Robust Optimal Excess-Of-loss Reinsurance and Investment Strategy For An Insurer in A Model With Jumps
Robust Optimal Excess-Of-loss Reinsurance and Investment Strategy For An Insurer in A Model With Jumps
Robust Optimal Excess-Of-loss Reinsurance and Investment Strategy For An Insurer in A Model With Jumps
To cite this article: Danping Li, Yan Zeng & Hailiang Yang (2018) Robust optimal excess-of-
loss reinsurance and investment strategy for an insurer in a model with jumps, Scandinavian
Actuarial Journal, 2018:2, 145-171, DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2017.1309679
1. Introduction
Reinsurance is an effective risk-spreading approach, while investment is an increasingly important
way of using insurers’ surplus, and both are popular in the insurance industry. In recent years,
the problem of optimal reinsurance-investment has attracted significant attention in the literature.
A number of scholars have considered the problem of maximizing the expected utility of terminal
wealth. For example, Yang & Zhang (2005) studies the optimal investment problem for an insurer in a
jump-diffusion risk model. Lin & Li (2011) discusses the optimal reinsurance-investment problem in a
jump-diffusion insurance risk model where the dynamics of the risky asset are governed by a constant
elasticity of variance (CEV) model. Liang & Yuen (2016) derives the optimal reinsurance strategy for
maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth in a risk model with dependent risks.
Likewise, other optimization objectives are considered in the literature. We refer readers to Schmidli
(2002) and Jang & Kim (2015) for the criterion of ruin probability minimization, and Pressacco
et al. (2011) and Bi et al. (2013) for the mean-variance criterion.
Although the problem of optimal reinsurance-investment has been widely investigated by many
scholars, two aspects merit further exploration. The majority of the above-mentioned literature
ignores ambiguity. However, it is a notorious fact that the return of risky assets is difficult to estimate
with precision. Thus, some scholars have advocated and investigated the effect of ambiguity on
portfolio selection, noting that in many cases, the parametric models used in theory, such as the Black-
Scholes model, contain significant uncertainties in parameter estimates. Take drift parameter as an
example. As the expected return of a risky asset is not known in a priori with any adequate precision,
the investor must typically account for a significant level of error in drift parameter estimates.
Compared with making ad-hoc decisions about how much error is contained in the estimates for the
parameters of risky assets, investors may consider alternative models that are close to the estimated
model. This method has been well accepted in quantitative finance to deal with portfolio selection
and asset pricing in case of ambiguity or misspecification. For instance, Anderson et al. (1999)
introduces ambiguity-aversion into the Lucas model and formulates alternative models. Uppal &
Wang (2003) extends the model in Anderson et al. (1999) and develops a framework that allows
investors to consider the level of ambiguity. Anderson et al. (2003) studies the continuous-time
asset pricing model in which the investor takes the model misspecification into account. Maenhout
(2004) optimizes an inter-temporal consumption problem with ambiguity, and derives the closed-
form expressions of the optimal strategies under ‘homothetic robustness’. Maenhout (2006) obtains
the optimal portfolio choice to maximize the expected power utility of the terminal wealth under
ambiguity and stochastic premium. Flor & Larsen (2014) considers an investor who is ambiguous
about the interest rate and stock returns models. For an insurer who manages her risk by purchasing
reinsurance and investing her surplus in a financial market, ambiguity situation is identical to that
of the above-mentioned investors. Moreover, the accurate estimation of an insurer’s surplus process
can also be called into question. An ambiguity-averse insurer (AAI) would hope for a systematic
and quantitative way to take ambiguity into account. For example, Korn et al. (2012) investigates
the optimal reinsurance problem and the optimal reinsurance-investment problem with ambiguity
by using the stochastic differential game approach. Yi et al. (2013) studies the problem of robust
optimal reinsurance-investment under the Heston model for an AAI. Yi et al. (2015) obtains the
robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy under the benchmark and mean-variance criteria.
Pun & Wong (2015) considers the problem of robust optimal reinsurance-investment with multi-
scale stochastic volatility using a general concave utility function.
Although research on the robust optimal investment problem has been rapidly increasing in recent
years, very few of these contributions deals with the problem in relation to ambiguity with jumps,
which has a significant effect on the optimal strategy. Branger & Larsen (2013) analyzes the optimal
portfolio selection problem for an ambiguity-averse investor who invests in a risky asset following a
jump-diffusion process using the criterion of maximizing the expected power utility of the terminal
wealth. Aït-Sahalia & Matthys (2014) considers the optimal consumption-portfolio selection problem
in the presence of ambiguity where the price of the risky asset satisfies a Lévy process. Both Branger &
Larsen (2013) and Aït-Sahalia & Matthys (2014) point out that the risks related to the uncertainty of
the drift and the probability of jumps are fundamentally different in the portfolio selection problem,
such that ignoring ambiguity with respect to (w.r.t.) the jump risk may result in large losses in
the financial market. For robust optimal reinsurance-investment problem with jumps, Zeng et al.
(2016) and Zheng et al. (2016) study the optimal proportional reinsurance-investment problem with
ambiguity under criteria of mean-variance and expected utility maximization, respectively.
