Stablecoins

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The Cambrian Explosion

of Stablecoins
By the Northeastern University Blockchain Club and Coin Metrics

Photo: yamasakivukelic.com
AUTHORS
This report was written by the Northeastern University Blockchain
Club with data and support from the Coin Metrics Research team.

NEU Blockchain is a student-led organization whose mission is to cultivate an open community of


thought leaders, developers, and researchers to support the education and development of
blockchain technologies. We are fostering an open community across undergraduate, graduate,
alumni, and industry professionals to build a Blockchain hub at Northeastern University.

For more information visit lu.ma/neublockchain

Coin Metrics is a leading provider of transparent and actionable cryptoasset market and network
data. Coin Metrics delivers mature data across multiple formats to various industry stakeholders,
including financial enterprises, funds, media and research outlets, and data/application providers.
Coin Metrics’ data empowers people to make informed crypofinancial decisions.

For more information visit coinmetrics.io


The Cambrian
Explosion of
Stablecoins

In just two years, the total supply of stablecoins has grown twenty
fold to more than $180B today. Stablecoins have emerged as a
linchpin of the crypto ecosystem, providing stability in contrast to
the volatility of most cryptocurrencies. The rise of stablecoins is a
recent phenomena and the ecosystem is fast evolving. The design
space for stablecoins has expanded dramatically, encompassing a
broad range of economic mechanisms. The stakes are growing as
governments increasingly evaluate digital fiat currency while
private stablecoin issuers compete for market share. In this data-
driven report written by the Northeastern University Blockchain
Club with data and support from Coin Metrics, we break down
the stablecoin landscape today, the key measures of its growth,
and the possible future paths for this burgeoning sector of the
crypto-economy.
4

THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION


OF STABLECOINS

1 AN INTRODUCTION TO STABLECOINS

Stablecoins have steadily been increasing in popularity and use as their total market cap is peaking at
over 182 billion US dollars (The Block). Stablecoins are a class of cryptocurrencies that can be
described as digital currencies that retain value while hedging against market volatility. Stablecoins
are primarily used today to transfer funds, facilitate trading, and serve as collateral for borrowing and
lending protocols such as MakerDAO and Aave, among other use cases. Stablecoins offer price
stability as they are algorithmic, unpegged, or pegged by a reserve asset like the US dollar or gold.

Cryptocurrencies are considered to be volatile with significant upward and downward movements in
short time periods. Stablecoins solve this issue of volatility. They provide crypto users a stable asset
while still benefiting from the advantages of blockchain infrastructure. Holders don’t need multiple
bank accounts or settlement periods spanning multiple business days to send value across the world.
They just need one crypto wallet address. Stablecoins make peer-to-peer digital transactions possible
without the need for third-parties. Stablecoins offer a permissionless way to exchange and store
value that is not tied to banks or traditional payment rails. This means that payments are transferred
and settled almost instantaneously on the blockchain networks in which they are issued.

Stablecoins enable borderless payments that are open 24/7. For example, at least $10.7 million
dollars in stablecoins have been donated to Ukraine by people from across the world. This creates
opportunities for anonymous donations that aren’t tied to any forms of personally identifiable
information (PII) while maintaining ease of exchange and settlement. The Ukraine conflict showcased
the importance of global, autonomous, and resilient payment mechanisms and the future looks
brighter than ever as legacy institutions look to get more involved in the space.

In the following sections we outline the evolutionary nature of stablecoins today and their varying
designs, analyze the data behind their growth and adoption, and assess the risks and possible future
paths for this growing part of the crypto ecosystem.

4 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


5

2 STABLECOIN CLASSIFICATION

Stablecoins can be grouped under three main classifications. Fiat-collateralized, crypto-collateralized


and non-collateralized. The main differences between each are the type and amount of collateral
needed to mint the stablecoin. Each stablecoin’s respective peg mechanism also differs depending on
how it is collateralized. In this section, we’ll dive deep into both the collateralization and pegging
methods used in each classification.

Fiat-collateralized
The first classification we will discuss are fiat-collateralized stablecoins. These stablecoins are backed
by fiat currencies like the US dollar. Their reserves are usually held by a central entity that goes
through audits to ensure the number of minted stablecoins is equal to the number of fiat dollars held.
Fiat-backed stablecoins are generally more attractive to traditional finance participants and other
corporate entities as you can buy these stablecoins directly from the issuers where users undergo
KYC and AML checks. The most popular fiat-backed stablecoins at this time are USDC, USDT, and
BUSD.

