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Contingency in International Law
Contingency
in International Law
On the Possibility of Different Legal Histories
Edited by
I N G O V E N Z K E A N D K EV I N J O N H E L L E R
1
3
Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, OX2 6DP,
United Kingdom
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford.
It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship,
and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of
Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries
© The Several Contributors 2021
The moral rights of the authors have been asserted
First Edition published in 2021
Impression: 1
The present volume builds on the conference ‘Contingency in the Course of International
Law: How International Law Could Have Been’, which we held in Amsterdam in the summer
of 2018 under the auspices of the Amsterdam Center for International Law (ACIL). It was
a sparkling event exceeding our expectations in substance and form; in the depth of the
exchange; in open curiosity and intellectual rigour; and in sheer interest and numbers.
We invited a few colleagues to the conference but wanted to seek out unfamiliar voices.
About 140 scholars replied to our Call for Papers, and 60 presenters filled the conference.
Fleur Johns opened the proceedings and Sam Moyn closed them. Both gave memorable
keynote lectures that now, in revised versions, frame the present volume. We are truly
grateful to all of the presenters and conference-participants for their engaged contributions
and spirited exchanges, and to the contributors to the volume for their continued commit-
ment, ongoing debate, and regular input.
Neither this volume nor the conference would have been possible without the financial
and logistical support we received from ACIL and the Amsterdam Law School. Several col-
leagues were of particular assistance in bringing the conference to fruition, including ACIL’s
administrative assistants Yvonne ter Horst and Kaan Özdurak, as well as the helping hands
of Teresa Cabrita, Corina Heri, Jackson Oldfield, and Wim Zimmermann. Kathryn Skinner
was a superb student assistant during that time.
The volume would not have obtained its present shape had it not been for Bianca Dillon’s
outstanding support in finalising it. She closely read and edited every chapter with excep-
tional diligence and dedication. We are further grateful to Brittany Feldman, who took over
from Kathryn as a student assistant to work on the volume.
We wish to thank Merel Alstein from OUP, who attended the conference in 2018, for her
kind support for the project from its beginning. And we are grateful to Jack McNichol for
steering the volume towards production.
With deep gratitude to our interlocutors and all who have helped.
I. INTRODUCTION
1. Situating Contingency in the Path of International Law 3
Ingo Venzke
I I . T H E O R I SI N G & NA R R AT I N G C O N T I N G E N C Y
A . E NAC T E D S T RU C T U R E S & S T RU C T U R E D AC T O R S
B. SI T UAT E D P E R SP E C T I V E S & P O S SI B I L I T I E S
I I I . L O C AT I N G & R E SI S T I N G C O N T I N G E N C Y
A . M IG R A N T S & R E F U G E E S
B. SE A & R E S O U R C E S
13. What If the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea had Entered
into Force Unamended: Business as Usual or Dystopia? 215
Alex Oude Elferink
14. What If Arvid Pardo Had Not Made his Famous Speech? (False)
Contingency in the Making of the Law of the Sea 231
Surabhi Ranganathan
15. Contingent Economic Legal Ordering: Permanent Sovereignty over
Natural Resources and International Commodity Agreements 246
Lucas Lixinski and Mats Ingulstad
C . H UM A N R IG H T S
D. A R M E D C O N F L IC T
E . F O R E IG N I N V E ST M E N T S
F. T H E N EW I N T E R NAT IO NA L E C O N OM IC O R D E R
G . E RU P T IO N S
28. Contravention and Creation of Law during the French Revolution 481
Edward Kolla
29. Contingencies in the Rise of European and Latin American Private
International Law, 1850 to 1950 496
Ana Delic
I V. O U T L O O K
Index 527
List of Contributors
Mohsen al Attar, Dean of the Faculty of Law, University of the West Indies; Associate Professor,
University of Warwick
Matthias Goldmann, Junior Professor, Goethe University Frankfurt; Senior Research Fellow, Max
Planck Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law
Kevin Jon Heller, Professor of International Law and Security, Centre for Military Studies, University
of Copenhagen; Professor of Law, Australian National University
Bianca Maganza, PhD Candidate, Graduate Institute of International Development Studies (Geneva)
Janne E Nijman, Professor, University of Amsterdam and the Graduate Institute of International
Development Studies (Geneva); Academic Director, T.M.C. Asser Instituut
Josef Ostřanský, Visiting Fellow, Australian National University; Associate Researcher, Geneva
Center for International Dispute Settlement
xiv List of Contributors
Alex Oude Elferink, Netherlands Institute for the Law of the Sea (NILOS); Utrecht Centre for Oceans,
Water and Sustainability Law, Utrecht University
Silvia Steininger, Research Fellow, Max Planck Institute for Comparative Public Law and
International Law
Ingo Venzke, Professor, University of Amsterdam; Director, Amsterdam Center for International
Law (ACIL)
List of Abbreviations
I. Introduction
The present volume asks a question that is deceptive in its simplicity: Could international
law have been otherwise? In other words, what are past possibilities, if any, for a different
law? The path of law was long understood as expressing a natural plan, given fate or divine
fiat. The mark of enlightened modernity was then to no longer see the world, and the law in
it, as so predetermined that contingency was just puzzling.1 The ramifications of this move
were tremendous across theory and practice. The individual became the focal point of legit-
imate order and the master of a now disenchanted, freer world. Ridden with contradictions,
enlightened modernity evoked anxieties about how to bear the weight of one’s choices, if
not of the whole world. The newfound freedom triggered a longing for guidance and ex-
planation within this world of possibility, for foundations that were now evasive.2 Still,
today there is hardly a serious account left that would consider the path of international law
to be necessary and that would refute the possibility of a different law altogether.
If that is so, then thinking through how international law could have been otherwise
should not be too hard, neither in theory nor in practice. In our original conference pitch,
Kevin Jon Heller and I claimed that ‘international law’s past . . . is ripe with possibilities that
have been forgotten’. We wanted to reveal and remember them. We did not, however, want
to engage in stories of miracle counterfactuals, hypothetical changes that are withdrawn
from worldly constraints. We set out in search of plausible possibilities that arose within
given circumstances. Many chapters in the volume now meet precisely that ambition, re-
trieving contingency from the margins of collective memory.
For none of the contributions has this been an easy task, nor should it have been. Behind
every possibility of the past stands a reason why the law developed as it did after all.3 The
search for contingency appeals to opposing critical sensibilities of wanting to show possi-
bilities of the past and wanting to reveal the determining forces that compel the law down
* Email: [email protected]. I am truly grateful to all the participants of the conference ‘Contingency in the Course
of International Law: How International Law Could Have Been’, University of Amsterdam, 14–16 June 2018 for the
spirited discussions and all their input.
1 Niklas Luhmann, Kontingenz und Recht (Suhrkamp 2013) 36; Nicholas Onuf, ‘“Tainted by Contingency”
Retelling the Story of International Law’ in Nicholas Onuf (ed), International Legal Theory: Essays and Engagements
1966–2006 (Routledge 2002) 359, 374.
2 See Theodor W Adorno and Max Horkheimer, Dialectic of Enlightenment (John Cumming tr, Verso 1997).
3 Compare Tedeschini, in the present volume, noting that ‘[t]he more we look for it, the more contingency
slips away’.
Ingo Venzke, Situating Contingency in the Path of International Law In: Contingency in International Law. Edited by: Ingo Venzke and
Kevin Jon Heller, Oxford University Press. © The Several Contributors 2021. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780192898036.003.0001
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