Unlike Yi et al. (2013), Yi et al. (2015), Pun & Wong (2015), Zeng et al. (2016) and Zheng
et al. (2016), we are interested in the excess-of-loss reinsurance, which is preferred than proportional
reinsurance in most situations (see Asmussen et al. 2000). Recently, more and more scholars focus
on the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance-investment problems, such as Gu et al. (2012), Zhao
et al. (2013), and so on. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is a prior research on the robust
optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance-investment problem with jumps for an AAI. In our model, the
insurer’s surplus process is assumed to be a Brownian motion with drift that can be considered
as an approximation of the classical insurance risk models, and the insurer is allowed to purchase
excess-of-loss reinsurance and invest her surplus in a risk-free asset and a risky asset whose price
process is described by a jump-diffusion model. Given that the market (true model) may deviate
from the estimated model (reference model) in reality, we incorporate ambiguity into our study, and
assume that the insurer is ambiguity-averse to diffusion and jump risks. Following Maenhout (2004;
2006), the ambiguity level is chosen as inversely proportional to the optimal value function. Moreover,
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 147
depending on the available information, the AAI may exhibit different levels of ambiguity to diffusion
and jump risks. The infrequent nature of jumps in the price process for the risky asset makes it hard
to estimate the intensity of jump risk, which indicates that the AAI is more ambiguity averse to the
jump risk than to the diffusion risk, making it seem natural to have different levels of ambiguity
aversion to diffusion and jump risks. Based on the above setup, we formulate a robust optimization
problem with alternative models, and derive the explicit expressions of the robust optimal excess-
of-loss reinsurance-investment strategy to maximize the expected exponential utility of terminal
wealth. Some special cases of our model and results are provided, and the economic implications of
our findings and utility enhancements from considering ambiguity and reinsurance are analyzed
using numerical examples. The main contributions of this paper are as follows: (i) Ambiguity
with jumps is introduced into the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance-investment framework; (ii)
utility enhancements from considering ambiguity and reinsurance are presented, which reveals that
ambiguity and reinsurance should not be ignored; and (iii) some special cases of our model, such
as the cases of investment-only, ambiguity-neutral insurer (ANI) and no jump, are provided, which
demonstrates that our model are more general and can reduce to many special cases considered in
the literature.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the formulation of
the model. Section 3 derives the explicit expressions of the robust optimal reinsurance-investment
strategy and the corresponding optimal value function. Section 4 provides some special cases of our
model. Section 5 presents some numerical examples and sensitivity analysis of utility enhancements
to illustrate our results. Section 6 concludes the paper.
2. General formulation
Let (, F, {Ft }t∈[0,T] , P) be a filtered complete probability space satisfying the usual condition, where
T > 0 is a finite constant representing the investment time horizon, Ft stands for the information
available until time t, and P is a reference probability.
Suppose that an insurer’s surplus process follows a diffusion model. To understand better that
the diffusion model can be considered as an approximation of the classical insurance risk model, we
start with the classical Cramér–Lundberg (C–L) model. In the C–L model, without reinsurance and
investment, the surplus process of an insurer is described by
N1 (t)
R(t) = x0 + pt − Zi ,
i=1
1 (t)
where x0 0 is the initial surplus; p is the premium rate; N i=1 Zi is a compound Poisson process,
representing the cumulative claims up to time t; {N1 (t)}t∈[0,T] is a homogeneous Poisson process
with intensity λ1 > 0; and the claim sizes Z1 , Z2 , . . . are assumed to be independent and identically
distributed (i.i.d.) positive random variables with finite first moment E[Zi ] = μZ and second moment
E[Zi2 ] = σZ2 . Z1 , Z2 , . . . are further assumed to be independent of N1 (t) with common distribution
F(z). Denote by D = sup{z : F(z) 1} < +∞, then F(0) = 0, 0 < F(z) < 1 for 0 < z < D and
F(z) = 1 for z D. Suppose that the premium rate p is calculated according to the expected value
principle, i.e. p = (1 + η)λ1 μZ , where η > 0 is the safety loading of the insurer.
To disperse the underlying insurance business risk, the insurer is allowed to purchase excess-of-
loss reinsurance. Let a be a (fixed) excess-of-loss retention level and Zi(a) = min{Zi , a} denote the
part of the claims held by the insurer. Then, the surplus process of the insurer becomes
N1 (t)
R̄ (a) (a)
(t) = x0 + p t − Zi(a) ,
i=1
148 D. LI ET AL.
in which θ denotes the safety loading of the reinsurer. Suppose that θ > η, which implies that
the reinsurance is not cheap. According to Grandell (1991), the surplus process R̄(a) (t) can be
approximated by the following diffusion model
(a) (a)
dR̄(a) (t) = (p(a) − λ1 E[Zi ])dt + λ1 E[(Zi )2 ]dB1 (t)
√
= λ1 [θ μ̄(a) + (η − θ )μZ ]dt + λ1 σ̄ (a)dB1 (t),
Moreover, we assume that the insurer is allowed to invest in a financial market comprising a
risk-free asset and a risky asset. The price process of the risk-free asset is described by
where r0 > 0 represents the risk-free interest rate. The price process of the risky asset follows a
jump-diffusion process
⎡ ⎤
N2 (t)
dS(t) = S(t − ) ⎣μdt + σ dB2 (t) + d Yi ⎦ , (2.2)
i=1
where μ and σ are constant; {B2 (t)}t∈[0,T] is a standard Brownian motion; {N2 (t)}t∈[0,T] , representing
the number of the risky asset price’s jumps that occur during time interval [0, t], is a homogeneous
Poisson process with intensity λ2 ; Yi is the ith jump amplitude of the risky asset price; and Yi ,
i = 1, 2, . . . are i.i.d. random variables with distribution function G(y), finite first moment E[Yi ] = μY
and second moment E[Yi2 ] = σY2 . Similar to Yi et al. (2013) and Pun & Wong (2015), we assume that
N2 (t)
{B1 (t)}t∈[0,T] , {B2 (t)}t∈[0,T] and i=1 Yi are independent, and that P{Yi −1 for all i 1} = 1
to ensure that the risky asset price remains positive. Generally, the expect return of the risky asset
is larger than the risk-free interest rate, so we assume that μ + λ2 μY > r0 . In Equation (2.2), the
diffusion term captures normal market movements, and the jumps describe sudden and unusually
disastrous events. Next, we use a Poisson random measure N(·, ·) on × [0, T] × [−1, ∞) to denote
2 (t)
the compound Poisson process N i=1 Yi as
N2 (t) t ∞
Yi = yN(ds, dy), ∀t ∈ [0, T].
i=1 0 −1
where ν(·, ·) is the compensator of the random measure N(·, ·). Thus, the compensated measure
Ñ(·, ·) = N(·, ·) − ν(·, ·) is related to the compound Poisson process as follows
⎡ ⎤
t ∞
N2 (t)
N2 (t)
y Ñ(ds, dy) = Yi − E ⎣ Yi ⎦ , ∀t ∈ [0, T].
0 −1 i=1 i=1
sup Et,x [U(X u (T))] = sup E[U(X u (T))|X u (t) = x], (2.4)
u∈ ˜ u∈ ˜
where ˜ is the set of all admissible strategies u in a given market. The utility function U(x) is
typically increasing and concave (U (x) < 0). However, it is reasonable to assume that the insurer
is ambiguity-averse and thus wants to guard herself against worst-case scenarios. We assume that
the knowledge about ambiguity for the AAI is described by probability P, namely, the reference
probability (or model). However, she is sceptical about this reference model, and hopes to consider
alternative models. Following Anderson et al. (1999), the AAI recognizes that the model under
probability P is an approximation of the true model, thus she notes alternative models, broadly
defined here as a class of probabilities that are equivalent to P as follows:
Q := {Q|Q ∼ P}.