5 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


6

USDC
USDC is a fiat-backed stablecoin created in September 2018 by a group called Centre which includes
Circle and Coinbase. USDC has been making strides in their service offerings to compete against
other USD backed stablecoins like USDT and BUSD. USDC has recently crossed 50 billion coins in
circulation with over 2 trillion dollars worth of on-chain transaction volume. A notable feature of
USDC is its multichain use. Today, USDC is issued on 8 different chains. The use of USDC spans many
verticals including gaming, crypto exchanges, fintechs, and banks. USDC is regulated by FinCEN and
46 state regulators, is governed by Centre and is also audited by Grant Thornton.

USDT (Tether)
USDT (Tether) is the largest stablecoin by total supply today. Tether was founded in 2014 by a group
called Tether Limited, and has a circulating supply of 80 billion today. Contrary to USDC, Tether has
had a very distinctive, and at times, questionable history. A complicated feature of fiat-collateralized
stablecoins is that information about the reserves backing the tokens are not accessible on the
blockchain itself (they are “off-chain”). While we can see the tokens issued on-chain, the reserve
composition is not readily accessible on-chain, requiring users to trust the issuer and the soundness
of the reserves.

Today, USDT is not actually backed 1:1 with USD; rather it is backed by various financial assets
including secured loans, corporate bonds, cash & cash equivalents, and other investments as shown in
the image below. Historically, there have been some concerns surrounding Tether and its disclosures.
In 2019, the New York Attorney General (NYAG) filed a suit accusing Tether of wrongdoing. Tether
subsequently settled with the NYAG last year. In October of 2021 the US CFTC called for Tether to
pay $41 million for making false public claims and actions. Despite Tether’s troubled history, it is
heavily used in the crypto market for liquidity and is often used as a quote asset in spot and futures
markets on centralized exchanges. Tether has also been a popular way to access dollar-denominated
assets outside of the US, especially in countries with high inflation such as Turkey.

Source: Tether

6 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


7

BUSD
Paxos has been a major player in the fiat-backed stablecoin market as they collaborated with Binance
to create BUSD. BUSD is available for use on ETH native applications and BNB chain (Binance’s
native chain).1 There is a supply of 17.9 billion BUSD. The main promoter of BUSD is Binance
themselves. BUSD that is issued by Paxos on ETH is regulated by the NYDFS while BUSD on
BNB is not.

Fiat-backed stablecoins play a huge role for not only stablecoin adoption, but for crypto adoption in
general. This is driven by the familiarity the average person gets by seeing USD and the ability to
trade in their USD 1-1 to get the stablecoin version.

Crypto-collateralized
The main weakness of fiat-collateralized stablecoin is centralization. The collateral of a
fiat-collateralized stablecoin is held by one independent party. An example of this would be Circle,
Inc, the Boston based digital payments company that issues USDC. If USDC is issued by Circle, the
collateral they receive is then kept with Signature Bank. Recently, Circle applied to become a US
Federally-chartered national commercial bank through the Securities and Exchange Commission. The
idea of one governing party controlling the funds of many directly contradicts the native idea of
decentralization that is embedded in cryptocurrency. This motivated the development of a
decentralized, cryptocurrency backed stablecoin. Here, we’ll focus on the crypto-collateralized
stablecoin.

MakerDAO’s DAI
DAI, created in 2017 by the Ethereum decentralized finance project, MakerDAO, was the first major
decentralized stablecoin to be collateralized by cryptocurrency. Maker achieves this through two
core mechanisms, the Collateralized Debt Position (CDP) and the Target Rate Feedback Mechanism
(TRFM): Both autonomously controlled by smart contracts on the Ethereum ecosystem. CDPs allow
users to lock up crypto as collateral in a smart contract, and receive DAI in return. More specifically,
when borrowing DAI, a user’s deposit must always be overcollateralized and worth 150% or more of
the total amount of borrowed DAI. If the collateral value dips below the 150% threshold, the
collateral will be at risk of forced liquidation. When a user is ready to withdraw their collateral, they
just need to pay back the total amount of DAI borrowed + Stability fees. The first version of DAI
(single-collateral DAI or SAI) only supported ETH as collateral. In late 2019 MakerDAO launched
1
Paxos has also issued the fiat-collateralized stablecoin PAX (rebranded to USDP), as well as PAX Gold, a gold-backed
stablecoin.

