC, as YSRCP candidates are internally invoking the narrative..
Result: PV Mithun Reddy (YSRCP)
Margin: 115000 - 135000
Rajampet PC Segment Poll

PC BJP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
4 3 0
PC Segment :- 25. Chittoor (SC)

Coverage
Area: Tirupati, Chittoor districts

YSRCP N Reddappa Sitting MP
TDP Daggumalla Prasad Rao -
169. 166 Chandragiri

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 388 SC, Balija
YSRCP Chevireddy Mohith Reddy -
TDP Pulivathi Venkata Mani Prasad @ Nani -

Hindu 90 % 54 % 44 % 02 %
Christian 08 % 42 % 56 % 02 %
Muslim 01 % 38 % 58 % 04 %
Others 01 % 79 % 20 % 01 %

Male 49 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Female 51 % 53 % 45 % 02 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 55 % 42 % 03 %
Above 50 52 % 47 % 01 %

Agri 55 % 43 % 02 %
Business 72 % 25 % 03 %
Govt Emp 76 % 22 % 02 %
Observations:
• Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy is fielding his son Mohith Reddy in this election.
• Earlier Chandragiri was stronghold of TDP and still it had wide cadre base across the AC. Its
leader Pulivartthi Venkata Mani Prasad @ Nani has strived a lot to bring the cadre into
coordination and is appearing to be successful.
• In the last election Jagan Wave and sentiment factor worked well in the Ac and this election
it is very unlikely to work and it is very likely that TDP is going to take it back into its hold.
Result:
Probable Winner – Pulivarthi Venkata Mani Prasad @ Nani (TDP)
170. 170 Nagari

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 226 SC, Balija
YSRCP RK Roja Selvamani Sitting MLA
TDP Gali Bhanu Prakash -

Hindu 93 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 04 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 03 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• RK Roja Selvamani is facing severe anti-incumbency in the AC for her loud mouth and for
non-availability in AC. A huge criticism was going on in the Ac that Roja is not at all intrested
in politics and more over interest in parties and TV programs.
• Gali Bhanu Prakash is son of senior TDP leader Gali Muddukrishnama Naidu. He lost 2019
election with very less margin and till then he has completely spared time in constituency and
bringing coordination among cadre and local leadership.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gali Bhanu Prakash (TDP)
171. 171 Gangadhara Nellore (SC)

Demography:
06 85 % 15 % 255 SC, BC
YSRCP Kalathuru Krupa Lakshmi -
TDP Dr VM Thomas -

Hindu 88 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 37 % 61 % 02 %
Muslim 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 45 % 02 %
Female 50 % 55 % 44 % 01 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 46 % 02 %
Above 50 56 % 43 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 47 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• DR VM Thomas is famous IVF specialist running Chennai Fertility Center in Tirupati.He is
holding a very goodwill in the AC. Along with the image of VM Thomas TDP strong cadre and
JSP support would be additional benefit to TDP.
• Sitting MLA Narayana Swamy was facing criticism for zero development in AC. This impact
of negative image would affect the prospectus of present candidate his daughter Kalataru
Krupa Lakshmi.
Result:
Probable Winner – Dr. VM Thomas (TDP)
172. 172 Chittoor

Demography:
02 85 % 15 % 223 Reddy OBC
YSRCP MC Vijayananda Reddy -
TDP Gurajala Jagan Mohan -

Hindu 88 % 54 % 45 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 37 % 61 % 02 %
Muslim 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Others - - -

Male 50 % 54 % 45 % 02 %
Female 50 % 55 % 44 % 01 %

Below 30 61 % 38 % 01 %
30 – 50 52 % 46 % 02 %
Above 50 56 % 43 % 01 %

Agri 50 % 47 % 03 %
Business 68 % 30 % 02 %
Govt Emp 81 % 19 % -
Observations:
• TDP candidate Gurajala Jagan Mohan is a film producer and is financially strong.
• Chittoor has strong TDP cadre and a strong TDP wave is seen across the district.
• Arani Sreenivasulu who was sitting MLA of YSRCP joined JSP and is contesting from
Tirupati. Hence YSRCP accommodated one MC Vijayanand Reddy in his place, but he is
weak candidate.
• YSRCP is appearing to have gave up and is doing very weak campaigning in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Gurajala Jagan Mohan (TDP)
173. 173 Puthalapattu (SC)

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 242 SC, OBC
YSRCP M Sunil Kumar Ex-MLA
TDP Dr Kalikiri Murali Mohan -

Hindu 89 % 55 % 44 % 01 %
Christian 07 % 42 % 56 % 04 %
Muslim 04 % 31 % 68 % 01 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 53 % 44 % 03 %
Female 51 % 56 % 43 % 01 %