(iii) ∀(t, x) ∈ [0, T] × R, Equation (2.3) has a pathwise unique solution {X u (t)}t∈[0,T] with
Q∗
Et,x U(X u (T)) < +∞, where Q∗ is the chosen model to describe the worst case and will be
shown later.
Let be the set of all admissible strategies.
It is obvious that is not empty, since at least it contains deterministic controls. For such a class
of controls, existence and path uniqueness of the solution to Equation (2.3) is proved in Øksendal &
Sulem (2007).
150 D. LI ET AL.
By Girsanov’s Theorem, ∀Q ∈ Q, there exists := {φ(t) := (φ1 (t), φ2 (t), φ3 (t))}t∈[0,T] 1 such
that
dQ
= (T),
dP
where
t t
1 t 1 t
(t) = exp φ1 (s)dB1 (s) − (φ1 (s))2 ds + φ2 (s)dB2 (s) − (φ2 (s))2 ds
t ∞
0 2 0 t ∞ 0 2 0 (2.5)
+ ln φ3 (s)N(ds, dy) + (1 − φ3 (s))ν(ds, dy)
0 −1 0 −1
is a P-martingale. Karatzas & Shreve (1988) can be consulted for this theorem. By Girsanov’s theorem,
under probability Q,
dB1Q (t) = dB1 (t) − φ1 (t)dt,
and
dB2Q (t) = dB2 (t) − φ2 (t)dt
are Brownian motions. Following Branger & Larsen (2013), for tractability and ease of interpretation,
the distribution of the claim Yi is assumed to be known and is restricted to be identical under
probabilities P and Q, i.e. EQ [h(y)] = EP [h(y)], where h( · ) is a function of y. Under Q, the random
measure N Q (dt, dy) has compensator measure given by λ2 φ3 (t)G(dy)dt. Thus, the dynamic of the
wealth process under probability Q is
√
dX u (t) = r0 X u (t) + λ1 [θ μ̄(a) + (η − θ )μZ ] +π(t)(μ − r0 ) + λ1 σ̄ (a)φ1 (t) + π(t)σ φ2 (t) dt
√ ∞
+ λ1 σ̄ (a)dB1Q (t) + π(t)σ dB2Q (t) + π(t)yN Q (dt, dy).
−1
(2.6)
Suppose that the insurer tries to seek a robust optimal control which is the best choice in some
worst-case models. Inspired by Maenhout (2004) and Branger & Larsen (2013), we formulate a robust
control problem to modify problem (2.4) as follows
T
Q
sup inf Et,x (s, X u (s), φ(s))ds + U(X u (T)) , (2.7)
u∈ ∈ 0
where
(φ1 (t))2 (φ2 (t))2 λ2 (φ3 (t) ln φ3 (t) − φ3 (t) + 1)
(t, X u (t), φ(t)) = + + ,
2ϕ 1 (t)
B 2ϕ 2 (t)
B ϕ J (t)
and the expectation is calculated under the alternative probability Q; ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t) are
strictly positive deterministic functions and represent the preference parameters for ambiguity-
aversion, which measure the degree of confidence to the reference probability P at time t; and
deviations from the reference model are penalized by the first three terms in the expectation, which
depends on the relative entropy arising from the diffusion and jump risks. In Appendix 1, we show
that the increase in relative entropy from t to t + dt equals
1 1
(φ1 (t))2 + (φ2 (t))2 + λ2 (φ3 (t) ln φ3 (t) − φ3 (t) + 1) dt. (2.8)
2 2
1 := {φ(t) := (φ1 (t), φ2 (t), φ3 (t))}t∈[0,T ] satisfies three conditions: (i) φ1 and φ2 are Ft -adapted, and φ3 is Ft -predictable; (ii)
φ3 (t) > 0, for a.a. (t, ω) ∈ [0, T ] × ; and (iii) E exp 12 0T (φ12 (t) + φ22 (t))dt + λ2 0T φ3 (t) ln φ3 (t) − φ3 (t) + 1 dt < ∞.
We denote for the space of all such processes . Condition (iii) can be referred to Branger & Larsen (2013) and Zheng et al.
(2016)
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 151
According to Maenhout (2004), we know that the larger ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t) are, the less the
deviations from the reference model are penalized. Furthermore, the AAI has less faith in the reference
model, and she is more likely to consider alternative models. Hence, the AAI’s ambiguity aversion is
increasing w.r.t. ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t).
To solve problem (2.7), we define the optimal value function V (t, x) as
T u
V (t, x) = sup inf E Q (s, X (s), φ(s))ds + U(X (T))Xt = x .
u u (2.9)
u∈ ∈ t
Let C 1,2 ([0, T] × R) denote a class of functions that are continuously differentiable w.r.t. t on [0, T],
and twice continuously differentiable w.r.t. x on R. Similar to Maenhout (2006) and Branger & Larsen
(2013), for any V (t, x) ∈ C 1,2 ([0, T] × R), according to the principle of dynamic programming, we
can derive the HJB equation for problem (2.9):
with the boundary condition V (T, x) = U(x), where u = (a, π ), φ = (φ1 , φ2 , φ3 ) denote the values
that u and take, and
√
Aφ,u V (t, x) = Vt + Vx r0 x + λ1 (θ μ̄(a) + (η − θ )μZ ) + π(μ − r0 ) + λ1 σ̄ (a)φ1 + π σ φ2
1
+ Vxx [λ1 (σ̄ (a))2 + π 2 σ 2 ] + λ2 φ3 EQ [V (t, x + π y) − V (t, x)],
2
here, Vt , Vx and Vxx represent the partial derivatives of V (t, x) w.r.t. the corresponding variables.
Proposition 2.2: If there exist a function W(t, x) ∈ C 1,2 ([0, T] × R) and a Markovian control
∗ ∗
( ∗ , u∗ ) ∈ × , ∗ (t) = ∗ (t, X u (t)), u∗ (t) = u∗ (t, X u (t)) such that
∗
(i) for any φ ∈ R × R × R+ , Aφ,u W(t, x) + (t, x, φ) 0;
∗
(ii) for any u ∈ [0, D] × R, Aφ ,u W(t, x) + (t, x, φ ∗ ) 0;
∗ ∗
(iii) Aφ ,u W(t, x) + (t, x, φ ∗ ) = 0;
(iv) for all ( , u) ∈ × , limt→T− W(t, X u (t)) = U(X u (T));
(v) {W(τ , X u (τ ))}τ ∈T and {(τ , X u (τ ), φ(τ ))}τ ∈T are uniformly integrable, where T denotes the
set of stopping times τ T.