7 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


8

multi-collateral DAI bringing more collateral options to mint DAI. MakerDAO has now onboarded
many different collateral types, even including real-world assets.

DAI keeps its $1 peg through the TRFM: A mechanism that creates buy and sell incentives depending
on the market price of DAI. If DAI is trading below its target price, the TRFM will signal the protocol
to decrease collateralization levels. This incentivizes borrowers to buy more DAI to pay off their debt
hence limiting supply expansion and driving the price of DAI up. On the contrary, if DAI is trading
above one dollar, the protocol will increase collateralization levels. This incentivizes borrowers to
mint even more DAI hence increasing supply and driving the price of DAI down. Additionally, a
mechanism called the Peg Stability Module allows users to swap USDC for DAI at a 1:1 rate. This lets
traders easily capture arbitrage opportunities further helping the DAI peg.

The DAI stablecoin is valuable for its decentralization and collateralization mechanisms. It allows
users to mitigate volatility while staying true to the decentralized nature of crypto and avoiding
institution-issued stablecoins. While fiat-collateralized stablecoins are the dominant force in the
stablecoin market, there is still a need for crypto-backed stablecoins.

Non-collateralized
While crypto-backed stablecoins are good for their decentralization, they are capital inefficient. The
average consumer or institutional investor would rather mint 1:1 through a centralized fiat stablecoin
than have to over-collateralise by at least 150% to issue a decentralized stablecoin. For this reason,
developers set out to create non-collateralized (or algorithmic) stablecoins. These coins maintain
their peg without having to directly collateralize the issuance. Rather, they maintain the peg with
mechanisms similar to those of the United States’ Federal Reserve controlling the supply of the U.S.
Dollar. This is possible in the same way that it is possible for the U.S. Dollar to part ways with the gold
standard. Specifically, this section will talk about some of the largest forces in the market in this
category, Terra and Fei.

Terra
Terra is a blockchain focused on serving instantaneous payments and algorithmic stablecoins. On
Terra, a stablecoin could be issued for any traditional currency. For example, the U.S. Dollar (UST),
Euro (EUT) and Korean Won (KRT) all have their own stablecoin issued on Terra. Terra’s ecosystem
consists of two main coins, Terra and Luna. Terra tokens are what are used to create the stablecoins
and other synthetic tokens on the network. Luna is the governance and staking reward token. Users
can stake Luna to network validators and receive more Luna through periodic rewards. Terra’s peg
mechanism is fairly straightforward. Depending on if Terra is trading above or below its peg, the Terra
protocol will incentivize either the expansion or contraction of Terra’s supply in the market.

8 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


9

Specifically, Terra’s “Terra Station” is a native app that allows for atomic swaps between Terra and
Luna. Users can access this feature to take advantage of existing arbitrage opportunities on the
network. These opportunities are incentives that the protocol creates to either increase or decrease
the supply of the Terra pool. This year, Terra has taken initiative to back their stablecoins with Bitcoin
reserves. This came after a lot of criticism towards Terra’s peg mechanism. Terra’s founder, Do Kwon,
announced that the network recently acquired $230 million worth of Bitcoin for its reserves. The
Luna Foundation Guard’s Bitcoin address now holds roughly 42K BTC worth $1.7B at the time of
writing this report. Kwon has suggested that the network may acquire up to $10 billion worth of
Bitcoin in the future. This would accelerate Bitcoin adoption and create a new frontier for
decentralized currency.

Fei
The Fei Protocol is home to the Fei token. An algorithmic stablecoin innovative for its use of Protocol
Controlled Value (PCV.) Instead of receiving an IOU when minting Fei, the Fei protocol controls your
collateral and uses it to maximize yield. That being said, Fei keeps a tight peg by offering 1:1
redeemability through its PCV. At any given time, a holder can redeem 1 DAI for 1 FEI from the PCV.
This allows for Fei’s supply to expand or contract depending on the demand for the stablecoin. In
turn, the peg stays tight through arbitrage. Other features of Fei’s PCV include providing liquidity on
Balancer Investment Pools and offering buybacks for Fei’s governance token, $TRIBE.

9 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


10

3 Stablecoin Usage and Adoption Trends

Looking closer to the behavior of market participants and the stablecoins they choose to use allows
for patterns and hierarchies to be recognized. Some networks offer lower fees which are in turn
dominated by smaller transaction sizes for example.

