Week 7: Financial Performance Measurement 1) Financial Ratios: Return On Investment 2) Social Return On Investment
Week 7: Financial Performance Measurement 1) Financial Ratios: Return On Investment 2) Social Return On Investment
Week 7: Financial Performance Measurement 1) Financial Ratios: Return On Investment 2) Social Return On Investment
Week 7:
Financial Performance Measurement
1) Financial Ratios: Return on Investment
2) Social Return on Investment
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Part 1)
Introduction
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Outline of Today’s Lecture
1) Introduction
- Analysing the financial ratios of Rafael & Fernando (R&F Enterprises case), week 2
2) Financial Ratios:
- Return on capital employed
- Decomposing Return on Capital Employed into ratios of margin and efficiency
- Return on equity
- Decomposing Return on Equity into ratios of margin, efficiency and leverage
- Working Capital and liquidity ratios
- Investment ratios
3) Social Accounting: Social Return on Investment
- Rationale
- Steps in Calculating SROI : 1) Identifying stakeholders,
- 2) Mapping outcomes,
- 3) Evidencing outcomes and assigning them a value
- 4) Monetizing goods or services without a price,
- 5) Establishing impact
4) Summary of Lecture
5) Appendices
6) Seminars: a) Financial Policy at Apple, b) SROI at Dalmia Bharat Cement
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Foundations of Management 2: Sessions
Week 1: Making Business Decisions that Commit Capital
Reporting
Week 2: Representing a Firm’s Financial Condition: 1 To users of
Accounts
Week 3: Representing a Firm’s Financial Condition: 2
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Part 2)
Financial Ratios:
Return on Investment
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Return on Investment (ROI)
• Return on Investment is a generic term for ratios
focusing on the return on an investment.
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Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
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Return on Capital Employed
• Measures the return that the firm has earned
on the capital raised from all investors.
– Is an ‘Entity’ or ‘Enterprise’ level measure of return.
– Includes all investors in the firm.
– Long term and short term debt measures include
only debt raised as financing and not in the course
of conducting business.
• Two tests of whether liabilities are for purpose of
financing or operations:
1. Is the debt interest bearing? (Rules out most trade
creditors. But what about zero coupon bonds?)
2. Motive: does the liability arise in conjunction with
another transaction conducted in the course of
business?
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Calculating Capital Employed using R&F
Enterprises Balance Sheet
Assets (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
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Operating Profit from R&F Enterprises
Income Statement
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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R&F Enterprises Ratios
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) Current ratio
Capital Employed 571,000 Current assets 396,000
Operating Profit 36,000 Current liabilities 75,000
ROCE 6.30% Current ratio 5.3
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The Profitability Equation
• An advantage of both Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) and
of Return on Equity (ROE) is that these ratios decompose into
more specific ratios enabling analysis of the drivers of
profitability.
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Decomposing Return on Capital Employed
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Profitability ratios (Margins)
• Different ratios relating to margins assess the relationship between revenue
and different types of expense incurred by the firm in conducting its
business.
• Gross margin focuses on the cost of making goods ready for sale, before
any sales, general and administrative or depreciation expenses.
• Operating margin focuses on profit from trading but before interest and
taxes.
• Net margin examines the profit after financing costs and taxes.
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Calculating Operating Margin to
Decompose ROCE Using the R&F
Enterprises Income Statement
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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Calculating the Efficiency Ratio to
Decompose ROCE Using a) the R&F
Enterprises Income Statement
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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Calculating the Efficiency Ratio to Decompose ROCE
Using b) the R&F Enterprises Balance Sheet
Assets (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
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Return on Equity
• Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Profit /
Shareholders’ Equity
• Measures the return on the capital provided by
the firm’s shareholders only.
– The net profit figure reflects the profits payable to
equity shareholders in the form of dividends.
• It comes after payment of interest and taxes (note the
difference with the profit figure used in calculating
ROCE).
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Calculating Shareholders’ Equity
from the Balance Sheet
Assets (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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R&F Enterprises Ratios
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) Current ratio
Capital Employed 571,000 Current assets 396,000
Operating Profit 36,000 Current liabilities 75,000
ROCE 6.30% Current ratio 5.3
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Decomposing Return on Equity
• Similarly to Return on Capital Employed Return (ROCE),
Return on Equity (ROE) can also be decomposed into more
specific ratios.