Then W(t, x) = V (t, x) and ( ∗ , u∗ ) is an optimal control.
Proof: The proof is similar to the proof of Theorem 3.2 in Mataramvura & Øksendal (2008).
1 −mx
U(x) = − e , (3.1)
m
where m > 0 is a constant representing the absolute risk aversion coefficient. As we know, the
exponential utility function plays an important role in insurance mathematics and actuarial practice.
It is the only utility function under the principle of ‘zero utility’ giving a fair premium that is
independent of the level of insurers’ wealth (see Gerber 1979).
Following Maenhout (2004), we assume that ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t) are state-dependent as
γ B1 γ B2 γJ
ϕ B1 (t) = − , ϕ B2 (t) = − , ϕ J (t) = − , (3.2)
mV mV mV
152 D. LI ET AL.
where the ambiguity aversion coefficients γ B1 , γ B2 and γ J are nonnegative and describe the insurer’s
attitudes to the model uncertainty. From Equation (3.2), we find that ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t) are
increasing w.r.t. parameters γ B1 , γ B2 and γ J , respectively.
Then, the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy and the corresponding optimal value
function can be derived and summarized in the following theorem.
Theorem 3.1: For problem (2.7) with exponential utility function (3.1) and assumption (3.2), the
robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy u∗ = {(a∗ (t), π ∗ (t))}t∈[0,T] is given by
a∗ (t)
⎧ −r0 (T−t) −r0 (T−t)
⎪ θe ! , θe
⎪ ! + D · 1
⎨ γ B1 + m · 1 l
⎪ θe−r0 (T−t)
max{l(D),0} l(D)max l θe−r0 (T−t)
,0 γ B1 + m
∈ [0, D],
= γ B1 +m γ B1 +m
⎪
⎪ θe−r0 (T−t)
⎪
⎩ D · 1{l(D)0} , ∈ [D, +∞),
γ B1 + m
(3.3)
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γJ
EQ [e−mπ
∗ (t)yer0 (T−t)
−1]
π (t) = B + e m , (3.4)
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
where
1
l(a) = −λ1 θ μ̄(a)Vmer0 (T−t) + λ1 m(γ B1 + m)(σ̄ (a))2 V e2r0 (T−t) , (3.6)
2
T T
λ (η − θ )μ
f¯ (t) = (T−t)
1 Z r
(1 − e 0 )+ l̄1 (ω)dω − l̄2 (ω)dω, (3.7)
r0 t t
a∗ (ω)
l̄1 (ω) = er0 (T−ω) [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ ]F̄(s)ds, (3.8)
0
1
l̄2 (ω) = π ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
2 !
λ2 γ J Q −mπ ∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
E [e −1]
+ J 1−e m . (3.9)
γ
Suppose that
We obtain
which implies that h(π ) is a decreasing function w.r.t. π . Furthermore, we have h(0) = μ − r0 +
μ−r0 +λ2 EQ [y]
λ2 EQ [y] > 0. Also, we can find that if π > (γ B2 +m)σ 2 er0 (T−t) > 0, we have h(π ) < 0. Therefore,
Equation (3.4) has a unique positive root.
Remark 3.3: If the distribution of claim size satisfies
⎧
⎨ θ μ̄(D) − (γ + m)e (σ̄ (D)) > 0,
B1 r0 T 2
⎪
2 (3.10)
⎪
⎩
min {ψ(T), ψ(0)} > 0,
θ e−r0 (T−t)
a∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (3.11)
γ B1 + m
∗ r (T−t)
e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γJ ∗ r (T−t)
EQ [e−mπ (t)ye 0
π ∗ (t) = B + e m −1]
,
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
0 t T, (3.12)
⎧ −r0 (T−t)
⎪ θe 1 D(γ B1 + m)
⎪
⎨ γ B1 + m , 0 t T + r0 ln
⎪
θ
,
∗
a (t) = (3.14)
⎪
⎪ D(γ B1 + m)
⎪
⎩ D, 1
T + ln < t T,
r0 θ
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γJ
EQ [e−mπ
∗ (t)yer0 (T−t)
−1]
π (t) = B + e m ,
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
0 t T, (3.15)
154 D. LI ET AL.
where
T T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ
f1 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) + l1 (ω)dω − l2 (ω)dω, (3.17)
r0 t t
k T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ r0 (T−k)
f2 (t) = (e − er0 (T−t) ) + l1 (ω)dω − l2 (ω)dω
r0 t t
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 (γ B1 + m)
+ (1 − er0 (T−k) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−k) ),
r0 4r0
1 D(γ B1 + m)
k = T + ln , (3.18)
r0 θ
T
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 (γ B1 + m)
f3 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−t) ) − l2 (ω)dω, (3.19)
r0 4r0 t
θe−r0 (T−ω)
r0 (T−ω) γ B1 +m
l1 (ω) = e [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ ]F̄(s)ds, (3.20)
0
1
l2 (ω) = π ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T − ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
2 !
λ2 γ J Q −mπ ∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
+ J 1 − e m E [e −1]
. (3.21)
γ
the reinsurance-investment strategy, and the wealth process of the AAI under probability Q is
√
dX up (t) = r0 X up (t) + λ1 (η − θ + θ p(t))μZ + π(t)(μ
∞− r0 ) + λ1 p(t)σZ φ1 (t) + π(t)σ φ2 (t) dt
√
+ λ1 p(t)σZ dB1Q (t) + π(t)σ dB2Q (t) + π(t)yN Q (dt, dy).
−1
(3.22)
Similarly, we can obtain the robust optimal proportional reinsurance-investment strategy u∗p :=
{(p∗ (t), π ∗ (t))}t∈[0,T] as
θ μZ e−r0 (T−t)
p∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (3.23)
(γ B1 + m)σZ2
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γ J EQ [e−mπ ∗ (t)yer0 (T−t) −1]
π (t) = B + em , 0 t T,
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
(3.24)
where
λ1 (η − θ )μZ λ1 θ 2 μ2Z T
f4 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) − (T − t) − l2 (ω)dω (3.26)
r0 2(γ B1 + m)σZ2 t
4. Special cases
This section provides some special cases of our model: investment-only, ANI and no jump. We can
derive the corresponding robust optimal strategies and optimal value functions for these cases similar
to the expression of Theorem 3.1, however, to make the robust optimal strategies simple and intuitive,
we consider these special cases under condition (3.10).
