Defence Tech Notes
Defence Tech Notes
Defence Tech Notes
1
Russia. Russia has been able to produce and import huge num-
bers of drones and develop some effective local countermeasures
against Ukrainian drones.
Ukrainian naval drones have, however, been a particular problem
for the Russian navy.
Footage appearing to show the sinking of the Russian warship Sergei Ko-
tov. The recent sinking of the large patrol ship Sergei Kotov with naval
drones is a case in point. Modern warships are not bristling with the sort
of anti-aircraft guns that their Second World War counterparts had to
stop kamikaze pilots for example.
But quite possibly they will soon be bristling again, because such guns
are ideal for dealing with drones at close range. Even the humble torpedo
net from the late 19th century may make a return to try to stop drones
reaching ships at anchor.
• MISSILE Technology:While in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. and
other western powers made heavy use of guided missiles. What is dif-
ferent in Ukraine is that both sides have access to them.
For example, the Russian Iskander and Anglo-French Storm Shadow
missiles have proven highly effective at striking targets deep in
the enemy rear. Often targets for such missiles have been located using
drones.
Many tanks are being destroyed not only by or with the help of
drones, but with anti-tank missiles such as the Russian Kornet,
or much vaunted U.S.-supplied Javelin on the Ukrainian side.
Anti-tank missiles are not new — the Egyptian armed forces for example
made good use of recently developed Soviet anti-tank missiles during the
Yom Kippur War in 1973.
The anti-tank missiles being used in Ukraine today are however
much more sophisticated. Back in 1973, anti-tank missiles often
had to be connected to the operator through a fine wire that was
reeled out by the missile as it flew! Today’s missiles typically
have more sophisticated and reliable targeting.
2
tion balloons of the First World War. These were used in particular for
directing artillery fire.
Balloons stopped being used in war because of the development of weapons
that could easily shoot them down, from aircraft to high-powered anti-
aircraft guns. When a new technology comes along, the race begins
to counter it. The Russian armed forces have already had some
success in jamming the link between drone operators and their
drones.
• WHATS NXT: Autonomous drones using AI are in many ways
a nightmare idea, but they are being worked on.
Autonomous anti-drone drones would no doubt follow.
One thing is certain — new technologies will be developed, to
be followed by countermeasures. New hi-tech ways of killing or facil-
itating it will continue to serve alongside the old methods.
• SIDE EFFECTS OF AUTONOMY AND AI:. The use and even
the loss of autonomous systems, on the other hand, is less politically costly
than the loss of human lives. Scholars have therefore warned that with
this perception that deploying autonomous systems for military purposes
comes at a lower political cost, leaders may be more inclined to initiate
conflict.5 Others have suggested that this perception of lower political
costs may not only make conflicts easier to start but also more difficult to
end, especially in the context of urban warfare.6 The proliferation of these
technologies to more countries and nonstate actors will likely increase the
risk of conflict and spread instability across the international system.
Another set of arguments centers on how the use of AI and autonomous
technologies could increase the risk of intentional, inadvertent, or acci-
dental escalation—whether from a crisis to a conflict, or conventional to
nuclear confrontation—due to misperceptions, miscalculations, or acci-
dents.7 Some arguments have focused more specifically on the connection
between AI and nuclear weapons, examining how advances in AI could be
exploited across the nuclear deterrence architecture—from early warning
and intelligence, surveillance,
Today, AI technology remains too brittle and vulnerable to attacks for
nuclear-armed states to delegate nuclear command and control functions,
and specifically missile-launch decisions to AI. Yet, some scholars have
suggested that with improvements in technology, concerns about retain-
ing first strike advantage or ensuring retaliation could prompt countries,
perhaps particularly Russia, to activate fully automated nuclear command
and control systems (as the USSR has done during the Cold War).9 Aside
from command and control, researchers have posited that improvements
in autonomous systems, specifically in undersea vehicles that can locate
and shadow adversary submarines, increase the vulnerability of nuclear
delivery systems, which could in turn undermine strategic stability and
deterrence.10
3
2 Israel Hamas conflict
• Oct 7 Hamas attacked Israel on the borders of GAZA.
• Axis of resistance :supported by Iran;Hamas in Gaza,Houdis in Yemen;Hezbollah
in Lebanon.
Like many other modern conflicts, the war has been shaped by a prolif-
eration of inexpensive unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), also known as
drones, which have made attacks from the air easier and cheaper.
Hamas used them to drop explosives on October 7, while Israel has turned
to new tech to shoot them down.