In some cases, such as Tether, a stablecoin can permeate across several networks to the point where
the genesis blockchain becomes cannibalized by the newer networks. This was the case for Tether on
the Omni network as it was quickly leapfrogged by popular rising networks Ethereum and Tron.

Source: Coin Metrics’ Network Data Charts

Prior to 2018, Tether was only issued on Omni but after issuing an ERC20 token on Ethereum, Omni
Tether’s share of the market crashed from 98% of the entire Tether supply to a paltry ~1.6%.

The quick change in market share over the span of four years underscores the utility and adoption
Ethereum amassed over the years, as it brought smart contract chains to the forefront of distributed
ledger technology. Tether on Ethereum has witnessed explosive growth, growing from 2% of Tether’s
supply in 2018 to 49%. This gain of 47% in Tether’s supply coincided with the introduction of Tether

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11

on the Tron network, where 49% of Tether’s supply is currently circulating. Introducing Tron and
Ethereum to the Tether ecosystem siphoned Omni’s share of Tether’s cross-network supply but not
from each other. It will be interesting to watch which network will take over in the future as both Tron
and Ethereum versions of Tether sit at 49% of the current supply. This coexistence will most likely be
challenged as the market matures and new entrants step in.

Tether has expanded to multiple networks and currently operates across 9 networks. This alters the
share of each network proportional to supply when factoring in the Solana, Algorand, Avalanche,
EOS, Liquid, and SLP networks but Tron and Ethereum remain the dominant choices regardless.
Tether on Solana has been growing fast with supply at $2B, 2.3% of Tether’s aggregate supply, only 2
years since inception.

This next section will analyze Stablecoins from the aggregate and peer perspective.

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Aggregate View
Active Addresses

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder2

Stablecoins have gained significant traction and adoption. One way to assess the degree of this
adoption is to analyze active addresses. An active address is defined as a crypto wallet that sent or
received a given stablecoin on that day.

Over the past year, Stablecoin active address count peaked around May 30, 2021 at 967k active
addresses. This may suggest the adoption for stablecoins has peaked as well but when you look at the
365 day moving average you start to notice an uptrend while the 30 day moving average appears to
be in a short term slump due to lower trading volumes. The overall long term trend from this chart
suggests this is a positive trend with higher crests and lower troughs when you look at the moving
averages. There is more to the picture as we analyze different aspects of the entire stablecoin market
in this section.

2
Includes USDT (ETH), USDT (Omni). USDT (Tron), USDC, DAI, USDP, GUSD, BUSD, HUSD. Note in the rare case where a
wallet transacts various stablecoins in the same wallet on the same day, there can be double counting in the figure above.

12 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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Addresses with Over $10 in Stablecoins

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder3

Starting 2021 at 2M stablecoin addresses carrying $10 or greater, there was a parabolic rise in
stablecoin ownership across crypto markets. The figure above boasts annual growth of 376%. One
insight we can draw from this chart is the staggering rate of adoption Stablecoins have experienced,
mainly due to increases in use cases and utility brought on by the growth of DeFi, staking, and other
smart contract related transactions where yields can be generated.

Adoption Analysis: Stablecoins vs Underlying L1 Blockchains


Compared to popular layer 1 blockchains Ethereum and Tron, Stablecoin addresses have grown far
more aggressively than both Tron and Ethereum. One explanation for this would be the rise in utility
and use cases for Stablecoins propagated by yield farming & DeFi protocols such as Compound as
well as the nascent nature of the Stablecoin industry.

3
Includes USDT (ETH), USDT (Omni). USDT (Tron), USDC, DAI, USDP, GUSD, BUSD, HUSD. Note the same caveat above..

13 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder4

The Ethereum network is the largest smart contract chain with significant stablecoin usage. To assess
adoption on the network in a precise manner, this chart accounts for dust addresses holding
insignificant amounts of ETH (too low to pay gas for recovery of funds) and tells us what proportion
of ETH wallets hold stablecoins. What this metric shows us is that stablecoin adoption on Ethereum is
growing fast. In 2020, 4% of Ethereum addresses with more than 0.01 ETH held stablecoins. Today
that number is 18%, up nearly 5x in the span of two years.

Upon a closer look, the Tron network seems to show minimal growth over the last two years and
despite a sharp decline in adoption over the fall of 2021, Tether usage on Tron’s network remains
near all time highs and is actually higher on a moving average basis than it was when USDT adoption
peaked around May.