156 D. LI ET AL.
where Ṽ is a short notation for Ṽ (t, x) representing the optimal value function of the investment-only
problem with the boundary condition Ṽ (T, x) = U(x). Similar to the derivations of the reinsurance-
investment case, we have the robust optimal investment strategy and the corresponding optimal value
function as follows.
Proposition 4.1: For the investment-only problem, i.e. a(t) ≡ D, under assumptions (3.1) and (3.2),
the robust optimal investment strategy is given by
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γJ
EQ [e−mπ
∗ (t)yer0 (T−t)
−1]
π (t) = B + e m , 0 t T,
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
(4.3)
and the optimal value function is given by
by Equation (2.3) and the objective function is given by Equation (2.4). Denote the optimal value
function by
θ e−r0 (T−t)
â∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (4.9)
m
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 E[ye−mπ̂ (t)ye 0 ]
π̂ (t) = + , 0 t T, (4.10)
m σ2 σ2
∗ r (T−t)
e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 E[ye−mπ̂ (t)ye 0 ]
π̂ ∗ (t) = + , 0 t T, (4.13)
m σ2 σ2
where
T T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ
f6 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) + l3 (ω)dω − l4 (ω)dω, (4.15)
r0 t t
k1 T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ r0 (T−k1 )
f7 (t) = (e − er0 (T−t) ) + l3 (ω)dω − l4 (ω)dω
r0 t t
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 m
+ (1 − er0 (T−k1 ) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−k1 ) ),
r0 4r0
1 Dm
k1 = T + ln , (4.16)
r0 θ
T
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 m
f8 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−t) ) − l4 (ω)dω, (4.17)
r0 4r0 t
θe−r0 (T−ω)
m
r0 (T−ω)
l3 (ω) = e [λ1 mser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ ]F̄(s)ds, (4.18)
0
1
l4 (ω) = π̂ ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − mσ 2 (π̂ ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
2
λ2 ∗ r0 (T−ω)
− E[e−mπ̂ (ω)ye − 1]. (4.19)
m
Proposition 4.2 shows that the optimal reinsurance strategy in Equation (4.9) becomes the result
in Bai & Guo (2010), i.e. our model extends the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance strategy in Bai &
Guo (2010) to the case of robust optimal formulation.
4.3. No jump case
If the intensity of the jump in the price process of the risky asset equals 0, i.e. λ2 = 0, our model
reduces to a case without jumps. Then, the wealth process of the AAI under probability Q with the
strategy ū = {(ā(t), π̄ (t))}t∈[0,T] is
√
dX ū (t) = r0 X ū (t) + λ1 [θ μ̄(ā) + (η − θ )μZ ] + π̄ (t)(μ − r0 ) + λ1 σ̄ (ā)φ1 (t) + π̄ (t)σ φ2 (t) dt
√
+ λ1 σ̄ (ā)dB1Q (t) + π̄ (t)σ dB2Q (t),
(4.20)
and the corresponding HJB equation is
sup inf V̄t + V̄x r0 x + λ1 (θ μ̄(ā) + (η − θ )μZ ) + π̄ (μ − r0 )
(ā,π̄ )∈[0,D]×R (φ1 ,φ2 )∈R×R
√
+ λ1 σ̄ (ā)φ1 + π̄ σ φ2 (4.21)
1 φ 2 φ 2
+ V̄xx [λ1 (σ̄ (ā))2 + π̄ 2 σ 2 ] + B 1 + B 2 = 0,
2 2ϕ 1 (t) 2ϕ 2 (t)
where V̄ is a short notation for V̄ (t, x) representing the optimal value function of the no jump
case with the boundary condition V̄ (T, x) = U(x). Similarly, we can derive the robust optimal
reinsurance-investment strategy and the corresponding optimal value function, explicitly.
Proposition 4.3: If the risky asset price does not have jumps, under assumptions (3.1) and (3.2), the
robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy and the optimal value function reduce to the follows:
θ
(1) if D > γ B1 +m
, the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy is given by
θ e−r0 (T−t)
ā∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (4.22)
γ B1 + m
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 159
(μ − r0 )e−r0 (T−t)
π̄ ∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (4.23)
σ 2 (γ B2 + m)
and the optimal value function is given by
(μ − r0 )e−r0 (T−t)
π̄ ∗ (t) = , 0 t T, (4.26)
σ 2 (γ B2 + m)
and the optimal value function is given by
⎧
⎪ 1 −m[er0 (T−t) x−f10 (t)]
⎪
⎨−me , 0 t k,
V̄ (t, x) = (4.27)
⎪
⎪
⎩ − 1 e−m[er0 (T−t) x−f11 (t)] , k < t T,
m
with
T T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ
f9 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) + l1 (ω)dω − l5 (ω)dω, (4.28)
r0 t t
k T
λ1 (η − θ )μZ r0 (T−k)
f10 (t) = (e − er0 (T−t) ) + l1 (ω)dω − l5 (ω)dω
r0 t t
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 (γ B1 + m)
+ (1 − er0 (T−k) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−k) ), (4.29)
r0 4r0
T
λ1 ημZ r0 (T−t) λ1 σZ2 (γ B1 + m) 2r0 (T−t)
f11 (t) = (1 − e )− (1 − e )− l5 (ω)dω, (4.30)
r0 4r0 t
1
l5 (ω) = π̄ ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π̄ ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω) , (4.31)
2
where l1 (ω) is given in Equation (3.20).
Proposition 4.3 illustrates that if there is no jump in our model, the robust optimal investment
strategy is similar to that in Maenhout (2004), which considers the robust portfolio selection max-
imizing a power utility. Furthermore, if we do not consider the insurance business and jumps, i.e.
