Forcasting 2
Forcasting 2
No. Month
1 Jan
2 Feb
3 Mar
4 Apr
5 May
6 Jun
7 Jul
8 Aug
9 Seb
10 Oct
11 Nov
12 Des
XY
3120
6240
9360
7200
12600
18720
16800
24960
27000
28800
33000
37440
225240
Monthly Wo
working-Days without holidays Demand/Productivity per Month
26 3120
26 3120
26 3120
15 1800
21 2520
26 3120
20 2400
26 3120
25 3000
24 2880
25 3000
26 3120
X2 Forcast
1 2776.9
4 2792
9 2807.1
16 2822.2
25 2837.3
36 2852.4
49 2867.5
64 2882.6
81 2897.7
100 2912.8
121 2927.9
144 2943
650 3939.6
Monthly Working Days through Year-2022:
3-period moving average 5-period moving average
- -
- -
- -
3120 -
2680 -
2480 2736
2480 2736
2680 2592
2880 2592
2840 2832
3000 2904
2960 2880
B
15.1048951048951
A
2761.81818181818
Feasibility_Sudy of Insulating Electrical-Cable
Asset
Working_Area
Production_rate
Production_per_Ton
Electric_Power
Labours
Distribution/Delivery_Cost
Hiring_Cost_per_Month
Monthly_Labours_Cost
Raw_Material_cost
Roll_cost
Total_Cost_per_Ton
diameter_of_Pipeline
Raw_Material_Type
Volume
3-period weighted moving average Ft when 𝛼 = 0.3
- -
- 3120
- 3120
3120 3120
2460 2724
2424 2662.8
2676 2799.96
2640 2679.972
2904 2811.9804
2916 2868.38628
2964 2871.870396
2964 2910.3092772
of Insulating Electrical-Cables Pipeline
Data
15*20-m
45-Kg/hour, 120Rolls/Day
150,000 YEM-RYLs,
8,293 YEM-RYLs for 1-Ton period
Demand/Productivity
No. per Month XY
1 3120 3120
2 3120 6240
3 3120 9360
4 1800 7200
5 2520 12600
6 3120 18720
7 2400 16800
8 3120 24960
9 3000 27000
10 2880 28800
11 3000 33000
12 3120 37440
78 34320 225240
3-period moving average 5-period moving average
- -
- -
- -
3120 -
2680 -
2480 2736
2480 2736
2680 2592
2880 2592
2840 2832
3000 2904
2960 2880
X2 Forcast
1 2776.9
4 2792
9 2807.1
16 2822.2
25 2837.3
36 2852.4
49 2867.5
64 2882.6
81 2897.7
100 2912.8
121 2927.9
144 2943
650
3-period weighted moving average
-
-
-
3120
2460
2424
2676
2640
2904
2916
2964
2964
No. Demand/Productivity per Month 3-period moving average
1 3120 -
2 3120 -
3 3120 -
4 1800 3120
5 2520 2680
6 3120 2480
7 2400 2480
8 3120 2680
9 3000 2880
10 2880 2840
11 3000 3000
12 3120 2960
D-F ((D-F)/D)*100 (D-F)^2
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
1320 73.3333333333333 1742400 246.6667
160 6.34920634920635 25600 10.67903
640 20.5128205128205 409600 201600
80 3.33333333333333 6400
440 14.1025641025641 193600
120 4 14400
40 1.38888888888889 1600
0 0 0
160 5.12820512820513 25600
2960 128.148351648352 2419200
Demand/Productivity
No. per Month
5-period moving average D-F ((D-F)/D)*100
1 3120 - 0 0
2 3120 - 0 0
3 3120 - 0 0
4 1800 - 0 0
5 2520 - 0 0
6 3120 2736 384 12.307692308
7 2400 2736 336 14
8 3120 2592 528 16.923076923
9 3000 2592 408 13.6
10 2880 2832 48 1.6666666667
11 3000 2904 96 3.2
12 3120 2880 240 7.6923076923
2040 69.38974359
(D-F)^2
0
0
0
0 170
0 5.782479
147456 64560
112896
278784
166464
2304
9216
57600
774720
No.
Demand/Productivity per Month
3-period weighted moving average D - ((D-F)/D)*100
F
1 3120 - 0 0
2 3120 - 0 0
3 3120 - 0 0
4 1800 3120 1320 73.333
5 2520 2460 60 2.381
6 3120 2424 696 22.308
7 2400 2676 276 11.5
8 3120 2640 480 15.385
9 3000 2904 96 3.2
10 2880 2916 36 1.25
11 3000 2964 36 1.2
12 3120 2964 156 5
3156 135.56
(D-F)^2
0
0
0
1742400 263
3600 11.29638
484416 214428
76176
230400
9216
1296
1296
24336
2573136
No.
Demand/Productivity per Month Forcast D-F ((D-F)/D)*100
1 3120 2776.9 343.1 10.996794871795
2 3120 2792 328 10.512820512821
3 3120 2807.1 312.9 10.028846153846
4 1800 2822.2 1022.2 56.788888888889
5 2520 2837.3 317.3 12.59126984127
6 3120 2852.4 267.6 8.5769230769231
7 2400 2867.5 467.5 19.479166666667
8 3120 2882.6 237.4 7.6089743589743
9 3000 2897.7 102.3 3.41
10 2880 2912.8 32.8 1.1388888888889
11 3000 2927.9 72.1 2.4033333333333
12 3120 2943 177 5.6730769230769
3680.2 149.20898351648
(D-F)^2
117717.61
107584
97906.41
1044892.84 306.6833
100679.29 12.43408
71609.76 155281.1
218556.25
56358.76
10465.29
1075.84
5198.41
31329
1863373.46