Assiment 3 FM Final
Assiment 3 FM Final
KASHIF HUSSA
ENRLL 02-111181-256 02-111181-246
Variance-covariance matrix
constant 0.06
z
-0.4817
0.1698
0.4917
0.8202
62.00% 16.01%
-0.08
-0.07
-0.06
-0.05
-0.04
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
Assignment No 3
Financial Modeling
M.KASHIF HUSSAIN
02-111181-246
Mean
returns
E(r)
5%
9%
11%
14%
0.2
0.4
Chart Title
1200.00%
1000.00%
800.00%
600.00%
400.00%
200.00%
0.00%
0.00% 200.00% 400.00% 600.00% 800.00% 1000.00% 1200.00%
4. Calculate expected return of the portfolio X & Y.
5. Calculate, Mean, variance, Standard deviation, covariance and correlation of portfolio X and Y.
PSO
PPL RETURN SHEL RETURN RETURN
3-Jan-22
4-Jan-22 -0.08% -0.35% 0.59%
5-Jan-22 0.40% 2.39% 0.01%
6-Jan-22 -0.16% -0.28% 2.16%
7-Jan-22 -0.64% -2.23% -2.15%
10-Jan-22 -0.10% 1.70% 0.38%
11-Jan-22 0.11% 2.10% 2.18%
12-Jan-22 -0.99% -0.08% -1.16%
13-Jan-22 1.02% -1.56% 1.66%
14-Jan-22 0.38% -0.06% -0.45%
17-Jan-22 0.63% -1.14% -0.46%
18-Jan-22 0.24% 0.00% -0.53%
19-Jan-22 0.88% 1.95% 0.27%
20-Jan-22 -2.26% -3.27% -3.83%
21-Jan-22 2.20% 0.00% 1.11%
24-Jan-22 0.06% 0.37% -0.17%
25-Jan-22 -0.44% 0.46% 2.88%
26-Jan-22 -0.37% 0.17% 0.16%
27-Jan-22 -0.87% -0.66% 0.51%
28-Jan-22 0.01% -0.25% -0.41%
31-Jan-22 0.04% 0.17% -0.67%
1-Feb-22 0.13% 1.80% 1.19%
2-Feb-22 1.96% 0.00% -0.04%
3-Feb-22 2.48% 2.03% 3.19%
4-Feb-22 -0.85% 5.27% -1.55%
7-Feb-22 -0.99% 6.76% 1.94%
8-Feb-22 1.24% -4.34% -0.19%
9-Feb-22 -0.62% -0.75% -0.27%
10-Feb-22 1.15% 0.69% 1.61%
11-Feb-22 -0.54% -2.01% -0.25%
14-Feb-22 -0.01% -1.55% -4.56%
15-Feb-22 -1.13% -4.36% -2.28%
16-Feb-22 -0.09% 3.39% 0.70%
17-Feb-22 -0.63% -1.52% -1.72%
18-Feb-22 -1.22% -1.18% -0.64%
21-Feb-22 2.34% 1.08% 1.38%
22-Feb-22 -1.84% -2.21% -0.37%
23-Feb-22 0.09% -0.89% 0.07%
24-Feb-22 -1.84% -2.47% -1.91%
25-Feb-22 -1.30% -3.30% -1.69%
28-Feb-22 -0.17% 3.39% -0.01%
1-Mar-22 7.60% 2.37% 5.53%
2-Mar-22 -3.02% -1.63% -3.81%
3-Mar-22 3.67% -0.21% -1.01%
4-Mar-22 3.43% -1.45% -1.85%
7-Mar-22 -0.57% -0.09% -0.92%
8-Mar-22 -3.09% -4.78% -4.69%
9-Mar-22 -3.50% 1.45% -2.46%
10-Mar-22 1.52% 2.32% 0.93%
11-Mar-22 -0.24% -2.17% 0.60%
14-Mar-22 -1.59% -0.25% -0.79%
15-Mar-22 -1.63% 0.11% -0.43%
16-Mar-22 -2.42% 1.93% 1.83%
17-Mar-22 0.03% -1.50% 0.63%
18-Mar-22 -3.92% -1.74% -2.45%
21-Mar-22 -1.82% -1.34% -3.14%
22-Mar-22 1.78% -0.81% 1.55%
24-Mar-22 -3.38% -0.08% -0.91%
25-Mar-22 1.36% 0.89% 0.32%
28-Mar-22 -1.67% -0.89% -0.52%
29-Mar-22 2.34% 1.77% 2.58%
30-Mar-22 -0.65% 1.20% 2.73%
31-Mar-22 0.01% -1.08% -1.43%
X Y
Portfolio mean return -0.05% 0.03%
Portfolio return variance 0.000192 0.000143
Portfolio return standard deviation 1.39% 1.20%
covariance 0.000148
correlation 0.892
ppl
3-Jan-22 79.25 79.79 78.6
4-Jan-22 79.19 80.15 79.1
5-Jan-22 79.51 80.2 79
6-Jan-22 79.38 79.38 78.01
7-Jan-22 78.87 78.87 78.03
10-Jan-22 78.79 79.6 78.1
11-Jan-22 78.88 78.88 77.91
12-Jan-22 78.1 79.85 78.06
13-Jan-22 78.9 79.24 78.5
14-Jan-22 79.2 79.9 78.41
17-Jan-22 79.7 80 78.7
18-Jan-22 79.89 81.3 79.5
19-Jan-22 80.6 81.2 78.61
20-Jan-22 78.8 80.65 78.51
21-Jan-22 80.55 80.85 79.6
24-Jan-22 80.6 80.7 79.75
25-Jan-22 80.25 80.41 79.55
26-Jan-22 79.95 80.17 79.05
27-Jan-22 79.26 80.1 78.51
28-Jan-22 79.27 79.6 78.5
31-Jan-22 79.3
1-Feb-22 79.4 81 79.17
2-Feb-22 80.97 82.75 80.26
3-Feb-22 83 83 81.35
4-Feb-22 82.3 83.6 81.1
7-Feb-22 81.49 83.75 81.49
8-Feb-22 82.51 83.23 81.9
9-Feb-22 82 83.98 81.5
10-Feb-22 82.95 83.75 82.01
11-Feb-22 82.5 83.3 81.7