4
Includes USDT (ETH), USDC, DAI, USDP, GUSD, BUSD, HUSD.

14 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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Source: Coin Metrics’ Network Data Charts

The Tron network has lower fees than Ethereum which has led to usage being fueled primarily by
frugal and low balance wallets. This is best shown by assessing the mean transfer size on Tether
segmented by network as shown in the chart below. The average Tether transfer size on Ethereum is
about 7x that on Tron, currently at ~$52,000 on Ethereum and ~$7,000 on Tron.

15 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

Tron boasts a zero gas fee due to its bandwidth point system. In some cases, Tron does charge users a
fee to transact on the network but this is fairly small, usually a few pennies. The Ethereum network
has high fees due to its significant network congestion, a symptom of strong demand.

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Peer Analysis
Supply Growth

Source: Coin Metrics’ Network Data Charts

The spotlight has shined its light over the Stablecoin industry during the last two years. Leading the
charge with the largest supply is Circle’s USDC at $46.4B. This analysis is conducted on a network to
network basis meaning Tether, which operates on multiple networks, is segmented into three assets.
Aggregating Tether’s supply on the Ethereum, Omni, and Tron networks would leave us with a supply
of $79.9B which is 72% larger than USDC.

Supply growth is a good measure for adoption and one thing is clear from the chart above, adoption is
certainly in an uptrend.

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Source: Coin Metrics’ Network Data

The visual above shows the year over year growth by each Stablecoin in our analysis. The highest
supply growth in this cohort of Stablecoins is Binance USD (BUSD) growing at 401% in the past year
alone. There was only one stablecoin that actually declined in supply over the last year, Huobi USD
(HUSD).

HUSD supply fell by more than half year over year. Historically, Huobi has been a popular crypto
exchange in China but China’s crackdown on local exchanges has likely played a role in HUSD’s
decline.

Growth rates are great indicators of momentum and it appears that Tether is losing steam in terms of
growth. This does not suggest Tether is in trouble but speaks volumes about whether Tether’s
dominance is set in stone. Only time will tell but the rise of USDC supply coupled with its high share
of smart contract activity is a potential flywheel for market share in the future.

18 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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Assessing Market Share


Looking at supply from another perspective we can approximate market share across several
stablecoins to determine market leaders and laggards. Upon a first glance Tether and USDC stand
out, representing a large share of the market in the figure below. This could signal that USDC and
Tether have a strong barrier to compete with and offer more influence on the markets as a whole.
Tether and USDC were some of the first to enter the market and they both hold the highest shares of
the market, at 44.8% and 24.8% respectively. As of now, this could arguably illustrate a Lindy effect
emerging but future technical breakthroughs may challenge the status quo over time.

Source: Coin Metrics and The Block

USDT was the entire stablecoin market up until 2018, but things are much different now. The
landscape has matured to the point where several providers are competing for adoption and
ecosystem growth across many blockchains. USDC, BUSD, and UST have carved out a significant
portion of the market over the last two years at 24.8%, 9.7%, and 10.2% market share respectively.
Terra (UST) more than doubled in market share over the last year, partly due to increasing activity
and partnerships in the Terra ecosystem.

Peeling back another layer, USDT has not only stagnated in growth but is actively contracting. Not
taking into account the early years when it was the only stablecoin, USDT peaked in dominance
around June 2020 at 86% market share which is around the same time BUSD, DAI, and USDC began
to gain traction. Tether currently has 44.8% market share, nearly half of its two year peak.

19 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


20

USDC and its Smart Contract Symbiosis

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

Today, over $30B in stablecoins are held in smart contracts on Ethereum today. USDC represents
60% or about $19B of this. Many of these smart contracts are related to DeFi, and could be a liquidity
pool, token bridge, lending protocol, yield aggregator, among many other forms. DAI makes up ~15%
of the stablecoins held by smart contracts, reflecting DAI’s use within the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem.
To drill down on this observation, analyzing Uniswap’s (the largest decentralized exchange on
Ethereum) total value locked (TVL) and volume5 vividly back the chart above. On Uniswap V3, Tether
(USDT) has a TVL of $252m today whereas USDC’s TVL is $914m which is 3x larger than Tether.