Below 30 62 % 36 % 02 %
30 – 50 53 % 46 % 01 %
Above 50 50 % 48 % 02 %

Agri 50 % 48 % 02 %
Business 74 % 25 % 01 %
Govt Emp 80 % 17 % 03 %
Observations:
• Kalikiri Muralimohan is a journalist by profession and has wide view of AC. TDP has very
strong and active cadre in AC, which are cheerful mode due to the selection of Kalikiri Murali
Mohan.
• YSRCP was facing anti-incumbency in AC due to failure to address various dalit issues and
withdrawal of various dalit schemes. YSRCP to cover up the party failure had made sitting
MLA MS. Babu scape goad and denied him ticket. MS Babu openly criticized YSRCP
government and joined in INC under the leadership of YS Sharmila.
• Present YSRCP contestant, M Sunil Kumar represented AC from 2014 and after a gap he is
making his entry again, which would not show any prominent impact in the AC.
Result:
Probable Winner – Kalikiri Murali Mohan (TDP)
174. 174 Palamaner

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 287 SC, Muslim
YSRCP Venkate Goud Sitting MLA
TDP N Amarnath Reddy Ex-MLA

Hindu 83 % 51 % 46 % 03 %
Christian 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 12 % 42 % 54 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %

Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• Palamaner is stronghold of TDP and it has very active cadre in the AC.
• YSRCP Sitting MLA Venkate Goud is more dependent on Jagan and Peddireddy
Ramachandra Reddy support and failed to build his own image.
• TDP contestant N Amarnath Reddy initially was TDP MLA in 2009 and after bifurcation of
state, he joined YSRCP and won 2014 election. Later he joined back to TDP. He holds
goodwill among all the sections of society. Cadre are very satisfactory over his candidature.
Result:
Probable Winner – N Amarnath Reddy (TDP)
175. 175 Kuppam

Demography:
05 85 % 15 % 243 OBC
YSRCP KRJ Bharath -
TDP N Chandra Babu Naidu Sitting MLA, Ex-CM

Hindu 83 % 51 % 46 % 03 %
Christian 05 % 38 % 60 % 02 %
Muslim 12 % 42 % 54 % 04 %
Others - - -

Male 49 % 52 % 46 % 02 %
Female 51 % 51 % 47 % 02 %

Below 30 57 % 40 % 03 %
30 – 50 51 % 47 % 02 %
Above 50 48 % 50 % 02 %
Agri 51 % 48 % 01 %
Business 70 % 29 % 01 %
Govt Emp 81 % 17 % 02 %
Observations:
• Nara Chandra Babu Naidu is strongest leader in AC. As state-wide TDP wave is going on, N
Chandra Babu Naidu would likely win with higher majority then last time.
Result:
Probable Winner – N Chandra Babu Naidu (TDP)
Chittoor Parliamentary Analysis

• Reddappa is facing severe anti-incumbency in the PC for almost nil development and
retrogressive mode of administration. This is also to be noted that a strong anti-YSRCP wave
is also going on in whole PC.
• Daggumalla Prasada Rao is an ex-IRS Officer. Initially TDP planned to field him from Bapatla
PC. But later it changed to Chittoor, which would favour him an easy win.
• Intellectual image of Daggumalla Prasada Rao, would also lead voters to choose him.
Result: Daggumalla Prasada Rao (TDP)

Margin: 115000 - 125000
Chittoor PC Segment Poll

PC TDP
AC TDP YSRCP JSP
7 0 0

Intelligence Bureau Election Survey Report

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Intelligence Bureau Election Survey Report

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Intelligence Bureau Election Survey Report

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Email/UCS.No.

108/2024 Top-Secret/ Immediate

Cremo : Vijayawada (JD)

Sub:- Pre-Poll Survey conducted on upcoming 2024 general election prospects.

The Party-wise breakup is as follows:

The Party-wise breakup is as follows:

Detailed Segment-wise Survey report as per proforma is as follows;

Candidature of Major Parties:

Party Candidate Remark

1. 010 Palakonda (ST)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage JSP YSRCP Others

Age Group JSP YSRCP Others

Profession JSP YSRCP Others

2. 011 Kurupam (ST)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

3. 012 Parvathipuram (SC)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

4. 013 Salur (ST)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

5. 028 Araku Valley (ST)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage BJP YSRCP Others

Profession BJP YSRCP Others

6. 029 Paderu (ST)

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

No. Total electors – 2.47 Lakhs Polling Influential group

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

Araku Parliamentary Analysis

Araku PC Segment Poll

Candidature of Major Parties:

Party Candidate Remark

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

10. 003 Tekkali

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)

Gender Percentage TDP YSRCP Others

Age Group TDP YSRCP Others

Profession TDP YSRCP Others

11. 004 Pathapatnam

Survey Statistics (Sample Size – 5000)