λ1 = λ2 = 0, then the robust optimal investment strategy is given by Equation (4.23), and the optimal
value function is given by
r0 μ σ η θ m γ B1 γ B2 γJ λ1 λ2 λZ λY T t
0.03 0.08 0.25 0.10 0.30 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1 2 2 2 10 0
∂a∗ (t) ∂a∗ (t) ∂a∗ (t) ∂a∗ (t) ∂a∗ (t)
derivatives ∂t ∂r0 ∂m ∂θ ∂γ B1
value >0 <0 <0 >0 <0
V̌ (t, x)
(φ1 (s))2
T (φ2 (s))2 λ2 (φ3 (s) ln φ3 (s) − φ3 (s) + 1) ∗
= inf EQ + + ds + U(X (T)) .
û
∈ t 2ϕ B1 (s) 2ϕ B2 (s) ϕ J (s)
(5.1)
Note that φ1 (t), φ2 (t) and φ3 (t), which describe the alternative model, are determined endogenously
and depend on the reinsurance-investment strategy. Unlike in the optimal case, the reinsurance-
investment strategy is now pre-specified. The functions ϕ B1 (t), ϕ B2 (t) and ϕ J (t) are defined analo-
gously to Equation (3.2).
It is obvious that value function V̌ (t, x) defined in Equation (5.1) is smaller than V (t, x) in Equation
(2.9). Bases on V̌ (t, x), we define the utility enhancement from considering ambiguity as follows
V (t, x)
UE1 (t) := 1 − = 1 − em(f1 (t)−f0 (t)) , (5.2)
V̌ (t, x)
γ B2 γ J 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0 0.0775 0.1153 0.1932 0.2719 0.3370 0.3876 0.4262 0.4558
1 0.3028 0.3912 0.5021 0.5786 0.6312 0.6678 0.6941 0.7134
2 0.5289 0.6387 0.7199 0.7704 0.8030 0.8250 0.8404 0.8515
3 0.6867 0.7981 0.8484 0.8781 0.8967 0.9091 0.9176 0.9237
4 0.7928 0.8907 0.9196 0.9362 0.9464 0.9531 0.9577 0.9610
5 0.8633 0.9420 0.9579 0.9669 0.9724 0.9760 0.9784 0.9801
6 0.9099 0.9696 0.9782 0.9830 0.9859 0.9877 0.9890 0.9899
7 0.9407 0.9842 0.9888 0.9913 0.9928 0.9938 0.9944 0.9949
!
λ2 γJ
EQ [e−mπ̂
∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
−1]
+ J 1−e m . (5.5)
γ
V (t, x)
UE2 (t) := 1 − = 1 − em(f1 (t)−f3 (t)) , (5.6)
Ṽ (t, x)
where f1 (t) and f3 (t) are given in Equations (3.17) and (3.19).
Figure 4 illustrates the effects of the remaining time T − t, the ambiguity aversion coefficient γ B1 ,
the reinsurer’s safety loading θ and the insurer’s risk aversion coefficient m on the utility enhancement
UE2 (t). From Figure 4, we find that UE2 (t) increases w.r.t. T − t. A reasonable explanation is that
the AAI faces more uncertainty when T − t is longer. In addition, UE2 (t) is increasing w.r.t. γ B1 ,
which means that the AAI with a higher ambiguity aversion level is prone to purchasing more
reinsurance to disperse the insurance business risk. Then, the utility enhancement from considering
reinsurance increases. As shown in Figure 4, UE2 (t) decreases w.r.t. θ , which can be explained by
the fact that a higher θ increases the cost of the AAI’s purchase of reinsurance, so she cedes less risk
to the reinsurer. Intuitively, an extremely high reinsurance premium provides a favored position for
acquiring business, causing utility enhancement if new business acquisition is prohibited. Moreover,
Figure 4 shows that UE2 (t) increases w.r.t. m, which indicates that the AAI with a higher risk aversion
coefficient is more likely to purchase more reinsurance for risk-spreading.
164 D. LI ET AL.
As shown in Figure 5, the utility enhancement UE2 (t) increases w.r.t. the jump intensity of claim
size λ1 . A possible reason for this is that a higher λ1 results in a more severe fluctuation in the AAI’s
surplus process, making her more likely to cede more reinsurance to the reinsurer for dispersing
risks. Consequently, the utility enhancement from considering reinsurance increases. In addition,
from Figure 5, we find that the effect of λz on UE2 (t) is small.
6. Conclusion
In this paper, we consider a robust optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance and investment problem with
jumps for an AAI, who worries about ambiguity and aims to develop robust optimal strategies. The
insurer’s surplus is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift, and the insurer is allowed
to purchase excess-of-loss reinsurance and invest her surplus in a risk-free asset and a risky asset
whose price dynamics is described by a jump-diffusion model. Meanwhile, the insurer may lack full
confidence on the model describing the economy, in which case we formulate a systematic analysis
of the robust reinsurance-investment problem. By applying the stochastic dynamic programming
approach, explicit expressions for the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy to maximize
the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth and the corresponding optimal value function are
obtained. Some special cases of our model and results are provided, and the economic implications
of our findings and utility enhancements from considering ambiguity and reinsurance are analyzed
using numerical examples. We find that (i) the effect of ambiguity by jump risk on the robust optimal
investment strategy and the optimal value function is significant, and utility enhancement from
considering ambiguity in the case of jump-diffusion risks is much larger than that without jumps; (ii)
the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy for the AAI is affected by the attitude towards
ambiguity, so the AAI facing model uncertainty has a smaller optimal strategy than an ANI; (iii)
reinsurance brings large utility enhancement for the AAI, which implies that reinsurance is very
important in risk management; and (iv) for the robust optimal reinsurance-investment problem,
the optimal value function with excess-of-loss reinsurance is preferred than that with proportional
reinsurance.
In future research, more complicated models, such as stochastic volatility with jumps, can be taken
into account, although doing so may make it difficult to obtain the closed-form solution. Thus, other
methods, such as asymptotic, or other practical methods may be introduced to deal with the robust
optimal reinsurance-investment problem.
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 165
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Funding
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 71571195]; Research
Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region [grant number HKU 17330816]; For Ying Tung
Eduction Foundation for Young Teachers in the Higher Education Institutions of China [grant number 151081];
Guangdong Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar [grant number 2015A030306040]; Natural Science
Foundation of Guangdong Province of China [grant number 2014A030310195]; Science and Technology Planning
Project of Guangdong Province [grant number 2016A070705024]. The authors are also very grateful to Jieming Zhou
and Pei Wang for their helpful suggestions.
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Appendix 1.