Why the large disconnect in total value locked? One explanation in this case would be volume which
is closely related to liquidity. Higher volume often begets more liquidity and leads to higher activity
which translates to higher volume as the cycle continues. USDC is a relatively more popular quote
asset for trading on Uniswap compared to Tether. USDC volume totaled ~$8B in the week ending
April 13, 2022 while only $1.6B of Tether was exchanged in that same time frame on Uniswap V3.

5
https://info.uniswap.org/#/

20 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


21

This means that compared to Tether, USDC addresses have a higher propensity to lock present funds
for future economic returns as well as a higher propensity to transact in the present as well. USDC is
gaining popularity in the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem and as more crypto protocols and wallets utilize
smart contract functionality USDC is poised to increase in both volume and total value locked (TVL).

4 How Stable are Stablecoins?

Fiat Peg
Since the primary utility of stablecoins is to maintain their value against an anchor fiat currency, we
want to know which stablecoins have done a good job of producing this price behavior and which
have fluctuated away from their intended fiat counterparts.

Price Fluctuation

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

21 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


22

Observing the spot Stablecoin / USD markets, we can get a sense of how each stablecoin tends to
fluctuate from its intended 1:1 peg with the USD. Taking a look at the 30-day moving average, we can
see that DAI & GUSD have historically traded the furthest away from the fiat peg — at times drifting
as far as 2.5% and 1.5% away. Since early October 2021, all of the subject stablecoins have
maintained a relatively reliable peg to USD with the exception of PAX, which drifted ~0.50% away in
January 2021.

Volatility

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

It should be noted that while 1-3% is as extreme as fluctuations tend to get since 2020, stablecoins
have made extraordinary improvements to their price reliability in the past several years. From
2015-2019, USDT was the leading stablecoin in terms of volume and often saw day-to-day swings of
3-5% with isolated periods where it traded 15-18% away from the US Dollar.

22 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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It’s important to note that Tether was one of the only viable stablecoin options at the time and
suffered from vastly higher demand than issuance, making such volatility more understandable.

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

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Correlation with Market Activity

Source: Coin Metrics’ Formula Builder

Taking a look at key factors that impact a stablecoin’s ability to maintain a consistent price, an
important aspect to consider is the degree to which stablecoins react to market conditions leading to
sudden changes in supply & demand dynamics. A prime example of this was the market volatility
experienced in March 2020, leading to a sudden surge in stablecoin demand from traders seeking a
“flight to safety.” We can observe this phenomenon causing DAI to trade at a ~3.5% premium during
this time before settling back to par value over the next few months.

24 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


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5 Central Bank Digital Currencies & Regulatory


Environment

CBDCs: What are they?


Many countries have started to look into establishing their own Central Bank Digital Currencies, or
CBDCs, as an alternative to stablecoins. Investopedia defines CBDCs as “digital tokens, similar to
cryptocurrency, issued by a central bank. They are pegged to the value of that country’s fiat currency.”

Due to the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, CBDCs provide a more stable means of digital
currency exchange as they’re backed by a government and controlled by a central bank. However, this
means that the system is not decentralized, which means CBDCs do not strictly require the use of
blockchain technology and consensus mechanisms. Even if the blockchain was leveraged to facilitate
transactions, it would likely be permissioned not public to ensure monetary policy is enforced by the
entrusted entities of the Central Bank.

Risks associated with Stablecoins


With stablecoins as a decentralized system that is not controlled by a government or a central bank,
there are uncertainties associated with maintaining their value. The President’s Working Group on
Financial Markets (PWG), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and the Office of the
Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) released a Report on Stablecoins on November 1, 2021 that
outlined some of the potential risks associated with stablecoins. The report noted that stablecoins
could potentially face the risk of failure due to market pressures, operational failures, and other risks.
When stablecoins are created, or minted, in exchange for fiat currency, they are claimed as being
supported by a variety of reserve assets. However, because these reserves are not subject to rigorous
audits by regulators, the quality and quantity of collateral may not correspond to the benefits that
the issuers claim. This creates room for various risks associated with low regulatory attention,
including operational failures, fraud, or market manipulation. If investors doubt the credibility of a
stablecoin issuer’s claim on the ability to maintain a stable value, they could easily redeem and
liquidate their assets, leaving the rest of the market more vulnerable to market volatility.

The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) has also addressed multiple concerns with DeFi
tools including criminal enterprise and market manipulations, which could undermine confidence in
the system when issues exist in areas such as illicit financing, national security, cybersecurity, privacy,
and international monetary and payment system integrity. DeFi has introduced exciting new
primitives but also requires new thought around crypto-specific risk vectors.

