Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 15-08-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 16
Tropical Storm AGHON
Issued at 5:00 AM, 26 May 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 AM today.

“AGHON” INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM OVER TAYABAS BAY.

Location of Center (4:00 AM)

The center of Tropical Storm AGHON was estimated

based on all available data including those from
Tagaytay Doppler Weather Radar over the coastal
waters of Lucena City, Quezon (13.8°N, 121.7°E)
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of
1000 hPa

Present Movement

Northwestward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to
220 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 14.6 121.5 In the vicinity of Real, Quezon 65 TS NNW 10
26 May 2024
24-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 15.7 122.3 Over the coastal waters of Casiguran, Aurora 75 TS NE 10
27 May 2024
36-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 17.0 123.4 160 km East Northeast of Casiguran, Aurora 85 TS NE 15
27 May 2024
48-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 18.6 124.7 325 km East of Aparri, Cagayan 95 STS NE 20
28 May 2024
60-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 21.1 127.0 540 km East of Itbayat, Batanes 100 STS NE 30
28 May 2024
72-Hour Forecast
970 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern
2:00 AM 24.3 130.5 110 STS NE 40
Luzon
29 May 2024
96-Hour Forecast
2,045 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern
2:00 AM 29.6 139.7 65 STS NE 45
Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
30 May 2024

Page 1 of 3

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: RBB

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 15-08-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 16
Tropical Storm AGHON
Issued at 5:00 AM, 26 May 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 AM today.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao

The northern and central portions of Quezon (Alabat, Perez, Quezon,

Gumaca, Lopez, Macalelon, General Luna, Unisan, Pitogo, Plaridel, Agdangan, Padre
2 Burgos, Atimonan, Mauban, Real, General Nakar, Infanta, Sampaloc, Pagbilao,
Calauag, Lucban, City of Tayabas, Lucena City) including Polillo Islands
- -

Wind threat:
Gale-force
winds Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

The southeastern portion of Isabela (Palanan, Dinapigue), the southern

portion of Quirino (Maddela, Nagtipunan), the southern portion of Nueva
Vizcaya (Alfonso Castaneda), the eastern and southern portions of Nueva
Ecija (General Tinio, Gabaldon, Bongabon, Pantabangan, Rizal, General Mamerto
Natividad, Laur, Palayan City, Peñaranda, San Leonardo, City of Gapan, Cabanatuan
City, Santa Rosa, San Isidro, Cabiao, San Antonio, Jaen), Aurora, the eastern

1 portion of Pampanga (Candaba, San Luis, San Simon, Apalit, Santa Ana, Arayat),
Bulacan, Metro Manila, the rest of Quezon, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite,
Batangas, the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Pinamalayan, Pola,
- -

Wind threat:
Strong Naujan, Victoria, Socorro, City of Calapan, Bansud, Gloria, Baco, San Teodoro, Puerto
winds Galera, Bongabong, Roxas), Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Norte,
Camarines Sur, the northern portion of Albay (Tiwi, Polangui, Malinao, Libon,
Oas, City of Ligao), and Burias Island

Warning lead time: 36 hours

Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Forecast accumulated rainfall: Today

 > 200 mm: Quezon
 100-200 mm: Aurora, the eastern portion of Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Metro Manila, and Camarines Norte
 50-100 mm: Nueva Ecija, the rest of Bulacan, the eastern portion of Pampanga, the rest of CALABARZON, Oriental
Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon, Burias Island, and the western portion of Camarines Sur.

Forecast accumulated rainfall: Tomorrow

 50-100 mm: The eastern portion of Isabela, the northern portion of Aurora, and Polillo Islands.

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-
induced landslides are likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified
in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days

Page 2 of 3

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: RBB

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 15-08-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 16
Tropical Storm AGHON
Issued at 5:00 AM, 26 May 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 8:00 AM today.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds
may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in
areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

 Minor to moderate impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is
hoisted.
 Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The highest possible Wind Signal that may be hoisted during the passage of AGHON is Wind Signal No. 2.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

 Under the influence of AGHON, a Gale Warning is hoisted over the coastal waters of Marinduque and Quezon, the
southern coastal waters of Batangas, and the northern coastal waters of Camarines Norte. Sea travel is risky for
small seacrafts, including all motorbancas of any type of tonnage. For more information, refer to Gale Warning
No. 1 issued at 5:00 AM today.
 Today: Outside the Gale Warning areas, AGHON will bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.5 m) over the coastal
waters along the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the seaboard of Bicol Region. Mariners of motor
bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea
and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped
vessels.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 AGHON is forecast to make landfall in the vicinity of Quezon within the next 3 hours. Over the next 12 hours, the
tropical storm will cross the landmass of mainland CALABARZON and Polillo Islands. AGHON will be over the
waters off the east coast of Quezon or Aurora by this evening or tomorrow early morning. During this period,
AGHON will likely remain as a tropical storm although weakening into a tropical depression while over mainland
CALABARZON is not ruled out due to land interaction.
 From Monday through the remainder of the forecast period, AGHON will gradually accelerate northeastward while
intensifying. It is forecast to reach severe tropical storm category on Tuesday. AGHON reaching typhoon category
within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) is not yet ruled out, although it will most likely happen far from
the landmass. On the track forecast, AGHON may exit the PAR region on Wednesday.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 8:00 AM today.

DOST-PAGASA

Page 3 of 3

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: RBB

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph