Indian Commodity Market

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DYNAMICS OF INDIAN

COMMODITY MARKET

Prepared By:
Dipa Shah
Nikita Sanghvi
Bharat Maheshwari
Krishna Rajput
Mitesh Shah
Keyur Savalia
FLOW OF PRESENTATION

• Introduction
• Commodities Traded
• Participants
• Functioning
• Agricultural Commodity Market
• Ground Nut
• Indian Commodity Market
• Conclusion

HISTORY OF COMMODITY MARKET

•Evolution
•Indian Commodity Market -134 Year old
•1875-“Bombay Cotton Trade Association Ltd”
•India -the largest consumer of Gold
•Indian Retail Market estimated to cross Rs
10000 Billions by the year 2010
COMMODITY AND COMMODITY EXCHANGES

• Commodity
• Commodity Exchange
– Global Commodity Exchanges
– National Commodity Exchanges
– Regional Commodity Exchanges

COMMODITY EXCHANGES

• Global Commodity Exchanges


– NYMEX : New York Mercantile Exchange
– LME : London Metal Exchanges
– CBOT : Chicago Board of trade
– SICOM : Singapore Commodity Exchanges
– Kansas Board of trade and many more……

• National Commodity Exchanges


1. NCDEX – National Commodity & Derivative
2. MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange
3. NMCEIL - National Multi Commodity Exchange India Ltd
4. ICEX – Indian Commodity Exchange
COMMODITY EXCHANGES
• Regional Commodity Exchanges
– Bombay Commodity Exchanges
– Kanpur Commodity Exchanges
– Ahmedabad Commodity Exchanges
– Rajdhani Oil & Seeds Commodity Exchanges
– The Chamber of Commerce
– E Sugar India Ltd. (Mumbai)
COMMODITIES TRADED IN INDIA
PLAYERS IN THE DERIVATIVES MARKET

• Hedger
– Farmers, manufacturers, importers & exporter.
– Buys or sells in the futures market to secure the future
price of a commodity intended to be sold at a later
date in the cash market.
– Protect against price risks.
PLAYERS IN THE DERIVATIVES MARKET

Hedgers
• Buyers • Sellers
– They hold the long – They hold the short
position in futures position in futures
contracts. contracts.
– They trying to secure – They trying to secure
as low price as as high price as
possible. possible.
– –
ØBoth parties try to reduce the risks associated with price
volatility.
PLAYERS IN THE DERIVATIVES MARKET

Speculators
• They do not aim to minimize risk but to benefit from
the inherently risky nature of the commodity
market.
• They aim to profit from the very price change that
hedgers are protecting.

Arbitrage
They do the simultaneous buying and selling of
assets in different market taking advantage of
differing prices.
FUNCTIONING OF COMMODITY MARKET

• Buyers & sellers


• Pricing mostly
• Contract states the price that will be paid and the date of
delivery.
• Almost all futures contracts end without the actual
physical delivery.

DE IN AGRI-COMMODITY IN INDIAN COMMODITY MAR
ONTHLY SPOT PRICE INDICES : ESTIMATES OF STANDA
ON OF AGRI-COMMODITY CONSUMPTION BETWEEN IN
2006-07
COMPARISON OF PROD/CONS RATIO BETWEEN
INDIA AND USA (2006-07)
GROUNDNUT

TRADING IN AGRI-COMMODITY- GROUNDNUT

- Major groundnut consuming countries.


- Groundnut exporting countries.
- Groundnut producing countries.
- Production of groundnut in India
MARKET INFLUENCING FACTORS

Weather conditions
Monsoon status
Price fluctuations
International price movements.

High consumption
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF
INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET
GROWTH OF INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET

• Year 2003:
ü Starting with trade in 7 commodities till 1999, futures trading now
available in 95 commodities
ü 54 prohibited commodities opened up for forward trading
ü establishment and recognition of three new national exchanges with
on-line trading and professional management
• The volume of trade had increased exponentially since 2003- 04 to
reach Rs. 36.77 lakh crore in 2006-07
GROWTH OF INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET
• Agricultural commodities - largest proportion of the total value of trade till
2005-06 (55.32%)
• Growth in 2006-07
ü Bullion and metals (88.7%),
ü Agricultural commodities (10.7%)
• Reasons:-
ü Stringent regulations, like margins and open interest limits
ü dampening of sentiments due to suspension of trade in few commodities
GROWTH OF INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET
• Significant decline in trade in agriculture commodities during the
year 2007-08, by 28.5%.
• Trade in Chana, Maize, Mentha Oil, Guar seed, Potato, Guar Gum,
Chilliesand Cardamom, which accounted for 57.9% of total
futures trade in agricultural commodities in 2006-07, declined by
over 66.4% during 2007-08 compared to previous year
TRADING FROM APRIL 2007 - MARCH 2010 IN UNIT
(AS PER MCX)
TREND OF INDIAN COMMODITY MARKET
RRENT SCENARIO OF INDIAN COMMODITY MAR

• Total value of trade :


ü Fy 2008/09 INR52.49 lakh crore
ü Fy 2007/08 INR 40.66 lakh crore
• Growth of 29.09%, under challenging economic conditions globally
• Main drivers of growth :
• MCX, NCDEX and NMCE along with two regional exchanges
– NBOT Indore and ACE, Ahmedabad – contributed to 99.61% of
the total value of commodities traded during 2008/09.
RRENT SCENARIO OF INDIAN COMMODITY MAR

• Turnover grew from 1.29 trillion rupees in 2003/04 to 52.49


trillion rupees in 2008/09
• Turnover bourses rose 49.80% to 73.51 trillion rupees in first
eleven-and-a-half months of fiscal 2009/10
• Active trade in gold, silver, copper and crude oil in the energy
and metals pack during March ’10 first fortnight
• Guar seed, chana, soybean, turmeric and jeera saw trade
among agricultural commodities

REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
• December 1952 -Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952,
enacted
• The Act provided for 3-tier regulatory system;
ü a) An association recognized by the Government of India on
the recommendation of Forward Markets Commission
ü b) The Forward Markets Commission (set up in September
1953)
ü c) The Central Government

REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
• Forward Contracts (Regulation) Rules were notified by the Central Government in
July, 1954.

• The Act divides the commodities into 3 categories with reference to extent of
regulation, viz.:

ü a) The commodities in which futures trading can be organized under the auspices of
recognized association.

ü b) The commodities in which futures trading is prohibited.

ü c) Those commodities which have neither been regulated for being traded under the
recognized association nor prohibited are referred as Free Commodities and the
association organized in such free commodities is required to obtain the
Certificate of Registration from the Forward Markets Commission.
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
• Forward Markets Commission provides regulatory oversight
in order to ensure -
• financial integrity (i.e. to prevent systematic risk of default by
one major operator or group of operators),
• market integrity (i.e. to ensure that futures prices are truly
aligned with the prospective demand and supply conditions)
and
• to protect and promote interest of customers/ non-members.
CONCLUSION
• Decade of commodities
• Global commodity market is greater than stock market
• India - Top producer of commodities
• Market has enormous progress in technology,transpereny,and
trading activity
• Supports developing price and price risk management policy
to decide upon prices of commodity
• Price risk management for future uncertainty

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