ROE = Net Profit / Shareholders’ Equity
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Efficiency Ratios
• The asset turnover ratio examines how well a company uses its
total assets to generate revenue. Weetman (2019) notes that this
ratio is best considered over a number of years.
• The fixed assets turnover ratio measures how well a company uses
its fixed (non-current) assets to generate revenue.
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Calculating the Efficiency Ratio to
Decompose ROE Using a) the R&F
Enterprises Income Statement
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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Calculating the Efficiency Ratio to Decompose ROE
Using b) the R&F Enterprises Balance Sheet
Assets (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
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Calculating the Leverage Ratio to
Decompose ROE using the R&F Enterprises
Assets Balance Sheet (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
Working Capital
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Working Capital and Liquidity ratios
• “Working capital is the amount which a business must provide to finance
the current assets of a business, to the extent that these are not covered
by current liabilities.” (Weetman 2019:255).
• An increase in working capital increases the firm’s need for cash.
• Liquidity ratios measure the ability of a firm to meet its most immediate
liabilities from liquid assets.
• The acid test excludes inventories, the least liquid current asset, from the
determination of assets.
• The trade debtor collection period ratio measures the pace at which the
firm converts sales into cash.
• The trade creditor payment period ratio measures the pace at which the
firm pays cash for purchases from its suppliers.
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
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Investment ratios
Investment ratios focus on the merits of the firm as an investment.
The P/E ratio may be interpreted as the number of years that the currently
reported profits would take to cover the stock price.
Price Earnings ratio (“P/E ratio”) = Stock price / Earnings per share
The dividend yield ratio measures the income paid by the share.
The dividend cover ratio assesses the firm’s ability to maintain its dividend.
3) There is typically no consideration of the cost of capital (see weeks 1 and 8).
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Social Return on Investment
• Financial value of social impact only: “Social Return on Investment
(SROI) is a framework for measuring and accounting for [a] concept
of value; … The basic idea is to calculate the financial value of the
investment and the financial value of the social costs and benefits.
This results in two numbers – and there are several different ways
of reporting on the relationship between these numbers.” UK Office
of the 3rd Sector (2010)
• Measuring the financial value of social impact, one is using SROI to measure
the performance of a Not-For-Profit Social Enterprise.
• Example: Wheels to Meals. (Pages 102-110 in the Guide to SROI), Dalmia Cement.
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Five Stages in Determining Impact
• Stage 1: Establishing scope and identifying key stakeholders.
• Establishing clear boundaries about what the analysis will cover and who will be
involved in the process and how.
• Stakeholders are “people or organizations that experience change or affect the activity, whether
positive or negative, as a result of the activity being analysed.”
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Five Stages in Determining Impact
• Stage 3: Evidencing outcomes and assigning them a value
• Developing outcome indicators.
• Outcome refers to the consequences to society of a change in service or policy. For example,
improved life expectancy of the population.
• Involving stakeholders
• Collecting data on the outcomes / consequences of the intervention in an
ongoing manner.
• Not double counting the consequences of the different outcomes within a process.
• If relevant, establishing how long the outcomes last. This contributes to the
modelling of the consequences of the intervention.
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Stage 4: Establishing Impact
• Deadweight:
• A measure of the outcome that would have been achieved in the absence of the
intervention by the social enterprise.
• Benchmarking the performance relative to some index of outcome in the
absence of one’s intervention.
• Example: reduction in reoffending rates amongst ex-offenders as a
consequence of the intervention and national average re-offending rates.
• Looking at the historic trend to assess whether the trend has changed following
the intervention.
• Or alternatively, at a control group, to assess the effect of an intervention on one
group relative to the effect on another group that has not received the
intervention.
• Displacement:
• To what extent does the outcome that we intend to achieve, displace other
outcomes that would have been achieved regardless of our intervention.
• Example, a London borough reduces crime by putting on more lighting, but the
crime is simply displaced to the neighbouring borough.
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Stage 4: Establishing Impact, cont.
