Mitigation Potential and Costs Land-Use Options
Mitigation Potential and Costs Land-Use Options
Mitigation Potential and Costs Land-Use Options
Land-Use Options
Daniel Martino
(Carbosur, Uruguay)
CLA, Chapter 8 (Agriculture), WGIII
Bonn, 12 May 2007
IPCC
Baseline emissions
9
8
1990-2005
Developed countries, EIT: -12% Agriculture Emissions 2005
7
Developing countries: +32%
GHG Emissions (Gt CO2-eq/yr)
7%
6
11%
5
38% N2O soils
4
CH4 enteric
12%
3 Biomass burning
Rice mgmt.
2 other
0 32%
1990 2005 2030
Agriculture Forests
IPCC
Economic Mitigation Potential
IPCC
Agriculture: Regional Distribution of
Economic Potential (US$ 100/tCO2-eq)
IPCC
Forests: Regional Distribution of
Economic Potential (US$ 100/tCO2-eq)
IPCC
Final Remarks (1)
• Developing regions:
– where most emissions occur (both in agriculture and forests)
– where emissions tend to increase (agriculture)
– where ca. 2/3 of economic mitigation potential can be
achieved.
• Developed regions, EIT:
– agriculture emissions tend to decrease
– forest sector is a net sink
– large potential for carbon sequestration through forest
management and carbon sequestration in soils in some areas
IPCC
Final Remarks (2)
• C sequestration represents 90% of potential in agriculture, and
60% in forests
– high uncertainty of estimates (baseline and potentials)
– uncertainty on long-term effects (about sink enhancement or reversal due
to climate change)
• Agriculture and forests may also contribute to mitigation in
energy sector through production of biomass feedstocks and
energy efficiency measures
– Competition with other land uses, positive or negative
environmental impacts, implications for food security
• Most mitigation practices in agriculture and forests
have synergies with sustainable development and
interactions with adaptation.
IPCC