14-Feb-22 82.49 82.5 81.7
15-Feb-22 81.56 81.98 80.3
16-Feb-22 81.49 81.49 80.01
17-Feb-22 80.98 81.98 79.6
18-Feb-22 80 81.7 79.6
21-Feb-22 81.89 81.89 80.2
22-Feb-22 80.4 80.4 78.9
23-Feb-22 80.47 80.47 78.9
24-Feb-22 79 80 76.5
25-Feb-22 77.98 78.72 75.67
28-Feb-22 77.85
1-Mar-22 84 84 81.75
2-Mar-22 81.5 84.5 81.5
3-Mar-22 84.55 89 84
4-Mar-22 87.5 88.5 86.6
7-Mar-22 87 88.35 83.51
8-Mar-22 84.35 85.59 81.55
9-Mar-22 81.45 83 80
10-Mar-22 82.7 82.75 81.3
11-Mar-22 82.5 82.5 80.6
14-Mar-22 81.2 81.28 78.75
15-Mar-22 79.89 79.89 77.26
16-Mar-22 77.98 78.88 77.65
17-Mar-22 78 78.1 76.6
18-Mar-22 75 76 72
21-Mar-22 73.65 75.5 73.06
22-Mar-22 74.97 75 71.61
24-Mar-22 72.48 73 71.57
25-Mar-22 73.47 73.47 72.02
28-Mar-22 72.25 73.55 71.49
29-Mar-22 73.96 74.49 73.34
30-Mar-22 73.48 73.5 72
31-Mar-22 73.49
ogdc
Portfolio X has the highest return as compared to stock Y, but it also has the highest risk,
so we will invest in portfolio X and take a risky decision.
78.94 451,370
79.62 923,790
79.06 902,026
78.18 465,370
78.59 307,563
78.51 1,016,986
78.04 1,049,225
78.86 1,668,719
78.75 494,736
79.62 1,624,511
79.45 592,477
80.14 2,291,121
79.5 2,137,137
80.42 2,160,554
80.19 288,538
80.37 392,963
79.62 718,641
79.2 225,326
78.82 883,770
78.59 1,345,330
80.72 784,293
82.46 1,810,135
81.59 901,647
81.38 2,704,294
82.73 3,294,297
82.05 936,692
82.97 1,884,474
82.29 1,824,809
82.07 819,408
81.86 569,286
80.62 1,206,676
80.29 211,094
80.14 516,026
81.3 653,088
80.33 719,716
79.81 1,160,073
79.8 596,782
78.2 1,708,243
76.64 1,157,364
83.2 5,462,685
84.22 2,497,732
87.51 6,786,944
87.08 1,945,741
84.58 2,414,042
82.32 1,203,280
81.41 1,079,316
82.21 578,446
80.97 274,219
79.13 1,272,137
78.08 800,189
77.96 387,960
76.85 211,734
72.43 1,605,279
73.35 1,892,503
72.15 1,549,828
72.88 719,066
72.42 561,585
73.35 974,453
73.79 809,493
72.94 568,832
150 5,200
150 21,000
150.05 47,000
150 29,100
145 16,000
141.41 52,500
136.5 11,100
143.6 7,400
143.13 3,400
138.63 300
139.97 10,300
140 14,700
131.56 32,500
129.62 7,900
134.6 15,200
134.5 1,400
134.5 2,500
136 4,400
137 3,000
138 9,100
89.51 7,935,067
91.53 5,926,878
91.23 2,803,404
91.67 5,310,348
90.89 3,345,536
89.97 1,301,741
89.56 2,267,567
89 915,389
88.83 552,856
88.69 2,142,672
90.16 2,067,350
90.19 2,214,161
89.25 2,113,420
88.88 3,938,075
87.19 2,314,921
86.1 2,027,329
88.13 1,063,564
89.6 2,264,735
88.34 1,403,327
89.51 7,935,067
91.53 5,926,878
91.23 2,803,404
91.67 5,310,348
90.89 3,345,536
89.97 1,301,741
89.56 2,267,567
89 915,389
88.83 552,856
88.69 2,142,672
90.16 2,067,350
90.19 2,214,161
89.25 2,113,420
88.88 3,938,075
87.19 2,314,921
86.1 2,027,329
e highest risk,
Mean returns
Variance-covariance, S
E(r)
0.20 0.01 0.03 0.05 5%
0.01 0.30 0.06 0.05 9%
0.06 0.06 0.40 0.02 11%
0.07 0.04 0.02 0.40 14%
34.14% 9.99%
-1
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7 16.00%
-0.6 14.00%
-0.5
12.00%
-0.4
10.00%
-0.3
-0.2 8.00%
-0.1 6.00%
0 4.00%
0.1 2.00%
0.2
0.00%
0.3 40.00%
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9 No stock will be the
1 because they all are
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2
STOCK A 44.72% 5%
STOCK B 54.77% 9%
STOCK C 63.25% 11%
STOCK D 63.25% 14%
Chart Title
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
40.00% 45.00% 50.00% 55.00% 60.00% 65.00%
Column C Column D
No stock will be the efficient out of Stock A, B, C and D
because they all are out of efficient frontier curve