Driving Forces of Real Estate Markets
Driving Forces of Real Estate Markets
Driving Forces of Real Estate Markets
Driving Forces of
Real Estate Markets
“Markets”
“Mechanism through which all goods and services are
voluntarily exchanged among different owners”
National Influences
– Tax Laws, Interest Rates
Local Influences
– Employment Trends, Social Patterns, Changes in
Development
Supply & Demand
Price/Rent
As price decreases,
quantity demanded
increases
Quantity of Space
Short-Run Supply Curve
Price/Rent
Reflects inelasticity in
a Short-Run market
Quantity of Space
Long-Run Supply Curve
Price/Rent
Reflects more
elasticity in a Long-
Run Market
Quantity of Space
Kinked Long-Run Supply Curve
Price/Rent
When price is above
Pe, new supply will
enter the market
Pe
Quantity of Space
Characteristics of
Real Estate Markets
Durability
– Inelastic short-run supply
“Lumpy and Large” Economic Unit
– Infrequent Purchase
– Highly-levered industry
– Large shifts in supply within localized markets
Costly Information
– Data not easily available
– Costs of Market Studies and Appraisals
– Search Costs
Characteristics of
Real Estate Markets
High Transaction Costs
– Title Insurance, Broker Fees, Lending Fees, Inspections/Due
Diligence, Surveys, Endorsements, etc.
Fixed Location
– Allows Real Estate to be Substitutable
Heterogeneity
– Creates greater costs for market information and searching
Government Regulated
– Limits Real Estate Use
– Can help or deter real estate use and value
Lecture 1
Short-Run Market
Analysis
Seasonality:
Residential Home Sales
Average
Monthly Springtime housing sales
Sales tend to run 40% higher
than in December
120%
100%
80%
60%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Lecture 1
Intermediate and
Long-Run Market
Analysis
Economic Base Analysis
Location-Free Workers
Work Space and Living Space accomodating
workers
E-Commerce threat to the Retail Real Estate
Submarket
Warehousing