A.1. Derivation of relative entropy
The relative entropy is defined as the expectation under the alternative probability of the log Radon-Nikodym derivative
defined in Equation (2.5). Using Itô’s formula, we have
t+ε t+ε
(t + ε)
EQ ln = EQ φ1 (s)(dB1Q (s) + φ1 (s)ds) + φ2 (s)(dB2Q (s) + φ2 (s)ds) (A3)
(t) t t
t+ε
1 1
+ [λ2 (1 − φ3 (s)) − (φ1 (s))2 − (φ2 (s))2 ]ds (A4)
t 2 2
t+ε ∞ t+ε
+ ln φ3 (s)ν(ds, dy) + λ2 φ3 (s) ln φ3 (s)ds (A5)
t −1 t
t+ε !
1 1
= EQ (φ1 (s))2 + (φ2 (s))2 + λ2 (φ3 (s) ln φ3 (s) − φ3 (s) + 1) . (A6)
t 2 2
Let ε → 0 and we have the continuous-time limit of the relative entropy given by Equation (2.8).
Appendix 2.
B.1. Proof of Theorem 3.1 and Remark 3.3
To solve Equation (2.10), we conjecture that the optimal value function is
Vt = −Vm[−r0 xer0 (T−t) − f¯t ], Vx = −Vmer0 (T−t) , Vxx = Vm2 e2r0 (T−t) ,
r (T−t) (B2)
V (t, x + π y) − V (t, x) = V (e−mπ ye 0 − 1),
where f¯ = f¯ (t) and f¯t stands for the partial derivative of f¯ (t) w.r.t. time t for short.
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 167
According to the first-order optimality conditions, the functions φ1∗ (t), φ2∗ (t) and φ3∗ (t), which realize the infimum
part of Equation (2.10) are given by
$
φ1∗ (t) = −γ B1 λ1 σ̄ (a)er0 (T−t) , (B3)
φ2∗ (t) = −γ B2 π σ er0 (T−t) , (B4)
γJ Q [e−mπyer0 (T−t) −1]
φ3∗ (t) = e m E . (B5)
i.e.
F̄(a0∗ )(θVx − ϕ B1 (t)Vx2 a0∗ + Vxx a0∗ ) = 0.
Furthermore, differentiating Equation (B6) w.r.t. π(t) implies that a nonlinear equation for the robust optimal
investment strategy π ∗ (t) is
∗ r (T−t)
∗ e−r0 (T−t) μ − r0 λ2 EQ [ye−mπ (t)ye 0 ] γJ
EQ [e−mπ
∗ (t)yer0 (T−t)
−1]
π (t) = B + e m . (B8)
γ 2 +m σ2 σ2
We first justify that π ∗ given in Equation (B8) derived by the first-order conditions is the optimal investment
strategy. Let
which gather the term of π in the left side of Equation (B6). Furthermore,
Since V < 0, Vx > 0 and Vxx < 0, it is obvious that gπ π (π ) < 0 for any admissible π . Therefore, the first-order
optimality condition gives the optimal investment strategy.
Next, similarly, let
λ1 (σ̄ (a))2 γ B1 Vx2 1
l(a) = λ1 θ μ̄(a)Vx + + λ1 (σ̄ (a))2 Vxx ,
2mV 2
which gathers the term of a in the left side of Equation (B6). Since l(a) is a continuous function of a (a ∈ [0, D]), the
−r0 (T−t) −r0 (T−t)
optimal reinsurance strategy a∗ will appears at a0∗ = θ eγ B1 +m such that la ( θ eγ B1 +m ) = 0 or the two end points of the
168 D. LI ET AL.
where
T T
λ1 (η − θ)μZ
f¯ (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) + l̄1 (ω)dω − l̄2 (ω)dω,
r0 t t
a∗ (ω)
l̄1 (ω) = er0 (T−ω) [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ]F̄(s)ds,
0
1
l̄2 (ω) = π (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
∗
2 !
λ2 γ J Q −mπ ∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
+ J 1 − e m E [e −1]
.
γ
D(γ B1 +m)
Equation (B7) shows that a∗ (t) ∈ [0, D] when t k := T + r10 ln θ . We try to find the solution to Equation
(B6) in the following cases.
(i) If D > γ B1θ+m , we have k > T. Then, 0 t T < k, and the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy
is shown in Equations (B7) and (B8). Similarly, we assume that the optimal value function is
θe−r0 (T−t)
γ B1 +m
f1t − λ1 (η − θ)μZ er0 (T−t) + er0 (T−t) [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−t) − λ1 θ]F̄(s)ds
0 ! (B9)
1 λ2 γJ
EQ [e−mπ
∗ yer0 (T−t)
−1]
− π ∗ (μ − r0 )er0 (T−t) + (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π ∗ )2 e2r0 .T−t/ − J 1−e m = 0.
2 γ
where
θe−r0 (T−ω)
r0 (T−ω) γ B1 +m
l1 (ω) = e [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ]F̄(s)ds, (B11)
0
1
l2 (ω) = π ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
2 ! (B12)
λ2 γ J Q −mπ ∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
+ J 1 − e m E [e −1]
.
γ
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 169
(ii) If D γ B1θ+m , we have k T. Thus, 0 t < k T. In the case of 0 t k, the derivations of the solution
to Equation (B6) are similar to those of case (i), and we assume that the optimal value function is
Taking into account the boundary condition f3 (T) = 0 and the continuity of V (t, x) at time t = k, we have
k T
λ1 (η − θ)μZ r0 (T−k)
f2 (t) = (e − er0 (T−t) ) + l1 (ω)dω − l2 (ω)dω
r0 t t (B14)
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ (γ 1 + m)
2 B
+ (1 − er0 (T−k) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−k) ),
r0 4r0
T
λ1 ημZ λ1 σZ2 (γ B1 + m)
f3 (t) = (1 − er0 (T−t) ) − (1 − e2r0 (T−t) ) − l2 (ω)dω, (B15)
r0 4r0 t
where l1 (ω) and l2 (ω) are given in Equations (B11) and (B12).
Summarizing the above analysis, we can derive the robust optimal reinsurance-investment strategy and the optimal
value function explicitly.
Next, conditions (i)–(v) in Proposition 2.2 will be checked. We first give two lemmas.
Lemma B1: The following expectation is finite
% ! &
T (φ1∗ (t))2 (φ2∗ (t))2 ∗ ∗ ∗
J(T) := E exp + + λ2 (φ3 (t) ln φ3 (t) − φ3 (t) + 1) dt . (B16)
0 2 2
Since a∗ and π ∗ are finite, the right side of Equation (B16) is finite.