• Attribution:
• Assessment of how much of the outcome was caused by other organizations or
people.
• “To what extent is the outcome the consequence of our intervention, when there
are multiple interventions seeking the same outcome simultaneously?”
• For example, a cycling initiative is introduced concurrently with a congestion
charge and a public information programme regarding the environment.
• Overall, the scheme has been successful.
• The cycling scheme has contributed to the improved emissions because some motorists now
cycle.
• We need to attribute the overall decline in emissions to the different initiatives to ascertain how
much is attributable to the cycling scheme.
• Drop-off
• In future years the amount of outcome from an intervention is bound to decline
or be subject to influence by other factors.
• The social benefits arising from an intervention decline over time.
• A factor is used to reduce the impact of an intervention over successive years.
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The Social Return on Investment Ratio
• Social Return on Investment is the ratio of the present value of the benefits
associated with a social project divided by the total investment.
• That is: total present value of the impact divided by total investment.
• Where the present value of the impacts from the project is, for example:
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Summary of Lecture 7
• In this lecture we considered two topics relating to performance
measurement.
• First, we introduced financial ratios.
– We discussed return on investment (ROI) ratios such as a) Return on Capital
Employed and b) Return on Equity.
– We decomposed ROCE into ratios of margin and efficiency.
– We decomposed ROCE into ratios of margin, efficiency and leverage.
– We noted the role of these measures in Alfred Chandler’s (1963) account of the
rise of the multi-divisional firm in the first half of the twentieth century.
– We considered ratios comprising the working capital cycle, or “cash conversion
cycle” (Apple case)
– In the seminar we will analyse Apple’s ratios.
• Second, we introduced Social Return on Investment
– A cost / benefit analysis of the ratio of present value of the financial value of
impact to the value of the investment used to create that impact.
– This is a cost / benefit analysis comparing value of benefit (impact) to investment
made.
• Third, we summarized the lecture.
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Questions for the Financial Policy at Apple Case
• From the beginning of 2000 until its peak in 2012, Apple’s stock
price rose from $27.97 to $702.10, an increase of over 25 times.
What specific attributes of their operational performance account
for this stock performance?
• Apple’s stock decreased by 37% from its peak in 2012 until the
end of March 2013, from $702.10 to $442.66. Again, what specific
attributes of their operational performance account for this stock
performance?
• Why does Apple hold so much cash? How much “excess” cash
do they have? How much cash would they have after five years if
they distributed all of their excess cash to shareholders in 2012?
Use exhibit 10 in the case to forecast Apple’s financial status over
the next five years.
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Appendix 1:
R&F Enterprises
Financial Statements
(Please see Week 2)
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R&F Enterprises Income Statement
(£)
Revenue 171,000
Cost of Goods Sold - 135,000
Operating Profit 36,000
Interest Expense - 5,000
Net Profit 31,000
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R&F Enterprises Balance Sheet
Assets (£)
Plant, Property & Equipment 250,000
Inventories 20,000
Trade Debtors (Receivables) 66,000
Pre-paid Expenses 20,000
Cash 290,000
Total Assets 646,000
Liabilities
Trade Creditors (Payables) 75,000
Non-current Liabilities 50,000
Total Liabilities 125,000
Shareholders’ Equity
Share Capital 500,000
Retained Profit 21,000
Total Equity 521,000
(£) Equipment Inventories Receivables Expenses Cash Creditors Liabilities Capital Revenue Goods Sold Expense Earnings
Totals 250,000 20,000 66,000 20,000 290,000 75,000 50,000 500,000 171,000 - 135,000 - 5,000 - 10,000
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Equity Investment Styles
• Value oriented investment policy
– Absolute (Contrarian) Value
• Purchase stocks trading at a discount to an ‘intrinsic
value’
– Relative Value
• Purchase stocks that are cheap relative to other stocks in
their sector
– Aggressive Growth
• Purchase stocks demonstrating very strong future
prospects or current earning momentum
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Earnings Expectations Life Cycle
Growth investor sells
“Growth”
Positive Neglect
Surprise
Contrarians
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My Contact Details
Dr. Yally Avrahampour
Associate Professor (Education)
Department of Management
Room MAR 5.24
Email: [email protected]