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Can stablecoins and CBDCs co-exist?


CBDC models can be used for both retail or wholesale channels, performed either domestically or
across borders. Establishing a regulated digital currency without the need for formal banks will help
bridge the gap between a bank and those without access to financial services, especially in less
metropolitan areas where accessibility to financial services is scarce. This makes it easy for everyone
to manage their digital assets, anywhere, anytime.

In contrast, since there is no central entity controlling the entire stablecoins market, the use of smart
contracts will allow automation of certain transactions, which reduces payment and settlement risks
and therefore enhances the overall efficiency of transactions being made. The current landscape
allows multiple privately owned projects with faster and better blockchains to join the market and
solve existing issues such as lags in transaction time or high transaction fees, and eventually scale
their business to achieve mass adoption.

The outcome of whether CBDCs and stablecoins will co-exist in the future is still quite uncertain but
is not entirely impossible. According to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, there is room for
CBDCs to “exist alongside a well-regulated, privately issued stablecoin” as they are not mutually
exclusive. Eventually, some stablecoins will likely shift towards regular finance by adopting the same
regulatory framework, such as complying with anti-money laundering / know your customer
(AML/KYC) rules, as well as SEC or OCC regulations, to really be accepted by the mass majority.
Indeed, USDC issuer Circle has disclosed that it intends to apply for a US bank charter in the near
future.

The US is currently exploring a CBDC and President Biden’s recent Executive Order on Digital Assets
called for placing urgency on the research and development of a potential United States CBDC. One
current initiative is Project Hamilton, a joint and open-source research project between MIT’s Digital
Currency Initiative and the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. In February 2022, Project Hamilton
researchers released a technical paper and code base outlining some potential CBDC design choices.
The researchers noted that they “are confident that our designs could support interoperability with
cryptocurrencies via Layer-2 payment channel networks, though specific implementation details still
need to be determined.”6

6
Lovejoy et al, “A High Performance Payment Processing System Designed for Central Bank Digital Currencies,” Feb 2022.

26 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


27

6 Looking Forward

As stablecoins play a crucial role in crypto markets to facilitate the exchange and store of value,
having a regulatory framework will allow them the clarity to play an even more valuable role outside
of the crypto ecosystem.

Global enterprises can settle commerce and international transactions in stablecoins to mitigate
foreign exchange rates by sending stablecoins across operational regions, settled in real-time. These
firms can also make their treasuries more productive by lending these stablecoins for an annual yield
using protocols like Compound and Aave.

As previously touched on in Coin Metrics’ Rise of Stablecoins report, stablecoins offer an alternative
system for citizens in nations where inflation and currency debasement are rampant. Developing
nations with largely unbanked populations can also participate in the global economy with minimal
friction, especially in the case of remittances which make up an average 5% of a nations GDP.
Reducing the indirect and direct costs to transfer value can lead to higher disposable income for
citizens and acts as a secure store of value for their assets.

The benefits stablecoins offer businesses and individuals are not to be overlooked. As the world
becomes more global and intertwined, reducing the friction and speeds at which we transact gains
more importance. These entities gain access to global liquidity, relatively stable stores of value, and
the ability to be your own banker through powerful decentralized finance protocols.

Stablecoins may have grown exponentially in the last few years but they are still relatively nascent.
As the regulatory environment becomes more certain, the number of vendors that accept and
transact with stablecoins is set to follow the same sentiment as regulation. There are still issues to
iron out in terms of preventing depegging and cross-chain settlement to name a few.

Crypto has grown to become a multi-trillion dollar market but without stablecoins there is no
volatility hedge or common ground to store value reliably with little to no delta. For the reasons
discussed in this paper, stablecoins are crypto’s linchpin as they provide low-risk liquidity for the
entire ecosystem alongside increasing integration within the broader economy.

27 THE CAMBRIAN EXPLOSION OF STABLECOINS


The Cambrian
Explosion of
Stablecoins
By the Northeastern University Blockchain Club and Coin Metrics

Youssef Haidar
Vasu Zalawadia
Bennett Thompson
Ivan Rosales
Jeremy Koch
Alyson (Ran) Liu

To view more from Coin Metrics Research go to


coinmetrics.io/pubs or Subscribe to State of the Network

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