∗
Lemma B2: The optimal strategy u∗ and the corresponding function W(t, X u (t)) have the following properties:
(a) u∗ is"an admissible strategy; #
∗ ∗
(b) EQ supt∈[0,T] |W(t, X u (t))|4 < ∞;
' ∗ (
∗ (φ (t))2 (φ ∗ (t))2 λ2 (φ3∗ (t) ln φ3∗ (t) − φ3∗ (t) + 1) 2
(c) EQ supt∈[0,T] 1B + 2B + < ∞.
2ϕ 1 (t) 2ϕ 2 (t) ϕ J (t)
170 D. LI ET AL.
Proof:
(a) From the process of solving HJB equation, we know condition (i) in Definition 2.1 holds, and the optimal
strategy u∗ is deterministic and state-independent, thus condition (ii) in Definition 2.1 is satisfied. Condition
(iii) in Definition 2.1 can be obtained by property (b).
(b) Substituting Equations (B3)–(B5), (B7)–(B8) into Equation (2.6), we have
t t t
√ ∗ ∗
λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s) + π ∗ (s)σ dB2Q (s)
∗
X u (t) = x0 er0 t + Ads +
t ∞ 0 0 0 (B18)
+ π ∗ (s)yN(ds, dy),
0 −1
where A = λ1 (θ μ̄(a∗ ) + (η − θ)μZ ) + (μ − r0 )π ∗ (s) − γ B1 λ1 (σ̄ (a∗ ))2 er0 (T−t) − γ B2 σ 2 (π ∗ (s))2 . Given that
u∗ is deterministic, A is bounded. Inserting Equation (B18) into candidate value function (3.13), we obtain the
following upper boundary with appropriate constants K > 0,
1 r0 (T−t) X u∗ (t)−f¯ (t)) ∗
∗
|W(t, X u (t))4 | = 4 e−4m(e = 1 e−4mer0 (T−t) X u (t)+4mf¯ (t) (B19)
m m4
r0 (T−t) X u∗ (t)
Ke−4me (B20)
t t √ ∗ t ∗ t ∞
−4mer0 (T−t) (x0 er0 t + 0 Ads+ λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s)+ ∗ Q
0 π (s)σ dB2 (s)+ π ∗ (s)yN(ds,dy))
= Ke 0 0 −1 (B21)
t √ ∗ t ∗
−4m( λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s)+ ∗ Q
0 π (s)σ dB2 (s))
K̄e 0 , (B22)
r0 (T−t)
t t ∞ ∗
where K̄ is a constant satisfying K̄ > Ke−4me (x0 e + 0 Ads+ 0 −1 π (s)yN(ds,dy)) r0 t
. The first inequality
in Equation (B19) is valid, because ¯
f (t) is deterministic and bounded, and the second inequality follows
t t ∞
from the fact that x0 er0 t , er0 (T−t) , 0 Ads and 0 −1 π ∗ (s)yN(ds, dy) are deterministic and bounded. Now, we
t √ ∗
consider the integral e 0 −4m λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s) .
t √ ∗ t t t √ ∗
−4m λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s) 8m2 λ1 (σ̄ (a∗ ))2 ds − 8m2 λ1 (σ̄ (a∗ ))2 ds+ −4m λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s)
e 0 = )e 0
*+ , · )e
0
*+
0
,.
const. martingale
Thus,
t √ ∗
∗ −4m λ1 σ̄ (a∗ )dB1Q (s)
EQ e 0 < ∞.
t ∗
Similarly, EQ
∗
e 0 −4mπ ∗ (s)σ dB2Q (s) < ∞. Consequently,
% &
∗ ∗
EQ sup |W(t, X u (t))|4 < ∞.
t∈[0,T]
The first inequality follows from Cauchy–Schwarz inequality, and the second inequality follows from
property (b).
SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL 171
From the above derivations, it is easy to check that conditions (i)–(iv) in Proposition 2.2 hold for W(t, x). By
Lemma B.2, condition (v) in Proposition 2.2 also holds for W(t, x). Then, W(t, x) is the optimal value function of
problem (2.9), i.e. W(t, x) = V (t, x), and u∗ = {(a∗ (t), π ∗ (t))}t∈[0,T] is the optimal strategy.
The proof can also be referred to Corollary 1.2 in Kraft (2004), Theorem 3.1 in Øksendal & Sulem (2007) and
Theorem 8.1 in Fleming & Soner (2006).
Appendix 3.
C.1. Derivation of suboptimal value function
The optimal value function V̌ (t, x) associated with û∗ solves the infimum problem
√
inf V̌t + V̌x r0 x + λ1 (θ μ̄(â∗ ) + (η − θ)μZ ) + π̂ ∗ (μ − r0 ) + λ1 σ̄ (â∗ )φ1 + π̂ ∗ σ φ2
(φ1 ,φ2 ,φ3 )∈R×R×R+
1
+ V̌xx [λ1 (σ̄ (â∗ ))2 + (π̂ ∗ )2 σ 2 ] + λ2 φ3 EQ [V̌ (t, x + π̂ ∗ y) − V̌ (t, x)] (C1)
2
φ2 φ2 λ2 (φ3 ln φ3 − φ3 + 1)
+ B1 + B2 + = 0,
2ϕ 1 (t) 2ϕ 2 (t) ϕ J (t)
where V̌ is a short notation for V̌ (t, x) with the boundary condition V̌ (T, x) = U(x). The first-order conditions w.r.t.
φ1 , φ2 and φ3 show that the alternative model is given by φ1∗ , φ2∗ and φ3∗ in Equations (B3)–(B5) with â∗ and π̂ ∗
substituted for a and π , respectively. By inserting Equations (B3)–(B5) into Equation (C1), we have
where
θe−r0 (T−ω)
m
l6 (ω) = er0 (T−ω) [λ1 (γ B1 + m)ser0 (T−ω) − λ1 θ]F̄(s)ds, (C5)
0
1
l7 (ω) = π̂ ∗ (ω)(μ − r0 )er0 (T−ω) − (γ B2 + m)σ 2 (π̂ ∗ (ω))2 e2r0 (T−ω)
2 ! (C6)
λ2 γ J Q −mπ̂ ∗ (ω)yer0 (T−ω)
+ J 1 − e m E [e −1]
.
γ